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Trend Analysis

Why is Macro driving the markets ? The attached chart shows just how important macro analysis is on the financial markets, and just how much it can move prices. It is important to understand that the markets are nothing more than a huge game of anticipation, which is why macro analysis is so important. In particular, it is important to understand the phenomenon of pricing: the market incorporates all the information available to it into prices at a given moment. For example, if a new regulation is announced that will restrict the automotive sector in 2 years‘ time, the market will react immediately and shares will fall immediately, not in two years’ time, because the market will immediately take this information into account and pass it on. This is where macro analysis comes in: it is used to construct and understand the market narrative. What are the current issues and constraints, what element could act as a catalyst for a further rise, what element is likely to lead to a fall, what is the market sensitive to, where is the focus? It is by building this context that we can make the right trading decisions. Simply following a technical indicator will not be enough in the long term. An indicator doesn't give you any real anticipation, any understanding of the movement in front of you, or any rationalisation of the levels to exploit (you avoid certain Supports/Resistances, for example, depending on the macro flow, because you know that it is too likely that you will break through these levels). The whole market, all the assets, all the prices are simply a reflection of market expectations (pricing) on the outlook for the asset. You've probably already heard that the markets are out of touch with reality, that they're too expensive, that fund managers are 🌰 idiots who buy overpriced stocks (this analysis is often based on the price/earnings ratio). It's a misleading reading that doesn't look far enough ahead to provide a true understanding of the market... The market never buys the asset at time T, it buys the asset's perspectives! Let's take the GLT share at a given moment Taking into account its current price and earnings, it is trading at a P/E of 26, which may seem expensive. But if I look at the longer-term outlook : Over a 3-year horizon, if the company achieves the results it expects to do, the P/E will actually be 14.97, a much more acceptable and bearable figure than the 26.04 we saw earlier. That's what the market will pay! Not the share price at the moment, but its growth potential. The market is counting on these expectations. If they deteriorate, this will lead to sell-offs, and vice versa. And macro events drive the market because they can upset these expectations and market scenarios. Many market players are looking to invest in what will yield the highest returns. Once again, macro is the key to finding what will yield the highest returns. We know that certain companies/sectors react better to certain parts of the economic cycle, to a context of inflation, high growth, low growth, rising rates, an environment of long rates over an extended period, etc... So when the macro outlook changes, or is disrupted by recent data, market players will review their positioning and seek to allocate to new assets that are likely to benefit most from the current/forecasted contex & environment. What sectors are players pulling out of, what do they seem to be reallocating to? This is incredible information and a good barometer of the market's perception of its current macro environment and its appetite for risk. And unsurprisingly, these flows only come into play when new macro/economic data upsets, downgrades or improves the outlook for certain assets, upsetting market expectations. MANAGING means forecasting TRADING: means anticipating REACTING: means losing If you want to do what great traders, fund managers and trading desk operators do, macro-reading is essential to understand your trading environment and what the market will be sensitive to. Being a trader is not about reacting, because we need to limit surprises as much as possible through our macro reading, which is a prerequisite for anticipating and forecasting 😉
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Gold-Lion-Trading
Understanding risk to reward and risk management Risk Management In trading, understanding how to manage risk is just as important as understanding how to identify profitable opportunities. Regardless of your skill level or strategy, no trader can predict the market with 100% certainty. Therefore, managing risk is essential to protect your capital and ensure long-term success. In this chapter, we will explore the fundamentals of risk management, including the importance of setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, and how to determine appropriate position sizing. Importance of Risk Management The first rule of trading is to protect your capital. Without proper risk management, even a string of profitable trades can be wiped out by a few bad decisions. Traders who neglect risk management often find themselves caught in emotional trading, leading to unnecessary losses. Here’s why risk management is critical: Minimizes Losses: Every trade carries a risk. By managing risk properly, you can limit the size of your losses and protect your capital from large drawdowns. Consistency: Effective risk management allows you to trade consistently over the long term, even if you encounter a few losing trades. Successful traders understand that losing trades are inevitable, but with sound risk management, they ensure that losses are small and manageable. Preserves Psychological Capital: Emotional decision-making often leads to overtrading, panic, and revenge trading. By following a risk management plan, you reduce the emotional impact of losing trades and maintain the discipline needed to follow your strategy. Setting Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels One of the most practical ways to manage risk is by setting stop-loss and take-profit levels for every trade. These levels help automate your exit strategy, ensuring that you stick to your plan and avoid emotional reactions to price fluctuations. Stop-Loss Levels A stop-loss order is an instruction to exit a trade if the price moves against you by a certain amount. This ensures that you do not hold onto a losing trade for too long, minimizing potential losses. How to Set a Stop-Loss: Based on Technical Levels: Identify support and resistance levels on the chart. For example, if you are buying a stock, place the stop-loss below a significant support level. If the price breaks this level, it signals that the market is likely to continue downward. Percentage-Based: Many traders set their stop-loss at a fixed percentage of the entry price (e.g., 1% or 2%). This method ensures that you risk only a small portion of your capital on each trade. Volatility-Based: Some traders adjust their stop-loss levels based on market volatility. In a more volatile market, you might set a wider stop-loss to avoid being prematurely stopped out by normal price swings. Example: You enter a long position in a stock at £50 per share and identify strong support at £48. You set a stop-loss at £47.50 to limit your downside risk. If the price drops to £47.50, the stop-loss order is triggered, and you exit the trade automatically. Take-Profit Levels A take-profit order is used to lock in gains by exiting the trade once the price reaches a predefined profit target. This helps you avoid the temptation to hold onto a winning trade for too long and risk losing the profits you've already made. How to Set a Take-Profit: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: A common approach is to set a take-profit level that provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. For instance, if you risk $1 per trade, you might aim to make £2 or £3 in profit (a 2:1 or 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio). This ensures that your winners are larger than your losers. Technical Targets: Take-profit levels can be based on technical factors such as resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or trendline projections. For example, if a stock is trading within a channel, you might set your take-profit near the upper boundary of the channel. Example: You enter a trade with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2, meaning you’re risking £100 to potentially make £200. If your stop-loss is set 2% below your entry price, you’ll place your take-profit order at a level where the price is 4% higher. Trailing Stop-Loss A trailing stop-loss is a dynamic stop that moves with the price as it moves in your favor, locking in profits while allowing the trade to continue if the trend is strong. If the price reverses by a specified amount, the trailing stop will close the trade. Example: You enter a long position in a stock at £100 with a trailing stop set at £5. As the price rises to £110, your stop-loss moves to £105, locking in at least £5 in profit. If the price drops to £105, the trailing stop closes the trade. Position Sizing Position sizing is the process of determining how much capital to allocate to each trade. Proper position sizing ensures that you do not overexpose your account to a single trade, helping to protect your portfolio from excessive losses. Calculating Position Size To calculate the appropriate position size, follow these steps: 1. Determine Your Risk per Trade: Decide how much of your total trading capital you are willing to risk on any single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1% to 2% of your total account balance on each trade. Example: If you have a $10,000 trading account and you are comfortable risking 1%, you should only risk $100 per trade. 2. Identify Your Stop-Loss Level: Determine where you will place your stop-loss, as this defines how much you could potentially lose on the trade. For instance, if your stop-loss is 2% below your entry price, you will risk 2% of the position’s value. Risk-to-Reward Ratio Every time you enter a trade, you should consider the risk-to-reward ratio, which compares the potential loss (risk) to the potential gain (reward). A favorable risk-to-reward ratio helps ensure that even if you lose more trades than you win, you can still be profitable. Ideal Ratios: Most traders aim for a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3. This means that for every $1 risked, you aim to gain $2 or $3. A higher ratio increases your chances of maintaining profitability even with some losing trades. Example: If you set a stop-loss that limits your potential loss to £50, and your take-profit level is set to gain £150, your risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3. Even if you only win one out of every three trades, you will still break even or potentially make a profit. Risk management is the foundation of successful trading. By setting proper stop-loss and take-profit levels, using appropriate position sizing, and maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, you can protect your capital while maximizing your chances for long-term profitability. Remember, successful trading is not about winning every trade—it’s about managing risk effectively so that your winners outweigh your losers.
SP:SPXEducation
by samstoobad
Riding The Wave - The Importance of Top-Down AnalysisIn this video I explain why a top-down analysis is important when it comes to increasing the odds of price moving in your favour. I know it is extra work, but it isn't much, especially in terms of being a part of the most lucrative industry in the world. Trading from the higher timeframe simply allows you to "ride the wave" by going down to trade on the lower timeframe. Now, this is all relative to the timeframes you are on and not based on what is considered high or low timeframes. But simply put, if the higher timeframe is trending or being drawn to a specific price or level, then the displacements in price towards that direction will outweigh any displacements via retracements in the opposite direction. So, I hope this video gives some insight into this topic if you were wondering if it is really something you should do. If you desire higher win-rates, then the answer is yes. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
Market Analysis Techniques for TradersMarket Analysis Techniques for Traders Navigating the financial markets demands a strong toolkit of analysis techniques. This comprehensive article introduces traders to key market analysis methods, ranging from fundamental and technical analysis to more specialised approaches like price action and quantitative methods. You can pair your learning with FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to gain the deepest understanding of these techniques. There, you will find the price charts, drawing tools, and indicators necessary for many of these market analysis methods. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis involves the scrutiny of economic indicators, company financials, and geopolitical factors to assess an asset's intrinsic value. Economic indicators like GDP, employment rates, and interest rates offer a macroeconomic view, while company financials such as earnings, debt ratios, and future projections are microeconomic factors. Fundamental analysts also pay close attention to geopolitical events, like elections or trade wars, which can shift market sentiment. The strength of this approach lies in its thorough, long-term outlook, making it particularly useful for investors in equities and commodities. However, it is time-consuming and often requires a deep understanding of economic theory. For example, Warren Buffet's value-based approach leans heavily on fundamental analysis, emphasising the importance of understanding the intrinsic value of stocks. Technical Analysis Technical analysis diverges from the fundamental approach by focusing solely on past and current price movements and trading volumes. Traders employ various indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), to predict future price behaviour. Trend lines and support and resistance levels further supplement these indicators, offering visual aids for decision-making. A famous case is Paul Tudor Jones, who successfully predicted the 1987 market crash using technical indicators. He compared the market’s top in 1987 with the previous peak of 1929 and found notable similarities, demonstrating the power of learning technical analysis. The advantage of technical analysis in trading is its applicability across different time frames, from intraday to multi-year trends. However, it can sometimes give false signals, known as "whipsaws," leading to potential losses. Price Action Analysis Price action analysis, while related to technical analysis, is a more focused method that relies on the interpretation of raw price movements instead of using additional indicators. Traders primarily use chart patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and candlestick patterns such as bullish or bearish engulfing to make trading decisions. Like technical analysis, support and resistance levels are also crucial here. One of the advantages of price action analysis is its simplicity: no need for dozens of indicators. On the flip side, it can be subjective and open to interpretation, making it less straightforward for some traders. Munehisa Homma, a 17th-century Japanese