Options vs Stocks: Which Is Better?If you are wondering whether to trade options vs stocks, then this article is for you. There’s no simple answer to that question because it depends on how much money you have and your risk tolerance level.
This blog post will cover the 7 topics that you need to know to answer the question “Is Options Trading Better Than Stocks?”
1. What Is The Difference Between Buying Stocks and Buying Options?
Let’s keep it simple:
When you buy a stock, then you own a share of the company and get paid dividends.
Buying options, on the other hand, means that you only have the right to buy or sell a stock at a specific price before the option expires. But you don’t own the stock (yet).
As you will see in a few moments, options trading requires much less capital than buying a stock, and therefore it’s very attractive.
But it can also very confusing. My goal is to make it simple for you.
Let’s start with an example:
2. Which Is Better: To Buy A Call Option On A Stock Or To Buy A Stock?
Let’s use Apple (AAPL) as an example. Right now, the market price (at the time of this writing on May 6th, 2021) of AAPL is 128.70.
Let’s assume, you are bullish on Apple and expect AAPL to go higher.
So you could buy 100 shares of AAPL, but this would come with a high price:
100 shares * 128.70 per share = $12,870
If you have a small account, this might be too high of an investment.
The good news: You can trade options instead.
When you buy a CALL option, you have the right to buy 100 shares of AAPL at a set price (the strike price) on or before the expiration date of the option.
You could buy a call option that expires on June 18th. Today is May 6th, so you have 43 days before this option expires worthless
The price of the option is $3.75.
Options come in “100 packs”, so your investment to buy this call option is only $3.75 * 100 = $375
Why Buy Options Instead Of Stocks?
First of all, it’s much cheaper:
Compared to the investment of 12,807 to buy 100 shares, that’s only 3% of the money that’s required.
And because of that, options more profitable than stocks.
Let me explain:
3. Are Options More Profitable Than Stocks?
Since you are bullish on AAPL, you expect the stock to go up.
Let’s say that over the next few weeks, the stock goes to 140:
Let’s take a look at the profits from your stocks first:
You bought 100 shares of AAPL at a price of $128.70 per share.
Now each share is worth $140.
So your profit is 140–128.70 = 11.30 per share * 100 shares = 1,130.
Based on your investment of $12,870, that’s 8.8% Return on Investment (ROI).
That’s not bad, but let’s take a look at the call option:
How Are Options More Profitable Than Stocks?
The call option that you bought gives you the right to BUY 100 shares of AAPL for $130 before June 18th.
So if AAPL shares move up to $140, you can buy 100 shares of AAPL at $130 and sell them immediately at $140.
This means that your profit per share is 140–130 = 10.
And since you are trading 100 shares, your profit would be $1,000.
But keep in mind: You paid $375 for the right to do this, so you need to subtract this from your profits:
1000–375 = 625.
Your total profit is $625. Doesn’t sound much, but based on your $375 investment, that’s 167% return on investment (ROI).
In summary:
You made more money in terms of absolute dollars on the stock ($1,130 vs. $625), but the money you needed to make this profit was much less: $375 vs. $12,870.
And that’s why your ROI is 167% when trading the option vs 8.8% when trading the stock — even though the stock price is exactly the same.
Pretty cool, huh?
4. How Much Money Do You Need For Options Trading?
As you can see from the previous example, you need MUCH less money when trading options vs trading stocks.
When trading options, you can get started with as little as $2,000.
Check with your broker about the minimum requirements to open an options trading account.
So if you have a smaller account, trading options might be much better for you than stock trading.
5. Can You Lose Money Trading Options?
Let’s talk about the risks of options trading, specifically the question “Can you lose money trading options?”
The answer: YES, of course!
In the example above, you could lose the premium you paid for the option, i.e. $375, if the stock price does not move above the strike price of $130.
If AAPL remains below $130 until the expiration date of June 18th, your option expires worthless.
And here’s why:
With a call option, you have the right to BUY 100 shares of AAPL for $130.
If AAPL is trading below $130, let’s say at $128, you don’t want to exercise your right to buy AAPL at $130. Because then you would pay MORE for the stock than you would if you bought it right away.
Making sense?
So if AAPL stays below $130 until expiration, your option expires worthless and you lose the premium you paid for the right to buy the stock.
Can You Lose More Than You Invest In Options?
When you are BUYING options, you can not lose more than the premium that you pay when buying options. So that’s good.
However, when you are SELLING options, that’s a different story, and we will cover that later.
So in summary: When BUYING options, the maximum amount that you could lose is the premium you pay when buying the option.
6. What Are The Risks Of Options Trading?
YES, there are risks when trading options:
a) Selling Options Can Be Dangerous.
As you have seen, when BUYING options your risk is limited to the premium you pay when buying the option.
However, as a seller, there’s a lot more risk. In some cases, you can have UNLIMITED risk.
We will cover this in detail in a later article.
b) Buying Out Of The Money Options.
Risky before the probabilities are low.
c) Know What You’re Doing
When trading options, there are a few more things to consider:
Call options vs put options
Strike Prices
Expiration Dates
… and then there are also these pesky “Greeks” like delta, gamma, theta, rho, etc.
And when you have more things to consider, there are more possibilities to make mistakes.
So make sure that you understand all these factors before you start trading options. We will talk about “The Greeks” later.
Are Options Riskier Than Stocks?
YES.
Because it’s easier to lose ALL of your investment.
Let’s continue our example from above:
Trading Stocks
You bought AAPL at $128.70 per share.
If AAPL drops to $125, then you would lose $3.70 per share, or $370 for 100 shares. Based on your initial investment, that’s only 2.9%
Trading Options
You bought the 130 Call Option for $3.75.
If AAPL doesn’t move above 130, you lose ALL of your investment, i.e. 100%.
Yes, the investment is much lower, but instead of losing 2.9% as you would when trading stocks, you would lose 100%.
Selling Options
And when selling options, you can lose A LOT of money.
Selling options can be very profitable. In fact, I made more than $75,000 in less than 5 months selling options…
… BUT it’s also very risky.
Compare options vs stocks like riding a bicycle and riding a motorcycle:
Riding a motorcycle gets you to your destination quicker. And it can be more fun. But it’s also much riskier than riding a bicycle.
7. Can You Really Make Money Trading Options?
Absolutely!
There are many advantages to trading options, and it is possible to make money with options.
Is there a safe way to trade options?
You need to know what you are doing, and you need to have a solid trading strategy.
Find a strategy that you understand and then practice it on a simulator. And when you are ready, start making money with it.
Can Option Trading make you rich?
When trading options, you will often see returns of 167%, 200% or even 300%.
Therefore, it’s easy to believe that options trading can make you rich.
But keep in mind: With these high returns, comes high risk.
Yes, you can make 200% or 300% when trading options.
And you can lose ALL your investment, as you have seen above.
Don’t think of options trading as a “get-rich-quick-scheme”.
But when used correctly, options trading is perfect to grow a small account into a bigger one.
Summary: Should I Trade Options
YES!
Should I trade stocks or options?
Why not do both? Best of both worlds!
Is options trading worth it?
YES! It can be very rewarding! As we just covered with trading options, there are many, many advantages. If you are not trading options yet, I highly recommend that you start looking into them.
Strategy!
📚Easiest and most accurate way to trade EUR/USDHi traders!
I have long wanted to share the simplest trading strategy, which is suitable for both experienced and beginners.
The easiest way to trade EURUSD is to trade channels + support and resistance lines.
1. How to find a channel.
As you can see from the chart, over the past 6 years (immediately after Brexit), the price has always been in a channel.
You need to build channels on the D1 timeframe.
I have provided you with the existing channels on the chart, now the price is in a growing channel.
To build a new channel, 4 points are enough (2 above and 2 below). Although for more advanced traders, 3 points will be enough.
Examples.
2. Once you have built the channel, you can trade.
3. With the entrances sorted out. Everything is simple here. It will be more difficult to choose SL and Tp
To make it simple and easy to remember (especially for beginners) always set SL 3 times less than TP (Risk to reward ratio 1 to 3)
It remains to decide on the TP.
Strong support and resistance lines will help us a lot.
It is better to close the trade when the price reaches strong lines. In fact, there are few important lines, so they are not difficult to find (otherwise, they are most likely not important lines).
Example:
4. Important notes.
1) It is better to trade with the trend (open buy trades in an upward channel and sell trades in a falling channel)
2) Better not to enter a trade during very important events (like Covid-19)
3) False breakouts occur at times, but the price quickly returns to the channel, so after the price quickly returns, you can open a trade.
4) If the price is both on the channel line and + on the strong line, then you can open a deal with 2 times larger volume
5) If the price touches the channel line twice in a short period of time, then it's okay if you open two trades + you can double the stop loss in this case.
5. Output
In total for the last 2.5. of the year there were 15 entries, 14 of them in plus 1 in minus (Accuracy 93% !!)
Average risk to reward ratio of 1 to 3 (although entries are so accurate that experienced traders can make a risk to reward ratio of 1 to 5)
If you take the risk for trade 1% of the deposit (although you can take 2% with such accuracy) then:
Profit 14 * 3 = 42%, and loss 1%
The total profit is 41% for 2.5 years, that is, 16.4% + RISK-FREE profit per year, only for EURUSD.
experienced traders know these are great numbers.
Find 2-3 more such strategies and you will be an excellent trader
Like and comment if you like the idea
This will be my motivation to create posts like this.
📚Easiest and most accurate way to trade EURUSDHi traders!
I have long wanted to share the simplest trading strategy, which is suitable for both experienced and beginners.
The easiest way to trade EURUSD is to trade channels + support and resistance lines.
1. How to find a channel.
As you can see from the chart, over the past 6 years (immediately after Brexit), the price has always been in a channel.
You need to build channels on the D1 timeframe.
I have provided you with the existing channels on the chart, now the price is in a growing channel.
To build a new channel, 4 points are enough (2 above and 2 below). Although for more advanced traders, 3 points will be enough.
Examples.
2. Once you have built the channel, you can trade.
3. With the entrances sorted out. Everything is simple here. It will be more difficult to choose SL and Tp
To make it simple and easy to remember (especially for beginners) always set SL 3 times less than TP (Risk to reward ratio 1 to 3)
It remains to decide on the TP.
Strong support and resistance lines will help us a lot.
It is better to close the trade when the price reaches strong lines. In fact, there are few important lines, so they are not difficult to find (otherwise, they are most likely not important lines).
Example:
4. Important notes.
1) It is better to trade with the trend (open buy trades in an upward channel and sell trades in a falling channel)
2) Better not to enter a trade during very important events (like Covid-19)
3) False breakouts occur at times, but the price quickly returns to the channel, so after the price quickly returns, you can open a trade.
4) If the price is both on the channel line and + on the strong line, then you can open a deal with 2 times larger volume
5) If the price touches the channel line twice in a short period of time, then it's okay if you open two trades + you can double the stop loss in this case.
5. Output
In total for the last 2.5. of the year there were 15 entries, 14 of them in plus 1 in minus (Accuracy 93% !!)
