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Harmonic Patterns

Improve Forex TradingWhen I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation? It was a full-blown mystery...🤯 Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView. Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation. And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬 That is so funny I guess. But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading. What exactly is the confirmation? It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples. 1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION That is actually what I prefer. Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch. Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from. But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted? I wish it could be that simple... Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else. Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues. Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation. Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ... Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly. Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy. 2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE". With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions. The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing. 3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool. However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get. The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true. The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs. And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience. At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis , the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger. 4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading. Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity. For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations. Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators. What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐 I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble. Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
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Education
by fxpremiere
22
Impulse concept practiceI got this concept from EuroMotif and his amazing research on fibs. I'm putting this here to see if I nailed the concept. I took the top of bitty and plotted an impulse down. I also marked some fib pings along the way. Based on his concept, there should be a major reaction once it hits the zone I've marked as the impulse, particularly the impulse core around 56,400K and 59,600K. Assuming that the bottom of the zone is cleared, there should be an strong drop from the impulse core level, as the bears have max strength in this range. However, if the bulls are able to flip the impulse zone from resistance to support, bitty should take off from the top of the impulse zone. I put arrows to show what I think might happen. These arrows are just speculation, as I'm still learning all this stuff. Actually all of this is speculation but I digress... If the bulls eventually take the top of the impulse and bitty goes for a new ATH, I'm still stickin to that 72 or 74K target for the next move. This number comes from one of my earlier ideas playin with fibs. The eth one I did far surpassed the 2200 target from my earlier fib practice, so I'll see how it goes...
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by odshlomo
1
Bitcoin made a pull backA pullback is a pause or moderate drop in a stock or commodities pricing chart from recent peaks that occur within a continuing uptrend. A pullback is very similar to retracement​ or consolidation, and the terms are sometimes used interchangeably. The term pullback is usually applied to pricing drops that are relatively short in duration - for example, a few consecutive sessions - before the trend resumes. What Does a Pullback Tell You? Pullbacks are widely seen as buying/selling opportunities after a security has experienced a large upward/downward price movement. For example in an uptrend market, a stock may experience a significant rise following a positive earnings announcement and then experience a pullback as traders with existing positions take the profit off the table. The positive earnings, however, are a fundamental signal that suggests that the stock will resume its uptrend. Most pullbacks involve a security’s price moving to an area of technical support, such as a moving average or pivot point, before resuming their trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RoohSur
Afghanistan’s Fall And Its Possible Impact On The Global FinanciAfghanistan has been thrown into turmoil over the past few days, and the effects of the fall of the government could go beyond the local market and affect the global financial markets also. Taliban Takes Control Of Kabul The biggest news in the world over the past few days is the Taliban taking control of Kabul and effectively replacing the Afghanistan government. The uncertainty comes after the United States and its allies withdrew their troops from the Middle Eastern country for the first time in a decade. United States President Joe Biden decided earlier this year that the country would be pulling its troops from the Middle Eastern country for the first time since they were deployed after the 9/11 attack. According to the president, the US has spent over a trillion dollars, and it has achieved its objective in the country. However, the Taliban didn’t take long before completely overrunning the Afghan military and gaining control of major territories in the country. The group took control of Kabul, the nation’s capital, with President Ashraf Ghani fleeing the country on Sunday evening. The Taliban took control