Wave Analysis
BRIEFING Week #10 : Dollar reversed, WTI may be nextHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Entry Confirmed with a Tight Stop...In this video, I walk you through a recount using AriasWave and explain how we can set up a strong trade entry with a tight stop.
The key support level for this trade is at 86,022—if the price drops below this, the trade idea would no longer be valid.
We've already received confirmation with a break above 86,500. Stay tuned for updates, as I’ll provide further insights if the price moves above 95,065, confirming the larger pattern.
DXY - 2025 Yearly Outlook - Bearish..."When" not "If"This is a rough yearly outlook for the DXY. I will be updating this as the year goes on (I'll update this idea monthly as I check it).
Right now there is TONS of sell side liquidity open on the DXY, and price may want to attack it.
It's important to monitor its behavior around the 110-112 mark.
I'm bearish on this index overall (1-4 year outlook), but it could definitely have a semi bullish 2025.
SCENARIOS
-If we get a strong breach above that would imply a new 10-year high potential.
-If we hit the 110-112 mark and reverse down under 108 within 30-days of hitting that mark, we are probably going to make a run for sell side liquidity, with the first target being 99.50.
That's all for now.
-Gio
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US30 Setup: 50% Fib & Imbalance in Focus for a Potential Short.The US 30 Dow Jones index is under pressure 📉 but is currently hovering around a significant previous support level. I’m watching for a retracement into a four-hour imbalance as a potential opportunity to go short. Additionally, I’m looking for the retrace to align with the equilibrium point, which is the 50% Fibonacci level of the current price swing from high to low 📊. For this trade, the price must stay within the imbalance zone and avoid breaking the high. If there’s a clear break of structure near the imbalance point of interest, I plan to sell 🔻. This is not financial advice. 🚨
XAGUSD Price Forecast: Key Levels & Trade Setups Explained👀 👉 XAGUSD (Silver) is currently trading at the upper boundary of its current range. On the weekly timeframe, it is positioned near the high of the previous week's range. Shifting to the daily timeframe, we observe that price is trading at the high of yesterday's session, suggesting it is testing this level and potentially targeting buy-side liquidity. While my overall bias remains bullish, I anticipate a pullback from this level. A counter-trend short could be considered in the short term, with the expectation of a retracement into equilibrium, as outlined in the accompanying video. Once we observe a bullish break of structure, this could signal an opportunity to go long on the pullback. As always, this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
BITCOIN - Pattern Suggests The Start Of Another Move Higher...In this video, I go over a long trade I entered this morning, indicating that another upward move is likely.
I break down the corrective waves and explain how they led me to this conclusion.
Regardless of the specific wave we're currently in, the corrective pattern suggests the next move will begin soon from these levels.
The key support level for this trade is $87,823. While I don't have a specific target yet, the price could potentially reach $150K.
$TSLA Sales Slump but is Support Near?Is Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) facing a sales slump and an overpriced valuation? In this video, we dive into the latest Tesla stock analysis, starting with the declining sales numbers and why the current valuation might be raising red flags for investors. We then break down the weekly chart, spotlighting a potential breakdown retest as NASDAQ:TSLA price nears key support levels around the 243 weekly SMA. What was once resistance could now flip to support—find out how! Zooming into the daily chart, we explore the 280 price level where the 200 SMA is and outline a possible 5-wave pattern completing at 243, followed by a correction toward Goldman Sachs’ 320 target and Bank of America’s 380 forecast. But could a deeper drop to 200 be on the horizon? Get the full technical analysis, price targets, and insights to navigate NASDAQ:TSLA ’s next move in this must-watch stock market update!
Bonus Update: Scalpers notes on 1 min chartBAR method applies to every times frame. Those break and retest candle levels are so good on lower time frame when you know what to look at 🔑
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Indraday Update: NAS respecting bearish imbalance targetingWe have created yet another nearish imbalance range that price has used to continue to build short interest 🎯
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GER30 POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
BTC getting bullish closes on daily after a mean fib retestGet your eyes back to the sky after receiving the double bottom retest using last weeks levels as support 🎯 As we like to keep it simple using previous candle levels as support or resistance, we can expect all levels closed over to act as Break and Retest (BAR Method) points to hold us up.
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3/6/2025 is the 4th candle in a Daily Power of 3I'm going to look for longs below today's open. I am looking for something around last week's low 20460.
Tesla to $350: Unleashing the the C wave?"In this video, I break down MARKETSCOM:TESLA ’s short-term bullish potential. If we break above the $350 area, we could see a C-wave completion targeting the descending trendline near $380 by the end of the week. Don’t miss this trade setup
EUR GBP & DXY Update--DXY Tanking as expectedFrom pre-new year analysis we expected by the printout that last year's high would be purged for liquidity and then we would fall out of the old imbalanced short range 🔑
Voila, what else could we expect. We are always on point with long term analysis.
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Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intraday Update: Gold acting just as it should in this range As outlined previously, gold is in a consolidation range and rebounding from all of it's liquidity zone 🎯
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AMZN, MSFT, META & TSLA Daily Trade SetupsIn this update we review the recent price action in Amazon, Microsoft, Meta & Tesla and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here!
Gold resuming it's usual bullish narrativeAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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Gold back to it's normal bullish programAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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NAS & Indices are continuing to meltAll the indices are still seeking correction of inefficiencies existing in the sellside. There isn't much else to be said of this current situation until we start receiving bullish closes on higher time frame 4H/Daily.
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DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD & USDJPY Daily Trade SetupsIn this update, we review the recent price action in the Dollar Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD & USDJPY and identify the next high-probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis clcik here!
