How I am approching scaling my account to the next level💰 Introduction
I have been actively investing for over seven years. When I started in 2017, I had no idea what I was doing. My first trade was a short/mid-term win on an altcoin skyrocketing in a straight line—it felt unbelievable. But the truth was, I was completely clueless.
Still, I was hooked. I started reading everything I could and expanded my focus to stocks and Forex. Six months later, I had developed some ideas about Forex, though I was still lost when it came to stocks. I funded a Forex account with €8,000 to test my skills, using a simple 1:1 risk-to-reward 0.5% per trade system. A few months later, I was up about 15% - a solid start.
From there, my goal was clear: design a great strategy first, then scale it. But things didn’t go as planned.
I suffered a serious injury, which got progressively worse, making it impossible to hold a regular job. I spent everything I had on rent and medical bills. To make matters worse, I stubbornly clung to a terrible strategy for years - even after developing better ones. I ignored huge unrealized gains, constantly chasing the “holy grail” of investing. Ironically, today, I trade every single strategy (or a modified version to add to winners) I’ve ever designed since 2019 - except the one I stubbornly stuck with for years.
Through all this, I learned a crucial lesson:
💡 A strategy should work from day one. You backtest it to verify, then refine it, but you don’t trade it live until it’s ready.
Now, after years of experience, mistakes, and lessons learned, I have several proven strategies and a fresh perspective. The next step? Scaling up aggressively.
Of course, I can’t cover everything in one article, a full book wouldn’t even be enough. Some aspects of growing an account, like tax implications, aren’t discussed here.
But my goal is simple: to inspire investors to think creatively about scalability and strategy development. The process of building an investment strategy - including a scaling plan - is all about creativity.
💰 The Challenge of Scaling: Why Gains Lag Behind Losses
Your gains will always lag behind your losses - this is a fundamental reality in investing. If you scale too fast, your winners from months ago may not be enough to cover your new losses, even if you're performing well overall.
I am not talking about drawdowns, those makes things even worse. I am talking about how looking for asymmetric returns means the time it takes will be asymmetrical too. For mid-term strategies, traders typically risk 1 unit to gain 5, 10, or even 15. However, the time required for returns grows exponentially as reward targets increase. If you're aiming for 10x or more, your losing trades might last only 2–3 days, but your winners could take six months or longer to materialize.
I experienced this firsthand in 2024. I started the year strong, accelerating my risk after solid returns from trading the Yen. Then I hit the gas again, but things turned bad - primarily because I was experimenting with a new strategy alongside my proven ones. In November, I realized a 15x profit on gold, which could have significantly changed my situation. However, I had entered the position back in February, before I began scaling, so the gains didn’t have the impact I needed at the time.
💰 Scaling Only Works for the Few Who Are Ready
Most traders either stagnate or lose, and even the best often learn the hard way early on. You’ve probably heard the common statistic: only 10% of FX investors win, and only 10% of stock investors beat the market. But even within that elite group, only a third outperform significantly enough to consider trading as a full-time career rather than just a supplement for retirement.
From the data I've seen, only about 3% of investors should even consider aggressive scaling. Attempting to scale without a proven track record is a recipe for disaster. Even the most famous market wizards often had to learn the hard way early on.
A good analogy is chess - not everyone is a young prodigy, and even for those who are, it often takes 7–8 years to reach master level. The same applies to investing: skill and experience take time to develop, and rushing the process can lead to avoidable mistakes.
💰 No shortcut but there are ways to increase scalability
A path one might follow is the investment fund. However these are very restrictive, George Soros once said to make money you had to take risk. No matter how good you are you are still subject to the same laws and I know no one that has 100% win rate. If your max drawdown is 5% how much can you realistically risk per operation? Perhaps 0.25% So your 10X winner will be 2.5%. We know the returns, drawdowns and Sharpe ratios of the biggest (and supposedly best) funds, I never heard of a fund with a tiny max drawdown and huge returns except Medallion fund you got me.
The problem I personally have, or shall I say had, is that I can sometimes go 6-12 months without a winner, or with just 1-2. It is spread very non-homogeneously. In the last 3 months I have (finally!) designed a short term strategy that will smooth the curve, I risk 1 to make 5 and have opportunities in all market conditions. I was not even trying to, I just randomly felt creative and went "Eureka".
I am currently running my proven strategies on my main accounts, and the new one on a smaller account - of course I keep winning on these small amounts. This short term strategy might not be my best one, although it might be the second best, however it was exactly what I needed to help smooth the drawdowns and more boring market conditions.
💰 Balancing Creativity and Risk in Scaling Strategies
I believe designing a successful scaling strategy requires a combination of creativity and pessimism. From my experience, it's essential to explore different ways to scale while always keeping the worst-case scenario in mind.
To illustrate this, let’s consider an example - not necessarily the exact approach I will take, but a concept that reflects my thinking. Suppose I allocate €25,000 to a brokerage account and divide it into 25 "tokens" of €1,000 each. Every time the account grows, I would redistribute the balance into 25 equal parts, each representing 4% of the total.
This setup ensures that I always have capital available for new opportunities. Even if I lose 10 times in a row and have 5 tokens tied up in winning trades (or disappointing breakevens), I would still have 10 tokens left to reinvest. Based on my calculations, 25 is the minimum number required for this method to work efficiently. That said, 4% risk per trade is significantly higher than what I have ever risked, and I may adjust it downward.
💰 Risk Management and Personal Goals
If someone were able to triple a €25,000 account each year, they could theoretically reach €2 million in just four years. However, such exponential growth is rare and unsustainable over the long term. Jesse Livermore achieved extraordinary gains - but ultimately lost everything and took his own life. This is a stark reminder that extreme financial risk can have devastating consequences.
I would never attempt this kind of aggressive scaling with essential funds - certainly not with rent money, without a financial cushion, with large amounts, or without a clear Plan B.
My personal objectives:
If investing my own money: My goal is to build a €2M–€3M account while continuing my regular job - possibly reducing to part-time work.
If managing investor funds: I would aim to start with €10M AUM, with at least €500K of my own capital in the fund. My ultimate target is to grow AUM to €100M.
💰 The Crypto Factor : A Different Beast
The extreme volatility combined with long term aspect of crypto makes for a very different experience. In the past it has shown incredible returns, I know this first hand my brother started mining Ethereum I think in 2019 when the price was below $150 I guess and then he has been buying cryptos on the way up, in euros I might add, with the crypto/euro charts looking much better than the USD ones.
But there is no reason why it cannot all go to zero, or crash 95% and remain here for years. And even if the whole crypto market does not crash, several of them die each year. I am not a perma bear I do not wish my younger brother to lose everything, this is all he has, he got no diploma not interesting career.
For crypto to fit in a structured investment strategy I personally would only put small amounts. So it sort of follows the idea of a separate account with huge risk. An amount that one can afford to lose.
💰 Final words
I believe I have the experience, the rigor and the strategies to increase my risk and invest more aggressively. In a near future - maybe starting 2026 - I want to really grow my account.
My scaling will be gradual, I won't jump from an amount to 3 times that in 3 months, I will manage my risk strategically; And before even starting the battle I will have clearly defined objectives.
Community ideas
Harmonic Pattern Trading: Ultimate Guide for 2025Harmonic trading is a powerful price action-based strategy that uses Fibonacci ratios to identify high-probability reversal zones. These patterns fall under XABCD structure, meaning they have five key points (X, A, B, C, and D) and rely on Fibonacci retracements and extensions.
By mastering harmonic trading, you can identify trend reversals early and achieve higher win rates compared to traditional technical analysis methods.
🔹 Key Principles of Harmonic Trading
1️⃣ Structure of Harmonic Patterns (XABCD)
All harmonic patterns follow the same five-point structure:
X → A: The initial move.
A → B: The first retracement.
B → C: A counter move.
C → D: The final leg, forming the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
2️⃣ Fibonacci Ratios in Harmonic Patterns
Harmonic trading is Fibonacci-driven, meaning each pattern is defined by specific retracement and extension levels:
Common Fibonacci Retracements: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6%
Common Fibonacci Extensions: 127.2%, 141.4%, 161.8%, 200%, 224%, 261.8%
3️⃣ Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
The D-point of the pattern is where price is expected to reverse.
