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The baggy dead stock bounce strategy (works with crypto too)Hello, let me present you: the baggy dead stock bounce strategy. What is this strategy? Short version: Often, when a company has clearly died, has had months and months and years of downtrend, bad earnings, bad sales, bad everything one ofter the other, it does not reached the ground (where it belongs), but gets to the bagholder super strong hand area. And in that area, you might see some positive news. This gives a sliver of hope to iron hands bagholders, it is not rare to see stocks surge 200-500- here even 250,000% up!!! In a FEW DAYS! The goods: 1- The price has kept going down, all the smart money has been out for a long time, there is no way any pro's are left, all that is left are dumb retail baggies that will never sell. Which makes it very unlikely that the price just falls 99% in 1 day or something like this. 2- Since the only people left is dumb money, well it's not even dumb money at that point, it's beyond... These baggies are NEVER going to sell. They will hold the bag to ZERO and beyond! So, since no one is interested in selling, any small demand can push the price up massively. Hundreds of percents. 3- Obviously, the massive returns for small accounts (even small accounts should risk a small % thought). 4- You do not have to worry about "wall street" competition for 2 reasons: First, the liquidity is often too small for them, Secondly and more importantly, there is no way anyone serious will be bullish on companies (or something else) like this, AND if a trader goes to a metting and tells people "Oh ye guys I am very bearish on this but I am going long today because reasons idk I just feel like it" and ends up taking a loss, this is a sackable offense and good luck finding another job (and maybe get a punch in the face too :p). 5- You do not have to worry about taking advantage of baggies false hopes and misery, these people are complete morons and you stepping in will not make them lose more money. Consider you increase their buy price by 20%. They are going then to buy a little higher and lose 100%. If you do not interfere they would buy lower and lose 100% of that... Literally makes 0 difference. 6- No risk of short squeeze like people shorting penny stocks... 7- You will have good laughs. I CRIED looking at this today and seeing the price remained at that 0.10$ level more than 10 years later, I swear I am not making this up. Strong hands! They did not sell! Just a matter of time before this recovers now! The bads: 1- Risky business of course... Be prepared to lose 100%. Obviously this is easilly countered by not going all in like a madman. You risk 100% of what you put in, but since it goes up hundreds of percent, your RR is high with a "stop loss" at 0. 2- You must make sure you do not overstay your welcome! So one must be good at knowing what people in this think (not much ;}), and understanding how momentum works. 3- Small. Very niche. Does not scale. 4- You would be a complete Vulture. I do not trade this myself, I already watch plenty of markets and have 3 strategies (they all use the same tools and are similar but still that's alot), I can't add yet another... So I do not know exactly how that will work, for those interested, play around with it see how you can do this. But from what I looked at and from what I heard, this works well. This is different from the penny stock educator scammers that go short after pumps. Here for example on HMNY that made every one laugh last year: Here, after dropping from 500$ to a few cents, Bitconnect did the same thing, as idiots bought, thinking "wow this is so cheap, what if it goes back to 500$ +1 million % returns". And what if your lottery tickets is a winner? charts.cointrader.pro AIG example: A few more: There should still be plenty of opportunities in crypto for the years to come because like it or not, crypto is full of idiots.
OTC:LHHMQEducation
by MrRenev
The SMA cross strategy In this educational idea I’ll cover the SMA cross strategy. I’ll will cover how it works, what my peripheral values are and how it can work for you. The Simple moving averages cross strategy is a strategy where you buy something on a buy-signal of the indicator and sell it on a target, for example if you had 5% profit. What is a moving average? A moving average is an indicator which helps you smooth out “noise” in a graph. The indicator is based on a formula you can find the formula below. You can add values to the indicator, let’s say you want a MA of 9 candles you just add a value of 9. You usually use more than one MA, I prefer using a 7 candle MA and a 25 candle MA. The thing I like on moving averages is that you can use them in any time frame. What is a buy signal? A buy signal is created when the long moving averages (in my case the 25 candle MA) gets underneath the short one (in my case the 7 candle MA). When that happens a buy signal is created. When the opposite occurs it’s a sell order. How to determine a target. Your goal is to make money, but how can you make as much money as possible with this strategy. You have to determine a goal, so an exit-position. Your exit-position is the hardest thing of this strategy, but you can use an average of what happened before. If the average of positive “breakouts” is for example 5% profit you can use 5% profit as target. How to use a SMA strategy to make you money. Not all the SMA crosses will lead to profit, most of them are even false “breakouts”. So before you buy something on a buy-signal you have to wait a few seconds and watch what the price will do, when it goes up you buy, when it does nothing of goes down you do nothing. If you want to make money using this strategy you have to set a stop-loss, I recommend to always set a stop-loss not only for this strategy. You can keep your stop-loss really close to your buy order. www.investopedia.com():max_bytes(150000):strip_icc():format(webp)/latex_b8b977c06a4bf64591506c2bd9e918c6-5c474c25c9e77c0001d3b0e9.jpg
Education
by The_Prince
1
Litecoin 20% Pump - What Now ? LTC/BTC Market OverviewHi guys, I wanted to study the Litecoin chart, because I think it's a really interesting coin to trade. I will once again use my Bands Indicator , and will update later if I find any other good TA. Previous analysis for Bitcoin here and for Ethereum here . So let's dive into the High Timeframes : 4H Trend is bullish for now. I don't see any bear signal yet. Price corrected a little after the pump, but the bears show a strong support. 2H After the Bull Run, price managed to keep at this level, and is preparing maybe another move up. 1H On the one hour chart, we get more details though. Price is narrowing and the short term trend is bearish. We will simply wait until price breaks through the upper or lower band to enter a trade. Low Timeframes & DayTrade 15M Here is the 15 minutes chart. Trend is going sideway but with a nice volatility that allow day traders to make nice profits. 5M We finish with the 5 minutes chart. Here too some nice opportunities with some sideways action, today's trend was rather bullish with this huge candle at 4 pm. Note: configuration on chart has been optimised for each timeframe. You can use it for your strategy. Backtest for the for 4H strategy is shown below. I also did the backtest for the other timeframes. You can get the Bands Pro Trader Indicator on my website . Thanks for reading. I will appreciate your analysis too !
Education
by cyatophilum
3
Week in Review: Hidden GemHonorable Mentions Some very nice work has been done this week again by the Pine community. Shout out to Covax for publishing an attractive "Bitfinex Sentiment Index", beautifully rendering longs and shorts with some creative code; mortdiggidy's "Fisher Transform MTF" includes a unique function for the MTF Fisher, which, if I'm reading it right, solves the upper timeframe repainting that's oft associated with studies; and "Relative Derivative" by byteboi is a simple modification of the RoC that's comparable across assets and smoothed with an SMA. Dr. Do-a-lot A scripter that some, but not enough, users of TradingView will be familiar with is RafaelZioni. He's been a user for ten months and in that time he's amassed a huge library. RafaelZioni's strengths can be seen in the details of his work and as such his broader body of work may go underappreciated, but it's worth venturing deep into some of his work if you want to learn tricks-of-the-trade. His most recent work, and the script that will be highlighted this week, is "zigzag%". Zig-Zags in the Bag A very famous and useful scripter by the name of RicardoSantos has published a slew of scripts for realising zig-zags on the chart, so what make this one special? Well, for a start (and as far as I can tell), the zig-zag paints in real-time and with no lag. It can also use upper timeframe data with (as per description) no repaint. But that's not where the value lies in this script. A problem with Pine is that we can't realise some strategy functions in studies. TradingView doesn't accommodate for this and we need to think out of the box in order to achieve fidelity. So if you look carefully in this script you'll see that RafaelZioni has done just that. We can set the backtest date, set the take-profit levels, stop-loss levels and more. For anyone who's trying to turn their strategies into studies so that they can get alerts for each action, look here for some great insight. The script is actually an implementation of a trading strategy too. Here's an example of some results you can get. What Else is in the Bag? It's a jungle out there, but there's treasure deep in the dark. I advise everyone to get down and dirty with RafaelZioni's scripts. There's a very RicardoSantos-feel from his ideas and I expect that they're only going to get more creative in the future. His "Bollinger ratio" was included in the honorable mentions list last week and is a creative way of merging Bollinger Bands with the MACD. The eloquently named "net volume of positive and negative volume buy and sell alert" is also a fantastic way to view volume, and it comes with buy and sell alerts. Want to learn? If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources. Suggestions or Questions? Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open. Honorable Mentions RafaelZioni: www.tradingview.com Covax: www.tradingview.com mortdiggidy: www.tradingview.com byteboi: www.tradingview.com
FX_IDC:XAUUSDEducation
by chrysopoetics
5
EDUCATIONAL STRATEGY 21>50>250 BUY, 21<50<250 SELLHELLO, HERE IS A BEAUTIFUL MA STRATEGY, HOW TO SET IT UP? 1. LOAD MA 21, Linear Weighted, HL/2 (Colour WHITE) 2. LOAD MA 50, Linear Weighted, HL/2 (Colour RED) 3. LOAD MA 250, Linear Weighted, HL/2 (Colour YELLOW) SIGNALS. 1. MA 21>MA50>250 WE BUY, WE CLOSE WHEN MA 21MA50 Extra, 1. MA 50> MA 250 CONFIRMED UP TREND. GOLDEN CROSS. ONLY TAKE BUY SIGNALS 2. MA 50< MA 250 CONFIRMED DOWN TREND. DEAD CROSS. ONLY TAKE SELL SIGNALS EARLY SIGNAL. 1. SELL EARLY: MA21 < MA50 ( BUT WE ARE IN UP TREND WHERE MA 50 > MA250) 2. BUY EARLY: MA21 >MA50 ( BUT WE ARE IN DOWN TREND WHERE MA 50 < MA250) WHAT TIME FRAME SHOULD I USE? H1, H4, M15,M5. What DO I DO WHEN 21MA=50MA=200Ma? DON't ENTER, WHAIT CONFIRMED TREND AND CROSS THEN ENTER. WHAT PAIR SHOULD I USE THIS? ALL CURRENCY AND STOCK. CAN I ADD ANOTHER INDICATOR? YES, ADD PARABOLIC SAR TO GIVE YOU BUY OR SELL SIGNAL WITH THIS STRATEGY. IS THE STRATEGY BEST FOR TREND OR RANGE? BEST FOR TREND, USE M5 TIME FRAME FOR RANGE. THANK YOU ALL, PLEASE LIKE IF YOU BENEFIT SO WE ADD MORE EDUCATIONAL TIPS. ACCOUNT MANAGEMENT SERVICE 0096594072143 WHATS UP.
TVC:USOILEducation
by SignalsView
How to turn 100 dollars into 1 million in 926 trading days ?Hi guys, I wanted to share with you a strategy that I am using currently on one of my accounts. The goal is to make this account growing with a target goal of 1 million USD without making any withdrawal. I would call it "The turtle millionaire strategy" . Some of you probably use it or know it but some of you never imagine this possible. YES if you are patient and disciplined you can turn 100 dollars into 1 million dollars. How? By giving you the chance to grow your account slowly but surely. Imagine that your daily average goal is 1% ? It is clearly something highly reasonable and possible with a $100 account because we actually use a minimum leverage of 0.01 lot which is actually 1K in reality. An exponential strategy: Day 1: $100.00 (1%) = $101.00 Day 2: $101.00 (1%) = $102.01 Day 3: $102.01 (1%) = $103.03 Day 4: $103.03 (1%) = $104.06 .... Day 50: $162.83 (1%) = $164.46 .... Day 100: $267.80 (1%) = $270.48 ..... Day 200: $724.36 (1%) = $731.60 ..... Day 300: $1,959.25 (1%) = $1,978.85 ..... Day 400: $5,299.42 (1%) = $5,352.41 ..... Day 500: $14,333.94 (1%) = $14,477,28 ..... Day 600: $38,770.63 (1%) = $39,158.34 ..... Day 700: $104,867.35 (1%) = $105,916.02 ..... Day 800: $283,646.65 (1%) = $286,483.11 ..... Day 926: $993,735.37 (1%) = $1,003,672.73 (MILLION DOLLAR BABY) Being patient is the most difficult to follow this strategy and I give you below some steps to follow in order to reach that goal: Step 1: Create a dedicated account for this strategy. It should be different from your main account. You must only use this strategy for this account. Step 2: Deposit $100 on this account Step 3: Your daily goal should be 1% of your growing capital. Of course you can do it using a scalping strategy but you can do it also with a few swing trades. At the end when you make your average performance it should be at least 1% daily. Step 3 bis: Personally I use a swing strategy and identify only 2 to 3 swing opportunity per month. Those swing trades will give you high winning rates with minimum risks. For each trade I can expect hundreds of pips. Don't need to make scalping this way. Step 4: At the end of the week or the month make a summary of your account performance including floating profit or loss. Note: If you make withdrawals of your profit it will take more much time to reach the 1 million goal that's why I recommend to use a specific account. Happy trading !
