Get started

Community ideas

How Market Dynamics Can Improve Your Trades█ Understanding Optimal Trading Strategies: How Market Dynamics Can Improve Your Trades As traders, whether seasoned professionals or newcomers to the market, we're constantly looking for ways to improve our trading strategies and reduce costs. One area that often goes overlooked is the dynamic nature of supply and demand in the market and how it can impact your trades. In this article, we'll break down the key insights from a study on optimal trading strategies and show you how this knowledge can be applied to enhance your trading performance. █ The Basics: What You Need to Know About Supply and Demand Dynamics When you place a trade, you're interacting with the market's supply and demand. Traditionally, many traders think of supply and demand in static terms—like the bid-ask spread or how deep the market is at any given moment. However, the reality is that supply and demand are dynamic—they change over time, especially after a trade is executed. One of the most important concepts from the study is market resilience. This refers to how quickly the market returns to its normal state after a trade has been placed. In simple terms, resilience is how fast new buy or sell orders come in after you've placed your trade. Understanding this can be a game-changer for your trading strategy. █ The Strategy: Combining Large and Small Trades for Optimal Results The study suggests an optimal trading strategy that might seem counterintuitive at first. Instead of splitting your trades evenly over time, it recommends a mix of large and small trades. Here’s how it works: Start with a Large Trade: Begin with a significant trade that moves the market slightly. This "shakes up" the market and attracts new orders from other traders who see the opportunity. Follow with Smaller Trades: After the initial large trade, continue with smaller, more frequent trades. These smaller trades allow you to absorb the new orders that come in without pushing the market too far in either direction. Finish with Another Large Trade: As you approach the end of your trading window, place another large trade to complete your order. At this point, you're less concerned about future market conditions since your goal is to finalize the transaction. █ Why This Strategy Works This approach leverages the dynamic nature of the market. By starting with a large trade, you create a temporary imbalance that encourages other traders to place orders, which you can then capitalize on with your smaller trades. The key is understanding that markets don’t just respond to one trade—they continuously adjust. By strategically timing your trades, you can reduce the overall cost of execution. █ How Retail Traders Can Apply This Knowledge Even if you're trading smaller volumes, you can still benefit from understanding market dynamics. Here’s how you can apply these principles to your own trading: Observe Market Depth and Liquidity: Before placing a trade, take a look at the market depth (how many buy and sell orders are available at different price levels) and consider the market's resilience. If the market is less liquid, be cautious about placing large trades all at once. Adjust Your Trade Sizes: Instead of placing a single large order, consider breaking it up. Start with a larger trade to test the market, then follow up with smaller trades to take advantage of the new orders that might come in. Be Mindful of Timing: Spread out your trades over time, especially in less liquid markets. This can help you avoid moving the market too much and keep your trading costs lower. █ For Retail Traders Without Access to the Order Book: How to Spot Big Players Not all retail traders have access to the order book or sophisticated market data. However, you can still benefit from the principles of dynamic supply and demand by analyzing price charts directly. Here's how you can do it: ⚪ Look for Imbalances in the Price Chart: When a large player enters the market, their trades can create noticeable imbalances in the price action. For example, if you see a sharp move in price followed by a series of smaller movements in the same direction, it could indicate that a big player has started trading and is following up with smaller trades, just as the strategy suggests. ⚪ Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Fair Value Gaps are areas on a price chart where there is little to no trading activity, often due to a large, quick movement in price. These gaps can serve as clues that a large order has just been executed, leading to a temporary imbalance. When the market later returns to these gaps, it can be an opportunity to place trades in the direction of the original move, anticipating that the large player might continue to influence the market. █ The Big Takeaway: Trading Isn’t Just About Prices—It’s About Timing Understanding that supply and demand in the market are constantly changing can give you a significant edge. By timing your trades strategically and mixing large and small orders, you can reduce the impact of your trades on the market, ultimately saving on costs and improving your returns. Whether you're a retail trader managing a small portfolio or a professional handling large orders, these principles can be applied to improve your trading strategy. And even if you don’t have access to the order book, studying price imbalances, Fair Value Gaps, and other price action cues can help you detect the underlying intentions of big players, allowing you to trade more effectively in their wake. The next time you plan a trade, remember: it's not just about what you trade, but how and when you trade that can make all the difference. █ Reference Obizhaeva, A. A., & Wang, J. (2013). Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics. Journal of Financial Markets, 16, 1–32. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Education
by Zeiierman
1
Never Trade Without Stop Loss! Hey traders, Talking to many struggling traders from different parts of the world, I realized that the majority constantly makes the same mistake : they do not set a stop loss . Asking for the reason why they do that, the common answer is that these traders consider the manual position closing to be safer, implying that if the market goes in the opposite direction, they will be able to much better track the exact moment to cut loss. In this article, we will discuss why it is crucially important to set a stop loss and why it is the number one element of your trading position. What is Stop Loss? Let's discuss what is a stop loss . By a stop loss , we mean a certain price level where we close our trading position in loss. In comparison to a manual closing, the stop loss (preferably) should be set at the exact moment when the order is executed. On the chart above, I have an active selling position on Gold. My entry level is 2372, my stop loss is 2381. It means that if the price goes up and reaches 2381 level, the position will automatically close in a loss. Why Do You Need a Stop Loss? Stop loss allows us limiting the risks in case of unfavorable movements . On the chart above, I have illustrated 2 similar negative scenarios : 1 with a stop loss being placed and one without on USDJPY. In the example on the left, stop loss helped to prevent the excessive risk , cutting the loss at the beginning of a bearish wave. With the manual closing, however, traders usually hold the negative positions much longer , praying for a reversal. Holding a losing trade, emotions intervene. Greed and fear usually spoil the reasoning, causing irrational decisions . Following such a strategy, the total loss of the second scenario is 6 times bigger than the total loss with a placed stop loss order. Always Set Stop Loss! Stop loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Planning your trade, you should know in advance such a point and cut your loss once it is reached. Never trade without a stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
