Get started

Community ideas

Testing Candlestick Patterns on Real DataIn his fundamental book "Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts," Thomas Bulkowski tested dozens of candlestick patterns using S&P market data. His research revealed that many well-known patterns perform quite differently from what conventional wisdom suggests. In this video, I’ll show you how to conduct a similar analysis using your own data to determine whether those fancy "Hammers" and "Shooting Stars" actually give you an edge in trading.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
HOW TO FIND 100X MEMECOIN???Hi i want to make this post as an educational content after 1 year from previous educational posts which i had. i speak very usual that you can understand content well. First you should consider this that maybe there are around 100 or 1000 or even 10000 Meme coins out there to be found. But only 10 of them is valuable and can be next DOGE or SHIBA or PEPE or ....(comment below some valuable Meme which i didn't write). 1. First of all Meme should have a good story that after reeded buy audience they said i should buy some of this token for my children or my self long-term. i will explain two good story for you as an example: A. In May 2021, Shiba creator sent the rest to Ethereum co-founder Buterin, who burned 90% of them to increase their value and then donated the remaining 10%. B. Or Doge Creator which started the token as a Joke and then Elon Mask supports over years. conclusion: Meme coins are now for dreaming and need a good back story and people need to talk with each other about the funny story of it and boom 🚀. so search for stories like these two examples or the other stories like we are loving dogs or cats so lets go and buy the meme token of it lol. But that story wont work on every animal names so take care don't rush to every animal name token which usually are falling hard after some fake pump. 2. Second you need to find strong community now all meme coins have groups and chats before buying go join and see how they are preforming for month and then decide to invest. 3. Third check updates and ... which they had on their own token and see what are the future plans or listing and .... 4. Forth always check the major wallets of that Meme token here are some factors you should be afraid of it: A. if the huge amount of token like 30% or 50% is in one wallet B. if the huge amount of token like 70% or 80% is in the hand of one exchange: so it is usually a meme token created by that exchange and other exchange wont list it forever usually and also it created by that exchange with fake pump in green market days to sell you that token and one day it eventually fall hard i see in different exchanges deferent token like this with high fake volume on it but i can not name here and after 2-10 months they dump 70-80% fall and low volume and delisted. conclusion: be afraid of tokens which huge amounts are in specific wallet because they are usually dangerous also remember they can easily create fake wallets and divide tokens to different wallets so best thing is to check major 20 wallets of that token and see if those wallets hold any other tokens and are really whales or it is fake wallets that all in that meme. 5. Fifth high liquidity: check the Meme token have high liquidity because one day soon or late you want to sell it. Disclaimer: The content below this are not any more 100% Educational but it is another example i provide for better understanding. This is the beginning of this 1300% pump we had on Luffyusdt: why i open long on Luffyusdt meme? i checked almost all of the things mentioned above. the story was all right here we have first anime token since 2021 running and they make web3 site to bring anime lovers together and .... i check the team behind that and i checked evert 0-25 main wallets of this token and see in that 25 wallets 10 of the was whale and 5 of them was exchanges and major wallet is Dead wallet which means they burn 45% of token until now. this token soon would be 100X in my opinion because it has the potential. this is my own view and it may be wrong because we are living in crypto market so do your own research always and jump check your major meme holding and hold only valuable one. any questions or thoughts mentioned in the comments. also Disclaimer : Trade based on your own experience and research and knowledge.
Education
by MMBTtrader
33
GANN TRADING LESSON - GANN BOX & TIME CYCLE 144GANN BOX & TIME CYCLE 144 are two pivotal tools introduced by W.D. Gann , a legendary figure in financial markets. These tools integrate time and price dynamics seamlessly, providing traders with revolutionary methods to analyze market movements. Here, we’ll explore these tools and how traders can apply them to achieve greater precision and insight in their trading. Understanding the interplay between time and price is a cornerstone of effective trading. What is Gann’s Box? Gann’s Box is a synthetic coordinate system that enables traders to analyze price dynamics within structured time and price parameters. The box helps visualize patterns and understand the relationship between upward and downward movements over specific periods. By using this tool, traders can: Identify directional trends. Recognize structural alternations of price movement. Pinpoint significant turning points in the market. Principles of the Gann Box First Principle: Directional Price Movements The Gann Box segments price movements into discrete directional sections. These sections reveal periods of trend continuation or reversal. By overlaying a box on the chart from a significant extremum, traders can observe how price respects its boundaries over time. Second Principle: Structure of Movement Markets alternate between upward and downward movements in a structured and often periodic manner. Gann’s Box allows traders to: Detect these alternations. Visualize corrections versus trend-directed movements. Forecast future structural changes based on historical patterns. Cycle 144: A Unique Trading Model Gann’s Cycle 144 is an advanced application of the Gann Box. It involves a fixed time cycle of 144 units (e.g., hours, days, or any chosen timeframe) and is based on the following principles: Begin at the Extremum: The cycle always starts at a key high or low. End After 144 Units: The cycle concludes after 144 time units. No Gaps Between Cycles: Models should seamlessly connect without gaps. Overlapping Models: Multiple cycles can operate simultaneously, enhancing prediction accuracy within the same timeframe. This model offers a comprehensive framework to predict market movements within defined intervals. Practical Steps to Apply Gann’s Box Identify Key Extremums Locate significant highs or lows on your chart to serve as the starting points. Construct the Gann Box Use the chosen extremum to calculate the parameters of the box. Ensure alignment between price and time scales. Analyze Trends and Corrections Observe how price behaves within the box, identifying trend continuations, corrections, and potential reversals. Incorporate Cycle 144 Overlay the Cycle 144 model to refine predictions, ensuring to account for overlapping cycles for greater precision. Why Gann’s Box Matters for Traders Gann’s Box is not just a tool but a framework for disciplined and informed trading. Here are its key benefits: Accurate Forecasting: Pinpoint turning points with precision. Structured Analysis: Analyze price action within a logical, visual framework. Improved Decision-Making: Reduce emotional bias by relying on objective patterns. Conclusion Gann’s Box and Cycle 144 offer traders a methodical approach to deciphering market movements. By integrating TIME & PRICE , these tools simplify the complexities of trading while providing actionable insights. As with any trading method, success lies in practice and observation. Study past market movements, experiment with Gann’s concepts, and refine your understanding. With dedication, these tools can transform your approach to trading and unlock new levels of mastery.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
