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Decoding Momentum with Precision: Absolute Strength HistogramMomentum is more than just a buzzword—it’s the pulse of price action. The Absolute Strength Histogram v2 is a powerful open-source indicator that brings that pulse to life, helping traders visualize the ongoing tug-of-war between bulls and bears with clarity and precision. In this post, we’ll explore how this tool works, how we use it at Xuantify, and how you can integrate it into your own trading strategy to sharpen your edge. 🔍 What Is the Absolute Strength Histogram ? Originally developed by jiehonglim , this indicator is a refined version of the classic Absolute Strength Histogram. It measures the relative strength of buyers and sellers and plots it as a color-coded histogram. Key Features: Color-coded bars to reflect bullish or bearish dominance Clear visual cues for trend strength and exhaustion Helps identify trending vs. ranging market conditions Open-source and customizable Unlike traditional oscillators, this histogram doesn’t just show overbought or oversold—it shows who’s in control , and how strongly. 🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify At Xuantify, we use the Absolute Strength Histogram as a momentum confirmation tool within our multi-layered trading models. Here’s how: 1. Trend Confirmation We look for alignment between price structure and histogram color. For example, if price breaks structure to the upside and the histogram turns green and rising, that’s a strong confirmation of bullish momentum. 2. Divergence Detection When price makes a new high but the histogram prints a lower high, it signals momentum divergence —a potential early warning of reversal. 3. Range Filtering Flat or alternating histogram bars often indicate a ranging market . We avoid trend trades during these periods and instead look for mean-reversion setups. 🧩 New: Pivot High/Low Overlay for Reversal Clarity To make the Absolute Strength Histogram even more actionable, we’ve added a custom Pivot High/Low indicator that visually marks key swing points on the chart. This addition helps traders clearly see how the histogram behaves before, during, and after reversals . Below an example of HTF 4H used as stronger trade confirmation: Why this matters: It highlights where momentum shifts align with structural turning points It helps validate divergence signals from the histogram It makes backtesting and visual analysis much easier How to use it: Watch for histogram color or slope changes near pivot highs/lows Look for divergence between price and histogram at these pivots Use the pivot zones as potential entry or exit points when confirmed by momentum 🔄 Does It Repaint? One of the most common concerns with momentum indicators is whether they repaint —meaning they change past values based on future price action. The Absolute Strength Histogram is designed to be non-repainting . Once a histogram bar is printed, it remains fixed, making it suitable for real-time decision-making and reliable backtesting . This gives traders confidence that what they see on the chart is what actually happened in the moment—not a hindsight illusion. ⚙️ Settings That Matter The indicator comes with several adjustable parameters, but one of the most impactful is the “Indicator Method” setting. Our recommendation: Set Indicator Method = STOCHASTIC for smoother, more responsive signals This setting tends to reduce noise and better capture momentum shifts It works especially well in combination with structure-based entries Other useful settings include: Length – Controls the sensitivity of the histogram Smoothing – Helps reduce choppiness in volatile markets Color thresholds – Customize visual cues for easier interpretation ⚙️ Best Combinations with This Indicator To maximize its effectiveness, we combine the Absolute Strength Histogram v2 with: Market Structure Tools – Like BOS/CHOCH from LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts Volume Profile – To confirm strength around key volume nodes Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For precision entries when histogram confirms direction RSI or Stochastic – For additional momentum or exhaustion confirmation This layered approach helps us filter out noise and focus only on high-conviction trades . ⚠️ What to Watch Out For No indicator is perfect. The Absolute Strength Histogram can sometimes lag slightly in fast-moving markets. It’s best used as a confirmation tool , not a standalone signal generator. Also, in low-volume or choppy conditions, the histogram may give mixed signals. Always combine it with structure and context. 🚀 Final Thoughts The Absolute Strength Histogram is a clean, intuitive, and powerful tool for traders who want to see momentum clearly . Whether you’re a trend trader, scalper, or swing strategist, this indicator can help you stay on the right side of the market. At Xuantify, we’re all about combining simplicity with precision. This tool fits that philosophy perfectly. Add it to your chart, test it, and see how it sharpens your edge.
Education
by Xuantify
What Is the ICT Silver Bullet Strategy, and How Does It Work?What Is the ICT Silver Bullet Strategy, and How Does It Work? The ICT Silver Bullet strategy offers traders a unique approach to capitalising on market opportunities during specific trading hours. This article explored this advanced strategy, explaining the role of fair value gaps, liquidity, and timeframes and how to implement it. Understanding the ICT Silver Bullet Strategy The ICT Silver Bullet trading strategy is a sophisticated trading methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston, known as the Inner Circle Trader, or ICT. This strategy is designed to capitalise on specific, high-probability trading opportunities that align with certain times throughout certain sessions, specifically the London and New York sessions. Central to the ICT Silver Bullet strategy are two key concepts: liquidity and fair value gaps. Liquidity in this context refers to places within the market where there is significant trading activity, often indicated by previous highs and lows of a trading session or historical price points that attract significant interest from traders. Fair value gaps are price areas that were either skipped over quickly during rapid price moves or areas where the price has not returned for a significant period, reflecting a disparity between perceived value and market price. The strategy's effectiveness hinges on executing trades during specific one-hour windows known as Silver Bullet times. By focusing on these concepts and timings, traders can more accurately analyse market movements and align their trades with the influxes of smart money, potentially improving their returns by catching swift moves towards liquidity points. Key Components of the Strategy The Silver Bullet ICT strategy employs a detailed approach to trading that revolves around understanding market dynamics at critical times. Here are the key components that define this strategy: Fair Value Gaps A fair value gap (FVG) occurs when the price quickly moves away from a level without significant trading occurring at that price, leaving a "gap" that is likely to be tested again when the price returns to this point. In the context of the ICT Silver Bullet strategy, these gaps are targeted because they represent potential inefficiencies in the market where the price may return to balance or fill the gap. Traders using this strategy watch these gaps closely as they often present clear entry points when approached again. Liquidity Targets Liquidity targets are essentially areas where there is expected to be a significant volume of orders, which can lead to particular price movements when these levels are approached. These include: - Previous session highs and lows: These are often areas where stop-loss orders accumulate, making them prime targets for liquidity-driven price moves. - Swing points in the market: Key reversals and continuation points that have historical significance. - Psychological levels: These include round numbers or price levels ending in '00' or '50', which often act as focal points for trading activity. Specific Trading Times Unlike many strategies that align strictly with market opening times, the ICT Silver Bullet trading strategy utilises specific one-hour windows during the day when liquidity and volatility are expected to be high due to trader participation across the globe. These Silver Bullet hours are strategically chosen based on their potential to tap into significant market moves: - London Open Silver Bullet: Occurs from 3:00 AM to 4:00 AM Eastern Standard Time (EST) in winter and from 2:00 AM to 3:00 AM in summer, which is 8:00 AM to 9:00 AM Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) in winter and 7:00 AM to 8:00 AM in summer. - New York AM Session Silver Bullet: From 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM EST, translating to 3:00 PM to 4:00 PM GMT. - New York PM Session Silver Bullet: From 2:00 PM to 3:00 PM EST or 7:00 PM to 8:00 PM GMT. These time slots are selected based on historical data showing heightened trading activity and, therefore, increased opportunities to capture moves towards identified liquidity targets. Implementing the ICT Silver Bullet Strategy Traders utilising the ICT Silver Bullet strategy typically prepare by marking potential fair value gaps and liquidity targets before these key trading times. As these windows approach, they monitor price action closely for signs that the market is moving bullishly or bearishly toward these liquidity points, enabling them to search for an entry. Note that because this is an intraday strategy, ICT says it’s better to use a 15-minute timeframe or lower. Most traders use the 1-minute to 5-minute for the Silver Bullet setup, though those inexperienced with the strategy may prefer the 5-minute. Here’s a breakdown of the strategy: Entry - Market Direction and Liquidity Analysis: Before the designated Silver Bullet timeframes, traders perform a detailed assessment of the market direction on higher timeframes, such