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Trend Analysis

Some information About Gold 🚀 Weaker U.S. labour data pushes gold higher Gold (XAU) reached a near four-week high during yesterday's trading session following a weaker-than-expected report on U.S. private employment. Also, the yields on U.S. bonds continued to rise following a report that President-elect Donald Trump was considering implementing emergency measures to impose a new tariff program. 👉 Possible effects for traders The ADP National Employment Report revealed that U.S. private payroll growth slowed significantly in the previous month, from 146,000 in November 2024 towards 122,000 in December. The market is now awaiting the release of the U.S. jobs report on Friday for further insights into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction. The minutes from the Fed's previous meeting indicated that policymakers agreed that inflation is likely to continue declining this year. They also acknowledged the rising risk of persistent price pressures, which could be influenced by the potential impact of President Trump's policies. Meanwhile, physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen their first inflow in four years despite a decline in their holdings by 6.8 metric tons, according to the World Gold Council. XAUUSD was moving primarily in a relatively narrow range of $2,656–$2,662 during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, market participants are waiting for the U.S. Jobless Claims report data, coming out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading should be taken as bullish for gold, while lower data may trigger bearish momentum in the precious metal.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Sam-Brown
1
Trading Resolutions for 2025The start of a New Year is always a time to not only look back on the old, but also look ahead to the new. Resolutions are often made during this period, so we wanted to provide some suggestions of what you could try from a trading perspective in the year ahead. 1. Keeping a Trading Journal: This doesn’t have to be as onerous as I’m sure you’re thinking! Every time you initiate a trade, write down in a notebook, on your phone or in a file on your laptop, why you’ve executed the trade, your expectations for the trade, the entry and stop loss level(s), possible objectives, the outcome of the trade, and finally your thoughts on what was right/wrong/or how things could have been improved. This will allow you to look back on all your trades, assess your trading strategy and check on how results have changed from trade to trade. Does one strategy consistently outperform the others? Are you making consistent mistakes with trades that lose you money? Are your stop losses being hit more than objectives? This can be performed on a daily, weekly, monthly, or even annual basis to provide valuable insights into what you may be doing wrong and, more importantly, what you are doing right 2. Never Trade Without a Stop Loss in Place: The first question you should always ask yourself before you hit the trade button, is where your stop loss needs to be. Choose chart levels that matter, like previous highs or lows, moving averages, or Fibonacci retracements. Setting a stop loss based solely on risk tolerance may place it above strong support or below strong resistance, where price reversals often occur after stops are triggered. Consider putting your stop loss just above resistance for short positions or just below support for long positions. 3. Determine the Size of Position You Take in Each Trade by Using The Stop Level: This follows on from number 2 above. Try not to go into every trade thinking, I’m prepared to lose X amount financially on each trade, so I will trade my usual size of the asset, which means the stop should be here. Consider whether a better approach maybe to identify where your stop loss should be before you trade an asset, then try adjusting the size of your position to suit where the stop loss level you identified should be placed. This way, your financial risk remains the same each trade, but your stop is in what you have identified as the correct position. 4. Establish a Chart Template on Your Pepperstone System Using Technical Indicators You Trust: Consider assessing what technical indicators you like and trust, be it for example Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, Momentum and/or Trending indicators, or a combination of them. Whatever you feel works for you and you have a feel for. If you’re not sure which indicators work best for you and your trading, use a Pepperstone demo trading account to test out the technical signals you receive and see what does work for you in a risk free live environment. Remember you don’t have to overcomplicate things by always having all the indicators available to you on a chart. Consider keeping it simple with one momentum, one trending, one sentiment indicator, and an indicator that allows to gauge sentiment, such as Bollinger Bands. Take a look at our timeline where we have already covered several indicators and the types of signals they generate; over time we will add to this coverage. 5. If you like our posts, please hit the Rocket button so we know you like our work, or leave us a comment and let us know if you’d like anything in particular covered. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
How to manage emotions and the great problems that this generateThere is something that must be understood when entering the market: the risks, manipulation, trading with poor-quality assets, not managing risk, among other things. However, the most important one, and the one no one wants to address, is the psychological aspect. Why do I say this? 85% of traders do not control their emotions when trading. Letting ourselves be driven by emotions can be, and I’m not sure if it’s the worst, in a market like the financial one. We may be the best at analyzing, but what’s the point if we make 1,000 USD and then lose it by trying to make another 1,000? Over trading is one of the main issues. Over the years, it has been something I struggled with a lot, but today, 5 years later, I can say that I have overcome it. How can I control my emotions? Addressing these aspects takes time and patience, as we are talking about changing a pattern that may have existed for a long time, and it may not even be directly related to trading but to something internal within each person. Sometimes, professional help is even necessary. My method, which helped me a lot to control this, is the future blocking every certain number of days (I trade, generate profits, and block). 48 hours is an important timeframe. It’s essential to use exchanges that offer this option; it’s the only way to control our anxiety when trading. How do I control my emotions when facing losses? It’s not only about losses; gains and greed can also play a role. Many times, after a winning streak, we believe the market can’t defeat us or that we’re invincible. And that’s when we get knocked down, and the dreaded losses arrive. When that happens, a big part of a trader’s mind is overwhelmed by the thought of: “Now I need to recover!” And that’s when the problems begin: one loss leads to another, creating a never-ending chain. The best thing in these cases, whether it’s a loss or gain, is also blocking. Why do I talk about blocking? Because it’s the only way for someone with a problem to truly step away from the market. Emotions and feelings in weak individuals create an explosive combination that leads nowhere. It’s important to work on your mindset so that you don’t become just another person giving money away to the market. Work intelligently: enter the market when there’s an opportunity, not when you want or can. It’s the only way you will be able to achieve or at least attempt profitability. Be sharp and focus more on the mindset than on the analysis. CriptoSolutions
Education
by CriptoSolutions
Clear mind to manage the risk aheadWe are reaching critical areas for the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the ideal is to stay out of the market in these cases, both in BTC and in the rest of the cryptocurrencies. And you wonder why? The dominance of BTC in the face of strong falls causes the rest of the tokens to collapse abruptly, which is why it is always better when liquidations are approaching to stay out of the market, since there are no Orders and SLs to hold. Once the market is going to sweep away all the leveraged and SL that is when we come in, although we have a support zone at 87,000 - 86,000, I do not think it will hold and in my opinion, it will go directly to close the gap to 76k
CME:BTC1!Education
by CriptoSolutions
Something NEW!!1. Identify your htf. 2. Identify a htf bias. 3. Identify your current trading range on your htf. 4. Identify your premium or discount level. 5. Inside your premium or discount level identify your htf point of interest. 6. Wait for price to pull into your htf point of interest. 7. Pop down to a ltf where you'll observe bearish or bullish price action. 8. Wait for the buy model or sell model to play our wait for a market structure shift on the ltf. 9. Look for 2 stack pois like a breaker block coupled with an imbalance 10. Enter at the stacked poi( point of interest) after a market structure shift.