16
How to Develop a Trading MethodYou don’t have to develop your own methods but never just depend on learning somebody else's method as if all you had to do was follow instructions. You need to understand and make it your own. Even if you don’t want to design your methods, approach this as a learning exercise. Let's structure how to go about developing a method. First start with a bassline and then work your way through the process. 1. Start with a repeatable market structure pattern. You can also use an indicator, trendline or whatever it is you relate to and can see 2. Understand the essence of your pattern and use this as a bassline to develop from 3. Structure objective trade rules around that pattern. How are you going to enter, place a stop, manage trade, and exit 4. Test it and learn. Shane
NYSE:BLDREducation
by ShaneBlankenship
Mastering Market Dynamics with Camarilla Pivot PointsIntroduction to Camarilla Pivot Points: A Game-Changing Indicator Camarilla Pivot Points stand out as one of the most effective leading indicators in the realm of technical analysis. Franklin O. Ochoa's "Secrets of a Pivot Boss" offers a profound exploration of this method, widely used for identifying pivotal support and resistance levels in the financial markets. The book is acclaimed for its clear exposition of complex concepts and actionable strategies that cater to both novice and experienced traders, aiming to refine their market strategies across various conditions. Deep Dive into Camarilla Pivot Points Ochoa positions Camarilla Pivot Points as indispensable tools for intraday trading, delineating crucial levels that include S3, S4, R3, R4, and the extended targets of S5 and R5. These points are not merely theoretical constructs but are practical tools for navigating the ebb and flow of market dynamics. Support Levels (S3, S4): These levels are crucial when prices are falling, suggesting potential zones for buying. A rebound from S4, especially, is highlighted as a prime entry point, suggesting a robust setup with tightly managed risk controls. Resistance Levels (R3, R4): At these junctures, R3 serves as a preliminary profit target for rising positions, while a breach of R4 could indicate potential for further bullish momentum, making it an ideal spot for breakout strategies. Extended Levels (S5 and R5): Serving as further profit targets, these levels are significant during periods of extraordinary volatility, indicating strong market movements and potential zones for capturing gains before probable market retractions. Strategic Implementation and Challenges The integration of Camarilla Pivot Points with other market indicators and contextual analysis is emphasized to enhance the validity of trading signals. This holistic approach ensures that traders are not solely reliant on one method but are equipped to make informed decisions based on a comprehensive market view. However, the practical application of these strategies, as vividly recounted from personal experiences during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, reveals challenges. Despite meticulous adherence to Ochoa's outlined strategies, the expected outcomes were not always realized, with an 80% incidence of being stopped out of trades. This discrepancy highlights a crucial aspect of trading: the unpredictable nature of markets and the necessity for continuous adaptation and learning. Conclusion: Looking Forward The journey with Camarilla Pivot Points underscores a critical lesson in trading: the importance of flexibility and ongoing education in strategy application. As we prepare to delve deeper into what might have been missing in the initial application and how to adjust strategies accordingly, traders are reminded of the impermanence of market conditions and the need for perpetual skill enhancement. Stay tuned for the next installment, where we explore these adaptations and continue our journey towards mastering the art of trading with Camarilla pivot points.
NYMEX:NGV2024Education
by msrozba
The Basics of Becoming a Swing TraderIn this educational lesson, we will explain the concept of swing trading so that aspiring traders can learn how it works and what it means. Swing trading is considered a short to medium-term strategy that aims to trade specific market “swings” or oscillations within a broader trend. Swing trading is not day trading, and it is not long-term investing. Instead, it fits somewhere between those two disciplines. Swing trading typically spans a few days to several weeks and it begins with the trader spotting a large trend, finding a discrepancy in the current price within that larger trend, and then structuring a trade based on this intermediate price action. Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis, using indicators and strategies to spot these specific swings within larger trends. Before we discuss the details of these indicators and other concepts, allow us to give you the basics one more time. Here are the key points: Timeframe: Medium term Analysis: Mostly technical Goal: Capitalize on moves within larger trends Example: Open a chart of USD/JPY ( USDJPY Chart — Dollar Yen Rate — TradingView ) and look at the trend since early 2021. Now, within that trend, look for the oscillations and swings that occurred, showing quick drops and then quick rises or vice versa. Swing traders look to spot these price movements within the overall trend, placing trades that last a few days to several weeks. Forex Swing Trading: Forex markets are ideal for swing trading due to high liquidity, typically tight spreads, and around the clock trading. Traders usually focus on momentum peaks and dips, rather than long-term currency value. Both concepts are unique to forex markets and make it ripe for swing trading. In addition, like all other markets, technical tools can be accessed in forex markets as well. If you’re interested in learning how specific indicators are used by swing traders, go give the following indicators a look: 1. A short to medium-term moving average like 5, 10 or 20 days. 2. MACD to research crossovers and divergence between price and moving averages. 3. Stochastic oscillators to look for overbought and oversold conditions. 4. Pivot Points to look for potential support and resistance levels on shorter time intervals. Thanks for reading our latest educational post about becoming a swing trader! Be sure to follow us for more updates and educational resources like this.
Editors' picks
Education
by FOREXcom
1
How to Decode Market Days: Wide Range, Inside, and Outside DaysHey Traders! 👋 Let's break down some classic chart patterns that can clue you in on the market's next move. We're exploring Wide Range Days, Inside Days, and Outside Days today. These are your bread and butter for spotting potential volatility and directional shift s! Wide Range Days (WRD) These are the days when the market just can't sit still—volatility shoots through the roof, often without hitting new highs or lows. Triggered by unexpected news or a sudden surge in order activity, a WRD can signal that a peak or pivotal reversal is near. 💡 Tip: If the market closes near the high or low of a WRD, it’s a strong hint at continued movement in that direction. But remember, extreme moves often lead to a pause or reversal as the market catches its breath. Outside Days An Outside Day steps out of the shadow of the previous day, with a high higher and a low lower than the day before. This pattern often hints at a reversal, especially if it comes with high volatility. 💡 Keep in Mind: An Outside Day with low volatility and only slightly larger than the previous day is a weaker signal. It’s crucial to consider the context—what was the market like leading up to this? Inside Days 📈 Why They Matter: Inside Days are like the market taking a time-out, staying within the range set by the previous day. This pattern usually signals a decrease in volatility and can indicate a consolidation phase after a big move. Trading Strategy: Post-explosive move, if all the action has attracted everyone likely to buy in, the price might be too steep for new players, leading to a stagnant or reversing trend once the news fades or the market reevaluates. Wrapping It Up 🙌 Single-day patterns are just pieces of the larger market puzzle. They’re common but need discerning eyes to interpret correctly. Always corroborate these patterns with other indicators and market context to enhance your trading strategy. Remember, trading is not just about recognizing patterns but understanding the market's language. Keep refining your approach and stay ahead of the curve. Happy trading!
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MagnumStrategy
10
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading). What Are Fibonacci Retracements? Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous ​​Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers. These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down. The Key Levels 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether. Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.” How to Use Fibonacci Retracements Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci. Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points. Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand. Finding Entry Points Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine. When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels. Nailing Exit Points On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn. For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere. Pro Tip: Fib Confluence Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real. Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't) Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge. The Bottom Line Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere. Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
12
Risk Management: The Key to Trading SuccessCut the Cord: A Trader's Survival Guide How to Cut Losses Wisely: A Trader's Guide Mastering the Exit: A Trader's Handbook As a trader, it's inevitable to encounter losing trades. However, the key to success lies in how you manage these losses. By implementing effective strategies, you can minimize their impact and stay on track towards your financial goals. 1. Manage Your Risk: Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Diversify your portfolio, spread your investments across different assets, and avoid over-leveraging. By managing your risk, you can protect your capital and prevent a single losing trade from causing significant damage. 2. Set Stop-Loss Orders: Your stop-loss order acts as a safety net, protecting your capital from excessive losses. Determine a specific price point at which you'll exit a trade if it moves against you. This helps prevent emotional trading decisions and ensures you stay disciplined. 3. Consider Trailing Stop-Loss Orders: A trailing stop-loss is a dynamic order that adjusts automatically as the price moves in your favor. It allows you to lock in profits while still protecting against potential losses. This can be a valuable tool for managing your positions effectively. 4. Stick to Your Trading Plan: A well-defined trading plan is your roadmap to success. It outlines your strategies, risk management rules, and exit points. Adhering to your plan, even during challenging times, helps avoid impulsive decisions that can lead to further losses. 5. Stay Informed: Keep up-to-date with market news, economic indicators, and industry trends. Understanding the factors driving price movements can help you anticipate potential risks and make informed decisions. 6. Cut Your Losses Quickly: Don't hold onto losing trades in the hope that they will recover. Cut your losses promptly to minimize the damage and preserve your capital for future opportunities. 7. Learn from Your Mistakes: Every losing trade is an opportunity to learn and improve. Analyze your trades, identify the reasons for the losses, and adjust your strategies accordingly. By learning from your mistakes, you can become a more successful trader. 8. Take Breaks: Emotional fatigue can lead to poor decision-making. When you're feeling overwhelmed or stressed, take a break from trading to allow yourself time to recharge and regain perspective. 9. Seek Guidance: If you're struggling to manage losses or unsure about your trading strategies, consider seeking advice from a mentor or professional trader. They can provide valuable insights and help you develop effective risk management techniques. 10. Maintain a Positive Mindset: Trading can be emotionally challenging, but it's important to maintain a positive mindset. Focus on your long-term goals, learn from your setbacks, and believe in your ability to succeed. Remember, losing trades are a natural part of trading. By adopting these strategies, you can effectively manage your losses, protect your capital, and increase your chances of long-term success. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by RK_Chaarts
How to Trade with a Momentum IndicatorHow to Trade with a Momentum Indicator The momentum oscillator (MOM) is a vital instrument in the trader's toolkit. Designed to measure the velocity of asset price changes, it serves as a compass for traders, pointing them towards prevailing market trends. By analysing this indicator, traders can gain insights that allow them to seize budding opportunities in volatile markets. Keep reading to broaden your understanding and elevate your momentum indicator strategies. Momentum Technical Analysis Momentum technical analysis is a crucial aspect of understanding the financial markets. Traders and investors rely on momentum tools to identify potential trends and make trading decisions. What Is a Momentum Technical Indicator? While the term "momentum" is often tossed around in financial circles, its technical significance is profound. Momentum indicators are a class of technical analysis tools that quantify the strength and direction of market trends. They help traders and investors identify potential reversal points, overbought or oversold conditions, and the continuation of existing trends. These tools are based on the principle that price trends often exhibit momentum before they reverse or continue. However, there is also such a thing as a momentum oscillator. Momentum Oscillator The momentum indicator or oscillator (MOM) is a technical analysis tool that’s available on most trading platforms, including services like FXOpen’s TickTrader. It’s one of the best momentum indicators. The MOM displays the speed of change in a financial instrument's price over a specific time frame. You can apply the momentum indicator to forex, stock, commodity, and crypto* markets. MOM formula = (Current Close/Close N Periods Ago)*100 By default, the indicator is set to 10 periods, but traders can easily change this in the settings tab. The calculated values are plotted below the trading chart as a single line that moves near the 0 line. If today's price is the same as it was 10 days ago, the indicator's value is plotted on the zero line. If today's price is higher than it was 10 days ago, the indicator plots above the line, and vice versa. When trading stocks, the momentum indicator typically fluctuates between +/- 20, while for forex pairs, its range is more like +/- 0.02. The chart below provides an example of how the momentum oscillator is used on a daily GBP/USD chart. How to Use the Momentum Oscillator Here's a breakdown of the procedure for using the momentum indicator in trading: Tapping into the potential of the MOM is quite straightforward. For those who swear by MetaTrader, it's as easy as venturing into the oscillators section to access the momentum indicator on MT4 or MT5. For TickTrader enthusiasts, a quick search on the list of indicators should yield the built-in MOM. 1. Zero-Line Crossover Keeping an eye on the MOM indicator when it crosses the zero line is the most straightforward and fundamental trading technique. An upward momentum (with values above the midpoint) often suggests a potential buy signal, implying the asset is likely to continue its upward movement. Conversely, when the MOM consistently hovers below the midpoint, it indicates a sell cue, hinting at a possible continuation of the asset's downward trajectory. Take, for instance, the GBP/USD pair. As the pair spirals downward, a consistent position below zero signals a dominant momentum steering, it further down and vice versa. 2. Divergence Trading Momentum Oscillator The momentum oscillator is instrumental in pinpointing divergences on a chart. Essentially, a divergence arises when there's a discrepancy between the market movement and the MOM, akin to top momentum indicators like the Stochastic or RSI. It often hints at a forthcoming shift in market direction. There are primarily two forms of divergences: - Classic (Regular): This is used to anticipate potential trend reversals. - Hidden: This aids in identifying the likely continuation of existing trends. For instance, in the GBP/USD chart, we notice a hidden bullish divergence pointing to the trend's continuation and a classic bullish divergence pointing to a trend reversal. 3. Extreme Readings Extreme readings in momentum indicators can provide valuable insights for traders by indicating potential overbought or oversold market conditions. As the momentum oscillator is unbounded, it’s harder to identify overbought and oversold conditions compared to the RSI or the Stochastic oscillator. To do this, a trader needs to compare recent highs and lows. If the oscillator reaches a significant peak, the asset can be considered overbought and may fall soon. Conversely, if the oscillator falls to noticeable lows, the asset may be oversold and may rise soon. In the chart above, the momentum oscillator reached a significant high, following the uptrend in the EURGBP pair. After that, the price moved down. When using the momentum oscillator, traders incorporate additional technical indicators and filters to avoid overtrading and reduce market noise. How to Combine the MOM with Other Technical Analysis Tools By incorporating a 200-period EMA on the chart along with the MOM, we can discern the overarching market trend. A price positioned above the 200-period EMA is indicative of an uptrend, prompting traders to scout for bullish signals on the MOM. On the flip side, a price below this suggests a downtrend, warranting a lookout for bearish signals. For instance, in the GBP/USD chart, we notice an upward market trajectory marked by two bullish divergence signals: a hidden one pointing to the trend's continuation and a classic one pointing to the trend’s reversal. Conclusion To succeed in trading, finding financial assets with momentum is key. The momentum indicator can help traders identify these assets before they make big moves, but it's important to remember that it’s not foolproof. Other technical and fundamental analysis tools are often used to evaluate market trends. To start utilising the MOM and many other tools, consider opening an FXOpen account. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
5
e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - 3 Strategies You Need Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series! Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Join us for another exciting lesson in our 10-part series where we dive deep into strategies that can transform your trading game. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to mastering the markets. Three Proven Strategies That Can Make You a Fortune, When You Follow Them with Discipline! In trading, having the right strategy is crucial, but even the best strategy won’t work if you don’t stick to it. Today, we’re uncovering three live-proven strategies that can potentially lead to massive gains—when executed with discipline and precision. 1. The Trend-Following Strategy: Ride the Waves Trend-following is all about identifying and capitalising on sustained market movements. This strategy involves buying when the market is in an uptrend and selling when it’s in a downtrend. The key is to use indicators like moving averages and the ADX (Average Directional Index) to confirm the strength of the trend. The beauty of trend-following lies in its simplicity. By aligning your trades with the market's momentum, you increase your chances of catching big moves. But remember, patience is key. Wait for clear signals before entering a trade, and always protect your position with a well-placed stop-loss to minimise risk. 2. The Breakout Strategy: Capture Explosive Moves Breakout trading focuses on identifying price levels where the market has repeatedly struggled to break through—these are your key support and resistance levels. When the price finally breaks out of these levels, it often leads to significant moves. To execute this strategy, use tools like the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and Relative Volume (RVOL) to confirm the strength of the breakout. A high RVOL indicates that the breakout is supported by strong market participation, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move. The trick here is to act quickly but carefully, entering the trade as soon as the breakout is confirmed and setting your stop-loss just below the breakout level to protect against false moves. 3. The Mean Reversion Strategy: Profit from Market Extremes Mean reversion strategies work on the principle that prices eventually return to their average or "mean" after extreme moves. This approach is particularly effective in range-bound markets where prices oscillate between defined levels. To implement this strategy, you’ll need indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions. When the market shows signs of exhaustion at these extremes, you can enter a trade expecting a reversal back toward the mean. The key to success here is timing—enter too early, and you might get caught in a continued move against you; enter too late, and the best part of the move may already be over. The Key to Success: Discipline and Consistency While these strategies have the potential to deliver significant returns, they only work if you follow them with discipline. That means sticking to your trading plan, setting realistic profit targets, and most importantly, managing your risk. Remember, no strategy is foolproof—losses are part of the game. The goal is to stay consistent, manage your emotions, and keep learning from each trade, win or lose. Conclusion and Recommendation These three strategies—trend-following, breakout trading, and mean reversion—are time-tested and can be incredibly profitable when applied correctly. But success in trading doesn’t come from the strategy alone; it comes from the discipline to follow your plan, manage your risk, and stay calm under pressure. As you incorporate these strategies into your trading routine, focus on maintaining a strong risk/reward ratio and a consistent approach. Over time, this discipline will build the confidence and experience you need to potentially turn these strategies into a fortune. Can’t Get Enough? Don't Miss Out! Subscribe, share, and engage with us in the comments. This is the start of a supportive trading community—built by traders, for traders! Join us on the journey to market mastery, where we grow, learn, and succeed together. What You'll Learn: - Proven trading strategies - How to confirm trade setups - Risk management and execution - And much more!... Best wishes, TradingMasteryHub
OANDA:DE30EUREducation
by TradingMasteryHub
Profitable Gold Price Action Strategy For Beginners To trade this Gold price action strategy, you need to learn just 2 simple things: support and resistance levels identification a couple of bullish and bearish price action patterns. In this article, I will share with you a complete guide for Gold trading with price action and reveal the best patterns for XAUUSD. Step 1 Your First task will be to execute complete structure analysis on a daily time frame. It means that you should identify all vertical and horizontal supports and resistances. From structure supports, we will look for buying opportunities. From structure resistances, we will look for selling the market. Above, you can see how a complete Gold support and resistance analysis should look. Step 2 Patiently wait for the test of one of these structures. In the example above, we see a test of Support. Step 3 Your next task will be to look for a price action pattern on an hourly time frame on one of these structures. You should look for a bullish pattern after a test of a structure support. You should look for a bearish pattern after a test of a structure resistance. Here is the list of classic bullish patterns that you should look for: falling wedge, bullish flag, double bottom, triple bottom, inverted head & shoulders pattern, cup & handle, ascending triangle. Once you identified a bullish pattern, simply wait for a signal - with horizontal patterns like a double bottom or cup & handle you should wait for a bullish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close above. With vertical patterns like a bullish flag or a falling wedge, you should look for a bullish breakout of its trend line - and hourly candle close above. Here is the list of classic bearish patterns that you should look for: rising wedge, bearish flag, double top, triple top, head & shoulders pattern, inverted cup & handle, descending triangle. Once you identified a bearish pattern, simply wait for a signal - with horizontal patterns like a double top or inverted cup & handle you should wait for a bearish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close below. With vertical patterns like a bearish flag or a rising wedge, you should look for a bearish breakout of its trend line - and hourly candle close below. Sometimes there will be the situation when you will encounter multiple patterns. The rule is that the more - the better. Above, we can see 2 bullish patterns on an hourly time frame, after a test of a key daily support on Gold: bullish flag pattern and cup & handle. The price broke the resistance line of the flag and a neckline of a cup & handle, giving us a strong bullish signal. Step 4 Open a trading position. Once you spotted a bearish pattern after a test of a key daily resistance, and a signal - a bearish breakout of a neckline or a trend line, sell Gold on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line. Stop loss will lie above the highs of the patterns. Take profit will be the closest 4H support. Once you spotted a bullish pattern after a test of a key daily support, and a signal - a bullish breakout of a neckline or a trend line, buy Gold on a retest of a broken neckline/trend line. Stop loss will lie below the lows of the pattern. Take profit will be the closest 4H resistance. In our example, a long position was opened on Gold on a retest of a broken neckline of a cup & handle formation. Stop loss lies below the lows, TP based on a 4H resistance. After some time, the price reached the target! This Gold price action strategy is simple and very profitable. Try this strategy by your own and good luck in trading Gold! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
A simple Stock strategy to trade with edge!A simple, profitable strategy. If you’re struggling to trade profitability and searching for the ‘Holy Grail’ of trading strategies, then you’re in luck. I’ve got it for you…. DON’T SHORT STOCKS! Well, that’s it in a nutshell. I will elaborate, but please read on because this was a game changer for me. It sounds too simple. Honestly, my win/loss ratio has improved , and my hairline has stopped receding. The simplistic rationale for long only 1. Just look at the S&P500 chart since 2010. It is statistically impossible to lose money if you only buy. 2. People want to buy stocks! It’s just a fact. Everyone in the world is investing in stocks, whether it's for their retirement, their children's ISAs, speculating through the 30 apps on their smartphones, or visiting their local bank, with the aim of beating inflation and outperforming savings accounts. 3. During the most significant event of my life, the infamous COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P500 experienced a 30% decline, causing the world to stop, businesses to close, and a sense of impending doom! The S&P is now up 60%, reaching an all-time high! 4. The buy-only mentality, when combined with simple technical analysis, can eliminate 50% of trade ideas, clear your mind, reduce 50% of stress, and, as stated in Point 1, enhance your edge. 5. Most importantly, stocks are an appreciating asset; they want to go up. A company's entire purpose is to grow! Okay, so that’s a really simple rationale. I get that some stocks do go down during market corrections or natural ebbs and flows; we want market pullbacks. We could go into boring stats like volatility and liquidity, etc., but the key point is that stocks go up! I can’t emphasise this enough. The simple strategy My strategy applies to stock indexes (US500, US100, etc.) as well as individual stocks; however, indexes are easier, in my opinion. I would recommend sticking to well-known stocks that fit this complex filter. Is it likely to fail? Here are some recent stocks I have traded using this filter. McDonald's (MCD) and Go Daddy's (GDDY) We've already decided to focus solely on long-only trades, so how do we begin? We chase momentum using these complex , simple technical tools. 1. The daily price must be above these simple moving averages (SMA): 20, 50, 100 = momentum! 2. 4-hour price above these simple moving averages (SMA) of 20, 50, 100= short-term momentum. 3. Avoid trading at major resistance levels. 4. Enter trades on a 4-hour chart; don’t over-analyse. 5. Take profits. To fine-tune an entry, you can apply this extremely simple framework to any existing TA skills, candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, ABC pullback, pinbar, etc.), or market structure. Here are some examples of trade entries on MCD, GDDY, and SPX. Follow the framework and keep your trading simple.
