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DXY: An Example of Stop Loss Hunting and Why Does it Happen?DXY: An Example of Stop Loss Hunting and Why Does it Happen? In today's chart I am showing you a typical example of a Stop Loss Hunt.. Many of us very often face the closing of a position without any movement in the market. Usually this happens almost every day at the close of the US market and during the opening of the week. What happens is not simply an increase or decrease in the price but an increase in the spread by the broker and often without justification at all. If you complain, they define it as liquidity problems and you are never right. You will not get a refund. Sometimes these movements are printed on the chart but often there is no trace of them because they do not include the spread of the opening of the market in the price. I wanted to raise this concern again after seeing that in a broker where I usually post DXY, and had an unjustified increase at a time when the USD pairs have not moved at all. But even if we look at DXY on other brokers there are no changes. This is called Stop Loss - Hunting If you want to avoid these problems, always be careful every day at the closing of the American market around 10:00 PM London Time and at the opening of the market on Sunday at 10 PM London Time. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Education
by KlejdiCuni
14
Why the 95% failIt's no secret that over 90% of retail traders lose money. I am not talking about throwing some money into crypto and hoping for the moon type wins or losses. I mean actually trading and making a living from it. You see, when you start, you are hungry for information - what's the best course, who has the best strategy, what if I trade 25 instruments on a 1-minute timeframe. Surely more profits... After doing this for over 25 years, you get to see people come and go, sometimes they come back with a new idea and more funds to give the market. But overall, some of the core problems are - all the gear and no idea. Not only do people invest in screens, the latest hardware and of course the legendary Bloomberg subscription for 24/7 news. What about indicators? Has your screen ever looked a little bit like this? The issue with more indicators is the majority of them lag to price action, re-paint or are simply not needed. Then combine that with the lack of experience, and you are left questioning do I buy or sell if my RSI is up but the moving average just crossed down? You are not alone, most traders have been there if not all! It is hard enough when even the brokers and exchanges fight against you - have you ever seen a scam wick directly to your stop and bounce? What about the A-book vs the B-book? In an A-book model, the broker passes their clients' trades directly to the market. Essentially, the broker acts as a middleman, executing trades on behalf of clients in the open market. This means that the broker's profits come primarily from commissions and spreads rather than trading against the client. B-book, the broker takes the opposite side of the client's trades, essentially acting as the counterparty. Instead of sending trades to the open market, the broker keeps them internally. The next one that always tickles me is the 100% win rate strategy that someone automated and for a few hundred dollars, it's all yours!! Look, if there was a silver bullet, a 100% winning strategy you could buy off the shelf - we wouldn't have any other profession on the planet! The world's population would be professional traders. You know the saying " if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is". You see Elliott waves where they have no right to be. Simply no logic or using them on a tick chart and hoping for miracles. How about getting some financial advice from a spotty teen who rented a sports car for a video shoot this afternoon? Yeah, sounds like a good plan to help you retire young! ============================== So, how to avoid all of these things? Well, to start with, your tradingview chart, on a regular laptop or desktop with one screen, removing all the indicators and increasing the timeframe. Then you reduce the number of pairs you look at and get to know them. Treat them like a new language. Learn the character traits, how they behave around major news events, what happens to them if the dollar goes up or oil drops 5%. Don't treat trading like a game. Instead, treat it like a business, use hours that suit your lifestyle. Deploy proper risk management. Don't see it as a one trade one win type concept. Treat it with respect and profit from it weekly. You will find, when you learn to manage risk correctly, you care very little about markets going up or down. You tend to sleep with ease and a growing bank balance. The market has plenty of soldiers fighting on its side, and it does its best to recruit you to fight against yourself! In summary, less screens, less data inputs (indicators), less instruments, higher timeframes, ignore the influencers, Proper risk management and learn to understand there is no silver bullet. Trading is statistics and that's all it is. You can be very profitable with a low strike rate and a large risk-to-reward ratio. Or as simple as a 2% gain per 1% loss and a 50/50 win rate still makes you money! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
21
A-Book vs B-Book: What Every Retail Trader Needs to Know█ A-Book vs B-Book: What Every Retail Trader Needs to Know Most retail CFD traders have never even heard the terms “A-Book” and “B-Book,” yet almost all of them are directly affected by how these models work. Your broker’s choice between the two can change the prices you see, how your orders are filled, and even whether your stop loss gets hit. Let’s break it down so you know exactly what’s going on behind the scenes. █ What is A-Book? An A-Book broker routes your orders straight to external liquidity providers, such as banks, market makers, or directly to an exchange in the case of futures or spot markets. Your broker is essentially the middleman, passing your trade along and matching it with a real counterparty. ⚪ How they make money: Spreads (the difference between the bid and ask prices). Commissions on each trade. Occasionally a small markup on the feed. Because they don’t profit when you lose, an A-Book broker’s ideal client is a trader who trades frequently and consistently, your activity is their revenue stream. █ What is B-Book? A B-Book broker keeps your trades “in-house,” meaning they take the other side of your position. If you buy, they sell; if you sell, they buy, but all within their own system. Your trades don’t reach the real market at all. ⚪ How they make money: Your losses are their profits. They may still earn on spreads and commissions, but the main income is the net loss of their client base. Because the broker profits from losing clients, there’s an inherent conflict of interest. It’s not that every B-Book broker is out to get you, but the incentive structure is very different from A-Book. █ Hybrid Models – The Modern Reality Today, many CFD brokers use a hybrid model. This means small accounts or “unprofitable” clients might be B-Booked, while larger or riskier trades are hedged via A-Book routing. This approach balances their risk and maximizes profits. █ The Stop Loss Mystery – Why It Sometimes Gets Hit When It “Shouldn’t” A common complaint among retail traders is this: “My stop loss was triggered on my CFD broker’s chart, but the real market price never touched it.” ⚪ Here’s why this happens: B-Book influence: If your trade is kept in-house, the price you see is the broker’s internal feed, not the pure exchange price. Minor spikes or wicks can appear that don’t exist on the actual CME or underlying market. Different price feeds: Even A-Book brokers often aggregate liquidity from multiple sources, leading to small discrepancies from the official exchange price. Overnight sessions: Many CFD brokers price products nearly 24 hours a day, even when the underlying market is closed. This “synthetic” pricing can produce moves that never happened in the actual market. The result? You might see your stop hit during quiet, low-volume hours when the real market was nowhere near that level. Side-by-side comparison showing a large wick on a CFD gold chart (left) that never occurred on the actual CME gold futures market (right). This kind of discrepancy can trigger stop losses on CFD platforms, even though the real market price never reached that level — a classic example of the Stop Loss Mystery. █ Stop Hunting – When the Market Seems Out to Get You Closely related to the stop-loss mystery is stop hunting, when price spikes just far enough to trigger a cluster of stops before reversing sharply. In a pure B-Book setup, your broker isn’t just your counterparty, they can also see exactly where all their clients’ stops are placed. If they control the price feed, even the smallest manufactured move in their internal system can sweep through those levels. This can happen intentionally to lock in profits from client losses, or simply as a by-product of how their system reacts during thin liquidity. From your perspective, it feels like the market was “out to get you,” touching your stop and then running in your direction. But often, that move never existed in the real underlying market at all, it was born inside the broker’s own pricing environment. And while low-volume hours are prime time for this, it can still happen in the middle of the busiest trading sessions. Comparison of gold CFD pricing (left) and CME gold futures (right). The CFD chart shows a wick that sweeps above previous highs, potentially triggering stop losses, while the real futures market shows no such move, a classic example of suspected stop hunting on CFD feeds. █ Why This Matters for Retail Traders Understanding whether your broker uses A-Book, B-Book, or hybrid execution changes how you view price discrepancies, stop-loss triggers, and even your broker’s incentives. A-Book: Broker earns from your trading volume, not your losses. B-Book: Broker earns directly from your losses. Hybrid: They can switch between models depending on the trade and client profile. Knowing this doesn’t just help you choose a broker, it helps you understand the “market” you’re actually trading in. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by Zeiierman
3
Mistakes Cost Real Money, In trading world In the crypto market, a mistake is not just a note on paper, it’s money leaving your pocket. Sometimes you need to lose money to feel the real lesson. If you learn from it, that loss can make you a better trader. Hello✌️ Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is showing strong volume near solid daily support and a key trendline. A 5% rally toward $124k is anticipated 🚀📈 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 💸 Mistakes You Must Make Some mistakes are part of the process. When you hit a stop loss or see a big loss, you understand risk much better. These mistakes show you why you must always have a plan. Lessons from losing real money stay in your mind much longer than lessons from books or videos. 🔍 Risk Management and Fundamental Researc h Spot trading gives you more time to fix mistakes than futures, but losing money here can still teach you a lot. When you lose some of your capital, you see why stop loss and take profit are important. Researching the team, roadmap, and trading volume can save you from bad projects. Managing your capital makes sure one bad trade doesn’t destroy your account. 🪞 How Market Emotions Affect You Your emotions often reflect the overall mood of the market. When everyone is greedy, you may feel unjustifiably excited. When everyone is fearful, you might miss great opportunities. Learning to separate your mind from crowd emotions is one of the hardest yet most crucial skills. 🧠 Demo Account vs Real Account In a demo account, you are only playing with numbers. In a real account, you are dealing with your own emotions, fear, and greed. When real money is involved, even a small price move can make your heart race. This is why, after learning and practicing for months, you should start real trading with very small money. Only then will you know what risk feels like in real life. 🕰 Why Patience Matters Many losses happen because of rushing, not because of a bad strategy. Sometimes waiting a few more minutes can give you a clear view of the market. The market always gives another chance, but lost money is hard to get back. 🎯 Why You Need a Trading Journal Writing down your entry, exit, and feelings for every trade helps you see your mistakes and strengths. A trading journal is like a second memory that stops you from making the same mistake again. 📊 Useful Tools in TradingView One of TradingView’s biggest advantages for traders is its set of tools that can save you from costly mistakes. For example, with the Price Alert tool, you can get notified before the price reaches critical levels, helping you avoid emotional decisions. Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) help you detect weaknesses in your strategy before execution. Drawing support and resistance lines repeatedly trains you to know where price might reverse in a crisis. Fibonacci Retracement is an excellent way to spot potential reversal levels, especially during unexpected corrections. Volume Profile shows where the highest buying and selling activity has occurred, helping you avoid weak entry zones. ⚖️ Balance Between Learning and Doing Reading books or watching videos is not enough. Trading without knowledge is also dangerous. You must grow your knowledge and experience at the same time. Summary In crypto trading, mistakes are normal, but repeating them is your choice. If you learn from a loss, it is worth it. Start small, use your tools, and let experience make you stronger. ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Education
by MadWhale
21
The 50/50 Account Management Scam- How it WorksFrom Cold Calling to Telegram I’ve been in the markets for so long I feel like a dinosaur, and I’ve probably seen every scam out there. The truth is, none of them are really new — they’re just adapted to the new social paradigm. What was done in the 2000s through cold calling is now done through Telegram, Instagram, X, and other social platforms. I didn’t really want to write this article, in case it gave someone ideas. But since anyone who wants to be a scammer already knows how it works, maybe this article can warn those who still have no idea how the so-called account management scam operates — especially its most common form: the coin flip scam (50/50 scam, Opposite trades scam, Split-direction scam, Two-group margin call trick, as is also known) Step-by-Step: How the Coin Flip Scam Works 1. Gathering the victims The scammer starts by fishing for victims through Telegram channels/groups, Instagram profiles, Facebook groups, or even X posts. They present fabulous profits, post ads with guaranteed return offers, and flood the feed with so-called “proofs” — screenshots of winning trades, client testimonials, and account statements. Most of these are either fabricated or selectively chosen to show only the winning side. Once someone shows interest, the scammer’s first move is to earn their trust. They’ll tell you the broker doesn’t matter, that you can choose it, and that they have no access to your money — which is, technically, true. Then comes the closer: “You don’t have to pay me upfront. I only get paid if I make you money, so it’s in my best interest not to lose. You see? We’re on the same side.” This combination of flashy results and “risk-free” terms makes you feel safe enough to hand them trading access. ________________________________________ 2. Splitting into two groups The accounts are divided into two equal batches: • Group A → All-in BUY • Group B → All-in SELL With high leverage (e.g., 1:200), a 50-pip move means either doubling the account or wiping it out completely. Note: I won’t go too deep into the details here, because the exact margin call level depends on the broker. But trust me, it’s easy for a scammer to plan the money split based on the different brokers’ rules. What we’re talking about here is just the general principle. ________________________________________ 3. Guaranteed winners and losers The market moves. One group hits margin call and loses, while the other doubles or triples its capital (depending on broker's leverage, even more on 1:500). The scammer now has perfect marketing material: “Look how I doubled my client’s account!” ________________________________________ 4. Milking the winners Clients who made a profit are celebrated and told something like: “I only worked with low capital this time just to show you I can do it. I have big clients and serious strategies — now that you’ve seen the proof, deposit more so we can make real money.” The scammer frames the initial gain as a “demo run” to gain the client’s confidence, pushing them to commit much larger sums next. ________________________________________ 5. Recycling the losers The wiped-out clients are told: “It was an unusual market move. Deposit another $1,000 and we’ll recover it tomorrow.” Some quit, but others fall for it again. ________________________________________ 6. Repeat the process The cycle continues. There’s always a “happy” group and real account statements to attract fresh victims, while the losers are quietly discarded or convinced to reinvest. ________________________________________ Why the scam works • The proof are authentic – Screenshots and MT4/MT5 statements for the winners are real. • Survivorship bias – Prospects only see the successes, never the failures. • Hope psychology – Losers believe “next time” will be different (and it can be if they end up in the "winner group" next time ________________________________________ Final word If someone promises to double your account quickly and safely — walk away. Real trading is about risk management and long-term consistency, not betting your capital on a 50/50 gamble. Don’t be the next screenshot in a scammer’s sales pitch. 🚀 P.S. Stop believing they “made you money on purpose” at the beginning and then “lost it on purpose” after you deposited more. If they truly had the skill to do that, they wouldn’t need to be scammers in the first place. The reality is simple — once you put in more money, you just happened to land on the losing side of their scam.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