CAPITALCOM:DXYEducation
by darrenblignaut78
Gann Astro Trading - Why Time is More Important than Price.Understanding Gann Astro Trading: Why Time is More Important than Price 1.Time and Price are Interconnected: - According to Gann, markets move in cycles, and these cycles are governed by natural and cosmic rhythms. The relationship between time and price is crucial, but time, as Gann states, is often the more significant factor. - While price shows the movement, it is the time element that reveals the true potential of a market cycle. Gann's theory posits that price will ultimately follow time-based cycles, meaning that a specific time point will have a more profound influence on future price movements than price levels alone. 2.Time: The Key Driver of Market Movements: - In his writings, Gann emphasizes the importance of specific time intervals, particularly geometric and astrological cycles, to predict price movements. Markets do not move in a vacuum; they respond to the inherent rhythms of time. - As described in The Tunnel Thru the Air and How to Make Profits in Commodities, Gann believed that understanding time cycles could help traders forecast market turning points more accurately than focusing solely on price patterns. 3.The Significance of Degrees and Cycles: - Gann used the concept of a "degree" to measure time in a circular manner. A degree represents a specific amount of time, where 360 degrees make a complete cycle. He applied this idea to market movements, showing how price and time could be mapped in a circular form. - Gann believed everything in the universe operates in cycles—astrological, physical, and even economic. Through his Gann Wheel, Gann demonstrated how specific degrees, such as 90°, 180°, and 360°, corresponded to important market levels and time intervals. 4.Astrological Influence on Time and Price: - Gann integrated astrology into his market analysis, acknowledging that planetary movements had a direct influence on market cycles. For example, a planet returning to the same degree it occupied at the start of a cycle could be a strong indicator of a market shift. - By converting planetary positions into degrees and mapping them onto market time frames, Gann successfully predicted major market events. 5.Why Time is Critical: - Gann's extensive research showed that market trends often form at specific time intervals—regardless of the price level—such as at 90, 180, 270, or 360 degrees from a key turning point. -The timing of a market move can indicate a price reversal or continuation, and Gann believed that correctly identifying these time cycles allowed for more precise predictions. -The market’s response to time cycles reveals the true potential of price movements, as price action will follow these natural time-based rhythms. 6.The Gann Square and Time Cycles: -The Gann Square is another tool Gann used to analyse price and time. It is a geometric pattern based on the number 9, and each square corresponds to specific time and price relationships. By calculating the number of days or weeks that correspond with these squares, traders could better predict key market turning points. - Gann’s approach suggests that once a market has completed a cycle of 360 degrees (time), the next cycle could follow a similar pattern, reinforcing the idea that time leads price. 7. Converting Everything to Degrees: - Gann’s unique ability to convert price and time into degrees allowed him to identify specific turning points. Whether it was a stock chart, a commodity price, or even an astrological event, everything could be analysed using this degree-based methodology. - In his Master Commodities Course and Gann Master Charts, he elaborated on how these degrees could be used for precise timing and decision-making in trading. Each market action and reaction could be mapped along a 360-degree circle, giving traders a unique insight into future movements. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Here is a trade example using the Gann Astro Trading Principle." "Using Gann Astro techniques, I accurately calculated the exact reversal time for Gold 2 hours in advance. Although my limit orders didn’t get filled, the market reversed precisely at the predicted time, showcasing the precision of intraday trading with Gann Astro trading and mathematical Models" OANDA:XAUUSD TIME OF REVERSAL CALCULATED 2 HOURS PRIOR - In the market, TIME is more important than PRICE. Most of you are misled by retail strategies that solely focus on the X-axis (price), which is fundamentally flawed. Markets move based on the function of TIME, not price, and certainly not by your lagging indicators or ineffective strategies focused only on price. The real truth lies in the Y-axis: TIME. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE - GANN WHEN THE TIME IS UP THE MARKET WILL REVERSE- GANN (Note: Emphasizes the precision of your calculation and method while acknowledging the limit order not being filled.) "YOU DON'T PANIC WHEN YOU KNOW THE GAME" ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Conclusion: Time, as Gann stated, is often the more important element in forecasting price movements because it reflects the cosmic and cyclical influences that govern all aspects of life, including the markets. By converting everything to degrees, Gann was able to map time and price in a way that provided clearer insights into market direction. Through his works, we see that the true key to success in trading lies not just in price levels but in understanding the cycles of time that drive the markets.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
10
Understanding Gann Astro Trading.Understanding Gann Astro Trading: Why Time is More Important than Price 1.Time and Price are Interconnected: - According to Gann, markets move in cycles, and these cycles are governed by natural and cosmic rhythms. The relationship between time and price is crucial, but time, as Gann states, is often the more significant factor. - While price shows the movement, it is the time element that reveals the true potential of a market cycle. Gann's theory posits that price will ultimately follow time-based cycles, meaning that a specific time point will have a more profound influence on future price movements than price levels alone. 2.Time: The Key Driver of Market Movements: - In his writings, Gann emphasizes the importance of specific time intervals, particularly geometric and astrological cycles, to predict price movements. Markets do not move in a vacuum; they respond to the inherent rhythms of time. - As described in The Tunnel Thru the Air and How to Make Profits in Commodities, Gann believed that understanding time cycles could help traders forecast market turning points more accurately than focusing solely on price patterns. 3.The Significance of Degrees and Cycles: - Gann used the concept of a "degree" to measure time in a circular manner. A degree represents a specific amount of time, where 360 degrees make a complete cycle. He applied this idea to market movements, showing how price and time could be mapped in a circular form. - Gann believed everything in the universe operates in cycles—astrological, physical, and even economic. Through his Gann Wheel, Gann demonstrated how specific degrees, such as 90°, 180°, and 360°, corresponded to important market levels and time intervals. 4.Astrological Influence on Time and Price: - Gann integrated astrology into his market analysis, acknowledging that planetary movements had a direct influence on market cycles. For example, a planet returning to the same degree it occupied at the start of a cycle could be a strong indicator of a market shift. - By converting planetary positions into degrees and mapping them onto market time frames, Gann successfully predicted major market events. 