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Learn High Impact Fundamental News in GOLD XAUUSD Trading Before you open any trade on Gold, always check the economic calendar first. In this article, you will learn the best free economic calendar and high impact fundamental news that can influence Gold prices. I will teach the important actions to take and a trading strategy to follow both before and after news releases to improve your Gold trading strategy. Free Economic Calendar The economic calendar that I use for Gold trading is on Tradingview. The news that influence Gold prices are high impact US news. To display only such news, you should set the filters . You should click "Only High Importance" and in the list of countries choose only the United States. All 3 star US news may influence Gold prices dramatically. Real Impact In Gold trading, the release of high impact fundamental news is one of the major causes of trading positions being closed in a loss . Because such news may make the market completely irrational, increasing the volatility. Look how strongly Gold prices dropped, immediately after US personal spending news were posted. Remember, though, that there is no guarantee that Gold will react to this news. Quite often, the market will not be affected at all. The release of US GDP did not influence Gold at all and the market continued consolidating. Beware of False Signals In order to protect your trading account from unexpected losses, I recommend not opening any trading position 3 hours ahead of the news. Usually, during that period, the markets start slowing down , preparing for the news. Most of the breakouts, signals that you will see in such a period will be false . 3 hours before the US Durable Orders fundamental news, Gold broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support. From a technical analysis standpoint, it was a strong bearish signal. However, that signal was false, and the price went up rapidly after the news. Safest Strategy If you have an active trade, 10 minutes ahead of the release of the fundamentals, protect your position. Simply take a stop loss and move it to entry level. If the price rapidly reverses after a news release, you will close the position with a 0 loss. Here is a long trade on Gold that we took with my trading academy members. 10 minutes ahead of US unemployment data, we moved stop loss to entry level. Fundamental news made the market bearish, and the price went down. Our decision to protect a trading position helped us to avoid losses. Alternatively, you can close your active trade 10 minutes ahead of the news. Be Patient After the release of the news, I suggest waiting for the close of an hourly candle before you take any trade. With the first hourly candle close after the news, you will see how the market participants price in its impact, letting you make a better decision. That is how Gold reacted to US Inflation data. Any trade should be opened at least after the hourly candle close to let the market price in its real effect. These 3 simple rules will help you to cut losses cause by the fundamental news. Integrate them in your trading strategy to increase your profits. Never forget to monitor the economic calendar and good luck in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
Quick Learn Trading Tips - #1 of 123: Doubling your MoneyQuick Learn Trading Tips - #1 of 123: Doubling your Money It's easy to get caught up in the hype of trading. Promises of fast fortunes and "guaranteed" wins are everywhere. But as I always say, it's crucial to keep it real. That's why my first Quick Learn trading tip is this: "Try to be realistic about your expected returns. If you dream of doubling your capital every month, you will soon be disappointed." Let's face it: If doubling your money every month was easy, everyone would be doing it! The truth is that consistent success in trading requires a grounded approach. Unrealistic goals often lead to risky moves driven by emotion, not logic. And that's a recipe for disaster. Instead, aim for steady, achievable gains. Develop a sound trading strategy, leverage tools, and stay disciplined. Remember, building wealth in the markets is a marathon, not a sprint. Want more Quick Learn tips to boost your trading? Follow me.
Education
by Navid_Jafarian
10
I may not open a Short Trade in my life!This would be shocking news for most of my followers since we made decent money doing that in 2021-2022, but let me explain the mathematics behind it. Before diving into the mathematics, let me tell you I will buy a Naked Put if there is a high conviction for an asset's future lower price. Let me explain the risk-reward profiles for long and short positions: Long Position: When you buy an asset (go long), you purchase it hoping its value will increase Maximum loss: Limited to your initial investment (if asset goes to $0) For example, if you buy a stock at $100, your maximum loss is $100 per share Maximum gain: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising If the stock goes to $200, $300, $1000+, your profit keeps growing Short Position: When you short an asset, you borrow and sell it, hoping to repurchase it cheaper later Maximum gain: Limited to your initial sale price (if the asset goes to $0) For example, if you short a stock at $100, your maximum gain is $100 per share Maximum loss: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising If the stock rises to $200, you lose $100; at $300, you lose $200, and so on The asymmetric risk-reward comes from math: Long positions: Asset can't go below $0, but has no upper limit Short positions: Can only profit until $0, but losses grow with each price increase Shorting comes with several additional costs that make it more expensive than going long: Borrowing Costs (Short Interest) You must pay interest to borrow the shares you're shorting Rates can range from very low (0.25%) to very high (50%+) annually for hard-to-borrow stocks This cost reduces your profits or increases losses over time Margin Requirements Need to maintain a margin account with collateral Higher margin requirements for short positions (typically 150% of position value) Risk of margin calls if the position moves against you Dividend Payments Short sellers must pay any dividends to the lender of the shares This is an additional cost that long position holders don't face Can significantly impact profitability for high-dividend stocks Stock Recall Risk The lender can recall their shares at any time This may force you to close your position at unfavorable prices It is particularly risky during short squeezes These costs mean that even if your directional view is correct, you might still lose money on a short position due to holding costs. Asymmetrical Moves "Markets take the stairs up but the elevator down" The opposite happens more often! During bubble collapses and market crashes: Downside moves can be gradual as denial, hope, and orderly selling create a stepped decline Some investors average down, providing temporary support Circuit breakers and trading halts can slow dramatic falls During upside rallies, especially short squeezes: Price can explode upward very rapidly as shorts rush to cover Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) creates buying panic Margin calls force immediate buying Limited available shares can cause bidding wars Historical Examples: GameStop (GME) in 2021: Rose from ~$20 to $483 in just a few weeks Volkswagen in 2008: Briefly became the world's most valuable company during a squeeze Tesla's multiple rallies in 2020: Several sharp upward moves that hurt short sellers This faster upward movement makes short positions particularly dangerous because: Less time to react to adverse moves Higher likelihood of getting caught in a short squeeze Margin calls can come suddenly with little time to add funds. A most recent example: is RGTI my best Idea on the platform got 16x in less than 100 days!