Average risk to reward ratio of 1 to 3 (although entries are so accurate that experienced traders can make a risk to reward ratio of 1 to 5)
If you take the risk for trade 1% of the deposit (although you can take 2% with such accuracy) then:
Profit 14 * 3 = 42%, and loss 1%
The total profit is 41% for 2.5 years, that is, 16.4% + RISK-FREE profit per year, only for EURUSD.
experienced traders know these are great numbers.
Find 2-3 more such strategies and you will be an excellent trader
Like and comment if you like the idea
This will be my motivation to create posts like this.
When To Sit On Your Hands When TradingNow, as you know, I like to use the PowerX Optimizer to find the best trades according to the PowerX strategy, along with The Wheel Strategy.
So here’s my morning routine. Usually, I’m in front of the computer at 8 a.m. Central Time. That is 30 minutes before the US markets open. I run the scanner on PowerX Optimizer, and it finds possible trades based on my criteria.
My Criteria For Finding Stocks
My criteria, for starters, is I like to look for long and short signals because I like to play the markets both ways. I want to see at least a 60% return on my investment. I also want to see stocks that have a closing price between $5 and $250, because I don’t like to trade stocks that are below $5.
I want to see a profit factor that is higher than 3. This means that for every dollar that I would have lost trading the strategy, I would have made $3. I also want a risk-reward ratio of at least 2%. Usually, there are anywhere between 4 & 8 stocks that come up on my scanner every day.
I use three criteria to find A-plus trades. So here’s what I’m looking for.
Number one, I’m looking for gappiness. I look back to see if the stock had a lot of gaps over the past year. I look back over the past 13 months.
Number two, I’m looking for is trendability. What does trendability mean? It means that I want to see nice trends to the upside and the downside.
And the last thing, number three, is I’m looking at the P&L chart. What does the P&L chart mean? Now, this is one of the strengths of the PowerX Optimizer software, and this is why I use it every single day.
The P&L chart basically shows you what would have happened if I had traded this stock according to the rules of the PowerX strategy over the past year.
So I can take a look at the trading report where I see for the past few trades, what I would have made in profits & losses.
When To Sit On Your Hands
Anyhow, this morning (at the time of this writing) I just saw EVRI on my scanner and it passed MOST of my criteria. First of all, it did pass all my scanner criteria, otherwise, it wouldn’t have come up here. Also, it did pass 2 out of my 3 criteria in terms of gappiness and trendability.
But when it came to the P&L chart, it didn’t meet my criteria. So this is where this morning I did the most difficult thing for a trader. I was sitting on my hands. You see, at the beginning of my trading career, I had this little voice in my head and this little voice in my head said, “If you don’t trade, you don’t make any money.”
Well after I forced some trades, I realized, well, if you don’t trade, you also don’t lose any money. This is why it’s so important. In the beginning when I got a new tool, or when I had a new trading strategy, I wanted to trade it. All I wanted to do was trade. However, when there’s nothing to trade, DON’T TRADE.
This is why I use the PowerX Optimizer. It a fantastic job of keeping you out of trouble.
So now, as you know, I am trading two strategies. In addition to trading the PowerX strategy, I’m also trading the Wheel. So also for the Wheel, I started looking for trades.
Let me show you what I was looking for this morning. One of the trades that I thought, ahh you know what, this might actually be a decent trade was Marriott, (MAR), but when I looked, however, there wasn’t enough premium in there to sell according to the Wheel.
I looked at another stock that came up on my radar this morning, which was (PENN). There was some great premium in there but PENN sounded rather risky. You see, for me, it is very, very important that I have a great track record.
Now at the beginning of my trading career, I would have forced these trades. I would have said, “Oh my gosh, I cannot be done working after one hour,” because this is what happens sometimes in the morning.
I sit down in front of the computer at 8 o’clock, which is half an hour before the open, and I run through the PowerX Optimizer, and don’t find anything.
Now, one of the things that of course, I do every single day, is that I check my open positions, and in the PowerX Optimizer, I have my watch list.
So first I look for new trades, and secondly, manage my existing trades. I don’t, however, need to overmanage my account when there are days where there is nothing to trade. What I used to do way back when I was still new to trading, and nothing would come up, I would adjust my criteria.
I said, yeah, you know what? Instead of getting a 60% return on my investment, why don’t I lower it to 50%, or why don’t I lower the winning percentage to 35%. Maybe lower the volume to 200,000. I had to learn the hard way early in my career not to do this.
Summary
So anyhow, in summary, there will be days when you’re all excited, but you see, in order to make money with trading, two conditions have to be met.
Number one, you have to be ready, and number two, the markets have to be ready. You may be ready but if the markets are not ready, you got to sit on your hands. The beautiful thing as traders, it’s not that today is the trading opportunity of a century. No, tomorrow there will be more trades, on Wednesday will be more trades, on Thursday.
Every single day I’m running the scanner according to PowerX Optimizer and I will find more opportunities to trade.
So today, one of the hardest lessons, and this is why I wanted to share it with you, sit on your hands. Anyhow, if you enjoyed this video, do me a favor and click on like so that more people will see it.
How Earnings Season Affects OptionsAs most of you are aware, it is earnings season. So today we’re going to talk about how earnings season can impact options trading, because, as you know, I trade options.
Now, just a brief intro. Earnings season happens quarterly, meaning four times a year, and this is when corporations reveal their financial results for the previous quarter.
Now, the results of a company’s earnings report can have a major impact on the stock price, and options will often price in the expectations for a big post-earnings move before the event.
This is why it is likely that options premium are more expensive during this time.
Implied Volatility
One thing to know about this and how it can impact your trading is implied volatility. See, there several things that make up an options price, including the market’s expectation for future volatility, and that is called implied volatility.
So why is this important? Well, as the buyer of an option, higher implied volatility means that you are paying more for your contract.
So if you buy an option before earnings and hold through earnings, you put yourself at risk for a so-called volatility crash.
Now, part of the reason implied volatility goes up so much ahead of earnings is because traders don’t know which way the stock is going to go or by how much.
I mean, remember Netflix at the beginning of March? Who would have known that Netflix would soar 17%?
But you see, once a company reports earnings, there is no more uncertainty, and this is when implied volatility drops, and in some cases, so does the options price.
So if you bought an expensive option, there’s a chance that you have to sell it to close at a lower price even if a stock moves in the direction you want it to.
And let me show you a very, very specific example of a volatility crash and why it is so important that you understand the concept of volatility and how it can impact your options trading.
So I want to show you right here we see Seagate. Seagate reported earnings last week. And so here is the pre-earnings options data.
The day before Seagate, STX, was trading at $61.45, and an At-The-Money call with a 61.50 strike price was going for the last traded price of $1.74, and the implied volatility was 128%.
On the other hand, the put was going for $1.82 and the implied volatility was also 128%.
Now, this was the day before earnings. Now let’s talk of what happened the day after earnings.
So again, here Seagate was trading at $61.45 before earnings, but then the next day, Seagate dropped to $59.33. So it fell dramatically and therefore, and the price of the 61.50 call is only a penny.
So it’s not surprising that the call is not worth anything, but here’s the key. Even though the stock fell quite substantially, the put only went from $1.82 to $2.51 so it went up because puts go up as the stock goes down.
So this means that the put only went up to $0.70, $0.69 to be exact. You see this is how the volatility crash affects the option price, because even though the put is worth more now, and is now in the money, but it also lost a lot of value due to the decline in implied volatility.
See, the previous day, it was 128%, this implied volatility, and the day after only 96%. So you have to factor this in when trading options into earnings.
How Is Implied Volatility Measured?
So let’s talk about this implied volatility thing and how is this measured, right? You know me, I’m all about practical stuff, so I don’t want to bore you with the math behind it and I don’t have to.
The good news is that there are plenty of places online that calculate the implied volatility for you, and I want to show you exactly how you can see if the implied volatility, is high, low, or average. Here is the easiest way to do it.
You compare the implied volatility to the stock’s historical volatility for exactly the same time frame. The implied volatility measures the market expectation for future price action.
Now, the historical volatility measures the volatility for a stock that already occurred over a specific time frame. All you have to do to see if the implied volatility is high, low, or average compare it to the historical volatility.
We can use the implied volatility of AAPL Apple’s Q1 earnings season. Apple was trading at 142. For an at-the-money call, expiring in four days, the implied volatility was 71%, and for the put was 70%.
The historical volatility of Apple. And this is something that you’re charting software can show you, it makes sense to look at it in 10, 20, 30, 40 days increments. So if we were to look at the past 10 days, the historical volatility was 37%.
But the call was trading at 71%. So what does it tell us? It tells us that the premium on this call, and also on the put, was running more expensive than usual. So now we can see, how this is affected by earnings.
Now, let’s take a look at the implied volatility of an at-the-money Apple call from the same time that expired later out at, let’s say March 19th.
So for calls expiring March 19th, you see right now the implied volatility is much, much, much lower at 43% for the call, and 43% as well for the put.
The historical volatility over the past 60 days was 40.69%. Now compare this to the 43% and we see that it is pretty much in line here.
So this means that the premium that was on these calls and puts on options that had 53 days until expiration was pretty much average.
Why You Shouldn’t Sell Options Into Earnings
Options traders are always talking about implied volatility and historical volatility, and now you know what it is. Now I want to tell you why I don’t sell options into earnings.
I mean, even though the stock moves in the direction that you want to, your option premium is getting sucked out of there because of the volatility crash.
You see, and this where, as an option seller, you might say, “don’t I want the premium to be as high as possible?” and yes, of course, you do.
But let me make you very clear why I don’t sell options into earnings.
If you have been following me for a while, you know that I love trading the Wheel, and as part of this strategy, we are selling options.
Well you see, earnings plays are hit-and-miss. Sure, everybody can get lucky and most people who start trading expect their account to explode from one or two big trades.
This is where we have some stocks that are jumping just dramatically. Looking at Intel, INTC over the last three earnings.
Huge gap down right when we had earnings, then there was another earnings play, and Intel really crashed down hard again.
Then also here during the last earnings season, initially, Intel went up but then started crashing down.
You see, some people like these earnings plays because they believe the hype that they can make a lot of money with very little work involved, but see, trading just doesn’t work this way because, in reality, the key to becoming successful in trading is consistency and growing your account systematically.
That’s what I mean when I talk about generating SRC profits, right? SRC is an acronym that stands for Systematic because I like to trade what I see and not what I think.
This is why I use indicators and have a trading strategy that tells me when to trade, what to trade, when to enter and when to exit. The R stands for repeatable and by trading my plan, I’m able to find repeatable profit-making opportunities. The C in SRC profit stands for consistency.
You see, I’d rather make slightly less money more often than biting off all my nails waiting for a big winner. As you know, part of my systematic approach to trading is to use The Wheel Strategy and the PowerX strategy.
Now, especially with The Wheel strategy that, where I’m trading right now with you here, the idea is to get paid while you wait to buy the stock, and because I’m collecting premiums on the puts that I sell, I’m looking for stocks with higher volatility, right?
This means making more money, and as a rule of thumb, I look for stocks with an IV, implied volatility, of at least 40%. The Wheel strategy can relatively safely produce profits, but I don’t recommend you to trade into earnings, at least that’s not what I do.
