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Trend Analysis

Tutorial On FOMC Support and ResistanceUsing the 8-hour chart on the Wednesday of an FOMC release, I use a purple line on the 10am EST 8-hour candle's open as the FOMC release price point. I then use a purple highlighter to signal the date of the release. I have come to the conclusion that the Dow Jones Futures moves and finds support/resistance using the FOMC releases. Nothing else on the chart matters BUT each release. There are only 2 ways these levels are used. 1. Support and Resistance levels 2. Mean Reversion levels I have not found a single source on the ENTIRE internet that describes this phenomenon and would like to think I am quite lucky for stumbling upon this observation. Below are examples of how/what to look for when using these levels. Step 1: On the 8 hour chart, mark the 10am EST opening price of that candle with a purple line and highlight Step 2: Project it across and see how price reacts. It will either mean revert or bounce from it It is hilariously funny to me that price stopped dead within a measly 84 ticks away from the DEC 2023 FOMC level before bouncing. Support and Resistance: Mean Reversion: Price mean reverting around the 10am opening price of FOMC Wednesday.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
2
How to Use Drawing Tools on TradingViewThis tutorial video discusses why and how traders use different types of trading tools, how to access the trading tools in Tradingview, and a few examples of how and why you might apply them. Learn more about using Tradingview to trade futures with Optimus Futures: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
KISS Trading SystemOverview : Trading process should be as simple as possible. One of the simple method to trade is primarily identify direction, find a good location to entry, wait for confirmation in the location, and finally execute the trade when the risk reward ratio is good. 1. Direction To identify direction, follow the market structure. Higher high and higher low indicates price is in a bullish trend (uptrend), while lower high and lower low indicates the price is in a bearish trend (downtrend). If there is no clear structure higher high and higher low or lower and high lower low, price is in sideways mode. Best is to avoid trade under this condition until clear trend is formed. 2. Location Every time price create a new breakout structure, mark the the structure as our potential location for entry. There are some occasion where price does not pullback to the location and continuing the trend by creating a new breakout structure. Do not FOMO, just wait for the next location and confirmation within the location to entry and minimize your risk. 3. Confirmation Patience is the key. Wait for price to pullback at higher time frame location, and focus for confirmation in lower time frame to entry and reduce risk. Time is fractal, the structure pattern is same on all timeframes. Choosing the right timeframe pair is crucial. Refer to table in the notes below for timeframe pairing. 4. Risk Reward This is the main essence in trading, controlling risk and preserving capital. Entry without doubt when the risk reward are good. Execute, and trust your setup.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by Gann-7
5
Bullish Engulfing Pattern: A Strong Reversal SignalBullish Engulfing Pattern: A Strong Reversal Signal The bullish engulfing pattern is a two-candlestick formation that suggests a possible reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend in the financial market. This particular pattern holds immense value for traders and technical analysts as it equips them with the means to discern potential buying opportunities. In this article, we will explain how traders implement this pattern in their trading strategies. What Is a Bullish Engulfing Pattern? The bullish engulfing is a technical analysis pattern consisting of two candles. This formation emerges when a large bearish candlestick is succeeded by a larger green one that entirely engulfs it. What does the bullish engulfing mean? The bullish engulfing indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that buying pressure might surpass selling pressure in the near future and highlighting a possible reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Traders can find the bullish engulfing candlestick pattern across various financial instruments, including currencies, stocks, cryptocurrencies*, ETFs, and indices. Bearish Engulfing vs Bullish Engulfing The bullish engulfing pattern has a counterparty - bearish engulfing. The bearish engulfing pattern occurs during an uptrend, indicating a change in market sentiment and potential price reversal to the downside. It consists of two candles, where the second is larger and bearish and completely engulfs the body of the preceding candlestick. How Can You Trade the Bullish Engulfing Pattern? Here are some steps traders consider when trading with the bullish engulfing: - Identification: Look for a clear bullish engulfing setup on a price chart at the end of a downtrend. - Entry Point: Although candlestick patterns don't provide precise entry and exit points as chart patterns do, there are general rules you could use. The entry point could be set slightly above the high of the bullish engulfing formation. In the conservative approach, traders enter the market after several candles close higher. In a risky approach, traders open a buy position after the pattern is formed. - Exit Point: A stop-loss level could be below the low of the engulfing candle or below a nearby support level. A take-profit level could be based on a trader’s risk/reward ratio or key resistance levels. - Risk Management: You can consider a risk management strategy to potentially limit losses. Traders focus on appropriate position sizing and risk-to-reward ratios to maintain a balanced approach to trading. - Trade Monitoring: Once you have entered the trade, monitor price action and market conditions. Pay attention to any sign of reversal confirmation or potential obstacles that may invalidate the signal. - Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Adjustment: As the trade progresses, you may consider adjusting your stop-loss level to protect potential returns. Similarly, you may consider adjusting your take-profit level if the price signals a strong uptrend. Live Market Example Let's consider an example of a bullish engulfing on the forex chart. The bullish engulfing candle in the example below is marked with 1 and 2. The trader sets the entry point above the green candle and a stop-loss level below it. The take profit is at the closest resistance level. How Do Traders Confirm a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern? Confirming this pattern enhances the reliability of its signals and helps traders make informed decisions. Here are key steps to confirm it: - Volume Analysis: Traders typically look for increased buying trading volume accompanying the candle. Higher volume suggests stronger buyers’ interest and validates the reversal signal. - Follow-Up Candlesticks: Waiting for subsequent closes can confirm the upward momentum. A series of higher closes strengthens its credibility. - Support Levels: If it forms near a significant support level, this adds context to the reversal, as buyers are stepping in at a critical price point. - Technical Indicators: Complementary indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, or a pair of moving averages can confirm the shift in sentiment. - Market Context: Traders assess the overall market trend and news to ensure the formation aligns with broader market conditions. Bullish Engulfing and Other Patterns Let’s take a closer look at how this pattern compares to other chart formations, like the piercing and harami. What Is the Difference Between a Bullish Engulfing and a Piercing Pattern? A bullish engulfing pattern occurs when a large bearish bar is followed by a larger candlestick that completely overtakes the former's body. This indicates a strong potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. In contrast, a piercing formation also signals a potential reversal but is slightly weaker. It forms when a bearish candle is followed by a bullish candle that closes above its midpoint but doesn’t envelop it entirely. What Is the Difference Between a Bullish Engulfing Pattern and a Bullish Harami Pattern? The bullish harami pattern consists of a large red candle followed by a smaller green candle that is completely contained within the body of the red candle. This formation suggests a potential reversal but is generally considered less strong than the bullish engulfing candle pattern, as the latter completely envelops the previous bearish bar, showing more decisive buying pressure. Final Thoughts While this pattern offers valuable insights into potential trend reversals, it's essential to complement it with technical indicators and robust risk management for effective use. Also, be sure to explore other patterns as they may look very similar but provide different signals. FAQ What Is a Bullish Engulfing Pattern? A bullish engulfing pattern is a two-candlestick formation in technical analysis that suggests a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. It occurs when a large bearish candlestick is followed by a larger bullish candlestick that completely engulfs the body of the preceding bearish candle. How Reliable Is the Bullish Engulfing Pattern? The reliability of the bullish engulfing pattern as a reversal signal depends on various factors, including the overall market context, confirmation from other technical indicators, and the timeframe being analysed. While it can be a strong indication of a potential trend reversal, it is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other tools and fundamental analysis. What Is a Bullish Engulfing Candle Trading Strategy? The bullish engulfing candle strategy involves identifying this pattern at the end of a downtrend as a signal for a potential sentiment shift. Traders typically enter a buy position slightly above the high of the closing bar, with stop-loss levels set below the low or beneath nearby support levels. Take-profit levels are determined based on risk/reward ratios or key resistance levels. Do Wicks Matter in Engulfing Candlesticks? Yes, wicks matter in the formation. The wicks provide insights into price rejection and volatility. For a strong confirmation, the absence of long upper wicks suggests sustained buying pressure, reinforcing its validity as a reversal signal. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
How to Master Premium & Discount For Better EntriesA lot of traders talk about premium and discount, but very few actually know how to use it properly. Most just draw Fibonacci tools on random legs and try to catch reactions at the 61.8% level. That kind of trading lacks structure and context. If you're serious about using Smart Money Concepts the right way, then you need to understand where value exists in the market and how to position yourself accordingly. This guide is all about mastering the premium vs discount model using a 4H bias, entries on the 1H or 15M, and refinements based solely on Fair Value Gaps. No order blocks. No guessing. Just clean structure, displacement, and a focus on institutional logic. Establishing a Valid 4H Dealing Range Your entire analysis starts with the 4H chart. That’s where you define the dealing range, the leg of price that caused a significant shift in market structure, usually confirmed by displacement and a break of a previous swing. To do this correctly: Identify a 4H swing high to swing low (or low to high) that broke structure and created an imbalance. Anchor your range from that swing point to the extreme, this becomes your dealing range. Mark the 50% of this range — this is your equilibrium line. Everything above this midpoint is premium, everything below is discount. You’re not drawing fibs for retracement levels. You’re using them to separate cheap price from expensive price. Premium vs Discount: Why It Matters The logic is simple: institutions buy at discount and sell at premium. They don’t place large positions in the middle of the range, they accumulate when price is cheap and distribute when price is expensive. Once you’ve marked out your 4H range, you now have a framework: Price in discount (below the 50%) = potential buy setups. Price in premium (above the 50%) = potential sell setups. The key is to only look for trades in the right part of the range. If price is in premium and you're trying to long, you're working against smart money. If it's in discount and you're trying to short, you're fading accumulation. Refining the Setup on 1H or 15M Once price enters the zone you’re interested in, premium or discount. Drop to the 1H or 15M charts to look for entries. But we’re not trading any structure or supply/demand zone. We’re only interested in Fair Value Gaps. Why? Because FVGs are the cleanest way to spot imbalance — they show where price moved too aggressively and left inefficiency behind. Here's what to do: Watch for displacement on 1H or 15M once price taps into the 4H premium or discount zone. The move should break short-term structure and leave a clear FVG. Wait for price to retrace into that FVG. Entry is placed inside the gap, preferably in the upper or lower third depending on direction. Your invalidation is the low or high of the displacement move. The FVG gives you a clean risk-to-reward setup that is backed by structure, context, and smart money intent. Example: Long from Discount Let’s say price is trading inside the discount zone of a 4H bullish dealing range. You now drop to 15M and see a sharp move higher that breaks structure and creates a clean 15M FVG. Now you wait. If price retraces into that gap and shows some form of reaction (volume, reaction wick, or small lower timeframe shift), you have a valid long. The trade is high probability because: It’s inside 4H discount The 15M displacement confirms smart money is stepping in The FVG is your refined entry zone Target is always the next liquidity pool inside premium. Example: Short from Premium Opposite logic applies. If price trades into the premium zone of a 4H bearish range, you drop to 1H or 15M and wait for displacement to the downside. When you get a strong bearish move that leaves behind a Fair Value Gap and breaks intraday structure, you mark the FVG. When price retraces into it, you execute your short. Stop is above the displacement high. Target is the first liquidity level inside discount, such as an old low or a clean equal low. Rules for FVG Entries (1H/15M) To keep your execution sharp, stick to these: Only enter FVGs that form from displacement moves. The FVG must break intraday structure. It must form inside the 4H premium or discount zone, no exceptions. Avoid FVGs that form in the middle of the range or during chop. Make sure higher timeframe context supports the direction. This filters out 90% of weak setups and forces you to trade in sync with value. Targets and Exits Where you enter is based on imbalance and structure, but where you exit is based on liquidity and the premium/discount model in reverse. If you long from discount, you should be targeting premium levels. If you short from premium, you should be targeting discount levels. More specifically: Look for old highs/lows Clean equal highs/lows Unfilled FVGs in the opposite zone This way, you’re always exiting into areas where the market is likely to reverse or stall, and not overstaying your trade. Conclusion Trading from premium or discount zones isn’t just a concept, it’s a framework that puts you in line with institutional activity. When you combine it with FVGs, you have a clean, mechanical way to structure your trades. Keep your bias on the 4H. Mark your ranges clearly. Drop to 1H or 15M only when price is in a valid zone, and only take entries on FVGs that form from strong displacement. If you stay disciplined with this model, you’ll avoid chasing price and start trading from areas of true value. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by TehThomas
66
