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Harmonic Patterns

IDEA!CHALENGGreetings, dear friends. I wanted to share with you an interesting idea regarding chart labeling. Instead of labeling the chart, I suggest focusing on your trend line and channel. My analytical tools include the Elliott wave principle, harmonic patterns, chart patterns, and the simple yet powerful trend line. I appreciate all of my companions and followers who support my ideas. It is my hope that the information I provide may be useful to you. Thank you for all of your support and encouragement. Warm regards, Mr. Nobody, with two years of experience
Education
by mehdi47abbasi79
1
STMX Thank you for the usdt- KnowledgeLets look at stmx and we are going to see how u trade the swing high. Now most of the coins I send are at the bottom waiting for the pump (more profit) but if u want to trade a pump this is what u look for: You will notice that stmx is forming higher highs, you then want to find a position, Look for a period of consolidation on a support level in this case this was 0.00466, 40 hrs of consolidation testing support level 9 times. That is my first entry point. I included another trade i sent in the bottom which will demonstrate this methodology The second entry point for those who like to trade pump is on the breakout and retest, you will see we broke out and retested the trendline for 3 hours, then the pump. I presume everyone knows the right way to draw a trendline. That is it basically, You need to hunt for trades that are "boring" and trade into the excitement. I included another trade i sent in the bottom so u can see this trading method on a trade i sent
Education
by UnknownUnicorn39347201
Fibonacci-Based Moving Average Trading StrategyThe Fibonacci-Based Moving Average Trading Strategy is a simple yet effective approach to trading that utilizes three exponential moving averages (EMAs) with periods based on Fibonacci numbers (5, 8, and 13). This strategy aims to capitalize on price trends and generate profits with minimal risk in any timeframe. The choice of using Fibonacci numbers (5, 8, and 13) for the EMA periods is based on their close association with the Fibonacci sequence, which is known for its prevalence in nature and financial markets. These specific numbers are believed to enhance the strategy's ability to capture key market movements. The strategy involves waiting for the EMA 5 to cross the other two EMA levels (8 and 13). When the EMA 5 crosses above the EMA 8 and EMA 13, it generates a buy signal. Conversely, when the EMA 5 crosses below the EMA 8 and EMA 13, it creates a sell signal. The trader will enter into a position accordingly and hold it until a signal against the prevailing trend is generated. By following this strategy, traders can take advantage of trends and ride profitable price movements while keeping risk to a minimum. The use of EMAs based on Fibonacci numbers provides an added layer of insight and precision to identify potential entry and exit points. It's important to note that no trading strategy is foolproof, and markets can be unpredictable. While this strategy is relatively straightforward, it's still crucial for traders to exercise caution, manage risk appropriately, and consider other factors such as market conditions, price patterns, and fundamental analysis when making trading decisions.
Education
by Impulse_Signals
Scott Carney's "Deep Crab" & the Fields Medal in MathematicsQ: What does the former have to do with the later? A: The intuition in the former (S. Carney) is born out by the later (A. Avila; Fields Medal - 2014) From Scott Carney's website; --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Harmonic Trading: Volume One Page 136 The Deep Crab Pattern™, is a Harmonic pattern™ discovered by Scott Carney in 2001. The critical aspect of this pattern is the tight Potential Reversal Zone created by the 1.618 of the XA leg and an extreme (2.24, 2.618, 3.14, 3.618) projection of the BC leg but employs an 0.886 retracement at the B point unlike the regular version that utilizes a 0.382-0.618 at the mid-point. The pattern requires a very small stop loss and usually volatile price action in the Potential Reversal Zone." --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- From Artur Avila's Fields Medal Citation; --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Artur Avila is awarded a Fields Medal for his profound contributions to dynamical systems theory, which have changed the face of the field, using the powerful idea of renormalization as a unifying principle. Description in a few paragraphs: Avila leads and shapes the field of dynamical systems. With his collaborators, he has made essential progress in many