So I will not target options with an expiration date that includes the company earnings report. I am trading options before we are running into earnings. So this is why I think it is very important that you know when trading options, whether it is buying or selling, that you don’t trade into earnings.
At least that’s what I do because earnings are a wildcard and there’s just too much uncertainty. Remember, I’m not looking for fireworks here, I’m looking to systematically grow my account through consistent and repeatable strategies.
Where To Check For Earnings
Now, I want to give you two more resources, if you want to see for yourself who is reporting and when.
These are two websites that are pretty cool that I personally use. So the first one here is “stock earnings.” If you go to stockearnings.com or they even have stocksearning.com, they will show you see the notable earnings that are coming up this week.
Now, another one that many people like to use is earningswhispers.com. So that’s another great source for finding out when companies will report earnings because this way you can make sure that you’re not trading right into earnings.
It’s always good to know when they report earnings if you have any open positions, whether you’re buying stocks or selling stocks so that you’re not caught off guard.
So I hope that this helped you to see how earnings impact option prices and why I never sell options into earnings.
Importance of Optimizing RSI Calibration with NINJASIGNALS V4This is a great example of why it is helpful to scan through multiple RSI Calibration values when calibrating Ninja Signals V4 to fit a given chart. Different currency pairs and candle sizes often require different RSI Calibration values to maximize trading success. Often times, different RSI Calibration values may result in a significantly higher net profit, win-ratio, or both. In this particular example, we found that using a small RSI Calibration value of 2 resulted in both a significantly higher net profit and win ratio. We typically use RSI Calibration values of 2-12 when fitting Ninja Signals V4 to a chart. Smaller RSI Calibration values result in a larger number and frequency of trades, whereas larger RSI Calibration values result in a smaller number and frequency of trades. We hope you find this helpful and informative. Feel free to send us a message on TradingView if you have any questions. Happy Trading!
Ninja Signals V4 (Script)
Ninja Signals V4 (Strategy)
Trading For A Living: How Much Money Do You Need?In this article, we’ll talk about how much money you need to trade for a living. I’ll share with you my three-step approach and give you an example from my trading account.
“How much money do you need to trade for a living?” is one of the most frequently asked questions I get.
“Can I start with $5,000 dollars, do I need $25,000 dollars, or maybe even more?” You see, this is a super important question. Now, here’s the deal.
There’s no standard answer because making a living is different for everybody.
Some traders can live on $5,000 a month. For others, trading for a living means making at least $15,000 a month.
Let’s talk about step number one.
How Much Do You Want To Make Each Month?
Step number one is figuring out how much money you want to make per month. This is the first thing determining what your income goal should be, and it really depends on a few different factors.
For example, what are your monthly expenses? How many dependents rely on your income? That’s different for every trader. Additionally, what income do you need to buy cool stuff like cars, boats, whatever it might be?
These are just a few examples of what should be taken into account when you figure out how much income you need to generate every month.
Now, as boring as this sounds, it definitely helps to make a budget. You don’t have to account for everything, but you should list your major expenses.
So in your budget, there should be, for example, expenses for housing. In housing, you include your mortgage, your insurance, your taxes, and expenses for your house maintenance.
The next thing to account for is transportation. Unless you’re using a helicopter, for most people this is a car payment or a lease. This also includes car insurance.
The next major category is food. Food includes groceries and also restaurants.
Now, the next major category is utilities such as gas, water, power, Internet, TV, phone insurance. Some of you also buy your own health and life insurance. You also need to consider any medical expenses like co-pays.
The next one is a fun one, travel and entertainment. Where do you want to travel? How often do you want to travel? What else do you do for entertainment? You have to factor these activities in too.
This next one is not so fun. This is of course the dreaded taxes we have to pay.
Now you need to add all of this up and you will get to a number, which is the amount you need to make each much to cover your expenses.
For me personally, this number is $15,000. So you know what my number is, and I’ll show you how I trade for a living so that I can make this $15,000.
What Is The ROI of Your Trading Strategy?
Now that we have figured out what your number is, it’s on to step number two: factoring in the return on investment, or ROI, of your trading strategy.
I like to trade the PowerX Strategy, and I also like to trade The Wheel Strategy. These are my two favorite strategies, and for both strategies, I want to see at least 30 percent ROI based on my buying power.
Let me explain what this means. As an example, let’s figure out 30 percent of my buying power. I’m trading a margin account and this means that I can borrow up to 100 percent of my cash from my broker.
Let’s say I were to put $20,000 in cash in this account. $20,000 in cash into a margin account would give me $40,000 in buying power, so back to my ROI, the return on investment.
I want to see at least 30 percent based on my buying power. So in this example here, if my buying power is $40,000 and we want to find out what 30% would be, we take 40,000 and multiply it by 0.30.
This comes to 12,000, so this means that I want to make at least $12,000 per year with $40,000 in buying power in a margin account.
To find the ROI based on the cash I put in, which is $20,000, we take the $12,000 (profit we would make with margin) and divide by $20,000 (cash I put in), this comes to 0.60, or 60 percent ROI based on cash.
I know this sounds like a lot of numbers, but here’s the good news. This is the most complicated step.
Now, I know that for some of you 30% sounds low, doesn’t it? I know that most traders would like to see 50% or more ROI, maybe even 100–200%.
But you see for me, it’s more important to be able to generate SRC profits which stand for systematic, repeatable, and consistent.
I’ll take 30% in SRC profits any day over 100% in irrational profits trading stocks like GameStop. For me, 30% is good enough to support my lifestyle, but hey, every trader is different, just make sure that you use YOUR number.
By the way, if you don’t know your ROI yet, trade your strategy on a simulator first. After 40 trades on a simulator, you will get close to your strategy’s ROI.
Determining Your Account Size
Let’s move on to step number three because now things get exciting. So step number three is where you use a formula to determine your account size, and I want to give you the formula right now so that you can plug it in.
Everything that I do is very, very systematic. Now you know how much income you must make every month, this was step number one.
For step number two, you learned how to figure out how much ROI you can expect from your trading strategy.
Here is a very simple formula that you can use to calculate how much you should have in your trading account so you can generate the amount of money every month that you determine.
In order to determine the buying power you need in your trading account, all you need to do is take the desired annual income that you determined in step number one and divide it by the expected ROI that you determined in step number two.
Let’s say that you want to make $10,000 per month. If you want to make $10,000 per month, that would be $120,000 per year. For some, this might be very realistic. So this is step one where you used a budget to figured this out.
For step number two, say you’re using either the PowerX Strategy where you can easily make 30% a year, or you’re using The Wheel Strategy which can also help you to make 30% per year. You have determined that you can make 30% per year based on your buying power.
Here’s how you would figure out how much buying power you need in your trading account. Your buying power should equal $120,000 desired annual income divided by 0.3 (30% ROI). This means that you need $400,000 in buying power in your account.
Now, $400,000 in buying power would mean if you’re using a margin account, you only need $200,000 in cash. This might be more than you expected, and that’s okay. You can actually trade for growth in the beginning.
I just want to show you what your goal needs to be if you have a smaller account right now so you know at what level you can actually start trading for income, and at what level you can quit your job.
Have Realistic Expectations
If right now you’re looking at this example here and you currently have $10,000 or $20,000 in your account, that is really good, but don’t quit your job just yet.
I like to keep it real, right? With me, it’s real money, real trades, and also realistic expectations.
Well, that is possible if you have a decent-sized account, but let me cover another example so you can see how simple the formula is, and how it works in action.
The Numbers In Action
So let’s say in step number one you determine, like I did, that you want to earn $15,000 per month, $180,000 per year. Now, again, we are assuming that we’re using The Wheel Strategy and the PowerX Strategy, which gives me 30% ROI per year.
Here’s how I determine how much buying power I need to have in my account in order to make $15,000 a month consistently. Again, we take our desired annual income, which is $180,000, divided by 0.3.
So that would be $600,000 in buying power. Now, $600,000 in buying power means that you need to have, if you’re using a margin account, $300,000.
This is how this worked out for me. At the beginning of the year, on January 11th, 2021, I put $250,000 in cash into a margin account, and this gave me $500,000 in buying power.
So $500,000 in buying power, and at the time of this writing on April 26, 2021, my profit thus far this year is $72,908 in REALIZED profits.
This means that on average, over the past four months, I made $18,277 per month. Now, my goal was to make, as I told you earlier, $15,000 per month, which means my goal would have been to make $60,000 in a 4-month span.
Since I’ve earned $72,908 over the past four months, this means I’m overachieving this goal. This is the important thing because the question is “how much money do I need to trade for a living?”
Summary
As you can see it’s quite easy to calculate the money that you need in your trading account to trade for a living.
However, it is completely unrealistic to open an account with $5,000 and expect to trade for a living, unless making a living means making $125 per month.
And I know that there are many people who tell you that you can start with $5,000, and then they do some magic math and tell you they can show you how to turn that $5,000 into a million dollars within a year. This just isn’t realistic.
It’s probably not what you want to hear, but I know that this is what you need to hear. The good news is, if your account is not large enough yet to trade for a living, that’s absolutely fine. You can trade for growth and use money management to grow your account.
The main difference when you’re trading for income vs trading for a living as I do is, every month I wire profits out of my trading account into my personal checking account.
While you’re trading for growth, you keep all of the profits that you make and keep them in your trading account.
If you’re still at a smaller account, that is absolutely fine, but now you know what level you need to get. If you’re here right now and you need to get there, then during this time you might need other sources of income.
I wanted to do this article to show you a really simple formula so that you can determine how much money you need in your account to trade for a living.
Remember, it is possible to make a living trading. It is possible, it is doable. Just have realistic expectations and a plan.
Using Obscure Candle Sizes to Maximize Profit w/ NINJASIGNALS V4This is a great example of how effective a small change in candle size can be when using our Ninja Signals V4 trading script. By simply switching from 1h candles to 67m candles, we were able to achieve significantly better results. In theory, this will also help to minimize price slippage during live trading by avoiding popular candle sizes (e.g., 1h candles) when many traders attempt to open and close positions at the same bar close time.
A small adjustment in candle size can make a big difference when using various indicators. Sometimes standard candle sizes also result in less obvious trends, making it harder to find the best buy and sell points. If your target candle size is 1h candles, we recommend comparing all candle sizes from 40m through 100m in 1m increments (40m, 41m, 42m... ...98m, 99m, 100m, etc.). The small amount of time required often pays off with significantly better, more profitable results.
Ninja Signals V4 (Script)
Ninja Signals V4 (Strategy)
Emotions In Trading: Biggest Account KillerTrading is fun and every trader is happy when their trades move in the right direction, but when a trade goes against you, you will experience a lot of emotions:
Fear, anxiety, regret, doubt, maybe anger…
… and these emotions in trading can lead to some bad decisions that could kill your account.
In this article, I’ll show you how to control your emotions in trading so that you become a more relaxed trader.
1. Recognize Your Emotions
When trading, you WILL experience emotions. The main emotions are:
Excitement
Greed
Fear
Anger
Frustration
Let’s talk about these emotions and how to deal with them.
Emotion #1: Excitement
When trades are going in your favor, it’s natural for you to be excited. We all love to see “green” in the account, but here’s the problem with that: when trades are going in your favor, you may be too excited and take on more risk.
