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Booze Wars... How DAX could react?Now it's time for US and EU to have their public tariff battle. Given that wine, champagne and beer are a huge part of EU export into the US, there might be some pain felt among the MARKETSCOM:DE30 bulls. Let's dig in. XETR:DAX Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DE30
by Marketscom
8
Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?!Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! 👀 I would like to present you some charts with important levels and relevant patterns. 🖥daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart 👀 💥Here in the daily chart (BITSTAMP) - a Deep-Crab harmonic with - a WolveWave and the daily-chart of the 🔥Daily MA200 re-test 👀 - gap fill - support-line 2022 and 2024 TOPs 👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡 🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰ Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea. Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions 💪 M_a_d_d_e_n ✌ NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by M_a_d_d_e_n
19
BITCOIN Correction in Play - Can Bulls Regain Control?COINBASE:BTCUSD is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, with price steadily approaching a significant support zone around $73,000. The confluence of the trendline support and the horizontal demand zone increases the probability of a bullish reaction. If buyers step in at this level, we could see a rebound, with a potential move toward the $90,000 resistance zone. This level could act as a short-term target within the current market structure. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside, potentially extending the retracement toward lower levels. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before anticipating a continuation to the upside. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
63
Idea #100 - In this market, it BETTER be a good one: LONG WMTIt's been a while since I posted an idea and to those who follow me I am sorry/not sorry. I didn't post for a few reasons: 1) I know that there are people who trade my ideas despite my warnings/disclaimers and I didn't like how the market was acting for the last couple of weeks (rightly, as it turns out) and I didn't want anyone else to get caught up in this unnecessarily. I have been continuing to personally trade my system, with mixed results (to be expected in this market), but I wanted to make #100 a good one. 2) I wanted to do a summary of the ideas I've posted so far with #100 and wanted to get that information together first. 3) I think posting this now can provide some insights as to how to deal with market washouts calmly and with confidence, with things that could apply to most trading systems, I think. So first, lets deal with the idea at hand. I chose WMT because: a) it is historically a top 10% stock in terms of daily % return for how I trade, so if anyone decided to follow me on this trade (see disclaimer below), it was at least a stock that has historically done well. And by well, I mean 1355-0 W/L record well, with an AVERAGE gain of 5.16% per trade for all 1355 trades (backtested and actual trades combined) going back through every market meltdown since 1972. b) This is the kind of market that makes it FAR more likely that trades will take a long time to play out. MUCH longer than average. So again, if I have to hold this a long time, I want a quality stock that has a long track record of surviving long downtrends in the market. I can't think of a better retail stock to own during a recession, which I think is a certainty at this point, it's just a question of when it becomes official and how long it lasts. WMT is already the retailer of choice for many, and if saving money becomes a requirement for many more, WMT will steal a lot of business from more expensive retailers. c) despite the recent carnage for it and the market, WMT is still above it's 200d MA and solidly in an uptrend. I always like trading stocks in uptrends. Hopefully it stays in one long enough for me to make my money and run. Lot 1 opened today at the close at 87.82 Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation. _______________________________ So there's my case for WMT. Now here's the case for why I'm trading anything using my system right now. The first idea I posted here was on June 22nd of this past summer. Since the close that day, the Nasdaq's return is actually negative (-1.48%) and the S&P 500 is up marginally (+2.7%). Since June 22nd, I have logged (timestamped) here every buy and sell of every lot of every idea since then. That amounts to a total of 330 lots traded. In the time since, 289 of those trades closed with a gain, 37 are still open and negative, and two were opened today (this one and an add to RDDT) which are neither winning nor losing yet. That's an 87.6% win rate so far. INCLUDING the 37 trades that are losers right now (the losers include 8 lots that are down 30% or more and two options trades that each lost 100%), the AVERAGE return on those 330 trades is +1.88% EACH. That translates to .11% per day held - almost 3x the long term average daily return for stocks and almost 8x the average daily return of the S&P 500 since June 22. Annualized, that's 27% rate of return and I was on pace for a 36% annualized rate of return on these trades before this market swoon hit. Compared to -1.48% and 2.4% for the indices, it's been a pretty good 9 months of trading, but actually below my system's long term average. The profit factor on these trades (including the open losers) is currently 1.98 (it was over 2.5 2 weeks ago before the market collapse began). The average holding period is 17 days, but that is skewed longer by 10 lots of PXS that I've been holding for over 4 months each. The median hold length for all 330 trades is 5 trading days and the most common holding period (including the 37 still open losers) is ONE trading day. OK, this turned out to be a longer post than I intended, so I'll post another idea tomorrow with some thoughts about dealing with trading in down markets. To everyone who is reading this and especially those who are following me - thanks for the follows and for taking the time to read this whole thing. Be safe trading out there!
