What to consider when trading...
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This is my personal opinion, so it may differ from yours.
Please keep this in mind.
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So, how should I proceed with day trading?
When trading day trading, the first thing to consider is the trading volume.
Coins (tokens) with low trading volume should be avoided because volatility can occur in an instant, making it difficult to respond quickly and likely to result in losses.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to choose coins (tokens) with high trading volume.
The next thing to consider is the price of the coin (token).
If the price of the coin (token) becomes too high or too low, even if you sell it for profit, you may incur a loss.
Therefore, when trading a coin (token) with a very high price, you should trade with a longer time frame.
In other words, the increase should be high.
When trading a coin (token) with a very low price, you need to be persistent.
This is because the amount you want to trade is large, so the rise or fall may be slow.
The next thing to consider is the size of your trading funds.
If your trading funds are too small, you may not be able to enjoy trading because you will earn too little profit compared to the stress of trading.
If you lose the fun of trading like this, you will have difficulty continuing to trade or you will likely leave the investment market, so you need to be careful.
If you set the trading fund size too high, you can suffer a big loss with one mistake, so you must set a stop loss point and keep it.
You can find out how much trading fund size is right for you by looking at your psychological state when you trade.
If you think you are trading too boldly, it is better to think that the trading fund size is small and increase it little by little.
If you feel extremely anxious when you trade and incur a loss, it is better to reduce the trading fund size little by little.
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(BTCUSDT 30m chart)
Considering the above considerations (trading volume, price, trading fund size), you should continuously observe the selected coin (token) chart to check the movement at the support and resistance points.
To do this, you need to check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts when you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, which can be the basis for starting a transaction, or when you have a trading strategy.
Usually, when the Trend Cloud indicator shows an upward trend while receiving support near the HA-Low indicator and rising, there is a high possibility of rising.
Therefore, you should consider whether to buy when the HA-Low indicator shows support.
And, when the HA-High indicator touches and falls, there is a high possibility of falling when the Trend Cloud indicator shows a downward trend.
Therefore, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the first selling section.
In this way, you can conduct transactions within the sideways section trading within the HA-Low ~ HA-High section.
Then, when there is a movement that falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, you can conduct a transaction according to the trend.
Therefore, split trading is essential.
The basics of split trading are to sell half when you make a profit and set the stop loss at the principal price for the remaining half.
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This is something everyone knows, but it is not easy to follow.
Also, there are times when it is difficult to decide what to use as the standard for trading.
In such cases, as I mentioned, I recommend that you choose a coin (token) considering the trading volume, price, and trading fund size and continuously check the movement of the chart.
Even if you are not familiar with chart analysis, if you continuously look at the chart, there is a possibility that you will see movement.
However, you need prior knowledge on how to set the stop loss point.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Beyond Technical Analysis
Crypto Risk Management: The Most Overlooked EdgeIn the thrilling yet unforgiving world of crypto, profit potential is massive—but so is the risk. Every trader or investor enters the space with dreams of 10x gains, but without a solid risk management strategy, many exit just as fast—with a trail of losses.
Risk management is the art of protecting your capital while giving yourself the best shot at long-term profitability. It’s not just a skill; it’s a survival strategy.
What Are the Risks in Crypto?
Crypto markets are unique—24/7, global, and driven by emotion, hype, and tech disruption. With that come several risk categories:
Market Risk – Volatile price swings can wipe out unprepared traders.
Liquidity Risk – Low-volume coins can be hard to exit during dumps.
Regulatory Risk – Government crackdowns or bans (e.g., Binance or XRP cases).
Security Risk – Hacks, rug pulls, phishing scams, and smart contract bugs.
Operational Risk – Mistakes like sending funds to the wrong address or using faulty bots.
These risks aren’t just theoretical—think of the LUNA/UST collapse or the FTX debacle. Billions were lost due to poor risk management at multiple levels.
🧠 Core Principles of Risk Management
To stay in the game long-term, you need to adopt some fundamental principles:
Preserve capital first, profit later.
Risk small, aim big.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Think in probabilities, not certainties.
Be consistent, not lucky.
Even the best traders lose—but they survive because they manage their downside better than the rest.
🛠️ Tools & Techniques That Can Save Your Portfolio
1. ✅ Position Sizing
Don’t bet your whole stack on one trade. A common approach is to risk 1–2% of your portfolio per trade. That way, even a streak of bad trades won’t destroy your capital.
2. 🛑 Stop-Loss & Take-Profit
Always have predefined stop-loss levels to cut losses, and take-profit targets to lock in gains. Trading without a stop-loss is like driving without brakes.
3. 📊 Diversification
Spread your investments across different sectors (DeFi, AI, Layer 1s, etc.). Don’t rely on one narrative or one coin.
4. ⚖️ Leverage Control
Leverage can amplify gains—and losses. Avoid high leverage unless you’re an experienced trader with a tight plan.
5. 🔁 Portfolio Rebalancing
Adjust your allocations periodically. If one asset balloons in value, rebalance to lock in gains and manage exposure.
6. 💵 Using Stablecoins
Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, or DAI are great for hedging during volatility. Park profits or prepare dry powder for dips.
🧠 Psychological Risk: The Silent Killer
Many traders don’t lose due to bad analysis—they lose to emotions.
FOMO leads to buying tops.
Fear leads to panic selling bottoms.
Revenge trading after losses leads to bigger losses.
Greed blinds you from taking profits.
The key is discipline. Create a plan, follow it, and review your mistakes objectively.
🚫 Common Mistakes to Avoid
Going all-in on one trade or coin
Holding through massive drawdowns hoping for a recovery
Ignoring stop-losses
Overleveraging small positions to “win it all back”
Risk management is about avoiding unnecessary pain, not killing your gains.
🧭 Final Thoughts
The best traders in crypto aren't those who win big once—they're the ones who survive long enough to win over and over. Risk management is your edge in a market that respects no one.
Whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or long-term HODLer, never forget: capital is your lifeline. Guard it with your strategy, protect it with your plan, and grow it with patience.
✍️ By Green Crypto
Empowering traders with analysis, tools, and education. Stay sharp. Stay profitable.
Scalping with ATM Options Using Candle + OI Confirmation!Hello Traders!
If you love quick entries and fast exits with defined logic, then ATM Option Scalping is your game. But scalping without confirmation often leads to stop-loss hits. That’s why combining candlestick structure with live Open Interest (OI) data gives you a serious edge. Let’s break down the exact setup I use to scalp with ATM options in Nifty & BankNifty .
Why ATM Options for Scalping?
Better Liquidity: ATM strikes have tight spreads and high volumes, making execution quick and efficient.
Quick Premium Movement: Even small index moves reflect fast in ATM premiums.
Less Theta Decay (Intraday): Within first half of day, theta doesn’t hurt much. Scalping avoids time decay traps.
Scalping Strategy: Candle + OI Confirmation
Step 1 – Watch 5-Min Candle Setup:
Look for strong breakout candles, bullish/bearish engulfing, or reversal candles at key zones like VWAP/PDH/PDL.
Step 2 – Confirm with OI Shift:
Check ATM strikes on option chain.
Put OI rising + Price sustaining = bullish confirmation.
Call OI rising + Price rejecting = bearish confirmation.
Step 3 – Take Trade in ATM Option:
Enter CE or PE near breakout candle close with proper SL below/above that candle.
Step 4 – Exit Fast (Scalp Mode):
Book partial profits at 30–40% or when next resistance/support is hit. Avoid overholding!
Bonus Risk Management Tips
Avoid Trading Near News or Events: OI gives false signals in high volatility zones.
1 Trade = 1 Risk Unit Only: Do not revenge trade. Scalping is about accuracy, not frequency.
Trade only when both candle + OI align: No confirmation = no entry.
Rahul’s Tip
Let the chart speak, but let the OI validate. When both agree — that’s where scalpers win big.
Conclusion
Scalping with ATM options using candle structure + OI shift is a powerful setup if executed with discipline. It’s fast, clean, and logical. Focus on 1–2 setups a day — and make them count.
Do you scalp ATM options? Share your entry rules or struggles in the comments below!
Ranging? Not Really. The Big Guys’ Plan Is Already Set…Ever wondered what the crowd is really doing behind the candles?
This video breaks down how to read Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)—
from retail behavior to sentiment charts, and why the market doesn’t always follow logic.
✅ When price moves one way but the crowd trades the other...
✅ When sideways markets aren’t as neutral as they look...
✅ When emotions take over—and how to spot it in advance.
We’re lifting the hood. The engine’s running. Let’s see what drives it.
3 Tips to Make Trading EasierTrading is such a strange beast—both extremely difficult and unparalleled in its simplicity.
Sometimes, we find ourselves floating in effortless flow. Other times, we’re stuck in a storm of confusion, frustration, or overconfidence.
And it’s in these oscillations—the swing between extremes—where the true difficulty lies.
On one end, we show the market less respect than it demands.
On the other, we freeze in fear or get swept away in frustration and rage.
Managing these extremes is part of the trader’s job.
Managing them well… is an art form.
Here are 3 foundational tools that have helped me:
⸻
1. Find. Your. Rhythm.
Each of us is wired differently. Our biochemistry, personality traits, and preferences are all unique—and they absolutely affect how we trade.
Some traders thrive on high-frequency scalping.
Others wait patiently for a single swing setup.
Some feel energized after 6 hours of screen time.
Others burn out after one intense hour.
If you don’t understand your personal rhythm, you’ll constantly be misaligned—not just with your strategy, but with your life.
Workaholics may get bored and start forcing trades.
Laid-back traders may overcommit and burn out fast.
Rhythm isn’t just about preference—it’s about sustainability.
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2. Practice Tolerating Discomfort.
Trading is uncomfortable.
Let’s be real—90% of it ranges from mildly uneasy to outright agonizing.
Practicing discomfort outside of trading has made a huge difference for me:
Cold plunges.
Sadhu boards.
Early morning wake-ups.
Cardio.
Even practicing restraint during family arguments.
These things teach you to sit with that gnawing feeling and not act impulsively.
They train your nervous system to stay stable under pressure.
Trading may not get “easier,” but your capacity for difficulty increases—so it starts to feel easier.
⸻
3. Plan Is Everything.
Trading becomes way simpler when you just show up to execute a plan.
If your plan says there are no trades today—then walk away.
If your plan says take two trades—then take them.
Win or lose, outsource the result to the plan, not to your self-worth.
Then, at the end of a set period (ideally written into the plan), review your execution.
Were you compliant?
What can be adjusted?
A good plan + rhythm alignment + discomfort tolerance = consistency.
⸻
Trading is obviously more complex than three bullet points can capture—but the foundation you can build from these is immense.
Thanks for reading.
Happy trading.
—Lightwork_
Major Life Update: I Left the United Nation to Trade Full TimeAfter 11+ years of working in some of the toughest crisis zones — Jordan, Turkey, Syria, Iraq, HQ Geneva, and Ukraine — I’ve officially stepped down from my role as Head of the Information Management Team for the Health Cluster – World Health Organization – Ukraine Office.
It wasn’t easy.
But it was time.
The pressure, the politics, the burnout… it all started to weigh too heavy. And somewhere along the way, I realized I wasn’t living — I was just surviving.
And with the recent UN funding cuts — especially following the decision by Trump to halt contributions — it became clear that working in the humanitarian system is no longer something I can rely on for long-term stability or financial security for my family.
Trading changed that for me.
It gave me space to think, to breathe, and to build something that’s mine. It taught me discipline, patience, and how to trust myself again.
So now, I’m stepping into a new chapter — full-time day trader.
Not chasing the noise. Just sticking to my setups, showing up every day, and trusting the process.
I’m sharing this here because honestly, everyone following me feels like my new big family — and to the good friends I’ve made in this community, thank you for being part of this journey.
This isn’t the end of the road. It’s a new one.
And I’m walking it fully awake this time.
Wish me luck, see you in the minds section :)
Moe,
#TradingLife #Mindset #DayTrader #Resignation #LifeShift #NewChapter #FinancialFreedom #SeeYouInTheMindsSection
Trendlines and broken trendlines resultsTrendlines are one of the major supports or resistances and on this Bitcoin chart we can see few examples which price react well to them and start to pump from green trendlines and sometimes dump from red trendlines and it is easy to draw one trendline ----> simple like drawing support line this time try to find support line which is Diagonal and one or two touch with this trendline you can find next support which is third touch and you can set your buy there like below example:
also sometimes trendline broke and their support turn to resistance and after retest of breakout you can enter sell like example:
there are so many rules about trendline like when it can break or after how many touches trendline lose it's power and ... we can discuss in comments more about them so ask any questions there and lets discuss.
