Get started

Community ideas

Netflix Crushes It Again as Shares Near $1,000. Where Rivals At?The smash-hit nail-biting Korean drama Squid Game, French mystery thriller Lupin or VR-infused 3 Body Problem. These are all Netflix Original titles that take us out of the ordinary and into a whirlwind of sensations and visual and emotional excess. Only that we can have those sensations IRL thanks to the hype train called Netflix stock NFLX — the streaming pioneer schleps us on wild gyrations across the chart — sometimes super scary but sometimes unbelievably good. This time it was the latter. “I can’t hear you over the sounds of ♫ RING-A-RING-A-RING ♫ blasting out of the speakers of more than 68 million viewers” — Netflix to its competition, probably, as it reported a bombastic quarter with a record number of subscribers. The very-fabulous, bumper three months to December picked up 19 million paid users (how many of these were day trading while binging?) as Squid Gain Game dialed up more than 68 million views in its first week. The other big hit, Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson boxing live, whipped up 65 million streams. It was also the perfect quarter to end the practice of reporting subscriber growth. Starting with the current three months to March, the streaming platform won’t be announcing how many new users are onboarded as it shifts the focus to traditional financial metrics like revenue growth and profits. The shares soared as much as 15% in after-hours activity following the earnings report. They opened for regular trading on Wednesday and hit an all-time session high of $999 a piece. On the way, Netflix crossed a $400 billion valuation. Here’s a quick rundown of the numbers for the fourth quarter: Earnings per share: $4.27 vs. $4.20 expected Revenue: $10.25 billion vs. $10.11 billion expected Total paid memberships: 301.63 million vs. 290.9 million expected It was the tech titan’s seventh consecutive quarter of rising profits, up 27% from the year-ago period. Looking ahead, Netflix plans to spend $18 billion on new content in 2025 while revenue is expected to be between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion, up 14% from last year. Operating margin is projected to hit 29%. Besides ads, one other thing is supposed to help Netflix get to its lofty guidance — price hikes. The streaming platform will be asking for more cash in the US, Canada, Portugal and Argentina. Here’s what’s changing in the US: Ad-tier $6.99 > $7.99/mo. Standard $15.49 > $17.99/mo. Premium $22.99 > $24.99/mo. “We’re fortunate that we don’t have distractions like managing declining linear networks and, with our focus and continued investment, we have good and improving product/market fit around the world,” the company said in its earnings report Tuesday. “We enter 2025 with strong momentum, coming off a year with record net (subscriber) additions and having re-accelerated growth,” it added. Where’s the competition at? Let’s look at Disney DIS , the closest rival. Disney expects to spend about $24 billion on new content in 2025, up from $23.4 billion. Yet it has about half the subscribers of Netflix — around 154 million. Other prominent contenders in the streaming war are not even close — Apple AAPL and Amazon AMZN . Apple doesn’t disclose Apple TV+ subscribers and Amazon doesn’t disclose Prime subscribers. Third-party estimates point to about 50 million to 75 million Apple TV+ users. Amazon Prime, which is tied to the ecommerce platform’s delivery service, has about 200 million customers. But let’s give it to them — Apple and Amazon have got a bunch of diversified revenue streams, while Netflix has stuck to its OG mission of being a streaming platform. In any case, this streaming war is not over, so it's worth keeping an eye on company updates and reports in the earnings calendar . (Hint: Disney earnings arrive February 5.) Where do you think the streaming wars are headed in 2025? Share your thoughts on Netflix, Disney, and the rest in the comments!
