ETH/BTC: Golden Cross Reloaded?This is ETH/BTC on the daily chart.
A major event is about to unfold: the golden cross, where the 50MA crosses above the 200MA.
The last time this happened was in early 2020, around the same price zone, right after a bounce off the 2019 low double bottom and a rejection from the 0.5 Fib level, which sits halfway between the 2019 low and the 0.786 Fib.
In 2025, we’re seeing a strikingly similar pattern:
– Price bounced off the 2019 low
– Got rejected again from the 0.5 level
– And now appears to be gathering strength to flip that level and the 200MA to confirm the Golden Cross
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Community ideas
While You Were Watching NVIDIA, Oracle Quietly Ate the BackendEveryone's chasing the AI hype but Oracle is one of the only companies selling the picks and shovels behind the scenes.
While headlines focus on NVIDIA, Meta, and ChatGPT, Oracle has been building the back-end massive AI-ready data infrastructure, hyper scale cloud partnerships, and GPU clusters feeding OpenAI and Nvidia workloads directly.
This isn’t some pivot or marketing gimmick Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is quietly powering the largest LLMs in the world. And Wall Street is only beginning to price that in.
Why Oracle’s Move Is Just Getting Started
1. AI Cloud Infrastructure – Not Just Software
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is integrated directly into OpenAI, NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Cohere LLM workflows. Ellison confirmed that AI demand on Oracle’s cloud is now booked out for years, including custom GPU clusters. OCI outperforms AWS in specific AI workloads at a lower cost. That’s a disruptor narrative in itself.
2. Earnings Momentum + Smart Money Rotation
Oracle just printed double-digit YoY cloud growth, increased margins, and committed billions in CapEx classic early-growth behaviour. It’s now a value + AI hybrid, attracting funds rotating into defensible, profitable AI infrastructure plays.
3. Stage 2 Breakout – Repricing in Motion
ORCL broke above its 2021 all-time high ($188) with conviction. Stage 2 began around $195–200, with high volume + range expansion. This is a textbook Stage 2 expansion phase not a short squeeze, not a blow-off top. Monthly structure confirms 23+ years of consolidation is complete.
Technical Markup Summary
- Stage 2 Breakout Level - $195–200
- Support Zone (Prior ATH) - $185–190
- Volume Confirmation - Highest range + volume since Dotcom era
- Current Price Action - Early parabolic expansion = healthy trend
Projected Price Targets
- TP1 $275 Fib 1.618 + round number magnet
- TP2 $310–320 Revaluation zone if earnings accelerate
- TP3 $420+ AI AWS narrative fully priced in
Why This Isn’t a Late Entry
Most traders wait for headlines and miss the Stage 2 phase, which is where real money is made. Oracle is now being repriced for the role it’s actually playing in AI not just as a legacy tech name, but as a global infrastructure layer. This breakout isn’t the end it’s the beginning.
Oracle is no longer just “that enterprise database company.” It’s becoming a core infrastructure provider for the AI era, with multi-year demand, sticky revenue, and strong technical structure.
If you missed NVIDIA’s early breakout this may be your redemption arc.
Defined support at $190
Open runway to $275+
This is a swing-to-position hold for high-conviction players. What's your thoughts?
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout retest?Donald Trump escalated trade tensions again, threatening a 35% tariff on Canadian goods shortly after reopening trade talks, and floated doubling global tariffs to 20%. This reinforces his aggressive protectionist stance and puts renewed pressure on allies like Canada and Vietnam, the latter blindsided by a 20% levy. Meanwhile, US-China relations may be entering a critical phase, with a possible Trump-Xi summit hinted at by Marco Rubio during talks in Malaysia.
On the geopolitical front, Trump is signaling a harder line on Russia, previewing a “major statement” and backing expanded sanctions as the US sends more weapons to Ukraine. This raises global uncertainty, especially for energy and defense sectors.
Conclusion for NSDQ100 trading:
Rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks may dampen market sentiment and lead to volatility in tech-heavy Nasdaq stocks, particularly those reliant on global supply chains. While traders have grown numb to tariff talk, the cumulative pressure suggests a downside risk is building. In the short term, maintain a cautious stance—watch for potential pullbacks and heightened intraday volatility as policy clarity remains elusive.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22940
Resistance Level 2: 23060
Resistance Level 3: 23180
Support Level 1: 22410
Support Level 2: 22300
Support Level 3: 22130
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Airbnb: Downtrend Set to Resume SoonSince our last update, Airbnb has experienced a rebound, which diverted the stock from the anticipated sell-off. However, the price is expected to soon resume its downward trajectory and, as the next key step, break through support at $108.60. This move should complete turquoise wave 3, with all subsequent waves of this downward impulse likely to unfold below this level. Ultimately, the stock is expected to finish the broader correction of the beige wave II.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
A bit of profit taking on NVDA and then up again?NASDAQ:NVDA is the most talked about and everyone is capitalizing on that. Let's take a look.
