Most traders on social media are liarsInvesting can be one of the most powerful ways to build wealth.
But let’s face it—most investments come with a ton of headaches.
Running a business? Long hours, high risks, and endless stress.
Real estate? It’s capital-intensive, requires constant management, and tenants can be a nightmare.
That’s why, for many people, simply investing in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) or CRYPTOCAP:BTC can be a better choice.
Over the long term, the SP:SPX has delivered average annual returns of about 8–10%, with minimal effort (even more than that in 2024).
No tenants.
No employees.
No need to monitor charts or markets daily.
Just consistent, compounding growth over time.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting.
Trading —when done right—has the potential to outperform SPX investing.
While the SPX provides solid, steady returns, traders who master their craft can potentially achieve far higher percentages.
But—and this is a huge “but”—most people who try trading fail miserably.
And part of the reason is simple: the trading world is full of lies, scams, and fake promises.
In this article, I’ll break down exactly why most traders are liars and why the only person you should trust in this game is yourself.
If you’re considering trading or looking to spot the frauds, this is for you.
Social media is flooded with “gurus” flaunting perfect results and luxury lifestyles.
But here’s the hard truth: most of them are lying to you.
If you’re not careful, you’ll fall for their tricks, waste your money, and damage your confidence.
Let’s break it down so you understand exactly how these so-called traders operate.
Only Winning Trades? Think Again
Scroll through Instagram or YouTube.
All you see are screenshots of winning trades.
Huge profits like “+200% in a day” or “$5,000 profit this morning while drinking coffee.”
But ask yourself: why do you never see their losing trades?
The reality is, every trader loses—yes, even the best in the world.
There’s no such thing as a 100% win rate in trading.
What these people do is simple:
They take a ton of trades, show you only the winning ones, and bury the losses.
It’s called cherry-picking, and it’s incredibly deceptive.
This tactic lets them sell an illusion of success.
And that illusion helps them build their brand and sell you courses, signals, or mentorship.
Don’t fall for the fake perfection.
If they only show wins, they’re hiding something.
Are These Even Real Trades?
Here’s another problem: how do you know they actually took those trades?
Spoiler: you don’t.
Many of these traders don’t actually trade the markets.
Instead, they analyze the chart after the move has already happened.
Then, they post a screenshot and act like they predicted it all along.
Others use demo accounts.
These are practice accounts where you trade fake money.
They can show massive profits on a demo account without risking a single dollar.
The kicker? Most people can’t tell the difference between a real account and a demo.
And then there’s the outright faking.
They use tools like Photoshop to edit screenshots of their trades.
Or they manipulate their accounts to show inflated results.
Trust me, it’s easier to fake than you think.
If someone shows you a perfect trade, ask for proof.
Ask to see the full trading history, not just one cherry-picked example.
Paid to Lie
A lot of these so-called traders aren’t making money from trading at all.
They’re making money from you.
Here’s how:
1. Broker commissions:
Many traders work as affiliates for brokers.
For every new trader they bring in, they earn a percentage of your trading fees.
Their job isn’t to teach you or help you make money.
Their job is to get you trading as much as possible.
2. Crypto shilling:
Crypto projects pay influencers to promote their coins.
These traders post “bullish” analysis to get you to buy.
Once the hype drives the price up, the project dumps their tokens, and you lose money.
Their motivation isn’t your success.
It’s their profit.
If someone’s making money off your trades, question everything they say.
Don’t Believe Their Track Records
“But what about their track record? It looks legit!”
Listen carefully: track records can’t be trusted.
Here’s why:
1. Demo accounts:
Many traders show results from demo accounts, not real money.
There’s zero risk involved, so they can take wild trades and show massive gains.
It’s not real.
2. Photoshop and manipulation:
Even real accounts can be faked with editing tools.
Some traders manipulate their account history to hide losses and exaggerate wins.
3. Past performance means nothing:
Even if the track record is real, it doesn’t guarantee future success.
Markets change, and strategies that worked yesterday might fail tomorrow.
Don’t trust numbers on a screen.
If they can’t show you live, verifiable results, don’t take them seriously.
Trust No One—Not Even Me
Here’s the most important lesson: don’t trust anyone in trading.
Not the “gurus.”