26
Discipline Ends Where Hope Begins“The moment you start hoping… you’ve already left your plan behind.” Most traders think they lose because the market “turned against them.” But in reality — it’s when their mind turned against their rules. Hope is silent at first. It whispers when your stop loss is near: “Just a little more room…” It whispers when price is almost at your target: “Maybe it can go further…” In both cases, it’s the same enemy wearing two masks. And the instant you listen — discipline ends . Here’s the paradox: Hope feels good. Discipline feels hard. But in trading, the thing that feels hard is the thing that saves you. Rules are the antidote to hope. You don’t “feel” your way through a trade. You execute your way through it. Some of the most dangerous trades aren’t the obvious losses — They’re the ones you “saved” by breaking your rules. Because now, you’ve trained your mind that hope works. Until it doesn’t. And when it fails… it takes everything. What I’ve shared here is only a fragment of the psychology I’ve written about in The Chart is the Mirror . The deeper process — how to replace hope with pure, unshakable execution — is something I’ve reserved for readers who truly want to rewire their trading mind. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Comment below if this hits home for you. Or tell me — which part of trading psychology should I uncover next?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ChartIsMirror
500% APY with Low Risk — Fake? Fact!This is not clickbait! This is a real working strategy! Read to the end! Hello! My name is Michael Hypov! I have been trading for 16 years, and during this time I have seen it all: booms, crashes, crises, hype, and long periods of market silence. My articles on technical and fundamental analysis, as well as my forecasts for Forex currencies and cryptocurrencies, are translated into 20 languages and gather millions of views. But what I want to share with you today became a turning point in my understanding of trading. How it all began In 2019, I moved to Malaysia and entered the Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) — the second most prestigious university in the country after UM. I was lucky to get into the Master's program in Data Science and Analytics. It was an intensive course where we deeply studied mathematical analysis, statistics, neural networks, and machine learning — at a time when no one had even heard of ChatGPT yet. This knowledge literally turned my understanding of trading upside down. I suddenly saw that many market processes could be explained by strict mathematical laws, and therefore — predicted with high accuracy. A bit of theory in simple terms One of the key discoveries for me was the law of normal distribution. Visually, it is represented by the “Gaussian bell” — a symmetrical curve where most values are in the middle, and extreme values are rare. To make it clearer, let me give you an example. Imagine baking muffins The dough is the same for all, and the oven is the same. But the result is always slightly different: most muffins turn out average in size some are slightly smaller or slightly larger very few are either tiny or gigantic. If you draw a chart of “how many muffins of what size,” you’ll get that same bell-shaped curve: many in the center, few on the edges. Examples from real life We see the same principle everywhere: uman height — most people are of average height, very short and very tall are rare school grades — most students have average grades, and extremes are rare apple weight in an orchard — most are about the same, but there are a few very small or very large ones. 💡 To put it simply: in nature and life, most values are “average,” and extremes are rare. Why this matters in trading In trading, the price at any given moment is a random variable. We cannot know exactly where it will be in a second or an hour, but we can calculate the average value that is most likely to be reached. If we return to the bell curve, the blue dotted line in the centre is the price the market tends to most often. For each time frame, you can calculate this average price and use it as a guide. Box Plot — a chart that says more The law of normal distribution can be conveniently represented using a Box Plot (“box and whiskers”). The median = the expected value, The “box” — the range of 25% deviations, The “whiskers” — minimum and maximum within 1.5×IQR (where IQR is the size of the box body). If you plot the asset price along the X-axis and rotate the graph by 90°, the shape will strikingly resemble a Japanese candlestick. And if you build such “boxes” for different time frames, you get a clear picture of market fluctuations, which in some cases is more informative than a candlestick chart. Intrabar BoxPlot and two patterns Recently, TradingView introduced the Intrabar BoxPlot indicator. It builds these “boxes” right on the chart and marks the medians and closing prices. On the chart, these boxes are displayed with colored dots for the medians of each period and blue dots for the closing price levels. Comparing the price chart with the BoxPlot, you can identify two patterns: 1/ The market always tends toward the median; therefore, with high probability, if the close for the period was within the box, the candle of the next period will reach the median of the last closed candle. 2/ If the close occurred outside the box, this is a signal for a trend continuation. Moreover, the further the closing point is from the median, the stronger the signal for continued movement. These patterns work both on 12-month candles and on second-level time frames, which makes it possible to conduct cross-analysis from macro to micro trends and build a trading strategy that delivers excellent results: on large time frames, we identify major trends, and on minute and second charts, we determine entry and exit points on micro-waves within the day. How it turned into a strategy Three years ago, I decided to turn this observation into a full-fledged trading system. At first, I wrote a thesis based on this idea, forecasting Bitcoin’s price. For three years, I tested and refined the algorithm, brought in a team of programmers who helped me build a custom trading bot from scratch. Since trading requires a limited set of parameters — closing/opening prices, high/low, as well as box parameters and expected value — the bot’s neural model is well trainable and capable of not only conducting cross-analysis but also identifying patterns and inefficiencies in the market on its own. Moreover, the bot self-learns and improves its trading over time. Results We trade on Binance futures, with an average leverage of 0.63x — less than one, which almost eliminates the risk of liquidation. We don’t use stop-losses: if a trade goes against us, the bot moves to a higher time frame and averages the position. Maximum leverage — 3x. Backtest results show returns from 100% to 500% per year, depending on the market cycle. On a bear market, we reduce leverage to lower risks, which also reduces returns. The strategy has now been trading on a real account for more than a month. The first month of trading brought +31% to the deposit. Even giving 50% to the fund, when calculating compound interest (with reinvestment of income), your annual income will approach 500% Thank you very much for reading to the end! I will be glad to receive your comments under the posts and questions in private messages
Education
by Hypov
Stablecoins: Stability in a World of VolatilityIn the cryptocurrency space, everything changes rapidly: trends form within hours, and assets can rise or fall by double-digit percentages in a single day. In such conditions, traders need a tool that allows them to preserve capital and act without haste. That tool is the stablecoin — a digital asset with a fixed price. They serve as a kind of “safe harbor” in the storms of the crypto market. Even if Bitcoin or Ethereum face a sharp correction, a stablecoin theoretically remains equal to 1 US dollar (or another pegged currency). What is a Stablecoin A stablecoin is a token whose value is pegged to a base asset at a 1:1 ratio. Most commonly, this peg is to the US dollar, but there are stablecoins linked to the euro, gold, or even a basket of assets. The idea is simple: combine the convenience of cryptocurrencies (fast transfers, no borders, transparency) with the predictability of traditional money. This allows traders to quickly move capital between positions or exchanges without losing value to volatility. Main Types of Stablecoins 1. Fiat-Backed The issuer holds actual dollar reserves in bank accounts. The peg is maintained by allowing token holders to redeem them for fiat at any time. Examples: USDT (Tether), USDC. Pros: high liquidity, easy to understand. Cons: reliance on the issuer and a centralized structure. 2. Crypto-Backed Backed by other cryptocurrencies used as collateral. Collateral often exceeds the token’s face value to protect against volatility. Example: DAI by MakerDAO. Pros: decentralization and blockchain transparency. Cons: risk of a sudden drop in collateral value, which can trigger liquidations. 3. Algorithmic The peg to the dollar is maintained via smart contracts that regulate the supply of tokens. Tokens are minted when the price rises and burned when it falls. Examples: former UST (Terra) before its 2022 collapse. Pros: decentralization, no need for real reserves. Cons: highly vulnerable to market panic. Why Stablecoins Matter to Traders Locking in Profits Closed a profitable ETH long? Instead of cashing out to fiat, you can convert to a stablecoin and preserve purchasing power until your next entry. Protection from Volatility When the market looks overheated or uncertain, stablecoins allow you to “go into cash” without leaving the crypto ecosystem. Liquidity and Transfer Speed A traditional bank transfer may take days, while moving USDT or USDC takes minutes — crucial for arbitrage or quick reactions to news. A Tool for Margin Trading Many futures platforms use stablecoins as the base currency for settlements, simplifying profit and loss calculations. Risks and Pitfalls Regulatory Pressure Centralized issuers can freeze addresses or restrict operations in response to government requests. Losing the Peg (Depeg) If confidence in the issuer or system drops, the stablecoin’s price may deviate from $1. Algorithmic stablecoins are particularly vulnerable. Centralization Fiat-backed tokens depend on the issuing company, which controls reserves and redemption processes. 💡 Practical Use with CV_Pro When trading crypto futures with CV_Pro, stablecoins can serve as a “parking spot” between trades. Closed a profitable position? Move funds into USDT, wait for the next signal, then re-enter. This reduces the impact of volatility and gives you time to make thoughtful entries.
Education
by CryptoVision
#AN024: "Light" August, Heavy FOREX Data August is unforgiving: thin liquidity, but a heavy macroeconomic environment. This week, the July US CPI (Tuesday, August 12, at 2:30 PM CET) is the event that could reshape mid-month FX flows; it comes after weak payrolls and with the "tariffs → inflation" theme once again front and center. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. The BLS confirms the release calendar (July to August 12), while desks and media are warning of tariff-induced inflation risk and a market pricing in Fed cuts in September. US: CPI, Tariffs, and the Pricing of Cuts The stock market has rebounded, but the week will hinge on CPI and PPI: if tariffs boost tradables, the "mini-stagflation" scenario (stagnant inflation and slowing growth) becomes credible and supports the USD in risk-off mode; a soft CPI, however, reinforces the Fed's pricing of a cut and could weigh on the greenback. Currently, traders are looking for a low monthly CPI but with the risk of a downturn due to tariffs. Europe: ECB Steady, EUR "Still Anchored" The ECB left rates unchanged on July 24, with the message: inflation at target in the medium term, domestic pressures declining, wages slowing. This "anchor" the EUR: less endogenous macro direction, more dependent on Tuesday's US data. Range-trading is likely ahead of the US CPI; a hot surprise pro-USD pushes EURUSD down, while a soft surprise rebounds it. UK: BoE cuts to 4% — sterling more "data-dependent" The BoE has cut by 25 bps to 4% (the fifth time this year) and in its Monetary Policy Report, it predicts a transitory inflation peak of 4% in September before returning. FX translation: GBP loses its "carry edge," becoming sensitive to labor/price data; against the USD, it remains hostage to Tuesday's CPI; against the EUR, it tends to smooth out excesses (less interest rate premium). Disciplined sell-the-rally on GBP/USD if US CPI surprises to the upside; conversely, a soft CPI could trigger short-covering on sterling. Japan: BoJ patient, but the "more is possible" theme The June minutes show a BoJ willing to reopen the hike discussion once the trade shocks related to US tariffs subside. In the summer, with intermittent risk-off, the JPY remains bid on negative shocks and warm US data (real yields ↑), and weakens if the CPI reinforces the Fed cut scenario (US yields ↓). USD/JPY sensitive to the term premium: it rises with a hot CPI, retreats with a soft CPI and risk-off. Australia: RBA under dovish pressure Consensus strengthens for an RBA cut (after the "no cut" in July): core disinflation and cooling jobs provide coverage. AUD feels the combination of Fed pricing + RBA risk: hot US CPI = AUD down twice (strong USD + dovish RBA); soft CPI = technical rebound, but capped if the RBA actually cuts. China & commodities: PPI in deflation, lighter oil China remains disinflated: CPI flat y/y and PPI -3.6% y/y in July. This is a cyclical headwind for FX commodities and, by extension, mitigates near-term global inflation risks. Oil is correcting on demand concerns and the OPEC+ headline; lower Brent is supporting the "soft US CPI" scenario on the sidelines.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Altcoins and Altseason:How to Understand and Use Them in Trading The cryptocurrency market has long moved beyond Bitcoin’s monopoly. Today, it consists of thousands of digital assets, each with its own technology, goals, and economic model. Among traders, two terms are frequently used — “altcoin” and “altseason,” and understanding them is essential for anyone aiming to earn consistently in crypto. An altcoin is any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin. The first alternative coins appeared in 2011, when developers sought to improve BTC by offering faster transactions, new algorithms, or additional features. Today, some of the most well-known altcoins include: Ethereum (ETH) — the leader in smart contracts and decentralized applications. Ripple (XRP) — focused on fast international transfers. Cardano (ADA) — known for its scientific approach and energy efficiency. Solana (SOL) — prioritizes ultra-fast transaction speeds. Polygon (MATIC) — tackles blockchain scalability issues. Altseason refers to a period when altcoins become the main growth drivers of the market, outperforming Bitcoin in both speed and volume of price gains. During this time, investors often take profits from BTC and move capital into other projects. As Bitcoin’s dominance declines, space opens up for alternative coins to rally. In such phases, traders shift their attention to promising technologies and big news stories, with many altcoin charts showing growth that far exceeds that of Bitcoin. For a trader, altseason is not just a flashy market phase — it’s a period of maximum opportunity. With the right analysis, it can deliver returns that are hard to achieve during normal market conditions. However, the potential for high profit also comes with high risk. The altcoin market is known for sharp volatility, and choosing the wrong asset can result in losses just as significant as potential gains. That’s why it’s crucial not only to understand what altcoins and altseason are but also to recognize them in time. This requires a combination of fundamental and technical analysis, tracking Bitcoin dominance trends, and using reliable trading tools that can spot shifts in market cycles. With a thoughtful approach, altseason can become the window of opportunity that opens the door to new results in trading.
Education
by CryptoVision
Think of RSI like a car’s speedometer: The speed (RSI) changes b"Think of RSI like a car’s speedometer: The speed (RSI) changes before the position (price) changes direction." 1. What RSI actually is? RSI (Relative Strength Index) is just a math transformation of price data. It measures the ratio of recent upward moves to downward moves over a period (often 14 candles) and compresses it into a 0–100 scale. 2. Why RSI sometimes “moves first” This isn’t magic — it’s because RSI is sensitive to the speed and size of recent price changes, not just direction. - If price is still going up but at a slower pace, RSI can already start turning down. - If price is falling more gently than before, RSI can start curling up before price actually reverses. 3. Why traders care about RSI reversals? - If RSI starts turning down from an overbought level while price is still climbing, it can be an early warning of a possible price top. - Same for the opposite: RSI turning up from oversold while price still dips can signal an upcoming bounce. 4. RSI above or below 50 50 on the RSI is the “momentum neutral” line. - When RSI is above 50, recent gains outweigh recent losses → momentum is bullish. - When RSI is below 50, recent losses outweigh recent gains → momentum is bearish. 5. The “delay” you see The delay is more about your eyes than the math: - RSI smooths recent price moves (average gains/losses), so it reacts slightly ahead to changes in momentum. - Price must actually reverse for you to “see” it, but RSI reflects that change in momentum first. - Think of RSI like a car’s speedometer: The speed (RSI) changes before the position (price) changes direction. 6. How to deal with noise* in RSI? Use higher timeframes (1D, 1W, 1M) to confirm signals from small charts. *Noise in trading = small, random price movements that don’t reflect the bigger trend. On a 1-minute or 5-minute chart, there’s a lot of this — caused by scalpers, bots, spreads, liquidity gaps, and normal market “chatter.”
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by MiguelFTCurado
1
Triangles, Flags, and Pennants — Guide to Continuation PatternsChart patterns can be mysterious — until they’re not. Let’s break down the technical trio that tells you when a trend’s just taking a breather before it flexes again. So your chart’s been pumping higher for weeks, and then… nothing. Price starts scribbling sideways. Cue panic? Maybe. But more likely, you’re staring at a continuation pattern. Triangles, flags, and pennants are the subtle “hold my beer before I try to pull a move” signals of technical analysis. They show up when markets pause — not reverse. That pause could mean your trend is catching its breath, not dying in a ditch. In other words: don’t close your longs just because things go quiet. Sometimes the market is just stretching before it sprints again. ⚠️ Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending Let’s talk triangles, the Swiss Army knife of consolidation. These shapes come in three stylish varieties: ● Symmetrical triangle: Higher lows, lower highs. Traders call this the indecision pattern, but don’t get it twisted — it may just be winding up for a breakout. Wanna see how these look in practice? Dive into our community’s symmetrical triangle ideas . ● Ascending triangle: Flat top, rising bottom. Buyers are aggressive, their patience is running out. Resistance looks like it’s begging to be broken. Check the ascending triangle ideas for your viewing consideration. ● Descending triangle: Flat bottom, falling top. This one’s more bearish than your boomer uncle who knows zero about Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , and yes — it’s often a precursor to a breakdown. Follow the descending triangle ideas and make sure you DYOR. Key tip : Wait for the breakout. Don’t front-run triangles unless you like volatility surprises and emotional damage. 🚩 Flags: Fast Moves, Tight Consolidations Flags form after a sharp price move — the “flagpole” — followed by a tight, slightly sloping channel that moves against the prevailing trend. They’re short-term patterns that act like pit stops during a race. ● In a bull flag, price rallies sharply, then consolidates lower in a downward-sloping rectangle. If price breaks above the upper boundary, the uptrend is likely to resume. Jump straight into the bullish flag ideas . ● In a bear flag, price crashes, then drifts higher or sideways, forming an upward-sloping consolidation. A breakdown below the lower support hints at a continuation lower. What goes up must go down — bearish flag ideas for thought. Flags are prized for their reliability and tight risk-to-reward setups. The breakout is typically swift, and traders often use the length of the flagpole as a projected target. 🎏 Meet the Pennant: The Flag’s Cousin Pennants are like mini-triangles that form after a strong price move, usually in high-volume conditions. Unlike regular triangles, they’re smaller and more compressed — a tight consolidation in the shape of a tiny symmetrical triangle. What makes a pennant different from a flag? The structure. While flags are rectangular, pennants are more pointed — a converging pattern rather than parallel lines. Pennants are often seen in high-momentum environments, and when price breaks out of the consolidation zone, it often does so with force. Get some pennant ideas straight from our community. 🧐 How to Actually Trade These Patterns Spotting a continuation pattern is one thing. Trading it with discipline is another. Here’s a basic checklist: ● Identify the trend. Continuation patterns only work when there’s a clear preceding move. If the chart is a sideways mess, maybe skip it. ● Draw your levels. Use trendlines or horizontal support/resistance to outline the pattern. Keep it clean — if you’re forcing a pattern, it probably isn’t there. ● Wait for the breakout. Don’t jump in too early. Let the price confirm your bias. Breakouts are more credible with a volume spike. ● Set your stop wisely. Most traders place stops just outside the opposite side of the pattern — below the lower trendline in an uptrend, or above the upper trendline in a downtrend. ● Target projection. Many use the height of the pattern or the flagpole to estimate a target price, though market conditions should influence your approach. 