Three Driving Forces Behind the Ether-Bitcoin Exchange RateAt a glance:
Higher tech stocks tend to boost ETHBTC, while a higher USD tends to depress it
Bitcoin supply is perfectly inelastic, which contributes to its high volatility
Together, ether and bitcoin account for over 60% of the total value of the world’s cryptocurrencies, but the exchange rate between the two has varied widely over time.
So, what drives the Ether-Bitcoin exchange rate? The ETHBTC cross rate responds to many factors, but here are three of them.
Technology Stocks
On days when the tech heavy Nasdaq 100 index rallies, ether tends to rise versus bitcoin. This may be because ether, which is the currency of the Ethereum smart contract network, has more practical applications in the technology space than bitcoin, which is mainly held as a store of value and a medium of exchange.
U.S. Dollar
On days when the U.S. dollar is higher, ether tends to underperform versus bitcoin.
Bitcoin Supply
While ether can be supplied up to 18 million coins per year, bitcoin supply is limited to a maximum of 21 million coins ever, of which about 19 million already exist. Every four years, the supply of new bitcoin drops in half. In the past, halvings have often been preceded by large runups in bitcoin prices and tremendous increases in the amount of revenue that bitcoin miners are paid for matching transactions. Ether is both more volatile than bitcoin and highly correlated to bitcoin. As such, when bitcoin rises or falls versus the U.S. dollar, ether often moves to an even greater degree.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group
*Various CME Group affiliates are regulated entities with corresponding obligations and rights pursuant to financial services regulations in a number of jurisdictions. Further details of CME Group's regulatory status and full disclaimer of liability in accordance with applicable law are available here: www.cmegroup.com
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Fundamental Analysis
HIGHEST OPEN / LOWEST OPEN TRADE✴️ Hello, ladies and gentlemen! Today we are going to talk about a popular strategy called Highest open Lowest open. This strategy was first published on forexfactory forum. The strategy is based on following the natural movements of the market, which you may consider unpredictable. Here, we will make money on those very movements. In this strategy, you will have to wait, you will have to be disciplined.
The idea behind this strategy is as follows: There are two assumptions. First, during the day there are always seemingly chaotic zigzag movements of the price. Secondly, any candle, be it bearish/bullish, will have tails. Third, someone needs to be taken out of the market. As we remember, there are bulls, bears and there are pigs as described in many famous trading books.
1) So, let's mark the High/Low points of the current day and the previous day on the chart.
2) After that, on the current day, let's mark the highest and lowest points of the H1 candle opening. It is the opening price of the candle that is meant. These opening points can and will shift during the day, and this is normal. The entries of the strategy are quite short, and such a shift of the markup during the day can occur. This (for the moment) is the end of our markup.
✴️ Strategy Rules
When do we buy or sell? So, we buy when the price goes below the lower line and comes back. That is, when the price is behind the line (for example, the lower line), we place a Buy Stop order on the line to enter on its breakout. To sell, we enter on the same principle: the price goes above the upper line, set an order on the border, inside the channel. It is not necessary to use a pending order for this, if you want, you can enter the market.
But, how can we understand that the price has really been below the lower level or above the upper level? After all, it may well be that the price will break the level by only one pip, which, of course, will not be a signal to enter. But, for this reason, we have the concept of "entry timeframe", which can be M5, M15 or M1.
So, when the M5 candle closes above the signal line and, accordingly, a new M5 candle opens we can enter to sell when the level is reached. The same is true for buying. M5 candle should close below the signal level, and at the opening of a new candle we set a pending order. Or, we wait until the level is reached and enter the market. At the same time, the opening price should not exceed the maximum and minimum of the day!
✴️ Trade details: TP and SL, Money Management
The start time of trading is 8 am New York time. But in general, you can trade practically at any time. Since everyone has different time zones, you can choose a trading time that suits you, and the strategy will still work. We set the stop loss for the daily high, or for the daily low.
The method of profit taking can be different. First, there is a basic rule: when the trade is in profit +5 pips, we move the stop to breakeven +1 pips of profit. Secondly, you can exit with a profit of 10 pips, or when a profit of 10 pips or more is reached, move the stop to breakeven +5 pips. Also, you can exit the position in partial portions, it is already from personal preferences. But it is better to follow the rule of putting the stop at breakeven.
So, why did we mark the High-Low of the previous day? If the high or low of the previous day is broken, it means that there was a breakout and you should be careful here. It is quite possible that the price will run far beyond the marked level after the breakout. Also, the situation with several entries within one hour is quite possible. If the price on M5 constantly breaks the level and returns, you can enter at every suitable signal.
Since the profit is small in most cases, it is better to use pairs with low spread in trading. This way you will be able to move the stop to breakeven faster. There can be a lot of entries on the strategy during the day. Especially if you use several pairs. Therefore, there is no sense to risk more than 1% of your capital per trade. Moreover, it is better to use 0.5%.
✴️ Examples
Now let's look at a few examples. On the H1 chart, we mark the highest opening point, and move to the M5 chart.
Here, we can see how the price closed beyond the level, below the high of the current day. On the breakout of the level, we enter to sell. We set the stop loss slightly above the maximum of the day. When the profit of 5 pips is reached, we turn on the trailing stop. In this trade we would have earned about 50 pips, with an initial stop of 10 pips.
We move the level again to the opening of the next candle, and wait for the crossing on M5. This, in fact, is the process of trading. Once again, we are talking about the current daily highs and lows. Thus, if the highest or lowest opening price changes, we move the line accordingly. Also, when setting a stop, we take into account the current High and Low. If there is a breakout of the previous day's High or Low, enter with caution, as the price may well rush towards the breakout.
✴️ Conclusion
This strategy requires attention, the ability to wait, discipline, calm and accurate calculation. Nevertheless, it is a powerful weapon in skillful hands. That proves the popularity of the strategy on the forexfactory forum. The strategy itself is quite simple.
Using the Research Method in TradingGreetings, fellow traders!
Trading is both an art and a science, and the research method is your secret weapon to unraveling market intricacies. It's about adopting a systematic approach, making informed decisions, and refining your strategies based on solid data.
Applying a analytic mindset in trading can offer a valuable edge. Let's explore the basics of the research method and how you can integrate it into your trading practices.
Start with Observation:
Just like scientists, traders begin by carefully observing the markets, noting patterns, and identifying repeat occurrences or random incidents. This process helps build a comprehensive understanding of market factors, that influence price action.
Formulate Hypotheses:
Based on your observations, create hypotheses or assumptions to explain market behavior. These hypotheses act as initial theories that can be tested for validity.
Test Your Hypotheses:
Conduct empirical tests by taking trades, that align with your hypotheses. Record the results and analyze how price action unfolds. Keep a detailed trade journal to document your observations.
Embrace Open-Mindedness:
Remain open to new data and market complexities. The markets are ever-changing, and no hypothesis is an absolute truth. Be prepared to adjust your trading strategies based on new information and shifts in market sentiment.
Fine-Tune Your Trading Plan:
Use the insights gained from testing your hypotheses to fine-tune your trading plan. Continuously refine your strategies based on new observations, and be flexible in adapting to changing market conditions.
Treat Each Trade as a Learning Opportunity:
View each trade as a source of valuable information, regardless of the outcome. Learn from both winning and losing trades to enhance your understanding of the markets and improve your trading approach.
By integrating the research method into your trading routine, you can enhance your decision-making process, manage risks more effectively, and avoid overconfidence.
Stay curious, keep learning. Happy trading!
How To Add Indicators & Financials To Your ChartIn this Tradingview tutorial video, we take a look at how to add indicators & financials to your chart.
We'll discuss how to access them, where you can go to learn more about the specific indicator/financial & what you can do in order to customize there appearance and/or location on your chart.
If you have any questions please leave them below & I promise that I'll respond.
See you guys next video!
Akil
Trading Lesson 👨💻#1 - Never buy At the peak high.Not worth it I tell you.
Never buy at the peak high.
Always buy at the peak low.
When ever you see a peak in the day of trading and you had a major rise in price due to things such as rallies or market seasonal up trends, or 🐳 it's moving up and you don't want to miss it. However; you buy in on the rush up-word believing it's safe to assume things will be greater tomorrow, so you wait to see this awesome rally to the top to make it rich.
The day closes and the reopens, with a rise and then sudden fall in the crypto market - all that hype only to be disappointed when you notice somethings off; your funds are 💸floating away in mere moments. So naturally you panic believing that you are in a complete crash - and assume it's the fault of the stock you purchased, but more over it was the fault of the bad call - with bad timing, so you panic sell thinking it will only get worse, and in some cases it does get worse but in others cases that sell you just made would be a mistake in judgement as the price goes back up from where you sold leaving you behind with the lost funds to ponder over.
This is what I call "fools gold"
Never buy at the peak on after a closing day.
reason being you may on the next day after a rally up-word, you notice the price move up higher for like a moment prompting you to buy, thinking that the rally is still going, however; not realizing that was the last call before the fall.
So the best thing to do in these type of situations is to:
_______________________
Don't Buy In
Safer to study your target market before you buy and wait for the closing day, so that it can either adjust the price to where it really is vs where it currently is. if it drops wait till the closing day again until you feel you have the best price to turn a profit. Note - pay attention for market trends it could be going up which is good or falling down which is still good for you because you didn't lose any money, so best to study before you buy on a hype.
_______________________
Hold
Wait until the next closing day to see where it might lead - this will keep your shares you already purchased and if you need to add more funds to regain what you lost when the price is lower than expected, it will likely turn what was a lost to a gain when the price returns to where you originally purchased.
_______________________
Sell
The worse thing you can do is Sell unless you can catch the drop in price before it takes too much profit to recover from, you will likely try again losing more money and again, and again, and again - creating what is known as panic buying and selling, if you had deep pockets it might cause the market to completely drop based off the factor of you panic selling, no need to do so you have a day to find out where the market for your crypto is headed before you sell, so best to work fast or lose more funds wasting time.
Focus and don't risk what you are not willing to lose, and for your own sake if you are a panic seller, never day trade, you'll lose more money that way.
_______________________
Best Tools to use
Notice the market trends on the charts before you buy, was it going up throughout a one month process if so then it's a likelihood it's in a seasonal high, it's sometimes hard to tell if it's moving up or down just by looking at charts, so you will definitely need proper indicators to help identify your next move.
Indicators like:
Volume to price
or
trend activity
Not chart savvy, then find a predictor of your current crypto you purchased.
Look for people on places like trading view who have the tools and or knowledge to tell you the trading trends - note not all of them are accurate - not even some websites that offer predictions for your favorite stock or crypto are accurate either, they are usually 40% accurate 60% inaccurate and 99% bias.
That's just my opinion - however; they can not predict Rallies - Whaling activity - or - the entire stock market fallout/rise - anything can happen so be prepared it can take months if not years to recover or it could take a few weeks if you know what the future may bring.
But remember:
Don't try to buy in at the tip of a peak.
It's guaranteed to drop instantly the next trading day.
Hope this helps.
Happy trading.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:ETH
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:SHIB
BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
COINBASE:SHIBUSD
#CRYPTO
#ALTCOIN
#EVERYCOIN
#RALLIES-WE-LOVE-THEM
#HELP-WITH-A-RALLY
#NEED-WHALE-SUPPORT
#STOP-THE-DIP
The 4 Tips Often Overlooked by BeginnersGreetings, esteemed members of the @TradingView community and all Vesties out there!
Let's explore four timeless pieces of advice that beginners tend to overlook and why we should give them closer attention.
1. Manage your expectations.
Some newcomers fall into the trap of unrealistic expectations, drawn in by "get rich quick" schemes that initially sparked their interest in trading.
Beginner traders may anticipate similar returns to those promised in trendy strategies or TikTok videos, often without fully grasping the methods to achieve those profits.
Consistently profitable traders understand that success in trading requires more than just blindly following "profitable" traders on social media.
It takes time, discipline, and dedication to develop a trading system that suits your personality and the ability to adapt it to varying market conditions.
2. Simplicity is key.
Discovering a multitude of user-friendly education websites (with none better than TradingView, of course) can be enticing, especially when they offer a variety of indicators and trading systems.
Novice traders may find comfort in using fancy indicators and systems, ones that seem to be favored by the "pros," but without proper testing or practice, these technical tools can lead to mixed signals and confusion.
A wise approach is to start with price action and gradually incorporate indicators as you become more comfortable with their functionality.
3. Prioritize risk management.
Both beginners and experienced traders might envy those who achieve substantial gains, often overlooking the complexities behind their success.
While certain trading techniques can yield significant profits, they also carry the risk of wiping out an account in an instant.
Remember, even a good trade idea can turn sour if risk and trade management are neglected.
Proper risk management is crucial for maintaining longevity in the trading game and acquiring the skills needed to become consistently profitable.
4. Stick to your plan.
Trading novices are particularly susceptible to the psychological stresses of the market. Without trading confidence, they are more likely to deviate from their trading plans, even if the odds seem favorable.
Consistency is key in this aspect. After all, what you don't measure, you can't manage or improve upon. Without consistency:
• The trader won't learn how to adapt their system to changing market conditions.
• The trader won't cultivate the right mindset to handle losses, stay focused, and prevent emotional reactions.
• Inconsistent execution can skew the system's expected outcomes, leading to potentially worse results.
Don't hesitate to seek help and learn from a community of traders to avoid repeating the mistakes made by those who have walked your path before.
We would greatly appreciate your feedback on the article! Please feel free to share your thoughts and opinions in the comments section below.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND LEVELS How do we determine the levels of supply and demand on a chart?
To find supply, we will look at the highs of price movements, and to find demand, we will look at the lows. We need to note highs and lows with fast and strong price movements. Fast rises for demand and troughs for supply. The less the price stays at a level the better for us. The first thing we need to do, just like when marking support and resistance levels, is to look at the highs and lows on the charts. Note that the closest area to the current price has been tested on the chart below. And the lower one has not been tested yet. It has only been touched by price once, so this area is stronger than the one that has already been tested.
At the marked levels, we observe that the price was at them for a short time. It reversed almost immediately and went down with large candles. The important factor here is the time that the price "did not stay" at the level. The less time the price was on the level, the more significant this level is. And it is worth keeping in mind the size of the candles. The bigger these candles are, the stronger the reaction.
