EASIEST WAY TO GET INTO A TRADE IN 20251. Identify your htf.
2. Identify a htf bias.
3. Identify your current trading range on your htf.
4. Identify your premium or discount level.
5. Inside your premium or discount level identify your htf point of interest.
6. Wait for price to pull into your htf point of interest.
7. Pop down to a ltf where you'll observe bearish or bullish price action.
8. Wait for the buy model or sell model to play our wait fora market structure shift on the ltf.
9. Your new range will be on the ltf where there was a market structure shift which will give you a new range.
10. Mark out the range using your fibs and plot your discount or premium area.
11. Inside your ltf premium of discount level identify your ltf point of interest.
12.Enter at the poi( point of interest) inside these levels or set an entry at the retest.
Trend Analysis
Predict market HIGH/LOW with Gann Astro Trading Calculated Gold’s Reversal 6 Hours Before It Happened Using Gann Astro Techniques
OANDA:XAUUSD
On December 24, I calculated a reversal in gold 6 hours prior to its occurrence, utilizing Gann Astro techniques and mathematical models. This analysis allowed me to identify key turning points in the market based on time rather than price.
Many traders focus solely on price, but Gann’s principles emphasize that time (Y-axis) is the dominant factor driving market movements. For this calculation, I incorporated the Ascendant as a critical element in my intraday trading approach, demonstrating the significance of aligning market analysis with time functions.
Key Observation:
The market reversed at exactly 10:30 AM New York Time (UTC-5), aligning perfectly with the pre-determined time calculated through Gann Astro techniques.
On the 45-minute timeframe for gold, the chart confirms the reversal occurred precisely at the calculated time. This underscores the reliability of time-based analysis over traditional methods that often focus on price alone.
Why Time is More Important than Price:
1. Time is constant and unaffected by external manipulation.
2. Highs and lows in the market are governed by fixed time cycles.
3. Price, being variable, is a secondary function delivered based on time.
By switching to the 15-minute timeframe, the precision of these calculations becomes even more evident. This highlights how time-based analysis reveals market behaviour that might otherwise appear random.
Gann Intraday Techniques in Action:
The Gann Astro methodology integrates planetary positions and mathematical principles to forecast turning points in the market. The principle "time is more important than price" is consistently validated, showing that market reversals are governed by time cycles rather than unpredictable price movements.
On December 26, after the market reopened, the price fulfilled its movement to key liquidity zones identified earlier. This demonstrates how time cycles dictate the market's behaviour, with price aligning naturally to these pre-determined movements.
Advanced Insights:
- The Y-axis represents time, the immutable factor.
- The X-axis represents price, which is secondary and can be influenced.
Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered.
The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept:
1. Y-Axis → TIME
2. X-Axis → PRICE
In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets.
Key Insights:
1. TIME as the Guiding Factor:
- The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME.
- Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves.
2. Price Delivery Algorithm:
- Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME.
- Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers.
3.Intraday Gann Astro Example:
- With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted.
- Example from the chart:
- At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms.
- At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations.
4.What Gann Astro Does Differently:
- Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points.
- Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing.
- Predict highs/lows hours before they happen.
Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example.
And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE
Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge:
1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME.
2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated.
3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive.
Here’s another LIVE trade execution of this week. The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading.
Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy.
The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market.
LIVE TRADE ENETRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE
The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market.
NOW let's understand how markets turn on TIME -
.
By applying Gann-inspired mathematical and astro models, I pinpointed key times when market highs and lows are likely to occur. The principle of "TIME = PRICE" suggests that market reversals happen when time and price align. While price can be manipulated, time remains constant, making it a more reliable tool for accurate market forecasting.
GANN INTRADAY TRADING - "The Hidden Truth: Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading"
In this chart, you can see the market reversing exactly at 21:05, a TIME I calculated in advance using Gann's astro intraday techniques. The method applied here is Squaring the Range—a concept rooted in understanding the range as the time zone where the price remains confined between two major HIGHs and LOWs.
Using advanced mathematical principles in Gann astro analysis, I was able to determine the precise future reversal point. This allows me to approach my trading desk only at the calculated time and execute trades with confidence. This highlights why TIME outweighs PRICE in importance—while prices can be manipulated, TIME remains a constant and reliable indicator for market reversals.
"GANN INTRADAY TRADING - Exposing Market Algorithms: Gann's TIME Secrets Revealed"
In earlier times, markets were primarily influenced by market makers, but now, price delivery is controlled by algorithms designed to enhance liquidity. With the massive influx of participants in today’s market, these algorithms play a critical role in maintaining liquidity flow. Despite these changes, the core principle remains intact: the market still moves based on mass psychology.
Here’s another example showcasing a bullish scenario using Gann techniques.
In this bullish setup, the focus is on identifying key time cycles when the price delivery algorithm aligns with Gann's mathematical principles. By leveraging time-based calculations, I pinpointed the exact moment when the market began expanding upward, indicating a strong bullish movement.
Conclusion:
Understanding and applying time-based principles provide traders with a disciplined, research-driven approach to market analysis. By focusing on time rather than price, one can uncover the natural rhythm of the markets and align their strategies accordingly.
Time is the constant that governs all market movements, as W.D. Gann emphasized: “Time is more important than price.”
Why Is Time More Important Than Price, as Explained by Gann?In the trading world, most market participants focus solely on price while overlooking the critical element that governs market movements: time. Time is fixed, immutable, and unaffected by external manipulation, unlike price, which can be influenced by institutions and market forces. By understanding the concept that "time is fixed, price is an illusion," traders can unlock a method to predict intraday highs and lows with unparalleled precision. This is the essence of the Gann Astro methodology, which reveals the market's natural rhythm and turning points based on time.
The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept:
Y-Axis → TIME
X-Axis → PRICE
In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets.
Key Insights:
1. TIME as the Guiding Factor:
- The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME.
- Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves.
2. Price Delivery Algorithm:
- Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME.
- Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers.
3. Intraday Gann Astro Example:
- With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted.
- Example from the chart:
- At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms.
- At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations.
4. What Gann Astro Does Differently:
- Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points.
- Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing.
- Predict highs/lows hours before they happen.
Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example.
You can clearly see on the chart that the TIME for the price reversal was already calculated using Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematics. I precisely identified the reversal time at 07:45, and you can verify this on the software screen. This highlights the power of time-based analysis, where price movements align perfectly with pre-determined time calculations, offering a clear edge in the market.
And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. Is this just a coincidence? Absolutely not. This is the real way the market algorithm delivers price. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE, and this proves the unmatched accuracy of time-based analysis over conventional price-focused methods.
Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge:
1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME.
2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated.
3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive.
Here’s another LIVE trade I successfully completed this week. The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading.
Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy.
The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market.
LIVE TRADE ENTRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE
The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market.