as the 15-minute to 4-hour charts. This initial analysis is crucial to align their strategies with the market's overall momentum. - Identifying Key Liquidity Points: Traders also mark significant liquidity targets during their analysis, such as previous session/day highs and lows. These points are expected to attract significant trading activity and thus are critical for planning entry points. - Formation of Fair Value Gaps (FVG): During the Silver Bullet hours—specifically from 3:00 AM to 4:00 AM, 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM, and 2:00 PM to 3:00 PM EST—traders watch for the market to approach these liquidity points and leave behind a Fair Value Gap. This movement is essential as it indicates a potential inefficiency in price that the market may seek to correct. - Setting Limit Orders at FVGs: Once an FVG is identified, traders set their limit orders at the boundary of the FVG closest to their intended trade direction. If aiming for a long position, the order is placed at the top of the FVG; for a short position, at the bottom. This method allows traders to potentially enter the market as it moves to 'fill' the gap, aligning with the initial momentum assessment and the subsequent market reaction to liquidity levels. Stop Loss - Initial Placement: Traders typically place stop-loss orders to potentially manage risk tightly with respect to the FVG's structure. If trading long, the stop loss might be set just below the low of the candle that forms the FVG; if trading short, just above the high. - Swing Points: Alternatively, stop losses might also be placed beyond recent swing highs or lows, providing a buffer against market volatility and minor fluctuations that do not affect the overall market trend. Take Profit - Targeting Liquidity Points: The common practice for setting take-profit points involves aiming for the next significant liquidity target identified during the preparatory phase. - Risk-to-Reward Considerations: Many traders set their take-profit goals based on a calculated risk-to-reward ratio, often aiming for at least a 1:2 ratio. This means that for every unit of risk taken, two units of reward are targeted. In terms of pips, traders generally look for at least 15 pips when trading forex and 10 points in indices. EUR/USD Example In the provided EUR/USD chart example, a detailed analysis of higher timeframes has established a bearish outlook. Consequently, the focus is on identifying short trading opportunities while disregarding potential long setups. During the 8:00 AM to 9:00 AM GMT window, there's a noticeable Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms following a swift rejection from an upward move. This price action reflects a viable entry point for a short position. Traders could place a limit order at the bottom boundary of the candle that initiated the FVG, with a stop loss positioned just above the candle's high or the nearby swing point high, depending on their risk tolerance. The target for this trade is set at the previous day's low, which is reached and prompts a short-term reversal in price direction. Later in the day, between 7:00 PM and 8:00 PM GMT, another FVG develops. Following the same principle, we can enter at the bottom of the FVG. Setting a stop loss above the swing high is considered more prudent than directly above the candle high, which in this case would likely lead to a stop-out due to the tightness of the entry. Since the previous day’s low has already been reached earlier, the next logical target is the low of the US session, aligning with the day's bearish momentum. The Bottom Line The ICT Silver Bullet strategy provides a precise framework for traders looking to exploit specific market conditions tied to the rhythmic movements of liquidity and price during crucial trading hours. By focusing on fair value gaps and strategic entry points, traders can align their actions with significant market forces. FAQs What Is the Silver Bullet Strategy in Trading? The Silver Bullet strategy in trading is a specific, time-sensitive approach designed to capitalise on liquidity and fair value gaps that typically form during key periods of market volatility. Developed by Michael J. Huddleston, also known as ICT, it aims to take advantage of the movements that occur when the market reacts to these gaps during certain hours of the trading day. What Time Is the Silver Bullet Strategy? The Silver Bullet strategy is executed during three distinct one-hour windows corresponding to heightened market activity periods. These are: - London Open Silver Bullet: Occurs from 3:00 AM to 4:00 AM Eastern Standard Time (EST) in winter and from 2:00 AM to 3:00 AM in summer, which is 8:00 AM to 9:00 AM Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) in winter and 7:00 AM to 8:00 AM in summer. - New York AM Session Silver Bullet: 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM EST (3:00 PM to 4:00 PM GMT). - New York PM Session Silver Bullet: 2:00 PM to 3:00 PM EST (7:00 PM to 8:00 PM GMT). How Long Does Silver Bullet Last? As an intraday trading strategy, the Silver Bullet targets quick, short-term trades within specific one-hour windows. The trades are typically intended to be closed by the end of the trading day, capitalising on rapid movements towards and away from liquidity points. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
The Invisible Hand in Crypto: Are We Just Puppets?You think you’re trading based on your analysis? Maybe you’re just thinking that. The crypto market might be far more controlled than you realize — here’s how, when, and why . Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Ethereum: Following its impressive recent rally, ETH continues to show strength, supported by high volume and a clear bullish market structure. A key daily support—confluent with the Fibonacci zone and an ascending trendline—remains intact. My main target stands at the psychological $3,000 level, implying ~16% upside potential if momentum sustains. 🔍 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 📊 TradingView Tools: Decoding the Minds of the Whales In a market where price moves often feel pre-scripted, precision tools aren’t a luxury — they’re survival gear. TradingView offers indicators like Accumulation/Distribution, On-Balance Volume, Smart Money Concepts, and Liquidity Heatmaps that help you spot where big money is entering or exiting . These tools, especially on higher timeframes, can reveal underlying accumulation or distribution before major moves happen. For instance, if OBV rises while price remains flat, whales might be silently building positions. Also, indicators like Whale Alerts, based on on-chain analysis, can show large transactions often tied to upcoming volatility. Combine this with tools like Volume Profile or classic trendlines, and you’re no longer chasing price — you’re anticipating it. 🎯 Collective Behavior or Whale-Orchestrated Moves? Markets — especially crypto — haven’t moved on simple supply and demand for a long time. Many of the price spikes or dumps you see aren’t organic; they’re orchestrated. Big players with massive volumes steer liquidity to where they want it. 🧠 Retail Psychology: A Weapon in Bigger Hands Why do you always enter after a pump? Why does the market bounce right after you panic sell? These are not coincidences. Fear and greed are weapons. Smart money knows exactly how to trigger emotional trades from retailers, turning those reactions into their profits. 🔄 The Recycled Trap Scenarios Here’s a classic: sudden green candle to trigger FOMO, followed by a slight dip, more retail buys in, then a sharp dump — liquidity collected. If this sounds familiar, it’s because it keeps happening. Those who spot it early survive. 📉 It’s About Liquidity, Not Your Support Line Whales don’t care about your trendlines. They care about liquidity. If you know where most long or short positions are placed, you can often predict the next market move. TradingView indicators help identify liquidation zones — follow them. 🕹 You’re Just a Pawn — Unless You Learn the Map If you’re just reacting candle by candle, you’re losing. But when you start thinking like whales, understanding their setups, you flip from pawn to player. Sentiment tools, volume flow, and behavioral indicators are your way out of the trap. 📌 Final Words If you thought your analysis was behind your trades — think again. Smart money plays by a plan, and TradingView’s tools help you see the blueprint. Don’t be manipulated — learn to move like the movers. always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
11
Market Psychology 101Good day traders and investors, There are benefits to being (AWAKE) or at least there should be. This is where I stand at the moment with the Bitcoin & crypto market. I do believe Is in the final stages of the bull market marked with a circle. The final stage has biggest gains and it happens in 30 to 45 days. Most of what I wan to say is in the chart. Please, feel free to add something you feel I have missed or why you may disagree. Kind regards, Demetrios
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by WeAreSat0shi
1
How to Manage Slippage on TradingViewThis tutorial explains what slippage is and how it relates to market and limit orders as well as times when you might expect higher than normal slippage. Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. Stop-loss orders are submitted as market orders and may be executed at prices significantly different from the intended stop level, particularly during periods of high volatility or limited liquidity. Stop-limit orders carry the risk of not being executed at all if the market does not reach the limit price. It is important to understand that neither type of order guarantees execution at a specific price. Market conditions can change rapidly due to scheduled or unexpected news events, and even quiet markets may experience sudden disruptions. These factors can affect trade execution in ways that may not be predictable or controllable.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
5
