Simple SSRThis indicator shows "SSR" on the chart when SSR "Short Sale Restriction" is activated on the ticker.
SSR "Short Sale Restriction" or "alternative uptick rule" is a rule introduced by the SEC that prohibits shorting on the bid when a stock has dropped more than 10% from the prior days close in the regular trading hours.
It will stay activated for the day it has triggered and the following day through regular and extended market hours.
Since this rule only applies to the US stock market it checks for the exchange and only displays it for US stocks.
Statistics
Fourier Adjusted Volume Zone Oscillator [BackQuant]Fourier Adjusted Volume Zone Oscillator
Welcome to BackQuant's FSVZO, Primarily we decided to combine the Fourier analysis to a leading indicator concept. Since in concept it can be beneficial.
We also decided to add in the momentum velocity indicator as a point of confluence.
Which will be discussed later in how it can be used in a trading system. For now onto the boring stuff, please read all of this and enjoy!
Fourier ? What and Why:
Fourier transforms are a mathematical technique used for transforming signals between time and frequency domains. In the context of financial markets, this allows analysts to deconstruct price movements into constituent sinusoidal waves. By isolating these waves, traders can identify the dominant market cycles and trends hidden within the 'noise' of short-term price fluctuations.
Empirical Evidence and Benefits:
Cycle Identification: Empirical studies have shown that markets exhibit cyclical behaviors due to various economic, geopolitical, and psychological factors. Fourier filtering helps in pinpointing these cycles, even in seemingly random market movements.
Trend Detection: By highlighting dominant frequencies, traders can more accurately determine the prevailing trend direction, aiding in trend-following or contrarian strategies.
Volatility Clarity: Filtering out noise enhances the visibility of true market volatility, crucial for risk management and strategy adjustment.
Why the Volume Zone Oscillator (VZO) and Origins + Advantages:
The VZO was developed by Walid Khalil and David Steckler and introduced in the "Stocks & Commodities" magazine in 2009. It integrates volume with price movements to gauge the flow of buying and selling pressure. Unlike traditional volume indicators that solely quantify trading volume, the VZO interprets volume's impact on price direction, offering insights into the strength or weakness of a price trend.
Empirical Evidence and Benefits:
Market Sentiment: Volume is a key indicator of market sentiment. High volume accompanying price movements indicates strong sentiment, whereas low volume suggests a lack of conviction. The VZO makes this analysis quantifiable.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: By quantifying where the current volume-weighted price is within its range, the VZO helps identify potential reversals, providing actionable signals for entering or exiting trades.
Trend Confirmation: The VZO's ability to confirm price trends with volume adds an extra layer of validation to trading signals, reducing the likelihood of false breakouts or breakdowns.
Why we Decided to Combine Them
The integration of Fourier filtering with the VZO offers a comprehensive view of the market by combining the geometric clarity of price movements with the psychological insights provided by volume analysis. This synergy allows for a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics.
Enhanced Signal Accuracy: The combination reduces the chances of false signals. Fourier filtering's trend and cycle identification, combined with the VZO's volume-based confirmation, can significantly enhance trading decision accuracy.
Market Turns and Continuations: Fourier analysis can indicate potential turning points or continuation patterns, which, when confirmed with volume analysis through the VZO, provides a robust signal for traders to act upon.
Adaptability: Both tools adapt well to various market conditions, making this combination versatile across different trading instruments and timeframes.
Empirical Evidence:
While specific empirical studies directly analyzing the combined effectiveness of Fourier filtering and VZO might be scarce, the foundational research supporting each method individually provides strong evidence of their validity. Academic and practical applications in financial markets have demonstrated the value of both Fourier analysis for cycle detection and volume-based oscillators like the VZO for assessing market strength and sentiment. Together, they offer a compelling toolkit for traders aiming to refine their market analysis and strategy execution.
USER INPUTS
Momentum Velocity Group
Show Confluence Momentum Velocity?: This toggle allows users to decide whether they want to display the momentum velocity indicator on their chart. It's designed to show the momentum of price movements, potentially indicating acceleration or deceleration in price trends.
Calculation Source: This setting lets users select the price data used for calculating the momentum velocity. Common options include the close, open, high, low, or an average of these prices. The choice depends on what aspect of price action the trader wishes to analyze.
Lookback Period: Determines the number of bars used to calculate the momentum. A longer period may smooth out the indicator, reducing sensitivity to recent price changes, while a shorter period may make the indicator more responsive to new information.
Use Adaptive Filtering?: Enables the use of adaptive filtering for the momentum calculation. This feature adjusts the indicator's sensitivity based on recent market volatility, potentially improving the indicator's responsiveness to market changes.
Adaptive Lookback Period: Specifies the period for the adaptive filter. This setting fine-tunes how rapidly the filter adjusts to changes in market conditions.
FSVZO Group
Show FSVZO?: This input controls whether the Fourier Smoothed Volume Zone Oscillator is displayed on the chart. It's the main feature of the script, combining Fourier analysis with volume data to provide insights into market dynamics.
Calculation Source for FSVZO: Similar to the momentum velocity calculation source, this setting allows users to choose the price data (close, open, high, low, or an average) that will be used for FSVZO calculations.
Calculation Period: Defines the length of the window for Fourier analysis and VZO calculation. This period can affect the sensitivity and smoothing of the indicator.
Show FSVZO Band Filler? (Ribbon): When enabled, this feature displays a filled area or ribbon on the chart, making it easier to visualize the oscillator's movement and trends.
Show FSVZO Moving Average (Ema)?: This toggle allows the display of an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the FSVZO, which can help smooth out its movements and provide a clearer trend direction.
MA Period: Specifies the length of the moving average applied to the FSVZO. Adjusting this period can affect the smoothness and lag of the trend indication.
Smooth VZO (Reduces noise, but increases its accuracy): Enables smoothing of the Volume Zone Oscillator to reduce noise and potentially increase the accuracy of its signals.
Smooth Period: Defines the smoothing period for the VZO, affecting how much noise reduction is applied.
UI Settings Group
Show Static Overbought and Oversold Levels?: Enables the display of predetermined levels that indicate overbought or oversold conditions, helping traders identify potential reversal points.
Show Adaptive Levels?: Allows the use of dynamic, market-condition-adjusted levels for overbought and oversold indicators, offering a more nuanced view of market extremes.
Show Detected Trend Shifts?: This setting controls the display of markers or indications when the script detects potential shifts in market trends, based on the oscillator's movements.
Trendshift Shader?: When enabled, this feature visually highlights areas on the chart where trend shifts are detected, improving the visibility of these important signals.
DIVERGENCES Group
Show Detected Divergences?: This option toggles the display of divergences between price action and the oscillator, which can signal potential reversals.
Use extra filtering when detecting divergences?: Enables additional criteria for identifying divergences, potentially improving the reliability of these signals.
Paint bars when Divergences are detected?: This feature changes the color of price bars when divergences are identified, making them stand out on the chart.
How to calculate divergences: Allows users to choose the method for calculating divergences, affecting the sensitivity and types of divergences that are identified.
Only calculate divergences on values absolutely greater than this: Sets a threshold for divergence calculation, focusing on more significant divergences and reducing noise.
Each input is designed to offer flexibility and control to the user, enabling a highly customizable experience tailored to individual trading strategies and market conditions.
How Can it Be Used in a Trading System
There are a few key ways it can be used, the main way is going to be the trend of the band/ ribbon. As that denotes the primary trend. Thus, if it were to trend up and reach the static overbought zone, there is a high probability of a reversion. This will also work well when it is in an extreme zone and there is a divergence.
Other ways of using it, it taking profit when there is an extreme background hue. Or potentially starting to get ready to buy on a higher timeframe if there is a extreme oversold background hue.
For more clear trends out of the FSVZO you may choose to use the moving average crossing the midline in confluence with the momentum velocity.
Please use with caution, nothing BackQuant or associated entities do are financial advice. please do not use this or any other indicator alone, they are not meant to be used in isolation.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
This is using the Midline Crossover of the FSVZO:
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Historical Correlation [LuxAlgo]The Historical Correlation tool aims to provide the historical correlation coefficients of up to 10 pairs of user-defined tickers starting from a user-defined point in time.
Users can choose to display the historical values as lines or the most recent correlation values as a heat map.
🔶 USAGE
This tool provides historical correlation coefficients, the correlation coefficient between two assets highlight their linear relationship and is always within the range (-1, 1).
It is a simple and easy to use statistical tool, with the following interpretation:
Positive correlation (values close to +1.0): the two assets move in sync, they rise and fall at the same time.
Negative correlation (values close to -1.0): the two assets move in opposite directions: when one goes up, the other goes down and vice versa.
No correlation (values close to 0): the two assets move independently.
The user must confirm the selection of the anchor point in order for the tool to be executed; this can be done directly on the chart by clicking on any bar, or via the date field in the settings panel.
For the parameter Anchor period , the user can choose between the following values NONE, HOURLY, DAILY, WEEKLY, MONTHLY, QUARTERLY and YEARLY. If NONE is selected, there will be no resetting of the calculations, otherwise the calculations will start from the first bar of the new period.
There is a wide range of trading strategies that make use of correlation coefficients between assets, some examples are:
Pair Trading: Traders may wish to take advantage of divergences in the price movements of highly positively correlated assets; even highly positively correlated assets do not always move in the same direction; when assets with a correlation close to +1.0 diverge in their behavior, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy one and sell the other in the expectation that the assets will return to the likely same price behavior.
Sector rotation: Traders may want to favor some sectors that are expected to perform in the next cycle, tracking the correlation between different sectors and between the sector and the overall market.
Diversification: Traders can aim to have a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated assets. From a risk management perspective, it is useful to know the correlation between the assets in your portfolio, if you hold equal positions in positively correlated assets, your risk is tilted in the same direction, so if the assets move against you, your risk is doubled. You can avoid this increased risk by choosing uncorrelated assets so that they move independently.
Hedging: Traders may want to hedge positions with correlated assets, from a hedging perspective, if you are long an asset, you can hedge going long a negative correlated asset or going short a positive correlated asset.
Traders generally need to develop awareness, a key point is to be aware of the relationships between the assets we hold or trade, the historical correlation is an invaluable tool in our arsenal which allows us to make better informed decisions.
On this chart we have an example of historical correlations for several futures markets.
We can clearly see how positively correlated the Nasdaq100 and Dow30 are with the SP500 over the whole period, or how the correlation between the Euro and the SP500 falls from almost +85% to almost -4% since 2021.
As we can see, correlations, like everything else in the market, are not static and vary over time depending on many factors, from macro to technical and everything in between.
🔹 Heatmap
The chart above shows the tool with the default settings and the Drawing Mode set to 'HEATMAP'.
We can see the current correlation between the assets, in this case the FX pairs.
The highest positive correlation is +90% (+0.90) between EURUSD and GBPUSD.
The highest negative correlation is -78% (-0.78) between EURUSD and USDJPY.
The pair with no correlation is AUDUSD and EURCAD with 1% (0.01)
On the above chart we can see the current correlations for the futures markets.
Currently, the assets that are less correlated to the SP500 are NaturalGas and the Euro, the more positive correlations are Nasdaq100 and Dow20, and the more negative correlations are the Yen, Treasury Bonds and 10-Year Notes.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Anchor Period
This chart shows the standard FX correlations with the Anchor Period set to `MONTHLY`.
We can clearly see how the calculations restart with the new month, in this case we can clearly see the differences between the correlations from month to month.
Let us look at the correlation coefficient between GBPUSD and USDJPY
In January, their correlation started at close to -100%, rose to close to +50%, only to fall to close to 0% and remain there for the second half of the month.
In February it was -90% in the first few days of the month and is now around -57%.
And between AUDUSD and EURCAD
Last month their correlation was negative for most of the month, reaching -70% and ending around -14%.
This month their correlation has never gone below +21% and at the time of writing is close to +53%.
🔶 SETTINGS
Anchor point: Starting point from which the tool is executed
Anchor period: At the beginning of each new period, the tool will reset the calculations
Pairs from 1 to 10: For each pair of tickers, you can: enable/disable the pair, select the color and specify the two tickers from which you wish to obtain the correlation
🔹 Style
Drawing Mode: Output style, `LINES` will show the historical correlations as lines, `HEATMAP` will show the current correlations with a color gradient from green for correlations near 1 to red for correlations near -1.
Kalman Price Filter [BackQuant]Kalman Price Filter
The Kalman Filter, named after Rudolf E. Kálmán, is a algorithm used for estimating the state of a linear dynamic system from a series of noisy measurements. Originally developed for aerospace applications in the early 1960s, such as guiding Apollo spacecraft to the moon, it has since been applied across numerous fields including robotics, economics, and, notably, financial markets. Its ability to efficiently process noisy data in real-time and adapt to new measurements has made it a valuable tool in these areas.
Use Cases in Financial Markets
1. Trend Identification:
The Kalman Filter can smooth out market price data, helping to identify the underlying trend amidst the noise. This is particularly useful in algorithmic trading, where identifying the direction and strength of a trend can inform trade entry and exit decisions.
2. Market Prediction:
While no filter can predict the future with certainty, the Kalman Filter can be used to forecast short-term market movements based on current and historical data. It does this by estimating the current state of the market (e.g., the "true" price) and projecting it forward under certain model assumptions.
3. Risk Management:
The Kalman Filter's ability to estimate the volatility (or noise) of the market can be used for risk management. By dynamically adjusting to changes in market conditions, it can help traders adjust their position sizes and stop-loss orders to better manage risk.
4. Pair Trading and Arbitrage:
In pair trading, where the goal is to capitalize on the price difference between two correlated securities, the Kalman Filter can be used to estimate the spread between the pair and identify when the spread deviates significantly from its historical average, indicating a trading opportunity.
5. Optimal Asset Allocation:
The filter can also be applied in portfolio management to dynamically adjust the weights of different assets in a portfolio based on their estimated risks and returns, optimizing the portfolio's performance over time.
Advantages in Financial Applications
Adaptability: The Kalman Filter continuously updates its estimates with each new data point, making it well-suited to markets that are constantly changing.
Efficiency: It processes data and updates estimates in real-time, which is crucial for high-frequency trading strategies.
Handling Noise: Its ability to distinguish between the signal (e.g., the true price trend) and noise (e.g., random fluctuations) is particularly valuable in financial markets, where price data can be highly volatile.
Challenges and Considerations
Model Assumptions: The effectiveness of the Kalman Filter in financial applications depends on the accuracy of the model used to describe market dynamics. Financial markets are complex and influenced by numerous factors, making model selection critical.
Parameter Sensitivity: The filter's performance can be sensitive to the choice of parameters, such as the process and measurement noise values. These need to be carefully selected and potentially adjusted over time.
Despite these challenges, the Kalman Filter remains a potent tool in the quantitative trader's arsenal, offering a sophisticated method to extract useful information from noisy financial data. Its use in trading strategies should, however, be complemented with sound risk management practices and an awareness of the limitations inherent in any model-based approach to trading.
Open Intrest / Volume / Liquidations (Suite) [BigBeluga]This indicator is a suite of tools that aims to provide traders with efficient metrics to analyze the market in a different way, such as various types of Open Interest, Intraday Volume, and Liquidations.
This indicator can both save time and also provide a different approach to the usual price action trading style.
🔶 FEATURES
The indicator contains the following features:
Open Interest Suite
- Delta OI
- Net longs and shorts
- OI Relative Strength Index
Intraday Volume Suite
- Bullish and Bearish LTF Volume
- CVD
- Delta Volume
Liquidations Suite
- Long and Short Liquidations
- Cumulative Liquidations
🔶 EXAMPLE OF SUITE
In the example above, we can see how we can plot long and short positions, both opening and closing out.
This can give a unique way to view which side is the strongest but also which side has the most resting liquidity.
For example, if more longs are entering the market, it also means more liquidity for longs and vice versa.
Or, for example, plotting the delta OI will allow the user to see big percentages in change and spot big areas of position closing out.
This presents a fascinating method for observing numerous positions closing out in conjunction with a surge of liquidations, which could indicate a potential reversal in price.
Here, we can see a basic example of using intraday volume on a 1m LTF.
