How to Spot a Reversal Before It Happens (Before Your SL Hits)You know the feeling. You’re confidently riding a winning trend, high on the euphoria of green candles, when—BAM—the market flips faster than a politician in an election year. Your once-perfect trade is now a humiliating red mess, and your stop loss is the only thing standing between you and financial pain.
But what if you could see that reversal coming before it smacks you in the face? What if, instead of watching your profits evaporate, you could exit like a pro—or better yet, flip your position and ride the reversal in the other direction?
Reversals don’t happen out of thin air. The signs are always there—you just have to know where to look. In this idea, we break down how to spot reversals before they happen.
😉 Price Action: The Market’s Way of Dropping Hints
Markets don’t just change direction because they feel like it. Reversals happen when sentiment shifts—when buyers and sellers agree, sometimes all at once, that the current trend has run its course.
The first clue? Price action itself.
Look for hesitation. A strong uptrend should be making higher highs and higher lows. A downtrend should be carving out lower lows and lower highs. But what happens when that rhythm starts breaking?
A higher high forms, but the next low dips below the previous one? Warning sign.
Price approaches a key resistance level, but momentum stalls, and candles start looking indecisive? Caution flag.
A massive engulfing candle wipes out the last three sessions? Somebody just hit the eject button.
Before markets reverse, they throw up some red flags first—and depending on your time frame, these red flags can give you a heads up so you can prepare for what’s coming.
🔑 Divergence: When Your Indicators Are Screaming "Lies!"
Indicators might be lagging, but they’re not useless—especially when they start disagreeing with price.
This is where divergence comes in. If the price is making new highs, but your favorite momentum indicator (RSI, MACD, Stochastic—you name it) isn’t? That’s a major warning sign.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but RSI or MACD makes a lower high. Translation? The momentum behind the move is fizzling out.
Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but RSI or MACD makes a higher low. Translation? Sellers are losing their grip, and a bounce might be coming.
Divergences don’t mean immediate reversals, but they do suggest that something’s off. And when the market starts whispering, it’s best to listen before it starts shouting.
📍 Volume: Who’s Actually Driving the Move?
A trend without volume is like a car running on fumes—it’s only a matter of time before it stalls.
One of the clearest signs of a potential reversal is a divergence between price and volume.
If price is pushing higher, but volume is drying up? Buyers are getting exhausted.
If price is tanking, but selling volume isn’t increasing? The bears might be running out of steam.
If a major support or resistance level gets tested with huge volume and a violent rejection? That’s not a coincidence—it’s a battle, and one side is losing.
Reversals tend to be violent because traders are caught off guard. Watching the volume can help you avoid being one of them.
📊 Key Levels: Where the Market Loves to Reverse
Price doesn’t move in a vacuum. There are levels where reversals love to happen.
Support and Resistance: The most obvious, yet most ignored. When price approaches a level that’s been historically respected, pay attention.
Fibonacci Retracements: Markets are weirdly obsessed with 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels. If a trend starts stalling near these zones, don’t ignore it.
Psychological Numbers: Round numbers (like 1.2000 in Forex , $500 in stocks , or $120,000 in Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD act like magnets. The more traders fixate on them, the more likely they become reversal points.
Smart money isn’t chasing prices randomly. They’re watching these levels—and if you’re not, you might consider doing it.
🚨 Candlestick Warnings: When the Market Paints a Picture
Candlesticks aren’t just pretty chart elements that give you a sense of thrill—they tell stories. Some of them hint at “reversal.”
Doji: The ultimate indecision candle. If one pops up after a strong trend, the market is questioning itself.
Engulfing Candles: A single candle that completely erases the previous one? That’s power shifting sides.
Pin Bars (Hammer/Inverted Hammer, Shooting Star): Long wicks show rejection. When they appear at key levels, reversals often follow.
Candlestick patterns alone aren’t enough, but when they show up alongside other reversal signals, they’re hard to ignore.
📰 The News Factor: When Fundamentals Crash the Party
Technical traders like to pretend breaking news doesn’t matter—until it does.
Earnings reports , economic data , interest rate decisions ECONOMICS:USINTR —these events can turn a strong trend into a dumpster fire instantly.
A stock making all-time highs right before earnings? Tread carefully.
A currency pair trending up before an inflation report? One bad number, and it’s lights out.
A crypto rally before a major regulation announcement? That could end badly.
Reversals don’t always come from charts alone. Sometimes, they come from the real world. And the market rarely gives second chances.
✨ The Reversal Cheat Sheet: When Everything Aligns
A single signal doesn’t guarantee a reversal. But when multiple factors line up? That’s when you need to take action.
If you see:
✅ Divergence on indicators
✅ Volume drying up or spiking at a key level
✅ A major support/resistance level getting tested
✅ Reversal candlestick patterns forming
✅ News lurking in the background
Then congratulations—you’ve likely spotted a reversal before your stop loss takes the hit.
✍ Conclusion: Stay Ahead, Not Behind
Catching reversals before they happen isn’t magic—it’s just about knowing where to look. Price action, volume, key levels, indicators, and even the news all leave clues. The problem? Most traders only see them after their account takes the hit.
Don’t be most traders. Pay attention, recognize the signs, and act before the market flips the script on you.
Because the best time to spot a reversal? Before it happens.
Do you use any of these strategies to spot reversals in your trading? What’s the last time you did it and what were you trading—forex, crypto, stocks or something else? Let us know in the comments!
Beyond Technical Analysis
Ultimate Guide to Technical Indicators📌 Introduction:
In the world of trading, correctly interpreting price movements is essential for making informed decisions. Technical indicators are key tools that help analyze trends, momentum, volume, volatility, and other aspects of market behavior. This guide explores a wide range of indicators—from traditional ones to those that combine advanced techniques—so you can design robust analysis strategies tailored to your style.
📈 1. Trend Indicators
These indicators measure the direction and strength of a trend (bullish, bearish, or sideways), allowing traders to identify potential entry and exit points.
• Moving Averages (SMA/EMA): Smooth price action to identify trends (e.g., moving average crossovers).
• ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures trend strength (>25 indicates a strong trend).
• Ichimoku Cloud: Defines support, resistance, and momentum through a “cloud” formation.
• SuperTrend: Highlights reversals with a line that follows volatility.
• Envelopes: Bands around a moving average to detect overbought/oversold conditions.
• Parabolic SAR: Generates dots that indicate possible trend reversals, useful in trending markets.
• Alligator (Bill Williams): Uses multiple moving averages to identify emerging trends.
• Donchian Channels: Detects breakouts with bands based on historical highs and lows.
• Vortex Indicator: Uses two lines to confirm trend direction.
• ZigZag: Filters market “noise” to highlight significant movements.
💡 Tip: Donchian Channels can also be used to analyze volatility expansion.
⚡ 2. Momentum Indicators
These measure the speed and strength of price movements, helping confirm trend validity and detect reversals.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): Identifies overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) conditions.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Signals momentum shifts through line crossovers and divergences.
• Stochastic Oscillator: Compares closing price with the recent range to signal reversals.
• CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Detects extreme levels, especially in cyclical assets.
• TRIX: A triple-smoothed moving average oscillator that filters out minor trends.
• Williams %R: Similar to Stochastic but inverted (-20 indicates overbought, -80 oversold).
• Momentum Oscillator: Measures the rate of price change over a set period.
• Awesome Oscillator (AO): Compares short- and long-term moving averages to detect momentum changes.
• Chaikin Oscillator: Integrates volume and price to evaluate accumulation or distribution.
• Rate of Change (ROC): Calculates the percentage price change over a past period.
🎯 Tip: Momentum indicators are often combined with trend indicators to validate moves and reinforce signals.
📊 3. Volume Indicators
Volume is crucial for confirming trend validity and movement strength.
• OBV (On-Balance Volume): Links volume to price changes to confirm trends.
• Volume Profile: Displays price levels with the highest volume concentration.
• MFI (Money Flow Index): Combines price and volume, similar to RSI.
• Accumulation/Distribution Line: Evaluates money flow using closing price and daily range.
• VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): A volume-weighted moving average used by institutional traders.
• Chaikin Money Flow: Integrates volume and price to measure buying/selling pressure.
• Ease of Movement (EOM): Shows how easily price moves relative to volume.
• Volume Oscillator: Measures the difference between two volume moving averages.
• Herrick Payoff Index (HPI): Incorporates volume, price, and open interest (common in futures).
• Volume Rate of Change: Measures the speed of volume changes over time.
🔥 4. Volatility Indicators
These measure price dispersion, helping define risk and market activity levels.
• Bollinger Bands: Expand/contract around a moving average based on volatility.
• ATR (Average True Range): Measures the average price range over a period.
• Keltner Channels: Similar to Bollinger Bands but uses ATR to set bands.
• Standard Deviation: Quantifies price dispersion from its average.
• VIX (Volatility Index): Measures expected volatility in the S&P 500.
• Choppiness Index: Determines if the market is trending or ranging (high values indicate range-bound conditions).
• Donchian Channels (Volatility): Identifies price extremes to measure expansion.
• GARCH Models: Statistical models for predicting future volatility.
• Chaikin Volatility: Measures volatility using high-low price ranges.
• Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA): Adjusts smoothing based on market volatility.
🏛 5. Support & Resistance Indicators
These help identify key levels where price may pause or reverse.
• Pivot Points: Daily levels based on previous highs, lows, and closes.
• Fibonacci Retracements: Identify potential reversal zones (e.g., 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%).
• Volume Profile: Helps spot natural support/resistance levels.
• Moving Averages: Act as dynamic support/resistance over time.
• Price Action (Highs/Lows): Psychological levels based on past price action.
• Market Profile: Shows volume distribution across price and time levels.
• Camarilla Pivots: A more detailed pivot system for intraday trading.
• Anchored VWAP: VWAP calculated from a specific starting point, like trend beginnings.
• Demark Sequential: Identifies potential reversals through candle counts.
• Murrey Math Lines: Sets support/resistance levels based on mathematical scales.
🔍 Tip: Visual examples can help illustrate how these key zones form.