NYSE:NIOEducation
by Moshkelgosha
7
Will Doge experience the same downfall as Trump-related coin?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ Reading this educational material will require approximately 10 minutes of your time. For your convenience, I have summarized the key points in 15 concise lines at the end . I trust this information will prove to be insightful and valuable in enhancing your understanding of Dogecoin and its role in the global financial landscape. Considering the increasing prominence of Dogecoin within Elon Musk's business ecosystem, alongside its widespread use in transactions across Musk-associated ventures, it is clear that Dogecoin has evolved into a significant asset under his influence. Musk's personal advocacy for Dogecoin has played a pivotal role in propelling the cryptocurrency into the mainstream, further solidifying his unique position as one of the most influential figures in the space. While Musk had previously commented on Bitcoin, it was his substantial involvement with Dogecoin that truly bridged the gap between the business world and the cryptocurrency sphere. In many ways, Dogecoin has become the first cryptocurrency to firmly connect Musk to the broader crypto universe, cementing its place in both the financial and digital landscapes. Given Musk’s vocal and continued support for Dogecoin, it is unlikely that the cryptocurrency will be abandoned or face a sharp decline in the immediate future. On the contrary, Dogecoin is more likely to continue benefiting from Musk’s endorsement and growing presence in the crypto space. Musk’s influence has consistently provided Dogecoin with a distinct advantage, and its relevance appears set to endure as long as he remains a key figure in the industry. However, it is important to acknowledge that the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market means new competitors could emerge, potentially impacting Dogecoin's market share. A notable example of this dynamic can be seen in the rise of projects such as Floki, a cryptocurrency that capitalized on the trend of leveraging high-profile personalities and branding. Similarly, there is a possibility that new cryptocurrencies and blockchain projects, either tied to influential figures or emerging through novel technological advancements, could pose a challenge to Dogecoin's dominance. History has shown that when market sentiment shifts toward a new project, as seen with Trump-themed tokens, the market can experience significant turbulence. For instance, the introduction of a unified "Trump" token caused a sharp decline in the value of individual tokens associated with the former president, while the price of the consolidated token surged in a matter of days, illustrating the market’s tendency to react to branding efforts and centralized strategies. At present, there is growing anticipation surrounding the new initiatives being developed by the team behind Company X, particularly the upcoming launch of XMoney — a blockchain-powered platform that promises to revolutionize payment systems across Musk’s various ventures, including Tesla and SpaceX. This platform is designed to provide a seamless, decentralized payment infrastructure for all of Musk’s business activities, potentially increasing the demand for Dogecoin as a payment method. Such innovations could further cement Musk’s role as a leader in the integration of cryptocurrency within established industries. However, further clarity is needed to assess the long-term impact of these developments on Dogecoin and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. In addition to these projects, the connection between Elon Musk and former President Donald Trump is worth noting. Trump’s recent engagement with the cryptocurrency market, coupled with Musk’s own deep ties to crypto, has sparked new levels of interest in digital assets. This growing intersection between high-profile figures and the crypto space is injecting a fresh wave of volume into the market, providing additional upward momentum for Dogecoin and other associated assets. As the market responds to this new influx of attention and liquidity, it is conceivable that Dogecoin could benefit from this renewed interest, with its price being driven higher as a result. Looking at the technical side of things, the indicators for Dogecoin are becoming increasingly positive. Analysis suggests that the coin may be on the verge of a breakout from its current parallel price channel, signaling the potential for a significant price surge. If the asset can successfully break through key resistance levels, it could usher in a new bullish phase, leading to notable price appreciation in the short to medium term. This possibility is further supported by Musk’s continued influence in both the tech and crypto spaces, which often drives market sentiment in a way that is difficult to replicate. Moreover, the broader context of the cryptocurrency market points to several key trends that could shape the future trajectory of Dogecoin. The ongoing development of blockchain technology, the increasing institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies, and the growing recognition of crypto as a legitimate asset class all contribute to the long-term bullish outlook for many cryptocurrencies, including Dogecoin. As these factors converge, it is likely that Dogecoin will remain a key player in the market, provided it continues to evolve alongside the technological and regulatory changes taking place in the industry. The role of artificial intelligence (AI) in the crypto market cannot be overlooked either. As AI technologies continue to advance, they are expected to have an increasing influence on cryptocurrency trading and market dynamics. Musk, as a key figure in both AI development and the crypto space, may look to leverage AI-driven tools to further enhance Dogecoin's appeal and utility. The integration of AI into crypto trading platforms, risk management systems, and even blockchain applications could make cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin more accessible and efficient for users, boosting their mainstream adoption. Furthermore, the regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies will play a critical role in shaping their future. While the regulatory environment remains uncertain in many regions, the increasing push for clearer regulations could provide more stability to the market. As governments and financial institutions establish frameworks for crypto adoption, established cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin could see increased legitimacy and integration into traditional financial systems, further elevating their market position. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Dogecoin’s growing role in Elon Musk’s business ventures has solidified its position in the crypto world. Musk's strong personal support has been crucial in driving Dogecoin's popularity, making it the first cryptocurrency that truly connected him to the space. As long as Musk continues to back Dogecoin, it's unlikely to face a significant decline, though competition from new cryptocurrencies or projects could pose a challenge. The recent launch of projects like Floki shows how quickly new assets can rise, and similar shifts could happen in the future. Musk's plans for XMoney, a blockchain payment system for his companies like Tesla and SpaceX, may increase demand for Dogecoin further. Additionally, Musk's relationship with Trump has added more attention to the crypto market, potentially driving Dogecoin's price higher. Technically, Dogecoin is showing positive signs, with analysts predicting a potential breakout. The ongoing growth of blockchain, increasing institutional interest, and advancements in AI could all contribute to Dogecoin’s future success. As the market matures and regulations become clearer, Dogecoin’s position in the crypto landscape remains strong, benefiting from Musk’s influence and the evolving crypto ecosystem. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
1
3 Must-Know Chart Patterns to Spot Winning Trades!Morning Trading Family Understanding chart patterns is super important for trading success! In this video, I’ll walk you through the top 3 patterns every trader should know: Head and Shoulders, Double Top/Bottom, and Bullish/Bearish Flags. I’ll show you how to spot them, when to jump into a trade, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or crypto, these patterns can make a big difference. We’ll even look at live charts together to keep it simple. Let me know in the comments which pattern is your favorite! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
1
Unlock Your Trading Potential: How to Design the Perfect Trading Morning Trading Family Ever wonder how the pros keep getting better? It's all about the journal! Join me in this video where I spill the beans on setting up your own trading journal that'll skyrocket your learning curve. We'll go through how to record each trade like a pro, capturing not just the when and where, but the why. I'll share simple methods to make your journal entries meaningful and insightful. Check out a real-life example from my journal, where I share not just the trades but the feelings behind them. Learn to spot the patterns in your trading - the good, the bad, and the ugly. Whether you're just starting out or you've been trading for years, this video is your roadmap to personal growth in the trading world. I'll show you how a few minutes each day can transform your trading strategy. Drop your thoughts, questions, or your own journaling hacks in the comments! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