With this, we are able to see both bullish and bearish volume of the same candle, very useful to see both volumes traded in the same candle.
Using the CVD to see the overall direction based purely on the volume and spot divergence, for example, the price in an uptrend but CVD going down, indicating weak shorts in the market or trapped shorts.
Or simply view liquidations happening in the market in a very different way, both long and short liquidation at the same time + the option to use multi-timeframe liquidations.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The idea of this script is to provide a set of tools in a unique script to optimize time and analyze the market in both a quick way and in a different way than usual.
Kernels©2024, GoemonYae; copied from @jdehorty's "KernelFunctions" on 2024-03-09 to ensure future dependency compatibility. Will also add more functions to this script.
Library "KernelFunctions"
This library provides non-repainting kernel functions for Nadaraya-Watson estimator implementations. This allows for easy substition/comparison of different kernel functions for one another in indicators. Furthermore, kernels can easily be combined with other kernels to create newer, more customized kernels.
rationalQuadratic(_src, _lookback, _relativeWeight, startAtBar)
Rational Quadratic Kernel - An infinite sum of Gaussian Kernels of different length scales.
Parameters:
_src (float) : The source series.
_lookback (simple int) : The number of bars used for the estimation. This is a sliding value that represents the most recent historical bars.
_relativeWeight (simple float) : Relative weighting of time frames. Smaller values resut in a more stretched out curve and larger values will result in a more wiggly curve. As this value approaches zero, the longer time frames will exert more influence on the estimation. As this value approaches infinity, the behavior of the Rational Quadratic Kernel will become identical to the Gaussian kernel.
startAtBar (simple int)
Returns: yhat The estimated values according to the Rational Quadratic Kernel.
gaussian(_src, _lookback, startAtBar)
Gaussian Kernel - A weighted average of the source series. The weights are determined by the Radial Basis Function (RBF).
Parameters:
_src (float) : The source series.
_lookback (simple int) : The number of bars used for the estimation. This is a sliding value that represents the most recent historical bars.
startAtBar (simple int)
Returns: yhat The estimated values according to the Gaussian Kernel.
periodic(_src, _lookback, _period, startAtBar)
Periodic Kernel - The periodic kernel (derived by David Mackay) allows one to model functions which repeat themselves exactly.
Parameters:
_src (float) : The source series.
_lookback (simple int) : The number of bars used for the estimation. This is a sliding value that represents the most recent historical bars.
_period (simple int) : The distance between repititions of the function.
startAtBar (simple int)
Returns: yhat The estimated values according to the Periodic Kernel.
locallyPeriodic(_src, _lookback, _period, startAtBar)
Locally Periodic Kernel - The locally periodic kernel is a periodic function that slowly varies with time. It is the product of the Periodic Kernel and the Gaussian Kernel.
Parameters:
_src (float) : The source series.
_lookback (simple int) : The number of bars used for the estimation. This is a sliding value that represents the most recent historical bars.
_period (simple int) : The distance between repititions of the function.
startAtBar (simple int)
Returns: yhat The estimated values according to the Locally Periodic Kernel.
FreedX Grid Backtest█ FreedX Grid Backtest is an open-source tool that offers accurate GRID calculations for GRID trading strategies. This advanced tool allows users to backtest GRID trading parameters with precision, accurately reflecting exchange functionalities. We are committed to enhancing trading strategies through precise backtesting solutions and address the issue of unreliable backtesting practices observed on GRID trading strategies. FreedX Grid Backtest is designed for optimal calculation speed and plotting efficiency, ensuring users to achieve fastest calculations during their analysis.
█ GRID TRADING STRATEGY SETTINGS
The core of the FreedX Grid Backtest tool lies in its ability to simulate grid trading strategies. Grid trading involves placing orders at regular intervals within a predefined price range, creating a grid of orders that capitalize on market volatility.
Features:
⚙️ Backtest Range:
→ Purpose: Allows users to specify the backtesting range of GRID strategy. Closes all positions at the end of this range.
→ How to Use: Drag the dates to fit the desired backtesting range.
⚙️ Investment & Compounding:
→ Purpose: Allows users to specify the total investment amount and select between fixed and compound investment strategies. Compounding adjusts trade quantities based on performance, enhancing the grid strategy's adaptability to market changes.
→ How to Use: Set the desired investment amount and choose between "Fixed" or "Compound" for the investment method.
⚙️ Leverage & Grid Levels:
→ Purpose: Leverage amplifies the investment amount, increasing potential returns (and risks). Users can define the number of grid levels, which determines how the investment is distributed across the grid.
→ How to Use: Input the desired leverage and number of grids. The tool automatically calculates the distribution of funds across each grid level.
⚙️ Distribution Type & Mode:
→ Purpose: Users can select the distribution type (Arithmetic or Geometric) to set how grid levels are determined. The mode (Neutral, Long, Short) dictates the direction of trades within the grid.
→ How to Use: Choose the distribution type and mode based on the desired trading strategy and market outlook.
⚙️ Enable LONG/SHORT Grids exclusively:
█ MANUAL LEVELS AND STOP TRIGGERS
Beyond automated settings, the tool offers manual adjustments for traders seeking finer control over their grid strategies.
Features:
⚙️ Manual Level Adjustment:
→ Purpose: Enables traders to manually set the top, reference, and bottom levels of the grid, offering precision control over the trading range.
→ How to Use: Activate manual levels and adjust the top, reference, and bottom levels as needed to define the grid's scope.
⚙️ Stop Triggers:
→ Purpose: Provides an option to set upper and lower price limits, acting as stop triggers to close or terminate trades. This feature safeguards investments against significant market movements outside the anticipated range.
→ How to Use: Enable stop triggers and specify the upper and lower limits. The tool will automatically manage positions based on these parameters.
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This guide gives you a quick and clear overview of the FreedX Grid Backtest tool, explaining how you can use this cutting-edge tool to improve your trading strategies.
Blockunity US Market Liquidity (BML)Get a clear view of US market liquidity and monitor its status at a glance to anticipate movements on risky assets.
The Idea
The BML aggregates and analyzes total USD market liquidity in trillions of dollars. It is used to monitor the liquidity of the USD market. When liquidity is good, all is well. If liquidity is low, the US will maneuver and sell treasury bills (debt) to replenish its treasury, which can lead to bearish pressure on markets, particularly those considered risky, such as Bitcoin.
How to Use
The indicator is very easy to use, there's nothing special about it. This tool is mainly intended to be used as fundamental information, and not for active trading.
Elements
The US Market Liquidity has several distinct components:
FED Balance Sheet
The Fed credits member banks’ Fed accounts with money, and in return, banks sell the Fed US Treasuries and/or US Mortgage-Backed Securities. This is how the Fed “prints” money to juice the financial system.
US Treasury General Account
The US Treasury General Account (TGA) balances with the NY Fed. When it decreases, it means the US Treasury is injecting money into the economy directly and creating activity. When it increases, it means the US Treasury is saving money and not stimulating economic activity. The TGA also increases when the Treasury sells bonds. This action removes liquidity from the market as buyers must pay for their bonds with dollars.
Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements
A reverse repurchase agreement (known as Reverse Repo or RRP) is a transaction in which the New York Fed under the authorization and direction of the Federal Open Market Committee sells a security to an eligible counterparty with an agreement to repurchase that same security at a specified price at a specific time in the future.
Earnings Remittances Due to the Treasury
The Federal Reserve Banks remit residual net earnings to the US Treasury after providing for the costs of operations, payment of dividends, and the amount necessary to maintain each Federal Reserve Bank’s allotted surplus cap. Positive amounts represent the estimated weekly remittances due to the US Treasury. Negative amounts represent the cumulative deferred asset position, which is incurred during a period when earnings are not sufficient to provide for the cost of operations, payment of dividends, and maintaining surplus.
Settings
Several parameters can be defined in the indicator configuration. You can:
Choose the smoothing and timeframe to be used in the plot.
Set the EMA lookback period and display it or not. This affects the color of the main plot.
Set the period to be taken into account when calculating the variation rate in the table.
Select the data to be taken into account in the calculation.
Activate or not the barcolor.
Lastly, you can modify all table parameters.
Fundamental Analysis [TrendX_]__________xXx__________ INTRODUCTION __________xXx__________
Fundamental Analysis indicator employs a two-pronged approach to estimate the fair value of a security. This utilizes both relative valuation and intrinsic valuation methods, aiming to achieve a comprehensive understanding of the company's worth.
__________xXx__________ FEATURES AND USAGES __________xXx__________
1 - RELATIVE VALUATION:
Relative valuation takes a company's average financial ratios over a specific number of periods into account.
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio): This metric compares the company's current stock price to its earnings per share. A higher PE ratio indicates investors are willing to pay more for each dollar of earnings, potentially suggesting a growth expectation.
Price-to-Book Ratio (PB Ratio): This metric compares the company's current stock price to its book value per share. A higher PB ratio suggests the market values the company's assets more highly than their accounting book value.
Modified-PE-PB-Growth: This is the modified version for the PE and PB forward. Apply the company's average historical ROE growth rate to PE ratio. Similarly, apply the company's projected ROA growth rate to the industry average PB ratio to arrive at an adjusted PB ratio.
Enterprise Value (EV)/Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) Multiple: This metric compares the company's enterprise value (market capitalization + debt - cash) to its EBITDA. It provides a valuation measure that considers the company's capital structure.
2 - INTRINSIC VALUATION:
Intrinsic valuation attempts to estimate the inherent value of a company based on its future cash flow generation potential. This approach focuses on the company's long-term fundamentals rather than its current market price.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): This method discounts the company's projected future free cash flows to their present value. It requires forecasting future cash flows, a discount rate, and a terminal growth rate. The present value of these future cash flows represents the company's intrinsic value.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM): This method assumes the company's value is based on its ability to distribute future dividends to shareholders. It discounts the company's expected future dividends to their present value, providing another estimate of intrinsic value.
Graham Number: Developed by Benjamin Graham, this method utilizes a formula based on a company's earnings per share and book value per share to estimate its intrinsic value. The number 22.5, embedded within this formula, serves as a normalization factor, embodying an ‘ideal’ PE of 15 and PB of 1.5. This approach provides a conservative estimate of a company’s intrinsic value, offering a safety margin for investors.
Net-Nets: Net-Nets refer to micro-to-small companies trading at a price less than 67% of their net current asset value, which is calculated by subtracting current liabilities from current assets. This conservative approach, deeply rooted in the principles of value investing, essentially implies that these companies are undervalued to the extent that their market price is less than their liquidation value.
*** The color of each valuation toolkit’s background is determined UNDERVALUE (above current price) in Turquoise Green color and OVERVALUE (below acceptable rate) in Pink color.
3 - FINANCIAL METRICS
The financial metrics will provide a holistic view of company's financial health, efficiency, risk profile, and growth prospects
Efficiency Metrics:
Net Margin: This metric measures the percentage of each dollar of revenue remaining as profit after accounting for all operating expenses. A higher net margin indicates a company's efficiency in converting sales into profit.
Dividend Yield: This metric represents the annual dividend payment per share divided by the current stock price. It reflects the portion of a company's earnings distributed to shareholders as dividends. A higher dividend yield suggests a focus on shareholder returns.
Fraud Detection Metrics:
Beneish M-score (M-score): This metric is a statistical model used to identify potential accounting manipulations. A higher M-score indicates a greater likelihood of fraudulent activity. It's crucial to analyze the M-score along with other financial information.
Profitability and Growth Metrics:
Piotroski F-score (F-score): This metric assesses a company's financial health and profitability based on nine criteria. A higher F-score suggests a more robust and potentially higher-growth company.
Quick Ratio: This metric measures a company's ability to meet its short-term obligations (due within a year) using its most liquid assets (cash and equivalents, marketable securities, and accounts receivable). A higher quick ratio indicates a stronger short-term liquidity position.
Inventory Ratio: This metric measures how long it takes a company to sell its inventory on average. A lower inventory ratio suggests efficient inventory management and potentially lower holding costs.
Risk Metrics:
Risk-Free Rate (Risk-Free): This metric represents the theoretical rate of return on a risk-free investment, often approximated by the 10-year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate. It serves as a benchmark for evaluating the return required for riskier assets like stocks.
Beta: This metric measures a stock's volatility relative to the overall market (often represented by its market index). A beta of 1 indicates the stock's price movement mirrors the market. A beta greater than 1 suggests the stock is more volatile than the market, and vice versa.
Growth Metrics:
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): This model estimates the expected return on a stock based on its beta, the risk-free rate, and the market risk premium. CAPM helps determine if a stock is potentially overvalued or undervalued.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC): This metric represents the average cost of capital a company uses to finance its operations (equity and debt). A lower WACC suggests a company can access capital at a cheaper rate, potentially leading to higher profitability.
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR): This metric calculates the average annual growth rate of a stock price over a specific period. It provides an indication of the historical price appreciation.
Additional:
Sustainable Growth Rate (Growth const.): This metric estimates the maximum long-term growth rate a company can sustain based on its internal resources (retained earnings) and industry growth.
Value at Risk (VaR): This metric estimates the maximum potential loss a stock price might experience over a given timeframe with a certain confidence level. It helps assess the downside risk associated with an investment.
*** The color of each metric’s background is determined above acceptable rate in Turquoise Green color and below acceptable rate in Pink color
__________xXx__________ CONCLUSION__________xXx__________
Fundamental analysis plays a critical role in empowering both investors and traders to navigate the dynamic stock markets. By delving deeper into a company's underlying financial health, future prospects, and competitive landscape, this approach fosters informed decision-making that leads to risk reduction and profit optimization. The Fundamental Analysis can serve as a cornerstone for investors and traders alike, offering a myriad of benefits.
For investors, it is instrumental in risk reduction, as it enables the assessment of a company’s fair value through financial statements, competitive advantages, and growth potential. This critical evaluation aids in avoiding overvalued stocks and spotting undervalued opportunities. Moreover, it fosters a long-term focus, steering investors towards decisions that reflect a company’s long-term prospects, thus supporting a buy-and-hold strategy that resonates with enduring investment objectives. Additionally, a profound comprehension of a company’s fundamentals bolsters investor confidence, ensuring that investment choices are grounded in solid data rather than speculative market noise.
Traders, on the other hand, can leverage fundamental analysis to pinpoint short-term opportunities by staying abreast of a company’s imminent catalysts such as financial health, efficiency, risk profile, or growth prospects. This knowledge allows them to anticipate market movements and seize fleeting chances for profit. It also provides informed insights for establishing entry and exit points, identifying companies poised for robust growth or those facing potential downturns, which is crucial for strategizing trades, including short selling. Importantly, by concentrating on fundamental data, traders can mitigate emotional decision-making, fostering a disciplined approach to trading that curtails the risks associated with impulsive, emotion-driven errors.
__________xXx__________ DISCLAIMER__________xXx__________
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Numerous factors and inherent uncertainties can influence the outcome of any endeavor, and predicting future events with certainty is impossible.
Trading and Investing inherently carries risk, and the majority of traders experience losses. This indicator is provided solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.
Therefore, always exercise caution and independent judgment when making investment decisions based on any form of past performance analysis, including this indicator's results.
RWEDT Weighted Moving Average Overview:
The RWEDT MA, which is short for rolling, weighted, exponential, double exponential, and triple exponential, is a group of moving averages that were subjected to a log transformation to deal with the skewness of price, and the weight of each of these moving averages was also used for calculating the standard deviations from the mean.
Clearing a misunderstanding on Standard Deviation Bands and Moving Averages
Bands, such as standard deviation bands, are frequently misinterpreted as indicators of support and resistance levels or as "mean-reverting" indicators." However, this is not their intended purpose. Bands are statistical tools that provide ranges within which price (in this case) movements are expected to occur based on historical data. Deviations beyond these bands suggest a decrease in confidence in the model rather than a reversal back to a moving average or a "support/resistance level."
Example : Assuming you correctly applied a log transformation to your standard deviation bands to remove the right skew, and assuming your data closely resembles a normal distribution or some other type of symmetrical distribution, then the probability of a value being in the 2 standard deviation range is around 95%. This does not mean it will reject or go up, or mean revert. The price won't bounce from -2 STDEV 95% of the time; that is incorrect. It just tells you that around 95% of the values will be within the 2 SD range.
