Key Earnings Level by Tim WestKEY EARNINGS LEVELS:
1. It is a composite price of an equity with a quarterly earnings report. The price line attempts to indicate the most important price for the release of earnings of that company. Only companies that have quarterly earnings will be able to have Key Earnings Levels. Indexes, commodities or other futures and crypto markets will not have these lines available.
After the earnings release (aka "ER"), the stock will tend to be supported by the price of the Key Earnings Level (KEL). If the stock is NOT supported at the KEL, then you can assume the stock is under distribution and one could further assume the earnings report was not accepted well by the market and the stock will likely continue to be sold in the future until the KEL no longer stops the advance of the stock.
2. The Earnings Level is designed to be plotted on the DAILY time frame only, and not the weekly or monthly time frames. It is also not designed for the hourly or any time other than daily.
3. Earnings Levels seem to be useful for a long period of time, perhaps up to a year or more based on the observations that I have done since 2012-2014 when I created the concept. I designed the software to allow you to advance the line forward in time by periods of 3 months, 6 months, 9 months and 12 months. The levels could last longer and you could add a "horizontal ray" at each earnings level so that it extends indefinitely into the future.
4. There are many additional uses of KEL's that include a combined KEL for an index, such as the DJIA, SP500 or any other basket of stocks if you combine all of the stocks KEL's together to form a market support/resistance level. I have published this research here at TradingView under the $DJI DJIA symbol.
5. The concept behind this EARNINGS RELEASE is to also see HOW VOLATILE a stock is on the day before, day of and day after the EARNINGS are released as a gauge of uncertainty in the stock. The larger the range of the stock price on an EARNINGS report, the more varied the opinions are of investors and the more uncertain analysts are on the valuation of the company or its future outlook. Volatility is an important concept for risk management in a stock and understanding how volatile a stock is on the 4 most important days of the year for any stock will help any investor understand more deeply about the risk of the stock itself.
6. I comment on stocks using the earnings levels concepts in chat room Key Hidden Levels here at TradingView for many years now. I am eager to hear your comments and success with this tool and others and hope you can pass it along to others to help them be informed too.
Fundamental Analysis
Bitcoin Halving CountdownHello traders,
I offer you today the BTC halving countdown updated in real-time on your charts
I inspired myself greatly from the gentleman @everget's script LTC halving countdown below
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The countdown date is coming from that source www.bitcoinblockhalf.com.
The halving date is estimated to be around May 13th, 2020 .
That date is hardcoded in the script and is used for the countdown calculation.
The Bitcoin block mining reward halves every 210,000 blocks, the coin reward will decrease from 12.5 to 6.25 coins.
Enjoy the weekend
Dave
BTC Transaction/On-Chain Volume (Basic)Description:
Whale: Whale utilizing discounted prices (increasing on-chain volume & decreasing price)
Recovering: Positive momentum in price after potential whale activity
Cycle Volume Support: The transaction volume support during a cycle
What’s the best time to invest?
After institutions make up their mind at low price levels.
How’s on-chain volume related to whales or institutional money?
On-chain volume is contributed not only by using BTC as payment methods, but more importantly by large custodians using the BTC chain to settle internal whale trades. When OTC volume is estimated 2-3 times of exchange volume, and when total on-chain volume is only a small fraction of the exchange volume, the OTC settlement plays a big factor in moving the on-chain volume around.
Why does the price drop further after spotting whale money?
Does new money equal higher true value? Yes.
Does new money equal higher price? No.
Whales could not only ladder in when they see the price on discount, but also push the price further down to accumulate at better price levels. However, either route chosen, it’s most likely for the price to rise to a higher level compared to the level when the whales enter. Whales are here to make money after all.
Rate Of Change Earnings Move - ROCEMRate Of Change Earnings Move
What is it and how does it work?
The Rate of Change Earnings Move indicator or ROCEM is an indicator designed for giving the user an idea of how much a stock has moved up or down in past earnings reports. This is ideal for options traders who can use ROCEM to calculate whether or not their long straddles are actually probable of happening.
How it works
The indicator measures the absolute value rate of change and then calculates the average rate of change for the day of the earnings report for the past 8 earnings reports (2 years). It then takes the current stock price and finds the upper and lower price based on the average rate of change for past earnings.
I have also included a moving average (purple line), use this to see if the current rate of change is higher than usual.
