A Very Short Course On Action/ReactionThe concept of Action and Reaction Lines is not frequently used by traders. If you browse
through the Technical Analysis literature you can see that this topic has seldom been addressed.
The first person to mention it was Roger Babson, followed by Dr Alan Andrews. Both of them
made use of this particular technique with huge success, making profits of millions of dollars.
In this short video i tried to show some examples on recent OANDA:EURUSD price action.
thanks for watching.
Community ideas
The Wisdom of Pro Traders vs. Newbie Naivety
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss the perception of trading by individuals .
We will compare the vision of a professional trader and a beginner - trading vs gambling.
Most of the people perceive trading performance incorrectly. There is a common fallacy among them that win rate is the only true indicator of the efficiency of a trading strategy.
Moreover, newbies are searching for a strategy producing close to 100% accuracy.
Such a mindset determines their expectations.
Especially it feels, when I share a wrong forecast in my telegram channel.
It immediately triggers resentment and negative reactions.
Talking to these people personally and asking them about the reasons of their indignation, the common answer is: "If you are a pro, you can not be wrong".
The truth is that the reality is absolutely different. Opening any position or making a forecast, a pro trader always realizes that there is no guarantee that the market will act as predicted.
Pro trader admits that he deals with probabilities , and he is ready to take losses . He realizes that he may have negative trading days, even weeks and months, but at the end of the day his overall performance will be positive.
Remember, that your success in trading is determined by your expectations and perception. Admit the reality of trading, set correct goals, and you will take losses more easily.
I wish you luck and courage on a battlefield.
Seeing others make profitable trades can lead to envyFor new traders, market decisions are often driven by emotions like fear and greed, rather than well-established trading strategies. While much has been written about this, there are other significant factors that influence traders' decisions:
Social Pressure: Traders often make trades based on the opinions and actions of others, rather than their own strategies and the real market situation. This social influence can come from chat rooms, online communities, or social media, where opinions are frequently voiced by other inexperienced traders.
Envy: Seeing others make profitable trades can lead to envy. This emotion pushes traders to make impulsive decisions, such as entering trades without proper analysis, hoping to replicate others' successes. Instead of waiting for their own signals, they act on impulse and lose control.
Common Mistakes Among New Traders:
Reacting to News and Opinions: Rather than following their own trading vehicle (strategy), novice traders often react to news or opinions from others. This leads to decisions that are not grounded in their own analysis.
Overactivity: Many mistakes stem from the feeling of needing to always be active in the market. New traders see others trading successfully and feel pressured to do the same. This can result in excessive trading and taking positions without proper signals.
Paralysis from Fear: When a genuinely good opportunity arises, traders who have been overly active may be too paralyzed by fear to act. Their energy is wasted on meaningless transactions, and negative emotions cloud their judgment.
Impact on Trading Performance:
Wasted Energy: Excessive, impulsive transactions deplete a trader’s energy and focus, leading to poor decision-making when real opportunities present themselves.
Negative Emotions: Constantly reacting to others and not following a personal strategy can result in frustration and dissatisfaction, which negatively impact self-esteem and confidence in one’s trading vehicle.
Loss of Control: Acting out of fear, greed, social pressure, or envy leads to a loss of control over trading decisions, causing more losses and missed opportunities.
Key Takeaways for New Traders:
Develop a Personal Strategy: Rely on your own trading plan and analysis.
Stay Patient: Wait for your entries and avoid impulsive trading.
Manage Emotions: Keep emotions like fear, greed, envy, and social pressure in check to maintain control over your trading decisions.
Focus on Long-Term Success: Avoid excessive trading and focus on making informed, strategic trades.
By being aware of these psychological factors and actively working to mitigate their impact, new traders can make more informed and rational trading decisions.
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
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How to Get into an Entry after the setup is passedIn the world of investing, it is not uncommon to come across a missed trade setup that tempts investors to make impulsive decisions. However, it is important to remain disciplined and avoid falling into the trap of #FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out). For instance, if an investor misses a trade setup on Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), instead of rushing in with a full position, a more prudent approach would be to enter with half the intended position. This allows the investor to participate in the trade while minimizing the risk of committing too much capital at once.
Once the initial entry is made, it is crucial to implement a strategy known as Dollar Cost Averaging (#DCA). This involves gradually increasing the position size by buying more ETH over time. By using DCA, investors can mitigate the impact of short-term market volatility and avoid making rash decisions based solely on emotions.
To effectively implement DCA, it is important to maintain the original stop loss level. This means that even if the price of ETH decreases after the initial entry, the stop loss order should remain at the predetermined level. By sticking to this plan, investors can ensure that their risk management strategy remains intact and that they do not expose themselves to unnecessary losses.
In summary, when faced with a missed trade setup on ETH, it is crucial to resist the urge to FOMO in with a full position. Instead, entering with half the intended position and utilizing Dollar Cost Averaging can provide a more measured and disciplined approach. By maintaining the original stop loss level throughout the process, investors can enhance their risk management and increase their chances of success in the long run.
Swing Trading - Using Market Side and Opening Range FiltersSwing trading is a short-term strategy where traders aim to capitalise on small price movements within a financial instrument over a specific period. The goal is to capture gains from these "swings" in the market rather than focusing on long-term trends.
