Get started

Fundamental Analysis

ADVANTAGES OF DEX: A New Era in Cryptocurrency TradingDecentralized exchanges, or DEXs, revolutionize the way we conduct transactions by empowering counterparties to directly interact with each other without the need for a central authority. In contrast to traditional centralized exchanges (CEXs), where all transactions are controlled by a single entity, DEXs operate on the principles of smart contracts, ensuring the autonomy and decentralization of the transaction process. This decentralized approach eliminates the risk of a single point of failure, promoting a more secure, transparent, and community-driven trading experience. Binance, the world's largest centralized exchange by capitalization and trading volume, is a prime example of a traditional centralized exchange. With a clear chain of command, ownership, and management structure, this type of exchange operates under the oversight of its administrators. In contrast to DEXs, Binance requires users to undergo mandatory verification procedures, including facial recognition and recording, and stores user funds in its own accounts. This level of control and oversight makes it a prime target for regulatory bodies, which are increasingly seeking to establish clear guidelines and standards for the global crypto market. 💡 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DEX AND CEX 🗝️ THE KEY POINTS OF CEXs: ➡️ Centralized Exchanges operate under the umbrella of a centralized organization, where a clear chain of command and management structure governs all operations. This means that the exchange has direct control over user assets, with specific individuals responsible for overseeing day-to-day activities. ➡️ The registration process for CEXs typically involves verification of identity (KYC) and compliance with regulatory requirements. While some exceptions may be made for marketing purposes, such as allowing withdrawals up to a certain amount without verification, this is not the norm. As a result, exchanges may be compelled to disclose transaction data and customer account information to tax authorities, courts, or other parties upon request. ➡️ In terms of ease of use, CEXs often feature a familiar interface and rapid transaction processing times. They can also act as intermediaries, providing a guarantee for transactions and blocking funds until the trade is complete. ➡️However, this centralized approach also introduces security risks. With user assets stored on the exchange, CEXs are vulnerable to hacking attacks, which are unfortunately all too common. The hacking of centralized exchanges has become a frequent occurrence, making it essential for users to prioritize security when choosing a platform. One notable example of a centralized exchange is FTX, which was once among the top 5 largest exchanges by capitalization. However, its collapse serves as a stark reminder of the risks associated with centralized exchanges. The exchange's management was accused of misusing funds, leading to its eventual bankruptcy. In a devastating blow to users, their assets were locked, leaving them without access to their money. This incident highlights the importance of regulatory oversight and accountability in the cryptocurrency space. Centralized exchanges, like FTX, are often touted for their ease of use and security features, but they also concentrate user assets, making them vulnerable to mismanagement or even theft. The collapse of FTX is a cautionary tale for investors and users alike, emphasizing the need for due diligence when choosing a platform and the importance of transparency and accountability in the crypto industry. 🗝️ KEY POINTS OF DEXs: ⚡️ Decentralized exchanges, on the other hand, operate on a different principle. Transactions are facilitated by smart contracts, which ensures that users retain full control over their assets at all times. Unlike centralized exchanges, there is no management or authority figure that can exert influence or control over the platform. Instead, developers work alongside the cryptocurrency community to maintain and improve the operation of the exchange. ⚡️ One of the significant benefits of decentralized exchanges is the lack of need for identity verification. Users can trade directly with their cryptocurrency wallets, ensuring complete anonymity and privacy. Additionally, decentralized exchanges do not require users to register an account, making it a more convenient and secure option. ⚡️ Transparency is another key advantage of decentralized exchanges. All transactions are recorded on the blockchain, providing a public ledger of all activity. While it may be challenging for average users to access this information, it at least ensures that there is no room for abuse or manipulation. ⚡️ However, decentralized exchanges are not without their risks. Since users retain control over their assets, the risk of hacking is significantly reduced. However, vulnerabilities in smart contracts can still pose a threat to the security of the platform. Despite this, decentralized exchanges offer a more secure and transparent alternative to traditional centralized exchanges. 💡 ADVANTAGES OF DEXs 📍 One of the most significant advantages of decentralized exchanges is asset control. Unlike traditional centralized exchanges, users maintain full control over their funds, storing them securely in their own wallets. This means that users are not reliant on a third-party exchange to manage their assets, reducing the risk of hacking or theft. 📍 Another major benefit is the enhanced security offered by decentralized exchanges. Since there is no central storage of funds, the risk of an exchange being hacked is significantly reduced. This provides an added layer of protection for users, giving them greater peace of mind when trading. 📍 Decentralized exchanges also offer unparalleled anonymity. Users can trade without having to provide personal information, allowing for a level of privacy that is not typically found with centralized exchanges. 📍 Furthermore, decentralized exchanges offer a unique advantage when it comes to geographical restrictions. With no central authority, there are no restrictions on countries or regions for users, making it accessible to a global audience. 📍 Finally, decentralized exchanges provide a range of tools for earning money. While they may not offer the same breadth of options as centralized exchanges (such as margin trading, bi-currency investments, and liquid staking), they do provide a platform for buying and selling cryptocurrencies, giving users a way to engage with the market and potentially generate returns. 💡 DISADVANTAGES OF DEXs 📍 While decentralized exchanges offer many benefits, they also come with some drawbacks. One of the main limitations is speed and scalability. Due to the load on the blockchain, transactions can be slower and more expensive, which can be frustrating for users who need quick and seamless transactions. 📍 Another challenge is the interface. Decentralized exchanges often have a more complex interface compared to centralized exchanges, which can be overwhelming for new users. This may require a steeper learning curve and more technical knowledge to navigate. 📍Liquidity is also an issue with decentralized exchanges. Often, the liquidity is lower compared to centralized exchanges, resulting in higher spreads and less attractive prices for users. This can make it harder for users to find the best deals and execute trades efficiently. 📍 Furthermore, decentralized exchanges require a certain level of technical expertise from users. To use these platforms effectively, users need to have a basic understanding of cryptocurrency wallets, how they interact with the blockchain, and other technical aspects of decentralized finance. This can be a barrier to entry for those who are new to the space. 📍 Finally, decentralized exchanges are not immune to vulnerabilities. Smart contracts, which power these platforms, can be vulnerable to errors in their code. This means that risks are associated with possible errors in the code, which could compromise the security and integrity of the platform. While developers work hard to ensure the security of these contracts, it's essential for users to remain vigilant and aware of potential risks. ✅ CONCLUSION Decentralized exchanges are often referred to as "shadow exchanges," but they don't belong to the gray market category. As the cryptocurrency community continues to grow, there is a growing trend towards adopting DEXs, which operate through wallets. The benefits of this approach are numerous. For one, users don't have to worry about regulatory interference, as there is no centralized authority to govern their transactions. Secondly, users are free from the risk of their accounts being blocked or their money being refused by the exchange. On the other hand, DEXs can act as an arbitrator in disputes that may arise during transactions, providing an added layer of security and trust. However, it's essential to note that transactions conducted through DEXs are fully the responsibility of the participants involved, and any errors or frauds would fall on the shoulders of the individual parties. Ultimately, using DEXs requires a higher level of technical expertise and responsibility from users. It also means that users must take steps to withdraw their funds to instruments controlled by regulators, such as banks or other financial institutions. Despite these added complexities, the appeal of DEXs lies in their ability to offer a decentralized, secure, and transparent way to buy and sell cryptocurrencies. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it's likely that DEXs will play an increasingly important role in shaping its future. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
