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Leap Ahead with a Regression Breakout on Crude OilThe Leap Trading Competition: Your Chance to Shine TradingView’s “The Leap” Trading Competition presents a unique opportunity for traders to put their futures trading skills to the test. This competition allows participants to trade select CME Group futures contracts, including Crude Oil (CL) and Micro Crude Oil (MCL), giving traders access to one of the most actively traded commodities in the world. Register and compete in "The Leap" here: TradingView Competition Registration . This article breaks down a structured trade idea using linear regression breakouts, Fibonacci retracements, and UnFilled Orders (UFOs) to identify a long setup in Crude Oil Futures. Hopefully, this structured approach aligns with the competition’s requirements and gives traders a strong trade plan to consider. Best of luck to all participants. Spotting the Opportunity: A Regression Breakout in CL Futures Trend reversals often present strong trading opportunities. One way to detect these shifts is by analyzing linear regression channels—a statistical tool that identifies the general price trend over a set period. In this case, a 4-hour CL chart shows that price has violated the upper boundary of a downward-sloping regression channel, suggesting the potential start of an uptrend. When such a breakout aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels and existing UnFilled Orders (UFOs), traders may gain a potential extra edge in executing a structured trade plan. The Trade Setup: Combining Fibonacci and a Regression Channel This trade plan incorporates multiple factors to define an entry, stop loss, and target: o Entry Zone: An entry or pullback to the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area, between 74.60 and 73.14, provides a reasonable long entry. o Stop Loss: Placed below 73.14 to ensure a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio. o Profit-Taking Strategy: First target at 76.05 (38.2% Fibonacci level) Second target at 77.86 (23.6% Fibonacci level) Final target at 78.71, aligning with a key UFO resistance level This approach locks in profits along the way while allowing traders to capitalize on an extended move toward the final resistance zone. Contract Specifications and Margin Considerations Understanding contract specifications and margin requirements is essential when trading futures. Below are the key details for CL and MCL: o Crude Oil Futures (CL) Contract Details Full contract specs: CL Contract Specifications – CME Group Tick size: 0.01 per barrel ($10 per tick) Margin requirements vary based on market conditions and broker requirements. Currently set around $5,800. o Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures (MCL) Contract Details Full contract specs: MCL Contract Specifications – CME Group Tick size: 0.01 per barrel ($1 per tick) Lower margin requirements for more flexible risk control. Currently set around $580. Choosing between CL and MCL depends on risk tolerance and account size. MCL provides more flexibility for smaller accounts, while CL offers higher liquidity and contract value. Execution and Market Conditions To maximize trade efficiency, conservative traders could wait for a proper price action into the entry zone and confirm the setup using momentum indicators and/or volume trends.   Key Considerations Before Entering Ensure price reaches the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone before executing the trade Look for confirmation signals such as increased volume, candlestick formations, or additional support zones Be patient—forcing a trade without confirmation increases risk exposure Final Thoughts This Crude Oil Futures trade setup integrates multiple confluences—a regression breakout, Fibonacci retracements, and UFO resistance—to create a structured trade plan with defined risk management. For traders participating in The Leap Trading Competition, this approach emphasizes disciplined execution, dynamic risk management, and a structured scaling-out strategy, all essential components for long-term success. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv
9
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!📢 Welcome to the 2025 Mentorship Program! Greetings, Traders! This is the first video of the 2025 Mentorship Program, where I’ll be releasing content frequently, diving deep into ICT concepts, and most importantly, developing structured models around them. My goal is to help you gain a deeper understanding of the market and refine your approach to trading. Before we get started, I want to take a moment to speak to you directly. 💭 No matter where you are in your trading journey, I pray that you achieve—and even surpass—your goals this year. 📈 If you’re striving for consistency and discipline, may you reach new heights. 💡 If you’ve already found success, may you retain and refine your craft—because growth never stops. 🎯 If you’re just starting out, I pray you develop patience, discipline, and above all, accountability—because true progress comes when we own our failures and learn from them. 🔥 If you’ve been trading for years but still struggle with consistency, do not give up. The greatest adversity comes when you’re closest to success. Stay disciplined, stay dedicated, and keep pushing forward. Above all, let this be a year where we grow together—not just as traders, but as individuals. May we foster humility, respect, and a learning environment where both experienced and new traders can share knowledge and thrive. 🙏 I pray over these things in the name of Jesus. Amen. Let's have a great year! The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
18
Stop Loss Mastery: Methods Of Trade ProtectionStop Loss and Take Profit represent the fundamental boundaries of every trade, acting as the cornerstones of risk management in trading. While both are important, Stop Loss carries particular significance and is considered more crucial than Take Profit. In manual trading, implementing a Stop Loss is absolutely essential, whereas Take Profit settings remain optional, offering traders more flexibility in managing their profitable positions. Traders can employ various methods to set their SL levels, and while specific trading systems often dictate their own rules, several universal approaches have proven effective. Let's examine one of the most common methods. 📍 On the Local Extrema This method offers two primary variations. The first involves placing your Stop Loss relative to the signal candle. For buy positions, you would set the Stop Loss several pips below the minimum of the bullish signal candlestick. Conversely, for sell positions, you would place it several pips above the maximum of the bearish signal candlestick. The second variation focuses on the last local extreme point rather than the signal candle itself. When opening a buy position, you would position your Stop Loss a few points below the most recent local minimum. For sell positions, you would place it above the most recent local maximum. However, traders should be aware of a significant drawback to these approaches: their predictability. Market makers and experienced traders can easily identify these common Stop Loss placement patterns on their charts. They often exploit this knowledge by deliberately pushing prices to levels where they anticipate a concentration of Stop Loss orders. After triggering these stops and forcing smaller traders to close their positions at a loss, they frequently allow the price to resume its original direction. This practice, known as "stop hunting," particularly affects retail traders who rely on these conventional placement methods. 📍 Setting Stop Loss by Key Price Levels When using price levels for Stop Loss placement, traders can take advantage of significant order accumulation points that are naturally more resistant to manipulation. This method requires placing the Stop Loss a few points beyond the key level - below when buying and above when selling. A key advantage of this approach is that it typically positions the Stop Loss well beyond the last local minimum (for buy trades) or maximum (for sell trades). This strategic placement helps protect positions from premature exits that might occur with simpler Stop Loss methods. 📍 Technical Indicator-Based Stop Loss The ATR or Parabolic SAR indicator offers a straightforward approach to Stop Loss placement that appeals particularly to newer traders. Its clear visual markers provide explicit guidance for Stop Loss positioning, with traders simply placing their stops at the SAR marker level. This method offers an interesting advantage: traders can manually adjust their Stop Loss with each new candle formation, creating a flexible alternative to traditional trailing stops. However, like extrema-based stops, indicator-based placement can be predictable and potentially vulnerable to market manipulation. 📍 Stop Loss Based on Fundamentals Rather than relying solely on pre-set Stop Loss levels, fundamental analysis often guides manual exit decisions. Prudent traders might close positions before significant market events, such as: • At the end of the American trading session when market activity naturally declines • Shortly before major economic news releases that could trigger substantial price movements Some traders incorporate fundamental factors into their Stop Loss calculations. For instance, they might set stops based on average daily price movements for specific currency pairs - like using a 70-pip Stop Loss for FX:EURUSD trades, reflecting that pair's typical daily range. 📍 Advanced Technical Stop Loss Strategies Beyond basic indicator-based stops, traders can employ more sophisticated technical analysis tools for exit trades. These might include: • Moving average crossovers • Stochastic oscillator overbought/oversold signals These approaches often require active management, with traders monitoring indicators in real-time and executing manual exits when their chosen signals appear. 