Also currently if we have a valid breakout of red trendline to the upside for Bitcoin price can easily pump to 90K$ at least.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 4: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend
In Part 1 , we covered reducing position size.
In Part 2 , we explored liquidity and execution strategies.
In Part 3 , we discussed the power of patience over FOMO.
Now,we're diving into one of the most important principles of all — especially in volatile, fast-moving markets: Follow the Trend. Trust the Trend. Trade With the Trend.
In wild markets like these, everything changes quickly. Indicators print overbought or oversold conditions well before the market even thinks about reversing.
Divergences can keep stacking up while the price continues trending for another 300, 500, or even 1000 points. Why? Volatility + Liquidity conditions = Extended trending behavior.
When liquidity is thin, and volatility is high, strong trends tend to last longer than usual:
Breakouts run further.
Breakdowns fall deeper.
And counter-trend trades? They're often a fast ticket to losses.
█ What Pro Traders Know Better Than Anyone:
In volatile markets, trend-following isn't optional — it's survival.
But wait, it is obvious that trends aren't perfect straight lines. So how can one even realistically “follow” a trend, especially in volatile markets.
Well, the key is to expect the unexpected. Experienced traders trade logically, we expect pullbacks, fakeouts, stop hunts, snapbacks and/or channel breaks. In fact, we prepare for them.
It is detrimental to assume the trend is over just because of these moves. Most of these are liquidity traps, not real reversals.
█ Here's What Pro Traders Do Differently:
⚪ They Identify the Core Trend Direction
Pro traders use price structure, trendlines, moving averages, VWAP , or higher timeframe levels to identify the trend direction. Once identified, every trade respects the trend.
Let me explain with an example.
→ Uptrend Identification:
Say you notice that the price of Gold (XAUUSD) has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows. What should you do?
You use the 100-period moving average (MA) and see that price is staying above it, indicating an uptrend. You wait for price to pull back to the MA, giving you a low-risk entry to join the uptrend rather than chasing the trend.
→ Downtrend Identification:
In a downtrend, USD/JPY keeps making lower highs and lower lows. You observe the 100-period moving average pointing down. This is your cue to look for short entries , avoiding countertrend buys that could trap you.
⚪ They ONLY Look for Entries at Key Trend Channel Levels
Professional traders don’t chase the price or try to catch every move. Instead, they patiently wait for price to return to key areas within a well-defined trend channel , either the upper boundary (in a downtrend) or the lower boundary (in an uptrend).
→ In an uptrend:
Pro traders draw a trend channel based on the price move. When price pulls back to the lower boundary of the channel (often aligning with demand zones), they start looking for long entries, aiming to trade with the trend and target a new high.
→ In a downtrend:
The same logic applies, but in reverse. Price pulls back to the upper boundary of the channel (supply area), offering a clean short opportunity to continue with the trend and target a new low.
But here’s what separates pros from amateurs:
→ They expect fakeouts, spikes , and temporary breaks beyond the trend channel — especially in volatile conditions.
→ They don’t panic when the price briefly moves outside the channel. Instead, they wait for confirmation signals (like a rejection candle, break of structure, or momentum shift) before entering.
→ This gives them both a logical entry point and a favorable risk-reward setup — aligning with the larger trend direction while staying protected if the trend fails.
⚪ They Treat Countertrend Moves as Opportunities to Enter WITH the Trend
When a countertrend move happens, pro traders see it as an opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend, rather than trying to catch a reversal.
→ Counter-Trend Move in an Uptrend:
Let's say S&P 500 is in a strong uptrend, and it experiences a sharp pullback of 5%.
While many retail traders panic and try to short the market, pro traders see this as a buying opportunity at a lower price, anticipating the trend will continue after the correction.
→ Counter-Trend Move in a Downtrend:
For Gold (XAU/USD) , if the price falls sharply from $1,900 to $1,850 and then retraces back to $1,875 (a previous support-turned-resistance level), pros see this as an opportunity to sell into the trend rather than buying into what could be a false recovery.
⚪ They Accept That Trends Can Look "Overbought" or "Oversold" for a Long Time
In volatile, trending conditions, RSI can stay above 70 for hours or even days, and divergences can build for a long time without price reacting.
→ RSI Above 70 in an Uptrend:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rallies from $40,000 to $60,000. Despite RSI being above 70 for a few days, pro traders don't fight the trend because momentum is strong. Instead, they look for a pullback to the 100-period MA for a safer entry.
→ Divergence in Downtrend:
The EUR/USD shows a bearish trend , but the RSI starts to build a divergence as the price keeps making lower lows. Pro traders ignore the divergence because the trend is still strong. They wait for a clear break of the trendline or confirmation that price has reversed before considering a long trade.
█ Summary of Part 4 — Trend is Your Best Friend
You can't control how far a trend will run…but you can control whether you're with or fighting against it.
And trust me, fighting a strong trend in a volatile market is a battle retail traders rarely win.
Here’s what you should take away from this article:
Volatile markets = Extended trends
Indicators can lie — trend structure tells the truth
Fakeouts & pullbacks are normal
Don't fight the trend — trade with it
Use counter-moves to enter the trend
Patience & trend-following = Survival + Profit
█ What We Covered:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend is Your Best Friend
That's it! You've now completed the Mastering Volatile Markets series.
Stay calm, adapt quickly, and trade smarter — that's how you survive (and thrive) in volatile markets.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
The Art of Doing Nothing: Why Tape Watchers Beat Impulse TradersLess is more. In this Idea we dig into the trading philosophy where less action means more traction. It’s the dispute between the chart readers and the button clickers.
Some swear by this: the smartest trading strategy sometimes involves sitting on your hands and embracing the sweet, underrated beauty of doing absolutely nothing. The Italians figured this out ages ago—they call it Dolce Far Niente , the sweetness of doing nothing.
But can a trader really get away with just kicking back and waiting while sipping espresso (or the mezcal martini type if you got your Patagonia vest)? Actually, yes—and it often pays better than impulsive clicks.
Let’s talk about why chart-watching and tape-reading often outsmart trigger-happy trading.
🤷♂️ Doing Nothing Is Harder Than It Looks
First off, let’s acknowledge something painfully true: not trading is tough. Seriously tough. Trading never sleeps, notifications flash at you like slot machines. Headlines constantly scream about massive opportunities you're missing — Tesla's NASDAQ:TSLA latest rally or gold’s OANDA:XAUUSD record-breaking surge powered by tariff jitters.