This PRZ zone is validated by Fibonacci confluence, support/resistance, and other confirmation signals (RSI, MACD, divergence, etc.).
Entry: Around D-point reversal confirmation
Stop Loss: Beyond the PRZ invalidation zone
Take Profit: Based on Fibonacci extension levels (often 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8% retracements).
🔷 Primary Harmonic Patterns & Their Structure
1️⃣ Gartley Pattern 🦋
✅ Most popular & reliable harmonic pattern
✅ Predicts trend continuation or reversal
✅ Respects 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from XA
Gartley Pattern Structure:
AB = 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 78.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Look for confluence with trendlines, supply-demand zones, and RSI/MACD divergence.
2️⃣ Bat Pattern 🦇
✅ High-probability reversal setup
✅ Stronger deep retracement of XA compared to Gartley
✅ Ideal for trend continuation & reversal trades
Bat Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% or 50% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 88.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Expect strong reversal
🚀 Trading Tip: Bat patterns often provide low-risk entries with tight stop losses due to their deep XA retracement.
3️⃣ Butterfly Pattern 🦋
✅ Predicts deep trend reversals
✅ Used for aggressive counter-trend trades
Butterfly Pattern Structure:
AB = 78.6% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 127.2% or 161.8% extension of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong trend reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Butterfly PRZ zones are more extended, so look for price exhaustion & divergence before entering.
4️⃣ Crab Pattern 🦀
✅ The most extended harmonic pattern
✅ Strong 161.8% XA extension creates powerful reversals
Crab Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 161.8% extension of XA
D-point PRZ → Extreme overextension, likely strong reversal
🚀 Trading Tip: Use confluence with key support/resistance levels & volume analysis to confirm reversals.
5️⃣ Deep Crab Pattern 🦀
✅ More reliable version of the Crab Pattern
✅ D-point extends further for deeper pullbacks
Deep Crab Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB
CD = 224% - 261.8% extension of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Similar to the Crab, but requires stronger confirmation signals before entry.
6️⃣ Cypher Pattern 💠
✅ High accuracy harmonic pattern
✅ Faster entries compared to other patterns
Cypher Pattern Structure:
AB = 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of XA
BC = 127.2% to 141.4% extension of AB
CD = 78.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Price reversal likely
🚀 Trading Tip: Look for RSI/MACD divergence at the D-point for added confirmation.
7️⃣ Shark Pattern 🦈
✅ Newer harmonic pattern variation
✅ Similar to Crab but uses different Fibonacci rules
Shark Pattern Structure:
AB = 113% - 161.8% extension of XA
BC = 113% - 161.8% extension of AB
CD = 88.6% retracement of XA
D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected
🚀 Trading Tip: Shark patterns often appear before larger trend reversals, so they work well for early trend detection.
🔷 Advanced Harmonic Patterns Overview
📌 3-Drives Pattern
Predicts the end of trends using 3 equal price movements
Each drive follows Fibonacci retracements/extensions
Strong reversal happens after the 3rd drive completes
📌 Alternate Bat Pattern
Similar to Bat but has a deeper B-point retracement (50% of XA instead of 38.2%)
More accurate for identifying trend continuation trades
📌 White Swan & Black Swan
Developed by harmonic trading expert Scott Carney
Similar to the Crab, but focuses on psychological market structure
🚀 How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Successfully
Step 1: Identify the Pattern & PRZ
Use harmonic pattern scanners or manual Fibonacci tools.
Step 2: Wait for Reversal Confirmation
Look for candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles).
Check RSI, MACD, and volume divergence.
Step 3: Place Your Trade
Entry: Once price reacts at PRZ.
Stop Loss: Beyond PRZ invalidation level.
Take Profit: Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%).
🔥 Summary – Why Harmonic Trading Works
✅ High accuracy when Fibonacci ratios are respected
✅ Works across all timeframes (forex, stocks, crypto, indices)
✅ Combines price action, Fibonacci, and confluence factors
If you master these harmonic patterns, you'll consistently spot reversals early, maximize profits, and minimize risks! 🚀📈
How to Trade With Cookie's A.I. Engulfing ScreenerIn this video, I break down how to use **Cookie's Engulfing Band Screener**, a powerful tool designed to filter out false engulfing signals and improve trading accuracy.
🚀 **How It Works:**
✔️ **Trade signals inside the band are false.**
✔️ **Valid trade signals occur when price breaks or touches the upper/lower band.**
✔️ **Sell Entry** – When price touches or breaks above the upper band.
✔️ **Buy Entry** – When price touches or breaks below the lower band.
✔️ If price re-enters the band after breaking out, another entry signal is triggered.
🎯 **Key Features:**
✅ Works on any timeframe
✅ Automatically places buy/sell labels at the right spots
✅ Alerts for trade entries so you never miss an opportunity
✅ Helps you avoid bad trades and focus on high-probability setups
🔥 **Why Use This?**
I've found this to be extremely effective in improving my trading accuracy, cutting out noise, and refining my entries. If you're looking for a simple yet powerful way to trade engulfing patterns with confidence, this is for you!
📈 **Watch the full breakdown and start trading smarter today!**
🔔 **Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading strategies!**
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading
In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold.
I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView.
Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels
First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView.
We will need to modify that a bit.
We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels
0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading.
How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly
In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg.
You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high.
1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low.
Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView.
We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels.
1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex.
How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly
Start with correct identification of a price action leg.
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low .
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high.
I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years.
They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CPI Data & Trend Rejection – Precision Trading on USDJPY🚀 High-Impact CPI Data Moves Markets – Smart Traders Win! 🚀
This trade was executed with precision using a clear downtrend, key rejection zone, and market reaction to CPI data. Combining technical confluence with fundamental catalysts, we secured a solid 1:5 RR setup.
📉 Expert analysis confirms trend strength after inflation data!
✅ Strong break of the downward trend – Clear technical confirmation of bearish momentum.
✅ CPI impact on the markets – High volatility creates golden opportunities!
🔍 Technical indicators confirmed the entry from the rejection zone (AOI).
✅ Price reacted perfectly to the analysis, securing a solid 1:5 RR!
📢 This is the power of combining technical and fundamental analysis – trading smart, not random!
💬 Drop your analysis in the comments & follow for more top-tier setups! 🚀📉
#Forex #GoldTrading #USDJPY #CPI #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #FinancialMarkets #SmartTrading
Tips & Tricks by CandleStyxI was observing Dogecoin on the 1 HR and came up with all these observations and maybe you can learn some new ways to look at things if you can understand my scribbles.
Some clues I noticed:
1. possible cup n handle formation
2. The arrows are all copy pasta same lengths and time
3. Apart of the big breakout arrow which measures the size of the cup from top to bottom.
4. Look at the date ranges numbers
5. See the Fibonacc Golden Pocket has ideal level for a Handle
6. It would also retest the breakout from the ascending green triangle
7. Target of the Cup and Handle pattern is right into the resistance & liquidity and would be the first deep test of its strength
8. Interesting that the breakout is programmed to be exactly nearby the weekly and 2 week candle close
9. Keeping in Mind the Biweekly Bitcoin crossing macd to downside could it be a failing outbreak?
10. Also they say that if the handle comes deeper than 12% it will most likely fail.
11. Conclusion is to observe if we go lower than 12% as that could be a clue if the outbreak could be a trap or not.
12. Grab this Chartlayout and make it yours!
Tell me in the comments what YOU think will happen and explain why.
More updates might follow.
Buy and Sell buttonsHello Amazing TradingView team,
I have idea that I would think make things easier for traders. On the Buy and Sell buttons if you can change the size of the front and make bigger the price numbers for the two numbers that are the second and third from the end. It would really help the price that we are looking at really stand out. Some other platforms do this like meta trader 4, that's really the only thing I like better about meta trader 4.
Thanks so much for listening to my suggestion.
Brett
How Your Brain Tricks You Into Making Bad Trading Decisions!!!Hello everyone! Hope you’re doing well. Today, we’re diving into a crucial topic—how your brain can work against you in trading if it’s not trained properly. Many traders think they’re making logical decisions, but subconscious biases and emotions often take control.
Our brain operates in two modes: intuitive thinking (fast, emotional, automatic) and deliberative thinking (slow, logical, analytical). In trading, intuition can lead to impulsive mistakes—chasing price moves, hesitating on good setups, or exiting too early out of fear.
