update at 215pmmarket may stay bullish into the end of the day but there are warning signs that we may pullback overnight and into tomorrow. Bias is still firmly up however, so nothing is certain regarding a pullback until we actually see one.
Wave Analysis
Pre Market 5-19 SP500, Bonds, GoldIf we pullback starting today target is around 5600-5500, the blue channel. Gold loos good for more upside. Bonds could fall significantly if Yields keep rising past 5%.
BRIEFING Week #20 : ETH Reversed, WTI Next ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Phil
Analysis on the 10 Elite PairsYou can follow us for more Analysis(Images and Videos) with Precise definition of the Financial Market.ENJOY!!!
GBP/JPY Short and CAD/JPY ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️.
💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend.
🔎 In this video, we break down:
- The dominant trend and current structure
- How to identify potential market structure shifts
- My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅
🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
US Downgrade, 3-5-10% Pullbacks But Still Bullish on S&PHappy Sunday!!!
US Futures open lower after Friday's close and Moody's downgrade.
Last time this occurred in 2011, the S&P dropped around 10% from the "news."
This is all interesting timing but I'm still liking pullbacks for opportunities to position
bullish in the US indexes (S&P, Nasdaq, Dow)
Because the melt-up continues to run (US/China gap last week and drift higher), I'm trying to stay patient for a pause or pullback
Trump and Bessent are still chirping about Tariffs and a government "detox" so a round of trade war related news may help calm the market's red hot advance post April 7 lows
I'm selling calls on owned positions for income. I'm waiting for more favorable levels to add new positions, but within 3-4% of all time highs for the S&P and Nasdaq I don't think anybody will be surprised to see the all-time highs revisited in the near to medium-term
Let's have a great week - thanks for watching!!!
-Chris Pulver
Gold Long: Completed Wave 4, target above $3500.A detailed walkthrough on Gold since 2011, the start of the first Cycle level wave. I go through my Elliott Wave counts for Gold, breaking down waves, focusing more on the recent wave 4 downturn.
The alternate count will be another wave Z down, giving up a triple combination.
Depending on the opening this coming week, the stop for this idea is either below 3154, or 3120.
Good luck!
Nifty analysis as of 18/05/2025Nifty analysis as of 18/05/2025
nifty analysis banknifty analysis levels etc etc
dji nasdaq stocks
Bitcoin Long: Wave 3 of 3 of 3; Target $148,000I've previously called to be neutral of Bitcoin after identifying a wave 5 up on 11th May. Now, I believe that it is once again time to long Bitcoin as I am expecting a wave 3 of 3 of 3 up.
The stop loss should be generous at $100,500 if you can afford it.
The price target if wave 3 = wave 1 is $130,000; The price target if wave 3 = 1.618x Wave 1 is $148,000.
Good luck!
ETHUSD Long: Start of Wave 3 UpAs I explained the wave counts for Ethereum, I believe that we have seen the end of a wave 2 correction and the next wave should be a wave 3 up.
I presented the breakdown of the down move using both Elliott Waves and Fibonacci extension.
As mentioned, the stop loss should be below wave C low or if you can stomach more risk, below the low of previous wave 4. The price target is >$3800.
Good luck!
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Quick Profit Trade on EURUSDYou can follow us for more Analysis(Images and Videos) with Precise definition of the Financial Market.ENJOY!!!
XAUUSD - Reversal PatternXAUUSD - Reversal Pattern
Impulse up and then an ABC
ABC
- Impulse down
- Correction
- Impulse down
XAGUSD, XAUUSD & BTCUSD Daily Trade SetupsIn this update we review the recent price action in Silver, Gold & Bitcoin and identify the next high-probability trade setups and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here!
USDJPY Short: Continue Wave 3 downThis is an update to the original USDJPY short idea posted 2 days back. We have completed wave 1 and wave 2 and is currently on wave 3. There is a break of a trendline that helps confirm our wave 3 hypothesis.
The initial target remains the same at around $140. However, the stop loss is now lowered to 147.20, above wave 2 high.
Good luck!
SP500 possible top, Gold looking Bullish again. All in the video. I know calling tops is dangerous, but I state my reasons why a turn from here is more likely than not. Gold now back into balance is bullish.
pre market update on SP500 and GoldWe broke out of balance but the RSI is quite low. A rally at the open is possible, we will have to see. Gold found support at 3135 area. It's in a downward channel, and we will have to see if it can break above it to go long.
XAUUSD - Trend Chanell XUAUD - Trend Channel
We have stayed inside this channel all the way down.
We were pushing down and bouncing off the lower line, while now we just bounced of the median line, so we could now be going up.
AUDCAD Bullish Momentum: Pullback Setup in Play!📈 AUD/CAD Technical Outlook 📈
I’m currently analyzing the AUD/CAD currency pair, and it's showing a strong, sustained bullish trend on the daily timeframe 🔥. We’re seeing a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which keeps my bias firmly bullish ✅.
I’m waiting for a pullback into equilibrium — that’s around the 50% level of the current or previous price range 🎯. If price retraces into this zone, I’ll be looking for a high-probability entry setup on the 4H and 30-minute timeframes ⏱️.
🎯 Target: Previous daily highs, as marked in the video.
This setup aligns with classic trend continuation principles, and I’ll be watching for confirmation before executing any trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade based on your own analysis and risk management rules. 💼📊