In this example, I am trading the GBP/JPY using the market side and the session opening range as filters to determine high probability trading direction:
Market Side: This helps to identify the overall trend or sentiment in the market.
Session Opening Range: This is the price range between the high and low during the initial period after the market opens. It is used to set reference points for potential entry and exit levels.
Here's a simple breakdown:
Below the Market Side and Opening Range: If the price is below both the market side indicator and the opening range, this signals a bearish sentiment, and you look for selling opportunities.
Above the Market Side and Opening Range: If the price is above both the market side indicator and the opening range, this indicates a bullish sentiment, and you look for buying opportunities.
I use the Charts247_WT Custom Indicator Candles for entries and exits, which provide specific signals to enter trades and exit existing positions. This combination of trend filters and entry signals helps improve your trades' accuracy and timing, aligning your actions with the broader market context.
## Catching Spikes on Boom 300 and Crash 300 with Trendlines## How to Catch Spikes on Boom 300 and Crash 300 Indices on Deriv Using Trendlines in TradingView
Catching spikes on the Boom 300 and Crash 300 indices on Deriv using TradingView involves leveraging trendlines to spot potential breakout points. Here's a brief guide on how to do this effectively:
### 1. Setting Up Your Chart
- Open TradingView and select the Boom 300 or Crash 300 index.
### 2. Drawing Trendlines
- **Identify Highs and Lows**: Locate significant highs and lows on your chart.
- **Draw the Trendline**: Connect at least two significant highs for a downtrend line or two significant lows for an uptrend line.
### 3. Spotting Spikes
- **Boom 300 Index**:
- Look for points where the price breaks above the downtrend line.
- This breakout can signal an upcoming upward spike.
- **Crash 300 Index**:
- Look for points where the price breaks below the uptrend line.
- This breakout can indicate an impending downward spike.
### 4. Confirming the Breakout
- **Volume**: Ensure there is an increase in volume during the breakout.
- **Candlestick Patterns**: Look for bullish reversal patterns for Boom 300 and bearish reversal patterns for Crash 300 near the trendline.
### 5. Risk Management
- **Stop-Loss**: Place a stop-loss slightly below the breakout point for Boom 300 and slightly above for Crash 300.
- **Take-Profit**: Set your target based on previous highs/lows or use a risk-reward ratio.
By using trendlines to identify and confirm breakouts, you can effectively catch spikes on the Boom 300 and Crash 300 indices on Deriv with TradingView.
Catching Boom and Crashe on Deriv Tradingview using TrendlinesCatching booms and crashes on Deriv using TradingView involves utilizing trendlines to identify potential reversal points and breakouts. Here’s a short guide on how to do this:
### 1. Understanding Boom and Crash Indices
- **Boom Index**: Represents a market where prices tend to spike upwards occasionally.
- **Crash Index**: Represents a market where prices tend to spike downwards occasionally.
### 2. Setting Up TradingView
- Open TradingView and ensure you have the Boom or Crash index loaded on your chart.
### 3. Drawing Trendlines
- **Identify Highs and Lows**: Start by identifying significant highs and lows on the chart.
- **Draw the Trendline**: Connect at least two significant highs for a downtrend line and at least two significant lows for an uptrend line.
### 4. Analyzing Trendline Breaks
- **Downtrend Breakout (Boom Index)**: Look for points where the price breaks above a downtrend line. This can indicate a potential upward boom.
- **Uptrend Breakout (Crash Index)**: Look for points where the price breaks below an uptrend line. This can indicate a potential downward crash.
### 5. Confirming the Breakout
- **Volume**: Higher volume during the breakout can confirm the validity of the trendline break.
- **Candlestick Patterns**: Look for reversal candlestick patterns near the trendline to increase the accuracy of your prediction.
### 6. Risk Management
- **Stop-Loss**: Set a stop-loss slightly below the breakout point for booms and slightly above for crashes.
- **Take-Profit**: Determine your target based on previous highs/lows or use a risk-reward ratio.
### Example:
1. **Boom Index**:
- Identify recent highs and draw a downtrend line.
- Wait for a candlestick to close above the trendline.
- Confirm with volume and possibly a bullish candlestick pattern.
- Enter a buy trade with a stop-loss below the trendline and a take-profit at a previous resistance level.
2. **Crash Index**:
- Identify recent lows and draw an uptrend line.
- Wait for a candlestick to close below the trendline.
- Confirm with volume and possibly a bearish candlestick pattern.
- Enter a sell trade with a stop-loss above the trendline and a take-profit at a previous support level.
By carefully analyzing trendlines and confirming breakouts with additional indicators, you can effectively catch booms and crashes on Deriv's Boom and Crash indices using TradingView.
Forex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for TradersForex Market Liquidity: Analysis and Implications for Traders
The foreign exchange market is renowned for its dynamic and fast-paced nature. As traders navigate this landscape, understanding the concept of liquidity becomes crucial. In this article, we analyse its components, explore factors that influence it, measure and analyse its impact, discuss potential risks for traders, and present real-life examples to illustrate its implications.
What Is Liquidity in the Forex Market?
