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What happens if you give a TikTok trader a billion dollars?In this video, I covered the topic of accumulation and distribution of large positions. I explained why big market players prefer using limit orders when building and offloading their positions. I also talked about how retail traders — who I often call TikTok traders — tend to rely on market orders, and why the price is more likely to move against the masses of TikTok traders. Understanding this is crucial when analyzing what’s really going on "under the hood" of the market. I’ll dive deeper into this in my upcoming posts. So don’t miss out! Subscribe!
Education
by supremum_ar
2
How to Backtest a Trading Strategy on TradingViewBacktesting is an essential part of developing a profitable trading strategy. It allows you to test how your system would have performed in past market conditions before risking real money. In this guide, I’ll walk you through the step-by-step process of backtesting using TradingView’s Bar Replay Tool and other key methods. By the end, you’ll be able to analyze and optimize your strategy for better results. 📌 Step 1: Open Your Chart & Select a Timeframe The first step in backtesting is choosing the right chart and timeframe based on your trading style: Scalping → 1-minute (M1) or 5-minute (M5) charts Day Trading → 15-minute (M15) or 1-hour (H1) charts Swing Trading → 4-hour (H4) or daily (D1) charts Select the asset you want to test (stocks, forex, crypto, indices, etc.) and ensure there’s enough historical data available. Enough available data in this chart: ⏳ Step 2: Activate the Bar Replay Tool TradingView’s Bar Replay Tool lets you scroll back in time and simulate live market conditions. Here’s how to use it: Click on the "Replay" button in the top toolbar. Select a point in the past where you want to begin your test. The chart will "rewind," hiding future price action. At this stage, you’re looking at the market as if it were happening in real-time. This prevents hindsight bias, which is when you unconsciously adjust decisions based on already knowing the outcome. Enable it here: Then choose a point on the chart: 📈 Step 3: Apply Your Trading Strategy Now, it’s time to apply your chosen strategy. This could be: Indicator-based strategies (e.g., EMA crossovers, MACD signals, RSI divergences). Price action trading (e.g., support/resistance levels, candlestick patterns, chart patterns). Algorithmic or rule-based trading (e.g., entry and exit conditions based on technical indicators). The strategies above are just some examples so make sure to use your own strategy. Make sure to document your trade setup, including: ✅ Entry conditions (What triggers a trade?) ✅ Stop-loss placement (Where do you exit if wrong?) ✅ Take-profit target (What is the goal?) ✅ Risk-to-reward ratio (Is it worth taking the trade?) Here is an example how to draw it out on your chart: ▶️ Step 4: Play the Market & Record Your Trades Now comes the real testing phase: Press "Play" or use the "Step Forward" button to move price action forward bar by bar. When a trade setup appears, log it in a trading journal or spreadsheet. Record: Entry price Stop-loss level Take-profit target Win/Loss outcome You can use a simple Google Sheet, Excel or Notion template to track results. The more data you collect, the better your analysis will be later. 📊 Step 5: Analyze Your Results & Optimize After backtesting at least 50-100 trades, it’s time to analyze the performance of your strategy. Here are some key metrics to review: Win Rate (%) → How many trades were profitable? Risk-to-Reward Ratio → Are your winners bigger than your losers? Drawdowns → What’s the worst losing streak your system encountered? Market Conditions → Did your strategy perform better in trends or ranging markets? 🚀 Final Thoughts Backtesting is a crucial step for any serious trader. It allows you to: ✅ Gain confidence in your strategy. ✅ Identify weaknesses and make adjustments. ✅ Avoid trading systems that don’t work before losing real money. However, keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. After backtesting, it’s best to forward-test your strategy in a demo account before using real capital. __________________________________________ Have you backtested your strategy before? What were your results? Let me know in the comments! 💬
FPMARKETS:US100Education
by TehThomas
25
18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all! I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history. From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength. For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind. Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover. From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"? So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008. - How long do corrections and recoveries last? - How often do they happen? - What should investors know? - Can this help you in any way? DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more. Retracement Stats: - Average drop: -15% - Median drop: -13% - Biggest drop: -37.72% - Smallest drop: -10% Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom? - Average: 60 days - Median: 35 days - Longest: 325 days - Shortest: 14 days Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs. - Average: 165 days (~5.5 months) - Median: 119 days (~4 months) - Longest: 752 days (over 2 years) - Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months) Correction Frequency If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average. Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets - Corrections lasted 1016 days - Recoveries lasted 2801 days - Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days - Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years) Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising! What Can Investors Learn from This? 1. Accept Volatility Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns. 2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem. 3. Make Better Decisions Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better. 4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy. "A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities. "The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm! So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀 Have great day, Vaido 💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by VaidoVeek
Different Ways to Manage Your TradesFinding the perfect trade setup is just one part of the equation. How you manage that trade can be the difference between consistent profits and missed opportunities. In this video, I’ll break down the different ways you can manage your trades and how each method impacts your results. We’ll cover essential trade management techniques, including setting fixed take-profits and stop-loss levels, using trailing stops to lock in gains, scaling out of positions with partial profits, and actively monitoring trades for dynamic adjustments. Each method has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the key is finding what aligns with your trading style, risk tolerance, and market conditions. I’ll also share insights on how I utilize trade management to maximize returns while keeping risk under control. Whether you prefer a hands-off approach or actively managing your trades in real time, this video will help you refine your execution and make smarter decisions. Watch the full breakdown now, and let me know in the comments, how do you manage your trades? - R2F Trading
Education
by Road_2_Funded