I have seen this over and over again, especially when trading “The Wheel” options strategy. During the first few trades, traders are usually very careful.
They do a great job in picking the right stocks, then they take a few good trades and their account is up nicely!
All of a sudden, they get overconfident. It seems that the trading system can’t lose, and so they increase risk because “things always turn out for the best,” but that’s when trouble starts.
You’re no longer looking for “the best” trades. You feel invincible and want to make as much money in a short amount of time as possible. You start trading with more & more risk, and start choosing stocks that you shouldn’t choose.
Here are a few examples:
TLRY, SPCE, WKHS, LABU
The premium is attractive, and you thought: “I’ll be fine, and if not, I can fly a rescue mission like Markus usually does,” but then you get stuck in a trade, like some of you are.
So please be careful when you experience excitement because it quickly leads to overconfidence, and the markets like to show overconfident traders who’s boss!
Emotion #2: Greed
Next on the list of emotions in trading is greed. Greed is okay as long as you don’t let it take over your trading.
My P&L so far is $69,205 at the time of this writing: My goal is to make $15,000 per month, and thus far, I have made almost $70,000 in less than 4 months!
I could get greedy now and say, “Why not $20,000 per month? Or $30,000?”
But I am going to keep trading with discipline and make sure that my greed doesn’t get the best of me.
Be humble! Be grateful for what the market gives you because if you are greedy and try to squeeze the last penny out of the markets, the markets WILL put you in your place!
Emotion #3: Fear
The next emotion on the list is fear. Fear is a natural human emotion that we all have. In trading, it’s easy to let fear take over because you can see your profits diminishing in front of your eyes!
Here’s the problem with fear: it’s a very strong and powerful emotion that has the power to paralyze you, and cause you to have a bad day — a VERY bad day: You’re sitting in front of your computer all day staring at the “red” numbers — the unrealized losses.
Your mind goes crazy because you’re already thinking about how bad your trading account will be when you realize all these losses.
But what a difference a day can make. Have you ever realized how one day it looks bad, and the next day everything is green again?
Here is what you should do when FEAR takes over:
– Step away from the computer. Shut it down! Go outside. Do something else.
– Take some deep breaths and relax.
– Do not panic, this will cause you more harm than anything else! The market is always changing, it’s just out of our control; so instead of panicking, think about what we can control.
Emotion #4: Anger
Next on the list of emotions in trading is anger.
It’s easy to get angry at the markets because it’s so unpredictable!
You can never tell what is going on and when it will change.
And why are there always losers?
Dang, I should have bought 30 minutes ago… but now the price has gone up again?!
Happened to me yesterday: Every single trade that I entered was timed wrong. I could have gotten a much better fill 30 min later!
But: anger does not get us anywhere. Anger leads to revenge trading, which can lead to catastrophic losses.
Keep in mind:
Markets don’t know who you are.
Markets don’t care who you are.
Markets don’t know if you are in a winning or losing trade.
Markets don’t care if you try to push them around.
If you try to fight the markets, you’ll lose. It’s important not to let anger dictate your trades!
Emotion #5: Frustration
The last emotion on our list is frustration.
It’s easy to get frustrated with trading for the same reasons that I just mentioned:
You can never tell what is going on and when it will change.
And why are there always losers?
Dang, I should have bought 30 minutes ago… but now the price has gone up again?!
Some people react to these events with anger, others with frustration.
Frustration can lead to impulsive trading, and that’s not a good thing.
The best way to deal with frustration is to take some time out from the markets for a few hours or even days until your head clears up.
2. Understand The Effect of Emotions While Trading
In a moment, I’ll share a technique with you on how to control these emotions but let’s first talk about the effect of emotions on your trading.
It’s ok to have feelings. It’s ok to feel these emotions — these are HUMAN emotions. The problems start when you ACT on these emotions while trading.
As you have seen, each of these emotions is causing a reaction, and none of them is good. Emotions cause irrational behavior…
… which leads to impulsive decisions,
… which leads to and bad trades,
… that often leads to losses or drawdowns.
Emotions in trading can be the number one account killer, so you MUST be able to control them.
3. Control Your Emotions By using THIS technique
I have been trading for 20 years, and I still feel these emotions. They say you shouldn’t have any emotions while trading, and based on my experience, that’s not possible! The important thing is to make sure that you don’t ACT on your emotions.
So how can you control your emotions?
Stephen Covey said it best in his book “The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People”:
Focus on what you CAN control, and don’t worry about what you can’t control.
And if you think about it, there are only 2 things you CAN control:
Your Thoughts
Your Actions
You can’t control what the markets are doing, you can’t control whether Hindenburg Research is releasing a report on a company you’re in, you can’t control when a big hedge fund gets in trouble and has to dump a bunch of positions, but you can choose how you react.
Let me give you a personal example:
As you know, I am in RIDE .
And the position is MASSIVELY going against me.
I could be angry at short-sellers, especially Hindenburg Research.
I could be frustrated with Lordstowns PR efforts, which suck.
I could look at my unrealized loss every day and fear “What will happen it Lordstown doesn’t recover?”
I could have a lot of negative emotions around it, and NOTHING would change — other than me getting bitter, and maybe even depressed.
So I keep following my plan, which is selling more premium.
This week, I will make $1,050 on RIDE , no matter what the price is doing. If it goes up, good. If it goes down… oh well, I can’t change that.
I just know THIS:
I won’t let emotions dictate my day, and I won’t let emotions dictate my trading.
I believe the Serenity Prayer says it best:
“God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, courage to change the things I can, and wisdom to know the difference.“
3 Tips That Turned My Trading AroundHow did I get here? To moving from Germany in 2002 to the United States, and came here with $30,000 in my pocket.
I put $20,000 in my trading account, and I put away $10,000 for a living. It wasn’t easy in the beginning. It was quite challenging.
Now things are different. I mean, thus far in the first four weeks of 2021, I already made more money than I was able to put into my trading account in the very beginning.
I know if you are there in the beginning right now, you may have $10,000, $20,000, or maybe even only $5,000 or less to get started.
How do YOU get started? This is what I want to focus on in this article. You see, I’ve been trading for a long time and there are a lot of things that I’ve learned the hard way over the years, and I want to go over three very specific things that helped me to become a much better trader.
Don’t Focus On The Outcome Of Just ONE Trade
The first thing here is don’t focus on the outcome of one trade. You see, at the beginning of my trading career, I was really stuck on looking at what happens with just one trade, or what happened on just one particular day, but it is so important that you keep the longer range in perspective here.
Trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
One of the few certainties in trading is that there will be losing trades no matter how good you are, but instead of beating yourself up about the P&L (profit and loss) of one specific trade, keep your eyes on the bigger picture.
For example, I woke up one day, and I saw my account was down $12,000 and it actually got worse over the day getting as low as $17,000.
Now I could have chosen to panic and focus on the red, but you see, this is why I say trading is a marathon and not a sprint.
You need to focus on the broader performance over the course of a few days, a few weeks, or even a few months.
Usually when you look at your account and you look at the P&L, what are your eyes usually drawn to? The red, right? You will focus on the one trade that is not working out in your favor.
I can relate to this because I was just like this in the beginning. Think about it this way, your hand has five fingers. If you take a hammer and you smash on one of the fingers, you focus on the finger that hurts, and not on the other four that are fine. It’s human nature to focus on the bad stuff.
But you see, when you do this, you’re losing sight of all the other good trades and also how you’re doing over the course of the year.
This is super, super important, and you see, one of the keys to my success in trading is consistency and growing my account systematically.
I do this through SRC profits. SRC is an acronym. The S stands for systematic. I like to trade what I see and not what I think.
This is why use indicators and have a trading strategy that tells me what to trade when to enter, and when to exit.
The R in SRC profit stands for repeatable, by trading my plan. By trading and following my plan, I’m able to find repeatable, profit-making opportunities.
The C in SRC profits stands for consistency. You see, I’d rather make slightly less money more often than bite off all my nails waiting for the big winner. So focus on SRC profits. Systematic, repeatable, and consistent.
So remember, it is more important to focus on this than on one trade, right? We will have losing trades and it’s unavoidable.
Don’t Trade On Emotions
The second thing to remember is, don’t trade on emotions. When you’re trading with your hard-earned cash, there’s certain to be emotions involved. When trading there are two main emotions to deal with: fear and greed.
So as traders, we fear that we’ll have a loss, and lose money. There are actually two ways to control this fear.
Number one, you want to keep your losses small. While losses are part of the business, if you keep them small you won’t be afraid of them.
So I like to use, as a rule of thumb here, the 2% rule. The 2% rule means you never risk more than 2% of your account on any given trade. Think about it, if you have a $10,000 account, this translates into risking $200 per trade.
Let me ask you this. If you have $10,000 in your account and you’re risking $200, are you afraid of losses? Probably not, right? If you lose $200, it doesn’t wipe out your account. You can live to fight another day.
Now, number two is don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. I know you might have heard this before, but I just want to tell you a story from when I started. In the beginning, I scraped together $8,000 to start trading.
This is before I moved to the U.S. and got serious about trading, and trust me, I could not afford to lose this.
This was 23 years ago, and at that time I was 28. And when I was 28, 23 years ago, $8,000 was a lot of money for me.
It was everything that I had in my savings account, so this is why I was super nervous when I lost money. It made me cramp up and it paralyzed me. I was checking my account every few minutes, anxiously see what’s going on.
Have you ever done this? You check your account every 30 minutes? This is why it’s super important that you trade only with money that you can afford to lose.
I know easier said than done, but keep in mind, if you don’t do this it will actually hurt your trading.
On the other hand, there’s the fear of missing out or FOMO. That is another type of fear, which is really, really critical. This also happened to me at the very beginning of my trading career.
So you see, how many times have you seen a stock that has skyrocketed, and then you beat yourself up for not getting in?
If you’ve ever looked at a stock, see it take off without you, and thought, “Oh my gosh, I should get in” then tried to chase the stock higher, you’ve likely realized afterward that this was a problem.
A classic example of this that you might remember is the craziness that happened with GME, GameStop, not too long ago. People started getting in at $20, then $40, then some at $160.
Another typical example is Bitcoin. If you look back at Bitcoin here, what do you think? Where did most people get in in 2018? Did they get in when it was trading at $600 or $700, or did most people get in when Bitcoin was trading higher around $14,000, $15,000 maybe at $10,000?
Most recently Bitcoin went up from $10,000 to $17,000. Where did most people get in on this move? Probably closer when it was topping $38,000. See this is where it’s the fear of missing out.
For me, when I trade, I’m not going for these hot stocks. I like to trade based on my PowerX Optimizer and The Wheel strategy because they help me to keep my emotions out of my trading decisions by telling me what to trade, the best time to enter a trade, and the best time to exit.
You see, if a stock has moved past my entry, I’ll pass on the trade and wait for the next one, because there will always, always, always, always be another trade. Trust me on this one, because if you are looking at PowerX Optimizer, and you see when you run the scanner every day, it is showing you a bunch of symbols.