Best GOLD XAUUSD Psychological Levels Indicator on TradingView There is one free technical indicator that will show you every significant psychological level on Gold XAUUSD chart. It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set. Discover the best psychological support and resistance indicator for Gold trading , its settings and useful tips. First, let's discuss the significance of psychological levels in GOLD XAUUSD analysis and trading. The classic way of the search of significant supports and resistance is based on the analysis of a historic price action. However, while Gold constantly sets new historic highs such a method does not work, because there are no historic resistances to rely on. In such a situation, the only reliable strategy to find potentially strong resistances is to analyze psychological levels. Psychological levels are the round numbers based price levels. Because of the common human psychological biases, these levels attract the interest of the market participants and the prices tend to react to them. A great example of a psychological level in Gold trading is 3000 level. It served as a resistance first and after a breakout turned into an important support. And I found a free technical indicator that plots all the significant psychological levels efficiently. One more thing to note is that I strictly recommend searching for psychological levels on a daily time frame, because it provides the most relevant perspective. To use this indicator, search "round" in indicators wind ow. It is called "Round numbers above and below". Click on that and it will start working immediately. You can see that the indicator plotted 3 significant psychological resistances above current prices and 3 supports below on Gold chat. In the settings of the indicator, you can change the number of levels to identify and change the style of the horizontal lines. Examine the reaction of the price to psychological supports that the indicator shows. These levels may remain significant in futures and applied for pullback/breakout trading. With a crazy bullish rally that we contemplate on Gold this year, psychological levels will be the most reliable technical analysis tools for the identification of future bearish reversals and corrections. This free technical indicator on TradingView will help you in search of the strongest ones. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
2
Ethereum and the Pectra Upgrade: ETH Growth PotentialEthereum is approaching a significant upgrade called Pectra, which, according to analysts at Trenovia Group, could become a major catalyst for ETH’s price appreciation—especially if network activity continues to rise. What Does Pectra Bring? Pectra continues Ethereum’s path toward greater technological maturity. The upgrade introduces enhancements to the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), optimizes validator coordination, and strengthens smart contract security. As Trenovia Group highlights, such developments are essential to the platform's long-term competitiveness and stability. Potential Impact on ETH Price Based on Trenovia Group’s internal analysis, ETH could strengthen after the Pectra upgrade, assuming a rise in network engagement. Past events, such as The Merge, have historically driven price momentum. However, sustained growth depends on actual increases in user activity, transaction volumes, and new project deployments. Network Activity as a Growth Indicator Network usage is one of the most critical metrics tracked by Trenovia Group. A surge in active wallets, decentralized applications (dApps), and DeFi platforms often translates to higher demand for ETH. These indicators are at the core of our investment strategies and client advisory services. Trenovia Group’s Position As a company focused on digital asset analytics and blockchain innovation, Trenovia Group views Pectra as a strategically important upgrade. It further solidifies Ethereum’s role in decentralized finance and Web3. We will continue to deliver in-depth market insights and recommendations as the network evolves. Conclusion Ethereum is entering a new phase of development. Should the Pectra upgrade lead to a measurable increase in network activity, Trenovia Group anticipates a favorable environment for ETH growth, reaffirming its position as a leader in the crypto market.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by HCN-News12
Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading?Is There the Best Moving Average For Swing Trading? In swing trading, moving averages are widely used to analyse market trends and identify potential turning points. In this article, we’ll dive into the most commonly used MAs, their unique characteristics, and how they can be applied in swing trading strategies. What Are Moving Averages? You definitely know what moving averages are. However, we need to start our article with a brief introduction to this market analysis tool. A moving average (MA) is a fundamental tool in technical analysis that helps traders understand the direction of a market trend by smoothing out price fluctuations, often touted among the best indicators for swing trading. Instead of focusing on the volatile ups and downs, MAs calculate an average of prices over a specific period, such as 20, 50, or 200 periods. This gives traders a clearer picture of the overall trend by filtering out short-term volatility. There are different types of moving averages, but they all work on the same principle: tracking the average price over time to highlight the market's trajectory. For example, a 20-period MA shows the average (usually closing price but a trader can choose highs, lows, and opens) over the past 20 periods, updating as new prices come in. This rolling calculation creates a line on the chart, making it easy to identify whether the market is trending upwards, downwards, or moving sideways. Types of Moving Averages Moving averages come in various forms, each with unique characteristics that cater to different trading styles and strategies. Simple Moving Average (SMA) The simple moving average (SMA) is the most straightforward type, calculated by averaging the closing prices (but a trader can choose any price type) over a set number of periods. For example, a 20-period SMA adds up the last 20 closing prices and divides by 20. It’s popular among traders who want a broader view of price trends without overreacting to short-term fluctuations, making it a contender for one of the best moving averages for swing trading. However, SMAs can lag behind price action, as they give equal weight to all prices in the calculation. Hull Moving Average (HMA) The hull moving average (HMA) is designed to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth line. By combining weighted averages with additional smoothing techniques, the HMA offers a balance of speed and clarity, making it an underrated moving average for swing trading. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) The exponential moving average (EMA) prioritises recent prices, giving them more weight in the calculation. This makes it more responsive to price changes compared to the SMA. Swing traders often use EMAs in faster-moving markets, where quick adjustments to trend shifts are crucial, with 8- and 21-period EMAs considered by some traders as two of the best EMAs for swing trading. For instance, a 20-period EMA reacts faster to sudden price movements than a 20-period SMA, helping traders spot potential reversals sooner. Weighted Moving Average (WMA) Similar to the EMA, the weighted moving average (WMA) also gives more importance to recent prices but does so with a linear weighting system. This means the most recent price has the greatest impact, gradually decreasing with older data. WMAs are less common but useful when traders want a more precise reflection of recent price action. How to Use Moving Averages in Swing Analysis and Trading Moving averages are versatile tools that can provide valuable insights for swing traders. Beyond highlighting trends, they can help identify potential turning points and dynamic support or resistance levels. Here’s how they’re commonly used in swing trading: 1. Identifying Trends MAs are widely used to assess the direction of a trend. For instance, if the price consistently stays above a rising moving average, it suggests an upward trend. Conversely, when prices remain below a declining moving average, the market could be trending downward. Swing traders often rely on shorter moving averages, like the 20-period, for identifying trends that align with their trading horizon. 2. Spotting Reversals with Crossovers Crossovers happen when two MAs intersect. A common example is a shorter MA crossing above a longer one, which may indicate a shift towards bullish momentum and vice versa. 3. Dynamic Support and Resistance MAs act as floating support and resistance levels. MAs serve as a support level in an uptrend, with the price bouncing off it repeatedly. In a downtrend, the same moving average might act as resistance, limiting upward moves. 4. Filtering Market Noise In choppy markets, MAs can smooth out minor fluctuations, making it easier to focus on the bigger picture. Swing traders often use longer MAs, such as the 50-day or 200-day, to filter out irrelevant short-term movements. 5. Timing Entry and Exit Zones Many traders use crossovers to time their entries and exits, though it’s worth noting their lagging nature means they can result in untimely trades. They can also provide context. For example, if the price approaches a key moving average after a strong move, it might indicate a consolidation phase or a potential reversal, allowing traders to adapt their analysis. Common Moving Averages for Swing Trading: The 20, 50, and 200 MAs Swing traders often turn to the 20-, 50-, and 200-period moving averages as their go-to tools for analysing market trends. Each serves a specific purpose, helping traders gauge short-, medium-, and long-term price movements. These moving averages are often used together. 