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Trend Analysis

Using Fibonacci & FPT To Identify Trends/Entries/ReversalsLearn how powerful Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Price Theory are when adequately deployed. It can tell where and when to target entries, trends, risks, and reversals. Anyone can do this when they learn to efficiently manage the ranges and use Fibonacci tools in Trading View. It's time you took a few minutes to learn the PRICE is the ultimate indicator. You don't need to use dozens of other indicators (unless you want to add to the core Fibonacci techniques). Watch this video, then follow my research/videos.
DJ:DJIEducation
by BradMatheny
✨Unlock Market Mastery: How Wyckoff Theory Made Me a fortune! The Wyckoff Model is a trading approach based on several key principles: 1. Law of Supply and Demand: Prices move based on the balance between supply (sellers) and demand (buyers). 2. Law of Cause and Effect: The market goes through phases of accumulation (building up) and distribution (selling off), leading to subsequent mark-up (price increase) and mark-down (price decrease) phases. 3. Law of Effort and Result: The relationship between the effort (volume) put into the market and the resulting price movement. 4. Accumulation and Distribution: Recognizing patterns where large players accumulate or distribute assets. 5. Analysis of Price, Volume, and Time: Understanding market movements by analyzing these three factors together. While the Wyckoff Model provides valuable insights, it's important to note that it rarely appears perfect and is often overlooked by many traders. However, experienced traders can spot its patterns across various markets. Higher volume and liquidity markets tend to offer better opportunities. In my years of trading Bitcoin, I've refined the Wyckoff Model into what I call the Trinity Model, which has been instrumental in many of my successful trades. Follow and boost for more insights! 📈✨🚀
Education
by Trade-Journal
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 07/05/2024At 8:35 AM EST, EURUSD initiated a liquidity grab above the 00:00 - 8:30AM EST Zone with a Bullish Marubozu candle. This move could potentially trap breakout traders, as it appears to signal an upward move, only for the price to swiftly reverse course. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate price wanted to sell. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Our preferred entry strategy involves patiently awaiting price retracement into or touching the Fair Value Gap (FVG), with execution of the trade occurring upon the close of the first candle entering or touching the FVG. This approach was not arbitrary, rather, it emerged as the result of thorough backtesting of numerous entry techniques. We have found it consistently provides better entry points and occasionally prevents us from taking trades that might otherwise trigger a stop loss within the same entry candle. Following our trade's execution, we endured a brief drawdown of about 20 minutes. We were undeterred by this temporary setback because we had a prudent risk management approach in place, we had allocated only 1% of our capital to this trade, while eyeing a potential 2% gain. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD. While our data typically indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes, our target was achieved in 2 hours and 15 minutes, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Education
by CleoFinance
TrendsThe trend represents the directional movement of prices and plays an essential role in most technical trading systems. Technical analysis differentiates between trending and non-trending markets, also called flat trending markets. Trending markets can be either moving upwards or downwards. The upward-moving market is called the bull market, while the downward-moving market is called the bear market. Normally, a market is considered to be in an uptrend when the price reaches higher peaks and higher troughs. On the contrary, the market is regarded to be in a downtrend when the price reaches lower troughs and lower peaks. The non-trending market occurs when there is no significant uptrend or downtrend, and the price moves within a certain range. Thus, the flat trending market is notorious for its sideways-moving price action. Key takeaways: Trends can vary in length and are classified into four main categories: primary, secondary, minor, and intraday. The primary trend is the most significant trend, lasting for months or years. It's characterized by the overall direction of the market. The secondary trend opposes the primary trend and usually lasts for weeks or months. Identifying trends is crucial for technical traders. Methods range from simple tracking of recent lows and highs to more complex mathematical formulas. Trend classification Trends tend to be of different lengths. According to these lengths, trends fall into four main categories: primary trend, secondary trend, minor trend, and intraday trend. The primary trend is the only inviolable trend and lasts for a long period, usually months or years. The secondary trend runs counter to the primary trend and is often measured in weeks or months. Further, the minor trend is measured in days, and the intraday trend is represented merely by daily fluctuations in price. The primary trend The primary trend can be subdivided into three distinctive phases. The first phase of the primary uptrend begins with the revival of investors' confidence from the prior primary downtrend. That is followed by the second phase, in which asset prices increase in response to growing corporate earnings. In the third stage, speculation becomes the dominant force driving markets higher. This environment, when asset prices are rising on the hopes, dreams, and expectations of individual investors, tends to foreshadow the beginning of the primary downtrend. Its first phase commences with the abandonment of hopes and dreams upon which investments were made. That is followed by selling pressure due to falling corporate earnings in the second phase, which later escalates into panic selling in the third stage. Illustration 1.01   The illustration displays the weekly chart of Nasdaq continuous futures (NQ1!) for the period between late 2001 and 2008. The primary bull market began after the bottom of the “dotcom” bubble and lasted until the peak of the real estate and credit crisis in 2007. Illustration 1.02   The image above presents the daily chart of gold (XAUUSD) during the 2008 bear market when it dropped 34%. The secondary trend The secondary trend is the intermediate-term trend. Its direction is opposite to the primary trend, and it represents any significant price drop in the primary bull market or price rise in the primary bear market. The secondary trend usually lasts for weeks or months. Its measure in percentage terms tends to range between 33% and 66% of the range of the primary trend. This trend is considered to be prone to market manipulation as opposed to the primary trend. Illustration 1.03   The picture shows Bayerische Motoren Werke's (BMW) daily chart throughout 2020 and 2021. The white dashed-line box indicates the primary uptrend, and the grey dashed-line boxes indicate the secondary trends, counter to the primary one.  The minor and intraday trend The minor trend lasts for a few days or weeks, yet always less than the secondary trend. It is more difficult to identify than previous types of trends since its amplitude in percentage terms is significantly less when compared to the primary and secondary trends. The same applies to the intraday trend that lasts for a few seconds up to several hours; it represents daily changes in the price and is regarded to have little predictive value. Trend identification Identifying a trend is crucial for a trend-based technical trader, and there are plenty of methods how to identify it correctly. These methods can be simple or very complex. The simplest method of identifying trends can be done by tracking recent lows and recent highs in the price of an asset. Other simple methods involve using lines, trendlines, and curves; more complex methods usually involve the use of mathematical formulas in order to generate a set of valuable data. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This article is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Education
by Tradersweekly
2
investing is better than tradingIn this video, I highlight how to use an investor's approach in the financial markets in two ways. The first way is through what I call the "Thomas Wood" Way of entering positions that side with the market trend after price breaks out of a correction that suggests continuation of the trend. The second way is the way I learnt to see the market movement between buyers and sellers, demand and supply - also following the trend of the market. Trading every move that the markets present to you is deadly as it can lead to confusion, losses and tiring your self mentally and emotionally, whereas only looking for opportunities that show or suggest that the market is continuing its original flow is easier and results in more progress. A word of caution though, is that you have to be patient when using this approach (P2+BU) as it does take time to go into effect.