To improve, traders must shift from intuition to deliberation by following structured plans, back testing strategies, and practicing emotional discipline. In this discussion, we’ll explore how to overcome these mental biases and make smarter trading decisions. Let’s get started!
Most traders face common mistakes—exiting winners too early, letting profits turn into losses, holding onto bad trades, or making impulsive decisions. Why? Because our brain isn’t wired for trading. In everyday life, instincts help us, but in trading, they often lead to fear, greed, and denial.
Your Brain Operates in Two Modes
Just like in daily life, where we sometimes act on reflex and other times think things through carefully, our trading mind also operates in two distinct modes: intuitive thinking and deliberative thinking. Intuitive thinking is fast, automatic, and effortless. It helps us make quick decisions, like braking suddenly when a car stops in front of us. However, in trading, this rapid decision-making often leads to impulsive actions driven by emotions like fear and greed. This is why many traders enter or exit trades without a solid plan, reacting to market movements instead of following a strategy.
On the other hand, deliberative thinking is slow, effortful, and analytical. This is the part of the brain that carefully weighs options, follows rules, and makes logical decisions—like when solving a complex math problem or planning a trading strategy.
Our intuitive brain is designed to make quick and automatic decisions with minimal effort. This is the part of the brain that helps us react instantly to situations—like catching a falling object or braking suddenly while driving. It relies on patterns, emotions, and past experiences to make snap judgments. In everyday life, this ability is incredibly useful, saving us time and energy. However, when it comes to trading, this fast-thinking system can often lead us into trouble.
For example, a trader might see the market rising rapidly and instinctively think, “This can’t go any higher! I should short it now.” This reaction feels obvious in the moment, but it lacks deeper analysis. The market could continue rising, trapping the trader in a losing position. Because intuitive thinking is based on gut feelings rather than structured reasoning, it often leads to impulsive and emotionally driven trading decisions. In the next slides, we’ll explore how to counterbalance this instinct with deliberative thinking—the slow, logical approach that leads to better trading decisions.
Unlike intuitive thinking, which reacts quickly and emotionally, deliberative thinking is slow, effortful, and analytical. It requires conscious thought, logical reasoning, and careful consideration before making a decision. This is the part of the brain that helps traders analyze probabilities, assess risks, and make well-informed choices rather than acting on impulse. While it takes more time and effort, it leads to better trading outcomes because decisions are based on data and strategy rather than emotions.
For example, instead of immediately reacting to a fast-moving market, a deliberative trader might pause and think, “Let me check the higher time frame before deciding.” This approach helps traders avoid unnecessary risks and false signals by ensuring that every trade is well-planned. The most successful traders operate primarily in this mode, following a structured process that includes technical analysis, risk management, and reviewing past trades. In the next slides, we’ll discuss how to train our brains to rely more on deliberative thinking and reduce emotional reactions in trading.
Take a moment to answer these two questions:
A bat and a ball cost ₹150 in total. The bat costs ₹120 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost?
If 5 machines take 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, how long would 100 machines take to make 100 widgets?
At first glance, your brain might immediately jump to an answer. If you thought ₹30 for the first question or 100 minutes for the second, you’re relying on intuitive thinking. These answers feel right but are actually incorrect. The correct answers are ₹15 for the ball (since the bat costs ₹135) and 5 minutes for the second question (since each machine’s rate of production stays the same).
This exercise shows how intuitive thinking can mislead us when dealing with numbers and logic-based problems. The same happens in trading—snap decisions based on gut feelings often lead to costly mistakes. To improve as traders, we need to slow down, double-check our reasoning, and shift into deliberative thinking. In the next slides, we’ll explore how to strengthen this skill and apply it to trading decisions.
Did Your Intuition Trick You?
Let’s review the answers:
Answer 1: The ball costs ₹15, not ₹30! If the ball were ₹30, the bat would be ₹150 (₹120 more), making the total ₹180, which is incorrect. The correct way to solve it is by setting up an equation:
Let the ball cost x.
The bat costs x + 120.
So, x + (x + 120) = 150 → 2x + 120 = 150 → 2x = 30 → x = 15.
Answer 2: The correct answer is 5 minutes, not 100 minutes! Since 5 machines take 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, each machine produces 1 widget in 5 minutes. If we increase the number of machines to 100, each still takes 5 minutes to produce a widget, so 100 machines will still take 5 minutes to make 100 widgets.
Most people get these answers wrong because their intuitive brain jumps to conclusions without thinking through the logic. This is exactly how traders make impulsive mistakes—by relying on gut feelings instead of slowing down to analyze the situation properly. The key lesson here is that we must train ourselves to pause, question our first reaction, and shift into deliberative thinking when making trading decisions.
Why is Intuitive Thinking Dangerous in Trading?
Intuitive thinking is great for quick decisions in everyday life, like catching a falling object or reacting to danger. However, in trading, this fast-thinking system becomes a problem because it takes shortcuts, ignores probabilities, and acts on emotions rather than logic. When traders rely on intuition, they often react impulsively to price movements, overestimate their ability to predict the market, and make decisions based on fear or greed rather than strategy.
For example, a trader might see a market rapidly rising and instinctively think, “This can’t go any higher—I should short it!” without checking key levels or trends. Or, after a few losses, they may feel the urge to take revenge trades, hoping to recover quickly. These emotional reactions lead to poor risk management and inconsistent results. To succeed in trading, we must recognize these intuitive traps and learn to replace them with a structured, logical approach.
Let’s look at some common mistakes traders make due to intuitive thinking:
Shorting just because the market has risen too much: A trader might see a sharp price increase and feel like it’s too high to continue, instinctively thinking, “This can’t go any higher; it’s due for a drop.” However, the market doesn’t always follow logical patterns, and this emotional reaction can lead to premature trades that result in losses.
Buying just because the market is falling: Similarly, traders may feel compelled to buy when the market falls too much, thinking, “It’s too low to go any further.” This belief, without proper analysis, can lead to buying into a downtrend or even catching a falling knife, resulting in significant losses.
Taking tips from social media without analysis: Many traders fall into the trap of acting on market tips or rumors they see on social media or trading forums. These decisions are often made without proper research, relying purely on gut feelings or herd mentality.
If you've ever taken a trade just because it "felt right" without fully analyzing the situation, chances are your intuitive brain was in control. These emotional decisions are natural, but they often lead to costly mistakes. The key to improving your trading is learning to slow down, analyze the situation carefully, and avoid rushing into trades based on impulse.
Why Deliberative Thinking Matters
Deliberative thinking is the key to becoming a successful trader because it encourages us to assess probabilities, reduce impulsive trades, and ensure well-thought-out decisions. Instead of acting on gut feelings, traders who use deliberative thinking take the time to analyze market conditions, trends, and risks. By calculating probabilities, reviewing different scenarios, and sticking to a solid trading plan, they can make more rational decisions that are grounded in logic, not emotions.
This slow, methodical approach may seem counterintuitive in a fast-paced market, but it’s what separates successful traders from those who constantly chase the market. The best traders don’t act on impulse; they analyze, think critically, and then trade. This approach leads to consistency in trading, as decisions are based on a systematic process rather than emotional reactions. By training your brain to operate in this way, you’ll improve your decision-making and reduce the likelihood of impulsive, emotional mistakes.
Let’s look at a real-world example of how intuitive thinking can trap traders:
The market rallies from 26,800 to 28,800, and as the price starts to pull back, lower lows form on the hourly chart. Many traders, relying on the short-term price action, decide to short the market, thinking the rally is over. However, when you zoom out and check the daily chart, you notice that there’s no clear reversal signal—it's still showing an overall uptrend.
Despite this, many traders act impulsively based on what they see on the smaller time frames, only to watch the market rally another 500 points, trapping those who shorted the market.
This is exactly how intuitive traders get trapped—by making decisions based on the lower time frames without considering the bigger picture. Deliberative thinking would involve checking higher time frames, assessing the trend, and waiting for a proper confirmation before entering a trade. By training yourself to think this way, you’ll avoid getting caught in market traps like this one.
