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$ARTY Correction Complete, Great Entry / Time To Shine 🚀 AMEX:ARTY : A Hidden Gem Ready to Shine I'm thrilled to announce that AMEX:ARTY is now part of my portfolio. The recent correction seems to have reached its bottom, presenting a perfect entry opportunity for those looking to capitalize on its long-term growth potential. Why AMEX:ARTY Deserves Attention? 1️⃣ Strong Fundamentals with Huge Growth Potential Market Cap: Only $16 million, making it significantly undervalued compared to its potential. Circulating Supply: 80% of AMEX:ARTY tokens are already in circulation – minimal inflation risk and strong price stability. 2️⃣ Exciting Milestones Ahead AMEX:ARTY is set to make waves in the blockchain gaming and NFT space, with massive upcoming developments: Integration into the Epic Games Store, one of the largest gaming platforms globally. Launch of Artyfact Mini-App on Telegram, bringing AMEX:ARTY to a massive user base. Artyfact Launchpad to help new projects thrive in the ecosystem. Expansion to major gaming platforms: PlayStation and Xbox. Availability in Apple's App Store and Google Play Store, broadening accessibility to mobile users worldwide. These milestones are poised to attract millions of new users to the AMEX:ARTY ecosystem, creating strong demand and long-term growth potential. 📈 My Long-Term Price Targets for AMEX:ARTY Based on AMEX:ARTY 's fundamentals, market cap, and upcoming catalysts, I foresee massive upside potential: First target: $10 – achievable in the near term with increased adoption and upcoming milestones. Second target: $25 – reflecting the value of a more mature ecosystem and higher user base. Ultimate target: $50+ – as AMEX:ARTY becomes a leader in blockchain gaming and NFT adoption. At its current valuation, AMEX:ARTY has significant room to grow into a market cap that reflects its true potential. 🔍 Bullish Technical Analysis on AMEX:ARTY Chart From a technical perspective, AMEX:ARTY 's chart looks extremely promising: Correction Over: The recent pullback has established strong support near $1.5. Volume Spike: Increasing trading volume indicates growing interest from both retail and institutional investors. Momentum Building: The RSI is climbing out of oversold territory, signaling growing bullish momentum. The MACD is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting a rally in price. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: $3 – breaking this level could trigger a significant upward movement. Next Target Zones: $5, $7.5, and ultimately $10. 🌟 Why I’m Confident in AMEX:ARTY With its low market cap, high token circulation, and an ambitious roadmap of developments across major gaming and app platforms, AMEX:ARTY has all the ingredients for explosive growth. The time to enter is now, while the project remains undervalued and under the radar. Are you ready to ride this wave? Let me know your thoughts and analysis on $ARTY!
by GentleGoldenEngine
33
Dow Jones Likely Trending Up in the Next Four YearsCBOT: Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MYM1! ) #Microfutures The United States will enter a new presidency on Monday, January 20th. Will the stock market continue its upward trend under the 47th U.S. President? Before we set our sight on the future, it’s prudent to look back in history first. While it is not a guarantee for future performance, history does provide good intelligence. To find clues for our answer, I conducted an analysis on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). How the Dow Performed Under Different Presidencies My research setup is as follow: • I look at DJIA daily close prices for the past 50 years (from Aug. 1974 to Jan. 2025). This period covers 9 presidents and 13 four-year presidential terms. • For all the presidents, I use their Inauguration Day January 20th as the start day, while setting the end day for January 19th four years later. I compare the changes in DJIA closing prices from start to finish for each 4-year term. • The exceptions: Gerald Ford, who started his term on August 9, 1974, after Richard Nixon resigned; and Joe Biden, for whom I use the latest trade day January 15th. Here is what I found: • Gerald Ford (Aug. ‘74 – Jan. ’77): DJIA went up 181.7 points (+23.4%) • Jimmy Carter (Jan. ’77 – Jan. ’81), down 8.4 points (-0.9%) • Ronald Reagon (Jan. ’81 – Jan. ’89), up 1,288.1 points (+135.5%). The data can be further broken down to +68.6% in his 1st term and +45.7% in the 2nd term • George H.W. Bush (Jan. ’89 – Jan. ’93), up 1,020.6 points (+45.7%) • Bill Clinton (Jan. ’93 – Jan. ’01), up 7,345.6 points (+226.6%), including +110.8% in the 1st four years and +54.7% in the 2nd four years • George W. Bush (Jan. ’01 – Jan. ’09), down 2,306.4 points (-21.8%), for which -0.4% and -20.9% for his 1st and 2nd terms, respectively • Barack Obama (Jan. ’09 – Jan. ’17), up 11,783.3 points (+148.2%), including +71.7% in the 1st term and +44.6% in the 2nd term • Donald Trump (Jan. ’17 – Jan. ’21), up 11,060.2 points (+55.8%) • Joe Biden (Jan. ’21 – Jan. ’21), up 12,202.8 points (+39.5%) Dow Jones advanced the most points under current administration (+12,203 points), with Obama coming in 2nd for 11,783 points. The DJIA index gained the most in percentage terms under the Clinton administration (+226%). Across all nine presidents, DJIA was lower for one, flat for another, but moved up 7 out of 9 times. If you look deeper into the worst-performing years under George W. Bush, you will find that 9/11 terrorist attack happened in his first term and the 2008 financial crisis occurred in his second term. Both can be considered extreme events and outliners in the dataset. Regardless which political party commands the White House, the Dow is more likely to move up than down. From the first day Gerald took office to the last week of the Biden administration, DJIA went from 777 to 43,133, a huge gain of 5,449%! Trading with Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures The above analysis gives us comfort in the upward mobility of the US stock market. Further analysis of the DJIA shows strength in its Top 5 component companies. • As of January 15th, DJIA went up 15.5% in the past 12 months • Gold Sachs, which holds an 8.2% share by index weight, was up 57.5% in a year • 1-year returns for the other top components are: United Health (+4.2%), Microsoft (+9.0%), Home Depot (+12.2%), and Caterpillar (+31.5%) An investor may simply deploy the time-honored “Buy and Hold” strategy. The longer the holding period, the better the returns, barring extreme circumstances. Given that the DJIA is trending up over the long run, active traders may consider using stock index futures to enhance their investment returns. Micro E-Mini Dow Jones futures (MYM) offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s benchmark Dow Jones futures (YM) contracts. Micro futures have a contract size of 0.5 times the DJIA index, which is 1/10th of the standard contract. CME data shows that the E-Mini and Micro Dow Jones futures have a combined open interest of 103,077 contract as of this Monday. According to the CFTC Commitment of Traders report, as of January 7, 2025, Leverage Funds hold 17,504 long positions and 11,695 short positions. With DJIA nearing its all-time high, “Small Money” is still bullish. Longs outweigh shorts by a 3:2 ratio. Buying or selling one MYM contract requires an initial margin of $1,077. With Wednesday midday quote of 43,376, each March contract (MYMH5) has a notional value of $21,688. Compared with investing in stocks, the futures contracts offer a built-in leverage of about 20 times (=21688/1077). Hypothetically, if Dow futures price moves up 10% to 47,714 in 2025, the index gain of 4,338 points will translate into $2,169 for a long position, given each index point equal to $0.50 for the Micro contract. Using the initial margin of $1,077 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 201.4% (=2169/1077). Futures contracts have expiration days, and you may not hold them forever like stocks. To stay Long in the DJIA, a trader may consider a futures rollover strategy. An illustration: • A trader would buy the lead contract March now, and hold it till the end of February • He would then sell March and buy June, which will become the next lead contract • He would repeat this process: buy September and sell June at the end of May • Repeat this again to buy December and sell September at the end of August This series of trades allows a trader to establish a long position in the DJIA throughout the year, while holding the most liquid contracts. There is no guarantee that each trade will yield positive returns. But if the Dow is trending up over time, the winning would likely outpace the loses. The leverage feature in futures works both ways. It would magnify the losses as well as improving the winnings. The good news is, a trader could put stop-loss on his futures trades, limiting the downside risks. For example, our trader may set stop-loss at 42,000 when he buys the MYM at 43,376. If the Dow falls to 40,000, his position will be liquidated well before that when the price hits 42,000. The maximum loss incurred will be $688 (= (43376 - 42000) * 0.5). The combination of Futures Rollover with Stop-loss could yield higher returns (thanks to the leverage) while maintaining a limited loss exposure. If the index bounces up and down but trends up in the long stretch, the trader will see both wins and losses. Since the wins are unbounded but the losses are contained, the overall returns would likely be positive. The risk to long Micro Dow is that the US stock market enters a bear market, and DJIA trends down over a long period of time. The trader could incur a series of limited losses, and the gains were not sufficient to cover those losses. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DJ:DJILong
by JimHuangChicago
8
EUR/USD : Approaching Critical Demand Zones! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #EURUSD chart in the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has currently reached a very important demand zone, and the probability of a price reversal from this level is high! However, note that I personally have another scenario in mind, which is that after an initial short-term rise in the current area, the price will decline again to the very important demand zone of 1.005 to 1.007 , and then, with a suitable trigger in this area, we can look for an attractive BUY position ! All key levels and important zones have been marked on the chart! If you have any questions, be sure to ask, and I will try to respond as soon as possible! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
37
Euro can start to move up to resistance level and break itHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the support line to the resistance line and then started to decline. Long time, the price fell near the resistance line of the channel, until it reached 1.0455 points, after which it moved up to the resistance line and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0410 resistance level. Then Euro exited from a downward channel and rose to the 1.0410 level, which coincided with the seller zone and some time traded between. Later it made a downward impulse to the current resistance level, which coincided with the resistance area and even fell a little lower than the 1.0250 level, after which started to trades inside a triangle. In this pattern, the Euro in a short time rose to the resistance line, which is located in the seller zone, and then fell to the support line back, breaking the 1.0250 level one more time. Also recently price exited from a triangle pattern and now it continues to decline. So, in my opinion, the Euro, after exiting from the triangle can decline a little more and then start to grow to the 1.0250 resistance level (1st TP). Then, the price will break this level and make a retest, after which continue to move up to 2nd TP - 1.0360 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
22
Kiwi H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.5683 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.5745 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline resistance. Take profit is at 0.5540 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
5
BTC - Where to Buy? Answer in VideoMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1W key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Long
by Maks_Klimenko
8
Why do beginner traders fail? My next trade! In today's video, we dive into the crucial topic of trading psychology, exploring how limiting beliefs can hold beginner traders back from achieving their full potential. We also analyze the next potential trade setup—a continuation play—highlighting the possibility of a reaction at the 4H breaker block or a drop back into the old demand range. Stay tuned for actionable insights, and don't forget to follow for more trading strategies and tips!
by Trade-Journal
5
Analyzing Coffee Futures: Key Insights for Traders and InvestorsICEUS:KC1! The coffee futures market has recently attracted attention from traders and investors due to significant price movements. On December 10th, the commodity reached new historical highs, surpassing a record set in 1977. This post will analyze the current trends in coffee futures, key technical patterns, and provide insights into what may happen next for this important commodity. Coffee Futures at a Glance 📈 New Historical Highs: On December 10th, coffee futures hit $348, breaking the previous record of $339 set in 1977. Key Technical Patterns: A bearish crab pattern has formed at the $333 level, suggesting potential downside risks. The Case for a Pullback or Consolidation 🔄 After reaching new highs, the coffee market could face a period of consolidation or a potential pullback. It’s not unusual for commodities to experience a cooling-off phase after such a strong rally. In this case, the price of coffee could correct lower, especially after a sharp upward movement. Bearish Crab Pattern at $333 The formation of a bearish crab pattern at $333 suggests a possible downward movement. A deeper pullback could take the price as low as $269, representing a 16% drop from current levels. This potential correction is supported by technical analysis, including Fibonacci retracement levels. Divergence Signals Indicating Weakness ⚠️ Another key factor to consider is the divergence in market indicators. Since the highs of April last year, there have been consistent signs of divergence, particularly with the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The latest price peaks have failed to match new RSI highs, signaling weakening momentum. Factors Driving Potential Downside Pressure ⬇️ New Historical Highs: While reaching a new high is exciting, it often leads to a correction or profit-taking, especially after a strong rally. Bearish Divergence: The failure of the RSI to match price highs is a classic signal of weakening buying pressure. Bearish Crab Pattern: This technical pattern, formed at the 1618% Fibonacci extension, further supports the case for a potential downturn. What’s Next for Coffee Futures? 