Statistical ArbitrageThe Statistical Arbitrage Strategy, also known as pairs trading, is a quantitative trading method that capitalizes on price discrepancies between two correlated assets. The strategy assumes that over time, the prices of these two assets will revert to their historical relationship. The core idea is to take advantage of mean reversion, a principle suggesting that asset prices will revert to their long-term average after deviating significantly.
Strategy Mechanics:
1. Selection of Correlated Assets:
• The strategy focuses on two historically correlated assets (e.g., equity index futures like Dow Jones Mini and S&P 500 Mini). These assets tend to move in the same direction due to similar underlying fundamentals, such as overall market conditions. By tracking their relative prices, the strategy seeks to exploit temporary mispricings.
2. Spread Calculation:
• The spread is the difference between the prices of the two assets. This spread represents the relationship between the assets and serves as the basis for determining when to enter or exit trades.
3. Mean and Standard Deviation:
• The historical average (mean) of the spread is calculated using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) over a chosen period. The strategy also computes the standard deviation (volatility) of the spread, which measures how far the spread has deviated from the mean over time. This allows the strategy to define statistically significant price deviations.
4. Entry Signal (Mean Reversion):
• A buy signal is triggered when the spread falls below the mean by a multiple (e.g., two) of the standard deviation. This indicates that one asset is temporarily undervalued relative to the other, and the strategy expects the spread to revert to its mean, generating profits as the prices converge.
5. Exit Signal:
• The strategy exits the trade when the spread reverts to the mean. At this point, the mispricing has been corrected, and the profit from the mean reversion is realized.
Academic Support:
Statistical arbitrage has been widely studied in finance and economics. Gatev, Goetzmann, and Rouwenhorst’s (2006) landmark study on pairs trading demonstrated that this strategy could generate excess returns in equity markets. Their research found that by focusing on historically correlated stocks, traders could identify pricing anomalies and profit from their eventual correction.
Additionally, Avellaneda and Lee (2010) explored statistical arbitrage in different asset classes and found that exploiting deviations in price relationships can offer a robust, market-neutral trading strategy. In these studies, the strategy’s success hinges on the stability of the relationship between the assets and the timely execution of trades when deviations occur.
Risks of Statistical Arbitrage:
1. Correlation Breakdown:
• One of the primary risks is the breakdown of correlation between the two assets. Statistical arbitrage assumes that the historical relationship between the assets will hold in the future. However, market conditions, company fundamentals, or external shocks (e.g., macroeconomic changes) can cause these assets to deviate permanently, leading to potential losses.
• For instance, if two equity indices historically move together but experience divergent economic conditions or policy changes, their prices may no longer revert to the expected mean.
2. Execution Risk:
• This strategy relies on efficient execution and tight spreads. In volatile or illiquid markets, the actual price at which trades are executed may differ significantly from expected prices, leading to slippage and reduced profits.
3. Market Risk:
• Although statistical arbitrage is designed to be market-neutral (i.e., not dependent on the overall market direction), it is not entirely risk-free. Systematic market shocks, such as financial crises or sudden shifts in market sentiment, can affect both assets simultaneously, causing the spread to widen rather than revert to the mean.
4. Model Risk:
• The assumptions underlying the strategy, particularly regarding mean reversion, may not always hold true. The model assumes that asset prices will return to their historical averages within a certain timeframe, but the timing and magnitude of mean reversion can be uncertain. Misestimating this timeframe can lead to extended drawdowns or unrealized losses.
5. Overfitting:
• Over-reliance on historical data to fine-tune the strategy parameters (e.g., the lookback period or standard deviation thresholds) may result in overfitting. This means that the strategy works well on past data but fails to perform in live markets due to changing conditions.
Conclusion:
The Statistical Arbitrage Strategy offers a systematic and quantitative approach to trading that capitalizes on temporary price inefficiencies between correlated assets. It has been proven to generate returns in academic studies and is widely used by hedge funds and institutional traders for its market-neutral characteristics. However, traders must be aware of the inherent risks, including correlation breakdown, execution risks, and the potential for prolonged deviations from the mean. Effective risk management, diversification, and constant monitoring are essential for successfully implementing this strategy in live markets.
Statistics
Value at Risk [OmegaTools]The "Value at Risk" (VaR) indicator is a powerful financial risk management tool that helps traders estimate the potential losses in a portfolio over a specified period of time, given a certain level of confidence. VaR is widely used by financial institutions, traders, and risk managers to assess the probability of portfolio losses in both normal and volatile market conditions. This TradingView script implements a comprehensive VaR calculation using several models, allowing users to visualize different risk scenarios and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Concept of Value at Risk
Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistical technique used to measure the likelihood of losses in a portfolio or financial asset due to market risks. In essence, it answers the question: "What is the maximum potential loss that could occur in a given portfolio over a specific time horizon, with a certain confidence level?" For instance, if a portfolio has a one-day 95% VaR of $10,000, it means that there is a 95% chance the portfolio will not lose more than $10,000 in a single day. Conversely, there is a 5% chance of losing more than $10,000. VaR is a key risk management tool for portfolio managers and traders because it quantifies potential losses in monetary terms, allowing for better-informed decision-making.
There are several ways to calculate VaR, and this indicator script incorporates three of the most commonly used models:
Historical VaR: This approach uses historical returns to estimate potential losses. It is based purely on past price data, assuming that the past distribution of returns is indicative of future risks.
Variance-Covariance VaR: This model assumes that asset returns follow a normal distribution and that the risk can be summarized using the mean and standard deviation of past returns. It is a parametric method that is widely used in financial risk management.
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) VaR: In this model, recent data points are given more weight than older data. This dynamic approach allows the VaR estimation to react more quickly to changes in market volatility, which is particularly useful during periods of market stress. This model uses the Exponential Weighted Moving Average Volatility Model.
How the Script Works
The script starts by offering users a set of customizable input settings. The first input allows the user to choose between two main calculation modes: "All" or "OCT" (Only Current Timeframe). In the "All" mode, the script calculates VaR using all available methodologies—Historical, Variance-Covariance, and EWMA—providing a comprehensive risk overview. The "OCT" mode narrows the calculation to the current timeframe, which can be particularly useful for intraday traders who need a more focused view of risk.
The next input is the lookback window, which defines the number of historical periods used to calculate VaR. Commonly used lookback periods include 21 days (approximately one month), 63 days (about three months), and 252 days (roughly one year), with the script supporting up to 504 days for more extended historical analysis. A longer lookback period provides a more comprehensive picture of risk but may be less responsive to recent market conditions.
The confidence level is another important setting in the script. This represents the probability that the loss will not exceed the VaR estimate. Standard confidence levels are 90%, 95%, and 99%. A higher confidence level results in a more conservative risk estimate, meaning that the calculated VaR will reflect a more extreme loss scenario.
In addition to these core settings, the script allows users to customize the visual appearance of the indicator. For example, traders can choose different colors for "Bullish" (Risk On), "Bearish" (Risk Off), and "Neutral" phases, as well as colors for highlighting "Breaks" in the data, where returns exceed the calculated VaR. These visual cues make it easy to identify periods of heightened risk at a glance.
The actual VaR calculation is broken down into several models, starting with the Historical VaR calculation. This is done by computing the logarithmic returns of the asset's closing prices and then using linear interpolation to determine the percentile corresponding to the desired confidence level. This percentile represents the potential loss in the asset over the lookback period.
Next, the script calculates Variance-Covariance VaR using the mean and standard deviation of the historical returns. The standard deviation is multiplied by a z-score corresponding to the chosen confidence level (e.g., 1.645 for 95% confidence), and the resulting value is subtracted from the mean return to arrive at the VaR estimate.
The EWMA VaR model uses the EWMA for the sigma parameter, the standard deviation, obtaining a specific dynamic in the volatility. It is particularly useful in volatile markets where recent price behavior is more indicative of future risk than older data.
For traders interested in intraday risk management, the script provides several methods to adjust VaR calculations for lower timeframes. By using intraday returns and scaling them according to the chosen timeframe, the script provides a dynamic view of risk throughout the trading day. This is especially important for short-term traders who need to manage their exposure during high-volatility periods within the same day. The script also incorporates an EWMA model for intraday data, which gives greater weight to the most recent intraday price movements.
In addition to calculating VaR, the script also attempts to detect periods where the asset's returns exceed the estimated VaR threshold, referred to as "Breaks." When the returns breach the VaR limit, the script highlights these instances on the chart, allowing traders to quickly identify periods of extreme risk. The script also calculates the average of these breaks and displays it for comparison, helping traders understand how frequently these high-risk periods occur.
The script further visualizes the risk scenario using a risk phase classification system. Depending on the level of risk, the script categorizes the market as either "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral." In "Risk On" mode, the market is considered bullish, and the indicator displays a green background. In "Risk Off" mode, the market is bearish, and the background turns red. If the market is neither strongly bullish nor bearish, the background turns neutral, signaling a balanced risk environment.
Traders can customize whether they want to see this risk phase background, along with toggling the display of the various VaR models, the intraday methods, and the break signals. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs, whether they are day traders looking for quick intraday insights or longer-term investors focused on historical risk analysis.
The "Risk On" and "Risk Off" phases calculated by this Value at Risk (VaR) script introduce a novel approach to market risk assessment, offering traders an advanced toolset to gauge market sentiment and potential risk levels dynamically. These risk phases are built on a combination of traditional VaR methodologies and proprietary logic to create a more responsive and intuitive way to manage exposure in both normal and volatile market conditions. This method of classifying market conditions into "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral" is not something that has been traditionally associated with VaR, making it a groundbreaking addition to this indicator.
How the "Risk On" and "Risk Off" Phases Are Calculated
In typical VaR implementations, the focus is on calculating the potential losses at a given confidence level without providing an overall market outlook. This script, however, introduces a unique risk classification system that takes the output of various VaR models and translates it into actionable signals for traders, marking whether the market is in a Risk On, Risk Off, or Risk Neutral phase.