NASDAQ:NVDA
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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GBP/AUD - Bearish Flag (10.07.2025)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.0671
2nd Support – 2.0607
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Let’s talk about technical analysis & stops.Technical analysis is not your decision-making process — it’s a tool to help you structure better trading decisions by studying past price movements to anticipate likely future moves.
👉 Every time you look at a chart, you should decide:
✅ Do I want to trade at all?
✅ What’s my entry?
✅ Where’s my stop (when does my thesis fail)?
✅ What’s my target (where will I take profits)?
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🛑 Where to put your stop?
Take the S&P 500 daily chart. It’s been trending up strongly. Many traders use an exponential moving average (EMA) as a dynamic stop.
But:
• A 9 EMA often stops you out too early on strong trends.
• Adjusting to a 15 or 16 EMA could keep you in the trade longer, letting your winners run.
In tools like TradingView, you can visually adjust the EMA and see in real time how it would have kept you in or taken you out.
________________________________________
💡 Key takeaway:
When price closes below your EMA stop — that’s your signal to exit and lock in profits.
Use TA to structure your trades, not just spot pretty patterns.
________________________________________
💬 What’s your favourite method for setting stops?
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Eth $2,500 Resistance — Will Harmonic Pattern Trigger a Rally?Ethereum Stuck at $2,500 Resistance — Will Harmonic Pattern Trigger a Rally to $3,400?
Ethereum has been trading in a prolonged consolidation phase around the $2,500 level — a region that has acted as resistance for several weeks. This extended period of sideways action could signify either accumulation or distribution, depending on what comes next. Technically, Ethereum remains capped below major resistance and has yet to confirm a bullish breakout. However, a deeper corrective move followed by a reclaim of key levels could activate a larger harmonic pattern, which presents a potential rally scenario toward the $3,400 region.
-$2,500 Resistance Zone: Price continues to stall at this critical area, signaling indecision
-$2,200 Support Level: A potential bounce zone where bulls may re-enter the market
-Harmonic Pattern Forming: Possible C-to-D leg expansion targeting $3,400, pending confirmation
Ethereum’s price has remained stuck around the $2,500 region, which has evolved into a high time frame resistance. Price has yet to show a decisive breakout, and this extended stay near resistance typically signals one of two things: stealth accumulation before a breakout, or distribution before a breakdown. The direction will become clearer once price action reacts to either a support retest or a break of the current range.
From a bullish perspective, a potential corrective move toward the $2,200 region — a well-established support — would provide a healthy reset for price action. This zone has previously acted as a demand area and aligns closely with the value area low. If Ethereum bounces from this level and reclaims the point of control (POC) around $2,550 — which also aligns with weekly resistance — it would be a strong structural signal.
This sequence of moves could activate a larger harmonic pattern currently visible in Ethereum’s price action. If valid, the market could enter the C-to-D expansion phase of the harmonic setup, targeting the $3,400 region. While this pattern remains speculative and unconfirmed, its structure is valid and aligns with both historical Fibonacci extensions and support/resistance dynamics.
For this pattern to be confirmed, Ethereum must hold the $2,200 support level and produce a strong reclaim of $2,550 backed by volume. Without this confirmation, the idea remains purely speculative and should be approached with caution.
If Ethereum corrects to $2,200 and reclaims $2,550, a bullish C-to-D harmonic expansion may play out targeting $3,400. Until then, ETH remains range-bound and capped under major resistance.
SOLANA Loves THIS Pattern | BULLISHSolana usually increases alongside ETH. Possible because its a big competitor.
We can see SOL follows ETH very closely, with the exception of dipping earlier than ETH by a week:
In the 4h, we see a push to breakout above the neckline resistance:
In the daily timeframe, SOL is just about to break out above the moving averages - which would be the final confirmation of a bullish impulse to come:
Could this pattern be the confirmation of the start of another big pump for SOL?
