Trade Smart with TradingView’s Volume FootprintTradingView has just introduced an innovative feature on their charts known as the Volume Footprint . This tool represents a significant advancement in chart analysis, offering a detailed view of trading activity and volume at specific price levels. Are you interested in gaining an early advantage by becoming one of the initial traders to master this new tool ?
• I'm thrilled to share with you a fantastic new feature from TradingView : the Volume Footprint. This powerful charting tool gives us a visual representation of trading volume distribution across various price levels for each candle within a specified timeframe. It's a game-changer, offering deeper insights to help us pinpoint areas of high liquidity and significant trading activity.
• The Volume Footprint is available to those with Premium and higher-tier plans. It leverages data from multiple lower timeframes of the current symbol for historical calculations. Initially, it requests 1-second data, and once this is exhausted, it moves to the next higher timeframe. Consequently, as we delve further into history, the requested timeframe increases, which may reduce the accuracy of volume distribution.
• This tool determines whether trades are buy volumes or sell volumes by analyzing the direction of price movement. If the current bar closes higher than it opens, it's a buy volume. Conversely, if it closes lower, it's a sell volume. If the close equals the open, the volume direction follows that of the previous bar.
• One of the standout features of the Volume Footprint is its ability to identify market balance and imbalance. A balanced market indicates an equilibrium between supply and demand, resulting in stable prices. An imbalanced market, however, shows a significant disparity between supply and demand, leading to pronounced price movements.
• The Volume Footprint helps us understand market behavior, such as optimal entry points, potential price movements, and areas where supply and demand are balanced or imbalanced. It's an excellent tool for gauging market sentiment and spotting trading opportunities.
• Additionally, the Volume Footprint allows us to identify failed auctions. These occur when there's an unsuccessful attempt to set a new price, resulting in a return to previous price levels. Recognizing failed auctions can help us anticipate market reversals, validate support and resistance levels, and refine our trading strategies to capitalize on shifting market conditions.
• Another intriguing feature is Delta divergence, which refers to a discrepancy between price movement and the total delta value. Traders often use delta divergence in footprint charts to signal potential reversals or changes in market direction.
• Finally, the Volume Footprint lets us spot excess trades at extreme price levels. According to auction market theory, prices rise until demand dries up and fall until supply is exhausted. This is known as a completed auction. Sometimes, though, an incomplete auction occurs, where the volume of trades at the maximum or minimum price level differs slightly. This may indicate that the trend isn't complete, suggesting that prices might continue moving in the current direction until the auction concludes.
• In conclusion, the Volume Footprint is an invaluable tool that provides deep insights into market dynamics and trading opportunities. It's a fantastic addition to any trader’s toolkit, and I can't wait to explore and utilize this feature in my trading journey. Happy trading!
Prepared by : Arman Shaban
The Source : www.tradingview.com
Trend Analysis
How Do Grid Trading Strategies Work?How Do Grid Trading Strategies Work?
Grid trading stands as a distinctive strategy within the trading realm, offering a structured approach to navigating market volatility. By strategically placing buy and sell orders at predefined intervals, this method eschews the need to determine the market direction, instead harnessing the inherent fluctuations of the market. This FXOpen article delves into the intricacies of grid trading, illuminating its mechanics and the nuanced grid strategies traders use.
Understanding Grid Trading
Grid trading is a strategic approach to forex and other financial markets, where traders place buy and sell orders at predetermined intervals above and below a base price, creating a grid of orders. This method does not require traders to determine market directions but instead relies on market volatility to generate returns. The essence of grid trading lies in its relative simplicity and in leveraging the natural ebb and flow of price movements.
At its core, grid trading involves setting up a sequence of orders that are triggered when prices hit certain levels. The strategy is designed to take advantage of normal price volatility within a specific range or trend by entering and exiting trades at predetermined levels. For instance, a trader sets up a trend-following grid on EUR/USD, placing buy orders above the current price at regular intervals and sell orders below. As the trend progresses, orders are activated, and the trader aims to capture returns from these movements.
A critical advantage of grid trading is its flexibility. It can be adapted to suit various market conditions, whether the market is trending or moving sideways. In trending markets, the grid can be adjusted to follow the trend, potentially increasing returns as the price moves in a specific direction. In range-bound markets, the grid capitalises on price reversals at each level.
However, grid trading also requires careful risk management. The nature of the strategy means that without proper oversight, adverse market movements can lead to significant losses. Setting stop-loss orders for individual trades and monitoring overall exposure are essential practices to mitigate these risks.
Grid Trading: An Example
Consider a trader who decides to employ a grid trading strategy on the EUR/USD pair, observing that it has been fluctuating within a tight range of 1.1000 to 1.1100. The trader selects 1.1050 as the base price, identifying it as the midpoint of the current trading range.
To set up the grid, the trader places buy orders at intervals below the base price, for example, at 1.1040, 1.1030, and 1.1020. Simultaneously, sell orders are placed at intervals above the base price, at 1.1060, 1.1070, and 1.1080. The strategy here is to capitalise on the currency pair's natural price movements within this established range.
As the price fluctuates, hitting each buy order triggers a purchase at a lower price, aiming to sell as the price rebounds. Conversely, each sell order executes a sale at a higher price, buying back the short position as the price drops again.
A stop loss is typically set beyond the range’s upper and lower bound, while profits may be taken incrementally as the price fluctuates around the midpoint. Properly managed, this approach allows the trader to systematically generate returns in a range-bound market without needing to determine the direction of the next price movement.
Grid Trading Strategies
Broadly speaking, grid trading strategies come in two flavours: range-based and trend-following. Below, we explore both. To gain an in-depth understanding, consider applying the steps below on real-time charts in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform.
Range-Based Grid Strategy
In a range-bound forex or cryptocurrency* market, where prices oscillate between a defined high and low, a basic range-based grid strategy might be quite effective. This approach leverages the market's natural tendency to fluctuate within bounds, allowing traders to capitalise on small, consistent movements rather than large trends.
Identifying a trading range is the first step, where the trader marks the highest and lowest prices over a certain period. From this range, the midpoint is determined, serving as a reference for setting up buy and sell limit orders.
Typically, traders might choose to place four or five orders on either side of the midpoint, though some may select more. The spacing between orders is calculated by dividing the distance from the midpoint to the range's high or low by the number of orders, adjusting the spacing slightly.
Entry
Buy orders are placed below the midpoint at intervals determined by the spacing calculation.
Sell orders are set above the midpoint, also spaced according to the initial calculation.
Stop Loss
Stop losses for each order are placed just beyond the range's established high or low to protect against significant market moves outside the expected range.
Take Profit
According to the theory, traders prefer to take profits as price reaches the opposing order.