The pressure to click, buy, sell, or do something—anything!—can be overwhelming. It’s why there’s something called a heatmap — because it’s hot, hot, hot!
But here’s the secret: successful traders know that impulse trading isn't a strategy; it's just financial caffeine. Instead, chart watchers—the cool-headed crowd who sit back, patiently observing price movements, market structure, and volume flow—tend to win the marathon, while impulse traders burn out in the sprint.
🌸 The Dolce Far Niente Method
Ever watched an old Italian movie? There's usually a scene featuring someone lounging effortlessly, soaking in life’s beauty without lifting a finger—this is Dolce Far Niente.
In trading terms, it’s the act of patiently waiting, savoring the calm between trades, watching your charts like an old-school tape reader that would make Jesse Livermore proud. (“A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are.”)
A good setup is worth the wait. Instead of diving into trades, relax, observe, and let opportunities come to you. Because the reality is, not every candlestick needs your immediate response. Markets don’t reward hyperactivity; they reward patience and calculated action.
🤩 Tape Reading vs. Trading: The Difference Between Winning and Clicking
The lost art of tape reading, as hedge fund guru Paul Tudor Jones calls it, is about carefully tracking price action, volume, and market sentiment. It’s far less exciting than rapid-fire day trading but potentially more rewarding.
“When it comes to trading macro,” Tudor Jones says, “you cannot rely solely on fundamentals; you have to be a tape reader, which is something of a lost art form.
Learning when to sit quietly (doing nothing) and when to strike decisively is the hallmark of trading mastery.
✋ Real Traders Don’t Chase—They Anticipate
Waiting isn’t passive. It’s actually active restraint—a calculated choice to do nothing until the odds tip decidedly in your favor. Let’s be clear: chart watchers aren’t asleep at the wheel; they're carefully steering clear of trouble until clear setups emerge.
The result? Better entry points, clearer risk-reward ratios, and fewer sleepless nights worrying about impulsive mistakes.
“The trick in investing is just to sit there and watch pitch after pitch go by and wait for the one right in your sweet spot. And if people are yelling, ‘Swing, you bum!,’ ignore them.” Bonus points if you know who said that!
So, next time your finger hovers over that "buy" or "sell" button, ask yourself if you’re trading strategically or just for the dopamine hit. Remember the Italian saying, take a breath, embrace the tranquility, and let patience become your trading superpower.
Let us know in the comments: Are you team “click less, wait more,” or do you find yourself riding the impulse wave fairly frequently?
The End of Meme Coin Scams: A New UpdateWith the latest update, we are witnessing a shift in how meme coins operate in the crypto world, effectively putting an end to scams that have plagued the meme coin space.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500.
📈
Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
A Recap of Meme Coin Creation and Scams
In a previous educational analysis, I walked you through the step-by-step process of how meme coins are created and, most importantly, how scammers often exploit these coins for personal gain. I explained the mechanics behind the manipulation of meme coins, where bad actors would create a coin, pump its price, and then abandon it once they made a profit, leaving countless investors in financial ruin.
The Hidden Aspect: How Creators Profited from Commissions
However, there was one critical aspect I did not discuss—how meme coin creators were profiting through transaction fees, also known as commissions. Prior to this update, many small-scale creators were incentivized to sell portions of their holdings at high prices, ensuring they made a profit, often at the cost of the coin's long-term stability. This led to price crashes, the collapse of the coin's market, and devastating losses for thousands of investors. 🚨
The Previous Model: 2 important platform one for creating the mem coin and second for transactions and fees
Under the previous system, meme coins were typically launched on platforms like P p .F n, which helped boost the coin’s liquidity through in-app promotions and social media outreach. This initial momentum would attract many investors, and then the coin would be listed on various exchanges for wider visibility.
To ensure that creators could continue to profit, the transactions would eventually shift to a new platform, which took all of the transaction fees, further enriching the platform but leaving creators with limited sustainable profits.
The New Update: Introducing new version for enring fees directly
With the latest update, the creator introduces a revolutionary feature. This addition fundamentally changes how meme coin creators can profit. Instead of relying on external platforms that take all the transaction fees, allows creators to receive a significant percentage of trading fees directly. This ensures that creators who are genuinely committed to the long-term success of their coin can continue to benefit from it without destroying the project once the coin gains traction.
A Sustainable Future for Meme Coins
This update paves the way for a new era where meme coins are not just tools for short-term profit but are sustainable and beneficial in the long run for both creators and investors. Creators who have the genuine intention to build and maintain their projects will now have the opportunity to continuously profit from them as the coin grows stronger and attracts more users. 🌱
Why This Matters for Investors
For investors, this is a game-changer. As meme coins become more reliable and profitable for creators, they also become safer and more promising for long-term investment. The more successful these meme coins become, the more lucrative it will be for investors in both the short and long term. 📈
By fostering a system that rewards creators based on the coin's success and longevity, this update helps eliminate the risk of sudden crashes. As a result, meme coins have the potential to evolve into solid, dependable projects rather than speculative assets that leave many in financial distress.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
With the latest update, meme coin scams are effectively ending. creator website of meme coin now introduces new direct update for fees, which allows creators to earn a fair share of trading fees, ensuring they benefit long-term without abandoning the project. This makes meme coins more sustainable, rewarding both creators and investors. It’s a major shift towards stability and profitability in the meme coin space. 🚀
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Breakout trading
(Title)
Breakout trading starts with finding support and resistance points
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Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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I will take the time to talk about breakout trading.
This is my opinion, so the content may be lacking.
The reason I did not explain what other people say with examples is because trading is a psychological battle.
Most of the content in books or on the Internet is explained with patterns.
However, it is not easy to find patterns when checking the movement of a real-time chart.
Therefore, I think it is more important to understand why such movements occur than to explain them with patterns.
Therefore, I think it is better to create a trading strategy by finding support and resistance points and checking whether or not they are supported by the support and resistance points rather than memorizing patterns.
Breakout trading refers to starting a transaction after checking whether there is support at a point or section when the price rises above a certain point or section, and there is a possibility of a larger rise.
If you do a breakout trade incorrectly, you may end up buying at a high point, which could result in a large loss, so it is recommended to always keep a stop loss point when trading.