Index Investing: A Practical Approach to Market ParticipationIndex Investing: A Practical Approach to Market Participation Index investing has become a popular way for traders and investors to access the broader market. By tracking the performance of financial indices like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, index investing offers diversification, lower costs, and steady exposure to market trends. This article explores how index investing works, its advantages, potential risks, and strategies to suit different goals. Index Investing Definition Index investing is a strategy where traders and investors focus on tracking the performance of a specific financial market index, such as the FTSE 100 or S&P 500. These indices represent a collection of stocks or other assets, grouped to reflect a segment of the market. Instead of picking individual assets, index investors aim to match the returns of the entire index by investing in a fund that mirrors its composition. For example, if an investor puts money in a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100, it’s effectively spread across all companies in that index, including tech giants like Apple or Microsoft. This approach provides instant diversification, as the investor is not reliant on the performance of a single stock. This style of investing is often seen as a straightforward way to gain exposure to broad market trends without the need for active stock picking. Many investors choose exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for this purpose, as they trade on stock exchanges like individual shares and often come with lower fees compared to actively managed funds. How Index Investing Works Indices are constructed by grouping a selection of assets—usually stocks—to represent a specific market or sector. For instance, the S&P 500 includes 500 large-cap US companies, weighted by their market capitalisation. This means larger companies like Apple and Amazon have a greater impact on the index performance than smaller firms. The same principle applies to indices like the FTSE 100, which represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. Index funds aim to mirror the performance of these indices. Fund managers have two primary methods for this: direct replication and synthetic replication. With direct replication, the fund buys and holds every asset in the market, matching their exact proportions. For example, a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100 would hold shares of all 100 companies in that index. Synthetic replication, on the other hand, uses derivatives like swaps to mimic the index's returns without directly holding the assets. This method can reduce costs but introduces counterparty risk, as it relies on financial agreements with third parties. Because index investing doesn’t involve constant buying and selling of assets, funds typically have lower management fees compared to actively managed portfolios. Fund managers don’t need to research individual stocks or adjust holdings frequently, making this a cost-efficient option for gaining exposure to broad market trends. Advantages and Disadvantages of Index Investing Index investing has become a popular choice for those looking for a straightforward way to align their portfolios with market performance. However, while it offers some clear advantages, there are also limitations worth considering. Let’s break it down: Advantages - Diversification: By investing in an index fund, investors gain exposure to a broad range of assets, reducing the impact of poor performance from any single stock. For instance, tracking the S&P 500 spreads investments across 500 companies. - Cost-Efficiency: Index funds often have lower fees compared to actively managed funds because they require less trading and oversight. Passive management keeps costs low, which can lead to higher net returns over time. - Transparency: Indices are publicly listed, so investors always know which assets they are invested in and how those assets are weighted. - Consistent Market Exposure: These funds aim to match the performance of the market segment they track, providing reliable exposure to its overall trends. - Accessibility: As exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are traded on stock exchanges, this allows investors to buy into large markets with the same simplicity as purchasing a single stock. Disadvantages - Limited Flexibility: Index funds strictly follow the composition of the underlying assets, meaning they can’t respond to other market opportunities or avoid underperforming sectors. - Market Risk: Since these funds mirror the broader market, they’re fully exposed to downturns. If the market drops, so will the fund’s value. - Tracking Errors: Some funds may not perfectly replicate an index due to fees or slight differences in holdings, which can cause performance to deviate. - Lack of Customisation: Broad-based investing doesn’t allow for personalisation based on individual preferences or ethical considerations. Index Investing Strategies Index investing isn’t just about buying a fund and waiting—an index investment strategy can be tailored to suit different goals and market conditions. Here are some of the most common strategies investors use: Buy-and-Hold This long-term index investing strategy involves purchasing an index fund and holding it for years, potentially decades. The aim is to capture overall market growth over time, which has historically trended upwards. This strategy works well for those who value simplicity and are focused on building wealth gradually. Sector Rotation Some investors focus on specific sectors within indices, such as technology or healthcare, depending on economic trends. This strategy can help take advantage of sectors expected to outperform while avoiding less promising areas. For instance, in periods of economic downturn, investors might allocate funds to the MSCI Consumer Staples Index, given consumer staples’ defensive nature. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Rather than investing a lump sum, this index fund investing strategy involves putting money away regularly—say monthly—into indices, regardless of market performance. DCA reduces the impact of market volatility by spreading purchases over time. The Boglehead Three-Fund Index Portfolio Inspired by Vanguard founder John Bogle, this strategy is a popular approach for simplicity and diversification. It involves splitting index investments across three areas: a domestic stock fund, an international stock fund, and a bond fund. This mix provides broad market exposure and balances growth with risk. According to theory, the strategy is cost-efficient and adaptable to individual risk tolerance, making it a favourite among long-term index investors. Hedging with Index CFDs Traders looking for potential shorter-term opportunities might use index CFDs to hedge against broader market movements or amplify their exposure to a specific trend. With CFDs, traders can go long or short, depending on their analysis, without owning the underlying funds or shares. Who Usually Considers Investing in Indices? Index investing isn’t a one-size-fits-all approach, but it can suit a variety of investors depending on their goals and preferences. Here’s a look at who might find this strategy appealing: Long-Term Investors For those with a long investment horizon, such as individuals saving for retirement, this style of investing offers a practical way to grow wealth over time. By capturing the overall market performance, investors can build a portfolio that aligns with steady, long-term trends. Passive Investors If investors prefer a hands-off approach, index funds can be an option. They require minimal effort to maintain, as they simply track the performance of the market. This makes them appealing to those who want exposure to the markets without constantly managing their investments. Cost-Conscious Investors These passive funds typically have lower management fees than actively managed funds, making them attractive to those who want to minimise costs. Over time, this cost-efficiency might enhance overall returns. Diversification Seekers Investors who value broad exposure will appreciate the inherent diversification of index funds. By investing in an index, they’re spreading risks across dozens—or even hundreds—of assets, reducing reliance on any single stock. CFD Index Trading However, not everyone wants and can invest in funds. Index investing may be very complicated and require substantial funds. It’s where CFD trading may offer an alternative way to engage with index investing, giving traders access to markets without needing to directly own the underlying assets. With CFDs, or Contracts for Difference, traders can speculate on the price movements of an index—such as the S&P 500, FTSE 100, or DAX—whether the market is rising or falling. This flexibility makes CFDs particularly appealing to those who want to take a more active role in the markets. One key advantage of CFDs is the ability to trade with leverage. Leverage allows traders to control a larger position than their initial capital, amplifying potential returns. For instance, with 10:1 leverage, a $1,000 deposit can control a $10,000 position on an index. However, it’s crucial to remember that leverage also increases risk, magnifying losses as well as potential returns. CFDs also enable short selling, allowing traders to take advantage of bearish market conditions. If a trader analyses that a specific index may decline, they can open a short position and potentially generate returns from the downturn—a feature not easily accessible with traditional funds. CFDs can also be used to trade stocks and ETFs. For example, stock CFDs let traders focus on individual companies within an index, such as Apple or Tesla, without needing to buy the shares outright. ETF CFDs, on the other hand, allow for diversification across sectors or themes, mirroring the performance of specific industries or broader markets. One notable feature of CFD trading is its accessibility to global markets. From the Nikkei 225 in Japan to the Dow Jones in the US, traders can access indices from around the world, opening up potential opportunities in different time zones and economies. In short, for active traders looking to amplify their exposure to indices or explore potential short-term opportunities, CFD trading can be more suitable than traditional indices investing. The Bottom Line Index investing offers a practical way to gain market exposure, while trading index CFDs adds flexibility for active traders. With CFDs, you can get exposure to indices, ETFs and stocks. Moreover, you can take advantage of both rising and falling prices without the need to wait for upward trends. Whether you're aiming for long-term growth or potential short-term opportunities, combining these approaches can diversify your strategy. With FXOpen, you can trade index, stock, and ETF CFDs from global markets, alongside hundreds of other assets. Open an FXOpen account today to explore trading with low costs and tools designed for traders of all levels. Good luck! FAQ What Is Index Investing? Index investing involves tracking the performance of a specific financial market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, by investing in funds that mirror the index. It provides broad market exposure and is often seen as a straightforward, passive investment strategy. What Are Index Funds? Index funds are financial instruments created to mirror the performance of a particular market index. They’re commonly structured as mutual funds or ETFs. At FXOpen, you can trade CFDs on a wide range of ETFs, including the one that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index. What Makes Indices Useful? Indices offer a benchmark for understanding market performance and provide a way to diversify investments. By representing a segment of the market, they allow investors and traders to gain exposure to multiple assets in one investment. Is It Better to Invest in Indices or Stocks? It depends on your goals. According to theory, indices provide diversification and potentially lower risk compared to picking individual stocks, but stocks might offer higher potential returns. Many traders and investors combine both approaches for a balanced portfolio. Does Index Investing Really Work? As with any financial asset, the effectiveness of investing depends on an investor’s or trader’s trading skills and strategy. According to theory, the S&P 500 has averaged annual returns of about 10% over several decades, making index investments potentially effective. However, this doesn’t mean index investing will work for everyone. What Are the Big 3 Index Funds? The "Big 3" index funds often refer to those from Vanguard, BlackRock (iShares), and State Street (SPDR), which collectively manage a significant portion of global fund assets. For example, at FXOpen, you can trade CFDs on SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) tracking the S&P 500 stock market index and Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) which reflects the performance of the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
1
The Beauty of Elliott Wave.Wave 3 corrects in a Flat formation that is exactly 100% of Green Wave A. Upon completion, there is beautiful retest and a big move downwards to complete Blue Wave C and hence Wave 4 of the Flat. Wave 4 also corrects at 50% of the Red Wave 3. This whole Flat occurs between 161.8% and 261.8% of the main Wave. This is a weekly time frame and these are some massive moves showing that the market obeys Elliott Wave Principles at all levels of time.
IG:DOWEducation
by machariavictor017
What to do after you missed a big price move (Example: EUR/USD)There was a big fast move in EUR/USD last week. The ‘European currencies’ did especially well versus the US dollar, including GBP/USD and USD/CHF as well as the ‘Skandies’ SEK/USD and NOK/USD. If you rode the move, then job done. If you did ride the move up, you might have taken full profits already - or maybe you are leaving a little bit of the position open to ride any continuation of the move. But, what to do if you missed it completely? Explosive moves in the market usually mean traders who were on the ‘losing’ side step out for a while, having lost confidence in their view. For example if you were bearish and the market makes a significant move higher - you’re probably going to be a lot less confident in your bearish view - but perhaps also not ready to take an opposite bullish view. The loss of sellers in the market can see the up-move continue with minimal pullback. This might suggest buying any small dips to ride the next leg higher, and emotionally it would offer some salvation to capture the second leg of the move even if you missed the first leg. However, what you are doing here is ‘chasing the market’. One trouble is that after a big move in the market, there is no definitive place to put your stop loss, except at the beginning of the move - which is now far away. That's a bad risk: reward. It is tempting to place a closer (more manageable) stop loss under lower timeframe levels of support - but then you find yourself trading an unknown strategy that requires different rules to follow because it is based on a lower timeframe. And indeed, after a sharp move in the market - there is still a chance for a sharp pullback to match. Why? Because buyers quickly take profits on their unexpected quick gains, which will create selling pressure into minimal support - because the next support level is far away. A sharp pullback would mean an opportunity to buy into the uptrend at a lower level, closer to the previous support. But then the flipside of the sharp pullback is that it raises questions over the sustainability of the initial move. Probably the biggest takeaway here is not to think about this ‘explosive’ move in isolation. Instead of forcing a trade, consider: 1. Waiting for the right setup in the same market. If your strategy is based on structured breakouts, wait for the next clean consolidation or pattern before re-engaging. A big move often leads to a new setup—but forcing a trade in the middle of a volatile move isn’t a strategy, it’s FOMO. 2. Looking at uncorrelated markets. Just because EUR/USD already made a big move doesn’t mean you have to trade it now. If you want to be in at the start of a move, shift focus to another market that hasn’t yet made its move. 3. Sticking to your edge. If your strategy works over hundreds of trades, don’t abandon it just because one market moved without you. The next opportunity will come—if not in this market, then in another. Again, the best trades don’t come from reacting to what already happened, but from positioning for what’s about to happen. If you missed the move, accept it, reset, and wait for the next high-quality setup—whether in the same market or somewhere else.
Education
by jasperlawler
1
Fibonacci Retracements - Gauging a Dip in Price Part 2 In a previous post on February 19th, we highlighted 2 ways to gauge the extent of a dip in the price of a particular instrument, after a phase of upside strength. This post outlined concepts related to relatively limited and shallow corrections in price, such as those where prices are moving back down to old highs, or a 10-day moving average. You can find this report on our timeline, so please take a look. The next challenge comes when the price of a particular instrument sees a more extended up or downside move, then the question becomes, is there anything that might aid us to gauge this type of price activity? Technical analysts and traders will often use Fibonacci retracements as a tool to identify possible levels of support and resistance in financial markets. However, due to their calculation, these are commonly used when a more extended price move materialises. The good news is that these are available on the Pepperstone charting system and can be utilised within any timeframe that you may wish to analyse. Using Fibonacci Retracements: Whether you are looking at a move to the up or downside, Fibonacci retracements can be helpful to identify support levels that may halt a price sell-off of a particular instrument within an on-going uptrend, or resistance levels that may cap any recovery within an on-going downtrend. However, if these support or resistance levels are broken on a closing basis, they can also be useful in providing insight into whether there is an increased potential for a more sustained move in the direction of that break. From a trading standpoint, Fibonacci retracements can provide valuable insights into market behaviour and can assist traders to make more informed decisions. The support and resistance levels they identify may be used to determine potential entry and exit points for trades, as well as areas to set stop-loss and take-profit orders for existing positions. What to Know About Fibonacci Retracements: Leonardo Fibonacci was a 12th century mathematician who developed the Fibonacci number sequence. Certain ratios are derived from the sequence, including 0.618, which is also known as the Golden mean. This is an important ratio that occurs throughout art, the natural world and even the human body. Within financial markets, we use 3 set percentage retracements obtained from ratios within the Fibonacci sequence, to measure the potential extent of price declines or rallies. We use the 38.2%, the 50% (which isn’t a true Fibonacci retracement, but has become accepted by traders, as it highlights half the original move), and the 61.8%. While there are other percentages available on all charting systems, these are the main one’s technical analysts focus on when looking at potential retracement calculations. Downside Move: Significant High to Significant Low In a downside move, we run the Fibonacci retracement from a significant price high to a significant price low. These are levels that stand out to you as being important extremes on the chart of the instrument you are focused on; within whatever timeframe you are analysing. The Pepperstone charting system will then automatically calculate the 3 set percentages and provide you with 3 potential resistance areas that may cap any upside recovery in price. (See chart above). Upside Move: Significant Low to Significant High Within an upside move, we run the Fibonacci retracement analysis from a significant price low to a significant price high. Here the Pepperstone system will automatically calculate 3 potential support areas that may halt any downside correction in price. (See chart above). Using Retracement Levels to Trade: While there is no guarantee that Fibonacci retracements will identify support or resistance levels that work every time, they can offer traders levels that are worthwhile monitoring. This can be useful if an instrument is trading within a confirmed uptrend, and we are looking to use a dip in the price as an opportunity to buy at a lower level. Or, if an instrument is trading within a downtrend, and we are looking to use any recovery in price as an opportunity to sell at a higher level. Traders may also use Fibonacci retracements to place stop losses just above the identified resistance level or below the support. This is because, if for example a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is broken on a closing basis, it can highlight the potential of a more sustained move in the direction of the break, which could potentially be to the 50% retracement, and if this is in turn breached, on to the 61.8% level, as seen in the chart above. In the example above, if the decline in price continued and the 61.8% support was broken on a closing basis, the Fibonacci rule suggests a more sustained phase of price weakness maybe seen towards the significant low used within the original calculation (100% retracement). If such activity is seen within an on-going downtrend in price, the opposite is true. A sustained rally that closes above the 61.8% potential resistance, could lead to a more sustained phase of price strength towards the significant high originally identified after a downside move in price (100% retracement). In Conclusion: Whatever timeframe you utilise on your charts; the Fibonacci retracement can be a useful tool in highlighting support or resistance levels during a correction or recovery phase in price. Initiating trading decisions as a retracement level is neared, can sometimes offer opportunities to establish a position before the original move is resumed. However, equally, it also allows stop losses to be placed relatively close to an entry point, as confirmed breaks of a retracement level can suggest a price moves may continue further. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection█ Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection Trading might sometimes seem like magic, but at its core, the market operates on simple principles, supply and demand, and the flow of information. Recent academic work shows that retail traders can gain an edge even without expensive data feeds by understanding some fundamental ideas, like order imbalance and change point detection. In this article, we break down key concepts such as order imbalance, sudden volume shifts, change point detection, and the CUSUM algorithm. We also explain how retail traders can apply these ideas to improve their strategies. █ What Is the Order Book and Order Imbalance? ⚪ The Order Book Every market has an order book, simply a list of all buy orders (bids) and sell orders (asks) for an asset. ⚪ Order Imbalance – A Key Indicator Order imbalance measures the difference between the total buying and selling orders for the order book. Definition: Order imbalance is the difference in volume between buy orders and sell orders. Why It Matters: A strong imbalance means one side (buyers or sellers) is dominating. For example, if there are significantly more buy orders than sell orders, the market may be gearing up for a price increase. ⚪ How It’s Detected in Research: Researchers calculate a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) across multiple price levels in the order book (typically the top 20 levels) and compare it to the mid-market price. A positive imbalance indicates aggressive buying, while a negative imbalance suggests selling pressure. █ Sudden Volume Shifts and Change Point Detection ⚪ Sudden Volume Shifts What It Means: Sometimes, there is an abrupt and noticeable change in the number of orders placed. This sudden shift in volume can signal a big move on the horizon. Example: In a trading context, this might be seen when volume bars spike unexpectedly on a price chart, often accompanying rapid price moves or breakouts. ⚪ Why They Are Crucial: Sudden volume increases often coincide with significant order flow events. For instance, if a large number of buy orders hit the market at once, this could indicate a rapid shift in trader sentiment and serve as a precursor to a sustained price move. █ Change Point Detection – Spotting the Shift Definition: Change point detection is a statistical technique used to identify the exact moment when the properties of a data series change significantly. Purpose: In trading, it helps distinguish meaningful shifts in market behavior from random noise. How It’s Used: Researchers apply this to order imbalance data to flag moments when the market’s buying or selling pressure changes abruptly. These flagged moments (or “change points”) can then be used to forecast short-term price movements. █ Meet CUSUM: The Cumulative Sum Algorithm CUSUM stands for Cumulative Sum. It’s a simple yet powerful algorithm that detects changes in a data series over time. ⚪ How CUSUM Works: Tracking Deviations: The algorithm continuously adds up minor differences (or deviations) from an expected value (like a running average). Signal for Change: When the cumulative sum exceeds a predetermined threshold, it signals that a significant change