Trend-Following Grid Strategy
In a trend-following grid strategy, the primary goal is to align with the market's direction, leveraging sustained movements to accumulate a position that grows as the trend progresses. This approach requires the trader to first identify the prevailing trend, which can be achieved through market structure analysis or the use of indicators such as moving averages, momentum indicators, or the Average Directional Index (ADX).
Upon determining the trend, the current price acts as a base from which buy stop (in an uptrend) or sell stop (in a downtrend) orders are placed at fixed intervals. The intervals may vary depending on the trader’s preference; a popular method involves using the Average True Range (ATR) to set these distances.
For example, if using the ATR, a trader might place orders at intervals of 2x the ATR value from the base price, utilising the ATR’s reflection of market volatility to gauge appropriate spacing between orders.
Entry
Orders may be placed in the direction of the trend at intervals determined by the trader, such as a set number of pips or a multiple of the ATR from the base price, enabling a balanced expansion of the position as the trend continues.
Stop Loss
Setting a stop loss in a trend-following grid strategy varies; some traders prefer to trail a stop loss beyond the last entry point to protect gains, while others set it just beyond the base price to guard against sudden reversals.
Take Profit
Profit-taking can be challenging in a trend-following grid; according to the theory, one approach is to close all trades after a predetermined number of orders are reached (e.g. if using four orders, closing the trade when the fifth order is reached), effectively capturing returns before a potential reversal.
Another method may be to take profits upon the opening of the next order in the sequence, which limits both potential gains and losses while reallocating capital for future trades.
Risk Management in Grid Trading
Risk management is a critical aspect of grid trading, where the systematic approach to placing multiple orders can potentially amplify both returns and losses. Given that grid systems compound entries, the disciplined use of stop losses becomes essential to cap potential losses. This is particularly true in volatile markets. When grid trading in cryptocurrencies*, for example, rapid price movements can quickly leave a trader overexposed without careful risk management.
Another crucial consideration is the spacing between orders. Properly calibrated spacing can help manage exposure by preventing the accumulation of too many positions too quickly in a market that is moving against the trader's assumptions. Similarly, the sizing of each trade must be carefully considered to not only manage exposure but also ensure that margin requirements are met without overleveraging the account.
Diversification across different instruments or markets is also an important part of a grid strategy. By not putting all eggs in one basket, traders can potentially reduce the impact of a significant move in any single market.
Many grid trading strategies are automated, allowing for the execution of this strategy at a scale and speed that would be challenging manually. However, using grid trading bots introduces its own complexities, including the need for constant monitoring to ensure that the algorithm behaves as expected in changing market conditions. It also requires a robust understanding of the automated system's parameters to avoid unintended exposure.
The Bottom Line
Grid trading may offer a unique avenue for traders to exploit market volatility effectively. By understanding and applying the strategies outlined, traders may navigate the forex market with increased confidence. For those looking to put these strategies into practice, opening an FXOpen account provides the ideal platform to explore grid trading's potential, backed by a broker known for its robust support and advanced trading tools.
FAQs
What Is Grid Trading in Forex?
Grid trading in forex is a strategy where a trader places buy and sell orders at predetermined intervals around a base price. It capitalises on the natural market volatility by automatically executing trades without the need to analyse market directions. This approach is designed to generate returns from the fluctuations of financial assets.
How Does Grid Trading Work?
Grid trading works by setting up a network of buy and sell orders spaced at regular intervals above and below a starting price point. As prices fluctuate, these orders are triggered, potentially allowing traders to take advantage of small price movements. The strategy can be adjusted for different market conditions, aiming to continuously enter and exit trades based on the established grid pattern.
What Is Spot Grid Trading?
Spot grid trading is a specific application of grid trading strategies in the spot market, where financial instruments are bought and sold for immediate delivery. In forex, it refers to buying and selling currency pairs at their current market price, using a grid strategy to take advantage of spot market volatility.
What Is a Grid Trading Strategy?
A grid trading strategy is a systematic method of placing a series of orders at incrementally increasing and decreasing prices. This strategy is designed to execute trades automatically as the market moves, aiming to secure returns from these movements without needing to determine the market's direction.
How Risky Is Grid Trading?
Grid trading can be risky due to its potential to compound losses, especially in highly volatile markets. The strategy requires careful management of stop losses, order spacing, and trade sizing to mitigate exposure. While automation of grid trading can help manage these risks, it also introduces the need for constant monitoring and understanding of the system to prevent significant losses.
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Learn Risk Management.Applying risk management in forex trading is crucial for long-term success. Here are some key steps:
1. **Define Risk Tolerance:** Determine how much you're willing to risk on each trade. This is typically a percentage of your trading capital.
2. **Set Stop Losses:** Place stop-loss orders to limit potential losses on each trade. These orders automatically close a trade if the price moves against you beyond a certain point.
3. **Calculate Position Size:** Determine the size of your position based on your risk tolerance and the distance to your stop loss. This ensures that you're not risking more than you're comfortable with on each trade.
4. **Diversify:** Avoid putting all your capital into one trade or currency pair. Diversifying your trades can help spread risk.
5. **Use Leverage Wisely:** While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases risk. Be cautious and use leverage conservatively.
6. **Stay Informed:** Keep up with market news and events that could impact currency prices. Being aware of potential risks allows you to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
7. **Regularly Review and Adjust:** Continuously monitor your trades and risk exposure. Adjust your risk management strategy as needed based on your performance and changing market conditions.
By following these steps, traders can effectively manage risk and increase their chances of success in forex trading.
Navigating Interest Rates with Micro Yield Futures Pair TradingIntroduction to Yield Futures
In the complex world of financial markets, Treasury Yield Futures offer investors a pathway to be exposed to changes in U.S. treasury yields. Among these instruments, the Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures stand out due to their granularity and accessibility. These futures contracts reflect the market's expectations for the yields of U.S. Treasury securities with corresponding maturities.
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures allow traders to express views on the longer end of the yield curve, typically influenced by factors like economic growth expectations and inflation. Conversely, Micro 2-Year Yield Futures are more sensitive to changes in the federal funds rate, making them a ideal for short-term interest rate movements.
Why Pair Trading?
Pair trading is a market-neutral strategy that involves taking offsetting positions in two closely related securities. This approach aims to capitalize on the relative price movements between the two assets, focusing on their correlation and co-integration rather than their individual price paths. In the context of Micro Treasury Yield Futures, pair trading between the 10-Year and 2-Year contracts offers a strategic advantage by exploiting the yield curve dynamics.
By simultaneously going long on Micro 10-Year Yield Futures and short on Micro 2-Year Yield Futures (or vice versa), traders can hedge against general interest rate movements while potentially profiting from changes in the yield spread between these maturities.