So for today, The PowerX Optimizer brought up seven symbols that I could have traded. Tomorrow it will be another two to eight. So obviously there is always another trade and this is why you shouldn’t be too scared.
This is the next one and it is a big one because after all, why do we trade? We trade to make money, right? But there’s a saying, “Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered.”
You see, as traders, we want to take the trade that makes the most money. We want to find the next Tesla, the next Bitcoin, maybe the next GameStop, but often times when we find them, we’re getting in way too late. So how do we battle this greed feeling? Well, this is where we focus on SRC profits and having a solid plan.
Have A Plan
This is actually the third thing that I’ve learned in my trading career. Have a trading plan, and don’t make it too complicated. A solid trading plan is a cornerstone of being a successful trader.
There have been times when somebody will buy a stock, and when I ask them when they’re going to sell they say, “When I made enough money” or as someone said to me recently, “After it went to the moon,” right?
When is this? Probably never. You got to have a plan and this is why I have these two trading strategies, which is The Wheel trading strategy, and it is the PowerX strategy.
So what is a trading plan? A trading plan tells you three things, and I’ve touched on these already. A trading plan tells you what to trade, when to enter, and when to exit.
When it comes to exiting, we exit either with a profit, or we are exiting with a loss because losses are part of our business as traders.
So let’s take a closer look at the three elements of this trading plan. First of all, what to trade. This is in general, a decision that you need to make. Are you going to trade options, stocks, or futures?
It’s important to define what you want to trade so that you don’t get distracted. See, for me personally, I trade stocks and I trade options.
I’m buying options according to the PowerX strategy, and I’m also selling options, according to the rules of The Wheel strategy.
Now, the next question is when exactly are you going to enter? And this is super important, think back to the idea of FOMO, the fear of missing out, right?
You need to know at what price you want to enter a trade and you need to be able to move on it so that you get in, right?
This is where limit orders come in handy. So this is where here for example, with when to enter I’m using again the PowerX Optimizer because it tells me exactly what is the option premium that I should be getting in order to achieve my goals.
So for me, it is super important to have a tool that gives you this information and not guessing when you should get in.
This is why for me, it helps me tremendously to do this on indicators, and the indicators that I like to follow are the RSI, the Stochastics, and the MACD.
By doing this, you see, I can take the emotions out of trading which was rule number two. This is where, again, the PowerX Optimizer for me is an indispensable tool.
Originally it was just programmed for me, my head coach Mark Hodge, and my son a few years ago. Now it’s available for everyone. It saves me hours and hours because it scans for me.
Since I have my rules in place, I can quickly scan the charts to see what I’ll trade and what I won’t trade which makes my life so much easier.
You need a great trading strategy, you need to have professional tools, and you need to have the right mindset.
We can talk about strategies until we are blue in the face, but if you are not following the strategy, it is absolutely useless.
What else does a trading strategy have to tell us? Well, this is where we’ll talk about exiting, and we need to know when to exit either with a profit, and in order to define this, we are using a profit target, or with a loss. For exiting with a loss, I always like to use, when it is possible, to have a stop loss.
Using the logic “when I make enough money” is not a proper exit strategy. I know this because I did that in the beginning, and I was just swinging for the fences.
I entered a trade risking $100 and I wanted to make $10,000, but it doesn’t work this way.
Now, what are great exits? How can you define exits? There are several ways. You can use support and resistance, right?
What are tools for exit rules? You can go for a certain percentage, it really depends on what works best for you. For me, it is a profit target and a stop loss based on the average daily range.
The average daily range measures how much a stock move from top to the bottom, and a good rule of thumb is for a stop loss, you use one times the ADR, and for a profit target, you would use two times the ADR.
For example, let’s pretend the ADR is 40 points, or instead of 40 points we could just say $40. So this means that my stop loss should be when the stock moves down $40. So if I have an entry of $850, we minus $40, this means at $810 I would get out.
Now for my profit target, I would use two times my stop loss. So here in this case it would be $80. So again, if right now, my entry would be $850 plus these $80, right? So I would exit at $920.
Now let’s just say I’m trading 10 shares, right? So this means that I would lose $400 if I’m wrong, but I would make $800 when I’m right. So I’m making twice as much on my winning trades than I lose on my losing trades. So stop loss and profit target based on the ADR.
Now for The Wheel strategy, I do it slightly differently. For this strategy, I use 90% of the max profit. I can’t stress enough how important it is to be prepared when you are trading. If you’re trading without a plan, you’re failing. If not in the short term, then for sure in the longer term.
Summary
So brief summary. What are the three things that really turned my trading around? Let’s quickly summarize it.
Number one, don’t focus on the outcome of one trade. Number two, don’t trade on emotions. And number three, have a trading plan. So these are the three tips that really turned my trading around, and I hope that this helps and that it helps you also to take your trading to the next level.
Optimized strategy is here + Midweek outlook! part 1 Hello, in this video I go over the optimized strategy and explain my thought process when entering a trade with this smooth like butter method of trading haha.
If you're planning on trading with my strategy, feel free to ask for help and listen closely. There are key details in this video, take notes if you have to, I note in the video what is important and what is minor knowledge! thank you for watching.. please refer to part 2!
How I Find The Best Trades Every Time: My 3 Step SystemOn my $500,000 margin account thus far, I’ve realized more than $65,000. Now, I put $250,000 in cash into this, and since it is a margin account I got $500,000 in buying power.
Today I want to show you my three-step process of how exactly I find these trades, and I want to show you two very specific examples of trades that I took today (At the time of this writing on April 15th, 2021). So let’s take a look at how I found and executed these trades with this three-step approach.
Step Number One: Find The Right Stocks
So step number one is where I use the tool, the PowerX Optimizer, and the Wheel Scanner.
I want to show you exactly what this does because the strategy that I use is called The Wheel Strategy. This strategy means that you are first selling puts to collect premium.
The second part of this strategy is, you may or may not get assigned the stock. If you do get assigned, you move on to the third step where you sell covered calls.
So here is exactly what I do, and what I did this morning. The scanner within the PowerX Software updates every two minutes and shows me a list of stocks that meet my criteria.
What criteria am I’m looking for? I want to make at least 30 percent annualized in premium that I would collect. So here’s what I do. First of all, I know that the stocks the scanner pulls up already meet my criteria.
Then I look at the charts to identify support and resistance, mainly support, which is actually step number two.
Step Number Two: Look For Support
I look to see if there is any support. This helps me figure out if I want to own the stock at the strike price that comes up on the scanner.
So for example, American Airlines came up with a strike price, as you can see, of 20 or 20.5. So the key question here is, “Do I want to own (AA) at the price of $20.5?”
Well, looking back at American Airlines to pre-pandemic levels in 2019. I see that American Airlines has been trading very solidly between $26 and $38.
So it seems to be a good company to buy at $20.50. Again, this is my main criteria here, deciding if I want to own the stock at the strike price. However, in the short run, I believe with all of the uncertainty that is going on with the pandemic right now, that the airlines might be hurt.
I mean, you might have heard a few days ago that Johnson and Johnson’s vaccine got labeled as potentially dangerous, and therefore it is paused right now.
It also seems that around the world, the outbreaks are flaring up here in the United States. It seems to be under control, but worldwide there’s a problem. So do I really want to own American Airlines?
They dropped down as low as $8. So is this a good price to own them? This is where I can flag them as saying yes, no, or maybe.
Now let’s talk about the two stocks that came up this morning that I liked (April 15th, 2021). The first one was (PLAY). So PLAY, Dave and Busters, came up with a strike price of 41.50. This is where I thought, “do I want to own PLAY at $41.50?”
I looked back and zoomed out a little bit to pre-pandemic times before the coronavirus hit. They have traded solidly around $38. They’ve been trading as high as $64. I thought about if I’d be OK owning PLAY, at $41.50.
So this is where I sold puts that expire next Friday. So the idea here is that we are staying above $41.50 by next Friday. So here is what happens if I’m right. I sold 24 contracts and I sold them at 50 cents each. Since options come in hundred packs, that’s $50. So the premium collected for 24 contracts, times $50, is $1,200.
$1,200 for a little bit over a week, with today being April the 15th. It expires on April 23rd. So in 8 days, this is not bad at all. Right? This means that I’m making $150 a day.
Now, if it closes below $41.50 I get assigned, and I am okay with this because this is where I decided I want to own the stock at $41.50.
The other one that popped up this morning was Schwab (SCHW). Schwab reported earnings and as a result of this. They plummeted down and there was some really good premium in there, so I sold the 63.50. I sold 16 contracts for 14 cents. Now, this is expiring tomorrow, so this is a different play, right?
The premium I collected here was $224. So obviously way less than the premium that I collected here for PLAY, but this is a play that expires tomorrow. So we want to make sure that tomorrow, April 16th, if Schwab closes above $63.50 I just collect the premium and have nothing else to do. If Schwab goes below 63.50 by tomorrow this is when I get assigned.
So the important criteria here is, for the Wheel Scanner, is the so-called premium per day, or PPD. So in order for my account size to make the 30 percent annualized in premium I want to see at least $100 per day.
So with PLAY, I’ll collect $1,200 in 8 days, when it expires next Friday. This means that we are looking at $150 per day. Then we had Schwab, and we collected $224. If we count today, this makes 2 days, so this brings our PPD to $112.
So my goal is to collect $100 per day, and I want to be in 5 positions at any given time. So if we can do this, this would be $500 per day. $500 per day (this includes weekends), for 365 days, comes to over $180,000 per year, and I’m doing this on a $250,000 cash account, which is a $500,000 margin account.
So, and as you can see, this is a little bit more than the 30 percent annualized, as you can see here.
If we divide $180,000 by $500,000, then we see it is 36 percent. So there we go. You know what, sometimes I achieve the goal, sometimes I don’t. Well so far, this year, I’ve realized $65,000 in profits. So this is REALIZED profits. Now I do have unrealized profits and losses, and we’ll see how this turns out.
And this is in 4 and a half months. So I’m basically on track to make a little bit more than the 36 percent here that I have as a goal. I’m on track to make probably around $200,000 for the year.
Step Number 3: Any Negative News?
This step involves checking to see if there is any negative news. Here’s how I do this. I just Google the stock and click on “News.” When you click on “news,” it shows you the Google searched for news articles, and you can scan these for any negative news.
What I’m mainly concerned about here are lawsuits, and clinical trials. When they have a clinical trial, they can either go very well or very badly. Possible bankruptcies, bankruptcy. So these are the key things that I’m looking for when I look for negative news.
Summary
So how do I find the best trades to trade? My three-step process is I like to make my life simple and easy by using the PowerX Optimizer and running the Wheel Scanner, because I want to make, on a $250,000 cash account, around $180,000 per year.
That would be $15,000 dollars per month. For me, this is trading for a living. I can cover my living expenses with $15,000 per month.
Step number one is where I get the technical criteria. Next is where you look for support and decide if you want to own the stock at the strike price. This is where you simply go through the scanner and say, “yes, no, or maybe.”
Finally, is there any negative news? Because if it is too good to be true it is. You should definitely look up stocks on Google, click on “news.” So you can just read through this fairly quickly and make an informed decision.
So that’s basically it. This is my three-step approach to finding the best trades.