In order to reduce the stop loss, you need to make an effort to lower the average purchase price by selling in installments when the price rises after purchasing and buying in installments when the price falls again.
Therefore, the stop loss point is when it is beyond the range you can handle.
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Let's take the BTCUSDT 1D chart as an example.
It has fallen after renewing the ATH.
Looking at the current price position, it feels like it will fall further.
However, if the price rises to around the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, that is, around 89294.25, you will feel like it will turn into an uptrend.
Even if you think that you won't feel that way now, you will feel that way after it rises.
Therefore, the most important thing in breakout trading is to find important support and resistance points.
To find support and resistance points, you need to basically understand candles.
Any book or video about candles will do.
I recommend that you don't try to memorize the content in it, but read or watch it repeatedly several times.
In my case, after watching the video about candles about 3 times, my understanding of the chart became easier.
The reason for finding support and resistance points is to select a trading point.
What you need to find support and resistance is a horizontal line.
It is not easy to start trading with chart tools that are not horizontal lines but diagonal lines or curves.
The reason is that when you try to start a trade, you are more likely to miss the timing because your psychological state is added.
-
You can see that the uptrend started when it broke through the 73072.41 point.
Therefore, you can see that it is possible that the uptrend will start when it breaks through the 106133.74 point this time as well.
However, in this case, since it is rising while renewing the ATH, it is a point where it is thought to be difficult to actually start trading.
In other words, it is likely that you will be reluctant to trade because it is thought to be a high point.
Therefore, as I mentioned earlier, the actual breakout trade will be conducted when it breaks through the 89294.25 point.
Then, even if it rises to around the 106133.74 point, you will be more likely to respond stably without feeling much psychological anxiety.
-
However, there is one problem.
That is, the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone.
Therefore, when it rises near the 89294.25 point and confirms support, the StochRSI indicator should show a downward trend from the overbought zone.
Otherwise, the 89294.25 point is likely to act as a resistance point.
Even if the market is messy and difficult to predict, you should not be too busy finding support and resistance points.
After all, you need to have a standard for creating a trading strategy to start trading.
It is better to create a trading strategy and respond at the support and resistance points you have selected if possible.
Even if you suffer a loss, if you continue to trade, you will be able to better organize the support and resistance points.
For reference, the indicators that can create a trading strategy on my chart are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Trading is a business
The masses have the wrong ideas about Trading. It is a business and just like others it involves risk. We grow, we learn, earn and scale up. Crafting a plan is essential to success and character also play a key role here.
In this business, risk is an inherent part of the equation. Just like any other enterprise, trading exposes you to challenges and setbacks, but it's how you manage these risks that can differentiate a thriving business from one that falters. Careful risk management—whether through proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, or diversification—is the foundation that helps protect your capital while you grow your business over time.
Crafting a trading plan is essential. This plan should not only outline your entry and exit strategies based on rigorous analysis but also incorporate a framework to evaluate your performance critically. A well-crafted plan serves as a roadmap, guiding your decisions in both favorable and challenging market conditions. Moreover, it creates a discipline that protects you from emotional reactions that can often lead to impulsive decisions—a common pitfall in trading.
Character plays a crucial role as well. In trading, psychological fortitude, resilience in the face of losses, and the humility to learn from mistakes are qualities that separate the successful from the rest. Many people mistakenly believe that a few big wins can offset a series of missteps; however, it is the consistent, calculated, and disciplined approach that leads to sustainable growth. This business mindset—acknowledging that each trade is a learning opportunity and a step in scaling up your efforts—is what ultimately propels traders to long-term success.
In essence, re-framing trading as a business fosters a mindset where every decision is taken seriously, every mistake is analyzed for improvement, and every trade is seen as a building block for growth. This approach not only minimizes unnecessary risks but also enables you to scale up with confidence.
I'm curious—what elements of your trading plan do you find most effective at keeping your business mindset in check, and are there aspects you'd like to refine further?
QE vs QT: The Invisible Force Behind Every Pump and Dump !Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to talk about macroeconomics and how QE and QT actually impact the economy and financial markets — and more importantly, how both pro traders and even non-professionals can benefit from understanding these basic concepts in their trading journey and even their everyday life.
So make sure to stick with me until the very end, because if you still don't know about these key metrics, this is going to be extremely helpful — and I promise I’ll keep it simple.
🔄 First... What Are QE and QT Anyway?
It’s simple:
QE (Quantitative Easing) = Pumping money into the system 💸
QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Sucking money out of the system 💀
That’s it.
The Fed either injects liquidity — or pulls it back.
And that liquidity is the real fuel of the market —
Not your RSI, not your fib levels, not your favorite influencer's altcoin pick.
🟩 What Is QE?
When the Fed wants to support the economy (like during a crash or recession), it prints money and buys government bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and more.
This increases liquidity → makes borrowing easier → and drives people toward risky assets like stocks and crypto.
✅ Benefits of QE:
Boosts markets (stocks, crypto, real estate — all of it)
Supports employment and economic growth
Weakens the dollar → makes exports stronger
❌ Downsides of QE:
Can lead to inflation or even hyperinflation if overused
Creates asset bubbles (aka pumps with no real fundamentals)
Weakens long-term purchasing power
In short:
QE = Bullish AF for markets — but dangerous if left unchecked.
🟥 What Is QT?
QT is the opposite.
When the economy overheats or inflation gets out of control, the Fed stops printing — and even starts removing liquidity from the system.
They let bonds expire or sell them off, reducing the amount of money circulating.
✅ Benefits of QT:
Helps bring inflation down
Cools off overheated markets
Restores balance after aggressive QE periods
❌ Downsides of QT:
Slows down the economy
Crashes risk assets (like BTC, tech stocks, etc.)
Can trigger a recession if done too fast or too long
QT = Bearish pressure for almost every chart you trade.
💡 Now that you understand QT and QE, let's talk about how we can use this in our trading.
To help you visualize it better, I’ve marked the QT and QE periods on the chart.
And as you’ll see, there’s a perfect correlation between Fed policy decisions and the BTC chart.
It almost looks like their policies decide exactly where and even when the tops and bottoms happen!
Let me explain it step by step — because while it might sound complicated, it’s actually very easy to understand:
📉 Example: The QT Period from 2017 to 2019
From October 2017 to September 2019, the Fed was in full QT mode — and we had three major phases in the market.
Phase 1:
When the Fed first announced QT, BTC was around a red monthly resistance line after a huge parabolic run-up.