complete of the presidential palace and declared that the war is over. The Afghan situation has escalated over the past 24 hours, with thousands of people looking to flee the country due to the uncertainties of Taliban leadership. The airports around the country are flooded with thousands of people seeking to leave the country while millions more are at the passport offices looking to process their Visa and flee. The turbulent environment in Afghanistan is definitely going to affect the local market, but the international markets would also be affected. Local And International Markets Could Be Affected By The Situation In Afghanistan There is no factor that negatively affects the financial markets like the uncertainty of investors. Following the recent unrest and the toppling of the president, the investor confidence in Afghanistan could drop to an all-time low. Millions are looking to flee the country, and this implies that virtually all aspects of the economy are not working. If people are worried about leaving the country, they won’t settle down to do their jobs, and this will negatively affect the economy. With economic activities currently down, it is only right that the financial markets are down also. Furthermore, some foreign countries such as Germany are starting to pull their people out of the country. Investors, but foreign and local, will have little interest in the Afghan financial markets at the moment, and this would have both short and medium-term effects on the economy. If the Taliban remains in power, many investors will pull out of Afghanistan as they would not be sure of the working conditions under the new Islamic leadership. On the global stage, the financial markets would also be affected. So far, the effects of the unrest in Afghanistan are already visible in other parts of the world. Financial market indices are down, with investors keenly watching to see how the world leaders would react to the situation. The FTSE 100 dropped by 0.90% today, while the STOXX Europe 600 also lost 0.50% of its value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIJA) and the S&P 500 are also down by 0.065% and 0.23% so far today. The NASDAQ composite is another major index that is currently trading in the red zone, and it is down by 0.74% at the time of this report. This means that most of the major global financial market indices are trading in the red zone over the past 24 hours. The performance paints a clear picture of the current state of the financial markets and what investors are feeling. Joe Biden is expected to make an address regarding the situation in Afghanistan later today. His speech could play a huge role in how the financial markets would perform over the next few days. This is because most of the other major world leaders would be looking to the United States to determine the next line of action. The next few hours and days would be interesting as the progress in Afghanistan could shape the performance of the financial markets globally. This article was originally posted on FX Empire
SP:SPXEducation
by MiguelFTCurado
1
Head and Shoulders PatternThis is just one example that we mustn't expect perfection. If everything were perfect everyone could be billionaire and to be one could be so much easier. Should we expect life to be easy? I think it would be boring. Hahaha. A little challenge is good for us, when we put in diligent effort to learn something and achieve some measure of success we become proud of ourselves, deep inside we praise ourselves for accomplishing something. Trading is not easy as the books portray it, it was designed not to be easy, but if we take time to learn it we can make it a bit easier for ourselves and the rewards that comes thereafter are much greater. Trade Smart! Do not forget to like, share, comment and follow if you enjoy my ideas. I will be thankful!
Education
by Forexintelligence_NA
2
Best Candlestick Patterns Long Wick (Shadow) Candle: Buyers or sellers tried to push the price further but failed The inside bar: After a long wick could mean price change Also engulfing is a reversal signal. Momentum candle: Multiple rejections: Good resistance and sign of price rejection and reversal Shrinking candles: Loss of momentum 3 consecutive candles in the same colour: indicate the start of a new trend. Big red candle: bearish Doji: Open and close are similar and we have shadows on both sides. Can be a signal for reversal if the next candle shapes in a different colour from the previous one. Hammer: bullish Inverted hammer: bearish
Education
by apadanaforex
A technique from 1202 - Really? images Who was Fibonacci? Fibonacci (1170 – c. 1240–50), also known as Leonardo Bonacci, Leonardo of Pisa, or Leonardo Bigollo Pisano was an Italian mathematician from the Republic of Pisa, considered to be "the most talented Western mathematician of the Middle Ages". Fibonacci popularized the Hindu–Arabic numeral system in the Western world primarily through his composition in 1202 of Liber Abaci (Book of Calculation). He also introduced Europe to the sequence of Fibonacci numbers, which he used as an example in Liber Abaci. You may have seen this? This is what’s called the Golden ratio. I am not looking to go into depth on Fibonacci use cases, spirals, fans, arcs, circles, wedges and channels. However, it was important to mention so you can go away and do your own research on Fibonacci beyond this “welcome to” post. Why is this useful for trading? The Fibonacci sequence is quite possibly the most used tool in trading stocks, Forex, Commodities and even crypto. In mathematics, the Fibonacci numbers, commonly denoted Fnuch that each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting from 0 and 1. However, you are probably more familiar with Fibonacci extension and retracement levels. It’s all based on the same logic. Fibonacci