Trading Under Pressure: When Emotions Take OverThere was a time when the pressure of trading got to me. The market moved fast, and I felt like I had to act quickly or miss out. Fear, greed, and panic ruled my decisions instead of logic.
The Day Emotions Took Over
I remember one trade vividly. I jumped in because I didn’t want to miss what looked like a sure win. It turned against me, and instead of cutting my losses, I froze. I held on, hoping it would turn around—it didn’t.
By the end of the day, I wasn’t just frustrated with the loss. I was frustrated with myself.
What Emotional Trading Did to Me
-Clouded my thinking: Fear stopped me from taking good trades.
-Chased losses: Greed pushed me into setups that weren’t part of my plan.
-Made everything feel heavier: Every loss hit harder, and I felt stuck.
How I Turned It Around
I started journaling my trades to identify patterns. When I felt fear or greed, I’d take a moment to breathe and refocus. Slowly, I learned to trust my strategy, not my emotions.
What I Learned
-Trading is as much mental as it is technical.
-Reacting emotionally doesn’t work—it’s a fast track to mistakes.
-Staying calm and focused leads to better decisions.
If trading feels overwhelming or your emotions are taking control, you’re not alone. DM me—I’ve been there and can help. I also have a webinar this Sunday that will help you tackle this challenge.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
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USDT Dominance Falls, BTC Rises: What It Means for TradersThe chart highlights the inverse relationship between BTC/USDT and USDT.D (Tether Dominance). When USDT.D drops, capital flows out of stablecoins into Bitcoin, driving BTC’s price higher.
Conversely, a rise in USDT.D signals increased caution, often leading to BTC price declines. This correlation helps traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trend shifts.
Market Maker’s Sharq Playbook: Gold (XAU/USD) NYC Session
🦈 “Sharq Eating the Prey” – Liquidity Hunt Edition 🦈
This playbook breaks down how market makers (Sharq) manipulate liquidity to trap prey (retail traders) and position themselves profitably. Follow this structured roadmap to act like the Sharq, not the prey.
1. Hunting Ground: Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Daily (D1) – The Sharq’s Hunting Zone
• Current Prey: Retail bulls trapped at $2,696-$2,700 thinking gold will moon.
• Market Maker Logic:
• Break above $2,696, liquidity sweep to $2,700-$2,704, then slam price back below $2,690.
• Weak hands get eaten.
• Key Hunting Levels:
• Liquidity Bait: $2,700-$2,704 (Retail buy stops).
• Institutional Support: $2,675-$2,670 (Liquidity pool for accumulation).
4-Hour (H4) – Sharq’s Pincer Formation
• Bull Trap Zone: $2,696 (Fib 261.8%).
• Sharq Play: Fake breakout, grab liquidity above $2,700, drop price to $2,683.
• Bear Trap Zone: $2,675 (VWAP and POC).
• Sharq Play: Fake drop below, snap back to $2,690.
• Momentum Decay: RSI above 70; retail buyers are stretched. Sharq feeds on their greed.
1-Hour (H1) – Fakeout Central
• Market Maker Signs:
• Repeated failure to break $2,696 cleanly = a trap is set.
• Thin volume candles = preparing for prey to take the bait.
• Sharq Plan:
• Sweep above $2,696, sell heavy, crash back to $2,683.
30-Minute (M30) – The Prey’s False Hope
• Price Action: Flagging structure near $2,688.
• Retail Bias: “Bullish breakout coming!”
• Sharq Reality: Fake the breakout, dive to $2,675, and rip back higher.
2. Sharq Entry Triggers & Levels (How to Eat the Prey)
Scenario 1: Liquidity Grab Above $2,696 (Bull Trap)
• Sharq Logic:
• Retail long breakout buyers pile in above $2,696, setting their stops at $2,692.
• Sharq executes sell orders into their liquidity.
• Price crashes to $2,683-$2,675, retail is liquidated.
Sharq Playbook Entry:
• Type: Sell Limit
• Entry: $2,696
• Stop Loss: $2,701
• Targets:
• TP1: $2,688
• TP2: $2,683
• TP3: $2,675
Scenario 2: Drop Below $2,675 (Bear Trap)
• Sharq Logic:
• Retail bears enter shorts below $2,675, expecting a big dump to $2,650.
• Sharq accumulates long positions, snaps price back to $2,690-$2,696.
Sharq Playbook Entry:
• Type: Buy Limit
• Entry: $2,675
• Stop Loss: $2,670
• Targets:
• TP1: $2,683
• TP2: $2,688
• TP3: $2,696
Scenario 3: Breakout to $2,704 (Sharq’s Ultimate Bull Trap)
• Sharq Logic:
• Price breaks above $2,696, targeting $2,704 (Retail FOMO buyers enter heavy).
• Once liquidity above $2,704 is taken, Sharq sells massively, tanking price below $2,690.
Sharq Playbook Entry:
• Type: Sell Limit
• Entry: $2,704
• Stop Loss: $2,709
• Targets:
• TP1: $2,696
• TP2: $2,688
• TP3: $2,675
3. Sharq’s Risk Management
• 1. Dynamic Stops:
• Tighten stops aggressively after TP1 to lock in profits.
• 2. Small Position Sizing:
• NYC session volatility can be brutal. Don’t be greedy like the prey.
• 3. Monitor Volume:
• Enter only if volume confirms Sharq’s trap (spikes near liquidity zones).
4. Final Words from the Sharq
• “Prey is predictable, Sharq is tactical.”
• Be patient. Let the prey reveal their greed or fear near $2,696 or $2,675.
• Exploit their emotional decisions and capitalize on liquidity zones.
Sharq Always Wins. 🦈 Stay Smart, Stay Sharq.
Short Sellers: Liquidity Providers or Market Disruptors?█ Understanding Short Sellers: Liquidity Providers or Market Disruptors?
Short sellers often have a controversial reputation, viewed by many as market manipulators who profit from falling stock prices. However, recent research sheds light on an unexpected and valuable role they play: providing liquidity to the market, especially during critical moments like news releases. Let’s break down this concept in a way that’s approachable for everyone while maintaining the insights of the academic findings.
█ What Is Short Selling?
In simple terms, short selling is a trading strategy where an investor borrows shares of a stock, sells them, and hopes to buy them back later at a lower price to pocket the difference. While this might sound straightforward, it’s a high-risk activity because the potential losses are unlimited if the stock price rises instead of falling.
For long-term investors, the goal is usually to buy strong companies that will grow over time, benefiting from compounding returns and supporting broader economic growth. On the other hand, short selling tends to attract risk-seekers who aim to profit from price declines. Unfortunately, many inexperienced short sellers get burned by the complexities of market dynamics, including the balance of supply and demand for liquidity.
█ Why Is Short Selling Important?
