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Trend Analysis

From Beginner to Pro - The Evolution of a Trader Hey traders, In this educational article, we will discuss 3 stages of the evolution of a trader . Stage 1 - Unprofitable trader 😞 The unprofitable trader has very typical characteristics: -total absence of trading skills Most of the time, people open a live account simply after completing some beginners course like on babypips website. Being sure that the obtained knowledge are completely enough to start trading, they quickly face the tough reality. -no trading plan Having just basic knowledge, of course, they do not have a trading plan. Why the hell to have it if everything is so simple?! All their actions on the market is just gambling. They open the positions randomly most of the time, simply relying on intuition. -poor risk management In 99% percent of the time, the unprofitable trader does not even think about risk management. The position sizing, stop placement and target selection are completely neglected. Trading performance of the unprofitable traders is characterized by small wins and substantial losses and negatively trending equity. Stage 2 - Boom and bust trader 😶 Usually, traders reach boom and bust stage after 1-2 years of unprofitable trading. At some moment, winning trades start to compensate losing trades, brining non-trending equity. Such traders have very common traits: -not polished trading plan Being unprofitable for so long, traders start to realize the significance of a trading plan. Sticking to the set of rules, they notice positive changes in their trading performance. However, trading plan requires to be polished and modified. It takes many years for a trader to identify all its drawbacks before it starts bringing net profits. -lack of confidence When one starts following a trading system, confidence plays a substantial role. The fact is that even the best trading strategy in the world occasionally produces negative results. In order to not give up and keep following such a system, one needs to build trust in that. The confidence that after a series of losing trades, the strategy will manage to recover. Such a trust can be built after many years of trading that strategy. Stage 3 - Profitable trader ☺️ That is the final destination. After many years of a struggling trading, one finally sees positively-trending equity. Winning trades start to outperform losing ones, leading to consistent account growth. Profitable trader is characterized by iron discipline, confidence and consistency. He knows what he is trading, when and why. His trading plan is polished, he fully controls his emotions. He never stops learning and constantly develops his strategy. Knowing the 3 stages of the evolution of a trader, one can easily identify at what stage he currently is. That will help to identify the things to be focused on to move to the next stage. At what stages are you at the moment?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
The ''Pulse'' of an asset times Fibonacci: Chapter 2Every move in a price chart starts with an ''Impulse'', imagine it like a ''Pebble''. When the Pebble hits water it creates ''Ripples'' that are captured by the Fib Series. Each Ripple has equal distances between peaks and troughs, or what I call the ''Pulse''. Each Line has Gravity. Each Line must be Tested. Each Line has a Personality. Every Asset Class behaves this way. Every Time Frame shows these ripples. Every Human Brain is susceptible to them. This is a followup to my previous tutorial linked below. That one has gotten very long with so many updates as examples. PLEASE spend some time on the numerous examples in the first publication below:
COINBASE:LTCUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
4
STOP asking this dangerous two word questionWhat if? This simple two word question is a psychological trap that traders often encounter. And it does nothing more than undermine their decision-making process and overall trading performance. This question will open a box of doubts, hypotheticals, and second-guessing. This can paralyze action, distort risk assessment, and divert focus from the present to an endless maze of unrealized possibilities. Let’s look into the psychological effects and what you can do to stop it from creeping in. Psychological Impact #1: Doubt and Hesitation Constantly questioning “What if?” introduces doubt into the decision-making process. For traders, you need to make decisions quickly and with confidence. If you have any hesitation when you take a trade, it can lead to missed opportunities or entering positions at less than optimal prices. #2: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) “What if this stock skyrockets after I sell?” “What if this stock isn’t ideal?” What if this trade hits my stop loss?” This type of questioning can lead to either: ~ Holding positions too long. ~ Not holding positions long enough. ~ Not taking the trade. ~ Or missing great opportunities that come your way. #3: Overtrading Conversely, the fear of missing out can also lead to overtrading. “What if this is the next big opportunity?” Regardless on whether the trade lined up or not. You might be compelled to jump into trades without proper analysis or strategy. This will increase your trades, costs and your exposure to risk. #4: Regret and Rumination Traders who focus on “What if?” scenarios may dwell on past decisions, and this could lead to regret and rumination. This backward-looking perspective can hinder the ability to learn from mistakes and make more informed decisions in the future. So let’s try prevent the WHAT IF? Scenario. Don’t you think? Managing “What If?” in Trading #1: Develop a Trading Plan Make sure you have a clear, well-thought-out trading plan. This will help you to minimise second-guessing. If you have pre-defined entry, exit, and risk management rules in advance, you’ll be able to reduce the temptation to ask “What if?” and instead focus on executing your strategy. #2: Embrace Risk Management When you understand and accept the inherent risks of trading can alleviate the stress of “What if?” questions. Effective risk management will help ensure you to prepare for all types of outcomes. And you’ll handle your losses without deviating from your strategy. #3: Stay Present You need to be in the NOW moment. This way you’ll be able to avoid the trap of hypotheticals. Ask the questions: Has my trading system aligned? What is my daily and weekly bias? #4: Accept Uncertainty Recognise that market conditions are inherently unpredictable as I’ve mentioned many times. The only thing you should have your mind set to are the probabilities and possibilities of trades lining up. No outcomes can be foreseen or controlled. All you can do is follow your strategy accordingly and forget about the prompt “WHAT IF?”. Final words: I think I have covered all the ways you need to stop worrying about the unknown. You need to stop asking “WHAT IF?”. And start saying “NOW DO”. Let’s sum up why we would ask the hypothetical question when we trade: #1: Doubt and Hesitation #2: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) #3: Overtrading #4: Regret and Rumination Managing “What If?” in Trading #1: Develop a Trading Plan #2: Embrace Risk Management #3: Stay Present #4: Accept Uncertainty
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
Analysis of Currency Correlations in Forex TradingAnalysis of Currency Correlations in Forex Trading Navigating the complex landscape of forex trading requires a nuanced understanding of currency correlations. This article discusses the various aspects of the concept, from its definition to practical applications in the world of forex trading. Understanding Forex Currency Correlation Acknowledging the correlation concept may help traders get a better understanding of forex market conditions and aid in the planning of their trades. Currency correlations refer to the statistical relationship between different currency pairs, revealing how they tend to move in relation to each other. This concept is grounded in the idea that the values of currencies can be influenced by common factors such as economic indicators, interest rates, and market sentiment. Historical and Dynamic Correlations Observing the historical and dynamic relation between forex pairs that correlate provides a nuanced perspective on the evolving nature of market relationships. Historical price data shows the patterns and trends over time, offering insights into how pairs have moved in relation to each other in various market conditions. On the other hand, dynamic correlations acknowledge the ever-changing nature of financial markets. Influencing Factors Economic indicators of a country, such as inflation rates and employment figures, serve as fundamental drivers influencing the strength or weakness of its currency. Also central to the landscape are interest rates, with decisions made by central banks impacting currency values significantly. Market sentiment also contributes to the ebb and flow of currency interrelations. Interpreting Currency Correlations The relationship between currency pairs can vary in terms of intensity and duration. Let’s explore how traders measure correlations and which aspects they need to consider. Identifying Strong and Weak Relationships The correlation coefficient is the technical indicator that quantifies the degree to which two currency pairs move in relation to each other. A reading close to +1 indicates a strong positive correlation, while a coefficient near -1 signifies a strong negative correlation. An indicator reading near 0 suggests a weak or non-existent correlation. Correlation Between Forex Pairs May Change Over Time Major economic shifts and events can alter the relationships between currency pairs. The usual negative correlation can transform into a positive one, showcasing how economic turbulence can reshape established relationships. For example, AUD/USD and GBP/USD pairs have a strong positive correlation on the daily chart, which becomes neutral on the weekly timeframe. If we consider a monthly period, the correlation will become positive again. Correlations can manifest differently over various timeframes. Short-term correlations may be influenced by daily economic releases or unexpected events, while long-term correlations may be shaped by broader economic trends, including adjustments in a country's interest rates, alterations in monetary policies, or a combination of economic and political events. Short-term correlations may guide intraday or swing trading, while long-term correlations can influence position trading and investment decisions. The suitability of timeframes is closely tied to the chosen forex correlation strategies. Tools and Resources for Currency Correlations Analysis In addition to the correlation coefficient, there may be custom indicators to calculate and display currency correlations. These indicators can be programmed to suit your specific needs and preferences. Charting platforms equipped with customisation features also enable the simultaneous visualisation of multiple pairs, aiding in the identification of patterns and trends. Forex correlation matrices, available on various trading platforms, offer a comprehensive overview of the interdependencies of currency pairs. Types of Currency Pair Correlation The relative movements of forex pairs can be discussed from two different perspectives. Below, we delve into that matter, offering some practical examples. Currency Correlations While analysing the interrelationship between currency pairs, traders distinguish between three types of correlation. Positive: EUR/USD and GBP/USD A positive relationship is when two currency pairs move in the same direction. Over a specific period, when the EUR/USD experiences an upward movement, the GBP/USD also tends to rise correspondingly. Negative: GBP/USD and USD/JPY Negative correlations indicate movement in opposite directions. For example, when the USD/JPY experiences an upward trend, the GBP/USD tends to exhibit a downward movement, and vice versa. Neutral: EUR/GBP and AUD/CAD This is the case when there is no systematic relation between the exchange rates of the two currencies. The chart below shows that the price movements of EUR/GBP and AUD/CAD currency pairs do not exhibit a consistent pattern of moving in the same or opposite directions. Curious about how other pairs move in relation to each other? Visit FXOpen and try out TickTrader’s free charting tools. Intermarket Correlations In addition to currency pairs, intermarket correlations explore the interconnected relationships between various financial assets. For instance, the relative price movements between currency pairs and commodities or equity markets can influence forex trading strategies. Traders always consider these broader market dynamics to make informed trading decisions. Risk Management By identifying pairs with negative correlations, traders can potentially offset losses in one position with gains in another through a good hedging strategy. Positive patterns, on the other hand, can help confirm trends and reinforce trading strategies. Incorporating correlations into risk management strategies may help traders assess the overall risk exposure of their portfolios more accurately. Challenges and Limitations One challenge lies in the dynamic nature of correlations, which can shift unpredictably in response to economic events or changing market sentiment. Over-reliance on historical data poses a risk, as past patterns may not necessarily repeat in the future. Additionally, currency pairs are influenced by various global markets, while liquidity issues in certain currency pairs may affect the reliability of the patterns identified, particularly in times of heightened market volatility. Takeaway Understanding currency correlations is one of the key components in designing forex strategies. While their analysis offers valuable insights, a broader approach that considers various other market factors is essential for effective performance in forex trading. Ready to try your forex strategies? You can open an FXOpen account today! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
Exploring Ilian Yotov's Quarter Point Theory: Refine Your Entry The quarters theory challenges the notion that financial markets are chaotic and that market prices are random by demonstrating constant orderly movement of price from one Quarter point to the next. In this publication, I will delve into the fundamentals of Yotov's Quarter Point Theory, its significance, and how it can be applied effectively in forex trading. What is Quarter Point Theory by Ilian Yotov? Ilian Yotov's Quarter Point Theory is a technical analysis strategy used in forex trading to identify potential entry and exit points. The theory is based on the observation that currency prices tend to gravitate towards specific levels known as "quarter points," which are key psychological and technical levels in the market. Key Concepts of Quarter Point Theory • Quarter Points: These are price levels that divide a currency pair's price range into four equal parts. For example, if a currency pair is trading between 1.2000 and 1.3000, the quarter points would be 1.2250, 1.2500, and 1.2750. • Psychological Levels: Quarter points often act as psychological barriers where traders tend to place buy or sell orders, causing price reactions at these levels. • Support and Resistance: Quarter points can act as support and resistance levels, where prices may consolidate, reverse, or experience significant movement. Identifying Quarter Points To apply