_______________________
BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Is Bitcoin Working Out a New Leg Up? Onchain Data Says It May BeDiamond hands are waving goodbye and institutions are loading up — it’s why Bitcoin may be struggling to break out of its current consolidation range. How long can this accumulation phase continue?
And yes — we look at the trades of the decade — two transactions where each one moved a cool billie from a $7.8K investment in 2011.
Some people cling to their Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash like it’s their last protein bar before a marathon. Others, apparently, wake up one day and decide to dump their coins and browse the market for islands.
Welcome to the silent shift that’s redefining the big players in the Bitcoin market, worth about $2.2 trillion as per data from our Crypto Coins Heatmap .
Old-school whales — the very early adopters and miners holding the OG wallets — are quietly selling, while institutional heavyweights sweep in to buy every dip (part of the reason why lately every breakout never breaks out).
Over the past year, these OG whales have shed about half a million Bitcoin — worth north of $50 billion — according to data from 10x Research. And guess who’s gobbling it all up? ETFs, corporate treasuries, and family offices that didn’t want anything to do with crypto five years ago.
Is it bullish? Is it bearish? Is it just Bitcoin being Bitcoin? Let’s pull up the charts, squint at the data, and see what the world’s most famous digital coin might be plotting next.
📈 A Record High — And Now What?
So here’s the setup. Bitcoin has been strutting under its record high of $111,000 for months now. You’d think the hype machine — from Trump’s pro-crypto administration, to corporate balance sheets going full Michael Saylor (looking at you, GameStop NYSE:GME ) — would send BTC blasting past the Moon and landing on Mars.
Instead? It’s just... chilling. Volatility’s drying up like the last drop of liquidity in a summer Friday session. And the reason is surprisingly simple: the massive handover happening between big, anonymous early adopters and the suit-and-tie institutional crowd.
😌 From Wild Ride to Easy Cruising?
You could argue this is exactly what Bitcoin needs: maturity, respectability, less drama. But don’t tell that to the day traders who want 20% swings before breakfast. As these whales get out and institutions get in, analysts say the upside could be capped at a chill 10% to 20% a year.
Good news for your retirement portfolio, maybe not so great for that “Lambo by Labor Day” dream.
Institutions now hold about 25% of all Bitcoin in circulation — and once these get in, they tend to sit tight for years.
🚀 The $1.1 Billion Time Capsule
Speaking of whales: ever wonder what happens when a Bitcoin wallet goes dark for 14 years? It pops back online to make your mind melt.
On April 3, 2011, a wallet labeled “1HqXB...gDwcK” moved 23,377 BTC to three addresses. At the time, Bitcoin was worth a mere 78 cents. Fast forward: two of those receiving wallets, each with 10,000 BTC, sat dormant for over a decade.
This month, both wallets moved their treasure troves — worth over $1.1 billion each — within 30 minutes of each other. Talk about a coordinated exit. What’s behind the move? Tax planning? A lost key finally found?
A savvy crypto thief who figured how to crack the earliest key generation method? We may never know. Also, OG guy, if you’re reading this — props for the all-at-once move without even a test transaction.
⛓️ What Onchain Data Says
Onchain data is like reading tea leaves for nerds with Bloomberg terminals. It says the supply is tightening — not because there’s less Bitcoin, but because fewer coins are actually available to trade.
When long-term holders move coins, that typically signals big-picture changes. Here’s the twist: the net effect has been… stability. Institutional demand, like Bitcoin exchange-traded funds , soaks up supply just as fast as whales drip it back in.
That’s why Bitcoin’s been stuck in this $100K–$110K limbo, ping-ponging while the accumulation phase is still going strong.
👀 So, Is a New Leg Up Coming?
This is where the optimists and realists start to bicker over the charts. On the one hand, the structural handover to institutions makes Bitcoin more credible, more regulated, and more boring.
But less volatility can mean steadier gains — especially if you believe that the world will always want an inflation hedge that no central bank can print into oblivion.
On the other hand, a sideways market can test your patience more than a typical drawdown. Some of the whales are gone, the suits have arrived, and the easy moonshots might not be so easy anymore.
🌱 The Trade-Offs of Growing Up
Bitcoin was born in the wild west of finance — an anonymous, volatile, meme-fueled phenomenon. Now, it’s drifting deep into the mainstream. That might limit the fireworks, but it also locks in its place as an asset class that’s not going away.
🌊 Closing Thoughts: The Next Billion-Dollar Move
Will we see another $7,800 investment turn into a cool $1 billion? Maybe not exactly like that. But the game isn’t over — it’s just evolving.