Not their flashy results.
Not their promises of easy success.
And yes, that includes me.
Don’t even trust what I’m saying right now.
Why?
Because the only person who truly cares about your success is you.
I don’t want you to blindly trust me.
I want you to think for yourself.
Learn how to trade on your own.
Build your own strategies, develop your own edge, and question everything.
If it looks too good to be true, it probably is.
The only person you can fully trust in trading is yourself.
Because only you truly want yourself to get richer.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t a shortcut to wealth.
It’s a skill that takes time, effort, and constant learning.
The internet is full of liars, scammers, and people trying to profit off your dreams.
Protect yourself.
Don’t believe the hype.
And most importantly, trust only yourself to guide your trading journey.
Because in the end, your success depends on you—and no one else.
Thank you for reading (I needed to let off some steam ^^)
Daveatt
Community ideas
Super Simple Buying and Selling Stocks within TradingView.With the market pulling back nearly 14% over the past few days, I decided to take a punt on a potential recovery. I've opened a position in TQQQ , a 3x leveraged ETF tracking the Nasdaq 100 (top 100 tech stocks).
In this post, I show how easy it is to place an order using a connected TradingView broker—in my case, TradeStation—and set up a bracket order with a take-profit and stop-loss.
If the trade moves against me, the stop-loss automatically manages my risk by closing the position. If it moves in my favor, the take-profit ensures I lock in gains and exit automatically.
Of course, these levels can be really easily adjusted manually as the trade progresses, providing flexibility as the stock moves. You could choose to set your levels based on your favorite indicators signals or some other means.
This isn’t trading advice—just an example of how you can leverage TradingView’s functionality.
It’s real money on the line—my money—so wish me luck! That said, the market could still head lower with ongoing Fed FUD, but I’m holding out hope for a little help from Santa. 🎅
How to Predict Market Low 3 Hours Early with Gann Astro IntradayHow I Predicted the Upcoming Low in the Market 3 Hours in Advance with Gann Astro Intraday?
Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered.
The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept:
1. Y-Axis → TIME
2. X-Axis → PRICE
In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets.
Key Insights:
1. TIME as the Guiding Factor:
- The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME.
- Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves.
2. Price Delivery Algorithm:
- Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME.
- Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers.
3.Intraday Gann Astro Example:
- With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted.
- Example from the chart:
- At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms.
- At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations.
4.What Gann Astro Does Differently:
- Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points.
- Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing.
- Predict highs/lows hours before they happen.
Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example.
You can clearly see on the chart that the TIME for the price reversal was already calculated using the secret Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematics. I precisely identified the reversal time at 07:45, and you can verify this on the software screen. This highlights the power of time-based analysis, where price movements align perfectly with pre-determined time calculations, offering a clear edge in the market.
And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. Is this just a coincidence? Absolutely not. This is the real way the market algorithm delivers price. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE, and this proves the unmatched accuracy of time-based analysis over conventional price-focused methods.
Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge:
1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME.
2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated.
3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive.
Here’s another LIVE trade execution I successfully completed this week, profiting $3,125 . The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading. There is nothing else in the trading space that comes close to this level of precision and accuracy.
Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy.
The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market.
LIVE TRADE ENETRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE
What? Shocked? Clear your mind because this is the real way of trading, whether in swing or intraday. If you're not applying this, you're just gambling with no clue about what you're doing in the market. Those useless indicators and strategies that revolve solely around PRICE will only mislead you. The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market.
NOW let's understand how markets turn on TIME -
In this chart, I’ve calculated each market HIGH and LOW with unmatched precision—something rarely seen in the trading space. By leveraging mathematical models, I pinpointed the exact TIME at which these highs and lows would form. Using advanced mathematical and astro models inspired by Gann, I employed techniques like Squaring the Range, ASC Distance, and the concept of TIME = PRICE.
This principle means that when TIME equals PRICE, the market is compelled to reverse due to the fundamental laws governing its movement. It’s crucial to note that while price manipulation can occur, TIME remains immutable—making it the ultimate factor in accurate forecasting. By calculating the critical TIME entries that align with price, we unlock insights into market behaviour that traditional approaches simply can’t match.