Quarter Point Theory, traders need to identify the high and low of a currency pair's price range. These values are then divided into quarters to determine the quarter points. The quarters theory focuses on the 1000 pip range between major whole numbers in currency exchange. Each 1000 pip range can be divided into 4 equal parts called Large Quarters Each Large quarter has exactly 250 pips (1000/4 =250). A Large Quarter Point (LQP) is a price that marks the beginning and the end of each Large Quarter (250 pips range). Large Quarter Points that coincide with Major whole numbers are called Major Large Quarter Points (MLQP). MLQP signals the end of a 1000 PIP range and the beginning of a new 1000 pip range. A Major Small Quarter point is simple the number that coincides with a whole number, for example, 1.30, 1.31, 1.32, 1.33, 1.34…. Each of these numbers mark the beginning of a 100 pip range. Here is an illustration of this: Using Quarter Points in Forex When you study price around this theory, you may notice that price has a tendency to print the high of the day or low of the day around quarter point levels. Here is a example of this over a 5 day period on EURUSD: With this new-found knowledge, you could integrate this into your strategy. Once you have a directional bias for the day and you have an AOI for entry, you simply need to identify the quarter point within that range and anticipate a reaction at that level. For a deeper dive into this theory, I highly recommend reading the original work by Ilian Yotov's. If you would like a free pdf copy, drop me a message or leave a comment, I'd be happy to share this with you. Happy Trading
Education
by Pips4Breakfastx
Best Technical Indicator to Identify Liquidity Zones Liquidity zones are the essential element of Smart Money trading . These zones provide the safest and the most accurate trading opportunities. The problem is, however, that it is quite complicated for the newbie traders to identify these zones properly. But there is ONE technical indicator that can help. In this article, I will show you the best technical indicator for the identification of liquidity zones. This technical indicator is called Volume profile. Adding that on your chart, you should look for low volume and high volume nodes. High volume nodes indicate the price levels on the chart where big volumes were traded and a high activity of the market participants occurred. The indicator plots 3 significant volume spikes. These are 3 high volume nodes. After you identified high volume nodes, you should analyse a price action and recognize related historical structures. By related structures, I mean historical levels that were respected by the market and from where significant price movements initiated. When you underlined these structures, you should consider the wicks and candle closes. Low volume nodes indicate the price levels on the chart where it has been relatively little trading activity and limited participation from market participants. These zones indicate a lack of liquidity , which can impact the ease of price movement in those areas. Here are 2 low volume nodes that I spotted. After you spotted low volume nodes, you should analyse a price action and recognize related historical structures. Here are the liquidity zones that are based on low volume nodes. Again, these areas are based on wicks and candle closes. These 5 area will be the important liquidity zones from where Smart Money trader can look for trading opportunities. Learn to recognize liquidity zones properly and improve your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Options Blueprint Series: Backspreads as a Portfolio Hedge1. Introduction Backspreads are a versatile options strategy as they allow traders to benefit from significant moves in the underlying asset, particularly when there is an expectation of increased volatility. 2. Understanding Backspreads A backspread is an advanced options strategy involving the sale of a small number of options and the purchase of a larger number of out-of-the-money options. This setup creates a position that benefits from large price movements in the underlying asset. 3. Generic Uses of Backspreads Backspreads offer traders a flexible tool to capitalize on significant price movements and shifts in market volatility. Here are some common uses: Market Sentiment Alignment: Bullish Sentiment (Call Backspreads): Traders use call backspreads when they expect a significant upward move. This strategy involves selling a smaller number of lower-strike call options and buying a larger number of higher-strike call options. Bearish Sentiment (Put Backspreads): Conversely, put backspreads are used when traders anticipate a significant downward move. This involves selling a smaller number of higher-strike put options and buying a larger number of lower-strike put options. Volatility Trading: Backspreads are particularly useful in trading volatility. They create positions with positive Vega, meaning they benefit from increases in implied volatility. This makes backspreads an excellent choice during times of market uncertainty or expected volatility spikes. 4. Hedging an Equity Portfolio using with S&P 500 Futures Put Backspreads Put backspreads offer an effective way to hedge a long equity portfolio against sharp downward moves. By setting up a put backspread, traders can create a position that not only provides downside protection but also benefits from increased market volatility. Setting Up a Put Backspread for Hedging: Sell 1 OTM Put: The initial step involves selling one out-of-the-money (OTM) put option. This option will generate a premium, which can be used to offset the cost of the puts that will be purchased. Buy 2 Lower OTM Puts: Next, purchase two lower OTM put options. These options will provide the necessary downside protection. Depending on the strike selected, the cost of these puts will be fully or partially covered by the premium received from selling the higher-strike put. Constructing a Positive Vega Position: The structure of the put backspread results in a position with positive Vega. This characteristic is particularly valuable as volatility typically rises during periods of sharp declines. Risk Profile: Below is the risk profile of a put backspread used for hedging purposes as described in section #6 below. 5. Market Scenarios Understanding how a put backspread behaves under different market scenarios is crucial for effective trade management and risk mitigation. Here, we explore the potential outcomes: Market Moving Up or Staying the Same: Flat P&L If the market moves up or remains around the current level, the put backspread will likely expire worthless. Market Moving Down Sharply: Increased Profitability If the market experiences a sharp decline, the put backspread would potentially become profitable. Impact of Increased Volatility: Enhanced Gains A rise in implied volatility benefits the put backspread as higher volatility increases the value of the bought puts more than the sold put, adding to the overall profitability of the strategy. Maximum Risk and Trade Management: Maximum Risk: Limited to the difference between the strike prices minus the net credit received (or plus the net debit paid). Trade Management: It is essential to actively manage the position. 