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Harmonic Patterns

Opening Range Breakout StrategyOpening range breakout is something that I use daily for almost all of my plays. Its very simple. If the high or the low of the first five minute bar is broken. Take an entry in the way the stoke broke. I have seen soooo much success with this strategy. There is much more that goes into it like stop losses and where to take profits. Those will all be explained in further tutorials. also this strategy is not at all a swing trade strategy, this is purely a day trade strategy that is only used in the morning as the market is opened. I challenge you guys to go through charts yourself and look for opening range breakouts. Also note this works best on the 5 minute chart. Hope you guys see as much success as I do with this very useful strategy!!!
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by MindOverMarket
understanding 5-0 harmonic patterns-2It can be seen that a harmonic 5-0 made in 30 min time frame which was a bullish 5-0 pattern, failing to sustain at the support .50 retracement a plunge in price action seen which was too fast like the previous example where it becomes extremely difficult to react so fast to decide except to book a loss as fast as possible. it is requested to you all who are viewing this article to view with the previous 5-0 pattern to get a clear idea about the 5-0 patterns. However I am once again mentioning the 5-0 pattern rules. What is the 5-0 harmonic pattern? Just as it is with the shark pattern, the 5-0 harmonic pattern is a relatively new pattern. Carney discovered it and wrote about this pattern in the second book in his harmonic series, ‘Harmonic Trading: Volume Two’. The 5-0 pattern is easily one of the wonkiest looking patterns. Depending on the amount of knowledge you have about harmonic patterns, the 5-0 will look different, and this is mainly because the 5-0 pattern begins a 0. If you are familiar with seeing XABCD, then 0XABCD will undoubtedly look different. The patterns are relatively new but are getting more popular lately. It stands out from the other harmonic patterns because it is meant to begin a new trend rather than discover retracement. There are two types of this pattern, bullish and bearish. The convergence zones discovered with the help of the shark pattern makes it possible for us to accurately detect the rebound but doesn’t necessarily lead to the restoration of the previous trend. On the other hand, regular rollbacks aim to determine the ability of the forces dominant on the market in the previous period (bears or bulls) to get the initiative back to their disposal. If they are not sufficient, the last reversal of the previous trend occurs, but already within another pattern – 5-0 harmonic pattern. How to identify the 5-0 pattern? The 5-0 pattern begins with either an uptrend or a downtrend which gets exhausted and draws zigzag like corrective movements. The qualities of the 5-0 pattern to look at include: AB movement has to be 1.13 to 1.618 retracement of XA. BC movement has to be 1.618 to 2.24 retracement of an AB. CD movement ought to be 0.5 retracements of BC C should be between 0.886 and 1.13 of 0X movement If the conditions are satisfied, some traders trade the last leg of CD. They entering at C with a stop below 2.24 of AB retracement and aiming at 50 percent correction of BC movement. The 5-0 harmonic pattern is traded when the price is getting to point D. The stop-loss is positioned a few ticks below/above the farthest possible D level. Unlike a lot of the other patterns, 5-0 doesn’t have specific targets because it usually begins a new trend. Here the pattern fib ratios don’t matter much. Entries might be done with a limit order or on price reversals away from point D. All entries have to be confirmed for risk/reward ratio. Entries having less risk/reward have to be taken cautiously or discarded altogether.
