Beyond Technical Analysis
Nifty post market analysis and calendar trade planThe market was super bullish and all major contributor shows upward momentum.
* Prime minister shree Narendra Modi (a mistake during explanation said president)
FII and DII both supported market. All major five sectors shows strength (FMCG is lagging among all).
Crypto Update - The Big 3 are respecting an interesting algoTraders! Apologies for my absence the past little while - I've been working on many projects outside of the trading world (and in the trading world - exciting news on the horizon!)
Just wanted to point out the very interesting "coincidence" here where we see the big 3 cryptos all respecting very tapered (bullish) selling channels - meaning, they are all building liquidity in very bullish algorithms and are poised for a longer term breakout once the demand proves itself over the supply.
Will continue to analyze and share as price develops but be careful with all the chaotic news coming in left and right.
Happy Trading :)
NIFTY POST MARKET ANALYSISNifty and five major sectorial constituents of Nifty analysis based on pure price action.
Try to show one calendar trade but it was not visible in the screen. Sharing you numbers here.
Current Calendar Spread Structure:
Long: 24000 PE – 31 July 2025
Short: 24000 PE – 27 June 2025
Net Debit: ₹88 per lot
Rationale:
The surge in India VIX indicates heightened market volatility, making this an opportune moment to implement a calendar spread strategy. The position benefits from time decay (positive Theta) and an increase in implied volatility (positive Vega), especially if the NIFTY remains around the 24,000 level.
Risk Management: Monitor NIFTY's movement closely. If it declines rapidly below 23500, the short put may become in-the-money, increasing risk. Two adjustment options we do have...
Adjustment Flexibility: Be prepared to roll the short put further out in time or to a different strike if market conditions change.
GAPS Everywhere! YOU MUST understand how everything is connectedAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
GoodInvestGroup_ES813 New Strategy 80% winrate high performanceGoodInvestGroup_ES813 is coded for NY session. High performance across 10 years of backtesting.
Performance Stats sample (1/1/2020<):
Win Rate: 88.20%
Loss Rate: 5.48%
% of Trades Stopped Out in Profit (Trailing Stops): 94.52%
% of Trades Hard Stopped at Loss (SL): 2.63%
Please do your own backtests and research.
Market conditions change which may lead to losses.
NOT a financial advice.
Day 1 of turning £20 to £1million in 1 yearThis is day one of the challenge turning 20gbp to 1 million GBP within 1 year.
Expressed thoughts on some fundamentals going on right now and the approach for this week. This was posted 15 minutes before market open on a Sunday. Let the fun commence.
Ideally trying to complete this before 11th May 2026 hitting 1 million by then.
Week of 5/11/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU has clean structure with Daily, 4h, and 1h bearish.
1h internal structure is bullish at the moment and we're waiting for that to break bearish before looking for any shorts.
We're going to be patient and wait for internal before looking for high probability trades.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/11/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily is bullish, so in the future price possibly will trend up.
In the meantime 4h and 1h are bearish but has reached a critical daily demand zone at the extreme of daily structure.
So far 1h internal is bullish, so we are still looking for longs cautiously until structure is broken.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
NQ Analysis - 11th May 2025Here is my analysis of NQ, a pair I do not trade and only very seldomly do analysis for.
I've been wanting to get into indices futures, so I will be doing more analysis on them in the future. I still have to learn about the contract sizes, average moves, etc.
- R2F Trading
LYFT stock is a grower and undervalued, future 10x ?LYFT stock is trading a low pe and has a potential smooth 25% annual growth rate to EPS for next years.
PE price /earnings is low at around 11.
More cash than debt on the balance sheet, making them a little cheaper.
easily should be worth 20-25 PE for a fair price. Growth rate should make LYFT even trade a potential premium.
Im in for the value, but if retail gets behind LYFT, could be more exciting even.
Cheers, be safe.
#LYFT #LYFTstock #uber #Ev #AV #tesla #rivian #autonomousvehigles
SPY weekly thoughts for May 12th - 16th. Trump Pump?What’s up traders — this is my first idea post here on TradingView, and I’m hyped to finally share something with the community. In this breakdown, I’ll be covering a few key areas I’m watching:
🟩 Support zones
📉 Resistance levels
🕯️ Weekly candle behaviour
🌍 Macro outlook and possible catalysts
📌 Important notes
⚠️ My current bias
Let’s jump in:
🟩 Support Zones:
Buyers are still showing up strong in that $505–$507 range(I highly doubt their orders will get filled lol). it had been a reliable bounce zone — we’ve seen repeated wicks rejecting that level and price snapping back VERY quickly.
Above that, $550 has developed into a new area of support, and right now that’s my main level to watch. If that gives out, I expect we’ll head back down to test the $507 zone again. But for now, bulls are doing their job.
📉 Resistance
SPY keeps getting stuck around $573–$575. That zone’s been tested a few times now, but buyers haven’t been able to push it through. Sellers are stepping in there almost every time.
🕯️ Weekly Candle Context
That’s three straight weekly closes below resistance. Bulls get some momentum mid-week, but by Friday, sellers take over. It’s showing signs of a stall — like the market’s running out of gas near the top.