Best Lot Size for Scalping Forex For Any Account Size In this article, I will teach you how to calculate the best fixed lot size for Scalping Forex for any account size in 3 simple steps. 1. Build Up a Trading Watch List In order to accurately calculate a proper lot size for scalping Forex, you need to know the exact Forex pairs that you trade. You should create a list of trading currency pairs. For the sake of the example, imagine that you trade only 4 major USD pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD 2. Do Backtesting Backtest every forex pair in your watch list and find at least 5 trading setups on each pair based on the rules of your trading strategy. Also, remember that the more setups you will find, the more accurately you will calculate the best lot size for your scalping strategy. Here are 5 trading setups on EURUSD that meet my entry criteria. After that, you should calculate a pips value of a stop loss of each trade. Below, you can see 5 trading setups on GBPUSD pair. And here are the stop losses of each trade in pips. Now, USDCAD pair. Again, here are 5 trading setups, meeting the entry rules. You can see the stop loss of each trade in pips below. And finally, 5 setups on USDJPY pair. And here are the stop losses of these trades. Among these 20 trading setups, you should find the trade with the biggest stop loss. The biggest stop loss is 15 pips on USDJPY pair. 3. Measure a Lot Size Open Forex position size calculator. You can take any free position size calculator that is available. Fill all the fields. In currency pair input, the forex pair with the biggest stop loss - USDJPY in our example. Account currency - your account currency, let's take USD. Account size - your account size, let's take 10000$. Risk ratio - that will be the risk % of your trading account per trade, input 1.5%. Stop Loss - input a pip value of the biggest stop loss that you found - 15 pips. And click calculate. That will be the best lot size for scalping Forex with your trading strategy. The idea is that our maximum loss will not exceed 1.5% of the trading account balance. While the average risk per trade will be around 1%. Before you start scalping Forex on a real account, it is very important to know how to properly calculate your risks. Trading with the fixed lot, this technique will help you to calculate the best lot size for your trades. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
14
HOW TO INCREASE YOUR OVERALL WIN RATE BY 10%+ Hi again everyone As promised, once a week I'll be bringing simple yet comprehensive guides to improve your over all trading! Here's your next MAGNIFICENT gift! I wasn't gonna do this topic but based on what I have been seeing among a bunch of traders.....this is DEFINITELY NEEDED . As always i really appreciate the support and upvote if you like the weekly posts so far and want more! Let's get right into it! 1. Understand that above all else, market structure (MS) always always always reigns supreme. Not fundamentals. Not news. Not "financial instutions" (that one cracks me up), but MARKET STRUCTURE. All of the other things mentioned above play their ROLES in market structure, but they do not MAKE market structure. P.S. Of course major red folders like FOMC, NFP, CPI, etc etc will affect it, but that does not change the facts of #1. Zoom out to gain overall perspective and bias direction, Zoom in to get the details needed within that bias to start finding confluence and begin creating that entry situation to come. 2. DO NOT, and i do repeat, DO NOT get in the habit of changing your bias mid day or multiple times a day/week, UNLESS the market calls for it. (mainly through major points in structure being broken, but there are various ways to determine this with indicators amongst other things like candlestick structure and trendlines, fibs, and other tools.) I see so many traders lose on a day they would CAKED on had they just stuck to their bias. Trusting in your bias is not only needed, but it is a super power and shows your conviction in your strategy. 3. Stop listening to randoms not just here, but on any platform, and develop YOUR OWN EDGE in the market based on your understanding..... OR..... find a extremely talented and trustworthy mentor to guide you. Regardless, good luck on your own if your ego does not allow you to learn. I trade far better than the vast majority of people and I remain in contact with my mentor so no excuses . 4. Master candlestick analysis. You know how I catch big moves in the market???? Well, its certainly not by ignoring candlestick analysis. Candlesticks will always tell you where breakouts will occur on lower timeframes, and they'll always tell you how wide the range of the market is as well as show you with the wicks which side is getting weaker, but on the higher timeframe. reread that ^. Literally gave you guys my sauce to interpreting candlesticks on top of posting this for you guys. 5. Control your emotions, king, 6. Trail your stop loss after 25-30 pips gained, everytime. especially in the beginning, since the winners won't come as often, you need to capitalize on winning trades. Any trade that ends in NET positive profit is a winner. point, blank, period. Even if it hits your trailing stop loss, study it! Even if it hits your take profit, study it! Feedback leads to growth.... always. 7. Backtest, backtest, backtest. Make the $15 USD investment and study your edge. study study study notate and improve! innovate and grow!!!! Backtesting is where you test what you know, look your L's and W's in the face and make that committment to see more W's than L's. HONESTLY, this should increase your win rate by 20% if you're already coming in with some experience. For the newer guys, you're welcome. your trading skill is about to skyrocket, if YOU decide to put that work in. I promise that god wants you to win, if you do!!! GOODLUCK Gs
Education
by PipSniperJ
42
