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Harmonic Patterns

The Big Picture of CompositeThis is the big picture of IDX Composite Index using Harmonic Pattern (Bearish Gartley) as projection, Pivot Points Yearly as S/R and Gann Fan as Trendline. It will happen as long as index break 2 trend line of gann fan (3/1 & 4/1) and S4 pivot points (yearly). It will be canceled: 1) If Index break and stay in S2 area untill the end of year. Index become sideway around S2 and S3 Pivot Points. 2) If Index can't break S4 this year and stay under S3, Index become sideway around S4 and S3. 3) Break and stay above Pivot Points Area will try new trend (bullish) which is less possible to happen.
IDX:COMPOSITEEducation
by jopraab
eurgbp harmonic patternhello everyone EurGbp is ricing like a rocket right now we expect to reach resistance line that mentioned in chart here is that AB=Cd is complete and we expect a gartley pattern as well notice that its opposite of trend so Enter with at most 3% of your equality notice that target is based on fibonacci and lowest profit that is available in this case my strategy is based on 1 : fibonacci 2 : harmonic pattern gartley and Ab=CD 3 : trend line and channel trading 4 ; Rsi h4 notice that in order to enter this trade you should see some confirmations like : candlesticks formation , indicator,s signs (ichimoku , moving average and ... ) then at last wait for break higher low to enter short Hope you Enjoy ♥ { comment in below and share you opinion with my team } ♥ this is MkyTradingGroup
Education
by TradeWithMky
2
Impact of Presidential Election on Financial Markets.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello Traders Investors And Community. Welcome to this educational idea about the Impact of Presidential Election on Financial Markets. First of all, this is not a political view at all nevertheless we are facing the next important event that can have a substantial effect on the financial markets and therefore also important for traders and investors. Coming to this conclusion the history has shown that the presidential election and its pre also as post events can be suited into a whole presidential-election-cycle in which the several stages and timeframes within the cycle affecting the performance of markets. For this case, I looked at the past data and how presidential elections affected market performances and found out some very interesting and worthwhile things about it, these data resulting from the past election data can be measured into a 1.5-Year-Presidential-Pre-And-Post-Election-Performance-Cycle and the whole 4-Years-Presidential-Election-Performance-Cycle , both cycles are measured by historical market data and have a logical and coherent approach within them as the reelected or elected party together with the president playing an elementary role within it. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.5-Year-Presidential-Pre-And-Post-Election-Performance-Cycle: As you can watch in the graph on my chart, the past data has shown that it is a meaningful factor wether the elected party gets reelected or other party gets elected. This is matching with the theory that the new elected party needs to adjust firstly to increase economy properly, however what they both have in common is the decline in the first year after election where the market has shown decrease whether under the incumbent party or new elected party. Furthermore, the graph shows that certainly after the first year since election has passed the market tends to increase where with incumbent parties the market performed better and on the contrary, with a new elected party the perfomance of the market increased also however not that big as with the incumbent party where the increase was partially four times higher. Besides that what is also really interesting here is the difference between the incumbent party and new elected in the last six month to the new election, where the market showed some steady decrease in growth however still an increase with the incumbent party while under the new elected not that much and also showed declines to the downside. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4-Years-Presidential-Election-Performance-Cycle: This graph shown in the left bottom of my chart is explicating the importance of the 4-years passing after a election, where the market clearly showed a weaker performance and possible declines in the first year after election which is matching also with the first graph and 1.5-years. This can result of a first adjustment in the market to this fundamental macroeconomic event before it can regain in pace together with the elected party and economic policies. The performance increased averagely steadily in the second year after election in historical price data till it reached its peak in the third year before election as the sitting party and president going into the objectives they have set in the campaign to increase the economy and with the goal to get reelected, this data was fairly consistent, regardless of the presidents and party political leanings. In the first year the peak performance going a little bit back which is also matching with the first graph where it also counts on the incumbent party or the new one, this year is the preparation on the new election and data has shown that performance has experienced steply declines till the election countdown. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion: Taking all these factors into consideration we can say that the market in the first year after election begins to grow slowly and firstly adjustes to the election results as the party comes in touch with it, then the performance begins to grow after the second year, here is it also a fundamental factor if the incumbent party got reelected or a new party got elected, as the incumbent reelection showed averagely better results. This tendency to the upside reaches its peak at the third year and then falls slowly till the election countdown. These data has been really coherent and repeatedly in the past that is why the election cycle is an important measurement that should not be kept by side. At the end it has to be noted that a massive swift in politics can also transform the cycle into other performances, however, this did not happen till now. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Outlook: It is no more than two months till the next election is taking place and it will be an significant occurrence as historical data has shown if the incumbent party currently consisting wins the election anew or new party is going to taking place which can change performances. Not only by the fact that history has shown declines in the first year after election we should not ignore that the corona crisis is still not yet over and that there exists a gap between real economy and stocks where real economy is still damaged by the corona increase and measurements while stock market making gains, this is an unhealthy environment which can unload itself, the real economy and stock market need to grow together for providing a solid market growth, this current economic disadvantaged situation matching with the first performance year after an election which is averagely not the best can take place into an inconsistent market outlook, therefore we should not keep the decline perspective out of sight especially the weeks and months it can show up in critical movements. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ In this manner, thank you for watching , support for more tutorials and a good day! "There are many roads to prosperity but one must be taken." Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
48
Next Week's Trading Plan = Last week's result: +57% R.O.I.The week that was... *** Real Time Trading *** We (and you?) have just completed 135 consecutive hours of Live Trading, while simultaneously posting the trades in Real Time on this TradingView page. This Live Trading Session(s) took place from September 13., 2020, 18:00 EST - September 18., 2020, 16:00 EST; I.e. five (5), consecutive and continuous trading days, from Sun.-Fri.. How did it all turn out? - Just as the title suggests: "+57% R.O.I". This post is a summary, as well as a repository for the *** Links to all the live posts *** made during those 135 hours. 1) If one traded along then one has probably long tallied up the results (and the money :-), so obviously, very little use to read on; 2) If one is interested to review / verify / analyze the trades (as one should!), posted during this live trading period. In which case the relevant posts are LINKED BELOW, where all the trades are posted as they were placed. ** However, it will be your task to scroll through(down) to find the relevant ** Real Time entries **, as these posts also contain other, relevant but static information - such as trade setups, etc.; i.e.: just additional, regular "stuff". The Trading System / Techniques used during these Live Trading Sessions are described in detail, in this post: "Nasdaq 100 E-mini; +2036 pts. profit the last 14 days. TUTORIAL" First: These are the LINKS to all the relevant posts containing the Live Sessions posts / markets: - These are Not in chronological order! The actual clues for the Live Trades are further down, in the dated list, *** following this First list, in Chronological Order ***. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Nasdaq100 E-mini THe FAANGs EURAUD EURUSD AUDJPY AUDUSD AUDNZD AUDCAD GBPJPY *** We are Not counting this one but one might want to look at it, anyways. This has missed Live Trading Week by 24 hours. Nevertheless,... it's a fair one :-) ***** ====================== ... and finally, here we go ... ================================= September 13., 2020; Sun. --------------------------------- Look for this Nasdaq100 chart: +30.25 points; Look for this EURUSD chart: 1.1834 .. and this EURUSD chart ...: -15 pips September 14., 2020; Mon. --------------------------------- Look for this EURAUD chart: ... and this EURAUD chart ...: +84.5 pips; September 15-16., 2020; Tue.-Wed. -------------------------------------------- Look for this EURAUD chart: -7 pips; Look for this EURAUD chart: +5.5 pips Look for this EURAUD chart: ... and this EURAUD chart ...: +38 pips ... and this EURAUD chart ...: +0 pips (scratch) Look for this AUDJPY chart: +52 pips Look for this EURUSD chart: -18 pips Look for this Nasdaq100 chart: +89 points; ... and this Nasdaq100 chart ...: +243.50 points; Look for this GBPJPY chart: +28 pips ... and this GBPJPY chart ...: -12 pips September 17., 2020; Thur. ---------------------------------- Look for this Nasdaq100 chart: Look for this AUDJPY chart: ... and this AUDJPY chart ...: +32.5 pips Look for this AUDUSD chart: ... and this AUDUSD chart ...: +30 pips Look for this AUDUSD chart: 0 pips (scratch) September 18., 2020; Fri. ------------------------------- Look for this Nasdaq100 chart: +198.75 Look for this USDJPY chart: +19 pips ------------------------------------------------------ Futures Totals: ------------------ Nasdaq100 E-mini Total: +561.50 points; Forex Totals: ---------------- EURAUD: +121 pips AUDJPY: +84 pips EURUSD: -32 pips USDJPY: +19 pips GBPJPY: +16 pips ------------------ Total: +208 pips ----------------------------------------- For the purposes of this Live Trading exercise, we have used $50,000 USD of our own funds. All of the trades, placed above, involved: - 2 ea. Nasda100 E-mini contracts (2x $16k margin); - 4-6 (Full sized) Forex lots ($4k-$6k margin); --- Basing the results on the $50,000 actual capital used, the one week (135 hours) long Live Trading session(s) resulted in: $21630 in Net Profit, or = 56.74% Net Return on Capital. (hence, the title of this post.) ========================================================================================================== p.s. BTW, this does not mean that we will repeat this "exercise" - as in live posting -, right away, this coming week :-) Good luck out there!
ICEUS:DX1!Education
by Nemo_Confidat
4
Risk-To-Reward-Calculation with Key-Components.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello Traders Investors And Community. Welcome to this educational idea about the risk-reward-calculation in position trading with the 5-Key-Components determined. Today's markets constantly changing and adapting and in such environments, we need to stick to a systematic trading approach to have the long term goals realized and do not fall apart of market-making and smart money operators, when considering position-trading there are some important steps in acquiring the long-term-success we should take apart when calculating the right risk in comparison to our capital and other key-steps to measure what trading is the best for ones individual trading-system to achieve the aims we desire. Therefore I contributed the 5-Key-Components inevitable to measure one's risk-to-reward in the market and best applied in a functional trading-system. 1.) The 5 Key Position-Trading Rules 2.) Acknowledging Risk Aversion 3.) Risk-To-Reward-Calculation 4.) Risk-Reward-Ratio vs. Winrate 5.) Possibilities of Success and Ruin ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) The 5 Key Position-Trading Rules 1. First Rule: Do not hold the position longer than necessary: It is important to choose a trading-system which has good entry timing and the right opportunities to exit therefore it is the best to be in the market when volatility increases and takes profit at the important levels to not hold the position unnecessarily longer. 2. Second Rule: Aim to make as much as possible by risking as little as possible: When trading we should advance by making the most of what we have at hand, today's markets offer options with leveraged trading which can work also with smaller percentages of the deposit at hand, in this case, the leverage should be calculated right. 3. Third Rule: Only risk a small amount of capital on any trade executed: It is commonly under beginner traders to risk a high percentage of the total deposit, this is a fatal mistake as the risk grows exponentially, to achieve security of the deposit in the long-run, the maximum risk per trade should not be more than 10% from the deposit, best is 0.5-2%. 4. Fourth Rule: Don't come to the situation to meet margin calls: This means you should avoid being marginally called on any occasions, when this happens there is evidence that the trade was too risky and the stop-loss better be placed before the margin call, when it happens, it should be a time to review your trading-system. 5. Determine the maximum drawdown for every trade in advance Before every trade you should measure how your position size with the stop-loss will possibly take a drawdown in the deposit. When the risk is too high then the smaller position should be preferred, when it is still too risky than a bigger account will be a good option. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2.) Acknowledging Risk Aversion This is a very important step in determining ones individual trading-systems, as traders act differently to circumstances some traders are risk-averse and others are risk-seeking, this means how the trader is reacting to risk and how much the individual would risk receiving a return. In the graph, you can see that the lesser your capital is the higher your risk-seeking, you are more ready to risk something averagely when your capital is lower, this diminishes the higher your capital is, there are different risk preferences reaching from extreme risk averter to extreme risk seeker. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3.) Risk-To-Reward-Calculation In the big table in my chart you can see the risk-to-reward calculation and the values in it, the first value is the risk meaning how much you want to risk in the particular trade coming to the second value, the return is what you get in return on your trade. For example, you want to buy bitcoin at 15000 and have set the target at 15010, by the technical analysis you have determine a stop-loss at 14500, this will be a highly risky trade as you are risking to lose 500 points comparison to 10 points. The best trades are in the green section on the table beginning with trades where you gain 2 and risk 1, these trades should be the aim and preferred, the breakeven ratio determines how much trades need to go in breakeven to be long-time profitable. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4.) Risk-Reward-Ratio vs. Winrate This rate is showing you how your trading develops by time, when you have a good winrate this means you are closing many of your positions in a profit on the other side when this winrate is low you closing too many positions in a loss and often be unprofitable in the long-run. What determines an excellent trader now as it is marked in the chart is when the average risk-reward ratio is high and the winrate also, this means you close many of your positions in a profit and also with the proper risk-reward-ratio. On the middle of the chart is the threshold determining low and high, you can also be profitable when your risk-reward is high and your win rate low or in reverse, what should definitely be avoided is when both the winrate and ratio are lows this means you have to adapt your trading-system for sure. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5. Determine the maximum drawdown for every trade in advance This is a simple but very effective and important graphic showing the likelihood traders have for a point of ruin and how much the risk of ruin in comparison to it is, meaning when your deposit is at a level on which there is no longer possibility to continue. This graphic shows that when your capital is more your risk of losing it diminishes, on the other side when it is low the possibility for losses is more as the capital is not big to stand the losses, this is a groundstone knowledge in determining the trading-system together with risk. The graphic shows that the higher your deposit is the better you can take the risks in comparison and the lower it is the higher is the risk of losing more, this is why it is important to combine the risk together with a solid portfolio. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Alright, these where the 5 key-components to determine risk in markets accordingly, traders should always look for the individual situation and where the journeys should lead, therefore it is important to determine the risks in comparison to rewards which I bundled into the 5 Key-components necessary determining the risk-management in ones trading-system, these components can be combined applied, or single integrated into ones trading-system. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ In this manner, thank you for watching , support for more tutorials and a good day! "Good luck is when opportunity meets preparation." Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
29
The Butterfly Pattern, Tutorial (Basic)The Butterfly pattern, is a harmonic pattern discovered by Bryce Gilmore using his Wave trader software program. The pattern structure was further refined using specific Fibonacci levels by Scott Carney which he outlined in his book 'The Harmonic Trader', published in 1998. The Butterfly pattern must include an AB=CD pattern to be a valid signal. In general, the AB=CD Pattern will possess an extended CD leg that is 127.2% or 161.8% of the AB leg.
Education
by Cryptsyxalt
1
The difference - Double Top & Head and ShouldersHello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** What Is Double Top and Bottom? Double top and bottom patterns are chart patterns that occur when the underlying investment moves in a similar pattern to the letter "W" (double bottom) or "M" (double top). Double top and bottom analysis is used in technical analysis to explain movements in a security or other investment, and can be used as part of a trading strategy to exploit recurring patterns. $$$ What Is a Head And Shoulders Pattern? A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Saeed966
8
Risk management in trading €$¥Hello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** What is market risk? Market risk is the capacity for your trades to result in losses due to unfavourable price movements that affect the market as a whole. There are several factors that can cause market risk, but movement in any of the following can exert major pressure: Stock prices Interest rates Foreign exchange rates Commodity prices What is liquidity risk? Liquidity risk is the possibility that you may be forced to trade an asset at a worse price than you anticipated. For example, when trying to sell an illiquid stock you may struggle to find a buyer, meaning that you have to sell your stock for less than its current market value. In some markets, liquidity risk can even mean that your trade negatively affects the price of the asset you are buying or selling. This is generally more of an issue in emerging or low-volume markets, where there may not be enough people in the market to trade with. How to manage your risk Risk management is the process of identifying, analysing and reducing risk in your trading decisions. Usually, it involves developing a trading plan that helps you decide what to trade, when to trade and where to place your stop losses. Here are three tips on how to manage risk: 1. Assess risk vs return In general, trading strategies focus on weighing up a trade’s potential risk against its potential return. If a trade has greater risk, it should carry the chance of a greater return to make that risk worthwhile. For example, government bonds are considered a safe, low-risk investment – but when compared to corporate bonds, they offer lower rates of return. This is because the risk of investing in a corporate bond is higher, so to compensate for the added risk investors are offered a higher rate of return. 2. Understand each market’s risks It’s important to ensure you understand the factors that influence different markets, so you can base your dealing strategies on relevant information. Improve your success rate by learning more about the markets you’re dealing on and exploring new strategies. Our trading skills section is a great place to learn about all the markets we offer. 3. Keep learning Learning to trade successfully while managing your risk is a continual process – and one of the best ways of ensuring that you are always improving is by starting a trading diary. By keeping track of which trades and strategies have worked in the past, you can build on your successes and learn from your failures.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Saeed966
6
Head and shoulders typesHello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** The head and shoulders chart pattern is a popular and easy to spot pattern in technical analysis that shows a baseline with three peaks, the middle peak being the highest. The head and shoulders chart depicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal and signals that an upward trend is nearing its end. The pattern appears on all time frames and can, therefore, be used by all types of traders and investors. Entry levels, stop levels and price targets make the formation easy to implement, as the chart pattern provides important and easy to see levels.
Education
by Saeed966
8