Education
by Traderscope
63
Comprehensive Trading Strategy - ConsensioDisclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business. Identify Time Horizon First and most important is identifying the time frame that you want to trade. I primarily trade the daily chart using Tyler Jenks’ Consensio. It was designed to capture long term trends. If followed it will ensure that you do not miss out on a trend and it will also get you out before it fully reverses. “We want 90% of the cookie” -Tyler Jenks There will be times when we cost ourselves a small amount of opportunity but that will be peanuts in comparison to the larger trends that will be captured. Even though it was designed for higher time frames (TFs), specifically the weekly, it can still be used on smaller TFs based on your understanding and time availability. Decisions need to be made each time a candle closes, therefore you need to be available, or out of all positions, every time that happens. I trade the daily chart because I know that I will be available every day for the candle close. I also like to trade the stock market, commodities, and FOREX as well as crypto because the daily closes are staggered throughout the afternoon and it gives me time to manage my positions. If you prefer to day trade then this strategy can be used for the 1m - 1h candles. However it doesn’t seem to be too conducive to anything above 1h, if trading 24/7 markets. For example: if trading the 4h then will not have enough time for position to develop before going to bed. Regardless of what TF you select you can zoom out to determine longer term trends, however you should only use one TF for making decisions. For example: I trade the daily chart and will zoom out to the weekly when I am looking for major reversals. However, if the price is signaling entries on the weekly then that is irrelevant because I make decisions based on the daily chart. Identify Trend “The purest form of Consensio is three Moving Averages without the price” -Tyler Jenks Once you know what time frame you are going to trade then you need a reliable way to identify the trend. I have found Consensio to be the single most powerful tool for recognizing trends (as well as signaling entries, exits and reversals). It is a system that seems very simple on the surface and potentially even unoriginal. However the deeper you dig the more you will uncover. To start you need to go to the source directly: Consensio - A New Trading System Deep Dive Into Consensio The notes that I have on it span well over 100 pages and I couldn’t possibly sum that all up in this post. Nevertheless I will attempt to cover the most important parts of the puzzle. Important: Watch the videos above or else below will not make sense. I have four subcategories for trending markets that are somewhat similar to Elliott Waves. 1) Short, medium and long term trend all in alignment. For bull trend: price > Short MA > Medium MA > Long MA (Strong trend) 2) Minor Correction (Small pullback moves against overall trend) 3) Major Correction (ABC type of correction that forms lower high but finds support at major boundary levels - Long MA, horizontal or trend line) 4) Potential Reversal (Price closes below long term MA and starts turning it over) The moving averages should be dialed in to your specific time frame to help identify each subcategory above. When the asset is in a strong trend you want to see the Short Term MA act as support / resistance. A close above / below the Short Term MA indicates a minor correction. When there is a minor correction you want the Medium Term MA to act as support / resistance. A close above / below the Medium Term MA indicates a major correction taking place. When there is a major correction that doesn’t quite reverse the trend then you want the Long Term MA to act as support / resistance. A close above or below the Long Term MA indicates a potential reversal. If in a strong trend then expect price to quickly react from the Long Term MA and continue the trend. For example: in a bull market the long term MA should act as strong support / provide a strong bounce. If it doesn't and the price closes below it instead then that is an indication that the bull market is getting exhausted. When the Long Term MA starts to show signs of a reversal then I will add a Longer Term MA (default is 200) and / or I will zoom out to the weekly chart. This really helps me to understand if it is just a major correction within a market that is still trending or if a full on reversal is to be expected. Being able to distinguish major corrections from reversals is the hardest part about consistently beating the market in the long run. Once you are comfortable with that then it mainly comes down to patience, discipline and diligence in regards to acting on signals and managing risk. Entry & Exit Signals 5% when Price crosses Short Term MA (default is 4) 10% when Price crosses Medium Term MA (default is 9) 15% when Short Term MA crosses Medium Term MA 20% when Medium Term MA turns over (if it was trending down, then watch for it to turn up) 25% Price cross Long Term MA & Long Term MA flattens / turns over 25% Golden Cross with the Medium Term MA & Long Term MA If multiple happens at once then sum the %’s. For Example: P close < S & M MA then enter 15% . If I am not in position then price crossing MA’s would trigger entries. If I am in a position then it would trigger exits. In rare cases I will flip my position by exiting a short and immediately entering a long, or vice-versa. Entries and exits are done as soon as possible after the candle closes. I trade the daily chart so I will wait for the daily candle to close before making decisions and then I will try to make sure I get filled within 30 minutes (will take a market order if necessary). If you try to front run the candle close then you will make more mistakes than it is worth. It is very important to only make decisions after the candle closes. Everything else is noise and you cannot make decisions based on noise. I may pass on signals if it would enter me against a longer term trend. For Example: Price closes above Short Term and Medium Term MA’s and they cross over in a bullish manner. 30% - 50% long entry signaled. May choose to pass if Long Term MA is bearish. I can completely pass on this entry in favor of waiting for a short if the price is below the Long Term MA and the Long Term MA is in a strong bear trend. In this case I will expect Long Term MA to act as strong resistance and will wait for price to close back below shorter term MA’s to trigger a short entry. It takes time to reverse a trend. In the above example the Long Term MA is in a strong bear trend while price appears to be rallying through it after 50% long entry is signaled. I would pass on long entries and be very confident that the price isn’t going to blow right through my Long Term MA (due to the downward angle). It very well might reverse the trend, however that will take time. If the price is above a Long Term MA that is angled down then the MA will act as a magnet for the price until it flattens / turns over. Passing on the first long entries that are signaled does not mean that I will pass up on it all together, it just means that I think it is too early / risky. I would strongly prefer to wait for a golden cross with the Long Term MA flattened, or angled up, to go ahead and fully enter. In the example above I would wait for a pullback to the Long Term MA. If it supports above and gets a golden cross with the Medium Term MA then I would be much more inclined to take that entry. It is very important to understand the difference between opportunity cost vs capitalizing on a loss. As traders we need to be completely comfortable with missing out on opportunity and extremely diligent about avoiding / minimizing losses. Therefore it is okay to pass on possible entries that are less than ideal however it is not okay to pass up on exits that feel similar. Stop Losses & Risk Management I determine my position size and leverage based on the amount of risk that I would be assuming. If an entry is triggered then I will use the Parabolic SAR or the Bill Williams Fractal to determine my risk. If SAR is too tight then I will use the Fractal. I use the medium and long term MA’s to determine what is or is not too tight. Prefer stop to be above long term MA but has to be above medium MA. I am trading Consensio, and it does not allow for stop losses in this manner. Instead it demands that you hold onto a position through the candle close and that you scale out in pieces (see above 'Entries & Exits'). This is best in 99%+ of the time. However that really limits the leverage that can be used. If trading the daily chart 3X - 5X would be the absolute max. I tend to prefer 5X - 10X leverage for a number of reasons: -Minimizes exchange risk -Can minimize slippage -Still gives me plenty of flexibility to place stop above prior Fractal / SAR Below shows an example entry triggered and my thought process for where to place the stop along with a risk / leverage calculation. Once I understand the risk, then I can calculate