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Harmonic Patterns

A perfect example of Bearish Bat patternAs you can see in the weekly charts Gold has made a bearish bat pattern and has reached the first target..! Further correction in the high inflation era is less likely..! do not count on the 2nd and 3rd targets..! Always consider the probability of something happening, and Keep in mind nothing is impossible in the market!!! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Moshkelgosha
6
Bullish Bat Harmonic Tutorial on GBPAUD H4 (Come with Analysis)When Bullish Bat appears, it is more confident to Take Profit. TP1 is 0.382. TP2 will be 0.618. The early entry can be at the Bullish Engulfing at the bottom. Because of the trend has manage to break 0.618, it is successful to about making a new Bullish trend here. This tutorial come with Analysis. :) Look for Buy opportunity now. Let's ride this trend. Note: I am starting to care less about FA bit by bit. It stays fun to know. TA is much more. Harmonic Pattern is founded and detected by Mr. Scott Carney at year 2000. They are all already patented. Learn more about Harmonic Patterns from his website. I am still studying them. I like it. It is proven today. Combine with other technique to add more conviction. I really appreciate this knowledge. :) Like/Comment/Thumbs Up if this is any helpful. Thanks in advance.
GEducation
by lilybahari
educational A detailed explanation of the BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern 🦋 🔹 BUTTERFLY is a reversal pattern consisting of four waves, similar to the Gartley and Bat pattern. They are X-A, A-B, B-C and C-D waves. 🔹 Helps you identify when the current price movement is coming to an end, this means that you can enter the market as the price reverses its direction. 🔹 There is a bullish pattern where you can open a buy position And a bearish pattern where you open a short position. 🔹 BUTTERFLY is a reversal pattern that allows you to enter the market selling at the highest levels and buying from the extreme bottoms. 🔴 buying style: 1️⃣ We have a strong upward movement, which is the beginning of the pattern and is called the (X-A) leg. 2️⃣ The leg (A-B) must be 78% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (X-A) 3️⃣ Then the leg (B-C) and it should be between 38% and 88% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (A-B) 4️⃣ Then the leg (C-D) and it must be between 161% and 261% Fibonacci extension of the leg (B-C) 5️⃣ And the pattern (D) ends, which should be between 127% and 161% Fibonacci extension of the leg (X-A) 6️⃣ When the model is formed and its conditions are completed as we mentioned, the price will rise from point (D) and can benefit from buying from point (D). 🔴Selling style: 1️⃣ We have a strong downward movement, which is the beginning of the pattern and is called the (X-A) leg. 2️⃣ The leg (A-B) should be 78% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (X-A). 3️⃣ Then the leg (B-C) and it should be between 38% and 88% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (A-B). 4️⃣ Then the leg (C-D) and it must be between 161% and 261% Fibonacci extension of the leg (B-C). 5️⃣ And the pattern (D) ends, which should be between 127% and 161%, the Fibonacci extension of the leg (X-A). 6️⃣ When the model is formed and its conditions are completed, as we mentioned, the price will drop from point (D) and the sale can benefit from point (D). below you can see other educational content
Education
by Elrouby
5
The 4th TURNING and Davos' GREAT RESETThe 4th Turning is a sociological study of the last 600 years of Wester culture. In it, the authors conclude that society goes through 4 stages culminating in the 4th Turning, a time of chaos and upheaval that ends with the establishment of a "new order". We are in that period now, and the excessive debt, inflation and political tensions around the world indicate that there is a monumental change coming. Perhaps Davos' GREAT RESET as annunciated by Klaus Schwab, Perhaps something worse. Only time will tell.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by midnitepoet
3
educational A detailed explanation of the SHARK harmonic pattern The Shark model was discovered in 2011 by Scott Carney. It is somewhat similar to the crab pattern, and the most important characteristic of this pattern is that it depends on the 88.6 Fibonacci correction ratio This model was created by combining Fibonacci numbers with Elliot Wave Theory. The shark model is characterized by the need to specify the points for determining the model points, which are x, a, b, c, and the beginning of the structure of the model is point 0. In the shark model, point B exceeds point x buy style 1- There is no specific correction for A 2- Point B corrects 113 to 161.8 from XA 3- Point C of model completion at 88.6 to 113 0X and at 161.8 to 224 AB sell style 1- There is no specific correction for A 2- Point B is a correction from 113 to 161.8 from XA 3- Point C of model completion at 88.6 to 113 from 0X and at 161.8 to 224 from AB below you can see one of our trades on shark pattern , and other educational content and some other trades on it