Despite the risks, short sellers are essential to the financial markets. They help correct overpriced stocks and bring balance to valuations, contributing to more accurate pricing. Moreover, they provide critical insights during times of market euphoria or uncertainty.
One example of their importance is the role of short sellers during events like the “short squeezes” in GameStop or Volkswagen. These situations occur when a stock’s price skyrockets, often fueled by retail traders or unexpected news, forcing short sellers to buy back shares at higher prices. While dramatic, such events highlight the complex interaction between short selling and market liquidity.
█ A Fresh Perspective: Short Sellers as Liquidity Providers
Traditional thinking often casts short sellers as aggressive traders who demand liquidity—placing orders that consume existing bids or offers in the market. However, a recent study challenges this view, showing that some short sellers do the opposite: they provide liquidity.
Using transaction-level data, the study reveals that informed short sellers strategically supply liquidity by posting and maintaining limit orders. These orders help stabilize markets, especially during volatile periods like news days. This behavior contrasts with the common perception of short sellers as disruptive forces, instead positioning them as contributors to market efficiency.
█ Key Findings from the Research
The research, titled Stealthy Shorts: Informed Liquidity Supply, presents several critical insights:
⚪ Liquidity-Supplying vs. Liquidity-Demanding Short Sales:
Liquidity-supplying short sellers place limit orders, offering to sell shares at specific prices.
Liquidity-demanding short sellers use market orders, which take the best available prices.
The study found that liquidity-supplying short sales are more predictive of future stock returns than liquidity-demanding ones.
⚪ Predictive Power of Liquidity-Supplying Shorts:
Stocks with high levels of liquidity-supplying short sales underperform those with low levels over a 21-day holding period.
This pattern suggests that these short sellers have a long-term informational edge.
⚪ Impact on Price Discovery:
By providing liquidity, these short sellers help narrow bid-ask spreads, making it easier for other investors to enter or exit positions at favorable prices.
⚪ Informed Trading:
Liquidity-supplying short sellers often act on information not yet fully reflected in stock prices. For example, they are particularly active and accurate around news days when fresh information enters the market.
█ Implications for Investors and Regulators
The findings challenge regulators and market participants to rethink their views on short sellers. While short selling is often criticized for its potential to destabilize markets, this study highlights a more nuanced role: informed short sellers contribute to market liquidity and efficiency. For everyday investors, this means that short sellers aren’t just betting against companies but also helping ensure that stock prices reflect their true value over time.
█ Takeaways for Beginners
If you’re new to investing, here’s what you should know:
Short selling is risky and generally not recommended for beginners. The potential for unlimited losses makes it a strategy better suited for experienced traders.
Short sellers play a vital role in financial markets by helping correct mispricings and improving liquidity.
Understanding the mechanics of liquidity supply and demand can provide valuable insights into how markets function.
█ Final Thoughts
This research highlights the dual role of short sellers, particularly the most informed ones, as both traders and market stabilizers. By offering liquidity and acting on long-lived information, these traders help create more efficient markets, benefiting everyone from retail investors to large institutions. As always, a deeper understanding of market dynamics can empower better investment decisions and help you navigate the complexities of the financial world with confidence.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Master the Market: Top Secrets to Prevent Losses in Any Trend!
Common Reasons Why Traders Lose Money Even in an Uptrend
Not Setting Stop-Loss:
Not Conducting Technical Analysis:
Going Against the Trends:
Following the Herd:
Being Impatient:
Not Doing Homework or Research:
Averaging on Losing Position:
'Buy low, sell high' is the motto. As simple as it sounds, why do most people lose money trading or investing?
There are four major mistakes that most beginners make:
Excessive Confidence
This stems from the belief that individuals are uniquely gifted. They think they can 'crack the code' in the stock market that 99.9% of people fail to, with the goal of making a living from trading and investing. However, given that more people lose money in the market, this wishful thinking is akin to walking into a casino feeling lucky. You might get lucky and win big a few times, but ultimately, the house always wins.
Distorted Judgments
While simplicity is key, most beginners approach trading and investing with overly simplistic methods, hardly qualifying as trading logic or investment reasoning. They might spot a few recurring patterns in the market, akin to discovering fire. However, they soon realize that these "patterns" were not based on solid reasoning or, worse, were not patterns at all.
Herding Behavior
This behavior is rooted in a gambling mindset. Beginners are lured by the prospect of a single trade or investment that will turn them into millionaires. Yet, they fail to understand that trading and investing are not like winning the lottery. It's about making consistent profits that compound over time. While people should look for assets with high liquidity and some volatility, the get-rich-quick mentality leads to investing in overextended or overbought stocks that eventually plummet.
Risk Aversion
Risk aversion is a psychological trait embedded in human DNA. Winning is enjoyable, but we can't tolerate losing. As a result, many beginners take small profits, fearing they might close their positions at a loss, leading to trading with a poor risk-reward ratio. Over time, this reluctance to take risks results in losses.
Depending on price action, traders go through seven psychological stages:
Anxiety
Interest
Confidence
Greed
Doubt
Concern
Regret
Lack of Discipline
An intraday trader must adhere to a well-defined plan. A comprehensive intraday trading plan includes profit targets, considerations, methods for setting stop losses, and optimal trading hours. Such a plan offers an overview of how trading should be executed. Keeping a daily record of trades with performance analysis helps identify and correct weaknesses in your strategy. Discipline is crucial in trading to minimize losses and preserve capital.
Not Setting Proper Trading Limits
Success in intraday trading hinges on risk management. You should predefine a stop loss and profit target before entering a trade. This is a part of trading discipline where many fail. For example, if you suffer a loss in the first hour, you should close your trading terminal for the day. Setting an overall capital loss limit also protects against further trading losses.
Compensating for a Rapid Loss
A common mistake among traders is attempting to average down a position or overtrade to recover losses. This often leads to greater losses. Instead of overtrading, accept the loss, analyze your strategy, and make improvements for the next trading session.
Heavy Dependency on Tips
With the abundance of intraday tips on digital media, it's tempting for traders to rely on these external sources. However, it's advisable to avoid this. The best way to learn intraday trading is by understanding how to read charts, recognize structures, and interpret results independently. Tools like the Beyond App by Nirmal Bang provide insightful market research, but practical experience is irreplaceable.
Not Keeping Track of Current Affairs
News, events, and global market performances influence stock movements. Intraday traders should monitor both Indian and global markets. Make trades after announcements rather than speculating based on news.
Intraday trading is a skill, not a gamble, requiring time to develop proficiency. Expecting rapid results is unrealistic. The reasons listed above are why many intraday traders lose money; discipline, strategy adherence, and regular strategy analysis are key to success.
We will discuss 3 classic trading strategies and stop placement rules:
Trend Line Strategy
Buying: Identify the previous low; place your stop loss strictly below that.
Selling: Identify the previous high; place your stop loss strictly above that.
Breakout Trading Strategy
Buying: Identify the previous low when buying a breakout of resistance; stop loss below that.
Selling: Identify the previous high when selling a breakout of support; stop loss above that.
Range Trading Strategy
Buying: Place stop loss strictly below the lowest point of support.
Selling: Place stop loss strictly above the highest point of resistance.
These stop placement techniques are simple but effective in avoiding stop hunts and market manipulations.
What Is a Stop-Loss Order?
A stop-loss order is placed with a broker to buy or sell a stock once it reaches a predetermined price, designed to limit an investor's loss. For instance, setting a stop-loss at 10% below your purchase price limits your loss to 10%. If you bought Microsoft (MSFT) at $20 per share, placing a stop-loss at $18 would trigger a sale at the market price if the stock falls below $18.
Stop-Limit Orders are similar but have a limit on the execution price, involving two prices: the stop price, which turns the order into a sell order, and the limit price, which specifies the minimum acceptable price for execution.
Advantages of the Stop-Loss Order
Cost-Effective: No cost until the stop price is hit.
Convenience: No need for daily market monitoring.
Emotional Insulation: Helps maintain discipline and prevent emotional trading decisions.
Strategy Enforcement: Ensures adherence to your investment strategy, though less useful for strict buy-and-hold investors.
Types of Stop-Loss Orders
Fixed Stop Loss: Triggered at a set price or time, ideal for giving trades room to develop.
Trailing Stop-Loss Order: Adjusts with price increases to protect gains while allowing for market downturns.
Stop-Loss Order vs. Market Order
Stop-Loss: Aimed at reducing risk by selling at a specific price.
Market Order: For buying or selling at the current market price to increase liquidity.
Stop-Loss Order and Limit Order
Limit Order: Executes trades at or better than a specified price to maximize profit or minimize losses.
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Understanding and Using the Gann Fan in TradingThe Gann Fan is a powerful technical analysis tool developed by the legendary trader W.D. Gann. It consists of diagonal lines drawn at specific angles, which help traders identify potential support and resistance levels based on time and price. While the Gann Fan can be complex for beginners, mastering its use can provide valuable insights into market trends and turning points.
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What is the Gann Fan?
The Gann Fan is a grid of lines radiating from a central pivot point on a price chart. These lines are constructed at various angles, representing the relationship between time (horizontal axis) and price (vertical axis). The most commonly used lines are:
- 1x1 (45-degree angle): Represents one unit of price for one unit of time. It is considered the most critical line, reflecting a perfect balance between price and time.
- 2x1: Indicates two units of price for one unit of time. This is a steeper line, suggesting faster price movements relative to time.
-1x2:Represents one unit of price for two units of time, showing a slower price movement compared to time.
Additional lines such as 3x1, 1x3, 4x1, and 1x4 can also be used to identify key levels of support and resistance.
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Principles of the Gann Fan
W.D. Gann believed that price and time move in harmony, and market trends develop at predictable angles. The Gann Fan lines aim to represent this harmony and forecast potential market movements. The key principles include:
1.Balance Between Time and Price: When the price moves along the 1x1 line, it indicates a balanced market.
2.Support and Resistance Levels:Gann Fan lines often act as dynamic support or resistance. Prices tend to respect these levels, bouncing off or breaking through them.
3.Trend Reversal Indicators: A break above or below a fan line can signal a potential trend reversal or continuation.
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How to Use the Gann Fan
Step 1: Setting Up the Chart
To use the Gann Fan effectively, ensure your chart has an equal scaling ratio between price and time. This ensures that the angles are accurate. Many modern charting platforms, like TradingView, automatically adjust the scaling when drawing Gann Fans.
Step 2: Identify a Significant Pivot Point
Choose a notable high or low on the chart as the anchor point for your Gann Fan. This point is critical as it determines the origin of the fan lines.
Step 3: Draw the Fan Lines
Using the Gann Fan tool on your charting platform:
- Start at the selected pivot point.
- Draw lines radiating outward at the predefined angles (1x1, 2x1, 1x2, etc.).
Step 4: Analyze Price Movements
- **Support and Resistance:** Observe how prices interact with the fan lines. If the price approaches a fan line, it might act as support or resistance.
- Breakouts: A breakout above or below a fan line may signal the start of a new trend.
- Trend Strength:The slope of the line indicates the trend’s strength. Steeper lines (e.g., 2x1) reflect stronger trends, while shallower lines (e.g., 1x2) suggest weaker trends.
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Best Practices for Using the Gann Fan
1. Combine with Other Tools:Use the Gann Fan alongside other technical indicators like moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or oscillators to confirm signals.
2.Backtest on Historical Data:Practice using the Gann Fan on historical price data to understand how well it works for a particular market or asset.
3.Focus on Major Lines: Start with key lines like 1x1, 2x1, and 1x2 before incorporating additional angles.
4.Adjust for Scaling Issues: If your chart appears distorted, ensure that both axes are equally scaled.
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Limitations of the Gann Fan
While the Gann Fan is a useful tool, it’s important to be aware of its limitations:
- Subjectivity:Choosing the initial pivot point can be subjective, affecting the accuracy of the analysis.
-Scaling Challenges:Incorrect scaling can distort the angles and lead to unreliable signals.
-Not a Standalone Tool: The Gann Fan works best when combined with other analysis techniques and market context.
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Conclusion
The Gann Fan is a versatile and insightful tool for traders seeking to understand the interplay between time and price. By mastering its use and combining it with other analysis methods, traders can enhance their ability to predict market trends and make informed decisions. As with any technical tool, practice and experience are essential to unlock its full potential.
Timing is Everything: When to Invest in the Stock MarketWhen to Invest and When to Hold Back: A Comprehensive Guide to Market Timing
Determining the right time to invest in the stock market can be challenging. Should one enter when prices are low or during market upswings? While there's no foolproof way to ensure investment success, grasping market dynamics and trends can provide a significant advantage.
To navigate stock market investments effectively, it's essential to understand its structure and functioning. By examining prevailing trends and identifying potential opportunities, you can make well-informed decisions that may improve your financial outcomes. This article covers the fundamentals of stock trading and highlights the critical factors that contribute to successful investing in the stock market.
While perfect market timing is nearly unattainable, recognizing critical indicators and trends can enhance your investment strategy and facilitate wealth accumulation over the long term.
Understanding the Stock Market
The stock market serves as a global platform where investors and traders exchange shares of publicly traded companies. It reflects overall economic health, corporate performance, and geopolitical developments. Beyond being an economic gauge, the stock market is a powerful mechanism for wealth creation over time.
Differentiating between stock trading and investing is pivotal. Stock trading typically involves buying and selling shares frequently to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. In contrast, share market investing emphasizes a long-term strategy, focusing on holding stocks to achieve steady growth.