NYSE:WMTLong
by redwingcoach
25
The only tech stock I’d consider buying right nowThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research. We’ve seen the S&P, NASDAQ and every other American index get slammed in the last couple of days. Some people are panicking. A lot of people are panicking. If you go on Twitter (sorry — X dot com) you will find a lot of people who listened to a recommendation from a guy on YouTube about a trash stock like say, IonQ or HIMS, and are now fairly upset said YouTube guy (or Twitch guy, or whatever) got it wrong. Frankly, a correction is a healthy thing because it allows investors to purchase good companies at more reasonable multiples. I have no idea where the market goes from here. I can’t see the future. I admit this sell-off has me adding tech stocks (and other American stocks) to my watch-list, and I’ll continue to monitor them. A lot of tech stocks — the bulk of what has fallen as of late — still aren’t in that zone for me yet. Amazon still trades at a current multiple of 35x earnings and a fwd multiple of 28x — I can’t find much value in that, especially when I consider that Google, a company with +$83 billion in net profit and a 32% operating margin, can be acquired for 16x fwd earnings (I had to check those numbers too just to be sure — when you’ve still got things like Palantir trading “to the moon” (and back), 16x⁴ seems like a reasonable price for the dominant advertising platform in the world). Here’s Buffett, in his 2008 essay — Buy American, I am: A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now. Buffett was right, of course. If you purchased stocks in 2008 and held them you would’ve done pretty well (as long as you didn’t buy Lehman Brothers!). The GFC saw stocks fall 48% from their peak — if we are indeed heading towards that territory there is more room to fall. I have no idea — examining the basket of tech stocks I look at, the only one that presents any value is Google. It’s reasonable at 16x fwd earnings. If it traded at 12x earnings, it would be a bargain - in my opinion. How low can you go?
NASDAQ:GOOG
by BlackBull_Markets
10
TSLA Breakout Retest: What Could Signal Bullish Surge NASDAQ:TSLA Breakout Retest: What Could Signal Bullish Surge – Is Tesla poised for a major move? In this video, I break down the breakout retest pattern on TSLA’s weekly chart, focusing on the critical near term levels. A validated breakout could hint at a higher time frame bullish scenario! I’ll cover: Rules to validate or invalidate the pattern Conservative and aggressive price targets My personal targets based on years of trading experience Don’t miss this Tesla stock analysis for 2025! What to Watch For: Breakout confirmation at $490 Stop-loss zones and risk management Potential bullish surge targets
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Entrenched
43
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction. The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels. For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuantumFusionWave
30
Bitcoin - Will history repeat itself?In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bullrun cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, and the current macroeconomic landscape, we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails. Historical Comparison During the last bullrun, Bitcoin experienced significant price appreciation before eventually reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, one key observation from the previous cycle is that before Bitcoin reached its ATH, the price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level multiple times. This level acted as a critical support zone, where the price found demand before making the next leg upward. Currently, we are seeing a similar pattern unfolding. Bitcoin has recently experienced a parabolic rise, reminiscent of the previous bull cycle. As the market is showing early signs of exhaustion, the possibility of a deeper retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (around $50,000) is becoming increasingly plausible. If history repeats itself, this level could act as a springboard for the next significant price increase. Last bullrun we had a 77% drop, and from the current ATH its only a 55% drop to the fib level: Bearish Sentiment and Market Dynamics Despite positive news emerging globally, such as the USA announcing its Bitcoin reserves and other adoption-related headlines, the market has reacted negatively, which is a characteristic of bearish sentiment. This kind of price action aligns with what we saw in previous cycles, where good news failed to provide upward momentum as the market was already in a distribution phase. The fact that Bitcoin has failed to sustain gains even amid positive news further reinforces the likelihood of a deeper retracement. The market is driven by liquidity cycles, and the large players may still be in the process of shaking out retail investors before the next parabolic move. Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch 0.618 Level (~$51,500): Historically tested in the last cycle before the final leg up. 0.65 Level (~$48,500): Another confluence zone that could provide significant support. 0.786 Level (~$36,000 - $40,000): If the market becomes extremely bearish, this level could act as the final capitulation zone before the next macro bullrun. Psychological and Macro Factors Additionally, the broader macroeconomic environment plays a crucial role in this scenario. With ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central banks' monetary policies, investors are more risk-averse, which could further contribute to the bearish price action. Historically, Bitcoin has shown strong correlation to traditional markets, especially during uncertain times. If the macroeconomic environment remains unstable, Bitcoin could follow traditional markets into a corrective phase before making a recovery. Daily Chart Imbalance Zones On the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently trading between two key imbalance zones. These zones represent areas of liquidity where the market could either find support or break down further. The current price action suggests that if Bitcoin holds the imbalance zones as support, the market structure will still be intact, leaving the possibility for a continuation of the upward trend. However, if these imbalance zones fail to hold, it would signal a bearish continuation pattern. In this case, the probability of Bitcoin testing the $50,000 level as the next major support becomes highly likely. Traders should closely monitor these zones, as they will play a pivotal role in determining the market’s next major move. Conclusion While no analysis can predict the future with certainty, the confluence of technical, historical, and macroeconomic factors suggests that Bitcoin might follow a similar pattern as the previous bullrun. A retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around $50,000 is highly plausible before a new ATH is achieved. However, if bearish sentiment continues to dominate, we could see lower levels before the market finds its true bottom. The current price action, coupled with negative market reactions to positive news, is an indication that larger players might still be accumulating before the next leg up. Traders and investors should remain cautious, monitor key Fibonacci levels, and be prepared for heightened volatility in the coming months. Only time will tell if history will indeed repeat itself, but the current evidence suggests that the market might be following a familiar path once again.
by TehThomas
74
Is Trump’s Golden Age a Recession in the Making? Let’s Find Out“This tariff low key slaps,” says no trader ever as markets get jerked and jolted day in and day out because no one can really figure out what’s happening. On some days, US President Donald Trump wakes up and chooses to slap a tariff or two on America’s closest and biggest allies. On other days, he goes for the pardon. Turns out, investors don’t really like it. Stock markets left and right wiggled to the point they couldn’t take it anymore — the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC dived into correction territory last week. That is, the index plunged more than 10% from its most recent peak, which was a record high. Even though Friday was a good day for stocks, the S&P 500 SP:SPX closed out its worst week since September, wiping off 3.1%. Zoom out and you get an S&P 500 that’s barely holding above the flatline since the election. In other words, more than $3 trillion has been washed out from the Wall Street darling since it hit a record high in late February. Where Do We Stand on Tariffs Now? So where has the dizzying labyrinth of tariffs landed? And is that final? (No, it’s not.) Trump last week declared that there’s simply “no room left” for Canada and Mexico to bargain over a deal or even a delay. That’s a 25% levy taking effect right there. A day later it was no more — a month-long reprieve for carmakers was introduced. Then a day later, Trump suspended the 25% levy on almost all goods from its closest neighbors. To this, Trump said that the “big” wave of tariffs is coming in early April to a bunch of countries, including the European Union. Right now, only China’s 20% tariff remains in place. The roller-coaster ride around who gets slapped with what has sent the dollar TVC:DXY in a freefall — so much so that the markets have started to chat about a “Trumpcession,” (not something you’d like to have your name on). That is, some traders and investors expect Trump’s policies to tip the American economy into a recession. Swirling fears of a downturn came right as the Federal Reserve