rice trader, is often cited as an early pioneer of price action analysis. Utilising candlestick charts, he achieved great success and laid the foundation for modern technical analysis. Quantitative Methods Quantitative analysis employs mathematical and statistical models to evaluate financial assets and markets. Algorithmic trading, a method that automatically executes trades based on pre-set criteria, is a prime example of the use of quantitative techniques. Traders also use backtesting to validate the effectiveness of a trading strategy by applying it to historical data. The quantitative approach offers the benefit of speed and precision, but it also carries risks such as model overfitting, where a strategy works well on past data but fails in real-time trading. One notable firm that has achieved exceptional success through quantitative methods is Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund that’s achieved annual returns of 30%+ through its sophisticated mathematical models. Sentiment Analysis Sentiment analysis focuses on gauging market psychology by monitoring news, social media, and sentiment indicators. It seeks to understand how collective emotions are driving market trends. Methods for sentiment analysis include text mining of news articles and tweets, as well as tracking investor sentiment indexes like the Fear & Greed Index. While sentiment analysis offers a real-time pulse of market psychology, it is also prone to rapid changes, making it less reliable for long-term trading decisions. Notably, traders during the GameStop short squeeze phenomenon in early 2021 relied on sentiment analysis from online forums, turning what seemed like an undervalued stock into a trading frenzy. Intermarket Analysis Intermarket analysis extends the analytical lens to the relationships between different asset classes, such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds. By identifying these correlations, traders can gain insights into how a movement in one market could influence another. The advantage of intermarket analysis is its holistic view of market dynamics, but it also requires a strong grasp of global economics. For instance, in the chart above, we can see the price of crude oil with the price of Exxon Mobil (XOM) and BP (BP) overlaid. There is a strong correlation between crude oil’s trend and the trend of these companies’ share prices. Traders could evaluate the bullishness or bearishness of crude oil to set a bias for XOM and BP’s future direction. Seasonal Analysis Seasonal analysis examines recurring patterns in markets, often influenced by factors like weather, holidays, and fiscal calendars. For example, retail stocks often rise before the holiday shopping season, and energy commodities can be influenced by demand for transport fuel in summer and heating fuel in winter. Tools like seasonal charts help traders identify these trends. However, a major challenge lies in the changing dynamics of markets, which may render some seasonal patterns less reliable over time. Investors who had historically profited from buying stock in winter and selling in summer found this strategy less effective in recent years due to evolving market conditions. The Bottom Line In summary, a well-rounded understanding of diverse market analysis techniques is key to trading success. Whether focused on long-term investments or intraday trades, incorporating these methods can substantially enhance your trading strategy. For those ready to apply these insights in a live trading environment, opening an FXOpen account can serve as the next logical step in your trading journey. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
5
THE SILENT EXODUS: EXPLORING WHY TRADERS ABANDON THE MARKETSMarketing serves as a powerful catalyst, attracting millions of newcomers to trading each year, many of whom quickly incur losses, much to the delight of brokers. In most instances, these losses can be attributed to the traders themselves. Regulators make efforts to warn those seeking quick profits, often highlighting disclaimers on the home pages of nearly every broker's website. However, this doesn’t deter many individuals from entering the market. While it is true that after a few weeks or months, many traders abandon trading entirely, only a small percentage of those who leave ever return. Many are familiar with the statistic that suggests 90% of traders lose 90% of their money within just 90 days. This striking figure underscores the challenges and risks associated with trading. 📍 TRADING OR EMPLOYMENT "Start working for yourself" This rallying cry echoes through countless videos, books, and articles focused on financial independence, self-motivation, and personal development. The benefits of self-employment are numerous: You’re free from the pressures of management, which often comes with constant demands and can dampen your spirit with their dissatisfaction. You’re not bound by a rigid work schedule, allowing you to take breaks whenever you need without the hassle of requesting time off. There’s no obligation to adhere to corporate dress codes or behavioral standards. You can prioritize your health by taking breaks as needed, rather than pushing yourself to the limit. You save precious time by eliminating lengthy commutes, rather than spending two hours traveling to and from work. You can enjoy peace of mind without the constant worry of being fired at any moment. You have the freedom to manage your own time and control your income. A self-employed individual tends to be optimistic about the future, believing that they can shape it to perfection. Trading is one pathway to achieving financial independence, and one of its main advantages is that you can start with just $1000 and a few hours of dedicated practice after work. However, in reality, many experience disappointment as the challenges of trading become apparent. 📍 1. FREEDOM COMES WITH RESPONSIBILITY After experiencing initial setbacks, a trader soon realizes: 🔹 There is no guarantee of a consistent income in trading; instead, there's a significant risk of loss. In a traditional job, a paycheck is typically guaranteed. 🔹 Achieving a stable income through trading requires hard work and dedication—it relies entirely on your own efforts. Contrast this with a job where you could occasionally slack off or take smoke breaks without any impact on your salary. 🔹 The cost of a mistake in trading is your own money. In a job, salary cuts are rare, and while management might voice their frustrations, you can often tolerate the pressure. 🔹 Financial discipline becomes paramount. While it’s possible to ask for time off, arrive late, or take it easy in a corporate job and still receive your salary, in trading, laziness directly correlates with diminished returns. The more you slack off, the less you earn. 📍 2. SELF-MOTIVATION One of the greatest challenges of being self-employed, particularly in trading, is the imperative to motivate oneself consistently. It requires discipline to wake up at a set time instead of indulging in the comfort of staying in bed until late morning. The allure of self-employment often leads to a false sense of freedom, allowing procrastination to seep in with thoughts like, “I’ll sleep just one more day and start fresh tomorrow.” This mentality can be tempting, especially when there are no immediate consequences to breaking your own schedule. In a traditional job, the structure is clear—if you fail to adhere to a timetable, you risk disciplinary action or even losing your job. In contrast, self-employment can foster a more relaxed approach, where late starts and distractions like binge-watching TV shows can take precedence over important tasks. However, this path can lead the self-employed individual back to where they started—feeling subdued by the very freedom they sought. Without external accountability, the trader might find themselves floundering, lacking the motivation to push through challenging days. Ultimately, the responsibility falls solely on them to create a routine, set goals, and maintain the drive necessary to succeed. In this realm, it becomes essential to cultivate self-discipline, transforming the vibrant freedom of self-employment into a powerful engine for productivity rather than a pathway back to the constraints of traditional employment. 