🔹 Psychological Aspects of Stop Loss Management The psychological impact of Stop Loss execution presents a significant challenge for many traders. Even when a Stop Loss performs its intended function of limiting potential losses, traders may experience: • Feelings of personal failure • Diminished confidence in their trading system • General market skepticism • Emotional distress after multiple consecutive stops 🔹 Avoiding Mental Stop Losses While some traders prefer "mental" stops over actual platform orders, this approach carries significant risks: • Technical failures could prevent manual exits • Emotional barriers might delay necessary exits • Small losses can balloon into significant account drawdowns To protect against these risks, traders should always implement their mental stops as actual platform orders, ensuring systematic risk management regardless of market conditions or psychological pressures. This structured approach to Stop Loss placement combines technical precision with psychological awareness, helping traders develop both the skills and mindset needed for successful risk management. 🔹 Additional Position Management Methods In trading, while Stop Loss and Take Profit orders form the foundation of exit strategies, several sophisticated techniques can help traders optimize their position management. Let's explore these methods that go beyond basic exit orders. ⚫️ Breakeven Stop Adjustment One of the most psychologically powerful position management techniques involves moving your Stop Loss to the trade entry point, effectively eliminating downside risk while maintaining upside potential. This strategy becomes particularly valuable when price movement has demonstrated strong momentum in your favor. The conventional approach suggests adjusting to breakeven when the price has moved in your favor by double the initial Stop Loss distance. For instance, consider a trade with a 20-pip Stop Loss and a 60-pip Take Profit target. When the position shows 40 pips of profit (twice the initial risk), moving the Stop Loss to the entry point ensures you won't lose money on the trade while still allowing for further gains. ⚫️ Dynamic Risk Management with Trailing Stops Trailing Stops represent an evolution in risk management, allowing traders to protect accumulated profits while maintaining exposure to continued favorable price movement. This technique dynamically adjusts your Stop Loss level as the price moves in your favor, essentially "trailing" behind the price at a predetermined distance. ⚫️ Strategic Partial Position Closure Traders often face a dilemma when price approaches their Take Profit level: should they close the entire position or attempt to capture additional gains? The partial closure strategy offers a balanced solution. When market conditions suggest potential for extended movement beyond your initial target, consider closing a portion of your position (typically 70-80%) at the original Take Profit level while allowing the remainder to pursue more ambitious targets. This approach becomes particularly relevant when trading near significant technical levels. For example, if you're holding a long position with a Take Profit set below a major resistance level, and technical indicators suggest this level might break, closing most of your position secures profits while maintaining exposure to potential breakout gains. 📍 Conclusion While numerous exit strategies exist in trading, successful execution requires more than just mechanical application of techniques. True trading mastery emerges from the ability to recognize market context, understand both technical and fundamental factors, maintain emotional equilibrium, and make flexible decisions within established risk parameters. The journey of becoming a skilled trader involves developing judgment about when to apply different exit strategies. This wisdom comes through experience in the markets, careful observation of price action, and a deep understanding of how different approaches work in varying market conditions. Traders gradually build their expertise by starting with fundamental concepts and progressively incorporating more sophisticated position management techniques into their trading approach. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
10
The Trading Quest: Leveling Up Your Trading GameHello, fellow traders. In this education post I will present the evolution of a trader as levels because, truth be told, trading sometimes feels like a video game—except the boss fights are market volatility, and here the only cheat code is discipline. Developing a winning strategy is a journey that starts with basic understanding and evolves into a well polished plan. For this to happen, certain levels have to be "burnt". So below I will outline what I think are the levels of development a winning trading strategy, starting from initial experimentation to highly refined and scalable strategy: 1️⃣ Level 1: The Trial and Error Phase In the beginning, traders experiment with different strategies, tools, and systems. They may rely on random tips, indicators, or systems they read about online, often jumping from one strategy to another without a clear understanding of why one works and another doesn't. Important Aspects: The main issue here is lack of consistency. Strategies often lead to inconsistent results because traders fail to backtest or assess the viability of a system over time. At this stage, the trader might experience frustration as they can't pinpoint why certain strategies work or fail. Why? Testing and refining are vital to developing a strategy. A trader must learn the importance of understanding market conditions and being patient with their trial-and-error process. Backtesting becomes an invaluable tool for this level. 2️⃣ Level 2: The Search for the Right Strategy By this stage, traders understand that there is no "perfect" strategy, but a variety of strategies can work depending on the market behavior. They start to narrow down their focus and look for strategies that align with their risk tolerance, personality, and time commitment. Important Aspects: The trial here is resisting the temptation to continuously jump between different strategies. Traders may still be tempted by the allure of quick profits and may find themselves trying too many things at once, leading to becoming overwhelmed. Why? It is important to focus on finding simplicity and focus on one strategy. Strategies should be tailored to personal strengths, whether that’s day trading, swing trading, or position trading. The trader needs to focus on risk-reward ratios and refine their approach to fit the market conditions. 3️⃣Level 3: Strategy Development and Backtesting At this level, the trader now begins to build their strategy around clearly defined rules for entry, exit, and risk management. Backtesting comes into play, allowing the trader to see how the strategy would have performed in different market conditions. This stage marks the beginning of data-driven decisions rather than relying on guesswork. Important Aspects: The main focus here is to avoid over-optimization. There is the temptation to over-optimize the strategy based on historical data, which can lead to curve fitting. Strategies must be robust enough to perform in a variety of market environments, not just those found in past data. Why? Robust backtesting provides valuable insights, but should not be viewed as a guarantee of future performance. The focus should be on understanding the strategy’s performance across a range of scenarios and refining risk-reward parameters. 4️⃣ Level 4: Refining and Optimization With a tested strategy in place, traders now focus on refining their approach to adapt to real market conditions. This involves implementing risk management techniques such as position sizing, stop-losses or maximum drawdown limits. Here the focus is on refining the strategy, ensuring it is flexible and adaptable to various market environments. Important Aspects: During this phase is important to maintain a balanced risk-reward ratio. Overoptimizing for profitability can lead to excessive risk exposure, which undermines the strategy's long-term viability. Why? Because optimization is an ongoing process. Strategies should never be set in stone. The trader learns that fine-tuning a strategy based on live market conditions and feedback is a continuous process. Optimizing the risk-reward balance will determine the long-term success of the strategy. 5️⃣ Level 5: Live Trading with a Demo or Small Capital Finally! Trust me when I say this is the biggest turning point. After refining the strategy, traders move to live markets with real money, (if then haven't been tempted already and lost money). Often time they start small or using demo accounts to minimize risk. At this level, traders will encounter the psychological elements of trading—such as fear of loss, overconfidence after wins, or hesitation after losses. Important Aspects: The main trial at this level is that the emotional component of trading takes over. Traders may experience a shift in behavior when real money is at stake, even though they had success in demo accounts or small-size trades. Overtrading, revenge trading, and second-guessing the strategy are common pitfalls. Why? The trader must apply the same rules from backtesting to live trading, despite the emotions involved. At this stage, mental resilience and psychological control are just as important as the strategy itself. 6️⃣ Level 6: Full Strategy Deployment and Scaling By now, the trader has developed confidence in their strategy. They’ve mastered the mental discipline required to follow their trading plan, even when emotions are high. The trader begins scaling their strategy, increasing position sizes while maintaining the risk-reward ratio and capital allocation that suits their risk tolerance. Important Aspects: At this level, the trial is to maintain consistency while scaling. The trader may face issues related to emotional attachment to larger positions or feel the pressure to adjust the strategy for increased capital. Market volatility can also affect decision-making, leading to increased risk exposure. Why? As the trader increases their trading capital, they must remain mindful of market conditions and adjust position sizes accordingly. Portfolio diversification and ensuring that no single trade has too large an impact on overall capital are essential here. 7️⃣Level 7: The Master Strategist - The Final Boss 🏆 Congratulations! At this highest level, you must have developed a consistently profitable strategy that can be applied in different market behavior. The strategy has become highly effective in various conditions, and the trader can easily adapt to different setups without deviating from the core principles. Important Aspects: Now the focus is on fine-tuning their mindset for optimal performance. They anticipate emotional triggers before they happen and know exactly how to deal with them when they do come. The trader’s mental clarity allows them to stay composed during market volatility and follow their strategy with unmoved commitment. Why? The pinnacle of trading psychology is the ability to systematically execute trades with confidence, without being influenced by fear, greed, or euphoria. This confidence comes from knowing that their strategy is built on years of testing, adjustment, and improvement. This allows them to consistently make rational decisions that align with their long-term trading goals. They maintain discipline regardless of market volatility and use data-driven decisions to continue growing their capital. 📈 Developing a winning trading strategy is a dynamic process that requires continuous learning, adjustment, and discipline. Traders must be patient with themselves during each level, from the initial trial and error to the refined, proven strategy that supports consistent success. The levels involve mastering both the technical elements of strategy development and the psychological factors that affect trading performance. 🌟