areas, including real and complex one-dimensional dynamics, spectral theory of the one-frequency Schrödinger operator, flat billiards and partially hyperbolic dynamics. Avila’s work on real one-dimensional dynamics brought completion to the subject, with full understanding of the probabilistic point of view, accompanied by a complete renormalization theory. His work in complex dynamics led to a thorough understanding of the fractal geometry of Feigenbaum Julia sets. In the spectral theory of one-frequency difference Schrödinger operators, Avila came up with a global description of the phase transitions between discrete and absolutely continuous spectra, establishing surprising stratified analyticity of the Lyapunov exponent." --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The connection here, as it is related to the specific "Deep Crab" harmonic pattern in trading, between intuition and general, analytical result, is illustrated somewhat simplified (but without distortion). In essence, Avila has shown that in dynamical systems, in the neighborhood of phase-transitions in the case of one-dimensional (such as: Price) unimodal distributions, after the onset of chaos, there are islands of stability surrounded nearly entirely by parameters that give rise to stochastic behavior where transitions are Cantor Maps - i.e., fractal. From that point it is an obvious next step to generalize to other self-affine fractal curves , such as the blancmange curve , which is a special case of w=1/2 of the general form: the Takagi–Landsberg curve. The "Hurst exponent"(H) = -log2(w) , which is the measure of the long-term-memory of a time series . Putting it all together, it is not pure coincidence that a reliable pattern (representation) emerges from intuition (observation) which proves to be a highly stable (reliable) pattern that is most often the hallmark of a near-term, violent transition.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by Nemo_Confidat
Smart Money Liquidity Grab Or Shift In Market Structure?Look at the Us30, and GBPUSD charts attached to this post, what do you see???? OANDA:GBPUSD OANDA:US30USD GBPUSD Do you see a shift in market structure or Liquidity grab by smart money algorithm? In financial market trading, one key to determine where the liquidity that the market will run next is located is to ask yourself who are those making money from the current move.... Where are they likely to trail their stops to. Whatever your answer is, that is the liquidity the algorithm will most likely run first to continue in the intended direction... In the charts examples attached to this post, market was bullish, then the smart money algorithm drive price lower to break the recent and obvious recent swing low to take out all the sell stops below that low, and induce new traders to go short thinking that the market is now bearish. But price rebalance in imbalance below the lows and then push higher. That is a smart money liquidity grab not shift in market structure. With this understanding, you should now be able to understand that not all structure shift in a bullish or bearish market is a shift in market structure. The majority are liquidity grabs by smart money algorithm. Like my idea? Give a like to this post and drop your comment. For more updates, give me a follow, you can also Dm for further enquiries.
OANDA:US30USDEducation
by Elijahenoch7
Shift In Market Structure Or Liquidity Grab By Smart Money????Look at the Us30, GBPUSD and EURUSD charts attached to this post, what do you see???? GBPUSD Do you see a shift in market structure or Liquidity grab by smart money algorithm? In financial market trading, one key to determine where the liquidity that the market will run next is located is to ask yourself who are those making money from the current move.... Where are they likely to trail their stops to. Whatever your answer is, that is the liquidity the algorithm will most likely run first to continue in the intended direction... With this understanding, you should now be able to understand that not all structure shift in a bullish or bearish market is a shift in market structure. The majority are liquidity grabs by smart money algorithm. US30
Education
by Elijahenoch7
How To Use Time Frame Combination For Swing Trading OANDA:NZDUSD OANDA:EURUSD Hello Traders, This video will show you how to use time frames and combine them for swing trading from a higher time frame to a lower time frame. I use recent NZDUSD and EURUSD move to frame swing trade opportunities from a higher time frame to a lower time frame. I hope this video helps you. Don't forget to give me a like and a follow for future updates. If there is anything you want me to cover, drop a comment on it.