The Risk On and Risk Off phases are primarily determined by comparing the current returns of the asset to the average VaR calculated across several different methods, including Historical VaR, Variance-Covariance VaR, and EWMA VaR. Here's how the process works:
1. Threshold Setting and Effect Calculation: The script first computes the average VaR using the selected models. It then checks whether the current returns (expressed as a negative value to signify loss) exceed the average VaR value. If the current returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold, this indicates that the actual market risk is higher than expected, signaling a potential shift in market conditions.
2. Break Analysis: In addition to monitoring whether returns exceed the average VaR, the script counts the number of instances within the lookback period where this breach occurs. This is referred to as the "break effect." For each period in the lookback window, the script checks whether the returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold and increments a counter. The percentage of periods where this breach occurs is then calculated as the "effect" or break percentage.
3. Dual Effect Check (if "Double" Risk Scenario is selected): When the user chooses the "Double" risk scenario mode, the script performs two layers of analysis. First, it calculates the effect of returns exceeding the VaR threshold for the current timeframe. Then, it calculates the effect for the lower intraday timeframe as well. Both effects are compared to the user-defined confidence level (e.g., 95%). If both effects exceed the confidence level, the market is deemed to be in a high-risk situation, thus triggering a Risk Off phase. If both effects fall below the confidence level, the market is classified as Risk On.
4. Risk Phases Determination: The final risk phase is determined by analyzing these effects in relation to the confidence level:
- Risk On: If the calculated effect of breaks is lower than the confidence level (e.g., fewer than 5% of periods show returns exceeding the VaR threshold for a 95% confidence level), the market is considered to be in a relatively safe state, and the script signals a "Risk On" phase. This is indicative of bullish conditions where the potential for extreme loss is minimal.
- Risk Off: If the break effect exceeds the confidence level (e.g., more than 5% of periods show returns breaching the VaR threshold), the market is deemed to be in a high-risk state, and the script signals a "Risk Off" phase. This indicates bearish market conditions where the likelihood of significant losses is higher.
- Risk Neutral: If the break effect hovers near the confidence level or if there is no clear trend indicating a shift toward either extreme, the market is classified as "Risk Neutral." In this phase, neither bulls nor bears are dominant, and traders should remain cautious.
The phase color that the script uses helps visualize these risk phases. The background will turn green in Risk On conditions, red in Risk Off conditions, and gray in Risk Neutral phases, providing immediate visual feedback on market risk. In addition to this, when the "Double" risk scenario is selected, the background will only turn green or red if both the current and intraday timeframes confirm the respective risk phase. This double-checking process ensures that traders are only given a strong signal when both longer-term and short-term risks align, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
A New Way of Using Value at Risk
This innovative Risk On/Risk Off classification, based on the interaction between VaR thresholds and market returns, represents a significant departure from the traditional use of Value at Risk as a pure risk measurement tool. Typically, VaR is employed as a backward-looking measure of risk, providing a static estimate of potential losses over a given timeframe with no immediate actionable feedback on current market conditions. This script, however, dynamically interprets VaR results to create a forward-looking, real-time signal that informs traders whether they are operating in a favorable (Risk On) or unfavorable (Risk Off) environment.
By incorporating the "break effect" analysis and allowing users to view the VaR breaches as a percentage of past occurrences, the script adds a predictive element that can be used to time market entries and exits more effectively. This **dual-layer risk analysis**, particularly when using the "Double" scenario mode, adds further granularity by considering both current timeframe and intraday risks. Traders can therefore make more informed decisions not just based on historical risk data, but on how the market is behaving in real-time relative to those risk benchmarks.
This approach transforms the VaR indicator from a risk monitoring tool into a decision-making system that helps identify favorable trading opportunities while alerting users to potential market downturns. It provides a more holistic view of market conditions by combining both statistical risk measurement and intuitive phase-based market analysis. This level of integration between VaR methodologies and real-time signal generation has not been widely seen in the world of trading indicators, marking this script as a cutting-edge tool for risk management and market sentiment analysis.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to @skewedzeta for his invaluable contribution to the final script. From generating fresh ideas to applying his expertise in reviewing the formula, his support has been instrumental in refining the outcome.
ICT Master Suite [Trading IQ]Hello Traders!
We’re excited to introduce the ICT Master Suite by TradingIQ, a new tool designed to bring together several ICT concepts and strategies in one place.
The Purpose Behind the ICT Master Suite
There are a few challenges traders often face when using ICT-related indicators:
Many available indicators focus on one or two ICT methods, which can limit traders who apply a broader range of ICT related techniques on their charts.
There aren't many indicators for ICT strategy models, and we couldn't find ICT indicators that allow for testing the strategy models and setting alerts.
Many ICT related concepts exist in the public domain as indicators, not strategies! This makes it difficult to verify that the ICT concept has some utility in the market you're trading and if it's worth trading - it's difficult to know if it's working!
Some users might not have enough chart space to apply numerous ICT related indicators, which can be restrictive for those wanting to use multiple ICT techniques simultaneously.
The ICT Master Suite is designed to offer a comprehensive option for traders who want to apply a variety of ICT methods. By combining several ICT techniques and strategy models into one indicator, it helps users maximize their chart space while accessing multiple tools in a single slot.
Additionally, the ICT Master Suite was developed as a strategy . This means users can backtest various ICT strategy models - including deep backtesting. A primary goal of this indicator is to let traders decide for themselves what markets to trade ICT concepts in and give them the capability to figure out if the strategy models are worth trading!
What Makes the ICT Master Suite Different
There are many ICT-related indicators available on TradingView, each offering valuable insights. What the ICT Master Suite aims to do is bring together a wider selection of these techniques into one tool. This includes both key ICT methods and strategy models, allowing traders to test and activate strategies all within one indicator.
Features
The ICT Master Suite offers:
Multiple ICT strategy models, including the 2022 Strategy Model and Unicorn Model, which can be built, tested, and used for live trading.
Calculation and display of key price areas like Breaker Blocks, Rejection Blocks, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Equal Levels, and more.
The ability to set alerts based on these ICT strategies and key price areas.
A comprehensive, yet practical, all-inclusive ICT indicator for traders.
Customizable Timeframe - Calculate ICT concepts on off-chart timeframes
Unicorn Strategy Model
2022 Strategy Model
Liquidity Raid Strategy Model
OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) Strategy Model
Silver Bullet Strategy Model
Order blocks
Breaker blocks
Rejection blocks
FVG
Strong highs and lows
Displacements
Liquidity sweeps
Power of 3
ICT Macros
HTF previous bar high and low
Break of Structure indications
Market Structure Shift indications
Equal highs and lows
Swings highs and swing lows
Fibonacci TPs and SLs
Swing level TPs and SLs
Previous day high and low TPs and SLs
And much more! An ongoing project!
How To Use
Many traders will already be familiar with the ICT related concepts listed above, and will find using the ICT Master Suite quite intuitive!
Despite this, let's go over the features of the tool in-depth and how to use the tool!
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite with almost all techniques activated.
ICT 2022 Strategy Model
The ICT Master suite provides the ability to test, set alerts for, and live trade the ICT 2022 Strategy Model.
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the 2022 ICT model.
A liquidity sweep occurs prior to an upside breakout. During the upside breakout the model looks for the FVG that is nearest 50% of the setup range. A limit order is placed at this FVG for entry.
The target entry percentage for the range is customizable in the settings. For instance, you can select to enter at an FVG nearest 33% of the range, 20%, 66%, etc.
The profit target for the model generally uses the highest high of the range (100%) for longs and the lowest low of the range (100%) for shorts. Stop losses are generally set at 0% of the range.
The image above shows the short model in action!
Whether you decide to follow the 2022 model diligently or not, you can still set alerts when the entry condition is met.
ICT Unicorn Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the ICT Unicorn model.
A lower swing low followed by a higher swing high precedes the overlap of an FVG and breaker block formed during the sequence.
During the upside breakout the model looks for an FVG and breaker block that formed during the sequence and overlap each other. A limit order is placed at the nearest overlap point to current price.
The profit target for this example trade is set at the swing high and the stop loss at the swing low. However, both the profit target and stop loss for this model are configurable in the settings.
For Longs, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing High
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
For Longs, the selectable stop losses are:
Swing Low
Bottom of FVG or breaker block
The image above shows the short version of the Unicorn Model in action!
For Shorts, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing Low
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
For Shorts, the selectable stop losses are:
Swing High
Top of FVG or breaker block
The image above shows the profit target and stop loss options in the settings for the Unicorn Model.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the OTE model.
Price retraces either 0.62, 0.705, or 0.79 of an upside move and a trade is entered.
The profit target for this example trade is set at the -0.5 fib level. This is also adjustable in the settings.
For Longs, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing High
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
The image above shows the short version of the OTE Model in action!
For Shorts, the selectable profit targets are:
Swing Low
Fib -0.5
Fib -1
Fib -2
Liquidity Raid Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the Liquidity Raid Modell.
The user must define the session in the settings (for this example it is 13:30-16:00 NY time).
During the session, the indicator will calculate the session high and session low. Following a “raid” of either the session high or session low (after the session has completed) the script will look for an entry at a recently formed breaker block.
If the session high is raided the script will look for short entries at a bearish breaker block. If the session low is raided the script will look for long entries at a bullish breaker block.
For Longs, the profit target options are:
Swing high
User inputted Lib level
For Longs, the stop loss options are:
Swing low
User inputted Lib level
Breaker block bottom
The image above shows the short version of the Liquidity Raid Model in action!
For Shorts, the profit target options are:
Swing Low
User inputted Lib level
For Shorts, the stop loss options are:
Swing High
User inputted Lib level
Breaker block top
Silver Bullet Model
The image above shows an example of a long position being entered following a complete setup for the Silver Bullet Modell.
During the session, the indicator will determine the higher timeframe bias. If the higher timeframe bias is bullish the strategy will look to enter long at an FVG that forms during the session. If the higher timeframe bias is bearish the indicator will look to enter short at an FVG that forms during the session.
For Longs, the profit target options are:
Nearest Swing High Above Entry
Previous Day High
For Longs, the stop loss options are:
Nearest Swing Low
Previous Day Low
The image above shows the short version of the Silver Bullet Model in action!
For Shorts, the profit target options are:
Nearest Swing Low Below Entry
Previous Day Low
For Shorts, the stop loss options are:
Nearest Swing High
Previous Day High
Order blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling order blocks.
The color of the order blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Breaker Blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling order blocks.
The color of the breaker blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Rejection Blocks
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling rejection blocks.
The color of the rejection blocks, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Fair Value Gaps
The image above shows indicator identifying and labeling fair value gaps.
The color of the fair value gaps, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Additionally, you can select to only show fair values gaps that form after a liquidity sweep. Doing so reduces "noisy" FVGs and focuses on identifying FVGs that form after a significant trading event.
The image above shows the feature enabled. A fair value gap that occurred after a liquidity sweep is shown.
Market Structure
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite calculating market structure shots and break of structures!
The color of MSS and BoS, and whether they should be displayed, are configurable in the settings.
Displacements
The images above show indicator identifying and labeling displacements.
The color of the displacements, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Equal Price Points
The image above shows the indicator identifying and labeling equal highs and equal lows.
The color of the equal levels, and how many should be shown, are configurable in the settings!
Previous Custom TF High/Low
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite calculating the high and low price for a user-defined timeframe. In this case the previous day’s high and low are calculated.
To illustrate the customizable timeframe function, the image above shows the indicator calculating the previous 4 hour high and low.
Liquidity Sweeps
The image above shows the indicator identifying a liquidity sweep prior to an upside breakout.
The image above shows the indicator identifying a liquidity sweep prior to a downside breakout.
The color and aggressiveness of liquidity sweep identification are adjustable in the settings!
Power Of Three
The image above shows the indicator calculating Po3 for two user-defined higher timeframes!
Macros
The image above shows the ICT Master Suite identifying the ICT macros!
ICT Macros are only displayable on the 5 minute timeframe or less.
Strategy Performance Table
In addition to a full-fledged TradingView backtest for any of the ICT strategy models the indicator offers, a quick-and-easy strategy table exists for the indicator!
The image above shows the strategy performance table in action.
Keep in mind that, because the ICT Master Suite is a strategy script, you can perform fully automatic backtests, deep backtests, easily add commission and portfolio balance and look at pertinent metrics for the ICT strategies you are testing!
Lite Mode
Traders who want the cleanest chart possible can toggle on “Lite Mode”!
In Lite Mode, any neon or “glow” like effects are removed and key levels are marked as strict border boxes. You can also select to remove box borders if that’s what you prefer!
Settings Used For Backtest
For the displayed backtest, a starting balance of $1000 USD was used. A commission of 0.02%, slippage of 2 ticks, a verify price for limit orders of 2 ticks, and 5% of capital investment per order.
A commission of 0.02% was used due to the backtested asset being a perpetual future contract for a crypto currency. The highest commission (lowest-tier VIP) for maker orders on many exchanges is 0.02%. All entered positions take place as maker orders and so do profit target exits. Stop orders exist as stop-market orders.
A slippage of 2 ticks was used to simulate more realistic stop-market orders. A verify limit order settings of 2 ticks was also used. Even though BTCUSDT.P on Binance is liquid, we just want the backtest to be on the safe side. Additionally, the backtest traded 100+ trades over the period. The higher the sample size the better; however, this example test can serve as a starting point for traders interested in ICT concepts.
Community Assistance And Feedback
Given the complexity and idiosyncratic applications of ICT concepts amongst its proponents, the ICT Master Suite’s built-in strategies and level identification methods might not align with everyone's interpretation.
That said, the best we can do is precisely define ICT strategy rules and concepts to a repeatable process, test, and apply them! Whether or not an ICT strategy is trading precisely how you would trade it, seeing the model in action, taking trades, and with performance statistics is immensely helpful in assessing predictive utility.
If you think we missed something, you notice a bug, have an idea for strategy model improvement, please let us know! The ICT Master Suite is an ongoing project that will, ideally, be shaped by the community.
A big thank you to the @PineCoders for their Time Library!
Thank you!
Savitzky-Golay Z-Score [BackQuant]Savitzky-Golay Z-Score
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is a powerful trading indicator that combines the precision of the Savitzky-Golay filter with the statistical strength of the Z-Score. This advanced indicator is designed to detect trend shifts, identify overbought or oversold conditions, and highlight potential divergences in the market, providing traders with a unique edge in detecting momentum changes and trend reversals.
Core Concept: Savitzky-Golay Filter
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a widely-used smoothing technique that preserves important signal features such as peak detection while filtering out noise. In this indicator, the filter is applied to price data (default set to HLC3) to smooth out volatility and produce a cleaner trend line. By specifying the window size and polynomial degree, traders can fine-tune the degree of smoothing to match their preferred trading style or market conditions.
Z-Score: Measuring Deviation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates how far the current price is from its mean in terms of standard deviations. In trading, the Z-Score can be used to identify extreme price moves that are likely to revert or continue trending. A positive Z-Score means the price is above the mean, while a negative Z-Score indicates the price is below the mean.
This script calculates the Z-Score based on the Savitzky-Golay filtered price, enabling traders to detect moments when the price is diverging from its typical range and may present an opportunity for a trade.
Long and Short Conditions
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score generates clear long and short signals based on the Z-Score value:
Long Signals : When the Z-Score is positive, indicating the price is above its smoothed mean, a long signal is generated. The color of the bars turns green, signaling upward momentum.
Short Signals : When the Z-Score is negative, indicating the price is below its smoothed mean, a short signal is generated. The bars turn red, signaling downward momentum.
These signals allow traders to follow the prevailing trend with confidence, using statistical backing to avoid false signals from short-term volatility.
Standard Deviation Levels and Extreme Levels
This indicator includes several features to help visualize overbought and oversold conditions:
Standard Deviation Levels: The script plots horizontal lines at +1, +2, -1, and -2 standard deviations. These levels provide a reference for how far the current price is from the mean, allowing traders to quickly identify when the price is moving into extreme territory.
Extreme Levels: Additional extreme levels at +3 and +4 (and their negative counterparts) are plotted to highlight areas where the price is highly likely to revert. These extreme levels provide important insight into market conditions that are far outside the norm, signaling caution or potential reversal zones.
The indicator also adapts the color shading of these extreme zones based on the Z-Score’s strength. For example, the area between +3 and +4 is shaded with a stronger color when the Z-Score approaches these values, giving a visual representation of market pressure.
Divergences: Detecting Hidden and Regular Signals
A key feature of the Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences, both regular and hidden:
Regular Bullish Divergence: This occurs when the price makes a lower low while the Z-Score forms a higher low. It signals that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bullish reversal could be near.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: This divergence occurs when the price makes a higher low while the Z-Score forms a lower low. It signals that bullish momentum may continue after a temporary pullback.
Regular Bearish Divergence: This occurs when the price makes a higher high while the Z-Score forms a lower high, signaling that bullish momentum is weakening and a bearish reversal may be near.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: This divergence occurs when the price makes a lower high while the Z-Score forms a higher high, indicating that bearish momentum may continue after a temporary rally.
These divergences are plotted directly on the chart, making it easier for traders to spot when the price and momentum are out of sync and when a potential reversal may occur.
Customization and Visualization
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score offers a range of customization options to fit different trading styles:
Window Size and Polynomial Degree: Adjust the window size and polynomial degree of the Savitzky-Golay filter to control how much smoothing is applied to the price data.
Z-Score Lookback Period: Set the lookback period for calculating the Z-Score, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity to short-term or long-term price movements.
Display Options: Choose whether to display standard deviation levels, extreme levels, and divergence labels on the chart.
Bar Color: Color the price bars based on trend direction, with green for bullish trends and red for bearish trends, allowing traders to easily visualize the current momentum.
Divergences: Enable or disable divergence detection, and adjust the lookback periods for pivots used to detect regular and hidden divergences.
Alerts and Automation
To ensure you never miss an important signal, the indicator includes built-in alert conditions for the following events:
Positive Z-Score (Long Signal): Triggers an alert when the Z-Score crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Negative Z-Score (Short Signal): Triggers an alert when the Z-Score crosses below zero, signaling a potential short opportunity.
Shifting Momentum: Alerts when the Z-Score is shifting up or down, providing early warning of changing market conditions.
These alerts can be configured to notify you via email, SMS, or app notification, allowing you to stay on top of the market without having to constantly monitor the chart.
Trading Applications
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is a versatile tool that can be applied across multiple trading strategies:
Trend Following: By smoothing the price and calculating the Z-Score, this indicator helps traders follow the prevailing trend while avoiding false signals from short-term volatility.
Mean Reversion: The Z-Score highlights moments when the price is far from its mean, helping traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and capitalize on potential reversals.
Divergence Trading: Regular and hidden divergences between the Z-Score and price provide early warning of trend reversals, allowing traders to enter trades at opportune moments.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is an advanced statistical tool designed to provide a clearer view of market trends and momentum. By applying the Savitzky-Golay filter and Z-Score analysis, this indicator reduces noise and highlights key areas where the market may reverse or accelerate, giving traders a significant edge in understanding price behavior.
Whether you’re a trend follower or a reversal trader, this indicator offers the flexibility and insights you need to navigate complex markets with confidence.
Kalman For Loop [BackQuant]Kalman For Loop
Introducing BackQuant's Kalman For Loop (Kalman FL) — a highly adaptive trading indicator that uses a Kalman filter to smooth price data and generate actionable long and short signals. This advanced indicator is designed to help traders identify trends, filter out market noise, and optimize their entry and exit points with precision. Let’s explore how this indicator works, its key features, and how it can enhance your trading strategies.
Core Concept: Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is a mathematical algorithm used to estimate the state of a system by filtering noisy data. It is widely used in areas such as control systems, signal processing, and time-series analysis. In the context of trading, a Kalman filter can be applied to price data to smooth out short-term fluctuations, providing a clearer view of the underlying trend.
Unlike moving averages, which use fixed weights to smooth data, the Kalman Filter adjusts its estimate dynamically based on the relationship between the process noise and the measurement noise. This makes the filter more adaptive to changing market conditions, providing more accurate trend detection without the lag associated with traditional smoothing techniques.