5.Why Time is Critical: - Gann's extensive research showed that market trends often form at specific time intervals—regardless of the price level—such as at 90, 180, 270, or 360 degrees from a key turning point. -The timing of a market move can indicate a price reversal or continuation, and Gann believed that correctly identifying these time cycles allowed for more precise predictions. -The market’s response to time cycles reveals the true potential of price movements, as price action will follow these natural time-based rhythms. 6.The Gann Square and Time Cycles: -The Gann Square is another tool Gann used to analyse price and time. It is a geometric pattern based on the number 9, and each square corresponds to specific time and price relationships. By calculating the number of days or weeks that correspond with these squares, traders could better predict key market turning points. - Gann’s approach suggests that once a market has completed a cycle of 360 degrees (time), the next cycle could follow a similar pattern, reinforcing the idea that time leads price. 7. Converting Everything to Degrees: - Gann’s unique ability to convert price and time into degrees allowed him to identify specific turning points. Whether it was a stock chart, a commodity price, or even an astrological event, everything could be analysed using this degree-based methodology. - In his Master Commodities Course and Gann Master Charts, he elaborated on how these degrees could be used for precise timing and decision-making in trading. Each market action and reaction could be mapped along a 360-degree circle, giving traders a unique insight into future movements. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Here is a trade example using the Gann Astro Trading Principle." "Using Gann Astro techniques, I accurately calculated the exact reversal time for Gold 2 hours in advance. Although my limit orders didn’t get filled, the market reversed precisely at the predicted time, showcasing the precision of intraday trading with Gann Astro trading and mathematical Models" OANDA:XAUUSD TIME OF REVERSAL CALCULATED 2 HOURS PRIOR - In the market, TIME is more important than PRICE. Most of you are misled by retail strategies that solely focus on the X-axis (price), which is fundamentally flawed. Markets move based on the function of TIME, not price, and certainly not by your lagging indicators or ineffective strategies focused only on price. The real truth lies in the Y-axis: TIME. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE - GANN WHEN THE TIME IS UP THE MARKET WILL REVERSE- GANN (Note: Emphasizes the precision of your calculation and method while acknowledging the limit order not being filled.) "YOU DON'T PANIC WHEN YOU KNOW THE GAME" ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Conclusion: Time, as Gann stated, is often the more important element in forecasting price movements because it reflects the cosmic and cyclical influences that govern all aspects of life, including the markets. By converting everything to degrees, Gann was able to map time and price in a way that provided clearer insights into market direction. Through his works, we see that the true key to success in trading lies not just in price levels but in understanding the cycles of time that drive the markets.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
Surviving the Crazy Market: Two Tricks That Saved My TradingI've had those moments where watching my trades feels like being on a wild roller coaster, my stomach all twisty with excitement and fear. Here's my story and two tricks that have helped me when the market goes nuts: Trick 1: My Chill-Out Break There was this one time when the market just fell like a rock right after I made a trade. My heart was racing, and my first thought was to sell everything before I lost more money. But instead, I did something different. I set a timer for 15 minutes, went outside, and just watched the sky. When I came back, I wasn't panicking anymore. The market had calmed down a bit too. With a clear head, I looked at my trade again, adjusted my stop-loss, and held on until it got better. What I Did: I took a break from my computer. How I Felt: I went from super scared to pretty relaxed. What Happened: I made better choices and didn't lose as much money. Trick 2: My Crazy Meter I used to dive into trading without thinking about how wild the market was. After this one day when I lost a lot because I was trading like crazy, I made up something I call my "Crazy Meter." Before I trade, I check if the market's calm or wild, giving it a number from 1 to 10. If it's really wild, over a 7, I only use a tiny bit of my money and make sure I can stop the trade if things go too bad. What I Did: I check how wild the market is before I trade. How I Felt: I felt prepared, not scared of what the market might do. What Happened: I didn't lose a lot, and sometimes I even made money when others were freaking out. Have you ever had your trades go all over the place and felt just as scared as I did? These tricks might help you too! If you want to learn more about handling when the market goes nuts, come to my webinar this Sunday. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:DJTEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave Theory, Part 3Hello Traders. With the new year upon us, I think sufficient time has passed for the charts to develop from our previous #Bitcoin analysis. Having accurately forecasted the macro trends for each pivot within a reasonable margin of error, I believe we're approaching another pivotal moment this year, aligning with our previous predictions. Please take this post with a grain of salt, and more importantly, please use it to add confluence to your personal theories. In this post, we will be diving deeper into the Elliott Wave Theory by also integrating the Wyckoff Market Cycle Theory. By combining the two theories, the chart below represents our current position within the final leg for what could be giving us signs of a possible reversal (again, within margin of error depending on how far wave 5 extends): Wyckoff believed that markets move in cycles, which arguably has a direct correlation to the Elliott Wave 5-wave/3-wave cycle. Wyckoff introduced a four-stage market cycle , attributing it to the actions of institutional players who strategically influence price movements to capitalize on the behavior of uninformed traders. Simply put, the theory gives us a further understanding of 'cause and effect' within the markets. In my view, the Wyckoff cycle also does a fantastic job of representing market psychology. And if intertwined correctly with the Elliott Wave Theory, price action tends to follow patterns in similar ways. The Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Theory often overlap in their application and interpretation of market behavior, but they approach the market from different perspectives. Both theories aim to understand and predict market movements based on the behavior of market participants and price cycles, making them complementary in many ways. Commonalities Between the Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Theory: Market Cycles - Wyckoff Theory identifies a four-stage market cycle: Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. The Elliott Wave Theory also emphasizes cyclic behavior through a fractal structure of impulsive and corrective waves within broader market cycles. - Both theories suggest that price movements are not random but follow identifiable patterns driven by market psychology. Psychological Basis - Wyckoff focuses on the interaction between "big players" (institutional traders) and "uninformed traders," highlighting group psychology and how institutional actions exploit public sentiment. - Elliott Wave focuses on the crowd psychology behind price movements, suggesting that mass investor sentiment drives waves in predictable patterns. **Both theories reflect the influence of human behavior and emotions on market prices.