Special words for gold trading
We often see these words when trading. If you understand them, trading will be easier.
Including "deposit, withdrawal, position, closing, take profit, stop loss", etc.; they mean:
Deposit: remit personal funds to the trading account for trading;
Withdrawal: transfer part or all of the balance in the trading account to a personal bank account;
Position: the name of the trader buying and selling contracts in the market; establishing a trading order is called "establishing a position", a buy order is called a "long position", and a short-selling order is called a "short position"
Closing: ending a held buy order or sell order;
Take profit: the trading order finally achieves the profit target and leaves the market with a profit;
Stop Loss: When the order loss reaches the maximum tolerable amount, admit the loss and leave the market;
In addition to the commonly used terms, there are also some special terms involved in the trading market;
For example: heavy position, light position, carry order, lock position, liquidation
Heavy position: Most of the funds in the trader's account are involved in order transactions
Light position: The trader only uses a small part of the funds in the account to participate in the order;
In trading, there is a most basic principle that "don't put all your eggs in one basket"
There are always risks in the financial market, and traders should remember one sentence:
Avoid risks, trade with light positions, and never hold heavy positions.
Light position standards:
Total loss of holding positions ≤ one-tenth of the account amount
The number of lots for a single transaction of 10,000 US dollars is not more than 0.5-1 lot
Carry order:
When traders encounter losses, they have no stop-loss strategy, do not know how to stop losses and choose opportunities to start over, but always hold losing orders and bet everything on the rise and fall of the market. This is a behavior that should be avoided in trading.
Locking:
Similar to "carrying orders", when traders encounter losses, they do not implement stop-loss strategies, but establish reverse orders while holding loss orders. Locking can only allow traders to temporarily stop further losses, but cannot get rid of losses. If the net value is not enough, a "black swan event" will occur, and the short-order spread will increase instantly, which will also lead to a margin call.
Margin call:
When the funds in the trader's trading account are not enough to trade, it is a margin call; margin call means the loss of all principal.
If you are a novice, these must be helpful to you! I will share trading knowledge from time to time, and you can follow me if you need it.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Options Blueprint Series: Secure Interest Rates with Box SpreadsIntroduction
The E-mini S&P 500 Futures is a popular and widely traded derivative product. These futures are used by traders and investors to hedge their portfolios, gain market exposure, and manage risk.
The Options Box Strategy is an advanced options trading technique that involves creating a synthetic long position and a synthetic short position simultaneously. This strategy is designed to lock in interest rates and profit from price discrepancies, essentially securing a risk-free return through arbitrage. By using Box Spreads, traders can secure interest rates and achieve a potential arbitrage opportunity in a controlled and predictable manner.
An interesting application of the Box Spread strategy is using unutilized capital in a trading account. Traders can earn a risk-free return on idle cash by deploying it in Box Spreads. This approach maximizes the utility of available capital, providing an additional revenue stream without increasing market risk exposure, thus enhancing overall portfolio performance.
E-mini S&P 500 Futures Contract Specifications:
Contract Size: $50 times the S&P 500 Index
Minimum Tick Size: 0.25 index points, equal to $12.50 per contract
Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week
Margin Requirement: $11,800 at the time of publishing this article
Micro E-minis: 10 times smaller than the E-minis
Understanding Box Spreads
A Box Spread is a sophisticated options strategy that involves simultaneously entering a long call and short put at one strike price and a long put and short call at another strike price.
Components of a Box Spread:
Long Call: Buying a call option at a specific strike price.
Short Put: Selling a put option at the same strike price as the long call.
Long Put: Buying a put option at a different strike price.
Short Call: Selling a call option at the same strike price as the long put.
How Box Spreads Secure Interest Rates: Box Spreads are designed to exploit mispricings between the synthetic long and short positions. By locking in these positions, traders can secure interest rates as the net result of the Box Spread should theoretically yield a risk-free return. This strategy is particularly useful in stable market conditions where interest rate fluctuations can impact the profitability of other trading strategies.
Advantages of Using Box Spreads:
Arbitrage Opportunities: Box Spreads allow traders to capitalize on discrepancies in the pricing of options, securing a risk-free profit.
Predictable Returns: The strategy locks in a fixed rate of return, providing certainty and stability.
Risk Management: By simultaneously holding synthetic long and short positions, the risk is minimized, making it an effective strategy for conservative traders.
Applying Box Spreads on E-mini S&P 500 Futures
To apply the Box Spread strategy on E-mini S&P 500 Futures, follow the following step-by-step approach.
Step-by-Step:
1. Identify Strike Prices:
Choose two strike prices for the options. For instance, select a lower strike price (LK) and a higher strike price (HK).
2. Enter Long Call and Short Put:
Buy a call option at the lower strike price (K1).
Sell a put option at the same lower strike price (K1).