📍 3. FAILURE TO STOP IN TIME Another extreme in self-employment occurs when individuals become so absorbed in their work that they risk burnout. The overwhelming workload can render the structured environment of a previous job seem like a utopia, where the stress was lower and work hours were clearly defined. In this state, income becomes the sole motivation to continue. If the financial rewards from trading are only slightly above a previous salary—especially when weighed against the stress and exhaustion—many traders may find themselves reconsidering a return to traditional employment. This highlights the necessity of establishing boundaries and prioritizing self-care. Striking a balance between professional ambitions and personal well-being is critical for sustained success and happiness in self-employment. 📍 4. EMOTIONAL BREAKDOWNS Emotional breakdowns can arise as a consequence of stress, heavily influenced by an individual’s previous work experiences. For someone coming from a job filled with constant stress and pressure, trading may initially feel like a liberating and fulfilling pursuit. However, if their prior role was calm and unchallenging, the high-stakes nature of trading—marked by significant risks and rapid decision-making—can lead to overwhelming emotional strain. The stark contrast between their past work environment and the volatility of trading may trigger anxiety and emotional instability. This highlights the importance of understanding one's emotional resilience and stress tolerance before diving into a high-pressure endeavor like trading. Acknowledging these differences is crucial to managing stress and preventing emotional breakdowns in the pursuit of success. 📍 IS THERE A WAY OUT? Many traders leave the field due to their inability to acknowledge mistakes, manage time effectively, and take personal accountability. The pressure of sole responsibility can be overwhelming, causing their trading endeavors to falter. In a traditional job, it’s easy to attribute failures to external factors such as a boss, colleagues, or economic conditions. Similarly, in trading, one might blame brokers or market fluctuations. However, losses are inevitable, and without self-reflection, traders often label the profession a “scam” and revert to their previous roles. The core issue lies in the perception of comfort. In trading, comfort is subjective and often equates to a personal sense of responsibility. If you are willing to own your decisions and embrace the challenges, then trading can be rewarding. Conversely, if comfort for you means avoiding responsibility and sticking to a structured environment, trading may not be the right choice. Ultimately, understanding your own expectations and readiness for accountability is crucial for success in trading. 📍 CONCLUSION Many insights seem self-evident, yet traders often overlook them until they face these realities firsthand. The information presented in this post may appear straightforward, but beginners frequently dismiss these truths, clinging to the hope that the challenges of trading will somehow lessen over time. If you are embarking on your trading journey, it's essential to recognize that trading is hard work. Be prepared to invest significant time and effort into learning and gaining experience. It is crucial to set realistic expectations and understand that, especially in the initial stages, your focus should be on education and skill development rather than seeking immediate profits. Allow yourself at least the first six months of intensive study before considering trading with real money. Embracing this approach will not only equip you with the necessary knowledge but also help build a sustainable foundation for your trading career. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
2
Forex Portfolio Selection Using Currency Strength Index (CSI)Hello Traders, Today, I’ll share my portfolio selection approach in forex trading. This method helps identify the best forex pairs to trade based on their relative strength. The simplest and most effective strategy is to use the Currency Strength Index (CSI), combining the H4, Daily (D1), and Weekly (W1) cumulative strength. By analyzing this data, we can identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time. Once we have this information, the next step is to pair the strongest currencies with the weakest. Here are today’s portfolio selections: BUY Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPCAD, GBPNZD SELL Pairs: USDJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY, USDCHF, CADCHF, NZDCHF The key benefits of this portfolio selection process are: A focused view on the most profitable currency pairs An objective approach to trading decisions Clear direction on which way to trade (buy or sell) Like, comment by letting me know what you think and follow me for more trading education. Happy trading!
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections. Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture. Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear. The same goes for other studies related to charts. - As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered. These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points. However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this. Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them. Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart. - The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart. The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps. (Heikin Ashi chart) (Renko chart) Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points. - You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points. Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points. If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections. However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point. Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade. - To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time. The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point. And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle. - The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart. However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. - When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed. You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading. ---------------------------------------------------------------- The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books. Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points. - Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade. This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading. In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators. However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning. So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart. In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things: 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method The above three things must be determined. No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style. Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading. 3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined. In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period. The profit realization method is: 1. How to get cash profit 2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit There are methods 1 and 2 above. - In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction. If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases. To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator. The reason is because it is objective information. You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
4
Building a Trading PlanBuilding a Trading Plan When it comes to the dynamic world of finance, a well-developed plan is the cornerstone of effective trading. Although it may seem that building trading plans is useful only for traders with little experience, a plan empowers any trader to make informed decisions. This FXOpen article will delve into how to make a trading plan that aligns with your unique goals and risk tolerance. Setting Your Trading Goals A personalised business plan for traders serves as a bridge between your aspirations and reality. Therefore, having a strategy that aligns with your financial goals is a must. Whether you are aiming for short- or long-term targets, your strategy will be the roadmap that guides you to them. Set clear and attainable trading goals so you don’t have to jump in over your head and worry about every little detail. Analysing and Researching the Market Gaining an advantage in the market starts with a comprehensive analysis. You may learn all the tools available to perform a thorough analysis to decipher market trends and patterns. You can find many useful tools on the TickTrader platform. Along with this, traders learn about the fundamental factors that potentially affect the assets they will trade. By accurately identifying opportunities, traders can move forward with confidence. Defining Your Trading Style Selecting a trading style that complements your goals is an important step. The first step is to reflect on your personality. Are you a risk-taker who thrives on short-term gains, or do you prefer a more measured approach? Self-awareness forms the foundation of your style. It’s also a good idea to assess how much time you can commit to trading on a daily or weekly basis. You may start with a style that matches your initial assessment. But remember that finding the right style may require trial and error. You can trade with virtual funds on demo accounts to get a practical idea of how your chosen style works for you. Learning Risk Management Techniques You will need to identify the level of risk you’re comfortable with. If you align your trading approach with your risk appetite, trading will become much more comfortable. Moreover, reducing risk is a trader’s mantra. Consider setting stop-losses and take-profits. Try to find optimal position sizing techniques, ensuring that each trade matches your risk tolerance. Diversification, a time-tested strategy, further strengthens your trading portfolio against unforeseen market fluctuations. Testing and Optimisation of Your Plan Practice makes perfect. At FXOpen, you can use a demo account, which allows you to practise and refine your strategy in a risk-free manner. This lets you adjust your trading plan based on actual results. Then, a great way to go is to evaluate your trading performance regularly. Through this iterative process, the strategy becomes a powerful tool that helps build traders’ most effective methods. Trading Plan Examples Here are two simplified examples of trading plans for different trading styles. Analyse them carefully before drawing up your own. Example 1: Day Trading Plan — Intraday 1. Goals and Objectives - Aim to achieve consistent daily profits. - Maintain a win rate of at least 60%. - Limit maximum daily loss to 2% of capital. 2. Market Analysis Focus on technical analysis using candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicators like Moving Averages and Relative Strength Index (RSI). 3. Risk Management - Set stop-loss at a maximum of 1% of trading capital per trade. - Use position sizing to ensure trades are within risk tolerance. - Avoid revenge trading after hitting the daily loss limit. 4. Trading Routine - Start with pre-market analysis and identify potential trading opportunities. - Trade during peak market hours to catch maximum liquidity. - Keep a trading journal to track trades, results, and areas for improvement. Example 2: Swing Trading Plan — Daily to Weekly 1. Goals and Objectives - Target larger price moves and trends over several days to weeks. - Achieve an average of 15-20% annual return. - Limit drawdowns to no more than 10% of capital. 2. Market Analysis - Combine technical and fundamental analysis. - Consider macroeconomic factors and news events for a broader market context. 3. Risk Management - Set stop-loss orders at levels that align with technical support or resistance. - Risk no more than 2-3% of capital per trade. - Diversify by trading different assets or industries to reduce correlation risk. 4. Trading Routine - Conduct analysis and review trades in the evenings or over weekends. - Monitor positions periodically but avoid over-trading. - Keep a trading journal to assess the effectiveness of your strategy and make adjustments. Remember that these examples are simplified and don’t cover every aspect of a comprehensive plan. You need to tailor your plan to your risk tolerance, your style, and your personal circumstances. Additionally, trading carries inherent risks, and it’s essential to understand the markets, strategies, and risk management tools before executing trades. Final Thoughts In this article, we discussed the steps applicable for trading with different assets, including forex, crypto*, stocks, and commodities. With the right guidance, tools and knowledge, you can create a stock trading business plan that enhances your strengths and fulfils your needs and desires. By building a plan according to your aspirations and risk tolerance, you will have a strategy that is sustainable in the face of market volatility. And then our tools, low commissions, tight spreads and our huge variety of assets will make trading easy. Open an FXOpen account and discover a world where informed decisions determine success. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
Fibonacci: The importance of knowing how to use it properlyThe way the market moves is a fascinating Fibonacci puzzle. Whether the trend is down or up, there is a Fibonacci level waiting to be hit as a reversal and/or target. USDJPY is shown here: This is a monthly chart. Using the Fibonacci extension from Dec 1, 1975, I've modified it to record the actually Fibonacci number past the old "1.618" to include 5, 8, 13, 21, 34. As you can see how the market respects 8, 13, especially 21 as USDJPY heads in a down trend. As of recent price action toward the right of the chart, You'll see another a Fibonacci retracement tool used between the 13 and 21 levels of the Fibonacci extension tool. Yes, even using Fibonacci between another Fibonacci works. More importantly how Dec 1, 2023 found support at the 50% mark between 13 and 21 Fibs. The way I use the Fibonacci extension tool is different than anyone else I've seen. I take the first impulse as the first wave. In my interpretation of a wave is all consecutive candles are the same color. The next wave is the retracement where all consecutive candles are the opposite color. Works on all timeframes and the smaller the time frame the more accurate; IE candles or wicks hit or stop on the exact Fib level. I hope this encourages you to try Fibonacci in a way no one else has used Fibs and it gives you an edge in your trading/investing objective.
Education
by shamgar331
2
Basic example of starting a trade Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This is an example of starting a trade, explaining that you should objectively define the basics that are right for you. Therefore, I hope that this will be an opportunity to reexamine your trading judgment criteria rather than judging it as right or wrong. ----------------------------------------- It is showing a downward trend without breaking through the sell line of the superTrend indicator. Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator (approximately 59953.52) on the 1W chart and rise above 60672.0-61099.25. If not, you should check whether it is supported near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart). Therefore, 1st: 59053.55 2nd: 57889.10 You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. - Usually, there are many cases where you trade impulsively based on your psychological state. To prevent this, it is good to have an objective trading method according to your investment style. This objectification is best done at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, it is good to trade based on whether it is supported near 59053.55 or 60720.0-61099.25. However, judging whether it is supported only by sight can lead to an incorrect judgment depending on psychological factors that occur during trading, so it is good to have objective information as the basis for judgment. It refers to indicators added to the chart as objective information. The MS-Signal indicator is used as a trend-related indicator, which is the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. As a trading-related indicator, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and their corresponding box sections, superTend, and volume profile are used. As a trading-related reference auxiliary indicator, the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator are used. - If we explain the current movement by referring to these indicators, - The superTrend indicator, which is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, has failed to rise above the sell line, - It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, - The StochRSI indicator is showing a trend of changing from an upward to a downward slope in the overbought section. However, since the StochRSI indicator has not yet fallen from the overbought zone and is not in a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is difficult to see it as a downward turn. Therefore, an aggressive sell (SHORT) is possible between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the 60672.0-61099.25 range. Afterwards, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, if it shows resistance near 59053.55 or the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, you can sell (SHORT). If it is supported at the point mentioned above, you can buy (LONG). However, it is recommended to check whether the state has been changed to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. If not, it can pretend to rise and fall right away. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
1
DreamAnalysis | Technical Analysis Dow Theory EP01📚 Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel: Technical Analysis Training We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis, as well as our learning and insights from the Trade City Pro channel. 🎨 What is Technical Analysis? Let’s talk a bit about technical analysis and patterns in life. Technical analysis is not a science; rather, it is an art. Therefore, there is no right or wrong in art. Instead, we apply rules we have created through experience in this lawless market. 📊 Introduction to Dow Theory : Today, for the first part of our lessons, we will begin with Dow Theory, which was developed by American journalist Charles Dow. Many traders still use this method for analysis and trading. 📑 Principles of Dow Theory : 1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto) 2 - The Market Has Three Trends 3 - Trends Have Three Phases 4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed 5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other 6 - Volume Confirms the Trend 💵 Principle 1: Price is All You Need Dow's theory operates based on the "Efficient Market Hypothesis," which assumes that the price of assets reflects all available information. In other words, this approach contrasts with behavioral economics. Factors like earning potential, competitive advantage, management competence—all are accounted for in the price, even if individuals do not know all the details. In more precise readings of this theory, even future events might be reflected in the current market price. 📊 Principle 2: The Market Has Three Types of Trends According to Dow Theory, price movements in the market are trend-based, and these trends can be divided into three types: 1 - Primary Trend: This is the main movement of the market, dictating the long-term direction, and can last for years. 2 - Secondary Trends: These are corrective movements that run opposite to the primary trend. For instance, if the primary trend is bullish, the corrective trend will be bearish. These trends can last from weeks to months. 3- Minor Trends: These are the daily price fluctuations in the asset. Although minor trends can last for weeks, their direction will always align with the primary trend, even if they contradict the secondary trend. 💡 Final Thoughts for Today : This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis. ⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
Education
by DreamAnalysis
1
Is your ETH and SOL working for you !?The crypto market never sleeps which means leaving your holdings stagnant could mean missing out on significant opportunities. So it’s time to ask yourself: Are your assets maximizing their potential, or are they just gathering virtual dust? You wouldn’t leave all your money in a low interest savings account, so why do it with your crypto? The idea is to put your investments to work, so they keep earning returns without you lifting a finger. I’ll walk you through exactly how to read it and use it to your advantage. But that’s just the beginning, we’ll also be covering: -Yield strategies: A breakdown of the strategies we use to generate yield. -Pros and cons: The advantages and drawbacks of each strategy. Not sure what options are best for you? Are you letting your capital sit idle? Worried about security risks? This analysis is about to change that .I’ll show you how to maximize your returns and crush those security fears, so you can confidently put your assets to work Let's dive right in and kick things off with the ‘crowd favorite’ of yield strategies: staking Staking is exclusive to Proof of Stake (PoS) blockchains and their associated tokens. Meaning you cannot gain staking yield from Bitcoin, for example, because it is a Proof of Work (PoW) blockchain. by staking your tokens like CRYPTOCAP:ETH or CRYPTOCAP:SOL , you receive a portion of newly minted tokens, effectively earning yield while playing a vital role in securing the network. If you’re not staking, you could be missing out on significant gains, with potential returns ranging from 3% to 18% APY. that’s why many investors choose to stake their assets rather than let them sit idle Staking has become a widely adopted strategy, with staking ratios (amount staked vs. unstaked) sitting between 20% and 80% on most POS blockchains In fact, a staggering $520 billion is currently staked across the top PoS blockchains, underscoring its popularity as a method for generating additional income. Assuming an average 5% reward rate, that equates to $25 billion in staking rewards. That’s massive. Despite the appeal of earning extra income through staking, becoming a solo staker can be technically challenging which is why staking providers like Lido, Rocket Pool, and Jito have emerged. They handle network validation for the rest of us, while maximizing our staking yield. Let’s break down the pros and cons of using a staking provider: Pros: ✅ Security and efficiency: Our tokens are put to work securely and efficiently, contributing to the network’s security without us having to manage it all ourselves. ✅ Maximized rewards: We earn the majority of staking rewards without needing to handle the technical complexities, making it a hassle-free way to generate income. ✅ Liquidity retention: We receive liquid tokens as proof of our staked assets, allowing us to stay flexible and use them in other DeFi opportunities. Cons: ❌ Fees: These providers typically charge a fee ranging from 8% to 25% for their validation services, which can slightly reduce your overall yield. ❌ Smart contract risks: There are inherent risks associated with smart contracts, such as bugs and/or vulnerabilities, that could potentially impact your staked assets. By weighing these pros and cons, you can decide whether outsourcing your staking through liquid staking providers is the right strategy for you. Ok, so if that’s the case how do we go about choosing the right liquid staking provider? Here are some key factors to consider when selecting a provider: 1/ Reputation and security Track record: Look for providers with a solid track record and a strong reputation in the DeFi space. Security measures: Ensure the provider employs robust security measures, such as smart contract audits. 2/ Total volume locked TVL: Check how much liquidity your chosen provider has attracted. TVL is a quick and effective measure of the broader market's trust in a provider, as it reflects the total amount of assets currently staked or locked in their protocol, valued in dollars. Feel free to use DefiLlama, which ranks all liquid staking providers by TVL. Simply select the blockchain you’re interested in, and you’ll see the top players in the space, giving you a clear view of where the most assets are being staked and which providers are leading the market. 3/ Yield rates Competitive yields: Compare the staking yields offered by different providers. While higher yields are attractive, they should not come at the expense of security or reliability. Fee structure: Be aware of the fee structure. Liquid staking providers typically charge a small fee for their services, which can impact your overall returns. 4/ Liquidity and flexibility Liquid staking tokens (LSTs): Check if the liquid tokens issued by the provider are widely accepted across DeFi platforms and have enough liquidity. The more integration and liquidity these tokens have, the better. Redemption options: Some providers offer instant or flexible redemption options for your staked tokens, which can be crucial if you need quick access to your assets. 5/ Decentralization and governance Decentralization: Providers that are more decentralized tend to be more resilient to risks such as regulatory actions or central points of failure. Governance participation: Some providers offer governance rights with their tokens, allowing you to have a say in the protocol’s future direction. This can be an added benefit for those interested in being more involved in the ecosystem. 6/ Community and support Active Community: A strong, active community can be a good indicator of a provider’s health and future prospects. Engage with the community to gauge the level of transparency and support. so while you trading and trying to maximize your gains Its good to stake some of your HODL bag as well
Education
by moonypto
2
Bots vs Brains; The hidden edge of Human touch in tradingBots vs Brains; The hidden edge of Human touch in trading A random Google search on the internet about forex trading robots reveals thousands of forex robots exist. With all these trading robots promising handsome returns in the shortest time, the forex trading industry should be minting new millionaires daily. However, statistics from forex brokers paint a sad picture—a failure rate as high as 90%. In 2024, you can’t go a day without reading or watching a reel about Artificial Intelligence (AI). The high failure rate, especially in the world of finance, is baffling given all these technological advancements. This led me to take a deeper look into the world of automated forex trading, also known as bots or Expert Advisors (EA). Overview of Automated Trading A trading bot is software developed to analyze financial markets and execute trades on your behalf. Semi-automatic trading bots analyze the markets but do not execute trades. Large financial institutions, such as banks and hedge funds, use specialized algorithmic trading bots. These institutions bring together mathematicians, programmers, and economists to develop sophisticated algorithms. Needless to say, it requires significant financial resources and time to develop these bots. Development can take at least six months, followed by an additional six months of testing. The high cost makes these bots inaccessible to retail traders. Retail traders, however, are not left out. There are individuals and software platforms where you can develop your own trading bot. These bots are often marketed as being developed by experts with deep market knowledge—or so I thought. Trading bots follow specific rules based on the developer’s strategy, which ideally should mirror the success of an experienced trader. Therefore, if a trader is profitable, the bot should at least mimic their results, if not surpass them—more on this later. Before launching these bots, developers conduct extensive backtesting and refinement to optimize them for ideal market conditions. Advantages of Automated Trading Developers of trading bots often market them as superior to manual trading. They emphasize the need to eliminate human error and emotions, highlight faster execution speeds, and promote the ability to trade 24 hours a day as long as markets are open. Additionally, bots can save traders significant time that would otherwise be spent analyzing markets and executing trades. On the surface, purchasing trading robots seems like a smart decision. Limitations of Automated Trading Bots rely on historical data, assuming the future will mirror the past. However, global events are unpredictable. Take, for example, the 2008 financial crisis or the sudden shock of COVID-19—events like these can completely throw off a bot’s programming. Robots struggle to adjust to such volatility unless they’re frequently updated with new data, which many are not. This is a major limitation, especially when you consider how quickly the forex market moves with trillions of dollars in circulation. Earlier, I mentioned that robots are supposedly developed by profitable traders. But to my surprise, I found that with little trading experience, anyone can create a robot on platforms like EA Trading Academy. All it takes is registering, selecting a few parameters, running a back test, and then selling it. It’s really that simple. The ease with which these bots can be built raises questions about their reliability, especially when they aren’t crafted by experts. I even plan to build one myself, and I’ll give you feedback in a year’s time. Why I Think Robots Don’t Work The main issue is that there’s a shortage of consistently profitable traders. A trader who dedicates the time and effort to developing a reliable robot is likely to charge a hefty fee. The likelihood that they would focus solely on developing robots instead of trading themselves is very slim. This makes me wonder—who is actually building all these robots? If most profitable traders are busy trading, it raises concerns about the experience level and expertise of those creating the majority of these products. Secondly, trading styles vary significantly from trader to trader. Purchasing a robot based solely on profitability or low cost is unwise. In addition to checking a developer’s track record, you should assess whether their risk tolerance and trading approach align with yours. For instance, buying a scalping robot when you prefer swing trading could be a costly mismatch. Finally, purchasing robots without a solid understanding of the markets is irresponsible, and the disasters that follow are often justified. Many experienced traders who have tested and reviewed bots on YouTube agree that 99% of them are either scams or simply don’t work. I encourage you to watch some of these reviews to see for yourself. The Future: Automation vs. Human Touch Mastery in trading comes from a combination of skill, time, and experience. While bots claim to save you the time spent on analysis, it's precisely that time—the deep learning and constant market study—that ultimately leads to true mastery. There are no shortcuts. Bots may be designed to minimize human error, and in theory, they do. But the reality is that even the most sophisticated bots are not infallible. They can and often do fail, sometimes catastrophically. When accounts are blown—whether by a human or a bot—it’s still the trader who bears the loss and the disappointment. So, while bots may reduce human error, they can never eliminate the human responsibility for those errors. Trading the financial markets is a craft like any other. Automation, AI, and machine learning can be valuable tools in your journey to becoming a skilled trader. They cannot replace the critical thinking and adaptability that come with human experience. AI can assist by analyzing large sets of data, flagging trends, or executing trades faster than a human could—but the nuanced understanding of market sentiment, global events, and individual risk tolerance is something only a human can develop through dedication and practice. Automation might help you refine your craft, but it's the time spent learning, making mistakes, and adapting that leads to true mastery. As promising as they are, AI and bots are tools—not substitutes—for the expertise that comes from being deeply engaged in the markets. Others before you have achieved mastery, and with enough commitment, you can too.
CAPITALCOM:DXYEducation
by morrisgitau
3
ALL ABOUT FIBONACCIFibonacci retracement levels serve as indispensable tools for evaluating retracement potential and identifying targets This analytical scheme is most effective in market trends. In a market with an upward trend, the traders' goal is to determine the correction potential and strategically identify entry points for long positions. Conversely, in a downtrend, the focus shifts to evaluating correction potentials and tactically identifying entry points for short positions. By utilizing Fibonacci levels with precision and insight, traders can navigate market dynamics with greater clarity and strategic foresight. Operating rules: ●Identify the trend and work according to it ●To determine the correction potential for uptrend use the grid below up. ●To determine the correction potential for downtrend use a top-down grid. ●Find Swing High and Swing Low for correct using the tool. 1. For an uptrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from HL to HH. After breaking the downtrend from LL to HH. 2. For a downtrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from LH to LL. After breaking the uptrend from HH to LL. Settings for corrective movements: 0.5 - fair price (equilibrium). 0.62; 0.705; 0.79 - OTE zone (optimal entry into a deal). Unlike the standard values, this is a modified version with the highest mathematical expectation of price reversal. To open a position, we are always interested in the price behavior above or below the 0.5 value. The smart money will always look to buy at a discount and sell at a premium. Therefore, to open a short position we always look at the price above 0.5, which is considered a premium. And to open long positions, we look at the behavior of prices below 0.5, which is considered discount prices. The OTE zone is an extended grid that is always in the premium market when you are looking for a short position, or in the discount market when you are looking for a long position. These levels act as an area for the optimal entry point. Correction of the upward impulse. Fibonacci lines themselves do not act as support or resistance levels. It is not relevant to trade only on the basis of them. The price turns from specific areas that are displayed on the chart. Correction of the upward impulse. The price may go beyond OTE, this does not negate the relevance of the setup, HL is still being formed in the discount market. Correction of the upward impulse. Not in all cases, the price corrects to the OTE zone: when it reaches the support zone at the 50% level (equilibrium) or slightly below it, a reversal may already begin, because this moment already implies the start of buying or selling with smart money. Downward impulse correction. Make it a rule to open positions only after a correction in the premium or discount market, and skip other opportunities. Take profit according to Fibonacci In order to determine where you will take profits, you can use negative values. Settings for setting takes: -0.27 – take 1 -0.62 – take 2 -1 – take 3 or closing the position -1.5 / -2 – take 4 Fibonacci take Negative Fibonacci values can be used effectively on every trade, but try to prioritize the chart to identify more precise zones where price may reverse.
Education
by truepersonal
12
Trend lines - how to build them and how to use them?Before we dive into the world of trend lines, I recommend familiarizing yourself with the support and resistance zone Here we go: Trend lines are one of the most universal tools for trading in any market, used in intraday, swing and position trading strategies. Properly drawn on charts, they help to predict the direction of price movement and identify trend reversals. In addition, trend lines help you to accurately determine the optimal entry and exit points, as well as set a stop loss. It is recommended not to rely on trend lines alone, but to integrate them with other methods of technical analysis, expanding your trading arsenal. Often many traders draw too many lines, it is uninformative and useless How to place trend lines on a chart? An uptrend is a combination of at least two pullbacks Similar in a downtrend: Instructions for markings: Find at least two points on the chart Connect them with a line But, let's remember the Axiom: 1. Randomness 2. Coincidence. 3. Regularity Until a trendline is pushed back a third time - it is considered unconfirmed... Once the third bounce has occurred, the line can be considered valid, but does not guarantee that it will necessarily bounce the fourth time! Like all patterns in the market, trend patterns can be drawn on any timeframe, also - they are more effective on older ones (as well as all others) How to use trend lines in your trading? Frequent trades from a trend line are rebound or breakout trades Example: Trendline confirmed (bounced three times) - on the fourth approach we can pay attention - what happens next? Price will either bounce from our trendline again or there will be a breakout Next example: How can we determine whether there will be a breakout or a bounce? As I said before, you need to take into account the context: indicators, price action, nearby levels and so on (it all depends on your psychology) How do trend lines fit together? Support and resistance levels are areas on a chart that indicate potential pressure (on a side) The same principle applies to trend lines. The only difference is that trend lines are sloped rather than horizontal. How to properly label/draw trend lines? Which trend lines are important and which ones should be ignored? Focus only on the major pivot points Connect at least two major pivot points. Adjust the slope of the line to get the most amount of price touching the line, whether it is the shadows of candles or their bodies. Important clarification - trend lines represent a support zone, not specific levels. How can you use trend lines? The trend is our friend. Where the trend goes, so goes we. Trading against the trend is foolish. If you do decide to do it, it must be justified! Trend lines are the direction of the current market. Also the trend line itself can be divided into two positions: If the trend becomes flatter, it means that the market is moving into a state of consolidation If the trend is becoming steeper, it means that the trend is getting stronger (or perhaps it is reaching its climax and is approaching its final stage). Trend Lines Entry Point: Like all other patterns in technical analysis or price action - trend lines can help you find a more favorable entry point in terms of risk-to-reward ratio How to use a trend line to identify a market reversal? Chances are you have encountered this before. There is a trend line breakout, you are already expecting a trend reversal, but the market continues its original movement Like all indicators/patterns - not a panacea. Each strategy has its own risks, just when we add other osnovnopologologayuschih signs to one strategy, the chance of risking a loss - decreases! Technique for determining a trend reversal: Wait for a trend breakout Wait for a lower low/maximum to form. If the price breaks the previous minimum/maximum, most likely the trend will go in the direction of the breakdown...
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by truepersonal
13