Keep your eyes on the whales, the ETFs, the Fed’s next move , and those onchain breadcrumbs.
Over to you , chart-watchers: does this calm consolidation make you bullish, bearish, or just plain bored? Share your thoughts in the comments!
BTC monthly yelling at us for something interesting ?We read daily news about ETF, accumulation by institutes and scarcity in the exchanges, but I recognize something different in the chart based on multiple indicators. Historically, BTC boomed after touching 50 EMA and whenever it is extended it traces back to 50 EMA on monthly chart. As per current data, BTC is extended far from it. Also RSI and MACD indicating that it is losing momentum with -ve divergence. Volume as well descreasing since last leg, though price moved up. So, I expect price to retrace to 50 EMA which coincides with previous high at 60K. Let us see how it unfolds.
Gold on the Move – Major Resistance Levels to Watch AheadThe current price action looks strong, and if the bullish momentum continues, we have three main target levels in mind.
The first target is $3,380. This is an important level we expect gold to reach soon if the trend continues upward.
If the price breaks above $3,380, the next target is $3,433. This level is likely to act as a strong resistance, meaning the price might slow down or pull back here. But if gold can push through it with strength, that’s a strong signal of continued upside.
After that, the third target is $3,495, which would mark a strong extension of the current bullish trend.
As long as gold stays above key support levels, we believe the bullish outlook remains valid, and these targets are possible in the coming days or weeks.
BTC POTENTIAL BULLS TRAP IN DEVELOPMENTI am inspecting the 4 hour candle in comparison to the daily chart on BTC and it seem we have all the characteristics of a bulls trap on the chart. If the next 4 hours candle does not close bullish, it will confirm a bulls trap and price will likely pullback into the triangle. So be cautious trading at this resistance level.
Bull Trap Chart Characteristics
Look for:
A strong bullish candle that breaks above recent highs or resistance.
Volume spike on the breakout — signs that traders are buying.
Followed by a sharp bearish candle (like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or long wick).
Price falls back below resistance, turning the breakout into a fakeout.
Cheers !!
Gold setup: ascending triangle and Trump’s debt bombGold just formed an ascending triangle, and a breakout could send it $300 higher. In this video, we analyse the new pattern, the key breakout level, and why Trump’s new tax bill and Powell’s potential replacement could spark a major move. Will fundamentals match the technicals? Watch to find out.
Valero Breaks the DowntrendValero Energy spent more than a year in a downtrend, but some traders may think conditions have changed.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between April 2024 and May 2025. VLO pushed above that falling trendline last month and has remained there since. That may suggest its longer-term direction is turning higher.
Second is the price area between roughly $132 and $136. The oil refiner peaked there in March, April and May. But it made a low in the same zone last week and this week. Is old resistance becoming new support?
Third, prices have remained above the rising 21-day exponential moving average. They’re also above the 200-day simple moving average. Those patterns may be consistent with emerging bullishness in the short and long terms.
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EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.
Since the beginning of March 2025, EURJPY started an uptrend and is still rising in a clear way with no signs of reversal.
As long as the BOJ has no plans to change its monetary policy statement or make any significant interventions in Forex, then EURJPY can continue to rise higher.
There is a high possibility that Eurjpy will complete a major daily harmonic pattern near 173.00.
Given that EURJPY may be close to the all-time high zone, the reversal could also occur within the zone, but I think EURJPY may start a reversal between 173.00 and the higher level. We can look for sell signals there.
At the moment, EURJPY is rising and may rise to 173.00, although not in a clear way.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
The market bias stays up, MJ stocks may be a buy here. The market continues to be biased up, and the target is likely the weekly B. MJ stocks are showing technical signs that a reversal may come. There may be other sectors similar as I think the summer bottom gamblers will start appearing now that everything else is at the highs. Gold looks like it will eventually go lower. Nat gas lost support and is likely to go lower. USOIL is bear flagging.
NATURAL GAS - Who can Predict this wild beast?Natural gas got demolished today, down over 8%.
The one headline we saw hitting the tape that is having some partial influence:
"Vessel Arrives at LNG Canada to Load First Cargo, Strengthening Global Supply Outlook – LNG Recap"
Today, we did hedge our core long UNG position with a short dated $56 put on EQT.
We are already green on that trade and looking for $56 level to come into play.
Natural gas volatility sure trades in a world of its own which is why it is key to size accordingly.