numbers appear unexpectedly often in mathematics, so much so that there is an entire journal dedicated to their study, the Fibonacci Quarterly. Applications of Fibonacci numbers include computer algorithms such as the Fibonacci search technique and the Fibonacci heap data structure, and graphs called Fibonacci cubes used for interconnecting parallel and distributed systems. They also appear in biological settings, such as branching in trees, the arrangement of leaves on a stem, the fruit sprouts of a pineapple, the flowering of an artichoke, an uncurling fern, and the arrangement of a pine cone's bracts. Just look at this image once more! So what? The fact that these numbers appear in nature, it has clearly been adopted in art and architecture – this is due to the human desire for pattern recognition. It’s built into our DNA, the fact that we as a collective want to identify such patterns, will in fact drive charts. I have written articles on Elliott Waves - which again is quite possibly one of the biggest use cases for Fibonacci, definitely an easy way to see the powers at work. Here’s a link to one such article; How to use Them? If you have been trading for some time you are most likely familiar with Fibonacci techniques, if you are new, here is some basic logic to get you started. As mentioned above there are several tools for Fibonacci, as a new trader I would suggest only looking at extensions and retracements to start you off. Retracement These levels often work well as support and resistance, you will find opportunities to enter on pullbacks (retracements) against the overall trend. Common levels here are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50% (although it’s not technically a real fib level, another topic for another time) then of course the 61.8% and the 78.6%. How to draw these on the chart – you are looking for 3 points let’s assume A,B & C. You are looking for A to be at the start of your trend. Often this will be a swing low or high. Let’s assume we are looking at an uptrend and we want to see the pullback. A would be placed here as above. The next step is to use the extension tool and click A and drag to point B as below; and the pullback level; Now we have a move A to B we can start to look for areas of interest, in this example we can see the pullback was to the 38.2% level. Some people are critical on the levels, for me I like it to tag the level and if it goes a little deeper then I still like it, if it doesn’t tag the level I would round it down to the lower level. Meaning if it fails at say 37.9% I would like to still think of it as only the 23,6% fib level. But there is no hard and fast rule on this. Now this gives me A and B with a 38% pullback for C. One way to trade using this could be a simple Buy at the break of B with a stop “Below” C Not telling you this is what you should do, it’s just one method some do use. Obviously, you could increase the stop and put it under A instead. Difference between Retracement and Extensions? The data you gather by assessing the pullback becomes valuable when looking for potential targets, so whilst we used 2 touch points (A & B) for getting the retracement level, the most accurate extension forecasting tool would be to use all 3 (A, B and C). Although it can also be done by using only A and B as well, It’s another one of those not so clear rules. Whilst the retracement tool gives us the pullback, the extension will give us some target areas. Let’s start with the simple (not my preferred) method; This is known as the extensions – 2 points (A, B) drag the curser from A to B and click and then back to A and click off. With this method you will notice in your back-testing those areas of interest will often be at the 61.8% of the A to B move. This means if A + B = 100, then the target would be around 161-2. Also, the 100% of the A-B move giving a target example of 200 and lastly the 1.618 level. Giving a target of 261-2 level. Again, no hard fast rule. This is just something seen over and over again. Expansion levels To start with go from A to B with the extension tool and pullback to C and click off. Assume you are using @TradingView Much like the Extension you will notice similar characteristics of the moves up (in this example of the uptrend) Something interesting I mentioned above this is a great tool to use alongside Elliott Waves, here’s an example of how this works and can fit into the charts. In this image above we use the same A point as a starting point, B becomes the 1 and 2 becomes the C. We can then work the Fibonacci extension & expansion levels to determine where 3 is likely to go. And then we can use the retracement for the pullback for (4) as well as new extensions for the projection of the 5th wave. A few months back, I wrote an article here on tradingview on the psychology on the charts, it’s worth highlighting that here. Click the link/image to view the article; Nothing is 100% certain, but using these methods will help give you a better understanding of waves and swings, logic for pullbacks and reason for extension levels. I hope this helps someone out here! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
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FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
134
Price Channel Trading StrategyCharacteristics: Channels are banded current trend-following indicators. Similar to other indicators they lagging. They have an upper and a lower line. Upper and lower bands are at equal distance from a middle line. The area between the upper and lower lines in the channel. Signals: The upper or lower line breakouts. The upper and lower lines bounce backs. Channels can be seen in trendy or sideways markets. Different types of channels will be discussed in other videos like: Donchain Channels Keltner Channels Fibonacci channels . .