🤔 So, What Could Go Wrong? Glad you asked. Plenty. ● Fakeouts: Just because it looks like a breakout doesn’t mean it’s real. Wait for confirmation — volume, a close outside the pattern, or your favorite indicator giving the green light. ● Shaky patterns: Not every triangle-looking pattern is a triangle. Sometimes it’s just noise. Don’t make up patterns. The market doesn’t care about your geometry. ● Overleveraging: Continuation patterns look reliable, but no pattern is bulletproof. Position sizing still matters. Don’t bet the farm because a pennant gave you butterflies. 💡 Pro Tips from the Chart Trenches ● Set alerts on trendline breaks so you’re not glued to the screen like a caffeinated hawk. ● Use pattern recognition tools if you’re a newer trader — but verify manually. No software is a crystal ball. ● Trade continuation patterns in the direction of the trend. Countertrend flags are usually bear traps in disguise. 📌 One Last Thing: Pattern ≠ Prediction Chart patterns don’t tell the future. They tell a story about buyer and seller behavior. Continuation patterns? They’re just the market saying, “Yeah, we’re still into this trend. Just grabbing some break first.” Use them as one part of a system. Combine them with momentum indicators, volume, or good ol’ fashioned risk management. Because in the end, it’s not about how many triangles you find — it’s about how many fakeouts you avoid. Off to you : Spotted any textbook triangles or sneaky flags this week? Or caught a pennant fakeout that wrecked your stop loss? Drop your best (or worst) continuation pattern story below. You never know who might learn something from your chart scars.
Education
by TradingView
Why You’re Not Successful as a Trader(And What Nobody Tells You)A lot of people want to know how to succeed at trading. They jump into day trading thinking it’s super easy. Just click a button and make money, right? And in a way, it really is that simple because every trade has about a 50/50 chance of being right or wrong. But here is the thing most people do not realize. To be truly successful long term (a month or more) you have to treat trading like a business and perform like a top athlete. Let me explain why by sharing a story from my own life. Back in high school I was one of the top two athletes in my city. Imagine a sport similar to tennis. There were others who were taller, stronger, more naturally gifted in every way. But they were not as consistent as I was. That consistency gave me the edge. Here is what I did differently. I worked out every day building cardio and training specific muscles in my arms, shoulders, and legs for explosive power. I practiced really difficult shots hundreds and hundreds of times. When I made those shots during games people called it luck. But I knew better. I had rehearsed those shots so much that there was almost a 99 percent chance I would make them. I also played mind games with my opponents. I talked to them before matches and gave them false confidence by saying I had injuries or wasn’t feeling great. Sometimes I praised a shot they had but secretly I had studied it carefully and knew exactly how to counter it. I was setting them up to lose. The stock market is just the same. It is a competition. The market is full of opponents, other traders, institutions, algorithms, all fighting for an edge. If you want to be in the top 10 percent who consistently make profits you have to be at the top of your game mentally, physically, and emotionally. That is why so many traders fail. They don’t realize they need to train themselves like athletes. Having the right indicators or a big account is not enough. If you are tired, stressed, or emotionally drained, you are far more likely to make mistakes. Ask yourself. Did I sleep well last night? Am I managing my stress and emotional environment like family issues or distractions? Am I exercising enough to keep my heart and mind sharp? Am I fueling my brain with the right nutrition and supplements? Am I constantly learning and keeping my mind sharp enough to spot patterns and make quick decisions? For me trading is like those athlete days. I take supplements to keep my mind sharp and my emotions steady throughout the day. I aim for 5,000 to 10,000 steps daily to stay physically fit. I carefully track my sleep with my Oura ring because getting good rest is critical to trading well. Trading is a competition you show up to every single day. If you are not in your best shape losing that day is expected. And while even top athletes sometimes lose when they are at their best losing because you were not prepared is something you cannot accept. Knowing the rules is just as important. I once played a match where the sun was setting right on my side during the game. The other team had sun visors allowed by the rules. We only had hats but hats were banned. That small difference made a huge impact on the outcome. Trading has its own rules and invisible players too like the Plunge Protection Team which steps in to prevent market crashes past a certain point. There are many hidden mechanics in the market you have to understand. For example moving averages are not just about the famous 50 and 200-day crosses. There are many subtle details about how they are calculated and used that most traders miss unless they study deeply. So honestly ask yourself these questions. Do I really want to succeed in this market? Am I willing to put in the time and effort it takes? Am I treating trading like the serious business it is? If your answer is yes then start treating yourself like the most important asset in your trading business. Train your body and mind. Learn the rules inside and out. Practice with discipline and consistency. Success is not going to be easy. But it will be earned.
