Wave Analysis
Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
USDCHF's 4H Bullish Structure Break – Is It Time to Buy?After a bearish phase, the USDCHF has turned its momentum around following Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause. This news injected fresh optimism into the markets, triggering a rally that overturned previous downtrends. On the four-hour chart, we observe a break of structure that hints at a bullish reversal. The ideal entry point appears to be the pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—a historically reliable support zone—setting up a clean long opportunity. Current market sentiment, bolstered by easing geopolitical tensions and renewed risk appetite, supports this bullish outlook. As always, use appropriate risk management strategies and treat this analysis as a trade idea rather than financial advice. 🚀📈💹
Avalanche (AVA): Overextended! Is This Ready for a Bullish Move?Avalanche (AVAX) is currently presenting an intriguing setup, with price action showing signs of being overextended on the daily and 4-hour timeframes. The cryptocurrency has recently traded into a critical support zone, defined by previous swing lows on the daily chart. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers. However, AVAX has now dipped below these lows, triggering sell-side liquidity in the form of stop-loss orders placed beneath this level. This liquidity grab could be a precursor to a potential bullish reversal. 🚀
On the 15-minute timeframe, AVAX is consolidating within a tight range, reflecting indecision among market participants. A break above this range, coupled with a bullish market structure shift, could signal the start of a reversal and provide a high-probability buy opportunity. This setup aligns with the concept of a "liquidity sweep," where price manipulates stop orders before reversing direction.
Key Observations:
Daily Timeframe: Price has dipped below key swing lows, eating into sell-side liquidity.
4-Hour Timeframe: Overextension is evident, with price trading into a significant support zone.
15-Minute Timeframe: Consolidation within a range, awaiting a breakout.
Trading Plan:
Wait for Confirmation: Monitor the 15-minute timeframe for a bullish breakout above the current range. 📈
Market Structure Shift: Look for higher highs and higher lows to confirm bullish intent. 🔍
Entry Strategy: Enter long positions after a confirmed breakout, with a stop-loss placed below the range low. 🛡️
Target Levels: Aim for resistance zones on the 4-hour and daily timeframes as potential take-profit areas. 🎯
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Previous daily swing lows (now acting as a liquidity zone).
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the 15-minute range and key levels on the 4-hour chart.
This setup highlights the importance of patience and discipline in trading. While the liquidity grab below support is a promising signal, confirmation of a bullish breakout is essential to avoid false moves. As always, this is not financial advice, and traders should conduct their own research before making any decisions. ⚠️
crypto downtrend exhaustion indicatorsA couple facts:
1) usdt.d is above 5.60% for ~two days. This is a major fact. We have an early bull market end confirmation, or at least the end of an impulse structure of intermediate degree. There is a probability that the structure of the current bull market will be either extended or will end with the final diagonal.
2) usdt.d below 5.60% is confirmation of current dump exhaustion.
3) Crossing down one of the trend lines at BTC dominance chart will mean start of alt season. The target for the mini alt season is ~53% at BTC.D;
4) The terminal target for upcoming Dogecoin rally is range between 0.5 - 1.37 USD. Beware pullback, i look at whole crypto market structure and anticipate one.
BITCOIN - Short Trade Idea Update - Wave ii Looks Complete...In this video, I break down what I woke up to this morning regarding the wave structure.
With wave ii appearing to be complete, I’m looking to add to my short position and adjust my stop level down to 81,223—creating another potential entry point for the short trade.
Recognizing and understanding these developing patterns is essential if you want to stay in the game.
SOL Trade Plan: Daily Support, Liquidity Grab & Trade Idea.Solana (SOL) is currently navigating a challenging market environment, with broader sell-offs across the crypto space weighing heavily on its price action. On the daily and 4-hour timeframes, SOL has traded into a significant support zone, marked by previous swing lows. This area has historically acted as a magnet for buyers, but the recent dip below these levels suggests a liquidity grab is underway. This move has likely triggered sell stops sitting below the lows, creating the potential for a reversal as smart money steps in. ⚡
Zooming into the 15-minute timeframe, SOL is consolidating within a tight range, reflecting a period of indecision. This range-bound behavior often precedes a breakout, and a bullish break above the range could signal the start of a recovery. A shift in market structure—marked by higher highs and higher lows—would provide further confirmation of bullish intent.
Key Insights:
Daily Timeframe: SOL has dipped below key support levels, sweeping liquidity.
4-Hour Timeframe: Price is overextended, trading into a critical demand zone.
15-Minute Timeframe: Consolidation within a range, awaiting a breakout for directional clarity.
Trading Plan:
Patience is Key: Wait for SOL to break out of the 15-minute range to the upside. 🚀
Market Structure Confirmation: Look for a clear shift to bullish market structure (higher highs and higher lows). 📊
Entry Strategy: Enter long positions after confirmation, with a stop-loss placed below the range low. 🛡️
Profit Targets: Focus on resistance levels on the 4-hour and daily timeframes for potential take-profit zones. 🎯
Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Previous daily swing lows, now acting as a liquidity zone.
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the 15-minute range and key levels on the 4-hour chart.
This setup highlights the importance of waiting for confirmation before entering a trade. While the liquidity grab below support is a promising signal, a breakout and bullish structure are essential to avoid false moves. As always, this is not financial advice—traders should conduct their own analysis and manage risk appropriately. ⚠️
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)