Analyzing the Current Market Conditions
Understanding the current market conditions is pivotal for executing a successful pair trading strategy with Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures. Currently, the interest rate environment is influenced by a complex interplay of economic recovery signals, inflation expectations, and central bank policies.
Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates directly affects the yield of U.S. Treasury securities. For instance, a hawkish outlook, suggesting rate hikes, can cause short-term yields to increase rapidly. Long-term yields might also rise but could be tempered by long-term inflation control measures.
Strategic Approach to Pair Trading These Futures
Trade Execution and Monitoring
To effectively implement a pair trading strategy with Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures, traders must have a solid plan for identifying entry and exit points, managing the positions, and understanding the mechanics of yield spreads. Here’s a step-by-step approach:
1. Identifying the Trade Setup
Mean Reversion Concept: In this strategy, we utilize the concept of mean reversion, which suggests that the yield spread will revert to its historical average over time. To quantify the mean, we employ a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the spread between the Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures. This moving average serves as a benchmark to determine when the spread is significantly deviating from its typical range.
Signal Identification using the Commodity Channel Index (CCI): To further refine our entry and exit signals, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is employed. The CCI helps in identifying cyclical turns in the spread. This indicator is particularly useful for determining when the spread has reached a condition that is statistically overbought or oversold.
2. Trade Execution:
Going Long on One and Short on the Other: Depending on your analysis, you might go long on the Micro 10-Year Yield Futures if you anticipate the long-term rates will increase more relative to the short-term rates, or vice versa.
Position Sizing: Determine the size of each position based on the volatility of the yield spreads and your risk tolerance. It's crucial to balance the positions to ensure that the trade remains market-neutral.
Regular Review and adjustments: Regularly review the economic indicators and Fed announcements that could affect interest rates. Keep an eye on the spread for any signs that it might be moving back towards its mean or breaking out in a new trend.
Contract Specifications
To further refine our strategy, understanding the specific contract details of Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures is crucial:
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures (Symbol: 10Y1!) and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures (Symbol: 2YY1!):
Tick Value: Each tick (0.001) of movement is worth $1 per contract.
Trading Hours: Sunday to Friday, 6:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. (New York time) with a 60-minute break each day beginning at 5:00 p.m.
Initial Margin: Approximately $350 per contract, subject to change based on market volatility.
Pair Margin Efficiency
When trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures as a pair, traders can leverage margin efficiencies from reduced portfolio risk. These efficiencies lower the required capital and mitigate volatility impacts.
The two charts below illustrate the volatility contrast: the Daily ATR of the yield spread is 0.033, significantly lower than the 0.082 ATR of the Micro 10-Year alone, nearly three times higher. This lower spread volatility underlines a core advantage of pair trading—reduced market exposure and potentially smoother, more predictable returns.
Risk Management in Pair Trading Micro Yield Futures
Effective risk management is the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, especially in pair trading where the goal is to mitigate market risks through balancing positions. Here are key risk management techniques that should be considered when pair trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures:
1. Setting Stop-Loss Orders:
Pre-determined Levels: Establish stop-loss levels at the outset of the trade based on historical volatility, maximum acceptable loss, and the distance from your entry point. This helps in limiting potential losses if the market moves unfavorably.
Trailing Stops: Consider using trailing stop-loss orders that move with the market price. This method locks in profits while providing protection against reversal trends.
2. Position Sizing and Leverage Control:
Balanced Exposure: Ensure that the sizes of the long and short positions are balanced to maintain a market-neutral stance. This helps in minimizing the impact of broad market movements on the pair trade.
Leverage Management: Be cautious with the use of leverage. Excessive leverage can amplify losses, especially in volatile market conditions. Always align leverage with your risk tolerance and market assessment.
3. Regular Monitoring and Adjustments:
Adaptation to Market Changes: Be flexible to adjust or close the positions based on significant changes in market conditions or when the initial trading assumptions no longer hold true.
4. Utilizing Risk Management Tools:
Risk Management Software: Set alerts on TradingView to help track the performance and risk level of your pair trades effectively.
Backtesting: Regularly backtest the strategy against historical data to ensure it remains effective under various market conditions. This can also help refine the entry and exit criteria to better handle market volatility.
Effective risk management not only preserves capital but also enhances the potential for profitability by maintaining disciplined trading practices. These strategies ensure that traders can sustain their operations and capitalize on opportunities without facing disproportionate risks.
Conclusion
Pair trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures offers traders a sophisticated strategy to exploit inefficiencies within the yield curve while mitigating exposure to broader market movements. This approach leverages the distinct characteristics of these two futures contracts, aiming to profit from the relative movements between long-term and short-term interest rates.
Key Takeaways:
Market Neutral Strategy: Pair trading is fundamentally a market-neutral strategy that focuses on the relative performance of two assets rather than their individual price movements. This can provide insulation against market volatility and reduce directional risk.
Importance of Strategy and Discipline: Successful pair trading requires a disciplined approach to strategy implementation, from trade setup and execution to ongoing management and exit. Adhering to a predefined strategy helps maintain focus and objectivity in trading decisions.
Dynamic Market Adaptation: The financial markets are continuously evolving, influenced by economic data, policy changes, and global events. A successful pair trader must remain adaptable, continuously analyzing market conditions and adjusting strategies as needed to align with the current economic landscape.
Comprehensive Risk Management: Effective risk management is crucial in pair trading, involving careful consideration of position sizing, stop-loss settings, and regular strategy reviews. This ensures sustainability and longevity in trading by protecting against undue losses.
By maintaining a disciplined approach and adapting to market changes, traders can harness the potential of Micro Treasury Yield Futures for strategic pair trading, balancing risk and reward effectively.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Exploring Auction Market Theory in Forex TradingAuction Market Theory (AMT) is a conceptual framework used to understand the dynamics of financial markets, viewing them as auctions where buyers and sellers interact to determine prices.
Although the AMT was initially developed to understand & analyse price action movements in the stock market, some of its core concepts can also be applied to any market, including forex.
Within the forex market, currency pairs are traded 24/5, with price driven by a multitude of factors such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Despite this complexity, AMT provides a framework for understanding market dynamics through the concepts of value, balance, and imbalances .
Value represents the equilibrium price at which buyers and sellers agree on the fair value of an asset. Market balance occurs when supply and demand are roughly equal, resulting in stable price ranges, while imbalances arise from deviations from this equilibrium due to shifts in market sentiment or unexpected events. These imbalances can create trading opportunities for astute traders who can identify them and act accordingly.
Lets now take a look into how this can be visually identified on a line chart using only price action.
Example 1
On the left, we can see an area of market balance. This is usually evident when the market is range bound as we can see in this case.
The midpoint of the range is the point of equilibrium. Value can be interpreted as the equilibrium price at which buyers and sellers agree on the fair value of a currency pair.
This equilibrium is constantly shifting as new information becomes available and market participants reassess their expectations.