1
10 TIPS for trading Bitcoin - What I learned after 6 yearsHere are key points of the way I approach Bitcoin, that I feel are unique and worth mentioning. 1. The vast majority of bitcoins movement is caused by stop loss orders cascading one into the next, and performing pre-determined chain reactions as they are filled. The market is dominated by futures trading; and this has a major effect on the spot price of Bitcoin. A trader using $100 for a long at 100x is leaving in the form of his stop loss; a $10,000 limit sell order that fills ONLY if price crosses over / below. Unique to limit orders that fill automatically if price is at a premium or discount, stop losses stay in tact until price passes them. Retail traders and those placing orders are only crawling the market along until it begins hitting those stop losses. That’s why bitcoin volatility comes at odd times - the reality is, it’s not caused by human engagement. It’s caused by the decisions traders have made in the past. 2. Exchanges and market makers profit off of liquidation fees and interest on leverage. Stop loss placement is protected information for a reason; the exchanges and market markets communicate this information, to allow themselves to benefit and you to commit more money to the market. 3. The Bitcoin chart works on trendlines that cut through - this is often when we see as price consolidation. Bitcoin easily weaves inside and outside of these trendlines due to stop losses sending price to fill the order chains. The invalidations are simply a phenomenon of futures trading prominence. Eventually, one side catches just like a normal trendline - in an abnormal relationship because price is never neatly contained inside or outside - that’s what makes bitcoin prediction so difficult. 4. DXY is still the best predictor of Bitcoin volatility and as to which direction listed in point 3 will execute. Especially when DXY is approaching a major pivot or direction change, Bitcoin reacts very well with moves to liquidate the opposite side before DXY has a lengthy downward or upward movement (Bitcoin generally moves in opposition). 5. Market manipulation is subtle and occurs with consolidation. Price is contained and controlled, by MM placing counter orders to balance the price moving too far into a particular direction. The consolidation periods attract futures positions for their stop loss orders - and that’s the function that makes moving Bitcoin in the favour of the exchanges / MM in a way that benefits them and also in a way that’s legitimate - as it’s in fact caused by traders own choices. The counter balancing / controlled consolidation is a practice that on paper “prevents manipulation” and “increases liquidity to reduce volatility”. Quite clever. 6. Since stop loss orders are limits placed in the chart that don’t fill automatically if price is above or below - we can analyze the open gaps on the chart along with consolidation periods to develop a good sense of the stop loss orders in the chart and where price is likely to move. 7. Stop Loss orders helps us to predict not only direction, but also the speed and distance Bitcoin will move. The more stop losses; the greater the speed of the compounding movement and cascading effects. The longer the consolidation periods, and the larger the gaps are that price has not recovered; the more stop losses are in place. In other words, the movement of Bitcoin is predetermined and thought of like a chain of explosives that are fused together. As soon as that first stop loss triggers, the more exponentially the speed increases as the orders are already in place - and hence why we see many large wicks in Bitcoin. 8. The fiat conversion of Bitcoin is very fluid and not a firm metric for Bitcoins health. Liquidity can move in and out of the balloon of Bitcoin extremely fast. The finite quantity of Bitcoin and its scarcity and quantity, is not relative to the fiat conversion. One bitcoin is one bitcoin - whether it is at $10 or $100,000. The fiat evaluation of Bitcoin is more-so determined by the “online casino” of sorts that takes place inside the container of Bitcoin; giving us a volatile, moving fiat conversion that ultimately is not relative to the value of Bitcoin as it’s own entity - it’s only relative if Bitcoin is converted back into fiat. 9. There are several hard limitations that stock and equities share that Bitcoin does not. Company share values are limited by the anchors they have in the real world - IE employees and wages, product sales, infrastructure, supply / demand. The evaluation of these companies is not nearly as fluid as Bitcoin for these reasons. The companies are directly related and tied to the system of the economy. Bitcoin, on the other hand, does not have these reality anchors that provide floors and ceilings to price movement. 10. There is a degree of human intentionality behind Bitcoins chart and movement. In other words, more so than any other asset, its price projection is planned by human design. The market is funded upon liquidity from retail traders, predominantly in futures markets. The business of exchange leveraging is astronomical, and Market Makers control the great majority of liquidity via their automated systems and order placement services. Join that information with the profit structure and beneficiaries of our liquidations; and we can base a logical conclusion that there is a sole vested interest in the way Bitcoin’s price moves. That is; in favour of liquidating the common Joe and Jane. This allows us a unique advantage to be able to strategize with a business-focused mindset, more so that any other asset class. This is largely due to the lack of regulations and available information with international crypto exchange platforms and Market Makers.
Education
by DickDandy
SMART MONEY CONCEPT EXPLAINEDThe Smart Money Concept (SMC) involves understanding the behavior and strategies of institutional investors to inform trading decisions. Within SMC, there are several key components and strategies, including concepts like CHoCH (Change of Character), BOS (Break of Structure), FVG (Fair Value Gap), and others. Here's an in-depth explanation of these concepts: 1. Change of Character (CHoCH) Definition CHoCH refers to a significant shift in market sentiment or trend. It's a point where the market changes direction, indicating a potential reversal. Identification Higher Highs to Lower Lows (or vice versa): In an uptrend, CHoCH occurs when the market stops making higher highs and starts making lower lows, signaling a possible downtrend. Volume and Momentum Shifts: Increased volume or momentum in the opposite direction can also indicate a change of character. Application Entry/Exit Points: CHoCH helps traders identify potential entry and exit points by signaling when a trend might be reversing. 2. Break of Structure (BOS) Definition BOS occurs when the price breaks a significant support or resistance level, indicating a continuation or reversal of the trend. Identification Support/Resistance Levels: When price breaks these levels with strong momentum, it signals a BOS. Swing Highs and Lows: A break above a previous swing high or below a previous swing low is considered a BOS. Application Trend Confirmation: BOS helps confirm the direction of the trend, allowing traders to align their trades with the prevailing market direction. 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Definition FVG represents a price gap left in the market where there was a rapid price movement, often due to high volatility or significant market orders. Identification Price Gaps: FVGs are visible as gaps on the price chart where little to no trading occurred. Imbalance Zones: These are zones where the buying and selling are not balanced, leading to rapid price movement. Application Retracement Points: FVGs often act as magnets for price, as the market tends to revisit these gaps to fill them, providing potential retracement or entry points for traders. 4. Other Major Parts of the Smart Money Concept Liquidity Pools Definition: Areas in the market where a large number of orders are clustered, typically around key support and resistance levels. Application: Institutions often target these areas to trigger stop-loss orders, creating liquidity for their trades. Order Blocks Definition: Consolidation areas where institutions place large buy or sell orders, creating a base for future price movement. Identification: These are visible as zones of consolidation on the chart. Application: Order blocks can act as strong support or resistance levels, providing potential entry or exit points. Institutional Candles Definition: Large candlesticks that represent significant institutional activity. Identification: These candles are usually much larger than the surrounding ones and often occur at key levels. Application: They signal strong buying or selling interest from institutions, indicating potential future price direction. Stop Hunts Definition: The practice where institutions push the price to trigger stop-loss orders placed by retail traders to create liquidity. Identification: Sudden, sharp price movements towards obvious stop-loss levels. Application: Recognizing stop hunts can prevent premature exits and provide entry points at better prices. Market Cycles Accumulation Phase: Period where smart money is building positions, often characterized by sideways price movement with low volatility. Mark-Up Phase: After accumulation, the price starts to move upward rapidly as institutions push the market in their favor. Distribution Phase: Institutions begin to offload their positions, leading to sideways movement with high volatility. Mark-Down Phase: Following distribution, the price moves downward rapidly as institutions sell off their positions.