Soybeans: The Global Protein Powerhouse🟡 1. Introduction Soybeans might not look like much at first glance — small, round, unassuming. But behind every bean lies a global story of protein demand, export flows, and economic policy. They feed livestock, fuel vehicles, nourish entire populations, and move markets. In fact, soybeans sit at the intersection of agriculture, industry, and geopolitics — making them one of the most actively traded and strategically watched commodities in the world. If you’re looking to understand how soybeans move markets — and how you can trade them effectively — this article is your starting point. 🌍 2. Why the World Cares About Soybeans Few agricultural commodities carry the weight soybeans do. Their importance spans both the food and energy sectors — and their global footprint is enormous. Here’s why they matter: Protein Meal: After processing, about 80% of the soybean becomes high-protein meal used to feed poultry, pigs, and cattle. Soybean Oil: Roughly 20% is extracted as oil — a key ingredient in cooking, industrial products, and increasingly, biodiesel. Biofuels: As the push for renewable energy grows, soybean oil plays a major role in sustainable fuel strategies. Top producers: United States — historically the world’s largest producer. Brazil — now rivals or exceeds U.S. production in some years. Argentina — a dominant player in soybean meal and oil exports. Top importers: China — imports over 60% of globally traded soybeans. EU, Mexico, Japan — also large buyers. Soybeans are a bridge commodity — connecting livestock feed, food manufacturing, and renewable energy. That’s why traders from Chicago to Shanghai watch every yield forecast and export announcement closely. 💹 3. CME Group Soybean Contracts Soybeans trade on the CME Group’s CBOT platform, with two main futures products: o Standard Soybeans Ticker: ZS Size = 5,000 bushels Tick = 0.0025 = $12.50 Margin = ~$2,150 o Micro Soybeans Ticker: MZS Size = 500 bushels Tick = 0.0050 = $2.50 Margin = ~$215 Soybean futures are among the most actively traded agricultural contracts, offering deep liquidity, tight spreads, and excellent volatility for strategic traders. Keep in mind that margins are subject to change — always confirm with your broker. Micro contracts are ideal for scaling in/out of trades or learning market structure without large capital risk. 📅 4. The Soybean Calendar Soybeans follow a seasonal cycle that creates rhythm in the market — and a potential edge for informed traders. In the United States: 🌱 Planting: Late April to early June ☀️ Pod development / blooming: July and early August (weather-sensitive) 🌾 Harvest: September through November In Brazil: 🌱 Planting: October to December 🌾 Harvest: February through April This staggered calendar means that soybean markets have multiple weather risk windows each year. It also means the export flows and global pricing dynamics shift between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres throughout the calendar year. That’s why soybeans tend to have two major volatility windows — mid-summer (U.S. crop concerns) and early Q1 (South American weather). Traders often build seasonal strategies around these patterns — buying weakness before key USDA reports, fading rallies during overbought harvests, or trading futures spreads between U.S. and Brazilian supply flows. 🔄 5. How Soybeans Are Traded Globally Soybeans move through a complex international web of growers, crushers, exporters, and consumers. As a trader, understanding this flow is essential — because each node introduces price risk, opportunity, and reaction points. Key players: o Hedgers: U.S. and Brazilian farmers hedge production risk using futures or options on futures. Exporters hedge shipping schedules against fluctuating basis and FX risk. o Crushers: Companies like Cargill or Bunge buy soybeans to crush into meal and oil. Crush margin (aka “board crush”) affects demand and influences futures spreads. o Speculators: Institutional funds trade soybeans as a macro or relative value play. Retail traders use micro contracts (MZS) to capture directional or seasonal moves. o China: Its purchasing pace (or sudden cancellations) can move markets dramatically. Announcements of bulk U.S. purchases could trigger short-covering rallies. Additionally, soybeans are sometimes traded indirectly via their by-products: Soybean Meal (ZM) Soybean Oil (ZL) These contracts often lead or lag ZS based on demand shifts in feed or fuel. 📈 6. What Makes Soybeans Unique to Trade Compared to wheat and corn, soybeans are: More weather-sensitive during July and August (especially to drought and heat). More globally integrated, thanks to China’s dominant import role. More complex, due to crush dynamics and multiple end-use markets. This multifaceted nature is why many professional traders monitor soybeans, even if they aren’t actively trading them every week. 📌 7. Summary / Takeaway Soybeans are one of the most important — and most tradable — commodities in the world. They feed livestock, fuel industry, and anchor the agricultural markets across two hemispheres. Their unique role in food, fuel, and feed makes them more than just another contract — they’re a barometer for global health, demand, and policy. Whether you’re trading the standard ZS contract or getting started with MZS, mastering soybeans means understanding weather, trade flows, product demand, and seasonality. 🧭 This article is part of our agricultural futures trading series. 📅 Watch for the next release: “Weather and Corn: A Deep Dive into Temperature Impact” When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZS1!Education
by traddictiv
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): FAQ guide before investing🚀 Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): A Deep Dive into Holdings and Hypothetical Returns 🌟 The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) is a popular exchange-traded fund offering investors access to some of the largest and most dynamic growth-oriented companies in the U.S. market. MGK closely tracks the CRSP US Mega Cap Growth Index, emphasizing mega-cap stocks. 🎯 Key Features of MGK 💰 Expense Ratio: 0.07%, a cost-effective choice for investors. 📊 Assets Under Management: Around $25.42 billion. 💵 Dividend Yield: 0.44%, distributed quarterly. 🏆 Top Holdings: 🍎 Apple Inc. (AAPL): 14.34% 🖥️ Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): 11.93% 🎮 NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA): 10.70% 📦 Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): 7.63% 📱 Meta Platforms Inc. (META): 4.33% 🔌 Broadcom Inc. (AVGO): 3.54% 🚗 Tesla Inc. (TSLA): 3.22% 💊 Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY): 3.20% 💳 Visa Inc. (V): 2.76% 🔍 Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): 2.31% 📌 Sector Allocation: 💻 Technology: ~52.8% 🛒 Consumer Discretionary: 15.9% 📡 Communication Services: 11.0% 📈 Performance Overview MGK has consistently demonstrated strong returns: 🗓️ Year-to-Date (YTD): 0.96% 📅 1-Year Return: ~21.09% 📆 3-Year Return: ~23.26% 📊 5-Year Return: ~19.26% 💸 Hypothetical Investment Scenarios Assuming an average annual return of 19.26%, here's how various investments might grow over five years: 💲 $10,000 Investment: Year 1: $11,926 Year 2: $14,219 Year 3: $16,951 Year 4: $20,207 Year 5: $24,070 💲 $100,000 Investment: Year 1: $119,260 Year 2: $142,190 Year 3: $169,510 Year 4: $202,070 Year 5: $240,700 💲 $1,000,000 Investment: Year 1: $1,192,600 Year 2: $1,421,900 Year 3: $1,695,100 Year 4: $2,020,700 Year 5: $2,407,000 ⚠️ Note: These returns are hypothetical and assume consistent annual performance, which may not reflect actual market volatility. 🔑 Considerations for Investors 🎯 Concentration Risk: MGK heavily invests in technology and a few major stocks, tying its success closely to these specific companies. 📉 Market Volatility: Although historically strong, MGK can be highly volatile, particularly during tech-sector downturns. 📈 Long-Term Growth: Ideal for investors seeking significant long-term capital appreciation through prominent U.S. growth firms. 📌 In Summary: MGK provides focused exposure to U.S. mega-cap growth stocks with a strong track record. Investors should consider portfolio diversification carefully due to its sector concentration.
AMEX:MGKEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
28
How to read Speed Index and Identify Potential Reversals!In this chart we removed all Plutus signals and we are reading just Speed Index and weighted Averaged Speed Index. The purpose is to identify a potential reversal at a significant location such as Fib. There are two numbers visible on every price wave swing, the first one is the wave's Speed Index and the second one is the weighted average Speed Index of the 30 waves back. What do we need to identify for a potential reversal? The answer is Abnormal Speed Index compared to the weighted average Speed Index, which means that something is cooking. Reading the chart: - Look at highest volume up wave hitting the Fib area, Speed Index at 6.2 while the average at 5.0 , higher than the average but not too abnormal. - The next down wave is where it gives you an Abnormal Speed Index of 10.4 with an average of 5.2. This is what we call their first Push Down, now definitely something is cooking. - The next up wave has a Speed Index 10.4 (Abnormal) with an average of 5.2 and that's we call a Hard to Move Up Wave (HTMU).(by coincidence these two waves have the Speed Index and average Speed Index) - Finally to make sure that all these were sellers we need price to break these waves. To Summarize this is how we approach this Short trade (annotations are in sync with chart). 1. Fib Location (potential sellers might enter) 2. The highest volume up wave to get to Fib 3. Placed AVWAP at the beginning of this up wave, because we will go short if price goes below AVWAP with the appropriate Speed Index justification. 4. First Push Down wave with SI 10.4 with AvgSI at 5.2 5. HTMU (Hard to Move Up) wave with SI 10.4 with AvgSI at 5.2 6. Our entry Short breaking the structure of the previous waves and cross AVWAP downwards. I hope this helps all you Weis Wave Speed Index owners. Enjoy!!!