The power of time-based analysis lies in its ability to expose market manipulation and predict market moves before they happen. Time, unlike price, is the key to decoding the market clock and identifying the exact moments when highs and lows form. With a deeper understanding of this principle, traders can remove guesswork, anticipate market movements, and align themselves with the forces that govern price delivery algorithms. The result is a disciplined, research-backed approach that replaces gambling behavior with a structured trading edge, offering a new perspective on intraday market success.
Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered.
The Nexus Between Mining and Bitcoin ValuationGreetings, Intellectuals and fellow traders. Recently a compelling notion regarding the correlation between Bitcoin mining and its valuation crossed my mind. Intrigued I delved into research on the subject and today I am eager to share my insights with you all. I trust that you will find this discourse enlightening my friends.
Bitcoin mining serves as the bedrock of the Bitcoin ecosystem, ensuring the network’s integrity, verifying transactions, and facilitating the gradual issuance of new bitcoins into circulation. Beyond its technical mechanisms, mining wields significant influence over Bitcoin's price dynamics. This discourse elucidates the operational intricacies of Bitcoin mining while exploring its complex interplay with market valuations.
Defining Bitcoin Mining-:
Bitcoin mining constitutes the computational process by which new bitcoins are minted and integrated into circulation. Simultaneously, it ensures the validation and chronological ordering of transactions within the blockchain—a decentralized and immutable digital ledger. This process hinges on miners deploying advanced computational systems to unravel sophisticated mathematical challenges that safeguard the network.
Essential Facets of Bitcoin Mining-:
🔸Blockchain Architecture and Transaction Validation
The Bitcoin network operates on a blockchain, a decentralized and incorruptible ledger. Transactions are aggregated into discrete blocks, which miners validate before appending to the blockchain.
🔸Proof of Work (PoW) Mechanism
Miners engage in a competitive endeavor to solve cryptographic puzzles, requiring the discovery of a specific hash value. This labor-intensive process ensures network security and mitigates fraudulent activities.
🔸Block Rewards and Transactional Fees
The miner who first resolves the computational challenge earns the privilege of adding the block to the chain, subsequently receiving block rewards (newly minted bitcoins) and transaction fees as remuneration.
🔸Adaptive Mining Difficulty
The network recalibrates mining difficulty approximately every 2016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain a consistent average block production time of 10 minutes. Heightened miner participation increases difficulty, while reduced activity diminishes it.
🔸Specialized Mining Apparatus
Modern mining operations predominantly employ Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs) bespoke hardware designed to maximize efficiency in solving Bitcoin's computational puzzles.
The Nexus Between Mining and Bitcoin Valuation-:
Bitcoin mining's economic implications significantly shape its price. The following outlines its intricate mechanisms:
🔸Supply and Demand Dynamics
Bitcoin’s finite supply cap of 21 million coins underscores its scarcity-driven value proposition. Mining introduces incremental supply, which progressively diminishes through halving events.
Halving Events
Halving transpires approximately quadrennially, reducing block rewards by 50%. This deceleration in supply inflation fosters scarcity.
Example: In 2020, rewards diminished from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC. Such contractions in supply amidst static or rising demand typically elevate prices.
🔸Miner Behavior and Market Sentiment
Miners, as pivotal stakeholders, profoundly influence market sentiment through their operational and financial decisions.
Elevated Mining Activity
Robust mining activity reflects optimism in Bitcoin’s prospects, engendering positive price trajectories.
Miner Liquidations
During price downturns, miners often liquidate holdings to sustain operations, thereby increasing market supply and exerting downward pressure on prices.
🔸Energy Expenditures and Profit Margins
The energy-intensive nature of Bitcoin mining imposes considerable operational costs, which affect miner profitability and, by extension, market dynamics.
Prolonged unprofitability (e.g., due to suppressed prices or escalated energy costs) may compel miners to exit, undermining network security and investor confidence.
Conversely, profitability fosters a resilient network, bolstering investor sentiment and price stability.
🔸Transaction Costs and Network Bottlenecks
Periods of heightened network congestion elevate transaction fees, incentivizing miners while potentially deterring users. Excessive fees might redirect users toward alternative cryptocurrencies, dampening Bitcoin's demand and suppressing its price.
🔸Scarcity-Induced Speculation
As Bitcoin’s total supply converges toward the 21 million threshold, its inherent scarcity garners heightened speculative interest, amplifying demand and inflating prices.
Cyclic Interdependency Between Mining and Price
The mining-price relationship is intrinsically cyclical-:
🔸Price Influences Mining
Escalating Bitcoin prices render mining endeavors more lucrative, enticing increased participation. Augmented mining activity fortifies network security and perpetuates operational integrity.
🔸Mining Impacts Price
Mining modulates Bitcoin's supply-demand equilibrium. Halving events induce scarcity, whereas miner liquidations can temporarily inflate supply, influencing market valuations.
Impending Challenges and Strategic Contemplations
Bitcoin mining faces multifaceted challenges that could recalibrate its influence on prices-:
🔸Ecological Ramifications
The formidable energy consumption inherent in mining has incited environmental critiques, prompting calls for sustainable methodologies. Transitioning to renewable energy may alleviate ecological concerns yet inflate operational expenditures.
🔸Regulatory Scrutiny
Regulatory bodies worldwide are intensifying their oversight of Bitcoin mining, citing environmental and fiscal implications. Legislative interventions could recalibrate miner operations, indirectly affecting Bitcoin prices.
🔸Technological Innovations
Advances in mining hardware and energy optimization could reduce costs, enhancing network robustness. However, progress in competing cryptocurrencies might divert investment and attention from Bitcoin.
Conclusion-:
Bitcoin mining constitutes the cornerstone of the Bitcoin network, sustaining its operational integrity and economic framework. Its symbiotic relationship with Bitcoin’s price is shaped by supply constraints, miner actions, and cost structures. Meanwhile externalities such as regulatory pressures and environmental concerns augment the complexity of this interplay. As Bitcoin's ecosystem matures, the intricate nexus between mining and price will remain a focal point of scholarly and commercial interest, embodying both challenges and transformative potential for the cryptocurrency domain.
Best Regards- Amit
Hope you like this publication.
FIB's @ Trend crossingOne thing I really try to avoid is too much clutter and colors on my charts. You'll start over analyzing, getting lost in all the extras with colors, and ending up with trade block or FOMO. But for learning purposes it helps show what I'm looking for.
Here with the FIB run high to low crossing a primary and a secondary trend line you can see where reversals or break outs tend to happen the most. I don't look for up or down necessarily. I'll explain: What I want to know is if the entry and exit is at a beneficial area. We're here to make money after all and we do that by assessing the risk/reward.
Afer a little practice and some back testing I hope you'll start to see it clearer without the visual aids. Or at least draw it then delete it.
Without looking at the price or the ticker this is something you'll start to see on every chart. Support/resistance and trends. But none of that will ever work in your favor if you switch up mid-trade or take risk beyond the parameters. I'd get in here very cautiously on the 5min and 15min with a tight stop for either direction you're trading. For all I really know it'll go sideways again but at least we'll have stronger S/R to go off of when it does and a small loss if it stops out trying.
Can't win em all but you don't have to lose everything to learn that.
20pt Stop / 5R Run... Well Done!COMEX:GC1!
"In order to be successful in life you have to learn how to do something so well that the dead, the living, or the unborn could not to do any better." -Dr. MLK Jr.
Self-explanatory... 'Confluence Profile 500K' (Expectational Order Flow + PA) 20pt Stop / 5R Run... 1OOpt Target w/ a 20pt STOP. Covering Todays NY HIGH... #APBTG On to the next 1. #BHM500K
EXPERIENCE = MONEYIn the world of trading, the buzz often revolves around algorithms, strategies, and insider secrets. The quest for the perfect indicator or the foolproof system dominates discussions. But here's a truth that doesn’t get enough credit: Experience itself is an edge.
Trading is not just about knowing patterns or reading charts; it's about understanding yourself in the market. The edge that comes from doing the same things for years—the grind, the discipline, the repetitions—is unparalleled. Let’s explore why:
1. You Master Emotional Control
Experience teaches you the hardest lesson in trading: controlling your emotions. Fear during a dip, greed during a rally, and frustration after a loss are hurdles every trader faces. With time, you stop reacting impulsively. Instead, you develop the discipline to follow your plan, even when your instincts scream otherwise.
Example:
In my early trading days, a single red candle made my heart race, pushing me to exit trades prematurely. Years later, the same red candle now feels like a part of the process—a mere wave in the ocean of data.
2. Pattern Recognition Becomes Second Nature
The market is a storyteller, and with time, you start recognizing its recurring themes. Candlestick patterns, price action, and even the broader market sentiment begin to feel like old friends. The difference? A seasoned trader doesn’t just see the patterns—they understand when and why they work.
Key Insight:
The same head-and-shoulders pattern that failed you five years ago can become a profitable setup now because experience has taught you to identify the context.
3. Experience Sharpens Your Risk Management
Beginner traders often treat risk management as an afterthought. With years under your belt, you realize it’s the backbone of longevity. Experience engrains the understanding that preserving capital is more important than chasing profits.
What Changes?
Instead of going all-in on a “sure thing,” you diversify, set stop losses, and accept that some trades will fail. That’s the wisdom only time can teach.
4. You Build a Personal Trading Playbook
Over time, you develop your own set of rules, honed by trial and error. This is not something you can copy from another trader—it’s the result of your unique journey.
Your edge isn’t just in the market knowledge you’ve accumulated; it’s in the self-awareness you’ve gained. You know which setups suit your temperament, how much risk you can handle, and what market conditions you excel in.
5. Patience Becomes Your Superpower
The markets reward patience. As a beginner, you’re likely to jump at every opportunity, but experience teaches you that waiting for the right trade is often more profitable than taking every trade.
Seasoned traders understand the importance of sitting on the sidelines during choppy markets or holding a position even when it tests their resolve.
6. Experience Breeds Confidence
Confidence doesn’t come from a single winning streak; it comes from surviving losing streaks. Years of trading teach you to trust your process, even when the market throws curveballs.
Mindset Shift:
A novice says, “I hope this trade works.”
An experienced trader says, “I’ve seen this before. I know what to do.”
Final Thoughts
In a market where everyone is chasing quick wins, experience is your differentiator. The hours you’ve spent analyzing charts, the countless mistakes you’ve learned from, and the perseverance to show up every day build a foundation that no indicator or bot can replicate.
So, if you’ve been in the game for years, even without hitting it big, know this: You’re already ahead of most. The market respects time served. Keep showing up, keep refining, and let your experience compound—just like a good trade.
What’s Your Edge?
Have you found experience to be your secret weapon in trading? Share your thoughts in the comments—I’d love to hear how the years have shaped your journey.
Remember: The greatest edge in trading is not just what you know, but what you’ve lived.
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times
But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid?
This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time.
Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions:
1.Company: What does the business do?
2.Economics: How does it generate revenue?
3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides?
4.Risks: What challenges could it face?
5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal?
6.Valuation: Is the price justified?
1.What’s the Business?
- Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need?
- Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings.
- Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history.
2.How Do They Make Money?
- Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky.
- Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from?
- Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends.
3.What Could Go Right?
- Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy?
-Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches.
-Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership.
4. What Could Go Wrong?
-Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations?
-Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks.
- Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble.
5.What Do the Numbers Say?
- Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements.
- Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability.
- Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential.
6.Is the Price Right?
- Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards.
-Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists.
-Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value.
By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation.
What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
XRP SeekingPips reminds himself STICK TO THE PLAN, XRP LONG ONLY
I would consider the following as a GOLD STAR LESSON TO BE SAVED.
Yesterday created a great reminder opportunity that you must have a PLAN & RULES.
Even SeekingPips is human and therefore sometimes will deviate from the plan.
The GOLD SECRET is to realise the error and get back on track as soon as possible.
I was very clear on the chart share on 01/01/2025 that I only wanted to accumulate XRP
Here is the copy of that paragraph :
"ℹ️ However whilst price remains above 2.10 USD I do not want to take the short side of XRP."
By the next chart share the next day 02/01/25 it was clear to me where price was and that I was seeing a clear BULL FLAG on the DAILY CHART.
✅️ With that information I had a plan❕️✅️
ℹ️So what's the lesson you ask?❔️
⭐️Well Seeking Pips didn't stick to the plan.
Price was still well above 2.10 but shared a short chart idea.
This is why a TRADE JOURNAL is a GREAT idea.
In real time you may not see or notice any TRADING ERRORS but by having a journal it's in black and white and you can spot any problems early.✅️
⚠️So what were the KEY POINTS from yesterday?
🟢 Based on the D1 timeframe chart there was no valid reason according to my PLAN to conditioner any short positions.
🟢 Even based on the intra day timeframes that I use my RED LINE on my chart share at 2.3268 was never traded below.
🟢 Too zoomed in to price on lower timeframes. Seeking Pips considered the intra day timeframes and price action over what the Daily and Weekly charts were indicating.
🟢 Quantity over quality, wanting to be active and share some content, even given the fact that the DAY, WEEK and EVEN YEAR had just started.
🟢 NOT GIVING the IDEA time to play out. Barely two hours earlier I had already decided that my bias was to the long side.
There was no trigger to invalid that bias.
⭐️THE LESSON⭐️
Trading is not all about Lambos and penthouses. Yes that can be a final goal if you want it to be BUT to get to that point you really do have to iron out all of the ugly stuff first...
If this post helps even one peron on their trading journey it has done it's job.👌
PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS POST IF YOU FOUND IT USEFUL. 👍
Market Analysis: How to. Execute This Trade // MSTRNASDAQ:MSTR
Over the past 2-3 months, MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) has shown significant growth, primarily driven by the rise in Bitcoin’s value. The company holds a substantial amount of Bitcoin on its balance sheet, which strongly influences its stock price performance.
Key Highlights:
1. Stock Performance:
• As of now, MSTR trades at $379.09, reflecting a notable increase over recent months.
• Its strong performance correlates with the upward trend in Bitcoin prices.
2. Technical Analysis:
• The stock recently broke out of a rectangle pattern, signaling a potential rise toward
the $525 level.
• However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions,
suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback.
3. Analyst Opinions:
• Analysts remain optimistic, with a consensus of “Buy” or “Overweight.”
• The average price target is above the current trading level, pointing to further upside
potential.
Considerations:
While MSTR has been performing robustly, it’s important to note the volatility associated with its heavy exposure to Bitcoin. Investors should weigh the risks tied to both the stock and the broader cryptocurrency market.
How to execute this trade:
We notice how the upward trend seems to have temporarily stopped, giving way to a bearish phase. The stock remains highly overvalued and very volatile, so a drop of 40–50% does not necessarily indicate a long-term trend reversal but simply a pause in a bull run that has been ongoing since 2022!
On November 11, the stock experienced a rise of 23% in a single day, leaving a gap open.
Subsequently, the rise was accompanied by a 97% increase in just 13 days, followed by a bearish phase, a lateral phase, another bearish phase, and now a rebound. We could even consider the last two movements as a new lateral zone.
Now, let’s analyze the movements of the stock in the most recent highlighted period in greater detail.
We observe that, after breaking below the lateral range, the stock formed a well-defined downward channel. We obviously had two choices: to take advantage of the lateral zone by going both long and short:
Respectively: 430–450 Short & 360–350 Long. However, this was a rather complex trade because the lateral range was very wide and volatile (34%).
The second option was to wait for a long entry. The gap in this case is an excellent buying zone; in many cases, gaps need to be filled, and when this happens, they provide great opportunities. In this particular case, we are talking about a gap that triggered a 97% rise, so the chances of a rebound are very high.
Using the Bar Replay, we see that initially the stock approaches our entry zone but doesn’t enter, closing slightly above it.
This means we need to remain vigilant in the following days and monitor for a good entry opportunity.
The next day, the stock rises by 8%—our hopes for a trade begin to waver, and we risk succumbing to FOMO. However, the only way to be consistently profitable is to always follow the plan. Always!
Later, the stock drops, granting us an entry. In hindsight, it’s easy to say, “I would have entered here,” but this would have been a challenging trade because the gap was only partially filled and for a short time. A correct entry should have been between 286 and 276.
We notice that the entry was very difficult and quick—so let’s assume we didn’t manage to enter . The next day, the stock opens with a significant upward gap (3.4%).
At this point, we have two signals: the stock touched our zone and began to rise, and the buying zone was a previous gap. Now, the stock opens again with a gap, signaling that these opportunities are often leveraged to push the stock upward.
We adjust our entry a bit higher, giving the trade more room to breathe since the previous setup didn’t work out.
In this case, we carefully observe the downward trendline above us and use it as a signal to exit the trade or reduce the position size to limit losses. If it’s not broken, we know what to do.
We let the trade run and see how the trendline is broken, followed by a very strong upward move that brings us to profit in just two sessions.
This is “How to Execute This Trade.”
Becoming a Meme Coin Millionaire in 2025 Guide
▪️Becoming a millionaire through trading Solana-based meme coins in 2025 is a high-risk and speculative endeavor that requires careful planning, research, and disciplined execution. Here's a guide to help you navigate this volatile but potentially lucrative market:
1. Understand the Meme Coin Market
Meme coins are cryptocurrencies that derive value largely from community enthusiasm, social media trends, and memes rather than intrinsic utility.
▪️Key Characteristics:
-High volatility and speculative value.
-Often community-driven and influenced by social media hype.
-Short-term opportunities with rapid price fluctuations.
-Popular Solana-Based Meme Coins:
Keep track of emerging and trending meme coins in the Solana ecosystem.
Join Solana communities on platforms like Twitter, Reddit, and Discord to stay updated.
2. Start with Research
Thorough research is critical before investing in any meme coin.
▪️Analyze the Project:
-Tokenomics: Look at the coin's supply, distribution, and burn mechanisms.
-Community Strength: Check the activity and size of the project's community.
-Development Team: Identify whether the project has a credible team or is purely community-driven.
Market Trends:
Track Solana ecosystem developments and meme coin trends.
Use tools like CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko to monitor meme coin performance.
3. Develop a Strategy
A clear strategy can protect you from emotional decision-making.
▪️Set Financial Goals:
-Decide how much you want to invest and your profit targets.
-Be prepared to lose the amount you invest, as meme coins are highly speculative.
Risk Management:
-Diversify your investments across multiple meme coins and other crypto assets.
-Allocate only a small percentage of your portfolio to meme coins.
Exit Strategy:
Decide in advance when to sell—whether at a specific profit percentage or when a coin reaches a particular price.
4. Master Timing
Timing is critical in meme coin trading due to their speculative nature.
▪️Watch for Early Opportunities:
-Participate in pre-sales or initial DEX offerings (IDOs) for meme coins in the Solana ecosystem.
-Use platforms like Solana's Raydium or Serum for early access to new coins.
Leverage Social Media Trends:
-Monitor social media platforms and influencers who often drive meme coin popularity.
-Stay alert for trending hashtags, memes, or community events.
Take Advantage of Volatility:
Be ready to buy low during market dips and sell high during hype cycles.
5. Use the Right Tools
Tools and resources can help you stay informed and make better trading decisions.
▪️Trading Platforms:
-Use decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Raydium or Orca for Solana-based tokens.
-Use Solscan or other Solana block explorers to verify transactions.
Analytics Tools:
Track price movements with crypto analytics platforms.
Use bots or automated trading tools to take advantage of rapid price changes.
6. Stay Disciplined
Discipline is crucial to survive the meme coin market.
Avoid FOMO:
Fear of missing out (FOMO) often leads to poor decisions. Stick to your strategy.
Resist Emotional Trading:
Avoid panic selling during dips or overbuying during hype peaks.
Reassess Regularly:
Periodically evaluate your portfolio and adjust based on performance and market conditions.
7. Be Aware of Risks
The meme coin market is highly speculative, and there are significant risks.
▪️Scams and Rug Pulls:
-Beware of projects with anonymous teams or no clear use case.
-Verify contracts and audit reports, if available.
Market Volatility:
-Prices can plummet as quickly as they rise.
-Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Regulatory Risks:
Monitor potential regulations that could affect meme coins or the broader crypto market.
8. Cultivate Long-Term Wealth Building
While meme coins might offer quick gains, consider diversifying into more stable assets to build long-term wealth.
▪️Invest in Solana Ecosystem Projects:
Solana-based DeFi, NFTs, and other utility-driven projects could provide steadier returns.
Stake SOL or Meme Coins:
Earn passive income through staking or liquidity provision.
Reinvest Profits Wisely:
Use meme coin profits to invest in more stable crypto assets or traditional investments.