Education
by Madsan88
The TradingView Show: Live With OKX & TradeTravelChillGreetings, TradingViewers worldwide! This interview was conducted live and is now available for playback and on-demand viewing on our TradingView account, accessible for free. This program delves into trader education, cryptocurrencies, and the flexibility of trading from anywhere with an Internet connection. Keep in mind that this show was streamed LIVE, so you might come across references to our live chat. No worries, though; you can still watch the show instantly and access the comments section below. Feel free to leave us your feedback! Here's a glimpse of what we cover in this episode: 1. Gain insights into crypto trading, specific strategies, and the essence of trading them. 2. Understand the dynamics of trading on-the-go and establishing personal rules in an era where crypto trades round-the-clock and connectivity is constant. 3. Discover how TradeTravelChill began on TradingView and OKX, now leveraging our integrated broker partnership. TradeTravelChill and OKX are partners, with OKX being a broker partner on our platform, facilitating seamless connections for traders. 4. Dive into trade ideas and setups in crypto markets, particularly focusing on major coins. 5. Explore some of the hottest topics in crypto markets at the moment. Our objective with this show is to educate traders worldwide! While we don't provide direct advice, our focus is on empowering traders to learn, practice, and excel in the markets. Relax, ask questions, and enjoy the show!
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
11
IS IT A GOOD TIME TO BUY STOCKS? In order to assess whether it is a good time to increase exposure to riskier assets such as equities, institutional traders often use correlation tools and inter-market analysis. Depending on the macro environment (uncertainties, market drivers, monetary narratives), traders periodically assess their exposure between offensive and defensive values (Risk-on vs Risk-off). One of the easiest way to assess investors' trading stance and appetite for risk is to look at what is happening on other asset classes such as Bonds and currencies. For instance, on this example you can find the US 10 year yield (bond) on the right, the US Dollar index in the middle (currency) and the S&P500 (stocks) on the right. It is easy to notice the mechanism in place here : When the currency becomes weaker while the cash goes back into bonds (bear in mind that when bond yields drop means bond markets goes up), it usually sparks a bullish trend in the stock markets. This is exactly what we are seeing here. Bond yields have started to drop on the 1st of May, alongside the Dollar index, which sparked a sharp rebound on the S&P500 at the same time. Of course, sometime these three asset classes aren't correlated that much, which means there is no clear trading signal and that uncertainty lingers in the markets. But when a drop occurs in both bond yields and the currency of a specific economic zone, this is seen as the best setup to buy stocks for traders. This is explained by the fact that when the currency drops, large exporting groups are able to sell more internationally, boosting their exports. Meanwhile, a drop in bond yields means investors are willing to put more cash into the market. If you're willing to know whether it is a good time to increase your exposure to equity markets, maybe you should pay attention to what's happening in those key other assets. Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades. The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has no been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such is to be considered to be a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
UEducation
by ActivTrades
Hunting for Trend Days Part 3: Case Studies and PsychologyWelcome to the final instalment of our series on hunting for trend days. In Part 1, we covered the fundamental characteristics of trend days and essential tools for identifying them early. Part 2 delved into advanced strategies for maximising opportunities and effectively managing trades during trend days. Now, let's explore case studies of successful trend day trades and delve into the psychology behind trading trend days. Case Studies: Here are some real-world examples of how trades can be taken and managed on trend days using the techniques covered in Part 1 and Part 2. Each example will be viewed through the prism of the three C’s – Context, Catalyst, and Consistency . Context refers to conducting higher timeframe analysis on the daily candle chart. Catalyst refers to the confluence of evidence that a trend day is taking place. And Consistency refers to how we consistently select and manage trend day trades on the 5min candle chart. Case Study 1: EUR/USD Context: The higher timeframe daily candle chart provides valuable context for the impending trend day. We can clearly see that daily trading ranges have been contracting for several consecutive days. This puts day traders on high alert for an expansive range day in either direction. 15th Jan 2024: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Catalyst: The following day, at the start of European trading, EUR/USD has already broken and held below the prior days low (PDL). EUR/USD has also broke below the daily compression pattern (highlighted above) and the market is holding below a downward sloping volume weighted average VWAP. This is enough confluence of evidence that a trend day is taking place and traders can start to position themselves accordingly. 16th Jan 2024: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Consistency: Entering managing trades on trend days should not be over complicated, the most important aspect is consistency of method and approach. A simple trend following day trading entry and exit technique can be employed on trend days: Entry: Break below swing support and 9 period EMA Exit: Break and close above 9 period EMA. (Blue arrows = Entry, Red arrows = Exit) 16th Jan 2024: EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Case Study 2: Apple (AAPL) Context: Again, the higher timeframe context is key. As Apple’s share price approached a key level of long-term support the daily ranges started to contract and the market started to consolidate within a falling wedge pattern. This puts day traders on high alert for an expansive range day in either direction. 10th APR 2024: AAPL Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Catalyst: Prior to the trend day developing there were several early warning signs within the first hour of trading. Having gapped slightly higher at the open, the shares broke and held above the PDH. Price was also holding above an upward sloping VWAP and breaking above the falling wedge consolidation pattern that formed on the daily candle chart. 11th APR 2024: AAPL 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Consistency: Again, a simple trend following day trading entry and exit technique proves effective. Entry: Break below swing support and 9 period EMA Exit: Break and close above 9 period EMA. (Blue arrows = Entry, Red arrows = Exit) 11th APR 2024: AAPL 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Psychological Insights: 1. Patience and Discipline: Successful trading during trend days requires patience and discipline. It's essential to wait for confirmation of the trend and avoid impulsive decisions based on emotions or fear of missing out (FOMO). Stick to your trading plan and only take high-probability setups that align with your strategy. 2. Flexibility and Adaptability: While it's crucial to have a trading plan, it's also essential to remain flexible and adapt to changing market conditions during trend days. Be willing to adjust your strategy based on evolving price action and market dynamics, and don't hesitate to cut losses when necessary. 3. Emotional Control: Managing emotions such as greed, fear, and overconfidence is critical for successful trading during trend days. Avoid letting emotions dictate your trading decisions and maintain a rational and objective mindset at all times. Remember that losses are part of trading, and it's essential to stay focused on long-term profitability. Conclusion: Pursuing trend days can present both opportunities and challenges for day traders. While traders may benefit from consistent trending price movements, it's crucial to identify trend days early, apply effective trading strategies, and maintain psychological discipline to navigate the potential risks successfully. We hope this series has provided valuable insights and practical techniques for navigating trend days with confidence and competence. Remember to continuously refine your skills, adapt to changing market conditions, and always prioritise risk management. Happy trading, and may the trend days be ever in your favour! Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Capitalcom
DCA - is for those who do not like to be nervousIn the fast-paced and often volatile world of cryptocurrency, finding best investment strategy can be a daunting task. While many traders seek quick gains through active trading, a more prudent and less stressful approach exists: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA). What is DCA? DCA is an investment strategy that involves investing a fixed amount of money into a particular asset at regular intervals, regardless of the asset's price. This approach aims to reduce the impact of market volatility on investment returns by averaging out the purchase price over time. Why is DCA the Sleep-Well Strategy? DCA offers several advantages that make it an ideal strategy for investors seeking long-term growth and peace of mind: Emotional Discipline: DCA eliminates the emotional decision-making that often plagues traders. By investing consistently, regardless of price fluctuations, you avoid the urge to buy high and sell low. Reduced Risk: DCA averages out the purchase price, reducing the overall impact of market volatility. You may buy some coins at higher prices, but you'll also benefit from lower prices, evening out your investment cost. Long-Term Focus: DCA encourages a long-term investment mindset, discouraging impulsive decisions based on short-term price movements. It's about building wealth gradually and consistently over time. DCA vs. Trading: DCA stands in stark contrast to active trading, which involves buying and selling assets frequently to capitalize on short-term price movements. While active trading may appeal to experienced traders with high-risk tolerance, it often leads to emotional decision-making and can be time-consuming and stressful. DCA: A Proven Strategy with Remarkable Returns To illustrate the effectiveness of DCA, let's examine the returns of some prominent cryptocurrencies over the past few years, assuming a monthly DCA investment of $100: Bitcoin (BTC): Investing $100 monthly in BTC since January 2019 would have yielded a staggering 112% return, with a total investment of $12,000 growing to $25,440. Ethereum (ETH): A DCA approach for ETH since January 2019 would have resulted in an impressive 770% return. Solana (SOL): DCA into SOL since January 2021 would have generated a remarkable 304% return Fetch.ai (FET): Investing $100 monthly in FET since January 2019 would have yielded an exceptional 776% return Understanding the Coins: Technology and Applications Bitcoin (BTC): The world's first and most popular cryptocurrency, Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that enables peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries. Ethereum (ETH): A decentralized blockchain platform, Ethereum supports a wide range of applications, including smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). Solana (SOL): A high-performance blockchain known for its scalability and speed, Solana aims to provide a faster and more efficient alternative to Ethereum. Fetch.ai (FET): An AI-powered decentralized platform, Fetch.ai facilitates the development of autonomous agents for various applications, including open marketplaces and data monetization. Conclusion: DCA is a powerful investment strategy that allows individuals to build wealth in cryptocurrency while minimizing risk and emotional stress. By consistently investing fixed amounts, regardless of market fluctuations, DCA investors can reap significant rewards over the long term. Embrace DCA, sleep well, and let your investments grow steadily towards a brighter financial future.
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
What Is a Gap and How Can You Trade It in Forex and Crypto?What Is a Gap and How Can You Trade It in Forex and Cryptocurrencies? When it comes to trading, understanding gaps is pivotal for traders aiming to navigate and capitalise on market volatility. These spaces on price charts where no trading occurs are often exploited by traders looking for a quick reversal or trend continuation. This article delves into the essence of gaps, their types, and three gap trading strategies. Understanding Gaps in Trading Understanding gaps in trading is crucial for both new and advanced traders, as these occurrences can signal significant price movements and opportunities. A gap is observed on a price chart when the price of an asset sharply moves up or down with no trading in between, creating a visible space or 'gap' in the price pattern. They almost always happen at the market open but can also occur after major news events or economic announcements, reflecting a sudden change in sentiment. There are four main types of gaps, each offering different insights and implications for traders: Exhaustion These appear at the end of a price movement and signal that a trend may be running out of momentum, potentially leading to a reversal. This type is characterised by a sudden move in the price in the direction of the prevailing trend, but with the trend quickly losing strength and often reversing after the gap is made. Breakaway Occurring after a period of consolidation, breakaway gaps signify the start of a new trend. They emerge when the price moves away from a trading range or pattern, indicating a significant change in market dynamics and the potential for a sustained move in the direction of the price jump. Continuation These gaps are seen within a strong trend and signal that the current trend is likely to continue. Continuation gaps represent a surge in interest in the direction of the prevailing trend, reinforcing the current momentum and suggesting further movement in the same direction. Common These are the least significant and occur frequently without implying any particular price direction. Common gaps are typically filled quickly and can be a result of minor fluctuations that temporarily create a small jump in the price pattern. The Significance of Gaps in Forex and Cryptocurrency Markets In the world of trading, the occurrence of gaps on price charts holds particular significance, offering insights into market sentiment and potential shifts in price dynamics. This is especially true in the forex and cryptocurrency markets, where they convey unique implications due to the nature of these markets. In forex, gaps are relatively rare compared to stock markets, primarily because forex is traded 24 hours a day, five days a week. However, this unique feature is what makes the gaps important for identifying price movements. Usually, they occur at the beginning of the trading week or after major geopolitical events and economic announcements that happen over the weekend. They’re closely watched by traders as they can indicate a strong initial reaction to news or events, potentially setting the tone for trading in the coming days. Cryptocurrencies, traded continuously 24/7, experience gaps even less frequently than forex. The non-stop nature of this market means that price action is constant, leaving little room for price jumps to form on price charts. However, when they do appear in cryptocurrency markets, often on derivatives charts rather than spot, it can signal extremely impactful events or significant shifts in trader sentiment. Given their rarity, gaps in cryptocurrencies are particularly noteworthy and can represent critical trading opportunities or warnings for investors. In both scenarios, the gap is likely to be filled at some point. Often, this occurs on the same day or within a few days of its appearance. However, a gap can remain unfilled for several weeks or months, depending on the market context. It’s worth determining the type of gap you’re looking at to gauge whether the price will reverse quickly or kickstart a new trend. Three Gap Trading Strategies Now, let’s take a closer look at three gap trading strategies that can be used in the forex and crypto markets. Want to follow along? Using FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform offers access to live forex and crypto charts. Gap and Go Trading Strategy The Gap and Go trading strategy is a popular gap trading technique that emphasises the power of momentum following a sudden market jump. This approach is particularly effective in capturing the initial movement after a gap appears, usually at the opening of the trading week in forex. The strategy focuses on identifying strong momentum indicated by breakaway or continuation gaps on daily or weekly charts. However, it can also serve as a valuable tool for setting short-term direction on lower timeframes. By aligning trades with this initial burst of momentum, traders can potentially capitalise on swift movements before the price settles. Entry Traders typically look for a jump that occurs in the direction of the prevailing trend. Entry is often considered as soon as the candle opens after the gap. Stop Loss Stop losses are commonly placed just above (for short positions) or below (for long positions) the high or low of the previous candle's trading range. Take Profit Profit targets might be set at a nearby support (for short positions) or resistance level (for long positions) on the same timeframe as the entry, allowing traders to lock in returns before the market potentially reverses or consolidates. Quick Reversal Gap Trading Strategy This strategy focuses on exploiting the tendency of gaps that go against an established trend to get filled quickly. They are typically interpreted as common gaps, which arise due to an overstated response to overnight news or weekend events. Unlike exhaustion gaps that signal the start of a new trend, this type usually represents temporary deviations from a prevailing trend, leading to quick reversals as the market reassesses and corrects the initial knee-jerk reaction. This filling process is attributed to the market's natural inclination to maintain a trend unless given a strong reason to reverse. Entry Traders identify an existing trend using a daily