3. Enter Long Put and Short Call:
Buy a put option at the higher strike price (K2).
Sell a call option at the same higher strike price (K2).
Potential Outcomes and Rate Security: The Box Spread locks in a risk-free return by exploiting price discrepancies. The profit is determined by the difference between the strike prices minus the net premium paid. In stable market conditions, this strategy provides a predictable and secure return, effectively locking in interest rates.
Advantages of Applying Box Spreads:
Risk-Free Arbitrage: The primary benefit is securing a risk-free profit through arbitrage.
Predictable Returns: Provides a fixed return, beneficial for conservative traders.
Minimal Risk: By holding both synthetic long and short positions, market risk is mitigated.
Considerations:
Ensure precise execution to avoid slippage and maximize the arbitrage opportunity.
Account for transaction costs, as they can impact the overall profitability.
Monitor market conditions to ensure the strategy remains effective.
Example Trade Setup:
Let's consider a practical example of setting up a Box Spread on the E-mini S&P 500 Futures while its current trading price is 5,531. We'll use the following strike prices:
Lower Strike Price (K1): 5450
Higher Strike Price (K2): 5650
Transactions:
Sell Call at 5650: Premium = 240.01
Buy Put at 5650: Premium = 352.85
Sell Put at 5450: Premium = 270.59
Buy Call at 5450: Premium = 347.39
Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts.
Net Premium Calculation:
Net premium paid = 347.39 - 240.01 + 352.85 - 270.59 = 189.64
Potential Profit Calculation:
Profit = (Higher Strike Price - Lower Strike Price) - Net Premium Paid
Profit = 5650 – 5450 – 189.64 = 10.36 points = $518 ($50 per point)
Rate Of Return (ROR) Calculation:
Margin Requirement = (Higher Strike Price - Lower Strike Price) × Contract Multiplier = 200 x 50 = $10,000
ROR = 518 / 10000 = 5.18%
Annualized ROR = 518 / 10000 x 365.25 / 383 = 4.94% (based on the screenshots, expiration will take place in 383.03 days while a year is made of 365.25 days)
Interesting Application: Utilizing Box Spreads with Unutilized Capital
An intriguing application of the Box Spread strategy is the use of unutilized capital in a trading account. Traders often have idle cash in their accounts that isn't actively engaged in trading. By deploying this capital in Box Spreads, traders can earn a risk-free return on otherwise dormant funds. This approach not only maximizes the utility of available capital but also provides an additional revenue stream without increasing market risk exposure. Utilizing Box Spreads in this manner can enhance overall portfolio performance, making efficient use of all available resources.
Importance of Risk Management
Risk management is a critical aspect of any trading strategy, including the implementation of Box Spreads on E-mini S&P 500 Futures. Effective risk management ensures that traders can mitigate potential losses and protect their capital, leading to more consistent and sustainable trading performance.
Conclusion
Implementing the Options Box Strategy on E-mini S&P 500 Futures may allow traders to secure interest rates and potentially achieve risk-free arbitrage opportunities. By understanding the mechanics of Box Spreads and applying them effectively, traders can capitalize on price discrepancies in the options market to lock in predictable returns.
Key points to remember include:
E-mini S&P 500 Futures offer accessible and efficient trading opportunities for both hedging and speculative purposes.
Box Spreads combine synthetic long and short positions, providing a powerful tool for securing interest rates through arbitrage.
By following the outlined steps and leveraging classical technical indicators, traders can enhance their ability to set up and analyze Box Spreads, making the most of this advanced options strategy.
Utilizing Box Spreads on E-mini S&P 500 Futures not only can secure interest rates but can also provide a structured and disciplined approach to trading, leading to more consistent and sustainable trading performance.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
About Ponzi and Cryptocurrency Pump and Dump as TRADING METHODS🌈 About Ponzi and Cryptocurrency Pump and Dump as ‘TRADING METHODS.’
✏️ By Farhad Moghadamsalimi
About “LOOTING” as an economical method of wealth production
📌 1. “Looting” has been used as an economical method of wealth production since the beginning of history.
📌 2. Looting is based on the simple assumption that some other ethnic groups or individuals do not deserve to have their own resources and wealth at their disposal for assorted reasons. These reasons primarily include physical, military, intellectual, technological, racial, and ethnic weaknesses. The ‘looter,’ who may be an individual or group of people, must capture that wealth and resources because he is ‘more worthy’ and ‘more eligible’ to own them.
📌 3. The theory and act of “looting” during the long years of the presence of Homo Sapiens (the current species of humans) on the planet happened in the form of coercive forces, and it has only been a few years since coercive methods gave way to softer modern types. The current looting practices are done without bloodshed and in complete peace. The modern looting methods involve economic practices rather than the military.
📌 4. One of the types of modern looting is called “Ponzi.”