GANN INTRADAY TRADING - "The Hidden Truth: Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading"
In this chart, you can see the market reversing exactly at 21:05, a TIME I calculated in advance using Gann's astro intraday techniques. The method applied here is Squaring the Range—a concept rooted in understanding the range as the time zone where the price remains confined between two major HIGHs and LOWs.
Using advanced mathematical principles in Gann astro analysis, I was able to determine the precise future reversal point. This allows me to approach my trading desk only at the calculated time and execute trades with confidence. This highlights why TIME outweighs PRICE in importance—while prices can be manipulated, TIME remains a constant and reliable indicator for market reversals.
"GANN INTRADAY TRADING - Exposing Market Algorithms: Gann's TIME Secrets Revealed"
Now, let me share some golden nuggets of hidden Gann intraday trading strategies. It doesn’t matter if the market is in consolidation—you can still profit if you know exactly when the market will break out of that consolidation phase and begin delivering price in a single direction, also known as expansion.
In earlier times, markets were primarily influenced by market makers, but now, price delivery is controlled by algorithms designed to enhance liquidity. With the massive influx of participants in today’s market, these algorithms play a critical role in maintaining liquidity flow. Despite these changes, the core principle remains intact: the market still moves based on mass psychology.
Using Gann Astro's hidden techniques, traders can gain an unparalleled edge. For example, I calculated the precise TIME when the market’s price delivery algorithm was set to initiate expansion in a single direction. This predictive ability highlights how mastering these techniques can transform the way you approach market movements.
Here’s another example showcasing a bullish scenario using Gann techniques. Take notes carefully because such valuable insights into Gann intraday trading strategies are rarely shared publicly, especially with this level of detail.
In this bullish setup, the focus is on identifying key time cycles when the price delivery algorithm aligns with Gann's mathematical principles. By leveraging time-based calculations, I pinpointed the exact moment when the market began expanding upward, indicating a strong bullish movement.
This strategy not only highlights the power of Gann’s intraday techniques but also reinforces the critical importance of TIME over PRICE in trading. Mastering these principles can provide a significant edge, allowing you to approach the market with confidence and precision.
In the trading world, most market participants focus solely on price while overlooking the critical element that governs market movements: time. Time is fixed, immutable, and unaffected by external manipulation, unlike price, which can be influenced by institutions and market forces. By understanding the concept that "time is fixed, price is an illusion," traders can unlock a method to predict intraday highs and lows with unparalleled precision. This is the essence of the Gann Astro methodology, which reveals the market's natural rhythm and turning points based on time.
The power of time-based analysis lies in its ability to expose market manipulation and predict market moves before they happen. Time, unlike price, is the key to decoding the market clock and identifying the exact moments when highs and lows form. With a deeper understanding of this principle, traders can remove guesswork, anticipate market movements, and align themselves with the forces that govern price delivery algorithms. The result is a disciplined, research-backed approach that replaces gambling behavior with a structured trading edge, offering a new perspective on intraday market success.
I don’t know if Trading View will recommend this idea to people, but honestly, it’s worth far more than the garbage that gets posted here—signals, scams, and all those misleading strategies that do nothing but trap people in a gambling mindset.
If you’re reading this, let yourself know that you’re in the right place. Save this, share this, and help boost it so that this idea can reach more people and guide them toward learning the real way of trading in the market.
If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to comment below. You can also reach out to me—links are below this post, in my bio, or via private message here on TradingView. Let’s trade smart, not gamble!
Using Trendlines on ATR for Trading Strategy:Average True Range:
Volatility Resistance: The ATR oscillating at a resistance line suggests that the market volatility has reached a point where it has been repeatedly unable to break through to higher levels. This can mean that despite attempts, the volatility hasn't sustained at higher levels, potentially indicating a stabilization or a ceiling on how volatile the market might get in the short term.
Market Sentiment: This oscillation can also reflect a market where there's a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, leading to a stabilization of price movement range. When volatility hits a resistance level, it might indicate that the market is preparing for a significant move or a breakout, or conversely, that it might revert back to lower volatility after some consolidation.
Breakout Strategy:
Signal for Breakout: If the ATR breaks above the resistance line where it has been oscillating, it could signal an upcoming increase in volatility, potentially leading to a significant price movement. Traders might consider this a signal to prepare for a breakout trade, either buying or selling depending on the price trend.