How I Execute Trades Using Gann’s Square of 9Here in this example, I have used the Square of 9 method to predict a potential market reversal and executions. W.D. Gann, a legendary trader and analyst, is renowned for his pioneering techniques in financial markets. Among his tools, the Square of 9 stands out as a remarkable system to predict market turning points with precision. In this blog, we’ll explore the fundamentals of the Square of 9, how it works, and how we can use it to improve timing and decision-making in the markets. What is the Square of 9? The Square of 9 is a spiral-based numerical grid where numbers are arranged in a square, starting from 1 at the center and spiraling outward. Each number on the grid has angular relationships with other numbers, which Gann believed could forecast significant market movements. For instance: Numbers at the same angles (e.g., 39, 67, 105, 150) share a relationship that can signify potential turning points in the market. By marking these numbers and aligning them with trading days, we can identify key dates for potential price reversals. Core Assumptions in Price Dynamics Gann’s methods rely on two key assumptions: Repetition in Price and Time: Price tends to follow specific patterns or laws over defined intervals of time. Structured Alternation: The up-and-down movements of price are not random; they alternate in a structured, periodic manner. These assumptions form the foundation for analyzing price action through tools like the Square of 9. How to Use the Square of 9 Step 1: Identify Key Market Extremes Begin by locating significant highs or lows on a price chart. These extremums act as the starting point for your calculations. Step 2: Calculate Calendar Days Count the number of calendar days between: Two highs, Two lows, or A high and a low. Step 3: Locate the Number on the Square of 9 Find the calculated number (e.g., 39) on the Square of 9. Then, mark other numbers that lie on the same angle or corner, such as 67, 105, or 150. Step 4: Predict Turning Points Mark these numbers as potential future dates. On these dates, observe the market closely for signs of reversals or continuations. Practical Example Now let's Analyse GOLD. In this example we will take a daily candle that is making an all time high. From that high we will count the very next extreme high or low. How many trading days it takes to reach that price point and make a reversal? - 40 Trading days. Now we will look for the number 40 in Gann square of 9 table. and the very next probable execution or reversal we will get after 70 days according to the table. We see sharp price movement after 70th day and then at 180th day where we can place our order and execute with other confirmations. Benefits of Using the Square of 9 Enhanced Timing: Pinpoint potential reversal dates, helping traders refine entry and exit strategies. Objective Forecasting: Use a structured approach to reduce emotional decision-making. Improved Accuracy: Combine the Square of 9 with other technical tools for more reliable predictions. Conclusion The Square of 9 is a powerful tool for traders who seek to integrate time and price analysis into their strategies. By understanding its mechanics and applying its principles, you can anticipate market turns with greater confidence. As with any trading tool, practice and observation are essential. Study past market movements using the Square of 9 to develop your intuition and skill. With dedication, you’ll unlock the potential of this fascinating method and take your trading to the next level.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
1
The Psychology behind the OverconfidenceHave you ever been convinced that your next trade was destined to succeed, only to watch it go south? Overconfidence is a prevalent obstacle in trading, affecting both novices and veterans alike. Research indicates that traders who feel a high level of control over market dynamics are often the ones who incur substantial losses due to erroneous decisions. Overconfidence manifests when traders inflate their perception of their skills, market knowledge, or ability to forecast price movements. This dangerous mindset can blind them to lurking risks and lead to impulsive decisions. While confidence can be a positive trait when rooted in careful analysis and experience, overconfidence typically arises from emotional biases and previous successes. In an unpredictable market, managing overconfidence is crucial for a sustainable trading journey. Understanding Overconfidence in Trading Overconfidence in trading refers to the tendency of traders to believe they possess superior abilities in predicting market behavior. Unlike constructive confidence, which is born from experience and diligent decision-making, overconfidence is a cognitive bias that creates the illusion of enhanced control and skill. This self-delusion can be especially harmful in volatile markets where outcomes can shift unexpectedly. Traders who fall into the trap of overconfidence often assume they can consistently "outsmart" the market based on a few prior successes or assumptions. This can lead to a reckless disregard for risks, such as underestimating potential market downturns or ignoring crucial economic indicators. The impact of overconfidence on decision-making is significant. It clouds a trader’s judgment, prompting hasty actions rather than careful evaluations. Instead of thoroughly analyzing market data or considering a range of perspectives, overconfident traders often rely on gut instincts, frequently without backing their decisions with technical or fundamental analysis. As a result, they might enter high-risk trades without an appropriate risk assessment, leading to avoidable trading errors and considerable losses, especially during rapid market shifts. How Overconfidence Impacts Trading Performance The detrimental effects of overconfidence on trading performance are multi-faceted and primarily encourage heightened risk-taking. One of the clearest signs of this tendency is the tendency to increase position sizes. Overconfident traders, convinced they have a distinct advantage, may take on larger positions than their risk appetite allows, exposing themselves to greater potential losses if the market moves against them. The allure of leveraging can amplify both gains and losses, and excessive leverage can lead to margin calls, resulting in forced position liquidations. Overconfidence can also lead traders to disregard essential market signals. Such traders may overlook technical and fundamental analysis in favor of their instincts or previous successes. For instance, a trader might open a position even when indicators suggest a decline, purely because of their strong conviction. This tendency can result in them holding onto losing trades for too long, hoping for a reversal when the market's trajectory might not support such optimism. Over time, this behavior can accumulate losses and negatively impact overall profitability. Ultimately, overconfident traders become less adaptable, often resistant to acknowledging their mistakes. This rigidity and the failure to adhere to a disciplined trading strategy can deplete the gains achieved during fortunate periods, leading to inconsistent performance and in some cases, catastrophic financial repercussions. Psychological Triggers Behind Overconfidence Several psychological factors contribute to overconfidence in trading. Success bias and confirmation bias are two of the most prominent. Success bias occurs when traders experience a successful streak, leading them to believe their strategies or skills are foolproof. This temporary success can create a misleading sense of invulnerability, causing traders to take excess risks, overlook critical market signals, or stray from their established trading plans. The thrill of achievement can obstruct the ability to see potential pitfalls. Confirmation bias compounds these issues by shaping how traders process information. Overconfident traders tend to seek and interpret information that aligns with their existing beliefs, discarding any contradictory data. For example, if a trader has a steadfast belief in the potential of a particular asset, they may only focus on favorable news or indicators, ignoring negative developments. This selective analysis reinforces their overconfidence, leading to poor judgment and increased exposure to risk. Understanding these psychological triggers is key for traders who wish to keep their overconfidence in check and enhance their trading acumen. By recognizing the influences of success bias and confirmation bias, traders can actively take steps to mitigate their impact, fostering a more disciplined and analytical trading approach. Cautionary Tales of Overconfidence in Trading Real-world examples of overconfidence in trading serve as sobering reminders for traders at all experience levels. One notable case is Jesse Livermore, a renowned trader from the early 20th century. Livermore achieved significant profits through his exceptional ability to predict market trends. However, after experiencing considerable success, he developed an overinflated sense of his capabilities, prompting him to engage in reckless trading decisions. This overconfidence ultimately led him to invest heavily in stocks just before the 1929 market crash, resulting in devastating financial losses. His story highlights that even the most skilled traders can succumb to overconfidence, underscoring the importance of discipline and humility. Another cautionary tale is that of Nick Leeson, who orchestrated the downfall of Barings Bank in the late 1990s. Initially praised for his trading skills, Leeson’s overconfidence burgeoned after a series of successful trades. This hubris drove him to employ unauthorized and excessively risky trading strategies, culminating in £827 million in losses. His failure to acknowledge the severity of his actions, fueled by a belief in his trading prowess, played a pivotal role in the collapse of one of the oldest banks in the UK. This illustrates that overconfidence can have profound consequences, both for individuals and the institutions they represent. Strategies to Combat Overconfidence in Trading Mitigating overconfidence is essential for achieving long-term profitability and minimizing risks. Here are several strategies traders can implement to strike a balance between confidence and caution: #1 Cultivating Discipline and Humility Discipline is foundational for successful trading. Traders should commit to their trading strategies and rules, resisting the impulse to deviate due to emotional reactions. Creating a detailed trading plan that outlines entry and exit strategies, position sizes, and risk-reward ratios can help prevent impulsive decisions driven by overconfidence. Humility is equally vital in counterbalancing confidence. By acknowledging the unpredictability of the market and the limitations of their knowledge, traders can help temper their overconfidence. This humble approach promotes continuous learning and enables traders to adapt their strategies based on new information and shifting market conditions. Read Also : #2 Data-Driven Decision-Making Relying on data to guide decisions is a robust strategy against overconfidence. Traders who rely on instincts or past successes may overlook critical information. A comprehensive trading plan should incorporate both technical and fundamental analyses and be rooted in objective data rather than subjective feelings. Regularly reviewing and adjusting trading strategies based on performance metrics and market developments can reinforce discipline and counteract emotional decision-making. Read Also: #3 Implementing Strong Risk Management Robust risk management strategies are crucial in curbing overconfidence. Traders are often drawn to excessive risk when confidence is high, so outlining a maximum acceptable loss for each trade can provide a protective barrier against substantial losses. Stop-loss orders can be effective tools for limiting downside risk. Diversification of investments across various asset classes, sectors, and geographic regions can mitigate the adverse effects of individual trade losses. Recognizing that trading inherently carries risks allows traders to adopt a more prudent and balanced approach to their investments. Read Also: Conclusion Overconfidence in trading is a prevalent yet perilous barrier that can lead to severe financial setbacks. Identifying key psychological factors, including success bias and confirmation bias, is essential in addressing and reducing the impact of overconfidence. By practicing discipline, relying on data-driven insights, and implementing effective risk management strategies, traders can defend against the pitfalls of overconfidence. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this educational post in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate! Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution
Education
by FOREXN1
3
Analyzing Tokens with the Overall Crypto Market CapWhen analyzing individual tokens like XRP/USD, it’s crucial to consider the bigger picture—the overall crypto market cap. Market cap movements provide a bird's-eye view of the entire crypto ecosystem, acting as a barometer for where individual tokens may be headed. Here’s why using confluences between market cap charts and specific tokens is a powerful approach: Market Structure Alignment: The total crypto market cap gives a clear indication of the overall trend—whether we’re in a bullish cycle with higher highs or a consolidation phase. For example, as the market cap approaches key levels like $3.44T and targets $4.44T, this reinforces the bullish structure, supporting the idea that tokens like XRP will also push higher. Key Levels and Targets: Market cap charts help identify critical zones, such as liquidity areas, support/resistance, and Fibonacci retracement levels. These align with similar levels on token charts like XRP/USD. For instance, XRP’s retest of $2.90 aligns with market cap breaking into higher territory. Momentum Validation: Tokens rarely move independently of the broader market. If the market cap shows strong volume, sustained breakouts, or key retests, it validates token-specific moves. If XRP/USD is showing bullish momentum, but the market cap is stagnant or bearish, this could signal a divergence. Confluence = Confidence: By combining token-specific technical analysis (e.g., Fibonacci, trendlines, or order blocks) with macro-level analysis from the market cap, traders gain stronger confirmation for their trades. For example, XRP’s trajectory toward new highs is further supported when the total market cap follows a clear path upward. Key Takeaways: The crypto market cap is currently showing bullish structure, targeting $4.44T. This aligns with XRP’s path toward $2.90 and beyond. Temporary pullbacks in the market cap or XRP are healthy for building support and creating stronger candles for higher breakouts. Always zoom out—weekly and monthly time frames on the market cap chart provide clarity on long-term trends and help eliminate "noise." Understanding the interplay between individual tokens and the broader market is essential for making educated trading decisions. Crypto isn’t just about isolated assets; it’s about the entire ecosystem working in harmony. What’s your take on aligning market cap analysis with token trades? Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by MoNi_MoN
What is Bitcoin ‘Pairs Trading’? (Example: ETH/BTC)This is for anybody who wants to sell some Bitcoin but is still bullish crypto. 🚀 It’s also if you’re neutral on crypto but think Bitcoin is overvalued vs other tokens. It’s also just if you’re just interested to see a way to apply a pairs trading strategy . In case you’ve been hiding under a rock, Bitcoin just broke over $100k - No more waiting for the HODLRS!! Naturally after hitting this massive milestone, some traders are going to be thinking about taking profits. And if they’re thinking it, some of them are going to be doing it. But let’s forget about selling for a moment, are you really buying more BTC when it just hit $100k and it's up ~150% this year? So even if there is not more active selling interest, there’s probably less buying interest. I think you’d be mad (or very brave) to bet against Bitcoin. BUT Are these scenarios possible? Bitcoin trades sideways for a while after hitting $100k Alt season kicks in and other cryptos play catchup If you think yes to at least one of these, my team and me have been looking at a pairs trade What is pairs trading? Pairs trading in crypto is a market-neutral trading strategy that involves taking a long position in one cryptocurrency and a short position in another, based on the assumption that their historical price relationship will revert to the mean. The point is to profit from the relative price movement between the two assets, i.e. not the absolute ups or downs of one asset like Bitcoin. ETH/BTC I put this crypto pair this way around - I’m not sure if you’re meant to - it just kind of reminds me of EUR/USD in forex trading. So as a reminder, ETH/BTC is Ethereum’s token Ether priced in Bitcoin. When Ether outperforms Bitcoin it goes up and when Ether underperforms Bitcoin, it goes down. So it doesn’t actually matter if Bitcoin goes up, down or sideways, if you’re trading ETH/BTC - what matters is what one does relative to the other. Well this thing has been going down a lot! Until recently. Going back to the idea of pairs trading - the thesis here is that the Ethererum/Bitcoin price ratio has dropped to bargain levels and could be about to recover. I’m not going to lie to you - there are a lot of sore hands out there from trying to catch this falling knife! But this rebound off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020-21 rally has caught our attention. Dropping to the daily chart, can you see how 0.4000 has acted like a magnet to the price both from above and below? 0.4 is our line in the sand for long positions. Equally, our risk is well defined in this setup. A drop back under the 61.8% Fib level around 0.32 means the idea isn’t working and it's time to get out and let Bitcoin do its thing! How to trade it Specific entries and exits depend on your personal risk tolerance, but broadly there are THREE methods here: 1. Crypto-to-Crypto Spot Trading Trade ETH directly for BTC (or vice versa) on a cryptocurrency exchange. This is straightforward and involves holding the actual assets. 2. CFD Trading (Contracts for Difference) Speculate on ETH/BTC price movements using CFDs without owning the underlying cryptocurrencies. This allows for leverage and the ability to short-sell. 3. Spread Trading Buy ETH and simultaneously short BTC (or vice versa) with equal dollar value to profit from their relative price movement while minimizing exposure to overall market trends. But that’s just how we are seeing things? Do you think this is bananas, or could we be onto something? Please let us know in the comments Cheers! Jasper. Chief Market Analyst, Trading Writers
Education
by jasperlawler
PROVEN STRATEGY FOR PROFITSThe Truth About the Holy Grail Market Strategy Every trader dreams of finding that perfect strategy—the so-called "Holy Grail" that guarantees success. The one that wins every trade, beats every market condition, and transforms your account overnight. Here’s the secret: it doesn’t exist. Why do we chase it, then? Because we’ve been conditioned from a young age to believe there’s always a right answer. In school, careers, and life, we’re taught to strive for perfection and fear mistakes. This mindset slips into trading, where losses feel like personal failures instead of natural steps in the process. Unfortunately, this is also why strategies claiming "100% accuracy" get so much attention. They feed into our hope of finding that mythical Holy Grail. People flock to these posts, hitting like, commenting, and even buying courses—all based on a fantasy. And the creators? They profit off this hope, knowing full well that no strategy is foolproof. The reality is, trading isn’t about being right. It’s about being consistent. The pros aren’t chasing Holy Grails—they’re managing risk, mastering probabilities, and playing the long game. If you’re stuck in the trap of searching for perfection, stop and ask yourself: Am I being sold a dream instead of learning the skills that matter? Success in trading doesn’t come from avoiding losses but from mastering how to lose small and win big. Once you realize that, you’ll stop chasing myths and start building something real. ✨ Forget the Holy Grail. Focus on discipline, probabilities, and growth. ✨ FOLLOW ME FOR MORE SUCH CONTENT AHEAD Till then, HAPPY TRADING :)
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
Mastering Risk Management: The Silent Key to Trading SuccessMastering Risk Management: The Silent Key to Trading Success In the world of trading, risk management is often the unsung hero. While many traders obsess over finding the perfect strategy or predicting the next market move, those who truly succeed understand that managing risk is the cornerstone of long-term profitability. Without it, even the most brilliant trading plan can crumble. With it, you build a resilient foundation that allows you to weather the inevitable storms and capitalize on opportunities. What is Risk Management? Risk management isn't just a set of rules; it's a mindset and a discipline. It’s the process of identifying, assessing, and controlling potential losses. This goes beyond simply setting stop-loss orders or adjusting position sizes. It's about adopting a framework that ensures every trading decision is made with a clear understanding of the potential downside. Before entering any trade, ask yourself: "What am I willing to lose?" rather than "How much could I gain?" Why Risk Management Matters Imagine driving a car without brakes. No matter how powerful the engine or how skilled the driver, the lack of brakes turns every journey into a potential disaster. In trading, risk management is your braking system. It keeps you in control, preventing small mistakes from turning into catastrophic losses. Many traders focus on their win rate, but it's the size of your losses that often determines your success. Even a strategy with a 50% win rate can be highly profitable if your average loss is much smaller than your average gain. Conversely, a trader who wins 80% of the time but suffers massive losses on the other 20% will likely fail in the long run. Practical Steps to Effective Risk Management Know Your Risk Tolerance: Every trader is different. Understand how much capital you're comfortable risking per trade. For many, this is 1-2% of their total account. This ensures that no single loss can wipe you out. Set Stop-Losses and Stick to Them: A stop-loss isn't just a suggestion—it’s a commitment. Place your stop-loss at a point that invalidates your trade idea, not just where it feels convenient. Once