🔗 Blockchain Fundamentals - NVU Ratio by Cryptorhythms🔗 Blockchain - NVU (Network Value to User) Ratio by Cryptorhythms
Introduction
Please note this is not an indicator that gives you buy and sell signals, its for bitcoin blockchain based fundamental analysis and valuation metrics.
Description
Blockchains have network effects.
The classic example of network effects is Facebook: every person who gets on Facebook makes the network a little more valuable for every other person on Facebook.
As the number of users in a network grows, the more valuable the network becomes. That’s why the most powerful companies in the world today are network companies: Facebook, Apple, Google. The old-school “blue chip” companies don’t have the benefits of network effects. (When a new customer buys your toothpaste, it doesn’t make toothpaste more valuable for everyone else.)
Blockchain assets (like bitcoin) are essentially networks. The more people who use a blockchain asset (like bitcoin), the more valuable that blockchain becomes. One way that analysts value network companies (like Facebook and Twitter) is by looking at Network Value per User. We take their market cap, then divide by their number of Monthly Active Users.
Of the top social media networks, the Value Per User generally ranges from $25 to $250. These values have fluctuated over time, but they give us some guard rails. Of the blockchains we can track, the Network Value per User is typically $1,000 and $5,000 per user. This makes sense, as we would expect blockchain NVU to be higher than social media NVU, since blockchain users are much more valuable—they’re not just mindless ad-consuming machines, like on Facebook.
The caveat is that Value Per User depends on knowing Monthly Active Users, which is not available for all blockchain assets. Blockchains that have this level of transparency will have better valuation metrics, which means they will become more trusted, and thus more highly valued.
Fundamental Analysis
NinaThis is for education purpose.
Nina provides opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.
It can be simultaneously used with xSuperTrend indicator. When both gives same signal, opportunity may be taken.
NVT Signal with RMA and thresholds [alertable]NVT Signal, or NVTS, is an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin to the aggregate USD value of daily transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain. It is a value indicator that shows a multiple of Bitcoin price against the actual usage of its blockchain. When the NVTS is low, it suggests Bitcoin price is low relative to the amount of utility the network provides, and vice versa.
For more information on NVTS, visit medium.com
This indicator aims to provide the following:
1. An open-source implementation of NVTS on Tradingview, as the most popular one currently is closed-source.
2. To provide two simple ways to define and visualize "overbought" or "oversold" conditions using the NVTS. Here, we have absolute value of NVTS & deviation from a long-term moving average.
3. Crude integration into Tradingview's alert system.
What this indicator CANNOT do:
1. Timeframes below 1d.
2. Signals based on statistical analyses, such as seen in Bollinger Bands et al. (However, with the appropriate type of account, you can add BBands on top of this indicator.)
I would like to express my gratitude to Willy Woo, Chris Burniske and Dimitry Kalichkin for their work on NVT Ratio and NVT Signal, without which my indicator would not have been created.
Feel free to fork & improve, or experiment with settings. I hope this indicator will be useful to someone.
Bitcoin Wookalich Ratio (NVT)The Wookalich Ratio is an indicator derived from the NVT Signal . This is a tool used in Bitcoin markets to predict tops and bottoms.
The Wookalich Ratio aims to correct long-term inflation skewing through the use of a dilution factor.
I've setup this indicator for it to be possible to base the calculations on custom:
Transaction Periods
Overbought levels (110 by default)
Oversold levels (32 by default)
Credit for this idea goes to cryptopoiesis twitter.com
You're welcome to use add it to your charts.
Bitcoin Fundamentals - Puell MultipleThis is an indicator that derives from Bitcoin Mining daily generated Income.
It does show a perfect track record on calling Bitcoin cycle tops and cycle bottoms.
For those of you willing to experiment, I've enabled the ability to set custom periods (365 by default).
The indicator includes custom alerts to notify the entry and the exit from OverBought (OB) & OverSold (OS) bands.
Credits: David Puell twitter.com
Bitcoin Fundamentals - Mining IncomePlot the Bitcoin Mining Income in USD or BTC terms.
This Blockchain Indicator is a very useful helper tool to elaborate on Fundamental Studies.
BitMEX ETHUSD contract value (USD)The ETHUSD Quanto Swap contract on BitMEX allows you to trade ETHUSD with Bitcoin put forward as collateral. However this means that 1 contract is not equal to 1 USD or 1 ETH, but instead varies according to the price of ETHUSD.