20-Period Moving Average The 20-period MA is a favourite for short-term trend analysis. It reacts quickly to price changes; therefore, traders use it to identify recent momentum or potential trend shifts. Traders frequently watch for price “bounces” off the 20-period MA as potential indications of continuation in the current trend. 50-Period Moving Average The 50-period MA provides a medium-term perspective, offering a smoother look at price trends. It’s slower to react than the 20-period MA but avoids being overly lagging. This balance makes it useful for identifying sustained trends while filtering out minor price noise. When prices interact with the 50-period MA, it often acts as a dynamic support or resistance level. 200-Period Moving Average The 200-period MA is the benchmark for long-term trend analysis. It’s often used to determine the overall market direction. This MA is also a widely followed indicator for institutional traders, adding weight to its significance. Interactions with the 200-period MA often mark key turning points or areas of consolidation. Traders also monitor crossovers between the 50- and 200-period MAs, recognised by some as the best moving average crossover for swing trading. For instance: - Golden Cross: When the 50-period MA crosses above the 200-period MA, it suggests potential bullish momentum. - Death Cross: When the 50-period MA drops below the 200-period MA, it signals a possible bearish shift. Using Them Together Using the 20-, 50-, and 200-period MAs together offers a comprehensive approach to identifying the best moving average crossover setups, allowing traders to see the bigger picture while still tracking short-term shifts. For instance, when the price breaks above the 200-period MA while the 20-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA, it may signal the beginning of a broader bullish trend. Meanwhile, a price drop below all three MAs could suggest broader bearish momentum. Other Moving Average Combinations for Swing Trading While the 20, 50, and 200-period MAs are staples in swing trading, exploring other combinations can offer nuanced insights tailored to specific trading strategies. Some alternative moving average setups that traders often employ include: 8-Period and 21-Period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) This pairing is favoured by traders seeking to capture short-term price movements with greater sensitivity. They call this the best EMA crossover strategy. The 8-period EMA responds swiftly to recent price changes, while the 21-period EMA provides a slightly broader perspective. 10-Period and 50-Period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) Combining the 10- and 50-period SMAs offers a balance between short-term agility and medium-term trend identification. This combination helps traders filter out minor price fluctuations and focus on more sustained movements. 28-Period and 50-Period HMAs For traders focused on short-to-medium-term trends, the 28- and 50-period HMAs offer a balanced approach. The 28-period HMA reacts quickly to price changes, while the 50-period HMA provides a steadier view of the broader trend. Crossovers between the two can signal potential bullish or bearish momentum shifts, benefiting from the HMA’s reduced lag. 13-Period and 34-Period WMAs Rooted in Fibonacci sequences, the 13- and 34-period WMAs are employed by traders who believe in the natural rhythm of the markets. A 55-period WMA can also be included for a longer-term perspective. Crossovers between these WMAs can highlight potential trend reversals or continuations, with the WMA adapting more quickly than other MAs due to its weighted calculation. Implementing These Combinations When applying these moving average combinations, it's crucial to consider the following: - Market Conditions: These combinations often perform better in trending markets versus ranging markets. Moreover, shorter MAs might be more effective in capturing quick price movements during high volatility. - Timeframes: Traders align MAs with their trading horizon. Shorter periods like the 5-period or 8-period MAs are usually used by traders focusing on brief swings, while longer periods like the 50-period MA cater to those looking at extended trends. - Confirmation with Other Indicators: Relying solely on moving averages can lead to false signals. Traders corroborate these signals with other technical indicators, such as Bollinger Bands or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). What Moving Averages Should You Use for Swing Trading? There is no best moving average for swing trading. The choice of MAs ultimately depends on a trader's strategy and preferences. The combinations discussed provide a framework, but experimenting with different setups can help identify what aligns with individual trading styles and objectives. The Bottom Line Moving averages are powerful tools for swing trading, offering insights into trends and potential market turning points. Whatever your unique preference for different types and lengths, understanding their application can refine your strategy. FAQ Which Moving Average Is Good for Swing Trading? The 20-period, 50-period, and 200-period moving averages are widely used in swing trading. However, different combinations, like the 8- and 21-period or 13- and 34-period MAs can offer equally valuable insights; it ultimately comes down to the trader’s preference. What Is the Most Popular Moving Average to Use? The most popular moving average depends on a trader’s trading style and goals. Shorter MAs, like the 20-day MA, are popular for quick trend identification, while longer ones, such as the 200-day MA, provide a bigger picture. Many traders combine MAs to cover different timeframes. Is 200 EMA Good for Swing Trading? The 200-period EMA is useful for swing traders seeking to understand long-term trends. It reacts faster than the 200-period SMA, making it suitable for traders looking to incorporate a responsive indicator in their analysis. Which Indicator Is Most Popular for Swing Trading? There isn’t a single best indicator for swing trading. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume indicators are commonly used. Combining these can provide a more comprehensive analysis. Which Volume Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading? The On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) are popular volume indicators for swing traders, helping assess market momentum. Which RSI Indicator Is Popular for Swing Trading? The standard 14-period RSI is widely used. Swing traders often adjust it to shorter periods (e.g., 7) for faster signals or longer periods (e.g., 21) for smoother trends. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
The Yen’s Comeback Starts Here—and it Seems the COT Knew First1. Introduction: A Market Everyone Gave Up On For a while, the Japanese Yen looked like a lost cause. After topping out in early 2021, Yen futures (6J1!) began an unrelenting slide, shedding value week after week like an old coat in spring. Traders stopped asking, “Where’s support?” and started asking, “How low can it go?” The macro backdrop didn’t help. The Bank of Japan clung to ultra-loose monetary policy, even as the Fed hiked aggressively. Speculators piled on shorts. The Yen was a one-way ticket down, and no one seemed interested in punching the brakes. But beneath that apathy, a quieter shift was underway. While price kept bleeding, trader positioning began to hint at something different—something the chart didn’t show yet. And if you were watching the Commitments of Traders (COT) report closely enough, you might’ve seen it. 2. The COT Trend That No One Was Watching The COT report isn’t glamorous. It’s slow, lagging by a few days, and rarely makes headlines. But for those who track what the big players are doing—those large enough to be required to report their positions—it’s a treasure trove of subtle clues. One of those clues is Total Reportable Positions. This metric tells us how active large market participants really are—regardless of whether they’re long or short. When that number is dropping, it suggests the “big dogs” are losing interest. When it starts climbing again? Someone’s gearing up to play. From 2021 through most of 2024, Total Reportable Positions in 6J were in a steady decline—mirroring the slow death of the Yen's bullish case. But in late 2024, something changed. Using a simple linear regression channel on this COT data, a clear breakout emerged. Positioning was picking up again—for the first time in nearly three years. And it wasn’t just a bounce. It was a structural shift. 