The Four Horsemen of Trading: Overcoming the Emotional Pitfalls Investing and trading are often viewed as purely logical activities. Many assume that success in the markets depends solely on mastering data, charts, and economic theories. However, the reality is that emotions frequently play an outsized role in influencing decisions, often to the detriment of traders. In his 1994 classic I nvest Like the Best, James O'Shaughnessy described the four common psychological pitfalls that derail investors: fear, greed, hope, and ignorance. These "Four Horsemen of the Investment Apocalypse" are as relevant today as ever, especially in the new market conditions and uncertanty. Let’s explore each of these emotional pitfalls in detail, understand their impact, and discuss strategies to overcome them. ________________________________________ 1. Fear: The Paralyzing Grip of Uncertainty Fear is perhaps the most immediate and visceral emotion traders experience. It manifests in two primary ways: the fear of losing money and the fear of missing out. Fear of Losing Money This fear often causes traders to exit positions prematurely, robbing them of potential profits. For instance, a trader may close a trade the moment it moves slightly against them, even if their analysis indicates a high likelihood of eventual success. This behavior stems from a deep-seated aversion to loss, amplified by the memory of past trading failures. Fear of Missing Out FOMO drives traders to enter markets impulsively, often at inopportune times. Seeing a rapid price increase can tempt traders to jump in without proper analysis, only to be caught in a reversal. How to Overcome Fear • Develop a Plan: A solid trading plan with predefined entry, exit, and stop-loss levels helps remove the uncertainty that fuels fear. • Focus on the Process: Shift your attention from individual trade outcomes to the consistency of following your strategy. • Accept Losses as Part of Trading: View losses as a natural and manageable aspect of trading rather than personal failures. ________________________________________ 2. Greed: The Endless Pursuit of More Greed is the counterbalance to fear. It drives traders to seek excessive gains, often at the expense of sound decision-making. Greed clouds judgment, leading to overleveraging, chasing unrealistic profits, and deviating from planned strategies. Examples of Greed in Trading • Moving profit targets further as a trade approaches them, hoping for larger gains. • Ignoring exit signals in anticipation of an extended rally, only to watch profits evaporate. • Taking on larger positions than risk management rules would typically allow, driven by overconfidence. How to Overcome Greed • Set Realistic Goals: Establish achievable profit targets based on market conditions and your trading strategy. • Stick to Risk Management Rules: Never risk more than a predetermined percentage of your trading account on a single trade. • Practice Gratitude: Recognize and appreciate the profits you’ve made instead of constantly chasing more. ________________________________________ 3. Hope: Holding Onto Losing Trades Hope is a double-edged sword in trading. While optimism can keep traders motivated, unchecked hope often leads to poor decisions. Traders driven by hope may hold onto losing positions far longer than they should, convinced that the market will eventually "come back." This refusal to cut losses can result in significant drawdowns. The Danger of Hope Hope clouds rational judgment. Instead of objectively assessing the market’s signals, hopeful traders anchor their decisions on a desired outcome. This emotional attachment to trades often leads to ignoring stop-loss levels or adding to losing positions, compounding the damage. How to Overcome Hope • Use Stop-Loss Orders: Always set stop-loss levels when entering a trade and stick to them without exception. • Detach Emotionally from Trades: View trades as probabilities, not certainties. Focus on long-term outcomes rather than individual results. • Review Performance Regularly: Regularly assess your trading performance to identify patterns of hopeful decision-making and correct them. ________________________________________ 4. Ignorance: Trading Without Knowledge Ignorance is the foundational pitfall that enables fear, greed, and hope to thrive. A lack of knowledge or preparation often leads traders to make uninformed decisions, increasing the likelihood of costly mistakes. Manifestations of Ignorance • Entering trades based on rumors or tips without independent analysis. • Failing to understand market dynamics, such as how economic events impact prices. • Overestimating the predictive power of a single indicator or strategy without considering the broader context. How to Overcome Ignorance • Invest in Education: Learn about trading strategies, technical analysis, risk management, and market fundamentals. • Stay Informed: Keep up with economic news, market trends, and industry developments. • Practice in Simulated Environments: Use demo accounts to refine your strategies and gain experience before risking real capital. ________________________________________ Combating the Four Horsemen: A Holistic Approach To succeed in trading, you must address all four horsemen simultaneously. Here’s a comprehensive strategy to help you stay disciplined: 1. Create a Detailed Trading Plan: A well-thought-out plan acts as a roadmap, reducing the influence of emotional decisions. 2. Implement Strict Risk Management: Set clear rules for position sizing, stop-loss levels, and profit targets to minimize the impact of fear and greed. 3. Keep a Trading Journal: Record every trade, including the rationale behind it, the emotions you felt, and the outcome. Reviewing this journal helps you identify and correct emotional patterns. 4. Develop Emotional Awareness: Practice mindfulness to recognize when emotions are influencing your decisions, and take a step back when necessary. 5. Seek Continuous Improvement: Trading is a skill that requires ongoing refinement. Stay curious, learn from your mistakes, and adapt to changing market conditions. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts The Four Horsemen—fear, greed, hope, and ignorance—are ever-present challenges for traders. By recognizing these emotional pitfalls and implementing strategies to mitigate their impact, you can make more disciplined and objective decisions. Success in trading is not just about mastering the markets; it’s about mastering yourself. Approach each trade with preparation, detachment, and a commitment to continuous learning, and you’ll be well on your way to conquering these formidable adversaries.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
Psychological Strategy: "Buy The Rumour, Sell The News"Trumpcoin has given us a textbook example of how greed and enthusiasm work before major news events. ‘Buy the Rumor, Sell the News’ is one of the simplest yet most effective psychological strategies—it’s all about playing on people’s emotions. Next time you notice major economic or other significant news approaching, remember: markets tend to push hard before the event, but when the grand finale day arrives, sellers usually dominate. Use this knowledge to know when to take your profits and avoid falling into the FOMO trap! There are always opportunities to make money in the markets. 🤝 Swallow Team
Education
by SwallowAcademy
4
HOW TO Document your RESEARCH using TradingViewDocumenting your research as a trader is not just beneficial—it's essential. After a decade in the trenches, I know that organized, thorough documentation can make the difference between a profitable strategy and a missed opportunity. TradingView is not just a charting platform, it is also a journal, a diary, for ALL your trading ideas. The features it has are enormous. You can literally screenshot/snip your screen or part of it from another window and then CTRL+V it onto the chart itself. Personal TIP: I picture my physical notes, then I put the picture inside next to the chart, then I save the chart image with a link, and then I put the link into the idea text, and it shows me the note, like here: You can always revise your documentation and add to it as much as you want. The more evidence you can add, the more sound your pattern is, and the more confident you will be in putting your money on it, since you "KNOW" it should manifest because it is backed up by stock market logic and research. The price will move, with you or without you, ask yourself always the question: "Can this move be predicted beforehand?" and start your way from there... Be honest with yourself, some moves just CANT be predicted, they come out of nowhere, but others CAN and WILL give you HUGE SIGNS... if you document them... Here’s a structured approach to help you capture and refine your trading insights: 1. Find a Market Logic Before diving into trades, establish a market logic—a hypothesis or theory that drives your trading decisions. This might stem from historical data patterns, news-driven market reactions, or economic indicators. Ensure your logic is grounded in data and has a clear basis for expected outcomes. This foundational step helps avoid random, emotion-driven trades. 2. Give It a Name Assign a distinct and memorable name to your market logic. This helps you quickly reference and differentiate between multiple strategies. A good name can be as simple as “Earnings Reversal Strategy” or as creative as “The Phoenix Rebound.” Naming your strategy not only aids in documentation but also enhances your cognitive recall during decision-making. 3. Take Pictures of It Documenting your strategy visually is crucial. Take screenshots of relevant charts, trade setups, and indicators. Annotate these images with key details like entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and any other pertinent information. Visual aids can clarify your logic and make it easier to analyze past trades. TradingView allows you to insert a chart into your research, giving you the most visual documentation possible. By the way, if you are short in time, you can do a video of your documentation and speaking your idea of a strategy instead of writing it, much faster documentation. Also, much more interactive for future reference. 4. Write the Pros of It Clearly outline the pros of your strategy. These could include: Consistency: Does your strategy yield reliable results over time? Risk Management: Does it have built-in mechanisms to minimize losses? Simplicity: Is it straightforward to execute without complex calculations? Adaptability: Can it be applied across different market conditions? 5. Write the Cons of It - Are You Maybe Wrong? Be honest about the cons of your strategy. Acknowledge potential weaknesses: Overfitting: Does your strategy rely too heavily on historical data, potentially failing in real-time? Complexity: Is it too complicated to execute consistently? Market Conditions: Does it only work in specific market environments? Emotional Bias: Are there elements that could lead to biased decision-making? 6. Write the Limitations of It - Where It Works, and Why? Define the limitations of your strategy. Clearly state where and why it works, and under what conditions it might fail: Timeframes: Does it perform best on certain timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly)? Market Phases: Is it more effective during trending or ranging markets? Instrument Specificity: Does it work better with certain asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities)? Understanding these limitations helps you apply your strategy more effectively and avoid unnecessary risks. 7. Connect with Different Ideas - Do They Make Sense? Finally, cross-reference your strategy with other ideas and strategies. This process involves: Finding synergies: Does your strategy complement other existing strategies? Seeking validation: Are there external sources or research that support your logic? Peer Review: Discuss your strategy with fellow traders to gain different perspectives.