NSE:AUBANKEducation
by Somanathrout
2
understanding harmonic 5-0 patterns What is the 5-0 harmonic pattern? Just as it is with the shark pattern, the 5-0 harmonic pattern is a relatively new pattern. Carney discovered it and wrote about this pattern in the second book in his harmonic series, ‘Harmonic Trading: Volume Two’. The 5-0 pattern is easily one of the wonkiest looking patterns. Depending on the amount of knowledge you have about harmonic patterns, the 5-0 will look different, and this is mainly because the 5-0 pattern begins a 0. If you are familiar with seeing XABCD, then 0XABCD will undoubtedly look different. The patterns are relatively new but are getting more popular lately. It stands out from the other harmonic patterns because it is meant to begin a new trend rather than discover retracement. There are two types of this pattern, bullish and bearish. The convergence zones discovered with the help of the shark pattern makes it possible for us to accurately detect the rebound but doesn’t necessarily lead to the restoration of the previous trend. On the other hand, regular rollbacks aim to determine the ability of the forces dominant on the market in the previous period (bears or bulls) to get the initiative back to their disposal. If they are not sufficient, the last reversal of the previous trend occurs, but already within another pattern – 5-0 harmonic pattern. How to identify the 5-0 pattern? The 5-0 pattern begins with either an uptrend or a downtrend which gets exhausted and draws zigzag like corrective movements. The qualities of the 5-0 pattern to look at include: AB movement has to be 1.13 to 1.618 retracement of XA. BC movement has to be 1.618 to 2.24 retracement of an AB. CD movement ought to be 0.5 retracements of BC C should be between 0.886 and 1.13 of 0X movement If the conditions are satisfied, we can trade the last leg of CD. They entering at C with a stop below 2.24 of AB retracement and aiming at 50 percent correction of BC movement. The 5-0 harmonic pattern is traded when the price is getting to point D. The stop-loss is positioned a few points below/above the farthest possible D level. Unlike a lot of the other patterns, 5-0 doesn’t have specific targets because it usually begins a new trend. Here the pattern fib ratios don’t matter much. Entries might be done with a limit order or on price reversals away from point D. All entries have to be confirmed for risk/reward ratio. Entries having less risk/reward have to be taken cautiously or discarded altogether. In our example, current stock AUBANK has shown a classic 0xabcd pattern or in other words 5-0 harmonic pattern. It is a bearish 5-0 pattern where most of the XABCD pattern swing traders would have forced either to become a long term investor or book a loss who have not booked at .50 retracement as everything has happened too fast to react on. As technology is developing everyday , so as the traps are becoming too much knotty to decode and survive as a swing trader, for a swing trader"s job is to find swings every time and dive with the trend and this type of complex patterns ends up his/her dream as a bad bad nightmare. So, this effort by me is especially for the swing traders who are welcomed to enlighten more on this topic and to go updated as this pattern is said to be new.
NSE:AUBANKEducation
by Somanathrout
Bullish Shark Within Bullish ChannelFrom this chart, can be found that Bullish Shark Within Bullish Channel. This one of example for Bullish Retracement Patterns within Bullish Trend Channels shown in Harmonic Trading: Volume Two, Page 124 until Page 126 written by Scott M Carney. Bullish Harmonic Pattern in Bullish Channel or Ascending Channel may indicate continuation pattern in Channel or rather as confirmation to show that price will go up. To simplify, M pattern within Ascending Channel indicates that price will go up in continuation. Noted that Shark is Harmonic Pattern that use Reciprocal AB=CD. You may refer Link to Related Ideas for more information. Thank you.
MYX:FCPOU2022Education
by RozaniGhani-RG
Education excerpt: Relative Strength IndexEducation excerpt: Relative Strength Index General information The Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) is a momentum oscillator that was introduced by J. Welles Wilder in an article published in Commodities magazine in June 1978. The Relative Strength Index measures the velocity of directional price movement and is commonly used in conjunction with a daily bar chart. However, it can be utilized on a bar chart with any particular time frame. The concept of this oscillator is based upon an idea of an asset being oversold or overbought. Generally, tops and bottoms are indicated when the RSI goes above 70 or drops below 30. Although, failure swings above 70 or below 30 can imply possible market reversal. Similarly, divergence between the RSI and price action on the chart can signal a market turning point. Chart formations and support and resistance often show up graphically on the RSI despite the fact that they may not be apparent on the bar chart. The slope of the momentum oscillator is directly proportional to the velocity of the move. Thus, the distance traveled up or down by the RSI is proportional to the magnitude of the move. The horizontal axis represents time and the vertical axis represents distance traveled by the indicator. The RSI moves slowly when the market continues its directional movement . However, once price is at the market turning point, RSI tends to move faster. Calculation The Relative Strength Index is commonly calculated using the close price of a 14 day period. The equation for its calculation involves several components. These are: • Average up closes • Average down closes • Relative strength Relative Strength ( RS ) = (average of 14 day's closes up/average of 14 day's closes down) Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) = 100 – Calculation begins with obtaining the sum of the up closes for the previous 14 days. This sum is then divided by the number of days used in calculating the generating figure for average up closes. Similarly, the sum of the down closes for the previous 14 days is divided by the number of days used in calculating the generating figure for average down closes. After these two operations are conducted, the average up days are divided by the average down days resulting in the value of the Relative Strength ( RS ). The number 1 is then added to the value of RS . Next, 100 is divided by the new amount of RS . The resulting figure is subsequently subtracted by 100 generating the value of the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ). From this step on, the previous value of average up closes and average down closes can be used to generate the next value of the RSI . In order to calculate the next average up close, the previous value of average up closes is multiplied by 13 and the present day average up close is added to this figure. This value is then divided by 14 generating the value for the new average up closes. In similar fashion, the new average down close is calculated by multiplying the previous average down closes by 13. Today's down close is then added to the figure. The resulting figure is again divided by 14 to generate the new average down close. After that, the same steps indicated to calculate the initial RSI need to be followed. Divergence When trend is prevalent and two indexes (or index and price) are going simultaneously either up or down they exhibit positive correlation. However, when this correlation breaks and one index (or price) keeps going up while another index reverses down divergence is said to occur. Technical analyst should pay attention to this instance as it sometimes has abillity to foreshadow upcoming reversal in trend. Though, there are many instances when divergence occurs and reversal in price trend fails to materialize. For this reason some analysts like to implement concept of double divergence. Double divergence There are many instances when price continues its rise and analyst can observe oscillator or idex to fall only to see it later climb back up in tandem with price. (same applies to the opposite situation when price falls and index or oscillator starts to rise) The divergence occured but price trend remained intact. Because the divergence can be misleading, some analysts preffer to wait for the second divergence before placing their entries or exits. Disclaimer: This content serves only educational purpose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fxpremiere
The Head & Shoulders Pattern Tutorial (Basic) #BitcoinThe Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the oldest recognised market structures. Representing a fully formed fractal when completed, the H&S confirms a short term reversal in trend. Setting the levels 50%,100% and 200% on the Fib tool, I have devised a simple system of confirmation/action to take advantage (profit) from the completion of the Pattern. 1st confirmation occurs when price first breaks below a previous low. This establishes the Neckline (100%) a horizontal line drawn from the valley of the left shoulder. 2nd confirmation occurs when price retraces back above 50%, forming the right shoulder. Agressive traders enter short above 50% with a stop loss at 0%, this entry statistically is higher risk but also higher reward. Final confirmation occurs once the right shoulder has formed, price continues down with a candle closing below the neckline (100%). Conservative traders set a Sell limit at the neckline (100%) with a stop loss at 50%. Both aggressive and Conservative traders close at least half of their position when price breaks below 200% Although I consider the H&S Structre completed once 200% is reached, the levels outlined in my system continue to effect price for days/weeks even months later.