When these expectations shift as a result of either economic data releases, geopolitical events, and/or market sentiment, price shifts away from the balanced price range and creates an imbalance within the market.
Identifying value areas are important because these can act as an area of future support/resistance for price. Notice how in this example, after price displaces from the balanced range, it later came back and found support near the fair value within that range.
Practical Application
One practical application of AMT in forex trading is through the analysis of price action and market profile. By observing how price behaves at different levels and how volume interacts with price movements, you can gain insights into market sentiment and potential areas of support and resistance.
For example, if a currency pair consistently fails to break above a certain resistance level despite multiple attempts, it may indicate strong selling pressure at that level, presenting an opportunity for short trades. Conversely, if a currency pair finds strong support at a particular price level, traders may look for buying opportunities as the market reverts to equilibrium.
To conclude, Auction Market Theory offers a valuable framework for understanding the dynamics of the forex market. By analysing price action, volume, and market profile through the lens of AMT, you can gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. While no theory can guarantee success in trading, incorporating Auction Market Theory into your analysis can help you make more informed trading decisions.
Please leave a comment if you've found this post helpful or if you have any questions.
Happy Trading
Momentum Trading Strategies for Day TradersMomentum Trading Strategies for Day Traders
Momentum trading is a highly-regarded trading strategy used to seize opportunities in trending markets. This article explores momentum trading and offers two comprehensive strategies for capitalising on rising and falling markets.
What Is a Momentum Trading Strategy?
Momentum trading is a technique where traders aim to capitalise on the inertia of existing market trends. The primary objective is to enter into a long position when an asset is showing an upward trend and to take a short position when the asset is trending downward. It's a strategy that thrives on volatility and requires a keen eye for market indicators.
Understanding Momentum Indicators
Momentum indicators are vital tools that help traders in gauging the strength and sustainability of an ongoing market trend. These indicators are often represented as oscillators on trading charts, fluctuating between designated upper and lower bounds.
Among the most commonly used are the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator, and moving averages. These mathematical tools analyse price action and generate signals for potential entry or exit points. In momentum strategy trading, these indicators act as the 'eyes' for the trader, providing actionable insights into market dynamics.
You’ll find a whole host of momentum indicators, including the ones discussed in this article, on FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Head over there to get started in minutes.
RSI + MACD Strategy
The RSI + MACD Strategy combines two powerful momentum indicators to enhance the precision of trading entries and exits. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) typically oscillates between 0 and 100, providing insights into an asset's overbought or oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) comprises two moving averages, generating signals based on their crossover points. In day trading, this momentum strategy can be particularly effective.
Entry
A common entry point is when the RSI crosses above 30 (indicating potential reversal from an oversold condition) or crosses below 70 (suggesting the asset may be overbought) alongside the MACD signal line crossing the MACD line in the same direction, roughly at the same time.
Stop Losses
Traders often place their stop-loss orders near a recent swing point. This allows for some volatility while protecting against significant losses should the trade move unfavourably.
Take Profits
Profit-taking opportunities may arise when the RSI crosses back above 70 or below 30, signalling a potential end to the trend.
Alternatively, traders often set their take-profit levels at established support or resistance lines on the chart.
While the RSI excels in identifying overbought or oversold conditions, the MACD pinpoints trend reversals through moving average crossovers. By combining these two indicators, traders can filter out noise, reduce the likelihood of false signals, and capitalise on sustained market movements.
Stochastic + HMA Crossover Strategy
The Stochastic + HMA Crossover Strategy employs the Stochastic Oscillator in tandem with two Hull Moving Averages (HMA) of differing periods—9 and 21—to identify trading opportunities.
The Stochastic Oscillator measures an asset's closing price relative to its high-low range, with levels above 80 considered overbought and below 20 as oversold. The HMA aims to capture price trends with reduced lag, making it responsive to market changes. This trading strategy offers frequent entries and exits. As such, it’s also an ideal momentum day trading strategy.
Entries
Traders often enter a position when the Stochastic Oscillator crosses back below 80 or above 20. They then look for a crossover between the 9-period and 21-period HMA in the same direction within the next two candles, confirming the entry signal.
Stop Losses
Much like the RSI + MACD strategy, stops are usually placed near a recent swing point to mitigate excessive losses.
Take Profits
Profit levels can be set when the Stochastic Oscillator moves back into the opposing range (above 80 or below 20).
Traders may consider holding the position a bit longer as the Stochastic Oscillator frequently fluctuates in these areas. A significant support/resistance level is suitable.
Here, the Stochastic Oscillator offers precise overbought and oversold levels, while the HMA's reduced lag helps traders identify and confirm trends more quickly. Together, these indicators offer a nuanced yet timely picture of market conditions.
Benefits and Drawbacks of Momentum Trading
Momentum trading is undoubtedly a popular style of trading. However, it comes with some key benefits and drawbacks:
Benefits
Quick Returns: Momentum trading may yield quick returns due to its focus on short-term trends.
Highly Liquid: Traders often deal with high-volume assets, ensuring easy entries and exits.
Data-Driven: Utilises well-defined indicators, meaning it's less subjective than some other styles of trading. In algorithmic trading, momentum strategies are popular for this reason.
Drawbacks
Volatility Risks: The focus on quick returns exposes traders to high volatility and potential losses.
False Signals: Indicators can sometimes generate false signals, leading to poor trading decisions.
Costs: High frequency of trading means higher transaction fees, which can eat into profits.
The Bottom Line
In essence, momentum trading strategies offer traders a structured approach to benefit from market trends. The strategies outlined here can serve as a solid foundation, giving traders space to refine them further based on their own experience and market observations. Moreover, they can be used as momentum stock and forex trading strategies. If you're ready to put them to the test, you can open an FXOpen account to start your trading journey across hundreds of markets. Good luck!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The 0.5% After Hours Pump And DumpIt is very problematic when you look at the after-hours screen then you see
that gosh you was wrong on your prediction
--
The truth is this is not a prophecy you can be wrong on any price action
so always keep an air of doubt in your thesis
--
An announcement was made on public news that This stock might suffer because of low sales for the year the earnings report is coming out this morning
--
when this does when shall know if this gap down will happen also
take note of the pre-market hours coming out soon
--
There is a very little cure for fear but right now we
just have to hold on tight to our thesis and
--
probability and see what happens at the
pre-market hours time frame.
--
When i was looking at the after-hours data doubt sank deep inside my heart thinking
--
"Am i wrong about the probability of this stock crash?"