Right after the announcement, BTC entered a sharp correction — all the way down to the monthly support.
(Shown with a red ellipse on the chart)
Phase 2:
BTC started to prepare for its next move — it accumulated below a bullish structure and slowly positioned itself for the next wave.
📉📈 Phase 3: The Big Corona Dump + QE Restart
Then came the third and most important phase of QT in the BTC chart:
The COVID crash — a sudden, brutal dump across all markets.
Sound familiar? Yeh, same pattern…
Immediately after the crash, the Fed announced QE and started pumping liquidity again → and we saw that huge parabolic run everyone remembers.
🔁 Now Here’s the Plot Twist... We’re Repeating the Same Pattern
Let’s break it down:
A huge crash after QT announcement (phase 1)
Market accumulation below a bullish structure (phase 2)
One final shakeout — just like the COVID dump — which I personally call Black Monday 2025 👀
And now… the Fed has hinted that they're ready to step in to stabilize the markets if needed ( phase three )
Guess what? Another round of QE could be coming...
In this idea, I tried to explain how QE and QT work — and show you the hidden forces behind every bull and bear cycle.
If you enjoyed this, make sure to follow and stay tuned for more.
And as always, never forget our rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge
If you've read Part 1 about position sizing and Part 2 on liquidity , then you already know how to adapt to the mechanics of volatile markets. The next great tool in your arsenal will be patience.
Your biggest opponent in wild markets is your own mind.
In volatile markets, your emotions can easily get the best of you. Fear of missing out (FOMO) is one of the most dangerous emotions that drives poor decisions.
█ FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Hits Hardest in Volatile Markets
Wild price swings, like 300-500 point moves in the Nasdaq or Bitcoin jumping $1000 in seconds, can make it feel like easy money is everywhere.
You can quickly get the overwhelming temptation to chase moves , especially when it seems like you're missing every opportunity.
This is where most traders lose.
Let me state some harsh truths that I had to learn the hard way through many losses:
Volatility doesn't equal opportunity.
Fast moves don't mean easy trades.
Most wild price moves are designed to trap liquidity and punish impatience.
The true reality is that the market wants you to overreact in these conditions.
It wants you to buy after a big move.
It wants you to short after a flush.
It thrives on you being emotional, chasing, and reacting.
Because reactive traders = liquidity providers for smart money.
Every single trader has made this mistake — not just once, but over and over again. Jumping into the market after a big move, hoping it will continue… but what usually happens? The market snaps back and stops you out.
Can you relate? Share your story or experience with this in the comments below!
█ What Experienced Traders Do Instead
⚪ They Know the First Move is Often the Trap
Breakout? Expect a fakeout.
Breakdown? Expect a snapback.
New high? Watch for stop hunts.
New low? Watch for a flush.
Effectively speaking, pro traders don't chase the market. We wait for stop hunts to complete, liquidity grabs to finish, price to return into their zone, and for confirmations before entering the market.
⚪ They Train Patience Like a Skill
Professional traders aren't more patient because they're "special." We are patient because we’ve learned the hard way that chasing leads to pain.
⚪ They Know When Not to Trade
It is bad to trade when there’s no clear structure, no clean confirmation, if the spread is too wide or when the liquidity is too thin.
Instead, pro traders let the market come to them , not the other way around.
⚪ They Turn FOMO into Confidence
Instead of saying, "I'm missing the move…" , I recommend you think:
"If it ran without me — it wasn't my trade."
"If it comes back into my setup — now it's my trade."
█ So, what have we learned today?
Volatility triggers FOMO. FOMO triggers bad decisions. Bad decisions trigger losses.
To win long-term, you must stay calm, selective and professional. Let other traders be emotional liquidity. That's how you survive volatile markets.
█ What We Covered Already:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Learning Not to TradeThe ability to wait for your setup is the most important skill a trader can have.
Strangely enough, in trading, you absolutely must learn not to trade. Patience is key. We’re like predators lying in ambush: no sudden moves, no panic, just waiting for the right moment.
No setup — no trade.
Sometimes it's a day or two without trades, sometimes a week or even more.
Hard? Very. It feels like you have to participate in every move, squeeze the maximum out of every market, trade daily, nonstop — hands itching, mind racing, gotta make money. Some traders even set financial goals — I’m totally against that. You’ve got a "monthly target"? Great — now you're forced to find trades where there are none.
But there’s an awesome fix for that: create trading-related activities for yourself during downtimes:
1. Analyze your past trades.
In detail: average gain, average loss, win rate, risk/reward ratio, and more. Where are your strengths? Which markets and instruments work best for you? Where do you tend to screw up — late stops, premature exits, re-entries? How can you minimize losses?
2. Study price action after you close a trade.
Maybe you’re exiting too early and missing the rest of the move. Tons of traders scalp and make money, sure — but if they didn’t scalp, they could’ve made twice as much. Data from successful traders shows a clear edge in holding positions for at least a few days. Also — let’s not forget commissions: fewer trades means lower costs.
3. Test new setups.
Use TradingView's replay function to go back in time and trade historical data as if it were live. It’ll sharpen your eye for candle and chart patterns, help validate new strategies, and overall — it’s just super useful.
4. Read books.
All good traders read — a lot, constantly, forever. Sit down with a highlighter, mark up important ideas, and better yet — take notes. Learning never stops.
And now — plot twist: this is your actual job.
Not sitting and hypnotizing charts all day. Not entering a trade and staring at every pip like a madman — one second you're thrilled, the next you’re sweating bullets.
Yes, we look at charts and order books — all useful tools — but we analyze smartly, not emotionally.
Trading is everything that happens before the trade.
Waiting for your moment. Knowing exactly where your stop loss and take profit should be.
I was analyzing my trading and realized that my main recurring mistakes right now is exiting too early , then re-entering with a tight stop, getting stopped out, and then entering again.
Overtrading.
And the worst part — this isn’t the first time. But I know how to fix it!
In my next educational post, I’ll write about the most common trading mistakes and how I personally worked through them.
Because honestly — I’ve made every mistake you can possibly make, even the ones you’re not supposed to be able to make. I’ve been in all kinds of psychological states, and I’ve tried a ton of different ways to deal with each issue.
See you in the next one.
Mastering Volatile Markets: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Trades█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 2: Why Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
If you've read the first part of this four-part series, you know that reducing position size is a key strategy for surviving volatile markets. The second crucial factor that determines success or failure in wild markets is understanding liquidity.
