Wave Analysis
BRIEFING Week #29 : Weekly Signals are In, Waiting for MonthlyHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Kindly,
Phil
Keep It Serious Simple (S&P and Nasdaq Correction Levels)A quick video to summarize the hours and hours of live sessions I run each and every week. Everybody is scared and nervous when the market is falling because bull market geniuses love to see ATH's every single day :)
I see simple wave structure on S&P and Nasdaq. 5th wave completion and a likely ABC or 123 correction. S&P 7-12% correction area, Nasdaq 10-15% correction area. I'm not bearish, but I am hedged for downside pressure. If it never materializes, cool. But if it does, I would like to make some money and mitigate the risk.
I'll do more of these day to day or week to week. You can find me in the trenches Monday-Friday. Happy Trading and Lots of Profits!!!
Banknifty Analysis for 22nd JulyHello Traders,
I am sharing this bilingual Banknifty Analysis both in Hindi and English for both the Hindi and Non-Hindi speakers. Hopefully this will benefit you. In the nut shell i have mentioned that we are negative for Monday however there is a strong support waiting aroung 51900, where market can take support. Wait for any positive signal for the long trade.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered advisor and the shared analysis is for education purpose only.
Please do leave your valuable comments for improvements or clarification.
Bitcoin - Half way to the $200.000 target!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is consecutively retesting the previous all time high and breaking out soon.
You all know my life motto: Keep your long term vision. This is especially true when it comes to trading the major swings on Bitcoin. These very volatile short term moves will always give you a false perception of the underlying trend. And the underlying trend on Bitcoin is bullish, despite the recent back and forth at the previous all time high. I do expect a major bullish breakout soon.
Levels to watch: $67.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
ETHUSDT: Descending Triangle Signals Potential Bullish BreakoutAs the crypto market buzzes with anticipation, Ethereum (ETH) finds itself at a critical juncture. Currently trading at $3,468, ETH is poised on the edge of a significant technical formation that could dictate its short-term future. Let's dive into the charts and unravel the story they're telling us.
The Hourly Dance: Descending Triangle in Focus
Over the past 48 hours, ETHUSDT has been painting a compelling picture on the hourly chart. A descending triangle has formed, with the upper boundary at $3,480 and the lower support hovering around $3,373. This pattern, often seen as a bullish formation, has traders on the edge of their seats.
The descending triangle is like a coiled spring, with price action compressing between these two levels. Each touch of the resistance and support adds tension, potentially leading to a powerful breakout.
Technical Indicators: The Plot Thickens
Let's add some color to our analysis with a few key technical indicators:
Moving Averages: The 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages are converging, suggesting a potential golden cross on the horizon. This bullish signal could provide additional fuel for an upward move.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently, the RSI is floating in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold. This gives ETH room to move in either direction without immediate resistance from this indicator.
The Bigger Picture: Daily Chart Bullish Target
Zooming out to the daily chart, the outlook becomes even more exciting. A successful breakout from this descending triangle could set the stage for a significant rally. The long-term price target? A mouth-watering 10% upside from current levels.
Imagine the possibilities if ETH breaks above $3,480 with conviction. We could be looking at prices north of $3,800 in the coming weeks!
Market Sentiment: Regulatory Winds of Change
It's not just the charts that are stirring up excitement. Recent regulatory updates have been sending ripples through the crypto space. While the specifics remain hazy, there's a growing sense that clearer regulations could pave the way for increased institutional adoption of Ethereum.
This backdrop of potential regulatory clarity adds an extra layer of intrigue to our technical setup. Could positive news be the catalyst that sends ETH soaring through resistance?
Trading the Triangle: Entry Points and Risk Management
For those looking to ride this potential bullish wave, here are some key levels to watch:
Breakout Entry: A decisive move above $3,480 could signal the start of a strong uptrend. Consider setting alerts at this level.
Support Entry: For the more risk-tolerant, entries near the $3,373 support could offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.
Moving Average Crossover: Keep an eye on the 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages. A bullish crossover could provide additional confirmation of upward momentum.
Remember, always use proper risk management. Consider setting stop losses below the $3,373 support to protect your capital.
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #DescendingTriangle #ETHUSDT #BullishFormation #GoldenCross #RSI #MovingAverages #CryptoTrading #BlockchainTechnology #CryptoRegulation #InstitutionalAdoption #BullishTarget #RiskManagement #CryptoNews #MarketSentiment #TradingStrategy #CryptoPriceTarget
OPUSDT - Altcoin with GOOD UPSIDE Potential (Wyckoff)Using the Wyckoff Method has always been my go-to strategy when looking for buy's. The theory behind it is that basically the market goes up, down, sideways, and up again etc. You can dive into more detail by taking a look at volume and trendlines, but for today's analysis we'll keep it simple and focus on the good upside potential for OP.
The above clearly shows an excellent Elliot Wave Theory playout - 5 impulse waves up and the following three corrective waves - indicating the bottom is close.
The above is classic Wyckoff Method Theory together with the emotions at each phase. OP, according to the above, is very close to bottoming out - in other words, a great place for accumulation. During the previous phase, the price increased over 400% over the course of a few months. If you have the patience, it can be a great increase.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
Banknifty 19th July Trade Set up Hello Traders,
I have shared my thought process for market expected behaviour for 19th July. Hope this helps in short term. I am biased towards short this week and my studies and charts are constructed to support the though process.
Disclaimer: I am not Sebi registered advisor and the chart study is purely intended for educational purpose and my own trade set up.
Tops is in at 66k it seems - 58k incoming tonight BTC Bear RunWe will be seeing 58k tonight Melbourne time or 8am US etc.
I was waiting for the Spring but it seems we won't be getting one, and that the top is in at 66k.
Careful out there and be cautious.
If we dump to 58k and consolidate over the weekend...that is your sign to get out if you are holding imo. Because after the consolidation we are heading down to 48k then 34k.
Bitcoin's Dual DestinyAs a long-time Bitcoin enthusiast, I've ridden the rollercoaster of crypto markets more times than I can count. Today, I'm here to share my insights on Bitcoin's fascinating journey ahead – a tale of short-term struggles and long-term triumphs.
The Bearish Storm on the Horizon
Looking at the day chart, the next 1-3 months paint a somewhat gloomy picture for Bitcoin. The 15 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are telling a bearish story, with the shorter-term EMA consistently staying below the longer-term one – a classic sign of downward momentum.
Fibonacci retracements, those mystical levels that often act as support and resistance, are also hinting at potential further downside. We're seeing price action respecting these levels with an eerie precision, suggesting that Bitcoin might be searching for its short-term bottom.
But here's the kicker – this bearish phase isn't necessarily bad news. In fact, it might be setting the stage for something much bigger.
The Bullish Horizon: A 5-Year Vision
While the short-term outlook might make some hodlers nervous, zooming out to the 1-5 year timeframe reveals a much more optimistic picture. Despite regulatory headwinds, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin continue to strengthen.
Institutional adoption is accelerating, with major companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. The recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the US has opened the floodgates for more mainstream investment. These factors, combined with the upcoming halving event, paint a bullish long-term picture that could see Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
Riding the Elliott Waves
To understand Bitcoin's price movements better, let's dive into the world of Elliott Wave Theory. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, this theory suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns driven by investor psychology.
The basic Elliott Wave pattern consists of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. These patterns can be seen across various timeframes, from minutes to years.
ABC Corrections: The Market's Natural Rhythm
Within the Elliott Wave framework, ABC corrections play a crucial role. These are the three waves (A, B, and C) that move against the main trend, providing necessary retracements before the larger trend continues.
In Bitcoin's current context, we might be in the midst of an ABC correction within a larger bullish cycle. The 'A' wave could represent the initial drop from all-time highs, 'B' the subsequent relief rally, and 'C' the final leg down to find the short-term bottom.
The Road Ahead: Embracing the Dual Nature
As we navigate these choppy waters, it's crucial to maintain perspective. The short-term bearish outlook provides an opportunity for accumulation, while the long-term bullish thesis reminds us of Bitcoin's revolutionary potential.
Remember, every bear market in Bitcoin's history has eventually given way to new bull runs. This time is likely no different. The key is to stay informed, manage risk wisely, and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
As we watch the charts and analyze the patterns, let's not forget the bigger picture. Bitcoin isn't just an asset – it's a technological revolution that's reshaping our understanding of money and finance.
So, whether you're a day trader riding the short-term waves or a long-term hodler with your eyes on the horizon, remember: in the world of Bitcoin, change is the only constant. Embrace it, learn from it, and most importantly, enjoy the ride!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWaves #BullishBTC #BearishShortTerm #LongTermHodl #ABCCorrections #CryptoTrading #BlockchainRevolution #FinancialFreedom
34k incoming | UTAD bear market to play out - be cautiousJust another update on my weekly chart I previous made but this time with the right pattern to confirm we are in the bear market if this is to play out.
Just be cautious and longing incase it plays out or you'll be holding your bags for a long time.
Another confirm reversal with bump and run - bear marketJust another pattern currently playing out to confirm that we are in a reversal phase of the bear market.
As mentioned in the video I have another pattern that's playing out; reaccumulating phase.
wait for confirmation and be careful longing or else you can be trap for a very long time holding your bags.
GBP/CHF Long and USD/CAD ShortGBP/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If 3 touch 5 min continuation or 2 touch 5 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.