Liquidity in the forex market refers to the ease with which a currency pair can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in its price. Highly liquid assets are usually easily tradable, while less liquid assets may experience more considerable price fluctuations during transactions and bear higher spreads.
Liquidity Components
The liquidity of a currency pair is influenced by several factors, which traders need to consider when constructing a liquidity-proof trading strategy. These include the market depth, the bid-ask spread, and the trading volume.
- Market depth represents the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels in the order book. A deep market with many orders at different price levels typically suggests higher liquidity.
- The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price a buyer agrees to pay and the lowest price a seller agrees to accept. A narrower spread typically indicates higher liquidity, while a wider spread reflects lower liquidity. Traders often monitor the spread to gauge current conditions.
- Trading volume refers to the total number of currency units traded within a specified period. Higher trading volume generally indicates greater liquidity, signalling a robust trend. Low trading volume could indicate liquidity issues.
Risks for Traders Arising From Liquidity Levels in Forex
Liquidity is a crucial consideration for traders as it directly affects transaction costs and the ease of entering or exiting positions. High levels generally result in lower transaction costs and less slippage, providing traders with potentially more exciting conditions. Additionally, liquidity may contribute to price stability, reducing the impact of large trades on prices.
Low levels, on the other hand, can pose certain risks that traders must be aware of. In illiquid markets, larger trades can have a more pronounced impact on prices, potentially resulting in random price movements and unfavourable execution prices. Forex market liquidity implications suggest that low liquidity can lead to increased volatility, making it challenging to analyse price movements accurately. In low liquidity conditions, traders may also experience slippage and delays in order execution, impacting the efficiency of trades.
Factors Influencing Liquidity in Forex Trading
Various factors influence current market liquidity in the forex market, and understanding these dynamics is essential for traders:
- Market Participants: The presence of a diverse range of participants, including retail traders, institutional investors, and central banks, contributes to liquidity. A balanced mix of participants often leads to a more liquid market.
- Economic Indicators: Economic releases, such as employment data, GDP figures, and interest rate decisions, can significantly impact a currency’s trading activity. Traders often witness increased volatility before and after such data is released, affecting market liquidity.
- Time of Day: Forex operates 24 hours a day, five days a week. Volume varies depending on the time of day, with peak liquidity during the overlap of major trading sessions.
Forex Market Liquidity Indicators and Measures
Assessing quantitative metrics is a fundamental initial step in a profound forex market liquidity analysis. Let’s discuss some popular indicators which can help evaluate the liquidity level using the trading volume:
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV assesses the strength of a price trend by evaluating the relationship between volume flow and price movements. Higher liquidity often accompanies stronger and more sustained price trends.
- Volume Oscillator: When the volume oscillator is positive or above a specific threshold, it indicates that the recent trading volume has been relatively high. This may suggest that there is more liquidity in the asset.
- Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI considers trading volume as a component of its calculation. A high trading volume, when combined with significant price movements, can result in a higher MFI reading, indicating strong market participation and potentially higher liquidity. A low trading volume during price movements may result in a lower MFI reading, suggesting reduced liquidity and potentially less market interest.
Price Gaps: In illiquid markets, there are fewer participants and lower trading volumes. In such conditions, price gaps are more likely to happen and can be more substantial. With fewer participants, it becomes challenging to match buyers and sellers efficiently. As a result, a significant order or news event can lead to a notable price gap when the market reopens.
You can visit FXOpen and explore new trading opportunities for some of the most liquid currency pairs through the free TickTrader trading platform.
Real-Life Examples of FX Liquidity
To illustrate the importance of considering liquidity in a forex strategy and how it can impact trader behaviour, let’s consider some real-life examples:
The 2015 Swiss Franc Depegging
In 2015, the sudden decision by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remove the Swiss Franc (CHF) peg against the euro had a profound impact on the forex. The depegging in January 2015 led to a sudden drop in value, causing not only an unprecedented shift in trading dynamics but also triggering a significant price gap. The market experienced a reduction in trading volume, highlighting the challenges of liquidity in the face of unexpected events.
High Volumes During Trading Session Overlaps
The EUR/USD currency pair experiences varying trading volumes throughout different global sessions, primarily influenced by the overlap of major trading hours. The chart below depicts the significant volume spikes occurring during the overlap between the European (UTC 08:00 - 17:00) and North American (UTC 13:00 - 22:00) sessions, commonly known as the "London-New York overlap." This period witnesses peak trading volumes, providing traders with optimal conditions for executing trades.
Takeaway
Understanding liquidity is paramount for traders navigating the complexities of the financial markets. By comprehending the components of trading activity and analysing influencing factors and their impact on real-life trading, traders may make more informed decisions to potentially reduce risks and optimise their trading strategies. You trade forex and commodity, stock, and index CFDs today by opening an FXOpen account!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trading Volatility 75 Index Using Trendlines Deriv TradingViewThe Volatility 75 Index, also known as VIX, represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility and is a popular instrument for traders looking to capitalize on market turbulence. Trading the Volatility 75 Index using trendlines on Deriv TradingView can be an effective strategy for identifying and acting on market trends. Here's a step-by-step guide to help you get started.
#### 1. Understanding Trendlines
Trendlines are straight lines drawn on a chart that connect two or more price points, usually to indicate a trend direction. An upward trendline connects the lows in an uptrend, while a downward trendline connects the highs in a downtrend. These lines act as support and resistance levels, providing traders with visual cues for potential trade opportunities.
#### 2. Setting Up Your Trading Environment
**Step 1: Access Deriv TradingView**
Log in to your Deriv account and navigate to the TradingView platform. Ensure that you have selected the Volatility 75 Index chart for analysis.
**Step 2: Choose the Right Timeframe**
Select an appropriate timeframe for your trading style. Short-term traders might prefer 1-minute or 5-minute charts, while swing traders may opt for 1-hour or daily charts.
#### 3. Drawing Trendlines
**Step 1: Identify Key Points**
Identify significant highs and lows on the chart. In an uptrend, look for a series of higher lows. In a downtrend, look for a series of lower highs.
**Step 2: Draw the Trendline**
- **Uptrend:** Click on the trendline tool and connect at least two significant higher lows.
- **Downtrend:** Click on the trendline tool and connect at least two significant lower highs.
Ensure that your trendline is not cutting through the candlesticks and that it aligns well with the price movement.
#### 4. Analyzing Trendline Breaks
Trendline breaks can signal potential trading opportunities. When the price breaks above a downward trendline, it might indicate a bullish reversal. Conversely, when the price breaks below an upward trendline, it might indicate a bearish reversal.
**Step 1: Confirm the Break**
Wait for a candlestick to close above or below the trendline to confirm the break. This reduces the risk of false signals.
**Step 2: Use Volume for Confirmation**
Increased trading volume can validate the trendline break, suggesting stronger market conviction behind the move.
#### 5. Placing Trades
**Step 1: Set Entry Points**
- **Long Trade:** Enter a buy position when the price breaks above a downward trendline and the breakout is confirmed.
- **Short Trade:** Enter a sell position when the price breaks below an upward trendline and the breakout is confirmed.
**Step 2: Set Stop-Loss Levels**
- Place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low for long trades.
- Place a stop-loss above the most recent swing high for short trades.
**Step 3: Set Take-Profit Levels**
Use previous support and resistance levels or employ a risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3) to determine your take-profit points.
#### 6. Managing the Trade
- **Monitor the Trade:** Keep an eye on the trade and adjust your stop-loss to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
- **Be Prepared for Reversals:** Market conditions can change rapidly, especially with an instrument as volatile as the Volatility 75 Index. Stay alert and be ready to exit the trade if the market reverses.
#### 7. Additional Tips
- **Combine with Other Indicators:** Enhance your trendline analysis by using other technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages for additional confirmation.
- **Stay Informed:** Keep an eye on market news and events that could impact volatility.
- **Practice Risk Management:** Never risk more than a small percentage of your trading capital on a single trade. This helps in managing potential losses and staying in the game longer.
#### Conclusion
Trading the Volatility 75 Index using trendlines on Deriv TradingView can be a powerful strategy when executed with precision and discipline. By identifying and drawing accurate trendlines, confirming trendline breaks, and managing trades effectively, traders can navigate the volatile nature of the VIX and capitalize on market movements. Always remember to practice good risk management and continuously improve your trading skills through education and experience.
Understanding my SPY Cycle Patterns - Bottom-103This video highlights the Bottom-103 pattern and how price action (support/resistance/rejection) can be used to confirm and execute better trades.
This is something most traders will easily understand as a BOTTOM pattern reflects a possible bullish price trend - except when price rejects this setup and trends downward.
Learn how my SPY cycle patterns can help you become a better trader.
Best Way to Use Chart PatternsHello, my name is Saman Jalilian, and today I'm going to teach you the best way to use chart patterns 📊.
One of the most common things you encounter when learning technical analysis and trading is chart patterns, which are frequently seen on the charts.
However, we can't just enter a trade by merely spotting a pattern. To effectively use them, we need to follow certain guidelines to achieve the best results.
Only trade patterns that meet the following criteria:
1.There should be a trend before the pattern that is at least the height of the pattern.
2.The first peak or trough created by the pattern must be at a price saturation point. You can identify this saturation using the RSI indicator, Bollinger Bands (BB), or visually.
3.The trend leading to the subsequent peaks or troughs should be weaker compared to the first peak or trough.
4.The pattern should be clean and easily recognizable.
For instance, see the double bottom pattern on the gold chart above, which meets all these criteria.
Trading Strategy✔
Set your stop-loss at half or the full height of the pattern.
Your minimum target should be the height of the pattern, and you can expect even more 📈.
📊 Happy Trading!
Categories
Trend Analysis
Support and Resistance
Chart Patterns
#Tradecitypro #TCP #ChartPatterns #TradingTips #TechnicalAnalysis #chart_pattern
Feel free to like, comment, and share your thoughts! 💬✨
Market Makers in Crypto: Who Controls the Cryptocurrency Market?Functions of Market Makers
Market makers perform several essential functions in the cryptocurrency market, including:
Providing Liquidity: They ensure there is enough liquidity between buyers and sellers to maintain active market participation.
Providing Quotes: They offer bid and ask prices at any given time, facilitating trades between market participants.
Risk Management: Market makers manage trading risks and maintain a balanced risk-return ratio to protect their interests and those of their clients.
Providing Advice: They supply market information and analysis to assist clients in making informed trading decisions.
Improving Market Efficiency: By reducing the spread between buyers and sellers, market makers enhance overall market efficiency.
Market makers in the crypto industry operate similarly to traditional market makers. They provide market liquidity, execute buy and sell orders instantly, and earn profits from the spreads between these orders. However, due to the relatively unregulated nature of the cryptocurrency market, there is no stringent code of conduct for market makers, and the technical demands for ensuring transaction security are higher.
Market makers follow a simple principle: "buy low, sell high." This approach requires handling large volumes of transactions, sometimes up to tens of thousands per second. They use advanced algorithmic programs to monitor numerous parameters and recalculate forecast prices multiple times per second, thus providing market liquidity without incurring losses. Despite this, even sophisticated trading algorithms can falter due to rapid trade speeds or incorrect price predictions. During periods of high volatility, market makers might incur losses while trying to stabilize the market. Therefore, a stable or slightly fluctuating market is ideal for them, while days with significant price movements can lead to substantial losses.
In essence, while regular market participants react to past events, market makers anticipate future market movements to set optimal buy and sell prices and determine order volumes.
Cryptocurrency exchanges and market makers often collaborate closely. Some exchanges maintain their own market-making teams, while others partner with third-party market makers. This cooperation can take two forms:
Direct Cooperation with Crypto Exchanges: Exchanges offer special programs for market makers, providing personalized trading terminals. Through APIs, exchanges share order book information and market depth with market makers, facilitating pricing and matchmaking.
Indirect Cooperation with Crypto Exchanges: Market makers provide over-the-counter (OTC) market-making services through intermediaries or platforms.
Market makers are crucial but not mandatory for liquidity provision on crypto exchanges. They must negotiate terms such as commission distribution and trading volumes with exchanges to ensure profitable and smooth cooperation. Additionally, they must adhere to exchange rules and external regulations to ensure legal compliance.
From a trading mechanism perspective, market makers with internal exchange connections play a significant role in price determination, which can help prevent price manipulation to some extent. Their presence enhances exchange liquidity, improving user experience and loyalty, and making the exchange more profitable. Consequently, exchanges often offer discounts to market makers for their activities.
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
---
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Will BTC repeat its history?When prices begin to range away from the mean when dealing with up trending movements, power is lost in many indicators. When this happens, it usually means that price is currently in a bubble. In contrast to a ticker like the SP:SPX price usually doesn't behave in this manner. It's actually quite easy to understand why this is the case. If one was to make Monte Carlo simulations using a geometric Brownian motion, you would see some processes behave in a manner of a bubble. But if we take the aggregate of all movements and average them, or calculate a present value, the value tends to be around the center.
Well an index does quite the same but through different methods. By aggregating important tickers, they form an average based on different criteria, therefore are more susceptible to following the central limit theorem. Meanwhile, individual stocks, commodities or cryptocurrencies are more susceptible to violent movements which completely ignore technical indicators. This has led me to believe that the more a ticker is dependent on external factors the more it will follow traditional statistical and probabilistic methods. I have no proof for this claim, It's just what I believe based on experience.
When looking at central metric indicators, it's important to conciser there are two point in which these become unreliable. When price action completely ignores your distribution, such as it does here. And when the price is consolidating in the mean. When prices consolidates in the mean, it can be seen as a reset or as a very serious sign something is wrong. However, when minimums become unreliable then that is when one should really be scared, because that means something is seriously wrong. I will look for examples of this for you in the future.
When prices behave in this manner, I don't feel confident making predictions because when a ticker is more susceptible to speculation then price action behaves erratically and patterns become harder to find.
Differences between paper trading & real money tradingMost people (including me sometimes) lack the right mindset, patience, and planning when it comes to trading. There is no magic technical indicators in trading, it all comes down to simple tools, just like my paper trading journey outlined in this BTCUSD chart.
In the chart, I observed that:
BTC was no longer trending as its price was ranging for nearly 50 days after the ATH;
BTC momentum was weakening as it broke previous two horizontal support areas;
Price came to the potential 120 EMA / trendline / downward channel support clusters.
Since most of the time, asset price is ranging rather than trending, all we need to do is plot out the Fib levels in our chart and buy at support sell at resistance. You can see my major trades outlined in the chart. I did the same for other crypto symbols ETH & SOL at the same time.
However, when it comes to real money trading, I would trade slightly differently.
The mentality in paper trading is more aggressive. Usually in real money trading, when major support areas are broken, I would not fade a trend and try to catch the falling knife even you know there is potential support. What I'll most likely do is to wait for price breaks above the descending trendline (shows the strength) and look for opportunities in a potential 1-2-3 or 2B reversal pattern.
In real money trading, I try to follow the trend most of the time (price stands above all the moving average) But in paper trading, you have to be the minority in the market to stand out from the competition, which usually means go against the market. Even though we know this looks like a fib range trading scenario, it's better to enter your fading trade after a lower high or higher low is created.
In reality, make full use of the capital all the time is not recommended, especially when you about to trade against the current trend. Always try a small position first when doing so and build up your position along the way. However, in this competition, the forex pair EURUSD and SPX500 have low volatility, we have to trade maximum allowed quantity of each symbol in the hope of increasing account profits.