Trade Entry: Following a breakout, traders could use this ATR trendline break as a cue to enter a trade in the direction of the breakout, expecting that increased volatility will lead to a more substantial price move.
Stop Loss and Profit Taking:
Stop Loss: The resistance line where ATR oscillates can be used to set dynamic stop losses. If the ATR moves above this line, indicating higher volatility, a trader might adjust their stop loss to be a multiple of the ATR away from the current price to account for the increased risk.
Profit Targets: Similarly, profit targets can be set based on ATR levels. For instance, if the ATR is oscillating near resistance, traders might aim for a profit target that's one or two ATRs away from the entry point, anticipating where volatility might push the price.
Trend Confirmation:
Confirming Trends: ATR's behavior at resistance can confirm trends. If the price is trending upward but the ATR fails to move above its resistance, it might indicate that the trend lacks strong momentum or that a reversal could be on the horizon.
Risk Management:
Adjusting Position Size: High ATR levels near resistance could suggest increasing market noise, prompting traders to reduce position sizes or adjust their risk management strategies to account for potential whipsaws or false breakouts.
Counter-Trend Strategy:
Reversal Signals: If the ATR repeatedly fails to break through resistance, it might signal that the market is overstretched, potentially leading to a decrease in volatility or even a trend reversal. Traders could look for bearish signals if this happens in an uptrend or bullish if in a downtrend.
Incorporating these strategies requires careful observation and should ideally be combined with other forms of technical analysis or indicators for confirmation. Remember, while ATR provides insights into volatility, it does not indicate the direction of price movement, so it should be part of a broader trading strategy.
Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading ?Most traders fail in the market because they only focus on PRICE. However, according to W.D. Gann's principles, TIME is MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE. Big institutions can manipulate price movements, but TIME is a fixed entity that cannot be altered.
The attached graph illustrates a fundamental yet overlooked concept:
1. Y-Axis → TIME
2. X-Axis → PRICE
In reality, every high or low in the market is pre-determined by TIME, not price. Gann's Astro methods use planetary positions, ascendants, and advanced mathematical calculations to predict EXACTLY when the next HIGH or LOW will form in intraday markets.
Key Insights:
1. TIME as the Guiding Factor:
- The market operates like a clock, where each move happens ON TIME.
- Highs and lows form according to fixed celestial cycles, not random price moves.
2. Price Delivery Algorithm:
- Price follows a delivery system that respects TIME.
- Without understanding TIME, traders become gamblers.
3.Intraday Gann Astro Example:
- With calculations based on ascendant planetary alignments, TIME of specific turning points in intraday markets can be predicted.
- Example from the chart:
- At (2,1), a TIME-driven HIGH forms.
- At (4,-1), a LOW forms based on pre-determined calculations.
4.What Gann Astro Does Differently:
- Combines planetary positions and mathematics to forecast turning points.
- Helps traders trade WITH CONFIDENCE instead of guessing.
- Predict highs/lows hours before they happen.
Now here is the Gann Intraday Trade Example.
You can clearly see on the chart that the TIME for the price reversal was already calculated using the secret Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematics. I precisely identified the reversal time at 07:45, and you can verify this on the software screen. This highlights the power of time-based analysis, where price movements align perfectly with pre-determined time calculations, offering a clear edge in the market.
And now observe when the price was delivered — it formed a strong reversal precisely at the TIME I calculated, 07:45. Is this just a coincidence? Absolutely not. This is the real way the market algorithm delivers price. TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE, and this proves the unmatched accuracy of time-based analysis over conventional price-focused methods.
Why Traders Lose Without TIME Knowledge:
1. Traders rely on price patterns, indicators, and technical setups, ignoring the foundational concept of TIME.
2. TIME is constant and unchangeable, while price can be manipulated.
3. Without mastering TIME, traders are reactive instead of predictive.
Here’s another LIVE trade execution I successfully completed this week, profiting $3,125 . The trade was precisely calculated 5 hours in advance, demonstrating the power of Gann Intraday Astro Trading. There is nothing else in the trading space that comes close to this level of precision and accuracy.