▪️Conclusion
Becoming a Solana meme coin millionaire in 2025 requires research, timing, and a strong risk management strategy. While meme coins offer exciting opportunities, they are highly speculative and risky. Balance your enthusiasm with caution, and focus on building a sustainable approach to crypto trading.
Liquidity Trap Precision Strategy (LTPS)This strategy is designed to trade like the big players (Market Makers). It focuses on understanding how prices are manipulated to trap retail traders and uses tools like Volume Profile, VWAP, and Moving Averages to spot where the price is likely to reverse or break out. Here’s how it works:
Key Levels Matter (Support & Resistance):
POC (Point of Control): This is the price level where the most trading happens. Price tends to return here because it’s a “fair value” zone.
VAH (Value Area High) & VAL (Value Area Low): These act like ceilings and floors. If price is near VAH, it might reverse down. If it’s near VAL, it might bounce up.
Spot Market Manipulation:
Market Makers love to trick retail traders by pushing prices above resistance or below support (called a “stop hunt”). After trapping them, the price reverses.
Look for fake breakouts (e.g., Shooting Star candles) around these levels.
VWAP Bands (Dynamic Support/Resistance):
The price tends to bounce between the VWAP upper band (overbought) and VWAP lower band (oversold). These levels help us decide where to buy or sell.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
Use the 30-minute chart to see the bigger trend and levels.
Use the 5-minute chart to find the exact moment to enter or exit based on patterns and reactions.
Enter Smartly, Exit Safely:
Enter trades near extremes (e.g., VAH or VAL) where retail traders are likely trapped.
Place targets at safe levels like POC or VWAP mean to secure profits.
Why This Works:
Market Makers: They target predictable retail behaviors like stop losses and trend chasers. This strategy focuses on identifying and exploiting these traps.
Tools for Precision: Volume and price indicators (VWAP, Volume Profile) show where Market Makers are active, making this strategy robust.
Now let’s apply this concept to the XAU/USD (Gold) analysis and create a winning trade plan!
Institutional-Grade Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
The charts show a market maker setup brewing — liquidity grabs, false breaks, and trap setting. Let’s dissect this step-by-step and deliver a strategy with sniper-like precision.
1. The Market Maker’s Contextual Play
POC (Point of Control):
POC (2,639.87) is a magnet level with high volume activity. Market Makers are likely testing retail orders around this zone, baiting longs above and shorts below. Expect price manipulation here.
The price is flirting near VAH (2,645.07) — a classic move to grab liquidity above before a mean reversion to POC.
VWAP Anchored Bands:
Price is nearing the upper VWAP band (2,644.81), signaling overbought territory. Market Makers love using this to fake out retail traders into longs, before dumping.
Monthly VWAP Mean (2,637) acts as equilibrium. Watch for a retracement toward this zone for balance.
Value Area Low (VAL):
VAL (2,622.46) is the first liquidity sink. If price breaks below, watch for aggressive sweeps to trap retail shorts before a bounce.
2. Advanced Liquidity & Volume Profile
Liquidity Zones:
Above VAH (2,645): Stops from weak shorts sitting here. A sweep and reversal could occur.
Below VAL (2,622): Retail longs have SLs here, creating fuel for a liquidity grab.
Low Volume Node (LVN):
Price action shows an LVN near 2,634. A sharp move through this area could be explosive — low resistance for price to move like a rocket.
3. Market Maker Behavior Analysis
Liquidity Sweeps & Reversals:
Market Makers are likely engineering a stop hunt above 2,645. Watch for a quick break above VAH, triggering retail buys, followed by a rapid bearish rejection candle.
After the sweep, they’ll push price back toward POC (2,639) or VAL (2,622), where retail traders will be caught off guard.
Momentum Manipulation:
RSI divergence is visible: price is making higher highs, but RSI is flatlining, a textbook case of exhaustion. Market Makers are setting traps for over-leveraged retail longs.
4. Price Action & Market Structure
Candlestick Patterns:
Shooting Star and Dark Cloud Cover near VWAP Upper Band signal exhaustion at resistance. Classic setup for bearish continuation.
Liquidity Gap: Gaps from 2,622 to 2,635 indicate potential zones where Market Makers might revisit to balance their books.
Trendlines & Channels:
Bearish channel visible on the 1H chart. Lower highs with retests of resistance zones align perfectly with institutional short setups.
5. The Institutional Trade Setup
Primary Play: Short with Market Maker’s Twist
Order Type: Sell Limit (trap the liquidity spike before reversal).
Entry Price: $2,645.00 (near VAH to catch retail FOMO).
Stop Loss (SL): $2,652.00 (above the false breakout spike to protect from a manipulation overshoot).
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $2,639.00 (POC magnet).
TP2: $2,628.00 (VAL liquidity sink).
TP3: $2,620.00 (complete liquidity drain for max profit).
Confidence Level: 85%
Market Maker manipulation aligns perfectly with technical setups, volume profile, and VWAP dynamics.
6. Aggressive Scaling Strategy (Institutional-Style)
Scaling In:
Add positions at $2,639.00 if price retests POC with rejection (ensure momentum confirmation).
Scaling Out:
Exit 50% at TP1 ($2,639.00) to secure immediate profit.
Exit 30% at TP2 ($2,628.00) as price digs into VAL.
Leave 20% for TP3 ($2,620.00) if the bearish move completes.
7. Dynamic Adjustments for Market Maker Volatility
If Price Breaks Higher:
Reverse with Buy Stop at $2,652.00. Use POC ($2,639.00) as the new TP for the long side.
If Momentum Dies:
Tighten SL aggressively below POC to lock in profits.
Why This Setup is Signature-Level:
Market Maker Flare: Anticipates liquidity traps and engineered price moves.
Institutional Precision: Anchors strategy around VWAP, Volume Nodes, and Liquidity Zones.
Advanced Risk Management: Scaling in and out ensures profits even in volatile conditions.
11 Things i have learned in almost 20 years of trading1. Hi expectations will boost your motivation, but it will kill your dreams
- It is totally OK to dream big, and fight for your goals, but then what you will do when your dream seems impossible or hard to reach to? You will most likely get mad, and fight left and right for it, even the markets for your dreams. You will be the only person staying between you and your dreams.
- The solution is to focus on small steps, like on daily targets.
2. Undercapitalization. You cannot hope to make a living from trading, if you do not have enough money in your trading account.
- Depends on the living standards of your country, If you need to make 1000USD to pay bills, then I will recommend a 20.000USD account, because hopping for 5% monthly, is the most realistic profit percentage you can expect for long term. And I need you to understand my long term view, because you might have a good month with 15% or more, and then wipe your account after 6 months or 1 year.
- Off course there is the solution that you can apply for a PropFirm, but their rules might put pressure on you, because their interest is that you loose money. Please do not trust my work, do some research yourself and see what is the business model of a PropFirm.
3. Market Patterns do not need to be true just because it was repeated at one point in the past.
- You learn about all type of rules, and patterns that the price should do just because it did something similar at one point in the past. No, that is verry wrong. The price pattern will repeat under similar conditions, but not under all conditions.