Best moving averages strategyhere you will the best trading strategy based on exponentional moving averages
you will 3 moving averages
EMA : 50
EMA : 25
EMA : 10
when EMA 10 cross both EMA 25 AND 50 you will open a trade
Take profit 90 pips
stop loss : below last low for buy trade
above last high for sell trade
exit trade also on opposite cross
recommended to use trailing stop to secure profits
This strategy have up to 90% success rate
use it on demo to become familiar with it for at least 2 weeks
if you like my strategy you can like and share and if you find it profitable and help you to make profits you can offer me some coins cheers
best regards
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www.tradingview.com
My Planning Process Revealed In 4 Simple StepsIn this article, I want to show you exactly how I am planning to achieve more in 12 weeks than others achieve in 12 months.
First of all, I’m not saying that I’m an expert on goal setting, because I’m not. I’m just sharing the planning process that works for me, it might be completely different for you.
The Most Important Thing For Me In My Planning Process
One of the things that I have learned over the years that works best for me is, I don’t create a plan for everything. Let me explain what I mean by this.
Many, years ago, I heard about a concept that they use in the military, which is called Backwards Planning. And you might have heard about this.
Backwards Planning
The idea here is that you start with the exact goal in mind and then plan backwards.
I have heard this example many years ago where it was used in the military where they say, for example, let’s say you want to invade a camp on the enemy’s territory.
So the idea here now, is to go backward and say, “OK, what exactly has to happen right before you invade the camp?” Well, this is where obviously you need to have your troops surrounding the camp.
Then you go one step backward. What needs to happen before you have your troops surrounding the camp? And I’m making this up here as we go. I don’t recall this example exactly.
I was not in the military, this is just an example that I’ve heard. So in order to surround this camp with your troops, what do you need to do? You need to get your troops to that camp that you want to invade.
In order to do this, first of all, let’s assume that this is on foreign soil, so you need to get your troops to foreign soil. So this is what the military often uses, so I was told, which is backward planning.
The idea here with backwards planning is that you create a detailed step by step plan of what to do.
Here’s one of the challenges. I don’t do this, because based on my experience, the problem with this is what do you do if something goes wrong?
So let’s say that one of the first steps is that you are getting your troops on foreign soil, well what happens if somehow you can’t because there’s bad weather or you’re getting attacked?
This is where I found that often when you do this, the whole plan becomes kind of useless. This is where for me, I figured out that planning can be overwhelming. It can make the process daunting and can make me feel paralyzed.
I don’t know about you, but what happened in the past before I did what I’m about to show you here is, I got paralyzed. I never achieved my goals because I couldn’t get over the first hurdle of planning.
I want to show you exactly what I do these days to avoid this.
4 Steps To My Planning Process
Step One: I write down my goal.
Step Two: I plan the next two to three steps, and here’s why.
My idea is, and this is what I found to be true, when I walk the first steps the path will reveal itself.
Imagine walking down a foggy path. You don’t actually see the end of the path where it is leading.
When I have a goal, I realized that when I plan out the first few steps and start walking, as soon as I get towards the end where I can see, the path will again reveal itself.
So this is where, going back to my planning process, it works really for me to plan the next two to three steps.
Step Three: I take action and complete these steps.
Step Four: When the fog starts clearing and I see the next step, then I add more steps or to dos to it.
Planning Process Example
This article is all about my planning process and how to achieve more in 12 weeks than most people achieve in 12 months. So let me give you a very specific example of how I’m doing this.
One of my goals is to buy a resort in Mexico.
Goal & Overview
Usually I write myself a quick overview of what is it that I want to achieve. I’m meeting with my private Mastermind members usually three times per year in exotic locations to trade, relax and make money together.
In the past, we have done it in the Cayman Islands, Bahamas, Puerto Rico, and Mexico and other locations, but finding a hotel with reliable Wi-Fi as well as getting all of our equipment there has been really challenging.
Right now I think that there’s a tremendous opportunity because I know for a fact that the travel and hospitality industry is hurt because of Covid-19.
I don’t know for a fact, but there might be a possibility to buy a hotel or resort for $0.60 to $0.70 on the dollar. So if that’s the case, it would be possible to make a 50% ROI within one to two years and that’s not bad at all, right?
It could be even more, it could be 100%. So this is now where I write down a few to dos.
This is where it goes back to my planning process. So I write down my goal and an overview of what I want to accomplish.
So now you know why I’m doing this, what I want to accomplish here, and now I plan the next two to three steps.
Planning Process Steps
My first step is I want to get an idea of what kind of investment is needed. Is a resort around one million dollars? Two million dollars? Is it more, is it less?
Then I want to get an idea if this is at all possible to make money with, because ultimately if I can make money with it, why wouldn’t I do it?
I mean, just having a hotel to have a hotel does not make sense. So what’s the best location? The location should be up to 1,000 miles away from Austin and here’s why.
I’m planning to buy a plane, and this plane that I have in mind right now has a reach of 1,000 miles.
So I’m looking at possibly Mexico, Puerto Rico, Belize, Dominican Republic, Honduras, who knows. This is where I first wanted to find out what a possible price point is?
Last weekend I was in Sacramento meeting with my head coach Mark, my CEO Debbie, and marketing director Jared. I shared this crazy idea with them and we had some fun looking for hotels online.
Based on my research, I’ve found it’s probably between 1 to 2 million dollars that I would have to invest for anywhere between 20 and 30 rooms.
That was fairly easy and only took me a few hours. I can now move on to the next step in the planning process.
Now the question is, is it possible at all to make money with this? Because if not, then I can stop right here.
Does It Make Sense?
I have been investing in apartment complexes for the past five years. To give you an example, I bought an apartment complex with 48 units here in Austin for 2.3 million dollars.
I’m making $30,000 in rent per month so I know how to run this.
$30,000 in rent per month is covering my financing, which is a mortgage, also insurance. This is also taking care of the property management, utilities, maintenance, renovations as well as capital improvements.
Now I know, having an apartment complex is not the same as running a hotel or resort, but I just wanted to see if this is feasible, and in a moment, I’ll show you why this is making sense.
So you see, I already know on 48 units, which is quite a lot, on $30,000, I can do all of this and I’m making a profit. So that’s good, not a big profit but I’m making a profit.
Now the question is if I need $30,000, let’s divide this by 30 days because now we are going to the resort, this means that I would have to bring in $1,000 in revenue per day.
The resorts that I started to look into were around 26 rooms, 17 rooms, 22 rooms, so let’s just say that I will find something around the 2 million dollar mark that has maybe 25 rooms.
This is what I’m looking for. So the key question is, can I make $1,000 per day in revenue, not in profits, with 25 rooms? It sounds like it’s possible, right?
Again, I have no clue. There’s probably more vacancy, but if I can rent out half of the rooms every day, so 50% vacancy, and I rent them out for $80 per day, this means that I would have rented 12 rooms for $80, which is $1,000.
I know that there’s housekeeping, so there’s probably more than property management and maintenance, right?
But I believe that these are quite realistic assumptions. If they are not, and if you have experience in this space, leave me a comment below and let me know.
Summary
Here’s the important thing. Let’s tie this back to what today’s show is all about, right? How I get more done in 12 weeks than most people get in 12 months.
Now, here’s the deal. How long did it take me to do the first two things thus far? Well, I can tell you four to five hours. And now I know whether it makes sense to pursue it before I go down a rabbit hole.
What is my point with all of this? My point is to stick to something really, really simple when going through the planning process.
Keep it easy where you set a goal, then plan the next two to three steps.
Or if you want to go crazy, as I did here, we could do three to five steps.
Then the most important thing is to take action and complete these first steps. Once you do this, you’ll see whether it makes sense and you can plan the next three to five steps and complete this process.
Best Brokerage Account 2021Let’s talk about the best brokerage account, and in order to do this, I want to compare five different brokers for you.
I’ll be comparing tastyworks, the current broker that I’m currently trading with, Robinhood because many traders are using it, TD Ameritrade because it’s wildly popular, Interactive Brokers because it’s great for international traders, and we will talk about a new broker that I’ve been using for the past couple of months, so I have an account with them.
I want to talk about this and compare them to the others and tell you why I really like this new broker and why I’m in the process of switching over all my accounts.
The first thing to keep in mind when you’re comparing different brokers, you have to pick criteria that fit your needs.
These are my criteria and they might be great for you, or your criteria may be different. So what I’m looking for when finding the best broker.
My Criteria For Selecting A Broker
So the first thing that I would like to know is how much do I have to pay in commissions per month? I use a certain baseline for this.
With my current broker, tastyworks, I looked back over the past three months and I wanted to see how much I spent. From 1/1 through 3/31 I made 150 trades and traded 1,665 contracts.
So I use this as my baseline in order to compare these different brokers. I took to see what if I make 150 trades, or 50 trades per month and 500 contracts that I’m trading per month.
Again, for you, it might be different, but we need to have somehow a baseline, especially when we are comparing the commissions per month that I’m spending right now, that I would be spending on Robinhood, TD Ameritrade, interactive brokers, and this new broker that I’m trading with.
Now, every single broker has some other fees, and you need to see which of these fees are important to you. Here are the ones that are important to me.
I want to know if there any wire fees and if so, how much are they?
Also, are there any assignment fees? Assignment fees are important to me because I’m trading The Wheel Strategy, and part of this strategy is getting assigned shares, so I want to know how much this will be.
Information about their customer support is also important to me. What happens if I need help and I need to call or e-mail them? Do they have an online chat feature? So this is important for me.
What about the platform? Every single broker offers a platform for you, so which one best fits your needs?
This is where we get a little bit more technical because I want to talk about levels three and four. What does this mean?
Well, it means that, especially when you are selling options which you do with The Wheel Strategy, you need certain option trading permissions, so you want to know how easily can you get level three and four if this is important to you.
Now, last but not least, I love having live data. I don’t know about you, but I want to make sure that live data available with these brokerages.
I also want to know how much it costs if anything. So let’s get started and let’s talk about the first broker here, tastyworks.
tastyworks
I am currently using tastyworks, and I know exactly how much money I spent on tastyworks.
On this particular account, I spent $550 dollars in commissions.
For the baseline of 50 trades and 500 contracts per month, I spent around $180 in commissions.
Now for tastyworks, how much are wire fees? When I wire money out, which is once a month, it costs me $25.
What about the assignment fees? The assignment fees for tastyworks are $5. I want to explain to you exactly how they are charging.
So with tastyworks, they charge $1 per contract and they do have a $10 maximum. So you’re never paying more than $10.
Even if you’re trading 50 contracts, you will only pay $10.
They also have no closing fees and this applies to options trading. For stock trading, these days, trading stocks is free pretty much everywhere.
So we want to worry about options here because that’s what I’m mainly trading.
What about customer support? I must say their support is good. The experiences that I have had thus far when I contact them by chat are very quick.
When contacting them through chat, they usually only have me on hold for three to ten minutes.
Now, what I do not like about tastyworks? You cannot call them, and sometimes I would rather speak with someone on the phone, so this is why I’m not labeling it “very good,” I’m just labeling it as “good” because you can’t call them.