Below, I’ve outlined the step-by-step analysis of my LIVE trade on GOLD using the Gann Astro principles and advanced mathematical calculations. This is a testament to how TIME, not just price, drives market movements, allowing you to predict turning points with exceptional accuracy.
The chart clearly demonstrates how I calculated the price reversal a solid 4-5 hours in advance using the Gann Intraday Astro technique. The exact time of reversal was determined to be 6:45, purely based on TIME. Watch closely as I executed the trade relying solely on this precise calculation. This is further proof that TIME is the real driver, while PRICE remains an illusion manipulated by the market.
LIVE TRADE ENETRY - TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE
What? Shocked? Clear your mind because this is the real way of trading, whether in swing or intraday. If you're not applying this, you're just gambling with no clue about what you're doing in the market. Those useless indicators and strategies that revolve solely around PRICE will only mislead you. The real truth lies in TIME, not PRICE—because TIME is fixed, and PRICE is just an illusion manipulated by the market.
NOW let's understand how markets turn on TIME -
In this chart, I’ve calculated each market HIGH and LOW with unmatched precision—something rarely seen in the trading space. By leveraging mathematical models, I pinpointed the exact TIME at which these highs and lows would form. Using advanced mathematical and astro models inspired by Gann, I employed techniques like Squaring the Range, ASC Distance, and the concept of TIME = PRICE.
This principle means that when TIME equals PRICE, the market is compelled to reverse due to the fundamental laws governing its movement. It’s crucial to note that while price manipulation can occur, TIME remains immutable—making it the ultimate factor in accurate forecasting. By calculating the critical TIME entries that align with price, we unlock insights into market behaviour that traditional approaches simply can’t match.
GANN INTRADAY TRADING - "The Hidden Truth: Why Gann's TIME Over PRICE Wins in Trading"
In this chart, you can see the market reversing exactly at 21:05, a TIME I calculated in advance using Gann's astro intraday techniques. The method applied here is Squaring the Range—a concept rooted in understanding the range as the time zone where the price remains confined between two major HIGHs and LOWs.
Using advanced mathematical principles in Gann astro analysis, I was able to determine the precise future reversal point. This allows me to approach my trading desk only at the calculated time and execute trades with confidence. This highlights why TIME outweighs PRICE in importance—while prices can be manipulated, TIME remains a constant and reliable indicator for market reversals.
"GANN INTRADAY TRADING - Exposing Market Algorithms: Gann's TIME Secrets Revealed"
Now, let me share some golden nuggets of hidden Gann intraday trading strategies. It doesn’t matter if the market is in consolidation—you can still profit if you know exactly when the market will break out of that consolidation phase and begin delivering price in a single direction, also known as expansion.
In earlier times, markets were primarily influenced by market makers, but now, price delivery is controlled by algorithms designed to enhance liquidity. With the massive influx of participants in today’s market, these algorithms play a critical role in maintaining liquidity flow. Despite these changes, the core principle remains intact: the market still moves based on mass psychology.
Using Gann Astro's hidden techniques, traders can gain an unparalleled edge. For example, I calculated the precise TIME when the market’s price delivery algorithm was set to initiate expansion in a single direction. This predictive ability highlights how mastering these techniques can transform the way you approach market movements.
Here’s another example showcasing a bullish scenario using Gann techniques. Take notes carefully because such valuable insights into Gann intraday trading strategies are rarely shared publicly, especially with this level of detail.
In this bullish setup, the focus is on identifying key time cycles when the price delivery algorithm aligns with Gann's mathematical principles. By leveraging time-based calculations, I pinpointed the exact moment when the market began expanding upward, indicating a strong bullish movement.
This strategy not only highlights the power of Gann’s intraday techniques but also reinforces the critical importance of TIME over PRICE in trading. Mastering these principles can provide a significant edge, allowing you to approach the market with confidence and precision.
In the trading world, most market participants focus solely on price while overlooking the critical element that governs market movements: time. Time is fixed, immutable, and unaffected by external manipulation, unlike price, which can be influenced by institutions and market forces. By understanding the concept that "time is fixed, price is an illusion," traders can unlock a method to predict intraday highs and lows with unparalleled precision. This is the essence of the Gann Astro methodology, which reveals the market's natural rhythm and turning points based on time.