--
Trading is a ruff game of capitalism you need to have thick skin or else
you will be swinging around and round with the crowd doubting your price predictions
and trend analysis
-
Please read the disclaimer below
--
Disclaimer:This is not financial advice do your own research before you buy or sell anything trading is risky and you will lose money
All Roads Leads to RomeIf you wish to analyze the index using traditional Japanese candles and Heikin-Ashi candles, and compare that using Bollinger Bands, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci series, and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicators. And you want to conduct the analysis on various time frames including daily, hourly, and every five minutes to discover the confluence between these indicators, you will find what pleases you in this tutorial video.
#traders4traders
***This channel is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment proposal.
Disclaimer:
The content provided is for Educational purposes only. It should not be interpreted as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other form of advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks and may lead to potential losses, including the loss of principal. It's important for investors to recognize that past performance does not guarantee future returns, and market fluctuations can impact investment value. Stocks discussed here are not synonymous with, nor should they be seen as a replacement for time deposits or similar saving instruments. Investing in securities of smaller companies may involve higher risks compared to larger, more established firms, possibly resulting in substantial capital losses. Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall I be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView
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Have a good day.
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The indicators activated in the settings are those created by trading volume.
Therefore, this indicator represents the volume profile section.
The indicator that the arrow points to is the indicator I mentioned earlier.
By looking at this indicator together with volume candles, you can more clearly identify the volume profile section and support and resistance sections.
In addition, you can verify the start of trading by checking the movement of the BW indicator, which consists of five indicators, namely MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and superTrend indicators.
BW-MACD, BW-StochRSI, BW-CCI, BW-PVT, and BW-superTrend indicators are displayed separately to help you understand the indicators.
Once your trading timing has been selected, you need to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style.
What is important in creating a trading strategy that suits your investment style is the investment period and investment size.
Once the investment period and investment size have been decided, you must create a trading method and profit realization method using the information obtained from chart analysis.
Trading methods include buying, selling, and stop loss methods.
The purchase method should focus on how to lower the average purchase price by purchasing in installments.
At that time, when the price falls below the stop loss point and shows resistance, you need to think about how to proceed with selling.
When taking a stop loss, you must proceed according to the investment period you have set.
For example, if you decide to trade within one wave as a short-term trade and proceed with the trade, but the price falls below the stop loss point, you should be able to sell 100% and then watch the situation.
If the price rises after purchasing, you must proceed with selling according to the selling method.
The selling method must also be carried out according to the investment period.
However, the method of increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit by selling the amount equal to the purchase amount can be continued into mid- to long-term trading even if the transaction was done through day trading or short-term trading.
The reason is that the average purchase price of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits is 0.
If you add other indicators to help you conduct split transactions based on price fluctuations, the chart will look like the one above.
If the chart is unfamiliar to your eyes,
It is recommended to view only the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Establish a trading strategy that suits your investment styleHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(QIUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 0.01550-0.01939.
If not, it is highly likely that the flow is to create a middle section in the form of a bottom.
(1W chart)
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 0.02464 point, it is highly likely that the price will continue its upward trend if it rises above 0.02464 and maintains the price.
However, since a psychological volume profile section has been formed up to the 0.03732 point, a full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin only when it rises above this point.
If it falls below 0.01550 and shows resistance, it is likely to fall near the HA-Low indicator.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at 0.00736.
However, as the price falls, there is a possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created, so support near the HA-Low indicator is important.
(1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator is formed at 0.01560.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in the important area around 0.01550-0.01939.
If the price falls below the HA-Low indicator and shows resistance, there is a high possibility of a cascading decline, so a countermeasure is needed.
Since a volume profile section is formed at the 0.0122 point, you need to check whether you can receive support around this area.
The HA-High indicator is formed at 0.02715.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 0.02464 point, the 0.02464-0.02715 section is likely to be a resistance zone.
If it receives support in the 0.02464-0.02715 range and rises, it is likely that an upward trend will begin.
However, since the 0.03549-0.03732 section may again serve as a resistance section, a countermeasure is needed.
-------------------------------------------------- ----
To trade by looking at this chart, you need to choose what is most important to you and decide on an appropriate investment period.
If the investment period does not suit your investment style, it is better not to trade.
The reason is that once you start trading, your psychological influence is likely to have a big impact on your trading.
In day trading or short-term trading, it is recommended to buy when support is confirmed in the 0.01550-0.01939 range and sell around 0.02464-0.02715, the first split selling range.
At this time, you must decide whether to sell 100% and receive a cash profit, or whether to sell the purchase principal amount and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
For medium to long term trading, I don't think it's time to trade yet.
The reason is that, as mentioned earlier, if it falls below 0.01550-0.01939, there is a high possibility of creating an intermediate section in the form of a bottom.
Therefore, it is recommended to proceed with a split purchase when support appears near the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart or the HA-Low indicator of the 1W chart.
Therefore, it is most important to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style.
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
You need to create a trading strategy based on 1-3 above.
Numbers 1 and 2 are to determine the investment period and investment size according to your investment style, so you can make your decision by analyzing charts and checking other coin ecosystems.
Number 3 is to decide on the detailed trading method when you decide to trade, so you must select the buying, selling, and stop-loss method and decide how to realize profits accordingly.
It is useful when conducting mid- to long-term transactions to reserve the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit rather than 100% selling.
This is because the purchase price of the coin (token) corresponding to profit is 0.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
STOP Overtrading with these easy stepsDo you ever get caught in the whirlwind of overtrading?
You’re taking a ton of trades because you’re bored, to make up for losses, for the sake of trading and to maybe feel productive.
It’s like Netflix really. You’re watching your favorite TV series; before you know it, you’ve devoured the whole season in one sitting.
Time lost and you get deep withdrawal symptoms.
Well, you need to seriously stop overtrading.
It’s one of the BAD habits that you can find yourself repeating.
And over time, it will lead to a ton of losses, a blown account and you looking for the “next” best thing.
Let’s get into it.
Recognize when you’re overtrading and then simply – STOP!
TO put it blunt.
Overtrading refers to the excessive buying and selling of financial markets that are often driven by emotional decision-making rather than a strategic approach. This leads to low returns and increased risk.
First off, it’s crucial to recognize when you’re overtrading.
There are a couple of times when you could find yourself overtrading:
Chasing losses
This is where you try to recover from a losing streak by getting into more lower probability trades.
The gamblers overconfidence
The opposite can happen.
You might feel invincible and the king of the trading world, after a series of successful trades.
And this could get you to take on more trades, without proper analysis.
And it could lead to you losing all your wins for the day.
Market FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
You might see a NEWS event come out.
Your buddy might have taken an enticing trade.
Or you just feel there is more profits you believe you can take off the table.
And so, you jumping into more trades due to the fear of missing a profit opportunity.
Boredom Fever
Your trader and time is passing and, you are getting bored.
In fact, you’re probably feeling unproductive just seeing on your hands.
And so you get into other positions to pass time or for the excitement.
And you disregard, your sound market analysis.
Attempting to meet unrealistic profit goals
Most traders have a maximum loss per day, before they stop trading.
The dangerous players try to have a minimum goal of a % win they want to achieve per day.
This is dangerous. And this can lead to overtrading and more loss taking.
Peer pressure
Like I said, you might hear from a buddy who’s taking trades.
You might hear from some economist or analyst who’s diving in.
And you’ll feel peer pressure if they get you to the point to follow them.
You have your own strategy, system and risk management analysis. You don’t need anything else!
Got it?
Top of Form So what do you do when you feel the sense of overtrading?
Here are some ideas.
How to stop overtrading with easy steps
Take a break
It’s like stepping away from a heated argument to cool off. It helps clear your head.
Pick your best times and days to trade
Not all hours are created equal.
Know the market rhythms and dance to the beat that suits you best.
Keep to your plan only
Your trading plan is your roadmap.
If your plan is to follow a mentor – so be it.
If your plan is to follow your own strategy – Go for it.
If your plan is to intraday trade, day trade, position trade or core trade – Just follow it.
Don’t venture off into uncharted territory.
Quality over quantity
Focus on making a few high-quality trades rather than a bunch of haphazard ones.
Think of it as choosing a super healthy meal over a fast-food binge.
Engage in other activities
Go enjoy other aspects of life. Trading isn’t EVERYTHING.
Go for a walk.
Play with your dog or cat.
Do other business.
Distract yourself with hobbies or exercise when you feel the urge to overtrade.
You’ll thank yourself for not taking any unnecessary trades.
Because you won’t set that dangerous precedent, which can continue at a later stage.
Final words:
Overtrading is doing exactly that. Taking too many trades without following your sound principles, strategy and analyses.
This can lead to taking low probability trades, increasing your losses and destroying your mechanical mindset and trading strategy.
Let’s sum up WHAT causes you to over trade.
Chasing losses:
The gamblers overconfidence:
Market FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)
Boredom fever
Attempting to meet unrealistic profit goals
Peer pressure
And we covered ways to STOP overtrading by things like:
Take a break
Pick your best times and days to trade
Keep to your plan only
Quality over quantity
Engage in other activities
Now you know what to do to STOP OVERTRADING.
Go and don’t do it!
💰WHAT IS SUPPLY AND DEMAND? In trading, the fundamental concept of supply and demand serves as the cornerstone for understanding price movements. Supply represents the quantity of a particular asset available for purchase, while demand signifies the desire of buyers to acquire that asset. When supply exceeds demand, prices typically decrease as sellers compete to attract buyers. Conversely, when demand surpasses supply, prices tend to rise due to heightened competition among buyers.
To contextualize this concept using Bitcoin as an example, let's consider its decentralized nature and limited supply. Bitcoin's supply is predetermined and capped at 21 million coins, with new coins created through mining at a diminishing rate. Meanwhile, demand for Bitcoin fluctuates based on various factors such as market sentiment, institutional interest, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends.
By analyzing supply and demand dynamics, traders can gauge market sentiment and anticipate potential price movements. High volume players, such as institutional investors or large-scale traders, often leave discernible footprints in the market through their buying and selling activities. Tracking these players' actions can provide valuable insights into shifts in supply and demand dynamics.
In practice, traders employ various techniques and rules to identify supply and demand levels on price charts. These may include analyzing price structure, volume profiles, support and resistance zones, and price action patterns. By accurately identifying supply and demand areas, traders can make informed decisions regarding market entry, exit, and risk management strategies.
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WHAT ARE REAL WORLD ASSETS (RWA)?Just 3-5 years ago, the concept of "real assets" was clear-cut - physical items that could be owned such as stocks, gold, and currency. On the other hand, "derivatives" referred to intangible assets like swaps, options, and CFDs that allowed for profit-making. However, the emergence of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology has completely transformed this landscape. Not long ago, cryptocurrencies were seen as a separate entity, often labeled as a risky and unsecured financial scheme. But today, they are being recognized as valuable commodities and even as securities. What's even more fascinating is the rise of a new category - Real World Assets.
💡 Real World Assets are a unique category of financial instruments that are based on blockchain technology.
💹 Real World Assets is a market where real world assets are tokenized on the blockchain. These tokenized assets, which we refer to as real assets, are essentially moving traditional assets into decentralized financial applications. The goal is to leverage technology to potentially lower fees and management costs associated with these assets.
📍 REAL WORLD ASSETS EXAMPLES:
➡️ Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency that are centralized and backed by real assets. For instance, Tether's USDT is backed by stocks, government bonds, and fiat currencies, and undergoes some level of auditing. This process is known as tokenization, where the value of the collateral is denominated in stablecoins equivalent to fiat money. The pegging ratio is 1:1, meaning that the value of the stablecoin is directly tied to the value of the underlying assets. Any fluctuations in the value of the assets are balanced out by adding more collateral to maintain the stability of the stablecoin.
🔴 One major drawback of this model lies in the vulnerability to fluctuations in exchange rates of the real asset. In the event that stocks experience significant drawdowns of 20-30%, it is essential for the collateral to be able to mitigate this risk. Furthermore, as the stock value increases, Tether continues to issue additional USDT. Traders are already familiar with the challenges of decoupling stablecoins from their corresponding assets, particularly in the case of centralized stablecoins as opposed to algorithmic ones.
➡️ Private lending, specifically in the form of decentralized lending, has seen a significant player emerge in the form of DAO MakerDAO, the issuer of the DAI stablecoin. In a major move, this startup secured a hefty $100 million credit line with a US bank in mid-2022, backed by real assets as collateral. The startup was able to profit from this arrangement with an impressive 3% annual return. It is noteworthy that regulators did not pay attention to this deal.
➡️ Government bonds are a popular choice for investors seeking stability. Some companies have taken this a step further by issuing stablecoins that are backed by government securities. For example, Ondo Finance offers the USDY stablecoin, while Mountain Protocol offers USDM, which is based on Ethereum. These startups manage stablecoins backed by U.S. Treasury bonds, considered one of the most reliable instruments in the market. Investors can also earn passive income of 5% on top of the stability these investments offer.
➡️ Tokenized securities are on the rise, although the market has not yet reached its full potential. Bitfinex exchange is at the forefront of this trend, with their subsidiary launching the first tokenized bonds in October 2023. These bonds offer investors a tempting yield of 10% and a three-year maturity period. In essence, these tokenized securities work much like traditional bonds, where investors trade tokens for a share of the security and receive passive income in return.
🔴 Investors should be intrigued by the inquiry into how the issuer plans to allocate the funds raised and where the profit is being generated from. This question remains unanswered, as the tokenization process is still evolving. By 2024, HSBC, the British bank, is gearing up to introduce a service for managing tokenized bonds. In October 2023, JPMorgan and Barclays, along with investment firm BlackRock, unveiled a platform for transforming shares into digital assets called the Tokenized Collateral Network.