apparently managed to stick the soft landing — Jay Powell and his clique of central bankers lowered inflation through interest rate cuts while the economy continued to grow without nosediving into a downturn. A side worry of the tariffs (with very real front-and-center consequences) is a pullback from the Federal Reserve on its rate-cutting campaign. Analysts are quick to say that the US central bank won’t be looking to trim borrowing costs any time soon. Not with all that White House noise threatening to derail consumer confidence and dent corporate profits and revenue. Apparently, the huge wave of uncertainty around Trump’s tariff agenda, centered on isolation and protectionism, is making global investors nervous. In this context, how are you navigating the sea change? What’s your portfolio showing and how do you feel about growth prospects ahead? Share you thoughts in the comment section and let’s chat!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
73
S&P, NASDAQ, DOW JONES Weekly Market Forecast: Mar 10-14 In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. Markets have been bearish due to mixed numbers employment, Fed statements, and uncertainty in US trade policies. Are the markets poised for a bounce back week? Perhaps. Traders will need to exercise patience before jumping in these volatile markets, waiting for the proper confirmations before we determine a bias. Once the markets tip their hand in that way, we can take advantage. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money
13
Powell’s Speech & Bitcoin’s Decline: Is More Downside Ahead? Today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak, and traders should brace for potential market volatility! Given the recent economic data , his tone is likely to be balanced but leaning hawkish . Why a More Hawkish Powell? 1- Strong Job Market : Unemployment Rate : 4.1% (Still low) Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) : 151K (Decent, but lower than before) Average Hourly Earnings : 0.3% (Steady wage growth) This suggests that the labor market remains resilient, which might discourage the Fed from cutting rates too soon. 2- Inflation Still a Concern : Wage growth and inflationary pressures persist, which means Powell may emphasize keeping rates steady longer to combat inflation. 3- Markets Are Too Optimistic on Rate Cuts : Investors are heavily betting on rate cuts in 2024, but Powell may push back against these expectations to prevent excessive risk-taking. Powell will likely maintain a cautious yet hawkish stance to manage expectations. Big price swings are expected across forex, crypto, and commodities—so stay alert! (Of course, this is just a personal analysis). In addition to Donald Trump , Signs Executive Order to Create Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Of course, today, we didn't see any strange movement in Bitcoin, and probably, the proverb " buy the rumor, sell the news " was fulfilled. ---------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame and also take help from technical analysis tools . Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is in a Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,250) and has started to decline from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to move in a Symmetrical Triangle . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) , and we should wait for the next bearish wave . I expect Bitcoin to attack 200_SMA(Daily) again after breaking the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle . Note: Bitcoin is likely to pump more if the symmetrical triangle's upper line breaks. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
54
SPY Another -10% Fall Incoming?Here in this video, I would like to help you guys understand my perspective for SPY for these next upcoming months. I believe its very possible that we could see another -10% fall from today's close. My overall target would be the low of august sell off, and as I mentioned in the video, I truly believe that sell off back in August was just a flash of what's to come. Most importantly, done panic. Huge sell off leads to great buying opportunities. Wishing you all the best! I'd love to hear you guys perspective as well!
AMEX:SPYShort
by GiftedInvestor
13
BTC Distribution towards 65k / 50k - ExplanationIn this video, I break down why Bitcoin's market structure is shifting bearish. I explain the distribution phase, the key signs to watch for, and why I believe price is likely to trade lower. To give you a clearer picture, I also show a real example for comparison. 🚀 Topics Covered: BTC structure switching bearish 📉 Understanding the distribution phase Why I expect price to drop 🔻 A real example for comparison If you find this analysis helpful, like & subscribe for more insights! Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Short
by SerenityEquity
23