Additionally, earnings reports are marked with a red x on the indicator.
How to trade ROCEM
This is primarily made for options trading so I will be explaining how it can be used for that. It is not suited for traditional stock trading as it does not determine a market direction.
Select a stock with an upcoming earnings
Enter your per leg commissions in the indicator if you want it to calculate new upper and lower prices (makes it easier to determine if the options trade will pass the breakeven when commissions are factored in)
Compare your long straddle breakevens with the upper and lower prices of the indicator. If the upper breakeven is smaller than the upper price in ROCEM and the lower breakeven is larger than the lower price in ROCEM, then a long straddle position could be considered a reasonable trade based on past earnings performance.
BTC Mining Cost - IndicatorBTC Mining Cost Indicator
- Adjust the Emission Rate after each halving, currently it's 12.5
- Current settings are for the Antminer S17 with an average cost of 12 cents per kWh
As you can see, a bounce usually follows when the price hits the cost of mining 1 BTC .
I would love to hear your feedback, and if you like it please gimme a thumbs up ❤️
Happy Trading!
Blockchain Fundamentals - Satoshies Per Dollar by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Satoshis Per Dollar by Cryptorhythms
Intro
SPD is a new metric I propose which can be used to determine general sentiment and help narrow down periods to DCA .
Description
In the most basic sense this indicator is simply showing you how many satoshies are equal to one US dollar . This can be a useful metric to keep stored in the back of your mind. It can also give you a new satoshi based perspective on bitcoin pricing.
I simply added an MA selection option to give a basic sentiment reading. You could also use the red areas as a modified DCA (i.e. only do dollar cost averaging when red zone is in effect.
The indicator is not really meant for buy/sell signaling but more as a reference
👍 We hope you enjoyed this indicator and find it useful! We post free crypto analysis, strategies and indicators regularly. This is our 71st script on Tradingview!
💬Check my Signature for other information
Stock to Flow Model with Standard Deviation BandsThis Study takes the Stock to Flow Model for Bitcoin as presented by 100trillionUSD and smoothes it using an SMA. Then it calculates the close's standard deviation from it and displays the 2-Sigma Bands.
The stock to flow model seems to be one of the best predictions of Bitcoins price.
The standard deviation bands are supposed to show situations in which Bitcoin is significantly over- or under-bought.
Metcalfes Law - Bitcoin Fair PriceMetcalfe's Law has been successfully used to value a variety of network effect technologies and businesses, including Facebook and Tencent.
Applying Metcalfe's Law to Bitcoin, using "Daily Active Addresses" (DAA) as the "n" value, yields interesting results.
Historically, Bitcoin has tracked the Metcalfe Law Fair Price reasonably well. A number of studies have been performed over recent years which validate this and have used various derivations of Metcalfe’s Law. Note: this indicator sticks to the original Metcalf’s Law.
Prior to 2018, every time Bitcoin was above the Metcalfe’s Law fair price (calculated using a default “A” of 0.5 here), a bubble had formed, and price quickly reverted back down to the mean.
Nonetheless, since February 2018, Metcalfe's Law Fair Price has remained below the actual Bitcoin price, suggesting Bitcoin is currently overvalued.
There may be a few reasons for this:
1. Possibility A: Bitcoin may still be extremely overvalued. Since the December 2017 peak, Bitcoin has only reverted to the Metcalfe’s Law Fair Price briefly during the December 2018 bottom. If this case is true, there could be further to fall unless DAA numbers pick up to fill the gap.
2. Possibility B: The introduction of side-chains, private transactions and the Lightning Network may have fundamentally altered the effectiveness of using DAA to value Bitcoin. As more daily transactions are completed off-chain, or on large platforms/exchanges which use fewer addresses, the relative number and growth of DAA may be misrepresented and artificially low. In this case, DAA as it is reported today is no longer useful in assessing the fair value of Bitcoin with Metcalfe’s Law and this Indicator is effectively useless.
3. Possibility C: Neither of the above are true. We are just in an anomalous period in which price and Metcalfe’s Law Fair Price have deviated from the mean for an extended period (and will meet again in the future, potentially at a higher price).
4. Possibility D: Metcalfe’s Law doesn’t really work for Bitcoin.
I am inclined to believe Possibilities “C” and “D” are unlikely. Given the way Bitcoin infrastructure is being developed and used in 2019, Possibility “B” seems the most likely, as this case is supported by the fact that a number of other metrics indicate that Bitcoin is currently on the lower side of “fair value” (including Dynamic Range NVT Signal).