Regarding Ponzi as a ‘collective’ and not individual looting
📌 5. It is a common mistake to consider “Ponzi” as a personal fraud, in which one person (a company or an entity) takes money from people by promising high profits in return and compensating the distributed yields from other people’s investments. Ponzi schemes end up in massive debt and fraud from many people.
📌 6. Understanding the Ponzi method shows us that Ponzi is not a personal swindle, contrary to widespread belief. Instead, it is a collective fraud and robbery in which the group that invested earlier benefits and the group that sponsored later suffers. Leaders win, and laggers lose. A group loots the other.
The increase in Ponzi looting as a natural result of the denationalization of money
📌 7. The privatization of money (Denationalization of Money), proposed by the distinguished economist F. A. Hayek technically had a problem that made its implementation impossible: the lack of a system to create ‘trust’ between two transaction counterparties without needing third parties.
📌 8. People had to use government-backed money because they could not trust each other. In a small society, it may be feasible for the members to trust each other in their everyday bargains. However, on a large scale, as a big community, a country, and globally, trust in the money-issuing authority is the first and most important basis for using and accepting money.
📌 9. The passage of time in most of the modern world showed that even the most democratic governments and the most independent central banks were unreliable authorities when coming to the money printing machine. Central Banks, even constrained by liberal institutions by taking over the money printing machine, are becoming merciless looters who create Ponzi schemes on a national and even global scale by pumping powerful money into society. We are seeing the manifestations of this Ponzi game in the high inflation rate of different communities and the international dimension. Inflation is the act of looting that governments do against their people: a legal Ponzi scheme.
📌 10. The most critical aspect of Satoshi Nakamoto’s invention in 2009 was creating the first trust system between two strangers without third-party arbitration. With the creation of Bitcoin, a financial system emerged for the first time in the world, where members of that system could trust each other and conduct financial transactions without knowing each other. This invention was a big blow to the state money because, before that, everyone had to rely on their country’s central bank — the only trusted authority — and use the money issued by it.
📌 11. Now the possibility of developing all kinds of cryptographic tokens, which in some ways can be called private money, has been provided for everyone. At present, everyone can have their own self-issued money. All individuals and entities can have a unique, ready-made currency, from small groceries to large international companies.
📌 12. Now, like governments, individuals can also have their own private money printing machine at home and start a new Ponzi scheme. The government monopoly is cracked. For this simple reason, it’s not hard to guess that the amount of Ponzi looting will skyrocket in the future.
About the emergence of a new profession called “BEING FROUD VICTIM”!
📌 13. Looting in its Ponzi style is a group robbery in which a series of participants (those who joined the Ponzi scheme earlier) benefit and a series of participants (those who joined the Ponzi scheme later) suffer. It is a mistake for the judiciaries and public conscience to find only one person guilty of a Ponzi scheme: A group of people is responsible for Ponzi, not just one person.
📌 14. Most of us presume that the Ponzi schemes are conducted just by one scammer, and all other participants in Ponzi schemes are ignorant and innocent people. Indeed, many participants in the Ponzi scheme are not just as naive and straightforward as we think. People who give their hard-earned money to strangers without guarantee have already gone extinct.
📌 15. Every day, increased warnings are published by various sources, especially on social networks, about the disastrous consequences of participating in Ponzi frauds. At the same time, more people join these projects every day. It is improbable if we think that the people who participate in this type of project are simple people who give their money without any guarantee and proof to someone they have not even met. No official authority has regulated these so-called high-yield projects, and most of these projects don’t have a confirmed address or contact number.
📌 16. So, what is the reason? Why do those who often call themselves “wolves of the Wallstreet” suddenly become plain and simple people when facing Ponzi looting projects and give their dearer-than-life money to fraudsters so graciously?
The answer is in the new art and profession created by Ponzi and manifested by the spread of private money: “The art of being a fraud victim!”
📌 17. The idea of a new profession called ‘being a fraud victim’ may seem more like a joke. Still, at least in projects like Ponzi and cryptocurrency pump and dump and other such mass looting strategies, it is considered a profitable job. Undoubtedly, one of the culprits in such projects is the one who invests his money in such projects as an investor, and in most cases, he is fully aware of the nature of such tasks.
📌 18. If the investment in this collective fraud project is successful, our Ponzi investor reaps a colossal profit and withdraws himself without any responsibility. After exiting successfully, he points the finger of accusation at the fraudster who started the Ponzi and tries to show himself as innocent and ignorant.
If the investment is unsuccessful and his money burns in Ponzi, our investor, as an active plaintiff, is present everywhere. He succeeds in reviving his money in many cases, especially if the government or a wealthy organization may be shown responsible.
Meanwhile, he will be looking for new looting projects simultaneously.