Moving averages, including the ones in this indicator, are often misinterpreted as signals of trend reversals or levels of "bouncing." What moving averages actually tell you is what the expected value is. It does not show where you expect the price to be in the future; it tells you that based on the lookback, the expected value is in the center, and the confidence you have in the estimate is the confidence interval or the standard deviation range.
Example: Let's say you enter a trade with a positive expected value (expecting the price to drift up), and we have the limits set at 95%. What it tells you is that as long as the price stays within the limits, you can be 95% certain the model isn't completely random. As the price moves further away from the average, or expected value, it tells you that the model is less likely to be correct.
RWEDT MA
This indicator comes with 5 moving averages, each log transformed to reduce the skewness and asymmetry of price as much as possible
Rolling
Weighted
Exponential
Double Exponential
Triple Exponential
The band standard deviation can be adjusted, and the standard deviations have the weight of all of the moving averages that are present in the indicator. The weight is not customizable.
Why this indicator is useful:
This indicator can tell you what the expected value is. Above the moving average signifies a positive expected value, and below the moving average signifies a negative expected value. As previously stated above, the price moving further from the expected value lets you know that you should have less confidence that the model is "correct," and you could see this as taking profits as the price deviates further from the expected value.
The importance of log-transforming prices for standard deviations and moving averages.
Symmetry: Logarithmic transformations can help achieve symmetry in the distribution of price data. Stock prices, for example, exhibit some type of right-skewed distribution, where large positive price movements are more common than large negative movements. Price also can't go below 0 but can go towards positive infinity, so having a right-skew makes sense; all the outliers will be towards infinity, while all the average occurrences are "near" 0.
Stabilizing Variance: Price data typically exhibit heteroscedasticity, meaning that the variance of price movements changes over time. Log transformations can stabilize the variance and make it more consistent across different price levels. This is important for ensuring that the variability in price moves is not disproportionately influenced by extreme values.
Statistical Assumptions: Many retail indicators like Bollinger Bands use the standard deviation and moving average models of a normal distribution to attempt to model price, whose distribution more closely resembles some type of right-skew distribution. Even with the log-transformation, it still won't always resemble a perfect symmetrical distribution, and you still should not use it for mean reversion. You can still use it to understand the expected value and whether or not you should have confidence in your model.
Index investingThe Index Investing indicator simplifies decision-making for adding to Index ETF's Long-term investments. By utilizing a percentage discount methodology, it highlights potential opportunities to enhance portfolios. This straightforward tool aids in identifying favorable moments to invest based on calculated price discounts from selected reference points, making the process more systematic and less subjective.
🔶 SETTINGS
Reference Price: Choose between 'All-Time-High' or 'Start of the Year' as the basis for calculating discount levels. This allows for flexibility in strategy depending on market conditions or investment philosophy.
Discount 1 %, Discount 2 %, Discount 3 %: These inputs define the percentage below the reference price at which buy signals are generated. They represent strategic entry points at discounted prices.
🔶 Default Parameters
The default parameters of 4.13%, 8.26%, and 12.39% for the discount levels are chosen based on the average 5-year return of the NSE:NIFTY Index, which stands at approximately 12.39%. By dividing this return into three parts, we obtain a structured approach to capturing potential upside at varying levels of market retracement, providing a logical basis for the selected default values.
Users have the flexibility to modify these parameters, tailoring the indicator to fit their unique approach and market outlook.
🔶 How Levels Are Calculated
Discount levels are calculated using the formula: Discount Price = Reference Price * (1 - Discount %) . This succinct approach establishes specific entry points below the chosen reference, such as an all-time high or the year's start price.
🔶 How Are the Buy Labels Generated
Buy signals are generated when the market price(Low of the candle) crosses under any of the defined discount levels. Each level has a corresponding buy label ('Buy 1', 'Buy 2', 'Buy 3'), which is activated upon the price crossing below the specified discount level and is only reset at the beginning of a new year or upon reaching a new reference high, ensuring signals are not repetitive for the same price level.
🔶 Other Features
Alerts: The indicator provides alerts for each buy signal, notifying potential entry points at their defined discount levels. The alert triggers only once per candle.
Year Marker: A vertical line with an accompanying label marks the start of each trading year on the chart. This feature aids in visualizing the temporal context of buy signals and reference price adjustments.
Range PercentageRange Percentage is a simple indicator utility to clearly display and dynamically alert on where a chosen series falls between two bounds, either series themselves or constant values.
To set up, select between series or value for upper and lower bounds. Only the chosen options will be used by the indicator, though you may enter the non-selected option. Configure the thresholds if you wish to use them for visual display or alerting. If you only care about the background color, disable both thresholds and the percentage line and move the indicator into the main pane.
Some sample use cases:
Coloring background on a zoomed-in chart to show to show price change relative to the entire value of an asset, not just the range selected on the y-axis
Get alerts which adjust dynamically as price approaches another series or dynamic value
Determine at a glance where a price falls between your identified support/resistance lines, no matter where you zoom or scroll
Compare relative gain of two assets
Identify trends of a price closing closer to low or high over time
This indicator is often most useful in conjunction with other indicators which produce a plotted series output and can save a lot of time thinking or interpreting. Its usefulness to a trader depends entirely on the rationale for choosing a lower/upper bound and sample series that are meaningful to that trader.
Kalman Filter by TenozenAnother useful indicator is here! Kalman Filter is a quantitative tool created by Rudolf E. Kalman. In the case of trading, it can help smooth out the price data that traders observe, making it easier to identify underlying trends. The Kalman Filter is particularly useful for handling price data that is noisy and unpredictable. As an adaptive-based algorithm, it can easily adjust to new data, which makes it a handy tool for traders operating in markets that are prone to change quickly.
Many people may assume that the Kalman Filter is the same as a Moving Average, but that is not the case. While both tools aim to smooth data and find trends, they serve different purposes and have their own sets of advantages and disadvantages. The Kalman Filter provides a more dynamic and adaptive approach, making it suitable for real-time analysis and predictive capabilities, but it is also more complex. On the other hand, Moving Averages offer a simpler and more intuitive way to visualize trends, which makes them a popular choice among traders for technical analysis. However, the Moving Average is a lagging indicator and less adaptive to market change, if it's adjusted it may result in overfitting. In this case, the Kalman Filter would be a better choice for smoothing the price up.
I hope you find this indicator useful! It's been an exciting and extensive journey since I began diving into the world of finance and trading. I'll keep you all updated on any new indicators I discover that could benefit the community in the future. Until then, take care, and happy trading! Ciao.
MTF TREND-PANEL-(AS)
0). INTRODUCTION: "MTF TREND-PANEL-(AS)" is a technical tool for traders who often perform multi-timeframe analysis.
This simple tool is meant for traders who wish to monitor and keep track of trend directions simultaneously on various timeframes, ranging from 1MIN to 3MONTHS (or other - 'DIFF')
script enhances decision-making efficiency and provides a clearer picture of market condition by integrating multiple timeframe analysis into a single panel.
1). WARNING!:
-script doesn't make any calculations on its own really but is more of a tool for traders to remember what is happening on other time frames
- use tooltips to navigate settings easier
2). MAIN OPTIONS:
- Keeps track of up to 7 timeframes. (NUMBER of TimeFrames setting, from 1-7)
- Customizable Display: Choose to display nothing, upward/downward arrows, or a range indication for each timeframe.
- timeframe options: '1-MIN','5-MIN','15-MIN','30-MIN','1H','4H','1D','1W','1M','3M','DIFF'
- Color Coding: Define your preferred colors for each timeframe
- set position of the table and size of text (Position/text)
- Personal Touch: Add your own trading maxim or motto for inspiration to show up when SHOW TEXT is turned on
3. )OPTIONS:
-NUMBER of TimeFrames setting: from 1-7 - how many rows to show
-SHOW TABLE: Toggle to display or hide the trend table panel.
-SHOW TEXT: Show or hide your personalized trading maxim.
-SHOW TREND: Enable to display trend direction arrows.
-SHOW_CLRS: Turn on to activate color coding for each timeframe.