Education
by realmillionairefx
Economic Calendar: Top Market Events You Should Watch Out forMarkets tend to get especially volatile whenever there’s an economic report or some data dump that takes investors by surprise. That’s why we’re spinning up this Idea where we highlight all the major market-moving events you should watch out for when you do your trading. Today, we look at the Economic Calendar . 🏦 Central Bank Meetings and Announcements • Federal Reserve (Fed) Meetings The US Federal Reserve holds Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings roughly every six weeks,or ( eight times a year ), to talk about monetary policy, including interest rates. Setting interest rates is arguably the most significant event with long-lasting consequences for markets. Each of these meeting takes two days and wraps up with a speech by the gentleman who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” — Fed boss Jay Powell. • European Central Bank (ECB) Meetings Similar to the Fed, the ECB holds regular meetings to decide on monetary policy and borrowing costs for the Eurozone. ECB officials’ decisions sway financial markets, especially those based in the old continent. Indexes such as the Stoxx 600 Europe (ticker: SXXP ) and the European currency tend to fluctuate wildly during ECB events. • Bank of England (BoE) Meetings The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) frequently meets to discuss and set interest rates and other monetary matters. Decisions made by BoE policymakers mainly affect the UK corner of the financial markets. That means elevated volatility in the British pound sterling and the broad-based UK index, the FTSE 100, among other UK-based trading instruments . • Bank of Japan (BoJ) Meetings The BoJ holds policy meetings to decide on interest rates and monetary stimulus, among other central-bank topics. Until recently, the Japanese central bank was the only one to sport a negative interest rate regime . 📝 Economic Data Releases • Nonfarm Payrolls In the US, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation Summary on the first Friday of every month. The data package includes the non-farm payroll print , which tracks how many new hires joined the workforce, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings. • Consumer Price Index (CPI) Monthly CPI measures the rate of inflation at the consumer level. The reading is closely monitored by the Fed in order to gauge the temperature of the economy. A reading too hot indicates an expanding economy, and vice versa. • Producer Price Index (PPI) Similar to CPI, PPI measures inflation at the wholesale level and can provide signals about inflation trends. • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Quarterly GDP churns out a comprehensive measure of a country's economic activity and growth. • Retail Sales Monthly retail sales indicate consumer spending patterns, which are a critical component of economic activity. The data shows whether consumers pulled back from spending or splurged like there’s no tomorrow. • Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) PMI reports for manufacturing and services sectors lay out insights into business activity and economic health. 🏢 Corporate Earnings Reports Publicly traded companies around the world release earnings reports every quarter. The hottest ones are America’s corporate giants, such as tech stocks , banking stocks , and more. The quarterly earnings figures include financial performance for the most recent three months and forward-looking guidance, which comprises earnings and revenue expectations. 🌐 Geopolitical Events Political developments, such as Presidential elections, and geopolitical tensions can have immediate and significant impacts on financial markets. These events are less predictable but are closely monitored by market participants and can quickly fuel volatility across asset classes, prompting investors to shuffle their portfolio holdings. Final Considerations Pay attention to these reports, events, and economic data and you’ll get to understand what moves markets. Anytime you witness a sharp reaction in gold ( XAU/USD ) or a quick reversal in the US dollar ( DXY ), it’s likely that the underlying factor is an economic report you didn’t know about. If you do track them — which one is your favorite market report or economic news release? Let us know in the comments below!
Editors' picks
Education
by TradingView
3
Four Factors Driving Gold Prices Relative to Silver2600 years ago, the Anatolian Kingdom of Lydia minted the world’s first gold and silver coins. In doing so, the Lydian King Alyattes and his successor Croesus introduced the world’s first exchange rate: the gold-silver cross. Like any cross rate, the amount of silver that can be purchased with an ounce of gold is driven by both demand and supply-side factors, and the cross rate is anything other than stable. Sadly, we don’t have the time series of the gold-silver ratio dating back to ancient times, but we do have data going back to the launch of gold futures on December 31, 1974. Since the mid-1970s, one ounce of gold bought anywhere from 17 ounces to as many as 123 ounces of silver (Figure 1). Figure 1: The amount of silver an ounce of gold can buy has been highly variable In addition to the impact of monetary policy, which we have covered here, the gold-silver ratio appears to be governed by four other factors: Relative volatility and the silver beta Fabrication demand and technological change Gold’s use as a monetary asset Supply-side dynamics Relative volatility and beta To borrow an expression from the equity markets, silver is the high-beta version of gold. First, silver and gold prices usually have a strong positive correlation. Since 2004 the one-year rolling correlation of their daily price moves has hovered around +0.8 (Figure 2). Second, silver is more volatile than gold. As such, when gold prices move up, silver tends to move up more, thereby lowering the gold-silver price ratio. By contrast, during bear markets, the gold-silver ratio tends to rise. Figure 2: The correlation of gold and silver price changes has hugged +0.8 since 2004. For example, when gold and silver prices peaked in September 2011, one ounce of gold bought fewer than 32 ounces of silver (Figure 3). In the ensuing bear market, the ratio rose to as high as 124 ounces of silver per ounce of gold. The ratio snapped back to 64 in 2020 as gold and silver rallied early in the pandemic. In 2024, as both metals have rallied, silver has outperformed, rising 23% in the first five months of the year compared to 12% for the yellow metal. Figure 3: Positive correlation plus much higher volatility give silver a high beta to gold Fabrication Demand and the Impact of Technological Change What is curious is that while gold and silver have rallied thus far in 2024, gold broke to new record highs of nearly $2,500 per ounce whereas silver prices remain 40% below their twin 1980 and 2011 peaks despite having outperformed gold since 2020 (Figure 4). The reason may lie in technological advances. Figure 4: Gold has hit records in 2024 while silver is still 40% below its 1980 and 2011 record highs Even before the Lydians minted the first gold and silver coins around 600 BCE, both metals had been used to make jewellery: silver since around 2500 BCE and gold since 4500 BCE. Some things don’t change. Even today, the primary use of both metals is to make jewellery. Yet, thus far this century, silver has been buffeted by two sets of technological developments: the digital revolution and the energy transition. Both have impacted the relative gold-silver ratio. In 1999, photography used 267.7 million troy ounces of silver which accounted for 36.6% of that year’s total silver supply. By 2023 photography used only 23.2 million ounces of silver or about 2.3% of 2023’s total supply due to the rise of digital photography. Meanwhile, silver’s use in electronics and batteries grew from 90 million ounces to 227.4 million ounces or from 12.3% to 22.7% of silver’s total annual supply, partially offsetting the decline in traditional photography, which may partially explain why silver has struggled to hit new highs in recent years even as gold has set records. The good news for silver, however, is that it is finding new use in the energy transition. Over the past few years silver has seen strong growth coming from solar panels, which accounted for 20% of 2023 silver demand, up from essentially nothing in 1999 (Figure 5). Solar panels may explain in part why silver has recovered relative to gold since 2020. Figure 5: Battery and solar panel demand have grown as photography demand has shrunk If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By contrast, gold fabrication demand has shown itself to be immune from recent technological developments and is still overwhelmingly dominated by jewellery demand, with electronics, dental and other uses absorbing just 17% of annual gold mining supply (Figure 6). The differences in silver and gold fabrication demand underscores that gold is considered the purer of the two precious metals. Figure 6: Gold fabrication demand has remained little changed Gold and global monetary policy Indeed, central banks around the world treat gold as money while they largely ignore silver (Figure 7). They hold a combined 36,700 metric tons of gold, the equivalent of 1.2 billion troy ounces or 13 years of global mining output. Moreover, central banks have been net buyers of gold every year since the global financial crisis. Figure 7: Central banks have been net buyers of gold since the global financial crisis Central bank buying of gold since 2009 contrasts sharply with their tendency to be net sellers from 1982 to 2007. Central banks’ accumulation of gold suggests that they want a hard asset to complement their foreign exchange reserves of dollars, euros, yen and other fiat currencies, a view that appears to have been reinforced by on-and-off quantitative easing since 2009 and increased use of financial sanctions. Central bank buying impacts gold prices directly, but only boosts silver prices indirectly via the gold market. The supply side of the equation Central bank gold buying reduces the amount of gold available to the public. Over the past decade, central bank buying has removed the equivalent of 8%-20% of new mining supply from the gold market each year (Figure 8) which may also explain why the gold-silver ratio rose significantly from 2011 to 2020 and why, even today, it remains at 2x its 2011 level. Figure 8: Net of central bank buying, gold supply has stagnated since 2003 Total gold supply net of official purchases has stagnated since 2003. Meanwhile, silver mining supply peaked in 2016 and gold mining supply peaked the next year (Figure 9). The fact that new supply is arriving on the market more slowly than in the past may be bullish for both gold and silver. Figure 9: Gold and silver respond negative to changes in each other’s mining supply. Our econometric analysis shows that gold and silver prices are negatively correlated with changes to one another’s mining supply. A 1% decrease in gold mining supply, on balance, boosted gold prices by 1.9% and silver by 3.0% from 1974 to 2023. A 1% decease in silver mining supply boosted the prices of the metals by 1.3%-1.6% (Figure 10). Secondary supply appears to respond to price rather than drive it. Higher prices incentivize more recycling, but recycled metal doesn’t appear to depress prices as it doesn’t bring any new metal onto the market. Figure 10: Secondary supply responds to price rather than drives it What connects the two markets is jewellery. Because gold is 70x as costlier than silver, when prices rise, demand for gold jewellery falls while silver’s jewellery demand is relatively unresponsive to price because it costs much less. Gold and silver can be seen as a sort of binary star system where the two stars orbit a common center of gravity or barycenter. Gold is the larger, more stable and more influential of the two, but it is by no means immune from silver’s pull. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Editors' picks
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CME_Group
4
Blum Project Analysis!!!Today, I want to introduce you to another Tap-To-Earn project and see if it is worth your time. In the previous articles, I explained Notcoin and the Hamster Kombat project. If you have time, take a look at these articles. The name of this project is Blum . Please stay with me. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- What is Blum? The Blum Token is a cryptocurrency associated with the Blum Crypto Project on Telegram . While specific details about the creators and core team might be limited, the project focuses on community engagement, utility, and promoting blockchain adoption. The token serves various purposes within the project’s ecosystem, from facilitating transactions to enabling governance and rewarding community participation ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's check the Blum project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ). What is the SWOT !? SWOT (Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential. 🔸 Strengths : The game's style makes it difficult for the bot to jam every token_The active Telegram community currently has 11 million followers Blum selected by Binance labs team as featured airdrop 🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Boring game _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear_The goal of the project is very general_ Low number of followers compared to other competitors on X platform _ Currently, you can become a member by invitation only_ It only has roadmap until the end of 2024_ The game environment is very simple. 🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Blum project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper_ Improve the game environment 🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors_Laws and regulations of countries Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend. According to the description above, if you want to enter the BLUM project, you should only consider it a hobby and not spend a lot of time on it because it has many ambiguities and weaknesses. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Education
by pejman_zwin
14
reflecting on 2 year milestoneWell, its been two years now,not profitable but the bleeding has definately been stopped. hovering around the break even zone for what feels like eternity,started in futures with the minis right out of the gate and got handled,never tracked anything,never journaled,what I did do right was stick to my strategy.with the exception of two or three really bad "revenge trade" episodes that ended in big losses i stuck to the plan. in an effort to minimize risk i switched to forex, $1 risk sounded alot better than $10 to me.and it was. i'm still trading forex. i stick to eur/usd and aud/nzd because the two have little effect on each other.the amount of technical analysis i've absorbed over the last 2 years is extensive but hands down, the most improvement has come in the emotional side of things,the psychology. i do track my trades now and i do have some technical rules for entry but other than that my strat is still pretty much the same as it was. what i dont do is force a trade every day.i dont go on diatribes when i lose about how "rigged"this whole game is,and it is rigged. but its winnable. i no longer watch youtube videos and call it studying, i study candles now.i look at last weeks price action,i review every trade,i used to trade on a 1 min chart. these days the 1hr feels to fast for me.I still enjoy trading but in a very different way than in the beginning..the thrill of rolling the dice is gone and has been replaced with a cold determination to see this through,properly, to the end. if theres an idea in here i guess its this. Dont give up,Get better
Education
by unusualsuspects
1
Navigating Investment Decisions with Tradingview: Apple exampleHello, Investing and trading can easily scare participants in most cases. However, the different tools that Tradingview offers can make the work easier for you the investor. In this case I will be using a candlestick chart, a closer look at the price action, The date & price range tool, The vertical line tool and a combination of the financial data provided on the TV platform. 1st, My goal is to seek to understand the company. This can be done on the tradingview platform. This is very important because it builds a base on how the company makes its revenue as well as how its costs would look like. As per the platform. www.tradingview.com Apple, Inc engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. Investing is greatly an act of faith and understanding how the organization has performed in numbers is very key. Although this cannot be assurance that the company will keep performing that way in future, the Tradingview platform gives you a historical view of how the company has performed, its asset quality vs liabilities as well as the cashflow positions. The above for our specific company can be found here www.tradingview.com Once you have understood the story of the company and linked your narrative to the numbers, very key is to understand key upcoming events for the company and also how investors have reacted to the share price over a considerable period of time. Our company apple has ranged between prices of USD 165 & USD 200. This is since July 2023. The company continues to be in a range for that period and is currently trading at around USD 168.45. This gives us a great entry price since the company's fundamentals remain quite strong. Using the date & range tool shows us that the company took 99 days to move from price USD 198 to USD 166. This represents an erosion of -16% but still a short opportunity. The company then took 51 days to move back to its top of USD 198 per share. Just by merely looking at how fast the company is rising when it hits our bottom is great to show that the upwards momentum is stronger. Using this I shall be looking for buy opportunities from our current level with my target at the top. The vertical line is very key in helping us know where we begin our analysis. Very key also to bring into the analysis is the aspect of risk management which helps us set targets as well as identify areas where we need to exit our trades & relook at our analysis once again. Conclusion: Tradingview offers powerful tools that empower investors to make informed investment decisions. By leveraging features such as financial data analysis, market sentiment tracking, technical analysis, and risk management, investors can navigate the complex world of investing with confidence. Using Apple Inc. as a case study, we've demonstrated how Tradingview's tools can enhance investment strategies and drive success in the dynamic financial landscape.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by thesharkke
COGNITIVE DISSONANCE IN TRADING: GAP BETWEEN FANTASY AND REALITYToday we are going to tackle one of the bad habits - illusions in trading. It will be painful, not everyone will be able to face reality, but it is necessary to go through it if you want to be profitable in the markets steadily, not from time to time. Cognitive dissonance is a psychological term used to describe the discomfort a person experiences when two contradictory beliefs are present at the same time. The theory states that people like to keep all their beliefs and experiences in harmony and avoid disharmony (dissonance). When we experience this conflict and discomfort, our thoughts will immediately attempt to restore balance by changing our beliefs and attitudes and, justifying our actions and behaviors. Ultimately, we all want our expectations to match reality in such a way that we can experience a sense of control. We all experience cognitive dissonance on an almost daily basis. In everyday life, it can be quite harmless and even fun to recognize its presence, but for traders it can be disastrous. 💡 HOW DOES THIS RELATE TO TRADERS? The vast majority of ambitious amateur traders approach their profession with deeply unrealistic expectations such as: ➡️ You can learn to trade the market fairly quickly. ➡️ One can quickly and regularly recoup the lost money in large quantities. ➡️ Rapid attainment of abundance and wealth. ➡️ Daily, steady, reliable results. ➡️ One can quickly quit a job and work from home. Anyone who has ever tried trading has quickly learned through experience that none of the above statements are true. This instantly creates a conflict between what you believed and what you experienced, and thus your thoughts quickly try to erase the discomfort and restore harmony. The reasonable and logical thing to do in this case is to recognize and accept that your original beliefs were incorrect, and then revise your beliefs so that they can accurately reflect reality. However, admitting that you were wrong and that you made a mistake is in itself emotionally painful, although it must be done. No one likes to admit they were wrong; it is much easier and quicker to just try to rationalize and justify your original beliefs. People generally try to justify their own mistakes because, by doing so, they feel better about themselves. And it doesn't matter that your beliefs are false, and they will continue to be false for as long as you continue to believe that everything that happens is normal. It goes without saying that this is completely irrational and can be extremely destructive to traders. 