Historically, investing in the stock market has proven beneficial, often generating higher returns compared to other investment vehicles like bonds or savings accounts. With effective compounding and diversification, stock investments can play a crucial role in realizing financial objectives. Regardless of your experience level, understanding the stock market's fundamentals is a vital first step.
The Importance of Timing in Stock Market Investing
Timing is essential in stock market investing, as it involves identifying optimal moments to buy or sell. While accurately predicting the perfect timing is unrealistic, a solid understanding of market conditions can help prevent common mistakes and inform better investment decisions.
One common pitfall is the attempt to time the market too precisely, which can be detrimental. Emotional decisions, such as panic selling during downturns or succumbing to greed during a market rally, can lead to missed opportunities and financial losses. Investors driven by fear or greed rather than rational analysis may find themselves in unfavorable positions.
Strategic timing, however, remains valuable. By observing overarching trends and economic signals, you can make more informed decisions. For instance, bear markets—characterized by declining prices—can provide opportunities to acquire quality stocks at lower prices. Historically, investments made during downturns often yield significant returns when the market rebounds.
For example, those who invested in early 2009 after the 2008 financial crisis experienced substantial growth over the subsequent decade. Similarly, investors recognizing the potential of tech giants like Amazon and Apple during the late 1990s saw considerable rewards.
Weekly chart Amazon From 2008 - 2025
Weekly chart Apple Inc. From 2008 - 2025
Ultimately, while timing is important, it is crucial to prioritize long-term growth over short-term speculation. Staying informed, disciplined, and basing decisions on comprehensive analysis rather than fleeting market sentiment will yield more favorable outcomes.
Read Also:
Key Factors Influencing Investment Timing
Investing wisely in the stock market necessitates an awareness of various factors that can influence market behavior. These elements serve as indicators, guiding investors on when to enter or exit the market for maximum gains.
Market cycles are among the most significant influences on stock trading. Bull markets, defined by rising prices and optimism, create favorable conditions for investment. Conversely, bear markets, marked by declining prices and caution, can present value-driven investors with attractive opportunities.
Economic indicators are also fundamental in shaping investment choices. Metrics such as GDP growth, interest rates, and inflation levels yield insights into the overall economic landscape. For instance, low interest rates generally stimulate market activity, while high inflation may erode investor confidence.
Read Also
Corporate earnings reports are critical as well, revealing a company’s financial health, which directly affects its stock price. Positive surprises in earnings can drive share prices up, whereas disappointing results often lead to declines.
Geopolitical events and global occurrences play a substantial role in market conditions too. Events like elections, conflicts, and even pandemics can introduce significant volatility. For instance, uncertainty surrounding elections can create market hesitance, while global crises might result in both risks and fresh investment prospects.
Key Indicators for Stock Market Investment
Identifying key indicators is essential for uncovering promising investment opportunities. These tools and metrics can enhance clarity amid market noise, enabling informed decisions.
Valuation metrics such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio are widely utilized indicators. A low P/E ratio may indicate that a stock is undervalued, while a high P/E might suggest overvaluation.
Dividend yield trends offer additional insight, especially for income-focused investors. A consistent or increasing dividend yield could signify a stable and profitable company, making it an attractive investment.
Market sentiment and news trends provide context that shapes stock prices. Positive news regarding a sector can lead to price increases, whereas negative sentiment may offer contrarian investors a chance to buy at a lower price.
Technical analysis tools are beneficial for traders seeking short-term opportunities. Indicators like moving averages and support and resistance levels can assist in identifying potential entry and exit points.
Long-Term Investing vs. Short-Term Trading
Choosing between long-term investing and short-term trading is a critical decision shaped by your financial goals and risk appetite.
Long-term investing involves holding stocks for extended periods, capitalizing on compound growth and riding out market volatility. The simplicity of this approach minimizes the need to time the market precisely; instead, consistent contributions and patience can yield substantial rewards.
Conversely, short-term trading involves capitalizing on swift market movements, often within days or hours. While this can enable rapid profits, it necessitates rigorous analysis, discipline, and swift reactions to market changes.
Each strategy has its advantages and disadvantages. Long-term investing fosters stability and aligns with broader wealth-building objectives, while short-term trading may be thrilling and potentially lucrative, albeit with increased risks. Understanding your financial aspirations will guide you in selecting the approach that aligns best with your needs.
Read Also
Avoiding Common Mistakes When Timing the Stock Market
Investors can fall victim to several traps when attempting to time the stock market, leading to costly missteps. Steering clear of these mistakes is vital for successful stock market investing.
A prevalent error is chasing trends and following the crowd. Many investors succumb to the excitement of soaring stock prices, purchasing at inflated values, only to face losses when the bubble bursts. Instead of following the herd, focus on research and a solid strategy.
Allowing emotions to dictate responses to market fluctuations is another common pitfall. Fear during downturns can trigger panic selling, while greed during bull markets can result in excessive risk exposure. A disciplined approach is crucial for navigating market volatility successfully.
Lastly, neglecting diversification can expose your portfolio to unnecessary risk. Concentrating too much on a specific sector or asset type increases vulnerability to market shifts. A well-diversified portfolio reduces risk and enhances the potential for steady returns.
Read Also:
Crafting a Strategic Approach to Stock Market Investments
Developing a strategic investment approach in the stock market involves aligning your choices with your financial objectives and risk tolerance. Recognizing your goals and comfort with risk will guide your decision-making process.
Diversifying your investments across asset classes such as stocks, bonds, and ETFs is key for creating a balanced portfolio. Including a mix of well-established stocks and growth opportunities allows for both safety and potential returns.
Modern investment tools can further refine your strategy. Robo-advisors offer personalized, automated portfolio management, while stock screeners help identify opportunities by filtering stocks based on various criteria. Technical analysis platforms can also provide insights into market trends and assist in timing your trades.
Ultimately, having a well-considered plan is more beneficial than trying to predict every market movement. Commit to your strategy, regularly review it, and adjust it as your financial situation evolves.
When to Hold Off on Investing
While the stock market offers numerous opportunities, certain conditions may warrant caution. Timing may not dictate everything, but some scenarios are best approached with restraint.
Investing during periods of extreme market volatility or panic selling is often unwise. Markets influenced by fear rather than fundamentals tend to be more unpredictable. Instead, consider waiting for calmer market conditions or look for long-term opportunities based on solid research.
Personal financial instability also signals a need for caution. Investing should be done with disposable income, not funds earmarked for necessary expenses or emergencies. Without an emergency fund, you risk having to sell investments prematurely, often at a loss.
Over-leveraging represents a significant risk, particularly during uncertain economic climates. While borrowing money to invest can amplify gains, it equally amplifies losses. Ensure any investments are manageable within your financial means.
By understanding when to invest and when to hold back, you can navigate the stock market more effectively and work toward achieving your financial goals.