🔮 The outlook suggests caution in the short term. The combination of new historical highs, bearish divergence signals, and the formation of a bearish crab pattern presents a strong case for a pullback or period of consolidation. The potential target for this correction could be as low as $269, a significant drop from current levels. However, as always, it’s important to stay alert and monitor the market closely for any changes in momentum. Technical indicators and patterns like the ones discussed here can provide valuable insights, but the market can be unpredictable. Traders should consider these insights while managing risk and staying prepared for potential shifts in the market. For further updates and insights on the latest movements in coffee futures, stay tuned for future posts and analysis. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by Andre_Cardoso
2
Earnings Season Cranks Up for Gainless S&P 500. What to Expect?The S&P 500 SPX is now showing nearly zero growth since Election Day, November 5. Markets were euphoric to see Donald Trump win the White House for another four years and pushed the S&P 500 to the rarefied air of 6,000 points and above. But that’s not the case anymore. A flurry of data has poured cold water on that breakneck rally, including the latest nonfarm payrolls, which showed employers tapped a whopping 256,000 workers in December, far outpacing expectations of 156,000. The news fanned fears that the Federal Reserve might take its time in cutting interest rates — every investor’s biggest concern right now. It’s up to the earnings season to rejuvenate a falling stock market. To many, the fourth-quarter earnings updates will be the most consequential event as it will also mark President Joe Biden’s departure and the arrival of the main character, Donald Trump. First through the door, as is tradition, are the heavyweight players on Wall Street. This week traders will get to see the earnings results from big banks including JPMorgan JPM , Wells Fargo WFC and Goldman Sachs GS . In addition, the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock BLK will also post its performance. The banks’ updates will provide a glimpse into investor appetite for big-shot dealmaking, business sentiment and also how daring and bold consumers were in their spending activity. Things like net interest income — how much the bank earned on interest after paying out deposits — will be a key gauge for the banking system’s health. Here’s what’s coming from Wall Street’s household names (and some extra). ➡️ Wednesday, January 15, before the bell: Citi C Goldman Sachs GS JPMorgan JPM Wells Fargo WFC BlackRock BLK Bank of New York Mellon BK ➡️ Thursday, January 16, before the open: Bank of America BAC Morgan Stanley MS U.S. Bancorp USB Other earnings include UnitedHealth UNH . Once markets digest the updates from the lending giants, the focus will shift to the next big thing — the Magnificent Seven . It’s a high bar once again for America’s most powerful corporate juggernauts. Investors expect Mag 7 earnings to be up 22% from the same period last year while revenue is eyeballed to have grown 12.3%. The consensus views follow the elite club’s 32.9% earnings jump in the third quarter on revenue increase of 15.4%. Fun fact: the Mag 7 members accounted for 23.1% of all profits in the S&P 500 for the quarter ending September. For the three months to December, they are expected to consume about a quarter of the earnings pie. And for 2025, their market cap is projected to devour more than one-third of the S&P 500’s value, which is around $50 trillion. For the tech geeks, here’s the Mag 7 earnings slate: ➡️ Wednesday, January 29, after the closing bell: Microsoft MSFT Facebook parent Meta META Tesla TSLA ➡️ Thursday, January 30, after the closing bell: Apple AAPL Amazon AMZN ➡️ Tuesday, February 4, after the closing bell: Google parent Alphabet GOOGL ➡️ Wednesday, February 19 (tentative), after the closing bell: Nvidia NVDA Overall, the foresighted market gurus (i.e. the analysts) expect all companies in the S&P 500 to report a roughly 12% advance in quarterly profits compared to the year-ago quarter. For 2025, the consensus call is a 15% increase in corporate profits from last year. There are, of course, the permabears among us who spell doom and gloom. They say that Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs could hinder corporate growth by raising prices for US companies that rely on overseas products. And if those companies decide to pass these costs to customers, then inflation might rear back up, throwing the markets into another painful cycle of higher interest rates. What’s your take? Are you optimistic about the corporate earnings season? And are you excited to see more growth in 2025? Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s spin up the discussion.
SP:SPX
by TradingView
6
Are CL Futures starting a new bull trend in 2025?Crude Oil WTI Nymex Futures NYMEX:CL1! Big Picture: Crude Oil WTI NYMEX Futures Update – January 2025 Crude Oil WTI NYMEX futures are trading higher, with bullish price action evident at the start of 2025. Price has broken above the 2024 Composite Value Area High (CVAH) and is now approaching the Composite Value Area High from the 2022 high, as shown in the chart above. Macroeconomic Outlook From a global perspective, persistent inflation may be supported by elevated commodity prices. Higher crude oil prices, coupled with potential trade wars and tariffs, could drive up costs in major sectors, such as rare earth minerals. In this scenario, we anticipate central banks, including the Federal Reserve, maintaining higher interest rates. We believe the previously expected two rate cuts of 25 basis points each for this year may be reduced to zero. However, this creates a challenging environment for central banks. A combination of sticky inflation, resilient job markets, and low unemployment could lead to a "goldilocks" scenario. Recessionary risks will be increased unless some means of fiscal policy measures provide further support to the US economy. Key Levels to Watch Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. CVAH: 79.50 Resistance R1: 79.50 – 79.85 Resistance R2: 81.30 – 81.60 Neutral Level: 78.77 CVAH 2024 / Support: 75.00 Support (Yearly Open): 71.85 Scenario 1: Exhausted Buyers, Mean Reversion In this scenario, we anticipate range-bound price action, offering a potential short opportunity if buyers appear exhausted. Price action and volume analysis would need to confirm this. Look for absorption around the neutral zone or below R1/CVAH, with prices failing to push higher. A lower high and seller dominance would confirm a mean reversion short setup. Scenario 2: Breakout Above CVAH A confirmed breakout above CVAH could indicate further bullish price discovery and the potential for a new uptrend. Consolidation above CVAH followed by strong price action would provide a trigger for long positions. However, significant resistance at this level necessitates confirmation via price action and volume analysis before taking action. Scenario 3: Swing Failure at CVAH In this scenario, prices rise above the neutral zone and R1/CVAH, but sellers regain control, pushing prices lower. A swing failure candle with a long wick near the resistance zone would indicate the failure. A subsequent higher low could present a short opportunity for a mean reversion trade. We encourage you to monitor these levels closely and incorporate them into your trade planning. Share your thoughts or insights on these key levels in the comments below.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
10
Lucid Stock Dips Under $3 Ahead of Big Milestone—Should You Buy?Lucid Motors, the Saudi-backed luxury EV startup, is approaching its make-or-break moment. After the company exceeded its production target and delivered a record number of Air sedans, its first and only model, Lucid is getting ready to release its SUV, the Lucid Gravity. Game changer? Or more like... game on? Let’s find out. Lucid stock LCID slipped under the $3 handle on Wednesday after it had advanced all the way to $3.60 on the upbeat news that it delivered a record number of luxury EV sedans in the fourth quarter. Lucid, which is backed by Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, delivered a record 3,099 Air sedans in the three months to December, up from 2,781 units in the prior three-month stretch. What’s more, Lucid exceeded its own production guidance for 2024 — 9,029 slick-looking wheels rolled off the assembly line, surpassing the 9,000 projected. Deliveries for the full 2024 came in at 10,241. Now, the next milestone looms. The commercial launch of its sports utility vehicle (SUV) — Lucid Gravity is nearly here. The bad boy is already available for purchase and it’s getting ready to hit the roads in the coming weeks. The company kicked off production on time, as promised, before the end of 2024 and opened the hotline for orders . The Gravity SUV is charged up to the teeth, able to drive farther than any Tesla TSLA . A unit of the higher-spec grade will run you about $95,000 and flexes 450 miles (roughly 720 kilometers) on a single charge, compared to Tesla’s max range of about 350 miles (560 kilometers). As a bonus, it boasts ultrafast charging times. “We have achieved this with an impressively small battery pack compared to competitors. This is critical to preserving earth’s precious resources,” CEO Peter Rawlinson said in a statement on Monday. Now let’s talk share price. The soft launch of the Lucid Gravity, followed by the record Q4 delivery figure fueled a wave of buying. In December alone, Lucid shares added more than 40% to their valuation, going from $2 to around $3. But that’s 70% lower than the stock’s price tag on the first day it floated