💡 WHO IS TO BLAME FOR FOREX FAILURES? A typical situation with the belief that trading can be learned quickly, and that one can earn X amount of money daily and quit their job within a month or two. When reality conflicts with this belief or expectation, the trader will make excuses, trying to find justification for their actions, why they were right, telling themselves something like "I just haven't found the right system yet". Instead of accepting their mistakes from their faulty judgments and then taking action to align their behavior with reality, which will ultimately lead to success, they prefer to find excuses for their beliefs. The situation described above leads to so many traders constantly switching from one forex system to another. One of the truly destructive characteristics in this situation is that as a result of cognitive dissonance, the original false belief is actually further reinforced, the exact opposite of what would be most beneficial. In order to restore emotional harmony in such a situation, something needs to change. Either we need to change our beliefs or reduce the importance of one of the conflicting issues. Very often the broker or trading platform is blamed for trader's failures. After all, it is so easy to shift the blame onto someone else. Most people do is maintain an existing belief (rather than admit error), introduce new beliefs to justify the first, and then diminish the importance of real events (disregarding the facts). The end result is that they continue even more passionately down the false path. 💡 CHASING ELUSIVE PROFITS This, however, easily leads to unrealistic expectations and beliefs of traders, viz: They expect to get big returns quickly. When reality shows them that their expectation is false, they ignore the facts and look for something to help prove that their belief is correct. It is common to see traders switching from one trading system to another every few months. They add forex indicators, add rules, change timeframes, test different methods, learn different theories, trade on different instruments, change their money management system, change risk profiles, buy different software, etc. They may even find a profitable strategy, but discard it because, in their opinion, it doesn't give them the 100% return. These people will spend the rest of their lives in a futile search to find something that in reality does not exist. This is quite obvious not only from their own experience, but also from the documented experience of any other trader who has previously traveled this path. And yet they ignore this evidence. They ignore reality. Their beliefs collide with harsh reality, which causes emotional discomfort. Instead of admitting they are wrong, which would cause even more discomfort, they simply ignore reality, find excuses for their original belief (e.g. the strategy is bad, or the trading platform is slow, or the market is wrong, etc.), and find harmony again, convincing themselves that they were right, but just haven't found a solution yet. And they think it's better to keep looking for them next! 💡 THE CHOICE: IGNORING REALITY OR ADAPTING TO ACHIEVE SUCCESS Traders are faced with tough choices that they need to make. We all at some point face the discomfort of cognitive dissonance when our beliefs go against reality. We can either restore our mental harmony by ignoring the evidence of reality and continue to make excuses. Or we can accept that our beliefs were false, and then realign them and change our actions and behavior in a way that works in parallel with reality. The former path is the easiest and most convenient, but it certainly represents an option that leads to guaranteed and lasting delusion. The latter path is more difficult and less comfortable, but it naturally represents the option that will eventually lead the trader to success. Here is the question that all traders should ask themselves and answer honestly: What is more important to me? Being right or being successful? Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
5
The Wisdom of Pro Traders vs. Newbie Naivety Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss the perception of trading by individuals . We will compare the vision of a professional trader and a beginner - trading vs gambling. Most of the people perceive trading performance incorrectly. There is a common fallacy among them that win rate is the only true indicator of the efficiency of a trading strategy. Moreover, newbies are searching for a strategy producing close to 100% accuracy. Such a mindset determines their expectations. Especially it feels, when I share a wrong forecast in my telegram channel. It immediately triggers resentment and negative reactions. Talking to these people personally and asking them about the reasons of their indignation, the common answer is: "If you are a pro, you can not be wrong". The truth is that the reality is absolutely different. Opening any position or making a forecast, a pro trader always realizes that there is no guarantee that the market will act as predicted. Pro trader admits that he deals with probabilities , and he is ready to take losses . He realizes that he may have negative trading days, even weeks and months, but at the end of the day his overall performance will be positive. Remember, that your success in trading is determined by your expectations and perception. Admit the reality of trading, set correct goals, and you will take losses more easily. I wish you luck and courage on a battlefield.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
Crypto Coins Heatmap: The Ultimate Guide for Beginners (2024)Discover the easiest way to track, group and sort your favorite tokens in one place — the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap. Everyone — from the aspiring crypto enthusiast to the professional digital asset fund manager — needs it. Meet the ultimate cryptocurrency tracking and monitoring tool, the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap. What Is Crypto Coins Heatmap? Slick-looking, feature-rich, and aesthetically pleasing, the Crypto Coins Heatmap is a visual tool developed by TradingView. It displays the performance of crypto coins plastered over a single interface that allows users to keep tabs on price movements through color coding and percentage performance. Key Features Let’s start off with the basic features of the Crypto Coins Heatmap. 1. Color-Coded Performance Indicators Green indicates positive performance (coin go up — good.) Red indicates negative performance (bad coin — goes down.) Grey indicates slim to no price movement, typical for stablecoins. 2. Real-Time Price Data The heatmap is updated in real-time and shows the most current information so crypto geeks could know the price of everything all the time. 3. Market-Cap-to-Size Ratio The size of each crypto coin corresponds to its market capitalization, i.e. the more room it takes on the screen, the bigger the market value. Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ), the original cryptocurrency , takes up over half the entire screen because its dominance is over 50% of the total market’s worth. Key Functionalities What can you actually do with that data and can you customize it? Yes — let’s find out how. 1. Select Source At the top left, select “Crypto coins” and choose your preferred grouping. Crypto coins Crypto coins (Excluding Bitcoin) Crypto coins (Excluding Stablecoins) Coins DeFi 2. Size By Next up, hit the “Market cap” menu to arrange the digital assets by various sizes and parameters. Also, for a more detailed look, make sure to check the dedicated crypto market cap corner on the TradingView website. Market cap FD market cap Volume in USD 24h Total value locked Volume 24h / Market cap Market cap / TVL (total value locked) 3. Color By The third option from the top bar menu — “Performance” — shows you the tokens’ percentage return on various time frames. Performance from 1-hour to 1-year time frame. 24-hour volume change, measured in %. Daily volatility, measured in %. Gap, measured in % (previous day’s closing price to today’s opening price). 4. Toggle Mono Size The grid icon allows you to display all tokens in the same size. 5. Filter The filter icon is where it gets really precise — fine-tune your results by various size and performance metrics. 6. Settings The gear icon displays the layout settings and allows you to add or remove certain visual elements. Add or remove Title (by Description or Symbol). Add or remove Logo. Add or remove First value, measured in %. Add or remove Second value, measured in price or market cap. Color scheme: Classic, Color blind, Monochrome. 7. Share Icon Tell your crypto friends or cool uncle about this nifty interface by clicking on the Share icon to: Save image Copy link Share on Facebook Share on Twitter (X) 8. Heat Multiplier The x1 (by default) icon is the Heat Multiplier, which narrows down your search based on the percentage return on a given time frame. Play around with it to find out the biggest losers and winners in the crypto world. Why You Need the TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap Interactive Charting Click on any token on the screen to bring up a detailed chart with all the key data you could want. Here’s an example of Ethereum’s ( ETHUSD ) interactive chart: Quickly grasp market conditions, sentiment, and trends with the intuitive interface. Comprehensive Market Overview Make precise comparisons between different cryptocurrencies to see how price performances stack up against each other. Final Considerations The TradingView Crypto Coins Heatmap is your gateway to current price data spanning all over cryptoland. Be sure to check it whenever you need a glimpse into the digital asset market and its volatile prices. And finally, maximize the heatmap’s potential by transferring the insights into your trading plan . Let us know if you use the Crypto Coins Heatmap — leave your comments below!
