GOLD XAUUSD NEXT WEEK June 24-28Here is the market outlook on Gold XAUUSD for the coming week from 24th to 28th of June. It is a clear market projection for five days of the coming week.
In monthly timeframe we see June candlestick is forming a sort of indecision candlestick, but we still have five trading days for the monthly candlestick to close. Therefore a completed monthly candlestick formation will be identified in Friday. But in general in this timeframe bearish momentum is expected to continue.
In weekly timeframe the idea of three wave swing to the upside followed by correction remains the same. Price is getting rejected from the downside at a static support. But bearish momentum is mostly dominated the market move by the end of the week, therefore will be next week as well.
In daily timeframe price responded to the static and dynamic resistance as per previous week analysis. In this timeframe clear lower highs and lower lowers are formed, therefore a new low is mostly likely to be the next formation in this timeframe.
In four hour timeframe price has formed a fast and stronger bearish move that indicate presence of sellers at the resistance level in this timeframe. Currency price is moving at the minor dynamic support. This level will create trading opportunity when it either reject price or get broken to the downside.
PRIMARY PROJECTION.
Consider selling Gold when price form sell confirmations between 2640-2360 level. Target will 2600 level.
ALTERNATIVE PROJECTION.
Consider selling Gold when sell confirmations are formed after break and retest of the dynamic support explained in this timeframe.
Wave Analysis
GOLD needs to cross 2341 in order to rise furtherGOLD needs to cross 2341 in order to rise further
GOLD is still in a critical moment.
The price is moving in a small corrective picture and it is also exposed to the bigger picture.
📺You may watch the video for further details📺
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GOLD: Target_1 Reached - What's Next?GOLD: Target_1 Reached - What's Next?
From our previous analysis, gold broke through to 2341 which was also our critical area, and then the price rose to our first target near 2368...
📺You may watch the video for further details📺
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Previous analysis:
$5 Entry: A Bittysweet Symphony(originally written October 2023)
Bitcoin has dominated headlines iover the last decade+. From a logically defying concept crafted by Satoshi Nakamoto, to a collectively embraced path towards the future, the world’s first cryptocurrency is undeniable. Unless you’re Warren Buffet — or Horus.
From humble beginnings at $0.01, at its fairly recent all-time high near $68K, Bitcoin increased in value by 6,192,134 times. Thats 4406 times more than the SPX’s all-time growth and 64,451 times more than Gold’s (based on chart history available from year 1834).
Considering its historical dominance and the forward looking perspective from many of the world’s most renown investors, you’d think (and most do) that the momentum won’t ever cease.
The explosive growth has been amazing and the fear of missing out is not only present for individuals, but also for global organizations and national government administrations too.
As an Elliottician, after applying Elliott Wave Theory to Bitcoin’s all-time wave structure, I am a bit more cautious than the majority. These are some details I consider to be facts:
1) Bitcoin is not in an impulsive wave structure.
2) Bullish (upside) corrective waves commonly retrace to the 0.38, 0.618 or 0.786 fib level.
3) Since 2013, BTC’s Relative Strength Index has been in constant decline.
As for my near and long term BTCUSD projections, I expect a couple of climatic things to happen:
1) Bitcoin achieves a new all-time high near the next halving in 2024.
2) Bitcoin fails to sustain the $100,000 price mark (if it even reaches that high).
4) Bitcoin makes a return below $10.
Bitcoin’s wave structure is very similar to Luna Classic’s. The only differences I’ve been able to see is that Luna was in a regular zig-zag (ABC) formation and Bitcoin’s wave formation is very very likely a double zig-zag (WXY). Both forms are corrective and generally result in a very deep retracement.
EUR/AUD Long and AUD/CHF ShortEUR/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If 3 touch 5 min continuation or 2 touch 5 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/CHF Short, AUD/CHF Short and EUR/USD LongGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above AOI.
• 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/CAD Short, GBP/CHF Short, AUD/CHF Short and USD/SGD ShortAUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/SGD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down.
• 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
BRIEFING Week #24 : Volatility will Decide. Be very CautiousHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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GBP/JPY - Price is the leading IndicatorToday we are looking at GBP/JPY 5 Minutes timeframe.
Based on the price structure, we believe that the high probability direction in the short term is downtrend.
We have seen an ABC (Corrective) wave after the Low of Friday was made.
Key Structures to note:
Structure 4: 200.022 Downtrend continuation reversal point.
Structure 2: 200.674 Downtrend Violation Structure.
Always Think in Probability:
As traders, you must be careful to align your behavior and expectations with the following principles:
- Anything can happen
- An EDGE is only an indication of one thing happening over another
- There is a random distribution between wins and losses
- You don't need to know what will happen in order to make money in trading.
Elliott Wave Analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD)Elliott Wave Analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Wave (I) and Wave (II) on Weekly Time Frame
Starting from the beginning of the Bitcoin chart, the first significant move up in price has been labeled as Supercycle wave (I). This wave represented the initial major bull run in Bitcoin's history, culminating in a peak, followed by a corrective phase, labeled as Supercycle wave (II). This corrective wave ended at the low observed in November 2022.
- Supercycle Wave (I): This wave exhibited impulsive characteristics with five clear subdivisions (waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5).
- Supercycle Wave (II): This was a corrective wave, taking the form of an ABC correction, and concluded in November 2022.
Wave (III) on Weekly Time Frame
Since the low of November 2022, Bitcoin has been unfolding Supercycle wave (III). This wave is expected to be a major bullish phase, often characterized by strong upward momentum and significant price increases. Wave (III) typically shows the following characteristics:
- Strength and Momentum: Wave (III) is usually the longest and most powerful wave in a five-wave cycle.
- High Volume: Accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong market interest.
- Impulsive Nature: This wave should subdivide into five smaller waves on a lower time frame, confirming its impulsive nature.
Subdivisions of Wave (III) on Daily Time Frame
Within the context of Wave (III) on the weekly time frame, we are currently analyzing the subdivisions on the daily time frame. The current structure suggests the following:
- Wave ((1)) of Wave (III): This wave is unfolding and subdividing into five smaller waves.
- Wave (1), (2), and (3) of ((1)): These waves have been completed.
- Wave (4) of ((1)): Recently completed around April 2024.
- Wave (5) of ((1)): Expected to breach the all-time high to confirm the start.
Current Status and Invalidation
- Current Status: Bitcoin is potentially in Wave (5) of ((1)) of Wave (III), which needs to breach the all-time high for confirmation.
- Invalidation Point: If the low of April 2024 (where Wave (4) finished) is breached, this would invalidate the current count. It would suggest that Wave (4) is still unfolding, possibly as a double correction.
Characteristics and Structure of Wave (III)
1. Wave ((1)): Typically the smallest wave but should be identifiable as a five-wave move.
2. Wave ((2)): A corrective wave, usually retracing between 50% to 61.8% of Wave ((1)).
3. Wave ((3)): Often the largest and most powerful wave, usually extends to 161.8% of Wave ((1)).
4. Wave ((4)): Another corrective wave, typically shallow, often retracing 23.6% to 38.2% of Wave ((3)).
5. Wave ((5)): Completes the impulse sequence, may extend or truncate but should be a five-wave move.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) indicates a bullish market ahead, driven by the development of Supercycle wave (III). This analysis is based on the assumption that the low of April 2024 will hold, confirming the end of Wave (4) of ((1)) and the start of Wave (5) of ((1)). If this low is breached, the market might still be in Wave (4), unfolding as a double correction.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Plan Your Trades - SPY Research For 6/17 & BeyondI put together this video to help traders plan and prepare for the next 30-60+ days - as we move into Q2:2024 earnings and pre-election consolidation.
Every week, I spent hours going over my Custom Indexes, proprietary price modeling systems, sector analysis, and more. My goal is to help as many traders as possible prepare for the greatest opportunities of their life (the next 5 to 10+ years).
I see so many traders getting trapped into following free or paid internet advice and blowing up their accounts. In my opinion, stick to the basics. Price is the ultimate indicator.
Then, determine the true bias of price trend and identify strong candidates to profit within that trend.
If you are a daytrader - you probably won't like my research/comments. I don't really daytrade much. I'm more of a swing trader - looking for 8% to 25% swings that take 3 to 20+ weeks to mature.
Either way, this video will help you understand what to expect over the next 30-60+ days in the US/global markets. Prepare for a big move in late June or early July.
GBP/CHF Short and WHEAT/USD ShortGBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
WHEAT/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.