has occurred. In Trading: CUSUM can be applied to measure the order imbalance. When the cumulative deviation is high enough, it indicates a strong change in market pressure, an early warning signal for a potential price move. For example, a rising cumulative sum based on increasing buy-side pressure might indicate that the price will likely move upward. █ How Can Retail Traders Benefit Without Full LOB Data? Full access to the order book (all price levels and orders) can be expensive and is usually reserved for institutional traders. However, retail traders can still gain valuable insights by: ⚪ Using Proxies for Order Imbalance: Many trading platforms offer basic volume indicators. Look for volume spikes or unusual shifts in trading volume as a sign that order imbalance might occur. ⚪ Leveraging Simplified Change Detection: Even if you don’t have complex LOB data, you can set up simple alerts on your trading platform. For instance, you might create a custom indicator that watches for rapid increases in volume or price moves, similar to a basic version of the CUSUM algorithm. ⚪ Focusing on Key Price Levels: Even with limited data, monitor support and resistance levels. A sudden break (accompanied by high volume) can serve as a proxy for a change in market dynamics. ⚪ Adopting a Data-Driven Mindset: Integrate these concepts into your routine analysis. When you see a significant volume shift or a sudden spike in activity, consider it a potential “change point” and adjust your strategy accordingly. █ In Summary Order Imbalance measures the difference between buying and selling volumes in the order book, offering insights into market direction. Sudden Volume Shifts are significant changes in trading volume that can signal a shift in market sentiment. Change Point Detection helps identify the precise moments when these shifts occur, filtering out noise and highlighting actionable signals. CUSUM is a powerful tool that continuously tracks cumulative deviations in market data, alerting traders when the market undergoes a significant change. For retail traders, these methods underscore the importance of watching price and understanding the underlying order flow. While you might not have access to full-depth order book data, using volume indicators and setting up alert systems can help you capture the essence of these insights, providing a valuable edge in your trading decisions. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
2
Soybean Futures Surge: ZS, ZL, and ZM Align for a Bullish MoveI. Introduction Soybean futures are showing a potentially strong upcoming bullish momentum, with ZS (Soybean Futures), ZL (Soybean Oil Futures), and ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) aligning in favor of an upward move. The recent introduction of Micro Ag Futures by CME Group has further enhanced trading opportunities by allowing traders to manage risk more effectively while engaging with longer-term setups such as weekly timeframes. Currently, all three soybean-related markets are displaying bullish candlestick patterns, accompanied by strengthening demand indicators. With RSI confirming upward momentum without entering overbought territory, traders are eyeing potential opportunities. Among the three, ZM appears to be the one which will potentially provide the greatest strength, showing resilience in price action and a favorable technical setup for a high reward-to-risk trade.   II. Technical Analysis of Soybean Markets A closer look at the price action in ZS, ZL, and ZM reveals a confluence of bullish factors: o Candlestick Patterns: All three markets have printed bullish weekly candlestick formations, signaling increased buying interest. o RSI Trends: RSI is in an uptrend across all three contracts, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Importantly, none of them are currently in overbought conditions, suggesting further upside potential. o Volume Considerations: Higher volume on up moves and decreasing volume on down-moves adds credibility to the bullish bias. III. Comparative Price Action Analysis While all three soybean-related markets are trending higher, their relative strength varies. By comparing recent weekly price action: o ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) stands out as the one which will potentially become the strongest performer. Last week, ZM closed above its prior weekly open, marking a +1.40% weekly gain. RSI is not only trending higher but is also above its average, a sign of potential continued strength. o ZS and ZL confirm bullishness but lag slightly in relative strength when compared to ZM. This comparative analysis suggests that while all three markets are bullish, ZM presents the most compelling trade setup in terms of technical confirmation and momentum. IV. Trade Setup & Forward-Looking Trade Idea Given the strong technical signals, the trade idea focuses on ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) as the primary candidate. Proposed Trade Plan: Direction: Long (Buy) Entry: Buy above last week’s high at 307.6 Target: UFO resistance at 352.0 Stop Loss: Below entry at approximately 292.8 (for a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio) Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 Additionally, with the introduction of Micro Ag Futures, traders can now fine-tune position sizing, making it easier to manage risk effectively on longer-term charts like the weekly timeframe. Given the novelty of such micro contracts, here is a CME resource that could be useful to understand their characteristics such as contracts specs . V. Risk Management & Trade Discipline Executing a trade plan is just one part of the equation—risk management is equally critical, especially when trading larger timeframes like the weekly chart. Here are key considerations for managing risk effectively: 1. Importance of Precise Entry and Exit Levels Entering above last week’s high (307.6) ensures confirmation of bullish momentum before taking a position. The target at 352.0 (UFO resistance) provides a well-defined profit objective, avoiding speculation. A stop-loss at 292.8 is strategically placed to maintain a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio, ensuring that potential losses remain controlled. 2. The Role of Stop Loss Orders & Hedging A stop-loss prevents excessive drawdowns in case the market moves against the position. Traders can also hedge using Micro Ag Futures to offset exposure while maintaining a bullish bias on the broader trend. 3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure The Micro Ag Futures contracts enable traders to scale into or out of positions without significantly increasing risk. Position sizing should be adjusted based on account risk tolerance, ensuring no single trade overly impacts capital. 4. Adjusting for Market Volatility Monitoring volatility using ATR (Average True Range) or other risk-adjusted indicators helps in adjusting stop-loss placement. If volatility increases, a wider stop may be needed, but it should still align with a strong reward-to-risk structure. Proper risk management ensures that trades are executed with discipline, preventing emotional decision-making and maximizing long-term trading consistency. VI. Conclusion & Disclaimers Soybean futures are showing bullishness, with ZS, ZL, and ZM aligning in favor of further upside. However, among them, ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) potentially exhibits the most reliable momentum, making it the prime candidate for a high-probability trade setup. With bullish candlestick patterns, RSI trends confirming momentum, and volume supporting the move, traders have an opportunity to capitalize on this momentum while managing risk effectively using Micro Ag Futures. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZM1!Education
by traddictiv
2
