Trend MasterTrend Master usage.
0. Change to Heiken Ashi
1. Look for SAR buy/sell signal from Indicator
2. Identify trend price above 200MA or below MA200
3. Confirm with MA cloud
4. look for color of SR line it must be Blue for buy / Red for sell
5. Price (open) must be
above SR line for buy / below SR line for sell
Fundamental Analysis
Top 5 Pairs of Fundamental IndicatorsI previously gave a presentation on the best pairs of technical indicators and decided to do the same for fundamental indicators, as many believe that the two go hand in hand.
As an investor, understanding fundamental indicators can help you make informed investment decisions and maximize returns. In this guide, we will explore the top 5 pairs of fundamental indicators and their corresponding trading strategies for both value and growth investing.
For Value Investing:
1. Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio and Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio
The P/E ratio compares a company's stock price to its earnings per share (EPS), while the P/S ratio compares a company's stock price to its revenue per share. These ratios provide insight into how much investors are willing to pay for a company's earnings and revenue.
Strategy: Investors can use a combination of P/E and P/S ratios to identify undervalued stocks. A low P/E and P/S ratio may indicate an undervalued stock, while a high P/E and P/S ratio may indicate an overvalued stock. Investors can also compare a company's P/E and P/S ratios to those of its competitors or industry averages to gain a better understanding of its valuation.
2. Debt to Equity Ratio and Current Ratio
The debt to equity ratio measures a company's debt relative to its equity, while the current ratio measures a company's ability to pay its short-term debts. These ratios provide insight into a company's financial health and its ability to manage debt.
Strategy: Investors can use a combination of debt to equity ratio and current ratio to identify financially healthy companies. A low debt to equity ratio and a high current ratio may indicate a financially healthy company, while a high debt to equity ratio and a low current ratio may indicate a financially unstable company. Investors can also compare a company's debt to equity ratio and current ratio to those of its competitors or industry averages to gain a better understanding of its financial health.
3. Dividend Yield and Dividend Payout Ratio
The dividend yield measures the percentage return on a stock based on its dividend payments, while the dividend payout ratio measures the percentage of a company's earnings paid out as dividends. These ratios provide insight into a company's dividend policy and its ability to pay dividends.
Strategy: Investors can use a combination of dividend yield and dividend payout ratio to identify undervalued stocks with a reliable and sustainable dividend income. A high dividend yield and a low dividend payout ratio may indicate a company that is likely to continue paying dividends in the future. Investors can also compare a company's dividend yield and dividend payout ratio to those of its competitors or industry averages to gain a better understanding of its dividend policy.
For Growth Investing:
4. Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA)
ROE measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity, while ROA measures a company's profitability relative to its assets. These ratios provide insight into a company's ability to generate profits from its investments.
Strategy: Investors can use a combination of ROE and ROA to identify companies with a strong track record of profitability and growth potential. A high ROE and ROA may indicate a company that is efficiently using its assets and generating profits for its shareholders. Investors can also compare a company's ROE and ROA to those of its competitors or industry averages to gain a better understanding of its profitability.
5. Earnings per Share (EPS) and Sales Growth Rate
EPS measures a company's earnings per share, while sales growth rate measures the percentage increase in a company's revenue over time. These ratios provide insight into a company's profitability and its ability to grow its revenue.
Strategy for Growth Investing: Investors can use a combination of EPS and sales growth rate to identify growth stocks that are expected to experience strong earnings growth in the future. A high EPS and high sales growth rate may indicate a company that is growing its revenue and earnings at a strong pace and is likely to continue doing so in the future. Investors can also compare a company's EPS and sales growth rate to those of its competitors or industry averages to gain a better understanding of its growth potential.
Strategy for Value Investing: Investors can also use a combination of EPS and sales growth rate to identify undervalued stocks that have a strong earnings growth potential. A low EPS and high sales growth rate may indicate an undervalued stock that is growing its revenue and earnings at a strong pace. Investors can also compare a company's EPS and sales growth rate to those of its competitors or industry averages to gain a better understanding of its growth potential.
In conclusion, the 5 pairs of fundamental indicators discussed above can be powerful tools for both value and growth investors. By combining these indicators, investors can gain a better understanding of a company's financial health, profitability, and growth potential, which can help them make more informed investment decisions. However, it is important to note that these indicators should not be used in isolation and should be considered alongside other factors such as industry trends, macroeconomic factors, and company-specific events.
If you have any questions or requests for strategy analysis, feel free to write them in the comments.
Price Action: How to Trade ReversalsTrading on key levels is one of the basic principles of Price Action trading in the financial markets. There are two main ways to trade on levels: on the breakout and on the reversal. How to distinguish a correct signal to enter the market from a false one, how to set stop-losses and take-profits and what other nuances should be considered when trading in this style?
🔷 Specifics of trading from levels
Key price levels are present in any financial market, including Forex. Often, these horizontal lines act as either support or resistance to further price movement, which is why traders are so interested in them. These key lines are formed due to the large accumulation of buy and sell orders. When the price reaches such a congestion, the current strength of the trend, as a rule, is not enough to close all these orders and move the price further.
Therefore, if the movement does not get support, the price will turn in the opposite direction. If there are new volumes that are able to break through a great accumulation of orders, it is likely to happen that the trend strength is enough for the further movement, i.e. a strong breakout level will occur. Of course, events do not always develop only according to these scenarios, but these are the two most likely variants. There are big players at the market whose orders influence the price due to big volumes. Because of this, experienced traders only need to correctly identify such levels and signals that the price is most likely to reverse. The classic level is an area based on the opening or closing candlestick prices (not the high/low), which the chart has already touched before. That is, if the chart, having risen to a certain level, rolled back and then approached that level again, the price value at the extreme point will be that level.
🔷 Entering the market
The main condition for entering the trade at the reversal from the level, it is necessary to make sure that it is exactly the reversal. If the price is just approaching the key level, it is too early to open a trade. The trader must form a reversal pattern of Price Action in order to be sure that the position opening is correct.
It may be the following patterns:
1. A Pinbar (a candlestick with a long shadow, level breakout and a small body);
2. Engulfing (the next candlestick is directed in the opposite direction, its body and shadows are bigger than those of the previous candlestick);
3. Tweezer top/bottom pattern (alternation of bullish and bearish candlesticks with the same lows and highs);
Once the pattern is formed, a trade can be opened.
For example, the screenshot above shows a pin bar with a large upper shadow breaking through the resistance level, then rolls back down and the candle closes in bearish status. At the opening of the next candle you can enter the sell trade.
🔷 Setting Stop Losses and Take Profits
Stop Loss should be set in such a way that a random movement against the direction of the trade, such as a level retest with a false breakout, does not knock the trader out of the market. It is impossible to set a specific value (e.g. 10 pips) for this trading style, the stop should be set based on the chart and "tails" of the candles in the visible proximity.
As for take profit, there are no strict rules for its setting. You can use the standard technique, multiplying the value of the stop-loss by 3 or 4 and set a TP on the resulting distance. This is correct from the money management point of view. However, in each situation there may be conditions for greater profits than the standard stop-loss. For example, you can focus on the next key level in the direction of the trade. However, unlike a stop, a TP should be set so that the price is guaranteed to hit it when approaching the key level.