🔄 6. Cycle & Pattern Indicators
Analyze seasonal repetitions or chart patterns that can anticipate future moves.
• Elliott Wave Theory: Identifies cycles of 5 impulsive and 3 corrective waves.
• Harmonic Patterns (Gartley, Butterfly): Geometric formations based on Fibonacci ratios.
• Head & Shoulders: A classic reversal pattern signaling trend change.
• Cup & Handle: A bullish continuation pattern.
• Wolfe Waves: Uses price waves and channels to spot reversals.
• Hurst Cycles: A model based on recurring time cycles.
• Dow Theory: Classifies trends into primary, secondary, and minor.
• Japanese Candlestick Patterns (Doji, Engulfing): Visual signals of reversal or continuation.
• Cycle Analytics: Includes tools like Tom DeMark’s Cycle Indicator.
📊 7. Statistical & Quantitative Indicators
Use mathematical models and algorithms for predictive analysis and risk management.
• Linear Regression: Fits a trend line to price data.
• Z-Score: Measures how far price is from its mean in standard deviations.
• Monte Carlo Simulations: Simulates probabilities of future scenarios.
• Machine Learning (Neural Networks): Uses AI algorithms to predict prices.
• Asset Correlation: Measures relationships between assets (e.g., oil & USD/CAD).
• Sharpe Ratio: Evaluates risk-adjusted returns.
• Value at Risk (VaR): Estimates potential maximum loss over a timeframe.
• Cointegration: Detects long-term relationships between asset pairs.
• ARIMA (Time Series Models): Forecasts future movements using historical data.
• Kalman Filter: Optimizes real-time market estimates.
📢 8. Market Sentiment Indicators
Measure trader emotions and market positioning, such as greed, fear, optimism, or pessimism.
• Fear & Greed Index: Combines multiple factors (volatility, volume, surveys) to gauge extreme emotions.
• Put/Call Ratio: Compares put vs. call options to assess bearish/bullish expectations.
• Commitments of Traders (COT): Weekly report showing institutional positions in futures.
• Short Interest: Percentage of shares sold short, indicating bearish sentiment.
• AAII Investor Sentiment Survey: Weekly retail investor market outlook.
• Social Media Sentiment (Stocktwits, Twitter): NLP-based analysis of online market opinions.
📊 9. Custom/Hybrid Indicators
These indicators are developed by traders or platforms to fit specific strategies, combining different techniques and data.
• ✅ Volume-Weighted MACD: Integrates the MACD with volume data to filter signals.
📈 RSI with Bollinger Bands: Merges overbought/oversold analysis with volatility measurement.
🔗 Ichimoku + Fibonacci: Combines Ichimoku's dynamic support/resistance with Fibonacci retracements.
📉 SuperTrend with ATR: Adjusts SuperTrend sensitivity using the Average True Range.
🤖 Machine Learning Oscillators: AI-trained indicators (e.g., LSTM-based predictors) to anticipate movements.
📍 Custom Pivot Points: Tailored pivot points based on assets or specific timeframes.
📊 Market Profile + Volume Profile: Merges price-time distribution with volume analysis.
⚖ Synthetic Indicators: Mixes data from multiple assets (e.g., gold/oil ratio) to generate signals.
📆 Seasonality Indicators: Based on historical seasonal patterns (like the “January Rally” effect).
🚀 Hull Moving Average (HMA): Optimized moving average to reduce lag and noise.
• 💡 Tip: Experiment and tweak these indicators to fit your personal trading style.
📉 10. Derivatives Market Indicators
These indicators are designed for complex instruments like futures and options, allowing a deeper market analysis.
• 📊 Open Interest: Number of open contracts in futures or options, indicating trend strength.
⚖ Delta Hedging Ratio: Measures the balance between call and put options.
🔄 Gamma Exposure (GEX): Assesses the impact of market makers on price through gamma hedging.
🌪 Implied Volatility (IV): Expected volatility derived from option prices (e.g., IV Rank).
📊 Skew Index: Measures volatility differences between out-of-the-money options, identifying bullish or bearish trends.
📈 Contango/Backwardation: In futures markets, shows whether prices are overvalued or undervalued relative to the spot market.
💵 Volume Delta: Real-time difference between buying and selling volume.
🔥 Liquidation Heatmaps: In crypto, highlight areas where large margin liquidations occur.
🎭 Options Pain (Max Pain Theory): Indicates the price where option sellers maximize profits.
📊 PCR (Put/Call Ratio) for Options: Similar to the Put/Call Ratio but focused on specific option volume.
🌍 11. Macro-Technical Indicators
These indicators integrate technical analysis with macroeconomic factors, providing a broader market perspective.
⚖ Gold/Oil Ratio: Reflects geopolitical risk or inflationary pressures.
⚠ Yield Curve Inversion: Happens when short-term bonds yield more than long-term ones, considered a recession signal.
💲 Dollar Index (DXY) + Commodities: Shows the inverse correlation between the dollar and commodities.
🔗 Bitcoin Dominance: Represents Bitcoin’s market cap percentage relative to the total crypto market.
🚢 Baltic Dry Index: Measures shipping costs, acting as an indicator of global economic activity.
🛢 Copper/Gold Ratio: Relates copper (growth indicator) with gold (safe-haven asset) to predict economic cycles.
📈 Equity Risk Premium: Difference between stock and bond returns, useful for measuring risk appetite.
⚡ TED Spread: Difference between interbank lending rates and Treasury bonds, indicating financial stress.
📊 VIX vs. S&P 500: Links market volatility with index trends.
📉 Inflation Breakeven Rates: Calculates inflation expectations from the difference between TIPS and nominal bonds.
📝 Note: These indicators are especially valuable for contextualizing technical analysis within the global economic landscape.
📈 12. Price Action Indicators
These indicators rely on direct price movement analysis, avoiding complex mathematical formulas.
🔹 Horizontal Support & Resistance: Key zones manually drawn based on historical price action.
🕯 Japanese Candlesticks: Patterns (Doji, Hammer, Engulfing, etc.) indicating possible reversals or continuations.
📊 Price Channels: Parallel trendlines framing price movement.
🚀 Breakout/False Breakout: Breaks of key levels that may confirm or turn into traps.
📏 Inside/Outside Bars: Candles that remain within or exceed the range of the previous candle.
📡 Order Flow Analysis: Real-time tracking of buy and sell orders.
🔄 Market Structure: Observing higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows to identify trends.
📊 Volume-by-Price: Side histogram displaying accumulated volume at different price levels.
📏 Wick Analysis: Examining candle wicks to detect rejections at certain levels.
🎯 Open/Close Levels: Using previous open and close prices as psychological references.
💡 Tip: Combining price action with other indicators can provide a more complete and precise market view.
🏆 Conclusion
Integrating diverse technical indicators allows for a multifaceted market analysis. Each category—from trends, momentum, and volume to macroeconomic analysis and price action—offers valuable insights that, when combined, strengthen decision-making.
🚀 Key Takeaway: No single indicator is infallible! The real power lies in the synergy of multiple tools and strong risk management. Experiment, fine-tune, and adapt these indicators to your trading style and goals to build an effective and personalized strategy.
HIGH Volatility Alert! Everything You Need to Know
Have you ever wondered why the certain trading instruments are very rapid while some our extremely slow and boring?
In this educational article, we will discuss the market volatility , how is it measured and how can it be applied for making smart trading and investing decisions.
📚 First, let's start with the definition. Market volatility is a degree of a fluctuation of the price of a financial instrument over a certain period of time.
High volatility reflects quick and significant rises and falls on the market, while low volatility implies that the price moves slowly and steadily.
High volatility makes it harder for the traders and investors to predict the future direction of the market, but also may bring substantial gains.
On the other hand, a low volatility market is much easier to predict, but the potential returns are more modest.
The chart on the left is the perfect example of a volatile market.
While the chart on the right is a low volatility market.
📰 The main causes of volatility are economic and geopolitical events.
Political and economic instability, wars and natural disasters can affect the behavior of the market participants, causing the chaotic, irrational market movements.
On the other hand, the absence of the news and the relative stability are the main sources of a low volatility.
Here is the example, how the Covid pandemic affected GBPUSD pair.
The market was falling in a very rapid face in untypical manner, being driven by the panic and fear.
But how the newbie trader can measure the volatility of the market?
The main stream way is to apply ATR indicator , but, working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that for them such a method is complicated.
📏 The simplest way to assess the volatility of the market is to analyze the price action and candlesticks.
The main element of the volatile market is occasional appearance of large candlestick bars - the ones that have at least 4 times bigger range than the average candles.
Sudden price moves up and down are one more indicator of high volatility. They signify important shifts in the supply and demand of a particular asset.
Take a look at a price action and candlesticks on Bitcoin.
The market moves in zigzags, forming high momentum bullish and bearish candles. These are the indicators of high volatility.
🛑 For traders who just started their trading journey, high volatility is the red flag.
Acting rapidly, such instruments require constant monitoring and attention. Moreover, such markets require a high level of experience in stop loss placement because one single high momentum candle can easily hit the stop loss and then return to entry level.
Alternatively, trading a low volatility market can be extremely boring because most of the time it barely moves.
The best solution is to look for the market where the volatility is average , where the market moves but on a reasonable scale.
Volatility assessment plays a critical role in your success in trading. Know in advance, the degree of a volatility that you can tolerate and the one that you should avoid.
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Effective inefficiencyStop-Loss. This combination of words sounds like a magic spell for impatient investors. It's really challenging to watch your account get smaller and smaller. That's why people came up with this magic amulet. Go to the market, don't be afraid, just put it on. Let your profits run, but limit your losses - place a Stop-Loss order.
Its design is simple: when the paper loss reaches the amount agreed upon with you in advance, your position will be closed. The paper loss will become real. And here I have a question: “ Does this invention stop the loss? ” It seems that on the contrary - you take it with you. Then it is not a Stop-Loss, but a Take-Loss. This will be more honest, but let's continue with the classic name.
Another thing that always bothered me was that everyone has their own Stop-Loss. For example, if a company shows a loss, I can find out about it from the reports. Its meaning is the same for everyone and does not depend on those who look at it. With Stop-Loss, it's different. As many people as there are Stop-Losses. There is a lot of subjectivity in it.