One of the best strategies for avoiding impulsive mistakes is to always check daily or weekly charts before taking a trade. While it’s tempting to act on short-term movements, smart traders zoom out to get a clearer picture of the market's overall trend. By analyzing higher time frames, you can see if the market is truly reversing or if it's simply a temporary pullback within a larger trend.
It’s important to look for confirmation of trends before acting. If the higher time frames show an uptrend, but the lower time frames show a temporary dip, it may be wise to wait for confirmation before making a trade. Don’t rush based on short-term movements; give yourself time to assess the bigger picture and make decisions based on a well-thought-out analysis rather than emotional reactions.
Remember, successful traders understand that the higher time frame offers critical insights into market direction. By incorporating this approach, you’ll make more informed, consistent trading decisions and avoid getting trapped by short-term fluctuations.
Shifting from intuitive to deliberative trading takes practice, but with consistent effort, you can train your mind to make better decisions. Here’s how you can start:
Review past trades – Were they intuitive or deliberate? Reflecting on your previous trades helps you identify whether your decisions were based on impulse or careful analysis. Understanding the reasoning behind your past trades can help you improve future ones.
Ask ‘Why?’ before every trade: Before entering any position, take a moment to ask yourself, “Why am I taking this trade?” This forces you to think critically and ensures that your decision is based on analysis rather than emotions.
Use probabilities, not gut feelings: Deliberative thinking is based on probability, so focus on statistical analysis and historical patterns rather than relying on your gut. This might include checking your risk-to-reward ratio or waiting for confirmation signals from multiple indicators.
Follow a structured trading plan: A solid trading plan with clearly defined rules and guidelines will help you make logical, consistent decisions. When you follow a plan, you’re less likely to make emotional, impulsive trades.
By implementing these steps, you’ll gradually train your mind to operate more deliberately, leading to more disciplined and profitable trading. Remember, trading is a skill that improves with practice, so take the time to develop your deliberative thinking.
A great historical example of intuitive thinking gone wrong is the Dot-Com Bubble of the late 1990s. During this time, many companies added “.com” to their names, capitalizing on the internet boom. Investors rushed in blindly, often buying shares of these companies based purely on the excitement of the market and the fear of missing out (FOMO).
However, many of these companies had no real business model or clear path to profitability. Investors, driven by emotional excitement and herd mentality, ignored the fundamentals—such as profitability, cash flow, and market demand. As a result, the market eventually collapsed, wiping out traders who didn’t take the time to analyze the companies' real value and business models.
This is a perfect example of intuitive investors acting on emotions and hype without real analysis—and losing big. To avoid this trap, it’s important to apply deliberative thinking, focusing on thorough research, fundamental analysis, and careful assessment of market conditions. This case study shows the importance of not jumping into investments based on emotional impulses but making decisions grounded in solid analysis.
To become a successful trader, you must shift from relying on intuitive thinking to embracing deliberative thinking. Here’s how you can start making that transition:
Avoid easy, obvious trades: If a trade feels too easy or too obvious, it’s often a trap. The market is complex, and quick decisions based on gut feelings usually lead to impulsive mistakes. Take the time to think through your trades, even if they seem like a “sure thing.”
Develop patience and discipline: Patience is key in trading. Instead of reacting immediately to market moves, wait for the right setups and confirmations. Discipline ensures you follow your plan and don’t get swept up in the moment.
Learn to think in probabilities: Trading is about probabilities, not certainty. Start thinking in terms of risk and reward, and assess the likelihood of different outcomes before entering a trade. This shift in mindset will help you make more rational, logical decisions.
Be skeptical of ‘obvious’ trade setups: If a trade seems too perfect or too easy, it’s worth questioning. Often, the most obvious setups are the ones that lead to losses. Always do your due diligence and question your assumptions before pulling the trigger.
By making these changes, you’ll develop a trading mindset that focuses on thoughtful analysis, patience, and probability, rather than emotional, impulsive decisions. The goal is to think deeper, be more strategic, and avoid rushing into trades based on intuition.
Now that we’ve covered the key principles, it’s time to take action.
Start by reviewing your past trades. This is crucial for identifying whether your decisions were based on intuition or deliberate thinking. By reflecting on your trades, you can spot patterns and areas where you may have made impulsive decisions.
Next, identify your intuitive mistakes. Think about trades where you acted quickly or without full analysis. Were you influenced by emotions like fear or greed? Understanding these mistakes helps you avoid repeating them in the future.
Finally, commit to making deliberate decisions going forward. Before you place your next trade, take a step back. Analyze the market, assess probabilities, and follow your trading plan. This shift to a more thoughtful, disciplined approach is what will help you become a more consistent and successful trader.
Your next trade is an opportunity to put these principles into practice. Let’s focus on making smarter, more deliberate decisions from here on out!
News TradingLet’s talk about news trading in Forex . While news trading is extremely lucrative it’s one of the most risky things a trader can do and experience. News and data cause extreme volatility in the market and as we always say “volatility can be your friend or your enemy” . Let’s take a deeper dive into news trading, which news and data affect the TVC:DXY precious metals such as OANDA:XAUUSD and other dollar related currency pairs. We will also cover having the right mindset for trading the news.
1. Understanding News Trading in Forex
News trading is based on the idea that significant economic data releases and geopolitical events can cause sharp price fluctuations in forex markets. We as traders, aim to profit from these sudden price movements by positioning ourselves before or immediately after the news hits the market. However, due to market unpredictability, it requires a strategic plan, risk management, and quick decision making.
2. What to Do in News Trading
1. Know the Key Economic Events – Monitor economic calendars to stay updated on high-impact news releases.
The most influential events include:
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – A report on U.S. job growth that heavily influences the U.S. dollar.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) – Measures inflation, impacting interest rate decisions and currency valuation.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meetings – Determines U.S. monetary policy and interest rates, affecting global markets.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – A key indicator of economic growth, influencing currency strength.
Central Bank Statements – Speeches by Fed Chair or ECB President can create large market moves.
2. Use an Economic Calendar – Websites like Forex Factory, Investing.com, or DailyFX provide real-time updates on economic events.
3. Understand Market Expectations vs. Reality – Markets often price in expectations before the news is released. If actual data deviates significantly from forecasts, a strong price movement may occur.
4. Trade with a Plan – Whether you are trading pre-news or post-news, have clear entry and exit strategies, stop-loss levels, and a defined risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Monitor Market Sentiment – Pay attention to how traders are reacting. Sentiment can drive price action more than the actual data.
6. Focus on Major Currency Pairs – News trading is most effective with liquid pairs like FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:USDJPY , and OANDA:USDCAD because they have tighter spreads and high volatility.
3. What NOT to Do in News Trading
1. Don’t Trade Without a Stop-Loss – Extreme volatility can cause sudden reversals. A stop-loss helps prevent catastrophic losses.
2. Avoid Overleveraging – Leverage magnifies profits but also increases risk. Many traders blow accounts due to excessive leverage.
3. Don’t Chase the Market – Prices may spike and reverse within seconds. Jumping in late can lead to losses.
4. Avoid Trading Without Understanding News Impact – Not all economic releases cause the same level of volatility. Study past reactions before trading.
5. Don’t Rely Solely on News Trading – Long-term success requires a balanced strategy incorporating technical analysis and risk management.
4. The Unpredictability of News Trading
News trading is highly unpredictable. Even when a report meets expectations, market reactions can be erratic due to:
Market Sentiment Shifts – Traders might focus on different aspects of a report than expected.
Pre-Pricing Effects – If a news event was anticipated, the market might have already moved, causing a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ reaction.
Liquidity Issues – Spreads widen during major news events, increasing trading costs and slippage.
Unexpected Statements or Revisions – Central banks or government agencies can make last-minute statements that shake the market.
5. How News Affects Forex, Gold, and the U.S. Dollar
1. U.S. Dollar (USD) – The USD reacts strongly to NFP, CPI, FOMC statements, and GDP reports. Strong economic data strengthens the dollar, while weak data weakens it.
2. Gold (XAU/USD) – Gold is an inflation hedge and a safe-haven asset. It often moves inversely to the USD and rises during economic uncertainty.
3. Stock Market & Risk Sentiment – Positive economic news can boost stocks, while negative reports may trigger risk aversion, benefiting safe-haven currencies like JPY and CHF.
6. The Right Mindset for News Trading
1. Accept That Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword – Big moves can mean big profits, but also big losses.
2. Control Emotions – Fear and greed can lead to impulsive decisions. Stick to your strategy.
3. Risk Management is Key – Never risk more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade.
4. Adaptability – Be prepared to change your approach if market conditions shift unexpectedly.
5. Patience and Experience Matter – The best traders wait for the right setups rather than forcing trades.
Thank you for your support!
FxPocket
Forex: Why and How to Use TradingView
Dear readers, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the reason why I use TradingView.
The Forex (Foreign Exchange) market is one of the largest and most dynamic in the world, with over 6 trillion dollars traded every day.
TradingView is one of the most popular platforms for technical analysis and chart viewing, particularly appreciated by Forex traders. In this guide, we will explore how to use TradingView to trade Forex, taking advantage of the tools and features offered by the platform.
What is TradingView?
TradingView is a technical analysis platform that offers advanced charts, drawing tools, customizable indicators, and an active community of traders. Among its main features:
Real-time charts on any timeframe, from 1 minute to daily or weekly.
Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, moving averages, and much more.
Social trading to share ideas with other traders and learn from their analysis.
Drawing tools to plot trends, channels, and Fibonacci.
With its user-friendly interface, TradingView is ideal for beginner traders and those looking for advanced analysis.
How to Trade Forex with TradingView
1. Choose a Currency Pair
The first step to start trading Forex is to choose a currency pair to analyze, such as EUR/USD or GBP/JPY. Each pair represents the value relationship between two currencies. For example, in the case of EUR/USD, the base currency is the Euro and the counter currency is the US Dollar.
2. Use Charts
TradingView offers several views:
Candlestick Chart: Shows price movements in specific time frames. It is the most used chart in Forex.
Line Chart: Shows only closing prices, useful for observing general trends.
Bar Chart: Shows the open, close, high and low for each period.
These visualizations help you better understand the market trend.
3. Set Indicators
Indicators are essential tools in technical trading. On TradingView, you can use:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shows whether a currency pair is overbought or oversold (levels above 70 indicate overbought, below 30 oversold).
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Provides trend reversal signals and can be used to confirm the market direction.
Moving Averages (MA): Helps identify the market direction and filter trading signals.
4. Customize Drawing Tools
TradingView offers powerful drawing tools such as:
Trend Lines: To plot support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci Retracement: To identify key price reversal levels.
Channels: To analyze price movements within a defined range.
These tools allow you to precisely track market entry and exit points.
5. Create Alerts
TradingView allows you to set custom alerts. You can receive notifications via email or directly on the platform when the price reaches certain levels. This is particularly useful for not missing important trading opportunities.
Forex Trading Strategies
1. Trend Trading
One of the most common strategies is trend following. When the market is in an uptrend (bullish trend), buy; when it is in a downtrend (bearish trend), sell. Use moving averages or the MACD indicator to identify the direction of the trend.
2. Retracement Trading
Retracements are corrective movements within a trend. You can use Fibonacci Retracement to identify support and resistance levels, and wait for the price to retrace before entering the market in the direction of the main trend.
3. Scalping
Scalping is a short-term strategy that aims to make small profits from rapid price movements. Use short timeframes (for example 1 minute or 5 minutes) and take advantage of spikes in volatility.
4. Breakout Trading
Breakout trading is based on breaking key support or resistance levels. When the price breaks these levels, a strong move in one direction is expected. Indicators such as ATR (Average True Range) help you monitor volatility and choose the right times to enter the market.
Forex Trading Tips
Risk Management: Forex is a highly leveraged market, so protecting your capital is key. Use stop losses and take profits to limit losses and protect gains.
Conclusions
TradingView is an excellent tool for Forex trading, thanks to its wide range of advanced features, ease of use and the ability to analyze charts accurately.
Gold- To trade or not to trade? High risk environment!!!!!Gold has been on an incredible run, with seven consecutive green weeks and the last three marking all-time highs.
While this might seem like a strong bullish signal, traders must exercise caution. Markets that extend too far in one direction can become unstable, leading to sharp corrections. Whether you're trading TRADENATION:XAUUSD or any other asset, it's crucial to evaluate whether it's the right time to enter a trade—or if it's wiser to stay on the sidelines.
The Dilemma: To Trade or Not to Trade?
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is feeling compelled to be in the market at all times. Trading is not about always having a position but about making high-probability trades at the right time. As the saying goes, "Cash is also a position."
Before entering a trade, ask yourself:
✅ Is the market offering a clear setup?
✅ Are you trading with the trend or trying to catch tops and bottoms?
✅ Does the risk-reward ratio justify the trade?
✅ Are you trading based on logic or emotion?
If you cannot confidently answer these questions, it might be best to wait for a better opportunity.
Why Trading Gold Requires Extra Caution These Days
1️⃣ Extended Rallies Increase Risk
Gold's extended rally means that the market has already moved significantly higher. While it can still go higher, the risk of a pullback increases with every new high. Jumping in late can result in getting caught in a correction.
2️⃣ Market Sentiment is Overheated
When everyone is overly bullish, smart money (institutions and large traders) often starts taking profits. This can lead to sharp sell-offs that wipe out late buyers.
3️⃣ Volatility Can Be Brutal
Gold is known for its large price swings on highs.
If you’re not careful with position sizing and stop losses, you could see your account take a serious hit.
When Should You Consider Trading?
- Look for pullbacks instead of chasing highs – Buying Gold after a reasonable correction is a better approach than buying at extreme levels.
- Wait for price action confirmation – Pin bars, inside bars, or breakouts from consolidation areas can offer better risk-reward opportunities.
- Ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio – A trade should offer at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio to be worth the risk.
- Align with strong technical levels – Key support zones (e.g., 50-day moving average, Fibonacci retracements, horizontal levels) can provide safer entry points.
Conclusion: Patience Pays in Trading
There’s no need to rush into trades just because a market is moving. Many traders lose money by trying to force trades when conditions are not favorable . Sometimes, the best trade is no trade at all.
Gold’s extended rally calls for extra caution. If you're looking to trade it, wait for a healthy pullback, strong price action confirmation, and proper risk management before entering. Otherwise, staying on the sidelines and waiting for a better setup might be the smartest move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?What Is a San-Ku (Three Gaps) Pattern?
The intriguing and captivating San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern draws the curiosity of traders within financial markets. Its distinctive form and strategic placement on price charts make it a compelling subject for observation and analysis. This article aims to explore the intricacies of the San-Ku pattern, highlighting its importance and providing insights into how traders can incorporate it into their trading strategies.
What Is a Three Gaps (San-Ku) Pattern?
The San-Ku, or Three Gaps, pattern is a distinctive technical analysis formation characterised by three consecutive upward or downward price gaps. This pattern often signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and a potential trend reversal. Traders keen on spotting trend changes find the formation intriguing due to its clear visual representation on price charts.
Identifying the setup involves recognising three successive gaps in the price movement, whether upward or downward. These gaps indicate abrupt shifts in market sentiment and are typically accompanied by increased trading volume. The pattern manifests itself as a series of price jumps, creating a visual sequence that stands out on a chart.
How to Trade the San-Ku Three Spaces
Traders may enter a position based on the assumption of a trend reversal. In a bullish formation, you may consider entering a long position after the third gap down, signalling a potential bullish trend. Conversely, in a bearish pattern, you may initiate a short position after the third gap, anticipating a bearish trend.
To establish a take-profit level, you may assess the historical price behaviour around the formation. Look for significant support or resistance levels, trendlines, or Fibonacci retracement levels to gauge potential reversal points. Adjust your take profit accordingly, aiming for a favourable risk-to-reward ratio.
Implementing a well-placed stop loss is crucial to manage risk. You may position the stop loss below the setup in an upward pattern and above the setup in a downward pattern. This may help mitigate potential losses if the market does not follow the expected reversal.
Live Market Example
Let's explore a live market example. In this scenario, we observe the setup, indicating a potential reversal of a bullish trend.
A trader could enter a short position after the third candle closes, anticipating a bearish trend, setting the take-profit level at a support level based on historical price action. As the trader used a daily chart, the stop-loss level was supposed to be calculated based on the risk/reward ratio and placed above the Triple Gap.
Final Thoughts
Although San-Ku is an effective pattern, it can’t guarantee a trend reversal. As with any technical analysis tool, it's crucial to consider the broader market context and use risk management strategies to improve overall trading performance. Remember, no pattern guarantees success, and thorough analysis remains paramount in making informed trading decisions. If you want to test different trading approaches, you can open an FXOpen account.
FAQ
Is the Three Gaps Setup Suitable for All Types of Assets?
This formation can be applied to various financial instruments, including stocks, currencies, commodities, and indices. However, it's essential to adapt your strategy to the specific characteristics of the asset you are trading and consider factors like liquidity and market behaviour.
How Can Traders Stay Updated on Potential Three Gaps Formations?
Traders can use charting platforms, technical analysis tools, and market scanners to stay informed about potential Three Gaps formations. Setting up alerts for specific price movements and gap occurrences can also help traders promptly identify opportunities as they arise.
Are There Any Common Mistakes Traders Make When Interpreting the Three Gaps?
One common mistake is relying solely on the setup without considering broader market conditions. Traders shouldn’t neglect the overall trend, market sentiment, and potential catalysts that could influence price movements. Additionally, thorough backtesting and analysis are crucial to validating the reliability of the pattern in different market conditions.
Can I Find the Three Gaps Pattern on the NVDA Candlestick Chart?
You can find this pattern in different markets, but remember that its effectiveness will depend on the timeframe you use and the strategy you implement. Keep in mind that the presence of the Three Gaps Pattern on a stock's chart does not guarantee future price movements. It's essential to conduct thorough technical and fundamental analysis and practise risk management when making trading decisions.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Thoughts on Technical Analysis (Part 2)
1. Trading systems do not yield the same results in all markets (or across all timeframes).
2. All markets have their own characteristics. For example: XMR moves within ranges and experiences strong volatility spikes, while the S&P 500 is highly trend-driven with a strong upward bias (since 1984, it has closed bearish only 7 times).
3. Effective trading systems with lower win rates are generally the most profitable, as they are trend-following and have long periods of market exposure.
*Note: Longer exposure period = Higher failure rate = Greater profits when catching a major trend.*
4. Reversal patterns in bullish trends with an upward slope are extremely dangerous, as such a slope indicates strong buying pressure. Reversal patterns in bearish trends with a downward slope are dangerous, as they indicate the presence of selling pressure.
5. Market participants are drawn to historical patterns, confluences, favorable risk-reward ratios, and protected stop-losses. (This is why it’s a bad idea to trade without a protected stop-loss or with a risk-reward ratio below 1:1).
6. Algorithmic trading systems are trained based on historical patterns and confluences.
7. Generally, when a good technical analyst is uncertain about what might happen next, it’s because many participants may be uncertain as well, so it’s wise to stay out of the market. The best opportunities present themselves clearly.
“Strength manifests itself, it is not predicted.”
8. Catching prices in free fall (“catching falling knives”) or trying to halt bullish trends with extreme momentum (vertical rallies) is the quickest way to blow up an account. If there is no exhaustion pattern or formation, there is no protected stop-loss. Without a protected stop-loss, there’s no way to calculate the risk-reward ratio. Without these elements, participation drops drastically.
9. Reversal formations (e.g., Head and Shoulders) with descending necklines (in bullish trends) typically offer few opportunities for profitable trades. Reversal formations with ascending necklines (in bearish trends) generally provide few profitable trading opportunities.
*Explanation: Placing the stop-loss behind the high (in bullish trends) or the low (in bearish trends) results in a risk-reward ratio below 1:1, which attracts little participation. This often triggers a correction that may draw opposing market forces.*
10. Classic authors emphasized market manipulation, used multi-timeframe analysis, and understood mass psychology deeply. Meanwhile, the daytrading industry was built to attract undercapitalized masses.
Keep your timeframe above H4, and you’ll witness the magic.
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat 🔥
Ever wonder why some traders seem to have all the luck? 🤔 They're not just lucky; they've built an iceberg of hard work, discipline, and even failures beneath the surface of their "success." Don't just chase the tip – build your own solid foundation.
Here's what that iceberg looks like in trading:
Hard work: 📚 Studying markets, developing strategies, and always practicing. No shortcuts here! 🚫
Patience: ⏳ Giving up short-term gains for long-term strategies. Don't rush. Good traders wait for the best opportunities.
Risks: 🎲 Take smart trades, not reckless ones. Be brave, but not foolish.
Discipline: 🎯 Follow your trading plan. Don't let your feelings make you change it. Trust what you learned before. Trust your strategy.
Failures: 🤕 Everyone loses money sometimes. Learn from your losses. It's important to get back up and keep going.
Doubts: 😟 Managing emotions and fear is crucial. It's normal to have doubts.
Changes: 🔄 The market always changes. You need to change your strategies too. Be ready to adapt.
Helpful habits: 📈 Consistent analysis and risk management are your bread and butter. Stick to good routines.
Want to build a success iceberg? 🧊
Better turn up the heat 🔥
– it's going to be a long, cold journey beneath the surface.
👨💼 Navid Jafarian
So, stop scrolling through my TESLA pics 🚗 and get back to analyzing those charts! 📊 Your iceberg isn't going to build itself. 😉
Is Liquidity Zones The Hidden Battleground of Smart Money In every market move, liquidity zones are the battlefields between buyers and sellers. Understanding these zones is crucial for spotting reversals and breakouts before they happen.
What Are Liquidity Zones?
High Liquidity Areas, Where large orders are placed, typically around key support/resistance or round numbers.
Low Liquidity Areas. Where price moves quickly due to fewer orders, often creating price imbalances.
Why Liquidity Matters
Smart money (institutions) seeks liquidity to execute large orders without massive slippage. Their footprints appear as wicks, sudden volume spikes, or rapid price reversals.
Spotting Liquidity Traps
False Breakouts, Price pierces a key level, triggers stop losses, and reverses quickly.
Stop Hunts, Sudden price spikes beyond a key level, only to return inside the range.
rading Strategy Example
1. Use volume profile or heat maps to spot high-interest price areas.
2. Wait for Reaction, Enter only after confirmation (e.g., a sharp wick or order flow shift).
3.Risk Management, Place stops beyond liquidity zones to avoid getting trapped.
Master liquidity zones, and you'll start seeing the market through the eyes of institutional players.
[Strategy] Trend Re-Entry Strategy using a Stoch and Zero Lag MATrend re-entries can be hard. The difficult part is knowing if price will continue to pull back or will it shift back into the original direction.
This is a strategy with some extra notes to help you understand
1. The Original entry
2. The Re-Entry
3. Is my trend ending
For this you'll need two indicators:
The Zero Lag Multi Timeframe Moving Average
and The Stocashi + Caffeine Crush
In the video I show you how to adjust the settings for a 5 minute chart on both indicators.
Long Entry rules:
You have 3 MAs. The longest one is your support and resistance
The other two are your "trading" and "trending" MAs
If price is above your support and resistance, your trading and trending should be right side up.
If price close in between trading and trending, the stocashi should be at a low point.
It needs to arrive at this low point by previous crossing down through its midline.
**If it did not cross down through its midline, there is no entry here**
Once price closes above the trading MA, you should have a rising stocashi from its valid low point.
During this uptrend, each time price pulls back in between the trading and trending MAs, the Stocashi should be at a valid low point.
Re-enter your long trade as long as:
Stocashi made a valid low
Price is closing above the trading MA
Trading MA is above Trending MA
Trending MA is above Support and Resistance MA.
You can reverse all of these instructions for taking short trades.
Potential Market Flip
If you are getting consistent invalid lows on Stocashi while price is in a correct position, this means you are losing your trend, and you should wait for your price to close below the Support and Resistance MA.
At this point your Trading and Trending MAs should be upside down. They do not always have to be BELOW the Support and Resistance MA.
A poem of the marketIn the financial markets, the Pin Bar candle is like a poem silently composed within the charts, a poem that tells the tale of the battle between buyers and sellers. This candle, with its long shadow, narrates the story of effort and defeat, as if one side sought to conquer the sky or split the earth, but in the end, was pushed back, leaving only a shadow of its aspirations.
**The Bullish Pin Bar** is like a poet who, in the darkness of night, sees a star and, with hope for light, draws its long shadow toward the earth. It says, "The sellers tried to pull me down, but I, with the light of hope, rose again and conquered the sky."
**The Bearish Pin Bar** is like a poet who, at the peak of day, sees a dark cloud and, with fear of darkness, casts its long shadow toward the sky. It says, "The buyers tried to lift me up, but I, with the force of reality, returned to the ground and embraced the darkness."
The Pin Bar candle, with its small body and long shadow, is like a poem that encapsulates all the emotions of the market in a single moment. This candle, in its simplicity and beauty, reminds us that sometimes efforts do not yield results, and sometimes, turning back is the only way forward. Within this candle lies the story of hope and despair, effort and defeat, light and darkness—a story that repeats itself every day in the financial markets, each time narrated in a new language.
"Taken from artificial intelligence."
How to trade with V patterns !!!In trading, a V pattern is a chart formation that resembles the letter "V" and is used in technical analysis to identify potential reversals in price trends. It is one of the most common and recognizable patterns, signaling a sharp decline followed by a quick recovery.
Here's a breakdown of the V pattern:
Characteristics of a V Pattern
Sharp Decline (Left Side of the V):
The price experiences a rapid and steep drop, often driven by strong selling pressure or negative market sentiment.
This decline is usually quick and may occur over a short period.
Reversal Point (Bottom of the V):
The price reaches a low point where selling pressure exhausts, and buyers step in.
This is the point where the trend reverses, often accompanied by high trading volume.
Sharp Recovery (Right Side of the V):
The price rebounds quickly, mirroring the steepness of the initial decline.
The recovery is driven by strong buying pressure, often fueled by positive news or a shift in market sentiment.
Types of V Patterns
V Bottom (Bullish Reversal):
Occurs at the end of a downtrend.
Signals a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
Traders look for confirmation of the reversal, such as a breakout above a resistance level or increased volume.
Inverted V Top (Bearish Reversal):
Occurs at the end of an uptrend.
Signals a potential reversal from bullish to bearish.
Traders watch for a breakdown below a support level or decreasing volume as confirmation.
How to Trade the V Pattern
Identify the Pattern:
Look for a sharp decline followed by an equally sharp recovery.
Use trendlines or moving averages to confirm the reversal.
Wait for Confirmation:
Avoid entering a trade too early. Wait for the price to break above a resistance level (for a V bottom) or below a support level (for an inverted V top).
Set Entry and Exit Points:
For a V bottom, enter a long position after the price breaks above resistance.
For an inverted V top, enter a short position after the price breaks below support.
Use stop-loss orders to manage risk, placing them below the reversal point for a V bottom or above the reversal point for an inverted V top.
Targets:
Measure the height of the V pattern and project it upward (for a V bottom) or downward (for an inverted V top) to estimate potential price targets.
Key Considerations
Volume: Higher trading volume during the reversal confirms the strength of the pattern.
Market Context: V patterns are more reliable when they align with broader market trends or fundamental factors.
False Signals: Not all V patterns lead to sustained reversals. Always use additional indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm the trend.
The V pattern is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires careful analysis and risk management to avoid false signals and capitalize on potential opportunities.
What is V pattern? V pattern is a basic trading pattern which happens when market gets chaotic!
It has a sharp decline(left angle) and a sharp recovery (right angle)
Most of the times, V patterns won't change anything and their effect on market is mostly nothing!
The trends will continue after these patterns are crafted!
for example look at the BINANCE:BNBUSDT Chart and you can see that the price was pretty stable. after a sharp deny and a sharp recovery, the price shall return to the ranging stat which It was in!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Pattern Identification ExerciseHere I run through an exercise I first started carrying out around 4 years ago. It is a brilliant tool to help train yours eyes to spot patterns within the market, log the data across multiple different instruments and find specific characteristics with that instrument.
The importance behind carrying out an exercise like this is training your lens to spot these in the live markets, and also stacking your confidence so when you see these develop you are able to approach them in the best way possible.
Any questions just drop them below 👇
Trump-Putin Ukraine Deal: Impacts on Forex
Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important news that is shaking up the global markets: Donald Trump has apparently reached an agreement with Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, with an agreement that includes Ukraine's exit from NATO. The historic meeting between the two leaders will take place in Saudi Arabia and this move is expected to have a profound impact on the global geopolitical and financial landscape, especially on the Forex market.
Geopolitical and Economic Impact:
The announcement of a possible agreement between Trump and Putin could mark a significant turning point in the war in Ukraine. If Ukraine were to actually leave NATO, it would open a new phase of stability for the region, but at the same time it could create uncertainty on the geopolitical borders. This decision will directly affect the currency markets, in particular the currencies of the countries involved, the main European currencies and the US dollar.
In the current context, the war in Ukraine is one of the main causes of economic instability worldwide. Any end to hostilities could lead to a reduction in economic sanctions and a revival of trade flows between Russia, Europe and the United States. These changes will be closely monitored by traders, as any geopolitical fluctuations could affect the dynamics of currencies globally.
Implications for Forex:
A possible agreement between Trump and Putin could have a direct impact on Forex, especially on the following currencies:
Russian Ruble (RUB): A peace agreement would lead to a possible revaluation of the ruble. International sanctions against Russia could be gradually removed, boosting the Russian economy and supporting demand for the ruble in global markets.
Euro (EUR): Ukraine's exit from NATO could lead to greater stability for European countries involved in the conflict, but it could also reduce the risk associated with energy and military security. In the short term, the Euro could appreciate against riskier currencies, but the situation could vary depending on the political reactions in Europe.
US Dollar (USD): The dollar could react positively if the Trump-Putin deal is seen as a stabilization of international relations, but it will also depend on how the Federal Reserve responds to evolving economic conditions. A slowdown in the conflict could reduce the uncertainty that has pushed markets towards the dollar as a safe haven.
British Pound (GBP): The pound could benefit from a possible de-escalation of the crisis, but again, domestic political factors in the UK, such as its post-Brexit negotiations, will continue to influence the currency.
What to expect in the coming days:
News of the Trump-Putin meeting in Saudi Arabia will be watched closely by the markets. If the details of the deal are confirmed, we can expect an immediate reaction in the currency markets. Forex is likely to see increased volatility in the currency pairs tied to the nations involved, with shifts in capital flows that could reflect a new perception of risk or stability.
Conclusions:
In summary, the Trump-Putin deal could be a turning point in the war in Ukraine and have a significant impact on financial markets, especially Forex. Investors will need to carefully monitor geopolitical developments and prepare for possible currency fluctuations. With the end of hostilities, stability could return to favor some currencies, but the situation remains delicate and constantly evolving.
Penny Stocks vs Forex: Advantages and ChallengesPenny Stocks vs Forex: Advantages and Challenges
Penny stocks and forex trading offer potential opportunities and challenges, appealing to traders with different goals and risk tolerances. This article explores how the speculative nature of penny stocks compares to the dynamic forex market, examining their key characteristics, risks, and potential rewards.
Understanding Forex Trading
Forex trading involves the exchange of currencies in a global, decentralised market.
What Is Forex Trading?
You already know what the forex market is. However, to make our article comprehensive, we should mention its unique characteristics.
Forex, or foreign exchange trading, is the process of buying and selling currency pairs to take advantage of changes in their relative values. It is the largest financial market in the world, with an average daily trading volume exceeding $7 trillion (as of April 2022). Unlike traditional stock markets, forex operates without a central exchange and functions 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing traders from different time zones to participate.
Currencies are traded in pairs, such as EUR/USD or GBP/USD, where the value of one currency is quoted relative to another. Traders aim to take advantage of the market by speculating whether a currency pair's value will rise or fall based on market movements.
Where Are Currencies Traded?
Forex trading occurs in the over-the-counter (OTC) market, facilitated by a global network of banks, financial institutions, and individual traders. Trading takes place in three primary sessions: the Asian, European, and North American, ensuring a nearly continuous market.
The primary platforms for forex trading are electronic trading networks and broker-provided software. Retail traders often access the market through brokers offering leverage, enabling them to control larger positions with smaller capital. While leverage amplifies potential gains, it also increases the risk of significant losses.
Major Driving Factors and Risks
Forex prices are influenced by several key factors, including economic indicators, geopolitical events, and central bank policies. Economic reports like GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation can cause significant price swings. For instance, a strong employment report might boost the value of a country's currency, while political instability could weaken it.
Geopolitical events such as elections or conflicts can also lead to sudden volatility, making it difficult to analyse price movements. Central banks play a critical role, as interest rate changes or monetary policy shifts can strengthen or weaken a currency's appeal to investors.
The forex market is known for its liquidity, especially in major currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD. However, high liquidity does not eliminate risks. Forex trading involves exposure to leverage, meaning even small market movements can result in significant losses. Additionally, global economic uncertainty can create tricky market conditions, requiring traders to exercise caution and implement sound risk management strategies.
Understanding Penny Stocks
While looking for their best penny stocks to purchase, traders approach this segment with a balanced perspective and conduct thorough research.
What Is a Penny Stock?
The penny stock definition refers to shares of small-cap companies trading at a low price, typically below $5 per share. They distinguish themselves from larger stocks by their market capitalisation, which is usually below $250 or $300 million. Penny stocks today could be found in industries characterised by small, emerging enterprises, such as technology, biotechnology, renewable energy, mining, and pharmaceuticals, where companies seek capital investment to fund early-stage development and growth initiatives. Penny stocks are often associated with the term "Pink Sheets'', which originated from the practice of displaying price quotes for stocks traded over the counter on pink-coloured sheets of paper.
Where Are Penny Stocks Traded?
Like currency pairs, penny stocks can be found in the over-the-counter (OTC) market, which serves as a decentralised space where securities are traded directly by a network of market participants. It’s unlikely you will find them on large stock exchanges; however, there are exceptions. As companies traded in the OTC market are subject to less strict reporting requirements, it’s vital to be careful when choosing a platform for penny stock trading and investing.
The requirements for filing financial information to regulatory authorities play a crucial role in choosing a trading platform. Marketplaces such as OTCQX, within the OTC Market Group, attract companies committed to transparency and stringent disclosure standards. In contrast, the Pink market, which also operates within the OTC Market Group, is a less regulated tier, allowing securities to trade while complying with few financial standards.
Major Driving Factors and Risks
Penny stocks are highly sensitive to perceived opportunities for quick and substantial returns. Associated with small, less-established companies, for which financial data is often scarce, penny stock prices may surge unexpectedly on news about the company's progress, such as product launches, partnerships, and financial results.
Another significant consideration in penny stock trading is dilution. The number of outstanding shares may escalate due to mechanisms like employee stock options, share issuance for capital raising, and stock splits. When a company issues shares to secure capital, a common necessity for small enterprises, it often leads to a dilution of ownership percentages held by existing investors, which exerts downward pressure on the share price.
How Do Penny Stocks Compare to Forex?
Below, we discuss various aspects in which penny stocks and forex trading can be compared.
Risk Level
Penny stocks carry risks, primarily due to their potentially higher volatility, lower liquidity, and less availability of financial information. Prices can experience sharp fluctuations, particularly in the most volatile penny stocks often influenced by speculative trading or news events related to the issuing company. Penny stocks are usually less regulated than large-caps, which makes thorough research essential for investors and traders aiming to capitalise on price swings in these markets.
As with any financial market, the forex market presents risks. Currency fluctuations, driven by factors such as interest rates, inflation, and economic data releases, can lead to rapid market movements. Geopolitical events, including elections or conflicts, can further amplify volatility. Additionally, forex trading often involves leverage, which allows traders to control larger positions with relatively small capital. While this magnifies potential returns, it also increases the risk of substantial losses, making risk management critical in forex trading.
Potential Opportunities
Due to their low share prices, penny stocks could offer potentially high returns if the market moves favourably. Emerging companies in this segment often attract attention after announcing major developments, such as product launches or partnerships, creating conditions for sharp price increases.
However, this also makes them high-risk assets. Even the best low-price stocks don’t guarantee future growth, and the lack of historical performance data for many small-cap companies can make analysis challenging. Thorough research and careful asset selection are essential to navigate these penny stocks.
Forex trading also presents potential opportunities, primarily through significant fluctuations in currency values. Major currency pairs usually experience high liquidity, which could enable traders to enter and exit positions efficiently. Leverage enhances the potential for returns by allowing traders to control larger positions with smaller capital, but also equally magnifies the risk of losses.
Liquidity
Penny stocks often face challenges related to liquidity, as their lower market capitalisation can result in fewer buyers and sellers. Major currency pairs, on the other hand, are known for their high liquidity, given the vast number of participants involved, including major financial institutions and central banks. Contrasting liquidity in penny stocks with forex emphasises the different trading environments and potential impact on trade execution when defining your best way to trade penny stocks and currency pairs.
Accessibility and Learning Curve
Penny stocks are often seen as an accessible option for investors due to their low cost, allowing individuals to start trading with a minimal investment. However, for traders seeking the best penny stocks to invest in 2024 or any other year, a combination of research and careful market analysis is critical to mitigate risks potentially. Limited availability of information can make the learning curve steep, requiring diligence in research to avoid potential pitfalls.
Forex trading offers unparalleled accessibility, as the market operates 24/5 and allows traders to enter with relatively low capital through leverage (please remember about increased risks caused by leverage). However, while forex provides abundant educational resources and tools, understanding the complexities of global economic indicators, currency correlations, and leverage management presents a challenging learning curve that demands continuous effort and skill development.
Key Considerations for Traders
Navigating penny stocks or forex trading requires a clear understanding of various factors that impact decision-making and performance. Below are some key considerations for traders in these markets.
Risk Tolerance and Goals
Every trader should evaluate their risk tolerance and align it with their goals. Penny stocks are highly speculative and popular among those with a higher risk appetite and a willingness to accept volatility. Forex trading, with its leveraged positions and fast-paced environment, demands similar self-assessment. Traders should clearly define their objectives and choose their strategies accordingly.
Time Commitment and Market Knowledge
Trading in either market requires a significant investment of time and effort to build knowledge and expertise. Penny stock traders should sift through limited financial data and monitor company developments closely. Forex traders need to stay informed about global economic trends, geopolitical events, and currency movements. Both markets demand continuous learning to refine strategies and adapt to changing conditions.
Costs and Fees
Understanding trading costs is essential. Penny stock transactions often come with higher broker fees, particularly in over-the-counter (OTC) markets, which can eat into potential returns. Similarly, forex traders face costs such as spreads, commissions, and overnight swap fees for holding positions. Comparing platforms and selecting one with competitive rates is vital. At FXOpen, you can trade currency pairs with spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50.
Importance of Diversification and Education
Diversification may help potentially mitigate risk by spreading investments across multiple assets or markets. In penny stocks, this may involve selecting shares from various industries, while forex traders could trade a mix of major, minor, and exotic currency pairs. Additionally, both types of traders take advantage of ongoing education. Accessing resources like webinars, articles, and demo accounts can deepen understanding and potentially improve performance.
Emotional Discipline
Emotions can cloud judgment, leading to impulsive decisions. Traders should develop emotional discipline to stay consistent with their strategies, especially during periods of potential loss or high volatility. Establishing rules for entry, exit, and position sizing—and sticking to them—helps maintain objectivity and control.
Conclusion
Forex and penny stock markets share similarities, but they differ significantly in their market structures, liquidity, and goals. Traders should weigh all the relevant factors to navigate these distinct markets. Penny stocks and forex aren’t the only options for trading. You can open an FXOpen account and apply your trading strategies to over 700 markets. Enjoy tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50.
FAQ
What Are Penny Stocks?
The penny stock meaning refers to shares of small-cap companies that typically trade at less than $5 per share. These stocks are often associated with emerging or niche industries and are traded in over-the-counter (OTC) markets or less frequently on major exchanges.
How Do Penny Stocks Work?
Penny stocks are bought and sold like any other stock, but they often trade in lower volumes and with less transparency. Investors may aim to take advantage of price fluctuations driven by company news or market speculation.
What Is Penny Stock Trading?
Penny stock trading involves buying and selling low-priced stocks in an effort to capitalise on their volatility. This type of trading requires thorough research due to limited financial data and high risks.
What Is the Penny Stock Rule?
The penny stock rules, established by the SEC, require brokers to disclose the risks of trading penny stocks and verify that trades are suitable for investors. This rule may help protect traders from potential fraud.
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