Crafting the Perfect 2025 Trading Journal: Here’s All You NeedThere’s something about cracking open a brand-new trading journal at the start of the year that feels downright ceremonial. A fresh page (or the blank spaces on your template) unmarred by the scribbles of bad trades or impulsive decisions.
The surge of excitement that goes through your veins as you imagine all potential profits and accumulated knowledge that could end up on that piece of paper (or pixels).
Still, despite all the wisdom and insight that a written record can give you, most trading journals end up looking like forgotten diaries. They get abandoned sometime around February, right next to that half-baked gym membership.
And that’s a bummer! Your trading journal isn’t just a log of wins and losses; it’s the roadmap to better decisions and a more profitable year.
If you’ve ever wondered why seasoned traders swear by this habit, it’s because those scribbles often hold the secrets to what’s working, what’s failing, and which psychological gremlins are hijacking your trades or causing you to miss opportunities.
✍️ Why Every Trade Deserves Ink (or Pixels)
Trading without documentation is akin to sailing without a map or running without setting checkpoints and an end goal. Every trade—good or bad—carries data.
Writing it down transforms fleeting market moments into permanent lessons. It highlights patterns that the eye glosses over in the heat of battle and reveals tendencies you didn’t even know you had.
For example, did you buy Dogecoin DOGE on impulse every time Elon Musk tweeted? Or maybe you overtraded small caps on Fridays because that’s when coffee hits hardest. Or maybe you didn’t bet enough when you had conviction on a forex pair?
These patterns hide in plain sight until they’re laid bare on paper. A journal bridges the gap between emotional trading and methodical refinement.
📖 What to Actually Write Down (Hint: More Than Just Numbers)
If your journal consists of a date, ticker, and a hasty “profit/loss” column, you’re barely scratching the surface. A trading journal should feel like a post-game analysis. Beyond the basic details (entry, exit, size, P&L), the real gold lies in your thought process.
Document why you entered the trade. What did you see? Was there a technical breakout, or were you chasing a Reddit-fueled rocket? Record the emotions that accompanied your trade—nerves, confidence, greed.
Were you following your system, or did you veer off course? Trades aren’t made in a vacuum; understanding the context around them provides clarity.
Even the trades you didn’t take deserve a mention. Hesitation to pull the trigger or missing a setup can reveal psychological patterns that hold back performance.
Here’s a sample set of columns that you may want to add to your template.
💡 Pro tip: make it a monthly template so you can break down the year by the month.
Trading Instrument
Trade direction
Position size
Your entry
Your exit
Your stop loss (yes, add that, too)
Your take profit
Your realized profit or loss
Your risk/reward ratio
Your reason to open the trade
Your state of mind (more on that in the next paragraph)
Transaction costs (fees, spreads, commissions)
Trade rating (e.g., 1-10, or “Good,” “Great,” “Needs More Work”)
Trade notes
Account balance at the start of the month
Account balance at the end of the month
Monthly profit/loss result
Year-to-date profit/loss result
Having a template like this will help you stay organized, improve your trading strategy, and identify patterns in your performance and results. So grab a pen and list (or go to an online graphic design platform) and get creative!
🤫 The Emotional Audit: Your Secret Weapon
A trader’s greatest adversary isn’t the market—it’s themselves. Emotional trades account for some of the most catastrophic losses. One poorly timed revenge trade can undo weeks of careful gains. This is why a portion of your journal should be reserved for emotional audits.
After every trading session, reflect on how you felt. Did anxiety creep in during a drawdown? Were you overconfident after a winning streak?
Emotions, when left unchecked, can drive irrational decisions. Journaling those feelings makes them tangible and easier to manage. It’s like therapy, but instead of lying on a couch, you’re documenting why you YOLO’d into Tesla TSLA .
😮 Spotting Patterns You Didn’t Know Existed
Patterns in trading journals are sneaky. Sometimes, the worst losing streaks aren’t the result of market volatility but bad habits we refuse to notice. Maybe you consistently lose on Mondays or after three consecutive wins. Perhaps you cut winners too soon but let losers run because hope dies last.
Journaling reveals these quirks in brutal detail. Reviewing your trades at the end of each month will expose recurring mistakes (or hidden strengths). Over time, you’ll be able to tighten risk management, adjust strategies, and weed out tendencies that silently bleed your account.
🤑 How to Stay Consistent (Even When You’re Lazy)
Let’s face it: journaling isn’t glamorous, especially when you wake up after a bad trade and you need to face Mr. Market again. But consistency is key. Set a 15-minute window after your trading day to jot down what happened—trades, thoughts, emotions, lessons. It’s short enough to stay manageable but long enough to capture the core of your experience.
🧐 Reviewing the Wreckage: Monthly Reflection Sessions
At the end of each month, conduct a full review of your journal. This isn’t just for performance metrics—it’s about personal growth. Ask the hard questions: What trades did I regret? What big moves did I miss? Where did I second-guess myself? Which trades followed my plan?
You’ll notice themes emerging. Maybe you trade best during certain hours or you lean more to specific assets and markets. This retrospective analysis creates a loop of constant improvement. The goal isn’t to trade more but to trade better.
🧭 Wrapping It Up: Your Trading Journal as a Compass
By the end of the year, your journal will read like a narrative of your trading journey—complete with victories, defeats, and lessons learned.
More importantly, you’ll know yourself better than anyone (except for Google maybe) — you’ll know your trading habits, psychological traits and the written record of your performance in case you want to open up a hedge fund and need the track record for the investors.
So, grab that journal, digital or otherwise, and start logging. Because while the market may be unpredictable, the reflections in your journal will chart the way forward.
And who knows? Maybe next year you’ll flip through it and laugh at the trades you once thought were genius. After all, growth is part of the game.
Trend Analysis
How to Use Average Number of Bars in Trades to Your TradingWhen testing our trading strategy, we often analyze the average number of bars in trades, including both winning and losing trades. For instance, let's assume the average number of bars in trades is 31, with winning trades averaging 78 bars and losing trades averaging 16 bars.
1. Short-Term Profits During Losing Trades: Our strategy should focus on short-term profits during losing trades, which average 16 bars. Implementing a scalping strategy can help hedge our positions and minimize losses. We can offset some of the losses incurred during these periods by taking advantage of small price movements.
2. Partial Profits to Reduce Risk: If our holding periods exceed the average of 16 bars, we plan to take partial profits to reduce our risk. Specifically, we aim to take 2/3 of our profits once the holding period surpasses 16 bars. This approach helps lock in gains and protect our capital from potential market reversals.
3. Exiting Remaining Positions: For the remaining positions, we plan to take profits when the holding period exceeds 31 bars. The exit strategy could be based on the next resistance or support levels, or it could involve using a trailing stop, such as the parabolic SAR. This allows us to capture additional gains while still protecting our profits.