Don’t Buy a Single Dollar of Crypto Without Knowing These 7 RuleHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts,✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 5 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin 💰. 📊 My Personal Take on Bitcoin’s Current Market Trends: Since the primary focus of this analysis is educational content, I have deliberately kept the chart simple and easy to understand. The goal is to ensure that you quickly grasp the key insights, particularly the projected minimum decline of 8% 📉 and the primary target of $75,000 for Bitcoin. Now, let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram. 7 Key Considerations Before Investing in the Crypto Market: 🔍 1️⃣ Only Invest Money You Can Afford to Lose The most fundamental principle of investing—especially in high-volatility markets like crypto—is to allocate funds that are not essential to your financial well-being. Never invest money that could jeopardize your lifestyle if lost. Adhering to this principle can prevent financial ruin in many cases. 2️⃣ Choose Cryptocurrencies That Meet Essential Criteria Not all digital assets are worth investing in. Before committing to any coin or token, ensure that it satisfies at least the following factors: 📊 Market Capitalization: The asset should have a reasonable and sustainable market cap. 💰 Liquidity: Sufficient trading volume and liquidity are critical for smooth transactions. 👥 Community Strength: A strong, engaged, and active community is a sign of long-term viability. 🔧 Utility & Innovation: The project should offer a clear use case, technological innovation, and a meaningful solution to real-world problems. 🏆 Credibility & Backing: Look for coins supported by well-known figures, reputable teams, or influential institutions. 3️⃣ Always Set Clear Entry and Exit Strategies Whether you are in profit or loss, having a well-defined plan for when to enter and exit the market is crucial. Establishing these targets in advance will help you avoid emotional decision-making, such as falling into FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or excessive greed. 4️⃣ Diversify Your Portfolio to Minimize Risk A well-balanced investment strategy involves spreading your capital across multiple assets rather than concentrating it all in one place. This diversification should include exposure to different sectors and types of cryptocurrencies to mitigate risk. 5️⃣ Altcoins Alone Won’t Make You Successful While altcoins can offer high returns, they come with increased volatility. A well-structured portfolio should also include Bitcoin and other major market movers to ensure stability and long-term sustainability. 6️⃣ Secure Profits and Reduce Risk Over Time If you are holding assets for the long term, a risk-free approach would be to withdraw your initial investment once you reach a profitable threshold. Reinvesting those profits into more stable assets—such as real estate 🏡, gold 🏆, or traditional markets—can provide a hedge against crypto volatility while allowing your remaining portfolio to continue growing. 7️⃣ Look for Emerging Opportunities, Not Just Former Market Leaders Instead of focusing solely on past high-performing assets that may have peaked, keep an eye on new, innovative projects with strong potential. Identifying the next big opportunity before it gains mainstream attention can be a game-changer for your portfolio. In next week's educational segment, I will explore this last point in greater detail, providing insights on how to effectively spot promising new investments in the ever-evolving crypto landscape. Stay tuned! However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 If you're diving into crypto, only invest money you can afford to lose—never risk your financial stability. 💸 Pick coins wisely: strong market cap, real liquidity, a solid community, and real-world use. ✅ Spread your investments, set clear entry/exit plans, and take profits—reinvest in stable assets like gold or real estate. 🔄🏡 Avoid FOMO, don’t chase overhyped coins, and always keep an eye on new opportunities. A balanced portfolio is key! 🚨 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
22
Russia-Ukraine-Europe: Forex Impact Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo. Today I want to share with you a reflection on the current geopolitical situation, in particular on the war in Ukraine and its global implications. The latest developments show us an increasingly complex panorama: America seems to have taken an ambiguous position, with signals that could be interpreted as a rapprochement with Putin. This has led to an intensification of the conflict between Russia and Europe, with consequences that could redefine the global balance. The current situation and its implications The war in Ukraine, which has been going on for years now, has had a devastating impact not only on the military front, but also on the economic and political front. Recently, the United States' decision to limit the flow of intelligence to Ukraine has favored the Russian advance in some strategic areas. This change in approach has raised doubts about the real American position and has fueled tensions between Western allies. Europe, for its part, is in a delicate position. On the one hand, it faces economic pressures from sanctions against Russia; on the other, it must maintain a united front to support Ukraine. However, the lack of a clear strategy could lead to internal divisions and a weakening of its global position. In this context, the European Union recently announced an ambitious €800 billion plan for rearmament, called "ReArm Europe". This plan aims to strengthen European defense through significant investments, including €650 billion from national resources and €150 billion from loans guaranteed by the community budget.2 The President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, stressed that we live in an era of rearmament and that Europe must be ready to defend itself autonomously. The impact on the Forex world This geopolitical situation has inevitably had repercussions on the Forex market. The war in Ukraine has already caused significant volatility in global currencies, with the euro coming under pressure due to economic uncertainties in Europe. At the same time, the US dollar has shown relative strength, but recent ambiguity in US foreign policy could weaken this position. Emerging market currencies, especially those close to the conflict, remain highly vulnerable. The Russian ruble, for example, has seen significant swings, reflecting economic sanctions and the country's internal dynamics. What to expect going forward Looking ahead, the forex market is likely to remain highly volatile. Investors will need to closely monitor geopolitical developments and adjust their strategies accordingly. The key will be to maintain a flexible approach and diversify portfolios to mitigate the risks associated with this global uncertainty. In conclusion, the current situation presents an unprecedented challenge for traders and investors. However, with a well-planned strategy and careful analysis of the context, it is possible to navigate through these turbulent waters and identify investment opportunities.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Understanding Trump and future of US and BTCUnderstanding Trump As investors, we constantly analyze news and charts to find opportunities to make money. But today, I want to take a step back and look at the bigger picture. This is a story about Donald Trump. Predicting his future actions could be key to making profits in various markets. Lately, Trump may seem like a madman—Hunting down on illegal immigrants, imposing tariffs on countries, trying to befriend Russia, and being outright rude to other alliences. He even once demanded that Greenland be put up for sale. Over the next few chapters, I’ll explain my idea about why Trump does what he does. You will realize he’s not as crazy as he seems. Hopefully, this will help us gain some foresight into the future and, in turn, make profitable investments. Chapter 1 : The U.S. A Frog in a Boiling Pot From Trump’s perspective, America today is like a frog sitting in a pot of water that’s about to boil. Not just lukewarm, but dangerously close to reaching a boiling point. Like a setting sun, the U.S. is slowly losing its position as the world's dominant superpower and is, in his eyes, on the verge of decline. What we are feeling about US is more like this. On the surface, it looks like things are going well. Ordinary Americans seem to be doing fine, the stock market keeps hitting new highs, employment numbers are strong, and the U.S. military remains the most powerful in the world. There are no obvious signs that America is losing its status as the world’s leading power. But Trump sees things differently. In his view, if the U.S. continues on its current path, it will eventually lose its dominance to China and decline into a second-tier nation, much like Britain or Spain. Why does he think that? This perspective is likely influenced by books like Ray Dalio’s The Changing World Order and Paul Kennedy’s The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers. These books analyze how once-great powers—such as Britain, the Roman Empire, and Spain—declined over time. They outline three key reasons why major powers historically collapse: 1 Excessive debt – Poor government management and uncontrolled money printing lead to inflation. 2 Overextension through war or expansion – Excessive military spending due to prolonged wars or imperial overreach. 3 Extreme wealth inequality and social conflict – Rising tensions and divisions among the population. And I would add one more factor to this list. 4 Failure to adapt to new economic, social, and technological trends - Trump believes that these factors are causing the U.S. to lose its status as the world's leading power. In a few decades, he sees America becoming like Britain—reminiscing about its past glory—or like Russia—resource-rich but lacking real global influence. So, will the U.S. really decline? "The water in the pot is already getting hot. No one knows exactly when it will start boiling, but if these four factors continue fueling the fire, eventually, it will."
Education
by hcinteractivegames
1
Behind the Buy&Sell Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWhat is a Buy&Sell Strategy? A Buy&Sell trading strategy involves buying and selling financial instruments with the goal of profiting from short- or medium-term price fluctuations. Traders who adopt this strategy typically take long positions, aiming for upward profit opportunities. This strategy involves opening only one trade at a time, unlike more complex strategies that may use multiple orders, hedging, or simultaneous long and short positions. Its management is simple, making it suitable for less experienced traders or those who prefer a more controlled approach. Typical Structure of a Buy&Sell Strategy A Buy&Sell strategy consists of two key elements: 1) Entry Condition Entry conditions can be single or multiple, involving the use of one or more technical indicators such as RSI, SMA, EMA, Stochastic, Supertrend, etc. Classic examples include: Moving average crossover Resistance breakout Entry on RSI oversold conditions Bullish MACD crossover Retracement to the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci levels Candlestick pattern signals 2) Exit Condition The most common exit management methods for a long trade in a Buy&Sell strategy fall into three categories: Take Profit & Stop Loss Exit based on opposite entry conditions Percentage on equity Practical Example of a Buy&Sell Strategy Entry Condition: Bearish RSI crossover below the 30 level (RSI oversold entry). Exit Conditions: Take profit, stop loss, or percentage-based exit on the opening price.
Education
by thequantscience
1
QUICK LOOK AT A FEW INDICATORS AND INTEREST IN A SERIES?Quick overview testing out the upload from a browser on a ethernet connection computer vs wifi with the desktop downloaded app. Do you find value in this and want to make a regular series? Contact me if so and follow. Esp if your a developer and want to add some videos to your products, free, locked or paid. Im game. Platforms, customization and breaking down analytics is the life. Its what i enjoy and maybe you will too! Thank you All, DrawDownKing CME_MINI:ES1!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by drawdownking
USDT dominance. (USDC is similar). 03 2025Time frame 1 week. Crypto market dominance to % USDT. I showed this for the first time on 03 2022, nothing has changed since then, everything is the same and the logic is identical. USDT dominance. USDT pumping indicator to the market 03 2022 USDT dominance. Indicator of USDT pumping to and from the market 05 2022 ✔️Stablecoin dominance is falling — the market is growing. ✔️Stablecoin dominance is growing — the market is falling. It cannot be otherwise (capital movement), until the time when ETFs with the US dollar are not massively introduced and popular, they will draw some of the liquidity to themselves. Which will slightly change the logic of this trend itself. Comparable, in terms of impact on the market, as before the introduction of trading pairs to alts/USDT instead of BTC/alts (everyone was like that). Until then, USDT was needed. You need to understand that the main " transitional dollar for the people ", that is, USDT , - reflects the trend of all stablecoins. In particular, the main "competitor" - USDC, all the others (a temporary phenomenon) do not matter. Until USDT exists and can be used to track the direction of the money flow, that is, the direction of the cryptocurrency market. In 2022 09, I also showed this game of liquidity flow into ideas with the combined dominance of USDC + USDT + BTC chart. But this is already a complication, everything is already visible and clear on the dominance of USDT. Domination of USDT + USDC and lows/maxims of BTC. Correlation 2022 09 Remember, any stablecoin is an alt. The experience with UST (Moon Falling into an Urn) has taught many not to equate stablecoins to a real dollar. The price stability of any stablecoin depends only on people's faith in its stability. This faith is projected by marketing activity, and first of all by the real capital that stands behind the creators. Everything conceived and implemented has a beginning and an end. Bitcoin dominance to alts. I will duplicate my latest idea on Bitcoin dominance here once again. I used it before (it was rational), before 2020 (I used to make a lot of ideas about local zones as triggers for market reversals). Now it doesn't do much. But I see people are fixated on this, not understanding the essence, and why it was so effective before and childishly clear when the market would be reversed (there were no pairs to USDT, but only alts to BTC). Before 2018 (100% efficiency), before 2020 (partial), the dominance of Bitcoin to other alts was such an indicator of the pump/dump of the market. As it was the main direction of money flow. Almost all alts were traded only to Bitcoin. Доминация BTC к альткоинам. Доминация стейблкоинов и памп рынка. 07 2022 Have a plan and understand what you are doing, observing money and risk management. As a result, you will be calm and satisfied with your profit from the market, if you are an adequate person. Alt dominance. And this is the idea of ​​training/work (understanding the reversal zones of the crypto market of secondary trends) in 2023 on alts. That is, the dominance of alts without stablecoins, bitcoin and ether, which take away most of the market capitalization as a whole. The dominance is growing, naturally money is pouring into alta and vice versa. There are also similar ideas (look for publications in 2023) for certain groups of assets. That is, the point is to catch the hype, by groups of candy wrappers or, on the contrary, the threshold of stopping the flow of money into another hype. BTC dominance to altcoins. Dominance of stablecoins and market pump . 07 2022 Without pain, there is no way for someone to gain benefits in the speculative market. Who will experience pain and who will gain benefits depends only on the qualities of the person who decided to engage in trading. That is, the totality of his positive/negative qualities that project his actions in the market. Everything is extremely simple and honest. Dollar Index. There are a series of interrelated ideas (three, detailed explanation), about the dollar index, that is, the larger cyclicality of the markets in general, and the crypto market as a small projection. Also, all publications of 2022-2023. DXY Dollar Index USA. Recession and Pump/Dump Market Indicator 09 2022 DXY (Dollar Index) and Pump/Dump BTC. Market Cycles . 09 2022
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DEducation
by SpartaBTC
6