the position size. You should always think of risk as the amount you stand to lose opposed to exposure amount. I do not care about the exposure amount. I care about how much I stand to lose... how much I am risking. I care about controlling my downside and limiting it to less than 2% of my trading capital. In the above example the risk is 7.10% and the max leverage is 14.08%. I never use the max leverage because getting liquidating comes with significantly higher fees. In this case I would use 10X or less leverage and I would make sure to set a market stop loss below the liquidation price. If you get liquidated then it will likely be a ~22% fee. If you take a market stop before the liquidation triggers then it will be a ~2% fee. I currently like to cap my risk at $500 per trade. $500 (USD I wish to risk) / 0.071 (calculated risk based on wick above Fractal) = $7,042 (exposure) $7,042 is my maximum exposure. With 10X leverage $704.20 is the most I will need for margin. Once I understand my position size, leverage and margin requirements then the position size can be easily calculated based on the Entry & Exit Signals above. Trailing Stop Losses I consider myself 100% entered when I have $500 at risk. If the price moves in my favor then I will trail the stop loss. If I trail it to the point where it is at break even, or better, then I will not consider myself fully entered anymore. Even though I still have the full original exposure, I am no longer assuming any risk and the latter is all that matters to me. Therefore I would feel comfortable adding to my exposure up until the point where I am risking another $500. In the example above we get a great entry before a strong trend starts (also happened to follow descending triangle breakdown which provided great confirmation). The price quickly moves in our favor to the point where the stop is adjusted to break even, or very close to it. With no risk I do not consider myself to be fully exposed anymore and I feel comfortable adding to my position up to an amount that would risk $500. Need to be very careful with this because adding to a profitable position after a big move can completely ruin your trade. I will use the TD’ Sequential , RSI and Average Directional Index to confirm that the trend still has room to go. I will also check horizontals and trends to make sure I’m not selling support / buying resistance. In the example above I would really like adding because all of the above are in my favor. This can be thought of as manual unbalancing which is the opposite of how most people approach allocating capital. Automatic rebalancing will sell the most profitable positions and add to the lesser profitable positions in order to keep the same allocation percentages. For example: if allocations are 50% Apple and 50% Amazon then Amazon outperforms. It will be something like 45% Apple and 55% Amazon. Rebalancing would sell Amazon and buy Apple so that it is 50:50 again. I have always thought that is completely backwards. I want to allocate my capital to the best performing assets. If I am in a position that is really moving in my favor then I am thinking about adding to it. I would never take away from a more profitable position to add to a lesser profitable one just for the sake of balancing my portfolio. Conclusion What is outlined above is enough to ensure that you do not miss out on a trend and it also ensures that you will get out before it fully reverses. Don’t take me word for it, go do some backtesting yourself. That is when the power of Consensio will really come to life. When trying out a new strategy I always recommend to start with an extremely small amount of money that is > $0 and I also recommend zooming in. I think that it is very important to have some skin in the game so that you feel the pain and pleasure of losing and winning. However I think that is should be very nominal. If you have a $10,000 trading roll then I would take $100 and trade the 3m chart. Focus on learning the intricacies and making sound decisions. Also focus on ROI and how long it takes to generate 10%, 50% or 100%+ returns opposed the dollar amount being returned. Regardless of what time frame you decide to trade I would always start with a very small TF. The reason is that the daily / weekly charts could take years to teach what the 3m and 5m charts can teach in days. The decision making process should be exactly the same regardless of the TF. There are a ton of variables and intricate situations that you can put yourself into by trading small TF’s. Thinking your way through these situations is how you internalize and gain confidence in the trading system as well as the decision making process. Facing these situations before you have significant money on the line is what I consider batting practice. “We don't rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.” -Archilochos After a couple weeks of trading the shorter TF’s I felt comfortable putting significant money to work on the Daily chart. However, I consider myself a fast learner and that process could take longer for others.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Sawcruhteez
16
How I trade ALTs?My Personal Alt Trading Strategy Bitmex trading takes up most of my time and hence, I do not get enough time to TA Alt Coins. Now, Bitmex is profitable, but just to scatter my risks, I ventured back into ALT Trading last month probably after a gap of 6-7 months. I came up with this indicators based ALT trading Strategy that I'm sharing with you all here. I use two indicators, namely -> 1. FOMO Momentum Scalper This is the leading indicator I use for this trading strategy. I created it a couple months ago and is available for FREE on TradingView 2. FOMO Buy_Sell_Indicator FOMO is being used in this strategy as a confirmation of trade tool. FOMO makes up for a big percentage of my Trading Decisions in any sort of trading. Unfortunately, it's not free. It's not really required if you can perform some TA or rely on some other indicators for confirmation. The links to both the indicators are at the bottom of this Idea. The Strategy 1. I've created a TradingView watchlist of decent to high volume Alt Coins. It shouldn't look like this on 1hr timeframe. 2. Added FOMO Momentum Scalper (Free) Indicator to my chart. 3. Added FOMO to my chart. 4. Choose 1hr Timeframe and go through the watchlist probably 6 times a day, every 4-5 hours. 5. Wait for a Buy Signal from FOMO Momentum Scalper. Looks like this. 6. Set an Alert for FOMO 1hr Buy Signal on the coin with FOMO Momentum Scalper Buy Signals. You can add an extra layer of confirmation if you want like FOMO HTL 1hr Crossover. I'm currently running with just 1 confirmation. Once the Alt Coin you are looking at has crossed over HTL comfortably (consolidating and HTL has started moving up), you can say that that coin is bullish on 1hr Timeframe. Problem is, with more confirmations, your profit factor on a trade will reduce. As most of the time, while waiting for a confirmation, you'll lose out on initial profits. For example in this case 9. I find the previous structural LOW and stagger to that low followed by a SL behind that low. I'm mostly running with a fixed percentage for my TPs instead of finding previous structural highs for TPs. Since, Binance doesn't let you add TPs n SLs at the same time, I'm using 3commas to add SLs, staggers and TPs at the same time. 10. Then, I set up the trade in 3commas and leave it until I come back to the charts. If I see that a couple of TPs have been filled and if there is a reason to let it run, I let the trade run or if it isn't looking good and a couple of TPs have been filled, I close the trade in profits. This is not a bot trading. It's completely manual. There is no point in letting a profitable trade to come back in negatives when the charts have started to become bearish. Sometimes, I move my SL well in profits for example at TP1 or TP2 and let the trade run if it seems a bit bullish with very little bearishness. 11. Rinse/Repeat. I strictly follow the rules I've set for myself. I do not run around messing with my trades if I'm in profits or even in loss. Let the trade takes it course. Examples 1. This trade went in other direction. Looking at the chart it was clear AION is downtrending but could be getting very close to reversal. Now I zoomed out and noticed that there is a possibility of Double Bottom. I decided that will be my stagger in case the trade doesn't go in my direction initially. And if it breaks double bottom prospects, it's obvious that it'll keep dropping/downtrending. So, there won't be any point of chasing it in case it doesn't double bottoms. I set my SL a little below the double bottom and kept my last stagger at the double bottom. AION ran 9% soon after. Proved to be a good profitable trade in the end. 2. Similar to 1. After running 3-4% a couple times, forming new lows (higher lows) this trade finally ran 9-10% Prospects of double bottom. Placed Staggers carefully. Staggering, proper risk management paid off in the end. 3. Couldn't find any immediate structural low except one before previous short term uptrend as shown in the chart. Hence, used that as a possible last Stagger and SL behind it Looking at the chart, one cannot find any possible reason to close the trade just yet considering, we would have the best possible entry in the trade. Improvement I would be keen to know if there is another indicator/timeframe that you've tried with this strategy or made any improvement to it. I've traded with this strategy for a while now. It works just the same on longer timeframes. For example on 4 hourly and daily. Let me show you some examples