Please see the original Kalman Price Filter
In this script, the Kalman For Loop applies the Kalman filter to the price source (default set to the closing price) to generate a smoothed price series, which is then used to calculate signals.
Adaptive Smoothing with Process and Measurement Noise
Two key parameters govern the behavior of the Kalman filter:
Process Noise: This controls the extent to which the model allows for uncertainty in price changes. A lower process noise value will make the filter smoother but slower to react to price changes, while a higher value makes it more sensitive to recent price fluctuations.
Measurement Noise: This represents the uncertainty or "noise" in the observed price data. A higher measurement noise value gives the filter more leeway to ignore short-term fluctuations, focusing on the broader trend. Lowering the measurement noise makes the filter more responsive to minor changes in price.
These settings allow traders to fine-tune the Kalman filter’s sensitivity, adjusting it to match their preferred trading style or market conditions.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The Kalman FL further enhances the effectiveness of the Kalman filter by using a for-loop scoring system. This mechanism evaluates the smoothed price over a range of periods (defined by the Calculation Start and Calculation End inputs), assigning a score based on whether the current filtered price is higher or lower than previous values.
Long Signals: A long signal is generated when the for-loop score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 20), indicating a strong upward trend. This helps traders identify potential buying opportunities.
Short Signals: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses below the Short Threshold (default set at -10), signaling a potential downtrend or selling opportunity.
These signals are plotted on the chart, giving traders a clear visual indication of when to enter long or short positions.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Kalman For Loop comes with a range of customization options to give traders full control over how the indicator operates and is displayed on the chart:
Kalman Price Source: Choose the price data used for the Kalman filter (default is the closing price), allowing you to apply the filter to other price points like open, high, or low.
Filter Order: Set the order of the Kalman filter (default is 5), controlling how far back the filter looks in its calculations.
Process and Measurement Noise: Fine-tune the sensitivity of the Kalman filter by adjusting these noise parameters.
Signal Line Width and Colors: Customize the appearance of the signal line and the colors used to indicate long and short conditions.
Threshold Lines: Toggle the display of the long and short threshold lines on the chart for better visual clarity.
The indicator also includes the option to color the candlesticks based on the current trend direction, allowing traders to quickly identify changes in market sentiment. In addition, a background color feature further highlights the overall trend by shading the background in green for long signals and red for short signals.
Trading Applications
The Kalman For Loop is a versatile tool that can be adapted to a variety of trading strategies and markets. Some of the primary use cases include:
Trend Following: The adaptive nature of the Kalman filter helps traders identify the start of new trends with greater precision. The for-loop scoring system quantifies the strength of the trend, making it easier to stay in trades for longer when the trend remains strong.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to capitalize on short-term reversals, the Kalman filter's ability to smooth price data makes it easier to spot when price has deviated too far from its expected path, potentially signaling a reversal.
Noise Reduction: The Kalman filter excels at filtering out short-term price noise, allowing traders to focus on the broader market movements without being distracted by minor fluctuations.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals based on filtered price data, the Kalman FL helps traders manage risk by entering positions only when the trend is well-defined, reducing the chances of false signals.
Alerts and Automation
To further assist traders, the Kalman For Loop includes built-in alert conditions that notify you when a long or short signal is generated. These alerts can be configured to trigger notifications, helping you stay on top of market movements without constantly monitoring the chart.
Final Thoughts
The Kalman For Loop is a powerful and adaptive trading indicator that combines the precision of the Kalman filter with a for-loop scoring mechanism to generate reliable long and short signals. Whether you’re a trend follower or a reversal trader, this indicator offers the flexibility and accuracy needed to navigate complex markets with confidence.
As always, it’s important to backtest the indicator and adjust the settings to fit your trading style and market conditions. No indicator is perfect, and the Kalman FL should be used alongside other tools and sound risk management practices for the best results.
Candle Series AnalysisThis advanced indicator is designed to analyze and predict potential market movements based on historical candle series patterns. It goes beyond simple candle-by-candle analysis by examining entire series of consecutive bullish or bearish candles, providing a more comprehensive view of market trends and potential reversals.
The indicator works by identifying the current series of candles (either bullish or bearish) and calculating its percentage change from the start to the current price. It then searches through historical data to find similar candle series patterns, comparing their characteristics to the current one. The analysis includes the series type (bullish or bearish), length (number of candles), and percentage change.
One of the key features of this indicator is its ability to adjust for varying degrees of similarity. Users can set a similarity threshold, allowing them to control how closely historical patterns must match the current one to be considered in the analysis. This flexibility enables traders to fine-tune the indicator to their specific needs and market conditions.
The indicator displays its findings in a customizable table on the chart. The table provides valuable information such as the current series type, length, and percentage change. It also shows the number of similar historical patterns found and the average price change that occurred a specified number of bars after these similar patterns.
Traders can use this information to gain insights into potential future price movements. For example, if the indicator finds that similar bullish series in the past were often followed by a continued uptrend, it might suggest a higher probability of further gains. Conversely, if bearish series typically led to reversals, it could signal a potential buying opportunity.
The script offers extensive customization options. Users can adjust the analysis period, projection length, similarity threshold, table position, text size, and color scheme. This flexibility allows traders to integrate the indicator seamlessly into their existing chart setups and trading strategies.
I personally find this indicator particularly useful for analyzing market behavior in assets that tend to exhibit trending behavior or are subject to momentum effects. It can be especially valuable in markets driven by retail sentiment, such as certain cryptocurrencies or popular stocks. In these markets, the psychology behind consecutive bullish or bearish candles can often create predictable patterns that this indicator aims to identify and quantify.
For instance, in crypto markets, a series of strong bullish candles might indicate growing enthusiasm among retail investors. The indicator can help assess whether such enthusiasm typically leads to further gains or if it often precedes a reversal. This insight can be crucial for timing entries and exits or for setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels.
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and all trading carries inherent risks. Users should always conduct their own research, consider their financial situation, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any losses incurred from its use. Remember that financial markets can be highly unpredictable, and no indicator can guarantee accurate predictions of future price movements.
Candle % Change StrategyThis indicator is designed to analyze the percentage change of candles and provide insights into potential future price movements based on historical patterns. It calculates the percentage change of the current candle and compares it to similar candles in the past, offering a statistical view of what typically happens after such price movements.
The strategy works by identifying candles with similar percentage changes to the current one, either bullish or bearish, and then calculating the average price change that occurred a specified number of bars after these similar candles. This information can be valuable for traders looking to understand potential market reactions following significant price movements.
The indicator displays its findings in a customizable table on the chart. The table shows the current candle's percentage change, the number of similar candles found in the historical data, and the average price change that occurred after these similar candles. Users can adjust various settings such as the number of periods to analyze, the number of forward bars to look ahead, the position and text size of the table, and color schemes.
One of the key features of this indicator is its ability to adapt to both bullish and bearish scenarios. It automatically detects whether the current candle is bullish or bearish and adjusts its analysis accordingly. This makes it versatile for different market conditions and trading strategies.
The script allows for extensive customization. Users can modify the look and feel of the indicator by adjusting colors, table position, and text size to suit their preferences and chart setup. This flexibility ensures that the indicator can be integrated seamlessly into various trading environments and styles.
Personally, I find this indicator particularly useful for analyzing market reactions following large bearish candles. It can provide valuable insights into how the market typically responds to significant downward price movements, which can be crucial for timing entries or exits in a trade.
This strategy can be especially interesting for symbols that are heavily traded by retail investors, such as certain cryptocurrencies. In these markets, emotional reactions to large price movements can sometimes create predictable patterns, which this indicator aims to identify and quantify.
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and all trading carries risk. Users should always conduct their own research and consider their financial situation before making any investment decisions. The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any losses incurred from its use.
Portfolio SnapShot v0.3Here is a Tradingview Pinescript that I call "Portfolio Snapshot". It is based on two other separate scripts that I combined, modified and simplified - shoutout to RedKTrader (Portfolio Tracker - Table Version) and FriendOfTheTrend (Portfolio Tracker For Stocks & Crypto) for their inspiration and code. I was using both of these scripts, and decided to combine the two and increase the number of stocks to 20. I was looking for an easy way to track my entire portfolio (scattered across 5 accounts) PnL on a total and stock basis. PnL - that's it, very simple by design. The features are:
1) Track PnL across multiple accounts, from inception and current day.
2) PnL is reported in two tables, at the portfolio level and individual stock level
3) Both tables can be turned on/off and placed anywhere on the chart.
4) Input up to 20 assets (stocks, crypto, ETFs)
The user has to manually calculate total shares and average basis for stocks in multiple accounts, and then inputs this in the user input dialog. I update mine as each trade is made, or you can just update once a week or so.
I've pre-loaded it with the major indices and sector ETFs, plus URA, GLD, SLV. 100 shares of each, and prices are based on the close Jan 2 2024. So if you don't want to track your portfolio, you can use it to track other things you find interesting, such as annual performance of each sector.
Memecoin TrackerMemecoin Z-Score Tracker with Buy/Sell Table - Technical Explanation
How it Works:
This indicator calculates the Z-scores of various memecoins based on their price movements, using historical funding rates across multiple exchanges. A Z-score measures the deviation of the current price from its moving average, expressed in standard deviations. This provides insight into whether a coin is overbought (positive Z-score) or oversold (negative Z-score) relative to its recent history.
Key Components:
- Z-Score Calculation
- The lookback period is dynamically adjusted based on the chart’s timeframe to ensure consistency across different time intervals:
- For lower timeframes (e.g., minutes), the base lookback period is scaled to match approximately 240 minutes.
- For daily and higher timeframes, the base lookback period is fixed (e.g., 14 bars).
Memecoin Selection:
The indicator tracks several popular memecoins, including DOGE, SHIB, PEPE, FLOKI, and others.
Funding rates are fetched from exchanges like Binance, Bybit, and MEXC using the request.security() function, ensuring accurate real-time price data.
Thresholds for Buy/Sell Signals:
Users can set custom Z-score thresholds for buy (oversold) and sell (overbought) signals:
Default upper threshold: 2.5 (indicates overbought condition).