or weekly chart. For a bullish trend, the strategy involves looking for a candle opening price that is lower than the previous close (and the opposite for a bearish trend). The entry point may be set when this counter-trend gap is identified. Stop Loss A stop loss may be placed just beyond a nearby swing point. Take Profit Profit targets may be established at the close of the candle before the gap, where the jump is expected to be filled. Small Gap Fill Trading Strategy When trading gaps in forex, it’s common to see small gaps being filled within a short period, often within a day or two. This strategy is tailored to identify spaces that are relatively minor, typically less than half of the previous day's trading range. While strategies that align with momentum and trends may have a higher probability of an effective trade, the market's inherent desire to seek equilibrium makes even small, seemingly insignificant gaps likely to be filled. Entry Traders look for a small price jump, ideally less than half the size of the prior day’s range, entering in the direction anticipated to fill the gap. Stop Loss A stop loss may be placed slightly above (for short positions) or below (for long positions) the day's open, allowing for some intraday price movement. Take Profit Profits may be taken as soon as the close of the candle preceding the gap is met, capitalising on the quick return to balance. While this strategy may carry higher risk due to its simplicity and lack of supporting factors (like trend analysis), its effectiveness can potentially be enhanced by using other forms of analysis. For instance, if the gap occurs near a support or resistance level, the likelihood of the gap filling may increase. The Bottom Line Understanding and trading gaps in the forex and cryptocurrency markets may offer unique opportunities for informed traders. However, it may be worth combining these strategies with a solid understanding of market conditions and technical analysis to enhance their effectiveness. For those looking to apply these strategies and more, opening an FXOpen account could be the next step towards engaging with forex and cryptocurrency markets via CFDs. FAQs What Is a Gap in Trading? A gap in trading refers to a significant price movement on a chart where no trading occurs, leaving an empty space between two trading periods. This jump, either up or down, is often influenced by news events or market announcements. How to Predict a Gap Up or Gap Down? Predicting a gap up or down involves analysing market sentiment, news events, and technical indicators that might influence the opening price of an asset, usually over a weekend or when the market is closed. Traders closely watch for indicators of sudden shifts in demand or supply that could lead to a price jump. What Is the Forex Gap Strategy? The forex gap strategy leverages markets' tendency to fill gaps after they occur. Traders identify potential price jumps over the weekend or after major news releases and position themselves to capitalise on the price movement back to the pre-gap level. How to Trade Gaps? Trading gaps involves identifying the type of gap and employing a strategy suited to its characteristics. Traders might enter trades in the direction of the gap's fill or anticipate a continuation of the trend that caused the jump. What Are the Four Types of Gaps in Trading? The four types of gaps in trading are Breakaway, Exhaustion, Continuation, and Common. Each type indicates different market conditions and potential future price movements, guiding traders on how to position their trades. At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
3
High Volume Times to Trade / Part 1 🔣Hello traders welcome back to another Concept video. In this video, we detail some of the best times to trade the Eur/Usd Currency pair. This happens to be at Session opens. We go through the 3 Session opens and walkthrough examples of increasing volume ( Large candles). Session opens can provide a great catalyst for 1) a continuation of momentum of the preceding trend or 2) a dramatic reversal. The Euro and the U.S. Dollar are not open during the Asian session and so the candles are much smaller and the average volatility is much less. However, the same concept applies regarding the former.
Editors' picks
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
11
Trend Definition: NVDA ExampleUptrend Rules Strong : Second closing candle above the high of the first breakout candle. Semi-strong : Price reaches above the high of the breakout candle at any point. Weak : The second candle post-breakout closes above the 34 EMA (high) of the breakout candle. Downtrend Rules Strong : Two consecutive candle closes below the 34 EMA (Low). This does not consider the relative levels of these closes, only that both are below the 34 EMA (Low). Semi-strong : Price drops below the low of the first breakdown candle at any point. Weak : A second candle closes below the low of the first breaking candle, establishing lower lows.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by cch31
Technical Analysis DOES NOT WORK in GOLD Trading Does technical analysis really work in Gold trading? In this article, we will discuss whether the traditional, classic methods of technical analysis: support and resistance, breakouts, patterns can be reliable in this specific market. We will explore the dynamics of Gold prices so far this year and discuss the most efficient way to trade Gold. So if you are a gold trader or simple interested in the market analysis, you should not miss this eye-opening discussion! First, let's discuss how Gold market behaves from the beginning of the year from technical analysis perspective. Gold started this year in a strong bullish trend, the market opened after setting a new higher high on a daily the second of January. After a formation of a higher high, the market became overbought and a correctional movement initiated. The price formed a bullish flag pattern and reached the level of the last higher low - a very important support. After the test of structure, the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a flag with a strong bullish candle. From the technical perspective, it was a very strong trend-following signal and a bullish continuation was anticipated. However, it turned out that it was a false signal, and instead of going higher, the market dropped, setting a new lower low. Why this false signal is so important is that the breakouts, key levels and price action analysis are the most reliable on a daily time frame. Such a strong combination: bullish trend, bullish pattern, key support; has a very high accuracy on a daily. That was the first time this year, when technical analysis on a daily was completely screwed . It felt like the market was turning bearish. The price violated a level of the higher low, setting a new lower low. For Smart Money traders, it is a very important event that is called a Change of Character. It strongly confirms a bearish reversal on the market. One more bearish confirmation that I spotted was a completed head and shoulders pattern formation with a confirmed violation of its neckline. That signal also confirms a bearish reversal. And again, these 2 bearish confirmations were the false signals. The price went back above the neckline and a bullish movement initiated. This time, a classic price action pattern did not work , and smart money concepts gave a false signal. Then I spotted a very bullish signal - the price violated a major falling trend line and closed above that. It clearly indicated that the market was returning to a global bullish trend. And again, that signal was completely false. And the price dropped. Trend line breakout in the direction of the trend - a classic trend-following confirmation did not work. Then we saw 2 strong bearish signals: a bearish breakout of a rising trend line and a key horizontal support with a high momentum bearish candle. It felt like now it confirms that the market is bearish and it should drop lower to the closest key support. And again, technicals failed miserably and after a retest of a broken horizontal structure and a trend line, the price just went higher completely neglecting them From the beginning of the year, technical analysis: key levels, patterns, smart money, breakouts do not work on a daily. All the signals that were spotted so far failed. If you just started trading, you may easily come to the conclusion that technical analysis does not make any sense on Gold. And you will be completely right, in that period it does not work at all. I am trading Gold and Forex for more than 9 years, and year after year I noticed that there always are the periods when some techniques, some strategies do not work. Sometimes these periods are very short, but some time they can be quite long. The only proven way to overcome such periods is consistency and proper risk management . Risking a tiny portion of your trading account per trade, you will be able to survive the stubborn market. The market always returns to normal conditions and starts respecting the technicals again. However, no one knows when. There is a famous quote by John Keynes: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you stay solvent"" And only proper risk management will keep you solvent longer than the market stays irrational. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