Education
by vjsharma89
3
Comprehensive Trading ProcessDisclaimer: If you are primarily interested in copying other people’s trades then this is not for you. However, if you are willing to put in the work that it takes to learn how to trade for yourself then you have found the right place! Nevertheless please be advised that you can give 10 people a profitable trading strategy and only 1-2 of them will be able to succeed long term. If you fall into the majority that tries and fails then I assume no responsibility for your losses. What you do with your $ is your business, what I do with my $ is my business. Consensio: (King) 5% when Price crosses Short Term MA | 10% when Price crosses Medum Term MA | 15% when Short Term MA crosses Medium Term MA | 20% when Medium MA turns over | 25% Price cross Long Term MA & Long MA flattens / turns over| 25% Golden Cross Patterns (Queen): Favorites: hyperwaves, parallel channels, descending triangle, head & shoulders, Wyckoff’s, double bottoms & tops, flags | Least favorite: symmetrical triangle Horizontals (Rook): Horizontals > trend lines Trendline (Bishop): Very powerful when used in combination with Consensio. One of my favorite setups is a trendline break alongside a reversal in Consensio. Parabolic SAR (knight): Best tool I have found for setting / adjusting stop losses. Can also be used as no trade zone. For ex: if wanting to go long and SAR is bearish (above price) then could / should wait for SAR to break before entering. BTCUSDSHORTS (pawn) : If shorts are at / near ATH’ levels then I do not want to be short and will actually have a bias for going long. Funding Rates (pawn): Helps me to understand supply / demand. When shorts are getting expensive then I expect a short squeeze to be around the corner. Contango / Backwardation (pawn): Not a timing indicator. Is used to determine bullish / bearish bias and can help to identify tops / bottoms / support and resistance. Watch the video series and Google “Ugly Old Goat Backwardation” to learn more. TD’ Sequential (pawn): “The trend is your friend until it’s about to end” -Tom Demark | Used to identify when a trend is becoming exhausted which can be very helpful to confirm or deny an entry. Ex: if wanting to go long on a green 7/8/9 then would strongly prefer to enter on correction that is expected to follow. Average Directional Index (pawn): Used to identify when trends are becoming exhausted. When ADX’ reaches resistance / ATH levels then it is likely that the trend is reaching a point of exhaustion Ichimoku Cloud (pawn): Starting to use traditional settings across the board. Crypto settings seem to make the cloud useless when markets are volatile, whereas the traditional settings seem to line up nicely with the MA’s I use for Consensio. Price Action (pawn): Helps me understand when markets are overbought / oversold in the short term. In my experience it is very rare for Bitcoin or Ethereum to move more than 10% in 24 hours. Therefore if I am wanting to enter long and the price is + > / = 7% in the past 24 hours then I will be very cautious and usually wait for a pullback / consolidation. Bollinger Bands (pawn): Very helpful for recognizing when a trading range is coming to an end, which can be very useful for spotting trends that are just starting / about to start. Also like the Bollinger Band % to help illustrate extremes. Relative Strength Index: Divergences can be very useful for understanding short term price movements and potentially full on reversals. When markets are moving I like to check the RSI on the 1h and 4h charts and pay close attention to divergences as indication that a trend could be exhausting. Stochastic Oscillator: Very useful in trending markets that have not gone parabolic. Can be helpful in ranging markets as well, but not nearly as much. Can get some very good signals on the 3d chart. If there is a buy / sell signal then I think it is best to wait for %K and %D to cross the boundary lines before considering it significant. Hierarchy of Indicators The best traders know which indicators are most important at which times. A trader is like a carpenter and the indicators are akin to his toolbelt. Through experience he or she knows which ones to reach for, exactly how they are used and what adjustments could be required for a specific circumstance. It is one thing to understand that an MA rolling over is an indication of a trend reversal. It is entirely another to fully believe it and be able to act on it. Next is understanding which indicators can be disregarded at which times and which should always be taken into account. Above lists my indicators by order of importance. However that is only a default and it will change based on market conditions. For example: if a hyperwave is present then patterns become more important than Consensio and trendlines become more important than horizontals. If market is parabolic then I find the Stochastic useless and will adjust the settings on the RSI to 30. If no trend is present then the Bollinger Band can go from a pawn to the King. It would take much too long to go into all of the different variables I can think of and how it can change the hierarchy of indicators. What is important is that you start to develop the feel for it yourself. The only way I know how to do that is through checking all of them on a regular basis, in all different types of markets (bull, bear, flat, parabolic). Learn -> Practice -> Fail -> Learn -> Practice -> Understand -> Apply -> Internalize -> Believe -> Achieve -> Fail -> Learn Monthly, Weekly & Daily Processes Daily Check daily close every day. If entry or exit was signaled then make sure to get filled within 30 minutes of close. If passing on an entry signal then notate why. Never pass on exit signal. Update trading ledger to reflect any changes (I will be posting my results in the 2 > 20 Bitcoin Trading Challenge). Go through the TA Process listed above on a daily basis (I post my analysis in the Bitcoin' Daily Update). Make sure that you are highly focused during the candle close otherwise the mistakes will compound. I prefer to go to the gym on a daily basis and be disciplined about my diet in order to maintain a high level of focus. I have also committed to a daily hot springs meditation session that has proven extremely valuable over the past year. For anyone that watches Mr. Robot think of Tyrell Wellick chopping wood while confined by himself in the forest. Having a task that is repeatable on a daily basis provides balance, perspective and focus. I find a consistent sleep schedule to be vital in my performance as a trader. I make sure that I am in bed by a certain time so that I wake up feeling refreshed / energized and ready to trade. Weekly On Sunday I will analyze the weekly chart instead of the daily chart. Trading ledger that gets updated daily is used for weekly PnL statements which get done on Saturday morning instead of preparing for traditional markets to close. I keep an excel spreadsheet for each exchange I trade on and include sections for Date, Entry, USD Inventory, BTC Inventory, Withdrawals, Delta, PnL, Unrealized PnL, In position. When I first got into crypto I completely disconnected from my friends and family. To ensure the first doesn't happen again I commit to two social activities per week and for the latter I commit to calling my mother every Sunday. Monthly Review biggest trades from prior month. Dissect entries, exits and position sizes. Everything should be repeatable / explainable in hindsight. If it isn't that means I didn't stick to the guidelines and that is mistake. I cannot expect to be a perfect trader, however I can expect to learn from my mistakes. Monthly Best & Worst Dressed List. After reviewing the trades find the best and worst examples. Print out the charts, notate why they made the list and put them in a binder. In the short term, how I trade is exponentially more important than how much money I make or lose. Therefore if the monthly PnL was subpar but very few mistakes were made on the worst dressed trades then I consider that a huge success and will expect the variance to even out in the medium - long run. Weekly PnL statements is used for monthly PnL statements -It feels really good to make a lot of money and it can feel very frustrating when results do not meet expectations. This is why I believe that is it vital to focus on the process and improving instead of the results. A few good results could be the byproduct of luck. One good / great process will lead to sustainable results as long as you can remain disciplined / diligent. While some may prefer to be lucky rather than good I strongly prefer to put in the effort that it takes to be good. Furthermore luck seems to be attracted to those who put in the consistent effort. Nevertheless I still track short term results because I have bills to pay. Eventually I would like to only pay attention to annual results. “So you want to be a carpenter, do you? Well it takes more than a hammer, boy, you're gonna need blueprints and a will to build, and Straighten your cap! you look like you've been through a war. Wipe that grin off your mug, you got a sturdy frame? Sluggish posture just won't cut it. You're gonna need schooling, and, and, and take notes! And god if I catch you yawning again you're gonna regret ever asking for my help, And dammit you gotta hustle, this is a slacker-free zone And, where's my pencil? go get your hard-hat, here's a nickel, go get us a ruler and a saw and a drill and lots of graph paper!” -Aesop Rock
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Sawcruhteez
5
How To Read Charts (Sec. 2) Mastering Reversals, Trends & RangesHey Traders, Here is Section 2 of the "How to read structure (Charts) Tutorial". In this Section, you will learn some of the methods that professional trend traders use to bring home a profit week after week, month after month, & year after year! In this Section, I will be explaining- - The Characteristics of a healthy trend (Chart 6) - A simple method that makes identifying trend reversals easy (Chart 7) - Why you should not rush your trades plus when & why you should have a neutral biased as a trend trader (Chart 8) - Mastering Reversals & how to trade them properly (Chart 9) - Continuation of GBPUSD Structure Analysis ~ How To Identify & Avoid Trading Ranges To Improve Your Trend Trading Strategies ~ The Importance Of A Candles Closing Price. (Chart 10) - One of my trend trading rules to avoid trading ranges & Intro to the 1st part of Section 3. (Chart 11) Section 1 of this tutorial is linked below. Please start with section 1 as it will lay some of the ground work for this section & will also show these methods on actual charts. This section of the tutorial is a breakdown of the methods taught in section 1 and when studied together, can really give you a good understanding of how trends, reversals, ranges etc work. Please feel free to leave feedback below regarding if these tutorials have been helpful. I will be releasing many more of these tutorials in future ideas and your feedback really helps me to improve them! It may take you a couple minutes to get use to the format of these tutorials so take your time & read over the charts multiple times as there is a lot of good information provided within these tutorials. Chart 6- Characteristics of a healthy trend Chart 7- A simple method that makes identifying trend reversals easy Chart 8- Why you should not rush your trades plus when & why you should have a neutral biased as a trend trader Chart 9- Mastering Reversals & how to trade them properly Chart 10- Continuation of GBPUSD Structure Analysis ~ How To Identify & Avoid Trading Ranges To Improve Your Trend Trading Strategies ~ The Importance Of A Candles Closing Price. Chart 11- One of my trend trading rules to avoid trading ranges & Intro to the 1st part of Section 3. You Have Completed Section 2 Of The "How To Read Structure (Charts) Tutorial. Charts 6-11"! Thank you for taking the time to finish this section of the tutorial! I hope Section 1 and 2 have been helpful to you! In section 3, we will start looking at how you can use price action/structure & the methods taught in this tutorial to design your own trading strategy! After all of the sections are complete, you will have the tools needed to read structure, create your own rules based trading strategy and much more so please stick around as this is only the beginning of a very educational tutorial. Thanks Traders!
Education
by Alec40
16
The Famous Risk/Reward Myth If you have been trading or interested in trading for some time, I am sure you have heard some online "teachers" say that you MUST have a 1:3 or 1:5 R/R in order to be profitable.. That is absolutely FALSE! If you hear a "professional trader" say that, odds are they are not truly a trader.. A professional trader understands that R/R & win % are correlated. The higher the R/R, the lower the win %, The lower the R/R, the higher the win %.. Determining an appropriate R/R should be decided based on your strategies performance (derived from backtesting different targets/stop losses) as well as your psychology. In other words, R/R and win % should be viewed as one metric, as they MUST work together in order for you to be a consistently profitable trader. As for the psychology aspect- are you a trader who can lose 70 out of 100 trades so long as your making money? I personally prefer to win 60-70% of my trades but that decision is up to you. The important thing is that you balance these two metrics to ensure profitability while catering to your psychology to maintain confidence in your strategy. There is no right or wrong in trading, only what works and what doesn't! If you are not sure what Risk/Reward or Win % is, please see below- Win % Win/Loss Ratio also referred to as Profit/Loss Ratio What Is Risk/Reward? Risk/Reward is a used by traders to determine how much capital they are willing to risk in order to make a desired reward. For Example- lets pretend you are using a trading strategy that has a 1:1 R/R & you are risking $10 on each trade. A 1:1 R/R would mean that you are risking $10 to potentially make $10. Using this same example with a 1:2 R/R, You are risking $10 to potentially make $20. For a 1:3 R/R, You are risking $10 to potentially make $30 and so on. In order to successfully make a profit with a 1:2 R/R, the market has to move twice as far to hit profit targets than it does to hit your stop loss. In order to successfully make a profit with a 1:3 R/R the market has to move three times as far to hit your profit targets than it does to hit your stop loss & so on.. By default, the further price has to move to hit your profit target, the less likely it is for the trade to be successful, ultimately lowering your win %. With that said, it is important to note that a lower win % does not necessarily mean the strategy is more or less profitable than a strategy with a higher win %. Lets look at some examples below: Example 1- You are using a strategy that has 1:3 R/R and a 30% win %.. In this example we are going to look at 100 hypothetically trades. 70 losing trades at $10 each (70 x $10 = -$700) 30 winning trades at $30 each (30 x $30 = $900) Net Profit/Loss = $200 Example 2- You are using a strategy that has a 1:1 R/R and a 60% win %.. Again based on 100 hypothetical trades. 40 losing trades at $10 each (40 x $10 = -$400) 60 winning trades at $10 each (60 x $10 = $600) Net Profit/Loss = $200 Looking at the examples above, we can see that both strategies made the same amount of money even though one strategy wins 30% of trades, while the other wins 60% of trades! Of course there are small variations to the examples above as not every strategy with a 1:3 or 1:1 R/R will have a 30 or 60% win/loss ratio however the overall concept stands and should be taken into consideration whenever developing or trading ANY strategy. In my last tutorial- " Simple Patterns Tutorial, The Correct Way To Trade Double Tops " I asked you all to vote on which double top you thought would perform the best out of the 3 common double top formations shown above.. Each top received votes however, top # 2 received the most votes. The answer to this question may have surprised you however, it will be highly beneficial to your trading! As always I hope this was helpful, the information shared in this educational post regarding risk/reward is an extremely CRUCIAL aspect of risk management and remaining consistently profitable so be sure to read over everything multiple times if need be. Please give this a thumbs up if it was helpful and you would like me to post more material regarding risk management. Also feel free to comment below or message me with any questions you may have. If you would like access to a free position size and risk calculator that I personally use myself, please use the link below to request yours goo.gl OR Visit tradersnsights.com/calculators-tools
Education
by Alec40
4
HULL Moving Average StrategyThis is my strategy based off the Hull Moving Average, created by Alan Hull. www.fidelity.com The HMA is extremely fast and accurate in determining price reversals - I exploit this quality and add the ability to select a granular TimeFrame to use for the HMA calculations (ranging from 1m to 1D). The HMA can be painted on any TimeFrame. When the HMA indicates a price reversal, the strategy waits for the current candle to close before entering a trade. Target profits and losses can easily be set, as well as: Leverage, % to risk per trade, trailing stop entry point, trailing stop offset, Spread, Commission, and more! The indicator works on any currency pair (excluding metals) and as low as the 5m timeframe.
Education
by DasanC
Simple Patterns Tutorial, The Correct Way To Trade Double Tops In this short tutorial, we will look at the three most common Double Top formations along with how to properly trade them and when/where they typically appear on a chart. Double Tops work very well as trend continuation patterns for the obvious reason that you are trading with the underlying trend (strength) in the market however, Double Tops can also be a great tool for identifying and trading trend reversals. I do not recommend trading these patterns as reversals at every support or resistance level, as trading this way will most likely not be a consistently profitable trading strategy. One method to trading these patterns as reversals is to use higher timeframes to identify important price levels. For Example- You may use the Daily chart to identify important support/resistance structure levels while using the 1hr chart to actually identify and trade the double top itself.. Every strategy should have something called conditions and criteria's for entry.. If you follow my work, you have heard me say this in the past. In the case of this example, A daily level of structure Support/Resistance would be our condition and a double top on the 1hr chart would be our criteria for entry.. You rules should state this: Condition: 1) Price must retest a daily level of support or resistance in order to look for entry criteria. Criteria: 1) After price has retested a daily level of support/resistance, I am allowed to look for a double top entry on the 60 minutes timeframe. -See example of this exact trade at bottom of description (Chart 4 and 5) Chart One: Most Common Double Tops Chart Two: Examples Of Double Top Reversals & Trend Continuation Chart Three: Double Top Trade Examples Chart Four: Daily Retest Of Support/Resistance: Chart Five: Double Top On 60 Minute Timeframe: Often, you will notice that price is up-trending on the daily chart but down-trending on the hourly charts. Many traders get confused regarding how to handle this confliction of trend.. One way to handle this is by doing what is stated above. Use a higher timeframe like the daily chart to find important price levels, and use a lower timeframe like the hourly or minute charts to trade at these levels. Just because the daily trend is up does not mean we cannot trade a double top reversal on the 1hr chart as that timeframe may be down-trending in a perfectly healthy daily uptrend.. I hope this was explained clearly, please feel free to ask me any questions you have in the comments below or via private chat & I will be happy to help. Also please let me know what double top you think is the best to trade (see chart 3) in the comments below. I will do a follow up lesson to answer this question I am asking you. I think the answer may surprise you & know it will be a AAH-HHA moment in your trading journey! If you would like to put in a request regarding what trading content you'd like to learn more about, please use the link below to submit a vote for future trading tutorials and topics! tradersnsights.myshopify.com Free Position Size Calculator: goo.gl TradersNsights Facebook: www.facebook.com Thanks Traders, as always I hope this was helpful to you!
Education
by Alec40
8
Creating your own Trading Strategy!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Creating your own Trading Strategy!! Below is a quick run down of things to think about when creating your own trading strategy 1. How much time during the day do you have to devote to trading? .................................................................................. 2. How much money do you need to live on each year and how much of that must come out of trading profits? ...................................................................................................................................... 3. How many distractions can you expect during the day/night? ..................................................................... 4. Specify the markets and times of the day you will trade? ......................................................................... 5. Do I want to trade multiple systems? ............................................... 6. Will you short sell? Or go long? ........................................ 7.Where will you place your Entry/Stop Loss and Target Line? ........................................................................... Follow your Trading plan, Remain disciplined and keep learning !! Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow Thank you for your support :) This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
FX_IDC:USDWTIEducation
by SMPTrader
Key Trading StrategiesSELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Key Trading Strategies There are four key trading strategies, which are Day, Scalper, Swing and Position Trading. a. Day The day trading is the method in which the buying and selling of securities are done on the same day. The professional traders who are commonly known as market makers generally do it. b. Scalper It is one of the quickest strategies, which is employed by the active traders. In this, the currency is purchased at the bid price and sell at the asking price to receive the difference between them. Scalper holds the FOREX for short period and therefore, they search for the markets where the liquidity is high. c. Swing The swing traders steps in when the trend in the FOREX ends. These traders buy and sell at the price, which is set by the volatility. The trades, which is done in the swing, is not held for more than a day. The rules in the swing trade are set by the technical or fundamental analysis. They are generally known as algorithms. It is necessary for the algorithms to predict the peak or down price of the trade so that it can identify the direction in which the market moves. d.Position Trading Position trading is considered as the strategy, which is referred to the buy and hold of the currency. It is not considered as the active trading. However, when some advanced trader does it, it can be referred as the active trading. It determines the current trends in the market by using various charts which fall between anywhere from daily to monthly. It is a long trade, which can last for several months also. For determining the trend of the security, the traders look into the successive upper highs and lower highs for the effective judgement. However, they do not forecast any price levels. Follow your Trading plan, Remain disciplined and keep learning !! Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow Thank you for your support :) This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Education
by SMPTrader
stochastic rsi + 100 ema strategyi have tried this strategy and i find it profitable with this rules: stochastic rsi: K = 5 D = 10 rsi length = 14 stochastic length = 14 Ema: 100 Rules: if the prise moves above the ema, then you are looking for a long positon. when the stochastic rsi is moving above the 80, look for a pull back. when the pullback comes you want the rsi to go below the 20 zone withoute eny crosses on the way down from the 80 zone. When the rsi then makes a cross below the 20 open a buy position. the risk reward shoud be 1:1 on first target and 2:1 on second. set the previos structure high as first targets. Dont trade if the prise closes below the 100 ema before the cross, this would make it unvalid. One more is that the structure high before the pullback must be higher than the previos stricture high. The same rules apply when the prise moves below the ema, just opposite. This is my first article and i hope you found it educatinal.
Education
by lusaa001
Creating your own Trading StrategySELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Creating your own Trading Strategy "In finance, a trading strategy is a fixed plan that is designed to achieve a profitable return by going long or short in markets".Whats your Trading Plan/Strategy? Some of the questions you need to ask yourself when creating your own strategy are as follows; How much time during the day/night do you have to devote to trading? How much money do you need to live on each year and how much of that must come out of trading profits? How many distractions can you expect during the day/night? Specify the markets and times of the day you will trade Do i want to trade multiple systems? Will you short sell? or go long? Where will you place your entry/stop loss and target line? How will i monitor my trading results/outcomes? Will i use software or just a simple excel document? Will i need a mentor or will I be self taught? How do I handle losing money? Can i handle being in a trade for more then an Minute/Hour, Day, Week etc? Will i use a phone, tablet or desktop computer to place, check or cancel my trade? How will i improve my trading performance? How did you go about creating your strategy? What steps did you take or follow?