it's set, never move it in the heat of the moment. Position Sizing: The size of your position should be based on the distance to your stop-loss and the percentage of your capital you're willing to risk. If a trade requires a wider stop, consider reducing your position size to maintain consistent risk. Diversify Smartly: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversification doesn’t mean trading more; it means spreading your risk. Avoid overexposure to a single market or asset class. Accept and Learn from Losses: Losses are part of trading. What separates successful traders from the rest is their ability to minimize those losses and learn from them. Every loss is a lesson—an opportunity to refine your approach and strengthen your discipline. The Emotional Side of Risk Management Emotions are one of the biggest challenges traders face. Fear and greed can lead to impulsive decisions, such as holding onto losing trades in the hope they’ll turn around or risking too much on a single "sure thing." Effective risk management helps counteract these emotional pitfalls. When you know your risk is controlled, you trade with greater confidence and clarity. Sticking to your risk management plan, especially during a losing streak, can be tough. It requires discipline and patience. But remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Protecting your capital today ensures you have the opportunity to trade tomorrow. Conclusion Risk management isn't the most glamorous part of trading, but it is the most vital. It's the foundation upon which all successful trading is built. Without it, even the best strategies and the most skilled traders are vulnerable. With it, you create a framework that allows you to navigate the unpredictable markets with confidence. In trading, it's not about how much you can make—it’s about how much you can keep. Master risk management, and you master the art of trading.
BLACKBULL:US30Education
by Road_2_Funded
What Countries Use the US Dollar?What Countries Use the US Dollar? The US dollar is more than just the currency of the United States; it's a global powerhouse used by countries worldwide. Whether as legal tender or alongside local currencies, the US dollar plays a significant role in international trade and finance. In this article, we’ll explore what countries use American dollars, where it circulates alongside local money, and why its influence extends far beyond US borders. Overview of the US Dollar as a Global Currency The US dollar (USD) has held a dominant position in global finance since the mid-20th century. After World War II, the Bretton Woods Agreement established the USD as the backbone of the international monetary system, linking it to gold and making it the preferred currency for trade and investment. Even though the gold standard was abandoned in the 1970s, the US dollar remained crucial for international transactions. Today, the USD is the world's primary reserve currency, held by central banks across the globe to stabilise economies and facilitate trade. As of Q2 2024, nearly 60% of all global foreign exchange reserves are in dollars, and it accounts for 88% of forex trades (as of April 2022). The USD is used in pricing major commodities like oil, gold, and metals, further solidifying its role in global markets. Want to observe how prices of these commodities have changed over the years? Head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform to get started with real-time charts. Countries often hold USD as a hedge against their own currencies' volatility or to back their financial systems. Whether through official dollarisation or pegs, many economies depend on the USD for economic stability and international trade. What Countries Use the US Dollar? Several countries around the world have adopted the US dollar as their official currency, a practice known as dollarisation. This usually happens when a nation decides that using the USD will provide greater economic stability than their local currency, particularly in countries that have struggled with high inflation or political instability. So how many countries have dollar currency? - Ecuador: After a severe economic downturn, Ecuador adopted the US dollar in 2000. By using the USD, Ecuador stabilised its economy, controlled inflation, and regained investor confidence. - El Salvador: El Salvador is a country where the US dollar is the legal currency. In 2001, it switched to the USD to increase economic stability and promote foreign investment. This move has helped the country maintain inflation at lower levels. - Zimbabwe: After facing hyperinflation in the late 2000s, Zimbabwe abandoned its currency in 2009 and began using several foreign currencies, including the USD. However, the country has struggled with stability and frequently shifts between foreign currencies and local ones. - Timor-Leste: Since 2000, Timor-Leste has used the USD to help stabilise its economy, which was heavily reliant on foreign aid and oil exports. - British Virgin Islands: An overseas British territory, the British Virgin Islands, uses USD as its official currency due to its strong trade links with the US and its role as a financial hub. - Turks and Caicos Islands: Another British overseas territory in the Caribbean, Turks and Caicos also uses the USD, mainly because of its heavy reliance on tourism from the United States. - Micronesia, Palau, and the Marshall Islands: These Pacific island nations have long-standing agreements with the US, adopting the US dollar as part of their Compacts of Free Association, which provide economic aid and defence in exchange for using the USD. - Bonaire, Sint Eustatius, and Saba: Collectively referred to as the Caribbean Netherlands, they officially adopted the United States dollar (USD) as their currency on January 1, 2011, following the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in 2010. The switch to the USD was aimed at enhancing economic stability and simplifying transactions with the United States, a key trade partner and significant source of tourism for the region. Countries and Territories Where the US Dollar Is Used Alongside Local Currencies In many countries and territories, the US dollar is used alongside local currencies, often for international trade, tourism, or to hedge against inflation. While not officially replacing local money, the US dollar plays a vital role in these economies. Here’s a closer look at other countries that use the US dollar alongside local currencies: - Panama: Since 1904, Panama has used the US dollar alongside its local currency, the balboa. The country chose the USD due to its strong trading ties with the United States, especially with the Panama Canal's importance to global trade. - Cambodia: The riel is Cambodia’s official currency, but the US dollar is widely accepted and often preferred for larger transactions. It’s estimated that over 80% of the country’s deposits and loans are in USD, reflecting its dominance in the economy, particularly in urban areas. - Bahamas: The Bahamian dollar is pegged 1:1 to USD, and both are used interchangeably throughout the islands, especially in tourism-driven sectors. Many businesses and ATMs accept both currencies without issue. - Bermuda: The Bermudian dollar is also pegged 1:1 to the US dollar, and both are widely accepted. The USD is frequently used in international trade and by tourists visiting the island. - Belize: In Belize, the Belizean dollar is officially used, but the US dollar is accepted nearly everywhere. The local currency is pegged to the USD at a fixed rate of 2:1, and many businesses, especially those catering to tourists, price goods and services in US dollars. - Liberia: This country uses the US dollar as its paper currency alongside the Liberian dollar. The USD is often preferred for larger transactions and savings, particularly in urban areas. It has been a significant part of the country’s financial system due to its historical ties with the United States. - Myanmar (Burma): The Myanmar kyat is the official currency, but the USD is widely used, particularly in tourism, international trade, and foreign investment. Many hotels, airlines, and larger businesses will accept USD for transactions. - Lebanon: The Lebanese pound is the official currency, but the US dollar is extensively used, especially given the recent economic crisis and hyperinflation. Many sectors of the economy rely on the USD to preserve value and enable trade. - Argentina: Although the Argentine peso is the national currency, the US dollar is commonly used for savings and major purchases, such as property. High inflation and currency controls have driven many Argentinians to hold USD to protect their wealth. - Peru: While the Peruvian sol is the official currency, the USD is often used for real estate, tourism, and larger transactions. Many Peruvians prefer to keep their savings in USD to avoid potential depreciation. - Haiti: The Haitian gourde is the official currency, but the US dollar is widely accepted, particularly in the capital, Port-au-Prince. Many businesses and services cater to both the local population and tourists, pricing in both gourdes and USD. - Vietnam: While the Vietnamese dong is the official currency, the US dollar is commonly used for larger transactions, particularly in the tourism and real estate sectors. Some high-end hotels and international businesses price goods and services in USD. How Does the US Dollar Affect Economies That Don’t Use It Directly? Even countries that don’t use the US dollar directly feel its impact. Many nations peg their local currency to the USD, such as Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia. These currency pegs mean that when the value of the US dollar shifts, so does the value of their currency, affecting everything from inflation to trade competitiveness. A stronger USD can make these countries' exports more expensive and reduce demand, while a weaker dollar has the opposite effect. Additionally, a large portion of global debt, particularly in emerging markets, is issued in US dollars. If the dollar strengthens, these countries face higher costs when repaying loans, which can strain government budgets and hurt economic growth. Fluctuations in the USD also influence commodity prices, as goods like oil and gold are priced in dollars. When it rises, commodity prices often fall, impacting countries that rely on exports of these resources. Challenges of Using the US Dollar Countries that use USD, whether adopted or pegged to it, face significant challenges. The most pressing issue is the loss of monetary control. When a country uses the US dollar, it can no longer set its own interest rates or control its money supply, leaving it vulnerable to the decisions of the US Federal Reserve. For example, if the Fed raises interest rates, borrowing costs increase globally, even for economies that might not take advantage of tighter monetary policy. Countries also lose the ability to devalue their currency to make exports more competitive, which can hinder economic growth. This lack of flexibility can be problematic during local economic downturns, as governments have fewer tools to stimulate their economy or combat inflation. Additionally, dependence on the US dollar exposes economies to external shocks. A sharp appreciation in USD can hurt countries with significant USD-denominated debt, making it more expensive to service loans. While the US dollar provides stability, these countries sacrifice a degree of autonomy over their economic policies. The Bottom Line The US dollar’s global reach impacts economies worldwide, whether as legal tender or widely circulated paper currency. Understanding its role can help traders navigate international markets. If you're ready to take advantage of currency movements, consider opening an FXOpen account. With FXOpen, you'll gain access to the tools and platforms to trade major currencies, including the USD, and take advantage of our low-cost, high-speed trading environment. FAQ What Country Uses the US Dollar as Its Paper Currency? Several countries use the US dollar as paper currency alongside their local money. Cambodia, Argentina, and Lebanon, for example, commonly accept USD for larger transactions despite having their own official currencies. Does El Salvador Use USD? Yes, El Salvador officially adopted the US dollar in 2001. The decision was made to stabilise the economy and reduce inflation, offering more stability in the financial system. Today, the USD is used for all transactions, making it the primary currency in the country. Does Panama Use USD? Yes, Panama has used the US dollar since 1904 alongside its local currency, the balboa. The USD is used for most transactions, and the balboa is pegged 1:1 with the dollar, meaning both currencies are interchangeable within the country. Does Ecuador Use the US Dollar? Ecuador has used the US dollar since 2000, after a severe financial crisis. The switch helped stabilise the economy, reduce hyperinflation, and restore public confidence in the financial system. Today, the USD is the sole official currency. Does Puerto Rico Use the US Dollar? Yes, as an unincorporated territory of the United States, Puerto Rico uses the US dollar as its official currency. The USD is used for all financial transactions, just like in any US state. Where Does the US Dollar Have the Most Value? The US dollar tends to have more purchasing power in countries with weaker local currencies. Examples include countries like Mexico, Vietnam, and Indonesia, where the USD can buy significantly more goods and services compared to stronger economies. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXYEducation
by FXOpen
1
Higher time frame frameworks and set upIn this video, we explore a high-level analysis of monthly and weekly trading frameworks, showcasing how TSA—Time, Space, Algorithms, and Tradings—leverages Confluence to identify asymmetrical opportunities in the market. While this isn’t the full strategy, it introduces key elements that empower traders to achieve precision and clarity. We dive into the power of Confluence as a core component, integrating insights from markets like the VIX to enhance feasibility and comparison. Starting from the monthly and weekly frameworks, we refine our approach to a 1-hour and 4-hour perspective, identifying high-probability setups. From there, we scale down to 15-minute and 5-minute charts, applying the same Confluence-based principles to manage trades effectively. This video is designed to bring the trading community together—FED traders, ICT traders, and those who combine fundamentals with technical analysis. Let’s collaborate to uncover powerful Confluences that sharpen our edge in the markets. This is just the beginning—join us as we build a thriving community of traders!