In addition, supply and demand levels become mirrored. Just like support and resistance. If we pay attention to the highlighted area on the UKOIL chart below, we can see that there was first supply and then a strong breakout. The price overcame the supply, took its remain orders and went higher. And now this area has become a demand area:
As you can see, there was a quick bounce from it here. Our goal is to determine the demand at the low levels and the supply at the peaks. We find strong and fast price movements on the chart. A rise for demand and a fall for supply. These should be big candles and the price should not crowd in one place for a very long time. There should not be a long retracement. The less the price spends on the level, the better.
In addition, pay attention to round levels. Such as 1,100; 1,500; 1,300 and so on....
Do not go back too far on the chart, because what happened on it earlier is not so important for the methodology of supply and demand levels. These are not support and resistance levels after all. And once again I want to repeat to you that the most important thing is that these levels should be visible not only to you, but also to other players. In order for them to work them out.
What happens at these levels and why do they work?
At these demand levels, large players place limit buy orders, and at supply levels they place sell orders. Why does this happen? Because at these levels it is easier for the large players to execute the order by collecting the positions of smaller players. Every time the price reaches the supply area, we have sell orders executed by the big players. They take the buy orders that other players open and use them to execute their sell orders. When the buy orders run out, the price falls again. When it rises to the same level again, many sell orders of the big players are executed again with the help of stops and buy orders of smaller traders. When the opposite orders run out, the price falls again.
The point is that a large position cannot be opened simply without a significant change in price. That is why big players, banks, market makers have to play around and set some kind of traps for other traders in order to open larger positions at their expense. Now let's look at this area of the supply:
It was a supply level, but on two occasions many sell orders of big players were executed on it. On the third time, as you can see, there were no big players left, so the price decided to break this level and went higher. From this we conclude that supply tends to run out, just like demand. Once it is over, there is nothing to stop the price from breaking this level and going higher.
Therefore, it is considered that for profitable trading the supply and demand levels are suitable only for the first time, when the price has just touched the level. Then we can sell or buy on the retest of the level. But when the price comes back to it again (for the third time), we should not enter the trade it, as the breakout is very likely.
I should note that a higher candlestick maximum does not always mean that a new supply area has been created. And a lower low does not mean that a new area of demand has been created. It can be just a spike, a trace from the execution of a large number of orders.
In this trade, it is worth paying attention to higher time frames. If you trade on H4, look at daily and weekly charts. So that your buying on H4 does not fall into the supply area on the weekly charts. Use multiple timeframes in your trading and don't forget to look at the level on the higher timeframes.
Why Impulse Trading is DANGEROUS – 19 ReasonsJust to get you up to scratch.
An impulse trader in the financial markets is someone who makes trading decisions based on sudden emotional reactions rather than structured and informed strategies.
They often buy or sell markets due to fear, greed, or other emotions, disregarding systematic analysis and rational judgment.
Being an impulse trader can be dangerous for the following reasons:
Neglect of thorough research:
Impulsive traders often disregard the need for comprehensive market analysis.
Emotional trading
Decisions are often driven by emotions like fear or greed.
Increased risk
Impulsive actions often lead to unnecessary risk-taking.
Loss of capital
Quick decisions can lead to significant financial losses.
Overtrading
Impulse trading often leads to overtrading, resulting in higher transaction costs.
Lack of discipline
Impulsive trading discourages the development of disciplined trading habits.
Neglect of risk management
Impulsive traders often disregard the importance of risk management.
Increased stress
The anxiety of impulsive decisions can lead to physical and mental stress.
Unstable performance
Results can fluctuate wildly due to inconsistent decision-making.
No strategic planning
Impulse trading contradicts the idea of having a clear, consistent trading strategy.
Short-term focus
Impulsive trading often focuses on short-term gains, neglecting long-term profitability.
Dependency on luck
Impulsive trading can become akin to gambling, relying more on luck than skill.
Failure to learn
Impulse trading does not encourage learning from mistakes or experiences.
Neglecting stop loss orders
Impulsive traders often neglect to place stop loss orders to limit their losses.
Fear of missing out (FOMO)
This emotional reaction can lead to poor trading decisions.
Revenge trading
Trying to recover losses quickly can lead to more losses.
Market timing
Trying to time the market perfectly is nearly impossible and can lead to losses.
Ignoring the broader economic context
Impulsive traders often neglect broader market conditions.
Potential for addiction
The thrill of impulse trading can become addictive, leading to a dangerous cycle.
Understanding the Learning CurveWelcome to @Vestinda new article about Learning Curve! We are delighted to share this insightful piece with our valued community on @TradingView !
At Vestinda, we believe in empowering traders with knowledge and tools to navigate the cryptocurrencies and futures trading. In this article, we will explore the concept of the learning curve and its relevance to the trading journey. Whether you are a novice trader or a seasoned professional, understanding the learning curve can be instrumental in your path to success.
If you focus and invest time into a subject, you will eventually reach a level of mastery.
The actual level clearly depends on the amount of invested time and to a significant extent on your inherent abilities to acquire the specific knowledge. I could probably spend a decade on quantum physics and not progress beyond the level of ‘enthusiastic beginner'. However, attaining mastery is seldom a smooth and linear journey. It is more like a curve in the mathematical sense, characterized by uneven ups and downs, reflecting the usual 'bumps in the road' that we all experience when dealing with challenging topics.
There is a pattern in the process of learning something new (knowledge, skills, etc.), which was formulated by the American psychologist Albert Bandura. This pattern is depicted in the form of a graph known as the Bandura curve.
The graph demonstrates the relationship between time (number of attempts), the level of human competence in what they are studying, and their expectations.
If you have ever enthusiastically started a new training, holding high hopes for it, and then quietly gave up, blaming others or anything else, then you are not alone. To avoid repeating this in the future, it's important to understand how human psychology and the system work, and that each of us is part of this system. Below, we will provide recommendations on what to pay attention to.
So, the Bandura curve shows the stages a person goes through when beginning to learn something new.
1. Clueless (You don't know what you don't know)
When you first venture into trading cryptocurrencies and futures, you are essentially clueless about the intricacies of the market. The concepts, strategies, and tools may seem foreign and overwhelming. It's like staring at a vast landscape without a map, unsure of where to even begin.
2. Naively confident (You think you know, but still don't know what you don't know)
As you begin your learning journey, you might gain some basic knowledge and techniques. This newfound understanding might lead to a sense of naively confident. You believe you have a handle on things, but in reality, there's a lot you're still unaware of, and the market can surprise you with unexpected turns.
3. Discouragingly realistic (You know what you don't know)
With more experience, you come to a point of realization that there is much more to learn. The challenges and complexities of trading become evident, and you may face setbacks that test your resolve. It can be a discouraging phase as you grapple with the reality of how much you still need to learn.
4. Mastery achieved (You know it)
Through persistence and a commitment to learning, you gradually achieve mastery in trading cryptocurrencies and futures. You've gained a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, developed effective strategies, and learned how to manage risks. You can now navigate the market with confidence and consistently make informed decisions.