4. Extending the Position When There is a Signal in a Higher Time Frame: When we have taken a position in a trading time frame, we plan to take profit targets at predetermined levels. However, if there is a signal in a higher time frame, we can apply those holding periods and adjust our profit targets accordingly. This approach allows us to capitalize on longer-term trends and potentially increase our overall profitability.
By incorporating the average number of bars in trades into our strategy, we can make more informed decisions and optimize our trading performance.
Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Trading Psychology: Mastering Your Emotions for Success
The renowned book on trading psychology, Tradingpsychologie, aptly states: “The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses.” This succinctly encapsulates the importance of managing emotions in trading.
As a trader, you’ve likely experienced emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, and nervousness. While every trader faces these emotional challenges, successful traders understand that letting emotions dictate their decisions is a recipe for failure.
The essence of trading psychology lies in controlling your emotions to make sound investment decisions. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept of trading psychology and provide practical tips to help you trade with confidence.
What is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology refers to a trader’s emotional and mental state, which influences their trading actions. Emotions like hope and confidence can be beneficial, but those like fear and greed must be managed. A common emotional challenge in financial markets is the fear of missing out, or FOMO.
To become a successful trader, it’s crucial to cultivate a sharp mindset, coupled with knowledge and experience. Let’s explore the key psychological factors that impact a trader’s mindset and pro-tips to manage them effectively.
Key Psychological Factors in Trading
1. Fear
Fear arises when something valuable is at risk. In trading, risks may include:
Negative news about a stock or the market
A trade going in the wrong direction
The potential loss of capital
Fear often leads traders to overreact and prematurely liquidate their holdings. A strong trading psychology means not letting fear dictate your buy/sell strategy.
What should you do?
Identify the root cause of your fear and address it in advance. Reflect on these issues so that when fear arises, you can address it logically. Focus on not letting the fear of loss hinder potential profits.
2. Greed
Greed emerges when you seek excessive profits. Remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither will your trading fortune. A winning streak can quickly turn into a disaster if greed takes over.
What should you do?
Combat greed by setting predefined profit-taking levels. Before entering a trade, establish your stop-loss and profit-booking levels to avoid impulsive decisions. A sound trading psychology involves being satisfied with reasonable profits and avoiding the pursuit of irrational gains.
3. Regret
Regret manifests in two ways:
Regretting a trade that didn’t succeed
Regretting not taking a trade that could have succeeded
Trading based on regret can lead to poor decision-making.
What should you do?
Accept that you can’t capture every market opportunity. The trading equation is simple: you win some, you lose some. Embracing this mindset will help you develop a healthier trading psychology.
4. Hope
Many traders equate trading with gambling, hoping to win all the time. When they don’t, they feel dejected.
What should you do?
To succeed, cultivate a trading psychology that doesn’t rely on hope. Don’t let hope keep you invested in a losing trade. Be practical and book losses at the right time to protect your capital.
How to Improve Your Trading Psychology
1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset
Before starting your trading day, remind yourself that markets are inherently volatile. Good days and bad days are inevitable, but the bad days will pass. Take time to build a robust trading strategy unaffected by market sentiment.
2. Build a Solid Knowledge Base
Improving your trading psychology begins with increasing your market knowledge. A strong knowledge base empowers you to overcome negative emotions and make informed decisions. Remember, knowledge is power.
3. Recognize the Reality of Real Money
It’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen represent real money. While it’s natural to take risks in hopes of generating returns, always approach trading with caution and make well-thought-out decisions.
4. Learn from Successful Traders
The stock market treats every trader differently. Observe the habits of successful traders not to replicate them, but to glean insights. Incorporating some of their strategies into your trading approach can significantly enhance your performance.
5. Practice, Practice, Practice
The most reliable way to strengthen your trading psychology is through practice. Consistent practice helps you build effective strategies and prepares you for market ups and downs.
Final Thoughts
Developing a robust trading psychology takes time and consistent effort. Continuously refine your approach to manage your emotions and improve your decision-making.
To summarize, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology:
Be disciplined.
Be flexible.
Never stop learning.
I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your charts in the comments section. Let’s grow together as traders!
Thank you for reading!
Textbook Reversal Setup: Liquidity Zone + Channel BreakReversal Setup Analysis: HTF Liquidity Zone + Ascending Channel Breakdown
This chart highlights a high-probability bearish reversal setup based on key technical confluences. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the analysis:
1. High-Timeframe (HTF) Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
- The red zone marks a major HTF supply area where price previously rejected with a strong impulsive move downward. This liquidity zone is critical as it represents an area where institutional players have shown activity, creating a high-probability region for a potential reversal.
- As price approached this zone again, it did so in a corrective manner (via an ascending channel), which indicates weakening bullish momentum.
2. Impulsive vs. Corrective Structures:
- Impulsive Move: The strong move away from the HTF LQZ (highlighted earlier in the chart) confirms bearish intent, serving as a key reference point for this trade idea.
Corrective Structure: The price forms an ascending channel on the way back to retest the HTF LQZ, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
- The third touch of the channel’s trendline coincides with the HTF LQZ, adding confluence for a potential bearish reversal.
3. Liquidity Zones in Play:
- HTF Liquidity Zone (Supply): Serves as the key resistance level and primary rejection zone.
- 15-Minute Liquidity Zone (Demand): Acts as a potential target for bearish momentum post-breakdown.
- This multi-timeframe liquidity alignment strengthens the trade idea by providing clear areas of interest for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit placement.
4. Breakdown Entry and Structure:
- Entry Trigger: The trade is triggered on the break of structure, where price falls through the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum resuming after the corrective phase.
- Stop-Loss Placement: Ideally placed above the HTF liquidity zone and beyond the third touch of the channel to account for potential fake-outs.
- Take-Profit Levels: Targets can be set near the 15M liquidity zone or prior swing lows for a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Key Takeaways:
- This setup offers an excellent example of combining HTF liquidity zones, structural patterns, and market context to develop a high-probability trade idea. The rejection from the HTF LQZ aligns with the broader bearish narrative, while the ascending channel acts as a corrective structure leading to a continuation of the downward move.
- By focusing on confluence factors like liquidity zones, impulsive vs. corrective moves, and structural breaks, this trade idea demonstrates a disciplined and strategic approach to trading reversals.
Educational Insights:
- Always zoom out to identify HTF zones of significance to ensure alignment with the larger market context.
- Differentiate between impulsive and corrective structures to gauge the strength and intent of price movements.
- Use pattern confluences (e.g., ascending channels) in combination with key zones to identify high-probability entries.