6. Trade Example To illustrate the application of a put backspread as a hedge, let's consider a detailed trade example using S&P 500 Futures Options. Trade Rationale: Current Market Condition: The S&P 500 Futures have just created a new all-time high, indicating that the market is at a crucial juncture. From this point, the market could either continue its upward trajectory or experience a severe change of direction. Implied Volatility (VIX): The VIX, which measures the implied volatility of options, is currently very low at 11.99. This low volatility environment makes it an ideal time to enter a backspread, as any future increase in volatility will significantly benefit the position. Trade Setup: Underlying Asset: S&P 500 Futures Current Price: 5447 Strategy: Put Backspread Expiration Date: December 2024 Specifics: Sell 1 OTM Put: Sell 1 4600 put option Buy 2 Lower OTM Puts: Buy 2 4100 put options Entry Price: Sell 1 4600 Put: Receive $2,160 premium per contract (43.2 points) Buy 2 4100 Puts: Pay $1,068.5 premium each; total $2,137 for two contracts (21.37 points x 2) Net Cost: The net cost of the backspread is the premium paid for the bought puts minus the premium received from the sold put. Net Cost: $2,137 (paid) - $2,160 (received) = $23 net credit As seen below, we are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. Maximum Risk: 500 – 0.46 = 499.54 points (distance between strike prices minus the net credit received). 7. Importance of Risk Management Risk management is a fundamental aspect of successful trading and investing. It involves identifying, analyzing, and mitigating potential risks to protect capital and maximize returns. When implementing a put backspread as a portfolio hedge, understanding and applying robust risk management practices is crucial. Using Stop Loss Orders and Hedging Techniques: Stop Loss Orders: Placing stop loss orders helps limit potential losses by automatically closing a position when the market reaches a certain price level. This ensures that losses do not exceed a predetermined amount, providing a safety net against adverse market movements. Hedging Techniques: Utilizing hedging strategies, such as combining put backspreads with other options or futures contracts, can provide additional layers of protection. This approach can help manage risk more effectively by diversifying exposure and reducing the impact of unfavorable market conditions. Importance of Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure: Defined Risk Strategies: Employing strategies with clearly defined risk parameters, such as put backspreads, ensures that potential losses are limited and known in advance. This contrasts with strategies that expose traders to unlimited risk, which can lead to catastrophic losses. Position Sizing: Properly sizing positions based on risk tolerance and account size is essential. This involves calculating the maximum potential loss and ensuring it aligns with the trader's risk management plan. Precise Entries and Exits: Entry Points: Entering trades at optimal levels, based on technical analysis, support and resistance and UFO levels, and market conditions, enhances the probability of success. In the case of put backspreads, entering when volatility is low and market conditions are favorable increases the potential for profitability. Exit Points: Setting clear exit points, including profit targets and stop loss levels, helps manage risk and lock in gains. Regularly reviewing and adjusting these levels based on market developments ensures that positions remain aligned with the trader's overall strategy. Continuous Monitoring and Adjustment: Regular Review: Continuously monitoring market conditions, position performance, and risk parameters is essential for effective risk management. This involves staying informed about economic events, market trends, and changes in volatility. Adjustments: Making timely adjustments to positions, such as rolling options, adjusting stop loss levels, or hedging with additional instruments, helps manage risk dynamically and adapt to changing market conditions. By incorporating these risk management practices, traders can effectively use put backspreads to hedge their portfolios and protect against significant market downturns. 8. Conclusion In summary, put backspreads offer a powerful tool for hedging long equity portfolios, especially in low volatility environments and/or when markets are at all-time highs. By understanding the mechanics of put backspreads, their application in various market scenarios, and the importance of active risk management, traders can enhance their ability to protect their investments and capitalize on market opportunities. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: BTC at A.T.H. Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water. "Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy. "Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket. Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power? Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy. Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several. Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below) Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
Brilliant Basics - Part 1: Trendlines"Champions are brilliant at the basics." - John Robert Wooden, legendary basketball coach. In trading, just like in sports, mastering the fundamentals forms the foundations for exceptional performance. Welcome to the first part of our educational series, Brilliant Basics . In this series, we'll explore how mastering the fundamentals lays the groundwork for achieving high-level performance in trading. Today, we focus on trendlines, a crucial tool for any trader aiming to understand market momentum. Simple Elegance Trendlines are so simple in their design that their importance can often be dismissed. A child could map the swings of a market and tell you whether the line was upward or downward sloping. Yet, this simplicity is precisely what gives trendlines their potency. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The elegance of trendlines lies in their ability to distil market movements into an easily interpretable format. This simplicity does not mean they lack depth; rather, it means they are accessible to all traders, regardless of experience level. Here’s why their simplicity is so important: Clarity in Chaos: Markets can be noisy and unpredictable, but trendlines help to bring order to this chaos. If drawn correctly, they provide a clear visual representation of the market’s overall direction and volatility. Universal Application: Trendlines can be applied to any market, on any timeframe. Whether you are trading stocks, commodities, or forex, trendlines work the same way, making them a universal tool in a trader's toolkit. Consistent Feedback: Trendlines offer immediate visual feedback on price action. If a trendline is respected by the market, it reinforces your analysis. If it is broken, it signals a potential change in momentum or trend. How to Draw Trendlines Correctly Drawing trendlines might seem straightforward, but there are specific guidelines to ensure they are both accurate and useful: 1. Identify Swings: Begin by identifying the swing highs and swing lows on your chart. For an uptrend line, connect at least two higher lows. For a downtrend line, connect at least two lower highs. Ensure these points are significant swings and not minor fluctuations. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Avoid Cutting Prices: A trendline should not intersect any price action between the points it connects. Drawing a trendline that cuts through price bars undermines its validity and the potential insights it can offer. The line should clearly touch the chosen swing points without cutting through the price action in between. Draw multiple high quality trendlines rather than a ‘line of best fit’. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Consistency: Maintain a consistent approach when drawing trendlines. Use the same criteria for identifying swing points and avoid forcing a trendline to fit the data. This consistency helps in making objective and reliable trading decisions. Trendline Fans and Their Insights A single trendline can offer valuable insights, but using multiple trendlines—forming a trendline fan—can provide a deeper understanding of market momentum and potential changes in trend. Rising Momentum: In an uptrend, if the subsequent trendlines are steeper, it indicates increasing momentum. Each steeper line shows that buyers are stepping in more aggressively. However, should trendlines increase in steepness exponentially this leaves the trend vulnerable to exhaustion. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Ebbing Momentum: Conversely, if the subsequent trendlines in an uptrend are less steep, it indicates decreasing momentum. This situation suggests that while prices are still rising, the strength of the upward movement is waning. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Practical Applications Understanding the simplicity of trendlines enhances their practical application in trading. Here’s how you can leverage their elegance: Momentum Assessment: As we’ve seen with the trendline fans, the steepness of a trendline or progressive steepness of a trendline fan can give a valuable real-time insight into market momentum. Support and Resistance: Trendlines act as dynamic support and resistance levels. In an uptrend, the trendline or trendline fan serves as a support levels where price may bounce back up upon testing. In a downtrend, the trendline acts as resistance, where price might reverse downward upon touching. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Entry Signals: Trendline breaks can serve as entry signals, especially when used on multiple timeframes. A break above a downtrend line on a lower timeframe, in-line with a bigger picture uptrend could create an attractive buying opportunity. The inverse is true with a break below an ascending trendline on a lower timeframe. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Exit Signals: Trendline breaks can serve as exit signals. A break below an uptrend line or multiple uptrend lines in a trendline fan might indicate a potential reversal and an exit point. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Summary: The simple elegance of trendlines makes them an indispensable tool in technical analysis. Their straightforward nature belies the depth of information they can provide, making them accessible yet useful. By mastering the basics of drawing and interpreting trendlines, traders can gain a clearer understanding of market trends and make more informed trading decisions. As we continue our Brilliant Basics series, stay tuned for Part 2, where we will explore support and resistance levels. Understanding this fundamental concept will further enhance your ability to identify potential reversal zones. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 80.84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by Capitalcom
5
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe! Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics: Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong): The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market. European Session (London): The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session. 3. North American Session (New York): The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active. 4. Best Times to Trade: To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions. Best Days to Trade While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays. By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions. Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]All you need for Order types in FX Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Understanding the various order types in forex trading is essential for navigating the market efficiently and executing trades effectively. Here's a concise overview of some common order types: 1. Market Order: This order is executed immediately at the current market price. It is used when a trader wants to enter or exit a trade quickly. More of for Day Trading - A trader might use market orders to quickly enter and exit positions based on real-time news events or technical signals. Live example > A trader sees a positive European's news release and expects a quick upward move in the EUR/USD pair. They use a market order to buy EUR/USD at the current price of 1.1950, aiming to sell it later in the day at a higher price based on the expected market reaction. 2. Limit Order: A limit order allows traders to specify the price at which they want to enter or exit a trade. It's used to buy below the current market price or sell above it, ensuring entry or exit at a specific price level or better. For example for Swing Trading - A trader might place a buy limit order at a support level, expecting the price to bounce back up, or a sell limit order at a resistance level, expecting the price to fall. Live Example > A trader identifies strong support for USD/JPY at 110.50 and places a buy limit order at this price, expecting the price to rebound. When the market price dips to 110.50, the order is executed, and the trader aims to sell at 111.50. 3. Stop Order(Stop-Loss Order): A stop order becomes a market order once a specified price level is reached. It's commonly used to limit losses or protect profits by triggering a trade when the market moves in a certain direction. This, in my opinion should be used as Risk Management for all traders - A trader sets a stop-loss order below the entry price for a long position or above the entry price for a short position to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position. Live Example > A trader buys GBP/USD at 1.3500, anticipating a rise. To protect against unexpected drops, they place a stop-loss order at 1.3450. If the price falls to 1.3450, the order executes, limiting the trader's loss to 50 pips. 4. Stop-Limit Order: A stop-limit order combines features of both stop and limit orders. It triggers a limit order to buy or sell at a specified price once the stop price is reached, offering more control over entry and exit prices. More of for Advanced Trading - A trader might use a stop-limit order to ensure they enter a position only if the price reaches a certain level but still want to control the maximum price they are willing to pay. Live Example: A trader wants to buy EUR/GBP only if it breaks above 0.8500 but not pay more than 0.8520. They place a stop-limit order with a stop price of 0.8500 and a limit price of 0.8520. If the price hits 0.8500, the order becomes a limit order, executing only if the price is 0.8520 or lower. 5. Trailing Stop Order: A trailing stop order is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts automatically as the market price moves in the trader's favor. It helps lock in profits while allowing for potential further gains. For Trend Following - A trader might use a trailing stop order to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor, allowing the stop price to trail the market price and protect gains if the market reverses. A trader buys USD/CAD at 1.3000 and sets a trailing stop order with a 50-pip trail. As the price rises to 1.3100, the trailing stop adjusts to 1.3050. If the price then falls to 1.3050, the order executes, locking in a 50-pip profit. Hopefully these explanations on the various Trading Orders open you up to more strategies that you can applied in the market for you to trade more efficiently and profitably! Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