The power of time-based analysis lies in its ability to expose market manipulation and predict market moves before they happen. Time, unlike price, is the key to decoding the market clock and identifying the exact moments when highs and lows form. With a deeper understanding of this principle, traders can remove guesswork, anticipate market movements, and align themselves with the forces that govern price delivery algorithms. The result is a disciplined, research-backed approach that replaces gambling behavior with a structured trading edge, offering a new perspective on intraday market success.
I don’t know if Trading View will recommend this idea to people, but honestly, it’s worth far more than the garbage that gets posted here—signals, scams, and all those misleading strategies that do nothing but trap people in a gambling mindset.
If you’re reading this, let yourself know that you’re in the right place. Save this, share this, and help boost it so that this idea can reach more people and guide them toward learning the real way of trading in the market.
If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to comment below. You can also reach out to me—links are below this post, in my bio, or via private message here on TradingView. Let’s trade smart, not gamble!
USD/CAD -Volume Spread AnalysisHere is a perfect example of Pushing Up through Supply.
As shown, when up-trending markets experience the phenomenon created by Market Makers in which supply us introduced to the market. (Notice the Pivot Highs at 1.41942 and 1.41968 which are 4 pips apart) These levels of supply are known by the market makers and are used to lock in bullish traders.
As the market moves against the locked in traders we notice Ultra High Volume (UHV) shows up. As we analyze the volume it suggests professional supply has entered the market and is confirmed by the following Wide Spread and Excessively UHV.
This confirms the intention of the professionals to lock in bullish traders and create an over head supply zone. The following price movement has UHV as well but less than the previous bar and it also closes bullish but inside the larger UHV bar. Peculiar for a market that is doomed to fall to the abyss don't you think? Looking back to the previous 40 price bars we notice price held support above the level of the previous pivot low at 1.40926.
The supply diminishes from this point as price creates a Lower High (LH) then a Higher Low (HL). We also notice the spread bodies of the bars leading to the pivot low at 1.41304 are smaller than any other downward push since the consolidation period on the 10th of December.
This implies supply has diminished until we come back in contact with the supply created by the Market Makers. The UHV suggests supply is present. However, the next bar shows demand is also present and supply has suddenly diminished at the resistance as well.
Prices then proceed to "Push up Through Supply" volume diminishes and prices rise through the supply which is termed and "ease of movement". This is an aggressive BUY SIGNAL which implies prices will not come back to retest the previous area of resistance turned support known as the backup to the edge of the creek.
You have to be aggressive at these moments because prices will not return to the retest the structure as the handling maneuver is completed a as it leaves the re-accumulation area.
Beyond Basic Candlestick Pattern AnalysisLearning to Recognize Who Is Controlling the Stock Price
There is a plethora of training on Candlestick Pattern Analysis and interpretation, and yet this remains one of the most problematic areas for Technical Traders who want to trade at the expert level.
Once the basics of Japanese Candlestick Patterns are understood, it is time to move up to the next tier of analysis. That is being able to recognize not only where a pattern is, but also who forms that pattern, why they are capable of creating that pattern, what automated orders generate that pattern, and which Market Participant Groups react or chase that pattern.
Nowadays it has become critical to include Volume with Candlestick Analysis, because this provides the basis for recognizing which Market Participant Group created that candle pattern.
Candlestick Pattern Analysis at the expert level involves more than just one to three candles. Instead it includes a larger group of candles in the near term. This is what I call "Relational Analysis." This is especially useful for Swing Traders, Momentum Traders, Velocity Traders, Swing Options Traders, and Day Traders using Swing Style Intraday action.
The NYSE:RAMP chart is an excellent example of a Candlestick Pattern for Swing Style Trading.
See where High Frequency Traders (HFTs) took control of price, and gapped the stock down for one day on extreme volume. Selling did not continue the following two days, and Volume was above the Moving Average, but much lower than the High Frequency Traders' spiking Volume pattern.
This was the first accumulation level for this stock. Dark Pools started buying the stock even though High Frequency Traders were selling, since they typically miss this initial buy mode of the giant Institutions.
High Frequency Traders typically create the final gap down to the low which, if it reverses quickly, indicates a Buy Zone area for the Dark Pools. These patterns are what I call "Shifts of Sentiment." They happen in bottom formations where buying is generally dominated by the Largest Institutions' quiet accumulation.