** Application Across Timeframes - Both theories are applicable across multiple timeframes, from intraday trading to long-term investments. This flexibility allows traders to use them in conjunction for deeper market analysis. Identification of Trends and Reversals - In Wyckoff Theory, phases like Markup and Markdown align with Elliott Wave's impulsive trends, while Accumulation and Distribution phases can correspond to corrective wave patterns. - Both approaches aim to identify key turning points in the market, helping traders anticipate trends and reversals. ----- The Four Stages of the Market Cycle According to Wyckoff Accumulation Phase This is a sideways range where institutional traders accumulate positions quietly to avoid driving prices higher. During this phase, the asset remains out of the public spotlight, and uninformed traders are largely unaware of the activity. On a price chart, the phase appears as a range-bound movement between areas of support and resistance. Markup Phase Following the accumulation phase, the market enters a classic uptrend. As prices rise, uninformed traders begin to notice and join in, further fueling the rally. Institutional players may take partial profits or continue holding for greater gains. Short sellers caught off guard are forced to cover their positions, adding additional buying pressure and driving prices to new highs. Distribution Phase After the uptrend loses momentum, the market transitions into a sideways range, marking the distribution phase. Institutional players use this period to offload their holdings, while uninformed traders, still expecting higher prices, continue to buy. Some institutional traders may also initiate short positions during this phase to benefit from the subsequent price decline. On the price chart, this phase appears as a reversal of the uptrend into a sideways range. Markdown Phase The markdown phase is characterized by a downtrend following the distribution phase. Institutional traders add to their short positions, while uninformed traders, recognizing the decline too late, sell in panic, creating further downward pressure. The market eventually reaches new lows as selling accelerates. The Model of Group Psychology After the markdown phase, the cycle often repeats, moving from accumulation to markup, distribution, and markdown again. The Wyckoff cycle offers a simplified perspective on market behavior, focusing on the psychological dynamics between two groups: institutional traders (the "big players") and uninformed traders (the "small players"). It highlights how the mistakes and emotional reactions of uninformed traders often benefit institutional players. The Wyckoff cycle provides valuable insights into market behavior but is not without limitations: Limitations of the Wyckoff Trading Cycle Difficulty in Identifying Phases Distinguishing between accumulation and distribution phases can be challenging. What appears to be an accumulation phase might turn into a distribution phase, with the market unexpectedly breaking lower. Timing Challenges Entering trades during accumulation or distribution phases is difficult due to the lack of clear stop-loss levels. Placing stops around support and resistance often leads to being trapped. Complexity in Trading Trends Trading the markup and markdown phases requires skill, as they are filled with complex price action patterns. Modern markets often experience frequent trend reversals, complicating trade execution. Irregular Cycles The market does not always follow the textbook sequence of accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. Variations such as accumulation followed by markdown or other combinations are possible. Despite its limitations, the Wyckoff cycle remains a useful framework for understanding market behavior. It is best combined with other strategies, such as price action and market dynamics, to enhance its practical applicability. While modern markets may reduce the cycle's predictive reliability, it still serves as a powerful tool for traders who know how to apply it effectively. Proper Application of the Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Overlap (in Practice): Trend Identification: The Markup Phase in Wyckoff often aligns with Elliott's Impulse Waves (1, 3, and 5), while the Markdown Phase aligns with corrective waves or bearish impulses. Sideways Markets: Wyckoff’s Accumulation and Distribution phases correspond to Elliott’s Corrective Waves (A-B-C) or sideways consolidations (Flats and Triangles). Volume Confirmation: Traders can use Wyckoff’s volume analysis to validate Elliott Wave patterns, especially in identifying wave 3's (typically accompanied by high volume) and wave 5's (often showing declining volume). Timing and Execution: Wyckoff’s emphasis on identifying support/resistance levels and trading ranges can help refine the entry and exit points suggested by the Elliott Wave Theory. Combining the Two: Many traders find value in combining these theories: - Use Wyckoff to identify key price levels and market phases (e.g., when accumulation or distribution is occurring). - Use Elliott Wave to determine the broader trend structure and anticipate the next moves within those levels. - By integrating Wyckoff’s volume-driven approach with Elliott’s fractal patterns, traders can gain a comprehensive view of the market and improve their ability to time trades effectively. ---- By integrating the concepts from both theories and the outlined schematics, we can now take a closer look at how Bitcoin is behaving through the lens of these frameworks. As observed, Bitcoin appears to be nearing the completion of the potential 5th wave we've been discussing over the past year. In my view, a bear market (or at least a significant correction) may be approaching. While timing is uncertain due to the unlikely nature of extensions, we can use insights from both Wyckoff and Elliott Wave theories to gauge our current position. I believe we are likely in the Distribution phase, which aligns with the 5th wave. The 5th wave can extend as much as it wants, but it won't change the overall conclusion of the cycle. We still anticipate the cyclical behavior that Bitcoin has shown in the past. While past price action isn't necessarily a predictor of future movements, it often follows a similar pattern.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XForceGlobal
22
Trading GBPUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30-03/01/25The past week offered a subtle reminder that trading isn't always about pushing the buy or sell button. Sometimes, when market conditions are less predictable, it is advisable to sit back and concentrate on tape reading to allow market to reveal its intentions before engaging in trades. During the festive season and approaching the New Year, the market often exhibits erratic behaviour, making trading a bit difficult, and traders are often slaughtered under these conditions. Using the Judas Swing strategy, we scouted for trades during this period to evaluate how the strategy would perform under these conditions. On Monday, we did not find any trading opportunities on the four currency pairs we were monitoring. Fortunately the next day, we saw a potential trading setup forming on GBPUSD which caught our attention. We saw a sweep of liquidity on the sell side, signalling potential buying opportunities on GBPUSD. This followed a break of structure to the buy side, that price leg also left behind a fair value gap (FVG). With these conditions aligning, all we need is a retrace into the FVG to fulfil the entry requirements on our checklist. Twenty minutes later, we saw the retracement needed to enter the GBPUSD trade, triggered by the candle that closed within the FVG. We executed