📌 19. Indeed, we should not consider those who take part in Ponzi schemes as losers and victims. Instead, we should accuse them of participation (or at least deputy) in the crime. Those who participate in Ponzi projects and cryptocurrency pump and dump know very well that in such mass looting if someone can enter the project in time and exit it in time, it is possible to make an excellent profit.
📌 20. Those who can enter the market earlier than others and leave the market earlier than others can earn astronomical profits. In this way, a minority can rob a majority. Being among the winning minority depends on the investor’s skill, time of entry and exit, and luck. Luck and chance are among the main factors in this looting. Even those who know the nature of this scam willingly participate because they are resiliently eager to try their luck.
📌 21. Regarding item 20, those who lose money in collective looting projects are mere ‘gamblers’ who did not get lucky and lost the bet; that’s it!
Do not call these losers simple-minded and innocent victims of fraud. Most of them have discovered the gambling nature of Ponzi and Pump and Dump projects and are just trying their chance.
📌 22. As private money becomes more widespread, this type of collective looting will increase, mainly because it can create windfall profits for its founders. Not forgetting this importance when dealing with the cryptocurrency market is necessary. Also, let’s not forget that finding and participating in this kind of looting has become a bread-and-butter job in today’s world, to the extent that participating in all types of Pump-and-Dump and cryptocurrency Ponzi can be considered a “profitable trading strategy.”
You need to have the chance to be among the leaders of these lootings.
📌 23. It might not be inappropriate for legislators everywhere in the world, especially regarding Ponzi and Pump-and-Dump projects, to use such delicacy. If the project developer deserves punishment, do not exempt the participants from discipline. Participants in Ponzi schemes, in which most of them are engaged in the ‘being a fraud victim’ profession, even if they have lost their money, should be considered for a fine for fraud.
📌 24. Considering a punishment for all participants of Ponzi schemes will be amazingly effective in limiting this type of “expanding collective looting.” At least, it will significantly reduce the workload of the judiciary courts in different countries. It also prevents, to a great extent, the ‘being a fraud victim’ profession, which is one of the most profitable jobs in cryptocurrency markets.
The Famous Monkey Story in Every Markets!The Famous Monkey Story in Every Market!
Once upon a time, a rich man from the city arrived in a village. He announced to the villagers that he would buy monkeys for $100 each.
The villagers were thrilled, as there were hundreds of monkeys in a nearby forest. They caught the monkeys and brought them to the rich man, who paid $100 for every monkey they gave him. The villagers began making a living by capturing monkeys from the forest and selling them to the rich man.
Soon, the forest began to run out of monkeys that were easy to catch. Sensing this, the rich man offered $200 for each monkey. The villagers were ecstatic. They went back to the forest, set up traps, caught more monkeys, and brought them to the rich man.
A few days later, the rich man announced he would pay $300 per monkey. The villagers started climbing trees and risking their lives to catch monkeys and bring them to the rich man, who bought them all. Eventually, there were no monkeys left in the forest.
One day, the rich man announced he would like to buy more monkeys, this time for $800 each. The villagers couldn’t believe their luck. They desperately tried to catch more monkeys.
Meanwhile, the rich man said he had to return to the city for some business. Until he returned, his manager would handle transactions on his behalf.
Once the rich man left, the villagers were unhappy. They had been making quick and easy money from selling monkeys, but now the forest had no monkeys left.
This is when the manager of the rich man stepped in. He made an offer the villagers could not refuse. Pointing to all the caged monkeys, he told the villagers he would sell them for $400 each. They could sell them back to the rich man for $800 each when he returned.
The villagers were over the moon. Buy for $400 and sell for $800 in a few days—they had found the easiest way to double their money. They collected all their savings and even borrowed money. There were long queues, and within a few hours, almost all the monkeys were sold out.
Unfortunately, their happiness did not last long. The manager went missing the next day, and the rich man never returned. Many villagers kept the monkeys, hoping the rich man would come back. But soon, they lost hope and had to release the monkeys back into the forest, as feeding and caring for the noisy monkeys became extremely difficult.
This is exactly what happens when you buy low-quality companies in the stock market. There will be a low-priced stock that no one is interested in buying. A few rich men will suddenly start buying it. The stock price will rise because there are suddenly many buyers and very few sellers—a classic case of huge demand and no supply, like the monkeys in the forest.
The stock gets plenty of coverage on business channels and newspapers. These rich men will also use tricks like sending out bulk SMS messages, asking people to buy the shares for huge returns, and giving free tips. New and inexperienced investors, hoping to double or triple their investment, get lured in. Finally, the big players who bought the stock early when no one wanted it sell it back to inexperienced investors at high prices.
Don’t be greedy—there is no quick money in the stock market or in life. It takes time and effort to become wealthy, and there are no shortcuts.