- Prioritize patience and discipline by waiting for clear structural breaks to confirm your setup.
The reaction to the Supply Zone is the keyOn this chart, you can see that the topping signal and the formation of a fresh Supply Zone (highlighted in red) initially resulted in only a temporary shallow pullback. However, this pullback did not indicate a reversal of the uptrend. Instead, the market quickly resumed its upward momentum, as evidenced by the appearance of another "Buy re-test" signal shortly after.
This is a great example of how a topping signal—which might typically indicate potential exhaustion—can sometimes act as merely a pause in a strong uptrending market, rather than leading to a significant reversal. The trend continued higher as buyers re-established control, with subsequent key supports holding firmly to reinforce bullish strength.
Key takeaway: Topping signals and Supply Zones should be evaluated within the broader context of the market's trend. In this case, the bulls demonstrated sustained dominance despite the brief pause, confirming the uptrend's resilience.
How invalidation of a short setup becomes a long setupExplanation of the Trading Setup Based on the Chart:
"Short Re-test" Signal Creates Two Scenarios:
Plan A: When a "Short re-test" signal appears, it indicates potential resistance and a possible continuation of the downward move. You can short with the expectation that sellers will dominate and push the price lower.
Plan B: Alternatively, you prepare for a breakout, where price moves above the resistance formed by the "Short re-test" signal. This indicates a potential trend reversal or continuation of bullish momentum.
In this case, Plan B was triggered, leading to a textbook breakout above the resistance zone.
Breakout Confirmation and Retest Setup:
After the breakout, the price moved higher and provided a "Buy re-test" signal. This is a classic example of a breakout retest pattern, where the price pulls back to test the broken resistance, which now acts as support, before continuing upward.
Multiple "Buy Re-test" Signals Strengthen the Trend:
Following the initial breakout and retest, the chart shows multiple green "Buy re-test" signals along the way. Each signal marks a new key support level, confirming bullish control and the reliability of the uptrend.
Notice how each of the three key supports held, demonstrating strong demand at these levels and affirming the strength of the bulls.
Key Takeaways:
The initial "Short re-test" signal gave traders the opportunity to anticipate both a short continuation or a bullish breakout.
Once the breakout occurred, it was followed by a strong series of retests, giving traders multiple low-risk entry points to go long.
Holding key support levels after each "Buy re-test" signal validated the bullish momentum, creating high-confidence long setups as the trend progressed.
This setup exemplifies how combining breakout strategies with retest confirmations can lead to profitable trades while maintaining manageable risk.
Contact me to get a trial of that Impulse Master indicator
Market Analysis: How to Execute This Trade // EURUSDFX:EURUSD
How to Execute This Trade
Forex Analysis
Over the past three months, the EUR/USD exchange rate has experienced notable fluctuations. In early October 2024, the euro was trading at approximately $1.10. By early January 2025, it had declined to around $1.04, marking a depreciation of about 5.5%
How to Make This Trade?
Let’s analyze the recent movements in the EUR/USD market.
After a medium-term upward trend and a long-term lateral trend, EUR/USD failed to break the resistance level at 1.10. In October, this triggered a downward trend that led to a 2% decline, repositioning the pair on important support levels for the recent rally. However, these supports were unable to hold.
Subsequently, we observed a small price recovery, building a timid upward move. However, it was quickly stopped by another decline, likely due to new data. This decline established a support level, which soon turned into resistance and a high-volume area (the yellow zone). These two signals indicate the strength of the downtrend. The support failed to hold even upon the second touch, confirming the weakness of the pair.
The most common mistake in such situations is going long with the thought, “It has fallen so much; it must reverse now.” But markets don’t work that way. You need to view the market objectively and unemotionally. In this specific case, the market clearly indicates a downtrend, so the best strategy is to follow the trend and enter short at the next rebound // The chances of success are much higher this way than trying to go long.
After breaking support and finding a buying zone on a significant support level (part of the long-term lateral trend mentioned earlier), the price moved back up and broke the resistance area. In such cases, it is always better to wait for a “climax,” a sharp movement that confirms the breakout. A good entry point could have been the resistance level or the volume zone.
To avoid unpleasant surprises or anomalous movements, set an alert and wait for confirmation before entering. Ideally, you want to see an upward candle entering your area of interest, retracing, and closing with a medium-to-large spike.
Our reasoning is confirmed as the market absorbs a large candle, creating an excellent opportunity for a short. To the left, we see a large expansion candle breaking several support levels—these candles often act effectively at their base, and this case is no exception.
We placed our trade at the candle’s close, aiming for a risk-reward (RR) of 3.46. The stop loss (SL) was set above the expansion candle’s opening, giving it some breathing rooM // The more space you allow for your stop loss, the higher the probability of success.
Let the trade run, and you’ll notice how the position almost never went into the red. This is because we waited for the right entry point without any emotional bias. Of course, this won’t always be the case, and mistakes will happen, but the key is to remain objective and measured.
We were also fortunate that new data caused a sharp price drop. In such situations, it’s smart to capitalize on the movement // Cut losses short and let profits run.
Adjust the take profit (TP) accordingly.
Switching to a 10-minute time frame, we implemented a “Follow the Price” (FTP) strategy. This involves moving the TP higher, to the base of the last candle, and continuing to adjust it until the price fills the TP. Let’s see how much we extended the profit.
In this case, the profit extension wasn’t huge but still added value without taking additional risks.
This is “How to Execute This Trade.”
IDS 30M SystemMany my followers know I use a Range based chart vs a time based chart. I have provided a 30 minute (time based) version here with instructions, this is reliable but slow or late at times. Use with (range based) IDS 27, 35 & 50 (if you have).
Trading's 4 key W's, the keys to it all:
#1, What, what is next move Long or Short? Direction of execution.
#2, When, when to execute the What? This happens prior to the move.
#3, Where, this is the Target of #'s 1 & 2?
#4, Why, this is the least important and does not matter. This is the job of all the media, long only managers such mutual funds and ETF's.
The IDS 30M will help with 1-3 W's (not #4). Regarding 1-3, the 4 white arrows will help to show the set up. The 2 yellow lines are the Tilson indicator and price will have to be above (and stay above thin white line. The target will be a KL or target (usually a Open Range level). The short set up will be highlighted by the 2 circles. A single Tilson will show pull backs and not shorts. The various vertical shaded colors are key times when price and volume may redirect or move further (in the same direction). Pay attention to the O/N (overnight) as the NAZ will usually travel back up (even after a drop in the Reg Session.
The dotted line will change colors from 1 white (long) and 1-2 yellows (short or pull backs). Red bars under 2 yellows is a Short and blue above the white is a long. Use this with daily Posts in order to set up Entry, Targets and Exists/Reverses. Good Luck and hopefully this will help.