What is Double Top or Double Bottom and how it works?Hello in this educational content we are talking about one of the major reversal pattern in market or maybe even the most important reversal pattern which is exist. Double Top: Like the pattern mentioned on the chart now double Top is made by two reject from resistance but it is complete when the support or neckline of this two top break and then the pattern is complete and we can say this is a valid double Top and market now can get correction and get bearish. here is chart & example take a look at Two kinds of Double Top available in my View: As we can see sometimes price even made fake breakout to the upside or downside of the pattern and in these kinds of situation we can expect more fall if we had Advance Double Top because the liquidity was more at the beginning of second phase rejection. We also have other Strong Reversal patterns like Head & shoulders and ... which you can mention them in comments or we may have another live post for them in next Educational posts. most of You know about Regular Double top or Double Bottom and in this Educational post we mention some data about Advance form of it too and also so many know this form as regular form and consider this fake breakout a sign of good double Top and .... Double Bottom is the same like the Double Top but reverse(This time support can not break two times and price after breaking neckline or resistance start to pump and bear market turn to bullish with Double Bottom). DISCLAIMER: ((Always trade based on your own decision))-----this post is not signal content or analysis and just Try to talk about an important Reversal pattern with Example which happened also on Bitcoin in previous days in my Opinion. <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Education
by MMBTtrader
22
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #5: To HODL, or not to HODL?123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #5: To HODL, or not to HODL: That is the question Alright, crypto adventurers, let's talk about HODLing! 🎢 Ever seen this meme? It perfectly captures the reality of holding onto your Bitcoin! 😂 What newbies think HODLing is: A smooth bike ride to the finish line! 🚴‍♂️💨 Easy peasy, right? Just buy and wait for the moon! 🚀🌕 What HODLing actually is: A wild rollercoaster through mountains, valleys, stormy seas, and even a cloud with a face! 😱🌊🏔 It's a journey filled with dips, peaks, unexpected turns, and maybe even a few moments where you question your life choices! 😅 But here's the secret sauce: The good news is that the more you learn about Bitcoin, the easier it becomes to HODL. 🧠📈 Why? Because understanding the technology, the fundamentals, and the long-term vision of Bitcoin gives you the conviction to weather the storms. ⛈ You start to see the dips as buying opportunities, not as reasons to panic-sell! 📉➡️📈 So, dive into the world of Bitcoin! Learn about its history, its technology, and its potential! 📚💡 The more you know, the stronger your hands will be, and the smoother that HODL journey will feel! 💪💎 Remember, it's not just about getting to the finish line, it's about enjoying the crazy ride! 🎉
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Navid_Jafarian
11
Dangers of Giving Up Too Soon on a Trading Strategy GOLD, FOREX There are hundreds of different strategies to trade. Some of them are losing ones, some provide modest results and some strategies are very profitable. Novice traders often struggle to find the right strategy that suits their personality, financial goals and risk appetite. Unfortunately, they also tend to make some common mistakes that can undermine their performance and confidence. ❌ One of the biggest mistakes that they make in their search is that they give a strategy a very short trial period. It simply means that they are trying to assess the validity of the strategy, trading that for a very short time span (usually a day to a week). Please, realize the fact that the performance of the strategy can be measured only with extended backtesting - meaning that the strategy should be tested on multiple financial instruments and for a long period of time and applying multiple evaluation metrics. Moreover, if the strategy proves its efficiency on backtesting, it should be traded on a demo account at least 2 months before the valid performance can be calculated. ❌ Another common mistake is that many traders drop the strategy once it starts losing. And by losing, I mean just 2–3 trades in a row. Newbies are searching for the approach that never loses. They may even abandon a trading strategy once they catch JUST ONE bad trade. ✅ In contrast, a smart trader realizes that one bad trade does not define the performance of the strategy. Moreover, such a trader calmly faces the losing streaks and sticks to the strategy. Take a look at that picture. On the top, we have the traits of a newbie trader and his equity curve. He abandons the strategy after he faces the loss, not giving the strategy a chance to recover. When he changes the strategy, he starts recovering a little bit and a losing period follows. He drops a strategy again, and he keeps following this vicious cycle till his entire account is blown. On the bottom of the picture, we see the equity curve of a smart trader. Even though he faces losses occasionally, his strategy always gives him a chance to recover and with time his trading account steadily grows. Please, realize the fact that a perfect strategy does not exist. You will lose the money occasionally anyway. What distinguishes a smart trader from a dumb one is his discipline and trust to his trading system and willingness to face losses. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Comprehensive Market Analysis Checklist!This checklist is designed to help you perform a thorough analysis of the market to make informed trading decisions. It encompasses a range of technical and fundamental questions that should be considered before entering a trade. Market Overview and Direction 1. What is the overall direction of the market? 2. What are the directions of various market sectors? 3. What are the weekly and monthly charts showing? 4. Are the major, intermediate, and minor trends moving up, down, or sideways? 5. Where are the important support and resistance levels? 6. Where are the important trendlines or channels? 7. Is volume and open interest confirming the price action? Technical Pattern Recognition 8. Where are the 33%, 50%, and 66% retracements? 9. Are there any price gaps, and what type are they? 10. Are there any major reversal patterns visible? 11. Are there any continuation patterns visible? 12. What are the price objectives from those patterns? 13. Which direction are the moving averages pointing? Oscillators and Indicators 14. Are the oscillators overbought or oversold? 15. Are there any divergences apparent on the oscillators? 16. Are contrary opinion numbers showing any extremes? Advanced Technical Analysis 17. What is the Elliott Wave pattern showing? 18. Are there any obvious 3 or 5 wave patterns? 19. What about Fibonacci retracements or projections? 20. Are there any cycle tops or bottoms due? 21. Is the market showing right or left translation? Trend Analysis Tools 22. Which way is the computer trend moving: up, down, or sideways? 23. What are the point and figure charts or candlestick patterns showing? Trade Setup and Risk Management Once you’ve arrived at a bullish or bearish conclusion, ask yourself the following questions: 1. What is the market’s likely trend over the next several months? 2. Am I going to buy or sell this market? 3. How many units will I trade? 4. How much am I prepared to risk if I’m wrong? 5. What is my profit objective? 6. Where will I enter the market? 7. What type of order will I use? 8. Where will I place my protective stop? This comprehensive analysis will help you assess the market conditions from all angles and develop a well-thought-out strategy before making any trading decisions. __________________________________________________________________________________ Reference: Murphy, John J. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications (New York Institute of Finance), p. 455.
Education
by SpicyPips