Default lower threshold: -2.5 (indicates oversold condition).
When a memecoin’s Z-score crosses above or below these thresholds, it signals potential buy or sell conditions.
Buy/Sell Table:
A table with two columns (BUY and SELL) is dynamically populated with memecoins that are currently oversold (buy signal) or overbought (sell signal).
Each column can hold up to 20 entries, providing a clear overview of current market opportunities.
Visual Feedback:
The Z-scores of each memecoin are plotted as a line on the chart, with color-coded feedback:
Red for overbought (Z-score > upper threshold),
Green for oversold (Z-score < lower threshold),
Other colors indicate neutral conditions.
Horizontal lines representing the upper and lower thresholds are plotted for reference.
How to Use It:
Adjust Thresholds:
You can modify the upper and lower Z-score thresholds in the settings to customize sensitivity. Lower thresholds will increase the likelihood of triggering buy/sell signals for smaller price deviations, while higher thresholds will focus on more extreme conditions.
View Real-Time Signals:
The table shows which memecoins are currently oversold (buy column) or overbought (sell column), updating dynamically as price data changes. Traders can monitor this table to identify trading opportunities quickly.
Use with Different Timeframes:
The Z-score lookback period adjusts automatically based on the chart's timeframe, making this indicator suitable for intraday and long-term traders.
Use shorter timeframes (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute charts) for faster signals, while longer timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly) may yield more stable, trend-based signals.
Who It Is For:
Short-Term Traders: Those looking to capitalize on short-term price imbalances (e.g., day traders, scalpers) can use this indicator to identify quick buy/sell opportunities as memecoins oscillate around their moving averages.
Swing Traders: Swing traders can use the Z-score tracker to identify overbought or oversold conditions across multiple memecoins and ride the reversals back toward equilibrium.
Crypto Enthusiasts and Memecoin Investors: Anyone involved in the volatile memecoin market can use this tool to better time entries and exits based on market extremes.
This indicator is for traders seeking quantitative analysis of price extremes in memecoins. By tracking the Z-scores across multiple coins and dynamically updating buy/sell opportunities in a table, it provides a systematic approach to identifying trade setups.
Ehlers Loops [BigBeluga]The Ehlers Loops indicator is based on the concepts developed by John F. Ehlers, which provide a visual representation of the relationship between price and volume dynamics. This tool helps traders predict future market movements by observing how price and volume data interact within four distinct quadrants of the loop, each representing different combinations of price and volume directions. The unique structure of this indicator provides insights into the strength and direction of market trends, offering a clearer perspective on price behavior relative to volume.
🔵 KEY FEATURES & USAGE
● Four Price-Volume Quadrants:
The Ehlers Loops chart consists of four quadrants:
+Price & +Volume (top-right) – Typically indicates a bullish continuation in the market.
-Price & +Volume (bottom-right) – Generally shows a bearish continuation.
+Price & -Volume (top-left) – Typically indicates an exhaustion of demand with a potential reversal.
-Price & -Volume (bottom-left) – Indicates exhaustion of supply and near trend reversal.
By watching how symbols move through these quadrants over time, traders can assess shifts in momentum and volume flow.
● Price and Volume Scaling in Standard Deviations:
Both price and volume data are individually filtered using HighPass and SuperSmoother filters, which transform them into band-limited signals with zero mean. This scaling allows traders to view data in terms of its deviation from the average, making it easier to spot abnormal movements or trends in both price and volume.
● Loops Trajectories with Tails:
The loops draw a trail of price and volume dynamics over time, allowing traders to observe historical price-volume interactions and predict future movements based on the curvature and direction of the rotation.
● Price & Volume Histograms:
On the right side of the chart, histograms for each symbol provide a summary of the most recent price and volume values. These histograms allow traders to easily compare the strength and direction of multiple assets and evaluate market conditions at a glance.
● Flexible Symbol Display & Customization:
Traders can select up to five different symbols to be displayed within the Ehlers Loops. The settings also allow customization of symbol size, colors, and visibility of the histograms. Additionally, traders can adjust the LPPeriod and HPPeriod to change the smoothness and lag of the loops, with a shorter LPPeriod offering more responsiveness and a longer HPPeriod emphasizing longer-term trends.
🔵 USAGE
🔵 SETTINGS
Low pass Period: default is 10 to
obtain minimum lag with just a little smoothing.
High pass Period: default is 125 (half of the year if Daily timeframe) to capture the longer term moves.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Ehlers Loops indicator offers a visually rich and highly customizable way to observe price and volume dynamics across multiple assets. By using band-limited signals and scaling data into standard deviations, traders gain a powerful tool for identifying market trends and predicting future movements. Whether you're tracking short-term fluctuations or long-term trends, Ehlers Loops can help you stay ahead of the market by offering key insights into the relationship between price and volume.
Japan Stock Market Indices Performance TableYou can display the performance of the Nikkei 225 Futures and major indices of the Japanese stock market for the day in a table format on your chart.
The 5-Minute Change Rate shows the change from the opening price of the most recent 5-minute candlestick.
The Daily Change Rate displays the change from the opening price at 09:00 GMT+9 on the current trading day.
Since the Japanese stock market opens at 09:00 GMT+9 , the values for Nikkei 225 Futures, USD/JPY, and EUR/JPY are also calculated based on their opening prices at that time. This script was created because, while brokerage apps allow you to see the comparison to the previous day's close for each index, they do not display the rate of change from the current day's opening price.
Notes:
All values are reset each trading day at 09:00 GMT+9.
If you have not purchased real-time market data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange and Osaka Exchange, data may be delayed by 20 minutes and may not display correctly.
The Tokyo Stock Exchange sector indices are distributed in real-time at 15-second intervals from the TSE, so this script aligns with that timing.
当日の日経225先物と日本株式市場の主要指数のパフォーマンスを表形式でチャート上に表示することができます。
5分変化率は直近の5分足の始値からの変化率、当日変化率は当日09:00の始値からの変化率を表示しています。
日本株式市場が開くのが GMT+9 09:00 のため、それに合わせて日経225先物、ドル円、ユーロ円も GMT+9 09:00 時点の始値を元に各値を算出しています。
各指数の前日比は証券会社のアプリで見れるものの、当日始値からの変化率が見れないため作成しました。
補足
各営業日の朝（GMT+9 09:00）に各値はリセットされます。
Tokyo Stock ExchangeとOsaka Exchangeのreal-time market dataを購入していない場合、データが20分遅れになるため正常に表示されない可能性があります。
東証業種別株価指数は東証から配信されるのが15秒間隔でのリアルタイムになるため、このスクリプトもそれに準ずる形となっています。
RSI Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The RSI Weighted Trend System I is an experimental indicator designed to combine both slow-moving trend indicators for stable trend identification and fast-moving indicators to capture potential major turning points in the market. The novelty of this system lies in the dynamic weighting mechanism, where fast indicators receive weight based on the current Relative Strength Index (RSI) value, thus providing a flexible tool for traders seeking to adapt their strategies to varying market conditions.
Dynamic RSI-Based Weighting System
The core of the indicator is the dynamic weighting of fast indicators based on the value of the RSI. In essence, the higher the absolute value of the RSI (whether positive or negative), the higher the weight assigned to the fast indicators. This enables the system to capture rapid price movements around potential turning points.
Users can choose between a threshold-based or continuous weight system:
Threshold-Based Weighting: Fast indicators are activated only when the absolute RSI value exceeds a user-defined threshold. Below this threshold, fast indicators receive no weight.
Continuous Weighting: By setting the weight threshold to zero, the fast indicators always receive some weight, although this can result in more false signals in ranging markets.
// Calculate weight for Fast Indicators based on RSI (Slow Indicator weight is kept to 1 for simplicity)
f_RSI_Weight_System(series float rsi, simple float weight_thre) =>
float fast_weight = na
float slow_weight = na
if weight_thre > 0
if math.abs(rsi) <= weight_thre
fast_weight := 0
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(rsi))
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(rsi))
slow_weight := 1
Slow and Fast Indicators
Slow Indicators are designed to identify stable trends, remaining constant in weight. These include:
DMI (Directional Movement Index) For Loop
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) For Loop
Aroon For Loop
Fast Indicators are more responsive and designed to spot rapid trend shifts:
ZLEMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average) For Loop
IIRF (Infinite Impulse Response Filter) For Loop
Each of these indicators is calculated using a for-loop method to generate a moving average, which captures the trend of a given length range.
RSI Normalization
To facilitate the weighting system, the RSI is normalized from its usual 0-100 range to a -1 to 1 range. This allows for easy scaling when calculating weights and helps the system adjust to rapidly changing market conditions.
// Normalize RSI (1 to -1)
f_RSI(series float rsi_src, simple int rsi_len, simple string rsi_wb, simple string ma_type, simple int ma_len) =>
output = switch rsi_wb
"RAW RSI" => ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len)
"RSI MA" => ma_type == "EMA" ? (ta.ema(ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len), ma_len)) : (ta.sma(ta.rsi(rsi_src, rsi_len), ma_len))
Signal Calculation
The final trading signal is a weighted average of both the slow and fast indicators, depending on the calculated weights from the RSI. This ensures a balanced approach, where slow indicators maintain overall trend guidance, while fast indicators provide timely entries and exits.
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtest Mode and Performance Metrics
This version of the RSI Weighted Trend System includes a comprehensive backtesting mode, allowing users to evaluate the performance of their selected settings against a Buy & Hold strategy. The backtesting includes:
Equity calculation based on the signals generated by the indicator.
Performance metrics table comparing Buy & Hold strategy metrics with the system’s signals, including: Mean, positive, and negative return percentages, Standard deviations (of all, positive and negative returns), Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio
f_PerformanceMetrics(series float base, int Lookback, simple float startDate, bool Annualize = true) =>
// Initialize variables for positive and negative returns
pos_sum = 0.0
neg_sum = 0.0
pos_count = 0
neg_count = 0
returns_sum = 0.0
returns_squared_sum = 0.0
pos_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
neg_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
// Loop through the past 'Lookback' bars to calculate sums and counts
if (time >= startDate)
for i = 0 to Lookback - 1
r = (base - base ) / base
returns_sum += r
returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r > 0
pos_sum += r
pos_count += 1
pos_returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r < 0
neg_sum += r
neg_count += 1
neg_returns_squared_sum += r * r
float export_array = array.new_float(12)
// Calculate means
mean_all = math.round((returns_sum / Lookback) * 100, 2)
mean_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? pos_sum / pos_count : na) * 100, 2)
mean_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? neg_sum / neg_count : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate standard deviations
stddev_all = math.round((math.sqrt((returns_squared_sum - (returns_sum * returns_sum) / Lookback) / Lookback)) * 100, 2)
stddev_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((pos_returns_squared_sum - (pos_sum * pos_sum) / pos_count) / pos_count) : na) * 100, 2)
stddev_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((neg_returns_squared_sum - (neg_sum * neg_sum) / neg_count) / neg_count) : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate probabilities
prob_pos = math.round((pos_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neg = math.round((neg_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neu = math.round(((Lookback - pos_count - neg_count) / Lookback) * 100, 2)
// Calculate ratios
sharpe_ratio = math.round(mean_all / stddev_all * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1), 2)
sortino_ratio = math.round(mean_all / stddev_neg * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1), 2)
omega_ratio = math.round(pos_sum / math.abs(neg_sum), 2)
// Set values in the array
array.set(export_array, 0, mean_all), array.set(export_array, 1, mean_pos), array.set(export_array, 2, mean_neg),
array.set(export_array, 3, stddev_all), array.set(export_array, 4, stddev_pos), array.set(export_array, 5, stddev_neg),
array.set(export_array, 6, prob_pos), array.set(export_array, 7, prob_neu), array.set(export_array, 8, prob_neg),
array.set(export_array, 9, sharpe_ratio), array.set(export_array, 10, sortino_ratio), array.set(export_array, 11, omega_ratio)
// Export the array
export_array
The metrics help traders assess the effectiveness of their strategy over time and can be used to optimize their settings.
Calibration Mode
A calibration mode is included to assist users in tuning the indicator to their specific needs. In this mode, traders can focus on a specific indicator (e.g., DMI, CCI, Aroon, ZLEMA, IIRF, or RSI) and fine-tune it without interference from other signals.
The calibration plot visualizes the chosen indicator's performance against a zero line, making it easy to see how changes in the indicator’s settings affect its trend detection.
Customization and Default Settings
Important Note: The default settings provided are not optimized for any particular market or asset. They serve as a starting point for experimentation. Traders are encouraged to calibrate the system to suit their own trading strategies and preferences.
The indicator allows deep customization, from selecting which indicators to use, adjusting the lengths of each indicator, smoothing parameters, and the RSI weight system.
Alerts
Traders can set alerts for both long and short signals when the indicator flips, allowing for automated monitoring of potential trading opportunities.
Similar Price ActionDescription:
The indicator tries to find an area of N candles in history that has the most similar price action to the latest N candles. The maximum search distance is limited to 5000 candles. It works by calculating a coefficient for each candle and comparing it with the coefficient of the latest candle, thus searching for two closest values. The indicator highlights the latest N candles, as well as the most similar area found in the past, and also tries to predict future price based on the latest price and price directly after the most similar area that was found in the past.
Inputs:
- Length -> the area we are searching for is comprised of this many candles
- Lookback -> maximum distance in which a similar area can be found
- Function -> the function used to compare latest and past prices
Notes:
- The indicator is intended to work on smaller timeframes where the overall price difference is not very high, but can be used on any
LPPL Critical Pulse (by BigBlueCheese) Version 1.1LPPL Critical Pulse (by BigBlueCheese)
I couldn’t locate a single script on TradingView that utilized the Log-Periodic Power Law (LPPL) and period doubling—key tools used by street professionals. Here is my first script…More to come.
Log-Periodic Power Law (LPPL)
LPPL is a mathematical framework used to model asset price bubbles that can help predict market crashes or corrections. It is based on the idea that speculative bubbles exhibit self-reinforcing, positive feedback behavior that leads to increasingly unsustainable price growth, followed by a crash or correction. But the big news is that because of the speculative behavior it can identify, it has equal application across many other instruments & timeframes.
The LPPL, has been around since the 1950’s and 1960’s where its theoretical foundation lies in the concepts of renormalized group theory and critical point behavior. Physicists Lev Landau, Vitaly Ginzburg & Kenneth Wilson contributed to how we can understand systems behave at critical points and was further developed by Benoit Mandelbrot via the concept of discrete scale invariance and log-periodicity. The concepts were popularized by Didier Sornette in Why Stock Markets Crash, where he used his model to detect when markets are experiencing extreme price movements, indicating the potential for a bubble to burst or a significant correction to occur. It is suspected that others like Jim Simons was an early adopter/adapter of this (and other) advanced mathematical concepts. LPPL is especially valuable for traders trying to anticipate rapid price movements—both upward and downward.
What is a Speculative Bubble?
A speculative bubble forms when an asset’s price skyrockets due to excitement from investors, pushing it well beyond its true value. At some point, this unsustainable growth leads to a crash, as the bubble “pops.” However, these crashes don’t need to be massive market-shaking events. They can also emerge from short-term price anomalies in any market or timeframe…..and they apply equally to upward & downward price moves. That is you can use this approach for both long and short trades.
Power Law & Log-Periodicity
The Power Law aspect describes how prices accelerate as they approach a critical point, forming a steep curve that signals instability.
The Log-Periodic component captures the oscillations that grow increasingly frequent as the price nears this tipping point, marking rising volatility.
Criticality in Trading: Feedback Loops, Attractors and Repellers
LPPL can be applied to financial markets by comparing them to natural systems prone to critical points, like avalanches or earthquakes. The key concept is criticality—the idea that, just like pressure building in an earthquake zone or snow stacking up on a mountain, there’s a feedback loop in markets where investor behavior becomes increasingly synchronized. This creates a self-reinforcing cycle, accelerating price movements until the system can no longer sustain the tension, and it collapses—similar to a critical phase shift in nature when physical systems experience sudden, catastrophic events when they reach a critical threshold.
In this context, the LPPL model aims to identify these critical points in financial markets by recognizing specific patterns in price movements, providing insight into the potential timing of major market shifts.
This is how markets can behave like attractors (drawing prices into unsustainable growth or collapses) or repellers (pushing them away through sudden corrections), depending on the balance of forces. LPPL captures this dynamic, helping traders anticipate when the market is nearing these critical moments.
Attractors are states or patterns that a system tends to gravitate towards over time, representing points of stability or equilibrium. Repellers are states that the system tends to avoid or move away from, representing instability or points of divergence.
In the context of the LPPL model, the market is seen as a dynamic system that is moving towards a critical point—often a bubble or a crash. The critical point itself can be viewed as an attractor, pulling the market toward a period of instability as prices accelerate and oscillations become more frequent. This movement reflects positive feedback loops, where investor behavior (e.g., herd mentality or speculative buying) reinforces the trend until it reaches an unsustainable level.
Conversely, once the critical point is reached, it can act as a repeller, causing the system (market) to rapidly move away from that state, often resulting in a crash or market correction. In essence, the LPPL model tries to identify these phases of movement toward or away from critical points, using attractors and repellers to describe the behavior of the system before and after major market events.
This dynamic interaction between stability and instability, or attractors and repellers, is a key feature of how Sornette’s LPPL approach models financial markets, emphasizing the market’s ability to oscillate between periods of calm and critical shifts.
Bubbles and Crashes in Any Timeframe
While people often think of bubbles and crashes as huge events like the Crash of 87, the Global Financial Crisis or COVID-19, they can also be much smaller or instrument specific. A short-term spike in a stock or a sudden currency drop can behave like a miniature bubble. LPPL helps spot these shorter-term price anomalies, making it versatile for traders looking for opportunities in all instruments and timeframes.
How Can I Use LPPL Critical Pulse?
Monitor price acceleration that signals unsustainable growth/movement .
Spot volatility, oscillations, extensions and compressions and exhaustion as the market nears critical instability and levels.
Combine with other indicators to help time entries and exits, manage risk as markets approach/consolidate/leave critical levels.
LPPL Critical Pulse (LPPLCP)
LPPLCP is based on LPPL principles that identify potential upward and downward market movements, exhaustion and consolidation periods.
Visualization
The LPPL line is smoothed using a moving average to reduce noise, and the result is scaled to fit within the price range of the past 100 bars, aligning the LPPL line with the price movements on the chart.
Dynamic LPPL Line Plot:
A smoothed and scaled LPPL line plotted directly on the price chart.
• Color-Coded Trend Analysis: The LPPL line changes color dynamically based on the conditions of slope and acceleration to reflect market behaviors such as period doubling or exhaustion.
1. White (Exhaustion/Consolidation Condition): Indicates that both the slope and the acceleration of the LPPL line are zero, suggesting a potential market flattening or exhaustion/consolidation. At the end of this period, a new trend may emerge OR the prior trend may reassert itself.
2. Purple (Period Doubling): This color appears when the LPPL model detects rapid changes in acceleration, indicating the potential for a market turning point (period doubling). The slope of the LPPL line during this period suggests whether the market is moving upward or downward.
3. Green (Positive Slope with Increasing Acceleration): A green LPPL line suggests that the market is in an upward trend, with increasing acceleration.
4. Red (Negative Slope with Decreasing Acceleration): A red LPPL line indicates a downward market trend with decreasing acceleration.
5. Yellow (Neutral): Yellow is the default color when none of the specific conditions (exhaustion, period doubling, positive/negative slope with acceleration) are met, i.e. generally a continuation of the prior condition but at a slower pace.
Customization for Any Market
LPPL Critical Pulse has application across most time frames for pretty much whatever you want to trade…stocks, commodities, currencies, futures, and more. You will have to tweak the inputs to optimize for the market(s) you choose to trade.
Inputs
1. Lookback Period for Adaptation
o Type: Integer
o Default: 1
o Description: Defines the lookback period for calculating the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Standard Deviation (StDev) used in the LPPL model. A higher value smooths the calculations over a longer period.
2. Period Doubling Threshold
o Type: Float
o Default: 0.01
o Description: Determines the sensitivity for detecting period doubling in the LPPL line. A lower threshold increases sensitivity.
3. Flattening Threshold
o Type: Float
o Default: 0.01
o Description: This input is not actively used in the current version but can be modified for further customizations in the LPPL model.
4. Period Doubling Acceleration Threshold
o Type: Float
o Default: 0.02
o Description: This controls the threshold for detecting rapid changes in the LPPL acceleration, helping identify when period doubling occurs.
Calculation Components
The LPPL line is calculated using several components:
• SMA (A): The simple moving average of the closing prices over the selected lookback period.
• Standard Deviation (B, C): These parameters are calculated based on the standard deviation of prices and control the amplitude of the LPPL oscillations.
• Exponential Decay: The LPPL line decays as it approaches a theoretical critical time (tc), where market crashes or rapid changes may occur.
Disclaimer.
Not investment advice. Use at your own risk. Past results do not represent and are not indicative of future results
Industry Group Strength - IndiaPresenting the Industry Group Strength Indicator for India market, designed to help traders identify top-performing stocks within specific industry groups that are predefined.
⦿ Identifies Leading Stocks in Industry Groups
⦿ Analyses the following metrics
YTD Return : Measures stock performance from the start of the year.
RS Rating : Relative Strength rating for user-selected periods.
% Return : Percentage return over a user-selected lookback period.
Features
This indicator dynamically recognises the industry group of the current stock on the chart and ranks stocks within that group based on predefined data points. Traders can add this indicator to focus on top-performing stocks relative to their industry.
⦿ Color-coded for Easy Visualisation
You can choose from the following key metrics to rank stocks:
YTD Return
RS Rating
% Return
⦿ Table Format with Performance Metrics Compact mode
Vertical View
Horizontal View
All of the three metrics are shown in the compact mode and the current stock that is viewed is highlighted!
Vertical view
Horizontal view
Stock Ranking
Stocks are ranked based on their performance within industry groups, enabling traders to easily spot leaders and laggards in each sector. Color-coded gradients visually represent the stocks’ performance rankings, with higher percentile rankings indicating better performance.
Relative Strength (RS)
Relative Strength (RS) compares a stock’s performance against the benchmark index. The RS value is normalized from 1 to 99, making it easier to compare across different stocks. A rising RS value indicates that the stock is outperforming the market, helping traders quickly gauge relative performance within industry groups.
Limitations
At the time of developing this indicator, Pine requests are limited to 40 per script so the predefined symbols had to be filtered to 40 per Industry group
Stocks Filters
Filters that are used to filter the stocks in an Industry group to have maximum of 40 stocks
⦿ Auto, Chemical, Engineering, Finance, Pharma
Market Cap >= 1000 Crores and Market Cap <= 60000 Crores
Price >= 30 and Price <= 6000
50 Days Average ( Price * Volume ) >= 6 Crores
⦿ For rest of the Industry groups
Market Cap >= 1000 Crores and Market Cap <= 100000 Crores
Price >= 20 and Price <= 10000
50 Days Average ( Price * Volume ) >= 3 Crores
Credits
This indicator is forked from the Script for US market by @Amphibiantrading Thanks Brandon for the beginning of this indicator.
This indicator is built on TradingView’s new dynamic requests feature, thanks to @PineCoders for making this possible!
Williams %R StrategyThe Williams %R Strategy implemented in Pine Script™ is a trading system based on the Williams %R momentum oscillator. The Williams %R indicator, developed by Larry Williams in 1973, is designed to identify overbought and oversold conditions in a market, helping traders time their entries and exits effectively (Williams, 1979). This particular strategy aims to capitalize on short-term price reversals in the S&P 500 (SPY) by identifying extreme values in the Williams %R indicator and using them as trading signals.
Strategy Rules:
Entry Signal:
A long position is entered when the Williams %R value falls below -90, indicating an oversold condition. This threshold suggests that the market may be near a short-term bottom, and prices are likely to reverse or rebound in the short term (Murphy, 1999).
Exit Signal:
The long position is exited when:
The current close price is higher than the previous day’s high, or
The Williams %R indicator rises above -30, indicating that the market is no longer oversold and may be approaching an overbought condition (Wilder, 1978).
Technical Analysis and Rationale:
The Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the level of the close relative to the high-low range over a specific period, providing insight into whether an asset is trading near its highs or lows. The indicator values range from -100 (most oversold) to 0 (most overbought). When the value falls below -90, it indicates an oversold condition where a reversal is likely (Achelis, 2000). This strategy uses this oversold threshold as a signal to initiate long positions, betting on mean reversion—an established principle in financial markets where prices tend to revert to their historical averages (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Optimization and Performance:
The strategy allows for an adjustable lookback period (between 2 and 25 days) to determine the range used in the Williams %R calculation. Empirical tests show that shorter lookback periods (e.g., 2 days) yield the most favorable outcomes, with profit factors exceeding 2. This finding aligns with studies suggesting that shorter timeframes can effectively capture short-term momentum reversals (Fama, 1970; Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Scientific Context:
Mean Reversion Theory: The strategy’s core relies on mean reversion, which suggests that prices fluctuate around a mean or average value. Research shows that such strategies, particularly those using oscillators like Williams %R, can exploit these temporary deviations (Poterba & Summers, 1988).
Behavioral Finance: The overbought and oversold conditions identified by Williams %R align with psychological factors influencing trading behavior, such as herding and panic selling, which often create opportunities for price reversals (Shiller, 2003).
Conclusion:
This Williams %R-based strategy utilizes a well-established momentum oscillator to time entries and exits in the S&P 500. By targeting extreme oversold conditions and exiting when these conditions revert or exceed historical ranges, the strategy aims to capture short-term gains. Scientific evidence supports the effectiveness of short-term mean reversion strategies, particularly when using indicators sensitive to momentum shifts.
References:
Achelis, S. B. (2000). Technical Analysis from A to Z. McGraw Hill.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Williams, L. (1979). How I Made One Million Dollars… Last Year… Trading Commodities. Windsor Books.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
This explanation provides a scientific and evidence-based perspective on the Williams %R trading strategy, aligning it with fundamental principles in technical analysis and behavioral finance.
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA)Another simple easy to use indicator that incorporates mean reversion and trend following.
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) is an indicator developed by Perry Kaufman that adjusts its sensitivity based on market volatility. It is designed to react more quickly during trending markets and slow down in sideways or volatile markets. The primary idea is that in a trending market, the moving average should be more sensitive to price changes, while in a non-trending market, it should be less responsive to noise.
KAMA Formula
The formula for the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average is:
Efficiency Ratio (ER): Measures the efficiency of price movement over a given period.
ER
=
Smoothing Factor
Volatility
=
Sum of absolute price change
Sum of absolute price movement
ER=
Volatility
Smoothing Factor
=
Sum of absolute price movement
Sum of absolute price change
The Efficiency Ratio is calculated by taking the price change over a defined period and dividing it by the total price movement (which is the sum of absolute price changes).
Smoothing Constant (SC): This is a factor used to adjust the moving average's responsiveness:
SC
=
ER
×
(
2
/
(
𝑛
+
1
)
)
+
(
1
−
ER
)
×
(
2
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(
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SC=ER×(2/(n+1))+(1−ER)×(2/(n+1))
where n is the length of the moving average period.
Steps to Calculate KAMA:
Efficiency Ratio (ER):
Calculate the sum of absolute price changes over the chosen period.
Calculate the sum of absolute price movements over the same period.
Smoothing Constant (SC):
Use the Efficiency Ratio to adjust the smoothing factor.
KAMA Calculation:
The initial KAMA is the simple moving average (SMA) of the first n periods.
For subsequent periods, KAMA is calculated using a formula based on the smoothing constant and previous KAMA values.
experiment with the variables as you like!!
Fourier Smoothed Volume Zone Oscillator ( FSVZO )Overview 🔎
The fourier smoothed Volume Zone Oscillator (FSVZO) is a versatile tool designed to provide traders with a detailed understanding of market conditions by examining volume dynamics. FSVZO applies a series of advanced regularization techniques aimed at trying to reduce market noise, making signals potentially more readable and actionable. This indicator combines traditional technical analysis tools with a unique set of smoothing functions, aimed at creating a more balanced and reliable oscillator that can assist traders in their decision-making process.
A Combination of Technical Elements for a Unique Edge 🔀
FSVZO integrates a variety of technical elements to offer a comprehensive perspective on the market. These elements can be used individually or in combination, depending on user preferences. Here are the main components:
Volume Zone Oscillator (VZO): This foundational element leverages volume data to identify trends and shifts in buying or selling pressure. Unlike a standalone VZO, the FSVZO incorporates a Fourier-based regularization technique to reduce false signals, allowing traders to focus on meaningful volume-driven movements.
Ehler's White Noise Filter: This component is a sophisticated filter that helps distinguish genuine market signals from white noise. By isolating the meaningful movements in price and volume, the white noise filter contributes to the clarity and reliability of the signals generated.
Divergences Detection: FSVZO also provides divergence signals (both hidden and regular) based on the oscillator and price action. Divergences can be used to anticipate possible market reversals or confirmations, enhancing the trader's ability to recognize significant market shifts.
Money Flow Index (MFI) Smoothing: The MFI is calculated and then smoothed using wavelet and whitenoise techniques, providing a cleaner view of money flow within the market. This helps reduce erratic fluctuations and focuses on more consistent trends.
Trendshift Visualization: The FSVZO features an optional trendshift indicator, highlighting shifts between bullish and bearish conditions. These visual cues make it easier to identify trend reversals, aiding traders in timely decision-making.
Flexible Display Options 📊
FSVZO offers a variety of display modes to cater to different trading styles and visual preferences:
Neon Style Plot: The oscillator is presented with neon-style plots primarily for aesthetic purposes.
Color Blindness Modes 🌈: FSVZO includes several color palettes to accommodate traders affected by different types of color blindness (Protanopia, Deuteranopia, Tritanopia, Achromatopsia). These options ensure that everyone can easily interpret the signals, regardless of visual impairments.