For adherents of fundamental analysis, all this looks very strange. I cannot agree that I spent time researching a company, became convinced of the strength of its business, and then simply quoted a price at which I would lock in my loss. I don't think Benjamin Graham would approve either. He knew better than anyone that the market loved to show off its madness when it came to stock prices. So Stop-Loss is part of this madness?
Not quite so. There are many strategies that do not rely on fundamental analysis. They live by their own principles, where Stop-Loss plays a key role. Based on its size relative to the expected profit, these strategies can be divided into three types.
Stop-Loss is approximately equal to the expected profit size
This includes high-frequency strategies of traders who make numerous trades during the day. These can be manual or automated operations. Here we are talking about the advantages that a trader seeks to gain, thanks to modern technical means, complex calculations or simply intuition. In such strategies, it is critical to have favorable commission conditions so as not to give up all the profits to maintaining the infrastructure. The size of profit and loss per trade is approximately equal and insignificant in relation to the size of the account. The main expectation of a trader is to make more positive trades than negative ones.
Stop-Loss is several times less than the expected profit
The second type includes strategies based on technical analysis. The number of transactions here is significantly less than in the strategies of the first type. The idea is to open an interesting position that will show enough profit to cover several losses. This could be trading using chart patterns, wave analysis, candlestick analysis. You can also add buyers of classic options here.
Stop-Loss is an order of magnitude greater than the expected profit
The third type includes arbitrage strategies, selling volatility. The idea behind such strategies is to generate a constant, close to fixed, income due to statistically stable patterns or extreme price differences. But there is also a downside to the coin - a significant Stop-Loss size. If the system breaks down, the resulting loss can cover all the earned profit at once. It's like a deposit in a dodgy bank - the interest rate is great, but there's also a risk of bankruptcy.
Reflecting on these three groups, I formulated the following postulate: “ In an efficient market, the most efficient strategies will show a zero financial result with a pre-determined profit to loss ratio ”.
Let's take this postulate apart piece by piece. What does efficient market mean? It is a stock market where most participants instantly receive information about the assets in question and immediately decide to place, cancel or modify their order. In other words, in such a market, there is no lag between the appearance of information and the reaction to it. It should be said that thanks to the development of telecommunications and information technologies, modern stock markets have significantly improved their efficiency and continue to do so.
What is an effective strategy ? This is a strategy that does not bring losses.
Profit to loss ratio is the result of profitable trades divided by the result of losing trades in the chosen strategy, considering commissions.
So, according to the postulate, one can know in advance what this ratio will be for the most effective strategy in an effective market. In this case, the financial result for any such strategy will be zero.
The formula for calculating the profit to loss ratio according to the postulate:
Profit : Loss ratio = %L / (100% - %L)
Where %L is the percentage of losing trades in the strategy.
Below is a graph of the different ratios of the most efficient strategy in an efficient market.
For example, if your strategy has 60% losing trades, then with a profit to loss ratio of 1.5:1, your financial result will be zero. In this example, to start making money, you need to either reduce the percentage of losing trades (<60%) with a ratio of 1.5:1, or increase the ratio (>1.5), while maintaining the percentage of losing trades (60%). With such improvements, your point will be below the orange line - this is the inefficient market space. In this zone, it is not about your strategy becoming more efficient, you have simply found inefficiencies in the market itself.
Any point above the efficient market line is an inefficient strategy . It is the opposite of an effective strategy, meaning it results in an overall loss. Moreover, an inefficient strategy in an efficient market makes the market itself inefficient , which creates profitable opportunities for efficient strategies in an inefficient market. It sounds complicated, but these words contain an important meaning - if someone loses, then someone will definitely find.
Thus, there is an efficient market line, a zone of efficient strategies in an inefficient market, and a zone of inefficient strategies. In reality, if we mark a point on this chart at a certain time interval, we will get rather a cloud of points, which can be located anywhere and, for example, cross the efficient market line and both zones at the same time. This is due to the constant changes that occur in the market. It is an entity that evolves together with all participants. What was effective suddenly becomes ineffective and vice versa.
For this reason, I formulated another postulate: “ Any market participant strives for the effectiveness of his strategy, and the market strives for its own effectiveness, and when this is achieved, the financial result of the strategy will become zero ”.
In other words, the efficient market line has a strong gravity that, like a magnet, attracts everything that is above and below it. However, I doubt that absolute efficiency will be achieved in the near future. This requires that all market participants have equally fast access to information and respond to it effectively. Moreover, many traders and investors, including myself, have a strong interest in the market being inefficient. Just like we want gravity to be strong enough that we don't fly off into space from our couches, but gentle enough that we can visit the refrigerator. This limits or delays the transfer of information to each other.
Returning to the topic of Stop-Loss, one should pay attention to another pattern that follows from the postulates of market efficiency. Below, on the graph (red line), you can see how much the loss to profit ratio changes depending on the percentage of losing trades in the strategy.
For me, the values located on the red line are the mathematical expectation associated with the size of the loss in an effective strategy in an effective market. In other words, those who have a small percentage of losing trades in their strategy should be on guard. The potential loss in such strategies can be several times higher than the accumulated profit. In the case of strategies with a high percentage of losing trades, most of the risk has already been realized, so the potential loss relative to the profit is small.
As for my attitude towards Stop-Loss, I do not use it in my stock market investing strategy. That is, I don’t know in advance at what price I will close the position. This is because I treat buying shares as participating in a business. I cannot accept that when crazy Mr. Market knocks on my door and offers a strange price, I will immediately sell him my shares. Rather, I would ask myself, “ How efficient is the market right now and should I buy more shares at this price? ” My decision to sell should be motivated not only by the price but also by the fundamental reasons for the decline.
For me, the main criterion for closing a position is the company's profitability - a metric that is the same for everyone who looks at it. If a business stops being profitable, that's a red flag. In this case, the time the company has been in a loss-making state and the size of the losses are considered. Even a great company can have a bad quarter for one reason or another.
In my opinion, the main work with risks should take place before the company gets into the portfolio, and not after the position is opened. Often it doesn't even involve fundamental business analysis. Here are four things I'm talking about:
- Diversification. Distribution of investments among many companies.
- Gradually gaining position. Buying stocks within a range of prices, rather than at one desired price.
- Prioritization of sectors. For me, sectors of stable consumer demand always have a higher priority than others.
- No leverage.
I propose to examine the last point separately. The thing is that the broker who lends you money is absolutely right to be afraid that you won’t pay it back. For this reason, each time he calculates how much his loan is secured by your money and the current value of the shares (that is, the value that is currently on the market). Once this collateral is not enough, you will receive a so-called margin call . This is a requirement to fund an account to secure a loan. If you fail to do this, part of your position will be forcibly closed. Unfortunately, no one will listen to the excuse that this company is making a profit and the market is insane. The broker will simply give you a Stop-Loss. Therefore, leverage, by its definition, cannot be used in my investment strategy.
In conclusion of this article, I would like to say that the market, as a social phenomenon, contains a great paradox. On the one hand, we have a natural desire for it to be ineffective, on the other hand, we are all working on its effectiveness. It turns out that the income we take from the market is payment for this work. At the same time, our loss can be represented as the salary that we personally pay to other market participants for their efficiency. I don't know about you, but this understanding seems beautiful to me.
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It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago.
(Original text)
I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over.
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Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall.
If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section.
I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss.
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If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend.
And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls.
Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator.
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To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days.
Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task.
Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days.
Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly.
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The coin market is a market where trend trading is good.
Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is.
It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart.
The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend.
Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position.
As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle.
If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again.
Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created.
If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this.
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What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points.
You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut.
If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all.
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Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends,
- The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy.
If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend.
If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
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If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9.
If not, it is likely to end as a rebound.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Exhaustion
Today, we will break down candle exhaustion and how to use it for high-probability trade entries. We will analyze a bearish engulfing pattern, the role of trendline breaks, and how we combined this with the ORB strategy at the US open to secure a strong entry for the 2905 target.
What is Candle Exhaustion?
Candle exhaustion occurs when price action slows down after a strong move, showing signs that buyers or sellers are losing strength. This is often seen through smaller-bodied candles, wicks rejecting key levels, or a sharp engulfing candle reversing prior movement.
Candle exhaustion smaller body's larger wicks.
A bearish engulfing candle formed, engulfing three previous candles, signaling that sellers have aggressively stepped in. This confirmed a shift in momentum, suggesting that buyers were losing control. Key Takeaway: A multi-candle engulfing increases the strength of the reversal signal. The 15-minute trendline was broken, adding further confluence for a shift in market structure
Early entry model
Price came and tapped the supply zone, rejecting and closing under trend. This was the 2nd confirmation of sells.
This 2nd engulfing was the 3rd confirmation sellers have taken control.
The US session opened at 2:30 PM, a key time for volatility.
We then applied the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy to refine our 2nd entry. With price under the 50 moving average
The breakout confirmed momentum towards our 2905 target, aligning with our pre-trade
analysis.
Conclusion
By recognizing candle exhaustion, engulfing patterns, and trendline breaks, we stacked
confluences for a high-probability sell trade.
The ORB strategy allowed us to refine our 2nd execution at the perfect time.
Lesson: Trading is about patience, waiting for confirmations, and executing with confidence.
Set Up & Data Collection | Day 1 of 21 | Back Test With Me21-Day Backtesting Plan
A Step-by-Step Challenge to Master One Pair and Develop an Unshakable Trading Edge
Backtesting is the foundation of trading mastery. This 21-day plan is designed to help you deeply understand GBPUSD, refine your strategy, and build the confidence needed to trade with precision. Each day introduces a specific focus, challenge, and takeaway, progressively strengthening your ability to read market movements.
Week 1: Laying the Foundation – Market Structure & Patterns
📅 Day 1: Set Up & Data Collection
Task: Gather at least 6 months of historical GBPUSD data on your charting platform.
Challenge: Define your testing parameters (e.g., timeframe, session focus, lot size).
Takeaway: Clarity in what you’re testing prevents randomness in your results.
