Important for any new futures traders!Going to keep this simple here.
The price of bitcoin has sky rocketed these past few months. During the spring & summer time a few hundred dollar move in price would be crucial!
Now the price of BTC is lingering around 50,000. Those small movements that where only a few hundred dollars are now thousands.
👉 My point here is that anyone using anything above 5x Leverage is critically risking there portfolio.
💀These shake outs & wicks are future traders death call.
📈 Lets took a look just recently when BTC had closed above its critical resistance level at around 49,400.
Many individuals had purchased or over leveraged thinking price will move up after confirmation. (Bull trap)
On average the price shifted down about 3%. Anyone more then 20x leverage would have for sure gotten a margin call or suffered liquidation.
👇👇👇
My point is price is too high for individuals to think that over leveraging will yield them higher returns.
Trade futures with risk management and the correct way.
The reasons exchanges offer up to 100x leverage is so they can make money.
Harmonic Patterns
Fibonacci Retracement and Extensions Imagine a Box that's being fired everytime market makes a swing.
Multiples of boxes of bear/bull. That is what fib is 0 to 1.
Many people say "So its going to go up or So its going to go down?" well answer to that is BOTH.
They are always fighting and more often than naught one will break and other one will move on to its multiplier.
Pretty simple and powerful stuff.
Bitcoin (Gann Fan) Tutorial BasicsGann fans are a form of technical analysis based on the idea that the market is geometric and cyclical in nature. A Gann fan consists of a series of lines called Gann angles. These angles are superimposed over a price chart to show potential support and resistance levels.
🌀 The Gann Fan was developed by W.D. Gann.
🌀The Gann Fan is a series of angled lines. The user selects the starting point and the lines extend out into the future.
🌀Gann believed the 45-degree angle to be most important, but the Gann Fan also draws angles at 82.5, 75, 71.25, 63.75, 26.25, 18.75, 15, and 7.5 degrees.
🌀The Fan is started at a low or high point. The resulting lines show areas of potential future support and resistance.
The Difference Between a Gann Fan and Trendlines
The Gann Fan is a series of lines drawn at specific angles. The 45-degree line should extend out 45-degrees from the starting point. A hand-drawn trendline connects a swing low to a swing low, or a swing high to swing high, and then extends out the right. The trendline is matched to recent price action and is not drawn at a specific angle.
Step By Step - Application;
Gann is a popular tool & has many resources available online - This breakdown was just a quick look into how to apply them.
Please feel free to send questions below.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
5 trading lessons from 5 years of losing1-consistent set actions
-Your action must be consistent
-inconsistency leads to inconsistent results
-what are your goals from trading
2-money management
3-model success
4- Emotion management
5- Trader Psychology
if you are interested any crypto that you want analyze with me and any questions please do not hesitate and comment below the chart!
if u like it press like-comment and folow me.thx
Using Harmonic Pattern Completions to Set Direction of TradeIn this short Tutorial I discuss using Harmonic Pattern Completions on Higher timeframes to give you direction of a trade. Then moving down to a day trading timeframe and using the xbratalgo to give signals in the direction dictated by the Harmonic Pattern. And then using the Divergence Cloud to confirm trade. I used Silver Futures as an example in this video, but the strategy is the same for stocks, forex and cryptocurrency.
I hope this helps
5 Brutal Trading Truths Nobody Tells You1-you need money to make money
2-steep learning curve
3-in a drawdown most of the time
4-don’t have what it takes
-trading takes time,energy and resources
-few people stay
5-must have an edge
if you are interested any crypto that you want analyze with me and any questions please do not hesitate and comment below the chart!
if u like it press like-comment and folow me.thx
Bearish Gartley Pattern - The Warning SignHello, dear subscribers!
Let's consider the most common bearish sign which can be founded on the market - the bearish Gartley formation.
This pattern takes place when there was a huge dump like from point X to point A. After that we have the small bounce from A to B, but the decline continue from B to C. There is a massive growth almost to the the X point level (see point D) at the end of this price action.
It seems that the downtrend is over and bulls dominate again. We can see two signs of the new uptrend beginning: the higher lows (point C is higher than A) and highs (point D is higher than B).
Here is a big danger now. Until the price is not reached the X point level, the bearish Gartley pattern formation can play. If the Gartley pattern have approximately the same characteristics as numbers on the chart there is the high probability of price dump to the price level between points A and C.
Be very careful when you analyze the trend reverse opportunity, this bearish sign can take place.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
BTC and the pi algo top predictor? In this video, we go into great detail describing the theory of the pi indicator, Fibonacci multipliers, and how these 2 alone could show how tops were predicted in the past and potentially the upcoming top. This is the stuff people would kill to know ahead of schedule. I would urge you to play with the math behind this.
As above, so below and there is nothing new under the sun...
Volume Profile and Losing Trades (A Cool Trick Explained) 💪Hello guys,
trading it not just about taking winners. Losing trades are also part of the business and there is no point denying it. In my trading career, I took hundreds of losers (maybe even thousands) and I feel no shame in that.
Today, I would like to talk about a recent losing trade which I had on USD/JPY.