Education
by Elrouby
2
goldIn a side conversation with my friend the gold trader Or in parentheses ( the person who distributes and sells gold to gold shops ) I asked him: Do you receive gold from the price of 2070 He replied and said it is impossible only if this gold is for me personally and not for my work I asked him why, he said, because this is what happened to us two years ago 1 Merchant like 100 merchants with one rule And if you want to know why 2070 resisted the rise, you have to know that gold is a commodity governed by traders in the first place, 50% of the gold is with them And when the merchant refuses to buy from the market by this price This is a normal reaction to drop for $100 , I did not leave him, and I asked him what if he came back and retested 2070 . He said, “We will do the same thing again.” buy if the price of gold breaks 2070, it will turn into Future Like what happened with oil, when its price was negative I asked him when will you buy, he said when a strong bounce occurs again, like 70 with 100 dollars, then we will buy again and cover ourselves with 100 dollars, an upward movement Look, I made it easy to talk as much as I could If you understand this is a good thing, but if you do not get angry, then this is normal because the subject is difficult
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Elrouby
educationalround bottom model 🔹 Represents an example: a long-range model of aviation. 🔹 To have a copy of my reflection, to have a direction to reflect on Begins to make a downward movement on descending tops and bottoms There are a lot of prices available on the real, on the ground. 🔹 And when the round bottom is formed at the end, after a period of decline, the price can reverse the downward trend. You might think that a round bottom is similar to a head and shoulders bottom without specific shoulders where the head represents the drop and is in the center of the pattern, 🔹 Models based on trading volumes are similar and this is confirmed with the occurrence of a high head Since symmetry is preferred in the round bottom but the left and right side are not equal in time and slope, the important thing is to catch the core of the model.
TVC:USOILEducation
by Elrouby
educationPicture No. 1 shows the price breaching the wedge pattern and a positive candle with a positive divergence on the RSI indicator.. More than a technical indication of a rise in the price to the top. Picture 2 shows what happened next. Idea: The outcome of any transaction cannot be expected just because more than one technical signal appears. Commitment to financial management is very important.. L0T SIZE RECOMMENDATION - We are following lot size as follow XXXUSD / USDXXX CURRENCY PAIRS (EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY) - Equity = 1000 Open Lot size = 0.05 Increase your lot size accordingly your equity For Example : If your Account is 5000 use 0.25 and 10000 0.50 mean 0.05 each 1000. In case you have 500 equity use 0.03 and accordingly GBPXXX / XXXGBP CURRENCY PAIRS (GBPJPY, GBPAUD, GBPCHF, GBPNZD, EURGBP) - Equity = 1000 Open Lot size = 0.03 Increase accordingly your equity for example: If your account is 5000 use 0.15 and 10000 0.30 means 0.03 each 1000. In case your equity is 500 use 0.01 and accordingly XXXJPY CURRENCY PAIRS (GBPJPY, USDJPY, AUDJPY, EURJPY, CHFJPY) big spread pairs - Equity = 1000 Open Lot size = 0.03 Increase accordingly your equity for example: If your account is 5000 use 0.15 and 10000 0.30 means 0.03 each 1000. In case your equity is 500 use 0.01 and accordingly CFD's XAUUSD & WTI - Equity = 1000 Open Lot size 0.02 and 500 Open lot size 0.01 Increase accordingly your equity lot sizing is measured by 2% risk and it will really help you to increase your equity as well as your patience
Education
by Elrouby
1
Power of Consistency 📉📉📉Consistency Power 🔰 Don't focus on short term results when trading, it's a marathon not a sprint. You can't become elite traders overnight 🔰 Don't care about short term results and single trade outcome, only look at the weekly,monthly results as they are not random as daily results,a single trade means nothing dont be anxious and change something in your system only if you have more than 100 trades journaled so you know what works and what doesn't 🔰 Don't try to hit home runs aka BIG RETURNS OVERNIGHT it's a gambler short term thinking and their account have zero durability overtime 🔰 Focus on risk management and improve your edge over the market on a daily basis both technical and mental/emotional LONG TERM over SHORT TERM ✅