In volatile markets, liquidity is often the real reason behind those massive price spikes — whether 300-500 point moves in the NAS100, violent whipsaws in crypto or stop hunts in forex.
█ Liquidity: The Silent Killer in Wild Markets
In normal market conditions, liquidity is everywhere. You can enter and exit trades with minimal slippage, and everything feels smooth. But in volatile conditions, liquidity can disappear quickly.
Here's why it happens:
Market makers pull back to avoid getting caught in wild moves.
Spreads widen , making execution harder.
Order books thin out , meaning there aren't enough buy or sell orders to absorb aggressive price movements.
Even small orders can cause significant price changes when liquidity is low.
This is what causes those huge candles you often see in volatile markets. It's not just about more buyers or sellers; it's about less liquidity available to absorb those trades.
There’s also a common misunderstanding at play here: High Volume = High Liquidity
Many newer traders see a big volume candle and think, "Oh, high volume means it's safe to trade." But that’s an inaccurate conclusion.
⚪ Volume refers to the number of transactions happening.
⚪ Liquidity refers to how much depth the market has to handle those transactions without causing price instability.
In volatile markets, high volume doesn't mean there's enough liquidity.
And low liquidity causes wild wicks, huge spreads, higher slippage and unstable price action.
█ How to Navigate Low Liquidity in Volatile Markets
So, how can you trade effectively in these conditions?
1) Expect Crazy Moves — Levels Will Get Violated
In high-volatility, low-liquidity markets:
Support and resistance levels won't hold as they usually do.
Price will blow through key levels like they were nothing.
Fakeouts become extremely common.
2) Don't Rely Solely on Support & Resistance
As a newer trader, it's vital not to blindly rely on S/R levels in these markets. Here's why:
Don't expect clean bounces or perfect reactions.
Fakeouts, wicks, and stop hunts are normal.
Tight stops right behind these levels? You'll get stopped out a lot.
Experienced traders know this, which is why we adapt the strategies to handle the market's unpredictability.
3) Split Your Orders Into Smaller Chunks
One of the most effective techniques in volatile markets is order splitting.
Break it into smaller chunks instead of entering your full position at one price. This would help you survive fakeouts, scale in better across larger price moves and avoid becoming liquidity for bigger players.
Example: Let's say you want to go long at support (15,000 on the NAS100), instead of entering all at 15,000. Instead Enter:
25% at 15,000
25% at 14,950
25% at 14,900
25% at 14,850
This way, if the market fakes out below support due to low liquidity, you get filled at better prices without panic.
4) Control Your Emotions — Understand the Environment
This is HUGE in volatile markets.
Many retail traders panic when prices move against them quickly. But if you understand the nature of low liquidity , you can remain calm:
It's normal for the price to move wildly.
Levels will get swept.
Fake moves are common before the market plays out the right way.
█ Summary
Let’s take stock of what we learned today about liquidity in highly volatile markets:
High volatility often equals low liquidity.
High volume does not equal high liquidity.
Expect fakeouts , wild price behavior, and wide spreads.
Don't rely blindly on support/resistance levels.
Split your orders into smaller chunks to manage risk.
Trade smaller position sizes and stay calm.
Remember, you must adapt not only your size but also your execution . Understand liquidity, or it will punish you.
█ What We Covered Already:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Trades
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Are You Taking the Right Risks in Trading? RISK Per Trade Basics
What portion of your equity should you risk for your trading positions?
In the today's article, I will reveal the types of risks related to your position sizing.
Quick note: your risk per trade will be defined by the distance from your entry point to stop loss in pips and the lot size.
🟢Risking 1-2% of your trading account per trade will be considered a low risk.
With such a risk, one can expect low returns but a high level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is optimal for conservative and newbie traders.
With limited account drawdowns, one will remain psychologically stable during the negative trading periods.
🟡2-5% risk per trade is a medium risk. With such a risk, one can expect medium returns but a moderate level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is suitable for experienced traders who are able to take losses and psychologically resilient to big drawdowns and losing streaks.
🔴5%+ risk per trade is a high risk.
With such a risk, one can expect high returns but a low level of safety of the total equity.
Such a risk is appropriate for rare, "5-star" trading opportunities where all stars align and one is extremely confident in the positive outcome.
That winner alone can bring substantial profits, while just 2 losing trades in a row will burn 10% of the entire capital.
🛑15%+ risk per trade is considered to be a stupid risk.
With such a risk, one can blow the entire trading account with 4-5 trades losing streak.
Taking into consideration the fact that 100% trading setups does not exist, such a risk is too high to be taken.
The problem is that most of the traders does not measure the % risk per trade and use the fixed lot.
Never make such a mistake, and plan your risks according to the scale that I shared with you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
What happens to markets when the dxy rallies?!Scanning through the markets during these turbulent times has me, wondering what would happen when the dollar index rallies to new highs? Will the real estate market be higher? Will Gold be higher? Will inflation be higher? With the great reset well underway and the sheep buying the left- right blame game, what will happen to our beloved investments?
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Reducing Position Size is Key █ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 1: Why Reducing Position Size is Key
Trading is always challenging, but how do you navigate today's markets? That's a whole different level. Today, we'll move away from the usual "Trump's tariffs are horrendous" discussions. We'll instead focus on how experienced traders profit in the current volatile market.
Right now, we're seeing extreme volatility across many assets. It's not uncommon for markets to move 3% to 10% in a single day , and for indices like NAS100 (Nasdaq), intraday swings of 300 to 500 points can happen in just 5 to 30 minutes.
This can seem like bad news, but as Warren Buffet said in 2008, "In short, bad news is an investor's best friend."
Volatile markets can shake even experienced traders — but they don’t have to. With 16 years of trading experience , we’ll show you exactly how to approach conditions like these with confidence and clarity.
█ Reducing position size is the key to surviving volatility:
The most critical adjustment in a volatile market is reducing position size.
Why? Because when the market moves faster and with bigger swings, your potential risk per trade automatically increases. The key is to keep your d ollar risk the same — even when volatility is exploding.
⚪ Let's take a look at how position size changes when markets change:
2 Weeks Ago — Stable Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 50 to 100 points
Risk per trade = 100 points = $500 risk (for example)
Position Size = 5 contracts
Today — Volatile Market:
NAS100 average move per trade = 300 to 500 points
To maintain the same $500 risk per trade → Position Size = 1 contract
⚪ The Benefit:
With a smaller position, you can still earn the same profit because the price is moving much more. At the same time, your risk stays controlled , even in these wild markets.