Are you up for our 21 Day Backtesting Challenge?
Drop Your Thoughts in the Comment Section, boost the post, share with your friends and follow me on Trading View if you had an aha moment.
-TL
How to pick a benchmark for you portfolio and beat the market What is a benchmark?
A benchmark is an index or a basket of assets used to evaluate the performance of an investment portfolio In the context of portfolio analysis the benchmark serves as a point of comparison to determine whether a fund a strategy or an investment is performing better worse or in line with the reference market.
In the current chart, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is displayed with a solid and larger blue line in relation to other cryptocurrencies for the current period.
Benchmarks are essential tools for institutional and private investors as they allow measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation choices and risk management Additionally they help determine the added value of an active manager compared to a passive market replication strategy.
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:NDX
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:AAPL - NASDAQ:NDX
What is the purpose of a benchmark
The use of a benchmark in portfolio analysis has several objectives
1) Performance Evaluation: Provides a parameter to compare the portfolio's return against the market or other funds
2) Risk Analysis: Allows comparing the volatility of the portfolio against that of the benchmark offering a measure of risk management
3) Performance Attribution: Helps distinguish between returns derived from asset selection and those linked to market factors
4) Expectation Management: Supports investors and managers in assessing whether a portfolio is meeting expected return objectives
5) Strategy Control: If a portfolio deviates excessively from the benchmark it may signal the need to review the investment strategy
How to select an appropriate benchmark?
The choice of the correct benchmark depends on several factors:
1) Consistency with Portfolio Objective: The benchmark should reflect the market or sector in which the portfolio operates
2) Representativeness of Portfolio Assets: The benchmark should have a composition similar to that of the portfolio to ensure a fair comparison
3) Transparency and Data Availability: It must be easily accessible and calculated with clear and public methodologies
4) Stability Over Time: A good benchmark should not be subject to frequent modifications to ensure reliable historical comparison
5) Compatible Risk and Return: The benchmark should have a risk and return profile similar to that of the portfolio
Most used benchmarks
There are different benchmarks based on asset type and reference market Here are some of the most common.
Equity
FRED:SP500 Representative index of the 500 largest US companies.
NYSE:MSCI World Includes companies from various developed countries ideal for global strategies
FTSE:FTSEMIB Benchmark for the Italian stock market
NASDAQ:NDX Represents the largest technology and growth companies
Bonds
Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Broad benchmark for the global bond market
JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index EMBI Benchmark for emerging market debt
[* ]BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index Representative of the high-yield bond market junk bonds
Mixed or Balanced
6040 Portfolio Benchmark 60 equities SP 500 and 40 bonds Bloomberg US Aggregate used to evaluate balanced portfolios
Morningstar Moderate Allocation Index Suitable for moderate-risk investment strategies
Alternative
HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index Benchmark for hedge funds
Goldman Sachs Commodity Index GSCI Used for commodity-related strategies
Bitcoin Index CoinDesk BPI Benchmark for cryptocurrencies
A reference benchmark is essential in portfolio analysis to measure performance manage risk and evaluate investment strategies The selection of an appropriate benchmark must be consistent with the strategy and market of the portfolio to ensure meaningful comparison.
Understanding and correctly selecting the benchmark allows investors to optimize their decisions and improve long-term results.
How to Create a Meme Coin and Earn Thousands Easily!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌
Spend 4 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 6 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
📊 My Personal Take on Bitcoin’s Current Market Trends:
Recent news has caused significant volatility in Bitcoin’s price, triggering strong bullish candlesticks. 📈 The surge in buying volume is evident, with large green candles marking substantial purchases. If Bitcoin breaks the key daily resistance level (which I’ve identified on the chart), the rally is likely to continue toward the $101,000 target, reflecting at least a 9% increase.
Additionally, I have applied Fibonacci retracement levels to determine support zones, making the price action easier to interpret on the chart. Now, with that analysis covered, let’s dive into today’s main topic. 🎯
🚀 Step-by-Step Breakdown: How Scammers Manufacture Hype and Profit from a Fake Meme Coin
Step 1️⃣: Creating the Meme Coin
Scammers start by visiting pum p.fun, a platform that allows users to generate tokens effortlessly. With just a few clicks, they create their own meme coin and assign it a catchy, marketable name—something like Crazy Bull 🐂 to grab attention.
Step 2️⃣: Hiding Ownership of the Tokens
To avoid suspicion, they distribute their token supply across multiple wallets, making it appear decentralized. However, in reality, they retain over 90% of the tokens, ensuring they have full control over price movements. 🎭
Step 3️⃣: Simulating Market Activity
Since a token with zero trading activity won’t attract investors, they manufacture an illusion of demand. Using at least 50 fake wallets, they begin buying and selling their own token, creating artificial trading volume. 📊 This makes it look like an active and potentially lucrative investment.
Step 4️⃣: Leveraging Influencer Marketing
At this stage, they approach social media influencers on platforms like X (formerly Twitter), Telegram, and YouTube. With as little as $1,000, they can get influencers to shill (promote) the token to their audience, portraying it as the next “100x gem.” 💎🔥
Each genuine purchase is a win for the scammers because it raises the token price while they still hold a majority of the supply. Their goal is to reach a market cap of $100,000, at which point they still own at least 70% of the tokens. 💰
Step 5️⃣: Scaling Up the Scam
With an initial round of profits secured, the scammers reinvest their earnings into larger marketing campaigns. This time, they spend around $7,000 to secure bigger influencer promotions, pushing the narrative that the token is still in its “early stages” and has potential for massive future gains. 📢🚀
They make bold claims, promising 100x or even 1000x returns, preying on FOMO (fear of missing out) to attract even more retail investors. 🧠💸
Step 6️⃣: The Cash-Out (Exit Scam)💥
As more investors FOMO into the project, the scammers wait for the final surge in demand before executing their exit strategy. Once the token reaches a target valuation of around $70,000, they dump their holdings, crashing the price and leaving late buyers with worthless tokens. 🛑📉
Step 7️⃣: The Psychological Manipulation 🌀
Here’s where the real mind game begins. By now, the crypto community identifies a wallet that turned $50 into $70,000. Traders become obsessed with tracking this wallet’s next move, believing its owner is a “crypto genius” rather than a scammer.
People start asking: “What will this wallet invest in next?”—not realizing that the scammer is about to repeat the cycle with an even bigger, more polished scam. 🎭💰
Step 8️⃣: The Launch of the Next Scam 🎬
With more money and a stronger reputation, the scammers now launch a new meme coin—perhaps this time called Crazy Bear 🐻—but with even more initial liquidity and a larger marketing budget. They repeat the process on a grander scale, manipulating more victims into thinking they’ve discovered the next hidden gem. 💎🔄
⚠️ How to Protect Yourself from Meme Coin Scams
The crypto world is full of high-risk, high-reward opportunities, but understanding how these pump-and-dump schemes operate is crucial for avoiding them. Stay vigilant 🧐, do your research (DYOR), and never invest based on hype alone.
In my next educational post, I’ll provide practical strategies to help you spot and avoid these traps before they drain your hard-earned money. Stay informed, stay safe. 🚨🔒
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Scammers create meme coins on pu mp.fun, giving them catchy names like Crazy Bull 🐂. They split tokens across multiple wallets to hide control, then fake trading volume using 50+ wallets to make it look active. Next, they pay influencers ($1,000+) to hype it up, attracting real buyers. Once the market cap hits $100K, they dump their tokens, crashing the price. People track their wallet, thinking it's a genius move, so they repeat the scam with a new token (Crazy Bear 🐻). Stay sharp, don’t fall for the hype! 🚨
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status QuoHello Traders!
Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value.
Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy
Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success:
Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies.
Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns.
Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in.
Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth.
Notable Investments and Activist Moves
Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays:
Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence.
Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant.
Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks.
Risk Management and Position Sizing
When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns:
Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning.
Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains.
Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform.
What This Means for Investors
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul.
For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies:
Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital.
Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions.
Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff.
Conclusion
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success.
Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
The Billionaire Trader & His Unlikely MentorWhen we think of legendary traders, Paul Tudor Jones stands out as one of the most successful billionaires in the financial world. But what many traders don’t realize is that behind his extraordinary success, there’s a powerful influence—Tony Robbins. Yes, the world-renowned life coach played a crucial role in shaping Jones’ mindset, ultimately helping him navigate markets and life with unparalleled confidence.
The Turning Point: Paul Tudor Jones Meets Tony Robbins
Paul Tudor Jones is best known for predicting the 1987 stock market crash and making a 200% return during the crisis. However, what truly set him apart from other traders wasn’t just his ability to read the markets—it was his mental game.
Jones has openly credited Tony Robbins for helping him gain a psychological edge. In the late 1980s, when Jones was already a successful trader but searching for deeper fulfillment and consistency, he sought Robbins’ mentorship. Robbins, known for his work in peak performance and psychology, introduced Jones to strategies that reshaped his thinking and emotional resilience.
The Mindset Shift That Changed Everything
So, what did Robbins teach Jones that made such a massive impact?
1. The Power of State Control
Robbins emphasizes that emotions drive decision-making. He taught Jones to manage his emotional state, ensuring that fear, greed, and hesitation didn’t cloud his judgment. This allowed Jones to make high-stakes trading decisions with confidence.
2. Priming and Visualization
One of Robbins’ core techniques is priming—training the mind to focus on success. Jones incorporated this by visualizing successful trades and reinforcing positive beliefs about his abilities. This mental conditioning helped him stay composed even in turbulent markets.
3. Wealth Psychology
Many traders fail because of limiting beliefs about money. Robbins helped Jones develop an abundance mindset, reinforcing that wealth creation is a game of psychology as much as it is about strategy.
4. The Importance of Giving Back
Robbins’ influence extended beyond trading. Jones became one of the biggest philanthropists in the financial world, believing that giving back creates a deeper sense of fulfillment and success. His Robin Hood Foundation has donated billions to fight poverty, something Robbins strongly advocates for in his teachings.