➡️ Green tokens are an emerging trend in the world of digital assets, with artificial intelligence specifically identifying them as a key player in the future. An interesting fact is that KlimaDAO, a startup backed by billionaire Mark Cuban, ultimately did not succeed in its mission to raise funds to incentivize companies to reduce their emissions. Despite this setback, the concept of green investments and tokens is likely to become a prominent tool in the future. This new form of investment may revolutionize the way companies approach sustainability and incentivize environmentally conscious behaviors. Stay tuned for more developments in the world of green tokens.
➡️ Paxos, a startup in the cryptocurrency industry, has made a connection to precious metals through the creation of gold tokens. Pax Gold has successfully replicated the value of physical gold, allowing investors to easily participate in the gold market without the need to purchase actual bullion or deal with brokers and confusing financial instruments like CFDs and swap fees. By purchasing PAXG cryptocurrency, investors can securely store it in a cold wallet, minimizing the risks associated with exchange bankruptcies or broker insolvencies.
➡️ In January 2023, the real estate startup MarketDAO facilitated a $7 million loan in cryptocurrency DAI to a French conglomerate. The loan was backed by mortgage bonds worth $40 million in US dollars. While this practice is still inconsistent, it marks the beginning of a promising trend in the real estate industry.
➡️ Paintings, sculptures, and other works of art, as well as collectibles, have long been valued for their beauty and uniqueness. The original concept behind NFTs was to revolutionize ownership by tying it to the blockchain, thereby ensuring copyright protection. In 2021-2022, we witnessed the initial steps towards digitizing and transferring paintings onto the blockchain. The future of this trend remains uncertain, but the concept has proven to be functional and shows promise for the art world.
🔴 The prospects for Real World Assets are significant and promising. However, accurately assessing these prospects is currently difficult as the tool is still in development and has not yet found its niche. Several factors are necessary for its success.
1️⃣ Firstly, there needs to be greater user engagement in cryptocurrency and digital technologies. Despite the widespread availability of the internet, not everyone has sufficient knowledge about these topics, let alone blockchain technology.
2️⃣ Secondly, there needs to be real interest and potential benefits from the tool. This can manifest in various ways, such as generating profit or simplifying certain actions. For example, the tool could speed up data transfers, protect copyrights, and make it more accessible for everyday users. Users must see the usefulness of the tool for it to be successful.
📍 CONCLUSION
Currently, the reality is that the global market is valued at hundreds of trillions of dollars, a figure that the cryptocurrency market cannot compete with. For instance, as of 2020 estimates, the worldwide real estate market is valued at approximately $326 trillion in US dollars. According to RWA.xyz, the funds locked in blockchain technology total $4.5 billion, with just over $500 million in loans issued. However, the revolution of Real World Assets technology is on the horizon. In the next 1-2 years, this tool will begin gaining traction among the masses, similar to the rise of artificial intelligence in 2023. It is predicted that in 5 years, RWA technology will reach its peak of popularity.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Random Walk? I Would Rather Have Directions
Too many traders think they are taking a Random Walk through these market streets.
Well this post is to help them define a direction.
Can you use this to target the exact price and day/hour/min? No (well sometimes you can nail it)
But just like the Map App on your phone it will get you within a certain degree of accuracy AND you will definitely generally no where you are in relationship to where you want to be
More to come!!!
EURUSD Trade study short/longTrade study using Asian range.
Trade went below opening candle in London session indicating bullish but wasn't noticed. Price also took the Asian lows before moving up. Price then consolidated before taking the Asian high, then took the recent swing low at lower timeframe indicating out POI. Price then eventually achieved our target Price Asian range low then took Thursdays (Asian high +4) before taking our initial Target (Asian range -1). Trading in Friday is complicated but with proper risk management we was able to take a 1:1.2rr trade
Using proper risk management is always necessary which I didn't do for some reason
NOTE : PRICE ALWAYS MOVES FOR A REASON
How to Start Forex Trading. Step-by-Step Learning Plan
Hey traders,
If you are wondering how to start Forex trading, or you just started to trade, I suggest a 12 weeks intensive learning plan.
Each week will be dedicated to a specific topic. Starting from the basics you will gradually mature and by the end of the intensive you will have a complete trading strategy.
✔️Week 1 - Practice market trend identification
Learn to identify the direction of the trend. Master the recognition of a bullish trend, bearish trend and sideways market.
✔️Week 2 - Practice support and resistance.
Learn to identify key levels. Master support & resistance recognition.
✔️Week 3 - Learn candlestick patterns.
Study classic candlestick formations and practice their recognition.
✔️Week 4 - Learn price action patterns.
Study classic price action patterns: trend-following patterns, reversal patterns and consolidation pattern and learn to recognize them.
By the end of the first month, you will mature the basics of candlestick chart analysis.
✔️Week 5 - Practice supply and demand zones.
Learn to identify supply and demand zones. Learn to combine candlestick analysis with support and resistance to identify the potential reversal zones.
✔️Week 6 - Practice multiple time frame analysis.
Master top-down analysis. Learn to apply all the techniques studied previously on multiple time frames.
✔️Week 7 - Learn different entry strategies.
With all the knowledge being obtained, you can practice different entry techniques. You can try trading candlesticks patterns or price action patterns, or simply key levels. Search what works for you.
✔️Week 8 - Learn risk management.
Of course, entry strategies are not enough for profitable trading. Learn how to set stop loss and how to manage your risks properly.
By the end of the second month, you will have a foundation for a strategy building.
✔️Week 9 - Practice trade management.
Knowing how to enter the trade and how to manage the risks, the next step is to learn how to manage the active position (stop loss trailing, position protection, manual closing, etc.)
✔️Week 10 - Create a trading plan.
Combine all the knowledge that you gained in a structured trading plan.
✔️Week 11 - Follow the strategy.
Be disciplined and follow your rules. Test them and learn to be consistent.
✔️Week 12 - Review your plan.
Following your strategy, you will inevitably find its flaws. Learn to constantly improve it.
By the end of the third month, you will have a complete rule-based trading strategy. Of course, that won't be a perfect strategy, but you will have broad knowledge in technical analysis.
The next 3 months alone should be sacrificed on polishing and improvement of your trading plan.
Try this intensive, traders. I strongly believe that you will see a dramatic improvement in your trading upon its completion.
Intuitive chart: Volume Candles chartHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(Candles chart and Volume Candles chart)
Usually, you see price and volume displayed separately on the chart.
Displaying it this way has the advantage of showing the overall flow, but since it must be viewed separately, it may be difficult to interpret when a quick judgment is required.
In order to trade based on movements in real time, you need to be able to quickly interpret charts.