Education
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
1
Your Crypto Wallet Isn’t Safe AnymoreA security update is splitting the market in two; some think they’re safe, others are running scared! Security becomes dangerous when it makes you careless — and right now, that’s exactly where we are! Whales aren’t just switching wallets, they’re changing where the money flows… and you need to know Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material . 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective: Bitcoin has recently established multiple daily resistance levels and has now executed a strong breakout above its long-standing descending channel. This move is backed by a significant increase in buying volume, signaling renewed bullish momentum. From a short-term perspective, I anticipate at least a 6% upside, with a target around the $110,000 zone. 📊🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🔐 New Security in Crypto Tech like MPC and smart contract wallets look fancy but come with a lot of questions underneath. If your private key isn’t in your hands, then you don’t really own your wallet. Most people feel safe because they don’t have to memorize a seed phrase. But that one phrase could save or ruin you. 🧠 Trader Psychology and Feeling Safe False security makes traders ignore managing their risk and stop doing real analysis. Thinking “everything’s safe” shuts down your brain — right when the market is about to turn. In crypto, fear and greed run the show; security is just an excuse to get greedy. 📈 Market Reaction to Security Updates Tokens like TWT, SFP, and KASPA pump after security upgrades, but those pumps are often fake. When exchanges roll out security updates, smart money is actually pulling out, because whales want real control, not just a safe look. 📉 Security Without Responsibility? Social recovery means relying on a group of people. What if someone in that group betrays you? Users think it’s easier now, but easier doesn’t always mean safer — sometimes it’s way riskier. 🕵️‍♂️ Watch What Whales Do Data from TradingView shows old-style wallets are gaining users after MPC updates. Whales prefer a hardware wallet and a paper backup over smart recovery systems any day. 📊 Tools You Need to Know ( in TradingView ) Use Wallet Flow and Smart Money Index on TradingView to track where the money’s moving. The Wallet Activity heatmap tells you when the market is gearing up for a big move. 🤯 Feeling Safe = Market Blind Spot When everyone feels safe, that’s exactly when the most liquidations happen. Calm markets are traps built by whales to catch others off guard. 🔄 Final Thoughts Security should be a tool, not an illusion. If you put all your trust in tech, you no longer control your money. A pro trader doubts even when the market says it’s safe, because in crypto, nothing is ever guaranteed. However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
6
Unlocking Market Cycles with the RSI Cyclic Smoothed IndicatorIntro In the world of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is established. However, the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator takes this classic tool to the next level by incorporating cyclic smoothing and dynamic bands. This post will explore the features, configuration, and practical applications of this powerful indicator. What is the RSI Cyclic Smoothed Indicator ? The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is an advanced version of the traditional RSI. It enhances the classic RSI by adding cyclic smoothing and cyclic memory, allowing it to better adapt to market cycles and provide more accurate signals. Dynamic Bands One of the standout features of the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is its dynamic bands. These bands adjust automatically to the asset’s cyclical levels, providing clearer signals in varying market conditions. The adaptive upper and lower bands help traders avoid whipsaw trades and identify overbought and oversold conditions more effectively. What kind of indicator is it ? The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator falls into the category of oscillators. Oscillators are technical analysis tools that vary over time within a banded range, typically used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. Leading or Lagging ? The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is primarily a lagging indicator. It smooths the RSI data to reduce noise and provide more reliable signals, but it does not predict future price movements. Key Features Cyclic Smoothing: Reduces noise and enhances signal accuracy. Dynamic Bands: Adaptive upper and lower bands that adjust to market cycles. Cyclic Memory: Uses the dominant cycle length to optimize signal accuracy. Benefits Compared to Normal RSI Enhanced Signal Accuracy: The cyclic smoothing reduces noise and false signals, providing more reliable trading signals. Adaptability to Market Cycles: The cyclic memory allows the indicator to adapt to the dominant market cycle, making it more responsive to cyclical changes. Dynamic Bands: Unlike the fixed levels in normal RSI, the dynamic bands adjust to market conditions, offering better identification of overbought and oversold levels. Reduced Whipsaw Trades: The smoothing process helps avoid the frequent false signals that can occur with the normal RSI, especially in volatile markets. Indicator Configuration Configuring the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator involves setting the dominant cycle length and adjusting the smoothing parameters. The key parameters include: Dominant Cycle Length: Defines the duration of the dominant market cycle. Smoothing Factor: Reduces fluctuations and noise. Cyclic Memory: Stores the indicator’s history to calculate dynamic reference levels. Ideal settings vary based on market conditions, but a common approach is to start with a dominant cycle length that matches the asset’s typical cycle and adjust the smoothing factor to balance responsiveness and noise reduction. Enhancing Signal Accuracy with a Trend Indicator To enhance the accuracy of signals generated by the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator, it can be used in conjunction with trend indicators. Examples of trend indicators include: Moving Averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are widely used to identify trend direction. MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence helps reveal both direction and underlying momentum. ADX: Average Directional Index measures the strength of a trend. Combining these tools helps confirm signals and reduce false positives. MTF Chart Setup Below is an example chart showcasing the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator in action. The chart highlights trading signals where the signal line crosses above or below the adaptive bands, providing clear entry and exit points. Below are the 1H, 2H and 4H overbought aligned. Alternatives While the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is powerful, there are other alternatives that also focus on overbought and oversold conditions: Stochastic Oscillator: This indicator measures the level of the closing price relative to the range of prices over a certain period. It identifies overbought and oversold conditions with key levels below 20 (oversold) and above 80 (overbought). Williams %R: Similar to the Stochastic Oscillator, Williams %R compares the closing price to the high-low range over a specified period. It indicates overbought conditions above -20 and oversold conditions below -80. CCI (Commodity Channel Index): The CCI measures the deviation of the price from its average price over a given period. It identifies overbought conditions above +100 and oversold conditions below -100. Bollinger Bands: While not an oscillator, Bollinger Bands can be used to identify overbought and oversold conditions when the price touches the upper or lower band. Additional Insights The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is highly responsive to market moves and can be fine-tuned to match the dominant cycle of the asset being analysed. For more in-depth information, refer to Chapter 4 of "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1". Practical Tips Combine with Trend Indicators: Use the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator alongside trend indicators to confirm signals. Adjust Cyclic Parameters: Fine-tune the cyclic parameters to match the market conditions and dominant cycle. Monitor Dynamic Bands: Pay close attention to the adaptive bands for overbought and oversold signals. Backtest Thoroughly: Before using the indicator in live trading, backtest it on historical data to understand its performance and adjust settings accordingly. Stay Updated: Market conditions change, so periodically review and adjust the indicator settings to ensure they remain optimal. Which Securities Does This Apply For? The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator can be applied to a wide range of securities, including: Stocks: Useful for identifying cyclical patterns and overbought/oversold conditions in individual stocks. ETFs: Effective for analyzing exchange-traded funds, especially those tracking cyclical sectors. Forex: Valuable for currency pairs, helping traders identify market cycles and potential reversals. Commodities: Applicable to commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products, where cyclical movements are common. Cryptocurrencies: Can be used to analyze digital assets, providing insights into cyclical trends and volatility. Conclusion The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis. By incorporating cyclic smoothing and dynamic bands, it provides clearer and more accurate signals, helping traders navigate complex market cycles.