The Result: A Billionaire Trader with Unshakable Confidence
While Paul Tudor Jones had the technical skills of a master trader, Robbins’ mentorship gave him the mental and emotional fortitude to sustain long-term success. His ability to stay focused, disciplined, and resilient in volatile markets is a testament to the power of psychology in trading.
Key Takeaways for Traders
- Mindset is everything: The best trading strategies won’t work if your emotions control you.
- Daily mental conditioning matters: Visualization, priming, and self-belief can dramatically improve trading results.
- Success is holistic: Wealth is not just about money—it’s about impact, discipline, and personal growth.
Paul Tudor Jones’ story proves that trading isn’t just about charts and numbers—it’s about mastering your own psychology. And thanks to Tony Robbins, he became not just a billionaire, but an icon of both financial success and mental resilience.
Prop Trading - All you need to know !!A proprietary trading firm, often abbreviated as "prop firm," is a financial institution that trades stocks, currencies, options, or other financial instruments with its own capital rather than on behalf of clients.
Proprietary trading firms offer several advantages for traders who join their ranks:
1. Access to Capital: One of the most significant advantages of working with a prop firm is access to substantial capital. Prop firms typically provide traders with significant buying power, allowing them to take larger positions in the market than they could with their own funds. This access to capital enables traders to potentially earn higher profits and diversify their trading strategies.
2. Professional Support and Guidance: Many prop firms offer traders access to experienced mentors, coaches, and support staff who can provide guidance, feedback, and assistance. This professional support can be invaluable for traders looking to improve their skills, refine their trading strategies, and navigate volatile market conditions.
3. Risk Management Tools: Prop firms typically have sophisticated risk management systems and tools in place to help traders monitor and manage their exposure to market risks. These systems may include real-time risk analytics, position monitoring, and risk controls that help traders mitigate potential losses and preserve capital.
4. Profit Sharing: Some prop firms operate on a profit-sharing model, where traders receive a share of the profits generated from their trading activities. This arrangement aligns the interests of traders with those of the firm, incentivizing traders to perform well and contribute to the overall success of the firm.
Overall, prop firms provide traders with access to capital, technology, support, and learning resources that can help them succeed in the competitive world of trading. By leveraging these advantages, traders can enhance their trading performance, grow their portfolios, and achieve their financial goals.
How to Stop Fear and Greed from Controlling Your TradesMany traders think they need to "fight emotions" to improve their results. In reality, emotions are a symptom of poor risk management. Fear and greed take over when risk exposure is too high or when there is no structured plan.
The Solution: Use Risk Management to Train Emotional Discipline
Lower risk per trade until losses feel manageable. If a trade makes you nervous, you are risking too much.
Use a strict entry and exit system. When stop-loss and take-profit are pre-planned, emotional exits are eliminated.
Detach from individual trade results. A single trade doesn’t matter—the process does. If you follow your plan, outcomes take care of themselves.
Test discipline on a demo account first. If you cannot follow risk management rules in a risk-free environment, you won’t follow them in live trading.
Risk management isn’t just about protecting capital. It’s about removing the conditions that allow emotions to take control. On each of the topics I have written detailed articles about my experience and the solutions that I came up with for my own trading. If you are interested to know more you can check the link in my bio.
What’s the hardest part of sticking to your risk rules?
I am also a life coach, so if there is anything I can help with please comment below and hopefully we can do something to improve results.
7 Practical Exercises to Build Patience in TradingI often talk about patience, planning, strategy, and money management, yet many of you tell me that you lack patience, can’t resist impulses, and struggle to follow your plan when emotions take over.
So today, we’re skipping the theory and diving straight into practical exercises that will help you train your patience just like you would train a muscle. If you want bigger biceps, you do dumbbell curls. If you want more patience in trading, try these exercises.
________________________________________
1. The “Observer” Exercise – Train Yourself to Resist Impulsive Trading
Goal: Improve discipline and reduce the urge to enter trades impulsively.
How to do it:
• Open your trading platform and set a timer for 2 hours.
• During this time, you are not allowed to take any trades, only observe price action.
• Write down in your journal: What do you feel? Where would you have entered? Would it have been a good decision?
Advanced level: Increase the observation time to a full session.
✅ Benefit: This exercise reduces impulsiveness and helps you better understand market movements before making decisions.
________________________________________
2. The “One Trade Per Day” Rule – Eliminate Overtrading
Goal: Train yourself to select only the best setups.
How to do it:
• Set a rule: “I am allowed to take only one trade per day.”
• If you take a trade, you cannot enter another, no matter what happens in the market.
• At the end of the day, analyze: Did you choose the best opportunity? Were you tempted to overtrade?
✅ Benefit: Helps you filter out bad trades and eliminates overtrading, a common issue for impatient traders.
________________________________________
3. The “Decision Timer” – Avoid Impulsive Entries
Goal: Help you make better-thought-out trading decisions.
How to do it:
• When you feel the urge to enter a trade, set a 30-minute timer and wait.
• During that time, review your strategy: Is this entry aligned with your trading plan? Or is it just an emotional impulse?
• If after 30 minutes you still think the trade is valid, go ahead.
✅ Benefit: This exercise slows down decision-making, helping you think rationally rather than emotionally.
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4. The “No-Trade Day” Challenge – Strengthen Your Self-Control
Goal: Prove to yourself that you can stay out of the market without feeling like you're missing out.
How to do it:
• Pick one day per week where you are not allowed to take any trades.
• Instead, use the time to study the market, analyze past trades, and refine your strategy.
• At the end of the day, reflect: Did you experience FOMO? Was it difficult to resist trading?
✅ Benefit: Increases discipline and teaches you that you don’t have to be in the market all the time to succeed.
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5. The “Walk Away” Method – Stop Micromanaging Trades
Goal: Reduce stress and prevent over-monitoring after placing a trade.
How to do it:
• After placing a trade, walk away from your screen for 1 to 2 hours.
• Set alerts or use stop-loss/take-profit orders so you’re not tempted to constantly check the price.
✅ Benefit: Reduces emotional reactions and prevents overmanagement of trades.
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6. The “Frustration Tolerance” Drill – Train Yourself to Accept Losses and Missed Opportunities
Goal: Build resilience to emotional discomfort in trading.
How to do it:
• Watch the market and deliberately let a good opportunity pass without taking it.
• Observe your frustration, but do not act. Instead, write in your journal: How does missing this opportunity make me feel?
• Remind yourself that there will always be another opportunity and that chasing trades leads to bad decisions.
✅ Benefit: Helps reduce FOMO and makes you a calmer, more disciplined trader.
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7. The “Trading Plan Repetition” Exercise – Build a Strong Habit
Goal: Reinforce discipline and reduce deviations from your plan.
How to do it:
• Every morning, before opening your trading platform, write down your trading rules by hand.
• Example:
o “I will not enter a trade unless all my conditions are met.”
o “I will not move my stop-loss further away.”
o “I will close my platform after placing a trade.”
• Handwriting strengthens mental reinforcement, and daily repetition turns it into a habit.
✅ Benefit: Increases self-discipline and keeps you committed to your strategy.
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Final Thoughts
If you’ve read this far, you now have a concrete plan to build patience in trading. Remember, trading success isn’t just about technical analysis and strategies—it’s about discipline and emotional control.
Just like a bodybuilder follows a structured routine to develop muscles, you must practice patience and discipline daily to master trading psychology.
Impulsive Trading:Understanding the Risks and Regaining ControlHave you found yourself hastily clicking the “Buy” or “Sell” button only to be engulfed by regret almost immediately afterward? If so, you're in good company 😃.
Impulsive trading is a widespread issue that affects traders of all experience levels, often leading to significant financial losses. Studies reveal that a considerable portion of traders battle with impulsive decision-making, which can drastically influence their overall financial health.
Impulsive trading typically arises from emotions rather than careful market analysis or strategic planning. Factors such as the fear of missing out (FOMO), frustration after a loss, or the temptation of quick profits often cloud judgment, resulting in decisions that deviate from disciplined trading practices. This behavior is especially pronounced during volatile market conditions, where emotions can run high. Acknowledging the signs of impulsive trading is essential for fostering discipline and achieving sustained trading success.
Understanding the Risks of Impulsive Trading
The implications of impulsive trading reach far beyond individual poor trades. Each impulsive action can generate a cascade of errors, diverting traders from their predefined strategies. Engaging in impulsive trading often leads to overtrading, where traders make numerous trades in quick succession while hoping for fast returns, ultimately resulting in mounting losses. This not only increases exposure to market volatility but also raises transaction costs, systematically eroding any potential gains.
Another major risk associated with impulsive trading is flawed decision-making. Actions born out of emotional responses lack the rational foundation necessary for sound trading, pushing traders towards choices that diverge from their overall objectives. For instance, abandoning a Stop Loss order or ramping up position sizes following a loss can lead to dramatic financial damage. Moreover, the psychological impact of impulsive trading can result in burnout, heightened stress, and diminished confidence, all of which threaten a trader's long-term viability. Recognizing and understanding these risks highlights the need for self-regulation and a disciplined approach—critical elements for successful trading.
Psychological Triggers Behind Impulsive Trading
The tendency to trade impulsively often stems from various psychological factors that can be difficult to manage. One of the main culprits is the fear of missing out (FOMO); in fast-paced markets, traders may feel an urgent need to enter positions quickly to seize potential profits. This urgency can lead to ill-timed trades, making them more vulnerable to reversals.
Greed is another significant factor that plays a role in impulsive trading. The relentless pursuit of maximizing profits can quickly overshadow a trader’s original plan. As a result, they may prolong a successful trade or increase leverage in hopes of capturing even greater returns, leading to heightened risks. Loss aversion, the instinct to avoid losing money, also contributes to impulsivity. When faced with setbacks, traders might engage in “revenge trading,” making rash decisions in an attempt to recover losses—often dismissing their foundational analytical methods.
External factors like social media and market news also amplify these emotional triggers. The overload of information—from Twitter updates to various trading forums—can create a sense of urgency and spur impulsive behavior, even among experienced traders. By acknowledging these psychological influences, traders can cultivate a more deliberate and strategic approach to their decision-making processes.