Education
by Elijahenoch7
Target reached! Crude Oil ReviewPrice bounced strongly above the 67.31 support level towards our take profit target - but how did we do it? Join Desmond in this analysis review where he covers the reason why this setup worked nicely. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
FX:USOILEducation
by FXCM
Target Reached! XAGUSD ReviewPrice reversed strongly from our resistance level to the support level at 22.20. But how did it happen? Join Desmond in today's analysis review to have a quick recap on the elements that led to this strong reversal. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
FX:XAGUSDEducation
by FXCM
Target Reached! EURAUD ReviewPrice bounced perfectly from our confluence support level and reached our target. But how did it happen? Join Desmond as he reviews how we managed to forecast the reversal with such a high degree of accuracy. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
Education
by FXCM
Rising wedgeA rising wedge in an up trend is usually considered a reversal pattern. This pattern is at the end of a bullish wave, by creating close price tops, shows us that the supply has intensified and there is a possibility of a trend change. Of course, nothing is certain and if the buyers are more willing and strong, this pattern may be broken in the direction of the market rise. A rising wedge in the middle of a downtrend, is considered a corrective move and is known as a continuing pattern. For example, take a look at the above chart of Ethereum on the weekly time frame
Education
by Dealerify_HUNTER
Target reached! GBPUSD ReviewPrice bounced off the 1.2683 support we identified and rose nicely to our take profit target at the 1.2832 level. In this review, we touch on why we used the 1.2832 level and not the swing high at 1.2850 - a lot of this is down to trade management and take profit placement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
Education
by FXCM
Target Reached! USDCHF ReviewPrice reversed beautifully from the sell entry level we forecasted at 0.8988 and has reached the take profit target of 0.8908. The important lesson here is to place your take profit before a key level (vs right at the key level). As you can see in this video, price touched the TP level and took off in the other direction - just missing this crucial bit of information would have been potentially costly. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
Education
by FXCM
What is the EMA? How to use EMA most effectively!What is EMA? EMA or Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that is based on a weighted exponential formula that is more responsive to changes recent prices, compared to a simple moving average (SMA) that only applies equal weight to all periods, helping the EMA to smooth the price line more than the SMA. What signals does the EMA provide to traders? Moving averages offer a significant benefit by offering clear insight into price trends. In other words, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cannot exceed or remain above the price line unless the price is increasing. Similarly, it cannot be below the price line if the price is not actually decreasing. This is crucial for traders as it provides a distinct and reliable indication of the price trend, avoiding any ambiguity. The trend is essential in helping traders identify entry points. The EMA will become a dynamic resistance, because it moves in the direction of the price, which means where the price goes, the EMA will follow. Become dynamic support and resistance levels (these resistance levels can be used to compare the trendline, support and static resistance lines). From here will look for entry points, stop loss and take profit points. Identify price trends. Which EMA should be used most appropriately? EMA 9 or EMA 10: This number represents a two-week period of trading, making EMA9/EMA10 commonly used for short-term transactions. EMA 34/EMA 89 are used to align with the primary waves as per the Elliott wave theory. EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 200 are closely associated with trading sessions. Over the course of a year, we can typically trade for around 200 days, accounting for holidays and breaks. EMA50 represents the medium term, corresponding to the four seasons in a year, with each season having approximately 50 trading sessions. Similarly, EMA 20 represents the month. Some traders also utilize the 250 EMA in addition to the 200 EMA, believing that 250 represents the number of trading days in a year. EMA100 is a commonly chosen EMA due to its round number value. Round numbers are often seen as psychological barriers in trading. Compare trendline with EMA: As mentioned earlier, EMA is another way to identify trends, just like the trendline. To better understand this concept, the trendline can be seen as a fixed resistance. Once you draw a trendline, it will act as a reference point for the price. On the other hand, EMA is a dynamic resistance. It moves along with the price line. Unlike the trendline, EMA closely follows the price line because it is calculated based on the price itself. This makes EMA more accurate in showing the trend. It can clearly indicate whether the price is above or below the EMA. Some notes with EMA: - When the price surpasses or falls below the EMA, but then retreats below it again, it indicates a strong downtrend or uptrend. - If the price strays too far from the EMA, it is advisable to wait for it to correct itself and return to the EMA before considering any trading actions. - Fast EMAs or short period EMAs are more sensitive to price movements compared to slow EMAs, but they are also more prone to breakdowns. This can be advantageous as it allows for early trend identification compared to the SMA. However, the EMA is likely to experience more frequent short-term fluctuations compared to the corresponding SMA. - EMAs act as dynamic resistance levels that consistently track the price line. - The EMA is not primarily used for pinpointing exact tops or bottoms. Instead, it assists traders in aligning their trades with the prevailing trend. - The EMA always has a delay, making the SMA more useful in sideways markets, while the EMA is more effective in clearly trending markets. Thank you @TradingView !
