Wave Analysis
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals.
Core Setup
Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276).
A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move.
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets:
TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8%
Scenario 2: Correction First
Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to:
TP1: $2,920
TP2: $2,650
If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected.
Macro Alignment
Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid.
Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold.
Inverse correlation with DXY:
DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold
DXY above 100 → signals correction
Effect on Altcoins
If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins.
If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold.
This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
Premarket update - SPX USOIL GOLD NAT GAS BTCSPX sold off more overnight, but nothing dramatic yet. I do believe we will have a negative day today. Gold looks good for more upside and possibly to all time highs eventually. NAT GAS looks like a short and so does OIL. BTC probably a bit lower to 105k.
$MGC(Gold) EW Recount. Two Possible scenarios!!! - June 11, 2025Hello fellow gamblers,
As you can see in the title, I had to do a recount of my EW analysis for gold since we did fail to break below support towards our Wave C target.
This video is a bit long because i bring 2 different scenarios that could be playing out at this time.
I hope you enjoy!
- Watching for price action behavior near the down trendline and watching for the FVG gap to hold support.
- Levels to watch: 3418.2, 3398, 3360.4, 3324
EURUSD Outlook – Long, Medium & Short-Term Analysis🔹 Weekly Chart:
The broader structure remains technically bearish. We've recently seen a trend reset, which could mark the beginning of a fresh downside leg.
🔹 Daily Chart:
A clear bearish trend reversal pattern has formed, accompanied by a manipulation phase. A confirmed break structure is now in place. As long as price remains below 1.15734, short positions remain valid.
🔹 4H Chart:
Currently in a range-bound phase. A confirmed break below 1.1371 will be a key bearish trigger for potential selling opportunities.
🔹 1H Chart:
Still ranging, but a valid Lower Low (LL) has already printed. A second LL below 1.1371 would confirm a short-term bearish continuation.
On the flip side, a break above 1.1495 would open the door for a bullish move in the short term.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish above: 1.1495
Bearish below: 1.1371
Critical invalidation: 1.15734
Trade safe and stay disciplined.
Avalanche (AVAX) Price at Key Resistance – Potential Short Setup📉 AVAX/USDT – Possible Bearish Setup Developing 📉
Currently watching Avalanche (AVAX) paired with USDT 🔍, and price action is starting to show signs of bearish momentum creeping in.
We’ve seen a subtle shift to the downside, and I'm anticipating the potential for further weakness into the end of the week 📆🔻.
Here’s what I’m looking for:
🔹 A pullback into resistance — specifically the level highlighted in the video
🔹 A rejection and failure to break above that resistance zone
🔹 A bearish break of market structure following the rejection
If these conditions are met, I’ll be considering a short opportunity aligned with the developing trend 🔄📊.
🎯 As always, patience and precision are key — I’m not acting until price confirms the setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and manage your risk appropriately.
S&P 500 Short Update 2: Shifting wave degreeHi all,
As I explained in this video, the previous idea was invalidated because of an issue with "degree" of wave that a fellow watcher of my idea rightly pointed out in the comments section. I did the change on this video and explain the mistake I made in the previous idea.
In this video, I also talked about the last wave, how it can still be the peak but on the bigger picture, it is still too small compared to wave 1 and 3.
I then recommend 3 "safer" entry points:
1. One reversion trade at the top of the trendline.
2. One breakdown from the diagonal trendline.
3. One breakdown from the 4th wave support price.
Which entry point(s) you choose depends on your personal preference and opportunity. The stop will be above where you identify as the peak at your point of entry.
Good luck!
$MGC (Gold) Pos-Market Update - June 11, 2025Huge moves happening on gold, price is now in a level in which it could invalidate our ABC scenario. At this moment, I'm not changing my bias. I would like to see a break above that 3397.5 level before that happens.
- Key levels: 3397.5, 3387.6, 3372.8, 3366.7, 3339.7
S&P500: Within reachThe S&P 500 has edged past the 88.70% retracement and is now trading within our magenta Target Zone (Coordinates: 5,880 points to 6,166 points). This places magenta wave (B) likely near its peak - a move that could soon give way to a sharper decline as part of the anticipated wave (C). At current levels, the setup remains favorable for initiating short positions. To manage risks, a stop just 1% above the upper boundary of the Target Zone is recommended. If the index breaks above resistance at 6,6675 points, however, we would shift to an alternative interpretation: a bullish continuation in the form of the wave alt.(III) in blaue. We currently assign a 40% probability to this scenario. One final note: the minimum technical requirement for wave (B) has already been fulfilled by the entry into the Target Zone. This means wave (C) could begin any time.
Over 190 precises analyses, clear entry points and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
$BTC (Bitcoin) update - June 11, 2025In this video I go into our ABC correction theory for a W2 pull back on BTC. I also take a quick look at CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:XRP and CRYPTOCAP:ADA just to see where the rest of the market is at.
- ABC correction theory is still at play, but I wouldn't recommend shorting as a possible accumulation could be happening.
- Levels to watch: 110.8k, 108.5k, 106.8k, 104.9k.
Trading Game of the day 11-MAY-2025On this day 11-MAY-2025 ,CPI core,m and y was released and all of them were negative for the dollar
My performance depend on patience .
So after release of the NEWS ,be patient and patient and patinet until the price gives you the direction and give you the opportunity to enter the market
1-PDA :- which is the OB
2-Re- (H4-H2-H1-30m) and ST (SHARP TURN)in lower than 15m-TF
3-CISD
4-FVG retraced from it and make another FVG which represent our entry (sell order)
5-sell order from 3340 and the profit is 3330
Thanks
Weekly trading plan for LINKLink has already reached his 3rd target of the week. The chart shows divergence, but now the price above the monthly pivot point and there is a chance to see a continuation of growth. If it returns under monthly PP we may see a local correction or a deeper one to the weekly PP level
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for ADA Locally on the 1h timeframe we can see a bearish divergence and if the price fails to break the monthly pivot point, we are more likely to see a correction to the weekly PP. After that we can think about new longs, but also and now of course there is a chance to see a fast push to the target 3
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for XRPAt the moment bearish divergence is visible on the 1h time frame, so it is possible to see a local correction before the next growth. But it is also possible to see a fast growth to the marked zones if the resistance zone is broken
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura