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The Power of Resilience in Trading: Turning Losses into LearningLosses in trading are inevitable, no matter how well you manage your emotions or perfect your strategies. The key to long-term success lies not in avoiding losses entirely, but in how you respond to them. This is where resilience comes into play. Resilience is the ability to bounce back from setbacks and continue pushing forward toward your goals. It's about maintaining a positive outlook and keeping a sense of perspective, even when faced with adversity. In the world of trading, resilience is not just an asset—it's a necessity. Every trader, no matter how experienced or successful, will face losses at some point. The difference between those who succeed and those who don’t is how they handle those losses. Reframing Losses: A Path to Growth A powerful way to build resilience is by reframing your losses. Instead of seeing a losing trade as a failure, look at it as a learning opportunity. When you experience a setback, don’t beat yourself up—ask yourself critical questions: What can I learn from this? How can I improve my trading based on this experience? By shifting your perspective in this way, you transform the emotional sting of a loss into a stepping stone for future success. Losses become lessons, and each trade—whether profitable or not—becomes part of your journey toward becoming a better trader. A Real-Life Example: My Own Setback Let me share a personal example. In 2009, probably because I already had 7 years trading career and I've become overconfident, I experienced a significant drawdown that wiped out a large portion of my account(more than 50%). I was devastated, questioning whether I had what it takes to be successful in this field, or it's been just luck so far. But instead of giving up, I chose to view this setback as a learning experience. I took the time to analyze my trades (only 3 in fact), identify my mistakes, and refine my strategy. That difficult period taught me invaluable lessons about risk management, emotional discipline, and the importance of continuous improvement. What seemed like a disaster at the time turned out to be one of the best things that ever happened to my trading career. It didn’t just make me a better trader—it made me a more resilient one. Building Resilience: A Lifelong Asset Resilience in trading isn't just about handling one bad day or week—it's about building the mental strength to face the market’s ups and downs without losing your focus or passion. Every challenge you overcome, every setback you bounce back from, makes you stronger and more prepared for the future. The next time you experience a loss, remember that it’s not the end of the world. It’s an opportunity to learn, grow, and come back even stronger. Embrace the challenge, trust in your ability to overcome it, and always keep moving forward. Best Of Luck! Mihai Iacob
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
11
The Multitimeframe Bias method for enjoyable trend tradingUnlock the power of Multitimeframe Bias trading! This approach aims to identify and trade with the prevailing trend and momentum by assessing the bias across different timeframes. By determining the alignment of various timeframes, you can anticipate potential rollovers and make more informed trading decisions. Fully aligned and integrated with SB Style trading, this method offers a mechanical system that prevents impulsive trades, ensuring a disciplined and strategic approach to the market. Learn how to leverage Multitimeframe Bias to enhance your trading strategy today!
OANDA:WTICOUSDEducation
by TC888
How To Reduce Your Risk Before Even Taking The TradeIn an interview Warren Buffet was asked about his investment approach, where he responded by explaining a mental model that he and his business partner Charlie Munger would use when selecting companies to invest in, called the Circle of Competence. When asked about the circle of competence Warren Buffet would often use a baseball analogy to explain it. Where an average baseball player can appear exceptional by simply waiting for the right pitch. In other words in most cases Warren and Charlie would find companies where they have an understanding and experience surrounding the industry which allows them to make an investment decision with a fair amount of competence. By making sure they stay well within their circle of competence they're able to reduce the risk significantly by simply understanding what they're investing in. Although this principle is used quite extensively by Warren and Charlie, it can also be used by you. By simply reducing the amount of instruments you're watching and begin studying the ones you already understand, you automatically give yourself a unique edge while at the same time reduce your risk before you even take the trade. So, as you move into the next and final quarter of the year, be sure to have a look at your watchlist and start refining it to a point where all you're looking at are instruments you understand and are well experienced in. By doing this you'll be able to remain focused and stay in the zone for a lot longer, while all the more reduce your risk long before you even take the trade.
Education
by DeanMuller
4
Five Market Correlations You Can UseAs a trader, I've discovered key market correlations that provide valuable insights. Here are 6 you can use: 1️⃣ US Dollar Index & Commodities (DXY & Commodities ): The US Dollar Index often moves inversely to commodities like gold and oil. Monitoring this correlation helps gauge potential moves in commodity prices based on the USD's strength or weakness. 2️⃣ S&P 500 & Volatility (SPX & VIX): The S&P 500 and the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) exhibit an inverse relationship. A rising VIX indicates higher market uncertainty, influencing my risk management decisions when trading the S&P 500. 3️⃣ Bond Yields & Currency Pairs (BondYields & Forex ): Strong correlations exist between government bond yields and currency pairs. Higher bond yields may lead to a stronger currency, and vice versa. This correlation helps in forex analysis and trade setups and we use it in our program's bias matrices. 4️⃣ Crude Oil & Transportation Stocks (CrudeOil & Transportation ): Crude oil prices and transportation stocks, like airlines and shipping companies, often move together. Understanding this correlation provides insights into both oil demand and economic trends. 5️⃣ Gold & Real Interest Rates (GOLD & InterestRates ): Gold is often influenced by real interest rates (nominal rates adjusted for inflation). When real rates are low or negative, gold tends to perform well as an inflation hedge. 6️⃣ USD/CAD & Oil Prices (USDCAD & Oil ): The Canadian dollar (CAD) is sensitive to oil prices due to Canada's significant oil exports. As oil prices rise, USD/CAD tends to fall, and vice versa. The Norwegian Krone (NOK) also exhibits a similar behavior at times. By recognizing these correlations, I make more informed trading decisions and anticipate potential market moves based on the pre session biases. I also keep a close eye on updated correlation matrices in case any have de-coupled recently. Utilize these insights in your trading arsenal to gain a competitive edge!
TVC:US10YEducation
by AlexSoro
4
Comparison of Money Market vs Capital MarketComparison of Money Market vs Capital Market Navigating the financial world requires a clear understanding of its various facets, especially when comparing the money market vs the capital market. These two pivotal markets serve distinct roles in the economy, catering to different investment horizons and risk profiles. This article aims to demystify these markets, providing insights into their characteristics, differences, and the importance they hold for traders and investors alike. What Is the Money Market? The money market involves trading short-term financial instruments. It’s characterised by high liquidity and potentially lower risk, making it a popular choice when it comes to managing short-term financial needs and cash reserves. Instruments traded here include Treasury bills (T-bills), which are government-issued securities with maturities of less than one year. Commercial paper, another common instrument, is an unsecured, short-term debt issued by corporations to finance their immediate operational needs. Additionally, certificates of deposit (CDs) issued by banks offer fixed interest rates for short-term deposits. These instruments collectively may provide a so-called safe haven when investors seek relative stability and quick access to their funds, with minimal exposure to price fluctuations. What Is the Capital Market? The capital market is a financial marketplace where long-term debt and equity-based securities are traded. It's essential for raising capital and serves as a key platform for long-term investment and wealth generation. It includes stocks, representing ownership shares in companies, and bonds, which are debt securities issued by entities like governments and corporations. Stocks offer potentially higher returns but come with greater risk, while bonds often provide a more stable income stream but usually with lower returns. This market plays a crucial role in the economy by enabling capital formation and investment in productive ventures, driving economic growth. It attracts investors seeking opportunities to invest in the future growth of companies, infrastructure projects, and governmental initiatives, offering a range of options from high-risk, high-reward stocks to more conservative bonds. Key Differences Between Money vs Capital Markets In the financial world, understanding the key differences between capital market securities vs money market securities is crucial for investors and traders. While both are integral parts of the financial system, they serve different purposes and offer distinct characteristics. Money Market - Investment Duration: Characterised by investments typically lasting under a year, designed to meet immediate liquidity requirements. - Risk Profile: Offers potentially lower-risk options with relatively stable returns, ideal for conservative investors. - Types of Securities: Features instruments like Treasury bills, commercial paper, and certificates of deposit for quick cash conversion. - Role in the Economy: Provides essential short-term financial effectiveness and efficient liquidity management. - Liquidity: Instruments in this market are highly liquid, which may facilitate fast and easy access to funds. Capital Market - Investment Duration: Focuses on the long-term, often spanning years or decades, aimed at future growth and capital accumulation. - Risk Profile: Involves a higher risk attributable to longer time horizons and market volatility, particularly with stocks. You can keep an eye on stock volatility in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. - Types of Securities: Comprises stocks, bonds, and long-term debts, catering to a range of investment preferences. - Role in the Economy: Plays a crucial role in long-term investment strategies, economic growth, and facilitating capital formation. - Liquidity: Securities like stocks and bonds offer varying degrees of liquidity, generally less than money market instruments due to their long-term nature. Importance of Each Market to Traders The money market is critical for traders seeking potential stability and short-term liquidity. Its lower-risk instruments, like Treasury bills and certificates of deposit, are ideal for parking surplus funds with a focus on capital preservation. It’s also invaluable in hedging short-term currency or interest rate risks. On the other hand, the capital market is a key arena for traders aiming to achieve long-term growth and potentially higher returns. Investing in stocks and bonds in the capital market allows traders to participate in the economic growth of companies and governments. While these investments carry higher risk, they offer the potential for greater capital appreciation and returns through dividends and interest. Impact of Economic Changes on Both Markets Economic changes can significantly impact both the money and capital markets but in different ways. In the money market, interest rate fluctuations are a primary influencer. Lower interest rates typically make short-term investments less attractive, reducing returns on instruments like Treasury bills and certificates of deposit. Conversely, higher rates can increase the appeal of these securities. In the capital market, broader economic trends play a more substantial role. Economic growth can boost investor confidence, leading to increased demand for stocks and higher market valuations. Inflation can also impact the capital market, as it may erode the real value of fixed-income securities like bonds. However, political stability and policy changes can either enhance or diminish investor confidence in both markets, affecting performance and investment decisions. The Bottom Line Understanding the differences between these markets is vital. Each market serves unique purposes, catering to different investor needs, from short-term liquidity in the money market to long-term growth in the capital market. For those looking to explore these opportunities, opening an FXOpen account can provide access to a range of stock and ETF CFDs. Happy trading! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by FXOpen
2
Top 5 Books Every Trader Should Have on Their ShelfLet’s face it: there is more to trading than blindly smashing the buy and sell button after you’ve picked up the latest buzz on Reddit’s messaging boards. What’s happening between your ears is just as important as what’s happening on your charts. And sometimes, it might as well help you make sense of it all. So, where do you start if you want to sharpen your edge? Books . Real, old-fashioned, mind-expanding books. The kind of reads that will school you in both the mechanics and mindset of trading. Forget the social media noise—we’re listing five books that will hand you the wisdom, strategies and mental toughness you need to not just survive but thrive in the seemingly chaotic world of markets. Let’s get into it. 📖 1. Reminiscences of a Stock Operator ✍️ by Edwin Lefèvre 🧐 What’s it about : This is the OG of trading books. A classic that was first published in 1923, it follows the life of the legendary trader Jesse Livermore, who made and lost millions more times than most traders have had profitable months. It's less of a step-by-step guide and more of a philosophical deep dive into what drives traders to win, lose, and repeat the cycle. 💡 What’s the takeaway : You’ll find yourself nodding along, thinking, “Yep, been there” every few chapters. And trust us, Livermore’s lessons on greed, fear and market timing are still as relevant today as they were a century ago. 📖 2. Trading in the Zone ✍️ by Mark Douglas 🧐 What’s it about : If there’s one book that will help you stop blowing up your account because you’re caught in emotional trades, this is it. Mark Douglas breaks down the psychological barriers traders face and teaches you how to think in probabilities. Spoiler alert: The market owes you nothing. Douglas teaches you how to embrace the uncertainty of trading and act probabilistically—playing the odds, not emotions. 💡 What’s the takeaway : If you're constantly getting blindsided by your feelings, there is a high probability that this book will snap you out of that spiral and teach you how to approach the market with a level head. 📖 3. Market Wizards ✍️ by Jack D. Schwager 🧐 What’s it about : Ever wish you could pick the brains of the world’s greatest traders? Jack Schwager did it for you. This book is essentially a collection of interviews with the top traders of the 80s (think Paul Tudor Jones, Bruce Kovner, and Richard Dennis). Schwager’s interviewing style makes it feel like you’re sitting in on private conversations, absorbing their secrets, strategies and market philosophies. 💡 What’s the takeaway : There’s no single “right way” to trade. Whether you're a scalper or a trend follower, you’ll find someone here who matches your vibe. Plus, these stories prove that anyone—from a college dropout to a former blackjack player—can conquer the market with the right mindset and persistence. 📖 4. Technical Analysis of Stock Trends ✍️ by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee 🧐 What’s it about : If you’re serious about technical analysis, this is the trading bible. Originally published in 1948, this book largely introduced the world to concepts like trend lines , support and resistance , head-and-shoulders patterns , and much more. Edwards and Magee laid the foundation for almost every technical analysis tool you see around today. 💡 What’s the takeaway : This gem will teach you how to recognize trend changes, continuation patterns, and reversal signals that can sharpen your trading entries and exits. 📖 5. The Alchemy of Finance ✍️ by George Soros 🧐 What’s it about : If you want to understand not only how to trade but also how the world of finance operates, this is the book. Written by one of the most successful (and controversial) investors and currency speculators of all time, George Soros, The Alchemy of Finance is part autobiography, part deep dive into Soros' legendary "reflexivity" theory. It's not just about looking at price action—it's about understanding how traders' perceptions affect markets, often driving them in irrational directions. 💡 What’s the takeaway : Soros teaches you to think bigger than charts and numbers—to anticipate shifts in market psychology and position yourself accordingly. Wrapping Up You can binge all the videos, tutorials and online courses you want, but nothing beats the distilled wisdom found in a great trading book. These five reads are the perfect balance of trading psychology, real-life stories, and technical analysis insights that will help you become a better, more knowledgeable trader. Bonus tip : if you start now, you’ve got a couple of months until Thanksgiving when you can brag about how many pages you read. 📚 Additional Picks for the Avid Trader If you’re hungry for more insight, we’ve got a few additional picks for you. Of course, they offer a wealth of knowledge from market titans and cautionary tales from the trading trenches: 📖 More Money Than God by Sebastian Mallaby A brilliant history of the hedge fund industry, revealing the strategies and personalities behind some of the greatest trades ever made—and showing you how the masters manage risk and opportunity. 📖 When Genius Failed by Roger Lowenstein A cautionary tale of Long-Term Capital Management, the "genius" hedge fund that imploded in spectacular fashion. Learn what happens when ego and leverage collide in the financial world. 📖 The Man Who Solved the Market by Gregory Zuckerman This is the story of Jim Simons and his secretive firm, Renaissance Technologies, which revolutionized trading with quantitative models. It’s a must-read for anyone intrigued by the world of algorithmic trading. 📖 Big Mistakes by Michael Batnick Everyone makes mistakes—especially traders. This book dives into the biggest blunders made by history’s top investors and traders, showing you that even the greats are human—and how to avoid repeating their costly errors. 📖 Confusion de Confusiones by Joseph de la Vega Originally written in 1688, this is one of the first books ever on trading (to many, the first ever), set during the time of the Dutch stock market bubble. It may be old but its lessons on speculation, greed and market psychology are as timeless as they come. 🙋‍♂️ What's your favorite book on trading and did it make our list? Comment below! 👇
Education
by TradingView
10
The Fair Value Gap (FVG)The term "fair value gap" is known by various names among price action traders, including imbalance, inefficiency, and liquidity void. But what do these imbalances mean? They arise when the forces of buying and selling exert considerable pressure, resulting in sharp and rapid price movements. On a chart, a Fair Value Gap appears as a three-candlestick pattern. In a bullish context, an FVG forms when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, the FVG is created when the bottom wick of the first candlestick fails to connect with the top wick of the third candlestick. The gap on the middle candlestick, created by the wicks of the first and third candlesticks, represents the Fair Value Gap. The concept of FVG trading is based on the idea that the market has a natural tendency to self-correct. These price discrepancies or inefficiencies are generally not sustainable over time, and the market often returns to these gaps before continuing in the same direction as the original impulsive move. What are the Types of Fair Value Gaps? 1. Bearish Fair Value Gap A bearish Fair Value Gap occurs when there is a space between the bottom wick of the first candlestick and the top wick of the third candlestick. This gap typically appears on the body of the middle candlestick, and the individual characteristics of each candlestick are not particularly important. What’s crucial in a bearish scenario is that the gap on the middle candlestick results from the wicks of the surrounding candlesticks not connecting. 2. Bullish Fair Value Gap A bullish Fair Value Gap occurs when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. In this case, the specific direction of each candlestick is not as important. What really matters is that there is a gap in the middle candlestick, where the wicks of the first and third candlesticks have not linked. 3. Inverse Fair Value Gap An Inverse Fair Value Gap is an FVG that has lost its validity in one direction but remains significant enough to influence price movement in the opposite direction. For example, a bullish FVG is deemed invalid if it fails to act as a demand zone. However, it then transforms into an inverse bearish FVG, which may serve as a supply zone capable of holding the price. 4. Implied Fair Value Gap The Implied Fair Value Gap is also a three-candlestick pattern, but it does not feature a gap on the middle candlestick, which is why it’s called an “implied FVG.” Instead, it consists of a larger middle candle flanked by two relatively long wicks from the first and third candles. The “gap” is defined by marking the midpoint of the wick of the first candlestick that touches the middle candle and the midpoint of the wick of the third candle that also touches the middle candle. These two midpoints create the gap. Here are some factors that can lead to the formation of fair value gaps: 1. Economic Data Releases Key economic data releases, such as changes in interest rates or unemployment statistics, can similarly create imbalances. If the data surprises the market, it can trigger a swift price movement in one direction, resulting in a gap. 2. Sudden News Events Unexpected news that significantly affects market sentiment can lead to a rapid increase in buying or selling activity, resulting in a gap as prices adjust to the new information. For instance, if a company unexpectedly reports strong earnings, its stock price may surge, creating a gap on the chart. 3. Market Openings or Closings Gaps may form during periods of low liquidity, such as at market openings or closings. With fewer market participants, even a small amount of buying or selling can cause a noticeable price jump that isn’t quickly countered. 4. Large Institutional Trades Significant trades by institutional investors can also lead to fair value gaps (FVGs). When a hedge fund or financial institution executes a large buy or sell order, it can overwhelm the existing order book, causing a rapid price shift and leaving a gap behind. 5. Weekend Gaps FVG's are often observed between the close on Friday and the open on Monday, reflecting news or events that occurred over the weekend. KEY POINTS TO KNOW - Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are powerful tools traders use to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies. - FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts. - FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns. - Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.
Education
by TaylorDeMario
4
Options Blueprint Series [Intermediate]: US Election Oil Play1. Introduction The 2024 US Presidential Election could have a significant impact on global markets, especially energy sectors like crude oil. With key policies and geopolitical tensions hinging on the outcome, many traders are eyeing a potential price surge in WTI Crude Oil futures. Our prior article (linked below) presented a potential opportunity for crude oil prices to rise by over 40% within a year following the election. This could bring WTI Crude Oil Futures (CLZ2025) from its current price of 67.80 to around 94.92. To capitalize on this potential opportunity, a strategic options play can be used to leverage this potential move, providing not only a chance to profit from a bullish breakout but also some protection against downside risk. This article explores a Breakout Booster Play using options on the December 2025 WTI Crude Oil futures contract (CLZ2025), designed to benefit from a possible post-election oil price surge. 2. Technical Overview In analyzing the December 2025 WTI Crude Oil Futures (CLZ2025), a strong support level is identified. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level aligns perfectly with a UFO support zone at 55.62, suggesting a significant area where buying interest could emerge if prices fall to this level. The current price of CLZ2025 is 67.80, and the technical analysis points to the possibility of a substantial bullish move following the 2024 US Presidential Election. The projected price increase of 40% could push crude oil prices up to 94.92 over the next year. However, even a more conservative target of 20% (around 81.36) could offer considerable upside potential. This analysis provides the foundation for constructing an options strategy that not only takes advantage of the potential upside but also offers a buffer zone against downside risk by capitalizing on key support levels. 3. The Options Strategy The options strategy we'll use here is a Breakout Booster Play designed to take advantage of the expected rise in crude oil prices. Here's how the strategy is constructed: 1. Sell 2 Puts at the 55 Strike: Expiring on November 17, 2025, these puts are sold to collect a premium of approximately 3.27 points per contract. By selling 2 puts, we collect a total of 6.54 points. This creates a buffer zone, allowing us to take on some downside risk while still profiting if prices remain above 55. 2. Buy 1 Call at the 71 Strike: Also expiring on November 17, 2025, the call is purchased for 6.28 points. This call gives us the potential for unlimited upside if crude oil prices rise above 71. Net Cost: The net cost of this strategy is minimal, with the collected premium from the puts (6.54) offsetting most of the cost of the call (6.28). The result is a credit of 0.26 points, meaning the trader gets paid to enter this position. Break-Even Points: The position would lose money only if crude oil falls below 54.87 (factoring in the premium collected). Profit potential becomes significant if crude oil rises above 71, with large gains expected if the projected move to 81.36 or 94.92 materializes. This strategy effectively positions the trader to profit from an upward breakout while maintaining a buffer against downside risk. If crude oil drops, losses are limited unless it falls below 54.87, at which point the trader would be required to take delivery of 2 crude oil futures contracts (long). 4. Profit and Risk Analysis Profit Potential: The key advantage of this options strategy is its profit potential on the upside. If crude oil prices rise above 71, the purchased call will start gaining value significantly. If crude oil reaches 94.92 (a 40% increase from the current price), the long call will be deep in the money, resulting in substantial profits. Even if the price rises more conservatively to 81.36 (a 20% increase), the strategy still allows for meaningful gains as the call appreciates. Since the net entry cost is essentially zero (with a small credit of 0.26 points), the potential profit is high, and it becomes especially powerful above 71, with unlimited upside. Risk Management: This strategy comes with a 19% buffer before any losses occur at expiration, as the break-even point is 54.87. However, it is important to note that if the trade is closed before expiration, losses could be realized if crude oil prices have dropped, even if the price is above 55. Risk Pre-Expiration: If crude oil prices fall sharply, especially before expiration, the trader could face significant losses. The risk is theoretically unlimited because, as the market moves against the sold puts, their value could rise dramatically. If a trader needs to close the position early, those puts could be worth significantly more than the premium initially collected, resulting in losses. Potential Margin Calls: If crude oil drops far enough, the trader may receive a margin call on the short puts. This could happen well before the price reaches 54.87, depending on the speed and size of the drop. If not managed properly, this could force the trader to close the position at a significant loss. While there is a built-in buffer, this trade requires active monitoring, particularly if crude oil prices start to decline. Risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, rolling options, or hedging, should be considered to mitigate losses in case the market moves unexpectedly. 5. Contract Specs and Margins WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL) Tick Size: The minimum price fluctuation is 0.01 per barrel. Tick Value: Each 0.01 movement equals $10 per contract. Margin Requirement: Approximately $6,100 per contract (subject to change based on market volatility). Micro Crude Oil Futures (MCL) Tick Value: Each 0.01 movement equals $1 per contract. Margin Requirement: Approximately $610 per contract, offering a lower capital requirement for smaller positions. Why Mention Both? Traders with larger capital allocations may prefer using standard WTI Crude Oil futures contracts, given their greater exposure and tick value. However, for smaller or more conservative traders, Micro Crude Oil Futures (MCL) provide a more accessible way to enter the market while maintaining the same exposure ratios in a smaller size. 6. Summary and Conclusion This options strategy provides a powerful way to capitalize on a potential post-election rally in crude oil prices, while offering downside protection. The combination of selling 2 puts at the 55 strike and buying 1 call at the 71 strike, all expiring on November 17, 2025, creates a structured approach to profit from a bullish breakout. With current analysis based on machine learning suggesting a potential 40% increase in crude oil prices over the next year, the long call offers unlimited profit potential above 71. At the same time, the sale of the puts at the 55 strike gives the strategy a 19% buffer, with the break-even point at expiration being 54.87. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CLZ2025Education
by traddictiv
ESSENTIAL FACTORS IN BACKTESTINGTesting trading strategies is essential for assessing their effectiveness based on historical market data. It allows traders to gain insights into how a strategy would perform under real market conditions, identify necessary adjustments, and understand various influencing factors. For instance, it can reveal how news releases impact trading outcomes or how a gradual increase in position volume can help recover losses. In this post, we will explore the most important criteria for effective testing. Criteria for Testing Strategies on Historical Data 📍 1. Reliability and Quality of Historical Data Accurate and comprehensive historical market data is crucial for effective testing. Any errors or omissions in the quotes can significantly skew the results. For instance, if there is a missing entry for a day that experienced a spike, the absence of this data could misrepresent the strategy's performance. This missing information might conceal a stop-loss trade that closed at a loss, ultimately distorting the yield curve and leading to misleading conclusions. What to Consider: 🔹 Data Quality: It’s essential to use verified data sources that minimize errors and lag. Ideally, obtain quotes directly from your broker. If you are testing your strategy on third-party platforms, consider using data from TradingView. 🔹 Depth of History: The data should encompass a significant time period that includes various market conditions, such as trends, consolidations, and different volatility levels. For scalping strategies, a minimum of one year of data is recommended, while long-term strategies should be tested on data spanning more than three years. 🔹 Tick Accuracy: For high-frequency trading and scalping, having tick-level data is crucial. Conversely, for medium-term strategies, candlestick closing data may suffice. The price history is sourced from your broker and may vary from the histories provided by other brokers due to differing liquidity providers. However, there should not be substantial discrepancies or noticeable gaps in the data. 📍 2. Reality of Order Execution When testing a trading strategy using historical data, it's important to recognize that real trading differs significantly from backtesting: 🔹 Variable Spread: The spread can fluctuate based on market volatility, the time of day, or significant news events. It's essential to account for changing spreads during testing rather than relying on fixed values in your settings. 🔹 Slippage: Orders may be executed at prices different from the expected level, particularly in volatile markets or when liquidity is low. 🔹 Execution Delay : A delay may occur between the submission of an order and its actual execution, especially in fast-moving markets. The key issue is that in a strategy tester, orders are executed instantly, whereas real trading involves slippage, server delays, and other factors. This can lead to discrepancies of several points. Therefore, it's advisable to establish a percentage deviation parameter to estimate the potential difference between the test results and real trading outcomes, leaning towards the conservative side. Alternatively, you can test the strategy under various spread conditions and analyze how performance metrics and the equity curve are affected by changes in the spread. 📍 3. Accounting for Commissions and Costs Even a strategy that demonstrates positive results in a backtesting environment can become unprofitable once real trading costs are factored in: 🔹 Broker Commissions: It is crucial to consider the fixed or variable commissions charged by the broker for each trade. Some strategy testers allow you to integrate commission parameters; if that's not the case, you should manually subtract these costs from the profit for each full lot traded. 🔹 Spread: The spread can widen during periods of low liquidity, which can significantly impact profitability. Some testers include spread parameters, but others may not. 🔹 Swaps: Swap rates can vary drastically between brokers, and it’s important to remember that they can be substantial, particularly when held overnight due to rollover rates. The core issue lies in the limitations of the testing software. If your tester does not account for floating spreads and swaps, it may be worth exploring alternative options. 📍 4. Optimization and Over-Optimization of the Strategy While strategy testing is essential, it can lead to over-optimization, also known as data fitting. A strategy that appears perfect for historical data might not perform effectively in real market conditions. To mitigate this risk, consider the following: 🔹 Avoid Deep Ad Hoc Parameter Fitting: Over-optimizing too many parameters for historical data can significantly reduce a strategy's robustness in live trading environments. A strategy that is fine-tuned solely for past performance may fail when faced with the unpredictability of future market conditions. 🔹 Use Forward Testing: This approach involves testing a strategy on one timeframe and then applying it to a different timeframe. This method can help prevent over-optimization by assessing the strategy's adaptability across various market conditions. The key takeaway is achieving balance. Attempting to utilize numerous indicators simultaneously and fine-tuning their values extensively can lead to problems. If you have adjusted parameters based on a selective set of trades (let’s say, a 15-trade segment), it’s likely that you will need to readjust for different segments. 📍 5. Testing Under Different Market Conditions To ensure comprehensive evaluation, a trading strategy should be tested under various market conditions: 🔹 Trend and Range Markets: It’s essential to verify that the strategy performs effectively during periods of strong trending markets as well as in sideways (range-bound) movements. A robust strategy should be adaptable to both scenarios. 🔹 Volatility: The strategy should be assessed across different volatility levels. While it might perform well in low-volatility environments, it may struggle or become unprofitable during sharp market movements. Testing across diverse volatility conditions is crucial for understanding the strategy's resilience. 🔹 Macroeconomic Events: Significant economic factors, such as news releases and central bank decisions, can greatly impact market behavior. Therefore, it’s important to test the strategy over timeframes that include these critical events to gauge its performance in response to external shocks. By thoroughly testing across these varying conditions, traders can better understand the strategy’s strengths and weaknesses, leading to more informed trading decisions. 📍 6. Stress Testing Stress testing is a crucial process for assessing the sustainability and resilience of a trading strategy under adverse conditions. Consider the following factors during stress testing: 🔹 Falling Liquidity: Evaluate how the strategy performs during scenarios of sharply reduced market liquidity. Understanding its behavior in these situations is vital, as low liquidity can lead to wider spreads and slippage, affecting trade execution and overall performance. 🔹 Price Spikes: Assess the strategy's response to unexpected price changes, such as those triggered by significant news events (e.g., interest rate announcements). Observing how the strategy reacts to rapid market movements helps gauge its robustness in volatile conditions. 🔹 Crisis Events: Testing the strategy against data from historical financial crises can provide insight into its resilience during extreme market conditions. For instance, analyzing performance during the 2008/2020 financial crisis or the market disruptions caused by geopolitical events (such as the 2022 war) can reveal potential weaknesses and strengths. 📍 7. Analyzing Strategy Metrics After conducting tests on your trading strategy, it is essential to analyze the results through key performance metrics. The following metrics provide valuable insights into the strategy's effectiveness and risk profile: 🔹 Maximum Drawdown: This measures the maximum peak-to-trough decline in funds during the testing period. A lower drawdown indicates a less risky strategy, as it shows how much the capital could potentially decrease before recovering. 🔹 Risk/Profit Ratio: This metric assesses the profit generated for every dollar at risk. A favorable risk/profit ratio indicates that the potential rewards justify the risks taken, making the strategy more appealing. 🔹 Percentage of Profitable Trades: While the sheer number of profitable trades is important, it's equally crucial to analyze the ratio of profitable trades to losing trades. A higher percentage signifies a consistently effective strategy, but it should also be evaluated in conjunction with other metrics. 🔹 Average Profit/Loss: This metric calculates the average profit of winning trades and the average loss of losing trades. Understanding these averages helps to contextualize the strategy’s overall performance and can guide adjustments to improve outcomes. 📍 Conclusion There is no one-size-fits-all algorithm or set of criteria for testing trading systems. Each strategy has unique characteristics that require tailored evaluation methods. However, there are general recommendations that should be considered when assessing any type of trading strategy. Gaining an understanding of parameter selection and optimization comes with experience. It is advisable to first gather this experience on a demo account by running a strategy that has been fine-tuned in a testing environment. However, it’s important to note that testing environments may not replicate real market conditions accurately—issues such as price delays and slippage can significantly affect trade execution in live markets. Thus, when transitioning from a demo account to a real account, continuous monitoring is essential. Traders should keep track of statistical parameters and be vigilant for any deviations from the outcomes observed during testing. This oversight will help ensure better alignment with the strategy’s expected performance and provide an opportunity to make necessary adjustments in response to changing market conditions. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
4
Telegram Games==>Share your experiencesToday, I want to talk about Telegram programs or games that are added to their number daily, and share my experiences from these programs or games with you. I would be happy if you share your opinion or experience with me. First, the purpose of these programs/games is to introduce the project and their tokens to the users, and for this purpose, they give their own tokens to the users in the form of Airdrop. Now, let's see what Airdrop means. What is the Airdrop!? An airdrop in crypto is when a project distributes free tokens or coins to users' wallets, often as a marketing strategy to promote the project or reward existing holders. Users may receive these tokens by holding a specific cryptocurrency or completing simple tasks. First, I must say that what has been proven to me in the cryptocurrency market is that the crypto market has had seasons over the years, such as NFT, Metaverse, Memes, Defi, etc. This means that in these seasons, the tokens of each season have increased and received a good reception, and always the first ones in each season gave a good reception and profit to the users, and with the passage of time, their reception decreased, and then it was the turn of scam projects in It has been every season. I gave these explanations to say that I think we are in the middle or end of Telegram's program/games season. The season began with the BINANCE:NOTUSDT was obtained by tapping to earn and introducing friends. In the Notcoin project, users received good profits. After the BINANCE:NOTUSDT project, the Hamster game , which is supposed to be listed on September 26 in various exchanges (perhaps the price of each $HMSTR token is equal to $0.01 ), was well received by Telegram users. If the Hamster game is listed at a price of $0.01 in various exchanges, it will disappoint many users because there are few users who have more than 10,000 $HMSTR tokens, and it could be a sign of the end of the season of Telegram programs/games. How many $HMSTR tokens did you get in Hamster!? In the coming days, tokens of other games are going to be listed in different exchanges, for example, today the game Rocky Rabbit with GATEIO:RBTCUSDT token was listed in different exchanges, which disappointed all its users. Now I decided to share my personal experiences with you from some of the trending Telegram games. Catizen : Catizen game with BINANCE:CATIUSDT token was listed on 2024 September 20 in various exchanges. Catizen game was the most famous game that was listed in different exchanges after Notcoin, although those who spent money in the game were awarded a good number of tokens, but those who played the game for more than 5 months were awarded a small number of OTC:CATI tokens. which brought the dissatisfaction of the users of this game. In terms of entertainment, the Catizen game seemed to be boring and time-consuming. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rocky Rabbit : Rocky Rabbit game with OTC:RBTC token is listed in different exchanges today and according to the number of tokens given to users according to the time they spent in the game, it really disappointed its users. In terms of the game space, the game is very time-consuming, the interesting point of this game was that you had to give 0.5 TON to the game to withdraw your tokens, otherwise 45% of your RBTC tokens would be burned and according to the number of tokens that Users are credited and the price of RBTC token, Rocky Rabbit game is like a scam project in my opinion. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- MemeFi Coin : Memefi Coin game, which is going to be listed in various exchanges on October 9, 2024. The gameplay of Memefi Coin is so boring that you have to go through 15 levels. This game has also recently activated in-game payment and you can spend the work of someone who spent several months to go through different levels by paying 23 dollars in one day. I think this game is only looking for income in the last few days. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- There are many games, and if I try to analyze them all for you, you might get tired; let's go to the conclusion. My analysis of Telegram games is that with the listing of the Hamster game token, we are approaching the end of the season of Telegram games and these games are very weak in terms of entertainment and only take the time of the users and the main winners are the game creators because according to When you play, you will definitely have a low reception, so I advise you to only look at these games as entertainment, although in terms of entertainment, I think these games are of low quality. And if the Telegram game token is listed, it is better to sell it immediately, because with the passage of time, the price of these tokens will decrease at least for a short period of time, because the users received free tokens and were waiting for the sale of these tokens for several months, and for sure, the selling pressure will be high. Also, be careful of SCAM programs/games because surely SCAM games will increase as these games become a trend. In my opinion, the best game that didn't take much time was BINANCE:DOGSUSDT , do you agree with me? I would be happy to share your opinion and experiences about Telegram programs and games with me in the comments!? Is there a Telegram game or program that you think has a good future!? If you can analyze every game below this post like me, this post can be a source for these games. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks
Education
by pejman_zwin
13
How to start as a trader, and have a good chance of making it.I have written on this subject before, see my signature. There is more though. If you are starting out, there is a LOT you need to know. I will start with some basics. Some of them you may scoff at, and say I am wrong, but I can assure you I am not. Truly. Read my previous post here: After reading that, you may well think again about trying trading. If the idea of taking a long time (at least 6-8 months for a natural) to learn something bothers you, or you need to make money NOW , then I would advise you that trading is not for you, or not yet, at least. For a start, being impatient is the absolute worst trait you can possibly have. If you still want to continue, then I can help you. You will have to have the patience to read a lot of words. 1. Pick an instrument you want to trade. If you are a stock trader it's different, because you should be trading the stocks that are "in play" that day. Typically I'd recommend the day after results/news came out, rather than the actual day itself, when you are starting out. Why? It's easier to see the way the price is trending, and the trend is your friend. If you are not trading stocks, I would recommend either a share index like SP500 or NASDAQ or FTSE or DJ30, or an FX pair that is NOT EURUSD. Oil and Gold are Ok too. Crypto I would not recommend for a beginner. Reasons: Let's start with Crypto. The big players can pay the exchanges, perfectly legally, to see your orders and stop-loss levels. This is not a personal vendetta against you. They can see the aggregate levels of millions of traders, and thus learn how to trigger bulk stop losses to make money off you directly. This is not legal in the other markets. The same manipulation is still possible, but not to the same extent. Why not EURUSD? It's the biggest and most popular FX pair, so the most big-boy games are played there, see the Crypto explanation above. The banks have access to millions of client positions, so they can see when their clients get squeezed, and they assume (usually correctly) that other banks' clients will be in the same boat. Why the rest? Tight spreads are common (look it up if you don't know what a spread is). Banks exert less control (though still some). Why pick one instrument? because you need to LEARN how it trades. This may seem weird, but each has its own character, and if you trade more than one, you won't notice it. You may be saying "But one pair will only give a few opportunities each day/week, why not trade more than one? This is related to a recurring theme in the way I teach: "Fewer trades, more quality trades, higher confidence trades". If you properly learn the character of one pair, then it's better than guessing in 3-4 pairs. A LOT better for your profits, and that is what counts. Next I am going to say only risk a max of 1% of the account per trade, and again your reaction might be "How am I going to make decent money with tiny risk like that?" Do the maths. If you do four trades a week(yes really just 4 a week), two wins and 2 losses at 2.5R (R is risk reward, so you lose max of 1%, and make 2.5% if you are right, then you will be up 3% in the week. 3% compounded over a year is 330%. Wow. How many hedge funds make that? You won't make as much as 3% a week, probably, but hopefully you can see that this is not too small. When you consider that a loss of 10% will blow most prop firm evaluations (see later), and even a good trader will some day lose 10 in a row just from bad luck, then 1% seems fine. So, we have one instrument and 1%. Next, paper trade first. Make your foolish mistakes on paper. Select a demo account and do not lodge funds with any broker at first. Choose a broker that offers consumer protection. This means that they are authorised/regulated by your country's regulator. Always do this. 2. Let's say you have succeeded at paper trading over a couple of months and you are tempted to start trading your own money. Stop. Lodging $5000 or more and just kicking off is not the way. 90% of new traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days of real trading. Instead, look up prop firm evaluation accounts. Also look up how to choose one, as they are not all the same by any means. This will give you the opportunity to trade a $10k account for $100. Your risk is $100 only. Typically, if you make 10% (ie $1000 in this example, then you get a "real" $10k account. Don't buy any more than a $10k account at first. You will learn so much more from this account (where if you lose you lose real money, even if it is only $100), than you did from the paper trading account. Real money = real pressure. You will really want to convert the account, and not blow it. It's pride I know, but it is much more realistic than a demo account. Paper trading is crap, really. Just use it to find the pitfalls of trading and learn the character. More tips in Part 2, but till then, think on this: Pass your $10k evaluation. make another $1000 in real money, keep $500 and pay $500 for a $80k evaluation. Now we're cooking.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Paul_Varcoe
1
How to Adapt Your Trading Plan to Any Market ConditionDaily Trendline Break and Market Structure The break of the daily trendline suggests potential bearish momentum. However, as the break appears corrective, we must be cautious about interpreting it as a reversal too early. As described in the Trinity Rule, it’s crucial to evaluate whether price is moving impulsively or correctively before deciding​​. The market could be forming an arcing structure, which traps traders on the wrong side before reversing, as mentioned in Pattern Separation​. This aligns with the idea that the market may retest the trendline or break structure in the opposite direction after a fake-out. Lower Timeframe Ascending Channel There is an ascending channel on the lower timeframes, which typically signals continuation of the bullish trend unless there’s a strong breakout to the downside​. This is where the Multi-Touch Confirmation comes in; if we get a third touch on this channel without a break, it could present a strong reversal signal​. However, if the price decisively breaks the ascending channel with strong momentum, the next step would be to look for a flag or corrective structure for an entry into the bearish continuation, as highlighted in Running Channels​. High-Probability Trade Setup Impulse and Correction: As per Entry Types​, a high-probability trade should be executed after the first impulse following a correction. If the price breaks out of the ascending channel, wait for a correction (such as a flag) before entering a short position. You may look for a third touch confirmation to enhance the probability of success​. Risk Management: Don’t rush the entry based solely on the trendline break. Ensure the structure evolves, showing a confirmed breakout, especially on higher timeframes​​. Manage your stop loss based on market structure rather than arbitrary levels. For instance, if the market presents an impulsive move after breaking the channel, your stop could be above the last lower high​. Market Structure and Valid Trades Evolve Structure: Continuously update your structure by considering the most recent touches. This avoids getting caught in outdated setups​. Where Are We in Structure?: Evaluate whether the price is impulsively breaking key levels or showing corrective behavior. If momentum is lacking after the trendline break, the bearish setup may not play out​​. Trade Scenarios Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Price Breaks the Ascending Channel: If the price breaks with momentum, look for a retest or flag formation to enter short​. Manage Your Position: As the Rule of Three suggests, avoid perfectionism. If the market forms a strong flag or corrective structure, trust the process and adjust your stop as the trade moves in your favor​. Bullish Scenario (Long Setup) : Price Fails to Break the Channel: If the market respects the ascending channel, this could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. You could enter long after the third touch confirmation or a clear rejection of lower levels​​. Multi-Touch Confirmation: This will be a key factor if the market holds within the channel​. Key Considerations Impulse and Confirmation: Be patient for the first impulse and correction before committing to a trade​​. Stay Neutral: Use running channels and the overall structure to keep a neutral mindset until the market gives a clear signal​. Avoid Perfectionism: Don’t hesitate or wait for the “perfect” setup if multiple confluences align. Stick to your pre-trade checklist to avoid overanalyzing​​.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
Smart Money Concept and How To Use It in TradingSmart Money Concept and How To Use It in Trading In the world of forex trading, understanding the movements and strategies of the market's most influential players like banks and hedge funds—termed "smart money"—can provide retail traders with a significant advantage. This FXOpen article offers a deep dive into the Smart Money Concept, discussing how institutional investors influence market trends and how retail traders can align their strategies with these market movers for potentially better outcomes. Understanding the Smart Money Concept The Smart Money Concept (SMC) centres on the principle that the movements of large institutional investors in financial markets can offer valuable clues to retail traders about future market trends. These institutional investors, often referred to as “smart money,” include banks, hedge funds, and investment firms, wielding significant capital power to influence market directions. The core of SMC lies in the belief that by observing and understanding the trading behaviours and patterns of these entities, retail traders can align their trading strategies to potentially tap into more favourable results. In essence, SMC is not merely about following the “money” but understanding the strategic placements and movements of these large volumes of capital. Institutional investors typically conduct extensive research and possess a deep understanding of the market dynamics before making substantial trades. Their actions, therefore, are often indicative of a broader market sentiment or an impending significant market move. By deciphering these signals, retail traders can gain insights into market trends before they become obvious to the wider market. Understanding SMC requires a shift in perspective from focusing solely on technical indicators and price action to considering the market's psychological and strategic elements. For retail traders, leveraging the Smart Money Concept means navigating the market with a more informed approach, using the trails left by institutional investors as a path to smarter trading decisions. Ideas in Smart Money Concept The Smart Money Concept introduces several foundational ideas that provide traders with a framework to interpret market movements through the lens of institutional activities. Order Blocks Represent areas where institutional investors have placed significant orders, usually in the form of a range. These blocks often precede a strong market move in the direction of the block, serving as a signpost for areas of interest to “smart money.” When the price returns back to this zone, it’ll often reverse (similar to an area of support or resistance). Breaker Blocks These are essentially failed order blocks. When an order block fails to hold the price, it breaks through, potentially indicating that the “smart money” direction has changed. When the price breaks above or below the order block, it can then act as a barrier for prices in the future (similar to the way an area of support can become resistance and vice versa). Breaks of Structure (BOS) A BOS occurs when the price surpasses a significant high or low, indicating a potential change in market trend. It signifies the end of one market phase and the beginning of another, offering clues about “smart money”’s influence on market direction. Recognising BOS can be crucial for determining trend direction. Change of Character (ChoCH) This concept refers to a notable alteration in the market's behaviour, often seen through an abrupt increase in volatility or a shift in price direction. A ChoCH usually follows a BOS, confirming a potential trend reversal and suggesting a new phase of market sentiment driven by institutional activities. Fair Value Gaps (Imbalances) These gaps represent areas on the chart where price moves quickly through, leaving a gap that indicates an imbalance between supply and demand. Institutional traders often target these gaps for potential returns, so prices tend to move back to fill them over time. Liquidity In the context of SMC, liquidity refers to the areas where “smart money” is likely to execute large orders due to the availability of opposite market orders. These are areas where stop losses and stop orders (to capture a breakout) are likely resting, usually around key highs or lows, trendlines, and equal highs/lows. The concept states that “smart money” is likely to push the price into these areas to execute large orders before the true market direction unfolds, as in a bull or bear trap. Accumulations/Distributions These phases indicate the period during which “smart money” is either accumulating (buying) or distributing (selling) their positions. Rooted in the Wyckoff theory, an accumulation occurs at lower price levels, often before a significant uptrend, while distribution takes place at higher price levels, typically before a downtrend. Identifying these phases can provide insights into the future market direction favoured by institutional investors. Steps to Trade Smart Money Concepts in Forex Trading SMC requires a nuanced understanding of market dynamics and the ability to interpret signs of institutional involvement. Below, we’ll take an overview of the approach. Traders can apply these steps to real-time forex charts on FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Determining the Trend Using Breaks of Structure (BOS)/Change of Character (ChoCH) Traders can identify the market trend by observing BOS and ChoCH. A trend is typically recognised by a series of higher highs/higher lows (uptrend) and lower lows/lower highs (downtrend). Trend continuation is seen when there's a clear BOS, where the price surpasses a significant high or low, signalling a shift in market direction. Following this, a ChoCH, an abrupt change in market behaviour, may confirm the new trend. Identifying these elements allows traders to align with the market's momentum, providing a strategic framework for setting a direction. Identifying an Order Block The next step involves pinpointing areas where institutional traders are likely participating, often signalled by a BOS or ChoCH. Traders look for the range that initiated this shift (marking an order block), with increased odds of accuracy if there's a pronounced move away from the range to create a fair-value gap or if it aligns with a breaker block. The presence of liquidity near these points, or if it was targeted to initiate the BOS or ChoCH, can further validate the significance of the order block. This phase is crucial for understanding where large volumes of trades are being placed and where the price may revisit before continuing the trend. Finding an Entry Point Once an order block is identified, finding a strategic entry point becomes the focus. Traders typically either position limit orders at the edge of the block or await specific candlestick patterns, such as hammers, shooting stars, or engulfing candles. These signals suggest a possible continuation of the trend, providing a cue for entry. However, other tools, like Fibonacci retracements or indicators, can also be used to identify an entry point within SMC. SMC vs Price Action The Smart Money Concept and price action are both popular trading strategies, yet they approach the market from distinct angles. Price action focuses on analysing past and present price movements to identify patterns or trends without considering external factors. It relies heavily on candlestick patterns, chart formations, and support and resistance levels, making it a strategy based on the technical aspects of trading. This approach is favoured for its simplicity and direct reliance on price data, allowing traders to make decisions based on the immediate market environment. On the other hand, SMC trading delves deeper into the underlying market dynamics, emphasising the influence of institutional investors or “smart money.” It seeks to identify where these major players are likely to enter or exit the market, using concepts like order blocks, liquidity zones, and fair value gaps. Smart money strategies are grounded in the belief that understanding the actions of institutional traders can give retail traders insights into potential market movements before they become apparent to the wider market. While price action is straightforward and relies purely on technical analysis, SMC incorporates a more strategic view, considering the psychological and strategic manoeuvres of the market's most influential participants. Traders might find price action appealing for its clarity and focus on the charts, whereas SMC offers a deeper, albeit more complex, analysis of market forces. Integrating the two can provide a comprehensive trading strategy, leveraging the simplicity and technical focus of price action with the strategic depth offered by SMC. The Bottom Line The Smart Money Concept bridges the gap between retail traders and the elusive strategies of institutional investors, offering a structured approach to deciphering market movements. By understanding and applying SMC principles, traders can navigate the forex market with potentially greater insight and confidence. Opening an FXOpen account provides an excellent avenue for traders eager to apply these advanced concepts in a live trading environment, setting the stage for more informed and strategic trading decisions. FAQs What Is the Smart Money Concept? The Smart Money Concept (SMC) is a trading strategy focused on understanding and leveraging the market movements initiated by institutional investors, such as banks and hedge funds. It posits that by identifying the trading behaviours of these major players, retail traders can make more informed decisions. What Is SMC Strategy in Trading? The SMC forex strategy involves identifying patterns and signals that indicate the involvement of institutional investors. This includes analysing order blocks, liquidity zones, breaks of structure (BOS), changes of character (ChoCH), and fair value gaps. By aligning with these signals, traders aim to position their trades in harmony with the actions of the “smart money.” Which Timeframe to Use for SMC Trading? The choice of timeframe in SMC trading should align with the trader's goals and strategy. Short-term traders may prefer 1-hour or 4-hour charts for quicker insights, while long-term traders might opt for daily or weekly charts to capture broader market trends influenced by institutional movements. Is SMC Better Than Price Action? SMC and price action cater to different aspects of market analysis. While a smart money strategy focuses on institutional movements, price action concentrates on the patterns formed by the price itself. Neither is inherently better; their effectiveness depends on the trader's strategy, market understanding, and comfort with the concepts. Integrating both can offer a comprehensive approach to market analysis. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
7
Unveiling the Nuances: Logarithmic vs. Linear Scales Technical analysis is a cornerstone for navigating the dynamic world of financial markets. A crucial element of this analysis is interpreting price movements depicted on charts. However, the way these movements are displayed can significantly impact your understanding. This article delves into the two primary price scaling methods employed in financial charts: linear and logarithmic. Linear Scale: A Straightforward Approach A linear scale presents price movements with an equal distance allocated to each absolute price change. This method offers a clear picture of price movements over time, particularly for short-term analysis. For instance, a $10 price increase from $100 to $110 would occupy the same chart space as a $10 price increase from $10,000 to $10,010. Benefits for Beginners: Linear scales are often easier to grasp for beginners as they provide a clear visualization of absolute price movements. Imagine tracking a stock price. A linear scale shows you exactly how much the price has moved in dollars, whether it's $10 from $100 or $10 from $1,000. Drawbacks for Volatile Assets: However, linear scales can distort the significance of percentage changes, particularly for volatile assets. A $10 increase might seem like a big deal for a low-priced stock, but barely a blip for a high-priced one. This is where logarithmic scales come in. Logarithmic Scale: Unveiling the Percentage Play A logarithmic scale prioritizes the relative change in price, depicting movements as a percentage of the current price. This approach offers a clearer picture of the effort (percentage change) behind each price movement. Think of a stock that jumps from $10 to $15. On a linear scale, this might appear insignificant. However, on a logarithmic scale, the significant percentage increase (50%) would be more visually apparent. Benefits for Long-Term Analysis: Logarithmic scales are generally preferred by experienced traders for long-term analysis. They emphasize the relative importance of price movements, especially for volatile assets like stocks and commodities. This allows for easier identification of significant percentage changes, regardless of the asset's current price. Drawbacks for Beginners: However, logarithmic scales can be less intuitive for beginners due to the compressed scale at lower price points. They might also be less suitable for short-term analysis where absolute price changes might hold more significance. Choosing the Right Tool The optimal choice depends on your trading goals and risk tolerance: Logarithmic Scale: For experienced traders focused on long-term analysis of percentage changes and volatility assessment in stocks and commodities. Linear Scale: A suitable starting point for beginners due to its straightforward nature. However, it's crucial to be aware of its limitations when interpreting percentage changes. The Straightforward Scale: Linear Think of a ruler. A linear scale on a stock chart works similarly. Each price change, regardless of how big or small in dollar amount, gets the same amount of space on the chart. This can be helpful for beginners because it clearly shows how much a stock's price has moved in dollars and cents. For example, if a stock price goes from $10 to $15, that $5 increase takes up the same space on the chart as a jump from $100 to $105. This makes it easy to see how much a stock's price has gone up or down in absolute terms. Benefits: Easy to understand, especially for beginners. Shows clear dollar-for-dollar price movements. Drawbacks: Can be misleading for percentage changes. A $5 jump might seem like a big deal for a low-priced stock, but barely a blip for a high-priced one. For example, a $5 increase for a $10 stock is a huge 50% jump, but for a $100 stock, it's only a 5% increase. Linear scales don't show this difference clearly. Zooming in on Percentages: Logarithmic Scale Imagine a special ruler that stretches out the vertical scale. This is kind of like a logarithmic scale. It focuses on how much the price is changing as a percentage, not just the raw dollar amount. This can be super helpful for spotting big swings, especially for stocks that have soared in price or taken a nosedive. Here's how it works: The space between $10 and $15 on the chart would be much bigger than the space between $100 and $105 because the first jump is a much steeper climb in percentage terms (50% vs. 5%). Conclusion Understanding linear and logarithmic scales empowers you to extract richer insights from financial charts. Experiment with both to determine which approach best aligns with your trading strategy and risk profile. Remember, effective technical analysis requires a combination of tools and knowledge. By mastering these scales, you'll be well on your way to unlocking the secrets hidden within those squiggly lines and navigating the ever-evolving financial landscape with greater confidence.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by ParabolicP
5
DreamAnalysis | Technical Analysis Dow Theory EP02📚 Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel: Technical Analysis Training 📚 Recap of the Previous Session: In the previous session, we explained the first two principles of Dow Theory. Make sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us in the comments. 📖 Today’s Focus: Principles 3 & 4 of Dow Theory Now, let’s dive into Principles 3 and 4 of Dow Theory and explore them together. 🎨 What is Technical Analysis? Let’s talk a bit about technical analysis and patterns in life. Technical analysis is not a science; rather, it is an art. Therefore, there is no right or wrong in art. Instead, we apply rules we have created through experience in this lawless market. 📑 Principles of Dow Theory : 1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto) 2 - The Market Has Three Trends 3 - Trends Have Three Phases 4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed 5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other 6 - Volume Confirms the Trend 📊 Principle 3: Three Phases in Every Trend According to Dow Theory, each major market trend is divided into three distinct phases: 1️⃣ Accumulation In this phase, large and informed investors begin buying or selling assets at favorable prices. These groups consist of individuals and institutions with significant knowledge and financial resources, often acting contrary to the majority of the market. While most market participants may not yet notice price changes, these informed investors are positioning themselves to benefit from future market movements. 2️⃣ Public Participation At this stage, most investors start recognizing the trend and begin participating in the market. The trend accelerates as public attention increases, and new capital flows in. This phase is typically characterized by a sharp rise in prices during a bull market or a sharp decline during a bear market. 3️⃣ Excess or Fear In this phase, participants jump into trades out of fear of missing out on profits or due to panic over further losses. This phase often signals the nearing end of the major trend and is usually followed by a reversal or change in trend direction. 💡 Principle 4: Different Indexes Must Confirm Each Other This principle states that the overall market trend must be confirmed by various indexes. It means that a bullish or bearish market trend can only be considered valid if other key indexes are moving in the same direction. 🔍 Example: To confirm a bullish market in a country like India, all major indexes, such as Nifty, Sensex, Nifty Midcap, and Nifty Smallcap, should be moving upward. 📝 Important Note: These principles were developed over a century ago, and it is natural that with today's diverse financial markets, there are varying views on their application. ⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
Education
by DreamAnalysis
1
Key Differences Between Trading and InvestingTrading vs. Investing: Key Differences and Practical Insights Trading and investing are often confused, but understanding their differences is essential for success in financial markets. Both terms refer to distinct strategies with unique objectives and methods. In this guide, we break down the differences between the two, explain why they matter, and provide practical tips to help you decide which approach best suits your financial goals and risk tolerance. What is Trading vs. What is Investing? Trading involves buying and selling financial instruments such as stocks, commodities, or currencies over short periods. These timeframes could range from seconds to days or weeks, and the goal is to take advantage of small price fluctuations for quick profits. Traders often rely on technical analysis and market trends to time their trades effectively. Investing, on the other hand, is a long-term strategy. Investors purchase assets like stocks, bonds, or real estate with the expectation that these will appreciate in value over time. They are less concerned with short-term price movements and more focused on broader economic trends and company fundamentals, aiming to build wealth over months, years, or even decades. The Essence of Investing: Long-Term Wealth Investing is all about patience. Investors buy assets with the intention of holding them through market ups and downs, ultimately benefiting from compounding returns. For instance, if you invest $10,000 with an average annual return of 7%, your investment could grow to nearly $20,000 in ten years through compounding alone. To mitigate risks, successful investors diversify their portfolios. Spreading investments across different sectors or asset types (e.g., stocks, bonds, and real estate) helps cushion against downturns in any one market. Investors focus on fundamentals—like company earnings, dividends, and economic conditions—rather than short-term price movements. The Fast-Paced World of Trading In contrast, trading is fast-paced and focuses on short-term market movements. Traders aim to capitalize on small, rapid price fluctuations. For example, a trader might buy tech stocks when prices drop 3% in the morning and sell them by afternoon for a quick 5% gain. Unlike investors, traders are not interested in holding assets for the long term. Instead, they react to market news, economic reports, and even political events. Trading can be especially profitable in volatile markets such as cryptocurrencies or commodities, where price swings occur rapidly. However, this fast-paced environment means traders face higher risks. They must make quick decisions and often rely on technical analysis, such as studying price charts and volume patterns. Here, we emphasize the importance of risk management and emotional discipline in trading. Successful traders develop a well-thought-out strategy and stick to it, even during moments of market volatility. Key Differences Between Trading and Investing To better understand these approaches, here are the key differences between trading and investing: Time Horizon: Investing: Long-term (years to decades) Trading: Short-term (seconds to months) Risk Tolerance: Investing: Lower risk due to a longer time horizon Trading: Higher risk due to volatility and frequent transactions Profit Objective: Investing: Building long-term wealth through appreciation Trading: Making short-term profits from price movements Decision-Making: Investing: Based on fundamentals and long-term trends Trading: Based on technical analysis and short-term market sentiment For example, during a market downturn, investors might hold onto their stocks, confident in a long-term recovery. Traders, however, may sell quickly to avoid losses, as they are focused on short-term price movements. Including real-world examples like these highlights the importance of choosing the right approach based on your goals. The Psychological Battle in Trading While both trading and investing require market knowledge, trading demands a sharper psychological edge. In trading, emotions like fear, greed, and impatience can easily derail a strategy. Traders must learn to stay calm and disciplined in fast-moving markets. Common mistakes, such as becoming emotionally attached to a losing trade, can result in significant financial losses. Practical strategies for controlling emotions in trading include: Setting Clear Stop-Loss Levels: This ensures that you minimize potential losses by automatically selling an asset if it drops below a pre-set price. Sticking to a Trading Plan: Develop a strategy and follow it diligently, regardless of market conditions. Mindfulness and Reflection: Regularly assess your emotional state to avoid impulsive decisions. Here, we emphasize the importance of emotional discipline, risk management, and consistent evaluation of strategies to help traders succeed. Investors Have Time on Their Side Investors benefit from the luxury of time. They aren’t focused on short-term fluctuations, so they can ride out market volatility without panicking. For example, when the stock market drops, an investor might hold onto their assets, knowing that markets generally recover over the long term. This long-term approach allows investors to avoid the emotional rollercoaster that comes with short-term trading. Investors also focus on the big picture—macroeconomic trends, industry health, and the performance of individual companies. They are less concerned with daily price movements and more focused on overall growth over time. Can You Be Both a Trader and an Investor? Yes, it’s possible to adopt both strategies, but it requires discipline to keep the two approaches separate. Some people allocate a portion of their portfolio to long-term investments while actively trading with another portion. For instance, you could invest in index funds for steady, long-term growth while also trading tech stocks for short-term gains. However, it’s crucial not to confuse the two. Mixing a long-term investment mindset with a trading strategy can lead to poor decision-making, such as holding onto a losing trade in the hope that it will eventually recover. Final Thoughts: Balancing Trading and Investing The key to success in both trading and investing lies in understanding your goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. Here, we focus on helping traders navigate fast-paced markets with precision and discipline. However, we also recognize the value of long-term investing as a strategy for building wealth. If you’re looking to balance both strategies, consider: Allocating Capital: Divide your portfolio between long-term investments and short-term trades. Setting Clear Goals: Know what you want to achieve with each strategy. Reviewing Your Portfolio: Regularly assess both your trading and investing strategies to ensure they align with your financial objectives. Whether you’re aiming for long-term wealth through investing or seeking short-term gains through trading, understanding the differences between these two approaches is essential for success.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by exlux
Master the Trading Mindset: Lessons from Trading in the ZoneTrading in the Zone by Mark Douglas is widely regarded as one of the most important books for traders seeking long-term success. The book emphasizes that consistent profitability in trading is not only about mastering strategies or market knowledge but, more importantly, about trading mindset, mastering your own mind. Many traders focus purely on technical or fundamental analysis, but Douglas insists that psychological discipline is what separates successful traders from the rest. By understanding the emotional and mental aspects of trading, you can turn potential obstacles into strengths. Why Most Traders Struggle: The Illusion of Market Control One of the core ideas in Trading in the Zone is that many traders enter the market under the false assumption that they can control outcomes if they make the right predictions. This mindset is deeply flawed. The financial markets are inherently unpredictable. Even with the best analysis, there are countless factors influencing price movements that are beyond any trader’s control. Key Lesson: Embrace Uncertainty Douglas emphasizes that successful traders must understand that the market is governed by probabilities, not certainties. You will never be able to predict the market with 100% accuracy, and that’s okay. The goal isn’t to be right every time, but to develop an approach that gives you a statistical edge—one that ensures you come out profitable over time, even when some trades fail. Think of the market as a casino: while the house doesn’t win every game, its edge ensures that over time, it’s consistently profitable. Similarly, traders need to focus on building a system that works across a large number of trades, rather than getting caught up in trying to control individual outcomes. Building a Winning Attitude: The Process vs. The Outcome A major theme in Trading in the Zone is the need to shift your mindset from being outcome-driven to being process-driven. Most traders make the mistake of evaluating their performance based on whether they won or lost an individual trade. This creates a dangerous emotional cycle, where wins create overconfidence and losses spark fear or frustration. Key Lesson: Detach from Individual Results Douglas teaches that trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Consistent success comes from focusing on the process, not individual trades. You must follow your plan and rules consistently, regardless of the outcome of a single trade. Winning trades don’t always mean you followed your plan, and losing trades don’t necessarily indicate failure. Instead, long-term success comes from disciplined execution of your edge. By focusing on process over profits, traders can eliminate the emotional highs and lows that lead to inconsistency. This mental shift helps you stay level-headed, even when things don’t go your way. The Role of Beliefs in Trading: How Your Mindset Shapes Your Actions Our beliefs influence how we behave in the market. If you have subconscious fears about losing money, or if you believe that being wrong is a sign of failure, these beliefs will manifest in your trading actions. You might hesitate to pull the trigger on a trade, cut winners too early, or hold onto losing positions because you’re afraid to admit defeat. Key Lesson: Reprogram Your Mindset In Trading in the Zone, Douglas explains that you must reprogram your mindset to align with the realities of trading. Accept that losses are part of the game. Successful traders understand that losses are inevitable, and they don’t let individual losses affect their confidence. Trading success comes from building a set of beliefs that supports objective decision-making. For example: Limiting belief: “I can’t afford to lose money.” Empowering belief: “Losses are a natural part of trading; my edge will prevail over time.” By changing these internal beliefs, traders can reduce emotional interference and make rational decisions in line with their strategy. Thinking in Probabilities: Shifting to a Casino Mindset Douglas spends considerable time explaining the concept of thinking in probabilities. He uses the metaphor of a casino to illustrate how successful traders operate. A casino doesn’t win every bet, but its edge ensures that over thousands of games, it consistently comes out ahead. Similarly, traders need to think of their trades in terms of probabilities. Key Lesson: Your Edge is Everything Your edge is your winning probability over a series of trades, not your ability to predict individual outcomes. Once you accept that losses are part of the game, the emotional attachment to individual trades fades. What matters is sticking to your system and letting the edge play out over time. In practical terms, this means: Don’t let a losing trade shake your confidence. Don’t get overly excited about a winning trade. Stay committed to your system, knowing that it will be profitable over time if you consistently apply it. Overcoming the Fear of Losing One of the biggest challenges traders face is the fear of losing. Fear of losing can cause you to avoid entering trades altogether or exit winning trades too soon. This fear stems from not fully accepting the risks of trading. Key Lesson: Accept the Risk Before Entering a Trade Before placing any trade, you must be at peace with the potential loss. Douglas emphasizes that you should only trade when you are completely comfortable with the risk. If you can’t emotionally handle the thought of losing a certain amount of money, you’re risking too much. By accepting the risk upfront, you free yourself from fear and allow yourself to trade objectively. Douglas advises using smaller position sizes or setting tighter stop-losses until you feel confident about the level of risk you’re taking. Once you accept the risk, you can approach the market with less emotional interference and more discipline. Consistency is Key: The Power of Discipline Many traders struggle with inconsistency. They might have periods of great success, followed by periods of undisciplined trading that wipe out their profits. Douglas explains that the secret to long-term success in the markets is consistency—not in your results, but in your actions. Key Lesson: Follow Your Rules The most important trait of successful traders is that they follow their trading rules every single time. When you deviate from your rules because of fear, greed, or frustration, you open yourself up to unnecessary risk and losses. On the other hand, by consistently following your edge and your system, you guarantee that you will capitalize on your strategy’s strengths over time. Consistency in following your plan leads to consistent results. Discipline becomes the foundation of a successful trading career. The Psychological Barriers in Trading: Recognizing and Managing Emotions Emotions such as fear, greed, impatience, and overconfidence are often the biggest roadblocks to successful trading. Douglas emphasizes that the key to overcoming these barriers is self-awareness. Traders must learn to recognize when their emotions are influencing their decisions and develop strategies for managing these emotions. Key Lesson: Mindfulness and Emotional Control By practicing mindfulness, traders can learn to separate their emotional responses from their actions. For example, when the market moves against you, instead of reacting impulsively, take a moment to assess the situation objectively. Is this a market move you’ve anticipated in your plan, or is it an emotional reaction to an unexpected event? Douglas encourages traders to develop emotional control strategies, such as: Journaling your trades to reflect on your emotional state during each trade. Setting clear, predefined exit strategies to avoid emotional decision-making. Practicing visualization and breathing techniques to stay calm during high-stress moments. Developing a Rules-Based Trading System Another crucial concept in Trading in the Zone is the importance of having a rules-based trading system. Many traders enter the market without a clear plan or rules, relying on gut feeling or market sentiment. This lack of structure leads to inconsistent results and poor decision-making. Key Lesson: Create and Follow a Solid Trading Plan To achieve success, Douglas emphasizes the need to create a trading plan that outlines: Your entry and exit criteria. How much you are willing to risk per trade. The market conditions under which you will or won’t trade. Having a plan allows you to remove emotion from your decision-making process. When you have clear rules in place, you don’t have to guess or second-guess your actions. Instead, you follow your plan with discipline and consistency, leading to more predictable results. Trusting Yourself and Your System One of the final messages in Trading in the Zone is the need to trust yourself and your system. Many traders fall into the trap of doubting their strategy after a few losses, even if the strategy has worked well over time. This lack of trust leads to system hopping, where traders jump from one strategy to the next, never giving any single approach enough time to prove its worth. Key Lesson: Confidence and Commitment Douglas emphasizes that once you’ve developed a solid trading system, you must commit to it fully. Trust that your system will work over a large number of trades, and resist the temptation to abandon it after a few losing trades. Confidence in yourself and your strategy is essential for long-term success. The Zone: Peak Performance in Trading Douglas describes the ultimate goal of every trader as achieving “the zone.” This is a mental state of peak performance, where you are fully in tune with the market, your emotions are under control, and you are executing your trades with clarity and confidence. Traders in the zone are not fixated on individual outcomes but are fully present and focused on following their process. Key Lesson: Reaching “The Zone” in Trading: Achieving Peak Performance In Trading in the Zone, Douglas introduces the idea of “the zone” — a state of peak performance where a trader is completely in sync with the market. In this mindset, emotional distractions are minimized, allowing you to make clear, confident, and unbiased decisions. When traders enter the zone, they’re fully focused on their process and not concerned with individual wins or losses. Key Lesson: How to Achieve the Zone Getting into the zone requires practice, emotional control, and mental discipline. By focusing on your trading process and minimizing emotional responses, you will begin to trade with precision and without hesitation. Some key steps include: Mastering Emotional Control: Remove attachment to individual outcomes. Focusing on the Process: Commit fully to your strategy and trading plan. Trusting Your System: Develop unwavering confidence in your edge over time. When you’ve trained your mind to operate in the zone, trading becomes a fluid experience, and you are better equipped to handle the challenges of the market. Final Thoughts: The Psychology Behind Trading Success Trading in the Zone offers profound insights into how the mind shapes success in the financial markets. The key takeaway from Douglas’ work is that mastering the mental game is essential for consistent, long-term profitability. Successful traders learn to think in probabilities, accept risk, and develop the discipline to follow their edge consistently. Key Takeaways: Embrace Uncertainty: Focus on probabilities rather than certainties. Reprogram Limiting Beliefs: Accept that losses are part of trading. Focus on Process Over Outcome: Build and trust your trading system, and don’t be swayed by short-term results. Master Emotional Discipline: Be aware of how emotions like fear and greed impact your trading decisions. Strive for Consistency: Following your rules consistently will lead to consistent profits over time. By focusing on mindset and emotional control, traders can overcome common pitfalls and achieve the level of discipline required to succeed in the highly competitive world of trading. Through Trading in the Zone, Mark Douglas offers a blueprint for developing the mental resilience needed to thrive in any market environment. If you’re looking to elevate your trading performance, internalize these lessons and put them into practice. The market may be unpredictable, but with the right mindset, you can navigate it with confidence and discipline.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by exlux
Activate the alarm function when touching the set indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- One of the good things about using TradingView charts is that you can use the alarm function. This alarm function has a limit on the number depending on the plan you use, so please check it out. I will take the time to explain the alarm function using my chart. It is hard, boring, and tedious to just look at the chart until you meet the desired trading point or criteria. If you do that, you may end up making a wrong trade or missing the trading period while doing something else. If you create an alarm and change the Value section to the HA-MS_BW indicator, multiple indicators will be displayed. The indicators currently activated on the chart are HA-Low, HA-High, BW, and M-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, so you can select BW or HA-Low, LH, LL and check if the alarm turns on when they cross. When looking at the 15m chart, since it is moving sideways in the box section of the HA-Low indicator, if you set it to LH, LL indicator, the alarm will come when you touch the upper or lower point of the box. Then, you can use it conveniently when you want to trade within the box section. If you want to trade in a large trend, I think it would be good to set the alarm to turn on when you touch the 5EMA on the 1D chart. Or, you can set the alarm to turn on when the OBV indicator breaks through the high (HH) or low (LL) line upward. If you are a paid member of TradingView, I highly recommend using the alarm function. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K. The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
Education
by readCrypto
How To Trade Off Liquidity Levels Following A Structure BreakoutGrasping how to trade around liquidity levels is crucial. The fundamentals of technical analysis revolve around identifying and leveraging these points. One common mistake that new traders make is not choosing the right price levels for trades. This can lead to inadequate risk-reward setups and inconsistency in trading results. What Are Liquidity Levels? For large institutions and traders needing to execute substantial orders, locating sufficient liquidity is vital. A market’s liquidity significantly influences price volatility. When major players enter the market, they aim to achieve the best possible prices. However, due to the size of their orders, they need ample counter-orders to fill their trades while minimizing slippage. If a trader attempts to enter a position in a low-liquidity area, the resulting volatility can negatively impact their average entry price. Conversely, entering at a high-liquidity level usually means less price fluctuation, leading to a more favorable average price. So, where can you find these liquidity levels? Look at where stop-loss orders are likely placed. This is where the concept of “stop-loss hunting” comes from—large players need liquidity to accumulate significant positions, which makes these areas of interest since they help reduce slippage. A liquidity level arises from an initial imbalance in supply and demand, forming what we know as swing highs or lows. As more traders take positions, these levels become historical reference points for placing stops. When these levels are revisited, a decision point occurs, leading to either a breakout or a reversal. A useful guideline is to watch for rejections that don’t reach a 50% retracement of the previous high or low, as this might indicate a lower-quality liquidity level. Strong rejections tend to indicate better chances of holding during retests. I personally look for rejections that result in a breakout into new highs or lows. Other factors, such as market conditions (risk-on/risk-off), broader market structure, and relevant economic data, also play a crucial role in assessing whether a level will hold. Trading EUR/USD Using Liquidity Levels To illustrate how to identify potential buying or selling opportunities based on liquidity levels, draw a horizontal line from the latest wick or swing high/low and extend it until it meets price again. In the EUR/USD hourly chart example below, I selected a month’s worth of data, marking blue lines for liquidity levels that led to market structure breakouts (higher highs or lower lows) and red lines for levels where retests failed to break the structure. I recommend a strategy of targeting a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, setting stop-loss orders at half the size of the previous swing, moving to break even at 1:1. By the end of this exercise, it should be clear that trading on liquidity levels with a breakout condition (blue lines) significantly increases your chances of success compared to trades that go against the prevailing market structure (red lines). If you focused solely on the blue levels, you might have experienced 6 winning trades and only 1 loss at a 2:1 risk-reward ratio. By combining this approach with additional factors like aligning with higher timeframe cycles, considering fundamental analysis, and practicing disciplined risk management, you may find this strategy aligns with your trading style. I encourage you to explore this methodology through your own backtesting and see how it can enhance your trading arsenal.
Education
by TaylorDeMario