Education
by Xuantify
5
Click…Click…Boom : What’s Your Count?Hello Traders and welcome to Crypto Aera. The inspiration for today’s episode comes from a conversation I had recently. Someone asked me, "I’m moving up in my position size, and there’s this knot in my stomach. I’m numb to smaller figures, but now I’m stressed." That stayed with me. A few days later, I stood on a beach, watching the waves lap against a shore covered in endless pebbles. As I began stacking them, I noticed a pattern. The higher the stack climbed, the more precise I had to be. I spent longer searching for flat, perfectly matched pebbles. You see, you can’t throw a large pebble on top of a small one, followed by another large one, and expect stability. The tower will hesitate, teeter for a moment, and then collapse under the weight of imbalance. Trading is no different. It’s physics, it’s art, it’s strategy. Your foundation—your portfolio—can only carry so much unless each decision is deliberate, consistent, aligned. A misplaced pebble, much like a poorly timed trade, and you’re staring at the rubble of a once-promising stack, left with barely 8%—if you’re fortunate. Similar-sized, flat pebbles stack because consistency breeds strength. The higher you go, the more thoughtful you must become. The rules of pebble stacking and trading are inseparable. Now, let’s address that knot in your stomach. How do you conquer it? You embrace the crash. You let the tower burn—not on its own terms, but on yours. You take control. Cut the trade, close it yourself. It may seem like a minor act, but it’s not. Holding on for hours, days, endlessly hoping, is how you wear yourself down, tumble-dry your psyche into exhaustion. But here’s the alchemy of transformation: you choose the moment. Pick the time, pick the place, and sever the cord. Because waiting for the market to punish you, to bring your tower down, is surrender. Hope is a subtle assassin, and hesitation will chain you to stagnation. Don’t allow it. Let the tower fall, let it crash. That moment—the collapse—is not an end. It’s a doorway. It’s the reset button, the gateway to moving forward. Guilt? Leave it behind. Regret? That’s weight you can’t afford. Be nimble, be decisive. Don’t get swept away by the explosion; walk yourself out of that burning tower with precision and strength. Scars are avoidable if you leave on your terms. Every trade is a deliberate action, a piece of a larger construction. Each choice builds your tower, step by step, click by click. The market’s tide can shift in an instant, but you can decide whether you stand still, hesitating, or take action to preserve what you can. So I’ll ask you: What’s your count? How many pebbles have you stacked? How many missteps have you learned from? Each toppled stack is not failure—it’s a masterclass in rebuilding, stronger and sharper. Balance risk and reward, ambition and patience. Understand that every pebble plays a role. Yes, at the bottom of the stack it's not a heavy burden... it's when you see growth... that's where things tend to get wobbly. And next time you feel that knot in your stomach, remember this: you are the architect of your stack. You are the one who decides when to burn the tower and when to build it higher. Don’t hesitate. Act. Thank you for tuning in to Crypto Aera's Mental Analysis Navigation. Until next time: keep stacking, keep counting, and keep mastering. PS: Split your stacks. Over and Out, Craft
Education
by LCraft
1
Behind the Numbers : Meet Your Dark SideIn the heart of every trader lies an unspoken duality—a relentless pursuit of precision battling against a ravenous hunger for chaos. It begins innocuously enough: the first trade, the first click, the first taste of triumph. But beneath the surface, hidden in the shadows of spreadsheets and tickers, a darker force stirs. It’s cunning, calculating, and seductive—a predator dressed in the guise of ambition. You meet this dark side not in moments of triumph, but in the haunting seconds between fear and greed. It whispers to you as the market turns against you, as the screens bleed red and your pulse quickens. It watches as your composure fractures, as your carefully laid plans buckle under the weight of desperation. It thrives in the silence, in the endless ticking of the clock as you hesitate, second-guess, and linger on the edge of ruin. The dark side is not an external force; it is you. It is your impatience when the chart doesn’t move fast enough, your overconfidence when the numbers briefly tilt in your favor. It is the knot in your stomach, the feverish obsession, the siren call of doubling down when you know you shouldn’t. It is your recklessness disguised as boldness and your hesitation masked as strategy. You don’t fight the dark side. You negotiate with it. You confront it, standing toe-to-toe, dissecting its motives and unmasking its lies. To do otherwise is to surrender—becoming a puppet to your own fear, enslaved to the same impulses that destroy those who lack the discipline to conquer themselves. In trading, the battlefield is not the market. It’s the war within you. And to emerge victorious, you must first meet your adversary: YOURSELF. Craft
Education
by LCraft
The Hot Seat: Adapt or BurnSo, you've found yourself squarely in the hot seat. Welcome to the Trading Trail, Dorothy—except this isn’t Kansas, and you’re lightyears from home. This is new terrain, uncharted and merciless. In prior episodes, I barely skimmed over the dark side of trading—the facets of your psyche that stealthily pilot your decisions. Perhaps it left you sighing, unsure of where to begin. Let's change that today. Consider this a no-frills exposé into the abyss—the countless unseen facets of your being that dictate your behavior on autopilot. As traders, many scream manipulation as markets sway violently against their carefully plotted plans. Yet, all the market truly does is wield a figurative hot pogo stick, jabbing precisely where your weak points lie—not maliciously, but with unerring precision. Let’s be honest. Western Hollywood scripts spoon-feed us formulaic redemption arcs. Fifteen minutes in, the hero lands their mission. Fifteen minutes before the credits roll, the final showdown begins. Tomato, tomahto—it’s predictable fluff. But real life doesn’t stick to screenplay rules. It’s jagged, it’s raw, and the narrative rarely ties up neatly. If you’re seeking depth, you won’t find it in blockbuster tropes—you’ll find it by doxxing your own dark side. That’s right—exposing the facets of yourself you don’t even realize exist. It’s intense, it’s uncomfortable, but it’s transformative. Here's a quick roll call of scenarios you might recognize: - You close your trade prematurely due to impatience and wavering conviction. - You've DCA'd your account into oblivion, clutching blind hope from a TA analysis you were too stubborn to question—aka Disney goggles. - Revenge trading—you've been there, too. We all have. Here’s the brutal truth: every “loss” is nothing more than the market holding up a mirror to your imbalances. Every poke, every jab, is a lesson about you. Your job isn’t to whine about manipulation, but to analyze yourself. Figure out where you are falling short, because the longer you deny your flaws, the deeper that pogo stick sears into your psyche. Embrace the battlefield; don’t cower. The market is your adversary, yes—but it’s also your greatest teacher. Now, the million-dollar question—where do you begin? Start by delving into the layers of yourself. Explore tools like the Myers-Briggs personality test—it’s one type of gateway to understanding your cognitive tendencies. Answer impulsively, not meticulously, to ensure untainted results. Once you unearth your MBTI type, dive deeper. YouTube has a treasure trove of creators offering insights, and here’s a quirky trick: pay attention to the memes that resonate with your dark humor—if it makes you laugh, it may hold clues to your personality type. Go further. Unearth whether you align with alpha, beta, gamma, or sigma archetypes. And don’t cheat—being an alpha isn’t necessary for trading success. Honesty is paramount. The market will sniff out dishonesty like a bloodhound. Are you a Heyoka empath? Research it thoroughly, as such individuals often absorb and act under external influences. Understanding this facet could shield your portfolio from emotional sway. Perhaps astrology speaks to you. If it does, approach it with sophistication—understanding your sun, moon, and ascendant sign is merely scratching the surface. True mastery lies in uncovering the full depth of your natal chart through the myriad systems that exist. Trading and astrology, though seemingly worlds apart, share a startling resemblance: both rely heavily on indicators, and both are prone to human inconsistency. Ultimately, explore yourself as though you’re reconstructing a high-performance machine. What happens when your rev limiter is in the red, the tires gripping the pavement at 144mph—do you fishtail with control or spin into oblivion? That’s trading in its essence, but you’re motionless in a chair, adrenaline pumping, palms sweating. The goal? Serenity. No matter whether you rake in gains or cut losses, your micro-expression remains unchanged— neutral and poised. Not numb or robotic, but wholesome and unshakeable. When you embrace this awareness, you transform. You shed skin like a serpent, emerging sharp, agile, and complete. Suddenly, the market loses its fangs. You dodge the pogo stick like a lethal machine, executing trades with finesse. You stop being a victim, instead becoming a warrior. The market ceases to intimidate, recognizing you as an equal contender. There are countless tools to learn more about yourself. Skip the IQ tests—this isn’t about being book-smart. Explore psychological tests, data intake styles, and sensory preferences. What works for others may not work for you, and that’s okay. Clarity is the key. And before you dive in each day, try the Human Benchmark website—a simple way to check your mental acuity. If you’re off your game, sleep. The trade can wait. Finally, ponder the Dark Triad—a concept that brushes against psychopathy, narcissism, and Machiavellianism. It’s not just a speculative theory—it exists all around us. Are you one? Are you dealing with one? Knowing yourself will sharpen your moral compass and guide your decisions in the battlefield. Trading isn’t just a skill. It’s an intimate confrontation with your entire self—the good, the bad, and the shadowy. And like any great narrative, the real depth doesn’t come from shortcuts—it comes from the untamed, unvarnished truth. Craft
Education
by LCraft
2
Trader’s Metabolism : “Dragon, Well Done… Please”Trading isn’t just skill. It’s survival. And survival isn’t a phase—it’s a permanent residency. It’s 90% of the job. The other 10%? We’ll get to that when you’ve stopped bleeding. Because when the market burns you down, it doesn’t just torch your wallet. It leaves a mark. Personal. Intimate. Like an ex who knew your passwords and your childhood traumas. You don’t just lose money—parts of you are marked with an invisible highlighter and then used against you. That is the feeling. No specific term for it—it’s different for everyone, but it’s there. A delayed punch. The shock hits first, then the sting. You thought you were unfazed? Cute. It always hits. Every loss leaves a signature. You’re basically a walking hall of fame. Who’s fame though? The market makers, the "manipulators" as some may say? Of course there are traders who rise. It’s not because they cracked the code. It’s because they paid the maintenance fee. Not in dollars—but in discipline. And the only way to pay that? You keep your trading metabolism in check—at all costs. That spark of momentum? Momentum doesn’t arrive in grand gestures. It sneaks in through the absurd: • Scrubbing your stove like it insulted your ancestors. • Folding socks with military precision. • Blending kale and chia like it’s alchemical fuel that could summon capital gains. It’s ridiculous. But it’s survival. These micro-wins? They’re dopamine. Pure. Primal. When the market denies you progress, you hunt that feeling down elsewhere. Anywhere. Invisible anchors. Here’s the con: You set a goal—“By this day, I’ll hit X and I’ll buy Y.” Sounds motivational. Feels empowering. It’s not. It’s a booby-trap with your name on it. You just promised your nervous system salvation through consumerism. And when the market delays the payout? That thing you prescribed? It becomes poisonous. You’re not chasing gains—you’re fleeing your own unmet expectations. It drags. It suffocates. It taunts. Euphoria’s Dark Side: Dopamine doesn’t care if you’re building an empire or torching it. You set a magic number. You dream about the condo. You think shiny gear will fix your edge. Sure. Until it doesn’t. Then what? You start resenting dreams you haven’t bought. Blaming the strategy that wasn’t the problem. Watching motivation rot into mockery. Your trading plan looked good—right up until your emotions co-signed the exit. That trade wasn’t bad. You were. And that’s the part we don’t backtest. The Metabolic Reset: How do you fight back? You stop begging the market for meaning. You stop trading for things. You start building systems for hardcore exposure and unkind weather. Discipline becomes your operating system—one that doesn’t crash, only upgrades. We tend to address and slay the exterior dragons first: Habits. Routines. Appearance. Our environment. Don’t get me wrong, they are an absolute must. The acrobatic part is to turn inward—face the lurking dragons hidden beneath layered gates of facade in your psyche: It’s typically titled, “This is how I am”. The market doesn’t see you, let alone your dreams. However it will mirror your chaos back to you, with laser precision. Like a funhouse reflection—only it costs real money and sanity. This 2D screen you look at was built on leveraging you against yourself. Whoever made it is a sick genius who carved a niche in demand. Props to them. Diabolical. Elegant. Honestly, deserves a Netflix origin story. Maybe call it: "The Algorithm: A Love Letter to Human Delusion. Starring you… as every character.” The Fuel. This is your metabolism. Messy. Brutal. Relentless. But it’s also the separator. Between those who stay the same—and those who evolve. So kill the fantasy. Drop the anchors. Burn the wishlist. And if you ever do buy that yacht? Do Keep the AC running. Because the second you slack on overhead maintenance cost—you’re not sailing, you’re renovating… again. So when you rebuild yourself for the ninth, twentieth, seventy-fifth time…thinking, “Surely this is it. I’m done now.” You’re not. It’s infinite. Like they say, “More money, more problems…” Well, more experience? More sophisticated problems. The only thing left to do…is see yourself clearly enough that the market can’t use you against you anymore. Keep slaying. The tides do turn. Just don’t forget: dragons respawn. Craft
Education
by LCraft
Working in the Dark : Frequency of Energy Amplifying ResistanceSilence. Sometimes, the best option is to turn it all the way up. Not to satisfy your ego’s need for control of your helm, but to glimpse a beacon cutting through the heavy fog. Not to get philosophical or poetic—but what I’m describing is that moment when you learn to master containment of the chaos within whilst having a zero longing to tell a single soul about it. It’s a deeply personal moment with your own spine. Exposed. Unshaken. Sincerely keeping in stillness, eyes locked on that one elusive beacon—the exit point of your turbulent existence. “THAT” trade, the one that triggers rooted fear. It’s an umbrella term that covers numerous facets, at which state they do not matter. In this stillness, you board a ship on a voyage through the fog and that is where fear thrives. How do you rid yourself of its lingering remnants as it keeps purging its residue while looking for a shore?… Fear is the propeller of your ship, synced in unison, the driving force that keeps you moving forward where separation seems impossible, united as one. Now, let’s revisit your ego. It operates in the realms of past and future. It uses logic as a lock and key to interpret everything that’s gone wrong in the past and project that failure into the future. That’s how the propeller keeps turning at high RPM. Many preach, “Be in the here and now.” But that’s a difficult state to reach when your anxiety is at its peak. Sleep may offer brief respite, but the weight upon the waking hour is dreadful. The heaviness arrives and greets you like a loyal mistress who you betrayed. So, logically, you might think: “Shut off the propeller, use the sail…” But here's the catch—reality is far from perfect, and sometimes there’s no wind. Just layers of fog. The sail won’t help; it may only complicate things, especially as you don’t have the faintest clue if or when the wind will pick up. Here’s the turning point. You learn to embrace the drift. The term for this is surrender. Let me say this clearly. Surrender is not weakness. Some might call it “taking action by not taking action.” Underlying interpretation is subjective. The Method of Deduction. Cliche phrase… “Reduce the noise to gain clarity”, well because fear is a ‘Frequency of Energy Amplifying Resistance’. There is no shame in it as no trader is immune. We all have been dealt a card of the Universal Geo Position, where “Bearlington” and “Bullington” turned into a potential end game, later to surface as a wrenching regretful memory depending on how you processed it. One must comprehend in the stillness, that fear is an energy that blocks us, amplifying resistance to PROGRESS or proper ACTION and ignites a REACTION naturally - the deadliest one being frozen in panic. Now, the action. You surrender to the fog. You shut down the propellers and let your ship glide. There’s always a timer—your liquidation point, a whole host of other factors—and swallowing that pill is never easy. How do you hold this mindset while time relentlessly ticks away? Grant yourself a few minutes of stillness… No inner dialogue, just silence. No inner talk because that leads you straight into a rabbit hole. This is the balancing act between creativity and surrender—how to dodge the bullet while borrowing calmness. Amidst this uncomfortable point, you’ll RE-LEARN to hear your breath, the beat of your heart. It’s the world around you that you’ve forgotten to notice. Perhaps the sound of birds chirping at 4 a.m. As time stretches, you may notice the kind of tree that’s outside your window, which has existed before you were long conceived and will stand beyond your expiration date. Everything begins to scale. The situation, which felt insurmountable, becomes proportionate to everything else. You still possess strength. You still have sight. You still hear. You are alive, and that’s a reminder of how far you’ve come. This is the moment you step outside of your situation. And this, right here, is where the magic happens. I personally don’t believe in magic. To me, it’s just harmonious mathematics. But that “AHA!” moment is undeniable. Your plan starts to take form as a distant mirage through the fog. Trust when I say, the fog doesn’t settle, your senses obtain a rain-shield and a foglight. Hello, clarity. Maybe the charts align this time. Maybe the structure is moving the way you anticipated. And just like that, you’ve gained a sliver of clarity. The trick is to keep moving forward, maintaining perspective. The fog doesn’t magically vanish, but you learn to navigate it. You engage your surroundings, adjust, and save some fuel in the process. What you’ve done is re-channel your energy—cut off the fuel-line to the propeller. Fear loses its grip. I repeat, that fear—it’s an umbrella term now. The details don’t even matter. You needed silence. Shutting off the noise was the first step. Those propellers were making too much racket. Now, you just watch. You float. You’re no longer entangled in the situation. I say "situation" instead of "problem" because you don’t have a problem. Never see things as a problem. Duality fuels extremes and skyrockets emotional pendulum swings. There’s no good. No evil. There is only what is. At some point, you realize… Nothing lasts forever. There are cycles and phases and that in itself is THE CONSTANT. And when the fog does clear, you look around—no island, no shore, no beacon. You’re still floating. The clock is still ticking. But here’s the reality check. Do you realize how many things you could have done in that fear-induced panic mode? You created a type of momentary anchor. Take a moment. Think about it. The what if’s…if there was an iceberg you couldn’t see? You could’ve crashed, completely and literally underwater. It’s not an easy practice and it is a solo journey. Speaking to others can validate your victimhood, which only drags you down further. Especially when you talk to other traders. It’s on an extreme rare occasion you’ll ever find your perfect answer. Most of the time, those voices will sound like an all knowing three-headed dragon mixed with a panicking crew. Adapt to growing your own spine my love. The key to regaining focus—designing your decision into action and resolving the situation in your favor with minimal damage—will be an ongoing process. You’ll learn to surrender, drift, and accept that fear can be a constant companion—but it doesn’t have to control you. And sometimes, that mistress? She’s a Trojan horse—deceptively alluring, but full of consequences. Different face, different name, same impact on your lifeboat, if you let her in. Once again, train to re-frame fear. It’s ONLY a frequency. Your next candle is not hope. It’s the cold proof you made it through the blackout… …for now There are no promises, just currents. Hear the reality. You kill a trader from the inside by letting them abduct themselves. They go from being the sharpest, most focused individual to a detective in their own head—chasing down ghosts that may not even exist. They either wake up and build the bridge to their own throne, or they keep smashing the keyboard like it’s their only lifeline—until the money dries up and they're left with nothing but a pile of regret. It’s a war between their ears. The rest of it? Just noise. And remember this, the charts aren’t gonna save you, the system isn’t gonna save you... Only you can own the mind that sits behind that screen. So yeah, there are no promises, just currents. As always…over and out, Craft
Education
by LCraft
What is Opening Range Breakout (ORB)Hello mates today i want to share an Educational post about Opening range breakout a very common and old strategy used by many traders and it's still pretty effective. I hope you will read the complete post and like my publication too friends. So let's understand about Opening Range Breakout below-:: ⚡Introduction to Opening Range Breakout-:: In the world of trading timing can be everything. One of the strategies that traders use to capitalize on market movements at the start of the trading day is the Opening Range Breakout (ORB). This technique is particularly popular among day traders because it leverages the market's early volatility to make quick profits. In this article we'll dive deep into what ORB is, how it works, and how traders can effectively use it. ⚡What is the Opening Range-:: The "opening range" refers to the price range established during the first few minutes of a trading session. This range is defined by the high and low prices observed within this period. Depending on the trader's preference and the asset being traded, this range can be set over different time intervals, commonly 5, 15, or 30 minutes. ⚡Understanding the Breakout-:: A breakout occurs when the price moves outside the opening range, either above the high or below the low. This movement indicates a potential direction for the day's trend. The idea behind the ORB strategy is that the price, once it breaks out of this range, is likely to continue moving in that direction, giving traders a chance to enter a position early in the day and ride the trend. ⚡Why Use ORB-:: 1.Early Market Volatility-: The market often shows significant volatility at the opening bell, driven by overnight news, earnings reports, and economic data. This creates opportunities for sharp price movements. 2.Defined Risk and Reward-: Since the opening range is defined, traders can set clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, making risk management straightforward. 3.Capturing Early Trends-: ORB allows traders to capture trends early, often before the broader market catches on. This can lead to significant profits in a short period. ⚡How to Implement the ORB Strategy-:: 1-Identify the Opening Range-: At the start of the trading session, observe the price action and note the high and low points within your chosen time frame (e.g., the first 15 minutes). 2-Set Breakout Levels-: Once the opening range is established, these levels (the high and low) become your breakout levels. 3-Place Orders-:: Long Position-: If the price breaks above the high of the opening range, enter a long position (buy). Short Position-: If the price breaks below the low of the opening range, enter a short position (sell). 4-Set Stop-Loss-: A common approach is to place a stop-loss just inside the opening range. For example, if you enter a long position, your stop-loss might be slightly below the high of the range. 5-Set Profit Targets-: Profit targets can be set based on a fixed ratio (e.g., 2:1 risk/reward ratio), or by trailing the stop-loss as the price moves in your favor. ⚡Factors to Consider for ORB Success-:: 1-Market Conditions-: ORB tends to work best in markets with high liquidity and volatility. Stocks with news catalysts, or major indices, are often good candidates. 2-Time Frame Selection-: The choice of the opening range time frame is critical. Shorter time frames (e.g., 5 minutes) might offer more frequent signals, but they can also lead to more false breakouts. Longer time frames (e.g., 30 minutes) may provide more reliable signals but fewer opportunities. 3-Volume Confirmation-: It's often wise to confirm breakouts with an increase in volume, which can indicate the strength of the move. 4-Avoiding False Breakouts-: Not every breakout leads to a sustained move. To avoid false breakouts, some traders wait for a retest of the breakout level or use additional technical indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, to confirm the trend. ⚡Example of ORB in Action-:: Let’s consider a stock that has an opening range of 100 to 105 in the first 15 minutes of trading. Here’s how a trader might approach this: Breakout Above 105-: The trader places a buy order at 105.10 (a little above the breakout level) and sets a stop-loss at 104.50 (just below the high of the opening range). The profit target might be set at 107.20, assuming a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Breakout Below 100-: Alternatively, if the stock breaks below 100, the trader could short the stock at 99.90 with a stop-loss at 100.50 and a profit target at 97.80. ⚡Advantages of ORB-:: Clarity-: The strategy provides clear entry and exit points, reducing guesswork. Structure-: It imposes discipline by setting predefined rules for trading. Simplicity-: ORB is relatively simple to understand and execute, making it accessible to traders of all experience levels. ⚡Challenges and Limitations-:: False Breakouts-: These can lead to losses if not managed carefully. Whipsaws-: In highly volatile markets, prices might break the range multiple times, leading to potential whipsaws. Over-Reliance on Opening Range-: Solely relying on the opening range might ignore broader market context or trends from previous days. ⚡Conclusion-:: The Opening Range Breakout strategy is a powerful tool in a trader's arsenal, particularly for those who thrive on early market action. While it offers a structured approach to capturing trends, success with ORB requires discipline, proper risk management, and an understanding of market conditions. By combining ORB with other strategies or indicators, traders can increase their chances of capturing profitable moves while minimizing risks. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, mastering the ORB strategy can provide you with the edge needed to navigate the fast-paced world of day trading. Thanks for reading the post, I hope you will like the information shared above and like my idea too. Best Regards- Amit
NASDAQ:AMDEducation
by AMIT-RAJAN
1
Why Traders Chase — and Always LoseHard truth: You don’t miss opportunities. You chase noise. Let’s break down the real reason you keep “missing moves”: 1. FOMO is not urgency — it’s confusion. When you enter because “everyone’s talking about it,” you’re not trading a setup. You’re reacting to social proof. 2. Volatility ≠ opportunity. Big moves look attractive, but if they’re not in your plan — they’re distractions, not trades. 3. The market rewards patience, not activity. Every click, every chart, every refresh feeds your dopamine — not your edge. 🚫 Solution? Stop scanning. Start filtering. Use tools that prioritize structure over noise. That’s why we built TrendGo — to give clarity in chaos and help you avoid traps masked as opportunity. 📌 Don’t chase. Build your edge.
AMEX:GLDEducation
by TrendGo_Official
Why Your EMA Isn't What You Think It IsMany new traders adopt the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) believing it's simply a "better Simple Moving Average (SMA)". This common misconception leads to fundamental misunderstandings about how EMA works and when to use it. EMA and SMA differ at their core. SMA use a window of finite number of data points, giving equal weight to each data point in the calculation period. This makes SMA a Finite Impulse Response (FIR) filter in signal processing terms. Remember that FIR means that "all that we need is the 'period' number of data points" to calculate the filter value. Anything beyond the given period is not relevant to FIR filters – much like how a security camera with 14-day storage automatically overwrites older footage, making last month's activity completely invisible regardless of how important it might have been. EMA, however, is an Infinite Impulse Response (IIR) filter. It uses ALL historical data, with each past price having a diminishing - but never zero - influence on the calculated value. This creates an EMA response that extends infinitely into the past—not just for the last N periods. IIR filters cannot be precise if we give them only a 'period' number of data to work on - they will be off-target significantly due to lack of context, like trying to understand Game of Thrones by watching only the final season and wondering why everyone's so upset about that dragon lady going full pyromaniac. If we only consider a number of data points equal to the EMA's period, we are capturing no more than 86.5% of the total weight of the EMA calculation. Relying on he period window alone (the warm-up period) will provide only 1 - (1 / e^2) weights, which is approximately 1−0.1353 = 0.8647 = 86.5%. That's like claiming you've read a book when you've skipped the first few chapters – technically, you got most of it, but you probably miss some crucial early context. ▶️ What is period in EMA used for? What does a period parameter really mean for EMA? When we select a 15-period EMA, we're not selecting a window of 15 data points as with an SMA. Instead, we are using that number to calculate a decay factor (α) that determines how quickly older data loses influence in EMA result. Every trader knows EMA calculation: α = 1 / (1+period) – or at least every trader claims to know this while secretly checking the formula when they need it. Thinking in terms of "period" seriously restricts EMA. The α parameter can be - should be! - any value between 0.0 and 1.0, offering infinite tuning possibilities of the indicator. When we limit ourselves to whole-number periods that we use in FIR indicators, we can only access a small subset of possible IIR calculations – it's like having access to the entire RGB color spectrum with 16.7 million possible colors but stubbornly sticking to the 8 basic crayons in a child's first art set because the coloring book only mentioned those by name. For example: Period 10 → alpha = 0.1818 Period 11 → alpha = 0.1667 What about wanting an alpha of 0.17, which might yield superior returns in your strategy that uses EMA? No whole-number period can provide this! Direct α parameterization offers more precision, much like how an analog tuner lets you find the perfect radio frequency while digital presets force you to choose only from predetermined stations, potentially missing the clearest signal sitting right between channels. Sidenote: the choice of α = 1 / (1+period) is just a convention from 1970s, probably started by J. Welles Wilder, who popularized the use of the 14-day EMA. It was designed to create an approximate equivalence between EMA and SMA over the same number of periods, even thought SMA needs a period window (as it is FIR filter) and EMA doesn't. In reality, the decay factor α in EMA should be allowed any valye between 0.0 and 1.0, not just some discrete values derived from an integer-based period! Algorithmic systems should find the best α decay for EMA directly, allowing the system to fine-tune at will and not through conversion of integer period to float α decay – though this might put a few traditionalist traders into early retirement. Well, to prevent that, most traditionalist implementations of EMA only use period and no alpha at all. Heaven forbid we disturb people who print their charts on paper, draw trendlines with rulers, and insist the market "feels different" since computers do algotrading! ▶️ Calculating EMAs Efficiently The standard textbook formula for EMA is: EMA = CurrentPrice × alpha + PreviousEMA × (1 - alpha) But did you know that a more efficient version exists, once you apply a tiny bit of high school algebra: EMA = alpha × (CurrentPrice - PreviousEMA) + PreviousEMA The first one requires three operations: 2 multiplications + 1 addition. The second one also requires three ops: 1 multiplication + 1 addition + 1 subtraction. That's pathetic, you say? Not worth implementing? In most computational models, multiplications cost much more than additions/subtractions – much like how ordering dessert costs more than asking for a water refill at restaurants. Relative CPU cost of float operations : Addition/Subtraction: ~1 cycle Multiplication: ~5 cycles (depending on precision and architecture) Now you see the difference? 