What Does FOMO Mean in Trading?What Does FOMO Mean in Trading? FOMO, or the fear of missing out, is a common emotion that traders experience. It is more than just an internet slang term. This powerful phenomenon can have a negative impact on trading decisions, leading to impulsive actions and poor risk management. This FXOpen article explores the psychology of FOMO, discusses how to identify it in trading, and shares strategies you may use to overcome it. FOMO: What Does It Mean? FOMO meaning in trading can be explained as follows: it is the psychological need for validation and the fear of being left behind. It can stem from various feelings and emotions, including greed, jealousy, and impatience. The Social Proof When traders see others making quick profits or getting on the next big trend, they often feel compelled to jump in as well. From newsworthy events to something as simple as a conversation with another trader, there are many things that can kick off a bout of FOMO. This phenomenon is closely tied to social proof, where people look to others for guidance, especially in uncertain situations. People tend to follow the actions of others to conform to social norms. Traders who give in to FOMO are essentially following the crowd without fully understanding the risks involved. The Fear of Regret The fear of regret is another force behind FOMO. Traders worry that if they miss out on a potentially profitable trade, they’ll regret it later. This fear can cloud their judgement and lead to hasty decisions. It can be amplified by social media and trading forums, where traders may see others boasting about their profits and feel pressure to keep up. It’s important to remember that hindsight bias often magnifies the perception of missed opportunities, making the fear of regret an even more significant driving force behind impulsive trading actions. Real-Life Examples Emotions have influenced market behaviour in many real-life situations. FOMO in the stock market is very typical. For example, during the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, investors rushed to buy stocks from the technology sector, driving up prices to unsustainable levels. Similarly, during the GameStop short squeeze of 2021, retail traders on Reddit’s Wallstreetbets forum drove up the price of the stock. As a result of this situation, GameStop stock rose nearly 2,000% in less than a month. And then, it all came crashing down, leading to significant losses for some investors. The cryptocurrency* market has witnessed countless FOMO-induced rallies when many invested in highly speculative assets without proper due diligence. A classic example is the sharp rise of Bitcoin in 2017. When the price soared, the fear of missing out on the benefits gripped many, leading to a buying frenzy, and shortly thereafter, prices plummeted. Identifying FOMO in Trading A FOMO trader’s experience looks like this: A trader hears news of astounding profits or very attractive opportunities. Greed and excitement encourage them to buy overpriced assets as much as possible. When the prices fall, fear or even anxiety forces the trader to sell at a loss. The trader becomes impatient, and the cycle repeats. To avoid falling into this trap and losing money on ill-considered purchases and sales, it is essential to understand when FOMO appears in decision-making. This can be done by assessing the key features of behaviour associated with this emotion. Common signs include: Making impulsive trades without proper analysis or risk management. Following the crowd and making decisions based on what others are doing. Feeling anxious or stressed about missing out on opportunities. Overtrading or taking on too much risk in an attempt to catch up. Self-awareness is key to recognising FOMO-driven actions. Traders take the time to reflect on their motivations before making any trading decisions. If you feel like you need to take a “now or never” action, have a break, write down the idea and emotion in a notebook, and try to use techniques to control your emotions. If, after that, the desire to buy or sell the asset remains and can be logically explained, do it. Fear can appear in trading any asset; for example, there is FOMO in forex, in stock trading, FOMO in commodities, and more. It doesn’t apply to only one type of trading. To avoid it, you need to analyse the market thoroughly and plan your actions. This is where the TickTrader platform can help you. There, users can find the most advanced analysis tools and charts free of charge. The Consequences of FOMO Succumbing to FOMO can have significant negative consequences. Traders who act on FOMO may make decisions that are not based on sound analysis, leading to poor performance over time. Let’s consider the main consequences. Traders who act on FOMO tend to make more trades than necessary, resulting in higher transaction costs and increased exposure to market risks. FOMO often leads to neglecting risk management strategies. Traders may avoid setting stop-loss orders or ignore position sizing rules, which can amplify the impact of losses when they occur. FOMO-driven decisions can lead to buying at inflated prices and selling at rock bottom, eroding capital and diminishing confidence. How to Overcome FOMO Now that you know FOMO meaning on the stock and forex market, let’s find out how to deal with it. To overcome FOMO, traders can: Have a well-designed trading plan. Develop a clear and comprehensive trading plan that outlines your strategies, risk tolerance, and position sizing. Avoid making impulsive trades based on social proof or fear of regret. Practise self-awareness and reflect on emotions and motivations before making any trading decisions. Use risk management techniques to limit losses. Set stop-loss orders and limit your position sizes to protect your capital. It’s important to remember that FOMO affects traders of all levels and can be difficult to overcome. However, with practice and discipline, traders can learn to manage their emotions and make more rational decisions. Final Thoughts FOMO is a common emotion that traders experience, but it can have a negative impact on results. The consequences of FOMO emphasise the need for self-reflection. By using risk management techniques, traders can overcome FOMO and make more rational decisions. Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint, so you need time, discipline, and consistency. With this knowledge, you can open an FXOpen account and start your journey. And if you want to learn more about the psychology of traders, study our blog. There, we’ve collected everything you need. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
3
Why longer term charts are importantI took a look at the weekly gold/silver ratio and noticed a few significant patterns. For example, there was a notable acceleration downward following the break of a 3-year uptrend a couple of weeks ago. Additionally, there is support at the 74.65/63 level, which has been in place since January 2022. This observation reminded me of the importance of examining long-term charts, regardless of your trading time frame. Longer-term charts provide essential context and clarity that short-term charts often lack. Why everyone should be looking at longer term charts: 1. Identifying Trends Long-term charts help in identifying significant trends that might not be visible in short-term data. 2. Smoothing Out Volatility Short-term data is often noisy, with frequent fluctuations that can obscure the underlying pattern. Long-term charts smooth out this volatility, providing a clearer picture of the fundamental movement and reducing the influence of random, short-term events. 3. Contextualizing Current Movements Long-term charts place current price or economic movements in a broader context. This helps investors and analysts understand whether a recent change is part of a larger trend or not. 4. Historical Comparisons These charts allow for comparisons with past periods, making it possible to identify cycles, recurring patterns, and historical precedents. This historical perspective can be invaluable for forecasting future movements and making informed predictions. 5. Assessing Risk and Reward By examining long-term performance, investors can better assess the potential risks and rewards of an investment. Understanding how an asset has performed over various market cycles helps in evaluating its stability and growth potential. 6. Avoiding Emotional Bias Short-term market movements can evoke strong emotional responses, leading to impulsive decisions. Long-term charts provide a more detached view, helping investors stay focused on long-term objectives and avoid reacting to short-term market noise. Conclusion In summary, long-term charts offer a comprehensive view that is critical for understanding trends, reducing noise, contextualizing current events, making historical comparisons, assessing risk, avoiding emotional decisions, developing strategies, and analysing economic cycles. They are an indispensable tool for anyone involved in financial markets or economic analysis, providing the clarity and perspective necessary for informed decision-making. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Editors' picks
GEducation
by The_STA
7
How To Grow A Forex or Crypto Acc Scalping A 5m Time FrameIn this video, we delve into a high-probability scalping strategy, building upon the concepts introduced in our previous videos on developing a trading plan and risk management. This third installment in the series focuses on refining entry points for high-probability trades. We explore a basic trend continuation strategy on the 4-hour time frame, then zoom in on the 5-minute time frame to identify specific price action that provides a precise entry point. Our approach involves identifying when price action begins to trade sideways, forming a range on the 5m time frame, and waiting for signs of volatility, where price takes out stop losses above or below the range. Once this occurs, the trend typically sets up on the lower time frame, allowing us to enter our trade on the 5-minute chart. We always place stops above or below the previous high, targeting the previous price swing. Please note that this video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.
Editors' picks
Education
by tradingwithanthony
10
How To Scalp or Day Trade XAUUSD. Scalping Strategy 15m. In this video, we explore a high-probability scalping and/or day trading strategy for XAUUSD (Gold), building upon concepts introduced in our previous videos about trading plan development and risk management. This installment focuses on refining entry points for high-probability trades. Initially, we analyze a basic trend continuation strategy on the 4-hour time frame. Subsequently, we zoom in on the 15-minute time frame to pinpoint specific price action that offers precise entry opportunities. Our approach involves identifying sideways price action, forming a range, and patiently waiting for signs of volatility. Once liquidity is hit above or below the range, the trend often establishes itself on the lower time frame, allowing us to execute trades on the 15-minute chart. As always, please note that this video serves an educational purpose and should not be considered financial advice.” 🚀📊
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by tradingwithanthony
Implementing SEASONAL TENDENCIESHi guys, In this video I go through what are "seasonal tendencies", and how you can implement it into your analysis and strategy(ies). Seasonal tendencies in the context of financial markets are basically what the particular market or asset has historically done throughout the years in terms of bullish or bearish movement. For example, in April-May the US Dollar is usually bearish, and from May-June it is usually bullish. This is useful information because it can add confluence to your bias/analysis. However, you do not want to solely use this information as a reason to get into a trade. The data is based on the past, and is not indicative to the present/future and also does not represent how much a market or asset can move because the data is only measured relative to what it has previously done. The best approach is to use this as an additional thumbs up if it coincides with your analysis, and if it does, then it allows you to be a bit more cautious or risk averse. A simple analogy is the weather. If you were planning a holiday to Thailand for a sunny getaway, the best times would be from March to July. Most likely you are not going to book a holiday in November during the monsoon season, unless you actually wanted it to rain every day. However, some years have had very little to no rain during the monsoon season. That being said, you would most likely choose to go during a time that seasonally has hot and sunny weather. This is how you can use seasonal tendencies to add an additional layer to your analysis. I hope that was insightful and gave you some ideas to test if you've never heard of seasonal tendencies. You can implement this both as a technical or fundamental analyst (or both). Til next time, happy trading. - R2F
TVC:DXYEducation
by Road_2_Funded
The Boulevard of Broken Dreams. Pump and Dump Part IIRecently we watched in the news the resurrection of the "Meme Stocks" frenzy and the "Roaring Kitty" username. Those who witnessed the first surge in stocks like NYSE:AMC , NYSE:GME , NYSE:BB , etc., remember those were basically a "Make me Rich quick" kind of event, they were known as "Meme Stocks" because it all started as memes by a group of traders in internet forums who allegedly went against the Wall St. Hedge Funds who were heavily invested in shorting these stocks, by buying all at the same time and triggering a strong short squeeze. Well, this event was the hope for this group of traders who saw the opportunity to pocket huge profits in a short time frame, and it gave them the sense of power against Wall St. That time these stocks were heavily shortened, and they were prone to an aggressive short squeeze, not only from these member of the meme stock traders, but by professional traders. At the end of the day this group of stocks spiked, the people took profits, they left the market, some richer, some poorer, and others as bag holders. All these stocks faded along the time and some even went bankrupt. This event was imprinted in the memory of those hoping that this could happen again, but most amateur traders don't take the time to actually learn to trade, they ran with the rumor again after a fuzzy post by the "Roaring Kitty" and they just grabbed whatever was being mentioned in the forums. This time however it was very different. Their behavior was predictable and the professional traders already had a plan in advance, to short the spike. The small buying power of the meme stock traders plus their inexperience in swimming with professional sharks just turned them into an easy morning lunch. The rumor, action and shorting cycle was very fast. In the chart we can see outstanding profits in the order of hundreds of percentual points. But if we take a look at the short sale volume, we notice that the spike was immediately extinguished. The #VolumeCandles feature of Trading View is an excellent tool to visually pinpoint the development of this pump and dump event. In the chart I added some more stocks which were rumored in the forums, NYSE:GME , NYSE:AMC , NASDAQ:KOSS , NYSE:OKLO , NASDAQ:FFIE , NASDAQ:GWAV , $CRKN. The symbols used to display the short volume were: FINRA:GME_SHORT_VOLUME FINRA:AMC_SHORT_VOLUME FINRA:KOSS_SHORT_VOLUME FINRA:OKLO_SHORT_VOLUME FINRA:FFIE_SHORT_VOLUME FINRA:GWAV_SHORT_VOLUME FINRA:CRKN_SHORT_VOLUME All of them have the same pattern, Rumor in the meme stock forums Frenzy buying Immediate huge short volume The takeaway of this presentation is, never fall for what others "rumor" in forums, trade following your own system, your money and your profit/loses are just yours, so the responsibility to plan your trade. Buying and selling shares in the stock market is very easy, trading is not, and they're definitely not the same. #LearnToEarn.