- The solution is to have a plan B, and don't trust that the market needs to act as you want. Please remember that for you in order to buy an asset, someone else needs to sell it to you, so it is your opinion, against him. While you see a break under a double top, and you want to enter short, someone else will sell to you, thinking the that it might be a false break, hoping the price will go up.
4. Invest in yourself. Nobody is going to do the job for you, better than yourself.
- I don’t like when people are so lazy, that they want to copy trades from other people. If you do that, you should not call yourself a trader.
- Ok, I understand that as a beginner, you might say the an experienced trader, knows better what will happen next. No, nobody knows, I trader for almost 20 years, and the only reason ‘’I am not wrong’’ is because I do not expect to be wright.
5. Keep it simple. Each indicator has its own probability that one event will happen in certain circumstances.
- This means that the more indicators you add, the more variables you gill get in your analysis and you will get confused.
6. There is no certainty in the market. At any given point or tick in the market, the probability that the price will go either way, up or down is 50%.
- The sequence of how that happens is, can be different, like 70-30, 10-90, etc. To make it easier to understand, every time you put a trade, with every think, the market can change. How many times the price has missed your TP or SL and when the other way?
7. Do not trade to get rich. Getting rich is different from one person to another.
- But, if you start trading because you see some posts, advertisings, or so called traders posting from Dubai or Lamborghini, then you are doomed.
- It is verry difficult to increase your starting capital, lets say 10.000USD, to 500.000USD, having to pay the bills, food and other expenses. So do not fall for that.
8. Don't hope for financial independence to soon
- Any profession has a certain period of years for preparation, either you are a doctor or a lawyer, or maybe a child that want to become a professional football player…he will need many years of hard work, and still, he might not get it to the professional league.
- Trading also requires allot of years to master the charts, but more important to get to understand or to fully know yourself. Beside knowing if swing trading or scalping is what suits you, you need to understand your reactions to loosing trades, winning trades, your feelings and emotions and much more.
9. Keep a job. You cannot worry about paying the bills, ‘’putting food on the table’’ That is a stress you do not need.
- Can you imagine how hard it will be to think that with every SL you get hit, the more likely you are not to pay your rent? Please, if you are a beginner, keep at least a part time job, and try to manage your time wisely.
10. Trust the compound interest because it will pay long term.
- Lets take the following scenario for 10 years and 5% every month profit for a deposit of 10.000USD. Please remember that Investment funds will be very happy with a 60% win.
YEAR 1 - This means a 60% or 6.000USD profit this year and 16.000USD for next year
YEAR 2 - Now you have 5% but from 16.000USD, it means 800USD every month, or 9600 by year end. At the end of second year you will have 25.600USD
YEAR 3 – You will make 5% monthly from 25.600USD or 1280USD. At the end of the year you will have a profit of 15.360USD, added to your last year balance of 25.600. At this point your account will worth 40.960USD
Year 4 – 5% monthly or 2.046USD, The profit at the year end 24.552USD. Total trading account 65.512USD
YEAR 5 – 3.275USD Monthly or 39.300USD. End of the year trading account 104.812
- At the end of year 5, of consecutive winning years, you can consider quitting your job -
YEAR 6 – 5240USD monthly – 62880 Year end – 167.692USD
YEAR 6 – 8384USD monthly – 100.608 Year end – 268.300USD
YEAR 7 – 13415 Monthly – 160.980 Year end – 429.280USD
YEAR 8 – 21464 Monthly – 257.568 Year end – 686.848USD
YEAR 9 – 34342 Monthly – 412.104 Year End- 1.098.952USD Now you are a millionaire 😊
This means that if you keep repeating for the next 10 years, you will have 100 mil
YEAR 10 – 54947 Monthly – 659.364 Year end – 1.758.316USD
11. Time Management and Money Management – We hear allot of Money Management, or Risk Management, but you do not find that much about time management, and I don’t understand why people don’t put more weight on it.
- One of the reason that I did not posted on social platforms that consistent, is that my priorities in terms of Time Management, did not allowed me to spend time doing that. My priority is always my family, myself and my jobs from which I can provide for them.
- Lets say you have your MM saying that you need to stop after 3 consecutive looses. But what if those happens in 30 minutes? You are going to feel useless for the rest of the day, and allot of frustration will build up.
- As a short example, you need to have those 3 loses during a 4 or 6 hour trading session. Also, try spend learning, find ways to make you feel productive other than just open trades.
I hope this can help you getting some type of good perspective. Good luck!
Choppy Market: Patience and Key Levels to WatchThis chart highlights a low-probability trading environment with corrective structures and low volatility. Key focus areas:
Upside Breakout: Watch for impulsive moves above the 30M trendline and 4H LQZ for short-term bullish setups.
Downside Correction: A steeper drop into the 15M or 1H LQZ may provide higher-probability long opportunities.
Stay Patient: Avoid trading inside the choppy range; wait for clear reactions at liquidity zones or strong breakouts with momentum.
Crafting the Perfect 2025 Trading Journal: Here’s All You NeedThere’s something about cracking open a brand-new trading journal at the start of the year that feels downright ceremonial. A fresh page (or the blank spaces on your template) unmarred by the scribbles of bad trades or impulsive decisions.
The surge of excitement that goes through your veins as you imagine all potential profits and accumulated knowledge that could end up on that piece of paper (or pixels).
Still, despite all the wisdom and insight that a written record can give you, most trading journals end up looking like forgotten diaries. They get abandoned sometime around February, right next to that half-baked gym membership.
And that’s a bummer! Your trading journal isn’t just a log of wins and losses; it’s the roadmap to better decisions and a more profitable year.
If you’ve ever wondered why seasoned traders swear by this habit, it’s because those scribbles often hold the secrets to what’s working, what’s failing, and which psychological gremlins are hijacking your trades or causing you to miss opportunities.
✍️ Why Every Trade Deserves Ink (or Pixels)
Trading without documentation is akin to sailing without a map or running without setting checkpoints and an end goal. Every trade—good or bad—carries data.
Writing it down transforms fleeting market moments into permanent lessons. It highlights patterns that the eye glosses over in the heat of battle and reveals tendencies you didn’t even know you had.
For example, did you buy Dogecoin DOGE on impulse every time Elon Musk tweeted? Or maybe you overtraded small caps on Fridays because that’s when coffee hits hardest. Or maybe you didn’t bet enough when you had conviction on a forex pair?
These patterns hide in plain sight until they’re laid bare on paper. A journal bridges the gap between emotional trading and methodical refinement.
📖 What to Actually Write Down (Hint: More Than Just Numbers)
If your journal consists of a date, ticker, and a hasty “profit/loss” column, you’re barely scratching the surface. A trading journal should feel like a post-game analysis. Beyond the basic details (entry, exit, size, P&L), the real gold lies in your thought process.