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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - US10Y - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing US10Y, starting from the 3-Month chart.
- R2F
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 13 - AUDNZD - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing AUDNZD, starting from the 12-Month chart.
- R2F
FLOATING SPREAD VS FIXED SPREAD🌐 The trading conditions of any account specify the type of spread: floating or fixed. As a rule, the value of a fixed spread is larger, but a floating spread has an insidious wording “from...” in the terms and conditions. This means that the floating spread may well be greater than the fixed one. Nevertheless, it is considered better. What are its advantages and disadvantages, what spread to choose?
📍 ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF FLOATING SPREAD
▶️ FIXED SPREAD
The difference between the buy and sell price of an asset is constant. This indicates that the broker works according to Straight Through Processing (STP) model - directly with a specific liquidity provider, the size of the spread with which is pre-agreed. The broker charges its commission (markup) and the trader sees the final difference. The fixed spread is only theoretical. Often in the offer there is a clause that the broker can unilaterally change it. And broker does it at the moment of news release, when volatility increases sharply.
▶️ FLOATING SPREAD
The difference between price/offer is formed by the market. The broker only adds its small commission, that's why there are no zero spreads.
Floating spreads are set on ECN accounts, where orders are not placed to a specific liquidity provider, but to the general market. Such accounts have a high entry threshold and a fixed commission for each lot placed on the account.
📍 THE FLOATING SPREAD DEPENDS ON:
🔘 Market Liquidity. During the vacation season, on the eve of vacations, at the moment of flat trading activity decreases. The smaller the volumes and the fewer traders, the bigger the gap between Bid and Ask prices.
🔘 Currency Liquidity. Or investors' interest. The FX:EURUSD pair is liquid, the pair of the US dollar with the South African rand is called exotic and the spread on it is one of the largest.
🔘 Volatility. Or the speed of trend movement. If after the news release the imbalance of bids in the direction of buyers or sellers sharply increases, the spread will also grow.
🔘 Time of day. Or the period of activity of traders of this or that region.
📍 ADVANTAGES OF A FLOATING SPREAD:
➡️ Most of the time it is less than the fixed spread.
➡️ No requotes - the transaction is executed in any case.
➡️ Floating spread is more profitable than fixed spread for liquid currencies. Fixed spread is more profitable for “exotics”.
➡️ It is favorable for scalping, where every tenth of a point is important for profit.
📍 DISADVANTAGES OF FLOATING SPREAD:
➡️ There are slippages at the moment of sharp spread widening.
➡️ It is necessary to constantly monitor its change.
➡️ It can sharply increase when a fundamental factor appears.
➡️ There is still a risk of artificial spread widening by the broker (it is not easy to prove).
➡️ Increases emotional tension. With a fixed spread a trader always knows the amount of expenses. Expansion of a floating spread can turn a profitable trade into a losing one.
If you open a new account with a broker, pay attention to the following points. In what cases the broker has the right to change the fixed spread. What quotes we are talking about. Outdated data on the website may turn out to be conditions for 4-digit quotes.
Compare spreads at different brokers on a demo account; install a script showing the current spread. Run it on one asset, watch how and when the floating spread might widen.
📍 CONCLUSION
The choice between a fixed spread and a floating spread depends on several factors, including market liquidity, currency pair, volatility, and time of day. While fixed spreads offer a set and predictable price difference, floating spreads can be more competitive and profitable, especially for scalping strategies. However, floating spreads also come with risks, such as slippage and the need to constantly monitor spread changes. When opening a new account with a broker, it's essential to pay attention to the terms and conditions, clarify quotes, compare spreads across different brokers, and test the floating spread on a demo account.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
A few points that I often repeat to myself to sober myself upEveryone has noticed that after a profitable position, emotions of joy pass quickly than in a situation with a loss. Mostly we all know the instruments, we all use same tools, we can watch,read million sources about trading. So why less than 3% profitable on a distance?
⌛️Psychology
A few points that I often repeat to myself to sober myself up
- Your expectations, your problems! Just because it seemed to you that the price should have gone in your direction, does not mean that the market is against you! I understand that there will ALWAYS be losses! Therefore, I came to terms with this fact and simply treat trading as a job! If you open any other offline business, you will have costs and expenses, losses! It's the same story with trade!
- I conducted a survey and see that the majority are trading from liquidation! I try to balance with 1% trades! Of course 0.5 is better. Plus you need to determine the amount of loss you can afford per day! It is best to stop at 2 unprofitable trades per day! Then you just want to win back again and again!
- Pauses! You definitely need to take breaks! The number of trades absolutely does not determine success! Although I used to think that if I don’t trade today it means I’m not working! Not really, quality is more important than quantity.
- Probably the most important thing is that victories or defeats in the market cannot and should not in any way affect my attitude towards life in general, my family, my health! It's just a job in which there is no limit to learning!
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I think trend lines are drawn to find out the trend that appears when candles are formed.
Therefore, since they are drawn after candles are formed, they can be called lagging.
However, since there is a characteristic of moving along a trend that has been formed unless there is a special issue, chart analysis is done by referring to trend lines.
To draw trend lines, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
If not, there is a high possibility that it will be a meaningless line, so you need to study candles in advance to draw trend lines.
The point to use as a reference when drawing trend lines may vary depending on your investment style.
When drawing a trend line, I draw it according to the following rules.
1. Connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles corresponding to the high point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the blue line)
2. Connect the low point of the price candles corresponding to the low point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the light green (#00FF00) line)
The setting values of the StochRSI indicator are 3, 3, 14, 7 (K, D, RSI, Stoch).
However, the source value is the value of the Heikin-Ashi candle (Open + Close) / 2.
The difference can be confirmed by the StochRSI indicator and the Stoch RSI indicator of the TS - BW indicator on the chart.
1. Use the high point formed when the StochRSI indicator rises above 80,
2. Use the low point formed when the StochRSI indicator falls below 20.
Exclude any low or high points formed other than these.
The trend line connecting the low points can be connected by connecting the low points of the price candles.
However, the trend line connecting the high points must connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles, so when the price candle where the high point of the StochRSI indicator is formed is an upward candle, the opening price of the first falling candle among the right candles is specified and used.
Therefore, since there is a difference between the StochRSI indicator of the TS -BW indicator and the general StochRSI indicator, it is recommended to use the StochRSI indicator formula of the TS - BW indicator if possible.
When the StochRSI indicator entered the oversold zone and formed two low points, the trend line was not drawn by connecting the two low points.
Therefore, the trend line is drawn as shown on the chart.
Both the most recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2) are down, so it seems likely that a change in trend will occur.
However, since it is virtually impossible to know with just the trend line, it is recommended to comprehensively evaluate by adding auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, it is recommended to refer to the BW indicator, which displays MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and SuperTrend indicators.
If the BW indicator is rising from the 0 point, it means that the trend is rising.
On the contrary, if it is falling from the 0 point, it means that the trend is falling.
Since the BW indicator is currently above the 0 point, we can see that the trend is rising.
Therefore, when looking at the trend line and the BW indicator comprehensively, we can respond by selling when it falls from the recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2).
However, since the BW indicator is in an upward trend, it is recommended to respond with a split sell rather than a 100% sell.
It is still difficult to determine the timing of trading with the trend line alone.
Therefore, it is recommended to select the timing of trading by indicating the support and resistance points.
In that sense, it is a good idea to add HA-Low, HA-High indicators and use them to select the trading period.
Even if you do not use HA-Low, HA-High indicators, you should draw support and resistance lines according to the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and mark them on the chart to select the trading period.
The good thing about using indicators that indicate support and resistance points is that the support and resistance points do not change depending on your psychological state.
When you start trading, your psychological state may become unstable due to price volatility, and if you are in an unstable psychological state, you may draw a line incorrectly, which may result in an unreliable line.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
three drives patternhello guys...
Before anything you should know I don't follow the exact fibo level and strict rules to find patterns!
Only the generalities of the subject matter to me.
rules:
- a sharp movement
- three-five drive one after the other
- the correction waves don't engulf the last correction
- always a divergence (rsi) helps
let's see some examples
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 12 - GBPAUD - (1st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing GBPAUD, starting from the 12-Month chart.
- R2F
SWING TUTORIAL - DIVISLABWatch how the stock was on a continuous Lower Low Patter and formed a Lower Low Trendline.
Simultaneously, there was also a formation of Convergence Divergence indicating an upward move.
Stock also broke out of the trendline with a strong green candle.
While the MACD Cross indicated a good entry after the Convergence Divergence, the breakout from the Trendline later indicated a confirmation for a move upward.
Coincidently, the stock also made a new Support zone at 3299 after a strong breakout from trendline.
Another MACD cross has also successfully happened in the last few weeks.
Do you think the stock can reach its All Time High again?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 10 - EURJPY - (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 9 - NQ1- (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing E-mini NASDAQ, starting from the Weekly chart.
- R2F
A note to Risk Management and Exit StrategyI had a message and was inspired to speak my mind about correct risk management.
What is it? How can I use it? How does it serve me?
First of all, positions with no SL are a really bad idea, I don't care what bankers do. It is not cool or useful at all.
Depending on how refined your strategy is, you will be struggling with higher Exits in your beginnings.
Risk Management for Beginners:
Start with an 1:1 Risk Reward. Which means, exit all positions at the same amount where your Stop Loss would have been. It is the safest and fastest option until you know enough about the markets to aim for more. If not, most of your trades will land in BE and your losses will hurt even more. Trust me, I've been there.
Risk Management for advanced traders:
When your general win quota has reached about 70-90%, your account will not necessarily will be growing. Because we are humans and always will do some stupid experiments in between, whether we feel too safe with a bad idea, or want to try something new.
Its time to set 2-3 Exits. Use multiple positions, so you can leave them running.
2 Exit Strategy (50% at Exit 1 and 50% at Exit 2)
3 Exit Strategy (25% at Exit 1, 50% at Exit 2, 25% at Exit 3) This way you secure 200% with every successful trade.
Risk Management for Pros:
You can aim for higher exits minimize your Stop Loss. When you know where to find an Exit5 or Exit 10. Never reenter the same trade, the first idea is always valid.
Have a 4 Exit strategy without variation on the amount of risk per trade, and take an extra open trade for higher positions. Always know what your target is. (25% at Exit 1, 25% at Exit 2, 25% at Exit 3, 25% on the open position).
Do never vary the amount of your risk. Be aware that emotions do not matter and there is no difference in between trades. All aim to be profitable, otherwise we would not be trading. If you decide for 0.5% or 1 or 5%, it doesn't matter, just do not vary ever. Down or upscale slow, very slow.
Median Lines and Finding the Right Path When it comes to learning about markets and trading, finding the right path and committing to it is the hardest part. The right path has little to do with any technical analysis method. It has to do with structuring our mental framework so that we fundamentally change how we experience markets, trading, and loss.
In the video, I show some Median Line and Action/Reaction work but this work is useless by itself. No tool is good or bad, they are just tools we use to comprehend markets. The problem arises when the tools start using us and we think there is some kind of magic to them.
The essence of our strategy should be to structure our methods and mindset towards functionality. The journey we should commit to is one marked by fostering accountability and responsibility in all our actions. The swing trade Idea I show, takes method and structures it into function.
Shane
New Product Launch: How to Use TradingView OptionsWe’ve rolled out our newest product and we’re eager to brag about it! It’s an options platform — TradingView Options. More precisely, it’s a powerful set of tools for options traders who want to keep a close eye on every little detail and fine-tune their strategy to perfection.
What Are Options?
Options are financial derivatives that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a set price within a set period.
TradingView Options
TradingView Options is designed to illuminate your options trading strategy from the first step to the last one. Get razor-sharp options strategies on gold futures ( COMEX-GC1! ), oil futures ( NYMEX-CL1! ), and many more.
Let’s break it down and discuss what it's about. For starters, you’ve got three key components — Strategy Builder, Options Chain, and Volatility Analysis.
1. Strategy Builder
Create, test and visualize options strategies with real-time data.
Use pre-built strategies filtered by bullish, bearish, or neutral outlooks.
Customize strategies with adjustable parameters like expiration dates and strike prices.
Get estimates for max profit, max loss, win rate, and more.
Compare multiple strategies on a single chart for performance analysis.
2. Options Chain
Options chains are broken down into two sections — calls and puts.
Strike price is displayed in the center column — it’s where the put or call can be exercised.
Next to Strike is IV, %, which stands for Implied Volatility in percentages.
Measure options risk with the Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, and Rho.
Easily switch underlying assets with a simple symbol search at the top left.
3. Volatility
Analyze market volatility to understand potential price movements and risks.
Market Coverage
Currently, TradingView Options supports options contracts from major exchanges including CME and its subsidiaries NYMEX, COMEX, and CBOT, alongside NSE , and BSE .
Conclusion
The new options trading tools by TradingView empower traders with the data and analytical capabilities needed to whip up high-probability strategies and explore new opportunities for profit in global markets.
Are you an options trader? What’s your trading style? Let us know in the comments!
Diversified Futures Trading for Optimal Risk and RewardFirst of all, this idea/strategy, came to me while I was/am trading futures on Binance and practicing it made me realize that I have realized more profit than usual. It also helped me manage the risk/reward ratio.
In order to explain the strategy, remember that the whole idea of this strategy is to minimize the risk and maximize reward while trading futures and to explain how diversification helps the overall PNL.
I'm going to start with giving an example, and how I apply it in my trades, in order for it to be clearer.
Let's dive in.
Assume you have 5000 USDT that you are willing to invest in futures. Instead of investing it all on one asset (coin), diversify like following:
1000 USDT on A/usdt.p (with A being an asset) with 20x leverage
1000 USDT on B/usdt.p with 20x leverage
1000 USDT on C/usdt.p with 20x leverage
1000 USDT on D/usdt.p with 20x leverage
1000 USDT not invested on anything, just so you have margin ratio.
Depending on whether you trade cross/isolated, this strategy changes a bit but let's assume you trade on cross. So you have invested in 4 different assets, each of them by 1000usdt x 20 leverage.