Editors' picks
NYSE:GDDYEducation
by SACT_CAPITAL
16
Why we always widen our stop loss when DAY TRADINGVery important and basic rule with Day Trading. Always increase the stop loss when going short (sell) above the original stop loss. Always decrease the stop loss when going long (buying) below the original set stop loss. Reason: When the index touches the ASK or BID price (regardless of it actually trading there), it will get you out of your trade and hit your stop loss. So, don’t be afraid to increase the distance between the entry and stop loss. As long as the Risk to Reward stays above 1:1.5 – It’s fine. How much do I increase the distance between the entry and the stop loss? Notice what the spread is on the contract when you place your stop loss. So wherever you wanted to put your stop loss originally, add the spread on top of that and that is where you would place your NEW stop loss. Maybe 20 – 30 points is safe. But other times it could be up to 50 points
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
8 Key qualities of a good traderA good trader often possesses a combination of skills, discipline, and mindset that sets them apart. Here are eight key qualities: 1. **Discipline**: A good trader sticks to a well-defined trading plan and doesn't let emotions drive their decisions. They consistently follow their strategies, whether in profit or loss, avoiding impulsive actions. 2. **Patience**: Successful traders understand that good trades don't happen every day. They patiently wait for the right opportunities that align with their trading strategy, avoiding the temptation to chase the market. 3. **Courage**: Trading often involves making difficult decisions under uncertainty. A good trader has the courage to take calculated risks, enter trades that align with their analysis, and stay in positions even when the market is volatile, as long as their strategy supports it. 4. **Confidence**: Confidence in their trading strategy and decisions is crucial for a trader. A good trader believes in their analysis and is not easily swayed by market noise or the opinions of others. This confidence helps them stick to their plan even in challenging situations. 5. **Consistency**: Consistency in execution is key to long-term trading success. A good trader applies their strategy consistently across different market conditions, refining it over time but maintaining a steady approach to achieve reliable results. 6. **Analytical Skills**: A strong ability to analyse market data, charts, and trends is essential. Good traders can interpret technical indicators, fundamental data, and market sentiment to make informed decisions. 7. **Risk Management**: Managing risk is crucial in trading. Good traders set stop-loss orders, position sizes, and risk-reward ratios to protect their capital. They understand that no trade is guaranteed, so they always prepare for potential losses. 8. **Adaptability**: Markets are constantly changing, and good traders can adapt to new conditions. They update their strategies as needed, learn from mistakes, and stay informed about market developments to remain competitive. These qualities, combined with experience and continuous learning, help traders succeed in the long run. Many happy trading years ahead.........NicheFX.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Costy13
2
Volume Profile Part 2: Uncovering Hidden Market LevelsWelcome to Part 2 of our three-part series on Volume Profile Analysis. While traditional support and resistance analysis focuses on the visible extremes of price action, Volume Profile Analysis offers a unique advantage: the ability to uncover hidden pockets of volume that may act as strong, yet concealed, levels of support or resistance. These levels are often invisible to the naked eye but can be revealed through Volume Profile indicators. Let’s dive into two techniques that will help you identify these hidden market levels. Classic Support and Resistance vs. Hidden Levels Classic support and resistance analysis typically emphasises price extremes—swing highs and swing lows where the market has previously reversed or stalled. While these levels are undoubtedly important, they don’t tell the whole story. Volume Profile Analysis, on the other hand, reveals where significant trading activity has occurred within the body of price action, not just at the extremes. This can uncover hidden levels of support and resistance that aren’t immediately obvious but are crucial to understanding market dynamics. Technique 1: Mapping Hidden Levels with the SVP HD Indicator The first technique uses the Session Volume Profile High Definition (SVP HD) indicator on an hourly candle chart to identify hidden levels of support and resistance. Here’s how it works: Step 1: Apply the SVP HD Indicator – On your hourly candle chart, apply the SVP HD indicator. This tool will plot the volume distribution within each trading session, providing a detailed view of where trading activity has concentrated. Brent Crude with SVP HD Indicator Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Step 2: Identify Points of Control (POC) – Each session has a Point of Control (POC), the price level with the highest trading volume for that period. As you map these POCs across multiple sessions, you’ll start to notice clusters where POCs concentrate in the same area. Brent Crude with Mapped POC’s Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Step 3: Spot High Volume Zones – Areas with a high concentration of POCs represent high-volume zones. These zones often act as hidden levels of support or resistance. Unlike classic support and resistance, which are based on visible price extremes, these hidden levels reflect where the market has found a consensus over several sessions, making them potentially stronger. Brent Crude High Volume Zones Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Technique 2: Establishing Confluent Hidden Levels with the VRVP Indicator The second technique leverages the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) indicator on a daily candle chart across a one-year period to establish confluent hidden levels. Here’s the process: Step 1: Apply the VRVP Indicator – On your daily candle chart, set the timeframe to cover the last twelve months and apply the VRVP indicator. This will display the volume distribution across the entire visible range, highlighting high and low volume nodes. Gold (XAU/USD) with VRVP Indicator Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Step 2: Identify High Volume Nodes (HVNs) – HVNs are price levels where significant trading activity has occurred. These nodes often correspond with hidden support or resistance levels. Gold (XAU/USD) with High Volume Nodes Extended Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Step 3: Use Key Swings and VWAP for Confluence – To strengthen your analysis, anchor the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) to key inflection points in the chart. Combine this with high-volume nodes identified by the VRVP indicator and key price swings. When multiple indicators align, these confluent levels enable you to focus on the market’s key structure. Gold (XAU/USD) with VRVP Indicator Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Conclusion By uncovering hidden market levels through Volume Profile Analysis, you can gain a deeper understanding of market structure that goes beyond traditional support and resistance. These techniques provide a clearer picture of where the market’s true balance lies, enabling you to make more informed trading decisions. In the final part of this series, Part 3: Pockets of Hot Air , we’ll explore how to use Volume Profile Analysis to trade breakouts into areas of low volume. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by Capitalcom