BEducation
by Cryptsyxalt
XAG/USD EVERY SUNDAY LIVE ZOOM ANALYSISThe gold & silver market is pushing significantly higher, following a significant miss in the U.S. labor market with fewer jobs created in August. Friday, the U.S. Labor Department said that 235,000 jobs were created last month. The data was weaker than expected as consensus forecasts called for jobs gains of 720,000. While the headline data saw a significant miss, the Labor Department included substantial revisions to its June and July numbers. June's employment numbers were revised up by 24,000 to 962,000 from the previous estimate of 938,000. Meanwhile, July's data was revised up to 1.053 million jobs compared to the initial estimate of 943,000. However, some economists note that the strong revisions are not enough to take the full sting out of the disappointing headline numbers. Meanwhile, the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to 5.2%, down from July's reading of 5.4%. The unemployment rate fell in line with expectations. The gold market has broken through critical near-term support levels in initial reaction to the weaker-than-expected employment data. December gold futures last traded at $1,827.10, up nearly 1% on the day. Not only was job growth weaker last month, but positive for gold, wage inflation continues to creep higher. The report said that wages rose 0.6% in August, up from July's 0.4% increase. Economists were expecting to see a 0.3% increase. A lot of focus had been placed on the August employment numbers. Many Federal Reserve officials noted that a strong number could prompt them to launch their plans to reduce their monthly bond purchases. However, some economists say the disappointing data could force the central bank to delay those plans. "This disappointing report will make it a closer call than we expected for a September tapering announcement from the Fed," said Katherine Judge, senior economist at CIBC. Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said that the latest employment numbers puts the Federal Reserve in a very difficult position. He noted that the economic data shows the COVID-19 pandemic and the spreading Delta Variant is impacting the current recovery. “Even allowing for the fact that first estimates for August often disappoint on the downside, the extent of the slowdown in jobs growth all-but rules out any tapering announcement at this month's FOMC meeting and, if this weakness persists, then it could be pushed into early next year. XAG/USD EVERY SUNDAY LIVE ZOOM ANALYSIS UK 18:00
OANDA:XAGUSDEducation
by globalsymmetrygroup
1
XAU/USD - CHART ANALYSIS - NFP ! The gold market still has a path to $2,000 in the second half of the year as the precious metal is undervalued in a world awash with liquidity, according to the latest research from Bloomberg Intelligence (BI). In a report published Wednesday, Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at BI, said that within the metals complex, gold appears to have the most potential when compared to other assets like copper and aluminum. "Copper and aluminum are reaching upper range price caps, but we see gold as a discounted bull market with improving fundamental underpinnings," he said in the report. "The copper-to-gold ratio has reached the highest level in about seven years and a rare disparity vs. declining U.S. Treasury bond yields, which we expect will be resolved by a resumption of the precious metal outperforming the industrial. Looking at aluminum, McGlone said that tightening supply and demand fundamentals are helping to push prices to $3,000 per tonne; however, similar to copper's run to $10,000, he added that aluminum’s rally appears to be unstable. He said that the industrial metal complex faces some challenging near-term hurdles. "Supply elasticity is proving strong for copper, indicating headwinds for the industrial-metal sector, but ESG, electrification and decarbonization trends should maintain the group's upper hand vs. most other commodities, with the exception of precious metals," he said. "Among the most supply-constrained commodities, gold and silver have the relative advantage heading toward the end of 2021 of having experienced sharp corrections within more enduring bull markets, as we see it." While there is plenty of bullish sentiment surging through precious metals markets, gold prices continue to struggle to find consistent momentum. The precious metal is holding support above $1,800 an ounce, but it has been unable to push above $1,820 an ounce. December gold futures last traded at $1,810.80 an ounce, down 0.29% on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by globalsymmetrygroup
History of ForexHistory of Forex We have come a long way from the previously practiced barter system to the modern-day system of trading currency. Following is a brief summary of the evolution of currency and how it gave rise to Forex Trading. Here are the main stages that are illustrated on the chart: 1️⃣The Ancient system of Trading - Trading with Gold As early as 6th century BC , the first gold coins were produced, and they acted as a currency because they had critical characteristics like portability, durability, divisibility, uniformity, limited supply and acceptability. 2️⃣Bank Notes Originated - Deposited Gold in banks in exchange for banknotes 3️⃣Role of Geography - Various banks of different regions printed different currencies Gold Standard - Currency pegged to gold In the 1800s countries adopted the gold standard. The gold standard guaranteed that the government would redeem any amount of paper money for its value in gold . This worked fine until World War I where European countries had to suspend the gold standard to print more money to pay for the war. 4️⃣Bretton Woods System - Currency pegged to USD The first major transformation of the foreign exchange market, the Bretton Woods System, occurred toward the end of World War II. The Bretton Woods Accord was established to create a stable environment by which global economies could restore themselves. It attempted this by creating an adjustable pegged foreign exchange market. An adjustable pegged exchange rate is an exchange rate policy whereby a currency is fixed to another currency. In this case, foreign countries would 'fix' their exchange rate to the US Dollar . 5️⃣Birth of Floating Currency - Currency that is not pegged to any assets or other currencies is known as a 'floating currency'. And what will be next? Very hard to say but blockchain technologies will make the system change again.
Editors' picks
Education
by fxpremiere
7
Your Ultimate Guide to RSI DivergenceYour Ultimate Guide to RSI Divergence (Settings & Tips) Hey traders, Relative strength index is a classic technical indicator. It is frequently applied to spot a market reversal. RSI divergence is considered to be a quite reliable signal of a coming trend violation and change. Though newbie traders think that the application of the divergence is quite complicated, in practice, you can easily identify it with the following tips: 💠First of all, let's start with the settings. For the input, we will take 7/close. For the levels, we will take 80/20. Then about the preconditions: 1️⃣ Firstly, the market must trade in a trend ( bullish or bearish ) with a sequence of lower lows / lower highs ( bearish trend ) or higher highs / higher lows ( bullish trend ). 2️⃣ Secondly, RSI must reach the overbought/oversold condition (80/20 levels) with one of the higher highs/higher lows. 3️⃣ Thirdly, with a consequent market higher high / lower low, RSI must show the lower high / higher low instead. ➡️ Once all these conditions are met, you spotted RSI Divergence. A strong counter-trend movement will be expected. Also, I should say something about a time frame selection. Personally, I prefer to apply it on a daily time frame, however, I know that scalpers apply divergence on intraday time frames as well. ❗️Remember, that it is preferable to trade the divergence in a combination with some price action pattern or some other reversal signal.
Editors' picks
Education
by fxpremiere
18
( Weekly Analysis ) GBP/JPY DailyMorning Godal Member's, Traders and Aspiring Traders . Todays shared post is a analysis on . Pair :GBP/JPY Time-Frame - D Biased - Bearish Very similar to previous post on NZD/USD with the double top but on this occasion this is a based on a large time frame continuation. Price has currently formed a head and shoulders at an identified major resistant trendline . A chart pattern deemed as a reversal pattern to some and the neckline has also been formed so based on this I will be waiting on a pull back for potential trades to the down side for the long run.
Education
by UnknownUnicorn18142411
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Just an update on the trade last night. As you can see we had a HTF buy range (1hr) where price came back into the discounted section. We then had a 30min range bar mitigation which created a large reaction to the upside so we can say this is where a money transfer has taken place. Subsequently this made our new buying range and yet again price came back into the discounted area and gave the lower time frame entry, there were a few ways of getting into this trade and it also gave scale ins if it was missed. Price then was heading into the daily premium region so we knew we needed to be partialing out of this trade as we pass through and mitigate the levels of supply, these supply levels were creating pullbacks to continue up however given the HTF area we are it is very wise to partial heavily where we did. Anyone everyone, theres a bit of an insight into one of the team trades last night in the Newyork session. Happy trading ladies and gents and i hope you learnt something.
Education
by Bill-from-The-trading-Cartel
1
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Just an update on the trade last night. As you can see we had a HTF buy range (1hr) where price came back into the discounted section. We then had a 30min range bar mitigation which created a large reaction to the upside so we can say this is where a money transfer has taken place. Subsequently this made our new buying range and yet again price came back into the discounted area and gave the lower time frame entry, there were a few ways of getting into this trade and it also gave scale ins if it was missed. Price then was heading into the daily premium region so we knew we needed to be partialing out of this trade as we pass through and mitigate the levels of supply, these supply levels were creating pullbacks to continue up however given the HTF area we are it is very wise to partial heavily where we did. Anyone everyone, theres a bit of an insight into one of the team trades last night in the Newyork session. Happy trading ladies and gents and i hope you learnt something.
Education
by Bill-from-The-trading-Cartel
History of Forex | From Ancient to the Modern Day TradingWe have come a long way from the previously practiced barter system to the modern-day system of trading currency. Following is a brief summary of the evolution of currency and how it gave rise to Forex Trading. Here are the main stages that are illustrated on the chart: 1️⃣The Ancient system of Trading - Trading with Gold As early as 6th century BC , the first gold coins were produced, and they acted as a currency because they had critical characteristics like portability, durability, divisibility, uniformity, limited supply and acceptability. 2️⃣Bank Notes Originated - Deposited Gold in banks in exchange for banknotes 3️⃣Role of Geography - Various banks of different regions printed different currencies Gold Standard - Currency pegged to gold In the 1800s countries adopted the gold standard. The gold standard guaranteed that the government would redeem any amount of paper money for its value in gold . This worked fine until World War I where European countries had to suspend the gold standard to print more money to pay for the war. 4️⃣Bretton Woods System - Currency pegged to USD The first major transformation of the foreign exchange market, the Bretton Woods System, occurred toward the end of World War II. The Bretton Woods Accord was established to create a stable environment by which global economies could restore themselves. It attempted this by creating an adjustable pegged foreign exchange market. An adjustable pegged exchange rate is an exchange rate policy whereby a currency is fixed to another currency. In this case, foreign countries would 'fix' their exchange rate to the US Dollar . 5️⃣Birth of Floating Currency - Currency that is not pegged to any assets or other currencies is known as a 'floating currency'. And what will be next? Very hard to say but blockchain technologies will make the system change again.
Education
by fxpremiere
How to create a trading strategy?HOW TO CREATE A TRADING STRATEGY? WHAT IS A TRADING STRATEGY? Trading rules that systematize it, bring clarity, orderliness and predictability of the result. You can take a ready-made strategy and adapt it for yourself. And you can create your own The main idea of ​​the strategy, its rationale The idea should be rational, based on market patterns that you understand. For example, trading with a trend or pullbacks. On technical or fundamental analysis , with or without indicators A good trading strategy is not complicated, but simple. A large number of rules makes the strategy inconvenient and understandable for the trader himself. Timing of trading What timeframes do you want to trade on? How much time are you willing to devote to trading? What time will you trade? Selection of trading instruments Pick those tools. which you understand well The strategy can be both universal (for many tools), and sharpened for specific toolsChoice of tools for analysis 1) When the main idea of ​​the strategy emerged and it became clear how, when and what to trade, you need to decide on the tools of market analysis 2) If the strategy is indicator, then select indicators (from 2 to 5) 3) If the strategy is not indicator, then select patterns, figures of graphical analysis 4) If the strategy is based on fundamental analysis , then it is necessary to decide on which news to trade. Trade entry rules Under what conditions will you enter the market based on what signals? When will you not open a trade? What orders will you use market or pending? Exit rules Stop Loss and Take Profit Under what conditions do you close a position? How will you set stop loss and take profit? Risk Management Write down the risk per order, risk per day / week / month (in percent or in currency) Determine the maximum allowed number of losing trades per day / week / month Calculate the volume of a trading position (lot) When there is a strategy, what's next? Check the effectiveness of your strategy on the strategy tester or on a demo account Maintain trade statistics to identify weaknesses of the strategy and remove them Find me on:
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by fxpremiere