CME_MINI:MES1!Education
by DiYWALLST
How to Read COT Data: Understanding Big Players’ Order FlowHey whats up traders, today Im going to reveal my COT approach. If you’re serious about finding higher timeframe bias based on what the big players are doing, then COT data is a tool you need to know. It offers unique insights into the positioning of institutional traders—and if read correctly, it can help you align with real market momentum rather than noise. Before we break it down step-by- step. I want to mention that this is my personal approach. Larry Williams is doing it differently and I have seen some other approaches. This is what works for me, might you find it also usefull. What Is COT Data? The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is published every Friday by the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission). It shows the open positions of various market participants in the futures markets as of the previous Tuesday. This data is based on the requirement that large traders must report their positions once they pass a certain threshold. In short, we’re peeking into the order flow of institutions—excluding high-frequency trading and market making noise. Hope you already recognized small disadvantage to us as retail traders. Big players report data on Tuesday and it's published on Friday. So we basically have it late and we dont know what has happen in last 3 days. But no worry I will show you my trick how to read between the lines. COT helps us: • Understand HTF (Higher Timeframe) bias • Spot shifts in institutional positioning • Identify trend continuations or potential reversals • Avoid getting trapped in retail sentiment traps It’s not a standalone entry tool, but rather a macro confirmation layer for swing or position trades. Huge advantage by following large players is that they are trading on fundamentals and you dont need to worry about that - you just follow them. But you must follow the right participants, because there is few. Who Are the Market Participants? The COT report breaks down traders into several categories. Each one has a different motive and behavior in the market: 1. Commercials • Think of them as hedgers. • These are producers, manufacturers, and institutions trying to lock in prices for raw materials or currencies. • They are usually contrarian at extremes. When they reach record net long or net short positions, reversals often follow. 2. Non-Commercials (Speculators) • These are institutional funds, hedge funds, and large speculators. • Their goal? Profit. • Often, they follow trends and their positioning reflects the broader market sentiment of the big money. 3. Dealers • Mostly big banks and institutions facilitating trades. • They manage risk rather than speculate heavily, so they typically take the opposite side of speculative flows. 4. Leveraged Money • Hedge funds using high leverage. • Their positions often reflect short-term speculative behavior. • Watching their net positioning and changes week-to-week can give clues on momentum exhaustion. Now you might think which one to follow and Yes you can build your strategy on following any of them fore example Larry Williams - been trading base on Commercials Anton Kreil - suggest following Leveraged money I tried both but for me works best - Non commercials ( Speculators) Again here you cant say definitely which one is right or wrong. What works for you is right. Thats it. There are multiple versions of the report, but here are the most commonly used, Im using - ✅ Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) • Focused on financial markets like forex, bonds, and indexes. Where to find COT data? It's free and you can find it on the SEC website there is simple week to week format. As you can see below. Many traders are watching this. I dont say this is wrong but you dont have complete data - missing big picture. As you can see here these data below are clearly giving you a picture about an order flow and positioning changedsvn the positions which can confirm trend or help you spot potential reversal you need to watch bigger data sample. Institutions doesnt reverse market in a week, they need to of load positions and I it takes them some time. Which will explain later. Im collecting the data to the collums. I want see longs, shorts of commercials and from that I calculate. Following Longs % exposure Shorts % exposure Net positions 13 weeks average Historical Highest positions Historical Lowest Positions Relationship between these numbers helps me justify whats going behind the price action, but also spot strong levels. I will show you how to put it together with the context of the charts and then I will show you few order flow patterns examples, it's not difficult but it requires a bit of practice. Bullish Pattern - Longs growing / Shorts being closed This is the strongest COT patter and clean sign of buying This is classing pattern what we have just seen on the EURUSD Notice how longs has been growing constantly and net positions confirms that. In may been able to see rapid shorts closing, which and confirmed bullish trend and we can look just for the bullish setups. Now lets look to the USDJPY chart it will be tricky because it's all red and looks tricky but focus to the numbers and price action, how longs are growing while shorts being closed. Very weak JPY. Bearish consolidation Shorts being build Massive shorts being added int he consolidation phase longs doenst move at all. Further big drop coming. This is now happening on the AUDUSD. Look at this tight price consolidation and let's read what is happening. just look at the COT its clean longs around 23K constantly while they are building massive shorts. Whats gonna happens next is clear. Profit taking move This ofter occurs when we can see sharp move above the highs but without real longs being added, rather they being closed. As on our example below on the gold. We can see massive profit taking on longs while price was moving up. But they were not been adding shorts. What doest it tell us. They do not want to trade full reversal - not building short position, but market is overheated and they taking profits to buy later for lower or price can go to the consolidation where they will be building short, but definitely its late for us to go long. Here is another example on USDCHF Notice longs positions in the moment where there was 46K long and then next week change -12K net. It's a huge change which has started Sell off. But look in to Shorts , there is no heavy shorting, price simply go down based on huge longs profit taking. This is why its important to look in to bigger picture because if you look only in to week to week data. You will still see bigger longs than shorts and it will give you bullish opinion. Hope it's clear. And by the way now we can see 2 weeks with more then +3.4K longs. Its getting bullish IMO. Now lets look to the another example on the USDCAD Now we will use one of my past analysis where based on the data I predicted further move. And here I want to mention one thing. Even though we can see COT being bearish. It doesnt mean that price cant go up in short term (can be be 2- 3 weeks) There for you still need to use price action and dont just blindly short, but short run above the highs, because this is where big players add shorts. Not on the lows. P rice moving up shorts being added - Reversal coming This is showing positions building for the sell. In this case you can see both growing longs and shorts remember. Big players are hedgers, they are taking longs to move price up so they build shorts. Once they got their positions they close longs and sell of starts. Lets look to my TV analysis where I have seen shorts grown recently while GBP was moving up close the Monthly Order block , but notice the shorts colum how the shorts were growing recently and also longs dropped from 110K to 100K. Clena signs of the reversal but again I waited for a pullback above the weekly highs. Click to open a chart bellow This was a prediction from few week ago. Now let's look how the data looks right now. On the GBPUSD chart below we can see reveal in the data. Long significantly dropped by 50% and shorts increased by 50%. This is a clean reversal pattern in the COT. Look at net positions it clearly flipped to the bearish and big drop is coming. Few more tips Remember they know we are watching this data and what we see is what they want us to see, so they are often trying to hide their positions as long as possible. Thats why intra-week reversal are happening on Wednesday after they report their positions. They cannot hide the data forever, follow the data week by week to keep in track whats happening. It will increase your winning ratio. Every 3 months there is a new futures contract. The must close the positions and reopen them in to the new contract, They are using it for reversals. Also some if there is some US holidays on the day when report should be released to the public its delayed to the next week. And thats when they do biggest positions changes secretly. COT data isn’t a magic crystal ball—but it’s a powerful tool if you know how to combine it with technical analysis. You need to use your mechanical system. It perfectly fits with my CLS strategy and It's suitable for swing traders. Think outside the box. Even when you see bearish COT - dont be stupid to sell low. It's not NOD order flow for intraday scalping, you have time. But if you something is clearly bearish every run above weekly and daily highs is high probability Sell in the smart money trend. Dont hesitate to ask any questions and follow. I share COT weekly updates. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by David_Perk