Below is the IDS50 (Range) system.
Behind the Curtain: Economic Indicators Shaping Corn Futures1: Introduction
Corn Futures (ZC), traded on the CME, play a vital role in global markets, particularly in the agriculture and food industries. As a commodity with widespread applications, Corn Futures are influenced by a multitude of factors, ranging from seasonal weather patterns to broader economic trends. Understanding these influences is critical for traders seeking to navigate the market effectively.
In this article, we leverage machine learning, specifically a Random Forest Regressor, to identify key economic indicators that have historically correlated with Corn Futures' price changes. By analyzing daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, we aim to provide a clearer picture of how these indicators potentially shape market behavior and offer actionable insights for traders.
The findings are presented through visual graphs highlighting the top economic indicators across different timeframes. These insights can help traders fine-tune their strategies, whether for short-term speculation or long-term investment.
2: Understanding the Key Economic Indicators
Economic indicators provide a glimpse into various facets of the economy, influencing commodity markets such as Corn Futures. Using the Random Forest model, the following indicators emerged as significant for Corn Futures on different timeframes:
Daily Timeframe:
Oil Import Price Index: Reflects the cost of importing crude oil, impacting energy costs in agriculture, such as fuel for equipment and transportation.
Durable Goods Orders: Tracks demand for goods expected to last three years or more, often signaling broader economic activity that can influence commodity demand.
Natural Gas Prices: Critical for the production of fertilizers, which directly impacts corn farming costs.
Weekly Timeframe:
China GDP Growth Rate: Indicates global demand trends, as China is a major consumer of agricultural products.
Housing Starts: Reflects construction activity, indirectly influencing economic stability and consumer behavior.
Corporate Bond Spread (BAA - 10Y): A measure of credit risk that can signal changes in business investment and economic uncertainty.
Monthly Timeframe:
Retail Sales (YoY): Gauges consumer spending trends, a crucial driver of demand for corn-based products.
Initial Jobless Claims: Acts as a measure of labor market health, influencing disposable income and consumption patterns.
Nonfarm Productivity: Indicates economic efficiency and growth, impacting broader market trends.
By understanding these indicators, traders can interpret their implications on Corn Futures more effectively.
3: How to Use This Information
The timeframes for these indicators provide unique perspectives for different trading styles:
Daily Traders: Indicators like the Oil Import Price Index and Natural Gas Prices, which are highly sensitive to short-term changes, are valuable for high-frequency trading strategies. Daily traders can monitor these to anticipate intraday price movements in Corn Futures.
Swing Traders (Weekly): Weekly indicators, such as the China GDP Growth Rate or Housing Starts, help identify intermediate-term trends. Swing traders can align their positions with these macroeconomic signals for trades lasting several days or weeks.
Long-Term Traders (Monthly): Monthly indicators, such as Retail Sales and Nonfarm Productivity, provide insights into overarching economic trends. Long-term traders can use these to assess demand-side factors impacting Corn Futures over extended periods.
Additionally, traders can enhance their strategies by overlaying these indicators with seasonal patterns in Corn Futures, as weather-related supply shifts often coincide with economic factors.
4: Applications for Risk Management
Understanding the relationship between economic indicators and Corn Futures also plays a critical role in risk management. Here are several ways to apply these insights:
Refining Entry and Exit Points: By correlating Corn Futures with specific indicators, traders can potentially time their entries and exits more effectively. For example, a sharp rise in the Oil Import Price Index might signal increased production costs, potentially pressuring corn prices downward.
Diversifying Trading Strategies: Leveraging daily, weekly, and monthly indicators allows traders to adapt their strategies across timeframes. Short-term volatility from energy prices can complement long-term stability signals from broader economic metrics like GDP Growth.
Mitigating Uncertainty: Tracking indicators such as Corporate Bond Spreads can provide early warnings of economic instability, helping traders hedge their Corn Futures positions with other assets or options.
Seasonal Hedging: Combining indicator-based insights with seasonal trends in Corn Futures can enhance risk-adjusted returns. For instance, aligning hedging strategies with both economic and weather-related factors could reduce downside exposure.
5: Conclusion
The analysis highlights how diverse economic indicators shape Corn Futures prices across multiple timeframes. From daily volatility influenced by energy costs to long-term trends driven by consumer spending and productivity, each indicator provides unique insights into market dynamics.
Traders can use this framework not only for Corn Futures but also for other commodities, enabling a more data-driven approach to trading. The combination of machine learning and economic analysis presents opportunities to refine strategies and improve outcomes in the competitive world of futures trading.
Stay tuned for the next article in this series, where we delve into another futures market and its relationship with key economic indicators.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Institutional Supply: CAD/JPY shortsHey,
Little bit of a tutorial here to give you a better understanding about my zones.
Of course on my profile you find multiple videos of my trading style.
But if you see something like this shape up, all I do is wait...
I wait for price to reach my supply zone, and show me 4hour confirmation.
This confirmation is explained in other video's and posts.
Study these charts, the zones play out a lot of times.
A true edge.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
ALTSEASON within Q1 of 2025?Many of us have been anticipating an altseason, especially considering it's been about 3 years since the bull run began, yet we still haven't experienced a significant one. Several factors seem to be holding it back, including high Bitcoin dominance, delayed institutional interest in altcoins, weak altcoin fundamentals, and challenging economic and macro conditions, such as elevated interest rates and recession fears, which limit speculative investments in riskier assets.
However, my analysis suggests that an altseason may emerge within the 𝐖 wave and this phase could provide a glimpse of an altseason, potentially lasting around 90 days, or within 𝐐𝟏. Following this, we may enter a larger corrective phase during the 𝐗 wave, presenting a generational buying opportunity. This setup could pave the way for another altseason during the next leg down in the 𝐘 wave.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫 : The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
$BTC Cheat Sheet They Don't Want You To See!THE CRYPTO CHEAT SHEET
After seeing this, don't let anyone tell you that trading the market is hard.
All you need is a 4-year mindset.
Sell in November (the latest) post-halving year, ie 2025
Buy in November the year after, ie 2026
It really is that simple.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 👑
Amplified Emotions: Recognizing Key Signals in TradingAlmost every book on trading psychology emphasizes that trading is a challenging endeavor requiring continuous improvement of knowledge, self-education, and patience. From the very start, a novice trader often adopts a mindset rooted in the belief that "the more you work, the more you earn." However, this mindset can lead to a trap that many traders fall into. Influenced by this belief, they start to think that nothing worthwhile comes without significant effort. When success seems to come easily, they often look for hidden catches, feel guilty about their achievements, and unintentionally complicate their trading journey.