Remember: The learning curve in trading is a natural part of the process, and each stage brings its own valuable lessons. Don't be disheartened by challenges or setbacks; they are opportunities to grow and improve your trading skills.
WHAT TO DO?
✅ Embrace the journey of learning and growth, recognizing that mastery takes time.
✅ Stay humble and open-minded, acknowledging that there is always more to learn.
✅ Be patient with yourself during the challenging phases and use them as motivation to improve.
✅ Keep refining your strategies and adapting to the ever-changing market conditions.
Can you identify which stage you are currently in your cryptocurrency and futures trading journey? Remember, each stage brings you closer to becoming a proficient trader.
We hope you found this article on understanding the learning curve in trading cryptocurrencies and futures helpful!
If you have any thoughts, questions, or personal experiences related to the topic, we'd love to hear from you. Please share your feedback in the comments below.
Your input is valuable to us and can help us create more content that resonates with your interests and needs.
Thank you for being part of our community!
Volume price Volume price is my term meaning the average price for a certain traded volume in a certain period of time.
As an example, I took the BTCUSD chart
To find out at what level the largest volume is traded, there is a tool called "Fixed Volume Profile" FRVP (located on the sidebar, in the Tools for Measurement and Forecasting cell).
Here I stretched it for the period from November 14, 2020 to August 03, 2023 POC the orange line in my case (it's so convenient for me) shows the same maximum volume, and if you put a horizontal line with a price display in its place, we will see the price of 16752.88 - this is the price of volume.
That is, the largest volume was traded at this price.
A fixed volume profile can be applied on any segments of the chart, for example, from high to low, or from low to low, or from high to high, or in the sideways.
What does this give us?
Firstly, we understand at what price large capital gained or gave away its position.
Secondly, it forms the most powerful level for a certain time period (time frame).
And finally, the volume has a price.
WHAT IS EXPECTATION IN TRADING✴️ What is expectation in trading?
Every trader should be familiar with the concept of mathematical expectation, we will briefly discuss this aspect again. Take a look at the figure above. In the end, the total net profit (or loss) comes from both the frequency of profitable and losing positions (however many there are) and their average size. The goal of any market analysis, any strategy, is to try to have more profitable trades (and therefore fewer losing trades). And while entry point analysis can have its advantages, at the end of the day, we can't predict the future.
The average size of profitable and losing positions, on the other hand, gives us much more information and, in fact, a very large degree of control. For if we take a risk in our position of, say, three percent, our average loss will not exceed minus three percent. And the only thing we have to do for that is to close positions when the risk gets to three percent or less. No forecasting or analysis is needed at all. Similarly, we can also increase the average size of our profitable positions by simply holding them (i.e., not closing them) and adding to them (i.e., opening more positions in that direction) as they bring us large profits. So, in the end, it's all about minimizing losses and maximizing profits. Going back to the figure above, this means we should focus on the mass of weights.
Being profitable in trading over the long term, comes down to minimizing losses and allowing profits to grow. It's not about whether you act right or wrong - it's about how you manage your profits and losses.
✴️ Problems with mathematical expectation
Mathematical expectation isn't hard to understand. And to help understand it, very simple analogies are often used, such as gambling: dice, roulette, or even the lottery. Thanks to expectation, it is easy to prove that all such games are ultimately losers if played for quite a long time.
And here we come to the heart of the problem. The concept, or you could say the myth of "expectation of one's system". A more popular term for traders is "edge". Legend has it that you should have positive expectations of your trading system. But this is a futile endeavor because, unlike gambling, the system may not have, and probably does not have, a consistent percentage of profitable positions. After all, markets do not move randomly. Thus, in financial markets, we only know our historical frequency of profitable and losing positions, unlike in a dice game where we also know the upcoming expectation.
The myth that we need to have positive expectations of our system before trusting it with our money has dire consequences. It feeds the belief that you need to have an edge (in terms of math expectation) to be profitable in the long run. It also feeds the unhelpful need for backtesting. Any system that has negative expectations and is naturally backed up by backtesting is discarded. Good systems are criticized because they may be out of sync with the markets for a while, i.e. not profitable for a while. And it comes down to adjusting the yield curve on historical data, i.e. over-optimization.
What do traders do in search of a system with positive expectations? The same thing: they do not take into account the probability distribution in the measurement domain. And if Nassim Nicholas Taleb's Black Swan has taught us anything, it's that we simply can't do that.
We can't apply measurements beyond the interval in which those measurements were made. And we certainly have to realize that we have to look at expectations as a whole. It is precisely not the probabilities that are killing us, it is the outcomes. And once again, even probabilities (and perhaps similar distributions) are not stable in financial markets. Markets are chaotic, fractal in nature, with exponentially changing behavior (and not always).
✴️ What can we do to improve our mathematical expectation?
The good news is that when a trader starts thinking with his head instead of relying on expectations, he/she doesn't have to do anything to his "system". Trading expectations (as opposed to expectations of one's system) is simply using the knowledge that we have much more control over the size of our profit/loss (average size of profitable and losing positions) than we have over probability (frequency of profitable and losing positions). And, because we don't focus on historical expectations, trading expectations can work for us. By keeping losses small and increasing our profits (and adding to profitable positions), we gain true advantages.
The following experiment was conducted: the simulator opened random positions, from which the expectation and net profit were calculated. This model averaged several million sets of 30 long positions during a bear market. The average net loss was -12 percent; only about one-third of all positions were profitable. Now, by simply opening the same positions, cutting the losses to minus three percent (using a stop loss) and at the same time adding to the profitable positions, we achieved an average net result for the same positions of 1.8 percent profit (on average in a falling market). So, by using expectations in our favor, we actually changed the values of expectations! Traders who believed that initially negative expectations were useless would never have been able to do this because they had abandoned the system from the start.
This doesn't mean that losses can be turned into profits exactly, but in the long run expectation works by closing out losing positions and adding to profitable positions. But when looking at the possible history of trades on the chart in the past, traders are often fooling themselves. Thus, none of the trading systems are either profitable or unprofitable, they look that way only in relation to the method of position size management and money management applied.
✴️ Conclusion
To summarize, it is one thing to see how a forex strategy has behaved in history, but to expect it to behave the same way in the future is another. Traders should focus less on testing on history and more on the current situation: to cut losses and even more on maximizing their profits and adding to profitable positions. Follow this rule long enough and you will experience the true power of mathematical expectation in Forex trading.
My Trading Routine - Not that you care It’s no holy grain, but routine is crucial.
You need to find what works vest for you.
This way you’ll be able to streamline your trading activities.
Here, I lift the curtain to reveal my daily trading routine — a blend of ritual, strategy, and discipline that helps me navigate the markets with confidence.
My routine is not a magical formula for instant success, but a systematized approach that helps me get up and just get to it.
Make Coffee
First, the trading day starts with a good cup of coffee, lemon water and yoghurt and muesli.
It’s not just about the caffeine kick, but also the ritual involved.
Brewing coffee and the other bits, gives me time to mentally prepare for the day, clear my mind from distractions, and focus on the tasks ahead.
The lemon water, kickstarts the stomach and neutralises the acids. Try it.
It’s my simple, personal ritual that sets the tone for the rest of the day.