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
4
US CPI Report Set to Influence Fed Decision and Market SentimentUS CPI Data Expected to Show Moderating Price Pressures Ahead of Fed Decision Key Highlights: Expected CPI Rise: The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forecast to rise by 3.4% year-over-year (YoY) in May, maintaining the same pace as in April. Core CPI Inflation: Annual core CPI inflation is anticipated to slightly decrease from 3.6% in April to 3.5% in May. Impact on US Dollar and Fed Rate Cut Expectations: The upcoming inflation data could influence the US Dollar value and market expectations regarding a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Detailed Analysis: Upcoming CPI Data Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to publish the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for May on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT. This report is expected to bring intense volatility to the US Dollar, as any surprises in the inflation figures could significantly impact market expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cut decisions in September. Inflation Expectations: Overall CPI: Expected to rise by 3.4% YoY in May, consistent with April’s rate. Core CPI: Forecast to inch down to 3.5% YoY from 3.6% in April. Month-over-Month (MoM) Changes: The CPI is anticipated to increase by 0.1% in May, down from a 0.3% rise in April. Core CPI is likely to hold steady at a 0.3% MoM increase. Federal Reserve’s Stance: In a recent moderated discussion, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell adopted a dovish stance, expressing lower confidence in inflation moving back down and suggesting it is unlikely that the next move would be a rate hike. Powell's comments came just before the April CPI data release, which showed softened headline and core inflation. Labor Market Impact: A strong US labor market report, showing a substantial increase in Nonfarm Payrolls and higher-than-expected Average Hourly Earnings, has tempered market expectations for a September rate cut. Despite earlier optimism for rate cuts, the robust labor data has led markets to reassess the likelihood of such cuts. Banks' Expectations for CPI: Goldman Sachs: Predicts CPI to be at 3.3% year-over-year, slightly lower than the previous month. JP Morgan: Expects CPI to remain stable at 3.4%, indicating no significant change. Morgan Stanley: Anticipates a slight decline to 3.2%, reflecting easing inflation pressures. Bank of America: Foresees CPI at 3.3%, aligning with a gradual slowdown in inflation. Analysts’ Forecasts: According to TD Securities analysts, core inflation is expected to slow to a "soft" 0.3% MoM in May, with the headline likely rising by a softer 0.1% due to a significant decline in energy prices. They also noted a potential for a dovish surprise with an unrounded core CPI forecast of 0.26% MoM. Conclusion: The upcoming US CPI data release is crucial, with potentially significant impacts on the US Dollar and market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. A CPI reading in line with expectations could reinforce current market positions, while any deviation could trigger substantial market volatility. This comprehensive analysis outlines the expectations and potential impacts of the upcoming CPI data, providing valuable insights for market participants.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SroshMayi
The Trading Matrix: 14 Vital Lessons DecodedThe Matrix is a movie where no matter what age you watch it, you’ll gain a different perspective from it. And there is a wealth of knowledge and ideas that you can unlock when you dig deep into the movie. A world where the line between reality and illusion blurs, much like the iconic film. The Matrix, with its deep philosophical underpinnings and action-packed storyline. It isn’t isn’t just a cult classic; it’s a treasure trove of lessons for traders. Let’s decode a few trading lessons you can learn from The Matrix. Building Confidence: The Neo Path Remember Neo’s metamorphosis? From Thomas Anderson, a man riddled with doubt, insecurity and worry. To Neo, the confident savior of humanity. This journey is similar to one that a trader takes. You begin with uncertainty, doubt and worry. You then develop greed and ego. The market disciplines and humbles you again and again and again. But then you develop the edge. You adapt to the trading world with gains, losses, drawdowns and different streaks. And then you develop self confidence and resilience as a trader. Like Neo, you might stumble, but remember, every setback is a setup for a comeback. Confirmation Bias: Dodging the Bullet Much like Neo’s iconic bullet-dodging scene, traders must learn to dodge the deadly bullet of confirmation bias. Neo created some form of movements and hand gestures in order to stop the bullets. But what he truly did was create confirmation bias that he was beyond the physics and laws of the universe. And this system is how he was able to go beyond the normal. Create or adopt a trading system that with Confirmation bias, you can identify high probability trades. And even though, you’re using some pseudo system that no one knows about. You’re simply turning chaos into financial order, to have a mechanical process involved – to grow a consistent account. Only by actively seeking diverse viewpoints can you dodge the bias bullet and make decisions that are truly informed. Take the Red Pill: Embrace Reality Taking the red pill is about confronting the brutal truths of the market. The trading world is not a bed of roses; it’s volatile, unpredictable, and sometimes harsh. Those traders who take the blue pill – Only look to win. Only look to build their portfolio with an insane win rate. Only look to go all in on certain positions. When you take the red pill, you take on the realities of trading. You acknowledge the risks. You prepare for the drawdowns. You know you’re going to take inevitable losses. You understand that your past trading does not indicate future results. Those oblivious traders – get destroyed. Like Neo, when you choose the red pill, you choose to see the market for what it truly is, warts and all. There Is No Spoon: The Power of Perspective The “There is no spoon” scene teaches us the power of perspective. In trading, the market isn’t your enemy; it’s your perception that needs adjusting. Bend your mind, not the spoon. Adopt a system which has a flexible mindset. Be ready to pivot your strategies in response to market dynamics. Success comes not from forcing the market to your will, but from adapting your will to the market. Understand the Code – Understand the Matrix Trading involves deciphering patterns, much like understanding the Matrix’s code. The market moves up, down and sideways. Given. But with Price, Volume and probabilities – there is a proliferation of world of opportunities with each market. Develop the ability to read charts, trends, and indicators. Recognize that behind every market movement, there’s a code to be cracked. Agent Smith and Market Manipulators Just as Agent Smith represents a threat within the Matrix, market manipulators pose real dangers. Stay away from markets with: Too much volatility Too many gaps Unusual trading activity Stay vigilant, and don’t be swayed by pump-and-dump schemes or misinformation. They will disrupt your trading journey. Training Simulation: Practice Makes Perfect Remember the scene where Neo was practice fighting in simulations with Trinity and Morpheus? He was testing, improving, adapting and learning. You should do the same before you risk your hard earned money. Test, Test, Test, Forward Test and Real Test. Use demo accounts and simulations to hone your skills. Make mistakes where it’s safe to do so, and learn from them without risking your capital. Morpheus’s Faith: Belief in Yourself Morpheus believed in Neo before he believed in himself. Cultivate self-belief. Trust in your analysis, your strategy, and your decisions. Without belief, fear and doubt will cloud your judgment. The Architect’s Plan: Strategy is Key Understand the market’s architecture. Develop a trading plan and stick to it. Adjust as necessary, but always with the structure of your overall strategy in mind. Free Your Mind: Emotional Control Neo’s journey was as much about freeing his mind as it was about saving the world. In trading, emotional control is paramount. You need to learn to let go of Ego, Fear and Greed. These are your greatest enemies. You can do this by: Having a strong back tested track record to prepare for what is to come. Risk even less until you don’t feel the losses. Real trade with the smallest positions to get an idea on how the markets work and will operate when you incorporate costs. Train yourself to remain calm and objective, regardless of the market’s ups and downs. FINAL WORDS: The Path to Financial Awakening Trading, is much like deciphering the Matrix. It is an ongoing journey fraught with challenges, revelations, and the need for constant adaptation. The key points to remember with the Trading Matrix are: Building Confidence: The Neo Path Develop self-belief through education and resilience. Confirmation Bias: Dodging the Bullet Seek diverse viewpoints to make informed decisions. Take the Red Pill: Embrace Reality Embrace the reality of the markets with all its risks. There Is No Spoon: The Power of Perspective Adjust your perspective and adapt to market dynamics. Understand the Code – Understand the Matrix Understand the code behind market movements. Agent Smith and Market Manipulators Stay vigilant against market manipulation. Training Simulation: Practice Makes Perfect Use simulations to hone your trading skills. Morpheus’s Faith: Belief in Yourself Cultivate self-belief and trust in your decisions. The Architect’s Plan: Strategy is Key Develop and stick to a well-thought-out trading plan. Free Your Mind: Emotional Control Master your emotions to remain calm and objective.
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
How will Stocks React to Inflation?The stock market's reaction to an inflation trend always involves a delay. Based on studies of the inflation trend, this delay is approximately 6 months. How about the inflation data month by month? Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by konhow
2
Top 3 Tips on How to Avoid FOMO Trading (Fear of Missing Out)Here you are, casually sipping your coffee and watching the clock go by while you wait for the market to open so you can buy a few shares of your new stock pick. Remember, you chose that one after deep research and careful planning. And then “ WHAM! ” Twitter notifications start flying. GameStop (ticker: GME ) is once again rocketing to the moon after some livestream on YouTube unleashes a huge buying spree. “MUST. GET. IN.” — you, probably, after you get your emotions shaken and stirred by something called FOMO. 🔔 What’s FOMO? FOMO is an abbreviation for Fear Of Missing Out. This little four-word phrase can throw your investment rationale, thesis and analysis out the window so it could settle in your prefrontal cortex where your brain goes to make life decisions. In this blog, we’ll talk about that little gremlin FOMO and what steps you can take to prevent it from overriding your emotions and decisions. And for the sake of your time, we’ll keep it short. Let’s go. 💡 Tip 1: Plan Your Trade Plan your trade in advance and don’t sink into the moment. Knowing your entry, take profit and stop loss before you move into your position will eliminate the urge to rush in when things get hot. 🔴 Problem: News Releases, Earnings Reports We all know how intense markets can get when there are news reports coming out. Company data such as earnings reports or some of America's top economic events , such as the widely anticipated nonfarm payrolls , or the Federal Reserve’s market-moving interest rate decisions can spur volatility and cause trading instruments to seesaw and fluctuate in both directions. And because these events are well-known in advance — the Fed only meets eight times a year — these moments can be an attractive invitation to make a profit. 🟢 Solution: Plan your trade and understand that news reports and earnings releases are a double-edge sword and even if the data supports a certain narrative, i.e. lower inflation = higher gold prices, this isn’t always the case. Take a step back, regulate your breathing and keep your emotions in check. Wait it out until the noise tones down. 💡 Tip 2: Avoid Revenge Trading Revenge trading is the trading you do when you want to get back at the market after getting smacked in the face with a loss. Next time you stare at a losing position, notice if you feel the urge to jump right back in and make up what you lost. That's revenge trading. 🔴 Problem: Losses and Missed Opportunities Taking a beating from Mr. Market can be a painful experience. Yet, not taking the loss the right way can lead to even more pain and wiped out funds. Whenever you’re staring at a losing position, you might be tempted to sell out and jump right back in an effort to make back what you lost. 🟢 Solution: Avoid revenge trading. Recognize that pesky feeling, which — whenever you lose money on a trade — makes you want to pare back your losses with one quick trade. That quick trade could be a) more aggressive (for more potential profit), and b) cost you even more money because you’ve been impatient. 💡 Tip 3: Don’t Chase the Pump Any pump usually has a strong pull, because it makes gains look easy. All you need to do is catch the speed train (or get onboard the rocket ship) and, boom, you're in profit. Although, it's not as easy as it looks. 🔴 Problem: Pump and Dump Schemes Quite often we see some little-known stock or a cryptocurrency with a small market capitalization perform some outstanding moves. It may shoot higher by 100% or more and that may trigger some FOMO in you, causing you to panic-buy and then watch your investment evaporate like snow in water. 🟢 Solution: Don’t chase the pump. It’s simple. A pump can play with your decision-making capabilities and cause you to make irrational choices out of the desire to join the volatility train. But many of those pumps end up as dumps. Pump and dump schemes are real — the gains go as quickly as they came and you don’t want any of that. Final Considerations Forming a deep emotional connection with the market isn’t a bad thing. This place is your passion and you’ve chosen to participate in it, together with its ups and down. What you should pay attention to is how you react to its changing moods and whether you behave logically or illogically to get what you want. Acting illogically can lead you to trip up so you want to distinguish that. Use your emotions to get rational inspiration and excitement about what you want to accomplish. 📣 Your Turn! Have you ever tripped up over a FOMO trade that hurt your account? What was your trigger and subsequent result? Let us know in the comment section below!