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Identifying Impulsive Trading Behavior
Recognizing the signs of impulsive trading is crucial for anyone looking to regain control and establish a more strategic trading method. Indicators of such behavior include:
- Ignoring Your Trading Plan: Frequently deviating from established entry and exit criteria in favor of fleeting emotions can indicate a pattern of impulsivity.
- Constantly Monitoring Trades: Habitually checking price movements or refreshing trading platforms often suggests an emotional attachment to positions, prompting unnecessary reactions to minor fluctuations.
- Execution of Unplanned Trades: Making trades without forethought, especially after emotional highs from winning trades or lows from losses, disrupts a carefully crafted trading plan and exposes one to greater risks.
- Neglecting Risk Management Practices: Exceeding leverage limits or disabling Stop Loss orders indicates a tendency to focus on immediate gains rather than sustainable trading strategies.
By becoming aware of these behaviors and taking deliberate steps to reflect on each trade's alignment with the overarching strategy, traders can minimize impulsivity and foster a disciplined mindset grounded in rationality.
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Strategies for Overcoming Impulsive Trading
Successfully overcoming impulsive trading requires a blend of discipline, self-awareness, and effective strategies. Here are some actionable steps:
1. Set Clear Entry and Exit Criteria: Define explicit guidelines for entering and exiting trades, based on predetermined market conditions or technical indicators. Adhering to these rules minimizes the likelihood of impulsive actions.
2. Employ Stop Loss Orders: Utilize Stop Loss orders to automatically close trades when certain price levels are met. This helps protect against significant losses and allows traders to step back from their positions.
3. Maintain a Trading Journal: Keeping a detailed record of every trade—including motivations, emotions experienced, and outcomes—encourages self-reflection and helps to identify recurring patterns in behavior.
4. Practice Self-Discipline: Establish realistic trading goals and commit to your trading plan. Taking a pause before executing trades can help you refocus on your long-term objectives, minimizing the urge to act impulsively.
5. Restrict Trading Frequency: Set limits on the number of trades you make each day or week to ensure that you only engage in high-quality opportunities, rather than reacting to every market fluctuation.
By adopting these strategies, traders can cultivate the discipline necessary to move away from impulsive decision-making, emphasizing logical and goal-oriented actions instead.
Cultivating a Rational Trading Mindset
Developing a rational mindset is essential for long-term trading success and evading the pitfalls of emotional decision-making. Consider implementing the following techniques:
- Mindfulness and Relaxation Practices: Engage in mindfulness exercises to enhance awareness of your thoughts and feelings. Awareness allows you to recognize when emotions may be influencing trading decisions. Even short moments of focused breathing can provide clarity.
- Take Breaks Regularly: Long trading sessions can lead to fatigue and impaired judgment. By stepping away from your work periodically, you can recharge and return to your trading activities with fresh insight.
- Avoid Trading During Emotionally Charged Situations: If you find yourself facing personal stress or strong emotions, it may be wise to refrain from trading until you regain an even temperament.
- Focus on Long-Term Objectives: Prioritize sustained success over immediate rewards. Remind yourself that while impulsive decisions might provide short-term satisfaction, they often result in long-term setbacks.
Building a rational trading mindset requires patience and dedicated effort, but it is instrumental in improving trading performance. By incorporating these habits into your routine, you can enhance emotional control and make decisions that reflect logic rather than impulse.
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The Critical Role of a Trading Plan
An effective trading plan is a cornerstone for preventing impulsive decisions that can undermine a trader's performance. The emotional responses associated with impulsive trading—such as fear and greed—can derail even the best-laid strategies. A comprehensive trading plan serves as a guiding framework, providing clarity and structured guidelines to help traders manage emotional impulses.
By defining specific goals, a trading plan equips traders with a clear sense of direction, reducing the temptation to chase fleeting opportunities or react to market noise. Furthermore, by integrating principles of risk management into your trading strategy, you ensure that engagement with risks aligns with your personal threshold, thereby minimizing unnecessary exposure. Establishing entry and exit guidelines allows traders to base their decisions on objective criteria, independent of emotion-driven impulses.
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Enhancing Trading Discipline with Tools and Techniques
Employing specific tools and strategies can support a disciplined trading approach and reduce impulsive behavior. Trading software with alert functions can help by notifying traders when predefined conditions for trades are met, ensuring decisions are based on strategic analysis rather than reactive impulses.
Regularly reviewing trading performance is equally vital. This practice allows traders to analyze trades, recognize behavior patterns, fine-tune their strategies, and verify their alignment with their trading plan. Drawing insights from these reviews fosters adherence to disciplined trading and helps traders remain focused and make informed decisions.
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In conclusion..
Achieving lasting success in trading depends on rational thought processes and emotional management. A well-developed trading plan, complemented by the right tools and techniques, empowers traders to avoid impulsivity and concentrate on their goals. Although the temptation for quick gains can be powerful, maintaining a disciplined approach is essential for sustainable success. Remember, trading is a journey rather than a sprint. By remaining consistent and methodical, traders can navigate risks effectively, ultimately crafting a strategy that yields long-term results.
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The Right Questions to Ask Before Entering a TradeEvery day, traders—especially beginners—ask the same recurring question:
❓ What do you think Gold will do today? Will it go up or down?
While this seems like a logical question, it’s actually completely wrong and one that no professional trader would ever ask in this way.
Trading is not about predicting the market like a fortune teller. Instead, it's about analyzing price action, managing risk, and executing trades strategically.
So, instead of asking, "Will Gold go up or down?" , a professional trader asks three critical questions before taking any trade.
Let's break them down.
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Step 1: Identifying the Right Entry Point
Let’s say you’ve done your analysis, and you believe Gold will drop. That’s great—but that’s just an opinion. What really matters is execution.
🔹 Where do I enter the trade?
Professional traders don’t jump into the market impulsively. They use pending orders instead of market orders to wait for the right price.
If you believe Gold will fall, you shouldn’t just sell at any price. You need to identify a key resistance level where a reversal is likely to happen.
For example:
• If Gold is trading at $2900, and strong resistance is at $2920, a professional trader will set a sell limit order at that resistance level rather than shorting randomly.
This approach ensures that you enter at a strategic point where the probability of success is higher.
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Step 2: Setting the Stop Loss
🔹 Where do I place my stop loss?
A trade without a stop loss is just gambling. Managing risk is far more important than being right about market direction.
The key is to determine:
✅ How much risk am I willing to take?
✅ Where is the invalidation level for my trade idea?
For example:
• If you are shorting Gold at $2920, you might place your stop loss at $2935—above a recent high or key technical level.
• This way, if the price moves against you, you have a predefined maximum loss, avoiding emotional decision-making.
Professional traders never risk more than a small percentage of their account on a single trade. Risk management is everything.
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Step 3: Setting the Take Profit Target
🔹 Where do I set my take profit, and does the trade make sense in terms of risk/reward?
Before taking any trade, you must ensure that your reward outweighs your risk.
For example:
• If you risk $15 per ounce (short at $2920, stop loss at $2935), your take profit should be at least $30 away (for a 1:2 risk/reward).
• A good target in this case could be $2890 or lower.
This means that for every dollar you risk, you aim to make two dollars—ensuring long-term profitability even if only 40-50% of your trades succeed.
If the trade doesn’t offer a good risk/reward, it’s simply not worth taking.
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Conclusion: The “Set and Forget” Mentality
Once you’ve answered these three key questions and placed your trade, the best approach is to let the market do its thing.
✅ Set your entry, stop loss, and take profit.
✅ Follow your trading plan.
✅ Avoid emotional reactions.
Many traders lose money because they constantly interfere with their trades—moving stop losses, closing positions too early, or hesitating to take profits.
Instead, adopt a professional approach: set your trade and let it run.
📌 Final Thought:
The next time you find yourself asking, “Will Gold go up or down today?” , stop and ask yourself:
📊 Where is my entry?
📉 Where is my stop loss?
💰 Where is my take profit, and does the risk/reward make sense?
This is how professional traders think, plan, and execute—and it’s what separates them from amateurs.
👉 What’s your biggest struggle when it comes to executing trades? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Become a Semi-God in Crypto & knows Market Maker StrategiesHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌
Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 4 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
Personal Insight & Technical Analysis of Bitcoin:
At the current price level, as the market approaches the resistance zone I’ve marked on the chart 📉, I observe that the price action is likely designed to trigger stop-losses and force out sellers 🚫. After this shakeout, I expect the downtrend to resume, with my target set at 78,000.
How to View the Cryptocurrency Market Like an Expert or Market Maker:
The first step is to create a sense of excitement in the market by driving the price upward 📈, fostering the illusion that retail investors will see their investments grow exponentially 💰. This generates a strong influx of capital from inexperienced traders. Continue this upward movement, allowing the market to attract a larger number of participants 👥, further pushing the price higher.
Once the market has drawn in sufficient participants, induce small pullbacks 🔄 to force weaker hands out of their positions. During this phase, you gradually exit your own positions, ensuring that you don’t get caught in the pullback ⚠️. Simultaneously, utilize the influence of the media 📰 to reassure the public, reinforcing the idea that price fluctuations are natural in all financial markets, and these corrections are essential for fueling future growth. After all, a consistent, straight-line upward trend would be more concerning ❗.
Following this minor correction, slightly raise the price again ⬆️, just enough to convince investors that the uptrend is resuming. This will act as confirmation for the public and encourage further capital inflow 💸, amplifying the bullish sentiment.
At this point, orchestrate a more significant market decline 📉, but continue to keep hope alive among the masses 🌟. Stand on the sidelines and watch as panic spreads throughout the market 😱. As fear sets in, many investors will sell their positions at a loss, overwhelmed by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) 😔. This provides a perfect opportunity for you to buy back those assets at a lower price 💡.
After accumulating positions at a discounted price 🛒, once again push the market upward with renewed strength 💪. This cycle can be repeated multiple times 🔄, extracting value from unsuspecting retail traders and driving the price higher each time.