Lastly, do not overtrade, which makes sense for both paper and real money trading. It's easier to do so in paper trading as people would worry much less about the profits/losses they have made.
All in all, I'm just lucky enough to get the 2nd place in this competition, always respect the market and the market is always right.
How to go through a LOSING STREAK better?
🍏1. Everything starts with preparation and true expectations. Losing streaks will happen from time to time, accept it if you want to be a good trader. Even the best traders on the planet have them. But it’s the reaction to them that separates good and bad traders.
Know your probability of losing streak, based on your own backtesting and accept them before they even happen. Keep longterm focus!
🍋2. Make sure you’re practicing process based trading, not outcome based. Before every trade, ask yourself if anyone in the whole worlds can say the outcome of any individual trade? The answer is obvious - no one can do it. So is it rational to build expectation of a specific market moves in this individual trade, or nearest several trades - that they are completely uncertain and you are working with random distribution of your edge.
🥥3. Once in a streak, remind yourself about your testing. See that over the past 200 or more trades, you were profitable, at least RR wise. These 5-6 losing trades you’re having now are just a very small part of a huge data collection you did before, and they are part of random distribution.
🍈4. In a losing streak, there’s usually an urge to trade more to earn the lost $ amount back. It’s a mistake, as overtrading will lead to only one outcome - even more loss in short or longterm perspective.
🍎5. In the past, I wanted to reach some state of unbreakable consistency, "once and for all", and when I thought I did it, I started to expect things to be easy from now on and not to struggle or put effort, cause now I'm fully consistent. And that was exact moment when everything fell apart.
The truth is, at least for me and for now, is that I need to make good decisions - mentally and technically - EVERY DAY and EVERY MOMENT, to actually prove I'm consistent. And consistency is dynamic, I'll continue to work on it, it's like gardening, when you need to put some effort everyday and it's never fixed or done, at least for me.
Request for Tradingview for feature expansion.I do not understand why specific country search is not available in the "All" category search.
Someone based in Japan may be interested in trading only Japanese securities and may not want to search for any other symbols. But every time he searches, he will see other irrelevant securities.
I request TradingView to add a country search to the "All" category as well.
Sorry I do not understand how my drawings shifted wrongly in my charts.
But I hope you guys understand what I want to show you.
Control of EmotionsTrading in the cryptocurrency market often resembles a marathon where everyone aims to be the first. Unlike running, where there's only one winner, multiple traders can succeed in the crypto marathon. However, success in trading involves serious psychological work, which we'll discuss today.
Everyone aspires to achieve their goals and be successful. Beginners in any field need to go through a learning curve, gradually honing their skills. The crypto market is not about luck; it requires constant self-improvement, learning from mistakes, and analyzing actions. The psychology of crypto trading involves a set of rules, methods, and actions to ensure successful trading, profit-making, and minimizing unavoidable failures.
A professional trader approaches trading with a focus on results and a realistic assessment of risky situations. Financial success, in the form of net profit, is the ultimate goal.
Let's explore the basic psychological tools used by professionals for successful trading:
Always at Hand
The whole world of cryptocurrencies is in your pocket.
Don't Think About Defeat
When starting a trade, don't focus on potential losses. Such thoughts set you up for failure from the outset. Be confident and avoid dwelling on the fear of making mistakes. While mistakes will happen, treat them as valuable lessons and continue improving your trading skills.
Visualize
Although not a scientific method, psychologists emphasize the importance of visualization. By visualizing success, you can block out fears of making mistakes and focus on achieving your goals effectively. Visualize yourself executing your strategy professionally and accurately, then act accordingly.
Be a Recluse
Cryptocurrency trading is a solitary activity. Ignore other people's opinions and avoid external interference. Your forecast accuracy will improve when you analyze market situations independently, without relying on others' advice.
Self-Realization Comes First
While trading in the crypto market is finance-related, view it as a creative process that should bring you satisfaction. Be confident in yourself and your success, and see trading as a means of self-fulfillment. This mindset will help you navigate the chaotic and unpredictable market as a tool for success.
Think About the Risks
Never risk funds you aren't prepared to lose. Consider potential losses when creating your strategy. Stick to your loss limits, even if the temptation for larger trades is high. Sometimes, multiple small trades can be more profitable than one big trade.
Discipline
Avoid reacting to sudden emotions or news. Trade according to your pre-developed plan without deviation. In trading, discipline is synonymous with success. This is particularly crucial for novice traders, as the volatile market often puts psychological pressure on them.
Control of Emotions
Monitor your emotional state and avoid trading when influenced by certain news or events. Emotional trading leads to losses. If you notice impulsive decision-making, take a break to calm down.
Vacation
Everyone needs breaks. If emotions and feelings drive you, take a break and avoid thinking about trading, assets, or cryptocurrencies. Engage in activities you enjoy and spend time with loved ones to recharge.
Statistics
Keep detailed statistics. This advice is valuable for both beginners and experienced traders. Record the number of transactions per day, profit and loss balance, positions, and other indicators. Analyze this information weekly. Statistics are a great way to create an effective strategy.