🌍 Macro Outlook – What Could Move Things
There’s been some talk of softer trade discussions and early negotiations with China. If any of that turns into a real deal, it could be the spark SPY needs to finally break above resistance.
But on the flip side — if Trump starts pushing new tariffs (even smaller ones), those moves tend to hold stocks back, especially in tech.
So the big question is:
Can SPY hit new highs if tech keeps cooling off and there’s pressure from new trade policy?
That’s the tug-of-war right now — possible upside from improving global relations, but real downside risk from political decisions.
📌 Things I’m Watching:
A weekly close above $575 would shift me to a bullish bias.
If we lose $550, I’ll be watching closely to see how price behaves near $507.
⚠️ Current Bias
Right now I’m FAIRLY neutral with a slight bullish lean, but very excited for this next weekly candle.
The macro setup looks like it could support a move higher, but I’m staying decently cautious until we get a clear weekly breakout(+575) and close above resistance.
Let me know what you think — and if you’re watching the same levels.
Most Unde-rated and Important Level of the week Previous Weekly Close level. Is a key level for the week for BIG trades whcich translate to big profits.
In the above video we will describe how to utilize and create a trade idea off this level.
This level will always give great risk /reward trade.
Dont fall asleep on this level.
BTCUSD 5/8/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you another Spot-On update to his previous callout of 2 days ago. Price did EXACTLY what he said it was going to do!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
VET - Garbage (For This Cycle) Until Proven Otherwise20 minute technical work-through.
VET has a terrible chart and may be one of quite a few coins to be printing a multi cycle bear market..
This means that anyone holding VET this cycle or even from previous cycle may see their positions erode significantly or even lose everything.
Just to be clear I have been bullish Bitcoin and bought many altcoins and made many bullish threads since January 2023...
But the point is that it takes skill to pick the best coins and when to buy them.
The days of hodling with 0 technical awareness are over.
Buying coins with "great fundamentals" that perhaps performed well in previous cycles, is now a great way to donate to the market and lose everything.
I'll attach my bearish THETA thread as well as some bullish threads that I have made through this cycle.
For those of you that dont know of my content, I posted a lot of successful bearish content in the previous market cycle also and I will post my bearish VET thread from 2021 also.
These days TrandingView only allows 5 linked threads - check them out if you like 👍
Not advice.
Nifty Market view and trade plan * I explain weekly chart, in explanation I explained from last four months but actually it was from last four weeks.
So Nifty price action shows - Slight down to consolidation bias
Market has trapped lower low formation so 23500/23600 will act as strong demand zone
Major constituent of Nifty
1. Finnifty - Consolidatiing after hitting all time high so, down to sideways for short term ( one to four week)
2. Nifty IT - Slight down and consolidation
3. Nifty oil and Gas - Down this previous demand zone of 10750
4. Nifty Auto - Follows almost Nifty and Nifty oil and gas structure so down to side ways
5. Nifty FMCG - At the bottom of consolidation so down chance are high
Over all sideways to down bias
Nifty Short-Term Setup Alertifty is showing signs of strength after a period of consolidation. Watch for a breakout confirmation. On a successful breakout, the next immediate target is 24,310. Maintain proper risk management—set your stop-loss just below the consolidation range.
Plan:
🔹 Breakout Entry
🔹 Target: 24,310
🔹 SL: above consolidation
Stay disciplined.
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction - Its implicationWhen Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean?
We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling?
Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a retracement before further downward pressure?
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
3 Liquidity indicators.3 Liquidity indicators. The liquidity indicators really need to be used together; they all give you great insight into the changes happening under the surface of the price action.
1. Liquidity sentiment indicator. This indicator shows you the strength of liquidity during a move up or in a pull back. It’s not moderated so it shows a relative strength of liquidity over all time scales. This is the most important of the indicators for staying in a trade as you actually see how much of the strength of the liquidity had dissipated during a move in price, it’s great for all time scales.
2.Time layered Liquidity Indicator gives you an idea of how long a change in liquidity strength takes to play out. The thickest line showing the current liquidity on the surface(nearest time period), but if this has been preceded by very strong liquidity at the surface for an extended period of time the moving average of the different layers of the liquidity will give you a good idea of how long that move has to play out until the liquidity makes a neutral level from the recent strong surface liquidity.
3. Irregular liquidity is vital to trading futures in short time periods that bridge different time zones over the Globex Futures markets, and securities(ones only trade during lit hours) over longer periods that bridge more than one day. This is because the lit hours of NYSE have so much more liquidity than the other globex hours, and different days of the week or month also have different patterns of liquidity because of hedging. The irregular liquidity indicator moderates any time period with the last 15 either days or week periods depending on the setting you choose, and smooths them to a moving average of 8 time periods. The day moderation is for a 4 hour time period and less setting on your TradingView. The weekly setting is for smoothing when you have your time period set to days. The Irregular Liquidity indicator also has a line in its moderation scale that is set at neutral to give you a relative feel of how far above or below an average liquidity the current measurement is.