9 Common Misconceptions About Forex9 Common Misconceptions About Forex Forex is a dynamic and complex financial market that is of great interest to investors and traders all over the world. Still, like any other industry, it’s not immune to misconceptions and myths. This FXOpen article looks into the origins of these myths and examines nine of the most common misconceptions about forex trading. Separating fact from fiction, it’s designed to give traders a clearer picture of foreign exchange trading. How Do Myths About Forex Trading Occur? Myths about trading currencies online often arise from a lack of knowledge and understanding of how the market works. The decentralised nature of the forex market can seem mysterious and incomprehensible to newcomers – there’s no central exchange, it’s available from almost anywhere in the world, and the web is full of stories of big gains and losses. All this can be confusing. In addition, the lure of quick profits and the prevalence of “get rich quick” schemes contribute to the myths about forex trading. 9 Most Common Myths Myth 1: Forex Does Not Relate to Real Life Let’s start with the main notion of the forex market: what is it? The false perception is that forex is a complex and mysterious market available only to financial elites. Some perceive it as a market where currencies are traded for speculative purposes but have limited real-world significance. In reality, forex is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, which facilitates the exchange of currencies to help the global financial system work. Nowadays, forex is available for anyone willing to participate. Myth 2: Forex Trading Is Only for Financial Experts Contrary to popular belief, forex trading is not the exclusive domain of financial experts or institutional investors. Anyone with a desire to trade and invest and a disciplined attitude to risk management can participate. There are many educational resources, online courses, and demo accounts available for aspiring traders. Myth 3: Forex Trading Is a Guaranteed Way to Get Rich Even though forex allows you to make profits, trading is not a guaranteed way to get rich. Success in the forex market requires a long period of study, practice, and risk management, and even after that, markets can behave in unpredictable ways. Many inexperienced traders have lost money by acting rashly or relying on luck. Even with experience, it’s not possible to completely avoid losses; one can only reduce their number by learning to manage risks. Myth 4: Forex Trading Is a Form of Gambling Forex trading is not gambling. It is a legitimate financial market with oversight from financial authorities in various countries. Brokers must adhere to strict regulations and ensure transparency and fairness. Unlike gambling, forex trading involves analysis, strategy, and risk management. Traders base their decisions on technical and fundamental analysis, not chance. In contrast, gambling often lacks such structured risk management and can be associated with underground activities. Myth 5: A Trader Needs a Lot of Money to Engage in Forex It’s a common misconception that one needs a large amount of capital to start trading in the forex market. In reality, forex trading offers a high degree of accessibility and flexibility. Many brokers offer the opportunity to open an account with a minimum deposit. However, it is important to trade with an amount you can afford to lose and use the right risk management strategies. While some traders use advanced software and tools, these are not mandatory for trading. Many brokers offer free charting and analysis facilities, and there are many free resources available on the web. Consider using the TickTrader platform with advanced charts and tools. All the instruments are free of charge. Myth 6: The Forex Market Is Manipulated and Unpredictable While the forex market can be influenced by various factors, including economic events and central bank policies, it is not manipulated in the way some myths suggest. It operates in a decentralised manner, with a vast number of participants, making it difficult for any single entity to control or manipulate the market. The market’s behaviour is typically driven by supply and demand dynamics, making it more predictable with the right analysis. Myth 7: There Is a Single Easy Profitable Forex Strategy There is no one-size-fits-all strategy in forex trading that guarantees profit. The market is ever-changing, and what works today may not work tomorrow. In addition, traders have varying risk tolerance levels, capital, and trading goals. A strategy suitable for one person may not align with the objectives of another. Traders change the way they act to benefit from different market conditions and continuously learn and refine their skills. Myth 8: You Must Trade All the Time to Be Successful It is far from true that you need to devote all your time to day and night trading. This myth is also due to FOMO, fear of missing out, which makes people try to catch every opportunity. Overtrading can be detrimental to your trading account balance. In fact, quality outweighs quantity. It’s much better to have a well-defined trading plan and make trades only when all the criteria are met. Myth 9: Forex Trading Is Tax-Free Tax regulation of forex trading varies from country to country. In many countries, profits are subject to taxation. It is critical to understand your tax obligations and report your income accurately. Not knowing the law does not absolve you of responsibility. Forex Trading: Is It Profitable? Forex trading, while offering opportunities for profit, involves risk and offers no guarantees of success. Traders who approach the market with education, discipline, risk management, and a realistic outlook are better positioned to overcome challenges and achieve long-term profits. Forex trading should be viewed as a serious endeavour that requires dedication and continuous improvement to increase the likelihood of success. Traders must dispel common misconceptions and approach trading with a disciplined and well-informed mindset. This helps them make more informed decisions. For those looking to learn to trade forex based on facts and analysis, it’s essential to seek out reliable educational resources. If you’re interested, you can open an FXOpen account and read our blog! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