As for their platform, I think it is pretty good. However, I’m just using a fraction of the platform, so for me, the most important function is actually placing trades.
I’m not using any of the complicated curves that you can have and all of the analysis tools, but again, if this is important to you, then you need to make sure that this platform meets all of your needs.
For me, it does what I need it to do, which is entering trades.
Now level three and four is actually something that is quite easy to obtain with tastyworks. So no problems there, and live data is actually free.
Robinhood
As for Robinhood, how much would you pay in commissions per month? Well, Robinhood has always advertised you pay zero commissions, and that is true. For options trading, you also pay zero dollars, which is actually pretty cool.
Wire fees are a whopping zero dollars with assignment fees being zero dollars. So thus far Robinhood is really good in terms of commissions, right?
Well, what about customer support? Now, full disclosure, I do not have an account with Robinhood, so I’ve never contacted them, but based on what I have heard, it is pretty bad.
What about based on what I’ve seen? I don’t know if you’ve been following the news, but back when we had the GME craziness, Robinhood restricted trading for several days.
I don’t think that was fair. I don’t think that they should have done that, but they did.
This makes it seem to me they don’t have their customers in mind. Now, again, full disclosure, I don’t have an account with them and never contacted them. I’ve just heard that customer support is pretty bad.
What about the platform? I don’t know first hand, but I’ve heard it’s good. Again, this is where I go from hearsay because I don’t have an account with Robinhood, never had one, & don’t want one.
In terms of levels three and four, I heard from traders who have an account with them say it is fairly difficult to obtain levels three and four.
If you’re trading The Wheel Strategy, this is super important. As for their live data, it’s free.
TD Ameritrade
Now on to TD Ameritrade. How much would you spend with TD Ameritrade based on my baseline? You would pay 65 cents per the contract that you trade.
So if you’re trading like me, 500 contracts per month, times 65 cents, that comes to $325.
What about the wire fee? The wire fees here are also $25, the same as with tastyworks, but assignment fees are zero.
Now, what about customer support? Customer support used to be good. Right now I would say it is decent.
There was a time when you could call them they would pick right up. These days you are probably on hold for anywhere between 15 minutes and 2 hours because they got bought by Charles Schwab.
There seems to be a lot of consolidation going on and because of this, and because of this, it seems that customer support is suffering.
What about the platform? ThinkOrSwim is probably one of the most powerful trading platforms out there, and it is fairly complex.
For me, I just need to enter simple orders such as buy and sell orders. So for me personally, it is too complex.
It took me a long time to learn it. For those of you who have ThinkOrSwim, you either love it or you hate it. Either way, it is so complex, so you probably had to spend hours and hours learning it.
Levels three and four are fairly simple to acquire, and also live data here is free.
Interactive Brokers
Now with Interactive Brokers, I personally do have three accounts. I’ve been using them since 1999.
They’re a great choice for international traders. However, Interactive Brokers charges 65 cents per contract.
So very similar here to TD Ameritrade. If I would trade on Interactive Brokers I would actually spend $325.
The wire fee here is a little bit cheaper, $10. The assignment fees, if you get assigned, are zero.
Now their customer support, based on my experience is pretty bad. I’ve tried contacting them by chat, by phone, by email, and if you’re trying to contact them by chat, you will most likely be on hold for at least 20 minutes.
If you try to contact them by phone it is not unusual to wait 30 to 60 minutes until you get connected.
Their platform here is actually simple to use, but I find it’s pretty clunky. So just if you want my opinion and again, this is just my opinion.
You on the other hand might find this platform blazing fast and think it’s the best trading platform there is.
Now, in terms of levels three and four, yes, it is fairly easy to obtain, but they charge you $14.50 for live data, so just keep this in mind.
This is a monthly fee so you just need to know what you need.
So with the new broker, and I’ll tell you in a moment who that is, but when I saw all this mess going on in February where several brokers restricted trading, I said, “you know what, this is not fair.”
When I heard from some of you say, “My broker suddenly raised the margin requirements and I didn’t have a margin problem before and now I have a margin call,” or that you’re on hold forever before you get any customer support, I set out to find a great broker, and here is the new broker that I’m currently using.
Tradier
The new broker that I’m using is Tradier. I will move all of my accounts over to them because of what they’re offering.
The commission per month, it’s a $10 flat fee. $10 no matter how many options you trade.
This is a special rate for those of you reading these articles, and following me on YouTube.
So I think it is an absolutely cool model because it is a flat fee no matter how many contracts you trade.
Now, this, of course, is great if you are trading a lot of contracts like me. You have seen it, 500 contracts per month, with 150 trades, so I’m a very, very active trader.
I think it is absolutely cool that instead of paying $180 per month, all I’m paying right now is a $10 flat fee. That is pretty cool.
Now the wire fees are a little bit more expensive. The wire fees are $35, but again, I’m using it once a month.
So, therefore, if I’m adding this up, all right, and I say, well, that is $205 per month versus $45 a month, and for me, that adds up.
Right. It’s only a $10 difference from tastyworks, and I’m not wiring money in and out like crazy. I’m just wiring it out once a month and that is okay.
So the assignment fee here is a little bit higher, at $9 as of right now. So over the past three months, I had 3 wires and I had 8 assignments.
This is for the year. This means that per month I have 1 wire and approximately 3 assignments.
So as you can see, this is why the assignment costs here for me are not that important.
Again, these are my numbers, your numbers might be completely different, and that is fine.
This is where the cool thing is you have probably your brokerage account statement, so you can take a look at that, and then you know exactly how much you’re paying right now.
So the customer support, I must say based on my experience, over the past two months that I’ve been using them, is awesome.
What do I mean by awesome? By awesome I mean that I can pick up the phone right now.
I can call them, and within two to three rings, somebody picks up. The customer support team is in North Carolina, so I’m not going overseas, they are here in the United States.
They have been super responsive by email and by phone. I don’t even know if they offer a chat on the website because I was just so happy that I can finally talk to somebody.
Again, I’m coming from tastyworks, and on tastyworks, I’ve never, ever been able to talk to somebody because their business model is that they’re all doing it by chat, so I love this.
What about their platform? Their platform is simple, and in my opinion, it is super easy to learn.
So you can learn this platform in literally 10 minutes because that’s what they do. They just say, hey, if you want to enter trades, which I want to do, it’s fine.
They don’t have all of the bells and whistles that the other platforms have. So I would say it’s more comparable to Robinhood instead of a platform like TD Ameritrade because with Robinhood you just enter the trade and it is good.
So it’s simple and easy, does the trick for me.
Levels three and four are super easy to get. And live data is free. So this is what this new broker is all about.
For our members, we have created in our private community a special discussion group, and in this discussion group, we are here to help you, support you, with this particular brokerage. Which again is called Tradier.
So, for example, people have been asking if they open an account for business, an LLC for example? And the answer is yes. So you can ask us if you want to, of course, you can contact them.
So this is what we have here. We have a Tradier discussion group.
We do have tutorials for you such as videos on how to open an account, how to set up a paper trading account, and that reminds me, they offer paper trading. As you know, I highly recommend that you trade on a paper trading account first.
There are also videos on how to fund your Tradier account, how to place a stock entry order for the PowerX Strategy, how to place options order for the PowerX Strategy, entering orders for The Wheel Strategy, how to check your positions.
Summary
OK. So, again, my promise is to show you the best broker and this is the best broker for my needs. Now, for your needs, it might be different, but I thought that I compare here that the top five brokers that most traders are using right now.
Order box trading This is educational :)
You can see that the price is a bit "blurry" at the first order box. Why is this?
Financial institutes never invest their whole money at the same time to get "stopped out" or "margin called". They do this to check how the price is reacting to their orders. For example, if they want to invest 100 million euros in a long position; firstly 20m, then 30, and then 50.
This "blurr" will form what we call the order box.
Now, what happens?
All of the orders will not go to reality. maybe only 70% will. Then, when the price touches this order box area, the price will bump again as a consequence of all the underlying orders. This is what you see at the "support order box". Same thing at the top.
Steps to spot these:
1, find the "blurr"
2, watch for confirmation (aka = second time it touches)
3, trade the 3rd, or 2nd if u are brave, it touches this box.
4, place stop loss just above the box
But what for take profit?
Place it in either the other side of the box, or eventually, at 0,618 of Fibonacci. I use this to trade with the trend and not against it.
Questions? Ask them in the comment area :D
How amateurs design a strategy versus how masters do itThe amateur gets this really no brain system where an indicator or chart pattern or robot or telegram sends them a signal then it's just a matter of placing a limit order with target and stop loss. And walk away to avoid messing with it because of "emotions". And it is the same process for every strategy no matter what any instrument etc you name it.
Well to be fair 100% of the amateur strategies are the same: Reversal. Buy if price go down, Sell if price go up. They found the holy grail of my.
They actually even pat themselves on the back for having something this simple.
And it does not even end there. Adding insult to injury, they actually try to simplify it.
Reminds me of these day traders that made sure their emotions would not get in the way and "just left the computer and when I come back it will all be better", and when they came back they had lost everything.
On the opposite the master first of all has a different process for every strategy, he will not trade a pullback the same way he does a breakout.
The setup that he can get anywhere he wants it does not matter, this is just the 1rst step of here I mentionned 14.
I cannot make it simpler than this, al these steps are necessary. Once the setup is here and correlations, quality, and the stop is checked, you need some conditions to enter, you can't just "simplify" and remove this step, nor the stop, nor the quality of the setup one does not simply pick any piece of junk that presents itself.
Not only for each strategy there is a different process. But for each instrument too, now now in Forex majors they all behave in a similar manner so we don't have to completely re-invent the wheel each time. But if one looked at stocks the time frame is different, breakouts do not act the same way, pullbacks are smaller maybe, trends obviously are much stronger and one can keep adding, if you keep adding in FX well good luck! They don't go very far.
Also for 1 instrument and strategy the 14 steps are not the same each time: Depending on step "quality" or "entry conditions" for example, what follows will vary,
if you entered a breakout early on and answered to the question "Where can I hope target is?" with "far" then the trailing will be a different sub-process supported by experience + excel statistics + intuition + current conditions. Usually Forex at around 5R I stop adding and I get a tighter stop, but if the target is far and China said they are selling then I will hold on get a wider not tighter stop and add more and aim for the moon.
It's such a lack of respect that novices expect it to be simple and try even to simplify it, "all you have to do is control your emotions".
Same thing as a clown that learns chess moves by heart then expects he can play against GM.
Same thing as a clown that thinks he does not need a lawyer all he needs is "the book of laws" and defends himself.
Same thing as all the clowns and conspiracy theorists that self diagnose, in 5 minutes and call it a day too. And ignore counterproof.
You can't even write it down, not even code a program, each if leads to 10 new if, one would have to spend a lifetime or writing IFs and GOTOs, and it would still miss intuition and current news/conditions/ the current paradigm.
It is a long road and there is not a big magical wormhole shortcut.
Jesse Livermoore ended up having to sell trading courses, but I don't think he ever said it was simple and you should "not overcomplicate it", did he?
In the case of gold:
Since 80% think in terms of winrate they see that often the robot thing works, or the exiting winner early thing also has a high winrate.