By incorporating these psychological tools, traders can navigate the cryptocurrency market more effectively, enhancing their chances of success and minimizing losses.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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EGX33: A Faith-Focused ApproachNavigating the Complexities of Sharia-Compliant Stock Trading: A Faith-Focused Approach
The index is composed of 33 stocks: 17 from EGX30 and the remaining from EGX70EWI. Determining the correlation coefficient of the index is challenging as it's unclear whether it pertains more to EGX30 or EGX70EWI. Unfortunately, the EGX authorities haven't disclosed the weight of the components, the members of the sharia advisory board, or the sharia criteria for inclusion and the frequency of reviewing the sharia index to ensure the sustainability of its components.
In the meantime, three brokerage firms have independently published their lists of sharia-compliant stocks. While these lists contradict each other, there are some areas of overlap. Notably, the EGX33 has added new sharia-compliant stocks that were excluded by the other three sharia lists. This has led to confusion regarding sharia-compliant stocks and sparked discussions about righteousness.
Despite the complexities surrounding the indexes and various lists, the primary focus remains on trading sharia-compliant securities while adhering to personal faith.
Five Consecutive Bar Scalping Strategy# This is a simple yet effective scalping strategy that aims to take advantage of buying/selling program activity on the 1 or 15 minute timeframe (May work on other timeframes). This is a momentum trade so it is important to recognize there is controlled momentum for this to work.
Trade Setup:
1. First ensure the candles are controlled, indicating dominance by a strong buyer or seller.
2. Look for 5 consecutive bars printed in a row on the 1 or 15 minute timeframe.
3. For entry, set a stop short or limit buy order beyond the 5th printed candle.
4. Place your stop loss just beyond the ATR range or at the nearest invalidation point.
5. Aim for a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
This is not a trade recommendation and is intended for educational purposes only. If you choose to trade using this information, you do so at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
- Tradetron3000
Navigating Unusual Price Movements in the Stock MarketThe stock market is a dynamic arena where prices fluctuate continuously. While many movements follow predictable patterns driven by economic indicators and corporate performance, others are sudden and seemingly irrational, leaving investors puzzled. These unusual price movements often present both risks and opportunities. Instead of merely questioning why these anomalies occur, investors can focus on how to anticipate them and leverage these movements for potential profit. Here, we explore strategies to predict future price actions and capitalize on them.
Understanding Unusual Price Movements
Unusual price movements can be attributed to various factors, including:
Market Sentiment: Emotional reactions to news, rumors, or economic reports can lead to sharp price changes.
Liquidity Events: Large transactions or shifts in the market can cause significant price swings.
Algorithmic Trading: Automated systems executing large volumes of trades can create rapid price fluctuations.
Short Squeezes: When heavily shorted stocks rise unexpectedly, short sellers rush to cover their positions, driving prices higher.
Technical Breakouts: Prices breaking through historical support or resistance levels can trigger substantial movements.
Identifying Patterns and Predicting Future Movements
To benefit from unusual price movements, it’s crucial to identify potential triggers and patterns that may signal future trends. Here are some strategies:
1. Technical Analysis
Technical analysis involves examining past price movements and trading volumes to identify patterns and predict future behavior. Key tools include:
Candlestick Patterns: Recognizing patterns like the "Hammer," "Doji," or "Engulfing" can indicate potential reversals or continuations in price trends.
Moving Averages: Analyzing short-term and long-term moving averages helps in understanding the market's direction. Crossovers, where short-term averages move above or below long-term averages, can signal buy or sell opportunities.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements. RSI values above 70 or below 30 can suggest overbought or oversold conditions, respectively.
2. Event-Driven Strategies
Monitoring news and events that could influence market sentiment is crucial. This includes:
Earnings Announcements: Quarterly earnings reports often lead to significant price reactions based on performance relative to expectations.
Economic Indicators: Data releases, such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, or inflation figures, can impact market movements.
Mergers and Acquisitions: News of M&A activity can drive prices up for the target company and down for the acquirer.
3. Sentiment Analysis
With the rise of social media and online forums, sentiment analysis has become a powerful tool. By analyzing public sentiment, investors can gauge market mood and potential movements. This involves:
Social Media Monitoring: Tracking platforms like Twitter or Reddit for mentions and sentiment around specific stocks or sectors.
News Sentiment: Assessing the tone and frequency of news articles to understand market sentiment.
4. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading
Sophisticated investors and firms use algorithms to exploit short-term inefficiencies in the market. Strategies here include:
Statistical Arbitrage: Using mathematical models to identify price divergences and execute trades to profit from expected convergence.
Momentum Trading: Leveraging algorithms to identify and ride the momentum of rapidly moving stocks.
Capitalizing on Continuing Price Movements
Once an unusual price movement is identified, the next step is to determine if there's potential for further movement and how to capitalize on it. Consider these approaches:
1. Trend Following
If a stock shows a strong upward or downward trend, investors can use trend-following strategies to capture the majority of the move. Tools like moving average crossovers and trend lines can help identify entry and exit points.
2. Contrarian Investing
In markets with extreme price movements, contrarian strategies can be effective. This involves betting against the prevailing trend, assuming that the market will revert to its mean. Indicators like RSI and Bollinger Bands can signal overbought or oversold conditions.
