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Wave Analysis

XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨ Wyckoff Methodology: Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply. ICT Concepts: Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept. Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher. Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact. Technical Trade Setups: Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436. Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum. Market Sentiment: Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers: Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors: CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold. USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal. Summary & Trade Plan: Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
2
EUR/NZD Short, GBP/USD Long, AUD/USD Short and GBP/AUD ShortEUR/NZD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. GBP/USD Long Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. GBP/AUD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
1
BTCUSD - Wave B Needs One More Low - Lets Talk About It...So far, there's been no actual gain or loss from my current idea that we could reach 90K. However, I’d like to propose a new perspective — that we may have been navigating a complex, expanded Wave B Zig-Zag this entire time. With a deeper understanding of AriasWave, I can now make certain assumptions more confidently. I had considered this scenario before but dismissed it due to how far-fetched it seemed. Now, I’m revisiting that idea with a fresh outlook. The key point is: nothing has been gained or lost yet — which means this is your opportunity to reassess and position your trade in the right direction using this analysis. Let’s make it count. Let’s do this! Check out the chart version linked below. Short Entry: 83,000 Target: 74,517
Short
by AriasWave
BTCUSD - Short Term Long Trade - Evidence of 90K Incoming...In this video, not only do I walk you through the small degree long trade (based on the chart linked below), but I also break down the entire pattern, explain the corrective process, and share what I expect to happen next. As long as 83,015 holds, all signs point toward a potential 6%+ move up to 90K. This is a solid opportunity—price tends to move slowly during corrections, and then all at once. Let’s navigate this setup together, so you can take advantage of it with solid risk management and smart leverage.
Long
by AriasWave
EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar) 📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high. 🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement. 💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher. ⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome: If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower 🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months. Levels to watch: $70.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
16