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
The 2 Different Market Condition 💰💰💰💰 Balanced Market Occurs 1)Before any bigger economic events, news are expected (e.g RBI policy announcement, FED meeting ..etc) 2)Consolidation in the market after the uptrend or downtrend. 3)Low Participation from the Other timeframe players or Institutional players (Christmas & New Year holiday season) 4)Lack of liquidity(both buy side and sell side) in the market. The result of this price rotational process is the discovery of prices that are acceptable to both the buyers and the sellers. 💰 Imbalanced Market : It represents a trending market (uptrend or downtrend). Imbalanced market shows the conviction of other timeframe players. The auction is said to be one sided or directional where there are either more Buyers than Sellers or more Sellers than Buyers depending on the direction of price. Imbalance of buyers will drive the prices higher till the buyers exhausted and the sellers take control of the market. And the Imbalance of Sellers drives the market lower till the sellers get exhausted and the buyers take control of the market. 💰 Imbalanced Market Occurs When 1)Major economic event days (RBI rate decision day, Election Results Day, GDP Announcements…etc) 2)Major catastrophic events. 3)Opening Gap Up or Gap Down days due to major positive or negative news impact. 4)Strong Global Markets Sentiment.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
Volume Trading Indicator ✅✅✅✅ Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis because it is used to measure the relative significance of a market move. The higher the volume during a price move, the more significant the move and the lower the volume during a price move, the less significant the move. ✅ Volume indicators are technical tools to evaluate a security's bull and bear power. Most look specifically at buying vs. selling pressure to determine which side is in control of price action. Others attempt to identify emotions that are moving the security at a particular time. ✅ A high positive multiplier with high volume indicates strong buying pressure which pushes the indicator higher. On the other hand, a low negative number with high volume indicates strong selling pressure which pushes the indicator lower. ✅ Down volume indicates bearish trading, while up volume indicates bullish trading. If the price of a security falls, but only on low volume, there may be other factors at work aside from a true bear turn Do you use Volume Trading Indicator ?
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
📌WHY RISK MANAGMENT❓❗📛✅ Traders heard to consider risk management but aren't given good enough reasons for this risk management rule. We'll explain the the psychology and biology behind our frenzy of buying any stuff in bullish market or depression after our thoughtless, recklessness decisions ... ⚪⚫🔴🔵 🆗Anyone who has taken a risk understands its visceral feeling. Dr. John Coates puts it beautifully, “Risk engages our entire being,” and his book The Hour Between Dog and Wolf: Risk Taking, Gut Feelings, and the Biology of Boom and Bust explores how risky wins and losses can change us “Jekyll-and-Hyde-like beyond all recognition.” Running the derivatives trading desk for Goldman Sachs and later Deutsche Bank in New York, Dr. Coates witnessed first-hand this biology of risk-taking and its effects in the financial markets. During the dot-com bubble and bust, he observed cocky and unreasonable behavior when traders were on a winning streak, and the extreme opposite after huge losses. Looking to bring biology to the story of overconfidence and irrationality in our financial market instability, he retired from Wall Street and returned to the University of Cambridge in 2004 to study neuroscience and endocrinology, in order to understand how risk-taking affects our bodies. Dr. Coates’ research found that hormones are at work during risk-taking: testosterone is likely to rise in a bull market, while cortisol is likely to rise in a bear market. Moreover, these hormones and signals from the body not only influence risk-taking among financial traders, but they also have wider implications beyond the markets. In the John Coates Book, That winning feeling The ancient Greeks believed that we were visited by gods during defining moments in our lives, such as winning battles, love, and childbearing. Those instants felt extra vivid and powerful, but Dr. Coates discovered that these feelings are really induced by our hormones, not Olympian gods. Testosterone fuels the “winner effect.” It affects the brain, increasing confidence and appetite for risk, but after an extended winning streak, testosterone also causes overconfidence, unreasonable exuberance, and obliviousness to danger. 🔸🔹🔶🔷◾ ✅SO doing the Risk Management Techniques for Active Traders is vital : 0)Planning Your Trades "Every battle is won before it is fought." This phrase implies that planning and strategy—not the battles—win wars. successful traders commonly quote the phrase: "Plan the trade and trade the plan." Just like in war, planning ahead can often mean the difference between success and failure. ⬛ 1)Consider the One-Percent or 2% Rule Although this rule mostly depends on your trading strategy and your market ,but this rule of thumb suggests that you should never put more than 1% of your capital or your trading account into a single trade. This strategy is common for traders who have accounts of less than $100,000—some even go as high as 2% or even more if they can afford it. ⬜ 2)Setting Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Points The points are designed to prevent the "it will come back" mentality and limit losses before they escalate. For example, if a stock breaks below a key support level, traders often sell as soon as possible. On the other hand, a take-profit point is the price at which a trader will sell a stock and take a profit on the trade. This is when the additional upside is limited given the risks. ⬛3)buying or selling in several steps this rule also called "averaging down or up". In this case assume you aim to invest in an asset but haven't any accurate strategy to determine a good entry point an exit , but you know the general trend of a market , and by allocation of your fund in different steps you can lower your risk of buying or selling , for example you want to buy bitcoin but you haven't any specific strategy so by regarding of your capital you can buy it after any drop or regular period of time for instance at each month. ⬜4)Diversify and Hedge Making sure you make the most of your trading means never putting your eggs in one basket. Whatever your asset is your challenge is to pick If you put all your money in one stock or one kind of an asset , you're setting yourself up for a big loss. So remember to diversify your investments—across both industry sector as well as market capitalization and geographic region. Not only does this help you manage your risk, but it also opens you up to more opportunities. ⬛5)Downside Put Options If you are approved for options trading, buying a downside put option, sometimes known as a protective put, can also be used as a hedge to stem losses from a trade that turns sour. A put option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying stock at a specified priced at or before the option expires
Education
by PRO_SMART_Trader
educationalA detailed explanation of the harmonic model SHARK 🦈 The Shark model was discovered in 2011 by Scott Carney It is somewhat similar to the CRAB model 🦀 🔹 The most important characteristic of this model is that it depends on the 88.6 Fibonacci correction ratio This model was created by combining Fibonacci numbers and Elliot Wave theory. The shark model is characterized by the need to specify the points of the model, which are X, A, B, and C The starting structure of the model is point 0. In the shark model, point B exceeds point X 🔴 bullish style 1️⃣ No specific patch for A 2️⃣ Point B corrects 113 to 161.8 from XA 3️⃣ Point C for model completion at 88.6 to 113 0X and at 161.8 to 224 AB 🔴 bearish style 1️⃣ No specific patch for A 2️⃣ Point B is a correction from 113 to 161.8 from XA 3️⃣ Point C for model completion at 88.6 to 113 from 0X and at 161.8 to 224 from AB
Education
by Elrouby
education5-0 . Harmonic Pattern The 5-0 pattern was discovered by Scott Carney 🔹It was published in his book “Harmonic Trading, Volume Two.” It is a unique model that has accurate Fibonacci ratio corrections to validate the model. 🔹Although the 5-0 pattern is considered a reversal pattern, because the 50% retracement level is the most important in the potential reversal area. Correction ratios are slightly different from Bat or Gartley style. 🔹The 5-0 category is in the 5-point harmonic reversal family of models 🔹It is essentially defined by a point B, as is mandatory for all harmonic patterns. The basic premise of the pattern is to determine the reactions after completing the opposite direction 5-0 patterns usually represent the first pullback of a major trend reversal. 🔹In many cases, the AB leg of the structure is the last failed wave of the trend.
Education
by Elrouby
Cup and Handle Trading Pattern 📉📉📉✅ A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long. 🎯 Cup Handle Pattern William O'Neil's Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. ... The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed 🎯 What happens after cup and handle pattern? If a cup and handle pattern is confirmed, it will be followed by a bullish price move upward. You can pick a price target based on the size of the cup, but it becomes much less clear what will happen after the initial breakout from the cup and handle pattern. 🎯 How reliable is cup and handle pattern? The accuracy rate for cup and handle pattern for forex and stock on Daily timeframe are 65% and 68% respectively.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
2
Marubozu Candlestick Pattern 📉📉📉📉 What is a Marubozu in forex? A Marubozu is a long or tall Japanese candlestick with no upper or lower shadow (or wick). The candlestick pattern comes in both a bearish (red or black) and a bullish (green or white) form and is easy to spot due to its long body. It basically looks like a vertical rectangle. 📉 How can you tell if Marubozu is bullish? The closing Marubozu is a stronger candlestick pattern. It is formed when the close price is equal to the high or the low of the day. When the close price is equal to the low then it is called bearish and when the close is equal to the high it is a bullish Marubozu 📉 What happens after a Marubozu candle? After two long red candles, the bearish Marubozu close pattern occurs, which signals that the bears are still a dominant force. Ultimately, the price action continues to move lower as the market was very bearish during this period of time 📉 How do you use a Marubozu candlestick? Basically, when trading marubozu candlesticks, Watch for bullish or bearish candlesticks to form. If bullish, take a long when price breaks above. Place stop below candlesticks. If bearish, take a short when price falls below. Place a stop above candlestick.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
Stochastic Trading Indicator 📉📉📉📉 The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set number of periods. The indicator can range from 0 to 100. The closing price tends to close near the high in an uptrend and near the low in a downtrend, the stochastic indicator is a two-line indicator that can be applied to any chart. It fluctuates between 0 and 100. The indicator shows how the current price compares to the highest and lowest price levels over a predetermined past period. 📉 How do you use a stochastic indicator? How to use the Stochastic indicator and “predict” market turning points If the price is above 200-period moving average (MA), then look for long setups when Stochastic is oversold. If the price is below 200-period moving average (MA), then look for short setups when Stochastic is overbought. 📉 Is fast stochastic good? The "fast" stochastic uses the most recent price data, while the "slow" stochastic uses a moving average. Therefore, the fast version will react more quickly with timely signals, but may also produce false signals. The slow version will be smoother, taking more time to produce signals, but may be more accurate. Do you use Stochastic Indicator ?
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
1
Trading Psychology 📉📉📉✅ If you asked me to distill trading down to its simplest form, I would say that it is a pattern recognition numbers game We use market analysis to identify the patterns, define the risk, and determine when to take profits. The trade either works or it doesn't. ✅ In any case, we go on to die next trade. It's that simple, but it's certainly not easy. In fact, trading is probably the hardest thing you'll ever attempt to be successful at. That's not because it requires intellect; quite the contrary! But because the more you think you know, the less successful you'll be. ✅ The mechanical stage of trading is specifically designed to build the kind of trading skills (trust, confidence, and thinking in probabilities The first step in the process of creating consistency is to start noticing what you're thinking, saying, and doing Creating a belief that "I am a consistent winner" is the primary objective 🎯 I AM A CONSISTENT WINNER BECAUSE: 1. I objectively identify my edges. 2. I predefine the risk of every trade. 3. I completely accept risk or I am willing to let go of the trade. 4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation. 5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me. 6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors. 7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success an d, therefore, I never violate them. 🎯 The greater your confidence, the easier it will be to execute your trades To even start this process, you have to want consistency so much that you would be willing to give up all the other reasons, motivations, or agendas you have for trading that aren't consistent with the process of integrating the beliefs that create consistency. A clear, intense desire is an absolute prerequisite if you're going to make this process work for you. The object of this exercise is to convince yourself that trading is just a simple game of probabilities ✅✅✅
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO
Trading Aspects to Master 📉📉📉🎯 Analysing To trade like a profesional first of all you have to learn technical/fundamental techinques to trade the market without them you have zero chance to succed in the markets. Learn - candlestick patterns, simple patterns, fibonaci, market structure, trendline, imbalance, orderblock, volume profile etc 🎯 Risk Management To survive in this game you need a very strict risk management, you will pass hard times and your account will survive. Risk Management rules should include : Risk per trade Session Risk Daily Drawdown Limit Weekly Drawdown Limit Monthly Drawdown Limit You have to know your numbers, start small then grow. 🎯 Entries Develop a rule based entry strategy always and every time, for example you will short a certain asset only if price is in a bearish market structure and its rejecting a fibonacci key area, you have to build your own system and develop confidence. Was this information valuable ?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by AnonimFXRO