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Risk Management in Trading: Keeping It Simple and Stress-FreeIf you're new to trading, you’ve probably heard the golden rule: “Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade.” Sounds easy, right? But let’s be real—trading is way more than just crunching numbers.
Let’s Break It Down
1. Don’t Bet the Grocery Money! 🍎
First things first: Never trade with money you can’t afford to lose. Imagine this—your rent is due next week, but instead of saving, you decide to trade all that cash because you’re feeling lucky. Spoiler alert: That’s not luck—it’s a one-way ticket to Stress City. When you trade money you can’t afford to lose, every market wobble feels like the end of the world. Keep your bills paid and your pantry stocked before you even think about trading.
Example: Think of trading like buying lottery tickets. You wouldn’t spend your entire paycheck hoping to hit the jackpot, right? (Well, I hope not!) Treat your trading account the same way.
2. Discipline > Math 🧠
Sure, knowing the 1% rule is cool, but what really matters is sticking to it. Here’s the thing: Losing streaks happen to everyone—even pros. The question is, how many losses in a row can you handle without losing your cool and going all-in on a “revenge trade”?
Example: Think of it like a diet. You promise to eat just one cookie, but after a bad day, you eat the whole pack. The same thing happens in trading if you’re not disciplined. One bad trade can lead to a whole bunch of bad decisions.
3. Trading Won’t Pay Your Bills (At Least Not Yet) 💸
Many people dream of quitting their job to trade full-time. Sounds great, but here’s the catch: You need a lot of money to make trading your main income source. The trader in the video suggests keeping a day job while learning the ropes. That way, you’re not relying on trading profits to survive.
Example: Imagine opening a lemonade stand, but you only have two lemons. You can’t expect to make enough lemonade to pay rent! Work on growing your “lemon supply” (your trading skills and capital) before you go all-in.
4. Watch Your Trade Count 🕒
Making too many trades in one day is like eating too much junk food—it might feel good at first, but it’ll cost you later. Even small risks add up quickly when you’re overtrading. The pros call this “death by a thousand cuts.”
Example: If you take 10 trades in a day, risking 1% each, you’re suddenly risking 10%. That’s like ordering 10 desserts because “they’re just tiny.” Spoiler: It adds up fast.
5. Learn from Poker Players 🎲
Ever watched poker pros on TV? They don’t bet everything on one hand—they manage their “bankroll” carefully, so they don’t lose it all. The same idea works in trading. Lower your position size when things aren’t going well so you can stay in the game.
Pro Tip: Want a fun exercise? Use poker chips or fake money to practice “betting” on trades. Seeing your stack shrink will remind you why managing losses is so important.
Simple but Powerful Lessons
Build a Safety Net: Before you think about trading full-time, save up enough money to cover your expenses for a few months. This way, you can trade without freaking out over every dollar.
Learn a Backup Skill: Trading takes time to master. While you’re learning, keep a steady job to support yourself financially.
Focus on the Process, Not the Profits: Winning traders don’t obsess over the money—they focus on following their strategy and improving their skills.
A Few Quotes to Keep in Mind
“Risk management isn’t about numbers; it’s about discipline.”
“If losing money makes you panic, you’re trading too much.”
“Turn off the profit and loss display—focus on making good trades.”
Final Thought: Keep It Chill
Trading is like a marathon, not a sprint. Take your time, stick to your plan, and never risk more than you’re comfortable losing. If you approach it with patience and discipline, you’ll not only survive but thrive in the markets.
Now, go grab a coffee (or lemonade) and plan your next trade with confidence! ☕🍋
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading
Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies.
What is Fibonacci?
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows:
The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio .
The Golden Ratio and Its Significance
The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels.
How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool
Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as:
Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks.
Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends.
Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis.
Using Fibonacci in Trading
Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low
Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low).
Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement
Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are:
0.236 (23.6%)
0.382 (38.2%)
0.5 (50%)
0.618 (61.8%)
0.786 (78.6%)
These levels often act as support or resistance zones.
ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone
Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept.
The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements.
Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory.
The Golden Pocket
The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation.
Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools
Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools:
Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations.
Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels.
Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels.
ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone.
Practical Applications
Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities.
Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades.
Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points.
Conclusion
Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can:
Identify optimal entry and exit points.
Manage risks more effectively.
Gain deeper insights into market behavior.
Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
Dominate Gold the 15-Min Chart with SMC, Breakouts,Sharp Entry'sIntroduction
In the fast-paced world of forex trading, understanding institutional moves is crucial. The 15-minute timeframe provides the perfect balance between actionable signals and structural clarity. By combining Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Change of Character (CHoCH), and Breakouts, you can build a robust strategy to identify high-probability trades with minimal risk.
Why Focus on the 15-Minute Timeframe?
Clarity in Price Action:
Reveals institutional footprints like liquidity sweeps and order blocks.
Less noise compared to lower timeframes (1-5 minutes).
Faster Setups:
Quick entry/exit compared to swing trading on higher timeframes.
Perfect for traders who prefer multiple opportunities within a day.
Scalability:
Can be used for scalping or short-term intraday trading.
Key SMC Concepts Explained
1. Change of Character (CHoCH)
CHoCH is one of the most reliable indicators of a trend reversal.
What is CHoCH?
A shift from a bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows) to a bearish one (lower highs and lower lows) or vice versa.
Indicates a potential reversal or start of a new trend.
How to Identify CHoCH?
Look for a liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) near significant highs or lows.
Wait for the market to break the most recent structural high/low (depending on the direction).
Confirm a new trend by observing a strong impulsive move.
2. Liquidity Zones
Liquidity is where institutions execute their large orders. These areas act as magnets for price action.
Common Liquidity Areas:
Double Tops and Double Bottoms: Retail traders’ stop-loss zones.
Trendline Liquidity: Stops placed along support or resistance trendlines.
Session Highs/Lows: Focus on the Asian session’s range for liquidity traps.
3. Order Blocks (OBs)
Order blocks represent areas where institutions place large orders before a significant move.
How to Use OBs for Entries:
Identify untested OBs near a liquidity zone.
Wait for price to return and mitigate (test) the OB.
Use CHoCH or a breakout confirmation for precise entries.
4. Breakouts
Breakouts often occur after a liquidity sweep and signal continuation. However, combining breakouts with CHoCH gives them much higher reliability.
Key Breakout Tip: A breakout should follow a liquidity grab and lead to a CHoCH for confirmation.
Step-by-Step Strategy: Combining SMC, CHoCH, and Breakouts
Analyze the Higher Timeframe:
Use the 4-hour timeframe to identify the primary trend (bullish or bearish).
Identify Liquidity Zones:
Highlight key areas where liquidity may be resting (double tops/bottoms, Asian session highs/lows).
Wait for a Liquidity Sweep:
Watch for price to grab liquidity above/below these zones.
Look for CHoCH:
Bullish CHoCH: Price breaks a lower high (LH) after sweeping liquidity below a low.