🔷 Important points
1. It is worth paying attention to the strength of the level and the likelihood that it will break or hold. There is a common misconception that the more price reversals from a level, the more likely it is that the level will remain intact. In fact, if the price keeps testing a certain level over and over again without going into the opposite trend, it means that it is likely to be broken. In practice this means that it is better to skip the third and the next attempts of a level bounce, trading on the second one only.
2. One should not draw a distinction between a classic reversal from a level and a retest of the level after it has been broken, when, for example, support becomes resistance. Such a retest is an even stronger signal than a simple reversal. The probability of a successful trade is even higher if we obtain a clear signal for reversal after an unsuccessful attempt to break through the level in the opposite direction.
3. The probability of a reversal or breakout of the level can be assessed based upon the movement towards the key level. If the previous candlesticks were small and differently directed, but the price has still reached the level, a breakout is quite probable. If the trend was strong and confident and the level was reached in just a few candles, but was not broken through, most likely, it won't be broken through. This phenomenon can be explained by the fact that market makers are trying to mislead small traders, playing on visual triggers. Seeing a strong movement, the trader unconsciously waits for a breakout and as a result suffers losses giving his money to the market maker.
According to this logic, the conclusion can be made that if a big candle has reached a level, stopped in it, and closed without breaking through it, a breakout will probably never happen. But if a powerful candle has broken through the level, passed some more points (or tens of points), and closed on the other side, the breakout can be considered to have taken place.
4. When opening a trade, attention should be paid to the extrems of the nearest candlesticks. If the maximums (when testing the resistance) are approximately equal, or differ by 1-2 points, this supports the signal for the reversal and the pullback. The same is true for candlestick minimums when testing support.
🔵 Conclusion
All other things being equal, a reversal of the level is more probable than its breakthrough. Such statistics gives a trader the reason to count on more signals and following the strategy rules will ensure profitable trading. However, one should keep in mind that trading from levels is a tactic that requires a trader's experience to be able to make decisions according to the situation. Despite the presence of rules, there is no clear algorithm that would regulate the actions in any situation.
And due to this, a trader who uses the analysis of levels in his trading system, can count on the success of his trade. Most trading systems, allowing to open trades on an automatic basis, very quickly lose their validity, as well as trading robots based on these algorithms. The market is constantly changing, and only the ability to adjust to these changes and make decisions depending on the situation provides professional traders with a stable and high income.
Catalytic effects of NFP DaysAs you see NFP release days often generate reversals, minor pullbacks on daily or are at the beginning of big moves, acting as catalysts.
Though I dont believe in big NFP reversal starting on low volume trading days, as we are in Easter Holidays. Hence today´s NFP day may go unnoticed as most of traders are gone for Easter holidays.
But otherwise we could see a catalytic move.
FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
Crypto Analysis: A Comprehensive Technical & Fundamental GuideHere is a detailed step-by-step guide on how to use the technical and fundamental indicators to analyze cryptocurrencies:
Step 1: Choose a reliable trading or charting platform
Select a trading or charting platform that allows you to access and utilize the technical and fundamental indicators mentioned. I personally use and recommend TradingView for its reliability and ease of use in cryptocurrency analysis.
Step 2: Set up your chart
Configure your chart with your chosen cryptocurrency's price data, typically using the daily timeframe for a broader perspective. You can adjust the timeframe according to your preferred trading style (short-term, medium-term, or long-term).
Step 3: Apply technical indicators
Add the following technical indicators to your chart:
a. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Use three EMAs with different periods (e.g., 20, 50, and 100 days) to identify short, medium, and long-term trends. Look for crossovers between the EMAs as potential buy or sell signals.
b. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Apply the MACD indicator with standard settings (12, 26, 9). Look for crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line as potential buy or sell signals. Additionally, watch for bullish or bearish divergence between the MACD and price.
c. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Apply the RSI indicator with a 14-day period. Monitor the RSI levels for overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) conditions, which could signal potential price reversals.
Step 4: Analyze the cryptocurrency market fundamentals
Evaluate the following fundamental factors:
a. Adoption: Research the current rate of cryptocurrency adoption, including new users, institutional interest, and use cases. Increasing adoption typically indicates a positive long-term outlook.
b. Regulation: Stay informed about the latest regulatory developments and legal frameworks that could impact your chosen cryptocurrency's value and market perception.
c. Utility: Assess the cryptocurrency's current utility, such as its use as a store of value, a medium of exchange, or as a hedge against traditional financial markets.
Step 5: Analyze the cryptocurrency network
Examine key network metrics, such as:
a. Hash rate: A higher hash rate indicates a strong and secure network. Monitor the hash rate for consistent growth or sudden drops, which could impact the cryptocurrency's price.
b. Mining difficulty: Observe the mining difficulty as an indicator of network security and miner participation. Higher mining difficulty generally implies a more secure network.
c. Transactions: Track the number of daily transactions on the cryptocurrency network, as increased transaction activity may correlate with higher demand and network utility.
Step 6: Synthesize your analysis
Combine your technical and fundamental analyses to create a comprehensive understanding of your chosen cryptocurrency's current market conditions. Look for confluence between the technical indicators and the fundamental factors to identify potential trading opportunities or long-term investment decisions.
Step 7: Continuously monitor and adjust
Regularly update your analysis to stay informed about changes in the market or network conditions. Adapt your trading or investment strategy accordingly.
Keep in mind that this is just one example of a method that combines technical and fundamental indicators. The effectiveness of this method will depend on various factors, including market conditions, your trading or investment strategy, and your ability to interpret and act on the provided information. Always exercise due diligence and research before making any trading or investment decisions.
Winning Combinations of Technical and Fundamental IndicatorsHere are some combinations of technical and fundamental indicators that investors often use to analyze stocks.
1. Moving Average, MACD , RSI + Valuation Ratios (P/E, P/B, P/S)
This combination of technical and fundamental indicators is commonly used by investors to analyze the short-term price trends of a stock and its long-term valuation. Moving averages, MACD , and RSI are technical indicators that can help investors identify short-term buy or sell signals, overbought or oversold conditions, and follow the trend. On the other hand, valuation ratios like P/E, P/B, and P/S can provide insights into the company's long-term valuation and potential for growth. For example, if a stock's P/E ratio is significantly lower than its industry average, it may indicate that the stock is undervalued and could present a buying opportunity.
2. Bollinger Bands , Ichimoku Cloud , Stochastic + Financial Statement Analysis, Interest Rates
This combination of technical and fundamental indicators is commonly used by investors to analyze a stock's price volatility and trend as well as its financial health and economic factors. Bollinger Bands , Ichimoku Cloud , and Stochastic are technical indicators that can help investors measure price volatility , identify overbought or oversold levels, and follow the trend. Financial statement analysis can provide insights into a company's financial health, including its revenue, earnings , and debt levels. Interest rates can also provide insights into the broader economic trends that may impact the stock's performance. For example, if interest rates are rising, it may indicate a stronger economy, which could positively impact the stock's performance.