Document why you entered the trade. What did you see? Was there a technical breakout, or were you chasing a Reddit-fueled rocket? Record the emotions that accompanied your trade—nerves, confidence, greed.
Were you following your system, or did you veer off course? Trades aren’t made in a vacuum; understanding the context around them provides clarity.
Even the trades you didn’t take deserve a mention. Hesitation to pull the trigger or missing a setup can reveal psychological patterns that hold back performance.
Here’s a sample set of columns that you may want to add to your template.
💡 Pro tip: make it a monthly template so you can break down the year by the month.
Trading Instrument
Trade direction
Position size
Your entry
Your exit
Your stop loss (yes, add that, too)
Your take profit
Your realized profit or loss
Your risk/reward ratio
Your reason to open the trade
Your state of mind (more on that in the next paragraph)
Transaction costs (fees, spreads, commissions)
Trade rating (e.g., 1-10, or “Good,” “Great,” “Needs More Work”)
Trade notes
Account balance at the start of the month
Account balance at the end of the month
Monthly profit/loss result
Year-to-date profit/loss result
Having a template like this will help you stay organized, improve your trading strategy, and identify patterns in your performance and results. So grab a pen and list (or go to an online graphic design platform) and get creative!
🤫 The Emotional Audit: Your Secret Weapon
A trader’s greatest adversary isn’t the market—it’s themselves. Emotional trades account for some of the most catastrophic losses. One poorly timed revenge trade can undo weeks of careful gains. This is why a portion of your journal should be reserved for emotional audits.
After every trading session, reflect on how you felt. Did anxiety creep in during a drawdown? Were you overconfident after a winning streak?
Emotions, when left unchecked, can drive irrational decisions. Journaling those feelings makes them tangible and easier to manage. It’s like therapy, but instead of lying on a couch, you’re documenting why you YOLO’d into Tesla TSLA .
😮 Spotting Patterns You Didn’t Know Existed
Patterns in trading journals are sneaky. Sometimes, the worst losing streaks aren’t the result of market volatility but bad habits we refuse to notice. Maybe you consistently lose on Mondays or after three consecutive wins. Perhaps you cut winners too soon but let losers run because hope dies last.
Journaling reveals these quirks in brutal detail. Reviewing your trades at the end of each month will expose recurring mistakes (or hidden strengths). Over time, you’ll be able to tighten risk management, adjust strategies, and weed out tendencies that silently bleed your account.
🤑 How to Stay Consistent (Even When You’re Lazy)
Let’s face it: journaling isn’t glamorous, especially when you wake up after a bad trade and you need to face Mr. Market again. But consistency is key. Set a 15-minute window after your trading day to jot down what happened—trades, thoughts, emotions, lessons. It’s short enough to stay manageable but long enough to capture the core of your experience.
🧐 Reviewing the Wreckage: Monthly Reflection Sessions
At the end of each month, conduct a full review of your journal. This isn’t just for performance metrics—it’s about personal growth. Ask the hard questions: What trades did I regret? What big moves did I miss? Where did I second-guess myself? Which trades followed my plan?
You’ll notice themes emerging. Maybe you trade best during certain hours or you lean more to specific assets and markets. This retrospective analysis creates a loop of constant improvement. The goal isn’t to trade more but to trade better.
🧭 Wrapping It Up: Your Trading Journal as a Compass
By the end of the year, your journal will read like a narrative of your trading journey—complete with victories, defeats, and lessons learned.
More importantly, you’ll know yourself better than anyone (except for Google maybe) — you’ll know your trading habits, psychological traits and the written record of your performance in case you want to open up a hedge fund and need the track record for the investors.
So, grab that journal, digital or otherwise, and start logging. Because while the market may be unpredictable, the reflections in your journal will chart the way forward.
And who knows? Maybe next year you’ll flip through it and laugh at the trades you once thought were genius. After all, growth is part of the game.
How to Use Average Number of Bars in Trades to Your TradingWhen testing our trading strategy, we often analyze the average number of bars in trades, including both winning and losing trades. For instance, let's assume the average number of bars in trades is 31, with winning trades averaging 78 bars and losing trades averaging 16 bars.
1. Short-Term Profits During Losing Trades: Our strategy should focus on short-term profits during losing trades, which average 16 bars. Implementing a scalping strategy can help hedge our positions and minimize losses. We can offset some of the losses incurred during these periods by taking advantage of small price movements.
2. Partial Profits to Reduce Risk: If our holding periods exceed the average of 16 bars, we plan to take partial profits to reduce our risk. Specifically, we aim to take 2/3 of our profits once the holding period surpasses 16 bars. This approach helps lock in gains and protect our capital from potential market reversals.
3. Exiting Remaining Positions: For the remaining positions, we plan to take profits when the holding period exceeds 31 bars. The exit strategy could be based on the next resistance or support levels, or it could involve using a trailing stop, such as the parabolic SAR. This allows us to capture additional gains while still protecting our profits.
4. Extending the Position When There is a Signal in a Higher Time Frame: When we have taken a position in a trading time frame, we plan to take profit targets at predetermined levels. However, if there is a signal in a higher time frame, we can apply those holding periods and adjust our profit targets accordingly. This approach allows us to capitalize on longer-term trends and potentially increase our overall profitability.
By incorporating the average number of bars in trades into our strategy, we can make more informed decisions and optimize our trading performance.
Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Trading Psychology: Mastering Your Emotions for Success
The renowned book on trading psychology, Tradingpsychologie, aptly states: “The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses.” This succinctly encapsulates the importance of managing emotions in trading.
As a trader, you’ve likely experienced emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, and nervousness. While every trader faces these emotional challenges, successful traders understand that letting emotions dictate their decisions is a recipe for failure.
The essence of trading psychology lies in controlling your emotions to make sound investment decisions. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept of trading psychology and provide practical tips to help you trade with confidence.
What is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology refers to a trader’s emotional and mental state, which influences their trading actions. Emotions like hope and confidence can be beneficial, but those like fear and greed must be managed. A common emotional challenge in financial markets is the fear of missing out, or FOMO.
To become a successful trader, it’s crucial to cultivate a sharp mindset, coupled with knowledge and experience. Let’s explore the key psychological factors that impact a trader’s mindset and pro-tips to manage them effectively.
Key Psychological Factors in Trading
1. Fear
Fear arises when something valuable is at risk. In trading, risks may include:
Negative news about a stock or the market
A trade going in the wrong direction
The potential loss of capital
Fear often leads traders to overreact and prematurely liquidate their holdings. A strong trading psychology means not letting fear dictate your buy/sell strategy.
What should you do?
Identify the root cause of your fear and address it in advance. Reflect on these issues so that when fear arises, you can address it logically. Focus on not letting the fear of loss hinder potential profits.
2. Greed
Greed emerges when you seek excessive profits. Remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither will your trading fortune. A winning streak can quickly turn into a disaster if greed takes over.
What should you do?
Combat greed by setting predefined profit-taking levels. Before entering a trade, establish your stop-loss and profit-booking levels to avoid impulsive decisions. A sound trading psychology involves being satisfied with reasonable profits and avoiding the pursuit of irrational gains.
3. Regret
Regret manifests in two ways:
Regretting a trade that didn’t succeed
Regretting not taking a trade that could have succeeded
Trading based on regret can lead to poor decision-making.
What should you do?
Accept that you can’t capture every market opportunity. The trading equation is simple: you win some, you lose some. Embracing this mindset will help you develop a healthier trading psychology.
4. Hope
Many traders equate trading with gambling, hoping to win all the time. When they don’t, they feel dejected.
What should you do?
To succeed, cultivate a trading psychology that doesn’t rely on hope. Don’t let hope keep you invested in a losing trade. Be practical and book losses at the right time to protect your capital.
How to Improve Your Trading Psychology
1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset
Before starting your trading day, remind yourself that markets are inherently volatile. Good days and bad days are inevitable, but the bad days will pass. Take time to build a robust trading strategy unaffected by market sentiment.
2. Build a Solid Knowledge Base
Improving your trading psychology begins with increasing your market knowledge. A strong knowledge base empowers you to overcome negative emotions and make informed decisions. Remember, knowledge is power.
3. Recognize the Reality of Real Money
It’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen represent real money. While it’s natural to take risks in hopes of generating returns, always approach trading with caution and make well-thought-out decisions.
4. Learn from Successful Traders
The stock market treats every trader differently. Observe the habits of successful traders not to replicate them, but to glean insights. Incorporating some of their strategies into your trading approach can significantly enhance your performance.
5. Practice, Practice, Practice
The most reliable way to strengthen your trading psychology is through practice. Consistent practice helps you build effective strategies and prepares you for market ups and downs.
Final Thoughts
Developing a robust trading psychology takes time and consistent effort. Continuously refine your approach to manage your emotions and improve your decision-making.
To summarize, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology:
Be disciplined.
Be flexible.
Never stop learning.
I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your charts in the comments section. Let’s grow together as traders!
Thank you for reading!
Textbook Reversal Setup: Liquidity Zone + Channel BreakReversal Setup Analysis: HTF Liquidity Zone + Ascending Channel Breakdown
This chart highlights a high-probability bearish reversal setup based on key technical confluences. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the analysis:
1. High-Timeframe (HTF) Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
- The red zone marks a major HTF supply area where price previously rejected with a strong impulsive move downward. This liquidity zone is critical as it represents an area where institutional players have shown activity, creating a high-probability region for a potential reversal.
- As price approached this zone again, it did so in a corrective manner (via an ascending channel), which indicates weakening bullish momentum.
2. Impulsive vs. Corrective Structures:
- Impulsive Move: The strong move away from the HTF LQZ (highlighted earlier in the chart) confirms bearish intent, serving as a key reference point for this trade idea.
Corrective Structure: The price forms an ascending channel on the way back to retest the HTF LQZ, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
- The third touch of the channel’s trendline coincides with the HTF LQZ, adding confluence for a potential bearish reversal.
3. Liquidity Zones in Play:
- HTF Liquidity Zone (Supply): Serves as the key resistance level and primary rejection zone.
- 15-Minute Liquidity Zone (Demand): Acts as a potential target for bearish momentum post-breakdown.
- This multi-timeframe liquidity alignment strengthens the trade idea by providing clear areas of interest for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit placement.
4. Breakdown Entry and Structure:
- Entry Trigger: The trade is triggered on the break of structure, where price falls through the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum resuming after the corrective phase.
- Stop-Loss Placement: Ideally placed above the HTF liquidity zone and beyond the third touch of the channel to account for potential fake-outs.
- Take-Profit Levels: Targets can be set near the 15M liquidity zone or prior swing lows for a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Key Takeaways:
- This setup offers an excellent example of combining HTF liquidity zones, structural patterns, and market context to develop a high-probability trade idea. The rejection from the HTF LQZ aligns with the broader bearish narrative, while the ascending channel acts as a corrective structure leading to a continuation of the downward move.
- By focusing on confluence factors like liquidity zones, impulsive vs. corrective moves, and structural breaks, this trade idea demonstrates a disciplined and strategic approach to trading reversals.
Educational Insights:
- Always zoom out to identify HTF zones of significance to ensure alignment with the larger market context.
- Differentiate between impulsive and corrective structures to gauge the strength and intent of price movements.
- Use pattern confluences (e.g., ascending channels) in combination with key zones to identify high-probability entries.
- Prioritize patience and discipline by waiting for clear structural breaks to confirm your setup.
The reaction to the Supply Zone is the keyOn this chart, you can see that the topping signal and the formation of a fresh Supply Zone (highlighted in red) initially resulted in only a temporary shallow pullback. However, this pullback did not indicate a reversal of the uptrend. Instead, the market quickly resumed its upward momentum, as evidenced by the appearance of another "Buy re-test" signal shortly after.
This is a great example of how a topping signal—which might typically indicate potential exhaustion—can sometimes act as merely a pause in a strong uptrending market, rather than leading to a significant reversal. The trend continued higher as buyers re-established control, with subsequent key supports holding firmly to reinforce bullish strength.
Key takeaway: Topping signals and Supply Zones should be evaluated within the broader context of the market's trend. In this case, the bulls demonstrated sustained dominance despite the brief pause, confirming the uptrend's resilience.
How invalidation of a short setup becomes a long setupExplanation of the Trading Setup Based on the Chart:
"Short Re-test" Signal Creates Two Scenarios:
Plan A: When a "Short re-test" signal appears, it indicates potential resistance and a possible continuation of the downward move. You can short with the expectation that sellers will dominate and push the price lower.
Plan B: Alternatively, you prepare for a breakout, where price moves above the resistance formed by the "Short re-test" signal. This indicates a potential trend reversal or continuation of bullish momentum.
In this case, Plan B was triggered, leading to a textbook breakout above the resistance zone.
Breakout Confirmation and Retest Setup:
After the breakout, the price moved higher and provided a "Buy re-test" signal. This is a classic example of a breakout retest pattern, where the price pulls back to test the broken resistance, which now acts as support, before continuing upward.
Multiple "Buy Re-test" Signals Strengthen the Trend:
Following the initial breakout and retest, the chart shows multiple green "Buy re-test" signals along the way. Each signal marks a new key support level, confirming bullish control and the reliability of the uptrend.
Notice how each of the three key supports held, demonstrating strong demand at these levels and affirming the strength of the bulls.
Key Takeaways:
The initial "Short re-test" signal gave traders the opportunity to anticipate both a short continuation or a bullish breakout.
Once the breakout occurred, it was followed by a strong series of retests, giving traders multiple low-risk entry points to go long.
Holding key support levels after each "Buy re-test" signal validated the bullish momentum, creating high-confidence long setups as the trend progressed.
This setup exemplifies how combining breakout strategies with retest confirmations can lead to profitable trades while maintaining manageable risk.
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