Bearish CHoCH: Price breaks a higher low (HL) after sweeping liquidity above a high.
Confirm with a Breakout:
Wait for price to break a significant level with momentum after CHoCH.
Mark the Order Block (OB):
Identify the last bullish/bearish candle before the impulsive move.
Enter the Trade:
Place a limit order at the OB.
Stop Loss: Just beyond the OB.
Take Profit: Nearest liquidity zone or a 3:1 risk-to-reward target.
Example Trade Setup: Bullish Reversal
Scenario:
4-hour trend is bullish, but the 15-minute chart is showing a pullback.
Steps:
Price sweeps liquidity below a double bottom.
A CHoCH occurs as price breaks a recent lower high (LH).
A 15-minute bullish OB forms near the breakout level.
Entry is placed at the OB.
TP targets the next double top or a key resistance level.
Annotated Chart:
(Include a chart with the liquidity sweep, CHoCH, breakout, OB, and TP levels clearly marked.)
Pro Tips for 15-Minute SMC Trading
Patience is Everything: Wait for liquidity sweeps and CHoCH before entering.
Higher Timeframe Bias: Ensure your trades align with the 4-hour or daily trend.
Use Volume Indicators: Spot strong breakouts with increased volume.
Refine Entry Timing: Use the 5-minute timeframe for precise entries within the 15-minute OB.
Journal Your Trades: Record setups to refine your understanding of CHoCH and SMC.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Ignoring Liquidity Sweeps: Jumping into trades before a proper liquidity grab often leads to losses.
Rushing into Breakouts: Many breakouts fail without CHoCH or a clear liquidity sweep.
Neglecting Risk Management: Always set stops and respect your risk limits.
Why This Strategy Works
This approach combines:
The precision of the 15-minute chart.
Institutional trading mechanics (SMC and OBs).
Clear reversal signals (CHoCH).
The momentum of breakouts after liquidity grabs.
Together, they create a strategy that aligns your trades with smart money while minimizing false signals.
Conclusion
The 15-minute timeframe offers a unique opportunity to blend precision and profitability. By mastering CHoCH, liquidity sweeps, and breakouts, you can elevate your trading game and consistently capture high-probability setups.
If you enjoyed this guide, give it a like, share it with your trading community, and follow me for more insights!
Broke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the ConfederacyBroke to Bold: How Cotton Nearly Saved the Confederacy - The $500 Million Gamble That Failed
Back in 1863, when the Confederacy was on its last legs, financially speaking, they had one ace up their sleeve - cotton. This wasn't just any cotton; it was the lifeblood of the global economy, the white gold Europe couldn't get enough of. The South, desperate and broke, decided to play a high-stakes game with this precious commodity.
They issued bonds, not backed by gold or silver, but by cotton. It was a bold move, promising investors they'd get paid back in cash or raw cotton. Imagine that, betting the farm, literally, on a crop. These bonds were sold through big European banks like Emile Erlanger & Co., and they managed to raise a staggering £3 million, which is about $500 million today.
The plan was genius in its simplicity. The South supplied 75% of the world's cotton, and Europe's textile mills were starving without it. British and French factories were practically begging for Southern cotton. The Confederacy thought, 'Let's use what we've got to get what we need.'
But there was a catch, a big one. These bonds were only good if the South won the war. If they lost, they'd be as worthless as Confederate paper money. The South was gambling not just with their own fate, but with the fortunes of European investors.
The Union, though, had other plans. With a stronger navy and a tight blockade, they choked off the South's ability to ship cotton abroad. Without cotton exports, the value of those bonds started to look shaky.
Come 1865, the South was defeated, and those cotton-backed bonds? Worthless. European investors were left holding the bag, losing millions. It was a hard lesson learned - funding wars with commodity-backed bonds can be a risky business.
This story isn't about winning or losing; it's about the audacity to bet everything on one card. The Confederacy showed us that in desperate times, you play the hand you're dealt, even if it's cotton. It's a reminder that in the game of war and finance, sometimes your best move can still leave you broke.
Crypto market or Your dream world-Maybe it is Whale's Dream landHi in the Summary of what is going on on this Educational post we have these topics:
1. How much is percentage of BTC pump from low and is it saving spot here?
2. How did market react previous time when every one rush to buy crypto?
3. are these short-term falls and soon after that pump back above 100K$ any sign?
4. Future of Bitcoin(long-term)?
5. Where is better Buy zone for me to enter after i miss +600% 700% pump on most of the tokens?
1. How much is percentage of BTC pump from low and is it saving spot here?
The answer is crazy +500% to 580% pump:
from the low to ATH is something around 580% gain and from range zone of daily low to above 100K$ it would be around 500% rise.
and if you take a look at that chart you can see at July 2024 we had short-term fall of 32% which is what i am looking for now, 30% dump here as a correction is nothing but it may definitely liquid so many Traders and new investors with Low leverage even.
And we can not say how much it fall not sure to say 20% or 30% or 40% But it needs range or correction soon.
2. How did market react previous time when every one rush to buy crypto?
you can read the chart the info and most investors feeling is also mentioned on the chart.
3. are these short-term fall and soon after that pump back above 100K$ any sign?
I can not talk about this very sure because it may be sign for two possible scenarios:
1. the Bull candles and market is strong and every time it is getting back near ATH.
2. The Whales or ... are pumping it soon after they sell huge amount to New investors then after it pumps and so many other investor come To buy because it may break ATH and ... they sell huge more amount and this processes of selling usually takes a lot because we are talking about huge amount of sell and they need more investors to bring and sell them token and after that dump it and range it down there in -40% or more and get back their tokens.
So yes i think the price is getting back up is Because of More sells to new investors which are rushing to come to the market.(But these are all my experience and you always do your own research)
4. Future of Bitcoin(long-term)?
IF we are talking about long-term i should say my view is also Bullish.
Why not we all know the benefits of Bitcoin and crypto market and we all know it is not like our money which we are using daily and banks can easily print them and ... and day by day the value of them decreasing and the amount of them are increasing But Bitcoin or most crypto the tokens are Fixed number and day by day they are getting more valuable and acceptable in world and.........
5. Where is better Buy zone for me to enter after i miss +600% 700% pump on most of the tokens?
As i mentioned above this is my personal Analysis of where to buy and .. and it may be right and it may be false so always in market open different analysis and also do your own analysis and do research.(Because it is my analysis but that one in your hand is your money so take care)
So i think the major buy zone and major daily support if it touches and also it holds is :
70K$ to 80K$ for now i may update after i see candles.
Conclusion:
Crypto market or Your dream world---Maybe it is Whale's Dream land
The answer is this:
Yes the crypto market is your Dream world + also it is Whales Dream world too(😊)
And it is all about who hunt first? and who is hunted?