The next phase will be when Professional Traders and then High Frequency Traders discover the Dark Pool accumulation. The bottom is not complete, but it shifts sideways if more Dark Pools decide to buy.
The Ultimate Day Trading Framework: Rules for Consistent SuccessThese are general trading rules that serve as a foundation for your strategy. You must work on them further to develop a precise plan tailored to your preferences, the markets you trade, your time zone, and other related variables. The goal is to create a clear, actionable framework that you can follow consistently every single trading day. 🔍📈📊
General Trading Rules
Categorize Observations into Binary Decisions
Simplify decisions into two options (e.g., Risk On vs. Risk Off).
Decision determines the trade approach. ⚖️
Follow a Rule-Based System
Rules are essential for processing setups quickly and accurately. 🛠️
Focus on keeping the process simple and systematic.
Market Conditions
Trend vs. Trading Range
Trend:
Look to swing more of your position.
Uptrend: Prioritize buying. 📈
Downtrend: Prioritize selling. 📉
Trading Range:
Buy low and sell high (scalping focus). 💱
Risk Management
Evaluate Risk On vs. Risk Off for each setup. 🚦
Probability Assessment
Categorize setups as High Probability vs. Low Probability. ✅❌
Execution
Stay Agile
Constantly assess market conditions and adapt strategies accordingly. 🔄
Focus on Key Setups
On average, expect about 40 setups per day.
Be selective and only act on setups that meet your criteria. 🎯
By personalizing these rules and following them diligently, you can bring clarity and consistency to your trading process.
How to Trade Christmas and New Year Winter Holidays
As the winter holidays are already around the corner, you should know exactly when to stop trading and close your trades, and when to resume.
In this article, you will learn how Christmas and New Year holidays affect the financial markets and I will share with you my trading schedule.
First, let's discuss how winter holidays influence the markets.
Winter holidays lead to a dramatic reduction in trading volumes.
Many traders and investors take vacations in that period.
Major financial institutions, banks, hedge funds often operate with reduced staffing and early closes or are completely close for holidays.
All these factors inevitably lead to the diminished trading activity.
Look at the schedule of official banking holidays in many countries.
Since Tuesday 24th, the banks are officially closed in Europe, UK, USA and so on.
But why should you care?
If you have free time, why can't you continue trading?
Even if you trade technical analysis, you should admit the fact the fundamentals are the main driver for significant price movements.
One of the major sources of high impact fundamentals is the economic news releases in the economic calendar.
Look at the economic calendar.
You can see that the last day of high impact news releases will be Friday, December 20th.
After that, the calendar is completely empty.
The absence of impactful fundamentals will inevitably make the markets stagnate, making trading very boring.
Above is the EURUSD price chart with ATR technical indicator (the one that measure the market volatility).
We see a clear drop in volatility during a winter holiday season.
You can behold a similar pattern on Gold chart.
With the big politicians taking vacations during the holidays season,
we tend to see the local easing of geological tensions accompanied by a lack of significant foreign and domestic policy actions and announcements.
That's the US congressional calendar.
There are no sessions since December 23rd.
But there is one more reason why you should not trade during winter holidays.
The absence of big players on the market will decrease the overall trading volumes - the liquidity.
Lower liquidity will unavoidably increase the bid/ask spreads.
The widened spreads will make trading more costly, especially if you are scalping or day trading.
And when should you resume trading?
It always depends on how actively the markets wake up after holidays.
The minimal starting day will be January 6th.
I usually do not trade this week and just watch how the markets starts moving.
I prefer to begin my trading year from Monday next week, the January 13th.
Holidays seasons will be the best period for you to do the back testing and learning.
Pick a trading strategy that you want to trade with in a new year and sacrifice your time to back test it on different instruments.
Learn important theory and various techniques, relax and prepare your self for a new trading season.
Have a great time, traders!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Rate cuts and their impact on the marketsRate cuts and their impact on the markets
The Fed's decisions to cut interest rates, while seeking to stimulate the economy, have had a mixed effect on financial markets. On the one hand, these measures tend to favor equity assets by reducing funding costs and encouraging investment. On the other hand, in an environment of global uncertainty and expectations of recession, rate cuts have been interpreted by some investors as a sign of economic weakness, which has contributed to the fall in stock market indices.