Therefore, I think it is best to check charts intuitively.
TradingView Charts finally supports Volume Chandles charts.
We combined trading volume with price movements to make it more intuitive and faster to check.
When trading volume is high, the candles appear thick, and when trading volume is low, the candles appear thin.
(Volume Candles chart)
If you add indicators to your chart, you will notice that support and resistance points are more clearly visible.
Starting tomorrow, we will set it up according to the Volume Candles chart and publish it.
Have a good time.
thank you
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Opening Range Breakout StrategyOpening Range Breakout Strategy
The Opening Range Breakout (ORB) is a classic trading strategy designed to capitalise on volatility during the first few minutes following the market's opening bell. Rooted in principles laid down in the 1960s, the strategy remains relevant today for both stock and forex markets. This article dives deep into the ORB strategy and its application in these markets.
Overview of the Opening Range Breakout Trading Strategy
The ORB, or the Opening Range Breakout, is a tried-and-true approach in the world of trading that focuses on the price range established shortly after a market opens. Invented in the 1960s by American trader Arthur Merrill, this strategy has stood the test of time, with variations and adaptations made to suit modern trading environments.
ORB operates on the principle of monitoring price movements within a set time, typically the first 30 minutes after the market opens—common timeframes include 5, 15, and 30 minutes. The strategy zeroes in on the highest and lowest prices reached during this opening range. However, some traders will use the close of the previous trading day as their initial high or low.
Traders keen on trading the opening range breakout pay close attention to these high and low levels, as a breakout or breakdown from these levels can indicate a strong trend.
Using the ORB for Stocks
Trading the Opening Range Breakout in the stock market offers distinct advantages, primarily due to the well-defined opening and closing times of the stock exchanges. These regulated timeframes provide a clear structure for implementing the ORB strategy. Typically, stock traders focus on the initial 5 to 30 minutes post-opening bell to define the range, as this period often captures the essence of market sentiment.
Liquidity is usually high during this time, and volumes are significant, making it easier to enter and exit positions. The strategy is particularly effective in identifying trends early in the trading session. However, it's crucial for traders to also consider the current trend. Looking for entries in the broader trend direction can reduce the odds of being misled by a false breakout.
Using the ORB for Forex
In forex, the Opening Range strategy can also be effectively applied, albeit with some unique considerations. Unlike the stock market, forex operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, with no clearly defined opening or closing times. Despite this, traders can still focus on specific trading sessions—such as the London, New York, or Tokyo sessions—to define an opening range.
Liquidity and trading volume can vary substantially between these sessions, affecting a trader’s success when using the opening range breakout method. Additionally, it's essential to be mindful of currency pairs; each pair may have increased activity and, therefore, more reliable breakouts during the session of its originating country. Lastly, given the almost continuous trading, overnight gaps are rare, making a careful session-based approach critical for forex ORB.
Breakout Strategy
The opening breakout strategy is a widely used approach to capitalise on strong upward or downward movements that break the defined opening range.
To see how it works for yourself, you can head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. There, you’ll be able to explore a wide range of forex and stocks to test this strategy out.
Entry
Traders often monitor the price as it approaches the high or low of the opening range, typically using the 5, 15, and 30-minute charts. The opening range is generally defined as the first 30 minutes of the session.
Entry confirmation typically comes from a candle closing above the high for a bullish breakout or below the low for a bearish one.
Stop Loss
A stop loss is commonly set just below the opening range high for bullish trades or above the low for bearish trades. Factors like market volatility and liquidity are often taken into consideration when placing the stop loss.
Take Profit
The target profit is often set at a distance at a given risk/reward ratio, like 2:1 or 3:1, measured from the entry point to the stop loss.
Consideration is usually given to major support or resistance levels that lie beyond the target, which could affect the trade's success.
Pullback Strategy
The pullback strategy within the ORB framework offers traders an alternative approach that seeks additional confirmation before initiating a trade. This strategy can be particularly useful in markets where false breakouts are common.
Entry
Rather than entering immediately on a breakout, traders often wait for the price to break beyond the opening range and then retrace back to the high or low of that range or to a relevant support or resistance level within the range.
Stop Loss
Stop losses are typically placed a few pips below the low of the range for bullish trades or a few pips above the high for bearish trades to accommodate market noise and volatility.
Take Profit
Profit targets are commonly set based on a risk/reward ratio that aligns with the trader's overall strategy.
These targets may also be adjusted depending on subsequent support or resistance levels.
The Bottom Line
The ORB strategy offers traders a robust framework for capturing significant price movements in both stock and forex markets. Whether opting for the traditional breakout method or the more cautious pullback strategy, understanding the nuances of each market can enhance the ORB's effectiveness. Interested in deploying this strategy? Consider opening an FXOpen account to access a wide selection of markets, rapid execution speeds, and competitive trading costs. Good luck!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trade Like a Sniper - Episode 4 - XAGUSD - (10th May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing XAGUSD, starting from the Monthly chart.
- R2F
EURUSD Short trade entry explanation and trading planIn this video, I want to explain to you why I'm entering the shorts based on my previous analysis. Focus on the FVG and IFVG and liquidity. Don't hesitate to contact me for help I'm always open to answering and clearing the doubts.
Initial idea
Always follow these rules
- Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
HOPE TRADING: This is how you lose big money in tradingHope Trading: How Traders Lose Money in Trading
This image shows how traders lose their money in trading due to hope. Hope is good but also you should believe in your analysis if your SL hits then accept that you are wrong now and should not hope in the wrong direction.
In the world of trading, hope can be both a friend and a foe. While optimism is essential, relying solely on hope can lead to significant losses. Let's explore why:
1. The Power of Hope:
- Hope keeps traders motivated and optimistic.
- It encourages persistence during challenging times.
- However, hope alone is not a winning strategy.
2. The Danger of Blind Hope:
- Traders often cling to hope even when their analysis suggests otherwise.
- Ignoring stop-loss (SL) levels due to hope can be disastrous.
- Hope can blind us to market realities.
3. Balancing Hope and Analysis:
- Believe in your analysis, but remain open to adjusting your strategy.
- If your SL is hit, accept that you were wrong and cut your losses.
- Avoid hoping for a miraculous turnaround.
4. Risk Management:
- Set clear risk limits and stick to them.
- Use SL orders to protect your capital.
- Hope should never override risk management rules.
Remember, hope is valuable, but it must be grounded in sound analysis and risk management.
Thanks
Happy Trading
A Winning Trade ExplainedIn the video I explain my approach to the market and how I use 'trade sizing' to manage my risk in the initial part of the US session.
I walk through the price action for the NASDAQ and why I traded short and then flipped long. I explain the concept of sizing with regards to trade management and then how I 'SIZE UP' when I have conviction to end with a profitable session.
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