-position/text size for table
-settings for each timeframe:color,time,trend
-place to type ur own text
5). How to Use the Script:
-After adding the script to your chart, use the 'NUMBER of TimeFrames' setting to select how many timeframes you want to track (1 to 7).
-Customize the appearance of each timeframe row using the color and arrow options.
-For trend analysis, the script offers arrows to indicate upward, downward, or ranging markets.
-decide what trend dominates particular TF (using other tools - script does not calculate trend on its own )
- mark trends on panel to keep track of all TF
-Enable or disable various features like the table panel, trader maxim, and color coding using the ON/OFF options.
6). just in case:
- ask me anything about the code
-don't be shy to report any bugs or offer improvements of any kind.
- originally created for @ict_whiz and made public at his request
Commitments of Traders Report [Advanced]This indicator displays the Commitment of Traders (COT) report data in a clear, table format similar to an Excel spreadsheet, with additional functionalities to analyze open interest and position changes. The COT report, published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), provides valuable insights into market sentiment by revealing the positioning of various trader categories.
Display:
Release Date: When the data was released.
Open Interest: Shows the total number of open contracts for the underlying instrument held by selected trader category.
Net Contracts: Shows the difference between long and short positions for selected trader category.
Long/Short OI: Displays the long and short positions held by selected trader category.
Change in Long/Short OI: Displays the change in long and short positions since the previous reporting period. This can highlight buying or selling pressure.
Long & Short Percentage: Displays the percentage of total long and short positions held by each category.
Trader Categories (Configurable)
Commercials: Hedgers who use futures contracts to manage risk associated with their underlying business (e.g., producers, consumers).
Non-Commercials (Large Speculators): Speculative traders with large positions who aim to profit from price movements (e.g., hedge funds, investment banks).
Non-Reportable (Small Speculators/Retail Traders): Smaller traders with positions below the CFTC reporting thresholds.
CFTC Code: If the indicator fails to retrieve data, you can manually enter the CFTC code for the specific instrument. The code for instrument can be found on CFTC's website.
Using the Indicator Effectively
Market Sentiment Gauge: Analyze the positioning of each trader category to gauge overall market sentiment.
High net longs by commercials might indicate a bullish outlook, while high net shorts could suggest bearish sentiment.
Changes in open interest and long/short positions can provide additional insights into buying and selling pressure.
Trend Confirmation: Don't rely solely on COT data for trade signals. Use it alongside price action and other technical indicators for confirmation.
Identify Potential Turning Points: Extreme readings in COT data, combined with significant changes in open interest or positioning, might precede trend reversals, but exercise caution and combine with other analysis tools.
Disclaimer
Remember, the COT report is just one piece of the puzzle. It should not be used for making isolated trading decisions. Consider incorporating it into a comprehensive trading strategy that factors in other technical and fundamental analysis.
Credit
A big shoutout to Nick from Transparent FX ! His expertise and thoughtful analysis have been a major inspiration in developing this COT Report indicator. To know more about this indicator and how to use it, be sure to check out his work.
Genuine Liquidation Delta [Mxwll] - No EstimatesTHANK YOU TradingView for allowing us to upload custom data!!!
As a result, Mxwll Capital is providing an indicator that shows REAL liquidation delta for over 100 cryptocurrencies sourced directly from a popular crypto exchange!
Features
Crypto exchange sourced liquidation delta
Crypto exchange sourced long liquidation daily count
Crypto exchange sourced short liquidation daily count
All provided data extends back 2 years!!
Various aesthetic components to illustrate data
Liquidation delta data (sourced from a popular exchange) is provided for:
1000shib
aave
ada
algo
alice
arb
audio
alpha
ankr
ape
apt
atom
avax
axs
bal
band
bat
bch
bel
blz
blur
bnb
bnx
btc
chr
chz
comp
coti
crv
ctk
dash
defi
doge
dot
dydx
edu
egld
enj
ens
eos
etc
eth
fil
flm
ftm
fxs
gala
gmx
grt
hbar
hnt
icx
id
inj
iost
iota
joe
kava
knc
ksm
ldo
lina
link
lit
lrc
ltc
mana
mask
matic
mkr
near
neo
ocean
omg
one
ont
op
people
qtum
reef
ren
rndr
rose
rlc
rsr
rune
rvn
sand
sfp
skl
snx
sol
stmx
storj
sui
sushi
sxp
theta
tomo
trb
trx
unfi
uni
vet
waves
xem
xlm
xmr
xrp
xtz
yfi
zec
zen
zil
zrx
How-To
The image above shows the indicator with default settings.
The image above shows the start point of our data!
Over 2-years of data, allowing for plentiful analysis!
The image above explains the primary plot.
Filled blue columns reflect liquidation delta exceeding the long side. When the liquidation delta plot is aqua and exceeds 0 to the upside, longs were liquidated more than shorts for the
day.
Filled red columns reflect liquidation delta exceeding the short side. When the liquidation delta plot is red and exceeds 0 to the downside, shorts were liquidated more than longs for the day.
The image above explains the solid line (polyline) plot and its intentions!
Filled, solid, blue line reflects the total number of long liquidation events for the period.
Filled, solid, red line reflects the total number of short liquidation events for the period.
Keep in mind that the total number of liquidation events is normalized to plot alongside the total liquidation delta for the day. So, there aren't "millions" of liquidation events taking place, the total liquidation count for the long and short side is simply normalized to fit atop total liquidation delta.
The image above explains the liquidation count meter the indicator provides!
The left (blue columns) reflect the intensity of long liquidation events for the day. The right (red columns) reflect the intensity of short liquidation events for the day.
The "Max" numbers at the top show the maximum number of long liquidation events, or short liquidation events, for their respective columns.
Therefore, if the number of long liquidation events were "1.241k", as stated for this cryptocurrency in the table, the blue meter would be full. Similar logic applies to the red meter.
Once more, THANK YOU @TradingView and @PineCoders for allowing us to upload custom data! This project wouldn't be possible without it!
Self Optimizing ROC [Starbots]Self Optimizing Rate of Change (ROC) Strategy. (non-repainting)
Script constantly tests 15 different ROC parameter combinations for maximum profitability and trades based on the best performing combination.
You will notice that signal lines switch after a bar close sometimes, this is when the strategy optimizes to the better combination and change plots, strategy is dynamic.
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The Rate-of-Change (ROC) indicator, which is also referred to as Momentum, is a pure momentum oscillator that measures the percent change in price from one period to the next. The ROC calculation compares the current price with the price “n” periods ago. The plot forms an oscillator that fluctuates above and below the zero line as the rate of change moves from positive to negative. As a momentum oscillator, ROC signals include centerline crossovers, divergences, and overbought-oversold readings.
ROC = (Close - Close n periods ago) / (Close n periods ago) * 100
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The logic of self - optimizing:
This script is always backtesting 15 different combinations of ROC settings in the background and saves the net. profit gained for every single one of them, then strategy selects and use the best performing combination of settings currently available for you to trade.
It's recalculating on every bar close - if one of the parameters starts performing better than others - have a higher net profit gain (it's literally like running 15 backtests with different settings in the background) strategy switches to that parameter and continues trading like that until one of the other indicator parameters starts performing better again and switches to that settings.
We are optimizing our strategy based on 15 different 'lengths' or also called 'periods' of ROC.
Inputs (ROC period) : (you don't need to change them, you have a nice wide variety of periods)
🔴Roc (default=9) = 5
🟢Roc2 = 6
🔵Roc3 = 7
🟡Roc4 = 8
🟣Roc5 = 9
🟠Roc6 = 10
🔴Roc7 = 11
🟢Roc8 = 12
🔵Roc9 = 13
🟡Roc10 = 14
🟣Roc11 = 15
🟠Roc12 = 16
🟡Roc13 = 17
🟣Roc14 = 18
🟠Roc15 = 20
Backtester in the background works like this:
backtest ROC1 => save net. profit
backtest ROC2 => save net. profit ;
backtest ROC3 => save net. profit ;
..........
..........
backtest ROC15 => save net. profit ;
=>
It will backtest 15 different ROC parameters and save their profits.