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Sphyn-Trader
19
Educational: Quick, What are Fractals?You've probably heard before "The markets are fractal" and you probably was not sure what that meant What is a fractal? Fractals are complex geometric patterns that exhibit self-similarity at different scales. In other words, they are intricate shapes that contain smaller copies of themselves, regardless of the level of magnification. Fractal in financial markets are often mistaken for Williams fractal indicator. They are not the same . Fractals have applications in various fields, including mathematics, physics, computer graphics, and art. They have also been used to model and study complex natural phenomena, such as the branching patterns of trees, the distribution of galaxies, the structure of coastlines, and even the behavior of financial markets.Fractals are utilized in financial markets to illustrate the notion that patterns observed in the market transcend timeframes and remain consistent. In essence, the behavior exhibited on a 1-minute chart is also on a daily chart. Below is a good example of a fractal pattern at different scales. Lets bring this back to the financial markets. Without cheating. I want you to go ahead and try to guess which of these charts is a daily chart. Have your answer ? Okay good. Well as it turns out they are all the same chart at different scales. They are all actually a 1Hr chart of US30. See image below. Once I removed the scale and price there was no way for you to tell what chart or timeframe you were viewing. In fact I could have provided you with any data plotted as a candlestick and you would not know what data it is. Because the same patterns exist on all timeframes regardless of scale. So the next time someone says. The daily timeframe is more smooth and less choppy, understand that there is "some" truth to that but only in the sense of the daily timeframe is less prone to anomalies such as news events that might cause a sudden spike on the chart but on a long enough timeframe that spike can also occur on the daily timeframe. Now the next time you hear someone say "The markets are fractal" you will understand. Note that this is a far more complex topic but this is just a quick summary
PEPPERSTONE:US30Education
by ChristopherDownie
WHY TRADERS LOSE MONEYhello traders, today we will talk about WHY TRADERS LOSE MONEY TVC:DXY TVC:DXY BIAS WHAT IT MEANS… HOW IT INFLUENCES TRADERS Availability People estimate the likelihood of an event based on how easily it can be recalled. Traders put too much emphasis on their most recent trades and let recent results interfere with their trading decisions. After a loss, traders often get scared or try to get back to break even. Both mental states lead to bad trading quickly. After a win, many traders get over-confident and trade loosely. You must be aware of how you react to recent results and trade with a high level of awareness. Dilution effect Irrelevant data weakens other more relevant data. Using too many tools and trading concepts to analyze price could weaken the importance of the core decision drivers. I wrote about redundant signals and how to combine the right tools here: click here Gambler’s fallacy People believe that probabilities have to even each other out in the short term. Traders misinterpret randomness and believe that after three losing trades, a winning trade is more likely. The probabilities don’t change based on past results. Even after 10 losses in a row, the next trade does not have a higher chance of being a winner. Anchoring Overestimating the importance of the first available piece of information. Upon entering a trade, people set their whole chart and analysis in reference to their entry price and don’t see the whole picture objectively anymore. You must always have a plan BEFORE you enter a trade. Insensitivity to sample size Underestimating the variance for large and small sample sizes. Traders too often make assumptions about the accuracy of their system based on just a few trades, or even change parameters after only a few losers. A decent sample size is 30 – 50 trades. Do not alter anything about your approach before you have reached this number. And make sure that you follow the same rules to get an accurate picture of your trading within the sample size. Contagion heuristic Avoiding contact with objects people see as “contaminated” by previous contact. Traders avoid markets/instruments after having a large loss in that instrument, even when the loss was the fault of the trader. Hindsight We see things that have already occurred as more probable than they were before they took place. Looking back on your trades and fishing for explanations why the trade has failed, even though those signals weren’t obvious at the time. Do not change your indicator or setting after a loss to come up with explanations or excuses. Accept that losses are normal and always follow your plan. Hot-hand fallacy After a successful outcome on a random event, another success is more likely. Traders believe that once they are in a winning streak, things become easier and they can “feel” what the market is going to do next. I wrote about the hot-dand-fallacy in trading before: click here Peak–end rule People judge an event based on how they felt at the peak of the event. Traders look at a losing trade and only see how much they were in profit at the maximum, but don’t look at what went wrong afterwards. Do not change your reference point when in a trade and have a plan for your trade management and when to exit before entering a trade. Simulation heuristic People feel more regret if they miss an event only by a little. Price that missed your target only by a little bit, or a trade where you got stopped out just by a