By repeating this process, you establish yourself as a dominant force in the market 🔥—an expert operator who understands the psychology of traders and how to leverage human emotions for profit 🧠. This approach is not unique to the cryptocurrency market; it is a pattern observed across various financial markets 🌍. Each phase of this cycle is intricately tied to human psychology, particularly the emotions of greed 💵, fear 😨, and the irrational behaviors they trigger.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Push prices up to create excitement 📈, attracting retail investors 💰. Shake out weak hands with small pullbacks 🔄, then use media 📰 to keep them calm. Let the market crash, then buy at a lower price 💡 before repeating the cycle 🔄. Mastering market psychology 🧠 is the key to dominating crypto and beyond 🌍.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #4: Spot or Futures? Real or Fake?123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #4: Spot or Futures? Real or Fake? 🧐
News : $1.3 Billion has been liquidated 💥 from the FUTURES market within the past 24 hours, as Bitcoin plummeted to $86,000. 📉
Futures leveraged traders were forced to close their positions, realizing a collective loss of $1.3 Billion.
This shows how risky trading with leverage (borrowed money) can be. 💸 ⚠️
Traders who use leverage enter into a gambling game with exchanges, which always win the game. In other words, in the last 24 hours, several crypto exchanges made $1.3 billion in profits.
On the other hand, people who bought Bitcoin directly (spot market) only lost a small amount of profit. This shows that owning the actual asset is more stable. 💎
Traders using leverage lose their money. But for spot investors, this is a good chance to buy more Bitcoin at a low price and make their long-term position stronger. 💰
Like I always tell my students and friends:
Let's go up the spot market stairs, step by step. 🪜 Don't think about the futures elevator. 🏢 It has crashed many times, 📉 and it will crash again. ⚠️
Instead of gambling in the "fake" futures game,
invest your money in the "real" spot market. 💎
Build your investments by owning assets, not by risky leverage. 🚫
Have a nice trading journey!
The Pygmalion Effect in Trading: Expectations Shape Your Resuls!The Pygmalion Effect is a psychological phenomenon where higher expectations lead to improved performance, while low expectations result in poor outcomes.
This concept, often explored in education and leadership, also plays a crucial role in trading psychology.
Your beliefs about your trading abilities, strategies, and the market can directly influence your results.
But how can you use this to your advantage, and when does it work against you? Let’s explore.
________________________________________
How the Pygmalion Effect Applies to Trading
At its core, the Pygmalion Effect suggests that what you expect tends to become reality—not through magic, but through subconscious behavioral shifts. In trading, this can manifest in several ways:
🔹 Confidence in Your Strategy – If you genuinely believe in your trading system, you're more likely to follow it with discipline, leading to consistent results over time.
🔹 Fear and Self-Doubt – If you constantly doubt your trades, hesitate to enter, or close positions too early out of fear, you reinforce negative expectations, leading to underperformance.
🔹 Risk-Taking Behavior – Overconfidence, another side of the Pygmalion Effect, can lead to excessive risk-taking, believing that every trade will be a winner—just as dangerous as self-doubt.
How to Use the Pygmalion Effect to Your Advantage:
✅ Develop a Strong Trading Plan – Confidence comes from preparation. A well-tested strategy gives you a clear roadmap to follow.
✅ Control Your Self-Talk – The way you talk to yourself matters. Replace " I always lose trades" with "I am improving my risk management and discipline."
✅ Focus on Process Over Outcomes – Instead of worrying about individual wins or losses, focus on executing your plan consistently.
✅ Surround Yourself with Positive Influences – Follow traders and mentors who reinforce disciplined trading habits rather than hype and emotional decision-making.
✅ Use Visualization Techniques – Imagine yourself trading successfully, making rational decisions, and following your plan—this can train your mind to align with positive expectations.
________________________________________
Applying the Pygmalion Effect – A Real Market Example:
Let’s take a real-world example to illustrate this concept:
For several days, I have been warning about a potential major correction in Gold. The reason? Looking at the daily chart, even though Gold has made all-time highs in the last 10 days, these highs are very close together, and each time the price hit a new top, it reversed sharply.
This pattern is a classic sign of a reversal.
Yesterday, Gold closed with a strong bearish engulfing candle, another indication that a correction is underway.
Now, if we look at the hourly chart (left side), we can see an aggressive drop followed by a retest of the 2930 level—a typical move before further decline.
Here’s where the Pygmalion Effect comes into play:
✅ We see the setup clearly.
✅ We trust our analysis.
✅ We execute with confidence.
Following this logic, Gold could continue its correction, breaking below 2900, possibly testing 2880 support or even lower. We put the strategy into action with conviction.
Final Thoughts:
The Pygmalion Effect in trading is powerful—your expectations can make or break your performance. By setting high but realistic expectations, reinforcing confidence, and focusing on disciplined execution, you can shape yourself into a profitable, consistent trader.
Trust what you see, believe in your strategy, and trade with conviction.
👉 What are your expectations for your trading? Let’s discuss! 🚀📊
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
What Is an ETF and How Does ETF CFD Trading Work?What Is an ETF and How Does ETF CFD Trading Work?
Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, have gained significant popularity in recent years as a way to invest in a diversified portfolio of securities. But for the uninitiated, the world of ETFs can seem complex and overwhelming. So, what is an exchange-traded fund, and how does it work? In this article, we’ll cover everything you need to know about ETFs, the advantages and disadvantages, and we’ll explain how to trade ETF CFDs.
What Is an ETF and How Does It Work?
The ETF definition in investments is the following: exchange-traded funds (ETFs), sometimes called equity-traded funds, are financial products that track the performance of a specific index, commodity, or group of assets. ETFs are popular among individual and institutional investors thanks to their flexibility, low fees, and transparency.
Like stocks, ETFs are traded on exchanges. This means that you can buy ETF shares when the stock market is open. Note that you buy shares of a fund, not the fund itself. Unlike stocks, however, ETFs don’t focus on a single asset. Instead, ETFs consist of multiple assets and even different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and cash. Some ETFs are passively managed, meaning they’re designed to track a specific market or sector. Others are actively managed and have professional portfolio managers who choose which assets to include in the ETF.
ETFs are an effective way for traders and investors to diversify their positions. Because ETFs comprise a diverse range of securities, holders can gain exposure to different assets, markets, and sectors without having to trade each one individually. This can help reduce risk and volatility and potentially generate more stable returns over the long term.
Differences and Pros and Cons of ETFs vs Mutual Funds
While they share some similarities to mutual funds, one of the main differences between the two is that mutual funds are only traded at the end of the trading day according to their net asset value (NAV), while an ETF’s share price fluctuates throughout the day.
Mutual funds pool money from investors to invest in a range of assets and are often actively managed by a professional portfolio manager. This means they typically come with higher fees and a higher minimum investment requirement.
Generally speaking, ETFs are the more cost-effective and flexible option, as they offer lower expense ratios and allow for intraday trading. They also tend to be more tax efficient due to their reduced portfolio turnover rates. However, ETFs come with commissions, while mutual funds do not. Moreover, the passive management style of many ETFs can lead to lower returns compared to mutual funds, which aim to beat the market through active management.
ETF Types
There are many different types of ETFs out there that can be used to meet a wide variety of investment goals. Let’s look at some examples of exchange-traded funds.
Index ETFs
What is an ETF in the stock market? Equity ETFs are those that track a stock index. They vary in terms of the sectors, industries, company sizes, and countries they cover. Equity ETFs are divided into broad market and sector ETFs.
Broad Market ETFs
These ETFs track the performance of the entire market. They can be a useful tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the overall market without having to pick an individual instrument. One of the most significant broad-market ETFs is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF.
Sector ETFs
Sector ETFs offer investment in specific industries or areas of the market, like technology, healthcare, energy, and financials. These ETFs are ideal for investors looking to profit from the overall growth of an industry. Popular sector ETFs include the ARK Innovation ETF.
Bond ETFs
These ETFs invest in fixed-income securities such as government, corporate, and municipal bonds. Bond ETFs expose investors to the fixed-income market, which can be an effective tool for diversifying a portfolio. One of the bond ETFs is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.
Commodity ETFs
Commodity ETFs invest in assets like gold, silver, oil, and other natural resources. Commodity ETFs offer investors easy access to the commodity market and can help them hedge during market downturns. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) is an example of a commodity ETF.
Currency ETFs
These ETFs invest in foreign currencies and are used to gain exposure to a particular country’s currency or group of currencies, meaning they can be used to hedge against currency risk. Primary currency ETFs include the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund.
Leveraged ETFs
Leveraged ETFs use derivatives to provide investors with magnified exposure to the underlying assets, typically 2x, 3x, or 5x. For instance, a 2x leveraged ETF based on the S&P 500 would drop 2% if the S&P 500 fell by 1%. Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF is one of the most popular leveraged ETFs.
Inverse ETFs
These ETFs allow buyers to invest in the inverse performance of the underlying asset. For example, an inverse ETF that tracks the S&P 500 would go up when the S&P 500 goes down. Inverse ETFs can be useful for hedging against market downturns but also shouldn’t be held long-term. An example of an inverse ETF is the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF.
How to Trade ETF CFDs
Aside from buying ETFs on stock exchanges, you can trade them via CFDs. CFDs are derivative products that allow traders to speculate on the price movement of an underlying asset, such as an ETF. Unlike traditional ETF investing, ETF CFD trading does not involve owning the ETF itself. Instead, traders are exposed to the price movements of the underlying ETF when they open a position.
At FXOpen, we have dozens of ETF contracts for difference (CFDs) that are ideal for short-term trading.
One key benefit of CFD trading is the use of leverage, which allows traders to open larger positions with smaller amounts of capital. This can potentially amplify profits but also magnify losses. All of our ETF CFDs offer 1:5 leverage, so to open a $100 position, you’ll need $20 to cover the margin requirements.
Moreover, ETF CFDs can be opened long or short, allowing traders to profit from both rising and falling markets. This can be especially useful when looking to hedge against an existing position or take advantage of short-term market movements.
Unlike regular ETFs, CFDs are subject to overnight fees, which are charged for holding open positions overnight. However, the same as with regular ETFs, CFD traders receive dividends if applied. The dividend adjustment is positive for buy trades and negative for sell trades.