Education
by TSA_TimeSpaceAlgorithm
1 - The Winning MentalityTo navigate the path of success, many individuals seek inspiration from the past. Historical figures teach us valuable lessons about achieving financial goals, avoiding common pitfalls, and navigating the complexities of life. Trading stands out as one of the most demanding professions. Without proper training and education, mastering this field can be nearly impossible. What can aspiring traders do? The answer lies in learning from those who have excelled—studying their words, actions, writings, and seminars. Every highly successful trader in the global currency market once started as a novice, transitioning from ordinary lives to remarkable success. None emerged from the womb as seasoned traders; each dedicated years to personal development, learning, and creating their own unique trading strategies. The names of such traders are now recognized by nearly all in the industry. George Soros George Soros, born György Schwartz in Budapest in 1930, grew up in a modest Jewish family. His family relocated to England in 1947, where Soros attended the London School of Economics, often juggling multiple jobs to make ends meet. His journey took him to New York in 1956, armed with just $500. Over three decades on Wall Street, Soros gained notoriety for his innovative trading methods, amassing a fortune of $100 million. A pivotal moment came on September 16, 1992, dubbed "Black Wednesday," when Soros famously shorted the British pound, profiting nearly $1 billion in a single day. Following similar strategies in Southeast Asia at the end of the 1990s, he declared a shift to philanthropy, ultimately donating approximately $32 billion to various causes. On his 90th birthday, Soros shared a key insight into his success: his approach was more psychological than financial. He emphasized that distorted perceptions can lead to misguided actions—an understanding rooted in his concept of reflexivity. Larry Williams Born in Miles City, Montana in 1942, Larry Williams graduated from the University of Oregon before embarking on a varied career that ultimately led him to the stock markets. His interest sparked from observing stock price fluctuations, and he was particularly intrigued by the potential for profit despite market downturns. By 1965, Williams was actively trading and became known for creating the acclaimed Williams %R indicator. He garnered remarkable success in the Robbins World Cup trading championship, where he achieved a staggering annual return of 11,376%, transforming a $10,000 investment into over $1.1 million. Williams believed that historical events do not dictate future price movements, asserting that his indicators primarily shed light on current market conditions rather than predict future trends. Steven Cohen Stephen Cohen gained fame for his analytical prowess and his ability to anticipate market crises. Born in 1957, he demonstrated early on a talent for analysis, particularly through poker, where he honed skills in evaluating risk. Cohen's trading career gained momentum after he invested $1,000 in a brokerage firm, subsequently launching S.A.C. Capital Partners with a $20 million initial fund. His savvy investment strategies led to an impressive annual profit nearing 50% at times, with his firm consistently outperforming competitors. Even amidst market fluctuations, Cohen remained an active participant in his firm, demonstrating a hands-on approach that continues to define his success. Paul Tudor Jones Known for his discretion and aversion to fame, Paul Tudor Jones embarked on his trading journey in the 1970s with a clear ambition to succeed on Wall Street. Guided by influences from successful mentors, he initially traded on the cotton exchange, gradually transitioning to more lucrative futures trading. His investment fund, Tudor Futures, grew substantially, particularly during periods of market volatility. Jones’s successful navigation led him to establish a renowned firm that today manages a diverse array of global investments, boasting a net worth of over $3 billion. John Arnold John Arnold represents a different path, as he transitioned from trading to entrepreneurship. He began his career at Enron, leveraging computer technology to excel in trading, ultimately earning $1 billion by 2001. Following Enron’s collapse, Arnold founded Centaurus Energy Advisors, a hedge fund specializing in energy markets. Today, his business thrives with over $3 billion in assets, reflecting his exceptional leadership and strategic acumen. Joe Lewis Joe Lewis, billionaire and investor, built his wealth primarily through currency trading. Born in East London in 1937, he transitioned from a family catering business to becoming a formidable player in the financial markets. Lewis achieved significant profits during the 1992 pound crisis, partnering with Soros. Now residing in the Bahamas, he actively manages the Tavistock Group, boasting investments across numerous industries. Unpacking the Mindset of Successful Traders The success stories outlined illustrate the diverse paths taken by some of the world’s most recognized traders. What common threads run through their journeys? Each trader faced significant challenges in their early years, and most were undeniably talented; however, talent alone does not guarantee success. A defining characteristic of these traders is their unwavering focus on their objectives. Throughout their journeys, they sought knowledge from a variety of sources, driven by a desire to achieve their goals. Despite the inevitable ups and downs, these traders recognized that perseverance and continuous learning are essential. For them, trading is not just a job but a lifelong passion. Ultimately, success in trading—and in any endeavor—stems from tenacity, self-belief, specialized knowledge, and relentless pursuit of one’s goals. With a clear vision and dedicated effort, anyone can achieve remarkable success in the financial markets. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this educational post in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate! Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution
Education
by FOREXN1
1
Squaring the High for TSLAHere we are Squaring the high of 299$ for TSLA on July 19, 2023 being our origin date we do as follows sqrt(299) = 17.291 + .25 resqaured = 307. days later may 22, 2024. After adding .25 to the SqRt of 299 i subsequently added + 1 to the SqRt of 299 which equals 17.2916164658 so 17.2916164658 + 1 = 18.2916164658 RESQAURED = 334.583232932. 334 is our time cycle adding from the origin date of July 19, 2023 gives us July 18 2024. Marked on the chart are the time cycles given after subsequently adding +1 8 times. Notice how were are getting precise pivot points for TSLA. To understand further watch Michael s. Jenkins part one and two 1. youtu.be 2. youtu.be
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Sirvelez