3. Fibonacci Retracement , Support and Resistance , MACD + Economic and Political News, Key Economic Indicators ( Inflation Rate, GDP, Unemployment Rate)
This combination of technical and fundamental indicators is commonly used by investors to analyze a stock's short-term price trends, volatility , and support and resistance levels, as well as the overall economic performance and market trends. Fibonacci retracement , Support and Resistance , and MACD are technical indicators that can help investors identify short-term buy or sell signals, measure volatility , and identify support and resistance levels. Economic and political news, as well as key economic indicators like inflation rate, GDP, and unemployment rate, can provide insights into the overall economic performance and market trends that may impact the stock's performance. For example, if there is positive economic news or if key economic indicators like GDP and inflation rate are improving, it may indicate a growing economy and positively impact the stock's performance.
It is important to note that these combinations are just examples and their effectiveness may vary depending on market conditions and the trading strategy used. Investors should always exercise due diligence and research before using indicators in their trading strategy.
Feel free to share your own combinations of indicators and opinions in the comments section below.
MC DONALD'S TRADING LESSONSStory time…
One of the greatest success stories of all time, is with the company which is based on the glorious golden arches we still see today.
Mc Donalds…
It all started in 1940 where, two brothers, Maurice and Richard “Dick” Mc Donald’s made a small fortune selling hamburgers in San Bernardino, California…
They took a product and an idea and turned it into a fast, convenient and consistently profitable business.
Once they mastered their strategy and system then they introduced Ray Croc (a shrewd American businessman) into an agreement to build more Mc Donalds…
However, he barely made enough profits to sustain, find more franchisees and even pay off his expenses…
That’s when Harry Sonneborn came about where he made Ray Croc realise, he was in the land business rather than the restaurant business…
Ray Kroc explained…
“Pretty simple, really. Franchisee finds a piece of land he likes, gets a lease, usually 20 years, takes out a construction loan, throws up a building, and off he goes.”
Sonneborne then said:
“You don’t seem to realize what business you’re in. You’re not in the burger business. You’re in the real estate business.”
This conversation lead to the global expansion of McDonald’s, turning it into the most successful fast food corporation in the world.
In this article, I’m not going to talk about Ray Kroc, but instead how the brother’s starting concept applies to trading.
Here are three lessons I learnt from Mc Donald’s Success
#1: Less is more…
The brothers were geniuses from the start…
When something didn’t work, they threw it out… When something showed to work, they harnessed it, optimised it and improved it…
They did this with data.
The brothers took sales data to compare which products were making more money.
They found that 80% of their sales in the last 3 years came from simple burgers.
Each burger was made with precise ingredients.
Any deviation and this caused sales to drop.
The rest of the 20% were drinks and barbeque.
So the brothers made their life easy and got rid of the barbeque pit completely.
They also cut their menu down from 25 items to just 11 items.
It mainly had
Burgers
Fries
Milkshakes and
Soft drinks
They said let’s do less of what’s not helping sales and focus on what is making the most revenue.
Once they got rid of the barbeque pit the brothers later on systematised the burger making process.
So how does this relate to trading…
Less is more is one of my most powerful quotes when it comes to trading…
You need to cut out a LOT of data to maximise your returns…
Find one or two systems that suit you.
Minimise the number of markets, time frames and charts to look at.
Cut out unnecessary indicators that conflict with the systems signals and frequency.
Choose a certain time that works best for your system.
Stick to 1 or two financial instruments to trade.
Only have 1 or 2 or max 3 trading accounts with reason.
It will take time and effort on your side to cut out what needs to be cut, but you won’t regret it in the long run…
As Mc Donald’s did… Take a product improve it drastically then sell it to the masses.
#2: Find a system to repeat over and over
With Mc Donald’s did you know…
They took a tennis court and drew out the compartments of making a burger.
They then orchestrated it with their employees until the flow and speed was at the most optimised level.
Once they found a winning system, reduced the time to make a burger and optimise the process – they were able to even drop the price to appeal more demand…
At the time, they could drop the burger to 15 cents…
With trading, you know this…
You’ll need to find, adopt, follow and repeat your turn-key system.
It doesn’t matter whether it takes you 2 months, 2 years or even 7 years to get right.
Once you have it, you’ll be able to generate consistent results year in and year out.
Just like the cycle of burgers, you’ll have your very own consistent cycle of success through trading…
Also, with your one system you’ll be able to optimise it and improve it when conditions change…
This brings us to the third lesson…
#3: “We love to see you smile”
This was one of Mc Donald’s campaign they used from 2000-2003, which has stuck…
Not only does Mc Donald’s keep to their winning formula, systems, products and manner – but they also adapt to change…
They continue to offer new items on the menu’s as time’s change…
From Happy Meals, Toys, Lollipops, Café’s, Ice creams, food cultural adaptions to even Vegan food… They think of everything to adapt to change…
BUT! They don’t stop offering their winning products that bring in revenue.
With trading you need to also evolve as a trader and adapt to change.
Sure, your system will remain consistent.
Sure, your risk management won’t change…
But there are certain elements that require change such as…
New markets:
You might want to incorporate your system with new markets i.e. AI, Electric Vehicles, Metaverse, Cannabis, Energy alternatives, Crypto, NFTs. AI (with ChatGPT, DALLEE, BING) and so on…
New instruments:
Also, we might need to evolve from the current financial instruments we’re trading… Once day, CFDs and Spread Betting might be a thing of the past. I personally have evolved from shares, warrants, futures to ETFs. You never know what will be next…
New automations:
We might soon have robots and AI to use out system to find trades and execute them.
You get the point…
If you want to be successful with trading you have to understand the power of systems to repeat…
This way the system will do the job for you…
Next time you’re at Mc Donald’s, you’ll see what I mean.
EXPLAINED: Runaway GapLESSON OF THE DAY
Runaway Gap
A Runaway Gap is a continuation move where the price gaps in the middle of a trend e..g Up or Down.
The gap is a void (where no prices overlap between two candles)
And then the price follows the previous trend.
I like to think of a Runaway Gap as a horse that goes from trotting to galloping.
The trend then starts to accelerate and continue in the direction.
Specifics for this example:
· Previous price moves in a downtrend.
· Price then gaps.
· Price then follows the continuous downtrend.
Please react so I know to provide more daily lessons...
What is Non-Farm Payroll and How to Trade It? 📚
Hey traders,
This week, on Friday, we are expecting Non-Farm Payroll Report.
In this educational article, I will try to explain to you why that fundamental data is so important
and I will share with you the insights how to trade it.
Non-Farm Payroll is one of the most important indicators for forex and stock markets in the economic calendar.
Being released on the first Friday of each month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), it shows the number of new jobs created by the US economy during the previous month, excluding farm sector, government and not for profit organizations.
NFP accounts for 80% of the US gross domestic product work force.
The non-farm payroll is used by analysts to determine the current state of the economy and to predict the future activity levels.
For that reason, its release usually triggers volatile movements across all Us Dollar related financial instruments.
Being crucially important, remember that NFP is not the only figure released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
NFP is the part of the Employment Situation Report that also contains:
Unemployment rate,
Average hourly earnings,
Labor participation rate,
Average workweek.
The main reason, why newbie traders fail in trading NFP release is the fact that they completely neglect the figures of the Employment Situation Report.
Here are some tips how to properly interpret the figures in the report:
1) Non-farm payroll numbers.
It reflects the new jobs' creation pace.
Higher than predicted rate is usually positive for the US stock market,
while the weak rate usually affects that negatively.
2) Unemployment rate.
It reflects the number of unemployed people in relation to a total workforce.
Low unemployment rate is usually very positive for US Dollar,
while higher than expected unemployment quite negatively affects on USD.
3) Average hourly earnings.
It reflects the change of the labor cost.
The fast increase in the labor cost is usually positive for US Dollar,
while the slowing increase is considered to be a bearish indicator for USD.
4) Average weekly hours.
It reflects the average amount of paid working hours.
The increase in average weekly hours is considered to be a very positive factor for US stock market,
while its decrease is considered to be a negative one.
Trading NFP report, the one should consider all the figures from the Employment Situation Report.
All the numbers should be weighed properly and only then the predictions should be made.
Remember that volatility is higher than usual in the hours of news release, for that reason, be careful and never forget to set a stop loss.
Bitcoin - Why?Well,
More than an investment Bitcoin represents an asset and a movement whose time has come and is very much needed. Providing freedom and property rights. Fixed supply and a deflationary environment.
More than profiting from this it is also important to understand the principles behind this technology.
While having some cash in the bank does not completely gurantee you to be the owner of that amount, when you own Bitcoin , if you properly store your private keys (same thing as your online banking passwords and codes) nobody else has access to your wealth. Not even a third party. You are the owner in its true sense of the word.
Non-custodial wallets provide you true freedom while cash in the bank provides you with hope that when its time to withdraw it your bank has it.
We could also talk about money printing and debt which caused a giant wave of inflation and is debasind the US Dollar. Our ourchasing power is reducing drastically. We are becoming modern slaves to this Fiat system. People are beginning to realise this.
Times are changing and as Ray Dalio says - everything is cyclical.
You might have to consider owning some Bitcoin , "just in case it catches on" :)
Some useful information:
- 21M Bitcoin fixed supply;
- Backed by code and maths;
- Not controlled by a central authority;
- Your keys, your coins;
- 1 BTC = 100.000.000 sats.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
EXPLAINED: A Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) - Smart Money ConceptsA Bullish Fair Value Gap is a 3 candle structure with an up impulse candle (2nd) that indicates and creates an
imbalance or an inefficiency in the market.
WHAT DO THE IMBALANCES TELL US?
These imbalances tell us that the buying and selling is not equal. Now the market needs to rebalance (move at least to 50% of the fair value gap to fill) to make up for the imbalance and rebalance. For this to happen we need to see orders filled in the prices of the candle with the FVG.
HOW A BULLISH FAIR VALUE GAP IS CONSTRUCTED:
1st Candle
Draw a horizontal line from the top of the wick.
3rd Candle
Draw a horizontal line from the bottom of the wick
2nd Candle
Draw a BOX between the above and below and pull it over to see the FVG range.
BETWEEN CANDLE 1 and CANDLE 3:
Do NOT show common prices. They do NOT touch where the upper & the lower wicks do NOT overlap.
With a Bullish FVG we can expect the market price to move DOWN.
HOW MUCH?
I believe a Bullish FVG needs to close at least 50%.
So you can drag a Gann Box or a Fib retracement (take out all the other levels except 50%).
Wait for the price to close and fill the prices and boom - Your Bullish Fair Value Gap has been filled.
Let me know if you have any other SMC (Smart Money Concepts) Questions.
Trade so easy with FAIR VALUE GAPS!Hello trader, you look great today! I have a useful trading tool to offer you. If you are experiencing positive feelings towards me, please consider following me and helping to increase my exposure.
FAIR VOLUE GAP
First, go to tradingview and search up Fair Volue Gap . Now, you can see your chart dashed lines, to see levels based on these pages. FVG and to make this set up a lot better though we want to clean this up and only show significant Fair Volue Gaps by going into the settings and selecting the auto threshold. What this does is allows the indicator to detect the average best size of each Fair Value Gap to filter out insignificant ones.
How Much Time Do You Need For Trading?Hello trader! How much time do you usually need to spend studying charts and watching the currency markets? I'm sure many of you at the beginning of your trading career literally stuck to your computer screens for days on end, obsessing over charts, drinking large amounts of coffee and constantly placing orders throughout the day, but is this the only, realistic approach we have? In this post, I will show you an alternative way to track your charts, using various methods and tools to develop a much more nimble, calm and productive approach to trading. I will show you that you shouldn't be stuck at your computer screens all day, while still using your time rationally.
✳️ Timeframes and Currency Pairs
The timeframes that you use when trading determine the frequency with which you check the charts. So, it goes without saying that if you trade on a 5-minute chart, you have to check the charts much more often than if you trade on a daily timeframe. Your workload is also affected by the number of currency pairs you trade, i.e. the more currency pairs you will use to trade, the more charts you have to analyze. This does not mean that you cannot trade on 20 currency pairs or more, it simply means that you have to have a ready-made system in which you can monitor each currency pair effectively. Say, when trading on M15 it is difficult to keep track of 20 currency pairs, but when you work on D1 it is quite convenient.
✳️ Analysis
Over time, you will develop your own expertise and confidence in being able to analyze markets consistently and quickly. Knowing where and when to "hunt" for a trade and when to properly use lower timeframes will help you save a tremendous amount of time for looking at charts. Having a clear idea of where you will look for price signals to open positions will allow you to plan ahead and choose your desired positions, and will prevent you from having to constantly monitor the markets.
On the other hand, traders who monitor the markets carefully and for long uninterrupted periods of time can fall prey to opening positions that they probably tend to find unreasonable, this may be due to the fact that traders feel pressure: because they HAVE to open a position to justify their time sitting behind the monitor. So, you need to know where and when to look for trading signals. For example, if you trade the cross of the 200th Average, of course, if the price is very far from this average, you understand that the next ten candles do not make sense to look into the terminal. And you do not waste your time and attention.
✳️ Price Alerts and Pending Orders
Price alerts play a great role in saving the time needed for analyzing charts. The way they work is very simple: as soon as you have analysed every currency pair you wish to trade, you can set up an alert signal at a price level you think is good for opening a position in that particular pair. When the price reaches the desired level, a price alert is triggered and you are notified by email or text, after which you can check the pair for any price movement signals.
Trading signals also play a role in position management: you can set alerts for stop loss level, entry level, profit taking, which means that you can leave your position and make changes to it only when the price reaches your targets.
✳️ Trading on the go
Before the rise of smartphones and tablets, trading on the go was not an option, however, modern technology and communication tools make trading on the go very easy. The ability to open and close positions or reduce a stop loss wherever you are generally meaning that you don't have to stick to your computer screens to trade. As a result, this has led to traders being able to trade almost anywhere they like from now on.
Getting all the latest information and staying up to date with current market movements, thanks to advances in technology and global access to the Internet, has freed traders from their screens and given them a degree of freedom that we all long for. Due to the fact that each broker offers its own application for trading, which you can download to your phone or tablet, trading has now become a fairly universal and accessible business, which can be engaged anywhere.
✳️ Have a trading routine
If you treat trading like a real business, you'll find that an important and necessary issue is having a set routine and appropriate working hours, as well as understanding when to work and when to rest. It is very easy to get caught up in the markets and feel as if you have to monitor the charts 24/7 so that you don't miss a single trade. This is a dangerous habit to develop because getting too involved in the markets will burn you out and exhaust you very easily.
If you find that the markets are starting to dictate your lifestyle (a classic example is when you stay up all night just to catch a good time to enter the market), then you've gotten too deep into trading. You should know when to turn off the trade, be able to turn off the charts, and get a good night's sleep. Be reasonable, set your own working hours and stick to them, even if trading is your main occupation, set aside a certain amount of time every day during which you would have worked in the markets and try to stick to it consistently.
✳️ Take a day off
Once a week you should take a day off from trading. No reading on forums, no studying strategies, no browsing charts, no testing Expert Advisors. Nothing related to trading at all. The best thing would be to go to the nature, go for a walk in a strange place, read a fiction book, visit the theater, spend time with family or friends. Such "days of unloading" help our brain to rest, process the accumulated information and experience to work more productively in the future.
✳️ Do you spend too much time analyzing charts?
The purpose of this post is to show you how flexible trading can be and that you don't have to be glued to your computer monitor working 24/7 to get results. Even if trading is your main occupation, it can be scheduled in parallel with your other activities. It shouldn't look like an all-or-nothing proposition, because the forex market allows us to choose when to trade, so you can appropriately structure your trading hours to suit your own needs.
You can't get around the fact that you need to spend a tremendous amount of time constantly learning the aspects of forex trading in order to execute effective trading, but once you have accumulated the necessary skills and confidence in your own skills, you will actually need a much smaller amount of time needed to directly trade.
Trading may even seem like something boring to you, but that's only because you just understand and accept what the markets really are, realizing that it's not a game, but just a business.
The main goal that attract people to trading is the promise of financial freedom and an attractive lifestyle, but trading can have the opposite effect and can sometimes become an obsession that completely drains the trader. You must know when to work and when to play. Setting in place a set order/trading clock brings into your daily life the routines every trader needs to maintain a healthy and productive workload.
Time is a very valuable commodity, in our modern lives the day is already filled to the brim with so many other commitments and activities, and managing it wisely is key to success. So, if you find yourself spending too much time on charts, there are things you can do to reduce your trading load, it will give you the freedom to step away from your screens. These include the following:
1. Using price alerts and pending orders, which are probably the biggest time-saving factor.
2. Focusing on higher timeframes while carefully using lower timeframes as well.
3. Having a fixed schedule of trading hours which you should stick to.
4. Using trading applications that allow you to stay connected when you are away from your computer.
Applying these recommendations to trading will allow you to stay in contact with the markets without physically sitting in front of charts for days on end. What is the point of looking at charts if currency pair prices are not in a zone where you are not waiting for a signal? Why waste your time watching the price movements, if you are not going to trade any time soon anyway? Instead, let price do its thing, and on occasion enter the market in the area where you are waiting for a signal, that would be exactly the time when you should switch to the charts and hunt for pips. Remember, you are the main figure (not the markets!) and you are the one who keeps the trading procedure consistent and tight, be patient.
Learn the Long History of Forex!
💶The history of the foreign exchange market (forex) dates back centuries, with evidence of currency exchange dating back to ancient civilizations. Here is a brief overview of the ancient history of forex:
• Ancient Mesopotamia: The Mesopotamians, who lived in present-day Iraq, are believed to have been the first civilization to use a form of currency. They used clay tablets to record transactions of goods and services, and it is believed that they also engaged in foreign exchange transactions.
• Ancient Egypt: The ancient Egyptians used a bartering system to trade goods and services, but they also used a form of currency in the form of metal rings. Foreign exchange transactions likely occurred between ancient Egyptian traders and merchants from other civilizations.
• Ancient China: The Chinese began using metal coins as a form of currency as early as the 7th century BC. They also engaged in foreign exchange transactions with merchants from other civilizations, such as the Greeks and Romans.
• Ancient Greece: The ancient Greeks used a bartering system to trade goods and services, but they also minted coins made of precious metals. Foreign exchange transactions likely occurred between ancient Greek traders and merchants from other civilizations.
• Ancient Rome: The ancient Romans minted coins made of precious metals, which were used as a form of currency. They also engaged in foreign exchange transactions with merchants from other civilizations.
💴It's worth noting that these ancient foreign exchange transactions were likely not as frequent and organized as they are today, and were conducted primarily through bartering or physical money exchange. The invention of paper money and the rise of banks in the Middle Ages led to the development of more organized foreign exchange markets.
💵And Here is the overview of modern history of forex:
• The modern foreign exchange market began to take shape in the 1970s, after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, which had pegged the value of currencies to the price of gold.
• Prior to the 1970s, currency trading was primarily conducted by governments and large institutions, but with the emergence of floating exchange rates, the market became more accessible to smaller investors and traders.
• In the 1980s, electronic trading began to take hold, with the introduction of new technologies such as the Reuters Dealing 2000-2 system, which allowed traders to conduct transactions electronically. This led to a significant increase in the size and liquidity of the forex market.
• The 1990s saw the continued growth of the forex market, with the introduction of new technologies such as the internet, which made it possible for individuals to trade forex online.
• In the 2000s, the forex market saw a surge in popularity as a growing number of retail traders and investors entered the market. The introduction of online trading platforms and the ability to trade on margin further increased the market's accessibility.
💰Today, the forex market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, with a daily turnover of over $6 trillion. It's accessible to a wide range of participants, from large banks and institutional investors to small retail traders. The forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing traders to participate at any time.
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What can financial ratios tell us?In the previous post we learned what financial ratios are. These are ratios of various indicators from financial statements that help us draw conclusions about the fundamental strength of a company and its investment attractiveness. In the same post, I listed the financial ratios that I use in my strategy, with formulas for their calculations.
Now let's take apart each of them and try to understand what they can tell us.
- Diluted EPS . Some time ago I have already told about the essence of this indicator. I would like to add that this is the most influential indicator on the stock market. Financial analysts of investment companies literally compete in forecasts, what will be EPS in forthcoming reports of the company. If they agree that EPS will be positive, but what actually happens is that it is negative, the stock price may fall quite dramatically. Conversely, if EPS comes out above expectations - the stock is likely to rise strongly during the coverage period.
- Price to Diluted EPS ratio . This is perhaps the best-known financial ratio for evaluating a company's investment appeal. It gives you an idea of how many years your investment in a stock will pay off if the current EPS is maintained. I have a particular take on this ratio, so I plan to devote a separate publication to it.
- Gross margin, % . This is the size of the markup to the cost of the company's product (service) or, in other words, margin . It is impossible to say that small margin is bad, and large - good. Different companies may have different margins. Some sell millions of products by small margins and some sell thousands by large margins. And both of those companies may have the same gross margins. However, my preference is for those companies whose margins grow over time. This means that either the prices of the company's products (services) are going up, or the company is cutting production costs.
- Operating expense ratio . This ratio is a great indicator of management's ability to manage a company's expenses. If the revenue increases and this ratio decreases, it means that the management is skillfully optimizing the operating expenses. If it is the other way around, shareholders should wonder how well management is handling current affairs.
- ROE, % is a ratio reflecting the efficiency of a company's equity performance. If a company earned 5% of its equity, i.e. ROE = 5%, and the bank deposit rate = 7%, then shareholders have a reasonable question: why invest equity in business development, if it can be placed in a bank deposit and get more, without expending extra effort? In other words, ROE, % reflects the return on invested equity. If it is growing, it is definitely a positive factor for the company and the shareholders.
- Days payable . This financial ratio is an excellent indicator of the solvency of the company. We can say that it is the number of days it will take the company to pay all debts to suppliers from its revenue. If the number of days is relatively small, it means that the company has no delays in paying for supplies and therefore no money problems. I consider less than 30 days to be acceptable, but over 90 days is critical.
- Days sales outstanding . I already mentioned in my previous posts that when a company is having a bad sales situation, it may even sell its products on credit. Such debts accumulate in accounts receivable. Obviously, large accounts receivable are a risk for the company, because the debts may simply not be paid back. For ease of control over this indicator, they invented such a financial ratio as "Days sales outstanding". We can say that this is the number of days it will take the company to earn revenue equivalent to the accounts receivable. It's one thing if the receivables are 365 daily revenue and another if it's only 10 daily revenue. Like the previous ratio: less than 30 days is acceptable to me, but over 90 days is critical.
- Inventory to revenue ratio . This is the amount of inventory in relation to revenue. Since inventory includes not only raw materials but also unsold products, this ratio can indicate sales problems. The more inventory a company has in relation to revenue, the worse it is. A ratio below 0.25 is acceptable to me; a ratio above 0.5 indicates that there are problems with sales.
- Current ratio . This is the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. Remember, we said that current assets are easier and faster to sell than non-current, so they are also called quick assets. In the event of a crisis and lack of profit in the company, quick assets can be an excellent help to make payments on debts and settlements with suppliers. After all, they can be sold quickly enough to pay off these liabilities. To understand the size of this "safety cushion", the current ratio is calculated. The larger it is, the better. For me, a suitable current ratio is 2 or higher. But below 1 it does not suit me.
- Interest coverage . We already know that loans play an important role in a company's operations. However, I am convinced that this role should not be the main one. If a company spends all of its profits to pay interest on loans, it is working for the bank, not for the shareholders. To find out how tangible interest on loans is for the company, the "Interest coverage" ratio was invented. According to the income statement, interest on loans is paid out of operating income. So if we divide the operating income by this interest, we get this ratio. It shows us how many times more the company earns than it spends on debt service. To me, the acceptable coverage ratio should be above 6, and below 3 is weak.
- Debt to revenue ratio . This is a useful ratio that shows the overall picture of the company's debt situation. It can be interpreted the following way: it shows how much revenue should be earned in order to close all the debts. A debt to revenue ratio of less than 0.5 is positive. It means that half (or even less) of the annual revenue will be enough to close the debt. A debt to revenue ratio higher than 1 is considered a serious problem since the company does not even have enough annual revenue to pay off all of its debts.
So, the financial ratios greatly simplify the process of fundamental analysis, because they allow you to quickly draw conclusions about the financial condition of the company, without looking up and down at its statements. You just look at ratios of key indicators and draw conclusions.
In the next post, I will tell you about the king of all financial ratios - the Price to Diluted EPS ratio, or simply P/E. See you soon!
Special Report: Celebrating 40 Years of Crude Oil FuturesNYMEX: WTI Crude Oil ( NYMEX:CL1! )
On March 30, 1983, New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) launched futures contract on WTI crude oil. This marked the beginning of an era of energy futures.
WTI is now the most liquid commodity futures contract in the world. It’s 1.7 million daily volume is equivalent to 1.7 billion barrels of crude oil and $125 billion in notional value. For comparison, global oil production was 89.9 million barrels per day in 2021.
Looking back at 1983, exactly 40 years ago:
• NYMEX was primarily a marketplace for agricultural commodities, with Maine Potato Futures being its biggest contract;
• NYMEX was a small Exchange with 816 members, mainly local traders and brokers;
• Known as Black Gold, crude oil was a strategic commodity regulated by governments and monopolized by the Big Oil, the so-called “Seven Sisters”;
• Pricing of crude oil was not a function of free market but controlled by the Organization of Petroleum Export Countries (OPEC), an oil cartel.
The birth of crude oil futures contract was a remarkable story of financial innovation and great vision. Facing a “Mission Impossible”, NYMEX successfully pulled it off. At the helm of the century-old Exchange was Michel Marks, its 33-year-old Chairman, and John E. Treat, the 37-year-old NYMEX President.
The “Accidental Chairman”
Michel Marks came from a long-time NYMEX member family. His father, Francis Q. Marks, was a trading pit icon and influential member. Since high school, the younger Marks worked as a runner on the trading pit for his family business. After receiving an Economics degree from Princeton University, Michel Marks returned to NYMEX as a full-time member, trading platinum and potatoes.
In 1977, the entire NYMEX board of directors resigned, taking responsibility for the Potato Futures default from the prior year. Michel Marks was elected Vice Chairman of the new Board. He was 27 years old.
One year later, the Chairman at the time suffered a stroke. Michel Marks replaced him as the new NYMEX Chairman. At 28, he’s the youngest leader of any Exchange in the 175-year history of modern futures industry.
White House Energy Advisor
John E. Treat served in the US Navy in the Middle East and later worked as an international affairs consultant in the region. He received an Economics degree in Princeton and a master’s degree in international relations from John Hopkins.
During the Carter Administration (1977-1981), Treat worked at the US Department of Energy. He served as Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Affairs and sat on the National Security Council and the Federal Energy Administration. In his capacity, Treat was at the center of the formation of US energy policy.
After President Carter lost his reelection bid, Treat left Washington in 1981. At the time, NYMEX was exploring new contracts outside of agricultural commodities. One possible direction was the energy sector, where NYMEX previously listed a Heating Oil contract with little traction in the market. With his strong background, Treat was recruited by NYMEX as a senior vice president.
A year later, after then President Richard Leone resigned, Treat was nominated by Chairman Marks to become NYMEX President. He was 36 years old.
The Birth of WTI Crude Oil Futures
In 1979, the Islamic Revolution in Iran overthrew the Pahlavi dynasty and established the Islamic Republic of Iran, led by Shiite spiritual leader Ayatollah Khomeini.
Shortly after, the Iran-Iraq War broke out. Daily production of crude oil fell sharply, and the price of crude oil rose from $14 to $35 per barrel. This event was known as the second oil crisis. It triggered a global economic recession, with U.S. GDP falling by 3 percent.
After President Reagan took office in 1981, he introduced a series of new policies, known as Reaganomics, to boost the U.S. economy. The four pillars that represent Reaganomics were reducing the growth of government spending, reducing federal income taxes and capital gains taxes, reducing government regulation, and tightening the money supply to reduce inflation.
In terms of energy policy, the Reagan administration relaxed government regulations on domestic oil and gas exploration and relaxed the price of natural gas.
NYMEX President John Treat sensed that the time was ripe for energy futures. He formed an Advisory Committee to conduct a feasibility study on the listing of crude oil futures. His strategic initiative received the backing of Chairman Michel Marks, who in turn gathered the support of the full NYMEX membership.
Arnold Safir, an economist on the advisory board, led the contract design of WTI crude oil futures. The underlying commodity is West Texas Intermediate produced in Cushing, Oklahoma. The delivery location was chosen for the convenience of domestic oil refineries. WTI oil contains fewer impurities, which results in lower processing costs. US refineries prefer to use WTI over the heavier Gulf oil.
WTI trading code is CL, the abbreviation of Crude Light. Contract size is 1,000 barrels of crude oil. At $73/barrel, each contract is worth $73,000. Due to the profound impact of crude oil on world economy, NYMEX lists contracts covering a nine-year period.
On March 29, 1983, the CFTC approved NYMEX's application. The next day, WTI crude oil futures traded on the NYMEX floor for the first time.
Competing for the Pricing Power
Now that crude oil futures were listed. Initially, only NYMEX members and speculators were trading the contracts. All the oil industry giants sat on the sidelines.
John Treat knew that without their participation, the futures market could not have meaningful impact on the oil market, not to mention a pricing power over crude oil.
In early 1980s, the global oil market was monopolized by seven Western oil companies, known as the "Seven Sisters". Together, they control nearly one-third of global oil and gas production and more than one-third of oil and gas reserves.
1) Standard Oil of New Jersey, later became Exxon;
2) Standard Oil of New York, later became Mobil Oil Company; It merged with Exxon in 1998 to form ExxonMobil;
3) Standard Oil of California, later became Chevron; It took over Texaco in 2001, and the combined company is still named Chevron;
4) Texaco, collapsed in 2001 and was taken over by Chevron;
5) Gulf Oil, which was acquired by Chevron in 1984;
6) British Persian Oil Company, operating in Iran, withdrew after the Iranian Revolution and then fully operated the North Sea oil fields, later British Petroleum ("BP");
7) Shell, an Anglo-Dutch joint venture.
Treat's background as President Carter's energy adviser played a key role. After nearly a year of hard work, the first Big Oil entered the NYMEX crude oil trading floor. However, it was not until five years later that all Seven Sisters became NYMEX members.
OPEC producers tried to boycott the crude oil futures market. However, as trading volume grew, they eventually gave in, first by Venezuela and then the oil producers in the Middle East.
Interestingly, the Middle Eastern oil producers started out by trading COMEX gold futures, probably as a hedge against oil prices. Gold has been a significant part in the Middle Eastern culture for long. As the main buyers of gold, the Arabs buy more gold when their pockets are filled with rising oil prices, and conversely, they sell gold when oil revenues fall and their ability to buy gold decreases.
With the participation of Big Oil and OPEC, coupled with an active crude oil options market, crude oil pricing power has shifted from the Middle East to NYMEX's trading floor by the end of the 1980s. WTI has also become a globally recognized benchmark for crude oil prices.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
📉📈 10 Most Important Quotes About Trading 📉📈📉📈 Trading is a highly competitive and dynamic field that requires discipline, knowledge, and skill. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, it's important to stay focused and learn from the wisdom of those who have succeeded before you. Here are 10 of the most important quotes about trading that can help guide you towards success:
1️⃣. "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." - Warren Buffett
This quote from one of the most successful investors of all time highlights the importance of patience in trading. Successful traders understand that short-term fluctuations in the market are inevitable, and it's important to stay focused on the long-term picture.
2️⃣. "The four most dangerous words in investing are: 'this time it's different.'" - Sir John Templeton
This quote from the famous investor Sir John Templeton warns against overconfidence and the tendency to assume that current market conditions will continue indefinitely. Successful traders understand the importance of remaining objective and adapting to changing market conditions.
3️⃣. "The trend is your friend." - Ed Seykota
This quote from the legendary trader Ed Seykota highlights the importance of following market trends. Successful traders understand that identifying and riding trends is often the key to profitability.
4️⃣. "Cut your losses short and let your winners run." - Jesse Livermore
This quote from the famous trader Jesse Livermore emphasizes the importance of risk management. Successful traders understand that limiting losses is just as important as maximizing profits.
5️⃣. "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." - John Maynard Keynes
This quote from the famous economist John Maynard Keynes warns against the dangers of stubbornly holding onto losing positions. Successful traders understand the importance of being flexible and adapting to changing market conditions.
6️⃣. "If you can't take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses." - Ed Seykota
This quote from Ed Seykota emphasizes the importance of discipline in trading. Successful traders understand that emotions like fear and greed can lead to poor decision-making and ultimately result in losses.
7️⃣. "Price is what you pay, value is what you get." - Warren Buffett
This quote from Warren Buffett highlights the importance of understanding the fundamentals of the companies you are investing in. Successful traders understand that price alone is not enough to determine the value of an investment.
8️⃣. "The best time to buy a stock is when nobody wants it." - Sir John Templeton
This quote from Sir John Templeton highlights the importance of being contrarian in your trading strategy. Successful traders understand that buying low and selling high often requires going against the crowd.
9️⃣. "Plan your trade, trade your plan." - Van K. Tharp
This quote from Van K. Tharp emphasizes the importance of having a well-defined trading strategy. Successful traders understand that having a plan and sticking to it is often the key to long-term success.
🔟. "The most important thing in trading is capital preservation." - Paul Tudor Jones
This quote from the famous trader Paul Tudor Jones highlights the importance of managing risk in trading. Successful traders understand that protecting their capital is the foundation for long-term success.
📉📈 These 10 quotes offer valuable insights into the world of trading. By following the wisdom of these successful traders and investors, you can increase your chances of achieving long-term success in this highly competitive field. Remember to stay disciplined, stay focused on the long-term picture, and always be willing to adapt to changing market conditions.
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5 DONT'S TO be a Better TraderWe know what we need to do to be a top trader.
On the method side – we need the right markets, to trade the right strategy by following proven rules and criteria.
On the mind side – we know we need to adopt a strong will, with discipline, passion and pure integration.
But what about the DONT’S?
What mustn’t we do during the process of becoming a successful trader?
That’s the question we’ll address today.
#1: DON’T fear losing
Losing is part of the process.
The trick is to lose (risk) little and make up for it during the conducive times.
All trading strategies are not 100% market proof. This means, every strategy will reach a difficult period where the market environment does not gel well with your system.
I lose 37.5% of my trades. I’ve been losing this percentage of trades for the last two decades…
And you know what… I love it. I love the fact, how there’s a balance with my system which leads to a level headed and content approach to trading.
Don’t fear losing – embrace it and OWN it.
You only fail when you quit.
#2: DON’T dwell on past failures
Whatever trading process you’ve endured i.e.
You blew a couple of accounts.
You keep losing to bad strategies.
You keep going against your strategy which hurts your account.
This was and is your journey, time line and experiences that will turn into wisdom which will help you to excel with your trading…
Just like we learn in life not to regret and not to carry our heavy weighted past on our shoulders, so to mustn’t you do with trading.
Don’t dwell on your failures – because it’s those experiences that will help you flourish
#3: DON’T expect fast riches
With high reward comes higher risk.
We are not in the risky business.
And I sure as hope you don’t want to stress, worry and live on a high adrenaline knowing you can lose everything – trying to get rich quick fast… Right?
Instead, you must want a get rich slowly BUT surely method.
#4: DON’T compare yourself to others
Big one…
Sure, there are a few (not many) but a couple of traders who are doing extremely well for themselves.
They probably don’t have it in their DNA to commit hours a day to helping others achieve the same – which is fine…
But they all took the necessary steps, time, blood, sweat and fears to get to where they are.
Just like you are going through your trading endeavours.
Don’t worry about what others are making. Don’t worry about how many winners he took or how little losers she took.
Don’t stress over his 70% win rate system or her “hasn’t taken a single loss in 2 months” system.
You should have everything you need right in front of you.
A computer
An internet connection
A broker (with a charting and trading platform)
A proven and tested trading system
Time
Keep to your time line and don’t worry about what others are doing…
When you compare, you lose track and focus on what you need to achieve your goals…
#5: DON’T give up
You are closer today than you were yesterday.
And tomorrow you’ll be even closer (despite having a good or bad trading day).
Money, you can always make back.
Wisdom is something you only learn through experience.
It’s nothing you can teach someone, but something you can keep them aware of – for when they go through it…
So keep grinding, and keep at it…
Perseverance my friend… That’s the key.
Enough for today…
Let’s sum up with the 5 DON’TS to become a better trader…
#1: DON’T fear losing…
#2: DON’T dwell on the past failures
#3: Don’t expect fast riches
#4: DON’T compare yourself to others
#5: DON’T give up
Best Passive income cryptocurrencyMany of us have crypto store money in our bank accounts. Many ventures are exploring passive income options. It doesn’t matter what approach you take, the goal is to put your spare funds to work for yourself. One way to do this is with crypto. Let’s look at the 10 possible ways you can use crypto. Let’s quickly say that you can makepassive income from cryptocurrencies in 10 different ways. You may not always succeed. High volatility in cryptocurrency investments is a risky investment. You can lose 100% of your investment even if there is no volatile market factor such as bearish or inflation. There are eight ways to generate passive income from crypto. Many of the most popular cryptocurrencies can be used to generate passive income. It is crucial to research thoroughly and speak with financial professionals before making any investment decision. Here are the top passive income cryptos.
1. Staking cryptocurrency
2. Yield farming
3. Proof Of Work.
4. A crypto interest account.
5.Lending Platform
6.Dividends Tokens.
7.Airdrops and Forks.
8.Affiliate program.
9.Masternode cryptocurrency.
10.Decentralized Finance (DeFi cryptocurrency):
The Ten Fundamental Objectives of the Federal ReserveIntroduction
The Federal Reserve System, often referred to as "the Fed," was established in 1913 in response to a series of banking panics. As the central banking institution of the United States, it plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability and integrity of the nation's monetary and financial systems. This essay explores the ten fundamental objectives of the Federal Reserve, which include maintaining price stability, promoting full employment, and ensuring a stable financial system, among others.
1. Price Stability
The primary objective of the Federal Reserve is to maintain price stability, which refers to a low and stable rate of inflation. By managing inflation, the Fed helps to preserve the purchasing power of money, ensuring that consumers and businesses can make informed decisions regarding spending, saving, and investment.
2. Maximum Sustainable Employment
Another key objective of the Federal Reserve is to promote maximum sustainable employment, also known as full employment. This means providing enough job opportunities for all individuals who are willing and able to work, while minimizing the rate of unemployment. By promoting full employment, the Fed contributes to overall economic growth and well-being.
3. Moderate Long-Term Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve aims to maintain moderate long-term interest rates, which are essential for economic growth and stability. By controlling short-term interest rates, the Fed can indirectly influence long-term rates, thereby encouraging borrowing, investment, and consumption.
4. Financial System Stability
One of the most critical objectives of the Federal Reserve is ensuring the stability of the financial system, which involves monitoring and regulating financial institutions, as well as identifying and addressing potential risks. By maintaining a stable financial system, the Fed helps to prevent crises and protect the economy from shocks.
5. Efficient Payment and Settlement System
The Federal Reserve is responsible for managing the nation's payment and settlement systems, which include check clearing, electronic funds transfers, and automated clearinghouse operations. By providing these services efficiently and securely, the Fed ensures that financial transactions occur smoothly, promoting confidence in the banking system.
6. Consumer Protection
Another important objective of the Federal Reserve is to protect consumers by enforcing federal consumer protection laws and regulations. This includes monitoring financial institutions for compliance, addressing consumer complaints, and providing education and resources to help consumers make informed financial decisions.
7. Supervision and Regulation
The Federal Reserve plays a vital role in supervising and regulating financial institutions to ensure their safety, soundness, and compliance with laws and regulations. This oversight helps to maintain a stable and resilient financial system, while also protecting consumers and investors.
8. Community Development
The Federal Reserve is committed to promoting community development by supporting initiatives that address issues such as affordable housing, small business development, and workforce development. This objective aims to foster economic growth and improve the quality of life in communities across the country.
9. Economic Research and Analysis
The Federal Reserve conducts extensive research and analysis to better understand the U.S. economy, as well as the global economy. This research informs the Fed's monetary policy decisions and helps it to fulfill its other objectives, such as promoting maximum employment and maintaining stable prices.
10. International Financial Cooperation
Finally, the Federal Reserve cooperates with other central banks and international financial institutions to promote global economic stability and financial system resilience. This collaboration allows the Fed to share information, resources, and expertise, ultimately benefiting the U.S. economy.
Conclusion
The Federal Reserve plays a pivotal role in the U.S. economy by pursuing ten fundamental objectives, which range from maintaining price stability to promoting international financial cooperation. By fulfilling these objectives, the Fed ensures the stability and growth of the U.S. economy, while also fostering a resilient and efficient global financial system.
Trade with care.
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What would happen if Russia pegged the Chinese yuan to gold?If Putin goes ahead with pegging the Chinese Yuan to gold instead of the US Dollar a number of things can happen.
Factor #1: US Dollar will be challenged
This will for the first time, challenge the US dollar's status as the world's dominant reserve currency. People may look to invest elsewhere, which could cause instability.
Factor #2: Domino effect
There could be an effect where other countries may follow suit and start pegging not only YUAN but maybe even their currencies to gold as well.
Factor #3: Yuan could be the next reserve currency
This move could be the start of Chinese yuan’s step to power and control. It could get to the stage where the value of the yuan would be determined by the price of gold, rather than the value of the US dollar.
Factor #4: Demand will pick up and other countries will hold gold
This move could result in countries increasing their gold reserves, which could lead to a further increase in the demand for gold. The demand for gold would increase, which could drive up the price of gold in the short term.
Factor #5: Bad for the US dollar
The US dollar would likely depreciate against other major currencies, such as the euro and yen, as investors shift their focus away from the dollar. The US would face increased competition in international trade, as other countries begin to use the yuan as a reserve currency instead of the dollar.
Factor #6: More power for China
China's economic power would increase, as it becomes more closely tied to the global gold market.
Factor #7: Strong partnership between Russia and China
Not only will Putin and Xi be making more crepes together, they will also be making more gold. The move would also strengthen Russia's position in the global financial system, as it becomes a key player in the gold market.
Factor #8: The shift of the New World Order
The stability of the global financial system would be threatened, as it adjusts to a new world order with a different reserve currency. Also the move could lead to increased geopolitical tensions, as countries jostle for position in a new world order dominated by gold instead of the US dollar.
Have I missed anything?