Take Profit Areas & Alerts: The indicator can display take profit areas based on overbought or oversold conditions of the smoothed oscillator, marked by background hues to provide a clear visual signal. Alerts for high and low thresholds can also be enabled to identify moments of increased buying or selling interest.
Divergences and Trend Analysis 🔍
FSVZO also aims to identify bullish and bearish divergences:
Regular Bullish/Bearish Divergence: These occur when the oscillator diverges from the price action, indicating a possible reversal.
Hidden Bullish/Bearish Divergence: These occur within a trend, signaling continuation opportunities that help traders capitalize on ongoing trends.
FSVZO also supports additional filtering for divergences, allowing users to refine the detection of divergences to better suit their trading preferences.
Enhanced Noise Filtering 🔄
One of the unique features of FSVZO is its Fourier Regularization and Ehler's White Noise Filter, which help improve signal reliability by reducing the impact of market noise. These filtering methods are beneficial for traders seeking to avoid whipsaws and focus on more meaningful market movements.
Why FSVZO Stands Out 🔑
Noise Reduction: By combining multiple filtering techniques, FSVZO is designed to react to price changes as quickly as possible while offering various smoothing options to reduce noise, which may make it less responsive but more stable.
Flexible Visualization: The option to use different display modes and the inclusion of color blindness-friendly palettes make FSVZO versatile and accessible to all traders.
Detailed Divergence Analysis: The integration of both regular and hidden divergence detection helps improve the potential for identifying trading opportunities.
Advanced Regularization Techniques: The use of Fourier transformation and white noise filters adds a unique aspect to volume analysis, differentiating FSVZO from other traditional volume oscillators.
Conclusion 🔒
The Regularized Volume Zone Oscillator (FSVZO) is a unique tool that brings together multiple advanced techniques to help traders better understand market conditions and volume dynamics. The indicator is designed to react to price changes as quickly as possible, which may lead to false signals; however, it also offers smoothing options to help reduce noise at the cost of reduced reaction speed. This balance between responsiveness and stability provides traders with flexibility in adapting the indicator to different market conditions. However, as with all indicators, it is crucial to combine FSVZO with other tools and maintain sound risk management practices.
FSVZO is primarily designed for more experienced traders due the number of different signals it provides. It offers enhanced insights into volume trends and market movement, and should be used alongside other indicators to reduce risk and false signals
Gauss KenJi Robot
Gauss KenJi Trading Robot: Precision and Automation for Traders
The Gauss KenJi robot is a cutting-edge trading solution designed for experienced traders seeking to enhance their decision-making through advanced statistical models and automation. Unlike traditional trading tools that rely on generic indicators prone to false signals, the Gauss KenJi robot offers an innovative approach by utilizing two unique indicators: the Kenji Indicator v.2.0 and the Gauss Indicator .
Kenji Indicator v.2.0
Traditional moving averages and related indicators often fail in flat market conditions, where frequent crossovers lead to confusing signals and false trends. The Kenji Indicator addresses this issue by using a combination of correlation analysis and moving averages to more accurately identify the market’s state. This real-time insight allows for better navigation of local trends, reducing noise and increasing the precision of trade signals.
Gauss Indicator
The Gauss Indicator brings the power of statistical analysis into trading by applying the 3 sigmas rule. It calculates and predicts the likely price ranges for specific time frames (hourly, daily, weekly) with probabilities of 68%, 95%, and 99%. This offers traders an actionable framework for setting stop-loss, take-profit, and identifying key support and resistance levels. By providing a clearer view of potential price movements, the Gauss Indicator improves decision-making, ensuring that traders enter and exit the market at optimal points.
Gauss KenJi Robot: How it Works
The Gauss KenJi robot operates on a statistical algorithm based on the Gaussian function, which uses market volatility as a core indicator of price movements. The robot opens positions in the direction of the trend when the price reaches the predetermined Gauss border. Position sizes are calculated according to the “Initial_lot” parameter, with stop-loss and take-profit levels defined by the “Pips” parameter. Trades are automatically closed either when profit targets or stop-loss limits are reached, or if local trend reversals are detected by the Kenji Indicator.
This highly adaptable algorithm can be applied to any asset class (stocks, forex, crypto, commodities) and any time frame, providing traders with a versatile tool to navigate various markets.
Why Gauss KenJi is Essential for Traders
1. Time Efficiency: The robot operates autonomously, allowing traders to step away from constant chart monitoring while still capitalizing on market movements.
2. Profit Maximization: By leveraging machine learning and advanced statistical models, the robot identifies opportunities faster than human traders, ensuring more profitable trades.
3. Risk Management: The robot strictly adheres to predefined rules, helping traders minimize losses and protect their capital in volatile market conditions.
4. Cross-market Versatility: Whether you’re trading forex, stocks, crypto, or commodities, Gauss KenJi adapts to different markets and time frames, making it a versatile tool for professional traders.
The Gauss KenJi robot is a comprehensive, scientifically driven trading solution designed to eliminate common pitfalls associated with traditional indicators. Its combination of the Kenji Indicator’s trend identification and the Gauss Indicator’s price prediction capabilities makes it an indispensable tool for traders looking to enhance both the precision of their trades and the automation of their strategies. Whether you are aiming for consistent daily profits or optimizing long-term trading strategies, Gauss KenJi offers the efficiency and accuracy required to stay ahead in today’s competitive markets.
Spazz MSiThis innovative adaptation of the Enhanced McClellan Summation Index (MSI) incorporates advanced statistical analysis to refine its market interpretation capabilities. The core enhancement involves the integration of a Z-score calculation, which is applied to a user-selectable price data series (open, high, low, close, or their derivatives).
Key modifications and improvements include:
1. Flexible Data Input: The indicator now allows for the selection of various price points or their combinations (e.g., OHLC4, HLC3) as the basis for the MSI calculation, enhancing its adaptability to different trading strategies and market conditions.
2. Z-Score Integration: By incorporating a Z-score metric, the indicator provides a standardized measure of the price series' deviation from its mean. This statistical approach offers a more nuanced view of market extremes.
3. Dynamic Overbought/Oversold Identification: The Z-score implementation enables a more sophisticated method for identifying overbought and oversold conditions. These states are now determined relative to the asset's own historical volatility, rather than fixed thresholds.
4. Automated Signal Generation: The indicator now features an algorithmic approach to generate buy and sell signals. These signals are triggered when specific Z-score thresholds are breached, offering traders clear, statistically-backed entry and exit points.
5. Visual Enhancements: The addition of graphical elements, such as color-coded plots and shape markers, improves the indicator's visual interpretability, allowing for quicker and more intuitive market analysis.
This enhanced version of the McClellan Summation Index combines the robust trend-following capabilities of the original MSI with the precision of statistical analysis. By doing so, it provides traders with a more refined tool for market timing and trend identification, particularly useful in volatile or transitioning market conditions.
ATR Movement Percentage from Daily (Bal)Script Description: ATR Movement Percentage from Daily
The script titled "ATR Movement Percentage from Daily" is designed to help traders analyze the price movement of an asset in relation to its daily volatility, as represented by the Average True Range (ATR). Here's a breakdown of how the script works:
Key Features of the Script:
ATR Calculation:
The script allows the user to input the length of the ATR calculation (default is 14 periods).
It retrieves the daily ATR value using the request.security function, ensuring that the ATR is based on the daily timeframe, regardless of the current chart's timeframe.
Price Movement Calculation:
It calculates the opening price of the current day using request.security to ensure it is aligned with the daily timeframe.
It retrieves the current closing price and computes the price change from the opening price.
Movement Percentage:
The percentage of price movement relative to the daily ATR is calculated. This value helps traders understand how significant the current price movement is compared to the expected volatility for the day.
Direction of Movement:
The script determines the direction of the price movement (upward or downward) based on whether the price change is positive or negative.
Dynamic Label Display:
A label is created and updated to show the movement percentage and direction on the chart.
If the price movement is upward, the label is displayed in green; if downward, it is shown in red.
The label position updates with each new bar, keeping it relevant to the current price action.
Plotting Daily ATR:
The daily ATR value is plotted on the chart as a blue line, providing a visual reference for traders to see the volatility levels in relation to price movements.
Conclusion:
This script is particularly useful for traders who want to assess market conditions based on volatility. By understanding how much the price has moved in relation to the daily ATR, traders can make informed decisions about entry and exit points, and adjust their risk management strategies accordingly. The dynamic labeling feature enhances the usability of the script, allowing for quick visual assessments of market behavior.
High and Low in Selected Time Window (Chart's Timezone)Simple indicator for finding the high and low in any selected time period. to use enter the start time by selecting the hour and minute and enter the end time the same.
a line will be drawn along with the price and a timestamp of when it occurred. shows multiple days of the same time period. Useful for observing ICT Macros, 6VS10 etc.
Multi-Assets Monthly/Weekly/Daily/ Rate Multi-Assets Rate Indicator
This indicator provides a comprehensive view of performance across multiple asset classes, including Forex pairs, Indices, Commodities, and Cryptocurrencies. It offers the following features:
1. Asset Type Selection: Users can choose between "FOREX" and "Other Assets" to view different sets of instruments.
2. Timeframe Flexibility: Performance can be analyzed on Weekly, Daily, or Monthly timeframes.
3. Performance Metrics:
- Current Period Performance: Percentage change in the selected timeframe.
- Previous Period Performance: Percentage change in the previous period.
- Rate of Change: Difference between current and previous period performances.
4. Visual Representation: Results are displayed in a color-coded table for easy interpretation.
- Green indicates positive performance
- Red indicates negative performance
5. Customizable Symbols: Users can input their preferred symbols for each category.
6. Categorized View: When "Other Assets" is selected, the table is organized into Indices, Commodities, and Cryptocurrencies for better clarity.
This indicator is designed to help traders and investors quickly assess and compare performance across various financial instruments and asset classes. It's particularly useful for identifying trends, comparing relative strengths, and making informed decisions based on multi-timeframe analysis.
Note: This indicator relies on data provided by TradingView. Ensure that you have access to the required data feeds for accurate results.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.