In this context, investors have migrated towards assets considered safer, such as Treasury bonds, which has generated significant movements in sovereign debt yields. This behavior directly affects traders' strategies during the Quadruple Witching Hour, when position adjustment is usually more intense.
Quadruple Witching Hour amid market declines
With markets facing recent declines, the Quadruple Witching Hour could amplify volatility due to several factors:
1. Massive position adjustments: Investors looking to protect their portfolios or close open positions could generate sharp movements in stock and index prices.
2. Impact on liquidity: In an environment of uncertainty, liquidity could be reduced, making price movements even more pronounced.
3. Impact on specific sectors: Companies that are more sensitive to interest rates, such as technology and real estate, could experience greater pressure due to changing investor expectations.
Outlook and strategies
In this environment, investors should be particularly attentive to:
1. Evolving expectations about monetary policy: Any changes in Fed language or economic data could influence market participants' decisions during the Quadruple Witching Hour.
2. Risk management: Using hedging strategies, such as options or inverse ETFs, can be key to mitigating the impact of volatility.
3. Opportunities in volatility: For more experienced traders, sharp price movements may offer opportunities to generate short-term profits.
In conclusion, the Quadruple Witching Hour in the current environment of Fed rate cuts and market declines represents both a challenge and an opportunity. Careful planning and a clear understanding of the factors at play will be essential to navigate this period successfully.
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
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VARAUSD Additional Bullish SignalsOn the monthly a rare green dot has appeared on the Monthly chart. With the channels remaining open and no indication of a red dot a reversal to the upside is statistically more likely than a continuation. Plus the lower price point is a retest of support. Also a massive order wall exists just above $0.02. And lastly, these signals are present in multiple correlates assets. Each of my posts show clear evidense a reversal has already occurred. It is BTC that has the alt coins sitting on the sidelines.
Stock Of The Day / 12.19.24 / OMER12.19.2024 / NASDAQ:OMER
Fundamentals. Growth on the back of positive results from a treatment trial.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: A pullback on an uptrend after a long accumulation. Strong daily level 12.00 is ahead, which stopped the upward movement at the end of November.
Premarket: Gap Up by 30% on moderate volume.
Trading session: After the opening, we observe a trending upward movement with confirmation of the 12.00 level. We observe a volume output that is twice the volume at the beginning of the trading session some time after the breakout of the 12.00 level. This may serve as a signal for the trend to be exhausted. We consider a short deal in case of a return below the 12.00 level.
Trading scenario: false breakout with retest of level 12.00
Entry: 11.78 on the breakdown of the structure of the mini-tightening after the breakout and retest of level 12.00.
Stop: 12.06 we hide it behind the level with a reserve for slippage.
Exit: Close part of the position before the level of the first pullback 10.60 (RR 1/4), close the remaining part of the position upon return and holding above the level of 10.60 (RR 1/4).
Risk Reward: 1/4
Analyzing Market Trends and FED Interest Rate Decisions "SPX"The daily chart above highlights FED interest rate cut decisions with vertical lines. I've used the DJI ticker instead of SPX, as it provides a more comprehensive representation of the overall market, unaffected by the dominance of the Magnificent Seven.
My analysis focuses on monthly candle peaks (indicating overbought conditions) and lows (indicating oversold conditions), as well as direction reversals. This cycle repeats, forming higher highs and higher lows. By identifying these patterns, we can determine the market direction, which is either trending upward (green) or downward (red).
Now we know the direction where the market is heading. Its either trending to form a new higher high OR new higher low.
With that understanding, when we plot vertical lines on FED decision days, the direction has not changed. HOWEVER, the decision is accelerating the market direction to its targeted price(either higher high or higher low).
The above guidance is for swing traders for a duration of about 2/3 weeks. Intraday traders can benefit this by looking at days high and low before decision announcement and knowing where the market is generally headed.
As a trader, I utilize custom-built screener tables that cascade data across multiple timeframes and stocks/sectors. This unique approach provides a fascinating big-picture perspective, highlighting strong stocks and sectors.
Reach out to me OR follow me for further insights.
Happy Trading!!