You can see the contract specs here www.bitmex.com and find more information here blog.bitmex.com
My advice is always to make sure you fully understand a derivative product before you trade it, however many of us may not have the acumen to actually understand how a quanto swap works. Nevertheless, we have to be aware that the value in USD of each contract depends on the price of Ethereum and also the price of Bitcoin at each point in time.
This tool will show you the value of a single ETHUSD contract in USD, but it solely for indicative purposes only. Your trade, your risk. I do not ask for any donations from your gains and I am not liable for any of your losses.
Source code is provided.
Note in the example image that the price of ETHUSD is plotted on a logarithmic scale but the indicative contract value is linear.
🔗 Blockchain Rhythms by Cryptorhythms🎼 Blockchain Rhythms v1.0 by Cryptorhythms
This indicator and data plot suite is for bitcoin BTCUSD analysis over longer periods and higher time frames. 🚨For this to plot anything you must use on Daily or higher timeframe🚨 .
You want to have an alternative to the typical technical indicators you see everywhere? This is it. Seen crypto twitter talking about/using all sorts of indicators you have never seen before on tradingview? Here you go. Are you a long term investor and not a short term speculator?... I think you get the picture...
With the wealth of data here, I cannot go into a fully detailed analysis for every indicator. Please make liberal use of google and as always DYOR before trading on a system you have never used.
These indicators are best observed versus a logarithmic price scale. If I have missed any indicators you think should be in here let me know! Let me preempt that by saying MVRV and UTXO Age Distribution are not possible to create on Tradingview at this time.
🚧Error Screen:
If you see this you need to choose a data-point or indicator to plot!
⌚If you are loading this indicator with alot of chart history shown (as in the example screenshots) it may take up to a minute to load.
Please note: some of the screenshots below show chart title plots which I subsequently had to remove due to limitations. If you would like a title for all the plot, simple use the Indicator Labels checkbox option located in the scales tab of chart settings.
[b📊 Fundamental Blockchain Indicators
NVT Signal & Ratio
Both are related. NVT / NVT Signal can be interpreted as the strength of market confidence in the means of payment / settlement layer narrative. A “measure of the chain’s strength as a payment network compared to its market value — a low NVT may suggest that a network is undervalued compared to the service it is providing as a settlement layer” (Matteo Leibowitz).
💰NVT Ratio:
NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transactions Ratio) is similar to the PE Ratio used in equity markets.
When Bitcoin`s NVT is high, it indicates that its network valuation is outstripping the value being transmitted on its payment network, this can happen when the network is in high growth and investors are valuing it as a high return investment, or alternatively when the price is in an unsustainable bubble.
🚦NVT Signal:
NVT Signal (NVTS) is a derivative of NVT Ratio created by Dimitry Kalichkin. This indicator provides more emphasis on predictive signaling ahead of price peaks.
🚀Bitcoin Velocity
Velocity is a measure of how quickly money is circulating in the economy. Is bitcoin trending towards savings or payments? This can help you decide. It is similar to Bitcoin Network Momentum, except this takes into account bitcoins increasing supply.
🏃Bitcoin Network Momentum
Network Momentum is a view created by PositiveCrypto which looks into the value transmitted through the Bitcoin blockchain denominated in BTC value plotted against Bitcoin's price. It serves as a leading indicator to bitcoin price, in that we need high levels of value throughput to drive the bull market. This indicator is experimental.
Both daily transaction values and price exhibit cyclical patterns, but not in sync with each other. A hypothesis to explain the mismatch is that short-term mindset traders (using exchanges) heavily influence price; but long-term mindset investments (more likely to be directly recorded on-chain) have a greater contribution to the daily transaction value recorded in the ledger.
An alternative to the NVT / NVT Signal - tracks the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and BTC volume flowing through the blockchain network.
Ⓜ Mayer Multiple
Introduced by Trace Mayer as a way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day SMA by default), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames.
It`s worth noting as the market becomes larger and less volatile, the peaks are becoming less exaggerated. This is because a 200 day moving average baseline is a static yardstick against an ever growing, more stable, Bitcoin market. We should eventually re-calibrate what constitutes the overbought/oversold extremes on this chart accordingly.
A more fully featured Mayer Multiple version available here:
💲 BTC Marketcap and Thermocap
We are all familiar with marketcap, but it does come with its disadvantages.
A more appropriate measure of network value was recently put forth by Nic Carter. Remember capital flows in crypto generally do not come in via exchanges (miners notably like to sell OTC). Every buy in an exchange is matched by a sell. Money that comes in = money that goes out.
True inflows (in Bitcoin, at least) are the aggregate of resources spent by miners¹. And a good proxy for that is the amount these folks are earning back from networks they support in return for their investments. That’s aggregate security spend (or Thermocap): what was actually paid out to miners (transactions * their price in USD at the time they were mined).
There is an option to deduct lost coins, genesis (Satoshi's) coins, and dead HODL'ers coins from the marketcap. This information was taken from ChainAnalysis' 2017 report
This shows both plots for comparison on a logrithmic scale:
⛏Mining Indicators & Data
⛏ Petahash Dollar Ratio
Bitcoin’s Hashrate (Daily PetaHashes) to Daily Mining Earnings (PetaHashDollar) is a robust metric to asses the day to day mining profitability. In addition, when plotted over the past five years, its overall trend represents a good way to quantify and visualize the relative progress in efficiency of ASICs (more specifically the inverse of that metric: 1/relative mining efficiency).
⛏Unmined Coins Marketcap
A simple statistic I created to plot the value of the unmined BTC still waiting to be extracted. If you find any interesting value for analysis please message me and let me know.
⛏Percentage of Total BTC Mined
I hope this one doesnt need an explanation. 😅
#️⃣ Network Hash Rate
A network's hashrate is the most important data point in blockchain tech. It indicates to the world how secure its network is. The hashrate is the "bridge" between the analog world, and the digital world. Essentially, the hashrate describes how much computing power (called hashing power in blockchain speak) is being thrown at the network, by users all across the world. These "miners" are running servers with dedicated processing chips to solve random, cryptographic math problems. The reason miners do this constant computing is that it betters their chances to reap a "block reward." The block reward entitles them to:
1.)Newly "mined" coins, and
2.)Transaction fees
Both of these are typically paid out with each new block. This rewards miners for their “proof-of-work.” It signals to the world that real "work" and resources, like electricity, have been spent on the Bitcoin network.
As more and more miners compete for the block reward, the hashrate, mining calculations and block difficulty will increase. This increase in the network's hashrate over time means an increase in the network’s security. Much better detail on this is available elsewhere, but primarily, this process solves digital money's vulnerability to attacks and the "double spend" problem.
I like to plot it directly on the price chart (click on the indicator and drag it up)
⛏ Revenue Per Transaction
A chart showing miners revenue divided by the number of transactions.
Fee Per Block Kilobyte
A measure of how much it costs per kilobyte of blockchain block size.
⛏Return Per TeraHash (TH)
Revenue per TH of mining hash power.
Can also be plotted on price chart and looks nice:
Cost Per TX (CPT) and Cost % Per TX Volume
CPT - A chart showing miners revenue divided by the number of transactions
C%PRV - A chart showing miners revenue as percentage of the transaction volume
Blockchain Statistics & Data Plots
🏋Network Difficulty
A relative measure of how difficult it is to find a new block. The difficulty is adjusted periodically as a function of how much hashing power has been deployed by the network of miners.
I like plotting this one on price chart as well:
Daily Output Value
The total value of all transaction outputs per day (includes coins returned to the sender as change).
🔢Number of Unique Addresses Used
Addresses are kind of like bank accounts.
Unlike bank accounts, addresses on the blockchain can be generated by anyone, anywhere and one single person could have thousands.
The plot shows bitcoins growth of addresses which are both unique and active per day, smoothed out over 14 days for clarity (using a zero lag ema). As you can see bull runs typically lead to more unique addresses the assumption being that more new money is drawn into the market due to the news cycle.
This is another one I prefer to plot on the price chart.
🔢Number of Transactions (NoTX) and NoTX - Exchange Wallets
Number of TX's on the chain (green line) and NoTX minus (-) Exchange Wallets (blue line).
⏳ Median Confirmation Time
The median time for a transaction to be accepted into a mined block and added to the public ledger (note: only includes transactions with miner fees). Displayed in minutes.
🔊Volume Dominance (Liquidity to Transaction Volume Ratio)
Volume Dominance is another metric I invented simply to show the ratio between spot exchange TXs (liquidity/speculation) and blockchain TXs (utility/HODLing). Its shows percent of volume attributed to blockchain TXs.
🙃 We REALLY hope you enjoy and find this indicator useful. I certainly enjoyed creating it and learned quite a bit myself manipulating the data! I welcome any suggestions or ideas you may have to further extend, or create new indicators.
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
Chiki-Poki BFXLS Longs Shorts Abs Normalized Volume Pro by RRBChiki-Poki BFXLS Longs vs Shorts Absolute Normalized Volume Value Pro by RagingRocketBull 2018
Version 1.0
This indicator displays Longs vs Shorts in a side by side graph, shows volume's absolute price value and normalized volume of Longs/Shorts for the current asset. This allows for more accurate L/S comparisons (like a log scale for volume) since volume on spot exchanges (Bitstamp, Bitfinex, Coinbase etc) is measured in coins traded, not USD traded. Similarly, L/S is usually the amount of coins in open L/S positions, not their total USD value. On Bitmex and other futures exchanges volume is measured in USD traded, so you don't need to apply the Volume Absolute Price Value checkbox to compare L/S. You should always check first whether your source is measured in coins or USD.
Chiki-Poki BFXLS primarily uses *SHORTS/LONGS feeds from Bitfinex for the current crypto asset, but you can specify custom L/S source tickers instead.
This 2-in-1 works both in the Main Chart and in the indicator pane below. You can switch between Main/Sub Window panes using RMB on the indicator's name and selecting Move To/Pane Above/Below.
This indicator doesn't use volume of the current asset. It uses L/S ticker's OHLC as a source for SHORTS/LONGS volumes instead. Essentially L/S => L/S Volume == L/S
Features:
- Display Longs vs Shorts side by side graph for the current crypto asset, i.e. for BTCUSD - BTCUSDLONGS/BTCUSDSHORTS, for ETHUSD - ETHUSDLONGS/ETHUSDSHORTS etc.
- Use custom OHLC ticker sources for Longs/Shorts from different exchanges/crypto assets with/without exchange prefix.
- Plot Longs/Shorts as lines or candles
- Show/Hide L/S, Diff, MAs, ATH/ATL
- Use Longs/Shorts Volume Absolute Price Value (Price * L/S Volume) instead of Coins Traded in open L/S positions to compare total L/S value/capitalization
- Normalize L/S Volume using Price / Price MA / L/S Volume MA
- Supports any existing type of MA: SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA etc
- Volume Absolute Price Value / Normalize also works on candles
- Oscillator mode with negative axis (works in both Main Chart/Subwindow panes).
- Highlight L/S Volume spikes above L/S MAs in both lines/oscillator.
- Change L/S MA color based on a number of last rising/falling L/S bars, colorize candles
- Display L/S volume as 1000s, mlns, or blns using alpha multiplier
1. based on BFXLS Longs vs Shorts and Compare Style, uses plot*, security and custom hma functions
2. swma has a fixed length = 4, alma and linreg have additional offset and smoothing params
Notes:
- Make sure that Left Price Scale shows up with Auto Fit Data enabled. You can reattach indicator to a different scale in Style.
- It is not recommended to switch modes multiple times due to TradingView's scale reattachment bugs. You should switch between Main Chart and Sub Window only once.
- When the USD price of an asset is lower you can trade more coins but capitalization value won't be as significant as when there are less coins for a higher price. Same goes for Shorts/Longs.
Current ATH in shorts doesn't trigger a squeeze because its total value is now far less than before and we are in a bear market where it's normal to have a higher number of shorts.
- You should always subtract Hedged L/S from L/S because hedged positions are temporary - used to preserve the value of the main position in the opposite direction and should be disregarded as such.
- Low margin rates increase the probability of a move in an underlying direction because it is cheaper. High margin rates => the market is anticipating a move in this direction, thus a more expensive rate. Sudden 5-10x rate raises imply a possible reversal soon. high - 0.1%, avg - 0.01-0.02%, low - 0.001-0.005%
You can also check out:
- BFXLS Longs/Shorts on BFXData
- Bitfinex L/S margin rates and Hedged L/S on datamish
- Bitmex L/S on Coinfarm.online
Earnings Support and Resistance Levels [NeoButane]Inspired by @LazyBear's/@timwest's script:
Usage: support and resistance levels based on averaging price around earnings and quarterly opens.
What it is plotting:
1. A horizontal level whenever earnings occur. If actual earnings is higher than estimated, the line turns green, else red.
2. A horizontal level every quarterly open, colored black.
3. An average between the two mentioned above, colored orange.
4. 5% moves away from 3M open and earnings
5. Misc: 5% move away from that 5% move away, then 10% move away from the 2nd 5% move away.
By default, 4 and 5 are off to reduce visual noise.
Idea: Traders panic around certain dates that always happen, and traders always panic in the wrong direction. The market is composed of traders trading in the wrong direction at the same time, all the time. That means price will bounce back and forth as the gambling dens colloquially known as 'forex brokerages' or 'stock exchanges' take your money in the form of fees, time, and liquidations. So I put two lines on the chart and put one right in between, because it always goes back. I hope you can find it useful!
Note: This was a part of the old fundamental data indicators and is not officially for use, so while it should work on most U.S. stocks and a couple of other exchanges, it is not perfect.
Bitcoin Studies (NVT et. al) [NeoButane]Currently studying the effect of NVT on price action and volume.
WhipsawThe Whipsaw indicator shows the overall slope of the market with a proprietary modified slope formula for determining directional bias.
Stupid strategyStrategy with simple stop-loss and take-profit in percentage. If last trade was a successful one then repeat it. If not successful - do a reversal trade.
Naked Put - Growth IndicatorDISCLAIMER: Do NOT follow this strategy unless you are aware of the risks of selling naked options.
1) I have identified 20 companies with 30%+ YoY revenue growth (using the most recent quarter) and minimum "average trading volume": ZEN, TEAM, BABA, SHOP, RNG, SPLK, NFLX, FB, WIX, SQ, MULE, WDAY, MU, HUBS, ABT, LOGM, NEWR, NVDA, MELI, AMZN, NOW. I like companies that fit this criteria because 30%+ revenue growth means their revenue double every ~2.5 year and their "market cap" is based on their revenue.
2) When you see a green "$" icon above a candle on a DAILY chart, that means it's a good time to "sell naked puts" using the solid green line as the approximate "strike price". I prefer 3-9 months until expiration and "stagger" my expirations so it's not possible for everything to be put to me all at once.
3) I use a "minimum premium" and "max contracts" that I sell that suits my risk tolerance, you will need to calculate your own contract size based on your risk tolerance.
*NOTE: This only works on a DAILY chart, and only works on the companies identified above -- if you are using intraday, weekly or monthly, the "$" signs do NOT appear.
RISK NOTE: I do NOT sell any naked puts unless I am 100% ready to own the shares AND have enough capital in my account if they are put to me, you should do the same. Don't follow this strategy unless you are prepared to OWN shares at expiration.
Multiplier ChartI am proposing an alternative to the percent change.
An alternative that is symmetrical to both positive and negative change, unlike percentage change.
The simple idea is to have a positive number if the reference value (called val in the script) is lower than the stock value and needs to be multiplied;
a negative number instead if the reference number is higher than the stock value, so the reference value needs to be divided.
Multiplying all by 100 to give clearer and more readable results, the Multiplier would have a huge gap between +100 and -100, because a stock multiplied by 1 or divided by 1 are the same thing.
So we need to compromise and move all positive numbers down by 100 and all negative numbers up by 100. This actually gives a similar result to percentage change, and it is actually identical in the positive range.
The fundamental difference lies on the negative range, which is completely symmetrical. So if a stock goes up 100 points one day (doubles), and the next it goes down another 100 points (halves), at the end of the second day the stock has the same value as it had at the beginning of the first day! On percentage change it would be +100% the first day and -50% the second.
We mustn't undervalue the human tendency to compare a 1% change to a -1% change, but they do not mean the same even if they seem to indicate so.
A clear example of this can be found on CMC 0.60% -3.56% -3.56% (CoinMarketCap), in which each day are shown the best and worst performing coins of the day. So you might see a +900% there in the top performing, but you'll never see a -900%, because percentage change cannot go further than -100%. It is a fundamentally asymmetric scale that can confuse people a lot especially in those fast moving new markets.ù
I am welcome to feedback and all kinds of opinions and critics.
Some interesting things to note: you can use it as a percentage change indicator or as a different perspective to a stock chart. In fact, it lets you see how big of a difference it made buying coins when they were very cheap, because when they are cheap a difference of what it might seem nothing is amplified by all the gains that the stock/coin made after. So, looking at coins charts using this indicator shows how "not flat" were the early days, which in a normal chart are flattened to 0.
Mayer MultipleFollowing Preston Pysh's "Bitcoin Mayer Multiple" study, I made this simple script to plot the Mayer multiple by calculating the ratio between bitcoin price and its 200-day moving average. It also plots the moving average of ratio itself.
Mayer Multiple Buy PriceFollowing Preston Pysh's "Bitcoin Mayer Multiple" study, I made this simple script to plot the recommended buy price based on the calculated 2.4x ratio between bitcoin price and its 200-day moving average. The ratio and SMA length have default values of 2.4 and 200 and can be adjusted.
Weizmann Forex by Mr.JJ v1.1.3One of my favourite script working powerfully for Iq options and Expert Options.
Its definately non repainting script..........But repaints on some moments .....Will be removed on next update.
Features :
1) Same as Weizmann Forex by Mr.JJ v1.1.2
2) but less repainting and less glitches
3) Candlestick Patterns can be now identified
4) For traders ...... Trading on price action.......It's best.
Regards, Weizmann Forex Fan