Your strategy then trades based on the best performing (highest net.profit) ROC Setting currently available. It will check the calculations and backtest them on every new bar close - it's like running 15 strategies at time, and manually selecting the best performing one.
________________________________________________________________________
If you wish to use it as INDICATOR - turn on 'Recalculate after every tick' in Properties tab to have this script updating constantly and use it as a normal Indicator tool for manual trading.
-- Noise Filter - This will punish the tiny trades made by certain parameters and give more advantage to big average trades. It's basically normal fee calculation, it will deduct 0.xx % fee from every trade when optimizing. You usually want it to have the same number as your fees on exchange. Large number will choose big long swing trades, small number will prioritize small scalping trades.
-- Turn on ROC Combination Profits and spot the worst/best performing combination. You can change periods to get the best performance after checking this table stats.
-- Backtesting Range - backtest within your desired time window. Example: 'from 01 / 01 /2020 to 01 / 01 /2023'.
-- Optimizing range - you can decrease the amount of bars/data for optimizing script. This way you can keep it up to date to more recent market by selecting optimizing range to optimize it just from the recent 3-6months of data for example. Strategy before this selected range will normally trade (backtest) based on the first ROC period ( 'Roc(default=9)' Input) parameter in your menu if you have Optimizing Range turned on.
**** I recommend 'Optimizing Range' to be turned off, use max amount of available bars in your history for optimization script.
-- Strategy is trading on the bar close without repaint. You can trade Long-Sell or Long- Short. Alerts available, insert webhook messages.
-- Turn on Profit Calendar for better overview of how your strategy performs monthly/annualy
-- Recommended ROC periods: from 5 to 24.
-- Recommended Sources : close, hlc3, hlcc4
-- Recommended Chart Timeframe : 4h +
-- Notes window : add your custom comments here or save your webhook messages inside here
-- Trading Session: in a session, you have to specify the time range for every day. It will trade only within this window and close trades when it's out. Session from 9am to 5pm will look like that: 0900-1700 or 7am to 4:30pm 0700-1630. After the colon, you can specify days of the week for your trading session. 1234567 trading all days, 23456 – Monday to Friday ('1 is Sunday here'). 0000-0000:1234567 by default will trade every day nonstop. 00.00am to 00.00pm and 1234567 every day of the week for example - Cryptocurrencies.
This script is simple to use for any trader as it saves a lot of time for searching good parameters on your own. It's self-optimizing and adjusting to the markets on the go.
Median Supertrend [BackQuant]Median Supertrend Concept by BackQuant ©
This was created since the normal supertrend is noisy, in the attempts to remove that and still get a good signal we decided to use a special median calculation as the source to a modified supertrend. This allows us to reduce noise, and make the supertrend adaptive to volatility. The full description and reasoning, including definitions and backtests are as follows:
1. Definition of Median
The median is a statistical measure that identifies the middle value in a given set of numbers when those numbers are arranged in either ascending or descending order. If the dataset has an even number of observations, the median is calculated as the average of the two middle numbers. This measure is particularly useful in understanding the central tendency of data, especially in cases where the dataset may contain outliers that could skew the mean. For example, in a dataset representing the earnings of families, the median provides a more accurate reflection of the typical income than the mean if the dataset includes extreme values.
2. Understanding Supertrend and Its Use Case
Supertrend is a popular trend-following indicator used in technical analysis. It is computed using the Average True Range (ATR) to capture volatility, combined with a moving average. The indicator provides clear signals to traders about bullish or bearish trends, indicating potential entry and exit points. Traders often use Supertrend in various market conditions to enhance their trading strategies, leveraging its simplicity and effectiveness in identifying ongoing trends and reversals.
3. Rationale Behind Combining Median with Supertrend
The integration of the median into the Supertrend indicator seeks to mitigate the impact of outliers and sudden market spikes that can affect trend analysis. By using the median value of price data for trend determination, the Median Supertrend aims to offer a more stable and reliable indicator that reflects the underlying market conditions more accurately than traditional methods. This modification is intended to improve the timing of trend detection and the precision of entry and exit signals.
4. Key Differences and Benefits
Enhanced Stability: The use of median values reduces sensitivity to extreme price movements, offering a smoother trend line that can lead to more reliable trading signals.
Adaptive Sensitivity: Users can adjust the indicator's sensitivity to align with different trading styles and market conditions through customizable parameters like the ATR multiplier and lookback period.
Explicit Trading Signals: The indicator simplifies the trading process by providing clear, actionable long and short signals based on trend reversals, aiding in decision-making.
Customizability: Options to use Heikin Ashi candles, paint candles based on the trend, and toggle signal visibility allow traders to personalize the indicator to their preference.
5. User Inputs
The Median Supertrend indicator includes several user inputs to tailor its operation:
Use HA Candles as Source?: Option to base calculations on Heikin Ashi candles for smoother price data.
Paint Candles According to Trend?: Visual aid that colors candles based on the current trend direction, enhancing chart readability.
ATR Period and Multiplier: Parameters to adjust the sensitivity of the trend detection, allowing users to fine-tune the indicator.
Adaptive Lookback Period: Defines the period for the median calculation, offering flexibility in trend assessment.
Show Long and Short Signals: Enables traders to visualize entry signals directly on the chart.
6. Application in Trading
Traders can incorporate the Median Supertrend into their strategies as a standalone indicator for trend following or as a filter in a multi-indicator system. It is particularly useful in markets known for having outliers or sudden price jumps, as the median-based calculation provides a grounded trend analysis. This indicator can be applied across various timeframes and asset classes, making it a versatile tool for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors alike.
7. Summary and Empirical Soundness
The integration of median values into the Supertrend indicator represents an innovative approach to trend analysis, addressing some of the volatility and outlier-related challenges inherent in traditional methods. This combination is empirically sound as it leans on the statistical robustness of the median to offer a more stable and reliable trend determination mechanism.
8. Relavant Backtests on Major Assets (1D Timeframe)
We include these backtests as a general proxy for how they work.
Please do your own calibrating to suit it to your own needs and backtest.
Past results don't = future results but they can help you understand how it functions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Semaphore PlotThe Semaphore Plot V2, crafted by OmegaTools for the TradingView platform, is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to offer traders nuanced insights into market dynamics. This closed-source script embodies a novel approach by synthesizing multiple technical analysis methodologies into a coherent analytical framework. This detailed description aims to demystify the operational essence of the Semaphore Plot V2 and elucidate its application in trading scenarios without overstepping into claims of infallibility or price prediction accuracy.
Analytical Foundations and Integration:
At its core, the Semaphore Plot V2 is founded on the integration of several analytical dimensions, each contributing to a comprehensive market overview:
1. Dynamic Trend Analysis: Unlike conventional trend indicators that might rely solely on moving averages, the Semaphore Plot V2 examines the market's direction through a more complex lens. It assesses momentum, utilizing derivatives of price movements to understand the velocity and acceleration of trends. This analysis is deepened by examining the rate of change (ROC), providing a multi-tiered view of how swiftly market conditions are evolving.
2. Volatility Insights: Recognizing volatility as a pivotal component of market behavior, the script incorporates volatility metrics to analyze market conditions. By evaluating historical price ranges and applying statistical models, it aims to gauge the potential for future price fluctuations, thus offering insights into market stability or turbulence without predicting specific movements.
3. Linear Regression and Predictive Analysis: The script utilizes linear regression to analyze price data points over a specified period, offering a statistical basis to understand the trajectory of market trends. This regression analysis is complemented by market momentum indicators, forming a predictive model that suggests potential areas where market activity might concentrate. It's important to note that these "predictions" are not certainties but rather statistically derived zones of interest based on historical data.
4. Market Sentiment and Risk Evaluation: Incorporating an evaluation of market sentiment, the script analyzes trends in trading volume and price action to deduce the prevailing market mood. Risk assessment tools, such as the analysis of statistical deviations and Value at Risk (VaR), are also applied to offer a perspective on the risk associated with current market conditions.
Operational Mechanism:
- By processing the integrated analysis, the script generates semaphore signals which are plotted on the trading chart. These signals are not direct buy or sell signals but are designed to highlight areas where, based on the script’s complex analysis, market activity might see significant developments.