the trade with a 1% risk allocation from our trading account, aiming for a 2% return on this setup. This trade barely showed any profit before hitting our stop loss within twenty five minutes, leaving us down by 1% for the day. Did losing that amount bother us? Not at all. We were fully comfortable with the risk we had allocated for the trade. Wednesday didn’t present any trading opportunities, but on Thursday, we identified a promising setup on AUDUSD that we were eager to capitalize on. Once the price retraced into the FVG and all the requirements on our checklist were met, we executed the trade, risking 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% return The AUDUSD trade came within a few pips of hitting our take profit (TP) before reversing and going the other way. From our backtest data, we’ve observed that taking partial profits negatively impacts the strategy’s overall performance over time. Instead, allowing trades to play out fully either hitting the stop loss or the take profit has consistently delivered better results in the long run. While reviewing our data, we also noted that it’s not uncommon for trades to come very close to hitting TP, only to reverse and hit the stop loss. Although this doesn’t happen often, it’s a pattern we’ve seen before during our backtesting sessions, so it wasn’t surprising when it occurred here. Taking a loss like this can be emotionally taxing, especially if you risked more than you could afford to lose or weren’t prepared for such scenarios due to a lack of backtesting. That’s why we can’t stress enough the importance of backtesting—it allows you to observe various scenarios in action and equips you to handle these situations more effectively. Friday didn’t present any trading opportunities, leaving us down 2% on our trading account for the week. However, we’re okay with this outcome, knowing that one good trade can offset those losses.
Education
by CleoFinance
Trade trainingHello guys This time we came with classic price action training. As you can see, after a strong upward movement, the price entered suffering and made a ceiling and made a heavy fall, which caused the failure of the previous floor. Now we can enter into a sell transaction with the first pullback, and our target will be the defined support range. Now that the price has entered the channel after the spike, we can still enter into a sell transaction with any upward move until we see signs of trend reversal. *Trade safely with us*
Education
by TheHunters_Company
Lesson Learned: What Seperates the Greats from the AmeteursI am getting back to trading again after several years of unprofitability. I went over my trade entries from many years ago, as well as entries I backtested, now that trading view seems to have improved it's bar replay, it's been even easier. I made a discovery: 1. High R/R as well as moves with possible multiple entry opportunities are found on the 1hr or higher timeframe breakout structures. 2. The losses I had taken came from trading breakouts within a consolidating market. 3. Winners start working rather quickly, they go move big and fast. When checking my trade duration, the losses tend to happen either very fast, or they linger for a bit, then hit my SL. or perhaps a small profit. Winners tend to have very fast(especially since I daytrade the 5min). This was a great observation, as last night, I got to see it in action again, using live money and real emotions. Now I can see what I do so I can learn. Lessons Learned: 1. Trade Only 1hr or higher timeframe breakout structures. It's fine to take a 5min breakout within to catch the full breakout(as you would take a 1hr structure to catch a Daily chart breakout), however, step back if market is hostile. This allows for: Optimal R/R due to a bigger trending move Higher win rate due to cutting out losses from random price breakouts due to using only the 5min chart patterns. Patience to wait for the bigger trend to break out, when the market moves and can actually provide a good trading environment. 2. Avoid Hostile Markets. mentioned on lesson 1, but is worth reemphasizing. Continuing to reenter a market that is clearly moving unfavorably to your plan is death by 1,000 papercuts. Rather than continuing to try to get in, which is absolutely fine in a favorable market, use your "sit-out power" - The discipline to stay out of the market when conditions dont suit your strategy. By sitting out during unfavorable periods, top traders like Mark Minervini(U.S. Investing Championship 1st place winner on multiple years with multiple students also reaching top ranks) maintains a win rate closer to 50%. 3. If market takes too long to go, it could be a sign that it is not ready yet and may most likely continue correcting . This is clearly evident in how the market today, although it seemed to be forming double tops, and breakout structures, it didnt breakout yet, it just extended it's correction, making this move unpredictable, and raising the chances of stopping out. Trading is probabilities, and successful trading is moving the probabilities in your favor. This may be an opportunity to revisit during more favorable market conditions, when it begins to trend. I used a time stop today, and it is something that I have recently started implementing, as I also discovered that many successful traders also use a time stop, because timing the market breakout is a key element in trading the market profitably, as well as is staying out when the timing is off and avoiding a full unnecessary loss when markets are moving unfavorably for a long period. A tweet I read today, published by Law Wai-Sum, known on X as @JLawStock, One of Mark Minervini's student's, and also 1st place winner of the Eleven Month 2024 U.S. Investing Championship with a 308.6% return in the Money Manager Verified Rating($1 Million+ Accounts), yesterday, mentioned " to improve trading performance, the first step is not to seek trading opportunities but to learn how to eliminate them ...Currently, the U.S. Stock market is also not the time for me to engage in agressive trading. I have given up on many trading opportunities, but this is cautious timing approach allowed my overall account to achieve double digit growth last december with minimal drawdowns. The second step is to learn to focus on opportunities that truly belong to you. How many times in the past have you kept firing away, only to end up busy for nothing and making no progress? This shows that the majority of trades are, in fact, meaningless. The major contributions to your account often come from a few key trades. But one thing is for certain: These key trades do not present entry opportunities every day- they only appear at the most favorable moments, and when they do, that's when you grab the money in large handfuls..." This was so special for me to read precisely today, as I took losses for trading an unfavorable market, and now, hours later, I see, the market was not breaking out. Jesse Livermore, or JLaw himself couldve been trying to trade these breakouts and they wont go. The key is, they wouldn't continue trading these breakouts. they dont get results from the markets because the market just move in their favor, rather, they decide to keep their profits by staying out when it does not. I invite you, as a reader, to take action on the knoweledge learned, and observe your past trades. zoom out, were you taking losses due to trading a hostile and corrective market? Rather than switch and learn new strategies(As I once did, which was fine too, as it was great knoweledge, but I go back to the basics, what I started with, because it works, it always did, I just needed to do a better job of understanding when it worked and when I was overtrading), I challenge you too, to develop further YOUR strategy. To understand when to stay out and sit in cash.