KRAKEN:LTCUSDEducation
by apadanaforex
ONE OF MY FAVORITE MATHEMATICAL TRADING SETUP ONE OF MY SIMPLE & SOLID MATHEMATICAL TRADING SYSTEM 1 ) SMS : shift of market structure . 2 ) BOS : Break of structure . 3 ) RTO : Retest of order block . 4 ) psychology behind the numbers . ( possible lequidity area ) 5 ) Fibonacci number confirmations . 6 ) check COT data ( what big banks & institutions are doing ) 7 ) place position with proper risk management rules 8) TARGET last low that create BOS & -27.2 of previous leg.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by okako_trading
Is your money worth reading "maybe´s"Hello Trenders, Been thinking a lot to or to not publish this signal. Many of you expect a deep on global level, therefore I here show you some mathematic forecast. This may not be the end of the world, yet it is far worse than the most downbeat forecasts. The evidence to support this outlook is in plain sight. Some sixth-grade math is a good place to begin the analysis. Make 2019 economic output 100 (the actual figure is $22 trillion; “100” is 100 percent of that number; a convenient way to measure ups and downs). Assume output drops 20 percent over the second and third quarters of 2020 (many estimates project larger drops; 20 percent is a plausible if conservative estimate). A 20 percent drop for six months equals a 10 percent drop for the full year, assuming the first and fourth quarters are flat on net. A 10 percent drop from 100 = 90 (or $2.2 trillion of lost output). Since 1948, U.S. annual real growth in GDP has never exceeded 10 percent. Since 1984, real growth has never exceeded 5 percent. The highest-growth years since the end of World War II were 8.7 percent in 1950, 8 percent in 1951, and 7.2 percent in 1984. An assumption that real growth will occur in 2021 at a 6 percent annual rate is a generous if unrealistic assumption. Such growth would qualify as a Vshaped recovery. If our new base is 90 (compared with 100 in 2019) and we increase output by 6 percent in 2021, this brings total output to 95.4. If we enter 2022 with the new base of 95.4 and increase that base by 4 percent (so, 95.4 × 1.04), we come to 99.2 in total output by the end of 2022. Here’s the problem. Using 100 as a baseline for 2019 output, and assuming 6 percent real growth in 2021 and 4 percent in 2022 (rates of growth that have not happened on an annual basis since 1984), the economy does not get back to 2019 output levels. The hard truth is that 99.2 < 100. Source : The new great depression (2021). What about if we really have a second wave harder then the first with mutatied covid? I want to add, is not my intention to spread panic or "maybe´s" but the study got my attention. Even the legends will have trouble surviving if this happen. So how can a trader survive in this case condition by trading as only source of income??? Perhaps agricultural commodities will always perform....
SP:SPXEducation
by DeFontain
1
The Golden Days are for Celebration My indicators are clear and straightforward...high and low pay more attention to the Elliott 3 wave you'll see the zigzag gives a clear indication of the direction. High and Low movements so becareful when you place your orders to carefully pay close attention to the DIRECTION right now it either you trade to make money 💰 or you support your favorite commodity. But Smart Investor knows when to wait and observe. Trading is made easy all you need to do is keep it simple to complicate it, once again don't pay too much attention to news especially about the positive and negative side of trading they will mislead so that their bosses can make more money than you do. Remember this is business by the way...always apply your understanding first, revisit the chart basics and fundamentals then you'll be safe and OK.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Insight_Trades
1
Newest layout and maybe my best one yet!This layout has everything you'll need for price action trading. All custom settings with included indicators. ( Trendlines, pivot points, bollinger bands, RSI Divergence, VMC-Cipher, Money-Miner with custom settings and bar colors. - This setup is absolutely awesome for scalping and intraday trading. It only has useful moving averages and indicators and everything flows together almost seemlessly. Enjoy!! --CryptoSavvy Link to chart setup - www.tradingview.com
Education
by clardonald20
Inverted cup with handle: identification guidelines Feature Discussion Rounded turn Look for a smooth, rounded curve (an inverted cup), but allow exceptions. Cup rims The two cup rims should reach the bottom at close to the same price. Cup handle To the right of the cup there should be a handle. The cup's recoil handle should not rise above the top of the cup, but often tracks 30% to 60% above the height of the cup. Confirmation The pattern is confirmed as valid when the price closes below the right edge of the glass.
Education
by RNiedson
3
Unique Pattern BTCThis is the strongest Bitcoin Pattern. Its called the Ladel Pattern, and it Starts when BTC reaches All-time high. The Ladel pattern has been consistently appearing at every major all-time high of BTC. And the accuracy of this pattern is pretty high as you’ll see in this video. People are used to “One Size Fits All Patterns”. The ladle pattern is proof that each Currency/Stock does have their own unique patterns that cannot be found in the traditional textbook pattern list.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MoonBets
9