But their brain basically has a bug, a manufacturing error, and this is a bad method, which is why over time they lose money.
I'm not the one saying it, scientists are saying the brain of most people has a built-in error, not adapted to the modern world or to reality.
Not 1 in 5 new traders will bother calculating the stats for the entry. And not 1 in 5 of those will bother calculating the stats for trailing stop and adding.
Either by going with excel enter the numbers to get the stats, or spending enough time to gain experience. They'd love to buy these stats somewhere with a clic I am sure.
1 in 5 times 1 in 5 here you're about at 5% left already.
This is the hardest game in the world, not the easiest. My eyes hurt when I see certain claims I swear...
Are Trading Courses Worth It?So let’s talk about trading courses. Are these trading courses really worth it?
As you know, there’s definitely no shortage of them out there.
With all these free videos out there, do you really need to buy a trading course, and if so, what is the best trading course?
What Is The “Best” Trading Course?
Let’s actually start with the elephant in the room. Which trading course is the best?
This is one of the questions that always hear, as well as, “Which trading course should I buy?” and “What is the best trading course?”
Here’s something that may surprise you. There is no “best” trading course. You see there’s only “best for you.”
So what does this mean? This is where many traders make a mistake in the beginning. You need to know what you want from a course before you buy it.
So what do you want from a course? You probably want to make a lot of money, and that’s cool, but how exactly do you want to do this?
Criteria To Consider
Let’s go over some criteria. What do you want to trade? I mean, do you want to trade stocks, or do you want to trade options?
Maybe you don’t care and you just want to trade whatever makes the most money, and that’s cool, we can talk about this.
Do you want to day trade or do you want to swing trade? What’s the difference? When day trading, you need to be able to spend time in front of the computer.
You might not be in the position right now to be able to do this, to be in front of the computer. So, therefore, swing trading might be better suited for you.
Another important factor to consider, your account size. Do you have a small or large account?
This is important to consider depending on your goal. Are you trading for growth, meaning that you want to grow your account, or are you trading for income?
So do you want to have a strategy that you can trade on a larger account, like a $200,000-$400,000 account, or are you in the stage in your trading life where you have a rather small account of maybe $5,000 or $10,000 and you want to grow it?
These are important criteria to consider when deciding what the best trading course is for you. There is no one-size-fits-all trading course.
I mean, I would love to tell you, “you know what? I have the perfect trading course for you.” This actually might be true depending on your criteria. It’s really super important that you understand what to look for when you look for a training course.
Let me give you just a few more criteria that I think are universal criteria for any training course.
For example, is the instructor of the training course a real trader? I mean, is he actually putting money on the line?
Is he trading a real account? Or is he just showing you woulda, coulda, shoulda trades and say,
“You know what? Here is how much money you could have made if you bought Tesla last year and now it is up, 500%” or something like this?”
So is the instructor actually placing real trades so that you see he is actually trading for income?
That’s actually a bonus, right? So I would say, are they trading for income? How is the instructor making money?
Because honestly, I think if you can’t make it as a trader, if you cannot trade for income, you have no business teaching others.
In my opinion, one criteria of great trading courses are those that provide coaching and support. Now let’s talk about are trading courses worth it?
Are Trading Courses Worth It?
So let’s talk about this and let’s be honest. There are many free resources available out there.
Especially on YouTube. This is where I think it is very important that you don’t feel pressured to buy anything just yet, especially if you’re a beginner or new to trading.
You want to have a basic understanding first.
You want to learn some basics like how to place an order. You should learn the difference between a call option and a put option?
What is theta in options? So for basic stuff like this, I don’t believe that you need to pay anybody anything.
I mean, on my Youtube channel there are probably more than 700 videos you can watch, all for free.
Here’s the important thing. Trading courses, or no trading courses. Trading courses are not the magic bullet that will solve all your problems, and here’s why.
You see, trading is a skill. Think about it, how do you acquire a skill? Do you acquire skills from just reading a book or watching a video? No, you actually have to do it.
If I wanted to learn how to paint, is it enough if I just read a book on how to paint to become a great painter?
No, I have to try it. If you want to learn how to play golf should you just get a book that tells you how to play golf, and you read the book and now you can magically play golf and participate in tournaments?
No. Same in trading, right?
Trading is a skill like everything else, and so I hate to break it to you, but there are no shortcuts to success.
You have to put in the work. It not what you want to hear, but if you were hoping that I give you the magic course that automatically makes your money hand over fist, honestly it doesn’t exist.
A trading course teaches you the basics and it teaches you some tips, but you have to learn how to trade for yourself.
How do you do this? The best way to do this is on a simulator. I want to give you a very specific example from my personal life right now.
My daughter is 15, her name is Vivian, and Vivian has a learner’s permit. She would like to get to her driver’s license once she’s 16.
Now, there is the possibility that parents, here in Texas at least, can teach their kids how to drive.
So I am Vivian’s instructor, and so I am sitting next to her in the car, but she has to drive. What we are doing right now, we are putting in 50 hours of driving.
Vivian has a little spreadsheet on the back of her door to her room where she’s marking off every time that we are driving for an hour.
I wish that this would exist for traders, that they have to put in at least 50 hours on a simulator with an experienced instructor before they trade live, but unfortunately, this is not how it works.
We do 50 hours of driving, and out of these, we have our goals.
For example, we will do 10 hours of night driving, because driving at night, as you can imagine, is different than driving throughout the day.
We will also do 10 hours of interstate driving. If you’re on the interstate you need different skills because now suddenly everything is much faster.
This is how we have broken it down into different skills that she needs to acquire.
So are trading courses worth it? To recap what I mentioned earlier, I believe that trading courses are worth it, and here’s why, with a few “IF’s.”
I believe a trading course is worth it IF the instructor is an experienced trader. Think about it, I mean, in order to be able to teach my daughter Vivian how to drive, I need to be an experienced driver.
I need to have a driver’s license. I need to have a spotless record otherwise, I wouldn’t be allowed to teach her, right?
If you want to learn golf, wouldn’t you hire an experienced golfer instead of just asking, your neighbor? I believe this is important because after all, we want to make money with trading.
Now, the other important thing is, trading courses are worth it if the instructor can give you shortcuts.
So what do I mean by this? I mean, you can acquire any skill on your own.
I believe this. I believe that probably you could learn how to play golf if you read a book, watch a few videos, and then just put a lot of time and effort in there, but what do I mean by shortcuts?
Shortcuts are there to save you time and money, especially when trading, right? I mean, if the trading course, and if the instructor can help you to avoid a few losing trades.
Losing trades are easily a few hundred dollars, sometimes a few thousand dollars. However, if you could trade losing $1,000 versus investing a few hundred dollars in of course would you do this?
Or if you could avoid losing $20,000, would you invest $2,000 in a course? Probably, right?
I also think that this is super important, especially for trading, but I believe trading courses are worth it if there are coaching and support involved, and here is what I mean by this. Most of you already know I am offering a trading tool, it’s the PowerX Optimizer.
Some of you have seen me using it on my “Coffee With Markus” Live streams on my Youtube channel, and I use it every day in my trading.
But here’s the deal. A tool is just helping you a little bit, right? I believe that this is a bonus. So a trading course is super helpful if there are tools involved.
Back to the golfing example, if you want to learn how to play golf and you get lessons from a pro let’s say, he says,
“Oh, yeah, and by the way, before you diddle around and get the wrong clubs, I actually have the perfect clubs for you.”
I mean, wouldn’t that be much easier?
So this is where the tool that I personally use and that is available to you is the PowerX Optimizer, and I love it.
We are coming out with a version 2.0 soon.
So I think training is very important. So this is where, for example, a training course is helpful if it gives you the important things about getting started, but then also of how exactly do you trade stocks, and how exactly do you trade options.
If we are looking at trading stocks, you need to know what are the different order types, how do you place a stock to the long? How to short?
How to set profit targets and stop losses, right? So this is one of the things where it’s really important that a trading course shows you how to do this, but that’s what I mentioned earlier.
I think the coaching and support here are super important, right? Because this is where you need ongoing handholding. For me, this makes a lot of sense.
Summary
So are trading courses worth it? Which trading course is the best? It really depends on what do you need.
I know that some of you have wasted a lot of time and money on various training courses just to find out that it is not for you.
This is why I say before you buy a course, okay, know what your goals are. Know what you want from a course.
I think that is super important. Know exactly what do you need help with. Then you choose the right one because again, there’s no one size fits all.
Trading is a skill, you have to put in the work. I wish I could tell you,
“Oh, you know what? All you need to do is invest in the PowerX Optimizer and tomorrow you will be the best trader in the world.”
No, you know that I’m giving you a 90-day money-back guarantee because I believe that it takes maybe a week, two, three, four weeks to really learn how to use this tool, to practice on a simulator, and I don’t want you to feel rushed at all to say,
“Oh, I’m under the clock and I only have 30 days to evaluate this tool and this course,” right?
I mean, take your time. Take 90 days, because most traders fail in the first 90 days and I want to make sure that you are succeeding
BREAKOUT STRATEGY - TREND BREAKOUTBreakouts are one of the most common trading strategies. They involve identifying a key price level you expect the price to break through, and then buying or selling at that price in order to take advantage. Generally breakouts are used when the market is already near the extreme high or low of the recent past.
Trendline Trading Strategy📉Basic rules for trading according to the Trendline Trading Strategy
RULES
1. Always trade with trend, because Trend is your FRIEND.
2. Find trendline that has at least 2 touches.
3. Clear breakout of structure
Chart 3. shows clear breakout of the zone
Mostly you should rely on Volumes, that has to increase a lot. Moreover body part of the candlestick should close on the other side of a line.
4. High confluence areas
Chart 4. explains that there should be a zone that all type of traders can open their trade and it is suitable for each of them.
1) MA traders
2) S&R traders
3) Pattern traders
4) Price action traders
5) Confluence traders
5. Wait for the Intermediate trend Breakout
After huge impulse price goes to retest the level mostly.
At this stage any formations can be formed here (trendline on smaller frame, flag, wedge and etc.)
6. Candlestick confirmation
1) List of Bull candles
2) List of Bear candles
You should pay attention on a type of candlestick and what kind of movement does it signal.
7. Multi Timeframe observation
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Trendline Trading Strategy📉Basic rules for trading according to the Trendline Trading Strategy
RULES
1. Always trade with trend, because Trend is your FRIEND.
2. Find trendline that has at least 2 touches.
3. Clear breakout of structure
Chart 3. shows clear breakout of the zone
Mostly you should rely on Volumes, that has to increase a lot. Moreover body part of the candlestick should close on the other side of a line.
4. High confluence areas
Chart 4. explains that there should be a zone that all type of traders can open their trade and it is suitable for each of them.
1) MA traders
2) S&R traders
3) Pattern traders
4) Price action traders
5) Confluence traders
5. Wait for the Intermediate trend Breakout
After huge impulse price goes to retest the level mostly.
At this stage any formations can be formed here (trendline on smaller frame, flag, wedge and etc.)
6. Candlestick confirmation
1) List of Bull candles
2) List of Bear candles
You should pay attention on a type of candlestick and what kind of movement does it signal.
7. Multi Timeframe observation