Regardless, Possibility “A” remains a strong candidate. Only time will tell. It will be interesting to check back on this indicator in 12-24 months time. Hopefully this indicator has been proven redundant by then.
Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions [aamonkey]Cryptoassets have been quite turbulent in the past few weeks.
At times like this, it is especially important to look at the fundamental foundations of cryptoassets.
This indicator is based on the Network Value to Transactions , or NVT .
Definition:
NVT = Network Value / Daily Transaction Volume
Because this indicator is pulling the Daily Transaction Volume for BTC it can only be used for BTC and the daily timeframe.
Volume ValueInstead of the Volume this plots the closure price times volume, hence the Value.
Useful in study of long term phenomenons.
Bitcoin OnChain Metrics @BTC_JackSparrow (O)A series of plots representing Bitcoin on chain metrics like tx volume , hash rate, difficulty and way more from Blockchain.com
How to use? Up to you
Some sources update live, some sources update EOD (end of day)
To use as a non overlay, right click and move to new pane
Dividends per Share (DPS, Yearly)This tool sums DPS for each year starting from current and up to 20 year ago.
Earnings per Share (EPS, Yearly)This tool sums EPS for each year starting from current and up to 20 year ago
Crypto Break-even FeeWhen I started trading cryptocurrency, I lost money because I didn't take the fees enough into account. Therefore I created my own indicator to quicqly see the break-even selling price of the selling price if I want a predifined profit level.
2 lines are added to the graph. These lines move together with the current price.
- One line indicating the break-even selling price (depending on your maker/taker strategy). For beginners I suggest taking the taker strategy (mostly 0.25%)
- Another line indicating the selling price in order to make a predifined profit %
There are 2 parameters you can set:
- Desired profit (%)
- Maker/Taker Fee (%)
Always happy with a little appreciation ;-) Bitcoin wallet: 18522cAc7YDwwXTvtckXKb1kP33upVDRFR
Current Price Label by Westy_A simple Indicator to display the current price of the asset above the current bar. It shows a green label if the close is equal or greater than the open, red otherwise.
Y2050 Market Cap: GRINMethodology:
Composite of Bittrex and Poloniex to smoothen out the skewed values from lack of liquidity.
To be concise, the main advantage that a Y2050 market cap has over a 'regular' market cap is that it takes into account:
Inflation
What supply should be in the future
What the market cap could be in world of tomorrow
I'm having difficulty publishing the script so bear with me if the professional quality of the description is lacking. As always, I hope you are able to make use of this indicator and find new ways to create a consistent system to test out.
NB
Session AverageThis indicator finds the average time of High or Low formed in sessions.
This is a request from trader @Salmanmahmood15 . You need permission from him to fully use it
Year Open Price LevelAn utility tool that plots a dynamic level using the opening price of each year on the chart.
Allows to highlight the change in the price relative to this level.
Yearly High/Low MarksAn utility tool for analysts. It marks the highest and lowest prices for each year down to 1989.
Works everywhere and doesn't use any calls of built-in functions that relate to the data extraction.
AAPL, D
AAPL, M
BLX, D
BLX, W
BLX, M
Month-to-Month % ReturnAn utility tool to see month-to-month performance of the asset and to eliminate the need in drawings. It works everywhere but better in use on the daily timeframe.
Bitcoiny.today Fundamentals EventsFirst version of Fundamental Events. If you want to add event drop me a message.
Bitcoin Cost per Transaction (USD)The Bitcoin Cost per Transaction (USD) is the result of dividing the miners' revenue (Block Reward + Transaction Fees) between the number of transactions per block.
Here is an example with made up numbers:
Block reward is 12.5 BTC + 0.5 BTC in transaction fees.
There are 2700 transactions in the block.
Current exchange rate is 5700 USD/BTC.
(12.5 BTC + 0.5 BTC) / 2700 transactions = 0.00481481 BTC per transaction
5700 USD/BTC * 0.00481481 BTC per transaction = $27.44 per transaction
Hope that helps!
Bitcoin Number of Coins'Bitcoin Number of Coins' is the total number of Bitcoins which have been mined. This is the number of coins (technically) in circulation.
Additionally, the indicator shows the number of Bitcoin pending to be mined, considering a max cap of 21 million coins.