Before you decide on which assets you are going to invest, do your own research and have an existing strategy or analysis, which you have confidence into.
Personally, I recommend investing in 4 different assets which have: 1. Different chart patterns, 2. Different categories and 3. Different wave counts. This is important for the following strategy. Remember to have demand/supply, MAs and Oscillators included in your analysis. Set your TP's and your Stop losses as you would do normally. Of course, your TP's POSITIVE PNL (ROI%) should be higher than your Stop losses NEGATIVE PNL (ROI%).
After you have analyzed, made your research and have decided on the assets, LONG/SHORT them and carefully track the progress.
The whole purpose of the strategy is that the assets won't pump/dump on the same time and to use this to your advantage.
Let's assume that you have POSITIVE PNL (ROI%) on only A/usdt.p and C/usdt.p while B/usdt.p and D/usdt.p are giving NEGATIVE PNL (ROI%). For example A and C are 50% up and B and D are 50% down. In that case, you PARTIALLY (25%-50%) = X, close the assets with POSITIVE PNL and you ADD more on your C and D positions. Wait to see how the market reacts and:
1. If the market continues to go in the same trend, your A and C will hit your TP's (yes on a lower profit than initially indented) and your B and D assets will hit your your SL's (yes on a higher loss than initially indented) but since TP ROI > SL ROI that means that you have achieved more profit than losses while minimizing risk. OR
2. If the markets starts to shift in the different trend, your A and C will start shifting towards your Entry position or maybe even hit your SL's (but now on a lower quantity) while B and D will start rising going above Entry position or maybe even hit your TP's (but now on a higher quantity), which means your losses on A and C will be X lower while your winnings on B and D will be X higher.
You continue to manipulate A, B, C and D like this, until you either:
1. Hit ALL TP's with much higher profit indented (since you added quantity when your assets were lower) or
2. Hit ALL SL's with much lower losses indented (since you closed X amount of position when you were higher and added when it was lower than the entry price).
Remember that you still have have 1000 USDT to keep the margin ratio healthy and in extreme cases (when more than 2 assets are on negative ROI%) to add quantity to the assets with negative ROI% (under the entry price) and higher than SL.
This will also make it so you have LOWER overall entry price on the NEGATIVE ROI%.
This idea/strategy has some requirements and assumptions:
1. That you understand well the asset analysis, such as support/resistances, indicators, chart patterns and others.
2. You understand how the binance futures basically work.
3. You are COMMITED and have plenty of time to OBSERVE the assets and INTERVENE if necessary.
4. You understand risk/reward management.
5. You have read and understood binances terms and agreements.
This strategy doesn't require (but prefers) that all the assets have POSITIVE ROI% and a NEGATIVE ROI% on all assets is not a dissolution (but not preferred).
If I were to put all this in a formula, it would be as follows:
### Variables:
- \(P\): Total capital available for trading (e.g., 5000 USDT)
- \(N\): Number of assets to invest in (e.g., 4)
- \(L\): Leverage (e.g., 20x)
- \(A_i\): Amount invested in asset \(i\) (e.g., 1000 USDT)
- \(TP_i\): Take Profit level for asset \(i\)
- \(SL_i\): Stop Loss level for asset \(i\)
- \(PNL_i\): Profit and Loss for asset \(i\)
- \(X_i\): Percentage of position to close on positive PNL (e.g., 25% or 50%)
- \(R\): Reserved capital for margin ratio maintenance (e.g., 1000 USDT)
- \(T\): Total invested capital \(T = P - R\)
### Initial Investment Formula:
1. **Allocate capital to each asset:**
\
2. **Leverage Calculation:**
\
### Active Management Formulas:
3. **Partial Closing of Positions:**
When \(PNL_i > 0\):
\
4. **Reallocate to Negative PNL Positions:**
\
5. **Adjust Position Quantities:**
- For positive PNL positions (A and C in the example):
\
- For negative PNL positions (B and D in the example):
\
### Scenario Outcome:
6. **Evaluate Positions:**
- If the market trend continues:
- Calculate overall profit based on adjusted positions hitting TP and SL levels.
\
\]
- If the market reverses:
- Calculate overall profit based on reversed trend.
\
\]
### Margin Management:
7. **Ensure Reserved Capital:**
Always keep \(R\) amount as reserved capital to maintain a healthy margin ratio.
\
### Summary Formula:
\ + \text{Remaining Capital}
\]
### Practical Example:
1. Initial investment in each asset \(A_i\):
\
2. Effective investment with leverage:
\
3. Partial close for positive PNL assets (A and C):
\
4. New allocation for negative PNL assets (B and D):
\
5. Adjusted positions:
\
\
6. Evaluate Total PNL based on market scenarios.
Last but not least, this is NOT a financial advice and ALWAYS do your own research before making financial decisions.