NYSE:GMEEducation
by Madrid
4
How to Confirm an Elliott Wave Count.Hello fellow traders, today I would like to show you how to apply a Kennedy Channeling technique (by Jeffrey Kennedy) to identify and confirm Elliott waves with more confidence. 1. Base Channel:- Wave 3 identification When wave 2 is complete, connect the origin of wave 1 and the end of wave 2. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 1. As long as price action stays within this channel, you can consider price action corrective, probably wave C of a Zigzag. In a bullish trend, prices ought to break above the upper boundary line of this channel for wave 3 count to be acceptable. 2. Acceleration Channel:-Wave 4 identification. Connect the extreme of wave 1 and the top of wave 3. Draw a parallel line starting at the bottom of wave 2. Only after prices break through the lower boundary line of the acceleration channel, could you be convinced that wave 3 is over and wave 4 is unfolding. 3. Final Channel:- Wave 5 identification Connect the end of waves 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to terminate upon reaching the upper trendline of the final channel. That's all for today. Trade wisely!
Education
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
▶️▶️▶️ What is Wyckoff method? ◀️◀️◀️▶️▶️▶️ What is Wyckoff method? ◀️◀️◀️ This trading method was developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 1930s. It consists with series of principles and strategies originally designed for traders and investors. Wyckoff devoted much of his life experience for studying market behavior, and his work still influences much of modern technical analysis (TA). Currently, the Wyckoff method is applied to all types of financial markets, although initially it was focused only on stocks. Richard has conducted a large amount of research that has led to the creation of several theories and methods of trading. This article provides an overview of his work and includes three fundamental laws. ✔️ Three Laws of Wyckoff ✔️ 1️⃣ Law of supply and demand The first law states, that the value of assets start rising when demand exceeds supply, and accordingly falls in the opposite direction. That's one of the most basic principles in the financial markets, that Wyckoff doesn't rule out in his writings. We can represent the first law as three simple equations: 📍 Demand > Supply = price Max; 📍 Demand < supply = price falls; 📍 Demand = supply = no significant price change (low volatility). In other words, Wyckoff's first law suggests, that an excess of demand over supply causes prices to rise because there are more buyers than sellers. But in a situation where there are more sales than buyers, and supply exceeds demand, it indicates a further drop in value. 2️⃣ Law of Cause and Effect The second law states, that the differences between supply and demand are not a coincidence. Instead, they reflect preparatory actions resulting from certain events. In Wyckoff's terminology, an accumulation period (cause) eventually leads to an uptrend (effect). In turn, the distribution period (cause) provokes the development of a downtrend (consequence). 3️⃣ The law of connection between efforts and results Wyckoff's third law states, that changes in price are the result of a collective effort that's reflected in trading volume. In the case when the growth in the value of an asset corresponds to a high trading volume, there is a high probability that the trend will continue its movement. But if the volumes are too small at a high price, the growth is likely to stop and the trend may change its direction. ❗️❗️❗️ For example, let's imagine that the Bitcoin market starts consolidating with very high volume after a long bearish trend. High trading volumes indicate great effort, but sideways movement (low volatility) suggests little result. If a large amount of bitcoin changes hands and the price does not fall significantly, this may indicate that the downtrend may be ending and there will be a reversal soon. You can find more my educational posts by hashtag #rocketbombeducational (You can click it under the pic of this post) Thanks for your attention I'll be glad to see your feedback Sincerely yours Kateryna💙💛
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
42
Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple IndicatorsTechnical Analysis Report: Advanced Trading Strategies Using Multiple Indicators Introduction: In this educational video, a comprehensive approach to technical analysis is presented, focusing on the identification of trend reversals and entry points in the market. The strategy incorporates a diverse set of indicators and concepts to enhance trading precision and decision-making. Key Components: 1. Indicators Utilized: - Fibonacci Retracement (Fibonacci) - Average True Range (ATR) - Cumulative Volume Delta - Smart Money Concepts - Relative Strength Index (RSI) - Trailing Stop Loss ATR - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku) 2. Objective: The primary goal of the strategy is to pinpoint the transition from a downtrend to an uptrend, facilitating well-timed trading decisions. By combining various technical tools, traders aim to increase the probability of successful trades. 3. Trading Philosophy: - The emphasis on Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as a foundational element underscores the strategy's commitment to deriving signals from this powerful indicator. - The reference to being an "Ichimokian" reflects a dedication to mastering Ichimoku strategies and principles in trading practices. Conclusion: By integrating a spectrum of indicators such as Fibonacci, ATR, volume analysis, RSI, and Ichimoku, traders following this methodology can gain a more holistic view of market dynamics. The utilization of these tools in conjunction with each other enhances the ability to identify optimal entry and exit points, laying a strong foundation for informed and strategic trading decisions. This video encapsulates the essence of the educational content, offering insights into the advanced technical analysis approach advocated by the "ICHIMOKUontheNILE" community.
EGX:CCAPEducation
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE