[BT] NedDavis Series: CPI Minus 5-Year Moving Average🟧 GENERAL
The script works on the Monthly Timeframe and has 2 main settings (explained in FEATURES ). It uses the US CPI data, reported by the Bureau of Labour Statistics.
🔹Functionality 1: The main idea is to plot the distance between the CPI line and the 5 year moving average of the CPI line. This technique in mathematics is called "deviation from the moving average". This technique is used to analyse how has CPI previously acted and can give clues at what it might do in the future. Economic historians use such analysis, together with specific period analysis to predict potential risks in the future (see an example of such analysis in HOW TO USE section. The mathematical technique is a simple subtraction between 2 points (CPI - 5yr SMA of CPI).
▶︎Interpretation for deviation from a moving average:
Positive Deviation: When the line is above its moving average, it indicates that the current value is higher than the average, suggesting potential strength or bullish sentiment.
Negative Deviation: Conversely, when the line falls below its moving average, it suggests weakness or bearish sentiment as the current value is lower than the average.
▶︎Applications:
Trend Identification: Deviations from moving averages can help identify trends, with sustained deviations indicating strong trends.
Reversal Signals: Significant deviations from moving averages may signal potential trend reversals, especially when combined with other technical indicators.
Volatility Measurement: Monitoring the magnitude of deviations can provide insights into market volatility and price movements.
Remember the indicator is applying this only for the US CPI - not the ticker you apply the indicator on!
🔹Functionality 2: It plots on a new pane below information about the Consumer Price Index. You can also find the information by plotting the ticker symbol USACPIALLMINMEI on TradingView, which is a Monthly economic data by the OECD for the CPI in the US. The only addition you would get from the indicator is the plot of the 5 year Simple Moving Average.
🔹What is the US Consumer Price Index?
Measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers;
Traders care about the CPI because consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;
It is measured as the average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics;
FEATURES OF INDICATOR
1) The US Consumer Price Index Minus the Five Year Moving Average of the same.
As shown on the picture above and explained in previous section. Here a more detailed view.
2) The actual US Consumer Price Index (Annual Rate of change) and the Five year average of the US Consumer Price Index. Explained above and shown below:
To activate 2) go into settings and toggle the check box.
HOW TO USE
It can be used for a fundamental analysis on the relationship between the stock market, the economy and the Feds decisions to hike or cut rates, whose main mandate is to control inflation over time.
I have created this indicator to show my analysis in this idea:
What does a First Fed Rate cut really mean?
CREDITS
I have seen such idea in the past posted by the institutional grade research of NedDavis and have recreated it for the TradingView platform, open-source for the community.
Fundamental Analysis
HTF Matrix TableThis is a Higher Time Frame Table like the Intra-Day Table that I also have available.
ICT stresses time and liquidity levels in his teachings. This table helps to easily locate these key Time-based price levels. You can use these levels to determine your directional bias and to help generate your narrative for where the market is going.
This indicator creates a table that gives you the price for the following liquidity levels:
*Price* - Current Price
PMH - Previous Month High
PMO - Previous Month Open
PM MT - Previous Month Mean Threshold (Midpoint of candle body)
(Calculated by:
if pmo > pmc
pm_mt := ((pmo-pmc)/2)+pmc
if pmo < pmc
pm_mt := ((pmc-pmo)/2)+pmo)
PMC - Previous Month Close
PML - Previous Month Low
PWH - Previous Week High
PWO - Previous Week Open
PW MT - Previous Week Mean Threshold (Midpoint of candle body)
Calculated by:
if pwo > pwc
pw_mt := ((pwo-pwc)/2)+pwc
if pwo < pwc
pw_mt := ((pwc-pwo)/2)+pwo)
PWC - Previous Week Close
PWL - Previous Week Low
PDO - Previous Day Open
PDH - Previous Day High
PDL - Previous Day Low
PDC - Previous Day Close
PDEQ - Equilibrium of the previous day's range.
(Calculated by math.abs(((pdh-pdl)/2)+pdl))
PDH2 - Two Days Back High
PDL2 - Two Days Back Low
PDH3 - Three Days Back High
PDL3 - Three Days Back Low
Gives you the opening price for the following times:
Midnight Open
NY Open
Lets you set the time for the Asia and London sessions and will give the high and low for those two sessions.
Asia High
Asia Low
London High
London Low
Ability to hide either the table or lines.
The levels are sorted descending in price in the table, with the background colored based on their relation to price. The prices are also plotted on the chart based on the range you specify in relation to the current price. These lines are also colored based on their relation to price.
This indicator does not give you anything but the price at a specific time, you must determine your own bias and narrative based on the levels that are given.
The indicator runs on the seconds chart.
Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap [AlgoAlpha]🌟📈 Introducing the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap by AlgoAlpha! 🗺️🚀
Dive into the depths of market liquidity with our innovative Pine Script™ indicator designed to illuminate the trading actions of smart money! This meticulously crafted tool provides an enhanced visualization of liquidity flow, highlighting the dynamics between smart and retail investors directly on your chart! 🌐🔍
🙌 Key Features of the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap:
🖼️ Visual Clarity: Uses vibrant heatmap colors to represent liquidity concentrations, making it easier to spot significant trading zones.
🔧 Customizable Settings: Adjust index periods, volume flow periods, and more to tailor the heatmap to your trading strategy.
📊 Dynamic Ratios: Computes the ratio of smart money to retail trading activity, providing insights into who is driving market movements.
👓 Transparency Options: Modify color intensity for better visibility against various chart backgrounds.
🛠 How to Use the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap:
1️⃣ Add the Indicator:
Add the indicator to favourites. Customize settings to align with your trading preferences, including periods for index calculation and volume flow.
2️⃣ Market Analysis:
Monitor the heatmap for high liquidity zones signalled by the heatmap. These are potential areas where smart money is actively engaging, providing crucial insights into market dynamics.
Basic Logic Behind the Indicator:
The Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap utilizes the Smart Money Interest Index Indicator and operates by differentiating between the trading behaviors of informed (smart money) and less-informed (retail) traders. It calculates the differences between specific volume indices—Positive Volume Index (PVI) for retail investors and Negative Volume Index (NVI) for institutional players—and their respective moving averages, highlighting these differences using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) over user-specified periods. This calculation generates a ratio that is then normalized and compared against a threshold to identify areas of high institutional trading interest, visually representing these zones on your chart as vibrant heatmaps. This enables traders to visually identify where significant trading activities among smart money are occurring, potentially signalling important buying or selling opportunities.
🎉 Elevate your trading experience with precision, insight, and clarity by integrating the Smart Money Liquidity Heatmap into your toolkit today!
[Global Contraction Expansion Index SGM]Script Features
Dynamic Period Choice: The user can adjust the calculation period (period) for relative performance, allowing flexibility according to specific market analysis needs.
Sector Selection: The script takes into account different economic sectors through well-known ETFs like QQQ (technology), XLF (financial), XLY (consumer discretionary), XLV (healthcare), XLI (industrial) and XLE (energy). This diversification helps gain a general overview of economic health across different market segments.
Relative Performance Calculation: For each sector, the script calculates the relative performance using a simple moving average (SMA) of the price change over the specified period. This helps identify price trends adjusted for normal market fluctuations.
GCEI Index: The GCEI Index is calculated as the average of the relative performance of all sectors, multiplied by 100 to express it as a percentage. This provides an overall indicator of sectoral economic performance.
Crossover Signals: The script detects and marks points where the overall index (GCEI) crosses its own exponential moving average (emaGCEI), indicating potential changes in the overall trend of market performance.
Visualization: Results are visualized through graphs, where positive and negative regions are colored differently. Fills between the zero line and the index curves make it easy to see periods of contraction or expansion
When this index diverges from the SP500, it may be a sign that the technology sector is outperforming other sectors.
[Forex Fondamental Overview SGM]Fundamental analysis tool designed for currency trading in financial markets. The script generates a dashboard that displays key economic indicators for two selected currencies. Here is what makes this script particularly interesting for a trader:
1. Direct comparison between two currencies: The script allows you to choose two currencies (from a predefined list) and directly compare their key economic indicators such as interest rate, GDP growth, debt-to-GDP ratio, unemployment rate, inflation (CPI and PPI), and the services and manufacturing PMI indices. This gives you immediate insight into the economic strengths and weaknesses of each currency, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions.
2. Automatic data updating: Indicator values are updated automatically using security requests (request.security) that pull the most recent data available. This means you don't need to manually update data or check multiple sources; the script takes care of that for you.
3. Currency Relative Strength Calculation: The script calculates a strength index for each currency based on its economic indicators, and then it determines a relative strength index for the currency pair. This allows you to quickly see which currency is currently strongest, providing a basis for "buy strength, sell weakness" trading strategies.
4. Intuitive visualization: Results are presented in clear tables with colored indicators, making the information quickly digestible. For example, the background color changes depending on the relative strength of the currency pair, giving you an immediate visual signal of the overall trend.
5. Adaptability to different trading strategies: Whether you are a swing trader, a day trader, or a scalper, understanding the economic state of currencies can help you align your trading positions with underlying macroeconomic trends. This script gives you this information without requiring detailed economic analysis on your part.
In short, this script is a powerful tool for any Forex trader who wants to integrate fundamental analysis into their trading routine without bothering with the complexity of tracking and analyzing a multitude of economic indicators manually.
PPN - Token compare to USDT/BTCThis simple indicator allows you to easily view the price of a selected cryptocurrency token in either USDT or BTC on TradingView charts. By adding this indicator to your chart, you can quickly compare the price of the token to either USDT (Tether) or BTC (Bitcoin).
**Features:**
- Choose between displaying the token price in USDT or BTC.
- Automatically detects the current trading pair and adjusts the display accordingly.
- Uses data from the BINANCE exchange to fetch real-time prices.
**How to Use:**
1. Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
2. Select the desired ticker ending (USDT or BTC) in the indicator settings.
3. Pin the indicator to a new scale (More -> Pin to Scale -> New scale or no scale (fullscreen).
**Note:** This indicator is intended for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for making trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Feel free to use and modify! <3
Message me on TradingView if you have any suggestions!
[SGM Forex Interest Rate]
Through an analysis of the interest rates of selected currencies, this indicator calculates the difference between these rates to provide an indication of the relative strength between the two currencies. This relative strength is graphically represented as an area with a specific color for better visualization.
The curves represent the values of the two selected currencies, while the colored area between them highlights the difference in strength. A horizontal line is also drawn at the zero level to help identify turning points or divergence points.
Interest rates play a crucial role in forex trading for several reasons:
Impact on capital flows: Interest rates affect international capital flows. Investors are attracted to currencies offering higher yields, which can lead to currency appreciation with higher interest rates.
Influence on monetary policy decisions: Central banks often adjust interest rates to achieve macroeconomic goals such as price stability, economic growth, and full employment. Announcements of interest rate changes or hints about the future direction of rates can have a significant impact on the foreign exchange market.
Determination of financing costs: Interest rates affect the financing costs of transactions in the foreign exchange market. Traders often borrow low-interest currencies to purchase higher-yielding currencies, which can lead to large movements in the market.
Economic Indicators: Interest rates are also key economic indicators. Changes in interest rates may reflect overall economic conditions and be interpreted as signs of economic growth or contraction.
Risk and volatility factors: Interest rate differences between two countries can create arbitrage opportunities, but also risks. Unexpected changes in interest rates or market expectations may result in increased volatility in the foreign exchange market.
In sum, interest rates are a fundamental part of the global financial landscape and are therefore crucial for forex traders, as they provide indications of economic trends, capital flows and trading opportunities.
STRATEGY 7 CERBERO STUDY [ SCRIPTS INVERSIONES ]USE:
ADXCONFIG:
Purpose: Select the range for the strength required in the ADX for our alert condition. This setting allows traders to define the threshold at which the ADX indicates sufficient market momentum for trading decisions.
USETRENDLOGIC:
Function: Utilizes the trend EMA to make long entries when the price is above and short entries when it is below the EMA. This provides a simple, clear rule based on the relative position of the price to the EMA, facilitating trend-following strategies.
SELECT A VALUE FOR EMA:
Description: Choose the range for the EMA, and the alert conditions will be applied depending on whether the price is above or below when USETRENDLOGIC is activated. This allows for flexibility in setting the sensitivity of the EMA to price movements.
ACTIVATE/DEACTIVATE EMA 35 AND EMA 50:
Usage: These EMAs are used to determine the trend in shorter periods of time, providing traders with quick insights into market dynamics and potential trend shifts.
LOGIC 1:
ENABLE/DEACTIVATE STRATEGY 1/1:
Conditions: If the 1/1 strategy is activated, it will use the following setup:
Volume entry + EMA condition + BREAK
ADX > ADXCONF
DMI+/DMI- higher depending on the trend
Explanation: This strategy combines volume analysis with EMA and trend indicators to identify strong, actionable trading signals.
This image shows its use.
LOGIC 2:
ENABLE/DEACTIVATE STRATEGY 1/2:
Conditions: If the 1/2 strategy is activated, it utilizes:
Volume entry + EMA condition + BREAK
Purpose: Focuses on significant breaks in EMA levels with accompanying high volume, suggesting a strong momentum-backed entry point.
This image shows its use.
LOGIC 3:
ENABLE/DEACTIVATE STRATEGY 1/3:
Conditions: If the 1/3 strategy is activated, it involves:
Volume entry + EMA condition
RSI
ADX > ADXCONF and DMI+/DMI- higher depending on the trend
Utility: Combines volume, EMA, and RSI indicators with ADX strength to filter entries during extreme market conditions, enhancing the probability of capturing significant moves.
This image shows its use.
LOGIC 4:
ENABLE/DEACTIVATE STRATEGY 1/4:
Conditions: If the 1/4 strategy is activated, it incorporates:
Volume entry + EMA condition
RSI ABOVE/BELOW your EMA
Application: This strategy uses RSI levels in relation to an EMA to fine-tune entry points, helping to confirm momentum before entering trades.
This image shows its use.
LOGIC 5:
ENABLE/DEACTIVATE STRATEGY 1/5:
Conditions: If the 1/5 strategy is activated, it utilizes:
Volume entry + EMA condition
Function: A straightforward strategy that uses volume and EMA conditions to identify primary entry points, focusing on the basic elements of trend and momentum.
This image shows its use.
POI LOGIC (Point of Interest)
Activate/Deactivate 2/1 POI Strategy
When the 2/1 POI strategy is activated, it employs the following conditions to determine market entries:
Volume Entry + EMA Condition + POI TOUCHED + ADX > ADXCONF and DMI+/DMI- higher depending on the trend:
Volume Entry: Looks for significant volume as confirmation that there is enough interest at the current price level.
EMA Condition: A specific condition regarding the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) must be met, such as the price being above or below the EMA, depending on the anticipated direction of price movement.
POI Touched: The price must have touched a previously identified Point of Interest, indicating a level where the price has reacted before.
ADX > ADXCONF: The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) must be greater than a set value (ADXCONF), indicating sufficient trend strength.
DMI+/DMI- higher depending on the trend: The Directional Movement Indicator Plus (DMI+) or Minus (DMI-) needs to be higher, depending on whether the trend is bullish or bearish, respectively.
This strategy is designed to capitalize on price levels where the market has shown previous reactions, using a combination of technical analysis and volume to confirm entry signals.
This image shows its use.
DIVERGENCE LOGIC
Activate/Deactivate Divergence Strategy
When the divergence strategy is activated, it employs the following conditions for making trading decisions:
Volume Entry + Divergence: This condition indicates that a market entry should be considered when there is a divergence between the price and a technical indicator (such as RSI, MACD, etc.), accompanied by significant volume.
Divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of the technical indicator, which may suggest a potential reversal in market trends. Volume plays a crucial role here, as high volume during a divergence can confirm the strength of the potential trend reversal.
This strategy aims to capitalize on moments when the market shows signs of exhaustion in a trend and is potentially gearing up to reverse, making divergences a key component in anticipating significant movements.
This image shows its use.
FOREX LOGIC
Activate/Deactivate FOREX Strategy
When the Forex strategy is activated, it uses the following conditions to execute trades:
Volume Entry + DI+ > DI- for long entries: This condition means that to consider a long position (buy), the Positive Directional Indicator (DI+) must be greater than the Negative Directional Indicator (DI-). This suggests that the market trend is moving upward, supported by sufficient trading volume backing this direction.
DI- > DI+ for short entries: For short entries (sells), the required condition is that the DI- (Negative Directional Indicator) is greater than the DI+ (Positive Directional Indicator). This indicates that the market trend is downward and that there is adequate volume confirming this bearish trend.
These conditions ensure that market entries are made with a clear confirmation of market direction based on volume and directional movement, which is crucial for increasing the probabilities of successful Forex trades.
This image shows its use.
ICT STUDY
Activate/Deactivate Strategy ICT
USAGE:
We use all these components in our indicator to provide comprehensive and effective control when trading using the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology. Each element aids in visualizing and anticipating market movements more accurately, facilitating informed and strategic decision-making.
POI (Point of Interest): Used to identify critical points where the market has shown significant past activity, offering clues on potential future price reactions.
Imbalances: Crucial for spotting areas where supply or demand has been lacking, suggesting potential entry or exit points based on trend reversal or continuation.
ZigZag: Helps to eliminate market noise, allowing for clear identification of significant highs and lows, vital for trend analysis and reversal.
Supports and Resistances: Fundamental in determining price levels at which the market might stop or reverse, essential for any trading strategy.
Fibonacci: Utilized to find support and resistance levels based on mathematical proportions that naturally occur in markets, informing potential areas of interest.
Inducement: We observe these patterns to identify moments when price manipulations might be occurring, helping to avoid traps and enhance entries.
Sweep: Analyzed to understand how and where major market players are clearing accumulated orders, which can indicate significant price movements.
CHOCH (Change of Character): Used to detect a shift in price behavior, which may signal a reversal or trend change.
BOS (Break of Structure): Key for detecting when the price breaks through significant structures, suggesting changes in market direction.
Forecasting Length: Determines how far the price may reach into the future based on current analysis, crucial for planning long-term trades.
This image shows its use.
IF USE TP AND SL
Yield Curve SpaghettiDisplays the difference in yield between multiple bond pairs for a given country.
Currently supports US, DE, and GB bonds
DaysToEarningsAn useful tool for investors/traders who want to keep track of upcoming earnings event.
Here's a breakdown of the indicator and its features:
Functionality:
#1 Displays the next earnings date for a company and additionally shows the number of days remaining until the earnings event.
#2 Offers three display modes:
Default: In this view both the earnings date and the number of days left is displayed
Head-less: A compact view without the headers
Mini-Mode: Super compact view, showing only the number of days
#3 Allows setting a custom baseline number of days. Based on this value the background color if the number of days in the indicator changes - red (if days remain is less than the number of days provided) else a gradient color in the shades of green.
As many stocks shows a drastic increase in volatility near the earnings date, this feature is very useful for visually being reminded of the days left.
***Lastly the footprint is very small making this important event reminder available on the chart without much fuss.***
Internals:
To calculate the days remaining until the earnings report, it uses the tv built-in variable "earnings.future_time" and uses a custom function for color grading.
How to use:
Once the indicator is applied on the chart you can input a custom number as reference day value. Based on this value the color coded background is generated for the days remaining to produce a visual impact - red (actual days remaining less than reference days) else its shades of green (gradient from lime to teal)
Next, choose the display modes (for default both "Head-less" and "Mini-Mode" is unchecked)
Finally choose the placement Top/Middle/Bottom + Center/Left/Right combination as per your convenience from the table options section.
I hope this tiny script adds value to your trading! Cheers :)
Smart Money Interest Index [AlgoAlpha]🌟 Smart Money Interest Index by AlgoAlpha 🌟
Welcome to the innovative Smart Money Interest Index indicator, designed meticulously by AlgoAlpha to revolutionize the way you trade! 📈🧠 This indicator is engineered to decipher the activities of smart money investors relative to the less informed (dumb money) and dynamically display their dominance in the trading landscape through a sophisticated visual index. 🚀💹
🔑 Key Features:
- Smart vs. Dumb Money Analysis: Tracks and compares the movements of smart money (informed investors) and dumb money (general public) within the market to identify potential investment signals.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) Based Ratios: Utilizes RSI for both smart and dumb money to create a ratio that indicates buying or selling pressures.
- Dynamic Normalization: Employs a long-term peak normalization over a customizable period to ensure the index remains relevant regardless of market conditions.
- Visual Thresholds and Signals: Highlights significant shifts in market dynamics with color-coded thresholds, making it easier to spot changes at a glance.
🛠 How to Use the Smart Money Interest Index:
🔹 🚀 Step 1: Adding the Indicator
- Add the indicator to your favourites.
- Customize the settings according to your analysis needs:
- `Index Period`, `Volume Flow Period`, `Normalization Period`, `High Interest Threshold`
🔹 📊 Step 2: Interpretation of the Index
- Monitor the index plot; a rising index suggests increasing smart money interest, potentially indicating a buying opportunity.
- A value above the high interest threshold (in yellow) highlights significant interest by smart money, suggesting a good time to buy.
🔹 🔔 Step 3: Setting Alerts
- Configure alerts to notify you when the index crosses above the set threshold, enabling you to capitalize on trading opportunities timely and efficiently.
📐 Basic Logic Overview:
The Smart Money Interest Index by AlgoAlpha provides a unique metric that contrasts the investment behaviors of informed (smart money) and general (dumb money) investors. Utilizing the Relative Strength Index (RSI), this indicator evaluates the trading pressure exerted by both groups over specified periods, then forms a ratio of these activities to identify dominance in buying or selling trends. For example, when we see dumb money selling and smart buying, this suggests that the conditions for buying the asset is optimal as smart money is willing to buy the dip. The outputs are normalized against the highest values observed in a user-defined term to maintain consistency through varying market conditions. When the index exceeds a certain threshold, it suggests that smart money presence is particularly strong, possibly indicating that smart money is looking to enter positions on the asset. This tool serves as a sophisticated visual guide to understanding market dynamics and making well-informed trading decisions based on the activities of market-savvy investors. Smart money activity is identified during areas of low volume and the opposite for dumb money, the indicator uses the NVI and PVI metrics as its foundation for smart and dumb money analysis.
📊 Enhance Your Trading Strategy:
Leverage the Smart Money Interest Index to gain deeper insights into market dynamics and enhance your decision-making process with a powerful, data-driven approach. Whether you're looking to identify entry points or set strategic exits, this tool is designed to provide you with the competitive edge you need in the fast-paced world of trading. 🌐✨
Transform your trading with the power of smart money analysis—start using the Smart Money Interest Index today! 🚀🔔
RunRox - Backtesting System (SM)RunRox - Backtesting System (SM) is designed for flexible and comprehensive testing of trading strategies, closely integrated with our RunRox - Signals Master indicator. This combination enhances your ability to refine strategies efficiently, providing you with insights to adapt and optimize your trading tactics seamlessly.
The Backtesting System (SM) excels in pinpointing the optimal settings for the RunRox - Signals Master indicator, efficiently highlighting the most effective configurations.
Capabilities of the Backtesting System (SM)
Optimal Settings Determination: Identifies the best configurations for the Signals Master indicator to enhance its effectiveness.
Timeframe-Specific Strategy Testing: Allows strategies to be tested over specific historical time periods to assess their viability.
Customizable Initial Conditions: Enables setting of initial deposit, risk per trade, and commission rates to mirror real-world trading conditions.
Flexible Money Management: Provides options to set take profits and stop losses, optimizing potential returns and risk management.
Intuitive Dashboard: Features a user-friendly dashboard that visually displays all pertinent information, making it easy to analyze and adjust strategies.
Trading Flexibility Across Three Modes:
Dual-Direction Trading: Engage in both buying and selling with this mode. Our dashboard optimizes and identifies the best settings for trading in two directions, streamlining the process to maximize effectiveness for both buy and sell orders.
Buy-Only Mode: Tailored for traders focusing exclusively on purchasing assets. In this mode, our backtester pinpoints the most advantageous sensitivity, speed reaction, and filter settings specifically for buying. Optimal settings in this mode may differ from those used in dual-direction trading, providing a customized approach to single-direction strategies.
Sell-Only Mode: Perfect for strategies primarily based on selling. This setting allows you to discover the ideal configurations for asset sales, which can be particularly useful if you are looking for optimal exit points in long-term transactions or under specific market conditions.
Here's an example of how profits can differ on the same asset when trading using two distinct strategies: exclusively buying or trading in both directions.
Above in the image, you can see how one-directional trading influences the results of backtests on historical data. While this does not guarantee future outcomes, it provides insight into how the strategy's performance can vary with different trading directions.
As you can also see from the image, one-directional trading has affected the optimal combination of settings for Sensitivity, Speed Reaction, and Filters.
Stop Loss and Take Profit
Our backtesting system, as you might have gathered, includes flexible settings for take profits and stop losses. Here are the main features:
Multiple Take Profits: Ability to set from 1 to 4 take profit levels.
Fixed Percentage: Option to assign a fixed percentage for each take profit.
Trade Proportion Fixation: Ability to set a fixed size from the trade for securing profits.
Stop Loss Installation: Option to establish a stop loss.
Break-Even Stop Loss: Ability to move the stop loss to a break-even point upon reaching a specified take profit level.
These settings offer extensive flexibility and can be customized according to your preferences and trading style. They are suitable for both novice and professional traders looking to test their trading strategies on historical data.
As illustrated in the image above, we have implemented money management by setting fixed take profits and stop losses. Utilizing money management has improved indicators such as profit, maximum drawdown, and profit factor, turning even historically unprofitable strategies into profitable ones. Although this does not guarantee future results, it serves as a valuable tool for understanding the effectiveness of money management.
Additionally, as you can see, the optimal settings for Signals Master have been adjusted, highlighting the best configurations for the most favorable outcomes.
Disclaimer:
Historical data is not indicative of future results. All indicators and strategies provided by RunRox are intended for integration with traders' strategies and should be used as tools for analysis rather than standalone solutions. Traders should use their own discretion and understand that all trading involves risk.
Day of Week 🔶What it is ?
Day of week indicator is a simple tool to help you can know your current trading day faster.
It is really useful if you're a swing trader managing target by week and manage weekly economic news.
🔶 Who can use it ?
1. All traders who are using NCI, ICT , Smart money concepts, MACD system and other systems...
2. All timeframes can use it well.
3. All traders who are trading on Forex, Crypto, Stock, Indicies...
4. All traders who are new or experienced traders
5. All traders can use it even scalping or swing traders.
🔶 The purpose of indicator
1. Define day of week faster
2. Remind you about day of week, just focus to trade from Tue - Fri if you're a weekly trader.
3. You can combine it to analyze with economic news to manage your positions during news better.
🔶 How will indicator appear on chart
After you added it on chart, indicator will mearsure and appear on the chart automatically.
Red color : That's today
Green color : Other trading day that's not today
Gray color : Weekend
🔶 INPUT value
There're 3 input value that you can change if you need :
1. Font size : You can change size of texts manually as your favorite
2. Location : You can change location of table to be easier to see it on chart.
3. Your time zone : You should choose your country's time zone to calcuate exactly.
🔶 How to use indicator
After setting indicator, indicator will mearsure and run automatically to mark today to help you know how many days you can trade and arrange trading schedule better.
You can combine this indicator with economic news to manage your positions better.
I hope this indicator help you to trade more effectively.
US CPIIntroducing "US CPI" Indicator
The "US CPI" indicator, based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States, is a valuable tool for analyzing inflation trends in the U.S. economy. This indicator is derived from official data provided by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and is widely recognized as a key measure of inflationary pressures.
What is CPI?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure that examines the average change in prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services over time. It is an essential economic indicator used to gauge inflationary trends and assess changes in the cost of living.
How is "US CPI" Calculated?
The "US CPI" indicator in this script retrieves CPI data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) using the FRED:CPIAUCSL symbol. It calculates the rate of change in CPI over a specified period (typically 12 months) and applies technical analysis tools like moving averages (SMA and EMA) for trend analysis and smoothing.
Why Use "US CPI" Indicator?
1. Inflation Analysis: Monitoring CPI trends provides insights into the rate of inflation, which is crucial for understanding the overall economic health and potential impact on monetary policy.
2. Policy Implications: Changes in CPI influence decisions by policymakers, central banks, and investors regarding interest rates, fiscal policies, and asset allocation.
3. Market Sentiment: CPI data often impacts market sentiment, influencing trading strategies across various asset classes including currencies, bonds, and equities.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Smoothing: The indicator allows users to apply exponential moving average (EMA) smoothing to CPI data for clearer trend identification.
2. Visual Representation: The plotted line visually represents the inflation rate based on CPI data, helping traders and analysts assess inflationary pressures at a glance.
Sources and Data Integrity:
The CPI data used in this indicator is sourced directly from FRED, ensuring reliability and accuracy. The script incorporates robust security protocols to handle data requests and maintain data integrity in a trading environment.
In conclusion, the "US CPI" indicator offers a comprehensive view of inflation dynamics in the U.S. economy, providing traders, economists, and policymakers with valuable insights for informed decision-making and risk management.
Disclaimer: This indicator and accompanying analysis are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.
RunRox - Signals MasterSignals Master - meticulously crafted by RunRox, is a versatile tool engineered to accommodate traders of all experience levels. This indicator does not merely suggest potential entry and exit signals; it can seamlessly integrate into your existing trade strategy, enhancing decision-making with its comprehensive features.
With an array of functionalities, Signals Master stands out as a robust standalone product. It is designed to cater to diverse trading approaches, offering real-time signal detection that allows traders to respond swiftly to market fluctuations.
The true power of Signals Master lies in its ability to simplify complex market data into actionable insights. Whether used as a primary indicator or as a complement to your strategy, it helps clarify the trading path ahead, empowering you with confidence in every trade you make.
Core Features of Signals Master
Real-time buy and sell signal alerts
Adjustable sensitivity for tailored signal precision
Customizable alert settings for efficient strategy execution
Advanced backtesting system for strategy optimization
Multiple take profit and stop loss options
Detailed dashboard display for strategy monitoring and adjustments
Support and resistance level identification
Trend lines and color-coded volume bars for easy trend following
Candlestick pattern recognition to anticipate market moves
In the image below, you can see our indicator at work and the explanations.
On the chart, you see buy and sell signals, as well as potential trade exits. The "X" mark can also be interpreted as a trend reversal and a potential signal for a trend change. But always stick to your own exit strategy!
Autopilot \ Optimization
One of the standout features of our Signals Master indicator is its auto-optimization and autopilot capabilities. This function automatically identifies the best settings for specific charts and timeframes, ideal for novice traders.
The autopilot feature simplifies the trading process by continuously adjusting settings to optimize your strategy under varying market conditions. This allows for a more efficient trading experience, focusing on strategy effectiveness rather than constant configuration adjustments.
Signal Mode
The Signal Mode functionality of our Signals Master indicator optimizes signals specifically for either buying or selling, tailoring the best settings to enhance one-directional trading. This feature is particularly useful for traders who prefer to focus exclusively on asset purchases. By optimizing for a single direction, Signal Mode ensures that traders can maximize their strategic approach and efficiency in the markets where they feel most confident. This targeted optimization helps to streamline decision-making processes and improve overall trading precision.
Additional Features
Reversal Zones: This feature identifies potential reversal points in the market, helping traders to spot opportunities where trends might change direction. By marking these zones, traders can anticipate market turns with greater accuracy.
Trend Assistant: Streamline your trend analysis with the Trend Assistant, which highlights ongoing trends and their strength. This tool aids in confirming the trend’s stability, making it easier to decide on entry or exit points.
Neo Cloud: Enhance your market analysis with Neo Cloud, which provides a dynamic visualization of support and resistance levels. This feature helps traders understand the current market state, indicating bullish or bearish conditions.
Candlestick Patterns Detection: Quickly identify key candlestick patterns that signal potential market moves. This detection tool simplifies the complexity of candlestick analysis, allowing for swift, informed trading decisions based on traditional charting techniques.
Volume Candlestick
Enhance your market reading with RunRox’s color-coded volume bars that gauge the strength of buying or selling within each bar. This intuitive feature adds a layer of depth to your analysis, allowing for quick recognition of vital market movements and informed trading decisions.
RISK DISCLAIMER
It is crucial for traders to recognize that while indicators are powerful tools, they should serve as aids rather than definitive solutions. No indicator, including those provided by RunRox, can offer a 100% win rate or replace the need for personal judgment and comprehensive analysis. Our goal is to equip traders with sophisticated instruments that can enhance their understanding and evaluation of market conditions.
We encourage all users of RunRox indicators to utilize them as supplements to their own trading strategies and analyses. The ultimate responsibility for trade decisions lies with the trader, informed by their own knowledge, risk assessment, and market research. Our indicators are designed to support this decision-making process, not to dictate it.
Index Generator [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION :
The “Index Generator” simplifies the process of building a custom market index, allowing investors to enter a list of preferred holdings from global securities. It aims to serve as an approach for tracking performance, conducting research, and analyzing specific aspects of the global market. The output will include an index value, a table of holdings, and chart plotting, providing a deeper understanding of historical movement.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
The image can be taken as an example of building a custom index. I created this index and named it “My Oil & Gas Index”. The index comprises several global energy companies. Essentially, the indicator weights each company by collecting the number of shares and then computes the market capitalization before sorting them as seen in the table.
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▋ OUTPUTS:
The output can be divided into 3 sections:
1. Index Title (Name & Value).
2. Index Holdings.
3. Index Chart.
1. Index Title , displays the index name at the top, and at the bottom, it shows the index value, along with the daily change in points and percentage.
2. Index Holdings , displays list the holding securities inside a table that contains the ticker, price, daily change %, market cap, and weight %. Additionally, a tooltip appears when the user passes the cursor over a ticker's cell, showing brief information about the company, such as the company's name, exchange market, country, sector, and industry.
3. Index Chart , display a plot of the historical movement of the index in the form of a bar, candle, or line chart.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
(1) Naming the index.
(2) Entering a currency. To unite all securities in one currency.
(3) Table location on the chart.
(4) Table’s cells size.
(5) Table’s colors.
(6) Sorting table. By securities’ (Market Cap, Change%, Price, or Ticker Alphabetical) order.
(7) Plotting formation (Candle, Bar, or Line)
(8) To show/hide any indicator’s components.
(9) There are 34 fields where user can fill them with symbols.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
ITG Scalper with Early SignalsThe TEMA-MACD Fusion Indicator combines the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to provide traders with a comprehensive insight into market momentum and trend direction.
TEMA is a powerful smoothing indicator that reduces lag and provides a clearer representation of price trends. By applying TEMA to MACD, this fusion indicator enhances the traditional MACD signals, offering more accurate and timely indications of trend changes and potential entry/exit points.
Key Features:
TEMA: The Triple Exponential Moving Average offers a unique perspective on price movements by providing a triple-smoothed average. It adapts more swiftly to changes in price compared to traditional moving averages, making it well-suited for capturing short to medium-term trends.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence is a versatile momentum oscillator that depicts the relationship between two moving averages of an asset's price. It is widely used to identify trend direction, momentum strength, and potential reversal points.
Enhanced Signals: By integrating TEMA with MACD, this indicator generates enhanced signals that filter out noise and provide a clearer picture of market dynamics. It helps traders to identify trend reversals, confirm trend strength, and pinpoint potential entry and exit points with greater precision.
Customizable Parameters: Traders can customize the indicator's parameters according to their trading style and preferences, allowing for flexibility in signal generation and adaptability to various market conditions.
User-Friendly Interface: The indicator is designed with a user-friendly interface, making it accessible to traders of all levels of experience. Clear visual representations of signals and trend dynamics facilitate easy interpretation and decision-making.
Multi-Timeframe Compatibility: The TEMA-MACD Fusion Indicator is compatible with multiple timeframes, enabling traders to analyze trends and signals across different time horizons, from intraday to long-term perspectives.
Incorporate the TEMA-MACD Fusion Indicator into your trading strategy to gain deeper insights into market trends and make informed trading decisions with greater confidence.
True stock performance based on EY Bar divergenceI created this indicator to be used in conjunction with my other indicator "True stock performance based on Earnings Yield". I've detailed in that description how true performance is calculated. In short it measures how much EY is moving in relation to the stock price. The theory is that if stock price is moving heavily while EY isn't you have a sentiment driven trend and the stock isn't traded on fundamentals.
This indicators marks bars when stock performance divergences from true performance.
Green upward triangle = The true performance closes lower than previous while stock price is closing higher. This indicates a optimistic sentiment as stock price is pushed up even though price based on EY is moving down.
Red downward triangle = The true performance closes higher than previous while stock price closing lower. This indicates a negative sentiment as stock price is pushed down even though price based on EY is moving up.
How do I use it?
I use it to confirm when sentiment has taken taken over a stock. If you have a fair uptrend (when both stock performance and true performance are doing higher highs), optimistic divergencies are welcome. I've used NVIDIA from 2017 to 2019 to demonstrate.
But if true performance starts to make lower highs while stock performance keeps going up and you see optimistic divergencies, you can tell that the market is getting overoptimistic.
When the stock had crashed it eventually bottomed and started to make higher lows together with an uptrend of true performance, which I count as a fair uptrend. Regardless of that you start to see some negative divergencies indicating that people are scared that the stock will drop again and oversell. These opportunities can be good places to buy more.
But i don't care about earnings, I'm a technical trader. Do i have any use for it?
You possibly could, yes. If you want to follow the crowd, optimistic divergencies confirms that the market is still interested in the stock and may keep pushing the price up. But be careful. Negative divergencies almost never marks any tops, it often confirms downtrends and may indicate bottoms. Often the optimistic divergencies marks the top so don't buy more blindly using this indicator.
True stock performance based on Earnings YieldThe whole basis of the stock market is that you invest your money into a business that can use that money to increase it's earnings and pay you back for that investment with dividends and increased stock value. But because we are human the market often overbuy stocks that cant keep up their earnings with the current inflow of investments. We can also oversell a stock that is keeping up with earnings in regards to the stock price but we don't care because of the sentiment we have.
Earnings Yield is simply the percentage of Earnings Per Share in relation to the stock price. Alone, it's a great fundamental indicator to analyze a company. But I wanted to use it in another way and got tired of using the calculator all the time so that's why I made this indicator.
The goal is to see if the STOCK price is moving accordingly to the BUSINESS earnings. It works by calculating the difference of EY (TTM) previous close (1 bar) to the close thereafter. It then calculates the stock performance of the latest bar and divides that to get decimal form instead of percent. Then it divides the stock performance in decimal form with the difference of EY calculated before. The result shows how much the stock prices moves in relation to how much EY is moving. The theory is that if EY barely moves but the stock price moves heavily, you have a sentiment driven trend.
Example: Week 1 EY = 1.201. Week 2 EY = 1.105.
1.201 - 1.105 = 0.096
Week 2 performed a 11,2% increase in stock price. = 0.112 in decimal form.
0.112 / 0.096 = 1.67
1.67 is the multiple that plots this indicator.
Here is an good example of a stock that's currently in a highly sentiment driven trend, NVIDIA! (Posted 2024-03-30)
Here is an example of a Swedish stock that retail investors flocked to that have been blowned out completely.
When do I buy and sell?
This indicator is not meant to give exact entries or exits. The purpose is to scout the current and past sentiment, possible divergencies and see if a stock is over or under valued. I did add a 50 EMA to get some form of mean plotted. One could buy when true performance is low and sell when true performance drops below the 50 EMA. You could also just sell a part of your position and set a trailing exit with a ordinary 50 EMA or something like that. Often the sentiment will keep driving the price up. But if it last for 1 month or 1 year is impossible to tell.
Try it out and learn how it works and use it as you like. Cheers!
NVT Z-ScoreNVT Z-Score Script:
Data Source and Calculation: This script calculates the NVT ratio by dividing the market cap (assumed from QUANDL data) by a 90-day MA of the transaction volume (also from QUANDL), similar to the NVTS calculation. However, the adaptation lies in further analyzing the NVT ratio through a Z-score approach, not explicitly described in the original NVTS methodology.
Z-Score Analysis: The script calculates the mean and standard deviation of the NVT ratio over a user-defined period (daysForMean, defaulting to 180 days) and then computes the Z-score of the current NVT ratio relative to this historical data. This Z-score analysis introduces a standardized way of understanding the NVT ratio's deviation from its historical average, offering a nuanced view of market valuation states.
Visualization and Dynamic Zones: The visualization emphasizes Z-score-based dynamic zones (green, yellow, and red), determined by the stdDevMultiplier. These zones are plotted and filled on the chart, providing visual cues for interpreting the NVT ratio's current state in relation to its historical norm. This aspect significantly differs from the traditional NVTS approach by directly incorporating the concept of standard deviation and Z-scores into the analysis.
Trade-o-Scope: Plot Custom DataTrade-o-Scope team presents the "Plot Custom Data" indicator.
"Plot Custom Data" is designed to help you bring the custom timeseries data and plot it on the chart.
Motivation:
In the fast-evolving landscape of markets, traders often find themselves analyzing a plethora of data sources, specialized market information, various metrics, etc. While TradingView offers a rich catalog of instruments and market data, there are cases where traders rely on unique data sources, custom calculations, bespoke metrics, or refined analytics that demand visualization.
In some cases, traditional visualization approaches for custom data like plotting in Excel or other platforms may suffice for some. still, we really adore all the great features TradingView supercharts have - native scaling and scrolling, drawing, combining data, applying indicators and strategies on top of any series, etc. The ability to play with custom data on TradingView charts is just a whole new level compared to any alternatives.
With this indicator, we aim to empower traders to effortlessly bring their custom data to the familiar and friendly interface of the TradingView chart.
Basic Features:
Easy Data Input : Simply paste your numerical timeseries data, whether it's a column from Excel, Google Sheets, CSV file, or multiline text from any text editor.
Flexible Configuration : Define the order of values, starting date, and timeframe to match the specifications of your data.
Custom appearance : Personalize your chart by assigning a title to your data and selecting colors for the plot.
Advanced Features:
Value Multiplier : Set a multiplier for the provided values to adjust their scale as needed.
Formatting Options : Customize the display format of values on the chart, whether as price, percentage, or volume.
Conditional Coloring : Define conditions for changing the plot color based on a specific threshold.
Plot Style Selection : Choose from various plot styles such as line, histogram, area, columns, and more, to best visualize your data.
Additional Visual References : Enhance data analysis by activating fixed horizontal lines to aid in visual interpretation.
Leverage TradingView Capabilities : Seamlessly apply various indicators from the TradingView catalog, such as Bollinger Bands or RSI, onto your custom data chart for comprehensive analysis.
Chart Example:
On the chart above, you can observe several "Plot Custom Data" indicators added to demonstrate what your custom data can look like and how multiple indicators can be combined, as well as the indicator configuration screen.
How it works:
The "Plot Custom Data" indicator processes the list of values provided on the configuration form and converts it into data points to be plotted on the chart. To determine the timing of plotting each value, the indicator uses the configured 'starting date' and 'timeframe'. This means the indicator will always plot each subsequent value from your list at the distance of one timeframe from the previous one.
Limitations and Best Practices:
1) The way timeseries data is inputted on the "Plot Custom Data" indicator configuration page, leverages a standard input text field. This input type has a limited character capacity, approximately 4000-4400 symbols. Therefore, the timeseries data cannot exceed this limit.
Let's illustrate this with an example.
Suppose you have a column in Excel that you wish to plot using the indicator. Consider the first 5 rows of values in your column:
| -123.45
| -43.5
| 3.12
| 9.6
| 146.78
To calculate the total symbols used, we need to account for the minus sign, numbers, decimal point, and two invisible symbols at the end of each line, which helps structure the text into multiple lines. So, in total, these 5 rows will use:
row_1 + row_2 + row_3 + row_4 + row_5 = 9 + 7 + 6 + 5 + 8 = 35 symbols or 7 symbols per row on avarage.
If we assume the remaining data follows a similar format, we can estimate the number of rows that can be inputted on the indicator configuration page:
from ~4000 / 7 = 571 rows
to ~4400 / 7 = 628 rows
The right approach to overcome this limitation is to reduce the number of symbols representing each value as much as possible. In our example, consider dropping all decimals, which would lead to an average of 5.4 symbols per row and allow for up to ~800 rows to be accepted by the input field.
If your data primarily consists of large values such as thousands or millions, consider dividing it by a multiplier like x1000 and activating the same multiplier in the indicator settings.
For example, instead of storing values like 5,620,000 in your list, store the value 562 and activate an x10,000 multiplier in the configuration to display the original value on the chart.
It is also possible to combine multiple indicators on one chart and split a larger list of values between them. If you need to display significantly more custom data on charts, you may contact us in DM to find\develop a proper solution.
2) Another important consideration is to ensure that all your data aligns with the selected timeframe in the indicator configuration.
Remember, you provide only the values to the indicator without corresponding dates. Dates are calculated automatically by the indicator based on the configured starting date and chosen timeframe. This means the indicator will always plot each subsequent value from your list at the distance of one timeframe from the previous one.
Here's an example:
Suppose you have a timeseries with 'date' and 'value' columns and a timeframe of 30 minutes:
# | date | value
--|---------------------------|---------
1 | 2024-01-01 11:30:00 | -241.45
2 | 2024-01-01 12:02:13 | -11.56
3 | 2024-01-01 13:00:00 | 21.87
..
..
6 | 2024-01-01 14:30:00 | 19.6
7 | 2024-01-01 15:00:00 |
8 | 2024-01-01 15:30:00 | 46.78
Rows 1-3 represent bad practice:
Row 2 is not precisely aligned with the timeframe, as it has a time of 12:02:13 instead of the expected 12:00:00. This won't cause errors, but the plot will show this value at 12:00:00.
Row 3 has a 1-hour difference from Row 2, which poses a real problem. As the indicator doesn't know the actual dates, it expects Row 3 to be 30 minutes later than Row 2, so it will plot 21.87 at 12:30:00 instead of the actual 13:00:00. And the rest of the values from your list will have offset on the chart as well.
Rows 6-7 represent the correct approach to overcome gaps in your data:
If, for some reason, there is no value for 15:00:00 in the original dataset, adding an empty Row 7 ensures each subsequent row is located 30 minutes from the previous one. The indicator will treat the empty row correctly, not plotting anything at this date on the chart, but will plot a line connecting the value of 19.6 from Row 6 with the value of 46.78 from Row 8.
How to use:
1) Add the "Plot Custom Data" indicator to the chart.
Voila! You'll see the plot based on the default timeseries values list and settings.
2) Paste your numerical timeseries data.
Define the order of values, starting date, and timeframe.
Assign a title to your data and select colors for the plot.
Voila! You'll see the plot based on your timeseries values list and settings.
3) Customize the indicator's settings:
Set a values multiplier if needed.
Specify the appropriate format for the values (price, percentage, or volume).
Choose whether to change the plot color based on conditions.
Select the plot style.
Add horizontal lines.
4) Explore your data, apply additional indicators and strategies from the TradingView catalog, or develop your own scripts using Pine.
Inflation CorrelationHeyo fellas,
In today’s dynamic economic landscape, understanding the relationship of market prices to other economical factors like inflation rate is crucial. The Inflation Correlation Indicator is designed to provide traders with a clear visualization of this relationship. By correlating average inflation rates from selected countries with market closing prices, this indicator offers a unique perspective on potential market movements influenced by inflationary trends.
Features:
Country Selection: Choose from the European Union (EU), Germany (DE), or the United States (US) to tailor the correlation analysis to your specific market interest.
Correlation Length Customization: Adjust the correlation length to refine the sensitivity of the indicator to recent inflation data.
Visual Clarity: The correlation histogram changes color based on the direction of the correlation, providing an intuitive understanding of the inflation correlation.
Whether you’re a fundamental analyst seeking to incorporate macroeconomic indicators into your strategy or a trader looking for an edge in inflation-sensitive markets, the Inflation Correlation Indicator is an indispensable tool in your TradingView arsenal.
Thanks for checking this out!
Best regards,
simwai
Oster's Fair Index (OFI)Note : Excitingly, this indicator is optimized to work exclusively with weekly candles (1W) ! Because fundamental analyses, with their longer-term outlook, thrive on the broader perspective provided by weekly data.
Overview:
Oster's Fair Index (OFI) stands out as a sophisticated indicator to offer traders a comprehensive assessment of a stock's fundamental valuation. Unlike many conventional indicators that focus solely on technical analysis, OFI places a strong emphasis on fundamental metrics, providing traders with a deeper understanding of a stock's intrinsic worth. It applies Oster's method (explained below) to determine the fundamental fair price of a stock.
Innovative Approach to Fundamental Analysis:
OFI employs a unique approach to fundamental analysis, integrating multiple key metrics including Yield , P/S (Price-to-Sales) ratio , P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratio , Debt/Asset ratio , and P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow) ratio . These metrics collectively offer a holistic view of a company's financial health, allowing traders to gauge its potential for growth and profitability. Notably, the fundamental metrics included in OFI are regarded as the most crucial indicators for fundamental stock evaluation according to Oster's method. Dividend yield and P/S ratio are prioritized as the most significant, followed by the P/E ratio, with supplementary consideration given to the debt-to-asset ratio and price-to-free cash flow ratio. This weighting reflects their importance in determining a stock's fair value according to the methodology, which is integrated into OFI's calculation process.
Customizable Parameters for Tailored Analysis:
One of OFI's standout features is its flexibility, allowing users to customize the fundamental parameters based on their specific investment strategy or preferences. Traders can selectively include or exclude metrics , adjust weighting factors , and set alarm thresholds to align with their unique trading objectives. This customization empowers traders to tailor OFI according to their individual preferences and market perspectives. Although a default value has been set for the weighting of the parameters, traders still have the option to customize it based on their own trading strategy and preference, ensuring that OFI remains adaptable to diverse trading styles and objectives.
Sophisticated Calculation Methodology:
Behind the scenes, OFI employs a sophisticated calculation methodology to derive its insights. It retrieves fundamental data for the selected stock, such as total revenue, earnings per share, debt-to-asset ratio, free cash flow per share, and dividend yield. However, these metrics are not viewed in isolation; rather, they are considered in relation to historical trends . For instance, while a low debt-to-asset ratio may indicate fundamental strength for a company, it must be interpreted in the context of its historical performance. If the debt-to-asset ratio has historically been consistently lower, it may suggest weaker performance despite the seemingly favorable current ratio. Furthermore, OFI goes beyond mere fundamental metrics by incorporating the stock price itself into its analysis . A low debt-to-asset ratio becomes even more attractive for the company if the stock price is also historically low, indicating undervaluation. OFI takes all these aspects into account, providing traders with a comprehensive and nuanced evaluation of a stock's fundamental attractiveness, considering all these aspects in relation to each of the fundamental metrics mentioned above.
Normalized Fairness Differentials for Standardized Comparison:
OFI employs a method where the aforementioned fundamental metrics interact as described earlier. These metrics are combined into a fundamental, normalized value using weighting factors. This value is then normalized by the moving price range of the last 12 months. The result provides insights not only into when the stock price was undervalued, overvalued, or fair, but also enables traders to estimate potential price movements based on the fundamental health of the company. Additionally, a dashed fair price line simply represents the sum of the current stock price and the OFI value. This line illustrates the fair price level of the stock derived from the methodology.
Interpretation:
A negative OFI indicates that the stock may be undervalued based on fundamental metrics. Conversely, a positive OFI suggests that the stock may be overvalued according to fundamental analysis. A zero OFI implies that the stock is trading at a fair price relative to its fundamentals, indicating a balanced valuation scenario. The values of OFI are not arbitrary; they represent the degree of overvaluation or undervaluation in the currency set in the chart settings. This means traders can discern, for example, how many USD the stock is undervalued or overvalued by . Additionally, a dashed fair price line simply represents the sum of the current stock price and the OFI value, illustrating the fair price levels of the stock derived from the methodology.
Dynamic Color Coding for Visual Clarity:
To enhance usability, OFI features dynamic color coding that visually highlights the fair price differentials. Green signifies potential undervaluation , red indicates potential overvaluation , and neutral colors represent fair valuation . This intuitive visual feedback enables traders to quickly identify opportunities and risks.
Alerts:
OFI generates alerts based on these interpretations to assist traders in making informed decisions. An Undervalued Signal (BUY) is triggered when the OFI is below zero and meets the buy threshold criteria. This indicates that the stock is fundamentally undervalued, prompting a BUY alert. Conversely, an Overvalued Signal (SELL) is generated when the OFI surpasses zero and meets the sell threshold criteria. This signals that the stock is fundamentally overvalued, prompting a SELL alert. When OFI hovers around zero, suggesting that the stock is trading at a fair price, a Fair Price Reached (FAIR) alert is generated. This encourages traders to consider profit-taking strategies given the balanced valuation.
Justification of Originality and Value:
In a landscape saturated with technical indicators, OFI distinguishes itself by offering traders a refreshingly simple yet powerful approach to fundamental analysis. While traditional methods often involve laborious scrutiny of financial metrics or even poring over entire company balance sheets, OFI streamlines this process, providing traders with a swift overview of a stock's fundamental health. Its strength lies in seamlessly integrating fundamental analysis with stock price movements, offering insights into how price correlates with fundamental metrics.
One could say we marry the simplicity of technical analysis with the depth of fundamental analysis. This unique combination empowers traders to make informed decisions with ease, leveraging the best of both worlds to navigate the markets effectively.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Oster's Fair Index (OFI) represents a pioneering advancement in the realm of fundamental analysis, offering both sophisticated calculation methodologies and intuitive, user-friendly features. By marrying these elements with customizable parameters and intuitive visuals, OFI equips traders with a powerful tool for evaluating the fundamental valuation of stocks. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a novice trader, OFI offers invaluable insights that can inform and enrich your trading journey.