Editors' picks
NYSE:GMEEducation
by TradingView
10
NEW TOKEN LISTING: A Double-Edged Sword for Investors💡 The cryptocurrency market is a realm of endless opportunities, where prices can fluctuate wildly, shooting up 5-10% in a single day in either direction. This volatility can be both exhilarating and intimidating, as it can either wipe out investors or leave them with a quick windfall. However, not everyone is suited to navigate this fast-paced landscape. For those seeking more conservative returns, there are other options available. On the other hand, there are those who are willing to take greater risks in pursuit of substantial profits. One such strategy is to buy coins during the pre-sale period and sell them at their initial listing on the exchange. This approach can be lucrative, as savvy investors can capitalize on the initial hype and sell their coins at a significant markup. To generate buzz and attract attention, many new projects offer their coins for free in exchange for performing simple tasks or purchasing them at a discounted rate. When these coins are listed on the exchange, their value tends to plummet due to oversupply and subsequent sales. However, for those who manage to get in early and sell their coins before the price drops, the potential for significant returns – even 100% or more – is very real. 📍 PRE-LISTING INVESTMENT Recently, a new earning opportunity emerged in the online space, with BINANCE:NOTUSDT being the center of attention. The project's developers cleverly leveraged their marketing expertise to create a buzz around the coin. As a result, it gained widespread visibility, with numerous media outlets and cryptocurrency channels promoting the project. The idea was to generate revenue by simply tapping on your smartphone screen, with active users potentially earning around $300-$400. However, as soon as the coin listed on Binance, its price took a drastic dip. The price recovered after a few weeks, though. In a recent analysis of cryptocurrency tokens listed on Binance, it was found that a staggering 80% of new tokens have lost significant value over the past six months. The notable exceptions to this trend are a few meme coins, including BINANCE:MEMEUSDT and BINANCE:WIFUSDT , as well as tokens associated with the Solana protocol. 📍 THE STUDY HIGHLIGHTS THE FOLLOWING KEY REASONS 1️⃣ Firstly, developers often artificially inflate the cost of their tokens by issuing them at an undervalued price, which creates a surge in demand. Simultaneously, they sell their own share of the tokens, reaping the benefits. 2️⃣ Moreover, many coins lack a genuine long-term investor base and a strong community backing. This lack of support can be a red flag, indicating that these coins may be pre-destined to fail as a potential scam. 3️⃣ Furthermore, listed coins often lack growth potential, failing to meet the criteria for a sound investment instrument. Instead, they tend to attract attention from insiders and retail buyers who are willing to take risks and gamble on their investment. A portfolio comprising newly listed coins suffered an 18% decline in value over the past six months, while the market's blue-chip coins enjoyed significant gains during the same period. This stark contrast has led analysts to sound the alarm, warning that such a phenomenon can have far-reaching implications for the market's integrity. When investors, serving as the primary source of liquidity, inject their funds into poorly performing projects, they become disillusioned with the entire market. As a result, their money migrates towards established coins, leaving new initiatives struggling to secure funding and ultimately forcing them to shut down. Even innovative ideas with great potential are stifled by a lack of interest and resources. The solution to this problem lies in stricter regulation by cryptocurrency exchanges, which currently allow unscrupulous projects to exploit the market. However, exchanges are driven by profit, so this issue remains unresolved for now. 📍 CONCLUSION Identifying a token with potential for significant profit after listing can be a challenging and high-risk endeavor. The key factor in determining success is the interest of investors. If a coin is solely speculative, it is likely to experience a decline in value after listing. Conversely, if a token is backed by developers and has inherent value, it may have a chance to grow. However, with the vast majority of new tokens being scams, the risk of loss is significantly higher than the potential gain from a successful investment. From a risk perspective, this investment model appears unreasonable compared to long-term investments in established coins like BINANCE:BTCUSDT or top-tier cryptocurrencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment📣
Education
by Lingrid
5
Can Hamster Kombat become another Notcoin(NOT)!?Today, I want to examine a new Telegram game that has become very trending and see if the Hamster Kombat project can be another Notcoin(NOT) . You have probably heard about the Hamster Komba game in the past few weeks at work, school , university , and in the family (maybe even the notification of people joining your contact in Telegram is a lot for you😂). I suggest you read this article to find out if Hamster Kombat is worth your time or not. Please stay with me. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- What is Hamster Kombat? Hamster Kombat is a Tap-to-earn type of game that is activated on the Telegram platform . This game was officially launched on March 25, 2024 on the TON network. Hamster Combat currently has more than 60 million users , with more than 24 million active users The game allows players to manage a virtual cryptocurrency exchange and earn in-game coins, which can subsequently be converted into real tokens to withdraw the earned funds. The gameplay is similar to the popular game Notcoin. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, let's check the Hamster Kombat project with the help of SWOT ( Strengths - Weaknesses - Opportunities - Threats ). What is the SWOT!? SWOT ( Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats ) analysis is a framework used to evaluate a company's competitive position and to develop strategic planning. SWOT analysis assesses internal and external factors, as well as current and future potential. 🔸 Strengths : More interesting game than Notcoin _ High number of active users (Notcoin less than 40 million users) _ Good marketing _ Very good conditions on social media _ Having a road map. 🔸 Weaknesses : No whitepaper _ Poor website _ Not having a clear future for the Hamster Kombat project _ The total number of tokens is not clear - the distribution method may not be fair _ the development team is unclear _ wastes a lot of energy and time. 🔸 Opportunities : Hard Forks to improve the Hamster Kombat project_ Willingness of big investors to invest _ Improving the website and white paper. 🔸 Threats : High number of miners _ Emergence of Whales _Unspecified fee_ Hackers _ Competitors. Can you add other parameters to the options above or not!? ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion : Due to the fact that there are more Tap-to-Earn games these days, we should be a little careful in choosing the game, because no matter what you like, you will eventually have an income for the time you spend. According to the above description and the information so far about the Hamster Kombat project, it seems that considering the high number of active users, the token of this project will be listed at least because of its attractiveness for exchanges (volume trading). The point here is whether you can earn for the time you spend or not? Because this game seems to take more time than the similar Notcoin project, so in conclusion, I recommend you look at the Hamster Kombat game as a side hobby and not spend all your time on a project that is uncertain. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Education
by pejman_zwin
13
WHAT IS TRADING ACCOUNT DRAWDOWN | 3 Types Of Drawdown Explained In my videos, I frequently use the term "trading account drawdown ". Many of you asked me to explain the meaning of that term and share some examples. What is Trading Account Drawdown? The account drawdown is the highest observed loss from the highest value of the deposit to the lowest value of the deposit at a certain period of time. Imagine you started to trade with 10,000$ account. At the end of the year, your account size reached 15,000$ . However, at some point through the year the deposit value dropped to 6,000$ . It was the absolute minimum for the one-year period. At some point, your net loss was -4,000$ or 40% of your account balance. The account drawdown is 40% . ❗️Knowing the account drawdown is very important for the risk assessment of the trading strategy. Usually, 50% and bigger drawdown signifies an extremely high risk. 3 Types of Drawdown 1. Current drawdown - a temporary drawdown associated with the negative total value of opened trading position(s) at present. Once you start trading with 10,000$ deposit, you open several trading positions. Being opened, with the constant price movements, your potential gains fluctuates from positive to negative. For example, with 3 active trades : EURUSD ( -500$ at present); GBPUSD ( +200$ at present); GOLD ( -100$ at present) Your current account drawdown is -400$ or 4% of your deposit. 2. Fixed drawdown - the negative value of the closed trading position(s) at present for a certain period of time. While some of your trades remain active, some are already closed . Imagine the same deposit - 10,000$ . On Monday you opened 6 trades, 2 still remain active ; 4 are already closed . Your total loss from your closed trades is -500$. Your fixed Monday's drawdown is 5%. 3. Maximum Drawdown - the maximum observed loss from the highest value of the deposit before a new maximum is reached. Starting to trade with 10,000$ you are already trading for 5 years . Your account were growing rapidly and at some moment it reached 25,000$ . Then the recession started. You faced a dramatic loss of 12,500$ before you started to recover. That was the maximum observed loss for the period. Your maximum account drawdown was 50% . ❗️Different types of drawdown give a lot of insights about a trading strategy. Its proper assessment will help to spot a high risk strategy and to find a conservative one. Constantly monitor your account drawdown and always check the numbers. What is your highest account drawdown?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