Education
by TrendDiva
4
Trading strategy is determination and waiting Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- BW(100) indicator and HA-High indicator show the high point range. In other words, the fact that the BW(100) indicator and HA-High indicator were created means that it has fallen from the high point range. Therefore, the range made up of the BW(100) indicator and the HA-High indicator is called the high boundary zone. When it falls in this range, you can sell (SHORT), but it is not easy to enter the actual sell (SHORT) position. Therefore, in order to reduce this difficulty, the box range was set and displayed based on the HA-High indicator. Therefore, when it falls below the 2.9660 point and shows resistance, it is possible to enter a sell (SHORT) position for the last time. In that sense, it can be said that entry was possible today. - Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing a pattern of rising in the oversold zone and then failing to continue the upward trend and falling again. This means that the decline is strong. However, when the StochRSI indicator falls again to the oversold zone and then rises, it is highly likely to show a large increase depending on where it is supported. In that sense, if it shows support in the second zone of 2.5127-2.6031, it is highly likely to show a large increase. If not, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - (30m chart) For a trend change, you can see where it is based on the MS-Signal indicator. However, you need to check whether the trend is sustainable at the support and resistance points. In other words, it is currently showing signs of rising above the MS-Signal indicator. If it continues to rise like this, in order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator and 5EMA+StErr indicator on the 1D chart to maintain the price. If not, it will fall again. Therefore, you need to buy (LONG) when it is supported near the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, and liquidate when it is resisted near the MS-Signal indicator. If you continue trading like that, if the MS-Signal indicator rises higher and the price is maintained, you can check for support near the M-Signal indicator and 5EMA+StErr indicator on the 1D chart and respond. Therefore, when looking at the 30m chart, it may be advantageous to trade with a buy (LONG) position. Then, when you meet the HA-High indicator or BW (100) indicator, you trade with a sell (SHORT) position. If you had previously traded with a sell (SHORT) position on the HA-High indicator or BW (100) indicator on the 30m chart, it would have been the best choice. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Trade high probabilities using game theoryAccording to statistics, 95% of traders are losing longterm. Not because they lack skill, but because they involve in high variance (or poor probability) situations. What is game theory? we can define GT with three principles. *People dont want to lose. (hence.. predictable). *People buy good things at good price, or they are profit maximizing. *Everyone is strategic. ** we assume that "nobody can predict future". ** markets respond to feedbacks or signals. Practice: the higher something goes, potential narrows and risk increases. Deeper something falls, "potential" becomes attractive. Once market decides that it will fall -- people assume crash as possibility. People who can buy at a strong trend line - has benefit of having more information. (1) Downtrending VIX highs and accumulating lows. a strong signal about SPX peak, with everyone expecting a market correction before US election. ---> GT in practice. (2) pre-election. Markets be wobbly, pointing to 50-50 probability or risk. Maybe there was fear of NVDA/AAPL high valuations, or the fear due to Trump tariff policy (markets are 6m forward looking) as bond yields were rallying. If we assume statistically, markets boom after elections. We can predict GT in action (or call it market forces). imo that still is a profitable risk. People hate uncertainty and they love guarantees. So the "wobble" was reasonable. (3) VIX higher low.. predictably (GT) sell off follows. Almost as by the book. other way to put it? people maximize potential while minimize loses/risk. There are periods of volatile markets and periods for one directional rallies. P.S. Blue arrows are longterm macd turning points.
ICEUS:NYFANGEducation
by citsvar
Strongest Reversal Candlestick Patterns For Gold & Forex In this educational article, we will discuss powerful reversal candlestick patterns that every trader must know. Bullish Engulfing Candle Bullish engulfing candle is one of my favourite ones. It usually indicates the initiation of a bullish movement after a strong bearish wave. The main element of this pattern is a relatively big body. Being bigger than the entire range of the previous (bearish) candle, it should completely "engulf" that. Such a formation indicates the strength of the buyers and their willingness to push the price higher. Bullish engulfing candle that I spotted on Gold chart gave a perfect bullish trend-following signal. Bearish Engulfing Candle The main element of this pattern is a relatively big body that is bigger than the entire range of the previous (bullish) candle. Such a formation indicates the strength of the sellers and their willingness to push the price lower. ________________________ Bullish Inside Bar Inside bar formation is a classic indecision pattern. It usually forms after a strong bullish/bearish impulse and signifies a consolidation . The pattern consists of 2 main elements: mother's bar - a relatively strong bullish or bearish candle, inside bars - the following candles that a trading within the range of the mother's bar. The breakout of the range of the mother's bar may quite accurately confirm the reversal. A bullish breakout of its range and a candle close above that usually initiates a strong bullish movement. Bearish Inside Bar A bearish breakout of the range of the mother's bar and a candle close below that usually initiates a strong bearish movement. Bearish breakout of the range of the mother's bar candlestick provided a strong bearish signal on EURUSD. ________________________ Doji Candle (Morning Star) By a Doji we mean a candle that has the same opening and closing price. Being formed after a strong bearish move, such a Doji will be called a Morning Star. It signifies the oversold condition of the market and the local weakness of sellers. Such a formation may quite accurately indicate a coming bullish movement. Doji Candle (Evening Star) Being formed after a strong bullish move, such a Doji will be called an Evening Star. It signifies the overbought condition of the market and the local weakness of buyers. Such a formation may quite accurately indicate a coming bearish movement. Above is a perfect example of a doji candle and a consequent bearish movement on Silver. I apply these formations for making predictions on financial markets every day. They perfectly work on Forex, Futures, Crypto markets and show their efficiency on various time frames. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
Trendline Liquidity Grabbing – Smart Money Tactics!🚀 What Just Happened? A trendline was respected multiple times, creating a strong support level. However, instead of bouncing immediately, price broke below the trendline, grabbing liquidity before reversing with strong momentum! 🔍 Why Does This Happen? 📌 Retail Trap: Many traders place buy orders at the trendline and stop losses just below. Smart money hunts these stops to accumulate liquidity. 📌 Fake Breakout: The price temporarily dips below to trigger stop losses & weak hands before the real move begins. 📌 Confirmation Reversal: After liquidity is taken, strong buying pressure pushes the price back up! 📊 Lesson for Traders: ✅ Don't panic when a trendline breaks—watch for liquidity grabs! ✅ Wait for confirmation before entering trades. ✅ Use this as a sniper entry strategy for high RR trades. 🔥 Master this, and you'll stop falling for fake breakouts! 💰
Education
by RajaSaien