Education
by SMPTrader
Trading BCH with the ZenTrend follower & Gameplan for hardforkThis is how we're trading BCASH with our indicator. Now there is of course news of the hard fork and all that, but this is how we have traded it purely technically based on our indicator. Check the post linked below on how to get access to the trial period and you can try it out for yourself! We have taken the trades based purely on the breakout indicator and the trailing stop that the indicator plots. We start at (1) with a long setup, which does not get triggered. The setup switches short (2) and we get entered in the trade. The market moves and we get stopped out at the red crosses the indicator plots. (4) We made a small 1.4% on that trade, nothing to get to exited about, but no loser either. We get another short setup which remains untriggered (5), followed by an untriggered long setup (6). At (7) we get another short setup which does get triggered. We get stopped out at (8) again with a basically break-even trade of .4% profit. A new short setup immediately follows and we get triggered short at (8). We get stopped out at (9) with a 2.8% profit. (10) Gives us another short setup that does not get triggered, followed by a long setup which triggers a trade at (11). We move our stop op as the indicator tells us to do (12). We then start getting extreme overload signals (the dots above the candles) (13), and move our stop to the bottom of the candles at signs of weakness. The other stop loss is moved up by the indicator too(14). We’re getting more overextension signals so we move our stop to the bottom of the candle at (15). Here we get out of 70% of our position, the remaining 30% has the stop at (14). If the market does move down off these overextension signals we will look for re-entry signals the indicator gives us to get back in! Now looking at the hardfork, we plan to get out just before the hard fork at signs of weakness in price, as we expect coin to collapse after that. You can count on about 99% of all BCH that has been bought in the last few days to be sold as soon as the hard fork is done.. If we are wrong it that case we can always re-enter our positions, in safety. To get access to the indicator and try it out, please go here: Like and subscribe if you enjoy our work! Stay calm, and happy trading! ZenTrader
BEducation
by DariusZen
Scalping with Reversal StrategiesReversal strategies suggest that markets tend to revert, i.e. a negative movement will be followed by a positive movement, and vice versa. To examine whether markets tend to be trend revert or trend succeed (i.e. a positive movement is followed by a positive movement and a negative movement also by a negative one), we need to check historical prices for evidence of such behaviour. Then, we need to examine whether this behaviour is more likely to occur compared to a random selection, such as a coin toss. To do this, we first need to understand the notion of probability. In general, probability is the possibility of an event occurring, expressed as a percentage of total possible events. For example, the probability of tossing a coin and getting heads is the possibility of that event, i.e. 1 out of the 2 possible outcomes (heads or tails). Thus, the overall probability is ½ or 50%. In a similar setting, the probability of getting the number 12 in the roulette is 1 out of a total of 36 outcomes, hence the probability is 1/36, i.e. about 3%. An interesting complication of probabilities is that if they are independent, i.e. if the previous outcome does not affect the current outcome, such as in coin tossing, roulette, and the lottery, then we can simply multiply the events to get total probability. For example, the probability of getting two consecutive heads is ½ multiplied by ½ which gives us a total probability of ¼ or 25%. This is useful in understanding how often price movements can be viewed as random or as following a statistical pattern. To elaborate on this, I have employed EURUSD data to examine whether there is evidence of a reversal activity in the pair. As the table below shows, there is evidence of such behaviour only in the 1-minute chart, where reversals are observed in the data. Otherwise, the percentage of trend reversals appears to be very close to 50%, i.e. being random. EURUSD 1-minute 30-minute 60-minute 4-hour 1-day Probability 42.1% 51.0% 50.6% 50.2% 51.5% Random No Yes Yes Yes Yes The same holds for the USA500 index as the table below shows, albeit it suggests that reversal strategies can be non-random at the 30-minute interval as well. However, despite their statistical appeal, these strategies are not as successful as expected. As the graph in the start of this post shows, the strategy can be successful during some periods while it can be terribly disastrous in others. For example, while it worked for the 1-minute chart in the EURUSD, at times very successful, reaching gains in excess of 3%, it dropped to just above 1% in the end. EURUSD 1-minute 30-minute 60-minute 4-hour 1-day Probability 39.6% 44.9% 48.0% 49.0% 51.1% Random No No Yes Yes Yes The USA500 1-minute and 30-minute charts record a similar response: the 30-minute chart, when the probability is closer to 50%, records much worse performance, while the 1-minute chart provides a good start but ends in disappointment. So what does this tell us? Like all trading strategies, reversal strategies can be successful in some instances and unsuccessful in others. The analytics above suggest that reversal strategies are unsuccessful in longer horizons and hence there appears to be no reason to follow such a strategy. In contrast, 1-minute charts allow for a better implementation of such strategies, as historical data show. The success of the strategy appears to be more pronounced in the EURUSD case, albeit also having its ups and downs. Consequently, in addition to specifying a correct timeframe, traders need to be very careful in drafting their strategy and adjust it quickly to how the market reacts. Remember that no strategy is full-proof and fast adjustment is something which can make or break a trade. Nektarios Michail, PhD Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Education
by HotForex
How To Calculate Pip Value, Risk & Trade Size TutorialHey Traders, in this idea we are going to break down step by step, how a professional trader calculates pip value, risk and trade size. The focus of this lesson is aimed towards helping you get an idea of how you can create your own risk management plan in order to remain consistently profitable over a long period of time. You can have the best strategy in the world and still lose consistently without a solid risk management plan. In fact, in my personal experience with teaching traders, I have found that many traders who do not succeed are actually using a profitable strategy! These traders would have made money if they followed their risk management rules but that tends to go out the window when we do not see how the numbers work out for ourselves (among many other reason). It is important that you use these calculations that I have broken down on these charts over and over again until it makes perfect sense to you and then apply them to your own trading. If you do nothing else at least make sure the numbers work for you! I hope this short tutorial helps you get started on creating your own risk management plan and please be sure to comment below with any questions you may have. If you like this tutorial please give this lesson a thumbs up and I will cover more on this topic In a future lesson. Thanks Traders, If you would like access to a spreadsheet that automatically calculates all of this for you, please request one using the link below and I will send you my personal spreadsheet for free. goo.gl Also if you have not done so please follow me at TradersNsights Facebook page as I plan to start posting daily market updates and predictions over there that may be helpful to you. www.facebook.com
Education
by Alec40
17
Trend Reversal Alerts Strategy in DepthThis idea based on one of the simplest trading strategies in the world Trend-Reversal-Alerts-Strategy that I shared recently. Now I want to spread few words about how you should make it perform better with help of buy and sell resistance and I will show you the exact methods. But first, if you still not sure how this strategy tester is actually work you should definitely read this: TradingView Blog: EN/new-features-improvements-strategy-backtesting RU/new-features-improvements-strategy-backtesting Also I want to recommend an article that I googled. It examine in depth and gives a perfomance summary on every single subject: tradingview-strategy-tester-performance-summary According to Buy/Sell Resistance. When new candle created with assigned Open value, Resistance = 0. In the second Close start moving it changes so called Resistance of that candle. It could be negative or positive. So by setting resistance you can tell this script to enter/close your trades only when Buy/Sell Resistance values are greater or equal than your settings values. * You should tweak it only after all strategy tester options are ready. Very important! I do it in a simple way : open settings -> Buy Resistance = 1 -> Sell Resistance = -1 -> then if nothing change -> Buy Resistance = 1.5 -> Sell Resistance = -1.5; otherwise -> Buy Resistance = 0.5 -> Sell Resistance = -0.5 and so on... * This is very important to do to eliminate in the future "resitance issues" - when you can't enter/close trades because of your resistance settings. That is all for now. Take care and bye bye!
SP:SPXEducation
by sequentialvzion