46
How to Identify Support and Resistance in Markets with AnologyHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we are going to learn & understand real work of Supports and Resistances in markets, and Market structure with very good examples (Educational Post) The Market's Architecture: Support and Resistance This is an excellent analogy for understanding two of the most worthful concepts in technical analysis: support and resistance. By thinking of the market as a multi-story building, we can visualize how price moves and what happens when it hits certain levels. - The Core Analogy: The Building and the Elevator - Imagine the market as a large building with many floors. The price of an asset (like a stock or a cryptocurrency) is like an elevator moving up and down within this structure. The floors and ceilings of the building are not physical barriers but represent specific price points that the market has collectively agreed upon as important. - The Floor (Support) The floor of a building provides a solid base and prevents the elevator from falling further. In the market, this is called a support level. A support level is a price point where buying pressure is strong enough to stop the price from declining. When the "elevator" (price) reaches the floor, it finds enough buyers to give it a lift, preventing a deeper fall. A strong support level is like a thick concrete floor—it has been tested multiple times and holds firm, showing that there is significant demand for the asset at that price. - The Ceiling (Resistance) - The ceiling of a building sets the upper limit for the elevator's movement on a given floor. This is the market's resistance level. A resistance level is a price point where selling pressure is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. When the "elevator" hits the ceiling, it encounters a large number of sellers who are ready to take profits, pushing the price back down. A strong resistance level is like a low ceiling—the price hits it and retreats, indicating that many investors believe the asset is overvalued at that point. Breaking Through: New Levels The most dynamic part of the analogy is what happens when the elevator breaks through a floor or ceiling. Breakout (Breaking the Ceiling): When the price has enough momentum to push through the resistance level (the ceiling), it has essentially moved to a new, higher floor. This is a significant event. The old ceiling, which was previously a barrier, now becomes the new floor. This is a key trading principle: old resistance often becomes new support. The market has established a new, higher trading range, and if the price falls back to that level, it will likely find buyers there, who now see it as a good value. Breakdown (Breaking the Floor): Once if price falls from that floor (Support level) which is called as Breakdown in technical language, then lower floor can be the next stop for elevator (Next Support for price), The old floor, which once provided support, now becomes a new ceiling. This is the reverse principle: old support often becomes new resistance. If the price tries to rally back up, it will likely get stuck at this old support level, as it's now seen as a good place to sell. Structural Integrity (Volume) Think of market Volume like a construction team. When a lot of people are involved (high volume), the structure is stronger. Imagine a ceiling in the market. If lots of buyers (high volume) break through it, that's like a robust construction team building a new floor. It's unlikely to collapse. On the other hand, if sellers break through a floor with high volume, that's a strong sign they're serious about the downward move. But if the volume is low, it's like a weak construction team. Even if they break through, the move might not last. It's like a flimsy wall that could easily be reversed. So, volume gives us a sense of whether the market's moves are strong and reliable, or weak and likely to change. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SANGHVIMOVEducation
by RK_Chaarts
4
Learning#05 : Decoding Highs and Lows📚 Learning#05 : Decoding Highs and Lows - A Trader’s Guide to Reading the Market - Simple Yet Important If the market were a book, the trend would be its storyline — and as traders, our job is to read that story without skipping pages. Trading with the trend puts the odds in your favor because you’re flowing with the market’s natural momentum, not fighting it. Whether it’s an uptrend, downtrend, or a sideways grind, spotting it early gives you a big edge in deciding when to enter, when to exit, and when to simply step aside. One of the simplest yet most reliable ways to read that story? 👉 Story of Highs and Lows Let’s break it down. 📚 Understanding Highs and Lows in Trading In technical analysis, highs and lows are the market’s way of leaving breadcrumbs. A high is a peak before the market pulls back. A low is a trough before the market bounces. Track these points over time and you start to see patterns that reveal the market’s mood — bullish, bearish, or indecisive. This isn’t about guessing; it’s about observing price action as it is. 📌 The Four Key Building Blocks of Market Structure 1️⃣ Higher Highs (HH) Each new high is higher than the one before.Paired with higher lows, this signals an uptrend. Buyers are in control, and demand is pushing price upward. Example: Nifty rallies from 22,000 to 22,200, pulls back to 22,100, and then rallies to 22,350. That second high (22,350) is higher than the first, confirming bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Higher Lows (HL) Each pullback low is higher than the last.This tells you that sellers tried to push the market down — but buyers stepped in sooner this time, showing strength. HLs often precede trend continuation and give great spots for entering long positions with tight risk. 3️⃣ Lower Lows (LL) Each new low is lower than the previous one.Paired with lower highs, this marks a downtrend. Selling pressure is in charge, and rallies are being sold into. 4️⃣ Lower Highs (LH) Each bounce high is lower than the last.This shows weakening buying pressure and often leads to another push lower. Think of it like climbing stairs vs. walking down a hill: 📌 HH + HL = Stairs up → Bull trend. 📌 LL + LH = Hill down → Bear trend. 📈 HH+HL : Bullish Setup : 📉 LL+LH : Bearish Setup : 📌 Why It Matters for Traders Price action is the most honest information in the market — no lag, no magic, no guesswork. HH/HL → Bulls in control → Look for long setups. LL/LH → Bears in control → Look for short setups. Spotting these patterns on the fly means you can align with the dominant side instead of fighting it. 🧩 Combining HH & LL With Other Tools 📏 Fibonacci Retracements Once you’ve identified the trend: In an uptrend, draw Fibonacci from the latest HL to HH for pullback buying zones. In a downtrend, draw from the latest LH to LL to find shorting opportunities. ⛰️ Fractals for Clarity Fractals help pinpoint swing highs and lows without guesswork. I personally track HH/HL/LL/LH on a 1-minute chart for intraday trading — this keeps me in sync with the micro-trend while avoiding sideways traps. 🔀 Trendlines & VWAP Trendlines show the bigger path, VWAP confirms intraday balance. When HH or LL aligns with these, you’ve got high-confluence setups. 🥷 Kiran’s Approach For intraday, I start by mapping the structure: HH, HL, LL, LH. This gives me the immediate trend bias and alerts me to potential reversals early. I track them on a 1-min chart, combine with Fibonacci and trendlines, and trail stops as the structure unfolds. It’s simple, visual, and keeps me out of bad trades and warns me to stay out of a sideways market situation, too. 🔑 Key Takeaway Market structure is like a language — HH, HL, LL, and LH are its alphabet. Once you learn to read it, you’ll never trade blind again. 💡 “Trade what you see, not what you think. The chart always whispers first — you just have to listen.” Start marking highs and lows on your chart tomorrow. Watch the story unfold. Trade in sync, and you’ll notice your entries become sharper, your exits cleaner, and your confidence higher. See you in the next one — and until then: Keep it simple. Trade with structure. Trust the levels. — Kiran Zatakia
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by kzatakia