NASDAQ:NFLX
by TradingView
10
Trump’s Memecoin Risks Giving the Industry a Bad Rap. Yes or No?Wait, what happened? The 47th US President last week rolled out his official “meme,” called $TRUMP. Over the weekend, it whipped up a market cap of roughly $20 billion. That’s more than AI server maker Super Micro SMCI or clothing giant H&M HMB . Over the weekend. Now it’s fanning concerns among crypto execs that Trump’s participation could hinder growth and give the market a bad rap. Let’s talk about that. It’s official! Donald Trump has launched a meme coin — the same ones that make lots of buzz, get tons of attention and may or may not result in froth that quickly evaporates, leaving hopeful buyers holding the bag. Trump’s token, aptly called “Trump Meme” TRUMPUSDT is now circulating across exchanges. Billions get sloshed around, getting pulled in but then gushed out. The meme’s valuation soared to $20 billion Sunday morning, flexing an increase of more than 1,000%, or 10X in less than a weekend’s time. Fully diluted valuation hit a staggering $75 billion. Disbelieving users probably had to wonder whether someone hacked into Trump’s accounts both on X and on his social media platform Truth Social. But it was all legit, coming from the man himself. “My NEW Official Trump Meme is HERE! It’s time to celebrate everything we stand for: WINNING! Join my very special Trump Community. GET YOUR $TRUMP NOW,” the post said . Oddly, there were some highly specific (and frankly sketchy) bits of text in the Terms and Conditions listed on the token’s website. The Trump tokens are not an investment, not an investment contract, not a security, and have “nothing to do with any political campaign or any political office or governmental agency.” Still, the Trump Organization is entitled to get revenue “derived from the trading activities” of these memes. The surprise launch appealed to retail traders who went on a dizzying buying adventure, hoping to ride out the gain train and get a piece of the gift that seemingly kept on giving. Since that $75-per-coin peak, valuation has come down by roughly 50%. It must be said that 80% of what you see going up is held by Trump and his companies CIC Digital, and a CIC co-owned entity called Fight Fight Fight LLC. (That’s what Trump shouted after he was grazed by a bullet at a rally in July.) Also, if you decide to participate and you end up holding the bag, the terms and conditions say you won’t be allowed to sue or participate in a class-action lawsuit against the company and indemnify the project against any claims. Apparently, the meme coin list got a new contender and Dogecoin’s top spot might be challenged. So much so that some crypto executives have started to frown upon Trump’s crypto participation, who obviously became an overnight crypto billionaire with this controversial launch. The most obvious transgression is the conflict of interest — the man empowered to narrate how markets are valued and regulated (including setting crypto policy) benefits directly from the sale of his own investment product. A reporter asked Trump to comment on his new endeavor earlier this week. “Well I don’t know if it benefited. I don’t know where it is. I don’t know much about it other than I launched it,” he said. “I heard it was very successful. I haven’t checked it. Where is it today?” Trump’s token was overshadowed by his wife’s meme coin. Called Melania MELANIAUSDT , the token also made its way to the top-traded coins but quickly lost momentum and the gains faded. The launch of the first lady’s token prompted Ryan Selkis, a Trump supporter and ex-CEO of prominent crypto research firm Messari, to chime in, saying whoever advised Trump to go ahead with the projects should be fired. “1. They don’t know what they’re doing. 2. They cost you a lot of $ and goodwill. 3. They don’t have your interests in mind,” said Selkis in a post on X. To many, especially the staid supporters of organic growth based on use cases and real-world applications, Trump’s foray into crypto through a meme is a speculative move that gives the industry a bad rap. “I think people will think meme coins are the foundation of the crypto industry,” said billionaire entrepreneur and crypto investor Mark Cuban. “It’s not. There are real applications that add value.” Cuban added that this launch looks like “a highly manipulated offering.” The criticism continued to trickle in. “There’s a general level of disgust,” said Michael Gayed, a market analyst. “I do believe this puts into question some of Trump’s credibility when we have a president-elect enrich himself just before inauguration and make a mockery of an entire ecosystem.” There’s also the other end of the spectrum. A Detroit pastor named Lorenzo Sewell (who gave a speech during Trump’s inauguration) followed in the President’s footsteps and launched his own meme coin. “I need you to do me a favour and go and get that coin in order for us to accomplish the vision that God has called us to do on earth,” he said in a video online. His token has washed out more than 93% of its value since its trading debut. What do you think? Is Trump’s crypto participation contributing to more market froth and only fueling the speculative aspect of trading? Or is there a deeper meaning behind? Comment with your thoughts below!
OKX:TRUMPUSD
by TradingView
131
Tempus AI Possible Partner for the Stargate Project in the USAAnalysis of Possible Surge in Tempus AI Stock Due to Project Stargate Introduction Tempus AI, Inc. has emerged as a key player in the health technology space, leveraging data science and artificial intelligence (AI) to develop precision medicine solutions. The company's focus on oncology, cardiology, and mental health, combined with its strong data-driven approach, has positioned it as a leader in the emerging field of AI-enabled healthcare. A possible surge in Tempus AI’s stock price is now being speculated, due to its potential involvement in Project Stargate, a new initiative spearheaded by President Donald Trump. Project Stargate promises significant investments and infrastructure development in AI, which could catalyze a favorable growth trajectory for Tempus. This analysis will explore the potential impact of Project Stargate on Tempus AI, considering both the direct and indirect benefits for the company. Additionally, the mention of prominent political figures like Nancy Pelosi purchasing Tempus stock adds an interesting layer to the speculative nature of this surge. --- Project Stargate Overview Project Stargate, as outlined by former President Donald Trump, aims to overhaul AI infrastructure in the U.S. The initiative seeks to foster partnerships between technology firms, including AI-focused companies like OpenAI, and businesses involved in critical infrastructure, such as data centers, power generation, and construction. The project’s goal is to drive advancements in AI technology, with a specific focus on enhancing U.S. competitiveness in this rapidly growing field. The strategic involvement of multiple high-profile organizations and the federal government indicates that Project Stargate is likely to have wide-reaching economic and technological ramifications. Key elements of the project include: -Infrastructure Investments: The construction and expansion of AI-driven data centers and related infrastructure. - Public-Private Partnerships: Strong cooperation between private companies and government entities, facilitating new technologies and business models. - Technological Advancements: AI solutions that push the boundaries of healthcare, cybersecurity, and national security. As a result, companies involved in the development and deployment of AI technology, particularly those in healthcare and data analytics, are poised to benefit significantly. --- Tempus AI’s Position in Project Stargate Tempus AI operates at the intersection of healthcare and AI, which makes it an intriguing candidate to potentially benefit from Project Stargate. The company’s focus on precision medicine using AI-driven diagnostics aligns well with the ambitions of Project Stargate to expand AI infrastructure. 1. Synergies with Healthcare AI Project Stargate is expected to fuel demand for AI infrastructure and innovations, particularly in sectors like healthcare. Tempus, which specializes in oncology, cardiology, and depression diagnostics, stands to benefit from both the increased focus on AI-powered healthcare solutions and the additional resources available through government-private sector partnerships. Given Tempus’s reliance on large-scale data analysis to build its precision medicine solutions, any acceleration in AI infrastructure could lower operational costs for Tempus while improving the capabilities of its platform. Enhanced AI infrastructure would likely lead to faster data processing, increased diagnostic accuracy, and the potential for more personalized treatments. 2. Expansion of Partnerships and Funding The potential for public-private partnerships, which Project Stargate promotes, could help Tempus secure additional government contracts or private sector collaborations. This influx of capital and resources could enable the company to scale its technology faster and expand into new medical areas beyond its current focus on cancer, cardiology, and mental health. 3. Alignment with National AI Strategy With AI being a major focus of Project Stargate, Tempus may find itself well-positioned within the broader national AI strategy. If the company becomes a key partner in helping build AI solutions for healthcare or other sectors, it could solidify its reputation as an industry leader, driving up stock demand and valuation. --- Nancy Pelosi’s Stock Purchase: A Political Angle The mention of Nancy Pelosi, a prominent U.S. politician, purchasing Tempus AI stock adds a speculative element to the situation. Pelosi’s involvement in the stock could be seen as a potential signal of confidence in Tempus AI’s future performance. Politicians often make investment decisions based on inside knowledge of forthcoming legislation, partnerships, or government contracts. Though speculation about Pelosi’s investment could generate increased media attention, it should be approached with caution. However, if Pelosi’s investment is tied to a potential announcement of government support or strategic alignment between Tempus and Project Stargate, it could amplify investor confidence and trigger a buying frenzy. --- Potential Catalysts for Stock Surge Several factors could drive a surge in Tempus AI’s stock price if Project Stargate moves forward: -1. Government Contracts and Funding: If Tempus is awarded government contracts under Project Stargate, particularly related to AI infrastructure or healthcare solutions, the company could see a significant increase in revenue and market capitalization. -2. Partnerships with Major Players: Any announcement of Tempus AI partnering with companies like OpenAI or other stakeholders in Project Stargate would likely signal strong growth potential and increase investor interest. -3. ncreased Demand for AI Healthcare Solutions**: As the U.S. government prioritizes AI advancements, healthcare applications could see substantial growth. Tempus could be a key beneficiary of this shift, leading to a surge in its stock price as market expectations align with actual developments. -4. Political Endorsement: If high-profile political figures continue to signal support for Tempus AI, either through public statements or stock purchases, it could bolster public perception and attract institutional investors. --- Risks and Considerations While there is substantial upside potential for Tempus AI, there are also risks to consider: - Dependence on Project Stargate’s Success: Tempus’s growth will be closely tied to the success of Project Stargate and its integration into the broader national AI ecosystem. If the project faces delays or fails to meet expectations, it could have negative implications for companies like Tempus. - Regulatory Risks: The healthcare industry is heavily regulated, and any change in regulatory policies could impact Tempus’s ability to grow at the expected pace. While AI infrastructure investment may mitigate some challenges, government policies could still create obstacles. - Market Volatility: The stock market, particularly tech and healthcare stocks, is inherently volatile. Any unforeseen global events or shifts in economic conditions could negatively affect Tempus’s valuation, regardless of Project Stargate. --- Conclusion Tempus AI stands at an exciting intersection of AI technology and healthcare, which could see its stock price surge due to its involvement in Project Stargate. The initiative’s focus on building AI infrastructure and fostering partnerships could provide Tempus with opportunities for rapid growth, enhanced funding, and access to cutting-edge technology. The involvement of high-profile political figures such as Nancy Pelosi adds an additional layer of speculation, with the potential for both public perception and market sentiment to play a significant role in the stock’s trajectory. However, investors should consider the risks associated with regulatory changes, market volatility, and the uncertain success of Project Stargate itself. Ultimately, if Tempus AI is able to capitalize on these emerging opportunities, it could see a substantial boost in both market visibility and stock price in the near future. For any questions or remarks kindly react here under the comments Greetings, Zila
NASDAQ:TEMLong
by ZILATRADES
11
USDJPY - Rising Channels, Pullbacks, Double Tops & BOJ NewsToday we're looking at a potential bearish trading opportunity on the USDJPY. After a long bullish rally, followed by a lengthy period of consolidation in the form of a rising channel. The &USDJPY has violated the pattern to the downside & with the recent pullback, is giving us an opportunity to jump on the next potential move down. As we venture down to the hourly chart, we may have a potential double top to open our week which would be an excellent entry reason for getting involved. On the fundamental side of things, later this week the Bank of Japan will make an interest rate decision & word on the street is that they are considering a hike. How a lot will depend on what happens after President Donald Trump takes over, but if an interest rate hike from the BOJ were to happen it "should" mean Yen strength and confirmation for our bearish prediction. If you have any questions or comments please leave them below. And I hope you guys have an excellent week of trading. Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
20
ADA - Time to buy again!As you can see, the price is forming two bullish patterns on the DAILY timeframe, If my view is correct, Cardano will rise to $1.45 . And if this pattern is correct and breaks, higher targets are possible. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
12
Bitcoin Market Outlook: Rounding Bottom targets in focusHello everyone, It’s been a few weeks since our last Bitcoin update, and while much has unfolded, our core outlook remains unchanged—bullish momentum persists, with expectations for further rallies. Today, we spotlight a potential rounding bottom formation on BTC, a classic reversal structure signaling continued strength. This formation features three key elements: Rounding Bottom Base – The gradual curve in price, showing accumulation. Stop Wall – The critical resistance level to watch for a breakout. Landing Base – A support zone providing stability during the formation. Our chart provides a clear visualization of these elements, offering actionable insights for both mid-term and long-term positioning. As always, disciplined risk management remains essential. What’s your view on this setup? Share your thoughts below!
Long
by weslad
58
US dollar index remains elevated, but for how long?The US dollar index continues to show strength and with the potential reduction in the amount cuts this year by the Fed, there might be further strength of MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX . But could this be the case in the short-run? Let's dig in... TVC:DXY RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
by Marketscom
11
Trading BTC with a Solid Plan Is Crucial for Success—Here’s Mine🌟 In this video, I share a trade idea along with my detailed trading plan and we highlight why a well-structured strategy is 🔑 key to success. Discover how to trade BTC Bitcoin 🪙 using a trend continuation approach while leveraging TradingView's powerful tools and features to gain a real edge in the markets. 🖥️✨ Here’s what we’ll cover: 📊 Trend Analysis: A top-down review of market direction to identify opportunities. 📈 Market Structure & Price Action: Key insights into how price moves and behaves. 🎯 Trade Planning: Using higher timeframe support and resistance levels to set stop loss and target points. 🛠️ TradingView Features: Practical tools to refine your analysis and boost efficiency. This video is an in-depth guide to trading effectively with a proven strategy, enhanced by TradingView's unique capabilities. 🚀 Please remember, this is not financial advice. 📜
by fxtraderanthony
43
BITCOIN new ATHs !? BITCOIN new all-time highs ?! Hello ❤TV community 👋 The new year is still young and the bulls could really take off here ... Here with a bullish option and a WolveWave(WW) and the targets on the upside. 🖥Intraday chart (12h) and everything important 💡 Everything important in the chart 👀 💥bullish CYPHER Harmonic 👀 👉Volume analysis 👀💪 👉Daily MA50 re-test 👀🔥 🔥BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰ Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea. Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions 💪 M_a_d_d_e_n ✌ NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by M_a_d_d_e_n
31
$ARTY Correction Complete, Great Entry / Time To Shine 🚀 AMEX:ARTY : A Hidden Gem Ready to Shine I'm thrilled to announce that AMEX:ARTY is now part of my portfolio. The recent correction seems to have reached its bottom, presenting a perfect entry opportunity for those looking to capitalize on its long-term growth potential. Why AMEX:ARTY Deserves Attention? 1️⃣ Strong Fundamentals with Huge Growth Potential Market Cap: Only $16 million, making it significantly undervalued compared to its potential. Circulating Supply: 80% of AMEX:ARTY tokens are already in circulation – minimal inflation risk and strong price stability. 2️⃣ Exciting Milestones Ahead AMEX:ARTY is set to make waves in the blockchain gaming and NFT space, with massive upcoming developments: Integration into the Epic Games Store, one of the largest gaming platforms globally. Launch of Artyfact Mini-App on Telegram, bringing AMEX:ARTY to a massive user base. Artyfact Launchpad to help new projects thrive in the ecosystem. Expansion to major gaming platforms: PlayStation and Xbox. Availability in Apple's App Store and Google Play Store, broadening accessibility to mobile users worldwide. These milestones are poised to attract millions of new users to the AMEX:ARTY ecosystem, creating strong demand and long-term growth potential. 📈 My Long-Term Price Targets for AMEX:ARTY Based on AMEX:ARTY 's fundamentals, market cap, and upcoming catalysts, I foresee massive upside potential: First target: $10 – achievable in the near term with increased adoption and upcoming milestones. Second target: $25 – reflecting the value of a more mature ecosystem and higher user base. Ultimate target: $50+ – as AMEX:ARTY becomes a leader in blockchain gaming and NFT adoption. At its current valuation, AMEX:ARTY has significant room to grow into a market cap that reflects its true potential. 🔍 Bullish Technical Analysis on AMEX:ARTY Chart From a technical perspective, AMEX:ARTY 's chart looks extremely promising: Correction Over: The recent pullback has established strong support near $1.5. Volume Spike: Increasing trading volume indicates growing interest from both retail and institutional investors. Momentum Building: The RSI is climbing out of oversold territory, signaling growing bullish momentum. The MACD is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting a rally in price. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: $3 – breaking this level could trigger a significant upward movement. Next Target Zones: $5, $7.5, and ultimately $10. 🌟 Why I’m Confident in AMEX:ARTY With its low market cap, high token circulation, and an ambitious roadmap of developments across major gaming and app platforms, AMEX:ARTY has all the ingredients for explosive growth. The time to enter is now, while the project remains undervalued and under the radar. Are you ready to ride this wave? Let me know your thoughts and analysis on $ARTY!
A
by GentleGoldenEngine
33
Dow Jones Likely Trending Up in the Next Four YearsCBOT: Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MYM1! ) #Microfutures The United States will enter a new presidency on Monday, January 20th. Will the stock market continue its upward trend under the 47th U.S. President? Before we set our sight on the future, it’s prudent to look back in history first. While it is not a guarantee for future performance, history does provide good intelligence. To find clues for our answer, I conducted an analysis on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). How the Dow Performed Under Different Presidencies My research setup is as follow: • I look at DJIA daily close prices for the past 50 years (from Aug. 1974 to Jan. 2025). This period covers 9 presidents and 13 four-year presidential terms. • For all the presidents, I use their Inauguration Day January 20th as the start day, while setting the end day for January 19th four years later. I compare the changes in DJIA closing prices from start to finish for each 4-year term. • The exceptions: Gerald Ford, who started his term on August 9, 1974, after Richard Nixon resigned; and Joe Biden, for whom I use the latest trade day January 15th. Here is what I found: • Gerald Ford (Aug. ‘74 – Jan. ’77): DJIA went up 181.7 points (+23.4%) • Jimmy Carter (Jan. ’77 – Jan. ’81), down 8.4 points (-0.9%) • Ronald Reagon (Jan. ’81 – Jan. ’89), up 1,288.1 points (+135.5%). The data can be further broken down to +68.6% in his 1st term and +45.7% in the 2nd term • George H.W. Bush (Jan. ’89 – Jan. ’93), up 1,020.6 points (+45.7%) • Bill Clinton (Jan. ’93 – Jan. ’01), up 7,345.6 points (+226.6%), including +110.8% in the 1st four years and +54.7% in the 2nd four years • George W. Bush (Jan. ’01 – Jan. ’09), down 2,306.4 points (-21.8%), for which -0.4% and -20.9% for his 1st and 2nd terms, respectively • Barack Obama (Jan. ’09 – Jan. ’17), up 11,783.3 points (+148.2%), including +71.7% in the 1st term and +44.6% in the 2nd term • Donald Trump (Jan. ’17 – Jan. ’21), up 11,060.2 points (+55.8%) • Joe Biden (Jan. ’21 – Jan. ’21), up 12,202.8 points (+39.5%) Dow Jones advanced the most points under current administration (+12,203 points), with Obama coming in 2nd for 11,783 points. The DJIA index gained the most in percentage terms under the Clinton administration (+226%). Across all nine presidents, DJIA was lower for one, flat for another, but moved up 7 out of 9 times. If you look deeper into the worst-performing years under George W. Bush, you will find that 9/11 terrorist attack happened in his first term and the 2008 financial crisis occurred in his second term. Both can be considered extreme events and outliners in the dataset. Regardless which political party commands the White House, the Dow is more likely to move up than down. From the first day Gerald took office to the last week of the Biden administration, DJIA went from 777 to 43,133, a huge gain of 5,449%! Trading with Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures The above analysis gives us comfort in the upward mobility of the US stock market. Further analysis of the DJIA shows strength in its Top 5 component companies. • As of January 15th, DJIA went up 15.5% in the past 12 months • Gold Sachs, which holds an 8.2% share by index weight, was up 57.5% in a year • 1-year returns for the other top components are: United Health (+4.2%), Microsoft (+9.0%), Home Depot (+12.2%), and Caterpillar (+31.5%) An investor may simply deploy the time-honored “Buy and Hold” strategy. The longer the holding period, the better the returns, barring extreme circumstances. Given that the DJIA is trending up over the long run, active traders may consider using stock index futures to enhance their investment returns. Micro E-Mini Dow Jones futures (MYM) offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s benchmark Dow Jones futures (YM) contracts. Micro futures have a contract size of 0.5 times the DJIA index, which is 1/10th of the standard contract. CME data shows that the E-Mini and Micro Dow Jones futures have a combined open interest of 103,077 contract as of this Monday. According to the CFTC Commitment of Traders report, as of January 7, 2025, Leverage Funds hold 17,504 long positions and 11,695 short positions. With DJIA nearing its all-time high, “Small Money” is still bullish. Longs outweigh shorts by a 3:2 ratio. Buying or selling one MYM contract requires an initial margin of $1,077. With Wednesday midday quote of 43,376, each March contract (MYMH5) has a notional value of $21,688. Compared with investing in stocks, the futures contracts offer a built-in leverage of about 20 times (=21688/1077). Hypothetically, if Dow futures price moves up 10% to 47,714 in 2025, the index gain of 4,338 points will translate into $2,169 for a long position, given each index point equal to $0.50 for the Micro contract. Using the initial margin of $1,077 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 201.4% (=2169/1077). Futures contracts have expiration days, and you may not hold them forever like stocks. To stay Long in the DJIA, a trader may consider a futures rollover strategy. An illustration: • A trader would buy the lead contract March now, and hold it till the end of February • He would then sell March and buy June, which will become the next lead contract • He would repeat this process: buy September and sell June at the end of May • Repeat this again to buy December and sell September at the end of August This series of trades allows a trader to establish a long position in the DJIA throughout the year, while holding the most liquid contracts. There is no guarantee that each trade will yield positive returns. But if the Dow is trending up over time, the winning would likely outpace the loses. The leverage feature in futures works both ways. It would magnify the losses as well as improving the winnings. The good news is, a trader could put stop-loss on his futures trades, limiting the downside risks. For example, our trader may set stop-loss at 42,000 when he buys the MYM at 43,376. If the Dow falls to 40,000, his position will be liquidated well before that when the price hits 42,000. The maximum loss incurred will be $688 (= (43376 - 42000) * 0.5). The combination of Futures Rollover with Stop-loss could yield higher returns (thanks to the leverage) while maintaining a limited loss exposure. If the index bounces up and down but trends up in the long stretch, the trader will see both wins and losses. Since the wins are unbounded but the losses are contained, the overall returns would likely be positive. The risk to long Micro Dow is that the US stock market enters a bear market, and DJIA trends down over a long period of time. The trader could incur a series of limited losses, and the gains were not sufficient to cover those losses. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DJ:DJILong
by JimHuangChicago
8
EUR/USD : Approaching Critical Demand Zones! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #EURUSD chart in the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has currently reached a very important demand zone, and the probability of a price reversal from this level is high! However, note that I personally have another scenario in mind, which is that after an initial short-term rise in the current area, the price will decline again to the very important demand zone of 1.005 to 1.007 , and then, with a suitable trigger in this area, we can look for an attractive BUY position ! All key levels and important zones have been marked on the chart! If you have any questions, be sure to ask, and I will try to respond as soon as possible! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
37
Euro can start to move up to resistance level and break itHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the support line to the resistance line and then started to decline. Long time, the price fell near the resistance line of the channel, until it reached 1.0455 points, after which it moved up to the resistance line and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0410 resistance level. Then Euro exited from a downward channel and rose to the 1.0410 level, which coincided with the seller zone and some time traded between. Later it made a downward impulse to the current resistance level, which coincided with the resistance area and even fell a little lower than the 1.0250 level, after which started to trades inside a triangle. In this pattern, the Euro in a short time rose to the resistance line, which is located in the seller zone, and then fell to the support line back, breaking the 1.0250 level one more time. Also recently price exited from a triangle pattern and now it continues to decline. So, in my opinion, the Euro, after exiting from the triangle can decline a little more and then start to grow to the 1.0250 resistance level (1st TP). Then, the price will break this level and make a retest, after which continue to move up to 2nd TP - 1.0360 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
22
Kiwi H4 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.5683 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.5745 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline resistance. Take profit is at 0.5540 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
5
BTC - Where to Buy? Answer in VideoMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1W key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Long
by Maks_Klimenko
8