4 Golden Trading Lessons: Your Roadmap to SuccessAre your ready to elevate your trading game? You’ll need these 4 golden tickets to have a chance. You might have two or three of them, but it’s important to make sure so that you’re set for the rest of your trading career. Have a read and let’s refine your trading skills. Lesson 1: Follow a Proven Strategy and Never Deviate Ever heard me say, “A rolling stone gathers no moss”? That’s your trading strategy in a nutshell! The key to success isn’t just having a strategy; it’s about taking every high probability trader, weathering through all environments and sticking to it. Why? Consistency is king. Markets move up (You profit) Markets move sideways (You lose) Markets move down (You profit). So you might as well enjoy the full journey and trading process you’re your one and only strategy. So, stay the course! Lesson 2: Only Risk What You Can Afford to Lose Here’s a tough love moment: Can you afford to lose what you’re risking? Can you take the money – cut it up – throw it to the ground and you’ll be fine? GOOD! Then you know that emotions and emergency life savings is NOT going to make the cut (no pun intended). If you are feeling highly attached to the money, step back. By only risking what you can afford, you keep emotions in check – win or lose. It’s not about fear; it’s about smart, sustainable trading. Remember, it’s a game of patience and discipline. Lesson 3: Adhere to Strict Money Management Rules This is your financial seatbelt. What are your rules? Here are some: Risk MAX 2% per trade Know where to place your stop loss and never move it when you’re losing Halt trading when the drawdown is over 20% down Never expose more than 20% of your overall portfolio Always have a plan to deposit more money to grow more money Lesson 4: Have a ‘Worst-Case-Scenario’ Plan What’s your plan when the market throws a curveball? Having a worst-case scenario plan isn’t pessimism; it’s smart trading. You know you’re going to be in drawdown around 4 months a year. You know there are consecutive losses to come with any trading strategy. You know the market environments are not always to your favour. So you need that umbrella to know when to halt trading. Whether it’s diversifying, hedging, risking less or having a cash reserve, be ready for when the market isn’t your friend. This isn’t about fear; it’s about being prepared. FINAL WORDS: These 4 Golden Trading Lessons are more than tips; they’re the pillars of successful trading. It’s about building a trading practice that’s not just profitable, but sustainable and resilient. Here are your 4 golden trading lessons. Lesson 1: Follow a Proven Strategy and Never Deviate Lesson 2: Only Risk What You Can Afford to Lose Lesson 3: Adhere to Strict Money Management Rules Lesson 4: Have a ‘Worst-Case-Scenario’ Plan
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
Options Blueprint Series: Ratio Spreads for the Advanced TraderIntroduction to Ratio Spreads on E-mini Dow Jones Futures In the dynamic world of options trading, Ratio Spreads stand out as a sophisticated strategy designed for traders looking to leverage market nuances to their advantage. Regular options on the E-mini Dow Jones Futures are a popular choice (YM). Defining the E-mini Dow Jones (YM) Futures Contract Before delving into the specifics of Ratio Spreads, understanding the underlying contract on which these options are based is crucial. The E-mini Dow Jones Futures, symbol YM, offers traders exposure to the 30 blue-chip companies of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in a smaller, more accessible format. Each YM contract represents $5 per index point. Key Contract Specifications: Point Value: $5 per point of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Trading Hours: Sunday - Friday, 6:00 PM - 5:00 PM (Next day) ET with a trading halt from 5:00 PM - 6:00 PM ET daily. Margins: Varied based on broker but generally lower than the full-sized contracts, providing a cost-effective entry for various trading strategies. CME Group suggests $8,400 per contract at the time of this publication. Ratio Spread Margins: Often require a careful calculation as they involve multiple positions. Traders must consult with their brokers to understand the specific margin requirements for entering into ratio spreads using YM futures. Margins for Ratio Spreads are often equal to the margin requirement when trading the outright futures contract. Understanding Ratio Spreads Ratio Spreads involve buying and selling different amounts of options at varying strike prices, but within the same expiration period. This strategy is typically employed to exploit expected directional moves or stability in the underlying asset, with an additional emphasis on benefiting from time decay. Types of Ratio Spreads: Call Ratio Spread: Involves buying calls at a lower strike price and selling a greater number of calls at a higher strike price. This setup is generally used in mildly bullish scenarios. Put Ratio Spread: Consists of buying puts at a higher strike price and selling more puts at a lower strike price, suitable for mildly bearish market conditions. Mechanics: Execution: Traders initiate these spreads by first determining their view on the market direction. For a bullish outlook, a call ratio spread is suitable; for a bearish view, a put ratio spread would be applicable. Objective: The primary goal is to benefit from the premium decay of the short positions outweighing the cost of the long positions. This is enhanced if the market moves slowly towards the strike price of the short options or remains at a standstill. Risk Management: It's crucial to manage risks as these spreads can lead to limited losses if the market moves against the trader, or surprisingly to many, to unlimited losses if the market moves sharply in the desired direction. Proper stop-loss settings, adjustments and continual market analysis are imperative. Focused Strategy: Bullish Call Ratio Spread In the context of the E-mini Dow Jones, considering the current upward trend with potential slow advancement due to overhead UFO (UnFilled Orders) Resistances, a Bullish Call Ratio Spread can be particularly effective. This strategy allows traders to capitalize on the gradual upward movement while keeping a lid on risks associated with faster, unexpected spikes. Strategy Setup: Selecting Strikes: Choose a lower strike where the long calls are bought and a higher strike where more calls are sold. The selection depends on the resistance levels indicated by the UFOs. Position Sizing: Typically, the number of calls sold is higher than those bought, maintaining a ratio that aligns with the trader's risk tolerance and market outlook. Market Conditions: Best implemented when expecting a gradual increase in the market, allowing time decay to erode the value of the short call positions advantageously. Real-time Market Example: Bullish Call Ratio Spread on E-mini Dow Jones Futures Given the current market scenario where the Dow Jones Index is experiencing a bullish breakout, it’s crucial to align our options trading strategy to take advantage of potential slow upward movements signaled by overhead UFO Resistances. This setup suggests a favorable environment for a Bullish Call Ratio Spread, aiming to maximize the benefits of time decay while managing risk exposure effectively. Setting Up the Bullish Call Ratio Spread: 1. Selection of Strike Prices: Long Calls: Choose a strike price near the current market level (Strike = 39000). Short Calls: Set the higher strike prices right at or above the identified UFO Resistances (Strike = 41000). The rationale here is that these levels are expected to cap the upward movement, thus enhancing the likelihood that these short calls expire worthless or decrease in value, maximizing the time decay benefit. 2. Ratio of Calls: Opt for a ratio that reflects confidence in the bullish movement but also cushions against an unexpected rally. A common setup might be 1 long call for every 2 short calls. Execution: Trade Entry: Enter the trade when you observe a confirmed break above a minor resistance or a pullback that respects the upward trend structure. Monitoring: Regularly monitor the price action as it approaches the UFO Resistances. Adjust the position if the market shows signs of either stalling or breaking through these levels more robustly than anticipated. Trade Management: Adjustments: If the market advances towards the higher strike more quickly than expected, consider buying back some short calls to reduce exposure. Risk Control: Implement stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses should the market move sharply against the position. This could be set at a level where the market structure changes from bullish to bearish. This real-time scenario provides a practical example of how advanced traders can utilize Bullish Call Ratio Spreads to navigate complex market dynamics effectively, leveraging both market sentiment and technical resistance points to structure a potentially profitable trade setup. Advantages of Ratio Spreads in Options Trading Ratio Spreads offer a strategic advantage in options trading by balancing the potential for profit with a controlled risk management approach. Here are some key benefits of incorporating Ratio Spreads into your trading arsenal: 1. Maximizing Time Decay Optimized Premium Decay: By selling more options than are bought, traders can capitalize on the accelerated decay of the premium of short positions. This is particularly advantageous in markets exhibiting slow to moderate price movements, as expected with the current Dow Jones trend influenced by UFO resistances. 2. Cost Efficiency Reduced Net Cost: The cost of purchasing options is offset by the income received from selling options, reducing the net cost of entering the trade. This can provide a more affordable way to leverage significant market positions without a substantial upfront investment. The Net Debit paid is 403.4 (690 – 143.3 – 143.3) = $2,017 since each YM point is worth $5. Note: We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. 3. Profit in Multiple Market Conditions Versatile Profit Scenarios: Depending on the setup, Ratio Spreads can be profitable in a stagnant, slightly bullish, or slightly bearish market. The key is the strategic selection of strike prices relative to expected market behavior, enabling profits through slight directional moves while protected against losses from significant adverse moves. 4. Flexible Adjustments Scalability and Reversibility: Given their structure, Ratio Spreads allow for easy scaling or reversing positions depending on market movements and trader outlook. This flexibility can be a critical factor in dynamic markets where adjustments need to be swift and cost-effective. Risk Management in Ratio Spreads While Ratio Spreads offer several benefits, they are not without risks, particularly from significant market moves that can lead to potentially unlimited losses. Here’s how to manage those risks: Stop-Loss Orders: Setting stop-losses at predetermined levels can help traders exit positions that move against them, preventing larger losses. Position Monitoring: Regular monitoring and analysis are crucial, especially as the market approaches or reaches the strike price of the short options. Adjustments: Being proactive about adjusting the spread, either by buying back short options or by rolling the positions to different strikes or expiries, can help manage risk and lock in profits. Conclusion Ratio Spreads, particularly in the format of Bullish Call Ratio Spreads demonstrated with E-mini Dow Jones Futures, offer a sophisticated strategy that balances potential profit with manageable risks. This approach is suited for traders who have a nuanced understanding of market dynamics and can navigate the complexities of options with strategic finesse. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by traddictiv
"The Bodies Tell The Story.. The Wicks Do The Damage" - ICTIn this video I'm going to go through one of ICT's most famous sayings, which is "The bodies tell the story, and the wicks do the damage". If haven't taken the time to understand what he means, then you are seriously putting yourself at a disadvantage if you are using his concepts. This is one of the most crucial and useful pieces of the ICT puzzle. You often hear him say that the wicks are painting outside of the lines, which he sees as permissable when he is trading his PD Arrays. So without further ado, I'll try my best to provide some insight. For illustrative purposes I'll use his Market Maker Sell Model. Just to note that this is not a video teaching about his market maker models, so the focus will not be on that or his other concepts. If you don't understand a certain term or concept, please check out ICT's YouTube Channel or the countless other resources online. This video will be predominantly shedding some light on candle bodies and wicks. I urge you to go into your own charts and do your own study. This will truly be something eye opening if it is the first time you've actually decided to take notice. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
2
Trading is execution - USD/JPY Live trading exampleThis is a short mentoring/educational session. The USD/JPY is the pair we are trading this evening, I analyse this based on the mtf wave structure. I explained the importance of the secondary trend, as a determinant tool or information for what may happen in the future. I also shared one of my waves of success strategy using the DMI and the VMP for trade execution. Finally, after taking the trade, I explained late Mark Douglas probabilistic principles which acts as a solid foundation of our behaviour and interaction with the market.
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
How to Use Liquidity Zones and Liquidity Voids in TradingHow to Use Liquidity Zones and Liquidity Voids in Trading Navigating the forex market demands a keen understanding of liquidity dynamics. This article delves into the critical concepts of liquidity zones and voids, offering traders insights into identifying areas of high trading activity and potential price gaps. Understanding Liquidity in Trading In trading, liquidity refers to the potential ease with which an asset can be bought or sold in the market without causing significant price changes. High liquidity means that there are enough buyers and sellers at any given price level, facilitating potentially smoother and more consistent transactions. This concept is critical because it affects how quickly and at what price a trader can enter or exit positions. Assets with high liquidity tend to have tighter spreads between the buy and sell prices, potentially reducing the cost of trading. Conversely, assets with low liquidity can experience abrupt price movements due to the lack of a steady flow of orders. Understanding the liquidity of an asset is essential for traders, as it impacts decision-making, potential returns, and risk management. These dynamics give rise to two important phenomena in trading: liquidity zones and voids. Liquidity zones are areas with a high concentration of trading activity, while liquidity voids represent gaps in the market where trading activity is sparse, each presenting unique opportunities and challenges in trading strategies. Liquidity Zones Explained Liquidity zones, sometimes known as liquidity levels, are specific areas on a price chart characterised by a significant concentration of trading activity, leading to elevated volumes of buy and sell orders. These zones are crucial for traders as they indicate areas where the asset's liquidity is higher, making it potentially easier to execute large orders with minimal impact on price. In the context of currency trading, forex liquidity zones are particularly important because they can highlight areas where currency pairs are more likely to experience favourable trading conditions, potentially offering clearer entry and exit points for traders. They may also be useful areas to watch for reversals or breakouts. The formation of these zones is often tied to historical price levels where the asset has previously seen considerable trading activity. They often serve as magnets for future trading, attracting more buy and sell orders due to traders' anticipation of potential price movements around these areas. Liquidity levels are commonly associated with support and resistance levels in technical analysis. When a price approaches a level, traders can expect increased order flow, leading to smoother price movements and potentially clearer signals for trading decisions. Identifying Liquidity Zones Liquidity zone trading hinges on the accurate identification of areas on the chart where trading activity is significantly concentrated. These levels not only highlight regions of high volume but also reflect potential pivot points for price action. Here's a closer look at three key techniques for identifying liquidity zones. Volume Profile This approach leverages the volume profile to map out where the bulk of trading activity has taken place. Unlike traditional volume indicators that display volume over time, the volume profile presents it across different price levels. This helps in identifying levels where the volume peaks, pointing towards areas of significant liquidity. To use the volume profile tool as we have in the picture above, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform and search for “Volume Profile Fixed Range” under the Indicators tab. Price Consolidation Areas Recognising zones where the price has consolidated for a notable period is another effective method. These areas represent a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, resulting in a high volume of trades. Such levels often act as magnets for future price action, making them critical for liquidity area trading. Previous Support and Resistance Levels Historical support and resistance levels are invaluable for spotting zones. These are levels at which significant reversals or pauses in trend have occurred, indicating areas where large volumes of orders may accumulate. When price approaches these levels again, it often does so with increased trading activity, making them prime candidates for liquidity areas. Liquidity Voids and Their Impact Liquidity voids, sometimes known as an imbalance, represent significant moments in the forex market, marked by rapid price movements between two levels without the typical intermediary trading activity. These gaps in liquidity can lead to abrupt changes in price, often visualised as large jumps on a chart, which can have profound impacts on trading strategies and market analysis. A liquidity void in forex signals a temporary absence of balance between buyers and sellers, resulting in a sharp move as the market seeks to find equilibrium at a new price level. This phenomenon often occurs after major news releases, during off-market hours, or as a result of large institutional trades that can move the market significantly with a single order. The impact of voids extends beyond their immediate appearance on a chart; they represent areas where the market has not established a consensus on price, potentially leading to increased volatility as the market later attempts to "fill" these voids. The concept of moving back to fill an imbalance is rooted in the idea that prices eventually return to levels where previously unmet trade orders exist, seeking to balance the earlier absence of trading activity. For traders, these voids offer both challenges and opportunities. They must navigate the increased volatility and unpredictability associated with these gaps but can also strategise to take advantage of the potential return to equilibrium. Types of Liquidity Voids Liquidity voids in the forex market manifest in various forms, each with distinct characteristics and implications for traders. Understanding the different types of voids may aid traders in navigating these challenging areas more effectively. Here are some notable types: Common Liquidity Voids These are the most frequently encountered liquidity voids, appearing randomly across the forex chart without any apparent trigger from market news or events. They appear typically due to the natural market ebb and flow. Common voids may not always carry significant insights but must be navigated carefully to manage risk effectively. Exhaustion Liquidity Voids These imbalances appear at the end of a trend and signal a potential reversal. They occur when the momentum starts to wane, and the price makes a final push before reversing direction. Exhaustion voids are particularly noteworthy because they often indicate the end of a market move, providing strategic entry or exit points for traders who can identify them early. Breakout Liquidity Voids Characterised by a sudden price movement out of a range or through a significant level of support or resistance, breakout voids can signal the beginning of a new trend. They are formed when the price action breaks through a key level with enough force to leave behind an imbalance. This type of void may offer favourable opportunities for traders who catch the breakout early. Runaway Liquidity Voids These occur within an existing trend and signify its continuation. Runaway voids appear as the market makes a significant move in the direction of the trend, bypassing levels where liquidity might have been expected. Identifying these voids can help traders to confirm the strength and sustainability of a trend. How to Use Liquidity Zones and Voids for Trading Utilising zones and voids can significantly refine a trader's approach, offering insights into potential future market movements and reversal points. Liquidity zones, rich with trading activity, act as magnets attracting the price towards them. Traders closely watch these areas not only for placing orders but also for setting a bias over time. The inherent magnet-like properties of these levels reflect areas where the price is likely to move, providing a strategic advantage in anticipating market direction. On the other hand, liquidity voids present opportunities rooted in the market's tendency to 'fill' these gaps. The knowledge that prices are likely to return to these imbalances enables traders to anticipate and capitalise on potential price movements as these voids are addressed. When combined, the concepts of zones and voids offer a lens through which price action can be analysed. For instance, when the price reaches a liquidity area, it may signal the market's attempt to fill a nearby imbalance that remains untraded. This interaction between the zone's magnetic pull and the void's filling potential can inform strategic trade placements and expectations about trend reversals or continuations. While it may not be feasible to base an entire trading strategy on these concepts alone, integrating the analysis of liquidity zones and voids into a broader trading plan can offer valuable insights. This integration helps identify where the market might head next and pinpoint probable reversal areas, potentially enhancing the trader's ability to make informed decisions. Limitations of Liquidity Zones and Voids Understanding liquidity zones and voids provides traders with valuable insights into market dynamics, yet relying solely on these concepts comes with limitations. Here are some specific challenges to consider: Market Volatility: High market volatility can disrupt the usual patterns of zones and voids, making it difficult to rely on historical data for future analysis. Influence of External Events: Major economic announcements or geopolitical events can override the expected behaviour within these areas, leading to unpredictable market movements. Timeframe Sensitivity: The relevance of zones and voids can vary significantly across different timeframes, potentially misleading traders who do not adjust their analysis accordingly. False Signals: Both patterns can occasionally produce false signals, prompting traders to enter or exit positions prematurely. The Bottom Line Understanding liquidity zones and voids can be a critical skill for navigating the forex market effectively. These concepts reveal notable areas of market activity, offering insights into potential price movements. However, incorporating them into a broader trading strategy is crucial due to their inherent limitations. For traders seeking to apply these insights in real-time, opening an FXOpen account could provide a practical platform to explore and leverage the dynamics of liquidity in their trading endeavours across hundreds of tradable assets. FAQs What Are Liquidity Zones? Liquidity zones are specific areas on a trading chart characterised by a high concentration of trading activity, making them critical points for market entry and exit. These areas indicate where significant buying and selling have occurred, reflecting areas of strong support or resistance. They play a pivotal role in determining market direction and are essential for traders looking to capitalise on areas of high liquidity. How Do We Identify Liquidity Zones in Trading? Liquidity zones can be identified using several methods, including volume profile analysis, observing areas of price consolidation, and examining historical support and resistance levels. These techniques help traders spot areas where trading activity is concentrated, offering insights into potential entry and exit points. How Are Trade Liquidity Zones Traded? Trading liquidity zones involves monitoring these areas for signs of price potential stability or movement. Traders can use liquidity levels to set strategic entry and exit points, leveraging the high volume of trades to minimise slippage. Additionally, understanding the relationship between liquidity zones and voids can help traders anticipate market movements and adjust their strategies accordingly. What Are Liquidity Voids? Liquidity voids are areas in the market where trading activity is sparse or absent, leading to abrupt price movements between two levels. They occur due to an imbalance in buy and sell orders, often following significant news events or during off-market hours, creating opportunities for the price to rapidly adjust to new levels. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
“DRAGON” PATTERN IN TRADINGAs we dive into studying price action, we can't help but be intrigued by the interesting names given to various patterns. Names like "Two Rivers" and "Shooting Star" not only sound captivating but also accurately describe the patterns they represent. In this post, we'll introduce you to another powerful pattern known as the Dragon. This pattern, belonging to the reversal patterns, is not only commonly found in the Forex market but is also highly effective. 💡 HOW THE DRAGON PATTERN IS FORMED? The pattern has known points, without which the formation is not possible: HEAD LEFT FOOT RIGHT FOOT HUMP TAIL Each of the points, should be placed in the specified place, without distortions and various force majeure. The Dragon pattern is a reversal pattern in the forex market. In order to successfully trade the Dragon formation, it is crucial to have a clear understanding of the important data associated with it. 📍 Firstly, in a downtrend, you must identify the last local lower high, which will serve as the head of the Dragon pattern. Subsequently, the market will continue to decline and reach a specific level that it cannot surpass, marking the left foot of the formation. 📍 The Dragon's Hump is then formed through a corrective movement from point 1 to point 2. It is essential that this correction does not exceed 38.2% to 50%. Following this correction, the market should attempt to retest the previous lows, ideally failing to do so. This failure indicates a potential shift in momentum, allowing for a buying opportunity. 📍 Drawing a trendline from the head to the hump serves as a signal line. Once this trendline is broken, the Dragon pattern is confirmed, signaling a long position entry. 📍 Setting a Stop Loss below the dragon's feet helps to manage risk, while the first target is set at the level of the hump and the second target at the head. Take Profit levels can be set at these targets to maximize profitability. Another possible scenario is when the bears successfully bring the market below the initial support level. Personally, I find this detail somewhat undermining to the pattern. In such a situation, it can be interpreted as follows: if the bears succeed in pushing the market to new lows, it indicates that they may not be as weak as they seemed at first, which encourages caution in buying. However, if the price returns above the last local low and creates a false breakout with a bullish divergence, it can be considered a strong signal. The bullish reversal pattern Dragon has its counterpart in the bearish reversal pattern known as the Inverted Dragon. Just like its bullish counterpart, the Inverted Dragon follows similar patterns and characteristics, so there is no need to describe it separately. As mentioned earlier, these patterns are named for their resemblance to real-life examples, and I have included a chart overlay in the screenshot below for reference. It is essential to have a strategy and a set of rules when considering any reversal combination in forex market. As many books suggest, patterns often form at the bottom of the market. Although the market bottom may shift quickly, it is important to stay disciplined and adhere to the rules. The concept of identifying the market bottom involves recognizing key levels where the market has previously rebounded. If a price has bounced off a certain level in the past, there is a higher probability of it happening again in the future. Therefore, it is crucial to look for potential patterns, such as the Dragon pattern, when the price nears a support level (for bullish patterns) or a resistance level (for bearish patterns). 📒 TO AVOID MISIDENTIFYING PATTERNS, IT CAN BE HELPFUL TO FOLLOW THESE GUIDELINES: 1️⃣ Start by identifying the current trend movement. In a downtrend, look for a dragon pattern, while in an uptrend, look for an inverted dragon pattern. 2️⃣ Remember that price reversals are more likely to occur at important levels. Without a significant level, there may not be a reversal. 3️⃣ Pay attention to the hump of the dragon pattern, ensuring it does not exceed 38.2% to 50% of the distance from the head to the left foot. 4️⃣ Consider the length of the right foot, which should be 5-10% of the distance from the left foot. Ideally, the right foot should be higher, but it can also be lower. 5️⃣ If there is a trendline breakout, take your time before opening a trade. Assess the potential gain and compare it to the expected loss. If everything checks out, go ahead and take the trade. 📊 USING THE DRAGON PATTERN IN TRADING As you can see, identifying the pattern is not difficult at all. Remember the key rules: The hump should be between 38.2% and 50% of the head, indicating left foot movement. The right leg should be aligned as closely as possible with the left foot. Most importantly, pay attention to the pattern at significant levels. The appearance of a pattern does not guarantee that the trend will reverse, but it is considered a strong signal. It is important to make sure that the pattern is formed on a sufficient amount of data. Take into account other factors such as fundamental analysis and the market context. ✅ BOTTOM LINE The Dragon pattern is widely recognized as a strong indicator of a trend reversal, making it a valuable tool for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. While it can be a helpful guide for entering trades in line with the anticipated trend, it is important to remember that no technical indicator is foolproof and a pragmatic approach is always advised. In addition to the suggested rules, it is essential to incorporate your own money management strategies to ensure profitable implementation of the Dragon pattern. Your feedback and any further perspectives are welcomed. Thank you for your time and input. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
Education
by Lingrid
1
The Value of an Unbiased BiasHi everyone, In this video I would like to discuss the value of having an unbiased bias when it comes to your analysis. It’s a dry subject with only a little chart illustrating near the end, but the boring stuff usually tends to be the most important topics when it comes to making it in this industry. I think most of us are familiar with the word ‘bias’. For those that aren’t, basically, in the context of trading, all it means is being in favour of the market moving either to the upside or downside. Your bias comes by means of your analysis and can be related to any timeframe. For example, I could have a bullish bias on a higher timeframe monthly chart, and a bearish bias for the lower timeframe daily chart. Now, you don’t HAVE to always have a bias. If you don’t know, then you simple don’t know, and there is nothing wrong with that, it would be unreasonable and nonsensical to think otherwise. But, sometimes your bias is wrong, which leads me to the topic of this video. I believe even for traders who don’t know how to form a technical bias, do so anyway in the form of psychological bias. Most of the time, we think the market is either going up or down, hence why we would even get into a long or short position. The tricky part is being flexible and changing your bias when the market is indicating you are clearly wrong. Smart Money knows how we think, and they know how to create sentiment in the marketplace. This is why its crucial to be able to change your bias on a dime, WHEN it is applicable, WHEN your analysis is showing you, and NOT for any other reason. The later you are to the party, the less pips you can catch, and the less likely your trades will win. As humans, we tend to cling to our beliefs. We block out any evidence indicating that we may be wrong about them. And when the market is showing us that we may be wrong, we just tell ourselves “Well now the market is offering me more pips, I have to get in on this move!”, hence one reason how you get long or short squeezes. - R2F
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Trading with RSI: The Bad, The Good and Even BetterIn this video I explain how to use RSI (Relative Strength Index) to make trading decisions. You'll learn how to properly use RSI oversold condition, combining low timeframe price action signals with high level context analysis. Besides of explaining three different strategies (the bad, the good and even better) I'll do back-testing on historical data to demonstrate how those strategies translate into real trading results. Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
MARKET SAARTHI- STRONG BUY EXPLAINEDstrong buy @ max resistance area is level of highest resistance a script is likely to face from previous days of price action, though not computed those ways but in most cases, it represents the zone of call writers, historic resistance (in time frame u are trading) could bring reversal once we have price rejection from the area. it’s a area of high activity thus a user should be trading with caution and waiting out for strong buy signal for a highly trending move. rules for trading max resistance area: 1) strong buy candle should be fully green 2) in case follow up candle is big and meets first 2 levels in a single move, our entry should be on hold and wait for price to retrace back to max resistance area. 3) upon retracement if we get consolidation with green candles, we can plan an entry above high of reference candle with ref candle low being sl. 4) targets will be levels above 5) in case of strong buy till price is trading above max resistance area, upon breaking of each level new entries can be initiated by keep low of breakout candle as sl.
NSE:GRASIMEducation
by prasoon7007
Let’s Compare INVESTING, TRADING and GAMBLING Hey traders, In this post, we will compare investing, trading and gambling . 📈 Investing Investing is the act of putting money in a financial market with the expectations of a long-term positive return. The investing decisions are usually made using fundamental analysis. The main goal of an investor is to predict the long-term market trends and benefit on them. Professional investing also involves assets allocation and diversification aimed to hedge potential risks. 💱 Trading Trading is the process of selling and buying financial instruments expecting a short-term (occasionally, mid-term) profit. The trading decisions are usually based on technical and fundamentals analysis. The goal of a trader is to predict local price fluctuations and catch them. Professional trading implies strict, rule-based actions following a trading plan. 🎰 Gambling Gambling is the act of betting on a specific event with the expectations of winning some value. Being completely luck-based, gambling usually involves get rich quick schemes and pursuit of easy money. What differs professional trading and investing from gambling is the fact that professional trading / investing involves objective analysis and strict planning, while gambling remains purely intuition based. Unfortunately, most of the market participants pretend that they trade and invest professionally while acting as gamblers in fact. Remember that long-term, consistent profits can be achieved only with the plan. Your intuition may bring some short-term profits, but in a long-run it will most likely lead you to a bankruptcy.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
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