Let me first talk about the logic behind this trade – the reason why I took it.
The logic behind the trade
In the last week of 2020, there was a zone where heavy volumes got traded. It was at 103.53.
This was the Point Of Control (POC) of the whole week – this means the heaviest volumes throughout that week got traded there.
From this place, the price went sharply downwards which indicated that there were strong sellers present and that they entered most of their Short positions at that POC (103.53).
The idea behind my trade was to wait until the price reaches this Weekly POC again and enter a Short trade. I expected the sellers that entered their Shorts at the POC would defend this area and to push the price downwards from there again (this setup is called the “Volume Accumulation Setup“.
That didn’t happen tough…
How the trade went?
I went Short fro 103.53, but there was no selling reaction whatsoever and the price just shot past the level. I took a loss there.
After that it was time for me to shoot a Daily video for members of my trading course. In that video I talked about this losing trade and I said that if there was a pullback to the same level (103.53) it would be a nice place to open a Long position.
Why I said that?
Reversal Trade
There were two reasons why I wanted to take a Long from there.
The 1st reason was that there was a very strong, volume-based trading level (Weekly POC) breached. This is quite unusual, because such a strong level as Weekly POC should trigger a reaction!
The 2nd reason was that the price just shot through the Weekly POC without ANY sort of reaction. This is important, because it indicates that the Buyers were so strong and aggressive, that the Sellers didn’t stand a chance.
You usually discover the strength too late (after you had taken a Stop Loss) – like in this case, but you can still emerge a winner from this, if you switch sides and join the winning party.
The best way to do it is to wait for a pullback to the same level you entered your previous trade. Don’t chase the market. Wait for it to come to you.
Then enter a new trade, but this time in the opposite direction.
In this case, the first trade was a Short which failed, and the second trade was a Long (from the same level) after a pullback, which was a winner.
I call this a “Reversal Trade“. Those work best if a very strong level based on a Volume Profile setup fails, and when there is no reaction to it whatsoever. Those are two main conditions to remember.
I hope you guys found this helpful. Let me know what you think in the comments below.
Happy trading!
-Dale
EUR/AUD Buy Trade Education ReviewHere I'd just like to go over a great buy position on EUR/AUD.
We know the pair is in a long term downtrend. This doesn't mean we can't take intraday buys on the pair providing we target sensible levels.
Here we are highlighting how a trendline can be utilised as dynamic resistance. The fibonacci level drawn from our 1hr swing low to high shows that our 0.764 level coincides with our descending trendline and adds confluence to the buy position. Never trade off fibonacci levels alone, but as confluence and to help you manage trades they are absolutely fine.
We can see our sensible target is the previous 1hr swing high.
5 TRADER'S MISTAKES IN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND PRICE ACTIONThe ability to interpret candlestick patterns and patterns gives us the key to understanding price movements. Once you learn how to read charts, you can trade any instrument in any market.
From a technical point of view, everything seems to be as simple as possible. Why then most traders can't get stable profits? Of course, everything can be put down to lack of experience or an inoperative trading strategy. Trading psychology also plays a big role. Many problems arise due to lack of patience and discipline. Traders often tend to overcomplicate their market analysis.
I have therefore compiled a list of the five most common mistakes in technical analysis and price action:
1 MISTAKE - LEVELS ARE DRAWN BY CANDLESTICK BODIES, NOT BY THEIR SHADOWS
Cutting off candlestick shadows when making key levels is one of the most common mistakes.
Notice the picture to the left - how the levels on the chart cut off several candlestick highs and lows. When you cut off candlestick shadows in this manner, you limit your ability to successfully trade on trend lines. Not only will you have difficulty identifying the breakout, you will also have difficulty identifying the right entry point.
Now take a look at the chart to the right - here is an example of how we were supposed to draw a channel, how perfectly the support resistance levels match the highs and lows of the candlesticks.
The difference between the two charts above may not seem like much. But all the nuances lie in the details.
2 MISTAKE - TRADING ON PRICE PATTERNS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
Being able to find price action patterns is great, but the patterns themselves often mean nothing.
Many traders try to trade price patterns and patterns before they have even formed, hoping to enter the market at the best price.
3 MISTAKES - TRADING ON SMALL TIMEFRAMES
Most traders want to make trades and profit every day. However, professional traders know how important it is to stay out of the market and wait for the right trading opportunities. They are extremely selective in opening trades and risk their trading capital with utmost caution.
Most beginners prefer lower timeframes, because then they have the opportunity to trade more often. They believe that the more trades they make, the more money they can make. But in trading more trades doesn't mean more money.
When it comes to technical analysis, the big timeframes will always give better signals. In doing so, they filter out most of the market noise. In other words, they smooth out price movements. This is especially true during periods of increased volatility.
4 MISTAKE - IGNORING SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS
I am referring to key levels that have been formed by the market regardless of the pattern you are trading.
By being aware of all critical levels in the path of price movement, we can make decisions to close or hold a position based on logic rather than emotion.
Therefore, always mark support and resistance levels first before entering the market.
5 MISTAKES - TRADING ON BAD OR UNCLEAR PATTERNS
What do I mean by bad or unclear patterns?
In a nutshell, they are patterns that are not immediately apparent. If it takes you more than a couple of minutes to find a pattern on a chart, it's probably not worth trading.
Even if you have only been trading for a month and haven't yet studied all of the price action patterns, you should still be able to find price patterns in minutes.
Why do you NEED a diaryMy philosophy is based on simplification.
I believe that reducing a problem to its fundamental parts helps us to better interact with them, and by being fundamental, our results are maximized.
It's like fixing a room. It is no use spreading our attention to details such as the type of lamps while neglecting the underlying problem, which can be a large coat of paint or an unforgivable hole in the ceiling. If habitability could be classified in points, at the same time invested, we will earn many more points by fixing the block earlier than by reflecting on the type of light in the bulbs.
Of course everything must be dealt with, but trading has a lot of variables, and most importantly, a lot of emotionality. Investing in the stock market notably activates the limbic part of our brain, and it robs the neocortex of prominence, making it more difficult to identify problems with this emotional blindness. Therefore I think that we must minimize the variables to the most important to maximize our attention in each one of them.
But to reduce trading to the fundamentals, the person must first be analyzed to identify the root of their problems.
Does the person have adequate knowledge? Perhaps he has good technique in theory but the execution is not good, or his problem lies in the situation of keeping an open operation, something very common, since our survival instinct makes us exit the market at the minimum profit opportunity, without having Keep in mind that this profit must cover the losses we have until the next profit occurs. The reverse is also very common, people who had carried out an analysis and the price has overflowed negatively, but are unable to close the operation because they do not want to accept having lost, and finally the price continues in that direction contrary to their analysis, causing them to lose a lot more money.
As much as when going to the doctor, advancing in the trading career requires identifying what individual problems you have and applying the appropriate remedies, that is, working on the weaknesses.
For this, it is essential to review the operations at a time and draw conclusions, and for this it is essential to keep a daily trading journal, preferably in a physical notebook, of each day of operation, so that it can be reviewed each end of the trade. week and progressively correct mistakes and enhance what already works for us, to avoid committing them again and spending years going around in circles.
I personally use a physical notebook for a lifetime. I do it this way for various reasons, and although in principle it can be argued that it is much more practical to write it on a computer, with the option of uploading it to the cloud and accessing it from anywhere, each person works in a different way, and I, After trying in virtual and physical, I have decided on physical, because it works better for me personally. The reasons I have, again I stress very personal, are the following:
- I usually use the computer a lot so I always end up with a desk full of documents, shortcuts, stickers of ideas that come to mind ... keeping a diary requires discipline, and added to the fact that I am quite clueless, if I do not have a notebook There are times when I don't even remember writing it when I open the operations. However, when I have the notebook next to the computer and always in my range of vision, I never forget it.
- Writing with a pen requires more time than using a computer. I learned to type and can type at high speed on the keyboard, however writing on the notebook is much slower.
This, far from being a disadvantage, I see it as a great advantage, since as I write I have more time to reason it, so it is easier to reach conclusions as it is written and that the result has more value for later analysis.
- It is easier for me to add graphic parts to the written part. When I write when I open a trade, I always tend to draw more or less the shape of the price it has at that moment and indicate with an arrow my entry point and stop loss. This could be done on a computer and then added to the text document if it is made virtual, but it seems faster and easier to me to just stop writing and draw it.
- Writing in a physical notebook is totally private, they will never be able to sneak a virus into you and steal your information if you write it on paper.
As you can see, virtual or online is not always the best for everyone.
That said, the way I keep my journal is as follows:
- The first thing I do is write the date.
- I write the time and the market symbol of the trade I have opened, the why, and then I draw more or less the current price and the stop loss level.
- On Sunday I review every week. What I do is start with the first trading day of that week and see what the price really did. I write the newspaper in blue, and the weekly review in red: I draw in red more or less the price movement that happened after the operation.
I also write if I was right or wrong. If I was correct, I see if I could have won more and to what extent. If I have failed I analyze why. I finally draw a conclusion, if there is one, and move on to the next day. Sometimes the only conclusion is that simply the price movement has gone against and no sense can be found, so I assume it as an irreparable statistical loss.
After the page of the last day of that week, I write the date and a title with "reflections of the week", and I write again all the conclusions that I have drawn each day and then I make a final reflection on those conclusions to see if You may see a pattern of behavior or technical failure that may change for the following week.
As you can see, I am very methodical when it comes to my trading, and this has helped me greatly to polish mistakes that I could not have realized if I did not keep a journal. In the day to day of life many things happen that can distract you and sometimes keep you making very absurd mistakes, that if you had reviewed your operation a little, you would have quickly realized.
For these reasons I believe that anyone who boasts of having results in this business must realize that it is necessary and make an effort to create this habit.
Introduction to Auto Harmonic Pattern Recognition SoftwareA quick guide for my New Auto Harmonic Pattern recognition and trading software. Particular attention to all the settings and adjustments that traders have to adjust the colours and look of all of the functions of the indicator.
Examples on Futures, Forex and Crypto