How to measure a true range in any asset!Hello to everyone familiar with ICT concepts! If you already understand breakers, order blocks, and the principles of price premiums and discounts, you're in the right place. I’m excited to share some insights with you, using the FOREXCOM:EURUSD chart from August 20th, 2024. One challenge I've always faced is accurately measuring the true range. It often feels like price moves towards balance, finding equilibrium before moving away again. ICT's teachings on this topic can sometimes be a bit vague, especially when it comes to the details of whether to measure wicks or focus solely on candlestick bodies. However, I’ve recently made a breakthrough and discovered the key to accurately measuring a true range! This knowledge aligns with the idea of balances, but it’s crucial to understand that when one algorithm meets another, neither has the power to deviate far from the current price. But that's not what we need to focus on. What truly matters is identifying when the price is moving away from its current state. This method works exceptionally well during trending markets, like we’ve seen recently with #EURUSD, #GBPUSD, and other forex pairs. It’s also effective in commodities like Gold, indices such as #NQ, #YM, #ES, and even in the crypto markets! Take yesterday's trend in EURUSD, for example. We saw a significant 5-15 minute trend where the price perfectly retraced to its 50% level. But how did I know where to start measuring? This time, I used a breaker from a different structure on the 15-minute chart to identify the key level. The answer lies in understanding breakers, order blocks, and supporting structures. If this topic resonates with you, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Let’s dive deeper together—there’s so much more to explore. Feel free to share your insights or reach out if you’re curious about how to apply these concepts more effectively EURUSD 21.08.2024 10:11
Education
by iochkirill
How to use Implied Volatility Index to analyze Bitcoin▮ Introduction Bitcoin is known for its price volatility. Analyzing the price chart alone is often not enough to make buy and sell decisions. Implied volatility indexes such as DERIBIT:DVOL and VOLMEX:BVIV can complement traditional technical analysis by providing insights into market sentiment and expectations. ▮ Understanding DVOL/BVIV DVOL and BVIV measure the expected implied volatility of Bitcoin over the next 30 days, derived from real-time call and put options. DVOL is calculated by Deribit, the world's largest Bitcoin and Ether options exchange. BVIV is calculated by Volmex Finance; the data is extracted from exchanges (currently Deribit and OKX), and then combined into a single set. * In addition to Bitcoin, it is possible to analyze Ethereum-specific instruments through the ticks DERIBIT:ETHDVOL and VOLMEX:EVIV, whose line of reasoning is the same. ▮ Interpreting the chart 🔶 High DVOL/BVIV values ​​indicate that the market expects greater volatility in the next 30 days. This is usually associated with uncertainty, fear, or expected major events. 🔶 The index does not indicate the direction of the price, but rather whether volatility will increase or decrease. 🔶 Low values ​​indicate an expectation of lower volatility and are usually associated with calmer and more optimistic markets. 🔶 To get an idea of ​​the expected daily movement of Bitcoin, simply divide the DVOL value by 20. For example, a DVOL of 100 indicates an expected daily movement of 5%. 🔶 Divergences between the price of Bitcoin and DVOL/BVIV can signal inflection points. 🔶 Price rising with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential top. 🔶 Price falling with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential bottom. ▮ Example The price of BTC here is at the top in white. The DVOL and the RSI of DVOL are both in red. The reason I put the RSI here is that it is easier to analyze DVOL, since the values ​​are in a fixed range, therefore easier to interpret. On March 25, 2022, the RSI shows a contracted value of 30, that is, low implied volatility. This foreshadows a period of calm that precedes a period of agitation. In this case, the “agitation” soon materializes in a period of price decline. When the RSI then reaches the upper limit range, at 83 (on May 12, 2022), a peak in volatility is characterized. Then, after that, it begins to decrease. This decrease in volatility in DVOL corroborates the moment of Bitcoin’s lateralization within the orange box. ▮ Conclusion Although DVOL and BVIV should not be used in isolation, they can be valuable tools for confirming price chart signals and anticipating major movements. Incorporating implied volatility analysis into your strategy, can improve the timing of entries/exits and help manage risk. ⚠️ But remember: Just because a strategy worked in the past does not mean it will work forever. Past profitability is no guarantee of future profitability. Do your own analysis and risk management.
Editors' picks
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by andre_007
11
How to open a Bullish Debit Call Spreads on ER play $KEYSWhy a Bullish Debit Call Spread? A Bullish Debit Call Spread is an ideal strategy when you're confident about a moderate increase in the stock price but want to limit your risk. This involves buying a call option at a lower strike price and selling another call option at a higher strike price with the same expiration date. The net effect is a reduced upfront cost compared to buying a single call option, with the trade-off being a capped profit potential. Setting Up the Trade: Strike Price Selection: Buy Call Option: Choose a strike price slightly above the current stock price of $KEYS. This is the level you expect the stock to reach or exceed after earnings. Sell Call Option: Select a strike price above the one you bought, typically at a level where you believe the stock is less likely to move beyond post-earnings. Expiration Date: Opt for an expiration date that provides enough time for the earnings reaction to play out, typically the nearest monthly expiration after the earnings report. Risk Management: Max Loss: The maximum loss on this trade is limited to the net debit paid (the difference between the cost of the call bought and the call sold). Max Profit: The maximum profit is the difference between the strike prices minus the net debit paid. Break-Even Point: The stock price at expiration must exceed the lower strike price plus the net debit paid for the spread to start generating profit. Profit Targets and Stop Loss: Profit Target: Set a target to close the trade for profit if the stock moves favorably towards the higher strike price before expiration. Stop Loss: Consider exiting the trade if the stock moves significantly against you, or if the thesis behind the trade (a strong earnings report) does not play out as expected. Final Thoughts: This strategy is well-suited for traders expecting a positive earnings surprise from NYSE:KEYS but who prefer to manage their risk with a defined maximum loss. By structuring the trade with a spread, you can participate in the potential upside while minimizing the premium paid.
NYSE:KEYSEducation
by WallSt007