3. Options Trading
Options provide a way to benefit from volatility without directly holding the stock. Strategies include:
Buying Calls or Puts: For investors expecting a significant move in either direction.
Straddles and Strangles: To profit from volatility, irrespective of the direction of the price movement.
4. Leveraging Market Anomalies
Identifying and exploiting market anomalies such as:
Seasonal Trends: Certain stocks or sectors perform better at specific times of the year.
Post-Earnings Drift: Stocks often continue to move in the direction of the earnings surprise for several days or weeks.
Risk Management
While unusual price movements offer opportunities, they also come with heightened risks. Effective risk management is crucial and can be achieved by:
Diversification: Spread investments across different sectors and asset classes to mitigate risks.
Stop-Loss Orders: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Position Sizing: Avoid putting too much capital into any single trade, especially in volatile markets.
Conclusion
Unusual price movements in the stock market can be a double-edged sword. By understanding the underlying causes and employing a combination of technical, event-driven, and sentiment analysis, investors can predict future movements and capitalize on them. Whether through trend following, contrarian investing, or options trading, there are myriad ways to benefit from these market anomalies. However, robust risk management strategies are essential to protect against potential losses and ensure long-term profitability.
In the ever-evolving landscape of the stock market, staying informed and adaptive is key. By leveraging both traditional and modern tools, investors can navigate and profit from the complex tapestry of market movements.
Crypto Coins Heatmap: The Ultimate Guide for Beginners (2024)Discover the easiest way to track, group and sort your favorite tokens in one place — the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap.
Everyone — from the aspiring crypto enthusiast to the professional digital asset fund manager — needs it. Meet the ultimate cryptocurrency tracking and monitoring tool, the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap.
What Is Crypto Coins Heatmap?
Slick-looking, feature-rich, and aesthetically pleasing, the Crypto Coins Heatmap is a visual tool developed by TradingView. It displays the performance of crypto coins plastered over a single interface that allows users to keep tabs on price movements through color coding and percentage performance.
Key Features
Let’s start off with the basic features of the Crypto Coins Heatmap.
1. Color-Coded Performance Indicators
Green indicates positive performance (coin go up — good.)
Red indicates negative performance (bad coin — goes down.)
Grey indicates slim to no price movement, typical for stablecoins.
2. Real-Time Price Data
The heatmap is updated in real-time and shows the most current information so crypto geeks could know the price of everything all the time.
3. Market-Cap-to-Size Ratio
The size of each crypto coin corresponds to its market capitalization, i.e. the more room it takes on the screen, the bigger the market value. Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ), the original cryptocurrency , takes up over half the entire screen because its dominance is over 50% of the total market’s worth.
Key Functionalities
What can you actually do with that data and can you customize it? Yes — let’s find out how.
1. Select Source
At the top left, select “Crypto coins” and choose your preferred grouping.
Crypto coins
Crypto coins (Excluding Bitcoin)
Crypto coins (Excluding Stablecoins)
Coins DeFi
2. Size By
Next up, hit the “Market cap” menu to arrange the digital assets by various sizes and parameters. Also, for a more detailed look, make sure to check the dedicated crypto market cap corner on the TradingView website.
Market cap
FD market cap
Volume in USD 24h
Total value locked
Volume 24h / Market cap
Market cap / TVL (total value locked)
3. Color By
The third option from the top bar menu — “Performance” — shows you the tokens’ percentage return on various time frames.
Performance from 1-hour to 1-year time frame.
24-hour volume change, measured in %.
Daily volatility, measured in %.
Gap, measured in % (previous day’s closing price to today’s opening price).
4. Toggle Mono Size
The grid icon allows you to display all tokens in the same size.
5. Filter
The filter icon is where it gets really precise — fine-tune your results by various size and performance metrics.
6. Settings
The gear icon displays the layout settings and allows you to add or remove certain visual elements.
Add or remove Title (by Description or Symbol).
Add or remove Logo.
Add or remove First value, measured in %.
Add or remove Second value, measured in price or market cap.
Color scheme: Classic, Color blind, Monochrome.
7. Share Icon
Tell your crypto friends or cool uncle about this nifty interface by clicking on the Share icon to:
Save image
Copy link
Share on Facebook
Share on Twitter (X)
8. Heat Multiplier
The x1 (by default) icon is the Heat Multiplier, which narrows down your search based on the percentage return on a given time frame. Play around with it to find out the biggest losers and winners in the crypto world.
Why You Need the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap
Interactive Charting
Click on any token on the screen to bring up a detailed chart with all the key data you could want. Here’s an example of Ethereum’s ( ETHUSD ) interactive chart:
Quickly grasp market conditions, sentiment, and trends with the intuitive interface.
Comprehensive Market Overview
Make precise comparisons between different cryptocurrencies to see how price performances stack up against each other.
Final Considerations
The TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap is your gateway to current price data spanning all over cryptoland. Be sure to check it whenever you need a glimpse into the digital asset market and its volatile prices.
And finally, maximize the heatmap’s potential by transferring the insights into your trading plan .
Let us know if you use the Crypto Coins Heatmap — leave your comments below!