few points can be more painful than other trades. The outcome is out of your control and you cannot influence the price movements. The only thing you can do is manage your trade within your rules. Social proof If unsure what to do, people look for what other people did. Traders too often ask for advice from other traders when they are not sure what to do – even when other traders have a completely different trading strategy. You must take responsibility for your actions and results. And not rely on someone else. Framing People make decisions based on how it is presented; a gain is more valuable than a loss and a sure gain is more valuable than a probabilistic greater gain. Traders close profitable trades too early because they value current profits more than a potentially larger profit in the future. Cutting winners too soon is a huge problem. If this is an issue for you, reducing screen time can be helpful. Do not watch your trades tick by tick. Sunk cost We will invest in something just because we have already invested in it. before Adding to losing trades because you are already invested, even though no objective reason to add exists. You must define your stop loss in advance and then execute it without hesitation when it has been reached. Confirmation Only looking for information that confirms your beliefs, ideas and actions. Blanking out reasons and signals that don’t support your trade and just looking for confirmation. Especially when traders are in a loss, they only look for supportive information. Stay objective! Overconfidence People have a higher confidence than what their level of skill actually suggests. Traders misjudge their level of expertise and skill. Consistently losing traders don’t see that it’s their fault. Analyze your results objectively and get a trading journal to add even more accountability. Selective perception Forgetting those things that caused discomfort. Traders forget easily that their own mistakes and wrong trading decisions caused the majority of their losses. Do not blame the marjets, unfair circumnstances, your broker or any other outside event. You are the one who is responsible for making it work. It’s totally up to you and blaming others won’t help you make progress. Which bias is the one that is causing you the greatest troubles? What are you workin on right now? Let me know in the comments below and I will answer with tips and ideas on how to overcome your struggles. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by moneyhacksrwanda
3
How To Use The XABXD Pattern ?The term "xabcd pattern" is commonly used in technical analysis, specifically in the field of harmonic trading. It refers to a specific price pattern that is believed to have predictive value in identifying potential market reversals. The xabcd pattern is based on the Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, which are ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence (a sequence of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding ones). The pattern consists of four key points labeled as x, a, b, and c, forming specific ratios between these points. Here's a breakdown of each point in the pattern: 1. Point X: This is the starting point of the pattern and represents the beginning of a significant price move. 2. Point A: This marks the end of the initial price move and is usually a retracement of the XA move. Point A is typically at the 0.618 or 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the XA move. 3. Point B: This represents a retracement of the AB move. Point B is typically at the 0.382 or 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the AB move. 4. Point C: This marks the completion of the pattern. Point C is usually at the 1.272 or 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the AB move. The xabcd pattern suggests that once point C is reached, there is a higher probability of a market reversal in the opposite direction. Traders who use harmonic patterns like the xabcd pattern look for these formations on price charts and use them to anticipate potential trend reversals. They may enter trades based on the completion of the pattern, placing stop-loss orders below or above the pattern's points to manage risk. It's important to note that while harmonic patterns can be a part of a trader's toolkit, they are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies. It's recommended to study and practice extensively before relying solely on any specific pattern for trading decisions.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by pratikratadia
2
The ABCD Pattern: from A to DHello dear @TradingView community! Are you familiar with the ABCD pattern? The ABCD pattern is a highly effective tool utilized in trading to identify potential opportunities across diverse markets, including forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. This pattern takes the form of a visual and geometric arrangement, characterized by three consecutive price swings or trends. When observed on a price chart, the ABCD pattern exhibits a striking resemblance to a lightning bolt or a distinctive zig-zag pattern. Importance of the ABCD Pattern The significance of the ABCD pattern lies in its ability to identify trading opportunities across different markets, timeframes, and market conditions. Whether the market is bullish, bearish, or range-bound, the ABCD pattern remains a reliable tool. By recognizing the completion of the pattern at point D, you can get a perspective trade entries. Furthermore, the ABCD pattern helps you determine the risk-to-reward ratio before initiating a trade. When multiple patterns converge within the same timeframe or across different timeframes, it strengthens the trade signal and increases the likelihood of a profitable outcome. Finding an ABCD Pattern The ABCD pattern has both a bullish and bearish version. Bullish patterns indicate higher probability opportunities to buy or go long, while bearish patterns suggest opportunities to sell or go short. To identify an ABCD pattern, it is essential to locate significant highs or lows on a price chart, represented by points A, B, C, and D. These points define the three consecutive price swings or legs of the pattern: the AB leg, the BC leg, and the CD leg. Trading is not an exact science, so traders often employ Fibonacci ratios to determine the relationship between the AB and CD legs in terms of both time and price. This approximation assists in locating the potential completion of the ABCD pattern. When patterns converge, it increases the probability of successful trades and enables you to make more accurate decisions regarding entries and exits. Types of ABCD Patterns There are three types of ABCD patterns, each having both a bullish and bearish version. To validate an ABCD pattern, specific criteria and characteristics must be met. Here are the characteristics of the bullish and bearish ABCD patterns: 📈 Bullish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (buy at point D): To effectively trade the bullish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics: 1. Find AB: Identify point A as a significant high and point B as a significant low. During the move from A to B, ensure that there are no highs above point A and no lows below point B. 2. After AB, then find BC: Point C should be lower than point A. In the move from B up to C, there should be no lows below point B and no highs above point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB. 3. After BC, then draw CD: Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be lower than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new low. During the move from C down to D, there should be no highs above point C. 4.1 Determine where D may complete (price): To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price. 4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation: For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form. 5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence: Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align. 6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg: As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%. 📉 Bearish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (sell at point D): To effectively trade the bearish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics: 1. Find AB: Identify point A as a significant low and point B as a significant high. During the move from A up to B, ensure that there are no lows below point A and no highs above point B. 2. After AB, then find BC: Point C should be higher than point A. In the move from B down to C, there should be no highs above point B and no lows below point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB. 3. After BC, then draw CD: Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be higher than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new high. During the move from C up to D, there should be no lows below point C and no highs above point D. 4.1 Determine where D may complete (price): To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price. 4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation: For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form. 5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence: Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align. 6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg: As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%. 💜 We would love to hear your feedback! Did you find the article on the ABCD pattern helpful? We strive to provide valuable and informative content for traders like you. Your feedback is important to us as it helps us improve our articles and better serve our readers. Please take a moment to share your thoughts and suggestions. Did the article cover the topic comprehensively? Were the explanations clear and easy to understand? Is there anything you would like us to add or elaborate on? We appreciate your time and input. Thank you for being a valued reader, and we look forward to hearing your feedback!
Education
by Vestinda
11
Samuel Benner Cycles, Stroke of Genuis?I'm not going to say much here, the chart speaks volumes in my opinion and is a stroke of genius. It begs the question, is it a self fulfilling prophecy? Possibly, but then you would have to find out, how many people know about this chart? My initial guess would be less than 1% of the population. The next question would be, who are they? are very wealthy? can they influence markets ? Honestly it doesn't matter, non of it does. The important thing is to take the information as it is and add it to your knowledge base. Note, He even signed the document in 1875. Kind regards WeAreSat0shi
TVC:DJIEducation
by WeAreSat0shi
3