Consider a Trading Strategy
If you’re thinking of trading ETF CFDs, it’s important to have a trading strategy in place. One approach is a trend-following strategy, which involves identifying and entering in the direction of the trend of the underlying ETF. Many traders use technical analysis tools, like moving averages and trendlines, to help them gauge the direction of a trend.
Seasonal trend trading can also work particularly well for ETF CFDs. Traders using this strategy look at historical market data and identify trends that tend to occur during certain times of the year. For example, a retail sector-based ETF might perform well around the holiday season, so traders could use this expectation to guide the direction of their trade.
Some traders prefer breakout trading - taking positions in ETF CFDs when their prices break through key support or resistance levels. Breakout trading can be especially effective in ETF CFD trading because ETFs tend to be less volatile than individual stocks. This means that when an ETF breaks through a support or resistance level, it may continue in that direction for an extended period, providing traders with an opportunity to profit.
Trading ETF CFDs: Advantages and Disadvantages
While we’ve explained some of the key advantages and disadvantages of ETF CFD trading, there are other factors to consider. Here are some additional advantages and disadvantages of ETF CFDs to be aware of.
Advantages
Flexibility: ETF CFDs can be bought and sold quickly throughout the day, providing traders with the flexibility to adjust their positions in response to intraday market events.
Broad Exposure: ETF CFDs offer exposure to a wide range of global markets and sectors, meaning that traders can diversify their positions and speculate on the price movements of a market or sector as a whole rather than relying on a single asset.
Hedging: This broad exposure also allows traders to use ETF CFDs to hedge against their other positions and reduce their potential losses. For example, a trader long on tech stocks could use a technology-based ETF CFD to short the sector during earnings season to protect from downside risk.
Disadvantages
Only Tradeable During Specific Hours: ETF CFDs are only available to trade when their respective exchanges are open. This might only be 9:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. EST, whereas other types of CFDs, like forex CFDs, are available to trade 24/5.
Potential Liquidity Issues: During periods of high volatility or low volume trading hours, some ETF CFDs can suffer from poor liquidity. This can widen spreads, increase costs for traders, and heighten the risk of slippage.
Fund Closure: While rare, it is possible for an ETF to cease trading while you have an open CFD position. This would result in the liquidation of the position and the net profit or losses being realised. When combined with leverage, a forced liquidation could lead to significant losses.
Your Next Steps
Now that you have a solid understanding of ETFs and their CFD counterparts, you may wonder how to start trading them. Follow this step-by-step guide to get started:
1. Open an FXOpen Account: At FXOpen, we offer a wide range of ETF contracts for difference (CFDs) that you can begin trading in minutes.
2. Explore ETFs: The next step is to look for ETFs that align with your strategy. You can research factors like potential for growth and historical performance to help determine if an ETF is right for you. You may also want to consider elements like the ETF’s level of diversification and trading volume.
3. Place a Trade: Once you think you’ve found the ETF you want to trade, you can use one of four trading platforms at FXOpen to enter a position. This involves selecting the ETF CFD you want to trade, choosing the appropriate trade size, and setting stop losses to manage risk. At this stage, you could also set some targets for where you’d like to exit your trade.
4. Manage Risk: As your trade progresses, the only thing left to do is manage your position’s risk. You could do this by gradually moving your stop loss closer to breakeven, taking partial profits, and hedging your position with other ETF CFDs.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crypto influencers: The Good, The Bad and The UglyThe crypto space is evolving fast, and with it, the influence of social media figures has grown exponentially.
Crypto influencers have become a major source of information, ideas, and trends for traders and investors alike. But are they really helping, or are they just creating noise?
Let's break it down into three categories: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly.
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The Good: Learning and Discovery
One undeniable benefit of crypto influencers is access to information. With thousands of projects emerging every months, it's impossible to keep track of everything on your own. Influencers often highlight new projects, provide market insights, and share educational content, making it easier for retail investors to stay informed.
Their content can serve as a starting point for research, helping you discover opportunities you might have missed otherwise. Instead of spending hours searching for new projects, you can get a curated list of potential investments, saving time and effort.
However, the key here is not to blindly follow , but to use their insights as a research tool to dig deeper and verify information before making investment decisions.
________________________________________
The Bad: Copy-Paste Content & One-Sided Narratives
While some influencers provide value, many simply recycle the same information. If you follow multiple influencers, you might notice that most of them talk about the exact same projects, using almost identical arguments.
Why? Because they often copy each other or are paid to promote specific coins. Instead of offering genuine analysis, they just ride the hype wave.
Another major issue is the lack of balance in their narratives. The majority of influencers focus only on bullish scenarios, constantly pushing the idea that prices will rise. Very few discuss the risks, potential corrections, or exit strategies.
This creates a dangerous mindset among beginner investors, making them believe that crypto only goes up, leading to FOMO-driven decisions instead of well-thought-out investments.
________________________________________
The Ugly: Hype-Driven, Clickbait Influencers
And now, we get to the worst of the bunch—the aggressive, loud, and sensationalist influencers who have taken over social media. These are the ones who:
🚨 Shout in every video, promising to make you a millionaire overnight
🚨 Hype up "the next 1000x coin" without any real analysis
🚨 Push FOMO-driven narratives to drive engagement, not to educate
Their goal? Clicks, views, and affiliate commissions.
Many of these influencers don’t even trade or invest themselves—they simply capitalize on the excitement of others. They prey on new and inexperienced investors, convincing them to buy into the hype without considering the risks.
But let’s be honest… How many people have actually gotten rich following their advice?
Most of these so-called “expert picks” end up crashing once the hype fades, leaving followers with losses while the influencers move on to the next pump-and-dump scheme.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts: How to Navigate the Crypto Influencer Space
Not all influencers are bad, but you need to approach them with a critical mindset. Here are a few tips to stay safe:
✅ Use influencers as a research tool, not financial advisors – Always do your own due diligence.
✅ Look for balanced perspectives – Avoid those who only push bullish narratives.
✅ Be skeptical of hype-driven content – If someone is shouting about a guaranteed 100x coin or even 1000x, it's most probably a scam.
✅ Follow influencers who discuss risk management – Real traders know that both gains and losses are part of the game.
At the end of the day, your success in crypto depends on your own research and strategy, not on blindly following influencers. Stay informed, stay cautious, and don’t fall for the hype! 🚀📉
What do you think about crypto influencers? Have you ever made (or lost) money following their advice? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🔥👇
Master Your Emotions: The 3 Trading Psychology Hacks Most traders don’t struggle because they lack a strategy—they struggle because emotions get in the way. After coaching hundreds of traders, I’ve seen the same patterns over and over: hesitation, FOMO, revenge trading, and self-doubt.
I get it. I’ve been there too. You see the perfect setup but hesitate. Or worse, you jump in too late and watch the market turn against you. It’s frustrating, but there’s a fix.
In this video, I’m breaking down the biggest trading psychology mistake I see and the simple 3-step process that has helped my students trade with confidence, even in the most volatile markets.
If you’ve ever felt like your emotions are sabotaging your trades, this is for you. Let’s fix it.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
The Two Minds of a Trader: Analysis vs. ExecutionTrading is a game of probabilities, discipline, and emotional control. Yet, most traders unknowingly sabotage themselves by letting their analytical mind interfere with their execution. Understanding the distinction between the Analytical Mind (The Analyst) and the Execution Mind (The Trader) can significantly improve your trading performance. I’m Skeptic , and today, I’ll break down how to master these two mental states.
The Analytical Mind vs. The Execution Mind
The Analyst: The Market Forecaster 🔍📊
This is the part of your mind that loves to analyze, predict, and overthink.
It constantly searches for confirmation and the perfect setup.
It’s responsible for drawing support/resistance levels, using indicators, and finding confluence zones.
Often, it falls into the trap of “analysis paralysis,” hesitating to take trades due to over-analysis.
🛑 Biggest Mistake: Letting the Analytical Mind interfere with execution.
The Trader: The Decision Maker 🎯💰
This is the part of your mind that follows a structured, predefined trading plan.
It focuses on executing rather than predicting.
It respects stop-losses, sticks to the plan, and doesn’t chase the market.
It manages risk effectively and understands that losses are part of the game.
✅ Key to Success: Training the Execution Mind to act without emotional interference from the Analytical Mind.
How to Stop Overthinking and Trade with Confidence
1. Create a Clear Trading Plan 📝
A structured plan removes uncertainty. Before you enter a trade, you should already know:
Your entry triggers (specific price action setups, indicators, or fundamental conditions).
Your risk-to-reward ratio (R/R) and stop-loss placement.
Your profit-taking strategy (scaling out, trailing stops, etc.).
💡 Example:
I personally use setups based on support/resistance, RSI divergences, and volume confirmation.
I’ve backtested these setups with 30+ trades per condition, ensuring their viability.
This confidence in my system allows me to execute trades without second-guessing.
2. Separate Learning from Execution 🚧
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is learning while trading.
Before the trade: This is the time for analysis and preparation.
During the trade: This is execution mode—stick to your plan, no second-guessing.
After the trade: Review and learn. This is when you refine your strategy, not during a live trade.
3. Reduce Information Overload 📉
Too much knowledge can be detrimental in trading.
Many traders believe that knowing more = better trading. This is a myth.
The best traders master one or two strategies and refine them instead of constantly searching for new indicators.
Focus on backtesting and forward-testing instead of endlessly consuming content.
🚨 Reality Check: Traders 100 years ago made consistent profits without advanced indicators, algorithms, or AI models. Why? Because they focused on mastering risk management and execution instead of drowning in endless analysis.
Final Thoughts: Train Your Execution Mind
Trust your plan: If you’ve done your homework, your only job is to execute without hesitation.
Less is more: Reduce unnecessary analysis and stick to core principles.
Be patient: The best traders don’t chase trades—they wait for their setup.
📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Stop over-analyzing and start executing.✅ Confidence comes from backtesting and having a structured plan.✅ The market rewards discipline, not predictions.
Which mindset dominates your trading—Analyst or Trader? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss!
🔹 I’m Skeptic, and my goal is to help traders gain clarity and consistency in their journey. Let’s grow together!