NASDAQ:COINEducation
by ZoharCho
1
Commitment of Traders Modelled as Stratified Poissant Processes Hey! This video theorizes about the relevance of the poissant process in predicting areas of support and resistance in a way that accounts for temporal and probabilistic grounding. Essentially, the commitment of traders is modelled as a poissant process. Lambda is remeasured at each time step and the stratas' opacity reflects the strength of the probability, modelling trader capitulation as a time decay function. The recency and recurrence of information is intuitive and visible at a glance. Enjoy!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by garysebastianbrowniii
3
Behind the Curtain: Top Economic Influencers on ZN Futures1. Introduction The 10-Year Treasury Note Futures (ZN), traded on the CME, are a cornerstone of the fixed-income market. As a vital benchmark for interest rate trends and macroeconomic sentiment, ZN Futures attract institutional and retail traders alike. Their liquidity, versatility, and sensitivity to economic shifts make them a go-to instrument for both speculation and hedging. In this article, we delve into the economic forces shaping ZN Futures’ performance across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes. By leveraging machine learning, specifically a Random Forest Regressor, we identify the most impactful indicators influencing Treasury futures returns. These insights can help traders fine-tune their strategies and navigate the complexities of this market. 2. Product Specifications Contract Size: The standard ZN Futures contract represents $100,000 face value of 10-Year Treasury Notes. Tick Size: Each tick corresponds to 1/64 of 1% of par value. This equals $15.625 per tick, ensuring precise pricing and manageable risk for traders. Margins: Approximately $2,000 per contract (changes through time). Micro Contract Availability: While the standard contract suits institutional traders, the micro-sized Yield Futures provide a smaller-scale option for retail participants. These contracts offer reduced tick values and margin requirements, enabling broader market participation. 3. Daily Economic Drivers Machine learning models reveal that daily fluctuations in ZN Futures are significantly influenced by the following indicators: Building Permits: A leading indicator of housing market activity, an increase in permits signals economic confidence and growth. This optimism often puts upward pressure on yields, while a decline may reflect economic caution, boosting demand for Treasuries. U.S. Trade Balance: This metric measures the difference between exports and imports. A narrowing trade deficit typically signals improved economic health, leading to higher yields. Conversely, a widening deficit can weaken economic sentiment, increasing Treasury demand as a safe-haven asset. China GDP Growth Rate: As a global economic powerhouse, China’s GDP growth influences global trade and financial flows. Strong growth suggests robust international demand, pressuring Treasury prices downward as yields rise. Slower growth has the opposite effect, enhancing Treasury appeal. 4. Weekly Economic Drivers When analyzing weekly timeframes, the following indicators emerge as significant drivers of ZN Futures: Velocity of Money (M2): This indicator reflects the speed at which money circulates in the economy. High velocity signals robust economic activity, often putting upward pressure on yields. Slowing velocity, on the other hand, may indicate stagnation, increasing demand for Treasury securities. Consumer Sentiment Index: This metric gauges the confidence level of consumers regarding the economy. Rising sentiment suggests stronger consumer spending and economic growth, often pressuring bond prices downward as yields rise. Conversely, a decline signals economic caution, favoring safe-haven assets like ZN Futures. Nonfarm Productivity: This measures output per hour worked in the nonfarm sector and serves as an indicator of economic efficiency. Rising productivity typically reflects economic strength and may lead to higher yields, while stagnation or declines can shift sentiment toward Treasuries. 5. Monthly Economic Drivers On a broader monthly scale, the following indicators play a pivotal role in shaping ZN Futures: Net Exports: This metric captures the difference between a country’s exports and imports. A surplus indicates strong global demand for domestic goods, signaling economic strength and driving yields higher. Persistent deficits, however, may weaken economic sentiment and increase demand for Treasuries as a safe haven. 10-Year Treasury Yield: As a benchmark for longer-term borrowing costs, movements in the 10-Year Treasury Yield reflect investor expectations for economic growth and inflation. Rising yields suggest optimism about future economic conditions, potentially reducing demand for Treasury futures. Declining yields indicate caution, bolstering Treasury appeal. Durable Goods Orders: This indicator measures new orders placed with manufacturers for goods expected to last three years or more. Rising orders signal business confidence and economic growth, often leading to higher yields. Conversely, a decline in durable goods orders can indicate slowing economic momentum, increasing Treasury demand. 6. Applications for Different Trading Styles Economic indicators provide distinct insights depending on the trading style and timeframe: Day Traders: Focusing on daily indicators like Building Permits, U.S. Trade Balance, and China GDP Growth Rate to anticipate short-term market movements. For example, an improvement in China’s GDP Growth Rate may signal stronger global economic conditions, potentially driving yields higher and pressuring ZN Futures lower. Swing Traders: Weekly indicators such as Velocity of Money (M2), Consumer Sentiment Index, and Nonfarm Productivity could help identify intermediate trends. For instance, rising consumer sentiment can reflect increased spending expectations, potentially prompting bearish positions in ZN Futures. Position Traders: Monthly metrics like Net Exports, 10-Year Treasury Yield, and Durable Goods Orders may offer a macro perspective for long-term strategies. A sustained increase in durable goods orders, for instance, may indicate economic expansion, influencing traders to potentially adopt bearish sentiment on ZN Futures. 7. Conclusion The analysis highlights how daily, weekly, and monthly economic indicators collectively influence ZN Futures. From more immediate fluctuations driven by Building Permits and China GDP Growth Rate, to longer-term trends shaped by Durable Goods Orders and the 10-Year Treasury Yield, each timeframe provides actionable insights for traders. By understanding these indicators and incorporating machine learning models to uncover patterns, traders can refine strategies tailored to specific time horizons. Whether intraday, swing, or long-term, leveraging these insights empowers traders to navigate ZN Futures with greater precision. Stay tuned for the next installment in the "Behind the Curtain" series, where we examine economic drivers behind another key futures market. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZN1!Education
by traddictiv
8
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use. Since it is my method, it may be different from your method. - Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool. The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range. Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points. The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on. Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles. If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points. The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this. Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added. I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet. However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time. The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to. In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point. One question may arise here. Why is it the position of the 1st finger? The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave. Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave. In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance. This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis. However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated. - If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave. Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points. That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles. The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart? - The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected. The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected. When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous. Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger. It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not. The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes. Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible. The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts. In other words, it is not drawn for trading. In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by readCrypto
10
Decoding Market Maker Tactics: An Educational BreakdownDecoding Market Maker Tactics: An Educational Guide for Trading Gold If you’re trading Gold (XAU/USD), understanding market-maker tactics is essential. This guide will teach you how to decode liquidity traps, fake breakouts, and stop-loss sweeps using the 8H XAU/USD chart as a real-world example. With recent economic events like U.S. Retail Sales, CPI inflation data, and central bank comments, Gold’s price movement was a textbook case of market-maker manipulation. By studying this chart, you’ll learn how to recognize their tactics and position yourself to trade smarter. Let’s break it down step-by-step, with direct cues from the chart. 1. Key Levels and Zones: The Battleground Referencing the 8H XAU/USD Chart, we observe key levels that highlight market maker strategies: Resistance Zones: Retail Traps $2,724 – Major Psychological Resistance 🔴 Chart Cue: A highlighted resistance area where sellers aggressively defend. Market makers engineered a fake breakout to trap buyers, as seen with the liquidity sweep warning on the chart. Lesson: Always be cautious of breakouts at such heavily defended psychological levels unless backed by strong volume. $2,710 – $2,706 (Point of Control - POC) 🟠 Chart Cue: This area represents the highest volume traded, marked as a pivot zone. Notice how price consolidates here, creating doji candles and indecision before sharp movements. Support Zones: Stop-Loss Hunting Grounds $2,689 – Strong Support 🟢 Chart Cue: Buyers defended this level repeatedly (visible with long lower wicks), but market makers pushed below to trigger stop-losses before reversing upward. Key Insight: This manipulation was a classic liquidity grab. $2,682 – Secondary Support (Liquidity Grab Zone) 🔴 Chart Cue: The chart identifies this as a prime stop-loss hunting zone, where price dipped sharply before rebounding. The liquidity grab here highlights market maker positioning before a reversal. 2. How Economic News Fueled Manipulation Recent news amplified volatility and provided market makers with opportunities to manipulate price. Tuesday: U.S. Retail Sales Data Impact: Strong retail sales drove the USD higher, pushing Gold below $2,689. Retail traders went short, expecting further declines. Chart Evidence: The volume imbalance below $2,689 highlights the liquidity grab before the sharp reversal. Thursday: CPI Inflation Report Impact: Slightly lower-than-expected CPI figures spiked Gold prices to $2,724, enticing breakout buyers. Chart Evidence: The liquidity sweep warning at $2,724 confirms a false breakout, where market makers absorbed buy orders before reversing. Friday: Central Bank Comments Impact: Dovish remarks boosted Gold momentarily, but price consolidated around $2,710 (POC). Chart Evidence: Candles near the POC indicate indecision before another stop-loss sweep below $2,689, followed by a recovery. 3. Candlestick and Price Action Patterns The chart reveals essential price action signals that help anticipate market-maker moves: Inside Bar Formation: Multiple candles near $2,724 signal price compression. These patterns often precede false breakouts, as seen after CPI news. Wick Rejections: At $2,724: Long upper wicks confirm selling pressure. At $2,689: Long lower wicks indicate stop-loss hunting. Candles at POC ($2,706): Reflect market indecision, hinting at a pending sharp move. 4. Volume and Liquidity Analysis Volume dynamics reveal critical insights into market manipulation: Shrinking Volume at Resistance ($2,724): Weak buying pressure at resistance confirms exhaustion, setting up a fake breakout trap (marked on the chart). Volume Void Below $2,689: The chart’s volume analysis indicates a high-probability liquidity grab zone, where market makers fill positions before reversing. 5. Trend and Wave Analysis Using wave theory and higher-timeframe trends: Corrective Wave (Wave 4): The current corrective wave shows typical liquidity grabs and false moves, aligning with the chart’s liquidity sweep zones. Broader Trend: Despite the manipulation, Gold remains in a long-term uptrend. The current correction will likely give way to a bullish Wave 5. 6. Market Correlations The chart’s spillover impact indicators reveal Gold’s self-driven movement last week: DXY (0.12): Weak positive correlation. S&P 500 (-0.04): Minimal inverse correlation, as expected for a safe-haven asset. Key Takeaway: Liquidity dynamics remain the primary driver for Gold, not external markets. 7. Hypothetical Trade Setups Educational trade setups inspired by the chart: Trade Setup 1: Buy After Liquidity Grab Order Type: Buy Limit Entry: $2,682 Take Profit: $2,724 Stop Loss: $2,675 Chart Cue: Liquidity grab zone identified at $2,682, aligning with harmonic reversal. Trade Setup 2: Sell the Fake Breakout Order Type: Sell Limit Entry: $2,724 Take Profit: $2,689 Stop Loss: $2,730 Chart Cue: Liquidity sweep warning at $2,724 indicates a probable fake breakout. 8. Why Use the 8H Chart for Gold? The uploaded 8H XAU/USD chart offers the perfect balance: Clarity: It reduces noise from smaller timeframes while revealing mid-term liquidity zones. Precision: Patterns like wick rejections, volume voids, and fake breakouts are clearly visible. 9. Conclusion: Outsmart the Manipulators This 8H XAU/USD chart showcases a masterclass in market-maker tactics: Traps Set: A fake breakout above $2,724 caught breakout buyers. Stop-Loss Sweep: A liquidity grab below $2,682 punished unprepared buyers. Final Tip: Trade smart. Focus on liquidity zones and price action setups to position yourself like a professional, avoiding retail traps.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Finding Balance: Managing GREED in TradingIs greed helping or hurting your trading? While closing trades too quickly for small profits isn't ideal, neither is holding positions too long hoping for bigger gains. Let's explore how to find the right balance between healthy ambition and destructive greed. 📍 Understanding Healthy vs. Unhealthy Greed Some greed can be good - it drives us to achieve goals and maintain optimism. But when it becomes an obsession, problems start. Professional traders manage their emotions well, while beginners often struggle as early successes fuel excitement and a dangerous focus on profits at any cost. 📍 Warning Signs of Unhealthy Trading Behavior When trading turns unhealthy, you might notice these patterns: 🔹 Ignoring proven rules because you trust your "gut feelings" more than sound strategy. Your confidence leads you to dismiss common sense in pursuit of profits. 🔹 Expecting every trade to be profitable . While optimism helps, believing you'll win just because you want money is dangerous thinking. 🔹 Living with constant stress. You can't step away from price charts, scrutinizing every move and experiencing emotional highs and lows with each trade. 🔹 Chasing profits while skipping analysis. You focus only on results without learning from each trade, leading to more frequent losses over time. 📍 Dangerous Trading Habits to Avoid ⚫️ Using maximum leverage, thinking bigger trades mean bigger profits. This often leads to heavy losses when markets move sharply against you. ⚫️ Moving stop-losses and take-profit levels mid-trade. Whether hoping to avoid losses or catch more gains, this usually results in worse outcomes and added stress. ⚫️ Following the Martingale strategy - doubling position sizes after losses or wins. This approach typically leads to losing your account quickly. 📍 Practical Steps to Control Greed 1. Start with real money, but small amounts. Demo accounts can create false confidence since there's no real risk. 2. Set clear, achievable goals. For day trading (H1-H4 timeframes), aim for about 20 pips per trade. Scalpers should be satisfied with just a few pips. 3. Create and follow a detailed trading plan. Example: Take half profits at your target, use trailing stops to protect remaining gains. 4. Practice smart risk management. Decide your maximum risk per trade and stick to it - don't adjust stops once set. 5. Keep learning and practicing. With better market understanding, you'll make fewer emotional decisions. A realistic monthly return might be 2% - treat anything above as a bonus. 6. Connect with other traders. Share experiences to manage stress and gain perspective on what's normal in professional trading. 7. Stay skeptical and analytical. When excitement runs high, slow down. Check multiple information sources and grow your trading size gradually while continuing to develop your skills. 📍 Conclusion Successful trading is about steady progress, not quick riches. Growth should happen naturally alongside your developing trading skills, without sacrificing other aspects of your life. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
2
FOMO and Hope for a Price Reversal: Two Psychological Traps❓ Have you ever entered a trade out of fear of missing out (FOMO) or held on to a losing position, hoping the market would turn in your favor? Psychological mistakes are a huge factor in whether a trader succeeds or fails. One of the most common and damaging mistakes is FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), followed by holding onto trades because of an unrealistic hope that the market will reverse despite all evidence pointing to the opposite. These behaviors are far too common, even among experienced traders. Understanding and avoiding them is essential to improve your trading results. 🧵 💡In this article, we’ll break down the psychological mistakes every trader faces, how to identify them, and practical strategies to prevent them from affecting your trades. The Psychological Side of Trading 🧠 In trading, emotions can be our worst enemy. Here are two common psychological traps that many traders fall into: 🔮 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): What It Is: FOMO is when you enter a trade impulsively, simply because you see others making profits or you fear missing the "big move." Why It Happens: The market seems to be moving in one direction, and you don't want to miss out on potential profits. This often happens when you're watching others on social media or in trading groups. Impact: This leads to impulsive decisions, often entering trades late in the trend or at inappropriate levels. Tip: To combat FOMO, stick to your pre-defined trading plan and only take trades based on your specific criteria. Remember, there will always be new opportunities. 🔎 Unrealistic Hope in Price Reversals: What It Is: This is when you hold onto a losing position, hoping that the market will reverse in your favor, despite clear signs to the contrary. Why It Happens: It’s often rooted in the belief that “the market can’t keep going against me,” or the hope that the trend will change. Impact: This often results in larger losses because the trader doesn't cut their losses early and ends up holding onto a position until it’s too late. Tip: When you see signs that the market is continuing against you, cut your losses quickly. Trading is about being patient and disciplined, not about hoping for a reversal. 🛠 Strategies and Tools for Managing Emotions 📈 Trading is all about control—control over risk, strategy, and most importantly, over your emotions. Here are some tools and strategies to keep your psychology in check: 1. Position Sizing & Risk Management Position Sizing: One of the most effective ways to reduce emotional stress and maintain control over your trades is by managing your position size. A general rule of thumb is to risk 1-2% of your total account balance on each trade. However, this percentage can vary based on your risk tolerance, experience, and self-awareness. As you gain more experience and better understand your risk profile, you may adjust this amount accordingly, but always ensure you're comfortable with the risk you're taking. 2. Stick to Your Strategy Trading Plan: Make sure you have a solid trading plan and stick to it. Your plan should include: Entry signals Exit signals Risk management rules (e.g., stop-loss, take-profit levels) Don't Chase the Market: If you missed the breakout, don’t chase it. There will always be new opportunities, and chasing the market often leads to poor entry points and higher risks. 3. Psychological Self-Awareness Track Your Emotions: Keep a trading journal to track not only your trades but also your emotional state. Understanding your psychological triggers (e.g., fear, greed) can help you avoid emotional mistakes. Set Realistic Expectations: Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Accept that you will have losses, and focus on your long-term profitability rather than on every single trade. Successfully navigating trading isn’t just about technical indicators or chart patterns—it’s also about controlling your emotions. FOMO and holding on to unrealistic hopes can seriously damage your trading performance. The key is to develop a strong psychological mindset: stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and always make decisions based on data, not emotions. 💌Now, it’s your turn! Which psychological mistakes have you encountered in your trading journey? Share your experiences in the comments below and let’s learn from each other! I’m Skeptic , here to simplify trading and help you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
Education
by SkepticWise
2
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price. But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us. On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President. I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas! The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year. There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now. Bitcoin On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support. But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always) Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks. As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period. The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high. On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon. But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out. If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week. But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Send us an email or message us on social media. cheers! Jasper
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by jasperlawler
11
Trump’s Inauguration Day and the Crypto BoostGood morning readers, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk about a historic event that is shaking not only U.S. politics but also financial markets and the world of cryptocurrencies: Donald Trump's Inauguration Day as the 47th President of the United States and the launch of the new memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA. Today, January 20, 2025, marks the beginning of a new chapter for the United States and global markets. Donald Trump, after a period of political and financial stagnation, is ready to take command again with a presidency that, like his previous ones, promises to shake the economic foundations of the country and the world. As investors and analysts prepare to face the first day of his presidency, many questions arise regarding the immediate and long-term impacts this event will have on the stock market and the global economy. But it’s not just politics that is drawing attention today: a new chapter in the world of cryptocurrencies is about to unfold, with the launch of the memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA, which serve as an interesting indicator of how politics and new technologies are influencing the modern economy. Trump’s First Day at the White House: Expectations and Market Impacts As we all know, Donald Trump is a figure capable of provoking polarized reactions. His return to the White House, after winning his second term, will not only be a historic moment politically but also a critical moment for global financial markets. What can we expect on the first day of his presidency? His unique style and unpredictable attitude could bring a new phase of volatility to the stock market, with effects on everything from fiscal policies to the regulation of financial sectors. In the first place, a strong reaction in international stock markets is expected, with investors ready to bet on Trump’s return, especially in the large tech and media companies, sectors that experienced notable growth during his first term. His deregulatory policies and business-friendly approach could stimulate growth in more volatile sectors such as energy and raw materials. However, risks will also arise: his aggressive rhetoric, particularly regarding China, global trade, and cryptocurrency regulation, could trigger periods of instability, impacting the foreign exchange market as well. Analysts suggest that tech stocks, particularly those related to the Internet and artificial intelligence, may react positively to the new presidency, thanks to the promise of lower taxes and incentives for startups and innovative companies. Additionally, stocks linked to the military and defense sectors, which had already gained during his first term, could further strengthen. The Economic Consequences of a Trump Presidency: What’s Ahead Once the oath is taken, it’s likely there will be an acceleration of fiscal policies and the strengthening of protectionist measures. Trump has already announced plans to implement further corporate tax cuts, encouraging national business growth