Open My Charting Platform
Once I’m caffeinated and alert, I log into my preferred charting platform. I use TradingView for the charts and a few trading platforms with the brokers.
It’s essential to have a reliable, intuitive platform that aligns with your trading style and strategy.
Over the years, I’ve customized my platform with specific tools and indicators that I regularly use, enabling efficient and focused analysis.
As you’ve seen I have my customised indicators and setups ready to go.
Analyse the Main Market Trends
Trading bias is what sets the mood.
Go onto your daily or weekly charts with different main indices.
And jot down, on your trading platform whether you are.
Long biased (Only looking for longs)
Short biased (Only looking for sells)
Neutral biased (Waiting for a breakout)
This high-level analysis helps me understand the market’s overall mood and possible influencing factors.
Also, I make a note of any significant events or releases scheduled for the day that might impact my trades.
You can go to the TradingView Economic Calendar and check.
Look for Trading Setups
Next, I start scanning for potential trading setups.
I use my pre-defined criteria and I look for opportunities that align with my trading strategy.
Plug in Trading Levels
After I’ve found potential setups and high probability trades.
I determine my entry, stop-loss, take-profit levels and quantity to buy or sell for each trade.
These levels are guided by my risk management rules and are non-negotiable.
I use my pattern trading strategy accompanied with Smart Money Concepts.
Execute Trades
Finally, with all the analysis done and trading levels set.
I just take the trade/s.
This is where discipline really comes into play.
Regardless of the market noise or sudden fluctuations, I stick to my plan.
After all, successful trading is not about making impulsive decisions but about consistently following a well-thought-out strategy.
So that’s it.
There are a couple of other things, like analysing and re-evaluating the portfolio once a week and when to prepare for paying tax and possible withdraws and deposits.
But this is more subjective and is determined in sporadic parts of the year, that changes each time.
This is just a taste.
Remember, a good trading routine is one that suits your personal style, strategy, and goals.
So feel free to tweak, adjust, and make it your own.
Guard Your Funds: Only risk what you can afford to lose.🎉 Risk Management tip for Vesties and @TradingView community! 🚀
😲 We all know the saying "only risk what you can afford to lose," but do you know the powerful impact it can have on your trading journey? 🤔
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency and futures trading, one fundamental principle stands as the cornerstone of profitable and sustainable trading journeys: Only risk what you can afford to lose. Embracing this essential concept is crucial for preserving capital, maintaining emotional stability, and cultivating a disciplined approach to risk management. In this article, we will delve into the significance of operating money and risk within the confines of one's financial capacity and explore the key pillars that underpin this approach.
Understanding Risk Tolerance and Capital Allocation:
1. Assessing Individual Risk Tolerance:
To truly understand one's risk tolerance and establish a robust risk management strategy, traders are encouraged to engage in a thought exercise that involves imagining potential losses in tangible terms. Visualize throwing money into the bin or burning it completely, purely to experience the feeling of losing money. This exercise may seem unconventional, but it serves a crucial purpose: it helps traders gauge their emotional response to monetary losses.
During this exercise, consider the two extreme scenarios: the first being the largest amount of money you can lose without causing significant distress, and the second being the maximum amount of loss that would completely devastate you financially and emotionally. These two amounts represent your Fine Risk and Critical Risk , which reflects the sum you are willing and able to lose over a specific period of time without compromising your financial well-being.
👉 The next step involves breaking down the Fine Risk into smaller, manageable parts. 🔑 Divide the Fine Risk into 10 or even 20 equal parts, each representing the risk amount for every individual trade. This approach is designed to create a safety net for traders, especially when they encounter unfavorable market conditions.
For instance, imagine a scenario where you face five consecutive losing trades. With each trade representing only a fraction of your Fine Risk, the cumulative loss remains relatively small compared to your risk capability, providing emotional resilience and the ability to continue trading with confidence.
By splitting the Fine Risk into smaller portions, we can safeguard their capital and ensure that a string of losses does not result in irreversible damage to our trading accounts or emotional well-being. Additionally, this approach promotes a disciplined and structured trading mindset, encouraging us to adhere to their predefined risk management rules and avoid impulsive decisions based on emotions.
Remember, risk management is not solely about avoiding losses but also about preserving the means to participate in the market over the long term.
2. Establishing a Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The risk-to-reward ratio is a critical metric that every trader must comprehend to develop a successful trading system. It is a representation of the potential risk taken in a trade relative to the potential reward. For a well-balanced and sustainable approach to trading, it is essential to ensure that the risk-to-reward ratio is greater than 1:1.10.
A risk-to-reward ratio of 1:1.10 implies that for every unit of risk taken, the trader expects a potential reward of 1.10 units. This ratio serves as a safety measure, ensuring that over time, the profits generated from winning trades will outweigh the losses incurred from losing trades. While there is a popular notion that the risk-to-reward ratio should ideally be 1:3, what truly matters is that the ratio remains above the 1:1.10 mark.
Maintaining a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:1.10 is beneficial for several reasons. Firstly, it allows traders to cover their losses in the long term. Even with a series of losing trades, the accumulated profits from winning trades will offset the losses, allowing traders to continue trading without significant setbacks.
Secondly, a risk-to-reward ratio higher than 1:1.10, combined with proper risk management and a well-executed trading system, enables traders to accumulate profits over time. Consistently achieving a slightly better reward than the risk taken can lead to substantial gains in the long run.
3. Determining Appropriate Position Sizes:
Once you have a clear understanding of your risk amount and risk-to-reward ratio, you can proceed to calculate appropriate position sizes for each trade. To do this, you can use a simple formula:
Position Size = (Risk Amount per Trade / Stop Loss) * 100%
Let's take an example to illustrate this calculation:
Example:
Risk Amount per Trade: $100
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Stop Loss: -4.12%
Take Profit: +8.26%
Using the formula:
Position Size = ($100 / -4.12%) * 100%
Position Size ≈ $2427.18
In this example, your calculated position size is approximately $2427.18. This means that for this particular trade, you would allocate a position size of approximately $2427.18 to ensure that your risk exposure remains at $100.
After executing the trade, let's say the trade turned out to be profitable, and you achieved a profit of $200. This outcome is a result of adhering to a well-calculated position size that aligns with your risk management strategy.
By determining appropriate position sizes based on your risk tolerance and risk-to-reward ratio, you can effectively control your exposure to the market. This approach helps you maintain consistency in risk management and enhances your ability to manage potential losses while allowing your profits to compound over time.
Emotions and Psychology in Risk Management:
A. The Impact of Emotions on Trading Decisions:
Emotions can significantly influence trading decisions, often leading to suboptimal outcomes. Traders must recognize the impact of emotions such as fear, greed, and excitement on their decision-making processes. Emotional biases can cloud judgment and result in impulsive actions, which can be detrimental to overall trading performance.
B. Recognizing and Managing Fear and Greed:
Fear and greed are two dominant emotions that can disrupt a trader's ability to make rational choices. By developing self-awareness and recognizing emotional triggers, traders can gain better control over their reactions. Implementing techniques to manage fear and greed, such as setting predefined entry and exit points, can help traders navigate turbulent market conditions.
C. Developing a Disciplined Trading Mindset:
A disciplined trading mindset is the bedrock of successful risk management. This involves adhering to a well-defined trading plan that outlines risk management rules and strategies. By staying committed to the plan and maintaining a long-term perspective, traders can resist impulsive actions and maintain discipline during times of market volatility.
D. Techniques for Avoiding Impulsive and Emotional Trading:
To avoid impulsive and emotional trading, traders can employ various techniques. Implementing cooling-off periods before making trade decisions allows traders to gain clarity before acting. Seeking support from trading communities or mentors provides valuable insights and helps traders stay grounded. Utilizing automated trading systems can reduce emotional interference and ensure trades are executed based on predefined criteria.
In the world of cryptocurrency and futures trading, the fundamental principle of "only risk what you can afford to lose" remains the cornerstone of successful trading. Embracing this concept is essential for preserving capital, maintaining emotional stability, and cultivating a disciplined approach to risk management.
Understanding individual risk tolerance and breaking down total risk into smaller portions allows traders to navigate unfavorable market conditions with resilience. Maintaining a risk-to-reward ratio above 1:1.10 ensures that profits outweigh losses over time, while determining appropriate position sizes enables effective risk control.
Emotions play a significant role in trading decisions, and managing fear and greed empowers traders to make rational choices. Employing techniques to avoid impulsive trading, like cooling-off periods and seeking support, reinforces a disciplined trading mindset.
In conclusion, adhering to the principle of only risking what you can afford to lose leads to sustainable success in the dynamic trading world. By implementing effective risk management practices, traders enhance their chances of achieving profitability and longevity in their trading journeys.
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The Importance of Understanding the financial statements
Introduction:
Investing in the stock market can be an exciting venture, but it also comes with inherent risks. As a beginner investor, it's crucial to arm yourself with the right knowledge and tools to make informed decisions. One of the fundamental aspects of analyzing a company's financial health is understanding its balance sheet and income statement. These two financial statements offer a glimpse into the company's financial position, performance, and overall stability. In this article, we will explore why understanding the balance sheet and income statement is essential before diving into the world of investing.
Assessing Financial Health:
The balance sheet provides an overview of a company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity. By understanding this statement, investors can assess the financial health and stability of a company. A strong balance sheet, with healthy assets and manageable liabilities, indicates a stable and well-managed company. On the other hand, a weak balance sheet with high debt levels may signal financial instability and higher risk for investors.
Evaluating Profitability:
The income statement offers insights into a company's revenue, expenses, and net income or profit. Analyzing the income statement helps investors understand how profitable the company is over a specific period. Consistent and growing profits are positive indicators of a company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. On the contrary, persistent losses or declining profits might raise concerns and influence investment decisions.
Identifying Trends and Patterns:
Regularly analyzing the balance sheet and income statement over multiple periods allows investors to identify trends and patterns in a company's financial performance. Patterns of consistent growth or steady improvements in key financial metrics can instill confidence in investors. Conversely, erratic or downward trends might serve as cautionary flags, prompting further investigation before making investment choices.
Assessing Investment Risk:
Understanding the balance sheet and income statement helps investors gauge the level of risk associated with investing in a particular company. A company with low levels of debt and stable revenue streams may offer a more secure investment compared to a company with high debt and fluctuating earnings. By understanding the financial statements, investors can better match their risk tolerance with suitable investment opportunities.
Making Informed Investment Decisions:
Investing without understanding the company's financial health is akin to taking a shot in the dark. A thorough analysis of the balance sheet and income statement empowers investors to make informed decisions based on objective data rather than emotions or speculative rumors. It provides a solid foundation for evaluating a company's potential for growth and long-term sustainability.
Identifying Red Flags:
Misinterpreting or overlooking crucial information in the financial statements can lead to costly mistakes. Understanding these statements helps investors spot red flags such as declining revenues, rising expenses, increasing debt levels, or unusual accounting practices. Recognizing these warning signs early can prevent investing in companies with underlying financial troubles.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, understanding the balance sheet and income statement is a fundamental skill that every investor should possess. These financial statements provide valuable insights into a company's financial health, profitability, and overall stability. By analyzing these statements, investors can make informed decisions, assess investment risks, and identify potential investment opportunities. Armed with this knowledge, beginner investors can navigate the complex world of the stock market with greater confidence and increase their chances of achieving their financial goals. Remember, successful investing is a journey of continuous learning and diligent analysis.
The Mindset of a Market SpeculatorThe Mindset of a Market Speculator: Nurturing a Resilient, Adaptable, and Knowledge-Driven Approach
Trading in the stock market is akin to walking a tightrope between risk and reward, where success is contingent on the mindset of the speculator. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deeper into the multifaceted mindset that defines triumphant stock market speculators. By emphasizing the pivotal qualities of resilience, adaptability, continuous learning, discipline, and emotional intelligence, we uncover the intricacies of their journey towards consistent profitability and enduring success.
Resilience: Thriving Amidst Adversity
Resilience is the bedrock of a successful speculator's mindset. In the tempestuous world of trading, losses are an inevitable part of the journey. However, resilient speculators view setbacks as valuable learning experiences and stepping stones towards improvement. They maintain an unwavering determination to bounce back from losses, rather than being deterred by them.
Furthermore, a resilient mindset enables speculators to persevere through the emotionally taxing periods of uncertainty and volatility. By embracing challenges with a positive outlook, they maintain their focus and motivation to achieve their long-term trading objectives.
Adaptability: Mastering the Ever-Changing Landscape
The stock market is a dynamic ecosystem, influenced by a myriad of internal and external factors. A successful speculator understands that strategies that proved fruitful in the past may not guarantee future success. Hence, adaptability is a cornerstone of their approach.
Adaptable speculators continuously monitor the market landscape, staying abreast of economic indicators, technological advancements, and geopolitical developments. They are quick to identify shifts in market sentiment and trends, enabling them to modify their trading strategies accordingly. This ability to pivot and embrace change fosters resilience in the face of evolving market conditions.
Continuous Learning: A Lifelong Pursuit of Mastery
A commitment to continuous learning is a distinguishing characteristic of top-performing speculators. They recognize that the stock market is an ever-evolving arena and strive to enhance their analytical and decision-making skills continually.
Successful speculators engage in rigorous market research, study historical data, and analyze various market indicators. They embrace various forms of analysis, including technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, to make informed trading decisions. Additionally, they attend seminars, participate in trading forums, and seek guidance from experienced mentors to glean valuable insights.
Discipline: The Guardian of Consistent Performance
Discipline is the guardian of success in the world of stock market speculation. A disciplined approach ensures that speculators adhere to their trading plans, follow predefined risk management strategies, and resist the allure of impulsive decisions.
Disciplined speculators set clear entry and exit points, employ stop-loss orders, and maintain a prudent position sizing strategy. They avoid emotional trading and detach themselves from market noise, instead relying on their well-researched analysis and trading rules. This steadfast discipline fortifies their decision-making process and helps them weather the emotional highs and lows of trading.
Emotional Intelligence: Mastering the Mind Games
The stock market is not merely a test of analytical prowess but a battleground of emotions. Successful speculators master the art of emotional intelligence, understanding that emotions can cloud judgment and lead to irrational decisions.