shares back in 2021 via a SPAC reverse merger. In all fairness, it’s excruciatingly difficult to navigate the challenging EV market , not to mention the vast universe of auto makers . And Rawlinson already knows it — he is the former Tesla Model S chief engineer. Investors are ramping up hopes that the commercial release of the Lucid Gravity will help lift up the languishing share price. The company, however, is expected to continue burning cash (i.e. no profits any time soon) for the sake of expanding its production and maintaining sales growth. For the third quarter of last year, the net loss was $992.5 million, up from $630.9 million in the year-ago quarter. Now everything hinges on the new SUV and its appeal to customers. The next step is to get it inside more than 50 showrooms for test drives, marketing and sales. “Once we have produced those vehicles, we’ll start delivering to a broader group of customers. This is just the beginning,” Rawlinson wrote in a post on LinkedIn last week, promising a “remarkable 2025.” So should you buy the shares? Here’s what Lucid got going for it. 🚀 The bullish case: Affordable share price — retail traders can scoop up in boatloads Tiny market cap of $10 billion — lots of room for potential growth Backed by the Saudi monarchy — lots of cash to support the biz Advanced EV battery technology — company can cut edge and innovate Advanced, luxury EV niche — premium, high-performance models Range above anything the EV market can offer — Tesla is in the dust Scalable product line — Lucid plans to roll out sub-$50,000 models in 2026 💥 The bearish case: High capital expenditures — low-hanging fruit here, Lucid spends a lot Hasn’t been around for very long — making cars since 2016 Lacks the Lindy effect — uncertain likelihood of continued cash flow Limited customer base — it’s a high-end product in a tough market Pricing wars — competitors with more affordable EVs could limit Lucid’s market share Concentration risk — Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) owns roughly 60% of Lucid and may decide to stop or reduce its cash injections Prone to speculation — tiny market cap makes the stock vulnerable to swings (is that really bad, though?) So is Lucid a gem for the diamond-handed, a rocket to the moon or a bag-holding investment? What’s your take? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:LCID
by TradingView
13
GBP/CAD - Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.7787 2nd Support – 1.7722 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
51
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms. ** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle * On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally). ** Current Cycle in 2025 ** As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top. This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic. Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest. But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
46
"A familiar setup playing out in real time." Oh, this setup is textbook, and it’s got that “fool-me-once” vibe written all over it. See that blue circle? That’s a classic squeeze on the correlation—pressure cooking under the surface, waiting to blow. And when it pops, price has no choice but to follow, just like those yellow moves laid out perfectly before. It’s a familiar tune with a fresh beat, and I’m all in for the ride. Now, everyone’s shouting bearish, headlines are screaming “doom and gloom,” but you know what? That’s fake news. This dip? It’s bait—a straight-up bear trap. And while everyone else is sweating, I’m grinning. Why? Because the VWAP is whispering the truth—a clean golden cross brewing right in front of us. You don’t ignore a setup like this. You ride it. Here’s the kicker: this isn’t some random coincidence. That squeeze and KC tightening? It’s a familiar setup in high definition. — a repeating pattern that’s ready to do what it always does. The market’s playing checkers, but this setup is straight-up chess. I see the trap, I see the squeeze, and I know exactly how this game ends—bulls breaking free and price ripping higher.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
123
Wells Fargo & Company: Here's Why Investors Shouldn't Miss Out!Hello, Wells Fargo & Company is a financial services company. It provides a diversified set of banking, investment and mortgage products and services, and consumer and commercial finance, through banking locations and offices, the Internet www.wellsfargo.com) and other distribution channels to individuals, businesses and institutions in all 50 states, the District of Columbia and in countries outside the United States. Its segments include Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth and ultra-high-net worth clients. Commercial Banking products and services include banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist 1.Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below 2.Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The price is currently correcting & filling the Nov 5th gap. 3.Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- 0 crossover on MACD. 4.Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown 5.Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price $90 FINANCIAL SUMMARY BRIEF : From 2018 to 2023, total revenue increased overall from $96.25 billion to $116.22 billion, though it dipped in 2020 and 2022; net interest income fluctuated, starting at $49.99 billion in 2018, dropping to $35.78 billion in 2021, then recovering to $52.38 billion by 2023; meanwhile, net income was highly variable, peaking at $19.55 billion in 2019, significantly dropping to $3.38 billion in 2020, before soaring to $1.914 billion in 2023. Risks to consider •Revenue growth has become challenging at Wells Fargo. Though the Federal Reserve cut the interest rate by 50 basis points in September 2024, the bank’s Non-Interest Income may continue to face challenges in the near term as stabilizing funding costs might take time. The company is trying to increase fee-based income sources, but it will take some time to reflect in its financials. Hence, top-line growth is less likely to improve in the quarters ahead. Q3 EARNINGS SUMMARY (Date of release 11.10.2024) (Next report date Jan 15,2025) •Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.1 billion down from 5.7 billion in the same Quarter last year 2023. •Total revenue decreased to $20.37 billion, down from $20.86 billion in Q3 2023. •Non-interest expenses were slightly reduced to $13.07 billion, compared to $13.11 billion a year earlier. •The provision for credit losses was reported at $1.07 billion, down from $1.20 billion in Q3 2023. •Average loans were $910.3 billion, a decrease from $943.2 billion. •Average deposits increased slightly to $1,341.7 billion, compared to $1,340.3 billion. •The bank repurchased 62 million shares, totaling $3.5 billion in Q3 2024. •Return on Equity (ROE) was at 11.7%, down from 13.3% in the prior year. •Return on Average Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) decreased to 13.9%, from 15.9%. •Consumer Banking and Lending revenues decreased by 5%, primarily due to lower deposit balances. •Commercial Banking revenues showed a slight decline of 2%, while Corporate and Investment Banking revenues remained stable. •CEO Charlie Scharf highlighted ongoing investments in diverse revenue sources, with fee-based revenue growing by 16% during the first nine months of the year, largely offsetting net interest income challenges. Our recommendation Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of $5.1 billion, which included a one-time loss of $447 million ($0.10 per share) due to adjustments in their investment securities portfolio. Despite this setback, the bank's strategic realignment is expected to bolster future interest income. Over the past year, Wells Fargo's stock has corrected -12% since November 2024 giving us a great entry opportunity. Key to note is also that Wells Fargo’s Share Repurchase has been performing a share repurchase program. In the reported quarter 3 2024, Wells Fargo repurchased 62 million shares, or $3.5 billion, of common stock. From a technical perspective, the recent correction in the Wells Fargo & Company stock provides a perfect entry point for this stock. The stock has approached its moving averages, which often signals potential support levels. Additionally, there's an anticipation of a zero crossover on the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), an indicator used to spot changes in a stock's momentum, suggesting a possible shift from bearish to bullish trends. This combination of technical signals indicates that the stock might be at an advantageous point for entry. Our target for this stock is at USD 90.14 with a buy at USD 71.31. Looking ahead, external factors like the election of Donald Trump and Republican control of Congress present potential opportunities for the U.S. banking sector, evidenced by a post-election rally of over 10% for many bank stocks. While valuations in the sector range from fair to slightly overvalued, easing capital regulations—such as the revised Basel III proposal that lowers capital requirements for large banks—could spur balance sheet growth, profitability, and shareholder returns. The proposed law revisions to reduce capital requirements and a more conducive environment for mergers and acquisitions could enhance profitability and shareholder returns. Our recommendation is Buy on this stock.
NYSE:WFCLong
by thesharkke
20
Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow. I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective. IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement. At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks. How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience. And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
29