3. Did Price Listen? Yes—and no. Price didn't immediately explode higher. But the structure began to change. The market stopped making new lows. Weekly closes began to cluster above support. And importantly, a Zig Zag analysis started marking a pattern of higher lows—the first signs of accumulation. Here’s where the chart really gets interesting: the timing of the COT breakout coincided almost perfectly with a key UFO support at 0.0065425—a price level that also marked the bottom in COT Traders Total Reportable Longs. This adds a powerful layer of confirmation: institutional orders weren’t just showing up in the data—they were leaving footprints on the chart. And above? There’s a UFO resistance level at 0.0075395. If the Yen continues to climb, that could be a significant price level where early longs may choose to lighten up. 4. The Contract Behind the Story Before we go deeper, let’s talk about what you’re actually trading when you pull the trigger on Yen Futures. The CME Japanese Yen futures (6J) contract represents 12.5 million Japanese Yen, and each tick move—just 0.0000005 per JPY—is worth $6.25. It’s precise, it’s liquid, and for traders who like to build macro positions or take advantage of carry flows, it’s a staple. As of May 2025, margin requirements hover around ~$3,800 (Always double-check with your broker or clearing firm—these numbers shift from time to time.) But maybe you’re not managing seven-figure accounts. Maybe you just want to test this setup with more flexibility. That’s where the Micro JPY/USD Futures (MJY) come in. Contract size: 1/10th the size of 6J Tick move: 0.000001 per JPY increment = $1.25 Same market structure, tighter margin requirement around ~$380 per contract Important note: The COT report aggregates positioning across the whole futures market—it doesn’t separate out micro traders from full-size. So yes, the data still applies. And yes, it still matters. 5. Lessons from the Shift This isn’t about hindsight bias. The value in this setup isn’t that the Yen happened to bounce—it’s how Total Reportable Positions broke trend before price did. Here are the real takeaways: COT data may or may not be predictive—but it is insightful. When positioning starts expanding after a long contraction, it often signals renewed interest or risk-taking. That’s tradable information. Technical support and resistance as well as highs and lows give context. Without them, COT breakouts can feel theoretical. With them, you have real, observable UFO levels where institutions may act—and where you can plan. 6. Watchlist Insights: Where This Might Work Again You don’t have to wait for another yen setup to apply this framework. The same structure can help you scout for early positioning shifts across the CME product universe. Here’s a simple filter to start building your own COT watchlist: ✅ Look for markets where: Price has been in a long, clean downtrend (or uptrend) Total Reportable Positions are falling—but starting to reverse A breakout occurs in positioning trend (draw a regression channel and watch for a clean violation) A key support or resistance lines up with recent extremes in COT positioning Whether it's crude oil, corn, or euro FX, this template gives you a framework for exploration. 🎯 Want to See More Setups Like This? We’re just getting started. If this breakdown opened your eyes to new ways of using COT reports, UFO levels, and multi-dimensional trade setups, keep watching this space. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6J1!Education
by traddictiv
April 2025 Market Crash: Causes, Impact, and Strategic ResponseApril 2025 will go down in financial history as one of the most turbulent months of the past decade. A large-scale market crash, triggered by geopolitical escalation and intensified trade tensions, revealed just how fragile the global investment landscape remains—even after a relatively stable start to the year. What Happened? On April 6, 2025, the U.S. administration announced sweeping tariffs of up to 145% on all Chinese imports. This decision, though preceded by months of political strain, took the markets by surprise. Panic-selling ensued almost immediately. The Dow Jones plummeted over 4,000 points within two days—the steepest decline since the COVID-era crash of 2020. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq followed suit, dropping 6–9% in a matter of hours. Asian and European indices mirrored the collapse: Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell by 7.8%, and Germany’s DAX dropped by 5.4%. The synchronized reaction emphasized the ongoing interdependence of global markets, even in an era of growing protectionism. Why It Matters For GeldVision clients and institutional investors worldwide, such events highlight the importance of risk-managed portfolio strategies. The April crash wasn’t solely a reaction to tariffs—it was also driven by fears of a potential recession and uncertainty surrounding central bank policies. Another destabilizing factor was the automatic response of algorithmic trading systems, which exited positions en masse as technical indicators were breached—amplifying volatility and accelerating the selloff. How GeldVision Responded Since early 2025, we at GeldVision have implemented a strategy of “adaptive conservatism,” gradually reducing equity exposure in client portfolios and reinforcing positions in defensive assets such as gold, investment-grade bonds, and liquid currency instruments. During the height of the market turmoil, our team activated internal stress protocols, including temporary order freezes on automated buy-ins and direct client communications for real-time portfolio reviews. This proactive approach allowed us to minimize losses and maintain client confidence. What’s Next? We expect volatility to persist at least through Q3. For investors, the key is to avoid reactive decisions and maintain a long-term perspective. GeldVision will continue to expand its macroeconomic monitoring, enhance risk models, and provide clients with the tools needed to navigate uncertain markets safely.
NYSE:WMTEducation
by HCN-News12
European Stocks Rise Amid Positive NewsEuropean stock markets are experiencing a steady rise, buoyed by a series of encouraging developments that have boosted investor confidence and driven share prices higher. This wave of optimism is being fueled by both internal economic signals and an improving global environment, including stabilized interest rates and signs of a business rebound. What's Driving the Growth? One of the primary catalysts behind the rally is recent economic data showing a slowdown in inflation across the eurozone, alongside a revival in consumer demand. These indicators have strengthened expectations that the European Central Bank may soon pivot from a tight monetary stance to a more accommodative approach. Investors have welcomed these signals as evidence that the regional economy is adjusting well to challenging conditions and avoiding a deeper downturn. Additionally, stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings reports have played a key role in lifting stock prices, particularly in the banking, technology, and industrial sectors. Major players such as Siemens, BNP Paribas, and SAP have posted solid gains, reflecting broader confidence in corporate resilience. Renewed Investor Interest in Europe Improving macroeconomic indicators are drawing renewed attention to European assets. With risks appearing more contained and equity yields remaining attractive, many investors are beginning to view the region as a compelling opportunity. Stock exchanges in Germany, France, and the Netherlands have stood out, showing consistent growth and high trading volumes. Geopolitical factors are also contributing to the market’s upbeat tone. Gradual normalization of trade relations with key partners and the strengthening of the euro on foreign exchange markets are adding to investor enthusiasm. What’s Next? Analysts suggest that if current trends continue, European indices could reach new yearly highs. Key factors to watch in the near term include upcoming central bank decisions and fresh data on GDP growth and employment. Nevertheless, the present sentiment points toward confidence in the ongoing recovery. Conclusion The European stock market is entering a phase of stable growth, driven by favorable economic indicators, manageable inflation, and an improving business climate. Positive news continues to give investors reasons for optimism, and if momentum holds, Europe could emerge as one of the top-performing investment regions in the coming months.
PYTH:NDAQEducation
by HCN-News12
Impatience Tax in Trading: The Costs of Clicking Too SoonHave you ever thought that maybe some of your losses don’t come from bad trades? Rather, they come from good trades, timed badly? You see the setup, the signal’s almost there, the MACD is leaning in, the candle is flirting with support — and boom, you click. Early. Too early. Price dips a bit more and then shoots upward like a rocket. Your stop gets triggered — you just paid the impatience tax. Welcome to the place where you get taxed for being impatient — a very real, very expensive fee traders pay when their fingers move faster than their reasoning. 🤫 The Impatience Tax — A Silent Killer Dressed as Urgency The impatience tax doesn’t appear on your statement. You won’t see it listed in your commissions, or under slippage, or labeled in red ink like a realized loss. But rest assured, it’s there — nibbling away at your P&L every time you front-run your own strategy. And the worst part? It feels productive. You’re taking initiative, showing conviction, being bold. Except what you're really doing is lighting good setups on fire because you couldn’t wait for one more candle to close. 🧬 The Anatomy of an Early Click Here’s how it usually goes: You spot a setup. You get excited. You skip the checklist. You enter on the 3rd candle instead of the 5th. The market fakes out. You get stopped out. The market then does exactly what you expected — without you. Every trader has lived this story. And it hurts more than a loss from a bad trade. Because this wasn’t a bad idea. It was a good idea butchered by bad timing. 🤝 Impatience Loves Company (And Volatility) Impatience tends to thrive in fast markets. When the price is moving, you feel like you need to act. You notice some breaking news that moves markets, charts start to jiggle and tickers flash — suddenly your FOMO glands kick in. You’re not waiting for confirmation. You’re reacting — to price, to emotion, to fear of missing out. It’s not just beginners either. Even seasoned traders occasionally get sucked in. Why? Because the brain is wired to avoid missing opportunities more than it’s wired to avoid losses. We want in. Now. Before it's “too late.” But here’s a pro secret: the markets tend to always give second chances. You just have to be around to take them. ⏰ Why the Best Traders Wait Let’s talk about patience. Not the zen-monk, meditate-in-a-cave-for-years kind. The market kind. The kind that says: “Nope, not yet.” The kind that closes the platform until the London session starts. The kind that lets a trade go because it didn’t meet all the criteria — even if it was close. Top traders aren’t paid for activity. They’re paid for precision. The entry is 90% of the battle. If you win there, the rest is just management. 🧐 How to Identify an Impatience Habit Want to know if you’re paying the impatience tax regularly? Try this: Look at your last 10 triggered stop loss orders: How many were within a few ticks of reversal? Count your trades per day: Are you averaging more than your strategy demands? Review your entry notes: Did you say things like “close enough” or “looks good”? If the answer is yes, you’re a tax-paying member of the Impatience Society. 👷‍♂️ Build a Buffer: Taming the Trigger Finger So how do you stop paying the Impatience Tax? Start with structure: Use time-based confirmations. Wait for the candle to close. A candle halfway formed is a lie detector test mid-question. Have a rule-based checklist. If a trade doesn’t meet every item, you don’t take it. No exceptions. Use alerts , not entries. Let the price come to you. Your job is to hunt, not chase. Trade fewer setups, better. Less is more when each trade has meaning and clarity. And when in doubt? Wait. The worst that happens is you miss one trade. The best that happens is you finally stop losing money edge by edge. 💵 Impatience Is Expensive. Patience Is Profitable. The market is designed to reward discipline, not urgency. Speed might help you scalp news reactions, but even that requires planned execution. Unchecked impatience is just impulse with a brokerage account. It's important to always remember that you’re not trying to win this trade. You’re trying to win this game for the long run. And winning the game means surviving long enough to let your edge play out — with patience, not panic. 💎 Final Thoughts: Don’t Confuse Action with Progress The financial markets are a cruel place for dopamine seekers. They offer constant motion, flashing lights, and infinite temptation to click before thinking. But progress isn’t about how many trades you take — it’s about how many good ones you wait for. So next time your mouse finger twitches, ask yourself: Is this the plan? Or is this impatience disguised as opportunity seeking instant gratification? Because every early click is a donation to someone else’s P&L. 👉 Your turn : What’s your best (or worst) story of jumping the gun? How have you built patience into your process — or are you still wrestling with the trigger? Let us know in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
34
Why Gold Is Pulling Back Now – May 2025 Update⚡️After surging above $3,500/oz in late April, gold has since declined over 8%, recently breaking below key levels and now trading near $3,210. The retracement reflects fading panic buying and growing attention to fundamental drivers: U.S. monetary policy, the strong dollar, easing geopolitical risks, and completed trade agreements. Here’s a breakdown of the leading catalysts and their current impact (ranked 0–10). 1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Bias Strength: 9/10 The Fed kept interest rates at 4.25–4.50% at its June policy meeting and reiterated its cautious stance. The absence of cuts combined with persistent inflation pressure is lifting real yields and undercutting gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. 2. U.S. Dollar Resurgence Strength: 8/10The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed above 101 as investors digest the Fed’s hawkish tone. A stronger dollar reduces global gold demand, especially from non-USD buyers. 3. U.S.–China Trade Agreement Reached in Switzerland Strength: 7.5/10 A formal trade deal was announced in Geneva in May, easing longstanding tariff tensions. While specific tariff rollback details are pending, markets welcomed the de-escalation, pushing investors away from gold and into risk assets. 4. U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal Signed Strength: 7/10 The U.S. and U.K. finalized a bilateral trade agreement in early May, boosting global sentiment and further reducing the geopolitical premium priced into gold. 5. India–Pakistan Border De-escalation Strength: 6.5/10 After brief clashes in Kashmir in mid-May, both sides have since released statements of restraint. The calm has helped cap gold’s safe-haven bids. 6. Iran–U.S. Nuclear Talks Update Strength: 6/10 Talks resumed in Vienna in May with cautious optimism. While no concrete deal has been signed, progress and diplomatic language from both sides have eased fears of escalation. 7. Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Developments Strength: 5.5/10 Localized ceasefires in eastern Ukraine, brokered by Turkey and the UN, have lowered near-term geopolitical risk. However, skepticism remains around long-term stability. 8. ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand Strength: 5/10 ETF inflows slowed in May (up just 48.2 tonnes), reflecting waning retail momentum. Still, central bank buying—especially from China—offers a medium-term cushion. Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025) 🔸Fed “higher for longer” bias 9 🔸U.S. dollar rebound 8 🔸U.S.–China trade agreement 5.5 🔸U.S.–U.K. trade deal signed 5 🔸India–Pakistan border easing 6.5 🔸Iran–U.S. nuclear diplomacy 6 🔸Russia–Ukraine ceasefire 5.5 🔸Global gold ETF & central-bank inflows 5 Where Next for Gold? ⚡️Current price: ~$3,210/oz 📉Recent support levels broken: $3,300 and $3,250 🎯Next technical floor: $3,150/oz ✨Upside triggers: Renewed dollar weakness, inflation surprise, or geopolitical flare-up Gold’s recent drop reflects the market's rotation out of fear-driven trades into yield-bearing and risk assets. While the Fed and the dollar remain dominant forces, any shock—whether geopolitical or inflationary—could quickly reignite interest in gold as a hedge.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
45
Golden Rejection Candle Strategy–Catch Explosive Intraday Moves!Hello Trader! Are you tired of buying options and watching premiums die slowly? Or chasing breakouts that reverse the moment you enter? Here’s your solution – the Golden Rejection Candle Strategy , designed especially for option buyers who want timed entries, fast momentum, and defined risk . What is a Golden Rejection Candle? A special candlestick that forms when price hits a strong level (like VWAP, trendline, or demand/supply zone) and gets instantly rejected. It leaves behind a long wick (shadow), showing that buyers or sellers stepped in with force . This candle often marks the start of a sharp intraday reversal . It's not just a random wick — it’s a smart money footprint . Live Chart Example – Nifty Spot vs Option Premium (23950 CE) Date: 9th May 2025 Timeframe: 1 min (Spot), 1 min (Options) Spot Chart Setup: Nifty approached a marked green support zone and created a strong wick rejection with a small body candle — classic sign of buyers defending the level. Confirmation Candle: The next candle broke above the rejection candle’s high, confirming the reversal setup. Premium Reaction: On the 1-min ATM Option chart (23950 CE), premiums jumped from 270 to 344 – a clean 26% gain within few minutes. Risk-Reward Snapshot: Entry was at breakout, SL just below rejection wick, and target hit in a single momentum burst — the kind of move option buyers live for. How to Trade It as an Option Buyer Choose the Right Strike: Use ATM or slightly ITM options to get faster movement when price reverses. Entry Strategy: Wait for the next candle to break the rejection candle’s high/low. No break = No trade. SL Placement: Keep it just beyond the wick. Small loss if wrong, big reward if right. Exit Plan: Aim for intraday resistance/support or spike-based exits — option premiums often give quick moves post-rejection. What NOT to Do: Don’t enter on the rejection candle itself — wait for confirmation. Avoid trading this pattern in low volume or middle of the range. Don’t hold blindly — if premium spikes, take the money and run! Rahul’s Tip: “Sudden reversals are where option buyers make money — not slow trends. The rejection candle shows intent. The breakout shows confirmation. Combine both.” Conclusion: The Golden Rejection Candle Strategy gives you an edge that most random trades lack — timing, context, and structure. If you're an option buyer, this can be your go-to setup to avoid traps and enter only when smart money steps in. No more guessing. No more fear. Just clean, price-action-based entries that make sense. 👇 Have you ever used rejection-based setups? Drop your favorite trade below! Let’s learn together. If you found this post valuable, don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW! I regularly share real-world trading setups, actionable strategies, and learning-focused content — all from real trading experience , not theory . Stay connected if you're serious about growing as a trader!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
Learn the 4 Best Strategies to Maximize Your Profits in Trading In the today's article, we will discuss 4 classic yet profitable forex and gold trading strategies. 1️⃣Pullback Trading Pullback trading is a trend-following strategy where you open the positions after pullbacks. If the market is trading in a bullish trend, your goal as a pullback trader is to wait for a completion of a bullish impulse and then let the market correct itself. Your entry should be the assumed completion point of a correctional movement. You expect a trend-following movement from there. In a bearish trend, you wait for a completion of the bearish impulse, let the market retrace, and you look for short-entry after a completion of the retracement leg. Here is the example of pullback trading. On the left chart, we see the market that is trading in a bearish trend. A pullback trader would short the market upon completion of the correctional moves. On the right chart, I underlined the buy entry points of a pullback trader. That strategy is considered to be one of the simplest and profitable and appropriate for newbie traders. 2️⃣Breakout Trading Breakout trading implies buying or selling the breakout of a horizontal structure or a trend line. If the price breaks a key support, it signifies a strong bearish pressure. Such a violation will trigger a bearish continuation with a high probability. Alternatively, a bullish breakout of a key resistance is a sign of strength of the buyers and indicates a highly probable bullish continuation. Take a look, how the price broke a key daily resistance on a daily time frame. After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure that turned into a support. A strong bullish rally initiated from that. With the breakout trading, the best entries are always on a retest of a broken structure. 3️⃣Range Trading Range trading signifies trading the market that is consolidating . Most of the time, the market consolidates within the horizontal ranges. The boundaries of the range may provide safe points to buy and sell the market from. The upper boundary of the range is usually a strong resistance and one may look for shorting opportunities from there, while the lower boundary of the range is a safe place to buy the market from. EURCAD pair is trading within a horizontal range on a daily. The support of the range is a safe zone to buy the market from. A bullish movement is anticipated to the resistance of the range from there. Taking into considerations, that the financial instruments may consolidate for days, weeks and even months, range trading may provide substantial gains. 4️⃣Counter Trend Trading Counter trend trading signifies trading against the trend. No matter how strong is the trend, the markets always trade in zig-zags. After impulses follow the corrections , and after the corrections follow the impulses. Counter trend traders looks for a completion of the bullish impulses in a bullish trend to short the market, and for a completion of bearish impulses in a downtrend to buy it. Here is the example of a counter trend trade. EURJPY is trading in a bullish trend. However, the last 3 bearish moves initiated from a rising trend line. For a trader, shorting the trend line was a perfect entry to catch a bearish move. Such trading strategy is considered to be one of the most complicated , because one goes against the crowd and overall sentiment. With the experience, traders may combine these strategies. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
10
You want to be a trader but you have a 9-5 Educational purpose only. You want to be a day trader but can't trade market open because you have a job or you are too busy. The daily bar can give you just as much profits as the 5 min charts. In this video ill teach you how to find support and resistance zone on any market. Opening a line chart starting from the weekly and then looking for areas where price has repeatedly reverse gives you a clue of where price may go in the future on a daily chart. Watch till the end to see how this strategy is applied to all markets.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by brodjr8
7 reasons why people may still struggle to make money in crypto Why people may still struggle to make money in #crypto 1. ** #Market Volatility** - The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, with prices fluctuating dramatically. This can lead to significant losses if investments are not timed well. 2. **Lack of Information** - Insufficient information can hinder investment decisions, making it difficult to identify profitable opportunities. 3. **Fraud and Scams** - The crypto space is rife with scams and fraudulent schemes. It's crucial to be able to distinguish between legitimate projects and scams. 4. **Lack of Long-term Perspective** - Many investors focus on short-term gains, which can lead to impulsive decisions and losses, rather than holding for the long term. 5. **Emotional Trading** - Emotional reactions to market changes can lead to poor decision-making, such as panic selling or chasing after trends. 6. **Regulatory Uncertainty** - Ongoing regulatory changes can impact the market and create uncertainty, affecting investment strategies. 7. **High Transaction Fees** - Transaction fees can eat into profits, especially for smaller trades. Conclusion Investing in cryptocurrency requires careful research, a clear strategy, and an understanding of the risks involved.