Education
by DAVID_GIRALDO
EASIEST WAY TO GET INTO A TRADE IN 20251. Identify your htf. 2. Identify a htf bias. 3. Identify your current trading range on your htf. 4. Identify your premium or discount level. 5. Inside your premium or discount level identify your htf point of interest. 6. Wait for price to pull into your htf point of interest. 7. Pop down to a ltf where you'll observe bearish or bullish price action. 8. Wait for the buy model or sell model to play our wait fora market structure shift on the ltf. 9. Your new range will be on the ltf where there was a market structure shift which will give you a new range. 10. Mark out the range using your fibs and plot your discount or premium area. 11. Inside your ltf premium of discount level identify your ltf point of interest. 12.Enter at the poi( point of interest) inside these levels or set an entry at the retest.
Education
by darrenblignaut78
Predict market HIGH/LOW with Gann Astro Trading Calculated Gold’s Reversal 6 Hours Before It Happened Using Gann Astro Techniques OANDA:XAUUSD On December 24, I calculated a reversal in gold 6 hours prior to its occurrence, utilizing Gann Astro techniques and mathematical models. This analysis allowed me to identify key turning points in the market based on time rather than price. Many traders focus solely on price, but Gann’s principles emphasize that time (Y-axis) is the dominant factor driving market movements. For this calculation, I incorporated the Ascendant as a critical element in my intraday trading approach, demonstrating the significance of aligning market analysis with time functions. Key Observation: The market reversed at exactly 10:30 AM New York Time (UTC-5), aligning perfectly with the pre-determined time calculated through Gann Astro techniques. On the 45-minute timeframe for gold, the chart confirms the reversal occurred precisely at the calculated time. This underscores the reliability of time-based analysis over traditional methods that often focus on price alone. Why Time is More Important than Price: 1. Time is constant and unaffected by external manipulation. 2. Highs and lows in the market are governed by fixed time cycles. 3. Price, being variable, is a secondary function delivered based on time. By switching to the 15-minute timeframe, the precision of these calculations becomes even more evident. This highlights how time-based analysis reveals market behaviour that might otherwise appear random. Gann Intraday Techniques in Action: The Gann Astro methodology integrates planetary positions and mathematical principles to forecast turning points in the market. The principle "time is more important than price" is consistently validated, showing that market reversals are governed by time cycles rather than unpredictable price movements. On December 26, after the market reopened, the price fulfilled its movement to key liquidity zones identified earlier. This demonstrates how time cycles dictate the market's behaviour, with price aligning naturally to these pre-determined movements. Advanced Insights: - The Y-axis represents time, the immutable factor. - The X-axis represents price, which is secondary and can be influenced. Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered. The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept: 1. Y-Axis → TIME 2. X-Axis → PRICE In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets. Key Insights: 1. TIME as the Guiding Factor: - The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME. - Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves. 2. Price Delivery Algorithm: - Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME. - Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers. 3.Intraday Gann Astro Example: - With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted. - Example from the chart: - At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms. - At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations. 4.What Gann Astro Does Differently: - Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points. - Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing. - Predict highs/lows hours before they happen. Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example. And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge: 1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME. 2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated. 3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive. Here’s another LIVE trade execution of this week. The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading. Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy. The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market. LIVE TRADE ENETRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market. NOW let's understand how markets turn on TIME - . By applying Gann-inspired mathematical and astro models, I pinpointed key times when market highs and lows are likely to occur. The principle of "TIME = PRICE" suggests that market reversals happen when time and price align. While price can be manipulated, time remains constant, making it a more reliable tool for accurate market forecasting. GANN INTRADAY TRADING - "The Hidden Truth: Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading" In this chart, you can see the market reversing exactly at 21:05, a TIME I calculated in advance using Gann's astro intraday techniques. The method applied here is Squaring the Range—a concept rooted in understanding the range as the time zone where the price remains confined between two major HIGHs and LOWs. Using advanced mathematical principles in Gann astro analysis, I was able to determine the precise future reversal point. This allows me to approach my trading desk only at the calculated time and execute trades with confidence. This highlights why TIME outweighs PRICE in importance—while prices can be manipulated, TIME remains a constant and reliable indicator for market reversals. "GANN INTRADAY TRADING - Exposing Market Algorithms: Gann's TIME Secrets Revealed" In earlier times, markets were primarily influenced by market makers, but now, price delivery is controlled by algorithms designed to enhance liquidity. With the massive influx of participants in today’s market, these algorithms play a critical role in maintaining liquidity flow. Despite these changes, the core principle remains intact: the market still moves based on mass psychology. Here’s another example showcasing a bullish scenario using Gann techniques. In this bullish setup, the focus is on identifying key time cycles when the price delivery algorithm aligns with Gann's mathematical principles. By leveraging time-based calculations, I pinpointed the exact moment when the market began expanding upward, indicating a strong bullish movement. Conclusion: Understanding and applying time-based principles provide traders with a disciplined, research-driven approach to market analysis. By focusing on time rather than price, one can uncover the natural rhythm of the markets and align their strategies accordingly. Time is the constant that governs all market movements, as W.D. Gann emphasized: “Time is more important than price.”
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
19
Why Is Time More Important Than Price, as Explained by Gann?In the trading world, most market participants focus solely on price while overlooking the critical element that governs market movements: time. Time is fixed, immutable, and unaffected by external manipulation, unlike price, which can be influenced by institutions and market forces. By understanding the concept that "time is fixed, price is an illusion," traders can unlock a method to predict intraday highs and lows with unparalleled precision. This is the essence of the Gann Astro methodology, which reveals the market's natural rhythm and turning points based on time. The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept: Y-Axis → TIME X-Axis → PRICE In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets. Key Insights: 1. TIME as the Guiding Factor: - The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME. - Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves. 2. Price Delivery Algorithm: - Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME. - Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers. 3. Intraday Gann Astro Example: - With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted. - Example from the chart: - At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms. - At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations. 4. What Gann Astro Does Differently: - Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points. - Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing. - Predict highs/lows hours before they happen. Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example. You can clearly see on the chart that the TIME for the price reversal was already calculated using Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematics. I precisely identified the reversal time at 07:45, and you can verify this on the software screen. This highlights the power of time-based analysis, where price movements align perfectly with pre-determined time calculations, offering a clear edge in the market. And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. Is this just a coincidence? Absolutely not. This is the real way the market algorithm delivers price. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE, and this proves the unmatched accuracy of time-based analysis over conventional price-focused methods. Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge: 1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME. 2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated. 3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive. Here’s another LIVE trade I successfully completed this week. The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading. Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy. The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market. LIVE TRADE ENTRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market. The power of time-based analysis lies in its ability to expose market manipulation and predict market moves before they happen. Time, unlike price, is the key to decoding the market clock and identifying the exact moments when highs and lows form. With a deeper understanding of this principle, traders can remove guesswork, anticipate market movements, and align themselves with the forces that govern price delivery algorithms. The result is a disciplined, research-backed approach that replaces gambling behavior with a structured trading edge, offering a new perspective on intraday market success. Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
The Nexus Between Mining and Bitcoin ValuationGreetings, Intellectuals and fellow traders. Recently a compelling notion regarding the correlation between Bitcoin mining and its valuation crossed my mind. Intrigued I delved into research on the subject and today I am eager to share my insights with you all. I trust that you will find this discourse enlightening my friends. Bitcoin mining serves as the bedrock of the Bitcoin ecosystem, ensuring the network’s integrity, verifying transactions, and facilitating the gradual issuance of new bitcoins into circulation. Beyond its technical mechanisms, mining wields significant influence over Bitcoin's price dynamics. This discourse elucidates the operational intricacies of Bitcoin mining while exploring its complex interplay with market valuations. Defining Bitcoin Mining-: Bitcoin mining constitutes the computational process by which new bitcoins are minted and integrated into circulation. Simultaneously, it ensures the validation and chronological ordering of transactions within the blockchain—a decentralized and immutable digital ledger. This process hinges on miners deploying advanced computational systems to unravel sophisticated mathematical challenges that safeguard the network. Essential Facets of Bitcoin Mining-: 🔸Blockchain Architecture and Transaction Validation The Bitcoin network operates on a blockchain, a decentralized and incorruptible ledger. Transactions are aggregated into discrete blocks, which miners validate before appending to the blockchain. 🔸Proof of Work (PoW) Mechanism Miners engage in a competitive endeavor to solve cryptographic puzzles, requiring the discovery of a specific hash value. This labor-intensive process ensures network security and mitigates fraudulent activities. 🔸Block Rewards and Transactional Fees The miner who first resolves the computational challenge earns the privilege of adding the block to the chain, subsequently receiving block rewards (newly minted bitcoins) and transaction fees as remuneration. 🔸Adaptive Mining Difficulty The network recalibrates mining difficulty approximately every 2016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain a consistent average block production time of 10 minutes. Heightened miner participation increases difficulty, while reduced activity diminishes it. 🔸Specialized Mining Apparatus Modern mining operations predominantly employ Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs) bespoke hardware designed to maximize efficiency in solving Bitcoin's computational puzzles. The Nexus Between Mining and Bitcoin Valuation-: Bitcoin mining's economic implications significantly shape its price. The following outlines its intricate mechanisms: 🔸Supply and Demand Dynamics Bitcoin’s finite supply cap of 21 million coins underscores its scarcity-driven value proposition. Mining introduces incremental supply, which progressively diminishes through halving events. Halving Events Halving transpires approximately quadrennially, reducing block rewards by 50%. This deceleration in supply inflation fosters scarcity. Example: In 2020, rewards diminished from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC. Such contractions in supply amidst static or rising demand typically elevate prices. 🔸Miner Behavior and Market Sentiment Miners, as pivotal stakeholders, profoundly influence market sentiment through their operational and financial decisions. Elevated Mining Activity Robust mining activity reflects optimism in Bitcoin’s prospects, engendering positive price trajectories. Miner Liquidations During price downturns, miners often liquidate holdings to sustain operations, thereby increasing market supply and exerting downward pressure on prices. 🔸Energy Expenditures and Profit Margins The energy-intensive nature of Bitcoin mining imposes considerable operational costs, which affect miner profitability and, by extension, market dynamics. Prolonged unprofitability (e.g., due to suppressed prices or escalated energy costs) may compel miners to exit, undermining network security and investor confidence. Conversely, profitability fosters a resilient network, bolstering investor sentiment and price stability. 🔸Transaction Costs and Network Bottlenecks Periods of heightened network congestion elevate transaction fees, incentivizing miners while potentially deterring users. Excessive fees might redirect users toward alternative cryptocurrencies, dampening Bitcoin's demand and suppressing its price. 🔸Scarcity-Induced Speculation As Bitcoin’s total supply converges toward the 21 million threshold, its inherent scarcity garners heightened speculative interest, amplifying demand and inflating prices. Cyclic Interdependency Between Mining and Price The mining-price relationship is intrinsically cyclical-: 🔸Price Influences Mining Escalating Bitcoin prices render mining endeavors more lucrative, enticing increased participation. Augmented mining activity fortifies network security and perpetuates operational integrity. 🔸Mining Impacts Price Mining modulates Bitcoin's supply-demand equilibrium. Halving events induce scarcity, whereas miner liquidations can temporarily inflate supply, influencing market valuations. Impending Challenges and Strategic Contemplations Bitcoin mining faces multifaceted challenges that could recalibrate its influence on prices-: 🔸Ecological Ramifications The formidable energy consumption inherent in mining has incited environmental critiques, prompting calls for sustainable methodologies. Transitioning to renewable energy may alleviate ecological concerns yet inflate operational expenditures. 🔸Regulatory Scrutiny Regulatory bodies worldwide are intensifying their oversight of Bitcoin mining, citing environmental and fiscal implications. Legislative interventions could recalibrate miner operations, indirectly affecting Bitcoin prices. 🔸Technological Innovations Advances in mining hardware and energy optimization could reduce costs, enhancing network robustness. However, progress in competing cryptocurrencies might divert investment and attention from Bitcoin. Conclusion-: Bitcoin mining constitutes the cornerstone of the Bitcoin network, sustaining its operational integrity and economic framework. Its symbiotic relationship with Bitcoin’s price is shaped by supply constraints, miner actions, and cost structures. Meanwhile externalities such as regulatory pressures and environmental concerns augment the complexity of this interplay. As Bitcoin's ecosystem matures, the intricate nexus between mining and price will remain a focal point of scholarly and commercial interest, embodying both challenges and transformative potential for the cryptocurrency domain. Best Regards- Amit Hope you like this publication.
Education
by AMIT-RAJAN
1
FIB's @ Trend crossingOne thing I really try to avoid is too much clutter and colors on my charts. You'll start over analyzing, getting lost in all the extras with colors, and ending up with trade block or FOMO. But for learning purposes it helps show what I'm looking for. Here with the FIB run high to low crossing a primary and a secondary trend line you can see where reversals or break outs tend to happen the most. I don't look for up or down necessarily. I'll explain: What I want to know is if the entry and exit is at a beneficial area. We're here to make money after all and we do that by assessing the risk/reward. Afer a little practice and some back testing I hope you'll start to see it clearer without the visual aids. Or at least draw it then delete it. Without looking at the price or the ticker this is something you'll start to see on every chart. Support/resistance and trends. But none of that will ever work in your favor if you switch up mid-trade or take risk beyond the parameters. I'd get in here very cautiously on the 5min and 15min with a tight stop for either direction you're trading. For all I really know it'll go sideways again but at least we'll have stronger S/R to go off of when it does and a small loss if it stops out trying. Can't win em all but you don't have to lose everything to learn that.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Dippy
EXPERIENCE = MONEYIn the world of trading, the buzz often revolves around algorithms, strategies, and insider secrets. The quest for the perfect indicator or the foolproof system dominates discussions. But here's a truth that doesn’t get enough credit: Experience itself is an edge. Trading is not just about knowing patterns or reading charts; it's about understanding yourself in the market. The edge that comes from doing the same things for years—the grind, the discipline, the repetitions—is unparalleled. Let’s explore why: 1. You Master Emotional Control Experience teaches you the hardest lesson in trading: controlling your emotions. Fear during a dip, greed during a rally, and frustration after a loss are hurdles every trader faces. With time, you stop reacting impulsively. Instead, you develop the discipline to follow your plan, even when your instincts scream otherwise. Example: In my early trading days, a single red candle made my heart race, pushing me to exit trades prematurely. Years later, the same red candle now feels like a part of the process—a mere wave in the ocean of data. 2. Pattern Recognition Becomes Second Nature The market is a storyteller, and with time, you start recognizing its recurring themes. Candlestick patterns, price action, and even the broader market sentiment begin to feel like old friends. The difference? A seasoned trader doesn’t just see the patterns—they understand when and why they work. Key Insight: The same head-and-shoulders pattern that failed you five years ago can become a profitable setup now because experience has taught you to identify the context. 3. Experience Sharpens Your Risk Management Beginner traders often treat risk management as an afterthought. With years under your belt, you realize it’s the backbone of longevity. Experience engrains the understanding that preserving capital is more important than chasing profits. What Changes? Instead of going all-in on a “sure thing,” you diversify, set stop losses, and accept that some trades will fail. That’s the wisdom only time can teach. 4. You Build a Personal Trading Playbook Over time, you develop your own set of rules, honed by trial and error. This is not something you can copy from another trader—it’s the result of your unique journey. Your edge isn’t just in the market knowledge you’ve accumulated; it’s in the self-awareness you’ve gained. You know which setups suit your temperament, how much risk you can handle, and what market conditions you excel in. 5. Patience Becomes Your Superpower The markets reward patience. As a beginner, you’re likely to jump at every opportunity, but experience teaches you that waiting for the right trade is often more profitable than taking every trade. Seasoned traders understand the importance of sitting on the sidelines during choppy markets or holding a position even when it tests their resolve. 6. Experience Breeds Confidence Confidence doesn’t come from a single winning streak; it comes from surviving losing streaks. Years of trading teach you to trust your process, even when the market throws curveballs. Mindset Shift: A novice says, “I hope this trade works.” An experienced trader says, “I’ve seen this before. I know what to do.” Final Thoughts In a market where everyone is chasing quick wins, experience is your differentiator. The hours you’ve spent analyzing charts, the countless mistakes you’ve learned from, and the perseverance to show up every day build a foundation that no indicator or bot can replicate. So, if you’ve been in the game for years, even without hitting it big, know this: You’re already ahead of most. The market respects time served. Keep showing up, keep refining, and let your experience compound—just like a good trade. What’s Your Edge? Have you found experience to be your secret weapon in trading? Share your thoughts in the comments—I’d love to hear how the years have shaped your journey. Remember: The greatest edge in trading is not just what you know, but what you’ve lived.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar