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Trend Analysis

Top 3 Must-Know Candlestick Patterns for BeginnersGet your cup of coffee or tea ready we are doing a crash course on Candlesticks today I’m walking you through three candlestick patterns every beginner trader should know—Doji, Engulfing Candles, and Hammers (including the Inverted Hammer). These patterns are super helpful when you’re trying to spot market reversals or continuations. I’ll show you how to easily recognize them and use them in your own trades. Let’s keep it simple and effective. Key Takeaways: Doji: Indicates indecision, potential reversals. Engulfing Candles: Bullish or bearish reversal signals. Hammer & Inverted Hammer: Bullish reversal after a downtrend. Trade what you see and let’s get started! Mindbloome Trader
Education
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
EDUCATION: Using Renko Charts to Find Key Levels in XAUUSDIn this tutorial, we'll dive into a unique but powerful method for analyzing gold (XAUUSD): using Renko charts to find critical levels. If you’re unfamiliar with Renko, it's a chart type designed to filter out market noise, making it easier to spot trends and reversals. Unlike traditional candlestick charts, Renko focuses on price movement rather than time, allowing you to identify significant support and resistance levels with greater clarity. When you understand how to use Renko properly, you gain an edge in navigating volatile markets like gold. With a calm and disciplined approach, we’ll guide you step-by-step through the process of setting up Renko charts, recognizing key patterns, and spotting levels that can give you a stronger sense of market direction. The goal is simple: cut out the clutter and focus on what matters—the bigger picture. Whether you're looking to improve your entries or better understand market structure, this tutorial will provide practical insights to help you refine your trading strategies. By the end, you’ll not only grasp how to use Renko charts but also develop the mental sharpness needed to stay patient and unemotional in the face of market fluctuations.
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OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TLTurnerTV
5
New chart tool released: Parallel Channel Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- You can check the detailed explanation of the newly added chart tool by clicking the link address below. www.tradingview.com --------------------------------------- The most important thing when drawing a trend line is where you designate the selection point. Therefore, it is recommended to draw the trend line before starting a trade. If you draw a trend line while a trade is in progress, you should be careful because your psychological state may be reflected when designating the selection point. - You need to select 3 points to draw a parallel channel. The first and second are the points corresponding to the trend line, and the third selection point is the point where the channel will be drawn. Accordingly, I recommend drawing on the largest time frame chart possible. I think that is the most objective way to draw parallel channels. - The chart above is the 12M chart, which is the largest time frame chart. If the 12M chart does not have the current candle arrangement, you should use the 1M chart. - As in the example chart above, create a trend line by specifying the low point of the rising candle after the falling candle. (Specify 1st and 2nd points) Then, complete the channel by specifying the high point of the candlestick to the left of the previous downtrend candlestick of the 2nd point. (Specify 3rd point) If you draw it like above and look at it on a 1D chart, it will feel like it is drawn well. ----------------- If you want to draw a 1D chart on a lower time frame chart, the 3rd point is the hardest to choose. However, since you can designate it in the same way as you drew it on the largest time frame chart, you have to find out which point corresponds to the 3rd point. - If you look at the current trend, you can see that it is forming a downtrend channel. Therefore, you have to choose a point to create a downtrend channel. - You can select and designate as shown in the chart above. When drawing on the 12M chart above (when in an uptrend) 1st point designation: Select the low point of the rising candle after the falling candle 2nd point designation: Select the point of the rising candle after the falling candle after the 1st point designation 3rd point designation: Select the high point of the candle on the left of the falling candle to the left of the 2nd point designation (When in a downtrend) 1st point designation: Select the opening price of the falling candle (wave) after the rising candle (wave) 2nd point designation: Select the opening price of the falling candle (wave) after the rising candle (wave) after the 1st point designation 3rd point designation: Select the low point of the rising candle (wave) to the left of the 2nd point designation If you select in the above way, you can get a feeling that something is well drawn. If you have your own drawing style, you can draw it that way. I am just giving you an example of how to draw, so you don't have to follow it. However, the important point is that you have to draw it according to the method of designating the selection point and creating a pattern. - If you look at the 1D chart above, you can see that there is a vertical line drawn. This vertical line indicates the high point of the StochRSI indicator. Since the current trend is a downtrend, the high point of the StochRSI indicator is indicated, but when it is an uptrend, the low point of the StochRSI indicator is indicated. And, based on that point, you can select the point according to the format of designating the selection point mentioned above. - The trend line is a tool for chart analysis. Therefore, in order to trade, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be indicated. So, if you have confirmed the trend using the parallel channel released this time, you must draw the support and resistance points to create a basis for trading. The reason is that since the trend line is diagonal, it is difficult to determine the timing to start trading. ----------------------------------- The method I am talking about is a method that anyone can understand. The trend line you draw should be a point that everyone who sees various support and resistance points can understand. Then there is no need to explain why you chose that point, and I think everyone can easily understand it. If you have a good method that you are using, please publish it as an idea and make it public. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by readCrypto
3 Standard Deviation Setup on Micro 10-Year Yield FuturesIntroduction The Micro 10-Year Yield Futures contract has caught the attention of many traders recently, as its price action reached the upper 3 standard deviation of the Bollinger Band® in the daily time frame. This rare occurrence presents a potential mean reversion setup, where the price could revert back toward its historical average. This article explores what mean reversion is, why it matters in trading, and how the 3 standard deviation Bollinger Bands® setup may indicate an opportunity to short this market. We’ll also discuss key price levels, contract specifications, and a potential trade setup for shorting Micro 10-Year Yield Futures. What is Mean Reversion in Trading? Mean reversion is a trading concept based on the idea that asset prices fluctuate around a central value or mean over time. When prices move too far away from this mean, they often correct or revert back toward that average. This is particularly useful in markets that experience high volatility or extreme price movements, as those extremes tend to reverse at some point. In simple terms, mean reversion strategies involve selling (or shorting) assets when they are significantly above their historical average, with the expectation that prices will return to normal levels. Conversely, buying when prices are significantly below the mean can also be a valid strategy. The 3 Standard Deviation Bollinger Band® Setup Bollinger Bands® are a popular technical indicator used to measure volatility and price extremes. The bands are plotted a certain number of standard deviations away from a moving average. The further away prices move from the average, the more extreme the movement. Reaching the upper 3 standard deviation Bollinger Band® is a rare occurrence that suggests extreme overbought conditions. Historically, when an asset reaches this level, the likelihood of a price pullback increases, as market participants may see it as an unsustainable level. In the case of Micro 10-Year Yield Futures, the recent rally has pushed prices to this rare zone, setting the scene for a potential mean reversion. Key Price Levels and Resistance Zones As the Micro 10-Year Yield Futures price approaches extreme levels, there are two key resistance zones which traders should be aware of: 4.174-4.021. These levels represent areas where selling pressure might intensify, pushing prices down and aiding in the mean reversion process. Traders looking to capitalize on this potential mean reversion setup can consider initiating short positions within this resistance range. These resistance zones act as psychological and technical barriers, providing an opportunity for traders to place their entries. Additionally, these levels help to manage risk, as they define a clear area to set stop-loss orders just above the upper resistance. Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements Understanding the specifications of the Micro 10-Year Yield Futures contract is crucial for traders looking to execute any trade. Here are some of the key details: Tick Size: The minimum price fluctuation is 0.001, which equates to $1 per tick. Margin Requirements: Margin requirements vary. Currently, the initial margin for Micro Yield Futures is around $320 per contract, making it accessible to a wide range of traders. Check with your broker for specific margin amounts. This knowledge is essential in calculating potential profit and loss in dollar terms, as well as determining the appropriate position size based on your available margin. Trade Setup Example Let’s now move on to a practical trade setup based on the discussed conditions. Entry Point: Shorting Micro 10-Year Yield Futures within the resistance range between 4.174 and 4.021. Stop Loss: A stop should be placed just above the upper resistance, say around 4.175, to protect against further price appreciation. Target: The target for this mean reversion trade would be around the mean of 3.750, where prices are expected to revert based on historical behavior. Reward-to-Risk Calculation: If a short entry is made at 4.021, with a stop at 4.175 (154 basis points risk) and a target at 3.750 (271 ticks potential gain), the reward-to-risk ratio would be approximately 1.76:1. A higher entry point closer to the upper resistance at 4.174 would significantly improve the reward-to-risk ratio, but it also increases the likelihood of missing the entry if the market reverses before reaching that level. In dollar terms, each tick (0.001) is worth $1, so the 154-tick stop loss represents a risk of $154 loss per contract, while the potential reward of 271 ticks equates to $271 worth of gains per contract. Risk Management Considerations Risk management is a critical aspect of any trading strategy, especially in futures trading. While the 3 standard deviation Bollinger Band® setup provides a compelling case for mean reversion, it's essential to manage risk carefully to avoid significant losses. Stop-Loss Orders: A well-placed stop-loss is crucial to protect against unexpected market moves. In this case, placing the stop above the resistance zone (around 4.175) ensures that risk is controlled if the market continues to rally instead of reversing. Position Sizing: Given the volatility of futures contracts, it is important to adjust position sizes according to the trader’s risk tolerance and available margin. Overleveraging can lead to large losses if the market moves against the trade. Moving Averages Can Shift: It’s important to remember that the moving average (the mean) can change as new data comes in. While the target is currently around 3.744, this level may adjust over time, so traders need to monitor the mean as the trade progresses (which is why we have set the target to initially be slightly higher at 3.750). Resistances as Reinforcements: The resistance zone between 4.174 and 4.021 can act as reinforcements to the mean reversion. Traders should observe price behavior at these levels to confirm rejection signals before entering the trade. Conclusion In conclusion, the Micro 10-Year Yield Futures contract presents a unique trading opportunity as it has reached the rare 3 standard deviation Bollinger Band® on the daily time frame. This extreme price level indicates potential overbought conditions, making it a candidate for mean reversion back to the mean at approximately 3.750. The trade setup involves shorting within the resistance range, with a well-defined stop and target, and offers a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. However, as always, caution is advised, and traders should manage risk effectively using stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT_MINI:10Y1!Education
by traddictiv
Oscillator Indicators for Experienced Traders (No RSI and MACD)Oscillator Indicators for Experienced Traders (No RSI and MACD) In the realm of technical trading, seasoned traders and beginners alike often turn to indicators to gauge market momentum and potential reversals. While many are familiar with popular tools like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), this article takes a different route. Here, we delve into other oscillators—each with its own unique features, significance in trading strategies, and methods for interpreting signals. Once you understand these instruments, you can open an FXOpen account to try them out on the live markets, trading with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50. Stochastic The Stochastic Oscillator, developed by Dr. George Lane in the late 1950s, serves as a momentum indicator. It identifies overbought and oversold conditions in a market and signals potential price reversals. It consists of two lines, and unlike trend-following indicators, such as moving averages, it’s placed below the chart, fluctuating between two bands (0-100). The Stochastic is calculated based on two lines: %K and %D. - %K is the primary line calculated using the most recent close price relative to the high and low prices over a specified period. - %D is a 3-period simple moving average (SMA) of %K. Its common setting is 14 periods, which means that it compares the current closing price to the highest and lowest prices over 14 periods (minutes, hours, days, etc., depending on the timeframe). There are three types of Stochastic: 1. Fast Stochastic: Uses the raw %K and %D lines, providing frequent signals. 2. Slow Stochastic: A smoothed version of the Fast Stochastic, offering fewer but more reliable signals. 3. Full Stochastic: Allows customisation of both %K and %D parameters for specific trading strategies. Signals The Stochastic Oscillator indicator provides three primary signals: - Overbought/Oversold Conditions: An asset is considered overbought when the Stochastic is above 80 and oversold when it's below 20. - Divergences: A bullish divergence occurs when the price forms a lower low, suggesting a downtrend, while the Stochastic simultaneously forms a higher low, indicating underlying strength and potential for an upward reversal. Conversely, a bearish divergence manifests when the price forms a higher high, signalling an uptrend, but the Stochastic forms a lower high, hinting at weakening momentum and a possible downward reversal. - Crossovers: When the %K line crosses above the %D line, it provides a buy signal. Conversely, when the %K line crosses below the %D line, it provides a sell signal. Awesome Oscillator The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is a well-known oscillator in trading. It was developed by Bill Williams for evaluating market momentum and potential trend reversals using a histogram that oscillates around the zero line. The AO is calculated as the difference between a 5-period and 34-period simple moving average (SMA) of the median price (the average of the high and low prices). The default settings are 5 and 3, but they can be customised according to the trader's strategy and market conditions. Signals The AO provides several key signals: - Bullish and Bearish Saucers: A bullish saucer occurs when the AO histogram is above the zero line and shows a series of three bars where the first two bars are red (decreasing in value) and the third bar is green (with a higher value), indicating a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a bearish saucer occurs when the AO histogram is below the zero line and shows a series of three bars where the first two bars are green (decreasing in value) and the third bar is red (with a higher value), indicating a potential bearish reversal. - Zero Line Crossovers: A bullish crossover happens when the AO histogram crosses above the zero line, suggesting a potential upward trend. Conversely, a bearish crossover occurs when the AO histogram crosses below the zero line, suggesting a potential downward trend. - Twin Peaks: A bullish twin peaks signal occurs when there are two lows in the AO histogram below the zero line, with the second low higher than the first low. This suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a bearish twin peaks signal occurs when there are two highs in the AO histogram above the zero line, with the second high lower than the first high. This suggests a potential bearish reversal. - Divergence: A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the AO makes a higher low, indicating that downward momentum is weakening, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a bearish divergence appears on the chart when the price moves higher, but the AO makes a lower high, indicating that upward momentum is weakening, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. Klinger Oscillator The Klinger Oscillator, also known as the Klinger Volume Oscillator, was developed by Stephen Klinger in the 1980s. It measures the difference between two exponential moving averages of volume and is represented by two lines. It addresses the limitations of other volume indicators by focusing on changes in volume trends alongside price movements. The oscillator consists of two lines on a chart: the Klinger line and the signal line, typically a 13-period EMA of the Klinger line. The standard settings for the Klinger Oscillator typically use a 34-period and a 55-period EMA for the Klinger line. The signal line is usually a 13-period EMA of the Klinger line. These settings are designed to capture the medium- to long-term volume trends and filter out short-term noise. Signals The Klinger provides several signals: - Divergences: Bullish divergences occur when the oscillator forms a higher low while the price makes a new low, indicating buying pressure. Bearish divergences occur when the oscillator forms a lower high as the price makes a new high, suggesting potential downward reversals. - Crossovers: Trading signals occur with the Klinger line crossing the signal line. A bullish crossover (Klinger above signal) signals potential price upward movement. Conversely, a bearish crossover (Klinger below signal) suggests opportunities for short positions, indicating bearish momentum. - Zero Line Crossings: Movements across the zero line may define price movements. Crossing above zero may indicate bullish sentiment while crossing below zero suggests bearish sentiment. Chande Momentum Oscillator The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO), developed by Tushar Chande, is designed to measure the momentum of a financial instrument. Unlike oscillators that typically range between 0 and 100, the CMO, consisting of a single line, oscillates between -100 and +100. This range allows traders to assess the momentum's strength and direction more dynamically. The standard settings for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) typically use a 9-period look-back, which aligns with common practices in technical analysis for measuring short- to medium-term momentum. This means that the CMO calculates the momentum based on the price changes over the past 9 periods. Signals The Chande Momentum Oscillator in the stock market and other financial markets provides key signals for traders: - Interpreting Momentum: Values above zero indicate upward momentum, with higher values suggesting stronger bullish momentum and vice versa. - Overbought and Oversold Conditions: Readings nearing +100 suggest overbought conditions, potentially indicating a reversal or slowdown in the upward trend. Conversely, values nearing -100 may signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential reversal or slowdown in the downward trend. - Zero Line Crossover: Crossing above zero may signal a bullish trend while crossing below zero may indicate a bearish trend, providing traders with entry or exit points. Volume Oscillator The Volume Oscillator is one of the more popular oscillators in trading. It assesses market trends and their strength by comparing two moving averages of trading volume. It consists of a single line. Unlike price-based oscillators, which focus solely on price movements, the Volume Oscillator incorporates volume data, providing insights into the underlying market activity. The standard settings for the Volume Oscillator typically use: - Short-term moving average of volume: 5 periods - Long-term moving average of volume: 20 periods These settings can be adjusted based on the trader's preferences and the specific market or asset being analysed. Signals The Volume Oscillator generates the following signals: - Signs of Strength and Weakness of the Price Movement: A positive oscillator signals strong buying/selling, supporting the current trend and hinting at continuation. Conversely, a negative oscillator suggests the trend may reverse or slow down. - Divergence Signals: Divergence occurs when the Volume Oscillator's direction differs from the direction of the price movement. For example, new price highs accompanied by lower highs in the oscillator may indicate weakening upward momentum, possibly foreshadowing a downturn. Conversely, new price lows without corresponding lows in the oscillator could signal an upcoming upward reversal. The Bottom Line While oscillator indicators provide insights into price movements and potential reversals, relying solely on them for trading decisions may not be sufficient. Considering additional factors like trend analysis, candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and broader market sentiment may strengthen trading strategies and mitigate risks. The TickTrader platform has a variety of oscillators that market participants may use to analyse over 600 markets. FAQs How Does an Oscillator Work? Oscillators fluctuate within a defined range or around a centreline. Using mathematical formulas applied to market data, they signal overbought or oversold conditions, trend reversals, or shifts in momentum. What Does Oscillate Mean in Trading? In trading, oscillate refers to the movement of a momentum indicator back and forth within a specific range or around a midpoint. It helps identify trend reversal, momentum changes, and potential trading opportunities. What Is the Oscillator Strategy? An oscillator strategy uses oscillators as the primary tool for trading decisions, getting signals like overbought/oversold conditions, divergences, or crossovers to determine when to enter or exit trades. What Is the Difference Between Indicators and Oscillators? Indicators are the general toolbox for technical analysis, encompassing different tool types, such as trend indicators, oscillators, and volumes. Oscillators are a specific type of indicator that wiggle within set limits, helping traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential price reversals. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Editors' picks
Education
by FXOpen
6
The 45 Degree Line: A Very Effective Tool in Trading.The 45 Degree Line: A Very Effective Tool in Trading. When the ppix of an asset explodes and forms a very steep slope, the 45 degree line, also known as the 1x1 Gannangle, is an important and very useful tool in technical analysis, used to identify and predict market corrections. Meaning of the 45 degree line: The 45 degree line represents an equilibrium trend in technical analysis. It is considered an average support or resistance line, indicating a balance between time and price. This line is particularly important because it suggests a constant and balanced progression of the market. Main characteristics -Angle: The 45 degree line forms an angle of 45° with the horizontal axis of the chart. -Notation: It is often noted 1x1, which means that it represents a movement of one unit of price for one unit of time. -Interpretation: A trend following this angle is generally considered strong and likely to continue in the same direction. Use in Technical Analysis Traders use the 45-degree line in several ways: -Identifying trend strength: A trend that follows or exceeds the 45-degree angle is considered strong. -Support and resistance: The line can act as a dynamic level of support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend. -Forecasting movements: Traders can anticipate trend changes when price deviates significantly from the 45-degree line. -Multi-timeframe analysis: The line can be applied on different time frames, from short-term to long-term, for a more comprehensive analysis. Integration with other tools The 45-degree line is often used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more robust analysis. It can be combined with indicators, chart patterns, or other Gannangles to confirm trading signals and improve forecast accuracy. In conclusion, the 45-degree line is a powerful but often underestimated tool in technical analysis. Its simplicity and versatility make it a valuable tool for traders looking to identify and follow market trends with precision.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
Become a TOP 1% Trader 🔸🔸What it takes to become TOP 1% Trader? Everybody wants to succeed in the trading game, but what's the actual formula? 🔸🔸What can we learn from the most successful global hedge fund Renaissance Technologies? How did the Japanese legendary trader Takashi Kotegawa become a TOP 1% Trader? Rules of life of undefeated savage Japanese samurai Miyamoto Musashi. 🔸🔸RetTec flaship fund got 40% CAGR over a period of 30+ years, which is an exceptional trackrecord in the industry. RenTec utilizes HFT trading and uses multiple quantitative / statistical / data science models to gain an edge over the market. RenTec is one of the most secretive hedge funds in the industry, however it's clear that the fund relies on algo trading to generate it's exceptional returns. 🔸Complex Models: Renaissance's models are built upon intricate mathematical models and statistical analysis that leverage massive datasets. 🔸High-Frequency Trading: The firm executes trades at breathtaking speeds, taking advantage of fleeting market inefficiencies. Key takeaways from RenTec success 1) Use algo trading / HFT trading to gain an edge over the market 2) Use data science / quant models to identify patterns 3) Use proper risk management for capital protection 4) Do not overleverage / use leverage over x20 🔸🔸Takashi Kotegawa is a legendary Japanese trader who turned initial investment of 13 000 USD into 150 mln USD trading Japanese stock market. 🔸🔸Risk Control: His approach to managing risk ensures that trades are executed within safe limits, without jeopardizing overall financial stability. 🔸🔸Seizing Opportunities: Kotegawa's ability to swiftly identify and act on market inefficiencies underscores the importance of vigilance and quick decision-making in trading. 🔸🔸Takashi Kotegawa keeps himself out of the spotlight and gives virtually no interviews. That's one of the reasons why we don't know much about him and there are only a few pictures available on the internet. Key takeaways from Takashi Kotegawa's success 1) Disciplined approach to trading 2) Enter / exit trades and make fast decisions 3) Grind alone and stay out of spotlight 4) Remain humble do not show off keep low profile 🔸🔸The majority of the Japanese people know Musashi Miyamoto as Japan's most famous and most skilled swordsman. His status among the Japanese has reached mythic proportions in the same measure that Westerners would give to Muhammad Ali or Michael Jordan. The life of Musashi is the gold standard of samurai in Japan. 🔸🔸Musashi's introverted nature, which manifests as a preference for being alone or engaging in solitary activities, allows him to focus on his own thoughts and ideas. He is particularly skilled at problem-solving, often finding unique and unconventional solutions that others may not think of. 🔸🔸Musashi's approach to winning was formed from repetitive disciplined training, focused practice, knowing his opponent and unorthodoxy. Key takeaways from Miyamoto Musashi success 1) Grind alone and become savage 2) Develop your own strategy unlike any other 3) Outsmart your competition always stay sharp 4) Become ghost and lead a low profile life 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
18
SSEE Framework for successful Trading I want to present you to the 'SSEE' framework today, . This framework is intended for all users, from novices just beginning their journey to seasoned experts seeking to improve their tactics. Three basic steps are involved: ,Self-awareness, Story, Analyze , execute, and Emotional Control. Let's examine each component in turn: self-awareness: Self awareness is very important just link finding a trading style that fits your personality, risk tolerance, and financial objectives is the first step towards becoming a successful trader. This encompasses your emotional ease in taking chances, your degree of patience, and the amount of time you dedicate to trading. Analyzing possible strategies comes next after determining your trading style. Regardless of your preference for technical analysis, fundamental analysis, or a mix of the two, you need to be well-versed in the tactics you choose to use. Lastly, assess both yourself and the tactics you have selected to develop a solid trading plan. What you trade, when you enter and exit transactions, and the standards you use to make decisions should all be part of your trading plan. Recall that following a plan rather than making exact forecasts is the aim. Look for Story : Trends : Identify whether the stock is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement. Trends can indicate investor sentiment and potential future movements. Support and Resistance : Look for levels where the stock has historically reversed direction (support) or faced selling pressure (resistance). These can signify psychological barriers for investors. Volume : Analyze trading volume in conjunction with price movements. Rising prices on increasing volume might suggest strong buying interest, while price increases on low volume could indicate a lack of conviction. Chart Patterns: Recognize common patterns like head and shoulders, triangles, or flags. Each pattern can suggest potential future movements based on historical behavior. Indicators: Use technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD) to assess momentum, overbought or oversold conditions, and potential reversals. Time Frames: Consider different time frames (daily, weekly, monthly) to get a broader context of the stock’s performance. Events and Catalysts: Look for spikes or drops in price that coincide with news events or earnings reports. These can help explain the "story" behind sudden movements. By synthesizing these elements, you can create a narrative that explains the stock's historical performance and potential future directions. Plan: Define Your Goals Investment Horizon: Decide if you're investing for the short term, medium term, or long term. Risk Tolerance: Assess how much risk you’re willing to take. This will influence your stock selection. 2. Conduct Research Fundamental Analysis: Look at company financials, earnings reports, industry trends, and economic indicators. Technical Analysis: Analyze charts, trends, and indicators to identify entry and exit points. 3. Develop a Strategy Stock Selection: Based on your research, choose stocks that align with your goals and risk tolerance. Diversification: Spread your investments across different sectors to mitigate risk. 4. Create a Buy/Sell Plan Entry Points: Determine your buying price and criteria for entry based on technical signals or fundamental reasons. Exit Points: Set profit targets and stop-loss levels to protect your investment and lock in gains. 5. Execute the Trades Use a brokerage platform to buy your selected stocks at your planned entry points. Monitor the trades and overall market conditions. 6. Monitor and Adjust Regularly review your portfolio’s performance and market conditions. Be ready to adjust your strategy if new information or trends emerge. 7. Stay Disciplined Stick to your plan and avoid emotional trading decisions. Reassess your goals periodically and make necessary adjustments to your strategy. 8. Educate Yourself Continuously learn about the market, new strategies, and economic developments. By following this structured approach, you can execute a well-thought-out plan in the stock market. Would you like more details on any specific step? E xecute : Step-by-Step Execution Set Up Your Trading Account Choose a reputable brokerage platform that aligns with your trading style and needs (e.g., commissions, tools, research). Ensure your account is funded. Finalize Your Research Review your selected stocks, confirming they meet your criteria based on both fundamental and technical analysis. Check for any recent news or events that could impact stock performance. Create a Watchlist Compile a list of stocks you are interested in, along with your entry points and target prices. Place Orders Market Orders: Buy stocks at the current market price. Use this for quicker executions but be aware of price fluctuations. Limit Orders: Set a specific price at which you want to buy or sell. This helps control the price you pay but may not execute if the price doesn’t reach your limit. Implement Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders Set stop-loss orders to automatically sell if the stock price falls to a certain level, protecting your investment. Set take-profit orders to secure gains at predefined price targets. Monitor Your Investments Regularly check the performance of your stocks and overall market conditions. Stay informed about news that may affect your investments. Adjust Your Strategy as Needed If a stock isn’t performing as expected, reassess your reasons for holding it. Be ready to sell or adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels based on market conditions. Review and Reflect After a set period, review the performance of your trades. Analyze what worked and what didn’t. Use these insights to refine your strategy for future trades. Stay Disciplined Stick to your plan and avoid making impulsive decisions based on market noise. Keep emotions in check and follow your predetermined strategy. Emotional Control: Set Clear Goals Define your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon. Having clear goals can help you stay focused and reduce anxiety. 2. Develop a Trading Plan Create a structured trading plan that includes entry and exit strategies, risk management, and criteria for buying and selling. Stick to this plan to avoid emotional decisions. 3. Practice Mindfulness Use techniques like meditation or deep breathing to stay calm and centered. Mindfulness can help you recognize emotional triggers and respond more thoughtfully. 4. Limit Exposure to Market Noise Reduce the amount of news and social media you consume related to the stock market. Constant updates can heighten anxiety and lead to impulsive decisions. 5. Keep a Trading Journal Document your trades, including your thought process and emotions at the time. Reflecting on your experiences can help you identify patterns and improve future decision-making. 6. Manage Risk Use stop-loss orders and diversify your portfolio to minimize potential losses. Knowing you have a plan in place can alleviate stress and help you stay composed. 7. Accept Losses Understand that losses are a natural part of trading. Accepting this can help reduce the fear of losing and prevent you from making desperate trades. 8. Stay Disciplined Commit to your trading plan and avoid deviating from it due to emotions. Stick to your strategy, even during market volatility. 9. Take Breaks Step away from the screens when feeling overwhelmed or overly emotional. Taking breaks can provide perspective and help clear your mind. 10. Seek Support Consider discussing your experiences with other traders or joining a community. Sharing your thoughts and challenges can provide valuable insights and emotional relief. 11. Focus on the Process, Not Just Outcomes Concentrate on following your plan rather than fixating on short-term gains or losses. This shift in focus can help reduce emotional strain.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by limitissky77
I am currently long leveraged SPX ETFs based on this chartThis is a variation on the "swing trade" chart I recently published. Again I wait for the close of the Perpetual Futures and trade the SPX ETF in aftermarket and or pre-market. Don't size too large. You don't have to plunge - scale in IF ITS GOING YOUR WAY - I never add to a losing position. My code shown on top is just a combination of TV Community Scripts (Albeit, I don't know what "Gann High-Low" has to do with Gann?) and labels the entry and exit with the Golden X trend only shown and a little re-configuration. Trade at your own risk. Happy trades....to you.. DAP
CME_MINI:MES1!Education
by anotherDAPTrader
THE FIBONACCI GOLDEN POCKET (THE SECRET WEAPON)There is no doubt that the Fibonacci tool is the most powerful and most used tool amongst traders worldwide, and there's a pretty good and simple explanation to that, IT WORKS. I mean, I've been trading since late 2013 (damn I'm getting old), and have been implementing Fibonacci into my analysis ever since. It's truly a great tool which shows us powerful support & resistance levels. As the years went on, my trading evolved, and one of the things I've noticed is that the market always reacted more to a certain 2 ratios in the Fibonacci, which got me exploring those ratios even further. Over time it become more clear to me that these 2 Fibonacci ratios have much more impact on the market than I could ever imagine. Once I started back testing as much as humanly possible, I started to see how the true power of these ratios. THE FIBONACCI GOLDEN POCKET (0.618 & 0.65) When drawn correctly & on the correct time frame, this tool showed me exactly where the overall trend was heading and where it would stop and reverse. With the help of my indicators & knowledge of the markets I was able to determine if the market would break through the golden pocket or respect it and stop and potentially reverse. I also would like to add that there is no right or wrong way when plotting this tool. THE TIMEFRAME TO USE & HOW TO PLOT While everyone has their own methods on how to use certain indicators/tools, I'll tell you one thing for certain, I've spent years perfecting my strategy and the tools I use. What I found works best, is the a Fibonacci works like a dream on the 1D chart. So head over to the 1D chart of the asset you are trading. The beauty of this is that you can choose to plot the tool on a major swing or minor swing or combine a major that has a minor swing in it. There is no wrong way, it's how you read the tool that makes it important. NOTE: you will have to change the Fibonacci Retracement tool settings at first, thereafter it would be set on those settings for future use. So, choose the Fibonacci Retracement tool, find a recent swing high and swing low, you will plot it on those points and to get precise plots you will have to enter the high and low of those swing points in the coordinates tab in the settings of the tool. In the settings of the tool, you will need to uncheck all the levels except the 0.618, and you will add the 0.65 by selecting one of those boxes and entering the ratio and make sure that is checked as well. General styling appearance is up to your liking. Press ok and you can lock your drawing in place and there you have it. You Have Just Successfully Plotted A GOLDEN POCKET. You can go ahead and find other swing highs & lows and plot more levels to have on the chart if need be. Used on the 1D chart, these levels act as MAJOR SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ZONES. You can see where the market is heading to and where it could potentially stop or you can find that the market is currently bouncing off the level so you could go down to a lower timeframe and look for a potential sniper entry to the trend & know where to take profit should there be a level above. In my approach to using the golden pocket, if the first 1D candle breaks through the level by market close, I already know that the market is going to continue its direction, if the first 1D candle that interacts with the level rejects on it by market close then I know that this is it's stopping point where the market could consolidate and potentially reverse from there. *DISCLAIMER* Now please note, I use that golden pocket in that manner because I have other indicators to give me deeper insights as to what's happening, you should not use the golden pocket the way I do unless you have valid confirmation that this is about to happen so I need to keep my trade open or I need to close my trade. USE AS PER YOUR OWN DISCRETION. I hope this tutorial will help even if it's just one person out there... HAPPY TRADING :)
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by avziofficial
How much money can you make in Forex?🔸Consistentcy is the key - top professional traders aim to generate 20-30% returns / per month, obviously depends on account size, risk tolerance, max DD, std lots exposure and multiple other factors. 🔸Depends on your trading style and risk profile, obviously. Currently algo traders / full-auto systems generate the best returns. 🔸Forex trading bots are automated software programs that generate trading signals. Most of these robots are built with MetaTrader, PineScrips, Python and cAlgo. 🔸High-risk compounding strategy: Assuming you can double your cash multiple times in succession and start with 1,000 dollars, the 10th time, you would be a millionaire. It implies that assuming you contribute $ 1,000 and double, you contribute $ 2,000 and double, then, at that point, you do it from time to time, you will be a millionaire when you double your money the 10th time. 🔸Lower-risk strategy: risking no more than 1-5% per trade, limiting your exposure via trailing SL strategy or adjust SL to BE as soon as the trade generates decent pnl 🔸If you want to separate yourself from the 90% (probably closer to 95% in my opinion) of traders who lose money consistently, you have to think differently. 🔸Most Forex traders overtrade and overleverage their accounts in an attempt to make 50%-100% profit or more every month. 🔸So to be in the top 5% to 10% of traders, you have to do the opposite. You have to put more focus on how much money you could lose rather than how much you can make. 🔸A higher win rate gives you more risk/reward flexibility, and a high risk/reward ratio means that your win rate can be lower and still stay profitable. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
15
Trend Based Fib Extension (PRO HACK) SUPPORT & RESISTANCE is one of the most important key elements in trading. Without knowing the key Support & Resistance levels, you will never have a true understanding of where the market could go to or reverse from. One very important factor worth knowing is the markets overall, trend Support & Resistance levels. While there are a lot of different methods in finding these levels, like pivot points, previous day high and low, or monthly or yearly and so on. One of the most promising, tried and tested ways is to use a Fibonacci Tool. Now YES, there are MANY Fibonacci Tools to choose from and use but if you need to know the fib levels for a trend, use the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION. Along with using the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION, you need to know the correct time frame to actually plot this tool on. There is no right or wrong time frame nor is there no right or wrong way in plotting this tool, BUT we need to know and understand the overall picture of the market as a whole and if you are thinking about the market as a whole, we need to use the correct time frame to show us that. So we turn to the 12M TIME FRAME! The 12M Time Frame is what's going to show us the OVERALL TREND of the asset we are looking at, from the start right to current time. Now keep in mind that this can work on EVERY SINGLE ASSET. We use the 12M time frame because we need to plot the trend base fib extension to show us our MAJOR FIBONACCI SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS. These levels are for the OVERALL TREND OF THE GIVEN ASSET. By plotting it this way we actually have an idea as to where the market is going LONG TERM. So head over to whichever asset you are tracking, choose the 12M time frame and make your chart large enough to fit the screen. In order to plot this tool, you need to know your highs and lows because this tool is used from your lowest point to the first swing high and down to your next swing low, once those 3 are connected the tool will automatically plot your levels. One easy way to find your swing highs and lows is to use a ZIGZAG with a length of either 1 or 2. That setting will give you the most accurate points. In the drawing tool box you can you the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION tool, once you select it and you know where your 3 points are then you plot it accordingly, you will start from your Lowest, to your Swing High and then down to your Swing Low. To get accurate plots, use the data window and get the exact low and high prices and enter the accordingly into the fib tool settings (coordinates tab). Adjust your settings with your style preferences, the fib levels that you want to see on your chart, and once done, lock the tool in place and BOOM, YOU NOW HAVE YOUR MAJOR ALL TIME SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS PLOTTED ON YOUR CHART. Now you have a full understanding on the market overall trend by knowing where the major support and resistance levels are. You can go back to your lower time frame in which you trade from and now you will have a much clearer understanding as to where the market might stop or reverse from, according to the bigger picture. With that in place, you can use other methods of confluence to get entries, set stops, find direction, you can even go down to lower time frames to use a Fibonacci retracement tool or the trend based fib extension to get sniper entries and set targets. The key takeaway from this is for you to know the overall direction of the market you are trading and to know where potential areas of support and resistances are which leads to the major reversals in the market. I do hope this publication helps you in some way or another, even if it helped just 1 person out of many, I will be glad. HAPPY TRADING :) ==if you have any questions then please drop a comment, thanks==
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by avziofficial
WHY SHOULD YOU UNDERSTAND TIMEFRAMES ? ITS ALL ABOUT PERSPECTIVEGood evening traders I created a video for the more the beginner traders who are just getting into trading. However for those more seasoned this could give you a little insight on how to obtain more clarity and perspective when trading. My goal here is to educate you on time frames in understanding the micro and macro of the charts you are looking at. Without the layers of perspective one can get lost in the chaos and not know where to start or what the trend is actually doing. If you like this video please boost, if you dont like this video or want me to touch base on our trading concepts let me know in the comments below Have a great weekend everyone MB Trader
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
8
Scalping strategy using the RSI 30-50-70 Moving AverageScalping Strategy Using RSI 30-50-70 Moving Average The RSI 30-50-70 Moving Average strategy is designed to help traders identify optimal entry and exit points by using three distinct moving averages, each corresponding to different RSI ranges (30%, 50%, and 70%). These ranges capture varying market conditions—oversold, neutral, and overbought—and provide potential scalping signals. The strategy is flexible, allowing users to adjust RSI ranges, time frames, and periods according to their trading style. Default Indicator Setup: RSI_30 Range (25%-35%): Represents potential oversold conditions (yellow line). Calculated as the moving average of closing prices when the RSI is between 25% and 35%. RSI_50 Range (45%-55%): Represents a neutral or trend-following zone (green line). This range serves as a balanced reference to determine market direction. RSI_70 Range (65%-75%): Represents potential overbought conditions (red line). Calculated as the moving average of closing prices when the RSI is between 65% and 75%. These moving averages allow traders to spot entry and exit points based on the interaction between price and RSI zones. Scalping Entry Strategy: Step 1: Monitor the RSI on the 1-Hour Time Frame Begin by identifying oversold conditions on the 1-hour chart. Wait for the RSI to drop below 30% (or 25% for more volatile assets). Draw a vertical line across the candle that meets this condition. This serves as a visual cue for when to switch to the lower time frame. Step 2: Switch to the 15-Minute Time Frame On the 15-minute chart, look for the price to dip below the RSI_30 moving average (yellow line). This indicates the asset is potentially oversold, presenting an opportunity for a rebound. Ensure that the price movement suggests slowing downward momentum. Step 3: Identify Bullish Divergence Watch for bullish divergence between the RSI (using a 7-period RSI) and the closing price. A divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the RSI makes higher lows, signaling a possible upward reversal. The formation of bullish divergence increases the probability of a successful trade. Step 4: Confirm with the RSI_30 Moving Average Enter a buy order when a green candle’s opening and closing prices are above the RSI_30 line, signaling that the oversold momentum is weakening. Confirm that the RSI_30 moving average has flattened or started to level off. This indicates that the downtrend may be losing steam and that a reversal could be imminent. Important: If the RSI_30 moving average continues to slope downward, it is advisable to wait for it to level off before entering the trade. Patience can help avoid false breakouts. Key Exit Strategies: Take Profit: Consider taking profit when the price reaches the RSI_70 line (overbought zone). In highly volatile markets, consider scaling out of your position gradually as the price approaches this zone. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss below the recent swing low or based on the asset’s volatility. A tighter stop might be appropriate for assets with narrow price ranges. Backtesting and Adjustments: Asset-Specific Adjustments: Different assets respond uniquely to RSI-based strategies. For volatile assets (e.g., cryptocurrencies), consider widening the RSI ranges (e.g., 20%-40% for RSI_30 or 60%-80% for RSI_70). For more stable assets (e.g., bonds), tighter ranges (e.g., 30%-50%) may work better. Time Frame Considerations: While this strategy focuses on the 1-hour and 15-minute time frames, some assets may respond better to different periods. Adjust accordingly based on backtesting. Optional Enhancements: Divergence Alerts: Add a bullish divergence detection script to automate alerts when RSI and price diverge, improving timing for entries. Multi-Time Frame Confirmation: To increase trade reliability, consider checking RSI on additional time frames (e.g., 4-hour chart) for more robust signals. Volume Confirmation: Use volume analysis to confirm trade entries. A price reversal coupled with increasing volume strengthens the likelihood of a successful trade.
Education
by DexterMGarcia
7 Ways to Optimize Your Trading Strategy Like a ProYou’ve got a trading strategy—great. But if you think that’s where the work ends, think again. A good strategy is like a sports car: It’s fast, fun, and dangerous… unless you keep it tuned and under control. And given how volatile modern trading is, yesterday’s strategy can quickly become tomorrow’s account-drainer. So, how do you keep your trading strategy sharp and in profit mode? Let’s dive into seven ways to fine-tune your setup like a pro. 1️⃣ Backtest Like Your Profits Depend on It (Spoiler: They Do) Before you let your strategy loose in the wild, backtest it against historical data. It’s not enough to say, “This looks good.” Run the numbers. Find out how it performs over different time frames, market conditions, and asset classes — stocks , crypto , forex , and more. If you’re not backtesting, you run the risk of trading blind — use the sea of charting tools and instruments around here, slap them on previous price action and see how they do. 💡 Pro Tip : Make sure to backtest with realistic conditions. Don’t cheat with perfect hindsight—markets aren’t that kind. 2️⃣ Optimize for Risk, Not Just Reward Everyone gets starry-eyed over profits, but the best traders obsess over risk management. Adjust your strategy to keep risk in check. Ask yourself: How much are you willing to lose per trade? What’s your win-loss ratio? A strategy that promises massive returns but ignores risk is more like a ticking time bomb than a way to pull in long-term profits. 💡 Pro Tip : Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1. It’s simple: risk $1 to make $2, and you’ve got a buffer against losses. Want to go big? Use 5:1 or why not even 15:1? Learn all about it in our Asymmetric Risk Reward Idea. 3️⃣ Diversify Your Strategy Across Markets If you’re only trading one asset or market, you’re asking for trouble (sooner or later). Markets move in cycles, and your strategy might crush it in one but flop in another. Spread your strategy across different markets to smooth out the rough patches. 💡 Pro Tip : Don’t confuse this with over-trading. You’re diversifying, not chasing every pop. 4️⃣ Fine-Tune Your Time Frames Your strategy might be solid on the 1-hour chart but struggle on the 5-minute or daily. Different time frames bring different opportunities and risks. Test your strategy across multiple time frames to see where it shines and where it stumbles. 💡 Pro Tip : Day traders? Shorten those time frames. Swing traders? Stretch ’em out. Find the sweet spot that aligns with your trading style. 5️⃣ Stay Agile with Market Conditions No strategy is perfect for every market condition. What works in a trending market could blow up in a range-bound one. Optimize your strategy to adapt to volatility, volume, and trend shifts. Pay attention to news events , central bank meetings, and earnings reports — they can flip the script fast. 💡 Pro Tip : Learn to identify when your strategy isn’t working and take a step back. Not every day is a trading day. 6️⃣ Incorporate Multiple Indicators (But Don’t Go Overboard) More indicators = more profits, right? Wrong. It’s easy to fall into the trap of loading up your charts with a dozen indicators until you’re drowning in lines and signals. Keep it simple — combine 3 to 5 complementary indicators that confirm your strategy’s signals, and ditch the rest. 💡 Pro Tip : Use one indicator for trend confirmation and another for entry/exit timing. 7️⃣ Keep Tweaking, But Don’t Blow Out of Proportion Here’s the rub: There’s a fine line between optimization and over-optimization. Adjusting your strategy too much based on past data can lead to overfitting — your strategy works perfectly on historical data but crashes in live markets. Keep tweaking, but always test those tweaks in live conditions to make sure they hold up. 💡 Pro Tip : Keep a trading journal to track your tweaks. If you don’t track it, you won’t know what’s working and what’s not. Get familiar with the attributes of a successful trading plan with one of our top-performing Ideas: What’s in a Trading Plan? 💎 Bonus: Never Stop Learning The market’s constantly changing and your strategy needs to change with it. Keep studying, keep testing, and keep learning. The moment you think you’ve mastered the market is the moment it humbles you. Optimizing a trading strategy isn’t a one-and-done deal—it’s an ongoing process. By fine-tuning, testing, and staying flexible, you can keep your strategy sharp, profitable, and ahead of the curve. Optimize smart, trade smart!
Editors' picks
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
7
How to Adam & Eve PatternEver wondered about Adam and Eve in trading? It's a straightforward and powerful pattern. Hello dear traders! If you like my graphics, please use Like button 💙💛 Picture Adam as the first market peak or dip, and Eve as the second, forming a U-shape. This pattern highlights a robust price level, suggesting a potential market shift. How to Utilize It? In a downtrend, spot Adam and Eve as double bottoms. When Eve follows Adam, indicating a strong support level, consider entering trades. Trade when the price breaks above resistance line, with a stop loss set at the neckline level. Pay attention to trading volumes. They confirm buying or selling strength, offering a clear signal for a trend reversal. Finding Your Target: Identify the pattern's height from the neckline to the peak of Eve. Project this distance downward from the breakout point for a bullish pattern or upward for a bearish one. This gives you a potential target for your trade. Here is an example of Adam & Eve pattern play on Bitcoin chart: Master the Adam and Eve pattern to make confident trading decisions. It's an intuitive way to identify market change in trend and make strategic moves. 📈✨
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by ArShevelev
9
Example of Conditions for Starting Trading Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow. Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today. ---------------------------------------- I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above. In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart. I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through. For this, more support and resistance points are needed. This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line. However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible. Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions. The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period. Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written. - The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look. However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed. Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction. Please read this carefully and thank you. - (It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.) Conditions for starting a transaction are 1. Buying time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) - When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point - When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point 2. Selling time conditions - When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA - When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100) - When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point - When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction. The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25. Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section. Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses. In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position. - It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met. Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator. Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI. - In summary of the above, Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring. Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line. If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading). If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait. - It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading. However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading. The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above. Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss. - If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K. Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further. I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section. This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now. Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase. The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position. - If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise. This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful. In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary. Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations. - What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading. Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis. Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different. In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
Taking a look at Fibonacci in Technical AnalysisIn the world of technical analysis, traders are always searching for tools that provide an edge in the markets. One such tool, which has stood the test of time, is Fibonacci retracement. Derived from a series of numbers discovered by the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci in the 13th century, the Fibonacci sequence has been applied to various fields, from nature to finance, and plays a significant role in predicting market movements. This blog will explore how Fibonacci retracement works, why it’s relevant for traders, and how you can incorporate it into your trading strategy for better results. ________________________________________ What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. So, the sequence looks like this: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, and so on. The magic of Fibonacci for traders lies in the ratios derived from this sequence, which are commonly referred to as the "Golden Ratios." The most important Fibonacci ratios used in technical analysis are: • 61.8% (also known as the Golden Ratio) • 38.2% • 23.6% These ratios are used to identify potential levels of support and resistance in the price of a financial asset. Fibonacci Retracement in Trading Fibonacci retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used to find potential levels where price pullbacks or reversals might occur. The idea is simple: when a market moves sharply in one direction, it’s likely to retrace part of that move before continuing in the same direction. Key Levels in Fibonacci Retracement: • 61.8%: Often regarded as the "golden retracement level," this ratio is believed to be the strongest predictor of price reversal points. • 50%: Although not an official Fibonacci ratio, traders frequently use this level to gauge whether the trend will resume or reverse. • 38.2% and 23.6%: These levels represent smaller pullbacks and often signal short-term corrections. By plotting these levels on a price chart, traders can get a better sense of where the price might pause, reverse, or find support/resistance. How to Use Fibonacci Retracement in Your Trading Strategy Let’s break down how Fibonacci retracement works in practice. Step 1: Identifying a Trend The first step in using Fibonacci retracement is identifying a strong upward or downward trend. This could be a swing high to swing low (in an uptrend) or a swing low to swing high (in a downtrend). The trend is essential because Fibonacci retracement levels are applied to find where pullbacks might occur during this trend. Step 2: Plotting Fibonacci Levels Once you’ve identified the trend, plot the Fibonacci retracement levels using the highest and lowest points of the move. Most charting platforms, have built-in Fibonacci tools to help with this. For example, in an uptrend, select the lowest point (swing low) and drag the tool to the highest point (swing high). The software will automatically calculate and plot the key Fibonacci levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%. Step 3: Analysing the Price Action Now that the Fibonacci levels are in place, watch how the price interacts with these levels. If the price retraces to 38.2% or 61.8%, it might find support and continue moving in the direction of the trend. Traders often look for other confirmation signals (such as candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or moving averages) at these levels before making a trade. Using Fibonacci in Conjunction with Other Indicators While Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool on its own, its effectiveness increases when combined with other technical analysis tools. Here are some common pairings: • Moving Averages: A bounce off a Fibonacci level that coincides with a key moving average (like the 50-day or 200-day MA) is often seen as a strong buy or sell signal. • Trendlines: If a Fibonacci retracement level aligns with a major trendline, this increases the likelihood of the level acting as strong support or resistance. • Candlestick Patterns: Reversal patterns like Doji, Hammer, or Engulfing candles at a Fibonacci retracement level can provide additional confirmation for your trade setup. • RSI/Other Oscillators: Overbought or oversold conditions shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around a Fibonacci level can signal potential price reversals. On the USD/JPY weekly chart we have an engulfing pattern and a diverging RSI at the 61.8% which adds weight to the idea that the market was likely to hold in this vicinity and recover. Conclusion: Fibonacci as a Core Tool in Your Trading Arsenal Fibonacci retracement is a versatile and widely trusted tool that can help traders identify potential price reversal levels. By understanding how to apply Fibonacci ratios and combining them with other technical indicators, you can improve your chances of success in the markets. Remember, no tool is perfect, and using Fibonacci retracement effectively requires practice and confirmation. Incorporate it into a broader trading strategy, and you’ll be able to make more informed and profitable trading decisions. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Education
by The_STA
How I stopped strategy hopping by creating my own strategyIn the fast-paced world of trading, many of us, especially when beginning our journey, we find ourselves caught in a relentless cycle of strategy hopping. We jump from one strategy to another, lured by the promise of quick profits. However, this constant shifting often leads to frustration, a sense of not making any progress, and most importantly, a lack of consistent results. I experienced this firsthand as I back-tested, forward-tested, and executed various trading systems, on demo and live accounts, each time hoping for better outcomes but always ending up not meeting expectations and feeling more or less stuck in the same position of having to find a profitable trading strategy. Eventually, after having tried many different systems that I found online, I decided to finally try to create my own and this time stick to a single system for a prolonged period of time. This idea/publication explores my journey on how I created this simple trading strategy and how I used my engineering background to create a semi automated-trading system around it. And just to clarify, this is not financial advice, this should serve as an idea. If you want to try this out, do so at your own risk, after understanding the concept and after testing. I’m still testing this myself, but in theory it’s sound, and so far in my forward-testing is performing very well! Scalping, Day trading, Swing trading, Fibonacci levels, Support/Resistance levels, round psychological levels, Bollinger bands, EMAs, RSI, MACD, ICT, Smart money concepts, algo-trading, forex, crypto, indices, metals, multi-timeframe analysis, etc, etc. I’ve traded in these timeframes: D, 8h, 4h, 2h, 1h, 30m, 15m, 5m, 1m, and I’ve explored quite a few different strategies based on the concepts I just dumped above so I don’t bore you with every single case, and so based on that experience I’m taking a few considerations before creating my strategy. First, I’ll be trading forex, metals, and maybe crypto and indices. Personal choice. But there’s no reason this shouldn’t work in any other market. Second, I personally need to be more consistent on when it comes to analyzing the charts. So, for now let’s say that I’ll “log-in” every day, Monday-Friday, some amount of time during NY session. Third, I’ve learned that multi-timeframe analysis is better than analyzing only one specific timeframe, so I’ll include that. Next, I know there are different approaches, but from my perspective the market is either trending or not trending (aka consolidating; bouncing between two levels, imperfectly). I guess it’d be great to have one strategy for trending markets and one for markets that are in consolidation, but for now I’m specifically picking a trend-following strategy. I found that following the trend can be very rewarding, especially when you catch it from the start or near it and are able to exit right before it ends (that’s the tricky part, but we’re only talking theory for now). So a totally reasonable idea would be to try to enter the market on pull-backs, while expecting the price to continue in the direction of the main trend. So a Fibonacci retracement tool sounds ideal for this method. I’d like to somehow incorporate algo-trading up to some extent. I have a software engineering background, so it comes natural for me to try to create or adjust an existing trading bot to execute operations for me. But the issue I always had was creating a trading bot to spot good opportunities. It is just not easy to achieve, for any trading strategy. And that is because of the constantly changing nature of the markets. It requires subjectivity by a human to some extent when it comes to reading, understanding the market and predicting a direction. 💡 So with that said, now, two very important ideas I realized that this system exploits. 1. You don’t need to know exactly up to where price is going to retrace to on the Fibonacci tool. You can bet on more than one level. 2. You don’t need to create a trading bot that “fully” automates trading. It can only handle the part of managing the position(s). Let me explain. With the Fibonacci Retracement tool the trader is free to choose however many levels they want to visualize. And that is great, but it’s not easy to predict accurately and consistently up to which level price is going to retrace. We might miss some trades if we bet on a bigger pull-back and price continues on the trend without hitting our entry, or, we might experience some losses if we bet on a smaller pull-back and price decides to retrace more, and then continue on the same trend direction (which is even more painful to see lol). So the idea here is to place more than one order based on a few different fib levels. Managing more than one position can be challenging, but that’s when the next idea comes into play. “Semi” automating the strategy with the help of a trading bot. As I mentioned previously, at least for me it has been difficult to create a trading bot that can reliably match the trading opportunities that I would find. Sometimes the bot would find good opportunities, but some other times it would find opportunities that wouldn’t make sense to take because of other reasons (price close to some Support/Resistance level, news, different direction on higher timeframes, etc) and if all of those reasons were taken into account that would increase the complexity of the code and most of the time the actual opportunities found by the bot would decrease (including the good ones!). So it’s a trade-off. On the other hand, managing the position(s) is totally doable for a trading bot. Managing one or more open positions or pending orders is done after confirming a trading opportunity, so a trading bot can do precisely what a human would do based on the same conditions. And creating that kind of bot is not that complicated to achieve. So with all of that in mind I started writing some rules for the trading strategy. Timeframe for entries: 15m Multi-timeframe analysis: D, 4h, 1h, 15m I’ll be spotting opportunities around NY session open I’ll need a trading bot to manage the positions for me so I don’t stare at the charts for too long (not because I don’t want to, but because apart from having other things to do it wouldn’t improve the outcome! + that the trading bot is much better at handling its emotions :wink) I’ll focus on EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD first and maybe later I’ll apply this strategy to other markets. Let’s focus for a bit on the fib tool and the positions for now. The screenshot below shows the levels that I’m using. And for now I’m just betting on 3 positions. Again, managing more than one position can be tricky, but I’m relying on the fact that a trading-bot can help us in this part which is easy for the bot to handle. And apart from that we only have one position open at a time so it’s not actually that hard as it might sound if we don’t want to use a trading bot. Of course no system is perfect, so losses are expected. But I’m positioning myself in a way that my wins will cover my losses and give me good profit. In consequence, risk management is very important. With every bet or fibonacci tool I place and open X positions (in this case 3) I want to make sure that in total I’m not risking more than 0.5% of my total account balance. This part depends on the trader, some traders can tolerate bigger draw-downs, and so they can risk more % per position, others risk less, I personally like 0.5% for now. At the time of writing this I’m testing with the following risks: Position 1 (2.3R if TP hit): 0.10% of the account balance Position 2 (3.6R if TP hit): 0.18% of the account balance Position 3 (4.2R if TP hit): 0.22% of the account balance With those positions placed these things can happen: 1. Price doesn’t retrace enough to trigger any of the pending orders and continues in the same direction of the trend. In that case, when there’s a new higher high or lower low we just cancel our pending orders and analyze again to spot new opportunities. 2. Price retraces enough to hit all of our SL resulting in a loss of the 3 positions (-0.50%) 3. Only Position 1 gets triggered and we go to TP (2.3R * 0.10% = 0.23% gain) 4. Position 2 gets triggered and we go to TP (-0.10% + 3.6R * 0.18% = 0.55% gain) 5. Position 3 gets triggered and we go to TP (-0.10% - 0.18% + 4.2R * 0.22% = 0.64% gain) Nothing to do with alternatives 1 & 2 as it’s normal for us to lose or miss an opportunity sometimes. With alternative 3 we have a small gain. And with alternatives 4 & 5 we have a slightly better gain than our total risk of 0.50%. Now all of that might not sound ver impressive and it’s because this follows the fixed position way of managing the positions. Trailing the SL many times can produce much better returns when managed properly. But more on that later. Possible winning example below using ATR trailing SL. But let’s stick to the fixed positions for now to understand and get used to the system first and then you can let the bot do the management with the trailing SL method. Now why those specific risk %s for those 3 positions? The reasoning is that in my recent trading I’ve noticed that price tends to retrace enough to trigger either my Position 2 or my Position 3 more often than triggering only my Position 2. So it makes more sense to me to add slightly higher risk on those to increase profit. However, in my experience, in the higher timeframes price retraces even to the 38.2% level to then continue in the same trend direction more often than on the lower timeframes. But this part as I said depends on the trader, if you decide to incorporate this strategy/system to your trading you are free to choose different risk % per positions. Additionally, you could even open more positions (again, relying on the trading bot for position management), and of course following a good risk management plan by adjusting the risk for all positions and sticking to a total of less than 2% risk per fib tool placement. But this also depends on the trader. Sometimes price does like to ‘grab liquidity’ by retracing slightly more than the 100% level, hitting my last SL, and then continue on the trend direction we placed our bet on. However, I think that 3 positions is enough, at least for me, specially in the lower timeframes. Let’s focus on the trading bot for a bit now. As I said the bot should only manage my positions so I need a way to turn it on when I spot a good opportunity and then let it run until the position hits SL or TP, or it gets closed because of another reason. In this case I developed two systems. One is with fixed SL and TP, and one is with managing the position(s) with a trailing SL. The trailing SL is based on the current ATR value, but this could be expanded even further to another method of trailing SL based on specific levels the user provides (e.g. when in 1.4R move SL to break-even, when in 2R move SL to 1R, etc). For now I tested with fixed positions and with ATR trailing SL and they both work great and are profitable. The rules can be extended even more, for instance you choose the ATR trailing SL method and still place TP on the -27% or on the -61.8% fib levels so positions fully close on those levels, or you could close partially let’s say 30% when TP1 is hit (0% fib level) and then keep trailing, etc. There are many variations, and those can be handled by the bot based on the initial configuration. So on how the actual trading bot works. I developed a PineScript strategy that fires alerts that I can use with a service like PineScript to execute the operations but I found that those services most of the time don’t allow managing multiple positions at once and have other complications. So I created my own webhook server that receives the alerts and I also developed an EA that receives that information and executes the operations but this is still in testing phase and is not ready for use unless you have advanced technical knowledge. I’m thinking of ways to make this available however and would love some thoughts/feedback/suggestions! This strategy can still be applied even without a trading bot. However the trading bot would make the system much better and allow for more time to maybe analyze different markets and take on more trading opportunities, or just focus on other stuff. So to put all of this together now we’re only missing the part of spotting the opportunities. There are different ways, I personally just look for trends. I rely on simple price action (for uptrend I want to see clear higher highs and higher lows, and for downtrend I want to see clear lower lows and lower highs), a smoothed Heikin-Ashi EMA, and sometimes on the ADX indicator to see how strong the trend is. In the example below I show my thought process while applying this strategy on a forward-testing phase. This is exactly how I saw the chart when I logged-in for my trading session a few days ago. In the higher timeframes I checked that there is room for price to keep going up, that means that there shouldn’t be a S/R level or round psychological level near price. Having also analyzed higher timeframes and seen that it makes sense for price to continue this uptrend I decided to place my fib tool. I usually consider wicks too. So I place the first fib limit on the higher low, and the second fib limit on the higher high. Having placed the fib tool and created the pending orders now we need to wait for price to trigger our positions. But sometimes price is not done and keeps going up, invalidating our higher high (or lower low on a downtrend). When that happens we just need to stay focused on when price closes to see if a new higher high has been formed. If that happens we simply update our fib tool placement, and update the pending orders (entry, SL, & TP). This is a condition that the trading bot can probably handle. Eventually price will make it clear where the higher high is, and we finally see a retracement. And now we wait… but still focused in case we need to adjust our fib tool and pending orders if price is not yet retracing. Price drops with a strong move. Now we just step away, we already have the positions placed with SL and TP. We did our analysis, and so we don’t need to look at the charts and let any negative emotions gain control. At this point with fixed positions we can just close the charts and give an end to this trading session. And if using the trailing SL method we just leave it to the trading bot to manage the positions. In this case I was just testing the fixed positions and it unfolded into a win for the 3rd position. So overall about a 0.64% gain (the best alternative). So this is it. This covers the base of this strategy and my thought process while creating the rules for this system. It can be adjusted to different timezones as well, different markets depending on the asset type, etc. I’ve been forward-testing this strategy and system for a few weeks so far and it seems very promising. And I couldn’t wait any longer to share this idea in hopes that you can learn at least something from everything I shared. I’d also love to hear if anyone would be interested in using a system like this with the actual trading bot, so I can plan best on how to make it accessible to other users that don’t have technical/engineering knowledge. In conclusion, I shared my journey from strategy hopping to creating my own trading strategy based on my own needs. By exploring the key ideas of leveraging the Fibonacci retracement tool to bet on multiple positions and embracing a semi-automated approach, I’ve developed a system that aligns with my trading style and allows for necessary flexibility in response to market changes. If you find yourself caught in the cycle of strategy hopping, or don’t see the results you expected (be reasonable though!) I urge you to reflect on what you truly want from your trading experience. Consider creating your own strategy that aligns with your objectives and trading style! And feel free to take ideas from this article to build your own system. Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below. I’d love to hear it, any thoughts/feedback or suggestions are appreciated. Looking forward to the discussion. Thanks, and good luck!
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EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
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8
BOS - Break of StructureBOS means Break of Structure . It happens when the price of an asset (like a stock or currency) breaks past a key support or resistance level, indicating a potential change in the market direction. Key points: Uptrend BOS: If the price breaks above a recent high, it could mean the start of an upward trend. Downtrend BOS: If the price breaks below a recent low, it may signal the beginning of a downward trend. Traders use BOS to spot potential trend changes and decide when to buy or sell.
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by CTA_tradesmart