Education
by Rockybullcrypto
Support and Resistance Levels: A Beginner Trader's GuideSupport and Resistance Levels: A Beginner Trader's Guide Hello! If you’re just starting your journey in trading, you’ve probably already heard about "support" and "resistance." These terms might sound intimidating, but their essence is simple. Think of an asset’s price as a ball bouncing between a floor and a ceiling. The floor is support , and the ceiling is resistance . Let’s break down how this works and how to use these levels in your trading. 1. What Are Support and Resistance? - Support is a price level where buyers (bulls) are strong enough to halt a decline. → Example: Suppose the GBP/USD price drops to resistance line multiple times but bounces back each time. This line is a strong support level. - Resistance is a level where sellers (bears) take control, preventing the price from rising further. Why is this important? These levels help you anticipate where the price might reverse or continue moving. They’re like road signs on your chart! 2. How to Identify Support and Resistance on a Chart Start by analyzing price history. Support and resistance levels form where the price has repeatedly stalled. - Step 1: Open a daily or hourly chart . The larger the timeframe, the more significant the level. - Step 2: Look for points where the price reversed . For example, lows (for support) and highs (for resistance). - Step 3: Draw horizontal lines through these points. → Visual Example: On the GBP/USD chart, the price tested the level multiple times and bounced. This is clear support. The resistance level, where upward momentum stalled, acts as resistance. 3. How to Trade Using Support and Resistance There are two main scenarios: *bouncing off a level* and *breaking through a level*. Scenario 1: Bouncing Off Support or Resistance - If the price approaches support, consider opening a long position (buying), expecting a rebound. - If the price nears resistance, consider opening a short position (selling), anticipating a drop. Scenario 2: Breaking Through a Level If the price breaks support or resistance with high volume, it’s a signal to act: - Breaking resistance → Buy. - Breaking support → Sell. → Example: GBP/USD breaks above resistance at 2.01050. You enter a short position, placing a stop-loss below 2.04040 order-block. 4. Common Beginner Mistakes to Avoid - Overloading the chart with lines . Don’t mark every minor swing—focus on key levels. - Ignoring volume . A breakout without increasing volume is often a false signal. - Impatience . The price may test a level repeatedly—wait for confirmation before trading. 5. Practice Is the Key to Success 1. Study historical data . Open past charts and practice identifying levels retrospectively. 2. Use a demo account . Test your strategies risk-free. 3. Keep a trading journal . Note why you chose specific levels and analyze your mistakes. 6.Conclusion Support and resistance levels are your best allies in trading. They reveal market structure and guide your decisions. Don’t get discouraged if it feels challenging at first—practice will sharpen your intuition. Remember, even professionals make mistakes. Focus on risk management and continuous learning. Good luck! You’ve got this! 
Education
by Hastur_smc
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫 Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation. But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor? 🧠 A Quick Historical Detour Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21... When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include: 0.618 (the “golden ratio”) 1.618 2.618, and so on. While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move. 📊 Fibonacci Extensions To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points: The Start of a Trend (Point A) The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B) A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C) This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues. Common Extension Levels Include: 1.272 1.618 (golden ratio) 2.0 2.618 Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react. 🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes. The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle. Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash) to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak) From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph. 🔍 Why This Matters Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market: Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5 Panic at 0.618 Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025 This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis. ⚖️ Final Thought Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative. And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
Education
by WhiteBIT
BTCUSDT 13R Trade Breakdown: Deep Crab Pattern + SMC Precision Hello Traders! If you enjoyed my previous post on combining Harmonic Patterns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for high-precision, high-risk-to-reward trades, then you're going to love this breakdown on BTCUSDT. If you haven’t checked out my earlier content, make sure to scroll below this post and see that first—it sets the foundation for what we’re diving into here. 📈 BTCUSDT Trade Breakdown: Harmonic x SMC Precision Entry This analysis was originally shared around three weeks ago on my YouTube channel, and if you were with me live, you’ll remember I was closely watching for a Bullish Deep Crab Pattern to complete before considering a LONG position. Let’s walk through the setup and outcome step-by-step: 🕰 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME: Price was reacting to a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and had filled the imbalance. As shown in the chart: 🔍 SETUP: Strategy Confirmation Important Reminder: Just because price hits a key level doesn’t mean we jump in to buy or sell. ✅ There must be a confirmed Harmonic Pattern that aligns with the key SMC level. On the Daily Chart, we identified a valid Bullish Deep Crab Pattern: B-point at 0.886 PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) at 1.618 FIB Extension This PRZ aligned perfectly with the key level identified on the Weekly chart. 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (15-Minute Chart): We zoomed into the 15M chart for an SMC-based entry. Supply-to-demand flip confirmed with a visible liquidity inducement—textbook confirmation. Entry was just a few pips below the recent swing low to limit downside risk in case of invalidation. Take Profits (TPs) were set using standard Deep Crab targets, based on FIB retracements from A to D: ✅ TP1 at 0.382 ✅ TP2 at 0.618 ✅ TP3 at 0.786 ✅ TRADE OUTCOME: Entry was cleanly triggered and the price followed through as expected. All three profit levels were successfully hit: ✅ TP1 ✅ TP2 ✅ TP3 We secured an impressive 13R on this single BTCUSDT trade —a solid example of what happens when Harmonics and Smart Money Concepts are aligned. 💬 Your Turn: Did you take this BTC trade using a different strategy? Or did you spot the pattern and enter alongside me? Drop your thoughts and experiences below this analysis—let’s learn together!
Education
by HenryDGREATFX
Mastering Fair Value Gaps (FVG) - How to use them in trading?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Fair Value Gap (FVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot FVGs on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively. What will be explained: - What is a FVG? - How can a FVG occur? - What is a bullish FVG? - What is a bearish FVG? - How to trade a FVG? ------------------------------- What is a FVG? A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand. A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency. ------------------------------- How can a FVG occur? There are several factors that can trigger a fair value gap - Economic news and announcements - Earnings reports - Market sentiment - Supply and demand imbalances ------------------------------- What is a bullish FVG? A bullish FVG is a specific type of price imbalance that occurs during a strong upward move in the market. It represents a zone where the price moved so aggressively to the upside that it didn’t spend time trading through a particular range, essentially skipping over it. This gap usually forms over the course of three candles. First, a bullish candle marks the beginning of upward momentum. The second candle is also bullish and typically has a large body, indicating strong buying pressure. The third candle opens higher and continues moving upward, confirming the strength of the move. The bullish fair value gap is the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle. This area is considered an imbalance zone because the market moved too quickly for all buyers and sellers to interact at those prices. ------------------------------- What is a bearish FVG? A bearish FVG is a price imbalance that forms during a strong downward move in the market. It occurs when price drops so rapidly that it leaves behind a section on the chart where little to no trading activity happened. This gap is identified using a three-candle formation. The first candle typically closes bearish or neutral, marking the start of the move. The second candle is strongly bearish, with a long body indicating aggressive selling pressure. The third candle opens lower and continues the move down. The bearish fair value gap is the price range between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle. That range is considered the imbalance zone, where price skipped over potential trade interactions. ------------------------------- How to trade a FVG? To trade a FVG effectively, wait for price to retrace back into the gap after it has formed. The ideal entry point is around the 50% fill of the FVG, as this often represents a balanced level where price is likely to react. During the retracement, it’s helpful to see if the FVG zone aligns with other key technical areas such as support or resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or dynamic indicators like moving averages. These additional confluences can strengthen the validity of the zone and increase the probability of a successful trade. Enter the trade at the 50% level of the FVG, and place your stop loss just below the most recent swing low (for a bullish setup) or swing high (for a bearish one). From there, manage the trade according to your risk-to-reward preferences—whether that’s 1:1, 1:2, or a higher ratio depending on your strategy and market conditions. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
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