What Traders and Rock Climbers Have in Common!This post is inspired by @TradingView's rebranding in 2021 and the recent Leap competition. At first glance, trading and rock climbing might seem worlds apart. One involves analyzing market trends, while the other requires physical strength and agility. However, both pursuits share surprising similarities, highlighting unique skills and mindsets. Here’s a look at what traders and rock climbers have in common. ⚙️ Risk Management: Both traders and rock climbers excel at managing risk. Traders use strategies like stop-loss orders and portfolio diversification to protect their capital. Rock climbers assess risks, use safety equipment, and plan routes to avoid danger. Effective risk management is crucial in both fields to prevent catastrophic outcomes. 💡Mental Toughness: Traders face market fluctuations and must make quick decisions under pressure. Rock climbers need to stay focused and composed while navigating challenging routes. Both activities demand mental resilience to overcome fear, maintain focus, and make calculated decisions. 📊 Strategic Planning: Success in trading and rock climbing involves strategic planning. Traders develop strategies based on market analysis and economic indicators, while rock climbers meticulously plan their ascents, studying routes and assessing conditions. Strategic planning helps achieve goals efficiently in both areas. ⚖️ Adaptability: Adaptability is key for both traders and rock climbers. Market conditions can change rapidly, requiring traders to adjust their strategies. Rock climbers face changing conditions like weather and rock quality, adapting their techniques to overcome obstacles and reach their objectives. 📜 Continuous Learning: Both traders and rock climbers are committed to continuous learning. Traders stay updated on market trends and new tools, while rock climbers seek to improve their skills and stay informed about gear and safety practices. The pursuit of knowledge drives success in both fields. 🧘‍♂️ Focus on Execution: Execution is crucial in trading and rock climbing. Traders need precision, timing, and discipline to execute trades effectively. Rock climbers must execute their moves with precision and confidence to progress safely. The ability to execute under pressure is essential for success in both activities. 🔄Passion and Commitment: Passion and commitment are integral to both trading and rock climbing. Traders have a deep interest in financial markets, while rock climbers are driven by their love for the sport and adventure. This passion fuels their dedication, driving them to invest time and effort into their pursuits. 🧗‍♀️ Conclusion: Despite their apparent differences, trading and rock climbing share many commonalities. Both require effective risk management, mental toughness, strategic planning, adaptability, continuous learning, focus on execution, and a deep-seated passion. Recognizing these parallels can provide valuable insights and inspiration for those engaged in either pursuit, highlighting the universal qualities that drive success in diverse fields. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
10
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown. 👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈 Price Action Analysis And this is the accumulation stage - 1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move. - Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. 2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. - Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. 3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline. - A wave of buying easily pushes prices up. - The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation. 4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand. - If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. - It is common to have multiple STs after an SC. 5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. 6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS. 7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume. All the phases of accumulation stage- Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. -- Up to this point, supply has been dominant. -- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). -- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. -- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. -- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above. Phase B: -- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend -- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. --There are usually multiple STs during Phase B' -- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range. --Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. Phase C: -- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply. -- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). -- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position. -- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. Phase D: --During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top --LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. Phase E: --large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. --These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets. -------------------------------------------------- Regards, Revive Traders ------------------------------------------------ Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC ! 🙏FOLLOW for more ! 👍LIKE if U find it useful ! ✍COMMENT your views & feedback !
NSE:UPLEducation
by ReviveTraders
GOLD Trading: 8 Mistakes Traders MUST Avoid in a Bull Market The unstoppable uptrend on Gold may cause irrational and very costly decisions . For the past 6 months, we've seen an unprecedented surge, with new highs being set almost daily. In this article, we will discuss critical mistakes that traders often make in the midst of such a bullish run and explore the strategies to maximize your gains. 1. Technical Indicators Lie Always remember that technical indicators that measure the momentum or strength of a market trend, that show the overbought and oversold conditions, fail miserably in strong bullish or bearish rallies. I am talking about such indicators as Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving average convergence/divergence, Stochastic, etc. The fact that one of these indicators show overbought condition or even a bullish divergence most of the time will be a false signal. Above is the example of an overbought RSI on Gold chart on a daily. After the market became overbought, it went 1000 pips higher before the first pullback. 2. It is Never too High When the market starts setting new all-time highs, people typically start saying that the price is already "too high" and start closing their long positions or even open short positions. Remember, that the notion of too high is very subjective. Look at a bullish rally on Gold in 2020. I well remember that when the market updated a yearly high in April, People start staying that it is already "too high". However, the market kept rallying for 4 consequent months, constantly updating the highs. Such a market behavior may persist for a significant period of time, be prepared for that. 3. Beware of Overconfidence Even though bullish rallies may be long, always remember that they can not last forever. At some moment, correction or even bearish reversal will occur. For that reason, open long positions carefully, setting realistic targets. 4. Protect Your Gains and Maximize Your Profits When the market is trading in the uncharted territory, it is almost impossible to predict where it will find the resistance. With a take profit level, you may close the trade too soon. If you see that the market is driven by euphoria and keeps setting new all-time highs, remove take profit and apply a trailing stop instead. Keep that below the recent supports, use ATR or some other classic technical tool. That will help you to benefit from the entire rally. 5. DON'T SELL BULLISH RALLY When the market is driven by greed, euphoria or fear, never go against the market. The chance that you will accurately predict the turning point is close to 0. 6. Beware of Lower Time Frame Bearish Patterns In a strong bullish trend, classic bearish reversal pattern have low accuracy, especially on minutes time frames. Look at a sequence of double tops on 15 minutes time frame. These patterns are a great example of manipulations and how smart money induce retail traders to start shorting. In a such a strong bullish trend, the only strategy to rely on is trend-following trading. 7. Do Not Rely On News In times of strong bullish/bearish rallies, the data in economic calendar and important news releases stop giving the reliable signals. In times of bulls/bearish runs, emotions become the main driver of the markets, not the fundamental data. 8. If You Missed It, Let It Go I can imagine, how terrible you may feel yourself if you did not manage to buy Gold on a good price. It's sad, and it is painful to watch how the market goes higher and higher without you. But always remember a simple rule: if you missed the rally, let it go. With each new high that the market sets, your potential gains drop dramatically. I hope that these tips will help you not get burned while Gold is on fire. Stay calm and patient, and do not let your emotions intervene. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1