Please if you like the content like this post also lets talk about your experience in market and any questions in comments Below.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
and also remember this may happen or not and this was my own view so always keep searching and learning and good luck and i provide this post to give you some warning and learning about BTC or your own Tokens
Altcoins: What Comes Up Must Go Down?Giant Flat Correction could be built on the altcoins chart (less Ethereum)
Indicators:
-Collapse in three waves in 2021-2022 (wave A)
-Retest of 2021 peak in three waves in 2023-2024 (wave B)
-wave B retested the start of wave A and failed to grasp the bullish ground beyond
-first move down and small correction that keeps below all-time high could be the harbinger of new five waves down in wave C
Large wave C should at least retest the valley of wave A at 288b cap
What could be the reason?
-Altcoins could lose its shine as institutions prefer only BTC
-Some huge risk aversion in global economy
You are welcome to share your views in the comments below to enrich our outlook.
BTC, how to use the Crypto Fear and Greed IndexHello everyone,
ever wondered how to use the crypto fear and greed index properly?
It’s calculated using factors like volatility, volume, social media sentiment, and surveys, producing a score from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed).
Today the index showing 43 points, which is close to the fear zone again.
Do you think it's time to buy now?
Some information About Gold 🚀 Weaker U.S. labour data pushes gold higher
Gold (XAU) reached a near four-week high during yesterday's trading session following a weaker-than-expected report on U.S. private employment. Also, the yields on U.S. bonds continued to rise following a report that President-elect Donald Trump was considering implementing emergency measures to impose a new tariff program.
👉 Possible effects for traders
The ADP National Employment Report revealed that U.S. private payroll growth slowed significantly in the previous month, from 146,000 in November 2024 towards 122,000 in December. The market is now awaiting the release of the U.S. jobs report on Friday for further insights into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction. The minutes from the Fed's previous meeting indicated that policymakers agreed that inflation is likely to continue declining this year. They also acknowledged the rising risk of persistent price pressures, which could be influenced by the potential impact of President Trump's policies. Meanwhile, physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen their first inflow in four years despite a decline in their holdings by 6.8 metric tons, according to the World Gold Council.
XAUUSD was moving primarily in a relatively narrow range of $2,656–$2,662 during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, market participants are waiting for the U.S. Jobless Claims report data, coming out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading should be taken as bullish for gold, while lower data may trigger bearish momentum in the precious metal.
Trading Resolutions for 2025The start of a New Year is always a time to not only look back on the old, but also look ahead to the new.
Resolutions are often made during this period, so we wanted to provide some suggestions of what you could try from a trading perspective in the year ahead.
1. Keeping a Trading Journal: This doesn’t have to be as onerous as I’m sure you’re thinking! Every time you initiate a trade, write down in a notebook, on your phone or in a file on your laptop, why you’ve executed the trade, your expectations for the trade, the entry and stop loss level(s), possible objectives, the outcome of the trade, and finally your thoughts on what was right/wrong/or how things could have been improved.
This will allow you to look back on all your trades, assess your trading strategy and check on how results have changed from trade to trade. Does one strategy consistently outperform the others? Are you making consistent mistakes with trades that lose you money? Are your stop losses being hit more than objectives?
This can be performed on a daily, weekly, monthly, or even annual basis to provide valuable insights into what you may be doing wrong and, more importantly, what you are doing right
2. Never Trade Without a Stop Loss in Place: The first question you should always ask yourself before you hit the trade button, is where your stop loss needs to be.
Choose chart levels that matter, like previous highs or lows, moving averages, or Fibonacci retracements. Setting a stop loss based solely on risk tolerance may place it above strong support or below strong resistance, where price reversals often occur after stops are triggered. Consider putting your stop loss just above resistance for short positions or just below support for long positions.
3. Determine the Size of Position You Take in Each Trade by Using The Stop Level: This follows on from number 2 above. Try not to go into every trade thinking, I’m prepared to lose X amount financially on each trade, so I will trade my usual size of the asset, which means the stop should be here.
Consider whether a better approach maybe to identify where your stop loss should be before you trade an asset, then try adjusting the size of your position to suit where the stop loss level you identified should be placed.
This way, your financial risk remains the same each trade, but your stop is in what you have identified as the correct position.
4. Establish a Chart Template on Your Pepperstone System Using Technical Indicators You Trust: Consider assessing what technical indicators you like and trust, be it for example Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, Momentum and/or Trending indicators, or a combination of them. Whatever you feel works for you and you have a feel for.
If you’re not sure which indicators work best for you and your trading, use a Pepperstone demo trading account to test out the technical signals you receive and see what does work for you in a risk free live environment.
Remember you don’t have to overcomplicate things by always having all the indicators available to you on a chart. Consider keeping it simple with one momentum, one trending, one sentiment indicator, and an indicator that allows to gauge sentiment, such as Bollinger Bands.
Take a look at our timeline where we have already covered several indicators and the types of signals they generate; over time we will add to this coverage.
5. If you like our posts, please hit the Rocket button so we know you like our work, or leave us a comment and let us know if you’d like anything in particular covered.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
How to manage emotions and the great problems that this generateThere is something that must be understood when entering the market: the risks, manipulation, trading with poor-quality assets, not managing risk, among other things. However, the most important one, and the one no one wants to address, is the psychological aspect. Why do I say this? 85% of traders do not control their emotions when trading. Letting ourselves be driven by emotions can be, and I’m not sure if it’s the worst, in a market like the financial one. We may be the best at analyzing, but what’s the point if we make 1,000 USD and then lose it by trying to make another 1,000? Over trading is one of the main issues. Over the years, it has been something I struggled with a lot, but today, 5 years later, I can say that I have overcome it.
How can I control my emotions?
Addressing these aspects takes time and patience, as we are talking about changing a pattern that may have existed for a long time, and it may not even be directly related to trading but to something internal within each person. Sometimes, professional help is even necessary. My method, which helped me a lot to control this, is the future blocking every certain number of days (I trade, generate profits, and block). 48 hours is an important timeframe. It’s essential to use exchanges that offer this option; it’s the only way to control our anxiety when trading.
How do I control my emotions when facing losses?
It’s not only about losses; gains and greed can also play a role. Many times, after a winning streak, we believe the market can’t defeat us or that we’re invincible. And that’s when we get knocked down, and the dreaded losses arrive. When that happens, a big part of a trader’s mind is overwhelmed by the thought of: “Now I need to recover!” And that’s when the problems begin: one loss leads to another, creating a never-ending chain. The best thing in these cases, whether it’s a loss or gain, is also blocking. Why do I talk about blocking? Because it’s the only way for someone with a problem to truly step away from the market. Emotions and feelings in weak individuals create an explosive combination that leads nowhere.
It’s important to work on your mindset so that you don’t become just another person giving money away to the market. Work intelligently: enter the market when there’s an opportunity, not when you want or can. It’s the only way you will be able to achieve or at least attempt profitability. Be sharp and focus more on the mindset than on the analysis.
CriptoSolutions
Clear mind to manage the risk aheadWe are reaching critical areas for the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the ideal is to stay out of the market in these cases, both in BTC and in the rest of the cryptocurrencies.
And you wonder why? The dominance of BTC in the face of strong falls causes the rest of the tokens to collapse abruptly, which is why it is always better when liquidations are approaching to stay out of the market, since there are no Orders and SLs to hold.
Once the market is going to sweep away all the leveraged and SL that is when we come in, although we have a support zone at 87,000 - 86,000, I do not think it will hold and in my opinion, it will go directly to close the gap to 76k
Something NEW!!1. Identify your htf.
2. Identify a htf bias.
3. Identify your current trading range on your htf.
4. Identify your premium or discount level.
5. Inside your premium or discount level identify your htf point of interest.
6. Wait for price to pull into your htf point of interest.
7. Pop down to a ltf where you'll observe bearish or bullish price action.
8. Wait for the buy model or sell model to play our wait for a market structure shift on the ltf.
9. Look for 2 stack pois like a breaker block coupled with an imbalance
10. Enter at the stacked poi( point of interest) after a market structure shift.
Day Trading Strategy Using EMA Crossovers + RSI for CryptoIntroduction
Day trading in the volatile crypto market requires precision and a clear plan. Today, I’ll walk you through a straightforward strategy using EMA crossovers and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to identify high-probability trades on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts).
Strategy Overview
Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Use the 9-EMA (short-term) and 21-EMA (medium-term).
RSI: Set to 14 periods with thresholds at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
Trade Entry:
Look for bullish EMA crossover (9-EMA crossing above 21-EMA) for a potential buy signal.
Confirm the entry when RSI is above 50 but below 70 (indicating bullish momentum without overbought conditions).
For short trades, wait for the 9-EMA to cross below the 21-EMA and confirm RSI is below 50.
Stop-Loss:
Place the stop just below the most recent swing low for long trades or above the recent swing high for shorts.
Take-Profit:
Use a 1.5:1 or 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio or adjust based on key resistance/support levels.
Example Chart Analysis
In the chart, notice how the EMA crossover and RSI alignment resulted in clean entries and exits during the trend.
Closing Thoughts
This strategy is best suited for trending markets, so avoid using it in choppy, range-bound conditions. Always use proper risk management and adapt to the market’s volatility.
What do you think of this strategy? Share your thoughts or let me know if you’ve tried something similar!
Gann Astro Trading - Why Time is More Important than Price.Understanding Gann Astro Trading: Why Time is More Important than Price
1.Time and Price are Interconnected:
- According to Gann, markets move in cycles, and these cycles are governed by natural and cosmic rhythms. The relationship between time and price is crucial, but time, as Gann states, is often the more significant factor.
- While price shows the movement, it is the time element that reveals the true potential of a market cycle. Gann's theory posits that price will ultimately follow time-based cycles, meaning that a specific time point will have a more profound influence on future price movements than price levels alone.
2.Time: The Key Driver of Market Movements:
- In his writings, Gann emphasizes the importance of specific time intervals, particularly geometric and astrological cycles, to predict price movements. Markets do not move in a vacuum; they respond to the inherent rhythms of time.
- As described in The Tunnel Thru the Air and How to Make Profits in Commodities, Gann believed that understanding time cycles could help traders forecast market turning points more accurately than focusing solely on price patterns.
3.The Significance of Degrees and Cycles:
- Gann used the concept of a "degree" to measure time in a circular manner. A degree represents a specific amount of time, where 360 degrees make a complete cycle. He applied this idea to market movements, showing how price and time could be mapped in a circular form.
- Gann believed everything in the universe operates in cycles—astrological, physical, and even economic. Through his Gann Wheel, Gann demonstrated how specific degrees, such as 90°, 180°, and 360°, corresponded to important market levels and time intervals.
4.Astrological Influence on Time and Price:
- Gann integrated astrology into his market analysis, acknowledging that planetary movements had a direct influence on market cycles. For example, a planet returning to the same degree it occupied at the start of a cycle could be a strong indicator of a market shift.
- By converting planetary positions into degrees and mapping them onto market time frames, Gann successfully predicted major market events.
5.Why Time is Critical:
- Gann's extensive research showed that market trends often form at specific time intervals—regardless of the price level—such as at 90, 180, 270, or 360 degrees from a key turning point.
-The timing of a market move can indicate a price reversal or continuation, and Gann believed that correctly identifying these time cycles allowed for more precise predictions.
-The market’s response to time cycles reveals the true potential of price movements, as price action will follow these natural time-based rhythms.
6.The Gann Square and Time Cycles:
-The Gann Square is another tool Gann used to analyse price and time. It is a geometric pattern based on the number 9, and each square corresponds to specific time and price relationships. By calculating the number of days or weeks that correspond with these squares, traders could better predict key market turning points.
- Gann’s approach suggests that once a market has completed a cycle of 360 degrees (time), the next cycle could follow a similar pattern, reinforcing the idea that time leads price.
7. Converting Everything to Degrees:
- Gann’s unique ability to convert price and time into degrees allowed him to identify specific turning points. Whether it was a stock chart, a commodity price, or even an astrological event, everything could be analysed using this degree-based methodology.
- In his Master Commodities Course and Gann Master Charts, he elaborated on how these degrees could be used for precise timing and decision-making in trading. Each market action and reaction could be mapped along a 360-degree circle, giving traders a unique insight into future movements.
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"Here is a trade example using the Gann Astro Trading Principle."
"Using Gann Astro techniques, I accurately calculated the exact reversal time for Gold 2 hours in advance. Although my limit orders didn’t get filled, the market reversed precisely at the predicted time, showcasing the precision of intraday trading with Gann Astro trading and mathematical Models"
OANDA:XAUUSD
TIME OF REVERSAL CALCULATED 2 HOURS PRIOR - In the market, TIME is more important than PRICE. Most of you are misled by retail strategies that solely focus on the X-axis (price), which is fundamentally flawed. Markets move based on the function of TIME, not price, and certainly not by your lagging indicators or ineffective strategies focused only on price. The real truth lies in the Y-axis: TIME.
TIME IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PRICE - GANN
WHEN THE TIME IS UP THE MARKET WILL REVERSE- GANN
(Note: Emphasizes the precision of your calculation and method while acknowledging the limit order not being filled.)
"YOU DON'T PANIC WHEN YOU KNOW THE GAME"
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Conclusion: Time, as Gann stated, is often the more important element in forecasting price movements because it reflects the cosmic and cyclical influences that govern all aspects of life, including the markets. By converting everything to degrees, Gann was able to map time and price in a way that provided clearer insights into market direction. Through his works, we see that the true key to success in trading lies not just in price levels but in understanding the cycles of time that drive the markets.