Trading With the Three Drives PatternHarmonic patterns are known for their ability to provide effective trade setups. The Three Drives pattern is no different, and in this FXOpen article, we’ll delve into what this pattern is, how to identify it, and explore some of the best strategies for trading it. Introduction to the Three Drives The Three Drives pattern, sometimes referred to as the 3 Drives pattern, is a technical analysis tool used to identify potential reversal points in price movements. Traders look for three consecutive, symmetrical bullish or bearish legs, known as drives, with the third point marking the completion of the formation. The Three Drives is classified as a harmonic pattern and is closely related to the ABCD pattern. However, whereas the ABCD is made up of two legs and one pullback, the Three Drives consists of three legs and two pullbacks. As a result, it can be slightly trickier to find than the regular ABCD chart formation. Still, many traders consider it to have a higher degree of accuracy when predicting trend reversals, so it’s worth learning how to recognise this pattern. Identifying the Three Drives At its most basic, the pattern is identified by a series of higher highs and higher lows (bearish) or lower highs and lower lows (bullish). Specifically, it features three consecutive, symmetrical drives and two retracements. The drives are typically marked 1, 2, and 3, and the retracements are noted as A and B. Like other harmonic patterns, the Three Drives is confirmed using Fibonacci ratios. Thankfully, its rules are fairly simple. They are: - A retraces drive 1 by 61.8% or 78.6% - B retraces drive 2 by 61.8% or 78.6% - Drive 2 is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of retracement A - Drive 3 is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of retracement B Additionally, for best results, the pattern calls for the time each drive takes to form to be roughly the same. This also applies to the corrective phases. As with many harmonics, being flexible with the rules may help you distinguish more opportunities. Often, the Three Drives will work without perfect symmetry or the ratios lining up exactly. That’s not to say you shouldn’t aim for it to meet the rules as precisely as possible, but you can allow a bit of leeway if the overall formation looks correct. If you want to try your hand at finding the Three Drives, you can use the TickTrader platform. It’s free to use, and you’ll find built-in Three Drives and Fibonacci retracement tools that’ll help you plot the formation, just like we’ve used in the bearish Three Drives forex example above. Using the Three Drives Pattern for Trading Once you have identified the pattern, it’s time to put it into action. Note that these steps don’t just apply to forex trading; you can use them with whatever asset you prefer to trade. Entries You have two options for making an entry here: with a market order or a limit order. Some traders set a limit order at the 127.2% or 161.8% extension of B, where the third drive is expected to begin reversing. However, while this strategy may result in pinpoint entries, it also makes setting stop losses difficult, as you’re entering before the price has started to reverse. Waiting for price action confirmation might make setting stops much easier but can result in a worse risk/reward ratio. You could try waiting for signs of reversal with candlestick patterns like shooting stars, hammers, or engulfing candles before entering with a market order. Stop Loss If you choose to wait for confirmation, you can just set your stop above the highest point for a bearish Three Drives or beneath the lowest point for a bullish setup. If you’re using a limit order at 161.8%, you could try setting a stop beyond the 170% or 175% extension of B, which would invalidate the setup. You could do something similar if entering at 127.2%. Take Profits Your profit target here is quite flexible. You could choose to exit at a specific risk/reward ratio, like 1:2 or 1:3. Some look to take profit at the 61.8% retracement of the whole pattern, i.e., using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the start of the first drive and the end of the third drive. Alternatively, you could also use the Fibonacci extension tool to find the 127.2% or 161.8% extensions of the entire formation and set a profit target at either level. Bullish Example Here, we can see the roughly symmetrical 3 Drives pattern in the forex market that prompted a significant reversal. Following the massive engulfing candle, a market order would’ve gotten traders into a decent trade. Bearish Example In this example, we see a much larger pattern. While the final drive ended up slightly beyond the 161.8% area, the symmetry and almost perfect retracements to the 61.8% levels indicate that the pattern was likely to play out as expected. Traders could’ve entered at the projected 161.8% extension of the second retracement with a stop above the 170% level to secure an excellent risk/reward ratio. Your Next Steps By now, you should have an understanding of the Three Drives pattern and how to recognise it. If you’re wondering what to do next, you can try following these steps: 1. Practice identifying the formation on historical charts. You can use TickTrader to help with this. 2. Once you become more familiar with the pattern, start formulating a strategy. You could try backtesting a few setups to see how well your system works. 3. You can open an FXOpen account and test your strategy in live markets to refine your approach. 4. Read up on related topics, like harmonic patterns and Fibonacci retracements, to expand your knowledge. These four steps may put you in good stead when it comes to trading the Three Drives chart formation for real. Happy trading! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
Education
by FXOpen
6
🌲 How Music Truly Influences Traders 🌲 Hello TradingView Family In This Post we will talk about Music Analysis in Trading, unraveling its potential to enhance trading experiences. Whether you're a Seasoned Trader in need of fresh Insights or a Trading Newbie aiming to fine-tune your game, we'll uncover how music can groove with your day trading activities. *Some Tips : Having a Good Diet is Really Helping you, Especially Eat some Banana & Broccoli 🍌 🥦 Before Trading. `LET'S GET STARTED ` ⛵🎶 FIRST SESSION : HARMONIC EMOTIONAL RESILIENCE. 🌲🌷🎶 Emotions and trading go hand in hand, but did you know that music can be a secret weapon? It's true! By harnessing the power of catchy tunes, traders can level up their emotional intelligence and keep their cool even when the market gets wild. Picture this: you're in the midst of a rollercoaster ride with your trades, and suddenly, a melody starts playing. It's a feel-good tune that instantly lifts your spirits and brings a smile to your face. That's the magic of music! By creating a playlist full of uplifting and calming tracks, you can create your personal sanctuary in the world of trading. When things get tough, and stress is at its peak, music becomes your anchor. Those soothing melodies gently wash away anxiety and stress, giving your mind the clarity it needs to make rational decisions. And if you need an extra boost, energizing and motivational tracks can pump up your mood, boost confidence, and ignite your inspiration. So, remember, in the world of trading, don't underestimate the Power of Music. Adding a little rhythm to your trading routine can work wonders! By grooving to some tunes, you can tap into your Inner Zen and keep their emotions in check. No more impulsive actions driven by fear or greed – just disciplined and strategic moves. And hey, music isn't just for the soul, it's for the portfolio too! Positive vibes make for a more enjoyable and fulfilling trading experience. So crank up the volume and let the melodies boost your Emotional Intelligence. Create an atmosphere of emotional well-being and Mental Resilience, leading to better trading performance. Who knew Trading could be so Harmonious? SECOND SESSION : UNDERSTANDING PSYCHOLOGY OF MUSIC 🧙🏻‍♂️ Music wields a profound sway over the human psychology. The selection of music exerts a tangible influence on a trader's mindset and emotional state,. Diverse genres like melodies, and rhythms evoke a plethora of emotional reactions. Consider, for instance, that lively and dynamic compositions can instill motivation and positivity, while tranquil and soothing Harmonies induce Relaxation and Sharpened Focus. By astutely handpicking music that aligns with the desired trading mindset, you can exploit the psychological impact of sound to your advantage. During periods of intense market volatility when Scalping or Day Trading, Calming Melodies can Reduce Anxiety. Conversely, during Backtesting in the Market Reading News, Reviewing Trades Invigorating Melodies can Invigorate Attentiveness and Reduce Boredom. Moreover, music has the ability to create a sense of familiarity and comfort. By consistently incorporating specific tracks or playlists into the trading routine, you can develop a conditioned response, signaling the brain that it is time to enter a focused and alert state for trading activities. Ambient Sounds or Instrumental Tracks can also be Beneficial in Creating an Immersive Trading Environment. Nature sounds, or Instrumental Music without lyrics can help drown out distractions and enhance concentration, enabling traders to maintain a deep level of focus on Market Analysis, Backtesting and Decision-making. Understanding the Psychology of Music allows you to use music as a tool to Manage Emotions, Reduce Stress, Boost Confidence, and Maintain a Disciplined Mindset Throughout your Trading Sessions. 🧙🏻‍♂️ FINAL SESSION : TOP DOWN IN MUSICAL ANALYSIS 🌲🌷🎶🎶🦜🌲 Just like conducting a Top-Down Analysis in trading, you can apply a similar approach to Musical Analysis. Intrigued? Let's groove on! Start your trading day by shaking off that sleepiness with an energizing track that kicks your motivation into high gear. Let the beats and melodies set a Positive tone, preparing your mind to tackle the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. And hey, this strategy works for real-life challenges too! When it's time for Analysis and Backtesting, instrumental music or tracks with minimal lyrics are your go-to jams. These tunes help you concentrate and keep distractions at bay. They create the perfect soundtrack for diving deep into market data and making those well-informed decisions that can lead to success. But what about After Take Profit or Stop Loss, Reviewing Trades or Reading Some Data & News? Well, it's time to switch gears and select calming melodies or ambient sounds. These soothing tunes create a serene atmosphere that promotes clear thinking. Take a mindful approach to evaluating your trading performance, reducing stress, and gaining a fresh perspective on areas for improvement. Now, here's where the real fun begins: experimenting with different genres, styles, and rhythms! Classical music might strike a chord with some, while others groove to electronic or ambient tunes. Find the music that resonates with your trading style and preferences, enhancing your overall trading experience. So, embrace the beat, let the music be your guide, Remember, it's not just about numbers; it's about finding harmony in your trades and enjoying the process along the way. CONCLUSION 🧙🏻‍♂️🌲 By choosing the perfect tunes that sync with your trading style and personal taste, you can create a Zen Trading Atmosphere that boosts Focus, Concentration, and your overall Mood. The Rhythm and Genre of the Music can influence your energy Levels and establish a groove that complements your Trading activities. Don't be afraid to explore various music genres, styles, and rhythms to discover the melodic landscape that clicks with your trading goals. Adapt your musical selection to different phases of your trading routine, leveraging its power to cultivate the right mindset for each activity. Just remember, music is more than just background melody—it's the secret ingredient to your trading experience. And Wishyou Good and Profitable Weeks, I Love Writing this Post, If You Care Please Drop A Boost Button!! 🚀 Happy trading, and may the rhythm be with you!! See You - 🦜🌷🌲 Amazing Free to Use Image By : Indigo Blackwood
NASDAQ:MULNEducation
by Zestiria
1