By cultivating self-awareness, speculators recognize their emotional triggers and develop coping mechanisms to manage stress and anxiety. They practice mindfulness techniques, meditation, or engage in physical activities to maintain a clear and composed mindset. Emotional intelligence empowers speculators to maintain a level-headed approach even in the face of unexpected market movements.
Summarising, the mindset of a triumphant stock market speculator is a multi-faceted tapestry of resilience, adaptability, continuous learning, discipline, and emotional intelligence. Armed with unwavering resilience, speculators embrace challenges as learning opportunities, enabling them to endure through market fluctuations.
Adaptability empowers speculators to evolve with changing market dynamics, ensuring their strategies remain relevant and effective. Continuous learning fuels their quest for mastery, equipping them with a profound understanding of market intricacies.
Discipline is the backbone of consistent performance, shielding speculators from emotional impulses and maintaining their focus on long-term objectives. Emotional intelligence serves as a guiding compass, allowing speculators to navigate the emotional highs and lows of trading with composure.
By intertwining these qualities, successful speculators cultivate a mindset that fosters adaptability, rationality, and resilience. Armed with this holistic approach, they stand poised to navigate the ever-changing seas of the stock market, capitalizing on opportunities and achieving sustainable success. Remember, the stock market is not merely about predicting prices but embracing the journey of self-improvement and honing the art of speculation.
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Signal Providers: Red Flags to Watch Out ForSignal providers are becoming increasingly popular among traders, offering automated trading recommendations or strategies to take advantage of forex. However, it is important to be aware of potential red flags that may indicate that a signal provider is not trustworthy. In this post, we will look at some of the most common "red flags" that signal providers can exhibit and how to recognize them. We'll discuss when to be suspicious, what to look out for, and how to avoid being scammed by signal providers.
Unrealistic returns
One of the most common red flags to look out for when researching signal providers is unrealistic claims about future returns. If they promise huge returns with no risk and little investment, it could be a sign that they are not being honest and realistic about the strategies they offer. Always do your own research to ensure that the results claimed by the signal provider are accurate and that you are getting a fair deal. These can be third party marketplaces that help verify trades.
Hidden charges
Be aware of any hidden costs or fees that the provider may charge. Many providers may advertise low rates or free services, but they may hide additional costs or fees that will be charged after a period of time. Be sure to read the terms and conditions carefully to understand what fees may be associated with the service. You should also contact customer service to see if there are any additional costs or fees that you have not considered.
Competing interests
Be wary of signal providers that have potential conflicts of interest, such as those that receive commissions from the trades they recommend. This can lead to biased recommendations and put your money at risk. Only use providers that have no conflict of interest and are unbiased.
Inadequate customer service
Signal providers with poor customer service should also be avoided. If a provider is unresponsive or unwilling to answer your questions, it could be a sign that they cannot be trusted. In addition, signal providers that do not provide adequate support to their customers can be a red flag. If you are being ignored for a long time, there is a high probability that you have been scammed for money.
Lack of personalization
If a signal provider does not offer any customization options for their strategies, it could be a sign that they do not provide personalized services. Always go for those providers who are willing to customize their strategies to suit your individual needs.
Insistent demand to deposit your money
Finally, look out for those providers who are pressuring you to fund your account immediately. These are big hints of unclean services. If they use aggressive sales tactics or make unrealistic promises, it could be a sign that they are not trustworthy. Always do your own research and make sure you understand all the risks and benefits of different investment options before depositing money. For example, you buy a subscription signal provider after a few days you are charged extra money for 100% utilization of the service.
By understanding the red flags that signal providers may show, you can be sure to protect yourself from potential scams and fraud. If you have any doubts or concerns, be sure to do your own research and only use providers that you trust. Be sure to watch out for warning signs that may indicate a possible fraud or scam. These include, but are not limited to: if the provider asks for your banking information, if the provider asks for your social security or credit card numbers, if the provider asks for your personal information or money in an unusual or too random way. Run away from such signal providers.
How to get LASER Vision for Trading TriumphWe live in an extremely fast-paced world.
It’s almost impossible to focus on just one task at a time.
In fact, you’re probably already thinking of shifting your attention away from what I have to share with you today.
You’re thinking of moving to the next email, what you’re going to eat, what’s on Netflix or the bills you have to pay or how else you’ll make your millions.
Well just today. I want you to slow down.
Relax.
Can you please try to finish reading this tutorial, before you move on to the next task.
You may find that this one important trait, is the missing puzzle piece for not only your trading success.
But also this will help you to enjoy life, be in the now and feel way more relaxed with less stress…
This won’t only drastically improve your trading but with every aspect of your life.
This important trait I’m talking about is…
The Power of Tunnel Vision
Tunnel vision or singular focus, is where you concentrate and direct your attention to ONE thing at a time.
Think of racehorses.
When they have their blinkers on they tend to have singular focus with an undistracted mindset to guide them to their goal (end of the race).
With trading you need to put on your own figurative blinkers and have tunnel vision to focus on:
• Your trading setups
• Your trading chart analysis
• Your trading process and execution
• Your trading adjustments
• Your reviews, reports and findings
This means, while you are focusing on ONE task at a time you need to
Remove distractions from your life
You don’t understand how much better your trading decisions will be and the clarity you’ll have when you remove distractions when you trade.
Make it a habit to put away your phone, close all irrelevant tabs, declutter your space, take the dog out and switch off the TV.
Make sure you have a quiet environment.
Dedicate your full attention and focus entirely to your trading activities – without any distractions.
And then when it comes to execution, make sure you
Focus on risk management carefully
Many traders have lost their accounts, by being reckless with their trading.
Before you execute any trade, make it a point to double-check your math, trade volume, and other crucial factors that concern your portfolio.
You'd be surprised how many times I’ve heard from traders who:
Calculate wrong sizes, miscalculated levels, and incorrect risk and reward levels.
This is your hard-earned money you’re working with.
So you need to always be responsible, accountable and highly focused with your money management approach.
Especially when it comes to risk management.
Laser focus will help you accelerate results
Believe it or not.
When you focus on one task at a time, it can significantly boost your efficiency and productivity.
This means you’ll finish sooner than you expected.
That’s because you’re devoting your resources, and mental energy on one thing.
And when you’re laser focused, you'll accomplish your goals a lot quicker than expected.
When it comes to trading, having laser focus will help you to:
1. Finish your trading analyses sooner
2. Have your charts setup and trading analyses ready for the next day
3. See more profit opportunities
4. Make less mistakes and errors
And this which will increase your productivity and optimisation levels as a trader.
In fact, you might even find a way to see new elements to add onto your strategy.
This way, you’ll build and master your profitable strategy.
Cut out unnecessary stress when you trade
When you adopt tunnel vision in your life, there’ll be less to worry about.
Think about it.
Doesn’t your blood pressure go through the roof when you:
• Have the TV on?
• Have your dogs or cats invading your space every couple of minutes?
• Have too many tabs opened on your computer?
• Think about your bills, life, worries and issues?
And with the state of the fast-paced and modern world, I know you have stress right now.
But when you cut out all the stress, distractions and problems then you’ll feel more in control.
As a trader, you’ll alleviate stress when you analyse, develop a strategy, execute your trades and review your performance.
You’ll improve your discipline and achieve your goals with your trading
Once you start working on adopting singular focus in your life, you will feel a complete change to the way you do things.
You’ll approach your trading and life, with a more disciplined manner.
And when you have discipline, it will lead to you being more consistent and will promote more stability with your trading performance.
And just like race horses see their end goal.
You too will be able to see the steps you need to take to track and achieve your financial goals.
Final words
Time is flying.
And if there is one thing I want you to do, is slow down and focus on each task at hand.
This will help slow down the effect of time. I assure you, because it changed my life.
So from today:
Engage everything in the present moment.
Act with full focus and concentration
Do it with heart and care.
Focus on each task you pursue.
This mindful approach will greatly improve your trading performance.
Did you make it to the end of this tutorial?
Comment YES or NO.
How to succeed in trading ✅From the experience I have in trading I have identified 3 pillars on which my success is based. I can't say that one is less important than another, so I try to combine all of them:
1) Psychology - is one of the most difficult aspects to master, which requires a lot of theoretical and practical knowledge, so I recommend first of all to study yourself, after you have managed to identify what kind of person you are, you will gain knowledge from books, videos, trainings that will help you control your emotions when trading. At the same time, this aspect can help you in your daily life.
2) Risk management - due to proper risk management, I managed to become funded. I also understood that in trading it is more important to tend to have a small risk, than a high profit, because greed for money can bring you into a less pleasant situation. I managed to take the account with a risk of 1% per trade and with an RR of at least 1: 2, which therefore showed me that even if I take 6 sls for 10 trades, I still remain profitable.
3) Trading plan - this is the aspect that motivates me to progress, once I have made a trading plan with well-defined goals, I tend to fulfill them. In addition to the purposes, a trading plan should contain the strategy applied, as well as the rules for entering / managing / exiting the transaction.
CHOCH vs BOS ‼️WHAT IS BOS ?
BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market structure bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset.
To spot a bullish / bearish market structure we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market structure we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the structure this is the BOS.
BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move
WHAT IS CHOCH?
CHOCH - change of character. Also known as reversal, when the price fails to make a new higher high or lower low, then the price broke the structure and continue in other direction.
What is Confluence❓✅ Confluence refers to any circumstance where you see multiple trade signals lining up on your charts and telling you to take a trade. Usually these are technical indicators, though sometimes they may be price patterns. It all depends on what you use to plan your trades. A lot of traders fill their charts with dozens of indicators for this reason. They want to find confluence — but oftentimes the result is conflicting signals. This can cause a lapse of confidence and a great deal of confusion. Some traders add more and more signals the less confident they get, and continue to make the problem worse for themselves.
✅ Confluence is very important to increase the chances of winning trades, a trader needs to have at least two factors of confluence to open a trade. When the confluence exists, the trader becomes more confident on his negotiations.
✅ The Factors Of Confluence Are:
Higher Time Frame Analysis;
Trade during London Open;
Trade during New York Open;
Refine Higher Time Frame key levels in Lower
Time Frame entries;
Combine setups;
Trade during High Impact News Events.
✅ Refine HTF key levels in LTF entries or setups for confirmation that the HTF analysis will hold the price.
HTF Key Levels Are:
HTF Order Blocks;
HTF Liquidity Pools;
HTF Market Structure.
Market Structure Identification ✅Hello traders!
I want to share with you some educational content.
✅ MARKET STRUCTURE .
Today we will talk about market structure in the financial markets, market structure is basically the understading where the institutional traders/investors are positioned are they short or long on certain financial asset, it is very important to be positioned your trading opportunities with the trend as the saying says trend is your friend follow the trend when you are taking trades that are alligned with the strucutre you have a better probability of them closing in profit.
✅ Types of Market Structure
Bearish Market Structure - institutions are positioned LONG, look only to enter long/buy trades, we are spotingt the bullish market strucutre if price is making higher highs (hh) and higher lows (hl)
Bullish Market Structure - institutions are positioned SHORT, look only to enter short/sell trades, we are spoting the bearish market strucutre when price is making lower highs (lh) and lower lows (ll)
Range Market Structure - the volumes on short/long trades are equall instiutions dont have a clear direction we are spoting this strucutre if we see price making equal highs and equal lows and is accumulating .
I hope I was clear enough so you can understand this very important trading concept, remember its not in the number its in the quality of the trades and to have a better quality try to allign every trading idea with the actual structure
Navigating Volatile Markets Navigating Volatile Markets: Strategies for Turbulent Times
Introduction
Financial markets are no stranger to volatility, with unpredictable twists and turns that can test even the most seasoned investors. However, turbulent times need not be daunting. In this blog post, we will explore strategies to help you navigate volatile markets with confidence, turn uncertainty into opportunity, and make informed investment decisions during challenging times.
1. Stay Informed, Not Overwhelmed
During periods of market volatility, it's essential to stay informed about market developments and economic indicators. However, avoid becoming overwhelmed by constant news updates and opinions. Focus on reliable sources and maintain a balanced perspective.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio
Diversification is a time-tested risk management technique. Spread your investments across different asset classes, industries, and geographic regions. A well-diversified portfolio can cushion the impact of volatility on your overall holdings.
3. Set Clear Goals and Stick to Your Plan
Define clear financial goals and create an investment plan tailored to your objectives and risk tolerance. During turbulent times, emotions may tempt you to deviate from your plan. Stay disciplined and trust in the strategy you have set forth.
4. Consider Defensive Investments
Explore defensive investments, such as bonds, dividend-paying stocks, and precious metals. These assets may provide stability during market downturns and act as a hedge against heightened volatility.
5. Focus on Quality
In uncertain times, prioritize quality over speculative bets. Look for companies with solid fundamentals, stable cash flows, and strong balance sheets. Quality assets are better equipped to weather economic storms.
6. Assess Long-Term Value
Volatility can create buying opportunities. Look for high-quality assets that have been oversold due to market sentiment rather than inherent flaws. Assess their long-term value and potential for recovery.
7. Implement Stop-Loss Orders
Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital from significant losses. Set stop-loss levels that align with your risk tolerance and allow you to exit positions if the market moves against you.
8. Avoid Panic Selling
Resist the urge to panic sell during market downturns. Selling low locks in losses and may hinder your ability to benefit from potential market rebounds.
9. Focus on Risk Management
Adopt prudent risk management practices. Only allocate a portion of your portfolio to higher-risk assets and avoid overexposing yourself to individual positions.
10. Seek Professional Advice
If navigating volatile markets feels overwhelming, consider seeking advice from a financial advisor. A professional can help you assess your financial goals, devise a tailored strategy, and stay on track during turbulent times.
Conclusion
Volatility is an inherent part of financial markets, but with the right strategies and a disciplined approach, you can navigate turbulent times with confidence. Stay informed, diversify your portfolio, and focus on long-term value rather than short-term fluctuations.
Remember, every market cycle presents opportunities. Embrace volatility as a chance to refine your investment approach, grow your wealth, and turn uncertain times into prosperous outcomes.
Happy investing, and may your journey through volatile markets lead you to a more secure financial future!