2 * 5 + 1 = 11 against 5 + 1 + 1 = 7. That is ≈ 36.36% efficiency gain just by swapping formulas around! And making your high school math teacher proud enough to finally put your test on the refrigerator. ▶️ The Warmup Problem: how to start the EMA sequence right How do we calculate the first EMA value when there's no previous EMA available? Let's see some possible options used throughout the history: Start with zero : EMA(0) = 0. This creates stupidly large distortion until enough bars pass for the horrible effect to diminish – like starting a trading account with zero balance but backdating a year of missed trades, then watching your balance struggle to climb out of a phantom debt for months. Start with first price : EMA(0) = first price. This is better than starting with zero, but still causes initial distortion that will be extra-bad if the first price is an outlier – like forming your entire opinion of a stock based solely on its IPO day price, then wondering why your model is tanking for weeks afterward. Use SMA for warmup : This is the tradition from the pencil-and-paper era of technical analysis – when calculators were luxury items and "algorithmic trading" meant your broker had neat handwriting. We first calculate an SMA over the initial period, then kickstart the EMA with this average value. It's widely used due to tradition, not merit, creating a mathematical Frankenstein that uses an FIR filter (SMA) during the initial period before abruptly switching to an IIR filter (EMA). This methodology is so aesthetically offensive (abrupt kink on the transition from SMA to EMA) that charting platforms hide these early values entirely, pretending EMA simply doesn't exist until the warmup period passes – the technical analysis equivalent of sweeping dust under the rug. Use WMA for warmup : This one was never popular because it is harder to calculate with a pencil - compared to using simple SMA for warmup. Weighted Moving Average provides a much better approximation of a starting value as its linear descending profile is much closer to the EMA's decay profile. These methods all share one problem: they produce inaccurate initial values that traders often hide or discard, much like how hedge funds conveniently report awesome performance "since strategy inception" only after their disastrous first quarter has been surgically removed from the track record. ▶️ A Better Way to start EMA: Decaying compensation Think of it this way: An ideal EMA uses an infinite history of prices, but we only have data starting from a specific point. This creates a problem - our EMA starts with an incorrect assumption that all previous prices were all zero, all close, or all average – like trying to write someone's biography but only having information about their life since last Tuesday. But there is a better way. It requires more than high school math comprehension and is more computationally intensive, but is mathematically correct and numerically stable. This approach involves compensating calculated EMA values for the "phantom data" that would have existed before our first price point. Here's how phantom data compensation works: We start our normal EMA calculation: EMA_today = EMA_yesterday + α × (Price_today - EMA_yesterday) But we add a correction factor that adjusts for the missing history: Correction = 1 at the start Correction = Correction × (1-α) after each calculation We then apply this correction: True_EMA = Raw_EMA / (1-Correction) This correction factor starts at 1 (full compensation effect) and gets exponentially smaller with each new price bar. After enough data points, the correction becomes so small (i.e., below 0.0000000001) that we can stop applying it as it is no longer relevant. Let's see how this works in practice: For the first price bar: Raw_EMA = 0 Correction = 1 True_EMA = Price (since 0 ÷ (1-1) is undefined, we use the first price) For the second price bar: Raw_EMA = α × (Price_2 - 0) + 0 = α × Price_2 Correction = 1 × (1-α) = (1-α) True_EMA = α × Price_2 ÷ (1-(1-α)) = Price_2 For the third price bar: Raw_EMA updates using the standard formula Correction = (1-α) × (1-α) = (1-α)² True_EMA = Raw_EMA ÷ (1-(1-α)²) With each new price, the correction factor shrinks exponentially. After about -log₁₀(1e-10)/log₁₀(1-α) bars, the correction becomes negligible, and our EMA calculation matches what we would get if we had infinite historical data. This approach provides accurate EMA values from the very first calculation. There's no need to use SMA for warmup or discard early values before output converges - EMA is mathematically correct from first value, ready to party without the awkward warmup phase. Here is Pine Script 6 implementation of EMA that can take alpha parameter directly (or period if desired), returns valid values from the start, is resilient to dirty input values, uses decaying compensator instead of SMA, and uses the least amount of computational cycles possible. // Enhanced EMA function with proper initialization and efficient calculation ema(series float source, simple int period=0, simple float alpha=0)=> // Input validation - one of alpha or period must be provided if alpha<=0 and period<=0 runtime.error("Alpha or period must be provided") // Calculate alpha from period if alpha not directly specified float a = alpha > 0 ? alpha : 2.0 / math.max(period, 1) // Initialize variables for EMA calculation var float ema = na // Stores raw EMA value var float result = na // Stores final corrected EMA var float e = 1.0 // Decay compensation factor var bool warmup = true // Flag for warmup phase if not na(source) if na(ema) // First value case - initialize EMA to zero // (we'll correct this immediately with the compensation) ema := 0 result := source else // Standard EMA calculation (optimized formula) ema := a * (source - ema) + ema if warmup // During warmup phase, apply decay compensation e *= (1-a) // Update decay factor float c = 1.0 / (1.0 - e) // Calculate correction multiplier result := c * ema // Apply correction // Stop warmup phase when correction becomes negligible if e <= 1e-10 warmup := false else // After warmup, EMA operates without correction result := ema result // Return the properly compensated EMA value ▶️ CONCLUSION EMA isn't just a "better SMA"—it is a fundamentally different tool, like how a submarine differs from a sailboat – both float, but the similarities end there. EMA responds to inputs differently, weighs historical data differently, and requires different initialization techniques. By understanding these differences, traders can make more informed decisions about when and how to use EMA in trading strategies. And as EMA is embedded in so many other complex and compound indicators and strategies, if system uses tainted and inferior EMA calculatiomn, it is doing a disservice to all derivative indicators too – like building a skyscraper on a foundation of Jell-O. The next time you add an EMA to your chart, remember: you're not just looking at a "faster moving average." You're using an INFINITE IMPULSE RESPONSE filter that carries the echo of all previous price actions, properly weighted to help make better trading decisions. EMA done right might significantly improve the quality of all signals, strategies, and trades that rely on EMA somewhere deep in its algorithmic bowels – proving once again that math skills are indeed useful after high school, no matter what your guidance counselor told you.
NYSE:UBEREducation
by mihakralj
How Our TCS Bot System Generated Over 150% Annual Return We don't predict the market. We engineer it. At CMA Technologies, we've built a robust, fully automated algorithmic trading system called TCS — Trend & Consolidation Slapper. This strategy was designed after years of backtesting and real-time deployment across multiple cryptocurrencies. It's based on pure mathematics, not emotions, indicators, or speculation. 🚀 Key Highlights of TCS Bot: Runs all coins 100% algorithmic — no human intervention Annual average return: +150%, even during high volatility Risk-managed with smart pyramiding and dynamic entries 💡 Why TCS Works? Instead of chasing trends or reacting late, the system anticipates price movement zones using advanced mathematical triggers. It thrives in both trending and consolidating markets. ✅ Backtest & Live Performance Results Available We've recorded thousands of trades with full transparency. Every trade is logged, and real money has been used in live conditions — no demo, no simulation. 🧠 Interested in Using This Bot? We're now opening limited monthly access to the TCS system for select traders. Full automation Monthly subscription model Easy onboarding 📩 Contact us via DM or check our profile bio to apply. Let the numbers speak. Not predictions. — CMA Technologies "Built on Math. Proven by Results." #algorithmictrading #quant #cryptobot #cmatechnologies #strategy #automation #backtest #profitability #cryptotrading cmatech.co
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by CMATechnologies
4 Profitable Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know Forex, GOLD In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument. 1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within. Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market. Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest. Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag. Target - the next key resistance. Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated. 2️⃣Ascending Triangle Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously. The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline. Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers. Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest. Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle. Target - the next strong resistance. Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD. Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal. 3️⃣Falling Wedge That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern. The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time. Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge. Stop loss is strictly below its lows. Target - the next key resistance. GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend. You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary. 4️⃣Horizontal Range Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend. The price starts consolidation , then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel. Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal. Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest. Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range. Target - the next strong resistance. Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend. Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally. The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
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