- Additionally, the Semaphore Plot V2 features an information table that provides a retrospective analysis of the signals' alignment with market movements, offering traders a tool to assess the script's historical context.
Application and Utility:
- Traders can leverage the Semaphore Plot V2 by applying it to their TradingView charts and adjusting input settings such as lookback periods and sensitivity according to their preferences.
- The semaphore signals serve as markers for areas of potential interest. Traders are encouraged to interpret these signals within the context of their overall market analysis, incorporating other fundamental and technical analysis tools as necessary.
- The informational table serves as a resource for evaluating the historical context of the signals, providing an additional layer of insight for informed decision-making.
The Essence of Originality:
The Semaphore Plot V2 distinguishes itself through the innovative melding of traditional technical analysis components into a unique analytical concoction. This originality lies not in the creation of new technical indicators but in the novel integration and application of existing methodologies to offer a holistic view of market conditions.
Responsible Usage Disclaimer:
The financial markets are characterized by uncertainty, and the Semaphore Plot V2 is intended to serve as an analytical tool within a trader's arsenal, not a standalone solution for trading decisions. It is critical for users to understand that the script does not guarantee trading success nor does it claim to predict exact price movements. Traders should employ the Semaphore Plot V2 alongside comprehensive market analysis and sound risk management practices, acknowledging that past performance is not indicative of future results and that trading involves the risk of loss.
Trading TP SL Risk Commission Calculator🎉 Introducing Your Trading TP SL Risk Commission Calculator! 🎉
Hey there, savvy trader! 🚀 Are you looking to enhance your trading game? Meet the Trading TP SL Risk Commission Calculator! This handy tool is here to guide you through the complexities of trading, providing insights into your potential risks and rewards. Let's walk through how you can leverage it for smarter trading decisions!
Setting Up 🛠
Let's get your calculator ready for action:
Lines and Labels Visibility: Flip this switch on to see your Entry, Take Profit (TP), Stop Loss (SL), and Liquidation points displayed on your chart. It's a great way to get a visual summary of your strategy.
Input Your Trade Details: Enter your Entry Price, Take Profit Price, and Stop Loss Price. These figures are crucial for mapping out your trade.
Order Info: Specify your Order Size in USD, the amount of Leverage you're using, and your platform's Commission Rate. This customizes the calculator to fit your unique trading setup.
Customizing Your View 🎨
Table Placement & Size: Pick the location and size for your results table to appear on your screen. Tailor it to your liking, whether you prefer it out of the way or front and center.
Deciphering Your Results 📊
With your inputs in place, the calculator springs into action. Here's what you'll find:
Risk Assessment (with Emojis!): Quickly gauge your risk level with our intuitive emoji system, ranging from "⛔️⛔️⛔️" (very high risk) to "✅✅✅" (very low risk).
Profit and Loss Insights: Understand your potential take-profit gains and stop-loss implications, both as percentages and in USD. We also factor in fees to give you a clear picture.
Liquidation Alert: For those using leverage, the liquidation price calculation is crucial to avoid unpleasant surprises.
Expert Tips 💡
Stay Flexible: Market conditions evolve, so should your strategy. Revisit and adjust your inputs regularly to stay aligned with your trading goals.
Risk Emoji Check: Keep an eye on your risk level emojis. A sea of "⛔️" might signal it's time to reassess your approach.
Use Visual Guides: The on-chart lines and labels offer a quick visual reference to how your current trade measures up against your TP, SL, and liquidation thresholds.
Dive In and Trade Smart! 🚦
This calculator isn't just about making calculations; it's about empowering you to make informed trading decisions. With this tool in your arsenal, you're equipped to navigate the trading waters with confidence and clarity.
Risk Management Chart█ OVERVIEW
Risk Management Chart allows you to calculate and visualize equity and risk depend on your risk-reward statistics which you can set at the settings.
This script generates random trades and variants of each trade based on your settings of win/loss percent and shows it on the chart as different polyline and also shows thick line which is average of all trades.
It allows you to visualize and possible to analyze probability of your risk management. Be using different settings you can adjust and change your risk management for better profit in future.
It uses compound interest for each trade.
Each variant of trade is shown as a polyline with color from gradient depended on it last profit.
Also I made blurred lines for better visualization with function :
poly(_arr, _col, _t, _tr) =>
for t = 1 to _t
polyline.new(_arr, false, false, xloc.bar_index, color.new(_col, 0 + t * _tr), line_width = t)
█ HOW TO USE
Just add it to the cart and expand the window.
█ SETTINGS
Start Equity $ - Amount of money to start with (your equity for trades)
Win Probability % - Percent of your win / loss trades
Risk/Reward Ratio - How many profit you will get for each risk(depends on risk per trade %)
Number of Trades - How many trades will be generated for each variant of random trading
Number of variants(lines) - How many variants will be generated for each trade
Risk per Trade % -risk % of current equity for each trade
If you have any ask it at comments.
Hope it will be useful.
Aroon and ASH strategy - ETHERIUM [IkkeOmar]Intro:
This post introduces a Pine Script strategy, as an example if anyone needs a push to get started. This example is a strategy on ETH, obviously it isn't a good strategy, and I wouldn't share my own good strategies because of alpha decay. This strategy combines two technical indicators: Aroon and Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH).
Overview:
The strategy employs the Aroon indicator alongside the Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH) to determine market trends and potential trade setups. Aroon helps identify the strength and direction of a trend, while ASH provides insights into the strength of momentum. By combining these indicators, the strategy aims to capture profitable trading opportunities in Ethereum markets. Normally when developing strats using indicators, you want to find some good indicators, but you NEED to understand their strengths and weaknesses, other indicators can be incorporated to minimize the downs of another indicator. Try to look for synergy in your indicators!
Indicator settings:
Aroon Indicator:
- Two sets of parameters are used for the Aroon indicator:
- For Long Positions: Aroon periods are set to 56 (upper) and 20 (lower).
- For Short Positions: Aroon periods are set to 17 (upper) and 55 (lower).
Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH):
ASH is calculated with a length of 9 bars using the closing price as the data source.
Trading Conditions:
The strategy incorporates specific conditions to initiate and exit trades:
Start Date:
Traders can specify the start date for backtesting purposes.
Trade Direction:
Traders can select the desired trade direction: Long, Short, or Both.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
1. Long Position Entry: A long position is initiated when the Aroon indicator crosses over (crossover) the lower Aroon threshold, indicating a potential uptrend.
2. Long Position Exit: A long position is closed when the Aroon indicator crosses under (crossunder) the lower Aroon threshold.
3. Short Position Entry: A short position is initiated when the Aroon indicator crosses under (crossunder) the upper Aroon threshold, signaling a potential downtrend.
4. Short Position Exit: A short position is closed when the Aroon indicator crosses over (crossover) the upper Aroon threshold.
Disclaimer:
THIS ISN'T AN OPTIMAL STRATEGY AT ALL! It was just an old project from when I started learning pine script!
The backtest doesn't promise the same results in the future, always do both in-sample and out-of-sample testing when backtesting a strategy. And make sure you forward test it as well before implementing it!
Difference from Highest Price (Last N Candles)The output of this TradingView indicator is a label that appears below the latest candle on the chart. This label provides information about:
The highest high of the last N candles.
The highest close of the last N candles.
The current trading price.
The percentage difference between the highest high and the current trading price.
The percentage difference between the highest close and the current trading price.
The percentage change in price from the previous candle.
The N-day average percentage change.
This information is useful for traders to understand the relationship between the current price and recent price action, as well as to identify potential overbought or oversold conditions based on the comparison with recent highs and closes.
Here's a breakdown of what the code does:
It takes an input parameter for the number of days (or candles) to consider (input_days).
It calculates the highest high and highest close of the last N candles (highest_last_n_high and highest_last_n_close).
It calculates the difference between the close of the current candle and the close of the previous candle (diff), along with the percentage change.
It maintains an array of percentage changes of the last N days (percentage_changes), updating it with the latest percentage change.
It calculates the sum of percentage changes and the N-day average percentage change.
It calculates the difference between the highest high/highest close of the last N candles and the current trading price, along with their percentage differences.
Finally, it plots this information as a label below the candle for the latest bar.