10 Technical Indicators Every Trader Uses for Trading10 Technical Indicators Every Trader Uses for Trading Technical analysis indicators are essential tools for traders to analyse every aspect of market movements, including market trends, momentum, volume, and volatility. This article explores ten key technical indicators you could add to your toolkit. Read detailing definitions, uses, and the signals they provide to potentially enhance trading strategies. To get started with these indicators, head over to FXOpen. Ichimoku Cloud The Ichimoku Cloud, also known as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed to provide a clear picture of market trends, momentum, and support and resistance levels. Considered one of the best stock market indicators, this Japanese tool is widely used for its ability to offer a panoramic view of the market. Definition The Ichimoku Cloud comprises five main components: - Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): The average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 9 periods. - Kijun-sen (Base Line): The average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 26 periods. - Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): The average of the Tenkan-sen/Conversion Line and Kijun-sen/Base Line, offset by 26 periods ahead. - Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): The average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 52 periods, plotted 26 periods ahead. - Chikou Span (Lagging Span): The most recent closing price positioned 26 periods behind. These components create the "Kumo" or cloud, which projects future support and resistance levels. Signals 1. TK Cross: - Bullish Signal: Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen above the Kumo. - Bearish Signal: Tenkan-sen crosses below Kijun-sen below the Kumo. 2. Kumo Breakout: - Bullish Signal: Price breaks above the Kumo. - Bearish Signal: Price breaks below the Kumo. 3. Chikou Span Confirmation: - Bullish Signal: Chikou Span is above the price and Kumo. - Bearish Signal: Chikou Span is below the price and Kumo. 4. Kumo Twist: - Indicates a potential trend reversal when the cloud changes colour (from red to green for bullish, green to red for bearish). For cryptocurrency* trading, the standard settings (9, 26, 52) are often adjusted to 20, 60, 120 to accommodate the 24/7 trading cycle. More details on using Ichimoku in crypto* markets can be found on the FXOpen dedicated page​. Fibonacci Retracements Fibonacci retracements are a technical tool that helps traders identify potential areas of support and resistance in a given market. This method is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. In trading, key Fibonacci levels are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, which are used to analyse potential reversal points. Definition Fibonacci retracements are widely used stock chart indicators that help traders determine where the price might reverse during a correction in a prevailing trend. The tool involves plotting horizontal lines at these key levels, calculated from a significant high to a significant low when the price corrects after a strong downward movement or from a significant low to a significant high when the price corrects after a strong upward movement. Signals 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% Levels: These are the primary retracement levels where the price is likely to reverse. 2. Trend Identification: - Uptrend: Place the tool from a swing low to a swing high. - Downtrend: Place the tool from a swing high to a swing low. 3. Trade Setup: - Entry Points: Traders often look for the price to reach and react at these levels before entering a trade. - Stop Loss: Typically set just beyond the nearest Fibonacci level the price targets. - Take Profit: Targets are often placed at the next Fibonacci level. For cryptocurrency* trading, settings may vary. We provide a detailed explanation on using Fibonacci retracements in crypto markets with adjustments to fit this unique trading environment​. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a technical indicator that provides the average price an asset has traded at throughout a particular period (usually one day), weighted by volume. It offers a more comprehensive view than simple moving averages by incorporating both price and volume data and is considered one of the best intraday trading indicators. Calculation VWAP is calculated using the formula: - VWAP = Sum(Typical Price * Volume) / SumVolume, where Typical Price is the average of the high, low, and close prices for each period. Signals 1. Assessing Fair Value: A price above VWAP indicates overvaluation, while a price below suggests undervaluation. 2. Market Sentiment and Trends: - Bullish Trend: Price above VWAP. - Bearish Trend: Price below VWAP. 3. Support and Resistance Levels: - Support: VWAP acts as support in a bullish market. - Resistance: VWAP acts as resistance in a bearish market. 4. Entry Quality: - Entry near VWAP suggests buying or selling at a reasonable market value. For cryptocurrency* trading, the VWAP settings remain similar to traditional markets, but the tool's application may vary due to the 24/7 nature of crypto* trading. Check out FXOpen’s page on how to use VWAP in crypto markets for more information. Accumulation/Distribution Indicator (A/D) The Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator is a volume-based tool that assesses the cumulative flow of money into and out of an asset. It’s widely used as an indicator for day trading. It helps traders determine the underlying buying and selling pressure, making it one of the valuable forex and stock indicators for analysing potential price trends and reversals. Calculation The A/D indicator calculates the Money Flow Multiplier (MFM), which ranges from -1 to 1 based on the closing price's position within the period’s high-low range. If the closing price is in the upper half, the MFM is positive; if in the lower half, it is negative. This multiplier is then multiplied by the period’s volume to get the Money Flow Volume (MFV). The A/D line represents the cumulative sum of these MFVs over time, reflecting net volume flow. Signals Identifying Reversals: - Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows while the A/D line makes higher lows, indicating waning selling pressure and a potential price increase. - Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs while the A/D line makes lower highs, suggesting decreasing buying pressure and a possible price decline. Trend Confirmation: - Uptrend: Both price and A/D line rise, indicating sustained buying pressure. - Downtrend: Both price and A/D line fall, showing continuous selling pressure. Trading Breakouts: - The A/D indicator can confirm breakouts beyond support or resistance levels. A breakout in price aligned with a similar movement in the A/D line signals the start of a new trend. Average True Range (ATR) The Average True Range (ATR) is a technical tool used to measure market volatility. It reflects the degree of price movement over a specified period, helping traders understand the level of volatility in an asset. Calculation ATR calculation includes several steps. Find more details in our article. Signals ATR does not indicate the price direction but rather the degree of price movement. Traders use ATR to make informed decisions about stop-loss levels and to gauge the potential for market moves. It’s one of the popular day trading indicators. 1. Volatility Measurement: - A high ATR value indicates high volatility, while a low ATR suggests low volatility. This helps traders adjust their strategies based on market conditions. 2. Setting Stop-Loss Levels: - Traders often set stop-loss orders at a multiple of the ATR value. For instance, a stop loss might be placed at twice the ATR below the entry price in a long position to account for volatility and reduce the risk of being stopped out prematurely. 3. Identifying Potential Breakouts: - Sudden increases in ATR values can indicate the start of a new trend or a significant price move, alerting traders to potential trading opportunities. Donchian Channel Indicator The Donchian Channel is a technical analysis tool designed to identify volatility, market trends, price reversals, and potential breakout points. It consists of three lines based on the highest high and lowest low over a specified period, typically 20 periods. Definition - Upper Boundary: The highest high over N periods. - Lower Boundary: The lowest low over N periods. - Middle Line: The average of the upper and lower boundaries. These lines help traders determine market volatility and identify potential buy and sell signals based on price movements. Signals 1. Tracking Volatility: - Widening Channel: Indicates high volatility. - Narrowing Channel: Indicates low volatility. 2. Identifying Trends: - Bullish Trend: The upper boundary rises while the lower boundary stays flat. - Bearish Trend: The lower boundary falls while the upper boundary stays flat. 3. Trading Breakouts: - Above Middle Line: Potential bullish signal. - Below Middle Line: Potential bearish signal. 4. Trading Reversals: - In range-bound markets, the upper boundary acts as resistance and the lower boundary as support, guiding traders to close or open positions accordingly. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a volume-weighted average indicator measuring the buying and selling pressure on an asset over a specific period, typically 20 or 21 periods. It combines price and volume data to provide insights into market sentiment and potential price movements, making it one of the key forex and stock market technical indicators. Calculation The CMF calculation involves three main steps: - Money Flow Multiplier (MFM): (Close - Low) - (High - Close) / High - Low. This value ranges from -1 to 1 and is positive when the closing price is in the upper half of the period's range and negative when in the lower half. - Money Flow Volume (MFV): Calculated by multiplying the MFM by the period's volume. - CMF Value: The sum of MFVs over the period divided by the sum of volumes over the same period. The resulting CMF values fluctuate between -1 and +1, providing a visual representation of money flow into and out of the asset. Signals 1. Trend Strength: - Positive CMF: Indicates buying pressure, suggesting a bullish trend. - Negative CMF: Indicates selling pressure, suggesting a bearish trend. 2. Trend Reversal: - Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the CMF makes higher lows, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. - Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes higher highs, but the CMF makes lower highs, indicating a potential reversal to the downside. 3. Breakout Confirmation: - A breakout in price above/below a key level accompanied by a breakout in the CMF value above/below previous highs/lows can confirm the strength of the move. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is an indicator traders apply on a chart to measure the strength of a trend. It is particularly useful for traders who want to determine whether a market is trending or ranging. Definition The ADX consists of a single line that fluctuates between 0 and 100. It does not indicate the direction of the trend but rather its strength. The standard ADX setting is a 14-period, but this can be adjusted to suit different trading styles. - 0-25: Indicates a weak or non-existent trend. - 25-50: Signals a strong trend. - 50-75: Suggests a very strong trend. - 75-100: Reflects an extremely strong trend. Signals 1. Trend Strength: - A rising ADX value above 25 indicates a strengthening trend, regardless of whether it is bullish or bearish. - A falling ADX below 25 suggests a weakening trend or a ranging market. 2. Trend Momentum: - When ADX peaks and starts to decline, it can signal a potential weakening of the current trend, indicating that traders might consider closing or reducing positions. Combining ADX with DI Lines The ADX is often used in conjunction with the Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) and Negative Directional Indicator (-DI) lines: - +DI > -DI: Suggests a bullish trend. - -DI > +DI: Indicates a bearish trend. A rising ADX alongside these signals confirms the strength of the current trend. Traders use this indicator to enter trades. For this, they look for ADX to rise above 25 to confirm the beginning of a strong trend before entering trades in the direction of the trend indicated by the +DI and -DI lines. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based indicator that measures the deviation of an asset's price from its historical average. It helps traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions, trend reversals, and divergence signals. Calculation - CCI is calculated using the formula: CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / 0.015 * Mean Deviation, where: - Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3 - SMA = Simple Moving Average of the Typical Price - Mean Deviation = Average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and its SMA The constant 0.015 normalises the CCI values, ensuring that approximately 70-80% of the values fall between -100 and +100. Signals 1. Overbought and Oversold Conditions: - Above +100: Indicates the asset is overbought, suggesting a potential price pullback or a downward reversal. - Below -100: Indicates the asset is oversold, suggesting a potential pullback or an upward reversal. 2. Trend Reversals: - Bullish Divergence: When the market is making lower lows while the CCI makes higher lows, potentially preceding a bullish reversal. - Bearish Divergence: When the market is making higher highs while the CCI makes lower highs, potentially preceding a bullish reversal. 3. Trade Entries: - Traders consider entering long positions when CCI breaks above -100 from below. - Conversely, traders might enter short positions when CCI moves below +100 from above. Keltner Channel The Keltner Channel is a popular technical analysis tool used to determine market trends, price volatility, and potential reversal points. It consists of three lines: an exponential moving average (EMA) in the middle, and upper and lower bands calculated by adding and subtracting a multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) to the EMA. Definition The standard settings for Keltner Channels typically use a 20-period EMA and an ATR multiplier of 2. These settings can be adjusted to suit different trading styles and timeframes, making Keltner Channels effective technical indicators for day trading. The EMA provides a smoothed average price, while the ATR measures volatility. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility, creating a channel around the price. Signals 1. Trend Identification: - Upward-Sloping Channel: Indicates a bullish trend. - Downward-Sloping Channel: Indicates a bearish trend. - Flat Channel: Suggests a ranging market. 2. Dynamic Support and Resistance: - The upper and lower bands of the Channels serve as dynamic levels of support and resistance. Price action within these bands can help traders identify potential entry and exit points. 3. Breakout Signals: - Bullish Breakout: Price closing above the upper band. - Bearish Breakout: Price closing below the lower band. The Bottom Line These ten technical indicators could be added to your toolkit to potentially enhance your trading strategies. By understanding their signals and applications, traders can better navigate the worlds of forex, stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. Open an FXOpen account today to access advanced trading tools and start implementing these indicators in live markets. FAQs Which Types of Trading Indicators Are Common to Use? 4 common types of technical indicators include trend (Moving Averages, ADX), momentum (RSI, Stochastic Oscillator), volume (On-Balance Volume, VWAP), and volatility (Bollinger Bands, ATR) indicators. These help traders analyse trends, momentum, volume, and volatility​. How Many Indicators Should a Trader Use? Traders often use 2-3 indicators to avoid overcomplication and conflicting signals. Combining different types of indicators can provide a more comprehensive analysis​. Why Do Indicators Fail? Indicators can fail due to market volatility, news events, and their inherent lag. They may also produce false signals in choppy markets. Combining indicators with risk management can potentially improve reliability. Is It Better to Trade Without Indicators? Trading without indicators, known as price action trading, can be effective for experienced traders. However, using a few indicators can provide valuable insights and confirm price movements for most traders​. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
VARAUSD - How to Find Accurate Pivot Levels For Swing TradesI'm using VARAUSD for this tutorial presentation because that is the coin I am currently trading. In this tutorial I demonstrate how to locate nearly exact pivot points for great entry and exit opportunities to swing trade like a professional. Just remember, the levels need to be updated often. You cannot set them and forget them. Something I did not mention is that order walls MOVE and they move ALOT especially during an active pump or dump. Investors choose to pull order walls deciding not to sell in which case the price will continue up beyond that resistance area. In this regard, update your levels OFTEN. VARA is in a massive squeeze / range bound trading with accurate pivot points can lead to easy wins however, neglect your levels and get left behind!
COINBASE:SWELLUSDEducation
by fritbjorn
1
What I think trading is... Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- Thank you @TradingBrokersView for the great article. 🚨 Bitcoin update! 🚨 BTC rejected at MA50 (4h) inside a Channel Down pattern. If history repeats, we could see a Lower Low at 95K (-10.7%), aligning with MA100 (1d) support. RSI (4h) is confirming bearish momentum. 🔥 Trading Plan: Sell now before further downside! I was thinking about how to say it, and I came up with this idea. Thank you again. ------------------------------------ #BTCUSDT 1M As shown in the chart, it has risen a lot, so it is natural to feel downward pressure. No one knows how big this downward pressure will be. However, what I can tell you is the flow of funds. To see a more detailed flow, you need to look at the gap occurrence status on the 1D chart, but when looking at the overall flow of funds, it is true that a lot of funds are flowing into the coin market. Selling all of this inflow of funds means that you will not be able to overcome the volatility in the upcoming bull market and will rather increase the probability of suffering losses. The reason is that the average purchase price is likely to be set too high and is likely to be located in the volatility range. Therefore, you need to respond according to your investment style. In other words, if your investment style is one that wants to trade quickly and urgently, a strategy that sells whenever it shows signs of falling would be appropriate to gain profits. If not, if you have a longer-term outlook or trade mainly in spot transactions, I think it would be better to leave coins (tokens) corresponding to profits rather than selling all of them so that you can more easily purchase them in the future bull market. Leaving a coin (token) corresponding to the profit means a coin (token) with a purchase principal of 0. In other words, it means that when the price rises after purchase, the purchase principal is sold. In that sense, when looking at the BTCUSDT 1M chart, you can see that the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (89050.0) is a very important support and resistance area. #BTCUSDT 1D This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31. Therefore, it is expected that the key will be whether there is support near 101947.24 after this volatility period. If it falls without support near 101947.24, it is expected that the trend will be determined again by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. If you have been reading my ideas, you will understand that you should not try to create a trading strategy by analyzing charts. As I mentioned earlier, you should create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with the information obtained from chart analysis. That is why the opinion that it will fall now and sell everything can be interpreted differently by different people, so you need to be careful. Some people are currently making profits and others are losing money. Those who are making profits will have the luxury of waiting even if the price falls, and those who are losing money may be suffering from psychological pressure. The information I am giving you is to provide information on how to respond to all of these people. In that sense, you need to focus on the price that I am talking about, that is, the support and resistance points or sections. If your average purchase price is below the support and resistance points or sections that I am talking about, you can check the downward trend and intensity and judge the situation. If not, you need to create a response strategy based on how much cash you currently have. If your current cash holding is less than 20% of your total investment and you feel unstable psychologically, it is a good idea to sell some of it to secure cash. This will allow you to secure the ability to purchase more even if the price falls, so you will be able to secure a certain level of psychological stability even if the price falls. I think trading is about responding to your investment style and psychological state in this way. Therefore, you should calmly look at your current psychological state, check your cash holdings, and create a response strategy that suits your investment style. This is the strategy I can tell you. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
Pivot Points Part 1: Understanding the PivotWelcome to this two-part series on one of the oldest and most reliable tools in short-term trading: pivot points . First developed in the trading pits of Chicago, pivot points gave traders a quick and consistent way to identify potential turning points for the trading day. Despite the evolution of markets from open-outcry to electronic trading, pivot points have stood the test of time. They remain a valuable tool for traders, providing a clear roadmap to navigate intraday price action. In Part 1, we’ll focus on the pivot point itself—what it is, why it’s so effective, and three ways to incorporate it into your trading. In Part 2, we’ll build on this foundation by delving into the support and resistance levels derived from the pivot. What Is the Pivot Point? At its core, the pivot point is a calculated price level based on the previous session’s high, low, and close: Pivot Point (PP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3 This level acts as the day’s central reference point, dividing the market into two zones. Prices trading above the pivot point generally suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below it indicate bearish sentiment. Day traders use the pivot point to gauge market bias for the session. If the price opens above the pivot and holds there, it often signals that buyers are in control. Conversely, if the price opens below the pivot and stays below it, sellers likely dominate. The pivot point frequently acts as a magnet for price action, with the market often testing it multiple times during the day. This dynamic adaptation to the prior session’s activity makes it especially useful for short-term traders seeking actionable levels. Pivot Point: S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Key Advantage: Objectivity One of the standout features of pivot points is their objectivity. Unlike other technical tools that rely on subjective settings or interpretations, pivot points are calculated using a straightforward formula. This standardisation is a crucial advantage because it ensures that many traders are watching the same levels. This widespread attention gives pivot points their strength. They act as a universal benchmark, creating a self-reinforcing cycle: when many traders anticipate reactions around a pivot point, the likelihood of significant price action at that level increases. This objectivity also benefits newer traders by providing a clear, consistent framework for interpreting price movements. Pivot points eliminate guesswork, allowing traders to focus on developing strategies around reliable levels. Three Ways to Use the Pivot Point in Your Trading 1. Developing a Bias Where the price opens relative to the pivot point can set the tone for the session. In markets with a defined open and close, such as equities, the opening price’s position above or below the pivot point is a key indicator of sentiment. For 24-hour markets like forex, the calculation is based on the high, low, and close from the New York session—the most significant closing price. While the opening price in these markets is less critical, understanding where the Asian session has traded relative to the pivot can provide valuable insights into sentiment and potential momentum for the day ahead. Example: Tesla In the below example, Tesla opens the session by gapping through the pivot point on the open. This is then followed by a period of consolidation above the pivot point – setting a bullish bias for the session. Tesla 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Recognising Price Patterns Around the Pivot Price action around the pivot point can reveal important trading opportunities: • Bounce: A strong bounce off the pivot suggests it’s being respected as a significant level, often leading to continuation in the direction of the bounce. • Break and Retest: If the price breaks through the pivot and then retests it as support (in an uptrend) or resistance (in a downtrend), it can offer a reliable entry point. • Choppy Action: Repeated crossings of the pivot without clear direction indicate indecision—often a signal to step back and wait for clearer trends to emerge. Combining these price patterns with candlestick signals, like bullish engulfing patterns or bearish pin bars, can add further confidence to your setups. Example: Here we see a classic ‘break and retest’ pattern form around the pivot on the FTSE 100 5min candle chart. Having initially held the pivot as support, the market breaks below the pivot and the retraces to retest – using the pivot as resistance and creating a well-defined short setup. FTSE 100 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Enhancing Context with VWAP Combining pivot points with the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) can give traders an additional layer of confirmation. Both tools are objective, widely used, and calculated from historical price data, making them a natural pairing. If both the pivot point and VWAP align as support or resistance, it strengthens the level’s importance. Divergence between the two can provide insight into whether short-term momentum might conflict with longer-term trends. By blending these tools, traders gain a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. Example: In this example we see price action on EUR/USD across two days. The first day sees the market make steady gains as prices hold above the daily pivot and VWAP. The second day shows a more mixed start with prices chopping back and forth on either side before finally establishing a foothold above VWAP and the daily pivot – leading to steady gains during European trading. EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Final Thoughts The pivot point is more than just a calculated level—it’s a bridge between historical price action and current sentiment. Its simplicity, objectivity, and widespread use make it an indispensable tool for day traders. Whether you’re gauging market bias, identifying key price patterns, or combining it with other tools like VWAP, the pivot point provides a solid foundation for making informed decisions. In Part 2 of this series, we’ll explore how the support and resistance levels derived from the pivot point have the potential to add further precision to your short-term trading. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
6
I gave up on trading EUR/USD. Here is whyToday I was about to violate my trading plan because of being unable to recognize when I didn't understand what price action was doing. My trading plan stipulates that I can only trade when Higher timeframes (1D, 1W, 1M) are in alignment with lower timeframes (H4, H1, M15) If they're not in alignment, my strategy doesn't work. I have no way of predicting price movements and knowing I'll most probably be right. Today this alignment was not present, yet, because I subconsciously wanted my market analysis to be right, I failed to acknowledge this misalignment and tried to come up with trade ideas. Price action kept on invalidating my trade ideas as I prepared them, and I found myself looking for new ideas. "Since this entry scenario is now invalidated, maybe price will do this instead and I will look to enter after this scenario is confirmed" "This scenario failed, instead of looking to buy EUR/USD today, I might look to sell instead after price rejects this level" "Since price failed to reject this level, maybe it will reject this other level and I will look to sell there" You get the point. I was unable to make strong cases, my cases kept on being invalidated and I kept coming up with new ones on the go! Sort of chasing a rabbit. Don't do this. For example, understanding when a 1H bearish trend is a Daily timeframe pullback from a Bullish trend and having an expected level where that 1h trend and Daily pullback is likely to find support and reverse, continuing the main trend. This stops me from entering long trades and losing because although the Daily timeframe is bullish the lower timeframes are still trending bearish which indicate the pullback is not yet finished. or from taking 1H short trades past the daily pullback target just because I saw a 1H bearish trend, failing to realize that trend might be reaching its end. If However price pulls back past my target level, and the lower timeframe trend continues pulling back even though the Higher timeframe is supposedly bullish, then If I don't have a logical pull back target — I am effectively neutral. In other words, I do not understand what price is doing at that point in time. It's time to step back and wait for a new development that I can understand occurs. What happens when I am either overconfident or eager to trade is that I can get into my own head and fail to realize I'm in unknown territory. This failure led me to keep trying to establish trade scenarios that of course kept getting invalidated because I do not know how to make prediction in such market conditions — My timeframes were not aligned. I was able to realize this and adjust my behavior. However, what often happens is you fail to realize this, you come up with a trade idea, and you take the trade and it ends up being a loss — Caught up on the wrong side of the market. Or even worse, 2 or 3 trades work out, and the trader believes their strategy is good. Then get caught in a 10% drawdown because of acting on the same patterns. My point is, that it's important to be able to recognize when market conditions fall outside the scope of your strategy and its edge — Recognize when the market is in a cycle where you don't understand how to trade profitably — and be able to sit out and say I don't know. Don't try to find trends in the middle of price ranges. The number one job of a trader is to Protect Capital in order to have available capital to allocate to profitable market opportunities. Trading outside the scope of your strategy and its edge is failing to protect the capital — It's like trying to Play Soccer with a Basketball, the shots, the passes, the tricks might work here and there, but will usually come out faulty. In my specific case, I began the week with a bullish view for EUR/USD from the daily timeframe, but the lower timeframes, where I execute and manage trades, have been in a bullish trend since Monday NY Session, So since I couldn't find long opportunities, I started looking for short opportunities, even though I had no clear rationale that aligned with the higher timeframes. My scenarios and ideas kept failing, and I kept coming up with new ones, until I became aware of the pattern due to writing down my analysis and process and realizing I actually did not understand the current stage of price action. That's where the importance of a well-documented trading plan alongside a journal for analysis comes in. A journal isn't just to record trades. It's also to develop your rationale and ensure you can clearly explain the why behind your actions which can then be cross-examined with the trading plan. I have established clear rules for when to stay out of the market and sit on my hands. If timeframes are not aligned and moving in synch, I stay out — It's a non-negotiable. Of course this is specific to each strategy, but every strategy must have an underlying trading plan with its non negotiables.
Education
by Plothus
3
Learn Supply and Demand Basics in Gold XAAUSD Trading In this article, we will discuss the basic principles of Smart Money Concepts in Gold trading. I will explain to you how Gold price relates to supply and demand on the market. What is a fair value and how to identify it. We will discuss a relation between a fair value and supply and demand and why is it so important to learn to recognize the imbalance. Gold Price First, let's briefly discuss how the price of Gold is valued . Gold price is determined by the basic economic principles of supply and demand. Supply is defined by the actions of the sellers and selling volumes. While a demand is defined by the activity of buyers and the volumes they wish to purchase. When supply exceeds demand, it leads to a decline in prices. Increased selling pressure leads to lower prices as sellers compete to attract buyers. Above, you can see how the excess of demand pushes Gold prices up rapidly. When demand exceeds supply, we see an increase in the price of the financial asset. In the example above, you can see how the excess of supply leads to a depreciation of a Gold price. Imbalance & Fair Value The excess of supply or demand on the market is also called an imbalance in Smart Money Concept trading SMC. The imbalance causes strong bullish or bearish movement on the market. However, such moves do not last forever. At some moment, reaching a particular price level, the market will stop growing or falling, and the market will find the equilibrium in supply and demand. Such an equilibrium is also called a fair value in SMC trading. On the chart above, Gold was growing rapidly. After reaching some price level, the growth stopped and the market found a fair value. Supply finally absorbed the excess of demand. Sideways Movement & Range When the market finds a fair value, it usually starts trading in sideways . The sideways movement forms a horizontal range - a horizontal parallel channel. Such ranges signify that the market participants agree about a current price of an asset. Above, you can see that after a strong up movement, Gold found a fair value and a consolidation within a horizontal range started. Fair Value Range When you spotted the range, you should remember that the market may stay within that for a very long period of time. The trigger that will make the market reassess the fair value is typically a some important fundamental factor, the surprising geopolitical or economic event that will create a new imbalance on the market. A strong signal that the market strives to find a new fair value is the breakout of one of the boundaries of the range. It is a signal of a violation of a current fair value. You can see that Gold found a fair value and was stuck for quite a long period within a wide horizontal range. Then, because of the release of significant US fundamental news, an imbalance occurred. Fair value range was violated, and the price found a new fair value higher. Trading Tips When the imbalance on the market occurs and it violates the fair value, the price tends to find a new fair value around significant liquidity zones. That is why it is so critical to pay attention to them. Also, the laws of supply and demand, imbalance and fair value work on any time frame and can be applied for any trading style. Learn to perceive a price chart from a Supply and Demand perspective in order to master Smart Money Concept trading strategy. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
19
Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market? The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements. Influence Of the Global Events: The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role: - Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows. - Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence. - Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment. What Happens When News Is Published? When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events: Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations. Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs. Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders. Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend. Major Events: Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends. Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it. Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble. GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation. Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF One's Loss, Another's Win: When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro. For example, ---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop. ---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro. Key strategies for trading events: •Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news. • Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react. • Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves. • Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend. • Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike. Drawbacks of Trading News: High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting. Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs. Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices. Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses. Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases. In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
Education
by forextidings
Gann Trading Strategy | Harmonic Cycle & Vibration ModelGann Harmonic Cycle & Vibration Model Explained | Master Market Timing with Gann's Techniques. In this video, we explore the Gann Harmonic Cycle-Vibration Model, a powerful trading approach inspired by W.D. Gann's timeless principles. This strategy revolves around the natural laws of market movement, where time and price operate in perfect harmony. Key highlights: 1. End-to-End Cycles: Understand how markets repeat at consistent intervals, starting from significant highs or lows. 2. Square of 9: Learn how this mathematical tool predicts price movements and time cycles by identifying their natural connection. 3. Angles and Degrees: Discover how critical angles like 45°, 90°, and 135° reveal key support, resistance, and reversal points. This structured system blends time-based cycles with actionable insights, enabling traders to forecast trends and pinpoint turning points effectively. Dive in to master this incredible trading strategy! Gann Astro works on all this major pairs and many more CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:US100 BINANCE:BTCUSDT FX:EURUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
4
Myths about Chartism (Part 1): Diamond FormationsCurrently, the ideas of the fathers of Technical Analysis are outdated in the face of the flood of trendy popularizers. Concepts that once formed the foundation of the profession have been manipulated, and with them, centuries of experience have been diluted in the eagerness for novelty and total disinterest in the past (the main advantage of the investor). Beyond "sticker collectors," a chartist was someone who studied the psychology of the masses and their indelible mark on the markets. Above all, they were logical beings (something suspiciously frowned upon nowadays). Behind every fluctuation or manifestation of price action, a chartist tried to achieve a full understanding, and it was Richard W. Schabacker who was the first investor to compile and publish decades of study in 1932, in the book titled "Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits: A Course in Forecasting." Relying mostly on this first and purest source of information, and with the belief that mass psychology has not changed, I plan to write a series of well-documented articles on Chartism, the backbone of Technical Analysis in the West. Diamond Formation Ideas from Richard W. Schabacker: "This pattern could be considered a variant of the Head and Shoulders formation. However, it could more accurately be described as a formation composed of two base Triangles with their vertices pointing in opposite directions – an Inverted Symmetrical Triangle merging into a normal Symmetrical Triangle." "Rarely is it found in a perfectly symmetrical and clearly defined form; some degree of leeway must be taken and is permissible when tracing its boundaries. However, when it appears, it is a reliable formation and one that allows the trader to take a profitable position. It is more often found at tops than at bottoms." "Head and Shoulders formations with declining necklines generally offer few opportunities for taking profitable trading positions, but when they also allow for the construction of a Diamond, they provide a good breakout signal at a much higher and more profitable level." "It appears at bottoms as well as at tops, and is equally reliable as a reversal signal in either position." Content Analysis: I want you to pay special attention to how these formations are described as reliable r eversal signals . Unlike what is currently popularized, for Schabacker, a diamond formation is a corrective pattern, provided it forms at the top or bottom of a trend (with a greater presence at the top). The theory that a diamond formation can be either corrective or a continuation pattern, I have researched, goes back to the work of John Magee (and Edwards ), a disciple of Schabacker. Magee, in his influential book "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" (1948), graphically shows an example where a "diamond formation" ends up generating a continuation of the trend. The issue is that the case presented by Magee, rather than a trend, is a strong and extremely vertical explosion of bullish volatility. By applying technical lines to the (natural) reversal, Magee believes he sees a diamond formation, a mistake that would not have been passed down to future generations of investors had he applied the logic of this type of corrective patterns. Logic Behind Diamond Formations: Imagine an uptrend that cannot surpass the previous high and experiences a deeper-than-normal pullback (both signs of weakness); then, subsequent bullish attempts are thwarted by selling forces. As supply and demand compress, we will find exhausted and demoralized buyers, alongside confident sellers. At some point, many of those demoralized buyers might panic (with good reason) and switch sides to join the selling forces. Another no less crucial detail is that each rejection by the sellers will create walls of liquidity that are difficult for the exhausted buyers to overcome; meanwhile, downward the path will be clear, which will attract more sellers, enticed by the excellent risk-reward ratio and the strategic placement of SLs (close and extremely protected). In such a scenario, a sharp price drop is logical and highly probable. "A process of consolidation involves many trapped participants and increasingly tight SLs, so liquidations will generate strong bursts of volatility." In a downtrend, it would be exactly the opposite. If the selling force cannot break below the previous low and rebounds with extreme strength, these are signs of weakness. Then, if buyers reject each selling attack until supply and demand are compressed, the most likely scenario would be an upward explosion. Demoralized and fearful sellers, worried about a probable liquidation, will not take long to capitulate their positions to increasingly strong and confident buyers. The influx of new demand, attracted by an excellent risk-reward ratio and a relatively close, well-protected SL, will likely precipitate things upward with high probability. Additional Notes: -In the BTCUSDT chart, you can see with lines where John Magee would take profits (TP), but I recommend that profit-taking be done horizontally aligned with the base of the diamond (Richard W. Schabacker did not specify details about taking profits in this type of formation). Richard W. Schabacker and John Magee (and Edwards) considered volume important when validating the breakout of the formation, but I recommend validating the breakout by understanding the logic and context in which the formation occurs (moreover, waiting for a breakout with volume might cause you to miss more than half of the move, as price compressions generate strong bursts of volatility). -It's natural that John Magee's and Edwards' misinterpretation impacted several generations of technical analysts, as "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" (1948) is one of the most influential works in the field ( "The bible of technical analysis"). It was published after World War II, at a time of financial market expansion and growing interest in investment tools. Schabacker, on the other hand, died young (1938). -The introduction to "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends" (1948) and statements on the book's cover reveal the debt that Magee and Edwards feel towards Mr. Schabacker. Their frankness and honesty should be admired because they freely declare that they did not develop or create the many facets of Technical Analysis they were passing on to a new generation.
Education
by Especulador96
Is Floki Inu really just another version of Dogecoin?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ Reading this educational material will require approximately 10 minutes of your time . For your convenience, I have summarized the key points in 10 concise lines at the end . I trust this information will prove to be insightful and valuable in enhancing your understanding of Floki Inu and its role in the global financial landscape. Personal Insight & Technical Analysis of Floki Inu Cryptocurrencies linked to well-known figures like Elon Musk tend to have great potential but come with substantial volatility and risk. While the current technical chart for Floki Inu shows an upward trend, some short-term pullbacks may occur before any sustained growth. However, this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice, and it’s important to be aware of the high risks that come with investing in meme coins and that being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post provided by the website ,. Floki Inu Overview Floki Inu, a meme coin inspired by Elon Musk’s dog, has made waves in the cryptocurrency space, standing out as one of the most influential and talked-about projects. Built on the Ethereum blockchain, Floki Inu began as a meme coin but quickly evolved into something much larger, gaining significant attention due to its sizable market cap and the backing of a passionate community. In this overview, we will dive into what Floki Inu is, who created it, its origin story, how to buy it, its potential as an investment, its utility, and what makes it unique compared to other meme coins. How to Buy Floki Inu To acquire Floki Inu, you must first sign up on a cryptocurrency exchange that supports it. Look for a platform with strong security features, such as two-factor authentication and data encryption, to ensure the safety of your investments. Additionally, consider the transaction fees, as these can eat into your profits. The exchange should also be user-friendly and offer an easy interface for smooth trading. To make the best choice, reading reviews and feedback from other users is essential for selecting a trustworthy platform. The History of Floki Inu Floki Inu was born out of a single tweet by Elon Musk on June 25, 2021, where he announced he would soon adopt a Shiba Inu puppy named Floki. This tweet sparked the creation of the Floki Inu cryptocurrency, which was initially developed by an anonymous creator but soon abandoned. Despite this, a passionate community took over and revived the project by July 6, 2021. The project quickly gained traction, especially after Musk’s tweet on September 12, when he revealed his family had received the puppy. By that time, Floki Inu was already being actively traded. Initially launched as an ERC-20 token on the Ethereum blockchain, Floki Inu has grown into a multifaceted project that includes Web 3.0, decentralized finance (DeFi), and Metaverse elements, transforming it from a meme coin into "The People’s Crypto." Floki Inu’s Mission Floki Inu stands out not only for its cryptocurrency potential but also for its commitment to social causes. The primary mission of the Floki Inu team is to build schools in underdeveloped countries and combat food insecurity worldwide. Their charitable initiatives have attracted attention from major institutions, such as Nasdaq, which listed Floki Inu as one of the top metaverse projects to watch in 2022. Additionally, Floki Inu has partnered with the Million Gardens Movement, led by Kimbal Musk, to fight global food insecurity. These charitable goals give Floki Inu a sense of purpose beyond just financial speculation, aiming to make a real-world impact. Floki Inu Use Cases Floki Inu’s value is reflected in its versatility and the range of use cases it supports: 1. Investment – Many see Floki Inu as a potential investment, especially due to Elon Musk’s influence on the price movements of meme coins. Investors hope for gains based on social media hype and increased market attention. 2. Trading – Just like other cryptocurrencies, Floki Inu can be traded to benefit from price fluctuations in the market. Traders can buy and sell the token to capitalize on short-term movements. 3. Staking – Floki Inu can be staked in various wallets, allowing users to lock their tokens and earn rewards over time, which adds an additional layer of utility for holders. 4. Charitable Initiatives – Perhaps one of its most unique attributes, Floki Inu is heavily focused on charitable projects, especially around education and addressing global food insecurity, distinguishing it from other meme coins in terms of long-term vision. Floki Inu’s Ecosystem Floki Inu’s ecosystem is broad, encompassing several ambitious projects that are still under development. These projects span areas like NFTs, DeFi, and the Metaverse. Here’s a look at the main initiatives within the Floki Inu ecosystem: - Valhalla – Floki Inu has ventured into the NFT gaming space with its game, Valhalla. This game is based on NFTs, and players can earn FLOKI tokens by participating, with full ownership of the tokens they acquire. These tokens can be used for in-game purchases, creating a dynamic and rewarding experience for players. - FlokiFi – FlokiFi is a suite of decentralized finance (DeFi) products, which aims to bring innovation to the space. The first product launched under FlokiFi is the FlokiFi Locker, designed to be a leading protocol for securing digital assets. Additional staking products are planned but haven’t been fully disclosed yet. - FlokiPlace– An NFT marketplace called FlokiPlace is in the works, where users can buy and sell NFTs and digital assets. The platform is intended to expand the use of Floki Inu, positioning it as a viable alternative to traditional currencies like Bitcoin and even the US Dollar for digital transactions. - Floki University – Floki Inu is also focused on education with the creation of Floki University, a Metaverse-based platform designed to teach users about cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. The university will offer free courses on crypto basics and specialized content, with the possibility of some advanced courses requiring payment in FLOKI tokens. The ultimate goal is for Floki University to become a leading educational platform in the crypto space, providing a large database of resources to users worldwide. These projects are still in development but showcase the ambitious nature of Floki Inu’s ecosystem. They represent the broader vision of the team to transform the project into a multifaceted platform that not only participates in the crypto market but also makes a tangible impact through education, gaming, and charitable work. In conclusion, Floki Inu has moved beyond being a simple meme coin and is working to build a comprehensive and impactful ecosystem. Its commitment to charity, educational initiatives, and its diverse technological projects position it as one of the most interesting and innovative meme coins in the market today. Whether you are considering investing in Floki Inu or just exploring its potential, it’s clear that it has a lot to offer, both as a digital asset and as a project with a deeper purpose. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Floki Inu is a meme coin inspired by Elon Musk’s dog. It was launched on the Ethereum blockchain and quickly gained popularity. The project was revived by a passionate community after its initial abandonment. Floki Inu has evolved from a meme coin into a multifaceted ecosystem. Its mission focuses on charitable causes, including building schools and combating food insecurity. The coin’s use cases include investment, trading, staking, and charitable initiatives. Floki Inu is developing projects in NFTs, DeFi, and the Metaverse. Valhalla, an NFT game, and FlokiFi, a DeFi product, are key components. Floki University is an educational platform teaching crypto and blockchain technology. Floki Inu aims to make a lasting impact on both the crypto world and society. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
5