and promoting internal innovation. However, this could also raise concerns about public debt, creating a tension between economic growth and the risk of over-indebtedness. In the short term, expectations are for an acceleration in the growth of infrastructure-related sectors, such as construction and real estate. His political agenda, already focused on economic stimuli and tax cuts, will likely have a positive impact on these areas. Experts expect a rise in benchmark indices such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500, especially in the tech sector, but uncertainty regarding his foreign policy actions, particularly towards China, could cause fluctuations and increase risk. The market could be characterized by greater volatility, with peaks of optimism and moments of retracement. Another key factor will be the market’s reaction to Trump’s first moves regarding cryptocurrency and blockchain regulation, a topic that has been frequently discussed during his campaign. $TRUMP and $MELANIA: Integrating Politics with the World of Cryptocurrencies Beyond the political dimension, one truly fascinating aspect of Trump’s first day is the introduction of the memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA. These cryptocurrencies are not just a novelty in the crypto world but a full-fledged phenomenon that blends politics with financial speculation. In a market traditionally seen as highly volatile and speculative, memecoins are already an institution, but Trump’s move could take these coins to a whole new level. $TRUMP and $MELANIA are coins linked to the image and persona of two of America’s most influential figures. But what does this mean for the cryptocurrency market and the global economy? Memecoins, in general, are digital assets whose growth is primarily fueled by social media fervor and speculation from younger investors who are passionate about pop culture. However, with Trump’s brand behind these cryptocurrencies, we can expect a much larger impact. The same polarization that has characterized his political career could translate into strong speculative demand for $TRUMP, driving its volatility up. Implications for the Stock Market: The Influence of Cryptocurrencies While Trump’s policies may stimulate growth in various sectors, the introduction of $TRUMP and $MELANIA as speculative assets could push financial markets in new directions. It is possible that the stock market, while continuing to follow the real economy, will be influenced by the growing interest in cryptocurrencies. Memecoins could also drive niche investors to refocus their resources toward these coins, further increasing liquidity in the cryptocurrency sector and diverting capital away from more traditional stock assets. The introduction of memecoins could also lead governments to reconsider their crypto regulations, creating a new phase of regulatory uncertainty that could have direct impacts on traditional financial markets. Conclusions: A New Era of Volatility and Opportunity Trump’s return to the White House and the launch of his memecoins represent two crucial factors that could lead to a new era of volatility in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. While economic and political uncertainty could fuel short-term fluctuations, the adoption of memecoins could open up new speculative growth scenarios for those willing to seize the opportunity. For investors, the key will be to maintain an informed and vigilant perspective, navigating the opportunities offered by the crypto sector alongside the instability of global financial markets. Trump’s presidency is set to deeply influence economic dynamics, but it will be interesting to observe how these influences reflect in the world of cryptocurrencies and, ultimately, the stock market.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINEducation
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
I need objective information to help me interpret the chart Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- With this decline, the BW(100) indicator was created at 104556.23. Accordingly, the high boundary section is the 101947.24-104556.23 section. Unfortunately, since it fell below 101947.24, the key is whether it can receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, i.e., around 98892.0, and rise. If it falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and shows resistance, it is highly likely to turn into a short-term downtrend. - The settings for the StochRSI indicator I use are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D). The source value is ohlc4. If you set it as above, it will show a movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart. When the StochRSI indicator - falls in the overbought zone, - is located near the 50 point, - rises in the oversold zone, volatility is likely to occur. However, you should check whether there is support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and think of a corresponding response plan. Therefore, by checking the relationship between the movement of the StochRSI indicator and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can choose the point where you can make a trade. If you can calculate these selection points, I think it is highly likely that you will be able to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style. It is good to predict future movements with trends or waves, but if you can calculate the point where you can actually make a trade, I think you can create a better trading strategy. - I wrote a long article, but 1. Will the StochRSI indicator fall in the overbought zone? 2. Will it receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator? 3. Will it rise to the high boundary section? You should focus on the three things above. --------------------------------- The method of drawing support and resistance points is drawn according to the arrangement of candles. This method can actually include subjective thoughts, so it requires skill. Therefore, if possible, I recommend that you sign up as a paid member of TradingView and share my charts with me, and use the HA-High, HA-Low, BW(100), BW(0), OBV, +100, -100 indicators that appear on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts by the HA-MS_BW+v2 indicator as horizontal lines and use them as support and resistance points. Then, even if others look at the charts, they will be easier to understand, and it will be easier to share opinions on trading strategies according to each other's investment styles. By utilizing indicators that anyone can use in this way, you will be able to view the charts objectively. If you trade based on what others tell you, you will likely not be able to respond quickly when sudden volatility occurs. Therefore, when creating a trading strategy, you should roughly think about how to respond to all cases, both when it goes up and when it goes down. That's why it's best to draw support and resistance points or other reference materials on your chart if possible and prepare countermeasures accordingly. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
LEGEND SPEAKS #2 (Paul Tudor Jones)Paul Tudor Jones is a legendary hedge fund manager known for his ability to predict market movements and his disciplined, strategic approach to trading. His success in both traditional markets and commodities, combined with his risk management techniques, has made him one of the most respected names in the world of finance. His insights and trading philosophy offer invaluable lessons for anyone looking to improve their trading strategies. Here are some key lessons that traders and investors can learn from Paul Tudor Jones’ remarkable career. 1. The Importance of Risk Management One of the core principles that Paul Tudor Jones emphasizes is risk management. He is famous for saying, "The most important thing is to play defense, not offense." Rather than focusing on maximizing gains, Jones prioritizes minimizing losses. His approach involves cutting losses quickly and letting profits run, which is critical for long-term success in trading. Key Takeaway: Cut losses quickly and allow profitable trades to run their course. Effective risk management is essential for preserving capital and staying in the game. 2. Focus on the Big Picture and Macro Trends Paul Tudor Jones is known for his macroeconomic perspective. He focuses on big-picture trends, such as interest rates, inflation, and global economic shifts, to guide his trading decisions. Jones is particularly famous for predicting the 1987 stock market crash, where he profited by betting against the market based on his macroeconomic analysis. Key Takeaway: Understand macroeconomic trends and how they influence the markets. A deep understanding of the broader economic landscape can help inform your trading decisions and give you a competitive edge. 3. Adaptability and Flexibility One of the defining features of Paul Tudor Jones' career is his ability to adapt to changing market conditions. While many traders stick to rigid strategies, Jones remains flexible and willing to adjust his approach based on new data or changing trends. This adaptability is key to navigating volatile and unpredictable markets. Key Takeaway: Be flexible in your approach. Stay open to new information and be willing to change your strategy if the market conditions shift. 4. Trust Your Instincts, but Rely on Data Jones believes in the power of intuition, but he stresses the importance of using data to back up your instincts. While his ability to predict market movements may seem like intuition, it’s actually a combination of deep market knowledge, research, and pattern recognition. Jones once said, "The secret to successful trading is to know yourself." His success stems from his ability to merge data analysis with his own experience and gut feeling. Key Takeaway: Combine data analysis with intuition. Trust your instincts, but ensure they’re grounded in sound research and market data. 5. Cutting Losses is Key to Long-Term Success Jones' philosophy on cutting losses is one of the cornerstones of his trading strategy. He advocates that losing a small amount of money is far better than holding onto a losing position in hopes of a rebound. He uses strict stop-loss rules to ensure he doesn’t let any position turn into a large loss. Key Takeaway: Implement strict stop-loss rules. Don’t allow losses to compound. By cutting losses early, you ensure that they don’t derail your overall strategy. 6. Be Patient and Wait for Opportunities Paul Tudor Jones emphasizes patience in trading. He is known for waiting until the right opportunity presents itself rather than rushing into trades. He waits for high-probability setups and takes positions when the risk-to-reward ratio is in his favor. Key Takeaway: Be patient and wait for high-probability setups. Don’t rush into trades; wait for favorable conditions and a solid risk-to-reward ratio. 7. Use Leverage Wisely Paul Tudor Jones has been known to use leverage in his trading, but he does so cautiously. He understands the power of leverage to amplify gains but also the danger of excessive leverage leading to significant losses. His careful use of leverage allows him to take advantage of market opportunities without overexposing his portfolio. Key Takeaway: Use leverage cautiously. Leverage can amplify returns but also magnify losses. Always assess the risks before using leverage in your trades. 8. The Role of Psychological Resilience in Trading Psychological resilience is a key element of Paul Tudor Jones' trading philosophy. He understands that trading can be emotionally taxing, especially during periods of loss or volatility. To succeed, traders must remain calm, avoid emotional decision-making, and be able to bounce back from setbacks. Key Takeaway: Maintain psychological resilience. Stay calm, avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions, and learn from your mistakes rather than letting them define you. 9. Always Have a Plan, and Stick to It Paul Tudor Jones is a firm believer in having a plan and sticking to it. Before entering any trade, he makes sure he has a well-thought-out strategy in place, including entry and exit points, risk management rules, and an understanding of the overall market environment. He emphasizes that trading without a plan is a recipe for failure. Key Takeaway: Develop a trading plan and stick to it. Having a structured approach to each trade, including risk management and clear objectives, is essential for long-term success. 10. Success is a Long-Term Game Paul Tudor Jones emphasizes that trading and investing are not about making quick profits but about building wealth over the long term. His strategy is based on understanding the markets deeply, being patient, and focusing on consistent performance rather than short-term gains. Key Takeaway: Focus on long-term success. Avoid chasing short-term profits and concentrate on building sustainable wealth over time. Conclusion: Applying Paul Tudor Jones’ Lessons to Your Trading Strategy Paul Tudor Jones' success as a trader and investor stems from his commitment to disciplined risk management, macroeconomic analysis, adaptability, and emotional resilience. By focusing on big-picture trends, using data and intuition, cutting losses quickly, and patiently waiting for opportunities, traders can improve their decision-making processes and achieve long-term success. Moreover, applying Jones' principles of psychological resilience, having a clear trading plan, and using leverage wisely can help traders build a stable foundation for consistent growth. By adopting these insights, traders can navigate volatile markets with greater confidence and build a solid, long-term trading strategy.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
Should You Follow Michael Saylor’s BTC Moves? Let’s Think TwiceIn the crypto world, Michael Saylor is a household name. The co-founder of MicroStrategy has become one of Bitcoin’s most vocal advocates, with his company accumulating a massive Bitcoin treasury. Many view his purchases as a signal of confidence, believing that if someone with his track record is buying, it must be the right move. But is it wise to follow his lead without question? Let’s take a closer look at the full story and consider why doing your homework is essential before jumping in headfirst. The Rise of Michael Saylor: Bitcoin’s Biggest Cheerleader Saylor didn’t become a prominent figure in the crypto space until 2020, when MicroStrategy announced its first Bitcoin purchase. Since then, he has positioned himself as a thought leader in the industry, frequently championing Bitcoin as the ultimate store of value. However, Saylor’s newfound reputation as a financial visionary often overshadows his earlier history—a history that’s worth examining. A Look Back: The Dot-Com Bubble and MicroStrategy’s Decline In the late 1990s, MicroStrategy rode the wave of the dot-com boom, with its stock soaring to impressive heights. But like many other tech companies of the era, it faced a harsh reality check when the bubble burst. MicroStrategy’s stock plummeted, and for the better part of two decades, it languished near its lows. During this period, Michael Saylor’s reputation as a business genius took a backseat. It wasn’t until Bitcoin’s meteoric rise—and MicroStrategy’s pivot to buying and holding Bitcoin—that Saylor regained the spotlight. Is It Genius or Just Timing? Here’s the question we need to ask: Is Michael Saylor’s success in Bitcoin a result of brilliant foresight, or was he simply in the right place at the right time? Bitcoin’s Performance: The timing of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin purchases coincided with a strong bull run in the market. This rise in Bitcoin’s value undoubtedly contributed to Saylor’s renewed status as a financial savant. Reputation Rebound: It’s easy to appear “smart” when your investments are soaring. But how much of that success is due to skill, and how much is due to external factors like market trends? The Danger of Blindly Following Big Names While it’s tempting to follow someone like Michael Saylor, assuming he has insider knowledge or an unbeatable strategy, history teaches us a valuable lesson: Even Experts Can Be Wrong: Many celebrated investors have made costly mistakes, especially when riding trends. The dot-com bubble is a prime example of how quickly fortunes can change. Market Conditions Are Key: What worked for Saylor may not work for everyone, especially as market conditions evolve. Bitcoin’s past performance is no guarantee of future results. The Importance of Doing Your Own Homework Instead of blindly following big names, take the time to develop your own understanding of the market. Consider: Risk Tolerance: Are you prepared for the volatility that comes with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies? Market Fundamentals: Do you understand the underlying factors driving the asset’s value? Your Strategy: Does buying Bitcoin (or any other asset) align with your financial goals and investment timeline? Final Thoughts Michael Saylor’s success with Bitcoin is undeniably impressive, but it’s essential to view his story in context. His rise to prominence as a Bitcoin advocate came after years of MicroStrategy’s struggles, and much of his newfound fame coincided with Bitcoin’s broader bull market. Rather than simply mimicking his moves, take a step back and assess your own strategy. Remember, the smartest investors aren’t those who blindly follow the crowd—they’re the ones who do their research, weigh the risks, and make informed decisions. In trading and investing, doing your homework is the real key to success. Don’t let someone else’s narrative cloud your judgment.
NASDAQ:MSTREducation
by Mihai_Iacob
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