This is exactly how professional traders survive and thrive in volatile conditions — by adjusting to what the market is giving them.
⚪ What Happens If You Don't Reduce Size?
Let's say you keep the same position size as in stable markets, but now the market moves 300-500 points against you instead of 50-100. Here's how it plays out (example):
In Stable Markets (NAS100 average move: 50-100 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 100 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $5,000 risk per trade
In Volatile Markets (NAS100 average move: 300-500 points):
Position Size: 5 contracts (unchanged)
Risk per contract: $10 per point
Risk per trade: 500 points x $10 x 5 contracts = $25,000 risk per trade
Without reducing position size, your risk increases dramatically as the market moves wildly. As a result, your losses will skyrocket when the market moves against you.
█ Summary:
Huge volatility = Smaller position size
Same risk = Same profit potential
Trade smarter, not bigger
This is rule number one when navigating wild markets like the ones we have today.
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 2: Liquidity Is the Silent Killer
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
Stay tuned for the next part — and remember, adapting to volatility isn't just about managing risk, it's about mastering the market!
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
What on Earth Is a Circuit Breaker?!Every couple of days since April 2nd, everybody's been talking about a stock market halt all day. You're left there trying to Google it so you're not the only person in the group chat who doesn't know what's going on. But actually, nobody else in your group chat knows what's going on either. They're low-key Googling it under the desk. You don't have to know everything in the market to be a "seasoned" trader. What does get disappointing is when people guess instead of providing facts or a direct link to an article about market halts.
So, this is your quick-but-detailed-read article/ guide to market halts and circuit breakers. Send it to your friends in that group chat. Why today's dump happened in the first place? More on that later. It's a long story. 🥹
What is a circuit breaker?
It's simple: a circuit breaker is a 15 minute OR whole-day market-wide HALT when the market reaches 1 of 3 decline levels. It all depends on the level, how fast the decline is, and potentially other factors that we are not aware of. Keep in mind this is not something we have to deal with often.
When does it happen? And what stock does it track?
Good question. The halt is triggered following declines in the S&P 500 only . That is: AMEX:SPY SP:SPX $CME_MINI:ES1!.
If these level 1 & 2 are reached before 3:25 PM EDT , there is a 15 minute market-wide trading halt. Meaning you cannot enter or exit positions. If level 3 is reached at any time in the day, the entire day's trading will come to an end.
Level 1: -7.00% | 15 minute halt
Level 2: -13.00% | 15 minute halt
Level 3: -20.00% | Entire day halt
So when the S&P 500 index reaches -6.98%, be sure a halt is coming very soon at -7.00%. Sure, like today, "they" might pump it and use that as support and prevent a halt (we got very close to -6.35% on CME_MINI:ES1! if I'm not mistaken). But it's good to be vigilant and make sure you're not in any daytrades.
Does CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:QQQ CBOT_MINI:YM1! trigger the halt also?
No. The halt is only triggered by the S&P 500. The Nasdaq Composite famously moves much more than S&P 500, so a 7% drop in S&P is way more dramatic than a 7% drop in Nasdaq and it's highly likely at -7% in S&P that Nasdaq would be at -8% or -9%. Although, both are undoubtedly decimating for any long positions.
Why does this rule exist?
This was introduced after Black Monday of 1987 where the market was free falling ( DJ:DJI dropped 22.6%) with no safety stops in place to prevent a market-wide disaster. This prevents further panic selling and massive stop loss raids, and also gives institutional traders time to zoom out and see the bigger picture.
How close did we get recently?
Today we got within 0.7% of getting a 15 minute halt.
See for yourself:
And the intraday 15 minute chart:
FUN FACT: What if I shorted the top on CME_MINI:ES1! ?
Assuming your time machine goes back 24 hours (some time machines only go back 10 years minimum), you'd have booked 1500 ticks at $12.50 per tick. So around $19k per contract. You know that's not too bad. It's almost a Toyota Camry per contract. Do better! 😆
How do I trade this?
Do you really have to? Please do not FOMO & catch a falling knife. Trade light. The market is open for the rest of the year. Trade with a stop loss, and remember, if you FOMO'd and bought at -3% just because it's down 3%, you'd have gotten decimated. Use the charts not the % on your screen. 🔥
Hit the follow button for free educational content because knowledge is free. KD out.
US-China Trade War: Impacts on Financial Markets
The trade war between the United States and China has reached unprecedented levels, with the imposition of reciprocal tariffs that are upsetting the global economic balance. China has recently increased tariffs on American products up to 50%, while President Trump has temporarily suspended tariffs for three months, trying to negotiate with other nations. This scenario is generating strong volatility in the financial markets and profoundly affecting the Forex market.
Analysis of the Impacts on Financial Markets
Stock Markets: The main world stock exchanges are recording significant fluctuations. Asian and European indices have suffered drastic drops, reflecting investor uncertainty.
Raw Materials: The price of oil and precious metals shows instability, with oscillations that reflect global nervousness. Gold, considered a safe haven, is gaining ground, exceeding the threshold of 3,000 dollars.
Economic Sectors: Sectors such as technology and agriculture are particularly hard hit, with export restrictions and rising production costs.
Impact on Forex
The trade war is directly impacting the currency market:
US Dollar (USD): The dollar is coming under pressure due to economic uncertainty and recession fears in the United States. The Federal Reserve may be forced to cut interest rates further.
Chinese Yuan (CNY): The yuan is under pressure, with the risk of lower exports to the US and a slowdown in Chinese economic growth.
Safe Haven Currencies: The Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) are gaining ground, as investors seek stability amid global volatility.
Commodity Currencies: The Australian Dollar (AUD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD) could be negatively impacted by fluctuations in international trade.
Forex Strategies for Traders
In a context of high volatility, traders must adopt targeted strategies:
Constant Monitoring: Follow the developments of the trade war and the decisions of central banks.
Diversification: Invest in safe haven currencies to reduce risk.
Technical Analysis: Use analysis tools to identify trading opportunities based on market movements.
Risk Management: Set stop-loss and take-profit to protect capital.
This situation requires attention and flexibility from traders, who must adapt their strategies to the new market dynamics. If you need further insights or a specific analysis on a currency, I am here to help!