📍 Amplification in Trading Psychology
Amplification, in the context of psychology, refers to the exaggerated perception of trader's experiences and emotions. This heightened sense of anxiety and over-complication can add unnecessary problems in trading.
📍 Using a Sledgehammer to Crack a Nut
Consider the following scenario: You discover a small leak in your faucet. Rather than using a simple wrench to tighten the fitting or calling a plumber for assistance, you decide to bring in heavy machinery and start tearing down the entire kitchen wall to access the pipes. Even if you manage to achieve your goal of fixing the leak, the collateral damage and chaos you’ve created far outweigh the simplicity of the initial solution.
📍 How Amplification Manifests Itself in Trading
1. "I'm Not Looking for Easy Ways."
This mindset arises from the earlier mentioned belief that greater effort equates to better results. For instance, if you need to dig up a field, using a shovel may seem earnest, but it makes far more sense to employ a tractor to expedite the job. In trading, this effect plays out as follows:
• A trader convinced that gaining expertise requires extensive reading may spend weeks poring over numerous books on indicators and technical analysis. In reality, even a few tutorials on a broker's website would suffice to get started on a demo account. Meanwhile, other traders are already opening real trades.
• Understanding the need for mathematics in risk management, a novice might obsess over complex concepts like Fibonacci numbers or Gann squares, which could be beneficial but are unnecessary at the beginning stage.
• A trader may feel pressured to increase trading volumes after seeing others boast online about their larger trades. In doing so, they often violate their risk management principles, leading to significant losses.
• Some traders believe that more screen time equates to better control over the market. They find themselves "hypnotizing" the charts for hours, erroneously thinking that mere observation translates to greater market mastery.
Ultimately, these behaviors result in nothing but stress, eye strain, headaches, and insomnia—hardly the path to effective trading.
2. “All or Nothing”
This form of amplification manifests when individuals believe that success depends on having maximum resources at their disposal. They feel compelled to trade like a professional from the start, insisting on having three monitors, state-of-the-art software, and high-speed VPS—all while struggling to understand even basic calculations like stop-loss lengths. Yet, when equipped with these resources, they might still face losses. This discrepancy invites questions: “Could it be that my approach is flawed?”
3. Delayed Preparation and Lack of Determination
When faced with the fear of taking the first real step in trading, individuals often fall into the trap of excessive planning. They think, "How can I trade without a perfectly crafted trading system?" As they immerse themselves in theory, they witness their peers successfully trading on real accounts, while they remain stuck in a perpetual cycle of preparation.
Anxiety thrives on the hyperbolic exaggeration of potential consequences. Many traders grapple with crippling questions like: "What if it doesn’t work out?" or "What if I make a mistake?” To combat amplification, it's crucial to analyze the underlying reasons for hesitancy.
Some common causes include:
Uncertainty about the outcome: Worrying excessively about potential failures.
Lack of confidence in abilities: Feeling inadequately prepared or underqualified.
Nervous tension and anxiety: Allowing emotions to cloud judgment.
While it's essential not to plunge into trading without sufficient knowledge, it's equally important not to overcomplicate the process. Just as you wouldn't use a sledgehammer to crack a nut, you should identify the root causes of amplification and seek straightforward solutions that yield the best results with minimum effort.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
How to Use the Ichimoku CloudUsing the Ichimoku Cloud indicator is a great tool to determine long-term trends and occasionally trend changes.
Note on the Gold chart price stayed below both cloud boundaries from May to November 2022. Then in mid-November price decisively moved above both cloud boundary lines. The size of the price move is a main clue of potential trend changes.
In March 2023 price broke weakly below the boundary lines and reached a prior price bottom. These were clues that the potential bearish break lacked strength and was likely to fail.
From May to October 2023, we see another bear trend that failed to break above the cloud.
Then came a decisive move above the cloud. Even though price had already made a significant move up from the October 2023 bottom; it was still advantages to enter long positions on the upside break out.
The Ichimoko Cloud could help keep you on the right side of a market.
How to use Ichimoku cloud?The Ichimoku Cloud, also known as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, is a versatile and comprehensive technical analysis tool that provides insights into trend direction, support and resistance levels, and momentum. Developed by Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda in the late 1930s, it combines multiple indicators into a single chart, making it a favorite among traders worldwide.
What is the Ichimoku Cloud?
The Ichimoku Cloud consists of five lines that provide a detailed view of price action:
1. Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line):
- Represents short-term momentum and trend direction.
2. Kijun-sen (Base Line):
- Acts as a medium-term trend indicator and a potential support or resistance level.
3. Senkou Span A (Leading Span A):
- Forms one edge of the Ichimoku Cloud and provides dynamic support and resistance levels.
4. Senkou Span B (Leading Span B):
- Forms the other edge of the Cloud, offering additional support and resistance insights.
5. Chikou Span (Lagging Span):
- Formula: Current closing price plotted 26 periods back.
- Helps confirm trends by comparing current price levels with past movements.
The area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B is shaded to create the "Cloud" (Kumo), which plays a central role in analysis.
How to Use the Ichimoku Cloud
1. Trend Identification:
- Price Above the Cloud:Indicates an uptrend.
- Price Below the Cloud:Indicates a downtrend.
- Price Within the Cloud: Suggests a range-bound or uncertain market.
2. Support and Resistance:
- The Cloud acts as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. The thicker the Cloud, the stronger the level.
3. Crossovers:
- Bullish Crossover: Tenkan-sen crossing above Kijun-sen signals a potential uptrend.
- Bearish Crossover: Tenkan-sen crossing below Kijun-sen signals a potential downtrend.
4. Future Cloud Projection:
- A bullish Cloud (Senkou Span A above Senkou Span B) suggests continued upward momentum.
- A bearish Cloud (Senkou Span A below Senkou Span B) signals potential downward momentum.
5. Chikou Span Confirmation:
- If the Chikou Span is above the price from 26 periods ago, it confirms bullish momentum.
- If it’s below, it confirms bearish momentum.
Strengths of the Ichimoku Cloud
-All-in-One Indicator: Combines trend, momentum, and support/resistance in a single tool.
- Dynamic: Adapts to changing market conditions.
- Forward-Looking: Projects future levels through the Cloud.
Limitations of the Ichimoku Cloud
- Complexity: Can be intimidating for beginners due to the multiple components.
- Lagging Nature: Some elements, like the Kijun-sen and Chikou Span, rely on historical data.
- Less Effective in Choppy Markets: May produce false signals in sideways markets.
Best Practices for Using the Ichimoku Cloud
1. Combine with Other Indicators:
- Pair with RSI, MACD, or volume indicators for better confirmation.
2.Adapt Settings:
- The default settings (9, 26, 52) work well for many markets but can be adjusted to suit specific trading styles or timeframes.
3. Analyze Multiple Timeframes:
- Use higher timeframes for trend confirmation and lower timeframes for precise entries.
Example of the Ichimoku Cloud in Action
Imagine Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $3600 The price breaks above the Cloud, and Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen, signaling a bullish trend. The Chikou Span is above the price from 26 periods ago, confirming upward momentum. As ETH continues to rise, the Cloud projects higher support levels, guiding traders to hold their positions until bearish signals emerge.
Conclusion
The Ichimoku Cloud is a powerful tool that provides a holistic view of market trends, momentum, and key price levels. While it may seem complex initially, its comprehensive nature makes it invaluable for traders who invest time in mastering it. Practice using the Ichimoku Cloud on historical data and integrate it into your trading strategy for optimal results.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
TB-SYNERGY STRATEGY V6 2.0 TUTURIAL A 9 IN 1 INDICATORTRADERBUG'S SYNERGY STRATEGY V6+ALERTS 2.0 REVISED 1/5/25
**W/ 8-21-200 EMAs
**UT BOT ALERTS
** RSI
** MACD
** LRC LINEAR REGRESSION CHANNEL
** PARABOLIC SAR
** ATR BANDS
** HH-HL-LH-LL
* This is a private script but i will be opening it up for invite only paid indicator very soon so please DM
Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy V6+ Alerts 2.0
An Integrated Multi-Indicator Tool for Enhanced Market Analysis
TB-STRATEGY V6+ALERTS 2.0
Is a comprehensive trading tool designed to simplify market analysis by consolidating multiple proven technical indicators into a single, easy-to-use script. This strategy is tailored for traders seeking high-confidence buy and sell signals across various timeframes, making it particularly effective on higher timeframes and blue-chip assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
By integrating five powerful indicators, this strategy ensures precision, clarity, and reliability in market trend identification, momentum analysis, and potential entry/exit points.
Purpose and Usage
This script is designed for advanced traders seeking a multi-faceted approach to analyze price action, momentum, and trend behavior. It combines leading and lagging indicators with visual and alert-based signals to guide entry/exit points. The strategy is protective of its intellectual property,
Key Features
1. Linear Regression Channel (LRC): Identifies trend direction and potential reversal points with a clear channel-based structure.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Highlights overbought and oversold conditions, helping identify momentum shifts.
3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Captures trend reversals and momentum transitions with signal clarity.
4. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Tracks short-term (8 EMA), medium-term (20 EMA), and long-term (200 EMA) trends for comprehensive trend analysis.
5. UT Bot Alerts: Provides visual buy/sell signals (green = buy, red = sell) for actionable entry/exit confirmations.
6. Parabolic SAR (Green=Buy, Red=Sell) for entry/exit confirmations
7. ATR Bands (Brown) for Stoploss/Take profit
8. HH-HL-LH-LL (Green=Buy,Red=Sell) for tops & Bottoms
9. volume Spikes (Blue Triangle up) confirmation of adequate volume to take trade
This script also includes Heiken Ashi compatibility to smooth price action, reduce noise, and make trends easier to identify.
How It Works
Entry Rules
• Long Entry:
A long trade is signaled when:
• Price re-enters the LRC channel from below.
• RSI crosses above oversold levels.
• MACD crosses bullish.
• EMAs align upward (8 EMA > 20 EMA > 200 EMA).
• UT Bot Alert confirms with a green signal.
• Short Entry:
A short trade is signaled when:
• Price exits the LRC channel from above.
• RSI crosses below overbought levels.
• MACD crosses bearish.
• EMAs align downward (8 EMA < 20 EMA < 200 EMA).
• UT Bot Alert confirms with a red signal.
Exit Rules
• Exit when:
• Signals indicate a reversal (e.g., RSI leaves overbought/oversold zones, MACD crosses in the opposite direction).
• EMAs show trend exhaustion.
• UT Bot Alerts signal an opposite trend.
Benefits for Traders
• Streamlined Analysis: Reduces the need for multiple indicators by integrating them into one tool.
• High Precision: Aligns multiple indicator signals for confluence, minimizing false entries.
• Versatility: Works across various asset classes, including crypto, forex, and stocks.
• User-Friendly Visualization: Custom color-coding and shapes simplify signal interpretation.
• Time-Saving: Consolidates analysis into a single, intuitive script.
Suggested Use Cases
1. Higher Timeframes (Daily, 4H): Ideal for blue-chip assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, providing historically consistent signals for trend-following strategies.
2. Volatile Assets (Meme Coins, Altcoins): While effective, signals may be less reliable due to higher volatility. Use with caution and proper risk management.
Why It Stands Out
Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy is not just another single-function indicator. It combines the strengths of Nine proven tools into one comprehensive system, ensuring high-quality signals through confluence. Built-in features like Heiken Ashi smoothing and custom visualization make this script accessible to traders of all experience levels.
Compliance and Disclaimer
This tool is intended for market analysis and does not guarantee trading success. Users should practice proper risk management and consider signals within the context of their trading strategy. Results may vary based on market conditions, timeframe, and asset type.
Step-by-Step Guide to Add the Indicator to TradingView
Step 1: Open the Pine Editor
1. Log in to your TradingView account.
2. Open any chart.
3. At the bottom of the screen, click the Pine Editor tab.
Step 2: Paste the Code
1. In the Pine Editor, delete any preloaded text.
2. Paste the custom Pine Script code for the Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy.
Step 3: Save the Script
1. Click the Save icon or press Ctrl + S (Windows) / Cmd + S (Mac).
2. Name the script (e.g., “Traderbug Synergy Strategy”).
Step 4: Add to Chart
1. Click the Add to Chart button (play icon).
2. If the code compiles correctly, the indicator will appear on the chart.
Step 5: Customize and Use
1. Adjust settings via the gear icon in the Indicators list.
2. Begin trading using the signals provided by the indicator.
Settings Cheat Sheet
• Candles:
• Green: Bullish signal
• Red: Bearish signal
• LRC:
• White diamond step lines for trend direction
• UT Bot Alerts:
• Green: Buy signal
• Red: Sell signal
• RSI:
• Overbought/Oversold: Visualized with circles
• MACD:
• Crossovers: Visualized with diamonds
• EMAs:
• 8 EMA (White), 20 EMA (Green), 200 EMA (Red) for trend analysis
• PSAR Green:Buy signal Red:Sell signal
• ATR Bands (Brown) Take profit & Stop loss
• HH-HL-LH-LL Tops & Bottom finder
• VOLUME SPIKE (Blue Triangle up) Confirmation of buy/sell
Why Choose Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy?
• Efficient Use of Free Tier on TradingView : Get the power of 9 indicators in one tool, making it easier to get comprehensive insights without cluttering your chart or exceeding your limit on the free tier.
“Our 9-in-1 TradingView indicator delivers exceptional value by combining five powerful tools into one seamless package. Traders can access a multi-functional solution that covers all their needs, without the requirement for a Pro or Pro+ plan. By subscribing to our indicator, you’re getting the equivalent of multiple individual indicators, all in one, without the extra cost or complexity. It’s the perfect solution for traders looking for a comprehensive and cost-effective way to enhance their strategies, all while using the free TradingView plan.”
Alerts
• Supports custom alerts for the various buy/sell conditions, enabling automated notifications or integrations with other systems.
This strategy is an excellent choice for intermediate to advanced traders looking for a multi-tool approach to market analysis. It’s especially valuable for those trading blue-chip assets or focusing on higher timeframes. With some refinements, it could easily become one of the most comprehensive and user-friendly TradingView tools available.
Final Notes
Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy is a versatile, multi-tool system designed for traders who value precision and efficiency. With its advanced features and user-friendly design, it stands out as a valuable resource for market analysis.
Who Should Use It:
• Intermediate to Advanced Traders: Ideal for those who can interpret the signals and use them in conjunction with their own analysis.
• Serious Investors: Perfect for traders who prioritize accuracy and are willing to pair this tool with proper risk management strategies.
What Makes It Unique:
This strategy takes the power of multiple indicators, simplifies their signals into actionable insights, and provides both visual cues and customizable alerts. By offering confluence from leading and lagging indicators, it ensures reliability in trend detection, momentum shifts, and potential entry/exit points.
TB-SYNERGY STRATEGY V6 2.0 JUST UPDATEDTRADERBUG'S SYNERGY STRATEGY V6+ALERTS 2.0 REVISED 1/5/25
**W/ 8-21-200 EMAs
**UT BOT ALERTS
** RSI
** MACD
** LRC LINEAR REGRESSION CHANNEL
** PARABOLIC SAR
** ATR BANDS
** HH-HL-LH-LL
Published closed but will be opening up for invite only paid 9-1 indicator
Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy V6+ Alerts 2.0
An Integrated Multi-Indicator Tool for Enhanced Market Analysis
TB-STRATEGY V6+ALERTS 2.0
Is a comprehensive trading tool designed to simplify market analysis by consolidating multiple proven technical indicators into a single, easy-to-use script. This strategy is tailored for traders seeking high-confidence buy and sell signals across various timeframes, making it particularly effective on higher timeframes and blue-chip assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
By integrating five powerful indicators, this strategy ensures precision, clarity, and reliability in market trend identification, momentum analysis, and potential entry/exit points.
Purpose and Usage
This script is designed for advanced traders seeking a multi-faceted approach to analyze price action, momentum, and trend behavior. It combines leading and lagging indicators with visual and alert-based signals to guide entry/exit points. The strategy is protective of its intellectual property,
Key Features
1. Linear Regression Channel (LRC): Identifies trend direction and potential reversal points with a clear channel-based structure.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Highlights overbought and oversold conditions, helping identify momentum shifts.
3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Captures trend reversals and momentum transitions with signal clarity.
4. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Tracks short-term (8 EMA), medium-term (20 EMA), and long-term (200 EMA) trends for comprehensive trend analysis.
5. UT Bot Alerts: Provides visual buy/sell signals (green = buy, red = sell) for actionable entry/exit confirmations.
6. Parabolic SAR (Green=Buy, Red=Sell) for entry/exit confirmations
7. ATR Bands (Brown) for Stoploss/Take profit
8. HH-HL-LH-LL (Green=Buy,Red=Sell) for tops & Bottoms
9. volume Spikes (Blue Triangle up) confirmation of adequate volume to take trade
This script also includes Heiken Ashi compatibility to smooth price action, reduce noise, and make trends easier to identify.
How It Works
Entry Rules
• Long Entry:
A long trade is signaled when:
• Price re-enters the LRC channel from below.
• RSI crosses above oversold levels.
• MACD crosses bullish.
• EMAs align upward (8 EMA > 20 EMA > 200 EMA).
• UT Bot Alert confirms with a green signal.
• Short Entry:
A short trade is signaled when:
• Price exits the LRC channel from above.
• RSI crosses below overbought levels.
• MACD crosses bearish.
• EMAs align downward (8 EMA < 20 EMA < 200 EMA).
• UT Bot Alert confirms with a red signal.
Exit Rules
• Exit when:
• Signals indicate a reversal (e.g., RSI leaves overbought/oversold zones, MACD crosses in the opposite direction).
• EMAs show trend exhaustion.
• UT Bot Alerts signal an opposite trend.
Benefits for Traders
• Streamlined Analysis: Reduces the need for multiple indicators by integrating them into one tool.
• High Precision: Aligns multiple indicator signals for confluence, minimizing false entries.
• Versatility: Works across various asset classes, including crypto, forex, and stocks.
• User-Friendly Visualization: Custom color-coding and shapes simplify signal interpretation.
• Time-Saving: Consolidates analysis into a single, intuitive script.
Suggested Use Cases
1. Higher Timeframes (Daily, 4H): Ideal for blue-chip assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, providing historically consistent signals for trend-following strategies.
2. Volatile Assets (Meme Coins, Altcoins): While effective, signals may be less reliable due to higher volatility. Use with caution and proper risk management.
Why It Stands Out
Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy is not just another single-function indicator. It combines the strengths of Nine proven tools into one comprehensive system, ensuring high-quality signals through confluence. Built-in features like Heiken Ashi smoothing and custom visualization make this script accessible to traders of all experience levels.
Compliance and Disclaimer
This tool is intended for market analysis and does not guarantee trading success. Users should practice proper risk management and consider signals within the context of their trading strategy. Results may vary based on market conditions, timeframe, and asset type.
Step-by-Step Guide to Add the Indicator to TradingView
Step 1: Open the Pine Editor
1. Log in to your TradingView account.
2. Open any chart.
3. At the bottom of the screen, click the Pine Editor tab.
Step 2: Paste the Code
1. In the Pine Editor, delete any preloaded text.
2. Paste the custom Pine Script code for the Traderbug’s Synergy Strategy.
Step 3: Save the Script
1. Click the Save icon or press Ctrl + S (Windows) / Cmd + S (Mac).
2. Name the script (e.g., “Traderbug Synergy Strategy”).
Step 4: Add to Chart
1. Click the Add to Chart button (play icon).
2. If the code compiles correctly, the indicator will appear on the chart.
Step 5: Customize and Use
1. Adjust settings via the gear icon in the Indicators list.
2. Begin trading using the signals provided by the indicator.
Settings Cheat Sheet
• Candles:
• Green: Bullish signal
• Red: Bearish signal
• LRC:
• White diamond step lines for trend direction
• UT Bot Alerts:
• Green: Buy signal
• Red: Sell signal
• RSI:
• Overbought/Oversold: Visualized with circles
• MACD:
• Crossovers: Visualized with diamonds
• EMAs:
• 8 EMA (White), 20 EMA (Green), 200 EMA (Red) for trend analysis
• PSAR Green:Buy signal Red:Sell signal
• ATR Bands (Brown) Take profit & Stop loss
• HH-HL-LH-LL Tops & Bottom finder
• VOLUME SPIKE (Blue Triangle up) Confirmation of buy/sell
Restart! Reset! Refocus! 2025A Happy New Year Traders.
It's another year to Restart, Reset, Refocus as many times as we need.
I just wanted to share a refresher typical market structure with you.
Basically Market structure is the study of the market behavior.
It’s essentially the structure that the current market is trading in. it helps us know whether or not the market is trending.
Well what's a Trending market?
-A trending market is a market that forms higher highs and higher lows in a bullish trend and lower lows and lower highs in a bearish trend.
-Each trend is accompany by properties and Rules.
For a Bullish Trend:
Properties:
*It forms Higher highs and Higher lows
Rules:
*It must only break higher highs,
*And Respect higher lows.
*We are only looking for Buying opportunities.
*Becomes invalid only when we break below higher low.
For a Bearish Trend:
Properties:
*It forms Lower lows and lower highs
Rules:
*It must only break lower lows,
*And Respect lower highs
*We are only looking for Selling opportunities.
*Becomes invalid only when we break above lower high.
That is as simply as it gets. if we can understand the basic market structure, we will be able to answer the following Questions:
1. Who's in control of the market? Buyers or Sellers?
2. What is the right time and place to enter or exit the market?
3. When you need to stay away?
And Remember market structure differs as we move from one timeframe to another timeframe, this simply means on 4H TF you might be seeing HH-HL formation but on the 15M TF you might see LL-LH formation. This is a result of having HTF structure which could be your swing structure and internal structure on LTF. in the next Post we will look into this further and have a visual representation.
Best Chart Patterns in Price Action for Intraday & Swing Trading
Last year I shared more than 1000 free swing and intraday trading signals for Forex, Gold, Silver, Oil, Crypto and Major Indexes.
The majority of the setups were based on classic price action chart patterns.
What I did through the trading year, I kept a record of each free signal that I posted: noting the winners, losers and the entry reason.
In this article, I will share with you the most accurate and profitable patterns for trading by accuracy and winning rate.
First, let me reveal the list of chart patterns that I traded this year:
double top & double bottom, head & shoulders pattern, cup & handle, bullish and bearish flag, rising and falling wedge, horizontal channel, ascending, descending and symmetrical triangles.
And I did not trade every pattern that I spotted. There were some specific criteria that I relied on to confirm the validity of the patterns.
Keep reading and you will learn these criteria.
Secondly, you can back test the performance of a trading setup and of each pattern that I shared on my official tradingview page by your own.
Simply, use the filter to display the desired pattern.
Tradingview does not allow removing the trading signal once it is posted, so all the results are 100% real.
My TradingView Page - www.tradingview.com
Thirdly, all the chart patterns that I trade strictly formed on key daily supports and resistances . I never trade the patterns beyond key levels.
For example, the triangle chart pattern on an hourly time frame on EURAUD that I posted recently was formed on a key daily horizontal resistance.
Please, note that the price action patterns alone that are formed far from strong supports and resistances will always have a lower winning rate.
Also, I applied the chart patterns primarily for day trading and swing trading.
The time frames that I used were daily/4h/1h. For scalping, the performance will be different.
And the last thing that patterns in chart patterns trading is the direction of the market trend. The price action pattern that indicates a price movement against the trend will always have a lower accuracy than the one the aligns with the trend and give a trend following signal.
In the trading setup above, I spotted not only a bullish price action pattern on an hourly time frame but also a strong bullish trend on a daily.
Following all these criteria, here are the winning rates of chart patterns that I traded this year.
Double top & double bottom pattern get 66% winning rate.
That's the example of a perfect double bottom chart pattern for trading.
Remember that the fact that the price formed a pattern does not provide a reliable signal, we trade only after a breakout of its neckline and a candle close beyond, that is our strong confirmation.
Head & shoulders pattern and its inverted version get 69% winning rate.
You can find a valid head and shoulders pattern above. It was formed on a key daily resistance, and the trade was opened strictly after a violation of the neckline.
Cup & handle pattern and its inverted version has 67% accuracy this year.
That's a very perfect cup and handle that the price formed on a key support. Confirmation is the violation of the horizontal neckline.
Bullish and bearish flags get 62% accuracy.
Examine the perfect flag pattern on USDJPY. The market is bullish on a daily and trades within a rising channel. The price formed a bullish flag on an hourly, approaching its support. Our signal to buy is the violation of its upper trend line.
Rising and falling wedges get 64% accuracy.
The rising wedge that the price formed on the chart above perfectly aligns with the up trend on a daily.
Horizontal channel - the range achieves 68% winning rate.
The horizontal range that the price formed after a breakout of a key daily support and its consequent test was broken to the downside, giving a reliable intraday confirmation signal.
The accuracy of ascending and descending triangles gave correct signals in 67% of the trades.
We made a nice profit, buying Bitcoin after a breakout of a neckline of the ascending triangle pattern that was formed on a retest recently broken daily resistance that turned into support.
Symmetrical triangle got 61% winning chance.
The violation of a falling trend line of a symmetrical triangle after a test of a key daily support gave a strong intraday bullish signal.
The best and the most accurate trading setups were based on a combination of multiple patterns.
It is a situation, when the market forms 2 or even more the-same biased patterns.
The trading setup above combines 2 bearish price action patterns on a key daily resistance: rising wedge pattern and descending triangle. Breakouts the trend line and neckline of both patterns gave very accurate bearish signal.
Such setups have a winning chance above 70%.
The one setup that gave almost 83% winning rate this year was based on a combination of a falling wedge pattern and a cup & handle pattern within.
In that setup, you can find not only a falling wedge pattern and its resistance breakout but also a cup & handle pattern that formed within and its neckline violation as well.
Always record the results and the entry criteria of your trades.
It will help you to identify the most efficient entry signals and the worst ones.
I hope that my observations will help you in the next trading year.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
A thought Hi, "Happy new year"
giving just my thoughts being one of the participant of many chat groups, might be the one participating in highest numbers of chat groups
every now then, participants use some words/phrases, if trade didn't work according to their setups , giving here my opinion , your are free to give your opinion and experiences
thanks